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a. Warming Impacts
b. No Ice Age
c. Warming causes cooling, without it Ice Age is inevitable
1. Warming melts ice in the arctic and antarctic region
a. Decreases temperature and salinity (amount of salt)
of ocean water
i. Drives the ocean conveyor belt why they
contribute to warming
1. North Atlantic Drift makes London
warm while Northern Canada is cold
ii. Warming messes up the cooling belt and
stops the North Atlantic Drift
d. Value of this Argument
a. Few arguments against it
b. Consensus we should be in an Ice Age right now
e. Dont read this
5. Warming doesnt exist
a. Proponents believers
a. Use computer models to predict the future temperatures
b. What controls temperatures
1. Sun
2. Wind currents
3. Ocean Currents
4. Gases
a. Cow farts
5. Clouds
c. Its really hard to predict future temperatures accurately with
computer equations
1. Human Error
2. Slight Error
d. Good evidence saying its inaccurate
b. Skeptics non-believers
a. Use satellite and balloons data to measure climate
1. Can see global climate
2. Can measure where climate change occurs (in troposphere
and stratosphere)
b. Urban heat island effect if you take temperature measurements
over urban areas its hotter than normal
c. We dont take measurements over the ocean it would be colder
than normal
c. What are they going to say causes warming?
a. Anthropogenic caused by humans
1. Find an alternate cause
a. Natural CO2
i. Plate tectonics
ii. Methane
iii. Sun solar variations
1. One of the better arguments
2. Natural Oscillations
3. Cosmic Ray flux
b. Positive Feedbacks warming will happen really fast, something
that causes something else that increases warming (Permafrost if
the ice melts, permafrost gets released and increases warming)
1. Say its a Negative Feedback warming causes stuff that
decreases warming
a. Clouds
b. Water Vapor
c. Volcanoes
6. The Qualifications Debate
a. Usually occurs when debating whether warming is real or not
b. Great evidence saying Skeptics get paid off by oil companies
c. Just as good evidence that the Proponents get paid by the government
because they are interested in alternative energy technology
d. If your neg
a. Read Prodicts positive things about your authors
b. Read Indicts negative things about there authors
c. Say that the way the judge should resolve the debate is about the
better science, ignore who gets paid cause everyone does, talk
about why satellite data is better
e. The IPCC got all the scientists together and released summaries of there
research
a. Defend Global Warming real
1. The problem is that less than 75% were willing to sign the
document
a. A lot of scientists didnt agree that warming is real
b. Some dont think it was a true consensus
2. Find evidence that they manufactured consensus that global
warming is real
b. They will say were peer-reviewed
1. So is negative evidence
f. The NIPCC a true consensus that warming does not exist
7. Cannot solve Warming
a. Best argument against warming
b. The Aff only solves a small part of US warming, its a global phenomena
a. Hard to convince other countries to join a regime or sign a treaty
c. Great evidence saying China is key and that people emitting in China wont
listen to governmental officials and keep emitting
d. Past the tipping point its too late