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Original Contribution
Long-term Statin Use and the Risk of Gallstone Disease: A Population-based
Case-Control Study
Rune Erichsen*, Trine Frslev, Timothy L. Lash, Lars Pedersen, and Henrik Toft Srensen
* Correspondence to Dr. Rune Erichsen, Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Olof Palmes Alle 43-45,
DK-8200 Aarhus N, Denmark (e-mail: re@dce.au.dk).
Initially submitted June 17, 2010; accepted for publication September 24, 2010.
Abbreviations: AOR, adjusted odds ratio; CI, condence interval; ICD, International Classication of Diseases; NRP, The Danish
National Registry of Patients.
In the liver, 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl coenzyme A inhibitors (statins) inhibit cholesterol biosynthesis, and thus
may prevent gallstone formation, gallstone recurrence, subsequent complications, and cholecystectomy. Evidence of
the association between statins and gallstone disease is conflicting (5), although 3 recent studiesa US cohort study (6)
and case-control studies from United Kingdom (7) and Israel
(8)have shown a reduced risk of gallstone disease followed by cholecystectomy in people taking statins. These
studies estimated the association between statins and severe
gallstone disease only. In addition, the US study was based
on questionnaire reports of gallstone disease and statin use,
the UK study relied on information from general practitioners regarding in-hospital treatments (6, 7, 9), and the
Israeli study lacked details of important covariates (8).
There is, therefore, a need for evidence evaluating the
162
Am J Epidemiol 2011;173:162170
Most gallstones originate from cholesterol-supersaturated bile. Statins inhibit hepatic cholesterol biosynthesis
and therefore may reduce the risk of gallstone disease. Population-based evidence, however, is sparse. Thus, the
authors conducted a population-based case-control study using medical databases from northern Denmark (1.7
million inhabitants) to identify 32,494 cases of gallstones occurring between 1996 and 2008 and to identify age-,
sex-, and county-matched population controls for each case. Cases and their matched controls who were exposed
to lipid-lowering drugs were categorized as current users if their last prescription was redeemed 90 days before
the cases diagnosis date; otherwise, they were categorized as former users. Conditional logistic regression was
used to estimate adjusted odds ratios and 95% condence intervals for gallstone disease in patients treated with
lipid-lowering drugs. In current users, the adjusted odds ratios associating statin use with the occurrence of
gallstone disease were 1.17 (95% condence interval (CI): 1.06, 1.30) for those who had 14 prescriptions,
0.89 (95% CI: 0.80, 0.97) for those who had 519 prescriptions, and 0.76 (95% CI: 0.69, 0.84) for those who
had 20 total prescriptions. In former users, the corresponding adjusted odds ratios were 1.24 (95% CI: 1.11,
1.39), 0.97 (95% CI: 0.86, 1.10), and 0.79 (95% CI: 0.64, 0.97), respectively. The use of other lipid-lowering drugs
showed no similar association.
Residents of northern Denmark receive prescription medications from pharmacies equipped with electronic accounting systems that are primarily used to secure reimbursement
from the National Health Service (15, 16). The pharmacies
transmit the patients civil registration number, the type and
amount of drug prescribed according to the Anatomical
Therapeutic Chemical classification system (Appendix
Table 1), and the date on which the drug was dispensed to
the prescription database. From the prescription database,
we ascertained any use of statins before the index date. We
also identified the use of fibrates, niacin, and resin, which we
classified as other lipid-lowering drugs.
We classified patients as never users of lipid-lowering
drugs (reference), current users if their last prescription
for statins or other lipid-lowering drugs was redeemed
90 days before the index date, or former users if their last
prescription was >90 days before the index date. Both current and former users were also categorized by total number
of prescriptions (14, 519, and 20).
Covariates
RESULTS
Total no.
32,494
Population
Controls
No.
324,925
Men
10,123
31.2
101,223
31.2
Women
22,371
68.8
223,702
68.8
039
8,388
25.8
83,880
25.8
4059
11,065
34.1
110,650
34.1
6079
9,704
29.9
97,040
29.9
80
3,337
10.3
33,355
10.3
19962000
8,133
25.0
81,330
25.0
20012004
12,112
37.3
121,105
37.3
20052008
12,249
37.7
122,490
37.7
1.9
Age, years
Time period
814
2.5
6,283
Cancera
2,543
7.8
18,684
5.8
Cardiovascular disease
5,387
16.6
37,737
11.6
Chronic obstructive
pulmonary disease
1,487
4.6
9,807
3.0
Diabetes
1,797
5.5
13,183
4.1
Hypothyroidism
348
1.1
2,381
0.7
Hyperlipidemia
277
2.2
4,967
1.5
Inammatory bowel
disease
383
1.2
2,635
0.8
Liver cirrhosis
109
0.3
488
0.2
Obesity
Renal failure
Stroke
Transient ischemic attack
1,620
5.0
6,442
2.0
283
0.9
1,382
0.4
1,049
3.2
8,531
2.6
524
1.6
4,528
1.4
3,376
10.4
25,284
7.8
270
0.8
2,085
0.6
Previous treatment
Hormone replacement
therapy
Thiazides
a
All cancers except liver, bile duct, and pancreatic cancer, which
were excluded from the study.
and we used conventional logistic regression models because these stratified analyses required that we dissolve
the matched sets. Therefore, we controlled for the matched
factors as well as the other covariates.
We performed subanalyses to further explore the observed associations. First, we conducted 2 separate analyses
in which we changed the cutoffs for current and former
users to 30 and >30 days and 180 and >180 days, respectively, from the date of the last prescription to the index
date. Second, we estimated odds ratios after changing the
categorization of statins according to the time between first
and last prescription before the index date (<1, 12, and 3
years). We stratified this analysis by intensity of statin use.
We defined intensity as a measure of the number of pills
prescribed divided by the total duration of use. Duration of
use was determined by counting the number of days from
the date of the first prescription to the index date. Using
this information, we classified statin use as low-intensity
(<0.5 pills/day), medium-intensity (0.50.8 pills/day), or
high-intensity (0.9 pills/day). Third, we restricted the
analysis to cases with gallbladder surgery to reduce the
potential for inclusion of false-positives. Fourth, because
the comparison of statin users with nonusers might be confounded by statin indications also associated with gallstone
disease (e.g., obesity, hyperlipidemia, exercise, and diet),
we compared statin users with a total of 519 and 20
prescriptions with a reference category of users with 14
prescriptions. Because this analysis was limited to statin
users, the indications should have been more uniform. Fifth,
to explore whether the associations depended on type of
statin, we estimated odds ratios according to 7 statin preparation subtypes and according to lipophilicity in current
and former users (lipophile: atorvastatin, cerivastatin, fluvastatin, lovastatin, and simvastatin; hydrophile: pravastatin
and rosuvastatin). Last, we compared continuing statin users
(i.e., those with 12 months between first and last prescription
of statins and with the last prescription <12 months before the
index date) with those who discontinued statins (no prescription for 12 months before their index date). Because
this analysis was limited to ever users of statins, the indications should have been more uniform and included changes
to diet and exercise that sometimes accompany inception of
statin medications. Presumably, the behaviors would be less
likely to stop at the same time as statin medication discontinuation, so a comparison of continuing statin users with those
who stopped statin therapy should have been less susceptible
to confounding by behavior change.
Table 2. Use of Statins and the Risk of Gallstone Disease in Northern Denmark, 19962008
Statin Use
None
Cases With
Gallstone
Disease
Population
Controls
Crude
ORa
95% CI
Adjusted
ORb
95% CI
No.
No.
29,969
92.2
303,456
93.4
1.0
Reference
1.0
Reference
1,764
5.4
15,580
4.8
1.18
1.12, 1.24
0.93
0.87, 0.98
Current use
Overall
Men
Women
14 prescriptions
Men
Women
519 prescriptions
741
2.3
6,733
2.1
1.14
1.05, 1.24
0.85
0.77, 0.94
1,023
3.1
8,847
2.7
1.21
1.12, 1.29
0.98
0.90, 1.05
464
1.4
3,443
1.1
1.40
1.26, 1.54
1.17
1.06, 1.30
185
0.6
1,434
0.4
1.33
1.14, 1.56
1.06
0.90, 1.25
279
0.9
2,009
0.6
1.44
1.27, 1.64
1.25
1.10, 1.42
813
2.5
7,368
2.3
1.15
1.06, 1.24
0.89
0.82, 0.97
349
1.1
3,188
1.0
1.13
1.01, 1.27
0.84
0.74, 0.95
Women
464
1.4
4,180
1.3
1.15
1.05, 1.28
0.93
0.84, 1.03
0.69, 0.84
20 prescriptions
487
1.5
4,769
1.5
1.06
0.97, 1.17
0.76
Men
207
0.6
2,111
0.6
1.02
0.88, 1.18
0.69
0.59, 0.81
Women
280
0.9
2,658
0.8
1.10
0.97, 1.25
0.81
0.70, 0.92
Overall
761
2.3
5,889
1.8
1.35
1.24, 1.46
1.06
0.98, 1.16
Men
324
1.0
2,512
0.8
1.34
1.19, 1.51
1.00
0.88, 1.14
Women
437
1.3
3,377
1.0
1.35
1.22, 1.50
1.10
0.98, 1.22
353
1.1
2,408
0.7
1.52
1.36, 1.70
1.24
1.11, 1.39
Former use
14 prescriptions
Men
145
0.4
994
0.3
1.51
1.27, 1.80
1.19
0.99, 1.42
Women
208
0.6
1,414
0.4
1.53
1.32, 1.77
1.27
1.09, 1.48
0.86, 1.10
519 prescriptions
299
0.9
2,441
0.7
1.27
1.13, 1.44
0.97
Men
131
0.4
1,052
0.3
1.29
1.07, 1.55
0.92
0.76, 1.12
Women
168
0.5
1,389
0.4
1.26
1.07, 1.48
1.00
0.84, 1.18
0.64, 0.97
20 prescriptions
109
0.3
1,040
0.3
1.09
0.90, 1.34
0.79
Men
48
0.1
466
0.1
1.07
0.80, 1.45
0.73
0.54, 1.00
Women
61
0.2
574
0.2
1.11
0.85, 1.45
0.83
0.63, 1.09
with gallstone disease was particularly protective. Furthermore, as the intensity of statin use increased, the association
with gallstones decreased.
In cases with gallbladder surgery (n 744), we found that
current statin users had an overall adjusted odds ratio of
0.88 (95% CI: 0.62, 1.23) (14 prescriptions: adjusted odds
ratio (AOR) 1.22, 95% CI: 0.67, 2.22; 519 prescriptions:
AOR 0.74, 95% CI: 0.47, 1.17; and 20 prescriptions:
AOR 0.78, 95 % CI: 0.46, 1.35), whereas the adjusted
odds ratio for former users was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.43, 1.22)
(14 prescriptions: AOR 0.89, 95% CI: 0.43, 1.85; 519
prescriptions: AOR 0.99, 95% CI: 0.47, 2.08; and 20
prescriptions: AOR 0.10, 95% CI: 0.01, 0.81).
In the subanalysis of statin users in which those with 14
prescription were the reference group, we found an adjusted
odds ratio of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.67, 0.86) for current statin
users with 519 prescriptions and an adjusted odds ratio of
Men
Table 3. Use of Statins and the Risk of Gallstone Disease in the Presence or Absence of
Diabetes, Obesity, and Cardiovascular Disease in Northern Denmark, 19962008
Crude
ORa
95% CI
Adjusted
ORb
95% CI
0.96
0.85, 1.09
0.88
0.77, 1.00
1.15
0.98, 1.37
1.05
0.88, 1.25
1.13
1.06, 1.19
0.89
0.84, 0.96
1.26
1.16, 1.38
1.02
0.93, 1.12
0.87
0.72, 1.05
0.80
0.64, 1.00
1.00
0.76, 1.32
0.95
0.70, 1.27
1.14
1.08, 1.20
0.90
0.85, 0.95
1.29
1.19, 1.40
1.03
0.94, 1.12
0.84
0.78, 0.90
0.80
0.74, 0.87
1.00
0.90, 1.11
0.96
0.86, 1.07
1.09
1.00, 1.18
0.98
0.90, 1.06
1.18
1.05, 1.33
1.05
0.93, 1.18
0.65 (95% CI: 0.56, 0.74) for current statin users with 20
prescriptions. For former statin users, the corresponding
adjusted odds ratios were 0.78 (95% CI: 0.66, 0.92) and
0.64 (95% CI: 0.51, 0.80), respectively. In the final subanalysis, we found that statin users with no statin prescription 12
months before their index date had an adjusted odds ratio
of 1.39 (95% CI: 1.19, 1.61) compared with continuing
statin users.
When we divided the cases into the 7 statin preparation
subtypes and also according to lipophilicity, we found no
major heterogeneity of the odds ratios (results not shown).
In the analysis of other lipid-lowering drugs, we identified
70 current users (0.2%) and 122 former users (0.4%) among
cases and 377 current users (0.1%) and 775 former users
(0.2%) among controls. For current users, this corresponded
to an adjusted odds ratio of 1.42 (95% CI: 1.09, 1.84) (stratified
by the number of prescriptions: 14: AOR 2.16, 95% CI:
1.06, 4.40; 519: AOR 1.11, 95% CI: 0.67, 1.84; and 20:
AOR 1.46, 95% CI: 1.05, 2.05); for former users, it corresponded to an adjusted odds ratio of 1.18 (95% CI: 0.97, 1.43)
(stratified on the number of prescriptions: 04: AOR
1.20, 95% CI: 0.89, 1.62; 519: AOR 0.96, 95% CI:
0.67, 1.38; and 20: AOR 1.44, 95% CI: 1.01, 2.07).
DISCUSSION
None
Crude
ORc
1.0
95% CI
Reference
Adjusted
ORd
1.0
95% CI
Reference
1.46
1.36, 1.57
1.21
1.12, 1.30
1.55
1.35, 1.79
1.26
1.09, 1.45
1.41
1.19, 1.66
1.18
1.00, 1.39
1.44
1.31, 1.58
1.20
1.09. 1.32
1.14
1.05, 1.23
0.89
0.82, 0.97
1.45
1.16, 1.83
1.13
0.89, 1.42
1.15
1.00, 1.32
0.91
0.80, 1.05
1.09
0.98, 1.21
0.84
0.76, 0.94
1.02, 1.18
0.80
0.73, 0.86
1.49
1.20, 1.86
1.08
0.86, 1.35
1.06
0.93, 1.20
0.78
0.68, 0.90
1.07
0.98, 1.18
0.77
0.70, 0.85
Overall
As noted above, the initiation of statin treatment is sometimes also accompanied by changes in health behaviors,
such as increased physical activity and eating a healthier
diet. It is therefore possible that the decreased risk of gallstone disease associated with initiation of statin use was
caused not only by statins but also by the beginning of
health-seeking behaviors. Although we cannot rule out this
confounding, our analysis comparing cases who discontinued statins with continuing statin users, which showed
a higher risk among those who stopped statin therapy, supported the hypothesis that statins in fact do reduce the risk of
gallstone disease directly. Furthermore, lifestyle factors
were not found to be important confounders in the study
by Tsai et al. (6) or the study by Bodmer et al. (7, 32).
It is well-known that fibrates (included in the group of
other lipid-lowering drugs in this study) increase the risk of
gallstone disease (5), and our study supported this association. Because the residual and unmeasured confounding discussed above is expected to cause overestimation of the
association between gallstone disease and these drugs, our
results should not be taken alone as evidence of a potentially
harmful effect. In conclusion, this population-based casecontrol study confirmed that long-term sustained statin use
decreases the risk of gallstone disease in both men and women.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Author affiliations: Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark (Rune
Erichsen, Trine Frslev, Timothy L. Lash, Lars Pedersen,
Henrik Toft Srensen); and Department of Epidemiology,
Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts (Timothy L. Lash, Henrik Toft Srensen).
This work was supported by the Clinical Epidemiology
Research Foundation, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus,
Denmark.
The preliminary findings of this study were presented as
a poster at the 26th International Conference on Pharmacoepidemiology and Theraputic Risk Management, Brighton,
United Kingdom, August 1922, 2010, and published in
abstract form (33).
The Department of Clinical Epidemiology at Aarhus University Hospital receives funding for other studies from
companies in the form of research grants to (and administered by) Aarhus University. None of these studies have any
relation to the present study.
Conflict of interest: none declared.
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Am J Epidemiol 2011;173:162170
Alcoholism
ICD-10: F10 (except F10.0), G31.2, G62.1, G72.1, I42.6,
K29.2, K86.0, Z72.1
Obesity
ICD-10: E66
ICD-8: 277
Renal failure
ICD-10: N17N19
Apoplexia cerebri
ICD-8: 581584
ICD-10: G45.9
ICD-8: 435
Statins
Cancer
Atorvastatin C10AA05
Cerivastatin C10AA06
Fluvastatin C10AA04
Cardiac disease
ICD-10: I05I09, I10I15, I20I25, I50
Lovastatin C10AA02
Pravastatin C10AA03
Rosuvastatin C10AA07
Diabetes
ICD-10: E10.0, E10.1E10.9, E11.0; E11.1E11.9
ICD-8: 249.00, 249.01 249.09, 250.00, 250.01250.09
Simvastatin C10AA01
Other lipid-lowering drugs
Fibrates C10AB
Hypothyroidism
ICD-10: E00E03
Niacins C10AD
ICD-8: 244
Resins C10AC
Other drugs (covariates)
Hyperlipidemia
ICD-10: E78.0E78.5
Thiazide: CO3AA
Oral antidiabetics: A10
Am J Epidemiol 2011;173:162170