Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
Ottawa, Canada
20 April 2015
www.pbo-dpb.gc.ca
ExpenditureMonitor:201415Q3
ThemandateoftheParliamentaryBudgetOfficer(PBO)istoprovide
independentanalysistoParliamentonthestateofthenationsfinances,the
governmentsestimatesandtrendsintheCanadianeconomy;andupon
requestfromacommitteeorparliamentarian,toestimatethefinancialcostof
anyproposalformattersoverwhichParliamenthasjurisdiction.
ThisnoteanalysesimplementationoftheGovernmentsspendingplan
presentedinBudget2014,overtheninemonthsoftheyear.
ExpenditureMonitor:201415Q3
200
80%
180
75%
160
70%
140
65%
Context
60%
120
200809
Actual(LHS)
Sources:
Note:
201011
201213
201415
ShareofAuthoritiesExpended(RHS)
ExpenditureMonitor:201415Q3
Figure 2-2
Decrease in DPS and Debt Charges
Continue to Slow Spending
$ Billions
Total
Direct program spending
Transfers to persons
Other levels of government
Debt charges
Sources:
Note:
2014-15 2013-14
178.1
177.9
63.8
66.1
48.1
46.7
47.6
45.5
18.6
19.5
$ y/y
0.2
-2.3
1.4
2.1
-1.0
% y/y
0.1%
-3.5%
3.0%
4.6%
-5.1%
Figure 2-3
Government DPE falls to historic low as
share of total program expenses
$ Billions
130
50%
48%
120
46%
110
44%
100
42%
90
40%
DirectProgramExpenses(LHS)
Sources:
ShareofProgramSpending(RHS)
Budget2014.AccessedApril2015.
DirectProgramExpensescomprisethesamespendingasDirect
ProgramSpending,butarepresentedonanaccrualaccountingbasis
(ratherthancashaccounting).
ExpenditureMonitor:201415Q3
Figure 2-4
Operating spending down after nine
months
$ Billions
Direct program spending
Operating
Capital
Other transfer payments
Payments to Crown Corps.
Sources:
2014-15 2013-14
63.8
66.1
37.5
37.6
3.1
3.2
19.3
21.0
3.9
4.4
$ y/y % y/y
-2.3 -3.5%
-0.1
-0.3%
-0.1
-3.1%
-1.6
-7.8%
-0.5 -10.6%
Note:
Personnel
Figure 2-5
Transfer spending forecasted to level off
$ Billions
50
40
30
20
10
0
200809
201011
201213
201415
201617p
DepartmentalTransfersafter9months
Sources:
201819p
Estimates
PBOExpenditureMonitor201415:Q1.AccessedApril2015.
Datacollatedfromdepartmentsquarterlyfinancialreports.
Theseestimatesaresubjecttotheapprovalofcontinuedfundingfor
2,500passportserviceemployeesatESDCfor201617andfuture
years.ESDC201516ReportonPlansandpriorities.AccessedApril
2015.
7
Budget2014PlanforReturningtoBalancedBudgets:Making
GovernmentMoreEfficient.AccessedApril2015.
8
Budget2012Chapter5:ResponsibleManagementtoReturnto
BalancedBudgets.AccessedApril2015.
5
6
UpdateofEconomicandFiscalProjections2014:3of4.Accessed
April2015.
ExpenditureMonitor:201415Q3
Figure 2-6
Internal Services: Program support
continues to decline
$ Billions
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
201112
201213
EndofYearTotal
Sources:
201314
201415
FirstNineMonths
Economic Affairs
Social Affairs
International Affairs
Government Affairs
10
TreasuryBoardSecretariatDescriptorsfortheGovernmentof
CanadaOutcomeAreas.AccessedApril2015.
11
PBOExpenditureMonitor:201415Q2.
12
ThisprogramisareorganizationofthepreviousCooperative
Relationshipsprogram.
InternalServicesnumberspublishedbythePBOcontainprogram
spendingbySharedServicesCanada,whichwasallocatedaportionof
departmentsISbudgetwhenitwascreated.
ExpenditureMonitor:201415Q3
Figure 3-1
Well-managed government operations becoming increasingly efficient
Economic Affairs
Strong Economic Growth
Income security and employment for Canadians
An Innovative and Knowledge-based Economy
A Clean and Healthy Environment
A Fair and Secure Marketplace
Social Affairs
A diverse society that promotes linguistic duality and social inclusion
A Safe and Secure Canada
Healthy Canadians
A Vibrant Canadian Culture and Heritage
$
$
$
$
$
International Affairs
Global Poverty Reduction Through International Sustainable Development
A Safe and Secure World Through International Engagement
A Prosperous Canada Through Global Commerce
Change in Authorities
YoYChange(%)
2%
1%
4%
12%
-8%
35%
1%
0%
3%
11%
-5%
11%
19,907
6,769
6,899
4,765
1,474
-2%
-11%
8%
-1%
0%
1%
-1%
3%
1%
4%
$
$
$
$
2,813
1,444
1,288
81
-13%
-18%
2%
-55%
-5%
-4%
-4%
-3%
Government Affairs
Well-managed and efficient government operations
A Transparent, Accountable and Responsive Federal Government
Strong and Independent Democratic Institutions
$
$
$
$
12,983
11,613
891
480
-8%
-9%
5%
3%
0%
1%
-16%
-8%
11,979
-8%
5%
713
Government of Canada
163,882
0%
1%
Note 1: Reflects the one-time $713 million payment for transitioning the Governments pay system.
Note 2: Spending classifications exclude the Employment Insurance Account, which the Government excludes from the Whole of Government Framework.
Finance Canadas Transfer and Taxation Payment program is assumed to be classified under Economic Affairs: Strong Economic Grow
ExpenditureMonitor:201415Q3
Figure 3-2
Specific claims yet to be settled
Total
$ Millions
300
600
250
200
400
150
100
200
50
0
Settlementsreached(LHS)
Income Assistance
National Child Benefit
Assisted Living
First Nations Child and Family Services
Family Violence Prevention
Activenegotiationsongoing(LHS)
Settlementdisbursed(RHS)
Sources:
13
AANDCQuarterlyFinancialReportfortheperiodendingDecember
st
31 ,2014.AccessedApril2015.
14
SpecificClaims:JusticeatLast.AccessedApril2015.
15
AANDC201516ReportonPlansandPriorities.AccessedApril2015.
16
CATSA2014AnnualReport.AccessedApril2015.
ExpenditureMonitor:201415Q3
Index
600
150
400
130
200
110
90
200809
201011
201213
201415
TotalSpending(LHS)
After9months(LHS)
Screeningcontractcosts(RHS)
Budgetgrowth(RHS)
Sources:
Note:
17
Backgrounder:AmendmenttotheCanadianAviationsSecurity
Regulations,2012(NonPassengerScreening).AccessedApril2015.
18
CATSAQuarterlyFinancialReportfortheperiodendingDecember
st
31 ,2014.AccessedApril2015.
19
BeyondtheBorderActionPlan.AccessedApril2015.
CBSAPerimetersecurityandeconomiccompetitiveness.Accessed
April2015.
20
ExpenditureMonitor:201415Q3
Figure 3-421
Border spending has increased
$ Millions
CBSAProgram
CriminalInvestigations
AdmissibilityDetermination
Recourse
RiskAssessment
ImmigrationEnforcement
SecureandTrustedPartnerships
InternalServices
RevenueandTradeManagement
Total
Sources:
Note:
SpendingtoQ3
Change
201415 201314 (%)
29.8
16.5
81%
678.5
378.7
79%
11.0
6.8
62%
105.6
68.5
54%
136.0
102.8
32%
27.6
21.1
31%
321.4
557.0
42%
9.6
74.2
87%
1,300.4
1,077.2
21%
Figure 3-5
Increasing spending on Admissibility
Determination
$ Millions
Thousands
1,200
8.0
1,000
7.5
800
7.0
600
6.5
400
200
6.0
5.5
TotalExpenditures(LHS)
First9months(LHS)
AdmissibilityDeterminationFTEs(RHS)
Estimated/ProjectedFTEs(RHS)
Sources:
21
NegativeexpendituresforCBSAsRevenueandTradeManagement
programarearesultoftaxesanddutiesthatCBSAcollectsonbehalf
ofothergovernmentdepartments.Theseamountsareheldin
suspenseuntiltheendofthefiscalyear.
22
In201314CBSAperformedarealignmentoftheirInternalServices
program,reallocating$264millionacrossseveralprograms.This
realignmentdescribesaportionoftheobservedy/yvariance.ThePBO
assumedthat75percentoftherealignedInternalServiceswere
expendedafterthreequartersoftheyear,soafteraccountingforthe
ISrealignment,spendingonthisprogramisup$180million(48per
cent).Sources:PBOandCBSA201314DepartmentalPerformance
Report.AccessedApril2015.
23
AftermakinganapproximationfortheInternalServicesrealignment
thesechangesare$11million(68percent)and$27million(26
percent),respectively.
24
CBSAQuarterlyFinancialReportfortheperiodendingDecember
st
31 ,2014.AccessedApril2015.
25
Attheendof201314CBSAhadaccrued$183millioninseverance
benefitobligations.CBSAplanstorecoupthesefundsfromtheTBS
centralVote30,whichisdedicatedtopaylistrequirements.
26
PBOExpenditureMonitor:201415Q2.AccessedApril2015.
ExpenditureMonitor:201415Q3