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Weekly summary
Editorial
FII bought and yet market down so every 1 is
interested in knowing the reason.
20-Mar-15
Rise /Gain
Sensex
28261
247
Nifty
8647
77
FII
DII
16-Mar-15
(697.6)
158.6
17-Mar-15
333.0
(243.6)
18-Mar-15
(462.3)
(882.9)
19-Mar-15
1488.4
53.4
20-Mar-15
354.5
(219.2)
1016.6
1133.7
Total
Turnover (` Cr)
Another reason could be this ghost knows more than
all of us put together and has the ability to time and
again defy the markets. This solely based on his
information. If so this is blatant and unfair.
FII DII and GHOST are the three idiots of the
STREET. 2 are visible in their nos and third one is
real GHOST which controls the market. FII and DII
are fully aware that there is a GLOST and they may
know the movement of the GHOST hence they do not
panic though retail try to search answer for the same.
FII
DII
Combined
20-Mar-15
53,553.1
16,293.4
69,846.5
20-Mar-15
Advances
264
Declines
1181
Ratio
0.22
www.cniglobalbiz.com
5 Top Gainer
Stock
20-Mar-15
16-Mar-15
VATECH WABA
1886.9
1665
13.3
RASOYA PROTEIN
0.67
0.61
9.8
DEN NETWORK
125.4
114.5
9.4
RAJESH EXPORT
208.2
191.1
8.9
IIFL
187.9
172.4
8.9
5 Top Losers
Stock
20-Mar-15
16-Mar-15
KPIT
193.2
211.4
8.6
JINDAL STE
174.0
186.3
6.5
THERMAX
1184.1
1264.4
6.3
RENUKA SUGAR
13.7
14.6
6.1
FSL
29.0
30.9
5.9
% Loss
Company
Post the advance tax selling and after this event the
market will consolidate. Major activity will take off post
the fiscal year-end. Many small and mid caps have
fallen in this month...thanks to year end pressures
and brokers unwilling to carry forward any positions
into the new fisc. Many stories of doom and gloom
heard...rumours obviously and they remain to be that.
It is human nature to believe in anything adverse said
about another human being. That single piece of
gossip or rumor gets a new dimension as it does
its rounds of Chinese whispers(not referring to
napkins, yes)and by the time it comes back a full
% Gain
REL
PNB
SBI
TATA STEEL
HERO HONDA
Company
www.cniglobalbiz.com
GLOBAL OFFSHORE
KINETIC ENG
RASI ELECTRODES
CMI
NUTRAPLUS
Just for our readers...nobody is under water, underground...all are living happily, cheerfully and due to the
years of experience in the market actually enjoying this round of Chinese whispers. Am sure soon will have a
new story to tell and will be able to proudly tell their grandchildren how they thrived in a blitzkrieg meant to wipe
them off. To end what we began with...pinjare mein chal ke aajaata hai shikar....kaatil pe bhi kabhi aajaata hai
pyar....
Nifty is on course to test 12000 in 2015. Now accumulate as MARCH pain is over and all rumours going to
dogs. It seems some big speculator short trapped in OIL stock which he had borrowed and sold in market. Let
us see how these stocks pan out now. Buy E and P and support stocks. Avoid RIGS which cater to shallow
water as that technology is now old.
Margin funding pain is over today. Investors are now can have sigh of relief. This will be huge plus for retail
investors in B gr shares.
As regards Nifty I believe we will close at 9000 plus in March. Tom after FED statement market will see new
height. We will see heavy to heavy short covering. Few big bouys are heavily short against FII wishes and FII
are going long every day. So watch the fire crackers. Century now could be a different ball game now as it has
gone into band. One man army is up to something in Century as it is his favourite counter. I will not spell out
here even though I know some hints.
Govt giving huge importance to OIL industry. They have announced Rs 6800 crs for in 1.5 lac hector new
survey area for OIL find. Shallow water technology is now outdated. Bombay offshore oil reservoir has
depleted below 20% and hence the cost of extraction will be heavy and uneconomical for shallow water
exploration. Even Dubai Govt has said that there OIL reserves have depleted. Our neighbour Bangla Desh has
announce last week 18 new oil blocs for deep water offshore exploration. Indian ONGC opened tender for 15
new deep water offshore vessels. ( doubt whether they will get it as there is no big co owning deep water
offshore vessels.)
These changes have happened only after G E USA said in OCT 2014 that Indian oil reservoirs is equivalent to
GCC countries. TOTAL has come in INDIA in a big way and also opened huge nos of pumps in Himachal
Pradesh. But question is where is the OIL coming for ...?
Please refer Govt announcement flashed in our R I section. In last 2para Govt expressed concern as to why
MNC are not coming to INDIA for E and P operations. This clearly hints at Govt intention to give NELP blocs
now to MNC and may be TOTAL entry was a pre cursor.
This is industry view. Rest is your call. No one in INDIA understands this industry and by the time they
understand this it may be too late.
I will not speak about the stock.
I feel Nifty is heading for 12000 in 2015. I repeat. BOAM has announced ( refer E T ) Sensex target of 54000 in
2018 which I believe will happen. Now it is up to you where and how to built your wealth. You did not take my
advise at 6000 when no 1 was even seeing 9000 which I told you time and again.
Please note I have only one vested interest and that is to guide you correctly.
From APRIL CNI will become more active and aggressive in A gr calls as we knew last 3 months was not good
for traders and we did well by not initiating too many calls.
Indian markets were playing negative tune thanks to MARCH pain though entire global scenario is very bullish.
Yesterday even U K said India is more apt for investment.IMF gone on record saying India GDP will cross
JAPAN and Germany combine GDP. Then why Indian markets falling...?
www.cniglobalbiz.com
We had been telling all along that INDIAN markets are controlled by some strong hands and there is no level
playing. These strong hands have played a trick. They are short in INDIAN markers pre budget even against
FII buying and their objective is not making losses through shorting but making you exit in each and every
counter.
See IPO market. There were 21 IOP's in last 3 years. All the 3 IPO were for 300 to 800 crs where
concentration of HNI is more. There is no retail investors who bid for the IPO. We need to see IPO of size less
than Rs 100 crs and that too for Rs 10 to 20 kind IPO which will bring back INDIAN retail. Till that time our
markets will be FII driven.
I personally see Nifty crossing 12000 in next 12 to 18 months which could be the real reason for strong hands
using MARCH phenomenon where even brokers have helped them by using the closure of accounts on 8th
March itself instead of 28th March 2015.
There is no need to panic in the market and I suggest invest in quality stocks as there is no change in my
vision.
The correction should be considered as GOD gifted opportunity to buy dips
Nifty corrected 550 pts. Many stocks are seeing tremendous selling like there no tomorrow for such stock. We
advise to accumulate such stocks as same will give you huge profits on reversal.
Pain in midcap stocks will continue until 27 March
www.cniglobalbiz.com
GLOBAL STORY
Last 2 days leading pink paper is showing how the
mid caps and small caps have corrected and the
reason assigned is earning. We beg to differ. The
earning fiasco was known to the street managers
and hence pulling prices in speculative bids at the
first place was not at all warranted.
Monday, 23-Mar-2015
Existing Home Sales
4-Week Bill Announcement
Tuesday,24-Mar-2015
Consumer Price Index
New Home Sales
Wednesday,25-Mar-2015
Durable Goods Sales
EIA Petroleum Status
Thursday,26-Mar-2015
Jobless Claim
Friday, 27-Mar-2015
GDP
Consumer Sentiment
www.cniglobalbiz.com
Above all there is no physical settlement which makes his very sure that the position has to be squared off at
the end of the settlement by these 95 traders if the mark to market is beaten badly So the target remains mark
to market of the stock. That is why stock like INDIA Cement Century corrects 30% in a settlement and bounce
back 30% in the next settlement once all the stock losses are killed. This 30% is 10 times higher than the
investment returns sought by many huge funds globally.
How can then you ignore INDIA...? No way.
Yesterday KOLKATA books were settled hence there was lot of unwinding which explains as to why markets
were falling even though FII were buying. Now on Thursday the annual accounts will be settled. Lot of counters
are seeing change of hands to take advantage of tax. e f many traders have muted bull run in the sense could
get profits in some stocks and losses in some and they do not want to pay taxes hence they will make sure
they change hands of stocks where they are in losses so that they can set off gains with losses.
Thus in all, the adjustment period will be over with coming Thursday and Friday could first day for taking fresh
positions. From MONDAY brokers will open their funding book again. Therefore in our belief those who are
sitting with piles of cash this is a golden opportunity to buy many stocks which will give 30% returns in 3 to 60
days which you otherwise expect in a year.
There is nothing wrong fundamentally. One school of thought will always tell you that 21 PE is expensive
hence market should correct by 10%. In fact, there are some failed foreign analysts which always give contrary
guidelines are included in this. They had said Sensex will test 3000 post LEHMAN and 11000 is history which
was countered by our DEAR CHAKRY at that time.
Even today our CHAKRY counters them and says we will see Nifty 12000 in 2015 itself. Why...?
The market cap to GDP in 2007 was 134% which has now come down to 82%
GDP growth rate came down from 9.5 pc to 7 pc
Credit growth has come down from 22 pc to 11 pc
IIP came down from 10.22pc to 1.72pc
Sensex pe from 27.67 pc to 19.9 pc
Also there is marked improvement in the F deficit. Rate cut cycle has just started which will help India to regain
9.5% GDP, Credit growth will pick up as COAL, infra, insurance and land acquisition bills are getting passed.
We will cross 22 pc credit growth in 3 years. IIP too will catch momentum as Govt spending is just starting
thanks to Rs 3 lacs crs inflow. Govt may get another 5 to 10 Lakh crs through more coal blocs, telecom and
now NELP sell to MNC for exploration through new policy. Black money and Gold deposit schemes if
successful can do wonders.
The PE of 19.9 is for 14 15 and assuming the muted growth of even 8% the forward pe for 15 16 is 18.42
which leaves scope of at least 50 pc upside hence there is no reason to see a 10% correction in INDIA.
Probably they are once again trying to misguide INDIAN investors who are already reeling under the mark to
market pressure.
www.cniglobalbiz.com
3 sectors which warrant attention from the perspective of changing INDIAN economics in a big way. These
sectors will not only contribute to huge sourcing of INDIAN manufactured goods but also INDIAN human
resources. These 3 sectors will infuse never seen before like investments in INDIA.
These 3 sectors are E com and retail, OIL and GAS and RAILWAYS.
E com nos are mind boggling. Flipcart all said to cross Rs 1 lac crs in shortest possible time where co like RIL
took 3 to 4 decade to reach. In our opinion more than 1 trillion USD will come in this sector. Very soon sourcing
goods and using international logistics for delivery may become uneconomical once INDIAN manufacturing
catch pace with quality. This is a lifeline to INDIAN manufacturing and HR and creating a pyramid of tree of
manufacturers and employees.
Next comes is OIL and GAS. Shallow water offshore technologies become obsolete. When the oil exploration
is as low as 16 to 26 pc the cost of exploration will be very high. To bring down the cost of exploration by more
than 70% we need to raise the OIL exploration to 75 to 90% which is possible only in deep water offshore.
MODIJI has therefore rightly given huge weightage to this sector. India do not possess deep water offshore
technology hence MNC will have to be permitted in INDIA like what GCC did 5 decades back. This deals will
INDIA's 156 BN USD OIL import bill.
Railways is the backbone of INDIAN infrastructure. It is the biggest carrier in the world. Here too to reduce the
cost we need to improve the speed and cut the travelling time. If we can reach DELHI say in 5 to 6 hours no
one would prefer to travel by AIR. e g ....does any 1 travel from FRANCE to LONDON by AIR ...? At least we
have not come across. This will create more opportunities of employment, east transfer of goods which will
improve the business sentiments.
Those who are pessimist about INDIA let them know INDIA is changing very fast. You can get now LONDON
visa on the same day. Go at 9 am pay Rs 63000 and get the visa by 5 pm. Passport use TATLAK go in the
morning at 10 am your passport is sent to you very next day. Therefore instead of being always critic be
positive and watch Govt efforts to make INDIA success which will take our Sensex to 55000 which in turn
make you richer.
We believe following sectors will remain charming as far as INDIA is concerned.....
Retail and E com
Pharma
Cement
Auto component
Smaller I T companies ( domestic demand play)
Railways
OIL and GAS ( high technology)
Research
Skilled Heavy and Light Engg
www.cniglobalbiz.com
Global Indices
Country
Indices
Date
Index
Net Change
Change
Hong Kong
Hang Seng
20/04
24,375.24
-93.65
-0.38
Singapore
Straits Times
20/04
3,412.44
+26.28
+0.78
South Korea
Seoul Composite
20/04
5,026.42
+34.04
+0.68
United States
NASDAQ
20/04
18,127.65
+168.62
+0.94
United States
DJIA
20/04
2,108.10
+18.83
+0.90
United States
S&P 500
20/04
19,560.22
+83.66
+0.43
Japan
Nikkei 225
20/04
7,022.51
+60.19
+0.86
United Kingdom
FTSE 100
20/04
1,803.65
-5.48
-0.30
Malaysia
KLSE Composite
20/04
5,443.07
-10.79
-0.20
Indonesia
Jakarta Composite
20/04
1,529.96
-2.17
-0.14
Thailand
SET
20/04
5,087.49
+50.31
+1.00
France
CAC 40
20/04
12,039.37
+139.97
+1.18
Germany
DAX
20/04
11,385.38
+236.85
+2.12
Argentina
MerVal
20/04
51,966.58
+1,013.05
+1.99
Brazil
Bovespa
20/04
43,968.15
-150.02
-0.34
Mexico
IPC
20/04
2,528.60
+18.41
+0.73
Austria
ATX
20/04
3,765.80
+31.45
+0.84
Belgium
BEL-20
20/04
499.12
+3.11
+0.63
Netherlands
AEX General
20/04
1,157.49
+32.93
+2.93
Spain
Madrid General
20/04
9,396.29
+67.81
+0.73
Switzerland
Swiss Market
20/04
5,936.26
+23.79
+0.40
Australia
All Ordinaries
20/04
3,617.32
+35.05
+0.98
China
Shanghai Composite
20/04
7,818.38
+3.83
+0.05
Philippines
PSE Composite
20/04
7,054.58
+7.88
+0.11
Sri Lanka
All Share
20/04
9,749.69
+12.96
+0.13
Taiwan
Taiwan Weighted
20/04
1,406.66
+16.66
+1.20
East Egypt
CMA
20/04
2,037.24
-0.65
-0.03
www.cniglobalbiz.com
Bulk deal
Company Name
Date
BSE Code
ACFSL
20-Mar-15
536737
108000
34
ACFSL
20-Mar-15
536737
120000
34.2
AFEL
20-Mar-15
538351
SANJEEV DALMIA
26500
471.66
ALANKIT
20-Mar-15
531082
48138
211.04
ALANKIT
20-Mar-15
531082
48138
211.03
AMSONS
20-Mar-15
538861
80000
5.2
AMSONS
20-Mar-15
538861
100000
ASHUTPM
20-Mar-15
531568
AAKRUTI TEXTILES
40000
2.61
BALKRISIND
20-Mar-15
502355
AMANSA INVESTMENTS L
900000
618
BHANDHOS
20-Mar-15
512608
PIYUSH SECURITIES PV
100000
33.23
20-Mar-15
SUZLON
18587140
27.99
20-Mar-15
SUZLON
18507632
28.01
20-Mar-15
SUZLON
22418094
27.19
Unitech Ltd
20-Mar-15
UNITECH
14931905
18.51
Unitech Ltd
20-Mar-15
UNITECH
14553905
18.54
Omnitech Infosolutions
19-Mar-15
OMNITECH
102115
6.82
Omnitech Infosolutions
19-Mar-15
OMNITECH
101000
6.82
19-Mar-15
SUDAR
143222
22.49
19-Mar-15
SUDAR
220000
22.14
19-Mar-15
SUZLON
21882166
30.17
19-Mar-15
SUZLON
21742166
30.17
18-Mar-15
DRDATSONS
ABHISHEK NAGENDRA SI
1802303
6.96
18-Mar-15
DRDATSONS
730381
6.96
18-Mar-15
DRDATSONS
595790
6.96
18-Mar-15
DRDATSONS
MANAV N PATEL
648064
6.97
17-Mar-15
ELECTHERM
113980
23.15
17-Mar-15
ESSDEE
IFCI LTD.
360715
149.22
17-Mar-15
GEMINI
699642
0.8
17-Mar-15
MANGALAM
URMILA DOSHI
65929
26.73
17-Mar-15
MANGALAM
URMILA DOSHI
40915
26.68
Client Name
www.cniglobalbiz.com
Deal Type
Quantity
Price (Rs)
PUT
Volume
CALL
March - 8050.00
100
Best
Buy
1.2
Best
Sell
1.6
LTP
OI
Volume
8800
Change
OI(%)
0
1.65
Best
Sell
764
LTP
OI
Change OI(%)
Best
Buy
518.35
790
25
March - 8100.00
1902250
1.25
1.35
1.3
988850
-7.93
22125
503.7
510.95
500
86375
10.07
March - 8150.00
4800
1.5
1.9
1.8
1225
291.15
507.55
March - 8200.00
6216925
1.7
1.85
1.85
2082300
34.97
16350
405.45
429.95
409.1
61425
-6.33
March - 8250.00
26600
1.55
2.75
1.95
10475
43
320.5
407.15
March - 8300.00
6722950
2.75
2.95
2.95
1877075
-7.15
135025
300.2
312.75
310
183100
-14.04
March - 8350.00
130250
3.75
4.35
3.75
120075
17.69
600
251
307.75
249.35
25
March - 8400.00
15734150
7.3
7.4
7.3
4598275
-8.84
271475
212.55
216
215
145975
-6.35
March - 8450.00
1284875
12
12.45
12
352450
73.54
7575
162.05
212.7
172.15
5975
986.36
March - 8500.00
25778625
21.6
21.7
21.7
5257900
5.41
3614975
129.3
132
130.95
860650
15.32
March - 8550.00
2488550
34.4
35.4
34.55
344100
15.48
239750
92.4
95
97.85
120375
803.38
March - 8600.00
32672800
54
54.65
54.65
4648425
-5.15
21572850
64.6
64.8
64.8
2308225
50.04
March - 8650.00
1094975
76.8
79.85
76.6
384550
-20.22
2455950
41.6
41.65
41.6
594425
81.56
March - 8700.00
10424550
112.6
113.75
112
2589200
-24.96
35647950
25.65
25.95
25.65
4293600
11.22
March - 8750.00
289925
147.5
150.6
149.45
123725
-45.91
3017200
13.35
14.2
13.35
1061450
48.45
March - 8800.00
2120500
190
192.2
191.35
1983850
-15.74
28548425
8.05
8.25
8.3
4824325
-10.53
March - 8850.00
29450
236
261.95
240
69650
-8.89
1982725
4.2
4.45
4.2
657225
-2.08
March - 8900.00
593550
284.1
285.05
284
757425
-9.97
13997000
2.7
2.9
2.9
4391475
-1.81
March - 8950.00
4350
335
337.95
335
38625
-0.9
713700
1.8
2.1
2.1
329450
-22.94
March - 9000.00
258525
382.5
387.1
385.5
953375
-8.54
8315950
1.55
1.6
1.55
5036325
-14.81
March - 9050.00
16250
429.7
437.9
454.45
16700
-2.05
106175
1.45
1.55
1.5
158750
-10.73
March - 9100.00
52150
477.5
481.75
480
202550
-5.45
3166075
1.25
1.3
1.25
3016825
-16.45
March - 9150.00
511.55
708.5
354.05
1600
78175
1.25
1.5
1.5
152900
-4.91
www.cniglobalbiz.com
10
DISCLAIMER STATEMENT
This document is provided for assistance only and is not intended to be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an
investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice, and nothing in this
document is solicitation to buy or sell the securities of companies referred to in this document. The intent of this document
is not in recommender nature. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as it deems necessary to
arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document (including
the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment.
The investment discussed or views expressed may not be suitable for all investors.
The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and
should not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. This information is subject to change without
any prior notice. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this statement as may be
required from time to time without any prior approval.
This document is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on,
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Copyright in this document vests exclusively with CNI Research Ltd.
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CNI Research Ltd
www.cniglobalbiz.com
Place of Publication
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1st Floor, opp Garware House,
Sahar Road, Vile Parle (E)
Mumbai- 400057
11