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2012
NOTE
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e-mail askepri@epri.com.
Electric Power Research Institute, EPRI, and TOGETHERSHAPING THE FUTURE OF ELECTRICITY
are registered service marks of the Electric Power Research Institute, Inc.
Copyright 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
The following organization prepared this report:
Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI)
1300 West W. T. Harris Blvd.
Charlotte, NC 28262
Principal Investigator
C. Lyons
This report describes research sponsored by EPRI.
The following EPRI personnel are acknowledged for their contributions to this report:
L. Cerezo
T. Coleman
P. Jacobson
C. Libby
D. OConnor
A. Tuohy
This publication is a corporate document that should be cited in the literature in the following
manner:
Renewable Energy Technology Guide: 2012. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2011. 1023993.
iii
PRODUCT DESCRIPTION
First published in 2000 as the Renewable Energy Technical Assessment GuideTAG-RE, the
Electric Power Research Institutes (EPRIs) annual Renewable Energy Technology Guide
provides a consistent basis for evaluating the economic feasibility of renewable generation
technologies. These technologies include wind, solar photovoltaic (PV), solar thermal, biomass,
municipal solid waste, geothermal, and emerging ocean energy conversion technologies.
Results and Findings
Based on rated capacity, the leading worldwide sources of renewable energy at the end of 2011
were wind (238 GW), biomass (72 GW), solar PV (70 GW), geothermal (11.2 GW), and solar
thermal (1.8 GW). Renewables generated an estimated 20.3% of global electricity by the end of
2011. In 2010, renewable energy supplied approximately 16.7% of global energy consumption.
Challenges and Objectives
Because so many conflicting and overly optimistic claims are made about the performance and
economic potential of all energy sourcesconventional fossil, nuclear, hydro, alternative fuel,
and renewablesit is important to conduct careful, objective assessments of the status,
performance, cost, environmental impacts, and other aspects of the technologies. The primary
objective of this report is to provide timely and unbiased assessments of the status, performance,
and cost of the renewable generation technologies.
Applications, Value, and Use
The renewable generation technology data reported in the EPRI Renewable Energy Technology
Guide are valuable to system planners and others who make decisions about whether renewable
technology belongs in the generation portfolio and who develop long-term strategies for a
sustainable generation portfolio.
An energy producer can use renewable energy to strengthen ties to the community, attract new
customers, and diversify its portfolio. EPRI believes that companies that have not yet
incorporated renewables into their generation mix should consider these technologies to
determine which ones might benefit their generation strategy. The information summarized in
this report encompasses more than three decades of EPRI research on renewable technologies.
The Renewable Energy Technology Guide will continue to be updated on an annual basis to
ensure that EPRI members have access to the most current information on the technical and
economic status of renewable technologies.
Approach
Information and data from EPRI reports and a variety of outside sources, including U.S.
government reports and other publicly available publications, were collected and analyzed. The
informationwhich concerned the status, performance, cost, installed capacity, and markets for
renewable energy generation technologieswas used to update Renewable Energy Technology
Guide:2011 (EPRI report 1021795).
Keywords
Biomass
Geothermal
Municipal solid waste
Renewable energy
Solar energy
Wind energy
vi
ABSTRACT
The Renewable Energy Technology Guide: 2012 is a fundamental industry reference that informs
the technical and economic assessment of renewable energy generation technologies. Design,
cost, and performance information contained in this report will enable Electric Power Research
Institute members to perform preliminary capital investment evaluations in a systematic and
informed manner.
Renewable power technologies addressed in this report that are commercially available or on the
threshold of commercialization include wind, biomass, municipal solid waste, solar
photovoltaics, solar thermal, and geothermal. Other sections cover emerging renewable power
technologies, such as ocean tidal, ocean wave, and river in-stream energy conversion. In
addition, the report discusses the challenges of integrating renewable energy technologies with
the grid and the potential to reduce greenhouse gas emissions through renewables.
vii
CONTENTS
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9.6.2.2 Assessment for Typical TISEC Device Installed in Washington State........... 9-46
9.6.3 TISEC Economic Feasibility .................................................................................. 9-49
9.7 Environmental Impact Issues ........................................................................................ 9-51
9.8 Installed Capacity and Estimated Growth ..................................................................... 9-53
9.9 Research Focus ............................................................................................................ 9-53
9.10 Conclusion................................................................................................................... 9-55
9.11 Internet Resources ...................................................................................................... 9-55
9.12 References .................................................................................................................. 9-55
10 OCEAN WAVE ENERGY ................................................................................................... 10-1
10.1 Introduction.................................................................................................................. 10-1
10.2 U.S. Wave Energy Highlights: Late 2011 to Mid-2012 ................................................ 10-6
10.2.1 U.S. Federal Highlights ........................................................................................ 10-6
10.2.1.1 Federal Appropriations................................................................................. 10-6
10.2.1.2 Funding Awards ........................................................................................... 10-7
10.2.1.3 Federal Regulations ................................................................................... 10-10
10.2.2 State Highlights ................................................................................................. 10-10
10.2.2.1 Projects in Hawaii ...................................................................................... 10-10
10.2.2.2 Projects in Oregon ..................................................................................... 10-12
10.2.2.3 Projects in California .................................................................................. 10-15
10.2.3 U.S. Developer and Project Deployment Highlights .......................................... 10-18
10.2.3.1 Ocean Power Technologies ....................................................................... 10-18
10.3 Worldwide Wave Energy Highlights: Late 2011 to Mid-2012 .................................... 10-19
10.3.1 United Kingdom and Ireland .............................................................................. 10-19
10.3.1.1 Wave Energy Developers .......................................................................... 10-19
10.3.1.2 Wave Energy Test Centers ........................................................................ 10-21
10.3.2 Portugal and Spain ............................................................................................ 10-24
10.3.2.1 Developments in Portugal .......................................................................... 10-24
10.3.2.1 Developments in Spain .............................................................................. 10-25
10.3.3 Denmark, Norway and Sweden ......................................................................... 10-25
10.3.4 Australia, New Zealand, and Tasmania ............................................................. 10-26
10.3.4.1 BioPower Systems Pty Ltd......................................................................... 10-27
10.3.4.2 Oceanlinx Limited ...................................................................................... 10-27
10.3.4.3 Aotearoa Wave and Tidal Energy Association (AWATEA) of New
Zealand .................................................................................................................... 10-28
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LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1-1 Renewable energy as share of U.S. total primary energy consumption, 2011 ......... 1-2
Figure 1-2 U.S. renewable energy consumption by source, 2011 ............................................. 1-3
Figure 1-3 U.S. non-hydroelectric renewable power sources, 19892011 ................................ 1-3
Figure 2-1 Day-ahead prices for the California Power Exchange ............................................ 2-19
Figure 2-2 Example price duration curve ................................................................................. 2-20
Figure 2-3 Components of busbar cost for example 200-MW wind generation plant .............. 2-24
Figure 3-1 Historical (2011) and projected (20122016) installed wind generation
capacity in the United States, Europe, and remainder of the world ................................... 3-3
Figure 3-2 End-of-year operating wind capacity by country and region: 20082011 ................. 3-6
Figure 3-3 Wind capacity and forecast: 19902021 .................................................................. 3-7
Figure 3-4 Installed wind generation capacity in the United States by state as of 3Q 2012 ...... 3-8
Figure 3-5 Rayleigh probability density function for wind speed .............................................. 3-10
Figure 3-6 Coefficient of performance (Cp) vs. tip speed/wind speed ratio ............................. 3-10
Figure 3-7 Components of a typical wind turbine ..................................................................... 3-11
Figure 3-8 Schematic of Enercon direct drive turbine .............................................................. 3-14
Figure 3-9 Direct-drive 1.5-MW generator under testing at NRELs National Wind
Technology Center ........................................................................................................... 3-15
Figure 3-10 Example of an eight-pole, air-cooled superconducting generator ........................ 3-16
Figure 3-11 Cross section of wind turbine blade Source: DNV-GEC ....................................... 3-17
Figure 3-12 Bend-twist coupling achieved by fiber orientation ................................................ 3-18
Figure 3-13 Vortex generators (counter-rotating array) ........................................................... 3-19
Figure 3-14 Gearbox internal schematic showing one planetary and two parallel-shaft
stages ............................................................................................................................... 3-27
Figure 3-15 Cross section of hydrodynamic drive system for a wind turbine ........................... 3-28
Figure 3-16 Electrical diagram of a typical direct-drive turbine ................................................ 3-29
Figure 3-17 Example hybrid steel/concrete and concrete towers ............................................ 3-31
Figure 3-18 Artists rendering of the 2-B 6-MW wind turbine ................................................... 3-33
Figure 3-19 Artists rendering of the Vertiwind offshore VAWTs .............................................. 3-35
Figure 3-20 Guoneng 1-MW, 8-bladed VAWT with 36-m blades ............................................. 3-36
Figure 3-21 Offshore wind support structures .......................................................................... 3-38
Figure 3-22 Offshore wind monopile foundation showing grouted connection ........................ 3-39
Figure 3-23 Monopile foundation ............................................................................................. 3-41
Figure 3-24 Gravity-based foundations .................................................................................... 3-43
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xxx
Figure 3-61 LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 4, no PTC (New York) ............ 3-130
Figure 3-62 LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 5, no PTC (Washington) ......... 3-131
Figure 3-63 LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 6, no PTC (Georgia) ............... 3-131
Figure 3-64 LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 7, no incentives (Brazil) .......... 3-132
Figure 3-65 LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 8, no incentives (Australia) ..... 3-132
Figure 3-66 Distribution of average wind power in the United States .................................... 3-139
Figure 3-67 Number of O&M personnel at a wind power plant versus the number of
turbines and project rating .............................................................................................. 3-142
Figure 3-68 Shadow flicker impact illustration (AWEA) ......................................................... 3-146
Figure 3-69 The importance of distance in shadow flicker prevention (CH2MHill) ................ 3-147
Figure 4-1 Renewable electricity projections, excluding hydropower (billion kWh/yr)................ 4-3
Figure 4-2 Breakdown of biomass feedstock ............................................................................. 4-9
Figure 4-3 Effect of biomass plant scale on feedstock requirements and plantation area
required ............................................................................................................................ 4-10
Figure 4-4 Maximum volatile yield of biomass fuels compared to reference coals .................. 4-19
Figure 4-5 Fuel nitrogen concentrations for the fuel samples analyzed in detail ..................... 4-20
Figure 4-6 Distribution of volatile and char fuel nitrogen in selected biomass and
reference coal samples .................................................................................................... 4-21
Figure 4-7 Maximum nitrogen volatile yields for selected biomass and coal samples ............. 4-22
Figure 4-8 Volatile nitrogen and carbon evolution from fresh sawdust .................................... 4-23
Figure 4-9 Volatile nitrogen and carbon evolution from urban wood waste ............................. 4-23
Figure 4-10 Volatile nitrogen and carbon evolution from fresh switchgrass ............................ 4-24
Figure 4-11 Volatile nitrogen and carbon evolution from weathered switchgrass .................... 4-24
Figure 4-12 Nitrogen and carbon volatilization normalized to total volatiles formed from
sawdust ............................................................................................................................ 4-25
Figure 4-13 Nitrogen and carbon volatile evolution from weathered switchgrass
normalized to total volatile evolution ................................................................................ 4-25
Figure 4-14 Nitrogen/carbon atomic ratios for biomass chars formed during DTR
pyrolysis at various temperatures .................................................................................... 4-26
Figure 4-15 Normalized nitrogen/carbon atomic ratios for biomass solid fuel and char,
compared to Pittsburgh #8 bituminous coal and Black Thunder Powder River Basin
sub-bituminous coal ......................................................................................................... 4-27
Figure 4-16 Schematic of biomass cofiring with coal in a utility boiler ..................................... 4-30
Figure 4-17 Plan view of the Willow Island biomass cofiring system ....................................... 4-35
Figure 4-18 Elevation view of the Willow Island biomass cofiring system ............................... 4-36
Figure 4-19 Receiving sawdust at the Willow Island Generating Station ................................. 4-37
Figure 4-20 Influence of cofiring in cyclone boilers on furnace exit gas temperature .............. 4-39
Figure 4-21 Impact of cofiring on slag viscosity ....................................................................... 4-40
Figure 4-22 Design of the sawdust injection system at Seward Generating Station................ 4-43
Figure 4-23 NOX reduction at the Albright Generating Station ................................................. 4-46
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xxxiv
Figure 9-14 United States tidal current reference stations ....................................................... 9-31
Figure 9-15 Annual average tidal current speed probability distributions for Dog Island
Transect, Western Passage, Maine ................................................................................. 9-32
Figure 9-16 Annual tidal energy resource for six U.S. tidal current sites ................................. 9-32
Figure 9-17 Tidal energy conversion system configurations .................................................... 9-35
Figure 9-18 Capital cost breakdown for a typical tidal power technology ................................ 9-48
Figure 9-19 Operational cost breakdown for a typical tidal power technology ......................... 9-48
Figure 9-20 Cost of electricity as a function of power density .................................................. 9-49
Figure 9-21 Cost projection as a function of development status ............................................ 9-50
Figure 10-1 Wind blowing over fetch of water, producing waves ............................................. 10-4
Figure 10-2 Particle motion in different water depths .............................................................. 10-4
Figure 10-3 Vector field for particle motion in waves ............................................................... 10-5
Figure 10-4 Wave power flux ................................................................................................... 10-5
Figure 10-5 Schematic of PG&E WaveConnect system ........................................................ 10-16
Figure 10-6 Aquamarine Power Oyster ................................................................................. 10-20
Figure 10-7 EMEC testing configuration in 2011 ................................................................... 10-23
Figure 10-8 Wave Star 1:10 machine with buoys raised ....................................................... 10-25
Figure 10-9 Wave Star 1:2 machine with buoys raised ......................................................... 10-25
Figure 10-10 Floating power plant AS Poseidon ................................................................... 10-26
Figure 10-11 Seabased AB linear generator ......................................................................... 10-26
Figure 10-12 BioPower BioWave ........................................................................................... 10-27
Figure 10-13 Oceanlinx oscillating water column .................................................................. 10-27
Figure 10-14 West Coast reference stations ......................................................................... 10-33
Figure 10-15 Hawaii reference stations ................................................................................. 10-33
Figure 10-16 NOAA Wave Watch III global coverage ............................................................ 10-34
Figure 10-17 Wave energy device principles ......................................................................... 10-36
Figure 10-18 Wave energy device concept ........................................................................... 10-37
Figure 10-19 Capital cost breakdown for a typical wave energy technology ......................... 10-55
Figure 10-20 Operational cost breakdown for a typical wave energy technology (in $/kWyear) ............................................................................................................................... 10-55
Figure 10-21 Cost of electricity as a function of the power density at the deployment site.... 10-56
Figure 10-22 Cost projection as a function of development status ........................................ 10-57
Figure 10-23 Levelized COE comparison to wind: Oregon example with federal and state
financial incentives ......................................................................................................... 10-58
Figure 11-1 Major North American rivers and their yearly discharges in km3/year .................. 11-3
Figure 11-2 Steps affecting hydrokinetic turbine efficiency ...................................................... 11-5
Figure 11-3 Example of a hydrokinetic turbine ........................................................................ 11-5
Figure 11-4 Water power density ............................................................................................. 11-5
xxxv
Figure 11-5 Hydrokinetic turbine deployment from barge at Ruby, Alaska, on the Yukon
River ................................................................................................................................. 11-9
Figure 11-6 Village of Eagle during spring breakup of 2009 .................................................. 11-10
Figure 11-7 Hydro Greens Hydrokinetic Turbine (left) and the deployment site at lock
and dam #2 on the Mississippi River at Hastings, Minnesota (right).............................. 11-12
Figure 11-8 Preliminary permit sites held by Free Flow Power on the Mississippi River;
Memphis District (upper left), Vicksburg District (upper right), and New Orleans
District (lower left) of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers ............................................... 11-13
Figure 11-9 Pre-test inspection of Free Flow Power 3-meter turbine in flume at the
USGS Conte Anadromous Fish Laboratory ................................................................... 11-14
Figure 11-10 Location of Verdants Cornwall Ontario Renewable Energy (CORE) Project
in the St. Lawrence River ............................................................................................... 11-15
Figure 11-11 Site of the CORE Project on the St. Lawrence River (left), and Verdant
Turbine (right) ................................................................................................................. 11-16
Figure 11-12 Positioning the anchor for the EnCurrent turbine deployment at Fort
Simpson, NT, Canada .................................................................................................... 11-16
Figure 11-13 Stream velocity profile across the Yukon River at the USGS Gauging
Station at Eagle, Alaska for a discharge rate of 183,000 ft3/s ........................................ 11-18
Figure 11-14 Channel cross section at the USGS Gauging Station at Eagle, Alaska, at a
discharge rate of 183,000 ft3/s ....................................................................................... 11-18
Figure 11-15 Velocity versus discharge at the USGS Gauging Station at Eagle, Alaska ...... 11-19
Figure 11-16 Velocity distribution at the USGS Gauging Station at Eagle, Alaska ................ 11-19
Figure 11-17 Average discharge by month at the USGS Gauging Station at Eagle,
Alaska ............................................................................................................................ 11-20
Figure 11-18 Average velocity by month at the USGS Gauging Station at Eagle, Alaska..... 11-20
Figure 11-19 River in-stream energy conversion devices ...................................................... 11-21
Figure 11-20 Experimental configuration of the AHRTA oscillating turbine ........................... 11-24
Figure 11-21 Free Flow Power SmarTurbine generator ........................................................ 11-24
Figure 11-22 Hydro Green turbines ....................................................................................... 11-25
Figure 11-23 Hydro Green turbine array configuration .......................................................... 11-26
Figure 11-24 Lucid Energy Gorlov Helical Turbine ................................................................ 11-26
Figure 11-25 Lucid Energy array configuration ...................................................................... 11-27
Figure 11-26 New Energy system concept ............................................................................ 11-28
Figure 11-27 New Energy EnCurrent turbine ......................................................................... 11-28
Figure 11-28 Ocean Renewable Power Co. OCGen module ................................................ 11-28
Figure 11-29 UEK prototype demonstrated in 2000 .............................................................. 11-29
Figure 11-30 Verdant Power Free Flow turbine ..................................................................... 11-30
Figure 11-31 Verdant Power turbine lowered into the East River prior to mounting on a
monopile ......................................................................................................................... 11-30
Figure 11-32 Vortex-induced vibrations oscillating objects in fluid currents........................... 11-31
Figure 11-33 Whitestone Power & Communications Microturbine River-In-Stream
device ............................................................................................................................. 11-32
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Figure 11-34 Ice jam during spring breakup: upstream view of the Yukon River at Eagle,
Alaska ............................................................................................................................ 11-33
Figure 11-35 Site location overview, with chosen sites indicated in yellow ........................... 11-35
Figure 11-36 Water depth profiles at three Alaska sites during typical river discharges........ 11-35
Figure 11-37 Average water velocities by month at three sites in Alaska .............................. 11-36
Figure 11-38 Average power densities by month at three sites in Alaska ............................. 11-36
Figure 11-39 Cost projection as a function of development status ........................................ 11-38
Figure 11-40 RISEC capital expense as a function of plant scale ......................................... 11-42
Figure 11-41 RISEC O&M expense as a function of plant scale ........................................... 11-42
Figure 11-42 Cost of electricity as a function of mean power flux ......................................... 11-43
Figure 12-1 System operation over minutes/hours (top) to days (bottom) ............................... 12-5
Figure 12-2 Ancillary services distinguished by their deployment times and durations ......... 12-11
Figure 12-3 Wind output varying diurnally, seasonally, and with weather changes ............... 12-14
Figure 12-4 Daily variation of solar PV system output over a month ..................................... 12-15
Figure 12-5 Hourly load shapes with and without wind generation ........................................ 12-16
Figure 12-6 Number of P observation changes in average power for 4 ramp rate
intervals: 10 seconds, 1 minute, 10 minutes, and 1 hour ............................................... 12-16
Figure 12-7 Example of wind power plant output correlation with distance ........................... 12-17
Figure 12-8 Example of wind plant output variation on area control error (ACE)................... 12-19
Figure 12-9 Relative cost of photovoltaic electricity due only to resource variability ............. 12-20
Figure 12-10 Monthly solar energy variation over one year ................................................... 12-20
Figure 12-11 Results from estimates for the increase in balancing and operating costs
due to wind power .......................................................................................................... 12-22
Figure 12-12 Large wind ramp in Texas showing need for increased situational
awareness ...................................................................................................................... 12-24
Figure 12-13 Power factor curves for example wind plant ..................................................... 12-25
Figure 12-14 Today's typical distribution feeder topology ...................................................... 12-26
Figure 12-15 Wind predictions adjusted using self-learning statistical methods .................... 12-32
Figure 12-16 Distributed controller results aggregated to manage area power and
system voltage profiles ................................................................................................... 12-38
Figure 12-17 Cascaded restoration of distributed generators ................................................ 12-38
Figure 12-18 Concept of distribution microgrids of various sizes and levels allowing
reliability islands and grid tie operation .......................................................................... 12-40
Figure 12-19 Distributed controller must be integrated with overall distribution control
system to maximize system value and reduce capacity requirements........................... 12-41
Figure 12-20 FRT limiting curves proposed in the new German grid codes for connecting
PV systems to the medium-voltage power grid .............................................................. 12-42
Figure 13-1 Levelized CO2 emissions offset vs. % fossil fuel generation ................................ 13-6
Figure 13-2 Levelized CO2 emissions control cost vs. cost premium and CO2 emissions
offset ................................................................................................................................ 13-6
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Figure 13-3 Levelized CO2 emissions control cost vs. cost premium and fossil fuel mix at
50% generation from fossil fuels ...................................................................................... 13-7
Figure 13-4 Levelized CO2 emissions control cost at 100-MW California wind plant vs.
CO2 emissions offset and system generation cost (4th Quarter 2010$) .......................... 13-9
Figure 13-5 Levelized CO2 emissions control cost vs. location and system generation
cost (4th Quarter 2010$) .................................................................................................. 13-9
Figure 13-6 Levelized CO2 emissions control cost vs. system generation cost for 100%
biomass-repowered and bubbling fluidized bed plants and 10% biomass co-fired
coal plant (incremental cost vs. coal for co-fired plant, 3rd Quarter 2010$) ................... 13-11
Figure 13-7 Levelized CO2 emissions control cost vs. system generation cost for 50-MW
solar photovoltaic plants, Las Vegas, NV (top) and Columbus, OH (bottom)
(December 2010$) ......................................................................................................... 13-13
Figure 13-8 Levelized CO2 emissions control cost for 50-MW flash-steam and binarycycle power plants vs. base system generation cost (December 2010$) ...................... 13-15
Figure 13-9 Levelized CO2 emissions control cost for four solar thermal technologies
(December 2010$) ......................................................................................................... 13-17
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LIST OF TABLES
Table 2-1 Calculation of annual fixed charge rates .................................................................... 2-2
Table 2-2 Calculating levelized annual charges ........................................................................ 2-4
Table 2-3 Wind power generationnominal dollar terms .......................................................... 2-5
Table 2-4 Wind power generationconstant dollar terms ......................................................... 2-7
Table 2-5 Sources and uses of construction funds .................................................................. 2-15
Table 2-6 Example income statement ($1000) ........................................................................ 2-18
Table 2-7 Example cash flow statement ($1000) ..................................................................... 2-23
Table 2-8 Example sensitivity analysis .................................................................................... 2-28
Table 2-9 Confidence rating based on cost and design estimate ............................................ 2-31
Table 2-10 Accuracy range estimates for RETG cost data (ranges in percent)1 ..................... 2-32
Table 2-11 TPC-TPI adjustment factors .................................................................................. 2-33
Table 3-1 Wind power overview ................................................................................................. 3-1
Table 3-2 Operating wind generation capacity: end of year 2005end of year 2011................. 3-5
Table 3-3 Forecast wind generation capacity additions: 20122016 ......................................... 3-5
Table 3-4 Estimated U.S. wind generation capcaity by depth ................................................. 3-37
Table 3-5 Top 10 suppliers 2011 ............................................................................................. 3-49
Table 3-6 Selected onshore wind turbine suppliers and turbine models over 2.3 MW ............ 3-53
Table 3-7 Areas of potential technology improvement ............................................................. 3-56
Table 3-8 Typical average foundation costs ............................................................................ 3-60
Table 3-9 Offshore wind: CAPEX costs from project data ....................................................... 3-62
Table 3-10 Offshore wind: total CAPEX and CAPEX share by component category .............. 3-63
Table 3-11 Northeastern U.S. project: design criteria and boundary conditions ...................... 3-78
Table 3-12 Northeastern U.S. project: estimated CAPEX ....................................................... 3-79
Table 3-13 Northeastern U.S. project: total plant investment .................................................. 3-80
Table 3-14 Annual energy yield, Northeastern U.S. project ..................................................... 3-82
Table 3-15 Estimate of full load hours, Northeastern U.S. project ........................................... 3-83
Table 3-16 Financial assumptions, Northeastern U.S. project ................................................. 3-84
Table 3-17 Levelized cost of electricity, Northeastern U.S. project.......................................... 3-85
Table 3-18 Design criteria and boundary conditions for Great Lakes project .......................... 3-88
Table 3-19 Estimated CAPEX for Great Lakes project ............................................................ 3-89
Table 3-20 Total plant investment, Great Lakes project .......................................................... 3-90
Table 3-21 Annual energy yield, Great Lakes project .............................................................. 3-92
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Table 3-22 Estimated full load hours, Great Lakes project ...................................................... 3-93
Table 3-23 Financial assumptions, Great Lakes project .......................................................... 3-94
Table 3-24 Levelized cost of electricity (LCOE), Great Lakes project ..................................... 3-95
Table 3-25 UK Round 2 offshore wind project status .............................................................. 3-97
Table 3-26 Design criteria and boundary conditions, UK project ............................................. 3-99
Table 3-27 Estimated CAPEX for UK project ......................................................................... 3-103
Table 3-28 Annual energy yield, UK project .......................................................................... 3-105
Table 3-29 Estimate of full load hours, UK project ................................................................. 3-106
Table 3-30 Financial assumptions for the UK project ............................................................ 3-107
Table 3-31 Levelized cost of electricity, UK project ............................................................... 3-108
Table 3-32 Project descriptions ............................................................................................. 3-110
Table 3-33 Conceptual layout design assumptions ............................................................... 3-111
Table 3-34 Total capital requirement estimates summary (2011 US$) .................................. 3-112
Table 3-35 Plant-provided O&M costs (2011$), average of years 15 .................................. 3-114
Table 3-36 Contracted O&M costs (2011$), average over extended warranty period
(years 15) ..................................................................................................................... 3-115
Table 3-37 Wind probabilistic analysisvaried parameters .................................................. 3-118
Table 3-38 Static parameters for financial analysis including incentives ............................... 3-120
Table 3-39 Initial, mean, and 95th percentile LCOE values, including incentives (2011$) .... 3-121
Table 3-40 Static parameters for financial analysis without incentives .................................. 3-127
Table 3-41 Initial, mean, and 95th percentile LCOE values with no incentives (2011$) ........ 3-128
Table 4-1 Biomass electricity generation overview .................................................................... 4-1
Table 4-2 Biomass energy consumption in the U.S. economy by sector and type, 2010
(Quads) .............................................................................................................................. 4-2
Table 4-3 Proximate and ultimate analyses for typical woody biomass fuels .......................... 4-11
Table 4-4 Proximate and ultimate analyses for typical herbaceous biomass fuels .................. 4-12
Table 4-5 Proximate and ultimate analyses for typical manures ............................................. 4-12
Table 4-6 Nitrogen and ash concentrations in biomass fuels (values in lb/106 Btu) ................ 4-14
Table 4-7 Ash analyses of various biomass fuels compared with Pittsburgh #8 coal .............. 4-15
Table 4-8 Ash analyses of switchgrass and other herbaceous crops ...................................... 4-15
Table 4-9 Slagging and fouling index for selected biomass fuels ............................................ 4-16
Table 4-10 Ranges in concentrations of trace metals in woody biomass (mg/kg in dry
wood) ............................................................................................................................... 4-17
Table 4-11 Ranges in concentrations of trace metals in woody biomass burned at a pulp
mill in the Pacific Northwest (mg/kg in dry wood) ............................................................. 4-17
Table 4-12 Volatility measures for representative biomass fuels ............................................. 4-18
Table 4-13 Chemical fractionation analyses of various biofuel ashes ..................................... 4-28
Table 4-14 Chemical fractionation of potassium in switchgrass for four samples ................... 4-29
Table 4-15 Complete chemical fractionation of a switchgrass sample .................................... 4-29
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Table 4-16 Representative biomass cofiring tests and demonstrations .................................. 4-32
Table 4-17 Capital cost of the Willow Island cofiring demonstration ........................................ 4-38
Table 4-18 Capital cost summary for the Bailly Generating Station cofiring system................ 4-38
Table 4-19 Estimated capital cost of the Albright cofiring demonstration if constructed as
a new facility ..................................................................................................................... 4-44
Table 4-20 Pre-treatment options for addressing cofiring constraints ..................................... 4-48
Table 4-21 Typical water rates for condensing turbines in wood waste-fired plants ................ 4-55
Table 4-22 Typical water rates for backpressure turbines in wood waste-fired plants............. 4-56
Table 4-23 Plant design assumptions for biomass repowering base case .............................. 4-74
Table 4-24 Raw and dried biomass fuel composition .............................................................. 4-75
Table 4-25 Plant performance summary for PC coal-fired and repowered biomass-fired
bubbling fluidized bed plants ............................................................................................ 4-76
Table 4-26 100% Biomass repowering performance and cost estimates (3Q 2010$) ............. 4-77
Table 4-27 LCOE estimates for 100% biomass repowering (3Q 2010 $) ................................ 4-78
Table 4-28 Summary of biomass cofiring base case ............................................................... 4-79
Table 4-29 Woody biomass fuel quality: heat content, proximate, and ultimate analyses ....... 4-80
Table 4-30 Performance estimates for cofiring coal and undried biomass .............................. 4-81
Table 4-31 Performance estimates for cofiring coal and dried biomass .................................. 4-81
Table 4-32 Performance estimates for cofiring co-milled coal and torrefied biomass.............. 4-82
Table 4-33 Biomass cofiring performance and cost summary (3Q 2010$) .............................. 4-83
Table 4-34 Design assumptions for bubbling BFB boiler plants .............................................. 4-84
Table 4-35 Plant performance estimates for BFB boiler plants ............................................... 4-85
Table 4-36 Performance and cost estimates for bubbling fluidized bed boiler plants (3Q
2010$) .............................................................................................................................. 4-86
Table 4-37 Levelized cost of electricity estimates for biomass-fired bubbling fluidized bed
plants (3Q 2010$) ............................................................................................................ 4-88
Table 4-38 Design assumptions for stoker boiler plant ............................................................ 4-89
Table 4-39 Plant performance estimates for stoker boiler plant .............................................. 4-89
Table 4-40 Performance and cost estimates for stoker boiler plant (3Q 2010$) ..................... 4-90
Table 4-41 Levelized cost of electricity estimates for 50-MW stoker boiler plant fired by
woody biomass (3rd-Quarter 2010$) ............................................................................... 4-92
Table 4-42 Design assumptions for biomass gasification plant ............................................... 4-93
Table 4-43 Plant performance estimates for gasification plant ................................................ 4-94
Table 4-44 Performance and cost estimates for biomass gasification (2012$) ....................... 4-94
Table 4-45 LCOE regional costs with component breakdown ................................................. 4-97
Table 4-46 LCOE without PTC ................................................................................................ 4-99
Table 5-1 MSW overview ........................................................................................................... 5-1
Table 5-2 Permits and review processes ................................................................................... 5-4
Table 5-3 Fuel categories specified by Renewable Fuel Standard 2 (RFS2) regulation ........... 5-8
Table 5-4 Cellulosic biofuel pathways for use in generating RINs ............................................. 5-9
xli
Table 5-5 States defining MSW as a renewable fuel eligible to meet renewable portfolio
standards ......................................................................................................................... 5-10
Table 5-6 States defining waste-to-energy as renewable in state law ..................................... 5-11
Table 5-7 Federal statutes and policies defining WTE as renewable (as of 10/1/10) .............. 5-12
Table 5-8 U.S. operating mass-burn/waterwall facilities and vendors ..................................... 5-17
Table 5-9 Recent WTE expansions and procurements in North America................................ 5-18
Table 5-10 Operating modular system facilities and vendors .................................................. 5-20
Table 5-11 Biomass power facilities co-firing with coal ............................................................ 5-21
Table 5-12 Comparative fuel properties of RDF ...................................................................... 5-24
Table 5-13 U.S. RDF facilities .................................................................................................. 5-27
Table 5-14 Summary of LMOP projects, by conversion technology ........................................ 5-28
Table 5-15 List of representative electricity-generating projects .............................................. 5-30
Table 5-16 List of representative direct heat projects .............................................................. 5-33
Table 5-17 List of representative high-Btu projects ................................................................. 5-33
Table 5-18 Primary constituents of biogas ............................................................................... 5-35
Table 5-19 Operating mixed waste compost facilities .............................................................. 5-45
Table 5-20 Technology maturity .............................................................................................. 5-49
Table 5-21 Typical waste fuel parameters compared with coal ............................................... 5-50
Table 5-22 Municipal solid waste generation and disposal ...................................................... 5-52
Table 5-23 Air emission criteria ............................................................................................... 5-57
Table 5-24 Total capital equipment .......................................................................................... 5-61
Table 5-25 Representative fixed and variable O&M cost categories ....................................... 5-62
Table 5-26 Mass burn capital operations and maintenance costs ........................................... 5-63
Table 5-27 Mass burn facility levelized cost of electricity ........................................................ 5-65
Table 5-28 Mass burn facility levelized fixed capital charge component ................................. 5-66
Table 5-29 Typical heat content of waste and other materials ................................................ 5-69
Table 5-30 Moisture and ash percentages of RDF and coal ................................................... 5-70
Table 5-31 Fuel quality characteristics .................................................................................... 5-79
Table 5-32 RDF capital equipment .......................................................................................... 5-82
Table 5-33 Fixed and variable cost categories ........................................................................ 5-82
Table 5-34 Marginal capital and operations and maintenance costs ....................................... 5-84
Table 5-35 Marginal RDF co-fire levelized cost of electricity ................................................... 5-86
Table 5-36 Marginal RDF co-fire levelized fixed capital charge component ............................ 5-86
Table 5-37 Landfill gas characteristics ..................................................................................... 5-88
Table 5-38 Summary of gas supply parameters for LFG engines ........................................... 5-90
Table 5-39 Landfill gas quality characteristics for injection into pipeline .................................. 5-92
Table 5-40 LFG capital equipment requirements1 ................................................................... 5-96
Table 5-41 Fixed and variable cost categories ........................................................................ 5-97
Table 5-42 LFG to electricity capital operations and maintenance costs ................................. 5-99
xlii
Table 5-43 LFG to direct heat capital operations and maintenance costs ............................. 5-100
Table 5-44 LFG to high-pressure pipeline capital operations and maintenance costs .......... 5-102
Table 5-45 LFG to electricity levelized cost of electricity ....................................................... 5-104
Table 5-46 LFG to direct heat levelized cost of energy ......................................................... 5-105
Table 5-47 LFG to high-pressure pipeline levelized cost of energy ....................................... 5-105
Table 5-48 LFG to electricity levelized fixed capital charge component ................................ 5-106
Table 5-49 LFG to direct heat levelized fixed capital charge component .............................. 5-106
Table 5-50 LFG to high-pressure pipeline levelized fixed capital charge component ............ 5-106
Table 6-1 Overview of solar photovoltaics ................................................................................. 6-2
Table 6-2 PV technology summary .......................................................................................... 6-14
Table 6-3 Photovoltaic site assumptions ................................................................................. 6-15
Table 6-4 First-year electricity generation and capacity factors ............................................... 6-16
Table 6-5 Utility-scale solar photovoltaic power plant total capital requirement estimates
(4th Quarter 2011$) .......................................................................................................... 6-18
Table 6-6 Utility-scale solar photovoltaic power plant operation and maintenance cost
estimates (4th Quarter 2011$) ......................................................................................... 6-19
Table 6-7 Levelized cost of electricity with and without 30% investment tax credit (4th
Quarter 2011$) ................................................................................................................. 6-20
Table 6-8 Utility-scale solar photovoltaic power plant performance and cost estimate
summary (4th Quarter 2011$) .......................................................................................... 6-22
Table 6-9 Site data for 27 locations in the continental United States ...................................... 6-26
Table 6-10 Information included in Clean Power Estimator databases ................................... 6-27
Table 6-11 Rooftop case-study electric-rate scenarios ............................................................ 6-28
Table 6-12 Rooftop case-study utility rates .............................................................................. 6-30
Table 6-13 Rooftop case-study system performance .............................................................. 6-30
Table 6-14 Rooftop case-study capital costs ........................................................................... 6-31
Table 6-15 Rooftop case-study economic-analysis results ...................................................... 6-32
Table 6-16 Solar PV power plant capital, O&M, and lease cost projections for fixed flatplate thin-film photovoltaic power plants (Dec 2009$)...................................................... 6-34
Table 6-17 Solar PV power plant capital, O&M, and lease cost projections for one-axis
tracking crystalline silicon flat-plate photovoltaic power plants (Dec 2009$).................... 6-34
Table 6-18 Solar PV power plant capital, O&M, and lease cost projections for two-axis
tracking high concentration photovoltaic power plants (Dec 2009$) ................................ 6-35
Table 6-19 Solar PV power plant capital and O&M cost scaling factors vs. rated plant
output relative to a 5-MWac plant ...................................................................................... 6-35
Table 6-20 Utility-scale PV power plant O&M cost estimates (2011$)..................................... 6-42
Table 7-1 Geothermal energy overview ..................................................................................... 7-1
Table 7-2 Proposed geothermal resource temperature classification ........................................ 7-5
Table 7-3 Installed geothermal power worldwide ..................................................................... 7-12
Table 7-4 U.S. installed capacity as of March 2009 ................................................................. 7-13
xliii
Table 7-5 Estimated costs for a 50-MW geothermal plant (Dec 2009 $) ................................. 7-39
Table 7-6 Estimated geothermal development costs (Dec 2009 $) ......................................... 7-40
Table 7-7 Design assumptions for geothermal plants .............................................................. 7-41
Table 7-8 Performance and total capital requirement estimates for geothermal power
plants (December 2010 $) ................................................................................................ 7-42
Table 7-9 Levelized cost of electricity estimates for geothermal power plants (30-year
project life, constant December 2010 $) .......................................................................... 7-43
Table 7-10 Land area requirements for current renewable technologies ................................ 7-44
Table 7-11 Averages of four significant pollutants, as emitted from geothermal and coal
facilities ............................................................................................................................ 7-46
Table 8-1 Central receiver technology ....................................................................................... 8-2
Table 8-2 Dish/engine technology ............................................................................................. 8-2
Table 8-3 Linear Fresnel reflector technology ........................................................................... 8-3
Table 8-4 Trough technology ..................................................................................................... 8-3
Table 8-5 Central receiver demonstration projects .................................................................. 8-13
Table 8-6 Technology monitoring guide for solar thermal power plants .................................. 8-23
Table 8-7 Technology process development map: solar thermal power plants ....................... 8-24
Table 8-8 Comparison of the Solar Two and Gemasolar projects ........................................... 8-28
Table 8-9 Performance and cost estimates for solar thermal technologies (December
2010$) .............................................................................................................................. 8-35
Table 8-10 Constant-dollar levelized cost of electricity for solar thermal power plants
(December 2010$) ........................................................................................................... 8-37
Table 8-11 Selected data for solar trough systems ................................................................. 8-38
Table 8-12 Peak central-receiver system efficiency components ............................................ 8-46
Table 8-13 Annual average central receiver system efficiency components ........................... 8-47
Table 9-1 Ocean tidal energy overview ..................................................................................... 9-1
Table 9-2 Offshore in-stream tidal energy conversion device developers ............................... 9-20
Table 9-3 Offshore in-stream tidal energy conversion device developers ............................... 9-37
Table 9-4 Pending FERC preliminary permits for tidal current projects (as of August 2,
2012) ................................................................................................................................ 9-40
Table 9-5 Issued FERC preliminary permits for tidal current projects (as of August 2,
2012) ................................................................................................................................ 9-41
Table 9-6 Cost and performance estimates for selected tidal power plants ............................ 9-45
Table 9-7 Typical cost, performance and economic profiles for tidal power plants (2011$) .... 9-47
Table 9-8 Cost estimates for selected U.S. feasibility evaluation sites (Dec 2009$) ............... 9-50
Table 9-9 Installed and planned U.S. tidal energy capacity ..................................................... 9-53
Table 10-1 Ocean wave energy overview ................................................................................ 10-1
Table 10-2 Alaska available wave energy resource breakdown (TWh per year) ................... 10-29
Table 10-3 West Coast available wave energy resources (TWh per year) ............................ 10-29
Table 10-4 Hawaii available wave energy resources by major island (TWh per year) .......... 10-29
xliv
Table 10-5 East Coast available wave energy resources by state (TWh per year) ............... 10-30
Table 10-6 Gulf of Mexico available wave energy resources by state (TWh per year) .......... 10-30
Table 10-7 Percent technically recoverable wave energy by region for capacity packing
density of 10 MW/km under assumptions described in text ........................................... 10-31
Table 10-8 Percent technically recoverable wave energy by region for capacity packing
density of 15 MW/km under assumptions described in text ........................................... 10-31
Table 10-9 Percent technically recoverable wave energy by region for capacity packing
density of 20 MW/km under assumptions described in text ........................................... 10-32
Table 10-10 Wave energy conversion device developers as of November 2011 .................. 10-38
Table 10-11 FERC active preliminary permits ....................................................................... 10-47
Table 10-12 FERC, MMS, and state lands permitting, licensing and leasing framework ...... 10-47
Table 10-13 WEC device areal footprints .............................................................................. 10-48
Table 10-14 Cost and performance estimates for linear absorber (Pelamis) wave power
plants (December 2009 dollars) ..................................................................................... 10-52
Table 10-15 Typical cost, performance and economic profiles for wave energy plants
(2011$) ........................................................................................................................... 10-54
Table 11-1 Overview of river in-stream energy ........................................................................ 11-1
Table 11-2 Manning coefficients for representative river substrates ....................................... 11-4
Table 11-3 In-stream river energy conversion device developers ......................................... 11-23
Table 11-4 Cost and performance estimates for Alaska in-stream river power plants........... 11-40
Table 11-5 RISEC energy cost, performance and economic profiles (2011$) ....................... 11-41
Table 11-6 Cost estimates for three feasibility evaluation sites ............................................. 11-44
Table 11-7 Major environmental issues and mitigation recommendations ............................ 11-45
Table 11-8 Installed and planned U.S. river in-stream power capacity (MW) ........................ 11-46
Table 12-1 Functions and services provided by generation .................................................... 12-3
Table 12-2 Comparison of output controllability for various generation technologies .............. 12-9
Table 12-3 Comparison of non-thermal renewable generation technologies ........................ 12-12
Table 12-4 Distributed power system performance expectations at various connection
points in the electric system ........................................................................................... 12-21
Table 12-5 Grid penetration scenarios and changing role of distribution generation ............. 12-29
Table 12-6 Energy storage characteristics by application (kilowatt-scale)............................. 12-39
Table 13-1 Lifetimes in the atmosphere and relative infrared absorption strengths of the
greenhouse gases ............................................................................................................ 13-1
Table 13-2 Fossil carbon intensity of coal, oil, natural gas, and wood fuels ............................ 13-2
Table 13-3 Carbon intensity of generation technologies .......................................................... 13-3
Table 13-4 Wind plant performance and cost vs. location (4th Quarter 2010$)....................... 13-8
Table 13-5 Levelized cost of electricity for 50-MW biomass-fired stoker and fluidized bed
boiler power plants ($/MWh, 3rd Quarter 2010$) ........................................................... 13-10
Table 13-6 Performance and cost estimates for 10-MW solar photovoltaic power plants
(4th Quarter 2010$) ........................................................................................................ 13-12
xlv
Table 13-7 Levelized cost of electricity for 50-MW flash-steam and binary-cycle
geothermal power plants (December 2010$) ................................................................. 13-14
Table 13-8 Constant-dollar levelized cost of electricity for solar thermal technologies
(December 2010$) ......................................................................................................... 13-16
xlvi
INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background
Renewable energy technologies are those that utilize inexhaustible or naturally replenished
resources to generate electricity with minimal environmental impact. Energy sources addressed
in this update of the Renewable Energy Technology Guide (RETG) include wind, biomass,
municipal solid waste (MSW), solar photovoltaic (PV), geothermal, solar thermal, ocean tidal,
wave energy, and river in-stream energy conversion (RISEC).
Passage of the Public Utilities Regulatory Policies Act (PURPA) in 1978 was a turning point for
renewable technologies in the United States. PURPA was drafted in response to the oil crisis of
the early 1970s and guaranteed a market at some price for any energy an alternative provider
could produce. Solar and wind power, in particular, made great strides during this period.
However, to some extent, lower oil prices during the 1980s and 1990s lessened interest in,
development of, and government support for renewable technologies.
In the past decade, concerns about the long-term impacts of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse
gases have reinvigorated the industry. The 1992 United Nations Framework Convention of
Climate Change (UNFCCC) set an overall framework for intergovernmental efforts to tackle the
challenges posed by global climate change and was ratified by 192 countries. The 1997 Kyoto
Protocol was a critical driver of subsequent funding for renewable energy projects in the
European Union and, to a lesser degree, elsewhere. As a result, Germany, Japan, the United
Kingdom, and other European Union (EU) countries have set aggressive goals for meeting
increasingly large percentages of their energy needs with renewable energy technologies. In
January 2008, the EU adopted country-specific goals for achieving overall 20% renewable
energy usage by the year 2020. New agreements negotiated in Durban, South Africa in
December 2011, known as the Durban Platform, appear poised to continue and extend efforts
to curb greenhouse gas emissions among both developed and developing nations. The 2012
United Nations Climate Change Conference was held at the Qatar National Convention Center in
Doha. During that meeting, the Kyoto Protocol, which was due to expire at the end of 2012, was
extended to 2020. In addition, the engaged countries agreed to continue the work established at
the Durban Platform and begin developing an agreement to continue to carry on the work of the
Kyoto Protocol beyond 2020. The Durban Platform will be developed by 2015 and executed in
2020, following the expiration of the Kyoto Protocol.
Meanwhile, many individual utilities, municipalities, states, nations and other policymaking
bodies have established renewable portfolio standards (RPSs) that set renewable energy goals,
generally requiring a utility to obtain a certain percentage of its generating capacity from
renewable resources by a certain date. As of November 2012, 38 U.S. states plus the District of
Columbia had RPS mandates or voluntary goals. Other tools employed to encourage and support
the deployment of renewables include the investment tax credit (ITC), the production tax credit
1-1
Introduction
(PTC), and feed-in tariffs (FITs). As renewable energy technologies evolve and become more
cost-competitive, and their environmental benefits become more valuable, they are being
deployed with increasing frequency and public support.
Figures 1-1 and 1-2 show the relative contribution of renewable energy to total primary energy
consumption in the United States in 2011, based on data reported by the DOE Energy
Information Administration (EIA) [1]. In 2011, renewable energy contributed just 9% of the total
energy consumption. Figure 1-3 shows the long-term trends for non-hydro renewable generation,
which in particular highlights the dramatic increase in wind power deployments in the past
decade, thanks in part to subsidies and decreasing capital costs.
Figure 1-1
Renewable energy as share of U.S. total primary energy consumption, 2011
Source: EIA, September 2012
1-2
Introduction
Figure 1-2
U.S. renewable energy consumption by source, 2011
Source: EIA
Figure 1-3
U.S. non-hydroelectric renewable power sources, 19892011
Source: EIA
Renewable energy resources are broadly accessible throughout the world. Some resources are
almost universally available; others are limited to particular areas. Locations with high annual
insolation are obviously best suited to solar power. Solar energy can still be usefully and
economically applied in locations with lower quality resources including, in some cases, extreme
northern or southern latitudes. Wind energy is generally deployed along coastlines or mountain
passes with reliable sustained winds, although the central plains of North America host some of
1-3
Introduction
the worlds best wind resources and many of the newest and largest wind power projects. In
addition, the Midwest is an excellent source of biomass, which can be grown through managed
agricultural programs to provide a continuous supply of biomass fuels. Geothermal resources are
concentrated in geologically active areas such as along the Pacific Ring of Fire, which includes
the Philippines, Indonesia, and California. Hydroelectric resources exist in most countries.
The benefits of using renewable energy are many and extend beyond issues of abundance and
environmental impact. Diversifying energy resources provides security against economic or
political events that may impact one particular resource. They offer some protection against risks
associated with fluctuating fossil-fuel prices and supplies. Investment in renewable energy can
contribute to local economic growth and employment. Many renewable energy plants can be
built in a modular fashion proportionate to load growth patterns and local needs.
The value of renewable energy is determined by a number of factors, including its ability to meet
mandated renewable energy capacity requirements, respond to customer demands for renewable
energy, and differentiate a power provider from its competitors. Renewables can also offer
significant environmental benefits such as offsetting carbon dioxide, NOx, and SO2 emissions.
Some renewable energy technologies such as biomass and geothermal (and, to a lesser extent,
some solar thermal technologies) are dispatchable, making them valuable generation assets. The
output of non-dispatchable technologies such as solar PV can correspond well with summer
afternoon load peaks. The Electric Power Research Institutes (EPRIs) ongoing efforts to
develop accurate forecasting models will improve the value of wind energy in a companys
generation portfolio.
1.3 Objective
This RETG, updated for 2012, fulfills two roles. First, it serves as a one-stop information source
for a wide variety of renewable energy technologies evaluated on a consistent basis. EPRIs
experience and expertise, along with its reputation for objectivity and credibility, make the
RETG a uniquely valuable reference. The various renewable technologies have been evaluated
with sufficient technical depth to enable planners to conduct an accurate assessment of the
renewable energy options that are available to them.
1-4
Introduction
Second, the RETG provides information to educate all interested parties in the key technology
concepts, language, and issues related to renewables. It offers not only technical depth but also
breadth of coverage across many disciplines including project planning, resource availability and
management, regulatory processes, operating and maintenance requirements, market potential,
and future developments.
The information summarized in the RETG encompasses nearly four decades of EPRI research on
renewable technologies and draws upon a large foundation of knowledge built by the DOE and
other national and international experts. This information has been distilled and synthesized to
provide the readers of RETG the most up-to-date, accurate, practical intelligence available that
they can use to investigate, plan, and deploy the latest renewable energy technologies.
1.5 Scope
The RETG consists of 13 chapters. Following this Chapter 1: Introduction, they are:
Chapter 2: Economic Methodology and Assumptions, which provides a detailed discussion of
the basis upon which data were gathered and presented.
Chapter 3: Wind Power, which covers one of the most widespread and economically
competitive renewable energy technologies. Wind power systems progressed substantially
through the past decades as a result of government incentives, with a steady trend of cost
reduction. Wind power is particularly popular in Europe, due partly to aggressive government
goals and public support, and is considered to be a commercially established and competitive
grid-power technology.
Chapter 4: Biomass Electricity Generation, which focuses on biomass fuel and combustion
properties, direct combustion, gasification, and cofiring with coal in utility boilers. This chapter
addresses resource availability, technology status, performance and cost history and projections,
operating and maintenance labor requirements, environmental emissions, installed capacity, and
cost and economic issues.
Chapter 5: Municipal Solid Waste, outlines some of the current and future technologies in the
waste-to-energy (WTE) sector including performance, installation history, emissions and in some
cases and cost and economic issues.
Chapter 6: Solar Photovoltaics (PV), which addresses power systems that convert sunlight
directly into electricity. These solid-state electronic devices have no moving parts, no fluids, no
noise, and no emissions of any kind. These benefits have positioned PV to be the preferred power
technology for many remote applications. In addition, developments on the horizon promise to
significantly reduce the costs of PV and open up new markets for distributed applications, such as
innovative building-integrated technologies, and increasingly, MW-scale projects.
1-5
Introduction
Chapter 7: Geothermal Energy, which provides the latest information on systems that generate
electricity by tapping underground steam reservoirs. Although available in relatively few areas,
geothermal power has been a practical reality in California, Italy, and Asia for decades. This
chapter also addresses the potential in both developed and developing countries for the more
common geothermal hot water and liquid-dominated hydrothermal resources.
Chapter 8: Solar Thermal, which addresses systems that use concentrated sunlight to heat a
working fluid and generate electricity in a thermodynamic cycle. Such systems range in scale
from 25-kW reflector dish-generator systems to 85-MW solar thermal trough plants that
concentrate solar energy using parabolic trough reflectors to heat oil, which is then used to
generate steam and electricity. Another technology option is central receiver technology, which
uses hundreds of mirrors to focus sunlight onto a central receiver. The 10-MW Solar Two
demonstration incorporated thermal storage through the use of a molten salt heat transfer fluid
and a large storage tanks.
Chapter 9: Ocean Tidal Energy, which addresses low-impact and emerging hydro systems that
capture ocean tidal current energy to generate electricity. These systems are distinct from
traditional hydroelectric installations, which typically generate electricity via a turbine powered
by water impounded behind a dam. Many ocean energy generation technologies are derived from
analogous technologies in the wind turbine industry.
Chapter 10: Ocean Wave Energy, which addresses low-impact and emerging hydro systems
that convert the kinetic energy of ocean waves into electricity.
Chapter 11: River In-Stream Energy, which reviews the potential for generating electrical
power from river energy. Technology and developer companies are working to modify tidal
energy turbines for use in river environments.
Chapter 12: Grid Integration Challenges and Technologies, which addresses power
electronics, energy storage, and other technologies need to integrate large wind plants and other
intermittent generation technologies into the electricity grid. Energy storage technologies such as
batteries, pumped hydro, compressed air energy storage (CAES), flywheels, and superconducting
magnetic energy storage (SMES) can be selected and designed to absorb short, intermediate, and
longer-term fluctuations of output from seconds to days. Other integration technologies, such as
line compensation, power electronics, integration with hydro, and solar and wind energy
forecasting, address short-term fluctuations.
Chapter 13: Greenhouse Gas Emissions Control, which discusses the role that renewable
energy power technologies can play in greenhouse gas emissions reduction and includes example
calculations showing how that role can be quantified.
1.6 References
1. Annual Energy Review 2011 U.S. Energy Information Administration, Washington, D.C.:
September 2012: DOE/EIA 0384 (2011).
2. Renewable Energy Technology Guide: 2011. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2011. 1021795.
3. Renewable Energy Technology Guide: 2010. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2010. 1019760.
4. Renewable Energy Technology GuideRETG 2009. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2010. 1021379.
1-6
Introduction
5. Renewable Energy Technology GuideRETG: April 2009 Update. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA:
2009. 1019300.
6. Renewable Energy Technical Assessment Guide TAG-RE 2008. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA:
2008. 1015801.
7. Renewable Energy Technical Assessment Guide TAG-RE 2007. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA:
2008. 1014182.
8. Renewable Energy Technical Assessment Guide TAG-RE 2006. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA:
2007. 1012722.
9. Renewable Energy Technical Assessment Guide TAG-RE 2005. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA:
2005. 1010407.
10. Renewable Energy Technical Assessment Guide TAG-RE 2004. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA:
2004. 1008366.
11. Renewable Energy Technical Assessment Guide TAG-RE 2003. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA:
2003. 1004938.
12. Renewable Energy Technical Assessment Guide TAG-RE 2002. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA:
2002. 1004196.
13. Renewable Energy Technical Assessment Guide TAG-RE 2001. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA:
2001. 1004034.
14. Renewable Energy Technical Assessment GuideTAG-RE 2000. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2001.
1000574.
15. Renewable Energy Technology Characterizations. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA, and the Office of
Utility Technologies, DOE, Washington, D.C.: 1997. TR-109496.
16. Renewables Global Status Report. REN21. Paris, France.
1-7
Subsections 2.1.2 through 2.1.4 address these concepts and their derivation as well as the
components and calculation of annual fixed charge rates [1].
2.1.1.1 Annual Fixed Charge Rates
Annual fixed charge rates express the annual capital revenue requirements as a percentage of the
booked cost. In Table 2-1, for example, the total present value of the annual capital charge or
booked cost is $604.27 million, and the annual capital revenue requirements based on that
booked cost are shown in column 1. The annual fixed charge rates are the ratio of the annual
capital revenue requirements to the booked cost of $604.27 million, and are shown in column 2.
The annual fixed charge rates decline over time as the annual capital revenue requirements
decline. So, for example, in the first year, the annual fixed charge rate is 19.09% and declines to
5.32% by the end of the book life. The assumed debt/equity ratio in Table 2-1 is 1.5.
2-1
End of Year
Nominal Annual
Fixed Charge Rates
(Percentage of Booked Cost)
(1)
(2)
2011
$115.34
19.09%
2012
112.38
18.60%
2013
108.34
17.93%
2014
104.46
17.29%
2015
100.74
16.67%
2016
97.16
16.08%
2017
93.72
15.51%
2018
90.41
14.96%
2019
87.20
14.43%
2020
84.02
13.90%
2021
80.83
13.38%
2022
77.65
12.85%
2023
74.46
12.32%
2024
71.28
11.80%
2025
68.09
11.27%
2026
64.91
10.74%
2027
61.72
10.21%
2028
58.54
9.69%
2029
55.35
9.16%
2030
52.17
8.63%
2031
48.98
8.11%
2032
46.49
7.69%
2033
44.70
7.40%
2034
42.90
7.10%
2035
41.11
6.80%
2036
39.32
6.51%
2037
37.52
6.21%
2038
35.73
5.91%
2039
33.94
5.62%
2040
32.14
5.32%
Booked Cost
($ millions)
2-2
Capital Revenue
Requirements
($ Million, Nominal)
$604.27
2.1.1.2 Nominal Levelized Annual Charges and Nominal Levelized Fixed Charge Rates
The second type of fixed charge is the nominal levelized fixed charge rate, which translates
booked costs into a constant annual nominal dollar charge with the same present value as the
actual annual capital revenue requirements. Calculating the nominal levelized annual charge can
be thought of as a two-step process (see Example 2-1).
Example 2-1
The first step is to calculate the present value of the annual capital revenue requirements.
Column 1 of Table 2-2 shows the annual capital revenue requirements in Table 2-1. Because the
annual revenue requirements are in nominal terms, they must be discounted using the nominal
discount rate. Column 2 shows the annual present value factors used to bring the costs from endof-year to present value. Column 3 lists the real or constant-dollar revenue requirements that
have inflation factored out of the values (e.g., $115.34/(1.03) = $111.98 for the year 2011).
Column 4 lists the annual present value factors based on the real discount rate.
Once the present value has been calculated, the levelized annual charges and the fixed charge
rates can be derived as noted in the table.
It is important to note that the levelized fixed charge rate depends on the capital structure and
cost of money, tax depreciation, construction length, book life, and taxes.
2.1.1.3 Real Levelized Annual Charges and Real Levelized Fixed Charge Rates
The third type of fixed charge rate is real levelized fixed charge. It is the fraction of the booked
cost, expressed in constant dollar terms, that customers would have to pay annually over the
book life of a plant to cover capital revenue requirements. The real levelized annual charge and
fixed charge rate are calculated the same way as their nominal counterparts.
However, real levelized fixed charges have an important advantage over their nominal
counterparts: they do not reflect general inflation. The nominal levelized charge reflects
assumptions about future inflation. If a power contract is specified in nominal terms, there are
risks associated with expected inflation. If inflation is less than expected, the buyer will pay too
much and the seller will earn greater-than-anticipated profits. The opposite would be true if
inflation were greater than anticipated. On the other hand, if a contract is specified in real terms,
the risks to the buyer and seller can be avoided. The real levelized charge can be adjusted for
actual inflation over the term of the contract.
How are levelized fixed charge rates used? Generation alternatives are often compared on the
basis of levelized costs. With the appropriate levelized fixed charge rate, the booked cost of
alternatives can be converted to levelized annual cost terms. The EPRI financial model computes
levelized fixed charge rates, which can be used to evaluate generating and other utility
investment options.
2-3
3.00%
8.78%
(A/P, 8.78%, 30)
0.0954
86.05
$604.27
14.24%
3.00%
5.61%
(A/P, 5.61%, 30)
0.0696
62.80
$604.27
10.39%
Notes:
1. The present value is at the beginning of 2010 and results from the sum of the products of the annual present value
factors times the annual requirements.
2. The discount rate for real-dollar analysis has inflation factored out: 1.0878/1.03-1.
3. The levelized annual charges (end-of-year) result from the present value times the capital recovery (A/P, i, n) factor.
4. The levelized annual fixed charge rate results from the levelized annual charges divided by the booked cost.
5. The real levelized annual charge is an end-of-year payment expressed in beginning-of-year 2008 real dollars.
2-4
2.1.2 Example of Annual Fixed Charge Rates for a 200-MW Wind Power Plant
To illustrate how plant characteristics affect annual fixed charges, the 1999 TAG report presents
several examples, including transmission; distribution; and renewable, nuclear, combined-cycle
combustion turbine, simple-cycle combustion turbine, and fossil fuel generation. The examples
differ with respect to construction period, tax life, and book life.
Tables 2-3 and 2-4 address the example of a 200-MW wind power plant. The tables present the
capital cost of the plant, the construction period, book life, tax life, and, based on these data, the
annual, cumulative, and levelized fixed charges. The fixed charges in Table 2-3 are expressed in
nominal terms, whereas those in Table 2-4 are expressed in constant-dollar terms.
2.1.3 Other Capital ExpensesCapital Additions
Capital additions are investments in a plant after it is in service. Because they are treated as
capital investments, the above discussion of capital-related revenue requirements applies to
capital additions as well. The annual revenue requirements associated with specific capital
additions depend on relevant book and tax depreciation schedules. For many analyses, it is
sufficient to treat them as expenses, in which case customers are assumed to pay for them on an
as-you-go basis. For the same level of capital additions, expensing them yields a smaller present
value of revenue requirements than capitalizing them; capitalizing would include a tax
component whereas expensing would not.
2.1.4 Calculating Costs per Kilowatt-Hour
Calculating costs on a per-kilowatt-hour basis provides a relatively easy way to compare new
generating alternatives and their costs with those of one or more existing resources.
2.1.4.1 Levelized Costs per Kilowatt-Hour
Comparing costs on a levelized or a present-value-of-revenue-requirements basis is appropriate
under the following conditions:
When the benefits or revenues are the same between alternatives. For example, if the
revenues to a utility will be the same for alternatives that are all designed to produce
300 MWnet. Therefore, the most economical plant can be selected by minimizing the
present value of revenue requirements.
When alternatives have different benefits but the benefits remain the same for each year. For
example, a 300-MWnet plant can be compared with a 200-MWnet plant by comparing ratios of
levelized cost per kilowatt-hour (often referred to as levelized busbar costs).
Table 2-3
Wind power generationnominal dollar terms
Instantaneous Construction Cost ($/kW at midyear of first year of construction)
Total plant cost1
2,045
Allowance for funds used during construction
60
(AFUDC;interest during construction)
Capital Cost ($/kW at commercial operation date)
Total plant investment
2,105
Due diligence, permitting, legal, development
150
Total booked cost (total capital requirement)
2,255
2-5
1
5
30
6.00
8.78
5.61
3.00
Fixed Charges
End of Year
Annual
Cumulative
Present Value
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
0.1920
0.1788
0.1595
0.1467
0.1378
0.1289
0.1230
0.1201
0.1171
0.1142
0.1113
0.1083
0.1054
0.1024
0.0995
0.0965
0.0936
0.0906
0.0877
0.0847
0.0818
0.0788
0.0759
0.0729
0.0700
0.0671
0.0641
0.0612
0.0582
0.0553
0.1765
0.3277
0.4515
0.5563
0.6468
0.7246
0.7929
0.8541
0.9091
0.9583
1.0024
1.0419
1.0772
1.1087
1.1369
1.1620
1.1844
1.2043
1.2220
1.2378
1.2517
1.2641
1.2751
1.2848
1.2933
1.3008
1.3075
1.3133
1.3183
1.3228
Levelized3
0.1920
0.1857
0.1777
0.1709
0.1653
0.1605
0.1564
0.1530
0.1503
0.1479
0.1458
0.1439
0.1422
0.1406
0.1392
0.1379
0.1366
0.1355
0.1344
0.1334
0.1325
0.1316
0.1308
0.1300
0.1293
0.1286
0.1280
0.1273
0.1268
0.1262
Notes:
1. The total plant cost figure used in this illustrative example is likely low for end-of-2008 wind energy
installation costs.
2. The apparent escalation rate represents the total annual rate of change of capital costs during construction.
For this example, the inflation rate equals 3% and the real escalation rate equals 0%.
3. Levelized over the period from the first year through the current year. For example, the levelized fixed
charge rate for a 25-year book life is 0.0974; for a 30-year book life, it is 0.0921. Values where the book
life is less than the tax life should be considered as approximations only.
2-6
Levelized3
0.1920
0.1765
0.1864
0.1736
0.3277
0.1777
0.1503
0.4515
0.1677
0.1342
0.5563
0.1591
0.1224
0.6468
0.1519
0.1112
0.7246
0.1455
0.1030
0.7929
0.1401
0.0976
0.8541
0.1354
0.0925
0.9091
0.1314
10
0.0875
0.9583
0.1278
11
0.0828
1.0024
0.1246
12
0.0782
1.0419
0.1216
13
0.0739
1.0772
0.1189
14
0.0697
1.1087
0.1164
15
0.0658
1.1369
0.1141
16
0.0620
1.1620
0.1119
17
0.0583
1.1844
0.1099
18
0.0548
1.2043
0.1080
19
0.0515
1.2220
0.1062
20
0.0483
1.2378
0.1045
21
0.0453
1.2517
0.1029
22
0.0424
1.2641
0.1014
23
0.0396
1.2751
0.1000
24
0.0370
1.2848
0.0987
25
0.0344
1.2933
0.0974
26
0.0320
1.3008
0.0963
27
0.0297
1.3075
0.0951
28
0.0275
1.3133
0.0941
29
0.0254
1.3183
0.0931
30
0.0235
1.3228
0.0921
Notes:
1. The total plant cost figure used in above illustrative example is likely low for end-of-2008 wind energy
installation costs.
2-7
The apparent escalation rate represents the total annual rate of change of capital costs during construction.
For this example, the inflation rate equals 3% and the real escalation rate equals 0%.
Levelized over the period from the first year through the current year. For example, the levelized fixed
charge rate for a 25-year book life is 0.0974; for a 30-year book life, it is 0.0921. Values where the book
life is less than the tax life should be considered as approximations only.
Levelizing the annual cost of generation. The annual cost of generation can be calculated by
dividing the annual revenue requirement by the annual generation. Levelizing these rates
(calculating a present value of the ratios and multiplying the result by an A/P factor) may
lead to mathematical problems because it does not properly account for the amount of
generation in each year.
Dividing the present value of revenue requirements by the present value of kilowatt-hours.
This can result in erroneous results under certain mathematical conditions.
For the case in which annual generation varies, other analytical methods must be used. These
methods include purchasing replacement power so that the generation remains constant over the
years, applying more sophisticated approaches included in production cost models, or
performing a net present value (or profitability) analysis that discretely evaluates the variations
in revenue.
Merchant plants are generally characterized as those that have some commodity risk for
electricity sales (i.e., the sale of electricity is not fully committed to long-term power sales
agreements). However, most renewable energy power plants being built remain either utilityowned or, more commonly, privately-owned, with their output pre-sold to utilities at
contractually agreed-upon rates.
The following are key differences between utility and non-utility power producers:
Obligation to serve: Electric utilities have traditionally had an obligation to serve and to
provide reliable electricity service. However, the obligation to serve is becoming less clear as
the industry restructures the regulation of generating and distribution companies. Non-utility
power producers develop projects for their potential economic rewards and have the option to
sell their power on a wholesale basis to a utility, on a retail basis to a customer, or directly to
a power pool.
Rates/prices: Rates for utilities are usually set using the revenue requirements approach.
Non-utility power producers typically attempt to set prices as high as the market will allow.
Risks and benefits: Customers of electric utilities bear the risks associated with prudent
investments. Because customers, not utilities, bear the risk, utilities earn a lower return on
investments associated with a monopoly. Non-utility power producers, or utilities providing
generation in competitive power markets, bear the risks associated with their investments but
can mitigate them to the extent they can negotiate contracts for fuel purchases and energy
sales.
The following subsections focus on the economic evaluation of non-utility or independent power
projects. Subsection 2.2.1 provides a brief discussion of the various types of non-utility power
producer projects.
Subsection 2.2.2 describes the development of an economic pro forma for an example
merchant plant.
Subsection 2.2.3 summarizes a sensitivity analysis for the example merchant plant pro forma and
discusses the major risks associated with financing merchant plants.
Subsection 2.2.4 provides a statement of caution on the limitations of the examples that are
discussed.
2.2.1 Types of Non-Utility Generators
An understanding of the economic evaluation methods for non-utility projects requires an
understanding of the potential economic rewards. Non-utility projects can be classified into the
following types:
2-9
2-10
The economic incentive for QFs was further reduced by competition from exempt wholesale
generators, which resulted from the Energy Policy Act of 1992. Many long-term power purchase
agreements for qualifying facilities have turned out to be significantly more expensive than the
market price of power. There are efforts in some states to restructure or buy out these contracts.
2.2.1.2 Exempt Wholesale Generators
The Energy Policy Act of 1992 (EPAct92) created another group of non-utility facilities called
exempt wholesale generators (EWGs), which was unaffected by EPAct05. The major
characteristics of EWGs include the following:
Exemptions from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regulations under PUHCA
are allowed.
FERC is prohibited from ordering retail wheeling. However, states may choose to order retail
wheeling, which could further encourage the construction of non-utility generators.
EPAct92 also allowed EWGs to develop large central power stations that have economy-of-scale
advantages over smaller cogeneration plants. In addition, EPAct92 opened the way for states to
consider retail wheeling and the establishment of merchant power plants.
2.2.1.3 Merchant Power Plants
Merchant plants, which have arisen in the United States as electric wholesale competition has
taken hold in many regions, are generally characterized as those that have some commodity risk
for electricity sales (i.e., the sale of electricity is not fully committed to long-term power sales
agreements). The power will be sold either on a spot market basis to the power pool or under
contracts with varying terms to utilities. Pure merchant power more precisely refers to power
sales that are not covered by conventional long-term agreements. The term hybrid merchant
power refers to plants selling power under a combination of conventional power sales agreements
and spot market sales where the power is at risk for prevailing market conditions. For the purposes
of this report, the term merchant power plants will generally refer to plants in which a
substantial portion of the power sales (sometimes referred to as the offtake) is at risk.
Merchant power plants include existing, repowered, and greenfield units. Most currently
operating merchant plants are existing plants that have recently been sold by electric utilities.
These existing plants are either currently economical or represent a site that could be repowered
to be economical (e.g., by adding a new combustion turbine at an existing site).
2-11
Greenfield power plants are those that are built at a new site. A large number of greenfield
merchant power plants are being developed in areas where they will be able to produce power
less expensively than existing older generation or in areas where additional power will be
required to meet growing demand.
The economic analysis in this report centers on greenfield merchant power plants, but is broadly
applicable to repowering projects and to other non-utility power plants.
2.2.2 Development of an Economic Pro Forma for a Merchant Plant
The revenue requirements method (as discussed in Section 2.1) is generally not applicable to the
evaluation of non-utility projects. Although there is a variety of methods to evaluate non-utility
power projects, all methods depend on calculating cash flows. The cash flows represent all of the
revenues from the sale of electricity less the sum of all expenses, debt service, and income taxes.
The net cash flows represent cash available to equity holders. The major differences between the
two types of analyses are summarized below and followed by an example pro forma economic
analysis for a non-utility plant.
2.2.2.1 Differences Between Regulated Utility and Non-Utility Power Projects
2.2.2.1.1 Pricing
Regulated utilities are restricted in how they can set prices to recover the costs of investments.
Recovery of the total capital-related costs is determined using the revenue requirements approach
described in Section 5 of the 1999 EPRI TAG report [1]. In particular, the recovery of capitalrelated costs depends on return on equity, interest on debt, book depreciation, income taxes, and
property taxes and insurance. But taxes, in turn, depend on capital-related costs, interest on debt,
tax depreciation schedules, and income tax rates. Thus, capital-related revenues are determined
by the underlying costs.
Non-utility power producers have more flexibility. They are not bound to the revenue
requirements approach for determining how their costs will be recovered. Such flexibility is
necessary for non-utilities to respond to changes in market power prices. Whereas under the
revenue requirements approach, capital-related revenues decline over the life of a project, this
need not be the case for non-utility power projects. The prices of power for non-utility projects
can rise, fall, or remain constant over the contract period depending on the needs of the purchaser
and the internal requirements of the non-utility power producer.
2.2.2.1.2 Income Taxes and Depreciation
There are two types of depreciation for regulated utilities: book and tax (see Section 2.1). Under
the revenue requirements method, book depreciation is used to determine revenues, whereas tax
depreciation is used to calculate income taxes. For non-utility power producers, there is no such
distinction. Tax depreciation is calculated to reduce income taxes, which directly affect cash
flow. However, book depreciation (which may be needed for accounting purposes) does not
affect cash flow. Cash flow drives the economic viability of non-utility projects.
2-12
Revenue requirements reflect the cost of constructing a plant as well as the allowance for funds
used during construction (referred to as interest during construction for non-utility projects).
For non-utility power producers, only the debt portion of construction expenditures is typically
capitalized. The equity portion of the interest during construction is recovered in the net cash
flows and is not capitalized.
2.2.2.1.4 Debt Financing
Debt is a major source of financing for construction projects. Regulated utilities tend to borrow
against their corporate balance sheet. Corporate stability and borrowing capability become
important issues for utility financing.
Non-utilities finance projects through both corporate debt and project finance (as discussed later
in this section). Corporate debt is becoming more common as the industry consolidates to fewer
and larger companies through mergers and acquisitions. Nevertheless, there is a significant role
for limited recourse project finance.
2.2.2.1.5 Economic Methodology
Regulated utilities typically evaluate potential projects using the present worth of revenue
requirements methodology. Financial structure (debt and equity proportions) is implicitly
included in the analysis by using an after-tax discount rate.
Non-utilities typically evaluate potential projects using a discounted net cash flow analysis. For
project finance opportunities, specific financial parameters are included in the costs of the project.
The after-tax net cash flows are then discounted with the owners minimum acceptable rate of return.
2.2.3 Conceptualizing the Analysis
This section illustrates cash flow calculations using the example of a 200-MW merchant wind
plant. General parameters for the example are described, followed by a discussion of income and
cash flow statements. Economic results for evaluating the cash flows are also discussed.
In this 200-MW wind project example, the total plant cost is assumed to be $2,120/kW. This
represents a significant increase from the $1,000/kW used in the 2004 and earlier editions of the
RETG, and accounts for the recent cost increases for wind turbines and other components caused
by high demand and higher steel prices.
A merchant plant needs to sell its power at a price sufficient to cover fuel costs, O&M costs,
income and property taxes, debt service, working capital, and return on and recovery of the
equity investment. This price is usually calculated at the busbar of the plant (essentially at the
plant boundary on the high-voltage side of the transformer) and may be separated into capacity
and energy components. Some regions of the country have a shortfall of generating capacity and,
consequently, have both the capacity and energy components. Other markets have only an
energy component. These payments can be further complicated by various risk-hedging business
deals (from options to tolling agreements, which are not considered in this report) with power
marketers, gas companies, or utilities.
2-13
For this 200-MW wind plant example, we have assumed the following parameters and costs:
Time frames
The durations of project development and permitting can vary widely and are not
explicitly included here. Reasonable cost allowances for these activities are discussed
below.
Operation: intermittent.
The largest component of capital cost is usually engineering, procurement, and construction
(EPC), which are included in the term total plant cost (TPC). TPC includes detailed design,
equipment and materials procurement, and installation and construction costs. Typically, an EPC
contractor supplies these services. TPC costs generally range from 60% to 90% of the total
capital requirement, depending on development difficulty and financing costs.
Other costs that are usually included with the total capital requirement include the following:
Operating and maintenance mobilization (or startup costs): This example assumes one month
of operating labor and 0.5 months of full-capacity fuel consumption as approximate cost
allowances (no fuel is used by wind plant).
Spare parts. Spare parts costs can range widely depending on the maintenance philosophy
and remoteness for the plant. This example assumes approximately 2% of the EPC cost for
spare parts.
2-14
2009
2010
Total Capital
$1,000
$/kW
Proportion
of Total
Description
Units
SOURCES OF FUNDS
Equity
Debt
$1,000
$1,000
0
0
194,112
291,168
194,112
291,168
40.0%
60.0%
Total Project
$1,000
485,280
485,280
100.0%
USES OF FUNDS
Land
Total plant cost
Operating and maintenance mobilization
Spare parts
Subtotal Construction Cost
$1,000
$1,000
$1,000
$1,000
$1,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
409,000
137
8,180
417,317
0
409,000
137
8,180
417,317
0
2,045
1
41
2,087
0.0%
84.3%
0.0%
1.7%
86.0%
Owner's Cost
Financial fees
Interest during construction
Reserves
Subtotal Owner's and Financing
$1,000
$1,000
$1,000
$1,000
$1,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2,045
5,823
12,520
20,450
40,838
2,045
5,823
12,520
20,450
40,838
10
29
63
102
204
0.4%
1.2%
2.6%
4.2%
8.4%
Working capital
Contingency
$1,000
$1,000
0
0
0
0
6,260
20,866
6,260
20,866
31
104
1.3%
4.3%
$1,000
485,280
485,280
2,426
100.0%
Notes:
Construction escalation =
Construction interest =
2-15
Merchant plants can be financed either as a limited recourse project or through general corporate
debt. Limited recourse project financing refers to projects that are dependent on the specific cash
flows of the project as defined in the project agreements. Qualifying facilities and exempt
wholesale generators were commonly financed on a limited recourse project finance basis. Some
merchant plant projects are also being financed on a limited recourse project basis. However,
there is a trend for financing merchant plant projects with corporate debt (as discussed later in
this section of the report). For this example, debt is assumed to be financed with limited recourse
project financing. Assumed financing costs and parameters for a project-financed transaction
include the following:
Construction loan:
100% debt: Frequently, construction loans may require equity on a pro rata basis with the
construction costs. However, a 100% debt construction loan is assumed to keep this
example conceptually simple.
Debt service reserve fund of approximately six months of debt service. The lending
institution may require that a debt reserve fund be included in the capital cost of a project.
The fund is set up to pay the debt service for the term loan if unexpected conditions
adversely affect the project revenues.
Term loan:
Development costs include a variety of costs that a non-utility generating company incurs
to develop a project. Examples include security deposits, permitting (including construction
permits and environmental permits), owners engineering and general and administrative costs,
development fees, legal fees, and easements and rights-of-way. These costs can vary widely
depending on the complexity of the site, the financing, and the terms of contracts with the EPC
contractor and equipment suppliers. For this example (Table 2-5), an approximate cost allowance
of 5% of the TPC price was assumed for total development costs.
2.2.3.1.4 Other Costs
A variety of other costs are frequently included in the total capital requirement, including the
following:
Working capital, which includes requirements for cash and inventories, and for this example
is assumed to equal one month of account receivables
2-16
2-17
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
3 Revenues
4
Capacity Payments
Energy Payments
53,425
54,761
56,130
57,533
58,971
60,446
61,957
63,506
65,093
66,721
68,389
70,098
71,851
73,647
75,488
77,375
79,310
81,293
83,325
85,408
13,199
13,529
13,867
14,214
14,569
14,934
15,307
15,690
16,082
16,484
66,624
68,290
69,997
71,747
73,541
75,379
77,264
79,195
81,175
83,204
68,389
70,098
71,851
73,647
75,488
77,375
79,310
81,293
83,325
85,408
8.7
8.9
9.2
9.4
9.6
9.9
10.1
10.4
10.6
10.9
11.2
11.4
11.7
12.0
12.3
12.6
12.9
13.3
13.6
13.9
Total Revenues
9
10 Fuel Costs
11
12
490
13
Total
14
15 Variable Operating Expenses
16
307
314
322
330
338
347
356
364
374
383
392
402
412
423
433
444
455
467
478
17
18
Other
19
Land Laease
1,603
1,643
1,684
1,726
1,769
1,813
1,859
1,905
1,953
2,002
2,052
2,103
2,156
2,209
2,265
2,321
2,379
2,439
2,500
2,562
1,909
1,957
2,006
2,056
2,108
2,160
2,214
2,270
2,326
2,385
2,444
2,505
2,568
2,632
2,698
2,765
2,834
2,905
2,978
3,052
1,164
20
Total
21
22 Fixed Operating Expenses
23
Operating labor
728
746
765
784
804
824
844
865
887
909
932
955
979
1,004
1,029
1,054
1,081
1,108
1,135
24
146
149
153
157
161
165
169
173
177
182
186
191
196
201
206
211
216
222
227
233
25
3,400
3,485
2,858
3,002
3,154
3,314
3,482
3,658
3,843
4,038
4,242
4,457
4,683
4,920
5,169
5,430
5,705
5,994
6,298
6,616
26
Insurance
1,456
1,492
1,530
1,568
1,607
1,647
1,688
1,731
1,774
1,818
1,864
1,910
1,958
2,007
2,057
2,108
2,161
2,215
2,271
2,327
27
Property Taxes
971
995
1,020
1,045
1,071
1,098
1,126
1,154
1,183
1,212
1,242
1,273
1,305
1,338
1,371
1,406
1,441
1,477
1,514
1,552
28
Other
6,700
6,868
6,325
6,556
6,797
7,048
7,309
7,581
7,864
8,159
8,467
8,787
9,121
9,469
9,832
10,210
10,604
11,016
11,445
11,892
8,609
8,825
8,331
8,612
8,905
9,208
9,523
9,850
10,190
10,544
10,911
11,292
11,689
12,101
12,529
12,975
13,439
13,921
14,422
14,944
58,015
59,465
61,666
63,135
64,636
66,171
67,741
69,345
70,985
72,661
57,478
58,806
60,162
61,546
62,959
64,400
65,871
67,372
68,902
70,464
29
Total
30
31 Total Operating Expense
32 Earnings Before Interest, Taxes,
33
34
35 Pro Forma Income Tax Calculations
36
Tax Depreciation
Interest Paid
39
81,800
130,880
78,528
47,117
47,117
23,558
(23,785)
(71,415)
(16,862)
16,018
17,519
42,613
67,741
69,345
70,985
72,661
57,478
58,806
60,162
61,546
62,959
64,400
65,871
67,372
68,902
70,464
23,293
21,686
19,949
18,073
16,048
13,860
11,498
8,946
6,190
3,214
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
250
40
41 Net Operating Loss
42 Taxable Earnings
43
State/Local Tax
44
Federal Tax
0
(46,829)
0
(92,850)
0
(36,561)
0
(1,806)
1,721
29,002
56,493
60,649
65,044
69,697
57,478
58,806
60,162
61,546
62,959
64,400
65,871
67,372
68,902
70,464
(2,341)
(4,643)
(1,828)
(90)
86
1,450
2,825
3,032
3,252
3,485
2,874
2,940
3,008
3,077
3,148
3,220
3,294
3,369
3,445
3,523
(15,571)
(30,873)
(12,156)
(600)
572
9,643
18,784
20,166
21,627
23,174
19,111
19,553
20,004
20,464
20,934
21,413
21,902
22,401
22,910
23,429
(17,912)
(35,515)
(13,984)
(691)
658
11,093
21,608
23,198
24,879
26,659
21,985
22,493
23,012
23,541
24,082
24,633
25,196
25,770
26,355
26,952
(28,917)
(57,335)
(22,576)
(1,115)
1,063
17,909
34,884
37,451
40,165
43,038
35,493
36,313
37,150
38,005
38,877
39,767
40,675
41,602
42,547
43,511
46
47 Net Earnings after Taxes
2-18
2.2.3.3.1 Revenues
Forecasting revenues over the service life of a merchant power plant is one of the most critical
aspects of the economic analysis. Revenues for a utility generator are set by the revenue
requirements method and approved by a state commission. However, there is no guarantee of
revenues with a merchant plant because the price of power is set by the electricity markets.
Section 2 of the 1999 EPRI TAG report [1] provides additional information.
A forecast of market prices for a deregulated power market varies with time of day and time of
year, as shown for a historical time period in Figure 2-1. Detailed forecasting of the market price
for power typically requires the following steps:
Project the cost of fuel for the generating units in the region.
Project the dispatch order of units that will comprise the market.
Develop a price duration curve for each year of the service life.
Figure 2-1
Day-ahead prices for the California Power Exchange
2-19
In an annual market price duration curve, data are arranged to show the fraction of a year that the
market price is at or above a given level. An example of a price duration curve for 1998 is shown
in Figure 2-2. For the California Power Exchange, the price was greater than or equal to
approximately $29/MWh for 20% of the year. The integrated price duration curve shows the
cumulative average for any given portion of a year. For example, a market utilization of 20% of
the year would have resulted in an average price of $45/MWh. The average for the entire year
was $24.4/MWh.
This information (appropriately adjusted for transmission costs) can then be used in the
calculation of revenues for the merchant plant.
Figure 2-2
Example price duration curve
For the example (not related to the California Power Exchange data), the revenue assumptions
include the following:
For simplicity, only an energy component is assumed for the price of electricity (see line 8 of
Table 2-6). The energy component is based on average power sales and assumed to be
approximately 8.5 cents/kWh in January 2010, escalating at 2.5% per year. For some
projects, there would also be a capacity component (line 7 of Table 2-6) of revenues.
In addition, it is assumed that the 200-MW wind plant qualifies for the 10-year Federal
Production Tax Credit, which was increased to 2.1 cents/kWh by the Emergency Economic
Stabilization Act of 2008 and is assumed to escalate at 2.5%/yr for 10 years.
2-20
Operating and maintenance costs need to be projected for each year of the service life. For this
example, the operating cost assumptions (included in lines 15 through 31 of Table 2-6) include
the following:
Average annual net plant heat rate (lower heating value): N/A for wind plant.
Labor: five employees at an average fully burdened wage rate of $35/hour (at Jan. 1, 2011).
Income statements often include a book depreciation component for the calculation of book
income. However, this income statement calculates earnings before interest, taxes,
depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) to focus on the calculation of net cash flows (see
the next subsection).
All of the depreciable capital investment qualifies for 20-year MACRS tax depreciation
(line 36, Table 2-6) (for simplicity)
Interest paid on the debt service is tax deductible (Line 38, Table 2-6)
Interest received from the debt service reserve increases the taxable earnings (line 39,
Table 2-6)
Marginal federal income tax rate of 35% (line 44, Table 2-6)
This example assumes that the project structure includes a single-purpose corporation. It is
important to note that some projects are structured as partnerships. Although partnerships are
not taxed directly under federal and most state laws, a tax computation is needed so that
investors can compute their individual cash return from the project and also to compare it
with other opportunities. In this case, the tax information needed by the partners is computed,
but tax payments are excluded from the projects cash flow forecast.
2-21
Less debt service (principal and interest payments for the loan)
Less any new contributions to reserves (sometimes additional reserves may be required)
Plus return of the reserves at the end of the debt service term (the reserve fund is returned if it
has never been drawn down)
The net cash flows represent the cash flows associated with the equity investor (owner of the
project). During the construction period, the cash flows are negative. Throughout the service life
of the plant, the net cash flows are initially negative and become positive in the out years.
The net present value (line 31, Table 2-7) and the internal rate of return (IRR on line 32,
Table 2-7) are economic measures of the project that reflect the present worth of profit over the
service life and the profitability of the project, respectively. The cumulative IRR reflects the IRR
for the relevant service life. For example, the IRR for a 20-year project life is projected to be
12.8%, whereas the IRR for the first 19 years of net cash flows is projected to be 12.2%. The
meaning of these measures is discussed in the following section.
Figure 2-3 shows the variation of the components of busbar electricity sales price versus year.
The fixed costs represent income taxes, debt service, and working capital. The fixed costs
decline when the debt service for the loan ends (a 10-year loan in this example). The O&M
component represents the fixed and variable operating and maintenance component. The net cash
flow represents the capital recovery for the equity investor.
2-22
1
2
-2
-1
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
58,015
59,465
61,666
63,135
64,636
66,171
67,741
69,345
70,985
72,661
57,478
58,806
60,162
61,546
62,959
64,400
65,871
67,372
68,902
70,464
658
11,093
21,608
23,198
24,879
26,659
21,985
22,493
23,012
23,541
24,082
24,633
25,196
25,770
26,355
26,952
4
5 EBITDA
6
7
Taxes Paid
(691)
75,927
94,980
75,651
63,825
63,978
55,078
46,132
46,147
46,105
46,002
35,493
36,313
37,150
38,005
38,877
39,767
40,675
41,602
42,547
43,511
43,393
43,393
43,393
43,393
43,393
43,393
43,393
43,393
43,393
43,393
1,023
1,023
1,023
1,023
1,023
1,023
1,023
1,023
1,023
1,023
10
11
Debt Service
12
Interest Received
13
Contribution to Reseserves
14
15
16 Additions to Working Capital
17
Accounts Receivable
182
187
191
196
201
206
211
216
222
200
205
210
216
221
227
232
238
18
Fuel Stocks
(1,082)
0
19
Spare Parts
205
210
215
220
226
231
237
243
249
255
262
268
275
282
289
296
304
311
15,645
16,709
18,900
20,358
21,850
23,374
24,933
26,526
(9,763)
0
(12,758)
20
21 Capitalized Refurbishments
22
23 Contributed Capital
194,112
0 (194,112)
28,155
29,820
58,304
58,344
59,688
61,061
62,461
63,890
65,348
66,836
68,353
92,985
2,338
32,158
90,462
148,806
208,494
269,555
332,016
395,906
461,255
528,090
596,443
689,428
0 (194,112)
3,276
0 (194,112) (160,555) (108,332) (75,447) (54,398) (33,207) (20,926) (17,601) (14,273) (10,998)
24
25 Net Cash Flow Before Tax
26
Cumulative
27
28 Net Cash Flow After Tax
29
Cumulative
33,557
52,224
32,884
21,049
21,191
12,281
3,325
3,328
3,161
36,319
35,851
36,676
37,519
38,379
39,257
40,153
41,066
41,998
66,032
(7,837)
28,482
64,333
101,009
138,528
176,908
216,165
256,317
297,384
339,381
405,414
-1.2%
3.2%
5.7%
7.5%
8.8%
9.8%
10.6%
11.3%
11.8%
12.2%
12.8%
30
66,512
-38.8%
-21.2%
-13.0%
-6.7%
-3.8%
-3.1%
-2.4%
-1.8%
33
34 Coverage Ratios (before tax)
Minimum Average
35
1.34
1.51
1.34
1.37
1.42
1.45
1.49
1.52
1.56
1.60
1.64
1.67
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
36
1.67
1.93
1.81
1.84
1.89
1.93
1.96
2.00
2.03
2.07
2.11
1.67
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
37
38 Reserves
39
Contribution to Reserves
20,450
40
Reserve Balance
20,450
20,450
20,450
20,450
20,450
20,450
20,450
20,450
20,450
41
Disbursement of Reserves
42
20,450
78,465
79,915
82,116
83,585
85,086
86,621
88,191
89,795
91,435
72,661
7,282
7,464
7,651
7,842
8,038
8,239
8,445
8,656
8,873
9,095
8,013
8,213
8,419
8,629
8,845
9,066
9,293
9,525
9,763
10,007
8,385
8,594
8,809
9,029
9,255
9,486
9,723
9,967
10,216
10,471
10,733
11,001
11,276
11,558
11,847
12,143
12,447
12,758
13,077
43
44 Working Capital Balances
45
Accounts Receivable
46
Fuel Stocks
47
Spare Parts
0
8,180
2-23
200
150
100
Federal PTC
Net Cash Flow
Fixed Costs
50
O&M
Land Lease
Fuel
(50)
2030
2029
2028
2027
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
(100)
Figure 2-3
Components of busbar cost for example 200-MW wind generation plant
The busbar cost is the unit cost of generating one unit of electricity (e.g., 1 MWh), and is equal
to the total annual costs minus credits received, divided by the total annual electricity generation.
For the 200-MW wind plant example, the cost components include fixed and variable O&M cost,
other fixed costs including income taxes and debt service, and other net cash flow. The credit is
the 10-year federal production tax credit (PTC), which is assumed to be 2.1 cents/kWh in 2009,
escalates at 2.5%/yr for 10 years, and is zero after 10 years. Figure 2-3 illustrates how the various
cost components and the PTC vary over the 20-year operating period of the wind plant. The 10year PTC is shown as a negative contribution to the busbar cost during the first 10 years of
operation, after which it is eliminated. The fixed cost component decreases after 10 years
because the 10-year loan has been retired and the debt service component of fixed cost is
eliminated. The average annual busbar cost increases from 8.7 cents/kWh in 2009 to
13.9 cents/kWh in 2028.
2-24
The NPV represents the present value (or present worth) of profit using the time value of money
principles described in Section 3 of the 1999 EPRI TAG report [1]. This calculation results from
discounting the net cash flows at the minimum acceptable rate of return for an equity investor.
The method is also referred to as the discounted cash flow method.
The net present value must be defined at a certain point in time. Frequently, the NPV is
calculated at the commercial operation date. In this case, the total capital requirement (at the
commercial operation date) is subtracted from the net cash flows that are discounted or brought
back to the same date. For the example provided, the total capital requirement is considered at
the commercial operation date, since the construction loan is based on 100% of the capital
investment and the interest during construction essentially includes the future worth of the
construction expenditures at the commercial operation date.
The NPV may also be calculated at the beginning of the construction time period if equity is
required to fund construction (as opposed to a 100% construction loan). In any event, the NPV
can be calculated at the point in time that makes the most sense for the evaluation.
In addition to determining the present value of cash flows for potential projects, the discounted
cash flow method can be used in other ways as well. Up to this point, revenues from the project
were assumed to be known. With an assumed rate of return, the discounted cash flow approach
can then be used to compute the annual revenues, or rate structure, necessary to make the project
a viable one. Essentially, this is what is done in the revenue requirements method.
Another application would be to use the discounted cash flow method to negotiate with a
potential project constructor. If all the other variables are known (or estimated), the discounted
cash flow approach could be used to compute the initial cash outlay that would make the project
feasible. Alternatively, the discounted cash flow method can be used to project values for
liquidated damages if a contractor fails to meet specific targets on plant performance or capacity.
Other types of studies can include an assessment of capital/energy tradeoffs, such as an
evaluation of the potential benefits from spending capital dollars to reduce heat rate. In many of
the previously discussed cases, solutions are found using trial-and-error algorithms, and
spreadsheets can find solutions for even complex problems very quickly.
Finally, a contract may cover a period that does not extend over the entire economic life of a
project. There is, however, value to the project for the period beyond the life of the contract,
which is referred to as its terminal value. Additionally, there may be a salvage value or a
dismantling and decommissioning cost at the end of the service life. Analysts often omit these
values or costs because they are subject to uncertainty since they occur far in the future, have
relatively little impact on the results, are hard to estimate, and make the analysis slightly more
conservative. However, there may be some cases in which it is appropriate to include the
terminal value in calculating discounted cash flows.
2.2.3.6.3 Internal Rate of Return
The IRR addresses the profitability of a project. Mathematically, the IRR is defined as the
discount rate that sets the present worth of the net cash flows over the service life equal to the
equity investment at the commercial operating date.
2-25
An IRR of 20% does not necessarily mean that net cash flows will represent 20% of the equity
investment for each and every year of service life. However, an IRR of 20% does mean that the
equity investor will earn the equivalent of 20% of the outstanding equity balance each year. That
balance will be reduced in some fashion over the life of the plant.
Many companies have a minimum acceptable rate of return that must be met before a potential
project is seriously considered. This minimum acceptable return is known as the hurdle rate,
which can be used to screen potential projects based on their internal rates of return. In the
example above, the project would be viable if its 20% internal rate of return is greater than the
hurdle rate.
There are several caveats to be aware of when calculating the IRR:
The solution is based on solving an nth-degree polynomial that may have multiple real,
positive roots. More than one change in the sign of the coefficients of the net cash flows is an
indication of possible multiple roots. The net cash flow line in the example in Table 2-7 has
only one real positive root due to only one change in sign of the coefficients (negative net
cash flow at the commercial operating date changing to positive net cash flows for the
service life). A standard engineering economics textbook should be consulted for situations
where multiple roots are suspected.
Changes in the IRR are not scalar, and a small change in the cash flows can have a large
effect on the IRR.
Comparing IRR values may be misleading. Although the internal rate of return allows
investors to rank options based on their potential rate of return, it does not take into account a
projects size. For example, it does not allow an analyst to compare a $1 million project with
a 25% internal rate of return with a $10 million alternative having a 20% internal rate of
return. An incremental analysis may be required. Again, a standard engineering economics
textbook should be consulted for these situations.
The payback period represents how long it will take the net cash flows to recover the capital
investment (i.e., how many years for the cumulative net cash flows to become positive). There
are two versions of the payback period measure:
The simple payback period typically represents the number of years for the net cash flows to
pay back the capital investment. The calculation requires summing the net cash flows for the
preceding years. The time value of money is not considered in the calculation.
The discounted payback period represents the number of years for the present worth of net
cash flows to recover the capital investment. The time value of money is considered in the
calculation.
The discounted payback period is the preferred measure since it provides a proper economic
signal for the importance of the net cash flows. The simple payback period can be misleading
since cash flows in future years have the same apparent value as cash flows in the current year.
2-26
The payback period is a measure of secondary economic importance since it does not consider
all of the net cash flows over the life cycle of a project. Significant cash flows after the payback
period are not included in the measure number. Nevertheless, the payback period remains a
popular indicator of the risk level of the project.
2.2.3.6.5 Debt Coverage Ratios
For projects that are debt financed, debt coverage ratios address the level of risk for the project
from the perspective of the lending institution. The debt coverage ratio is calculated as the
EBITDA divided by the annual debt service. EBITDA represents the revenues minus expenses
(not including book depreciation) on a before-income-tax basis. The debt service represents the
principal and interest payments to service the loan. The ratio is designed to address the ability of
the projects cash flows to service the debt; the higher the ratio, the lower the level of risk for the
project.
The minimum debt coverage ratio should always be greater than 1.0. Depending on the risk of
the project, banks may require that the minimum never go below a certain threshold, such as 1.3
or 1.5.
Lending institutions also calculate the average debt coverage ratio over the life of the loan. This
measure reflects the ability to service the loan over its term. Depending on the level of risk, the
lending institution may require that the average over the life of the loan never drop below a
certain threshold, such as 1.7 or 2.0.
2.2.3.7 Sensitivity Analysis
Sensitivity analysis is important for understanding the key drivers for the economic pro forma.
An economic analysis typically begins with specifying a base case as defined in the previous
example. Sensitivity analysis is based on re-evaluating the economic analysis by changing input
parameters by reasonable amounts. The analyst can then study the results to determine the key
drivers in the pro forma model. An analyst can also determine what reasonable variations in
input parameters may cause the project to miss its financial goals.
Table 2-8 presents a sensitivity analysis for the previous example. The effects of reasonable
variations in key input parameters on key economic results are shown. For example, a 20%
decrease in the TPC would cause the IRR to increase from 12.8% for the base case to 18.8% (the
pro forma assumes that certain development costs are based on the TPC costthese would
decrease accordingly). Debt coverage ratios and payback periods would improve accordingly.
2-27
Input Data
Parameter
CAPITAL COST
Total Plant Cost
% Change
After Tax
Value
Case
IRR1
Senior Debt
Coverage Ratios3
% vs. Base Minimum Average
Simple
Payback
Period
Discounted
Payback
Period
(years)
(years)
490,800
8.6%
1,917
4%
1.10
1.25
13
20
Base
409,000
12.8%
66,512
122%
1.34
1.51
11
14
-20%
327,200
18.8%
131,108
240%
1.69
1.90
40%
11.1%
53,097
97%
2.01
2.27
15
Base
60%
12.8%
66,512
122%
1.34
1.51
11
14
80%
16.8%
80,037
146%
1.00
1.13
12
13
20
FINANCING
Debt Proportion
Loan Term
Years
Base
Interest Rate
9.3%
12,690
23%
1.15
1.29
13
10
12.8%
66,512
122%
1.34
1.51
11
14
12
15.4%
103,401
189%
1.50
1.69
11
6.0%
13.8%
81,166
148%
1.47
1.65
13
8.0%
12.8%
66,512
122%
1.34
1.51
11
14
10.0%
11.7%
51,172
94%
1.22
1.38
11
16
11
Rate
Base
REVENUES
cents/kWh, January 1, 2010
Power Revenue
20%
10.2
10
17.1%
138,989
254%
1.58
1.77
Base
8.5
12.8%
66,512
122%
1.34
1.51
11
14
-20%
6.8
11
8.1%
(5,964)
-11%
1.10
1.24
13
>20
40%
12
16.5%
126,394
231%
1.55
1.75
11
Base
35%
12.8%
66,512
122%
1.34
1.51
11
14
30%
13
8.9%
6,631
12%
1.12
1.27
13
20
12
Capacity Factor
Federal Production
Tax Credit
Base
3.0
14
14.6%
91,769
168%
1.47
1.65
2.1
11.9%
54,667
100%
1.29
1.45
11
15
0.0
15
8.9%
7,580
14%
1.03
1.17
13
20
Notes
1. Internal rate of return on discounted net cash flow after tax.
2. Discount rate is 8.5%.
3. Senior debt coverage ratios are based on operating income (before tax, not including reserves) divided by debt service.
As can be seen from the table, the key drivers in the analysis are the power sales revenue,
capacity factor, federal PTC, and total plant cost. A 20% decrease in electricity revenues would
cause the IRR to decrease from 12.8% to 8.1%, and the debt coverage ratios to be low and
possibly unacceptable depending on the goals of the project.
The sensitivity analysis provides a basis for beginning the probabilistic risk analysis that is
described in Sections 8 and 9 of the 1999 EPRI TAG report [1].
2-28
Properly structured project ownership. An appropriate legal structure and experienced and
well-managed sponsors are fundamental requirements. Experienced contractors are required
for engineering, procurement and construction.
The proportion of the plants output that will be under contract. It is expected that this
percentage will vary widely between developers with different risk strategies. A sound
security package in terms of the project agreements will secure the appropriate cash flows
with a low degree of volatility.
The competitiveness of a project in its region. The project will have to be one of the lowestcost producers. However, being one of the lowest-cost producers in a commodity-driven
market has several implications:
Maximizing the capacity factor will become relatively less important than maximizing
the profitability of the plant production.
The economics of a project may be driven by capacity payments in some areas of the
country, while in other regions they will be driven by energy payments.
Different plant types will occupy a niche based on the time of day or season of the year.
For example, some natural gas combined-cycle units may be most profitable in the
shoulder or intermediate peaking times of day. Simple-cycle natural-gas-fired plants
and pumped storage plants are typically most economical for the time of day and season
of the year when power is at peak demand. The economic viability of run-of-river hydro
plants will depend on the hydrologically wet seasons.
2-29
The ability of the project cash flows to cover the risks of power sales. Many projects will
have structural enhancements that take the following forms:
Methods to shift risk, such as subordinating fuel expenses to debt service payments, or to
utilize a tolling agreement for fuel supply and power output
Methods to share risk, such as higher equity investments, limited parent guarantees, or
subordinated debt provided by vendors and/or EPC contractors
Methods to account for the timing of risks, such as cash sweeps, reserve accounts and
commodity swaps, and remarketing of unused fuel.
Achieving an investment-grade rating for limited recourse project financing is difficult when
power sales are subject to commodity risk. The volatility of commodity prices leads to risk that
the plant may not be able to meet its financial goals. Consequently, lenders will require that
projects have a greater equity proportion of financing to absorb the volatility risk (i.e., the risk
that the cash flows will be insufficient to pay the debt service).
A typical merchant plant project that is project financed can be characterized as follows:
Equity proportion of the capital structure of 30% to 50% depending on the risk of the project.
Average annual debt coverage ratios of at least 1.75 to 2.0 (probably closer to 2.0).
Relatively higher debt reserves than were required for qualifying facilities because of the
seasonality of electricity pricing. (Debt reserves of 6 to 12 months of debt service payments
may be required, depending on the level of risk. Debt service reserves can take the form of
cash that is financed, letters of credit, or other financial commitments.)
Other financial structural enhancements such as subordinated debt, limited parent guarantees
and commodity swaps.
An internal rate of return on after tax equity that is typically at least 15%.
As more equity is required for limited recourse project financing, the financing complexity and
costs increase. Essentially, a premium is paid for limited recourse debt even though the higher
levels of equity are designed to absorb the risk of volatility in the cash flows. Consequently,
large firms with healthy balance sheets and diversified assets may have an advantage in
financing merchant power plants through general corporate debt. Corporate debt allows a
company to avoid burdensome contractual arrangements and project security arrangements that
are required for project financing and, in some cases, allows the company to tolerate more
commodity-based risk.
2-30
The advantage of financing with corporate debt is one of the factors driving the industry to
consolidate into larger companies. Large balance sheets (sometimes formed as a result of
mergers and acquisitions) allow for financing through corporate debt. Large companies with
diversified portfolios of power plant assets can also balance downside risks that occur in one
regional market with upside risks that occur in another. Financing with corporate debt may
provide funding that is more flexible, has shorter lead-time, and often has reduced costs.
In conclusion, the financing of merchant power plants is evolving along several parallel paths. A
framework for limited recourse project financing is developing in the financial community that
requires significant proportions of equity investment. Additionally, there is an increasing trend
for financing with corporate debt as the industry consolidates to larger firms.
2.2.4 Limitations of Examples
This section has outlined methods for evaluating power projects developed by non-utility
producers and provided comparisons to evaluations for utility projects. Many simplifying
assumptions have been applied that may not be appropriate for an actual project. The appropriate
method for any entity to use in making economic decisions depends on many factors including
its strengths and weaknesses, its strategic aim, its competitors, and the economic and legal
environment. In addition, as competition increases, industry participants will assess their
missions and their risk profiles, and the distinctions between regulated and non-utility entities
can be expected to blur.
Key Word
Description
Actual
Detailed
Preliminary
Simplified
Goal
Note:
1.
If complete design and cost-estimating methods and assumptions are not available, the rating is reduced by
one unit.
2-31
A
Mature
B
Commercial
C
Demo
D
Pilot
E&F
Lab & Idea
5 to + 5
10 to + 10
15 to + 20
C. Preliminary
10 to + 10
15 to +15
20 to +20
25 to +30
30 to +60
D. Simplified
15 to + 15
20 to +20
25 to +30
30 to +30
30 to +80
30 to + 70
30 to +80
30 to +100
30 to +200
A. Actual
B. Detailed
E. Goal
Note:
1.
This table indicates the overall accuracy of cost estimates. Accuracy is a function of the level of costestimating effort and the degree of technical development of the technology. The same ranges apply to
O&M costs.
Project and process contingency: Project contingency is a capital cost contingency factor
covering the cost of additional equipment or other costs that are not apparent in the preliminary
design and that would result from a more detailed design of a definitive project. Process
contingency is a capital cost contingency factor applied to a new technology in an effort to
quantify the uncertainty in the technical performance and cost of the commercial-scale
equipment.
Total plant cost (TPC): Total of all direct and indirect construction costs at a single point in time,
excluding the time value of money (interest, etc.) during the construction period. Capital cost
estimates expressed at a single point in time are often referred to as instantaneous or overnight
construction costs.
Total cash expended (TCE): Amount of money that would have been spent for all labor,
materials, and indirect costs at the time the unit goes into service. TCE is expressed in mixedyear dollars accumulated over the construction period.
Allowance for funds used during construction (AFUDC): Interest paid on the cash expended
during the construction period. This interest is accumulated and compounded until the plant goes
into service.
Total plant investment (TPI): Sum of TCE and AFUDC. TPI is expressed in mixed-year dollars
accumulated at the same point in time as total plant cost. For cases where the expenditure rate is
uniform, TPI, TCE, and AFUDC can be calculated by multiplying total plant cost (TPC) by the
appropriate adjustment factor (AF) shown in Table 2-11. That is:
TPI = TPC AF (TPI)
TCE = TPC AF (TCE)
AFUDC = TPC AF (AFUDC)
Table 2-11
TPC-TPI adjustment factors
Adjustment Factors (AF)1
Idealized
Construction
Time (Years)
AF (TPI)
AF (TCE)
AF (AFUDC)
1.0
1.0
1.025
0.980
0.045
1.050
0.961
0.089
1.076
0.942
0.134
1.103
0.924
0.179
1.131
0.906
0.225
1.160
0.889
0.271
1.189
0.872
0.317
Note:
1. Based on 4.1% cost escalation and 9.2% AFUDC interest rate.
2-33
Owner costs: This includes prepaid royalties, startup costs, inventory capital, catalysts and
chemicals, and land.
Total capital requirement: All capital costs that would go into the rate base on a hypothetical inservice date. Since the technology may not be available until a much later point in time, the total
capital requirement should be multiplied by the appropriate cost escalation factor for a future inservice date.
Total capital replacement: Capital cost that would be incurred by employing a particular
technology; the total capital cost over the lifetime of the unit. This represents major replacement
or refurbishing of equipment such as replacement of blades in a combustion turbine.
Operation and maintenance (O&M) costs: Costs are expressed at the same point in time as the
total capital requirement and represent the costs for a normal year of operation. The extra costs
associated with plant startup in the first year are included in the total capital requirement.
Incremental costs are broken down into variable and consumable components. Consumables are
computed directly from the plant material balance. The variable component primarily represents
variable maintenance and is estimated from an algorithm incorporating the units expected
capacity factor.
Unit availability: Fraction of time a generating unit is able to supply power at various capacity
levels. Estimates are based on mature plants and are likely to be significantly more optimistic
than the initial experience with first-of-a-kind plants.
Minimum load: Estimate of the minimum load from which the unit could be ramped up to full
load in a reasonable time (one hour or less).
Pre-construction, licensing, and design time: Time periods for pre-construction activities depend
on local regulations and conditions. The time period is intended to be a reasonable
approximation, but actual times may range from one-half to two times the estimated time.
Idealized plant construction time: The idealized construction time is intended to represent the
minimum construction time required to build a plant under ideal conditions. Actual construction
times will likely be somewhat longer due to weather, regulatory problems, labor strikes, etc.
Unit life: Estimate of the book life of the plant. Maintenance costs include sufficient funds to
replace minor equipment that wears out before the unit life shown.
Technology development rating and design/cost estimate rating: Rating systems designed to
indicate the quality of the information used to develop the data.
2.4 References
1. TAG Technical Assessment Guide, Volume 3, Rev. 8: Fundamentals and Methods
Electricity Supply. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 1999. TR-100281-V3R8.
2. Wind Power Technology Status and Performance and Cost Estimates2009. EPRI, Palo
Alto, CA: 2009. 1020362.
3. Technical Assessment Guide, Electricity Supply1993, Volume 1, Rev. 7. EPRI, Palo Alto,
CA: 1993. TR-102275-V1R7.
2-34
4. U.S. DOE Energy Information Administration, Cost and Quality of Fuels for Electric Utility
Plants 1994, July 1995, pp. 15, 27.
5. U.S. DOE Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 1996, January 1996,
p. 79.
6. U.S. DOE Energy Information Administration website, Status of State Electric Industry
Restructuring Activity, http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/chg_str/regmap.html, July
2003.
2-35
WIND POWER
3.1 Introduction
Wind is generated by small regional differences in atmospheric pressure caused by solar heating
of the Earths surface, radiation cooling at night, the passage of air over warm or cold ocean
water, the passage of fronts and storms, and other complex meteorological phenomena. Since the
dawn of civilization, people have relied on the wind to propel sailing vessels and power graingrinding mills, saw mills, water pumps, electric generators, and other devices.
In recent years, the modern wind turbine has been developed and commercialized for electricity
generation, principally in Europe and the United States. Wind is now one of the fastest-growing
forms of electricity generation in the world. During 2011 alone, more than 41,000 MW of new
wind capacity was installed worldwide. As of August 2012, the installed wind generation
capacity was 50,000 MW in the United States and approximately 250,000 MW worldwide
(Table 3-1).
This section of the RETG addresses worldwide historical and projected installed wind generation
capacity, wind turbine technology, likely development pathways, wind turbine performance and
project cost estimates, O&M labor requirements, grid integration, onshore and offshore project
development process and market, environmental issues, potential for greenhouse gas reduction
and evolving markets for equipment and services.
Table 3-1
Wind power overview
Installed Capacity
(August 2012)
World leaders:
Environmental Impact
Mature, commercial
3-1
Wind Power
Table 3-1 (continued)
Wind power overview
Economic Status
Policy Status
Trends to Watch
Rapid expansion into high wind resource areas (U.S. plains, North
Atlantic, Asia) as costs becomes competitive in more markets.
3-2
Wind Power
Historical
Figure 3-1
Historical (2011) and projected (20122016) installed wind generation capacity in the
United States, Europe, and remainder of the world
Source: BTM Consult ApS, March 2012
Table 3-2 presents the installed capacity by country at the end of each year during the period
2005 through 2011. As of the end of 2011, the Peoples Republic of China led the world in
installed wind capacity (62,412 MW), followed by the United States (47,804 MW), Germany
(29,248 MW), and Spain (21,350 MW). China installed the most wind capacity during 2011 with
17,631 MW, approximately a 4% decrease over the countrys 2010 installed capacity. China was
followed by the United States (6,810 MW), Spain (1,050 MW), Germany (2,007 MW), and India
(3,300 MW)
The U.S. market has traditionally fluctuated from year to year depending on the status of the
federal production tax credit (PTC). The federal PTC expired on December 31, 2003 and was
extended to December 2005 by tax legislation passed by Congress in September 2004. Since
then, Congress has extended the PTC four times, to December 2007, 2008, 2009, and 2012. As a
result of the PTC extensions, wind capacity additions have soared in the United States.
Furthermore, the enactment of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) in
February 2009 introduced a greater degree of project finance flexibility that is expected to spur
wind development. In addition to extending the PTC to 2012, ARRA also allows all PTC-eligible
projects to qualify for the investment tax credit (ITC). The stipulation essentially grants owners
of non-solar renewable energy facilities the option to irrevocably choose the ITC in lieu of the
PTC and, in turn, earn an up-front tax credit equal to 30% of a projects capital costs. The option
remains in effect for the current period of the PTCthrough 2012 for wind energy facilities and
3-3
Wind Power
through 2013 for other qualified renewable energy systems. Wind developers, along with wind
energy advocates, have been extremely busy this year encouraging lawmakers to extend the PTC
credit before it expires on December 31, 2012. They are pushing Congress to extend the PTC out
for at least four years to match the solar energy programs credit. To date (November 2012), they
have been unsuccessful in getting the PTC extended. Not having the PTC in place will greatly
affect the continued wind installation in the United States. In addition to the uncertainty of the
extension of the PTC, natural gas prices are severely impacting the competitiveness of wind
generation. Natural gas generation provides a more predictable and grid-friendly generation
technology for utilities.
The Chinese market continues to experience great growth in the wind market. The growth is due
in large part to governmental policies aimed at increasing renewable energy in the nations
portfolio. The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) set renewable energy
target of 11.4% of total energy consumption by 2015 and 15% by 2020. The Chinese
government foresees 90 GW total wind power installation by the end of 2015. Despite the
extensive installation growth, much work has yet to be completed with the electricity
infrastructure necessary to transport the generation to the nations loads. Many of the locations in
China with the greatest wind resources are located far from the industrial load centers. Major
investment in the countrys transmission system will need to take place. At the end of 2011,
approximately 24% of the installed wind capacity was still awaiting grid connection; that
amounts to over 15 GW waiting to be connected. Recently announced government policies in
China to manage these issues have slowed down development of wind power, but in the long
term should assist in allowing future deployment of wind technology.
As with China, positive governmental policies continue to support the growth of wind energy in
Europe as well. The general trend in Germany has been the gravitation toward projects being
further inland. These projects will serve as proving ground for installations that are designed for
lower wind resource areas, meaning larger rotor diameters and taller towers. Repowering of
older turbines with new turbines, in many cases larger capacity turbines will also contribute to
Germanys increase in wind capacity. Repowering of older turbine units contributed 238 MW.
This trend will continue as a reaction to the best sites for wind power being already occupied. In
addition, Germanys offshore market is expected to continue to grow thanks to a commitment for
the grid company to provide the electrical connection, including the undersea cable, from a wind
farm to the coast and an improved tariff. Germany as a whole reached a wind power penetration
level of ~11% of electricity consumption. France saw a 26% reduction in the level of wind
installations in 2011. In 2010, 1,186 MW of wind energy was installed. In 2011, France installed
875 MW of wind energy. Recent modifications to the permitting process have made obtaining a
wind permit a longer and more costly line item. In addition, regulatory uncertainty and
complexity has led to limited grid access in some cases. Despite the setbacks, France is still
expected to improve its wind installations going forward. In 2011, Spains new installations
reach a capacity of 1,050 MW. That is approximately a 30% reduction compared with 2010. The
main driver behind the slower market has been the financial crisis impacting the entire country.
Near-term installations will undoubtedly continue to be affected by the countrys financial
troubles.
3-4
Wind Power
Table 3-3 presents the forecast annual capacity additions for 2012 through 2016 and the
projected installed capacity at the end of 2016 by country. As discussed later, much of the new
wind capacity in Europe will be installed at offshore sites. From 2012 through 2016, China is
expected to install the most new wind generation capacity (82,000 MW), followed by the United
States (46,500 MW), India (23,000 MW), Germany (13,700 MW), France (6,800 MW), and
Spain (2,850 MW). By the end of 2016, the countries with the largest projected installed wind
generation capacity are expected to be China (144,412 MW), the United States (93,834 MW),
Germany (42,948 MW), India (39,266 MW), and Spain (24,200 MW). Figure 3-2 compares the
operating wind capacity in different nations and regions of the world at the end of 2008, 2009,
2010, and 2011 indicating both overall capacity growth and shifting shares of the total.
Table 3-2
Operating wind generation capacity: end of year 2005end of year 2011
Source: BTM Consult ApS, March 2012
Operating Wind Capacity by Country (MW)
Region/Country
Europe
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
41,044
48,627
56,824
65,971
76,580
87,671
97,588
5,617
8,963
13,973
22,174
37,147
58,277
79,282
189
198
493
667
1,871
2,705
1,496
1,653
2,132
2,628
3,220
4,890
5,368
6,062
379
488
569
797
1,116
1,214
1,426
59,234
74,283
94,005
122,158
160,084
199,520
238,216
North America
Asia
South & Central America
Pacific Region
Total Middle East & Africa
Total World
Table 3-3
Forecast wind generation capacity additions: 20122016
Source: BTM Consult ApS, March 2012
Cum MW
Cum
MW
End 2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Total
Added
End
2015
Europe
97,588
11,100
13,075
13,625
16,500
18,750
73,050
170,638
United States
47,084
8,250
7,500
9,000
10,000
12,000
46,750
93,834
Asia
21,005
19,150
20,400
21,500
21,900
26,500
109,450
188,732
Total World
(Including Unlisted Countries)
241,029
43,195
47,805
52,560
58,180
68,105
269,845
510,874
Region/Country
3-5
Wind Power
Figure 3-2
End-of-year operating wind capacity by country and region: 20082011
Source: BTM Consult ApS, March 2012
Figure 3-3 presents the BTM Consult forecasts of wind power development for 2012 to 2021.
The forecast is based on an analysis of a number of technical, economic, and political factors in
each country. The factors include national energy plans, government support for renewable
energy, present market for wind turbines, new project announcements, wind resource
assessment, and expected technology development and cost reduction.
3-6
Wind Power
1,100,000
1,000,000
900,000
800,000
MW
700,000
600,000
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
1990
2011
2016
2021
Figure 3-3
Wind capacity and forecast: 19902021
Source: BTM Consult ApS, March 2012
Historically, the U.S. market fluctuates from year to year depending on the status of the federal
PTC. The federal PTC expired on December 31, 2003, and was extended to December 2005 by
tax legislation passed by Congress in September 2004, and then to December 2007 by the 2005
Energy Policy Act. It was further extended to December 2008 by Congress when it passed a tax
and trade policy bill in December 2006. It was then extended until December 2009 when
Congress passed an energy improvement act in October 2008. And it was more recently
extended to 2012 by ARRA. As a result of the PTC extensions in 2005, 2006, 2007, and 2008,
wind capacity additions in those years exploded in the United States, totaling about 2,430; 2,454;
5,244; and 8,358 MW, respectively. Stipulations embedded in ARRAthe extension of the PTC
to the end of 2012, the option of project owners to choose the ITC in lieu of the PTC, and the
cash grant programhelped to support wind energy capacity additions in 2010 and beyond. As
the sunset of the PTC draws near, the developers have scurried to complete projects to ensure
participation in the program. he American Wind Energy Association (AWEA) reports that 1,832
MW of wind capacity were installed during third quarter 2012, and 4,728 MW through the third
quarter, which is approximately 41% greater than the first three quarters of 2011. Over 8,430
MW are currently under construction across 29 states and Puerto Rico. A major factor behind the
busy year is the possible expiration of wind PTC in 2012.
3-7
Wind Power
Developers are not confident that the PTC will be extended so they are attempting to install as
much wind energy as possible now to take advantage of the production tax credit. Figure 3-4
shows the distribution of U.S. wind generation capacity among the states as of the third quarter
of 2012. At the end of the third quarter of 2012, all but 11 states have wind power installations.
In 2011, Nevada did not have any wind capacity; in 2012, Nevada added 152 MW of wind
capacity. However, that does not mean that a utility within a state does not purchase wind
energy. For instance, in October 2012, Alabama Power signed a 20-year purchase power
agreement (PPA) for the electricity generated by TradeWind Energys 202-MW Buffalo Dunes
wind project in Kansas.
Forecasts of future U.S. wind capacity vary depending on different assessments of how planned
projects will proceed. As shown in Table 3-3, BTM Consult ApS forecasts that cumulative U.S.
wind capacity will reach approximately 93,384 MW in 2016.
3-8
Wind Power
3-9
Wind Power
Figure 3-5
Rayleigh probability density function for wind speed
The coefficient of performance, Cp, varies with wind speed and blade tip speed, and is often
plotted as a function of the ratio of the blade tip speed to the wind speed because it clearly shows
the optimum operating point and is applicable to both constant-speed and variable-speed wind
turbines. Figure 3-6 illustrates a typical curve for the coefficient of performance versus the tip
speed/wind speed ratio.
Figure 3-6
Coefficient of performance (Cp) vs. tip speed/wind speed ratio
3-10
Wind Power
Controller
Main Shaft
Blades
Hub
Cooling
System
(Radiator)
Nacelle
Tower
Generator
Access Door
Mechanical
Brake
Gearbox
Yaw Motor
Figure 3-7
Components of a typical wind turbine
Source: Danish Wind Industry Association, www.windpower.org
3-11
Wind Power
Grid integration requirements vary from region to region, but most follow the same basic
construct. Wind plants are required to contribute to the stability of the grid voltage by controlling
the flow of reactive power. Providing voltage support in this way is required during normal grid
operation, as well as during grid faults. There are limits to how quickly the power output of wind
plants can change over the course of fractions of seconds to one hour. Meeting these new, more
stringent grid-integration requirements, in addition to reducing structural loading and improving
energy capture, affects the design of the wind turbines, especially the generator topology.
3.4.1.1 Squirrel Cage Induction Generator
In the early 1990s, the standard wind turbine topology consisted of a constant-speed
asynchronous squirrel cage induction generator (SCIG) connected directly to the grid through a
transformer. Constant-speed wind turbines with SCIGs are relatively simple. The rotational
speed of the generator is essentially controlled by the frequency of the grid, and the power and
torque of the turbine are controlled by pitching the turbine blades. However, the reaction time of
the blade pitch system limits the wind turbines ability to limit torque and power, which results
in significant torque and power spikes during wind gusts. These spikes increase fatigue loading
and adversely affect the grid.
The stability of the grid voltage is maintained by controlling the flow of reactive power. SCIGs
always consume reactive power, and their reactive power consumption is not controllable. Power
factor correction capacitors are typically used to compensate for the reactive power consumed by
SCIGs, but SCIGs are unable to contribute to the stability of the grid. Most manufacturers have
traded the simplicity of the fixed-speed SCIG for the controllability available in more complex
generator configurations.
3.4.1.2 Variable-Speed Turbine
The rotational speed of many contemporary wind turbines is decoupled from the grid frequency
in order to achieve variable-speed operation. Variable-speed operation has two primary
advantages over fixed-speed operation. Variable-speed turbines are able to limit power and
torque by letting the rotational speed of the turbine rotor vary during wind gusts. The improved
control of torque reduces mechanical loading, and the improved control of power makes the
output electricity more palatable to the grid. The second advantage of variable-speed operation is
improved aerodynamic efficiency, which leads to increased energy capture in the lower wind
speed range. However, as discussed below, sophisticated power electronics are required to
enable variable-speed operation. Due to the parasitic electrical load associated with power
electronics, the net improvement in energy capture is reduced.
A patent held by General Electric (GE) has historically limited the use of variable-speed
technology in North America by other manufacturers. Recently GE has licensed the technology
to several other manufacturers; however, it is unclear if the license includes the capability to
provide reactive power at each turbine, which is held under a separate patent owned by GE. With
the imminent expiration of GEs variable-speed patent, manufacturers who already utilize
variable-speed technology in Europe are likely to implement the technology in the United States.
3-12
Wind Power
Wind Power
The synchronous generator can either be a permanent magnet generator (PMG) or a wound rotor
synchronous generator (WRSG).
3.4.1.7 Direct-Drive Low-Speed Wound Rotor Generators
Some turbine manufacturers have chosen to avoid the reliability issues that persistently plague
gearboxes by eliminating them from the design. These direct-drive designs connect the rotor
shaft directly to a low-speed generator. Since the generator speed is inversely proportional to
pole count, direct-drive generators have multiple poles and are of large diameter. Usually the
generator housing is integrated into the nacelle frame structure.
Figure 3-8 is a schematic of an Enercon direct-drive turbine. This first-generation low-speed
generator is exemplified by the doubly fed, asynchronous induction generator with a wound
rotor. The large diameter of the generator influences the design of the nacelle.
Figure 3-8
Schematic of Enercon direct drive turbine
Source: Enercon website, http://www.enercon.dk/en/_home.htm. Retrieved September 10, 2010
3-14
Wind Power
Figure 3-9
Direct-drive 1.5-MW generator under testing at NRELs National Wind Technology Center
Source: Lee, Fingersh. NREL Photographic Information eXchange via
http://www.nrel.gov/data/pix/Jpegs/14689.jpg
One disadvantage of PM generators, however, is the higher material cost for the permanent
magnets, which are made from alloys of the rare earth elements neodymium or samarium-cobalt.
In addition, because 95% of the worlds PM material is currently supplied by China, the rapid
and widespread deployment of low-speed PM generators could lead to supply problems that
might drive up prices [71]. On the other hand, 45% of the known sources of rare earth elements
are found outside China, and some projections show that annual demand of rare earth magnets
will amount to less than 0.2% of known global supply by 2015. Other projections suggest the
global supply may be as much as 200 million metric tons.
3.4.1.9 Superconducting Low-Speed Generators
For Europe to meet its goal of installing 300 GW of wind power by 2030, the high population
density onshore means that 120 GW will need to be installed offshore. For the United States to
reach its goal of 20% wind energy by 2030, 50 GW of offshore wind power will be needed. Asia
is also developing an offshore market. To come anywhere close to meeting these combined
offshore market demands, offshore turbines rated up to 10 MW and possibly larger will most
likely be necessary. Turbines of that size can take advantage of technologies that are not
economically feasible at a smaller scale.
3-15
Wind Power
One of the technologies emerging for direct-drive turbines larger than 5 MW is the application of
high-temperature superconductors (HTSs) in the generator [72, 73]. High-temperature
superconducting generators may have the potential to produce comparatively smaller, lighter and
more efficient machines for the 5- to 10-MW turbines currently being designed for the offshore
market. NREL is sponsoring American Superconductor Corp. (ASC) in conducting research into
the economic impact and costs of a direct-drive, superconducting 10-MW generator that uses
high-temperature superconducting tape instead of copper wire for the generators rotor [74]. The
use of superconducting tape for windings results in a significantly smaller generator for the same
power rating. A smaller generator will be lighter and, because it is superconducting, its losses
will be lower than those of a conventional turbine. According to ASC, the weight of the 10-MW
superconducting generator they are building is approximately 120 metric tons. In contrast,
conventional designs of that power rating weigh 300 metric tons. Figure 3-10 shows an exploded
view of a superconducting generator.
Back iron
Cu stator
Figure 3-10
Example of an eight-pole, air-cooled superconducting generator
Source: Abrahamsen, A. B., et. al. [73], with permission
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Figure 3-11 shows the cross-section of a typical blade construction. Aerodynamic loading is
primarily carried by the spar caps on the upper and lower airfoil locations. A sandwich-style
shell provides the aerodynamic shape and resists panel buckling. Shear webs span the upper and
lower shells. In the case of Figure 3-11, shear webs are at the front and rear of the spar caps,
effectively forming a box-beam; however, several variants on the shear web layout are in
widespread use.
Figure 3-11
Cross section of wind turbine blade
Source: DNV-GEC
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Figure 3-12
Bend-twist coupling achieved by fiber orientation
Source: Laird, D. Sandia National Laboratories 2006 Wind Turbine Blade Workshop
The growth in blade weight with increased length is nonlinear. Generally, the weight increases
faster than the blade length. This means that, without material innovations, the average rating of
a utility-scale wind turbine will reach an upper limit unless the growth of blade weight can be
controlled. Advancements in materials are ongoing to reduce blade weight and cost. Per unit
weight, carbon fibers are significantly stronger and stiffer than glass fibers; however, carbon
fibers are much more expensive. As a result, the majority of blade manufacturers use fiberglass.
Notable exceptions are Vestas and Gamesa, which use carbon fiber in the spar caps of their
largest blades.
Blades are typically constructed from fiber-reinforced plastic (FRP) materials. Strength-perweight and stiffness-per-weight are both improved when the amount of load-carrying fibers is
increased relative to the plastic matrix. Newer manufacturing processes have been introduced
to increase the fiber content of the blade laminate. Nearly all new production is done with either
vacuum assisted resin transfer molding (VARTM) or the use of preimpregnated fabrics
(prepreg), rather than the traditional wet layup process. One manufacturer has developed an
innovative process in which a complete blade is produced in a single VARTM process, rather
than separate manufacture of skins and shear webs followed by a secondary assembly step. The
approach eliminates the need for bond lines, reducing weight and increasing structural integrity.
Several approaches have been considered to facilitate the transport and erection of
multimegawatt-scale blades. Several manufacturers are evaluating or developing a mid-span
joint in the blade so it can be manufactured and shipped in parts prior to assembly at the site.
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Figure 3-13
Vortex generators (counter-rotating array)
Fences and winglets would be used to mitigate the effects of three-dimensional flow along the
blade, thus improving predictability and performance. Fences would be deployed on inboard
sections where three-dimensional flow is strongest and can potentially interfere with the section
further outboard. Winglets mitigate tip loss effects by blocking the flow around the tip from the
high-pressure surface of the blade to the low-pressure side. Winglets may have an impact on
acoustic emissions as well.
Applying passive aerodynamic devices on the inboard sections of the blade could yield increases
in annual energy output on the order of 1% to 3% without adding much to the cost of the blade.
3.4.2.2 Active Aerodynamic Control
As with passive aerodynamic devices, active devices also fall into two major categories:
boundary layer control and camber modification. The technologies that fall under this heading
include leading edge slats, active vortex generators, plasma actuators, and boundary layer
suction/blowing. Circulation control is a technology that does not strictly fit in the category of
boundary layer control, but has a similar effect on lift characteristics. The feasibility of using
active boundary layer modification of local airfoil sections to control turbine loads appears less
advantageous.
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The aerodynamic forces on the rotor can cause very large yaw torques. Early turbine designs
used brakes on the yaw motors to counteract this torque and keep the rotor in position.
Experience has shown that these forces change rapidly, and over time can damage the yaw and
cause wear on the yaw gear teeth. Modern designs incorporate friction brakes on the nacelle
frame itself. These are often hydraulically actuated so that the friction can be at least partially
released when the yaw drives are active.
An alternative arrangement for the yaw system uses a sliding bearing instead of a rolling-element
bearing. The sliding elements are low-friction polymer pads that are arranged about a machined
steel flange at the tower top. This arrangement provides both support for the nacelle frame and
friction to hold the rotor in position, and the yaw drives have to be over-sized to overcome this
friction.
Because electric yaw drive motors are started and stopped with contactors, the yaw movement
is sudden and can subject the yaw drives to very high forces. At least one manufacturer is
supplying variable-speed yaw drives to allow a smooth start and controlled forces. Another
common challenge with the conventional arrangement is wear of the teeth on the stationary yaw
gear. Some manufacturers are installing automatic greasing systems to ensure that the gear teeth
are adequately coated with lubricant. One manufacturer has sidestepped this problem entirely,
and has designed a unique hydraulically driven yaw system that uses a series of cylinders and
linkages.
3.4.4 Sensors
The most critical sensors on a wind turbine are the speed sensors on the rotor and generator
shafts. These sensors are the primary defense against excessive turbine over-speed, which can
be extremely destructive. Other critical sensors include the wind speed and direction sensors,
vibration sensors, sensors that detect when the electrical cables from the nacelle in the tower
are wrapped too tightly, temperature sensors on components that are susceptible to temperature
extremes, and pressure and flow sensors for the cooling and lubrication fluid systems. Voltage,
current, and power sensors monitor the electrical system and utility grid.
The evolution of wind turbine sensors has followed that of standard industrial controls. Many
modern sensors provide digital communications on standard computer network protocols such as
CANBUS. Other than the evolution from analog to digital sensors, there are only a few significant
advances in the sensors used on wind turbines. One of these advances is the use of ultrasonic wind
measurement sensors. These sensors provide wind speed, direction and temperature from a single
unit with no moving parts and a single serial cable. Although more expensive than conventional
sensors, ultrasonic sensors offer improved reliability and simplicity of installation. Ultrasonic
sensors can be heated more effectively than standard sensors; however, the data sensors may
experience additional fouling in conditions with a high degree of dust or precipitation.
3.4.4.1 Optical Strain Gages
A sensor that is being introduced into some of the larger, more complex turbines is the optical
strain gage. These sensors are built into the blades for condition monitoring and in conjunction
with blade pitch mechanisms for structural load alleviation. The long-term reliability of these
sensors has not yet been proven, but many major turbine vendors are experimenting with them
and it is possible that some have included them in production turbines.
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3.4.5 Controls
The following are the primary objectives of a wind turbine controller:
Keep the turbine safe and within its design load envelope.
Make supervisory decisions, such as when to start, stop, or yaw the turbine.
Detect abnormal conditions such as high component temperatures and take the appropriate
action.
The controller achieves these objectives via a combination of sensors, software, hardware logic,
and actuators. The controller takes inputs from sensors and issues commands to actuators based
on a predetermined set of parameters. Controls may be divided into several subsystems as
follows:
Safety system
The main controller is responsible for most supervisory decisions, fault detection, and providing
input into the closed-loop controls of essential subsystems. The main controller hardware
consists of a central processor, input/output modules, and communication interfaces. These are
typically mounted in one or more racks in the nacelle and/or a cabinet in the tower base and are
linked with a communications cable in the tower. There is often a user interface panel at the
tower base for maintenance personnel to manually control the turbine.
Blade pitch controllers on pitch-regulated turbines typically accept pitch commands from the
main controller and run their own closed-loop control algorithms to rapidly meet the commanded
pitch positions. In addition to blade position commands, the pitch controllers report other data
back to the main controller such as status, motor voltage, current, and temperature. This
information is typically communicated digitally over slip rings. Some turbine manufacturers are
implementing independent blade pitch systems, with controllers for each blade. The primary
advantage of independent blade pitch is to ensure that any single-point failure within the turbine
will only disable one blade pitch system, allowing the other blade pitch systems to remain
functional and capable of stopping the turbine. Independent blade pitch also allows reductions
in the size and cost of mechanical braking systems, the benefits of which have an effect on other
turbine components such as the gearbox.
The generator and power electronics controls for variable-speed turbines are a subsystem similar
to the pitch controller. Their primary function is to accept generator torque commands from the
main controller and rapidly meet them. This controller also communicates status information to
the main controller over a digital communication link.
The turbine safety system is not part of the control system and is actually super-ordinate to
the main controller as a design guideline, which allows the safety system to override the main
controller if necessary to protect the turbine. The safety system is often a series of relays that are
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connected to critical sensors such as rotor and generator speed, vibrations, utility voltage, and
the yaw system. When any of these sensors measures an alarm-level signal, the relays open
(or close) and trigger an emergency stop using blade pitch and/or mechanical brakes.
Wind turbine controls have followed the trends for controls in other industries, namely the increase
in performance and decrease in cost of electronics and computing power. In the early days of wind
turbine development, many of the controls used hard-wired logic with sensors and relays and a
minimum of actual computing power. Modern turbines use controllers based on high-speed CPUs
with a considerable amount of memory and high-speed communications from well known vendors
such as Intel and Motorola. Turbine vendors use a variety of hardware depending on their
preference. Many companies have vertically integrated with controller vendors, others use off-theshelf control hardware from independent vendors, and still others use custom-developed controller
hardware. Generally, each turbine manufacturer provides some degree of proprietary software.
As turbines have grown larger in size, the relative per-unit cost of controllers has decreased;
however, their absolute cost has increased because of the greater complexity of most modern
turbines. The development time and costs for control hardware and software have also increased
considerably to support turbine control sophistication, plus the supervisory control and data
acquisition (SCADA) systems and other remote debugging and operations features that function
over the Internet.
The future development of wind turbine controls is focused primarily on the software and
algorithms used to operate, diagnose, and maintain the turbines. In particular, condition
monitoring features are becoming more common but require considerable sensors, algorithms,
bandwidth, and data storage.
3.4.6 SCADA Data Collection and Transmittal
SCADA systems are used on all commercial wind farms. A SCADA system provides
information on turbine operating status, alarms and warnings, and performance parameters such
as rotational speed, power output, and line current and voltage. All systems allow the ability to
remotely acknowledge and reset noncritical faults and to change some parameters in the control
system, such as maximum output power.
Most turbine manufacturers provide a SCADA interface that collects the information from each
turbine controller and displays the data in tabular and graphical format. Available displays
normally include an overall layout of the farm with indicators for the status of each turbine,
meteorological conditions, indicators for aggregate power output, total delivered megawatthours, and event and alarm logs. Often the user can access information at the individual turbine
level such as gearbox temperature or pitch position.
Although wind turbine controllers update at a rate of around 20 Hz, SCADA systems usually poll
the data at a much slower rate, on the order of seconds. Historical data, such as wind speed and
power output, are stored as the average, minimum, maximum, and standard deviation over a 10minute period. Some systems allow storage of selected parameters at a higher rate. In order to
increase visibility of project performance, some owners are directly importing higher-resolution
data from the turbine controllers into a time-based enterprise system that allows more options for
data analysis. Several third-party SCADAs are also available that can interface directly with the
turbine controller.
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Figure 3-14
Gearbox internal schematic showing one planetary and two parallel-shaft stages
Wind turbine gearboxes have in general been a weak point of the turbine drive train. Much
research has gone into understanding why gearboxes fail and how gearbox life can be extended.
Improvements have been realized in design tools to analyze how the gears, bearings, shafts, and
cases respond under load, and best practices for design manufacture and maintenance have
recently been standardized. New techniques for improving the carrying capacity of gearboxes
include flexible planet gear supports, integrated planet gear bearings, improved lubrication
delivery and super-finishing of gear teeth.
3.4.7.2 Hydrodynamic Fluid Coupling
One exception to the common gearbox configuration that has recently been introduced at a large
scale is the hydrodynamic fluid coupling, placed in the drive train between the rotor and the
generator. Figure 3-15 is a schematic of the WinDrive hydrodynamic coupling developed and
commercialized by Voith and in service on some DeWind turbine models.
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Figure 3-15
Cross section of hydrodynamic drive system for a wind turbine
Source: Voith Brochure, The WinDriveAn Innovative Drive Train Concept for Wind Turbines,
retrieved September 2010 via www.voithturbo.com/windrive_publications.php3
The hydrodynamic coupling combines the characteristics of a mechanically geared system with a
fluid/hydraulic system. It converts the continuously varying speed and torque of the rotor to a
constant-speed output to drive the generator. The fluid subsystem is continuously variable and
control is maintained through an adjustable guide vane within the hydrodynamic unit. In effect,
this system operates with a continuously variable gearbox ratio. While the addition of a
hydrodynamic coupling increases the complexity of the drive train relative to a conventional
drive train, this system allows the generator to operate at synchronous speed while the rotor turns
at variable speed without sophisticated power electronics. In addition, in the United States, the
technology enables variable-speed operation without the need to pay licensing fees associated
with patents on variable-speed technology.
3.4.7.3 Direct Drive Train without Gearbox
Some turbine manufacturers have chosen to avoid gearboxes entirely and connect the rotor shaft
directly to a low-speed generator. Figure 3-16 is an electrical drawing of a direct-drive turbine.
As discussed in an earlier section, the generator speed is inversely proportional to pole count,
and direct-drive generators have multiple poles and are of large diameter. For a megawatt-class
turbine, manufacture and shipping of these direct-drive generators is expensive and a logistical
challenge. Several manufacturers have made a compromise with the medium-speed design,
using a single-stage gearbox unit with a generator configuration that is somewhere between
conventional and the direct-drive design.
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SG
Figure 3-16
Electrical diagram of a typical direct-drive turbine
3.4.8 Foundation
The turbine foundation must support the weight of the turbine, and also prevent the turbine from
overturning due to the high thrust loads from the rotor. Foundation design is always specific to
the geological conditions at the site. The turbine manufacturer will provide the design peak and
fatigue loads to the foundation designer who will consider the appropriate soil conditions,
climate, and earthquake potential. The approval of a licensed civil engineer is normally needed.
The common types of foundations for wind turbines with tubular steel towers are reinforced
concrete structures. The turbine tower is usually bolted to the foundation with a circular pattern
of fasteners on the inside and outside of the tower. The spread-foot design is shaped like an
inverted T and uses a large-diameter pad that distributes the turbine over-turning loads over
a large area.
Another design that is common in North America consists of a hollow cylinder of pre-stressed
concrete that is sunk into an excavation and then back-filled with a slurry of soil, sand, and
cement. With this design, the foundation walls resist the over-turning loads by bearing against
the sides of the excavation. A much smaller quantity of concrete is required than for the spreadfoot design, but the excavation can be problematic in some geological conditions.
A foundation design used in Australia is based on multiple prestressed concrete pilings that
are arranged in a circle and joined to a foundation ring at the surface. Similar designs are used in
arctic regions with permafrost ground conditions. The steel pilings are installed by drilling a hole
deep into the ground, placing the piling, then backfilling the hole with a slurry of soil and water,
which then freezes and holds the piling in place. The pilings include thermal siphons that
circulate refrigerant solution to ensure the permafrost temperature is maintained. The base of the
tower is also elevated approximately 1.5 m above ground level to facilitate the dissipation of
heat.
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3.4.9 Tower
3.4.9.1 Conventional Steel Towers
All wind turbine towers installed in North America today are fabricated towers. The tower is
fabricated from rolled steel plate formed into welded tubular sections with flanged ends that are
bolted together on site. The towers are painted inside and out. Tubular towers are preferred over
steel lattice towers for aesthetic and practical reasonsaccess to the nacelle is safer and more
convenient with a ladder mounted inside an enclosed tower, and the bottom of a tubular tower
serves as an enclosed location for switchgear and controls. However, the maximum height of
a tubular tower is limited by the diameter of the base section. Most modern wind turbines are
mounted on 60- to 80-m towers.
Currently, all tubular towers are fabricated in a manufacturing facility and shipped to the site by
rail or truck. This limits the base diameter to approximately 4.1 m. To overcome this limitation,
some very tall prototype turbines have been installed on lattice towers that can be assembled on
site. One company is introducing a unique version of a lattice tower that is wrapped in a fabric
skin, offering some of the protection and visual appeal of a tubular tower. Another company is
reintroducing a technology that was used for kilowatt-class turbines in years past, in which the
tubular steel tower is fabricated in longitudinal sections and assembled into tube sections on-site,
reducing the shipping size of the parts.
In Europe, another approach has been developed to deal with the need for taller towers and
the high cost of manufacturing and transporting large-diameter steel tower sections. Several
manufacturers are making at least the base section of the tower out of reinforced concrete. The
concrete section itself is made of short cylindrical sections that are cast in moulds and stacked
on-site. Given that concrete is also required for the foundation, this approach may prove to be
economically feasible in North America.
3.4.9.2 Concrete and Hybrid Towers
Some of the most innovative developments in wind turbine tower design over the past 10 years
feature the use of reinforced concrete. The main drivers for these innovations are the limitations
on base diameter of the traditional tubular steel towers (due to bridge clearances and other
transportation restrictions) and dramatically increasing steel prices worldwide in recent years.
Figure 3-17 shows several concepts of hybrid and concrete towers. There are many advantages to
using concrete for wind turbine towers. The cost of the cement and rebar needed to construct a
concrete tower is considerably less than the cost of steel for an equivalent structure. In addition,
unlike steel towers that must be shipped in tubular segments, concrete tower sections can be
either cast in situ (e.g., concepts H2 or H3) or precast in arc segments that are manageably sized
to meet transportation requirements (e.g., concept H1).
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Steel
tower
Pre-str.
concrete
section
H1
H2
Hybrid tower concepts
H3
Pre-stressed
concrete
Figure 3-17
Example hybrid steel/concrete and concrete towers
The arc segments can then be combined to form circular sections that are stacked on each other
at the site. Concrete towers constructed in this way have no restriction on base diameter imposed
by external circumstances, so design optimization is possible. This has implications both for the
foundation design as well as tower height. Concrete towers can be not only wider at the base but
also taller than steel towers, potentially increasing the power output of a turbine. Also, the
maintenance on concrete towers is less than that for steel, which may need to be repainted
periodically to prevent corrosion. Finally, designing a concrete tower for longer life adds little to
the cost of construction.
3.4.9.3 Integrated Towers and Foundations
Because concrete towers or hybrids tend to have a wider base than steel towers, foundation
pressure is significantly lower than for a steel tower. This simplifies the foundation technology
and reduces the amount of required concrete by 70%. For example, a basic annular ring 1 m
thick may be sufficient for the foundation, depending on the soil conditions. The foundation for a
comparable steel tubular tower would need to be several meters thick, requiring a significantly
more complicated pour during construction.
3.4.9.4 Tall Towers
Tall towers (100 m and taller) reach potentially higher speed winds and increase annual wind
energy generation relative to shorter towers. They are geared primarily for the onshore wind
market, where the influence of the boundary layer is generally more pronounced than offshore.
The boundary layer is the layer of air between ground level, where the wind speed is near zero,
to the elevation above which the wind speed is no longer influenced by surface friction or
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obstacles such as trees, uneven terrain and buildings. The height of the boundary layer varies but,
generally speaking, wind turbines operate within this layer. The variation in wind speed with
height above ground is often referred to as wind shear. When wind shear is positive, the taller a
wind turbine is, the higher the average wind speed. This effect is diminished over water, where
the surface friction is considerably lower than on land, and where there are few or no obstacles to
disturb the air flow.
The ability to erect taller towers for land-based installations can lead to significant increases in
annual energy production (AEP), given the appropriate wind conditions. A study by NREL
suggests that increasing tower height by 20 m can increase AEP by 20% for sites with positive
wind shear. Because of this, taller towers can potentially open up vast new areas to development
that were previously uneconomic. Also, as turbine blade length increases, taller towers are
needed to keep the entire rotor sufficiently elevated for good performance.
3.4.9.5 Two-Bladed Rotors
Two-bladed wind turbines have been of particular interest in the United States due to the
perception that they could result in a lighter weight, lower-cost turbine than more traditional
three-bladed designs. Over the past three decades significant effort has been made to develop and
bring to market two-bladed rotors. In the 1980s, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)
sponsored research and development of multi-megawatt two-bladed turbines. Several companies
manufactured two-bladed turbines in the 1990s and early 2000s, and many configuration
variations were tried, including upwind, downwind, stall regulated, variable blade pitch, fixed
speed, variable speed, independently hinged flapping blades, and power output ranging from 200
kW to 4 MW. However, in todays U.S. onshore wind turbine market, only Nordic Windpower is
building a utility-scale, two-bladed turbine. Nordics machine is a 1-MW upwind, stall-regulated,
teetered turbine. To date Nordic has experienced very limited success in the market. Two-bladed
designs may decrease rotor cost, but they can have higher equipment loading and operational
noise as well as other disadvantages, as discussed later.
Two-bladed turbines offer some advantages as well as a few drawbacks. To achieve the same
aerodynamic performance, a two-bladed rotor will have approximately the same total solidity as
an equivalent three-bladed rotor (in a simple analysis). In that case the blade chord and thickness
are roughly 1.5 times that of the three-bladed rotor, and total rotor mass can be reduced by more
than one third. Greater structural efficiency and lighter weight as compared with three-bladed
rotors is often assumed to be a primary advantage of two-bladed rotor technology. However, for
onshore turbines, which are already constrained by blade transportation limits, the wider blade
chord is a disadvantage.
Equivalent performance of a two-bladed versus three-bladed rotors is achieved by increasing the
rotor speed of the two-bladed machine. Increased speed improves the dynamics of the twobladed rotor and is an advantage for low- and medium-speed generators. However, higher tip
speed also means increased noise, which can be a disadvantage for onshore turbines.
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Many two-bladed rotors employ teeter, whereby the hub is allowed to seesaw in and out of the
rotor plane. Ideally, teetering means that unsteady blade bending loads are reduced or eliminated,
reducing loads throughout the turbine. In theory, two-bladed turbines can be lighter and less
costly than three-bladed turbines. In practice, however, because teeter motion is necessarily
limited (typically to several degrees), during operation there are times when blades reach the
teeter limit and the benefits of teeter are essentially erased.
Dynamically, the two-bladed, teetered rotor is more challenging than the three-bladed rotor. The
symmetry of the three-bladed rotor means its operating dynamics are easier to predict than those
of the two-bladed rotor, which lacks inertial symmetry. The application of advanced controls,
which have been in development for three-bladed rotors for many years, could help two-bladed
rotors achieve greater weight and cost savings.
Another perceived disadvantage of two-bladed rotors is the visual asymmetry, as compared to
the balanced view of a three-bladed rotor. However, the slower rotational speed of modern wind
turbines is thought to mitigate that objection to some degree.
While the current market for onshore two-bladed turbines is quite limited, some of the perceived
drawbacks do not apply in the offshore market. Visual and noise objections, for example, are not
likely to be issues offshore. There is significantly more development of offshore two-bladed
concepts rather than onshore.
Several companies are currently developing two-bladed turbines for the offshore market. One is
the Dutch company 2-B, which is developing a 6-MW, two-bladed, 140-m turbine with a lattice
tower. The company claims they can reduce COE up to 45% compared to todays three-bladed
offshore technology. One advantage they cite is the ability to fully assemble and pre-test the
nacelle and rotor onshore, stack the assembled rotors on a ships deck, and ship them to the site
ready for installation. Figure 3-18 shows an artists rendering of the 2-B 6-MW turbine.
Figure 3-18
Artists rendering of the 2-B 6-MW wind turbine
Source: Windpower Monthly, November 2011
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Danish organization Global Innovation Center has teamed with Chinas Envision Energy to
design a two-bladed, 3.6-MW, 128-m rotor, direct drive offshore wind turbine. This turbine
employs partial pitch control on the outboard half of the blades. They cite a reduction in extreme
loads of 30% compared to an equivalent full-span pitch, three-bladed rotor. It is unclear whether
the loads reduction takes into account the teeter stop limits, however. A prototype of this turbine
is currently being installed in Denmark for testing.
Chinese company Mingyang has a commercially available 3-MW offshore turbine incorporating
a 2-bladed rotor and drive train configuration designated Super Compact Drive (SCD). The
turbine was developed jointly with Aerodyn, and first produced in 2010. In 2011, Mingyang
announced completion of testing for the 6-MW design, reported to have a rotor diameter of
140 m and a tower-head mass of 205 tons. Recently however, Mingyang has reported concerns
about the reliability and suitability of their technology for offshore applications.
The United Kingdom company Condor Wind Energy is developing a 5-MW offshore turbine
with a 2-bladed rotor. The 5-MW turbine arose after extensive testing of a 1.5-MW research
turbine. The rotor speed of 20.5 rpm for this 140-m diameter rotor means that the blade tip speed
is 127 m/s, which is significantly higher than the typical three-bladed turbine, which has a blade
tip speed of 70 to 80 m/s. While the high tip speed reduces torque loads, it also increases fatigue
cycles and could wear parts more quickly. One feature of the 5-MW version is that each unit is
equipped with a helicopter pad on top of the nacelle for delivering crew and equipment to the
site. During servicing, the blades are parked horizontally, enabling safer delivery than for threebladed rotors with helipads. Condor Wind Energy purports that its two-bladed turbine
technology will yield a 45% reduction in COE. While the combination of reduced rotor cost,
reduced torque loading, and easier construction will all contribute to reducing overall COE,
based on our experience we believe a more realistic reduction is 5% to 10%.
3.4.9.6 Vertical Axis Rotors
Although utility-scale, vertical axis wind turbines (VAWTs) have all but disappeared from the
landscape over the last decade, interest in the technology has resurged in recent years. In
particular, VAWTs are being developed for use in offshore wind projects. Conceptually, VAWTs
have some distinct advantages over horizontal axis wind turbines (HAWTs). Many fewer
components and systems are requiredthere is no massive tower or nacelle, no yaw system, no
pitch system, no complex blade geometry. VAWTs are omnidirectional, and can be more easily
maintained since the drive train is closer to the ground. It is claimed that vertical axis turbines can
be fabricated more cheaply than an equivalent horizontal axis turbine. However, horizontal axis
turbines have higher aerodynamic efficiency than vertical axis machines, so the overall impact on
the cost of electricity (COE) is less clear. Historically, the disadvantages of vertical axis turbines
include high cyclic (fatigue) loading due to the blade rotating in and out of the wind twice during
each revolution, non-optimal energy capture because the lower half of the rotor is near the ground,
and high loading of the main bearing, which carries the weight of the entire rotor structure.
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Last year, Vertiwind of France began the development and testing of an offshore prototype
VAWT, pictured in Figure 3-19. The Vertiwind concept is a 2-MW, direct-drive, permanent
magnet turbine approximately 90 m in height mounted to a triangular structure tethered to the
seabed. The low center of gravity should aid the stability of the floating structure. The company
says that the entire unit, including floating foundation, can be assembled at a port and towed out
to the site with no need for special cranes. One concern with the design is the potential for high
fatigue loading at the two points where the blades attach to the supports.
Figure 3-19
Artists rendering of the Vertiwind offshore VAWTs
Guoneng Wind Power Generation, a Chinese manufacturer, is also exploring VAWT technology
(Figure 3-20). The 1-MW prototype it installed in 2011 is designed to operate in winds from 3 to
35 m/s. This is considerably higher than the cut-out wind speed for HAWTs, which is generally
25 m/s. The turbine houses two 500-kW, permanent magnet generators. A picture of the
prototype turbine is shown in Figure 3-20. One feature that stands out is the considerable number
of supports attached to each blade, which degrades aerodynamic performance. This turbine is
mounted on a tower, bringing the rotor up to where wind speeds are higher.
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Figure 3-20
Guoneng 1-MW, 8-bladed VAWT with 36-m blades
A third VAWT concept under development takes a different approach, eliminating the tower or
any central support altogether. The 2.6-MW Lux turbine, for which a 40-kW prototype has been
built and tested, consists of six blades connected by cables and secured with guy wires. The Lux
VAWT is targeted for either onshore or offshore applications.
3.4.10 Offshore Foundations
One of the major differences between an onshore and an offshore wind energy installation is the
more complex foundation structures required offshore. Offshore, the foundations (or substructures) are much larger because they have to extend up above the highest wave crest in
order to support the tower and the access platform at a safe distance from the impact of the
waves. Further, in addition to the wind loading, the offshore foundation/substructure is subject to
hydrodynamic loads and a harsher environment than onshore structures (with respect to
corrosion, for example).
It is therefore not surprising that the foundation/substructure is one of the elements of offshore
wind development where a lot of innovation is taking place.
3.4.10.1 General Classifications
Foundation types are often grouped according to the depth of water for which they are most
suited. Table 3-4 presents the industrys current classification for offshore wind turbine
foundations based on water depth and the total offshore wind project potential capacity in the
United States for each of those depth classifications.
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Table 3-4
Estimated U.S. wind generation capcaity by depth
Category
Depth
Shallow water
030 meters
430 GW
Transition depth
3060 meters
541 GW
6090 meters
1,533 GW
The wind turbine consists of the tower and the rotor-nacelle-assembly (RNA).
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Figure 3-21
Offshore wind support structures
Pile foundations bear the loads by the skin friction and point pressure of piles into the ground.
Compared to their weights, piles are able to carry relatively high loads. The piles are installed by
either ramming or drilling, or a combination of the two, into the seabed. Ramming is the most
widely used installation method, in which the pile is rammed through support structures
connected to the foundation structure (pile sleeves).
The second step involves installing the supporting structure onto the piles. The connection
between the piles and the support structure of the foundation is usually a grout connection
(Figure 3-22). Some problems have been detected on grout connections used in recent offshore
wind farms since the beginning of the early 1990s, such as those in Denmark, the UK, and the
Netherlands.
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Figure 3-22
Offshore wind monopile foundation showing grouted connection
The problems with the grout connection have included vertical slippages of the plain steel tubeto-tube connections, which has occurred over time on many wind turbine foundations.3 To avoid
this slippage, different concepts have been developed to better secure the connections between
the interconnecting tubes. One concept uses conical tubes instead of cylindrical tubesthis leads
to a positive locking connection between the higher and lower tubes.
A second concept uses so-called shear keys (horizontal ribs on the inner side of one and the outer
side of the other tube) to increase the friction between the tubes. Combinations of both shear
keys and conical tube approaches are also possible.
Another way to secure the connection between the piles and the foundation support structure is
the so-called swaging technique, an alternative to grout connections. The foundation pile inside
the jacket sleeve is deformed by means of high pressure. This creates a connection inside the pile
sleeve, providing a better mechanism to fix the jacket into the seabed.
Piles foundations for deep-water use are made of steel, and generally have pile diameters of
1 to 2 m. Monopiles can have diameters up to 6.5 m, which is the upper limit of the piling
devices available on the market. One downside to the use of pile foundations is the sound made
during construction, as the piles are rammed into the seafloor. This processpilingleads to
very high noise emissions during the erection phase of an offshore wind farm. This noise can, in
turn, pose a permitting problem, as the noise is harmful, especially to sea mammals. In some
countries, such as Germany, an upper limit for the noise level during the erection phase is
defined in the criteria of the permitting authority. Different methods for noise reduction during
piling (e.g., bubbling around the piles) have been tested, but no such method is commercially
available at this time nor has any been permitted thus far.
3
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Suction bucket is an alternative solution without the noise drawbacks of the deep piles. This
foundation type uses a construction shaped like an inverted bucket underneath the legs of the
foundation structure. After the bucket touches down on the seabed, it is pressed into the seabed
through the creation of a vacuum inside the bucket. The suction has the effect of drawing the
base construction down into the seabed. The diameter of the base construction is approximately 3
to 20 m; its height is of similar magnitude.
The load capacity of this foundation is measured in the same way as for piled foundations,
namely by the skin friction of the wall area and by the point pressure. The advantage of this
foundation is that the secondary steel components (boat landing, platforms, etc.) are already
mounted on the structure and need not be fitted with additional equipment. As there are no piles
to be rammed into the seabed, the noise emissions for this foundation type are significantly
reduced. However, the steady lowering of several suction points in a 3- or 4-point foundation can
pose a challenge during offshore installation. Additionally, in soils with high bulk density or
rocky structure, it can be difficult to create sufficient suction pressure. Experience with this type
of foundation structure is very limited to date; only one wind turbine has been installed using this
foundation type, and that was in shallow water in Denmark.
As gravity-based foundations can be erected without the need for piling or drilling devices, their
installation generates very low noise. On the other hand, the transport and handling of these
heavy foundations can be challenging. If the load capacity of the seabed is low, the ground has to
be prepared before the gravity-based foundations can be deposited. This preparation requires
removing the top layer of sediment and then inserting load-bearing sand or gravel layers. In
contrast to pile foundations, gravity based foundations have an additional advantage in that they
can be dismantled completely.
The following sections examine the primary foundation types in more specific detail. For each
category, a summary of advantages and disadvantages is provided.
3.4.10.2 Monopile Foundations
In simplest terms, a monopile is like an extended wind turbine tower. The monopile foundation
structure usually consists of two partsthe actual monopile and the upper transition piece. The
pile (blue portion in Figure 3-23) is anchored to the seabed as a deep foundation pile, which ends
several meters above the mud line or shortly above the mean sea level (MSL). The upper
transition piece (yellow portion in Figure 3-23) forms the rising structure, which extends both
below and above the water level up to the tower base.
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Wind Power
Figure 3-23
Monopile foundation
In a pile, a single steel pipe (or, alternatively, a reinforced concrete pipe) of large diameter
(46.5 m) is piled (or, rarely, drilled) into the ground. The transition piece is aligned with and
joined to the monopile, to extend above sea level to the desired height. Potential misalignments
between the two sections can be compensated by a grouted joint, in which the two interlocking
pipes are bonded with a high strength grout. The potential for misalignment is the first reason to
use a transition piece between the pile and the tower. The second reason is the potential damage
of the secondary steel during pile driving. This latter reason is why components such as ladders,
platforms etc. are installed on the transition piece.
Monopiles have been used in water depths as high as 20 to 25 meters, with projects currently
planning to use monopiles in depth of up to 35 to 40 m, such as that in the German Baltic Sea.
However, in greater depths and with the installation equipment available today, monopiles are
feasible only for smaller wind turbines of up to 3.6 MW. Monopile diameter increases
significantly with depth and turbine size; a manageable upper limit today is considered to be 6.5
to 7 m. Monopiles can also be used for larger turbines, but today only in shallow waters. The use
of monopiles for 5-MW+ turbines in deeper water would be possible in principle, but would
require monopile diameters that are not manageable today: the upper limit for the installation
equipment (ramming etc.) is around 7 m. Another limit is the wall thickness that would be
required for larger monopiles to guarantee adequate stiffness. At these sizes, however, other
constraints may begin to impact project size, including pile length and mass, as transport vessels
and roadway/ access limitations begin to impinge. The stiffness of the foundation is an important
dimension of the foundation design, as it must be evaluated in comparison to the bending motion
and frequency of the wind turbine itself, in order to avoid resonance effects. The thickness of the
steel plate (i.e., the wall thickness of the monopile) required for larger and stiffer foundations
may also become a constraint during the manufacturing process, as the monopile tubes are
formed from steel plates.4 The ability to shape steel of the required thickness may not be within
the capability of the monopile supplier/source.
Kimon Argyriadis (GL Renewables Certification): Floating Offshore Wind Turbines. Hamburg Offshore Wind, 6
May 2010.
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Given their low complexity, monopile structures are simple to produce and less costly than other
types of offshore wind turbine foundations. At the same time, the significant wall thickness of
the pile material imposes handling challenges, for appropriate forming and welding.
Monopiles are used in more offshore wind projects than all other offshore foundation types. Due
to the large base of experience in the use of monopiles, and the availability of production from
several manufacturers in different countries, market risk is low. Unlike solutions that utilize
several piles, the soil bearing capacity is of particular importance for the monopile. This reflects
the requirement that the surrounding soils have sufficient absorption ability to accommodate the
monopiles lateral bending moment.
The movement of monopile foundations into location requires transport barges and/or
construction ships of sufficient size. Noise emissions during the construction process are very
high due to considerable noise made during the piling process. On the plus side, the smooth
surface of the monopile represents a lower risk of corrosion (from rust formed on the metal
structure caused by the aggressive salt-water conditions) than for foundation types with more
complex and bumpy constructions, such as tripods and especially jackets. Because of their shape
and large surface area, however, monopile foundations are sensitive to wave loading (i.e., the
load on the foundation caused by the action of waves). Monopiles are also sensitive to soil
conditions at the site and to scour, the removal of sediment around the foundation by the flow of
water around the base.
Promising Developments
Besides monopiles that are piled or hammered into the soil in the traditional fashion, some
research has been done on monopiles that are fabricated of concrete and drilled into the seabed.
For a research project, Ballast Nedam (the Netherlands) developed a new foundation concept,
which uses a drilling method based on the horizontal tunnel-drilling methods that are already
used onshore by Ballast Nedam.5 Advantages of this foundation type are comparable to those of
gravity-based concrete foundations, in that this foundation type is expected to be comparatively
cheap and will be less vulnerable to (steel) price fluctuations. Noise emissions during installation
as well as sensitivity against soil conditions are very low. At a water depth of ~30 m, the weight
of the foundation will be 1,450 t for a 3.6-MW wind turbine generator (WTG) and 2,200 t for a
5.0-MW WTG. Costs are estimated be in the range of ~500,000 /MW for a
3.6-MW WTG and ~400,000 /MW for a 5.0-MW WTG.
In general, this concept appears interesting for several site conditions. As practical experience is
missing so far, however, additional research is required before this option can be evaluated
further.6
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Figure 3-24
Gravity-based foundations
Gravity-based foundations are comparatively cheap (hollow concrete bodies can be filled with
water or sand), and no drilling or piling is required. Depending on the load-carrying capacity of the
seabed, extensive preparations may be required before setting the gravity-based foundation on the
ground. Studies on gravity foundations for the first offshore wind farms in Denmark have shown
that these foundation types become uneconomical compared with other foundation types like
tripods and jackets, primarily due to the exponential increases in weight and therefore material and
especially installation costs with increasing water depth, due to the technical effort and increasing
mass and costs.7 For larger turbines, a water depth of 25 m seems to be a reasonable limit, although
some experts assume that 30 or even up to 40 m may also be workable.8
Main Advantages and Disadvantages
The engineering design basis and installation experience of gravity-based foundations is well
established. Fabrication of concrete gravity-based foundations for similar structure is wellknown civil engineering. The market risk9 for this category is also considered to be medium, on
the basis that there are fewer manufacturers with experience in these designs than there are
manufacturers for monopiles. However, by virtue of their most common construction materials
(concrete), the steel price risk for gravity-based foundations is low. With no piling required,
7
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noise emissions during the project construction are low. Overall, however, environmental impact
in general is high due to the big footprint of most gravity-based foundation concepts. Corrosion
risk is low and foundation robustness is high. Because of the heavy loads involved in
transporting and placing the gravity-based foundations, big installation devicesbarges, cranes
and other handling equipmentare required. Like monopiles, gravity-based foundations are
sensitive to prolonged wave loading, scour and also show medium to high sensitivity against soil
conditions.
3.4.10.4 Tripod Foundations
The tripod foundation is a steel structure composed of a central shaft supported by three legs and
horizontal stiffeners, as shown in Figure 3-25. This foundation type makes its connection to the
seabed through each leg of the tripod, using either driven piles or suction caissons. These piles
pass through and are then grouted to tubes at the end of the tripod legs. Particularly when
compared to the monopile, this more complex structure provides stability and stiffness in the
foundation. This type of foundation is useful in greater water depths, up to 50 m.
Figure 3-25
Tripod foundation
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Wind Power
The track record of tripods is limited, and the fabrication is relatively complexconsisting of
few but very thick welds and noncylindrical tube structures. Based on the number of
manufacturers experienced with this type of design, the market risk is considered medium to
high. Due to the steel construction, steel price risk is also considered very high. Noise emissions
can be high, due to the piling required during the construction phase. Suction caissons have the
potential to reduce noise during construction. Given the steel construction material, corrosion
risk is medium to high, and overall robustness is medium. The size of the transport and
installation devices required for tripod foundations deserves consideration, and is less
constraining than larger foundations like the gravity-based type. Also compared with monopiles
and gravity-based foundations, tripod foundations are less sensitive to wave loading and scour,
and sensitivity to soil conditions is low.
3.4.10.5 Jacket Foundations
The jacket foundation is a kind of latticework structure made of tubular hollow sections. It will
have a square base area of roughly 25 25 m on the seabed in the case of a four-legged jacket
structure, the example shown on the right in Figure 3-26. The foundation structure narrows from
its seabed base to the wind tower base. A three-legged structure is an alternative jacket
foundation design: in this case, the base is formed by an equilateral triangle (the left-side
example in Figure 3-26). Like a tripod foundation, jacket foundations offer higher stability and
stiffness than basic monopile foundations.
Figure 3-26
Jacket foundations
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Wind Power
The installation process for the jacket foundation is similar to that for the tripod foundation in
that the foundation is anchored to the seabed by piles. In general, jacket foundations have high
stiffness and can be used in greater water depths (up to at least 60 m) than that of tripod
foundations.
Promising Directions
A new type of jacket foundations, the so-called twisted jacket, has been developed by Keystone
Engineering in the United States. This design will be tested on a met mast at the 4-GW Hornsea
wind farm zone off the UK.10 The twisted jacket foundation is a variation on a monopile, in that
it has a central pile driven into the seabed and three supporting legs angled around the central
pile to provide additional stability. This design is supposed to reduce costs significantly, but no
practical experience exists so far to support that contention.
Main Advantages and Disadvantages
Although jacket foundations are well known in the oil and gas industry, their track record is low
to medium for offshore wind applications. The fabrication is of medium complexitythe twisted
jacket is fabricated with steel tubes that are typically straightforward with relatively simple but
numerous welds. The installation requires the driving of a single pile into the seabed, which may
reduce costs over those of tripod and other jacket foundation designs. The main risks of this
foundation type arise from steel prices, lack of proven design, and lack of actual experience.
Noise emissions are likely to be very high and similar to monopile foundations during the
construction phase. The overall robustness of this foundation type is considered moderate.
Installation devices for transport and construction are again considered medium. Because of their
relatively small surface areas compared to larger foundation types, the sensitivity of jacket
foundations to wave loading, scour and soil conditions is considered very low.
3.4.10.6 Suction Bucket Foundations
Suction bucket foundations have not been used in commercial offshore projects so far. The suction
bucket foundation is a bucket-like steel foundation with its opening facing downwards, which is
sucked down to the soil by vacuum. The entire soil mass enclosed by the bucket contributes to the
stability of the foundation. This design can be used in water depths up to 40 (55) m.11,12
Main Advantages and Disadvantages
The track record of suction bucket foundations is very low, with only prototypes existing so far.
The complexity of fabrication is low to medium, as the structure employs mainly cylindrical
components with no corners or extended elements. Market risk is also medium because, although
the application to offshore wind is recent, the technology itself is relatively simple and expected
to be within the capability of many manufacturers. Because of the construction material,
however, exposure to steel price risk is considered high. As no piling is required, noise emissions
10
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would be low during the construction phase. Corrosion risk is presumed to be medium, with
again the caveat that there is little actual experience with this design.
Suction bucket designs are expected to be less robust compared with piled foundations. This
reflects the possibility that air gets sucked into the bucket, potentially reducing the stability of the
foundation. The size of the installation equipment required for the suction bucket foundations is
also considered to be medium, based on the relative size of the foundation elements. A big
advantage of this foundation design is presumed to be the ease of dismantling the facility during
decommissioning. When air is pumped into the bucket, the fixed foundation is freed from its
anchor position in the ground. Like monopiles, suction bucket foundations are sensitive to wave
loading and scour. The suction bucket design is also particularly sensitive to soil conditions,
requiring homogeneous soil structures.13
3.4.10.7 Floating Foundations
So far, floating foundations exist only as prototypes. Nonetheless, it is expected that they will
play a major role in future projects where water depths are greater than 50 to 60 m. One of those
conceptsthe tension leg systemis shown in Figure 3-27. This design utilizes submerged
floating bodies to support the rising structure. These floating bodies have excess buoyancy and
are anchored to foundation points on the seabed by means of tendons.
Figure 3-27
Tension leg floating foundation
13
Other issues of potential operational concern over timesuch as long-term stability after continued wave and
ocean action, potential misalignment between structural components, etc.are only now starting to be the focus of
research efforts in Europe.
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As noted, the track record of floating foundations is very limited, as only prototypes exist so far.
Fabrication complexity is high for both the floating structure and the anchors. Because
experience is so limited, market risk must be considered high. Recent design concepts show that
floating foundations can become very heavy, which also leads to a high steel price risk. As no
piling is required, noise emissions are very low during the construction phase. Corrosion risk is
deemed medium to high, based on likely construction materials. Floating foundations are
expected to be less robust compared to piled foundations. The size of installation, transport, and
handling devices required for floating foundations is also lower than for other designsa major
advantage of this approach is the simple ability to ship the construction to an offshore location.
Another big advantage is the relatively easy dismantling ability. Floating foundations are
somewhat sensitive to wave loading; at the same time, sensitivity against scour and soil
conditions are deemed to be very low.
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Table 3-5
Top 10 suppliers 2011
Source: BTM Consult ApS, March 2012
Accu. Supplied
MW
MW
2010
2011
VESTAS (DK)
45,547
5,213
GOLDWIND (PRC)
9,055
3,789
GE WIND (US)
26,871
3,542
GAMESA (S)
21,812
3,309
ENERCON (GE)
22,644
3,188
SUZLON GROUP (IND) 17,301
3,104
SINOVEL (PRC)
10,044
2,945
UNITED POWER (PRC) 2,435
2,859
SIEMENS (DK)
13,538
2,540
MINGYANG (PRC)
1,799
1,178
Others
34,882
8,693
Total
205,927 40,358
Share
2011
%
12.9%
9.4%
8.8%
8.2%
7.9%
7.7%
7.3%
7.1%
6.3%
2.9%
21.5%
100%
Accu.
MW
2011
50,760
12,844
30,412
25,120
25,832
20,405
12,989
5,294
16,078
2,976
43,575
246,284
Despite the challenges from the tough economic climate and regulatory uncertainty in some
markets, the wind industry achieved a 5.9% year over year (YOY) growth rate in 2011, a 2.5%
increase compared with 2010. The growth can be attributed to the continued expansion of the
leading manufacturers in emerging markets such as India, Brazil, Canada, and China.
The general trends in the market for wind turbine manufactures include scaling up turbine sizes,
utilizing larger and lighter turbine blades to provide viable options for low to medium wind
speed sites. In addition to globalization, consolidation within the wind energy sector continues.
Following the acquisition of Scanwind, Darwind and DeWind by GE Energy, Hara XEMC, and
Daewoo, respectively, in 2009, AREVA has completed the purchase of Multibrid in the summer
of 2010. At the end of 2010, United Technologies Corp (UTC) completed its purchase of
Clipper, although it announced in March 2012 that it intends to sell Clipper. Although not many
mergers and acquisitions have taken place this year, under the current market conditions, it is
expected that a number of important mergers and acquisiitios will occur in Europe or the United
States as Asian companies seek to enter the expoert market in these countries.
In 2011, manufacturers extended facilities and several major wind turbine companies expanded
their research and development capabilities in the United States (Figure 3-28). However,
weakened prospects after 2012 has led to industry-wide layoffs and increased pressure on lower
profit margins for manufacturers.
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Wind Power
Figure 3-28
Manufacturing plants for turbine blades and other components
Source: NREL, 2011
The offshore sector will continue to drive innovation in the industry. Further progress with
offshore wind generation is expected within the next five years, mainly in Northern Europe and
Europe. In 2011, about 470 MW of offshore capacity was installed, which represents a 67.5%
deduction from 2010. Six new wind farms (362 MW) were installed in Europe with over 90%
being installed in the United Kingdom and two projects in China (108 MW). Although the 2011
installations were modest, there are nearly 4,000 MW currently under construction in Belgium,
Denmark, the United Kingdom, and China.
An interesting feature noticed among the turbine manufacturers is their presence in international
markets. In spite of an increasing global market, some manufacturers are mainly active in only
their respective domestic markets. This is evident in all of the Chinese suppliers, whereas the
other suppliers are more global (Figure 3-29).
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Wind Power
18%
Global
Supplier
Domestic
Supplier
16%
14%
12%
VESTAS (DK)
10%
GE WIND (US)
GOLDWIND (PRC)
GAMESA (S)
UNITED POWER (PRC)
8%
ENERCON (GE)
SUZLON GROUP (IND)
SINOVEL (PRC)
6%
SIEMENS (DK)
4%
MINGYANG (PRC)
2%
0%
0
10
15
20
25
Figure 3-29
Top 10 suppliers market share and presence
Source: BTM Consult ApS, March 2012
In terms of technological advancements, more effort is being applied to direct drive concepts. In
total, direct drive turbines account for approximately 21% of the global supplya 1.5% increase
from 2010. Several of the smaller turbine manufacturers are gaining market share with a number
of noteworthy developments, though the recent economic downturn has somewhat dampened
expectations. Suzlon purchased a majority stake (85%) in the German turbine manufacturer
REpower in 2007, which increased Suzlons global market share from 10.5% to 13.8% (although
its market share shrank to 9% in 2008 due to poor order inflow). The company purchased a
further stake in REpower in June 2009. Suzlon also purchased the worlds second largest
gearbox supplier, Hansen Transmissions, in 2006, giving the company greater control over its
sub-component supply chain. Ecotcnia, which operates five production facilities in Spain, was
acquired by the major power generation system supplier Alstom in October 2007, representing
Alstoms first move into the wind energy sector.
In 2007, U.S.-based manufacturer Clipper Windpower began serial production of the 2.5-MW
Liberty turbine, shown in Figure 3-30. The turbine drive train consists of a forged steel main shaft
integrated with the gear housing and a bull gear that drives four PMGs arranged around the
housing. This configuration eliminates the conventional three-stage gearbox and spreads the torque
loads across the four pinion gears. The drive train is matched with advanced power electronics
allowing for variable-speed operation and providing full power quality management capability.
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Wind Power
China hosts a number of new entrants into the turbine supply market. However, recent
regulations will moderate overcapacity as seen earlier this year and last year. In June 2011, The
Chinese government stopped giving preferential treatment to original equipment manufacturers
unable to produce turbines with a capacity of 2.5 MW or higher, or with less than 1 GW of
annual assembly capacity.
Figure 3-30
Clipper Windpowers 2.5-MW Liberty Series wind turbine nacelle, with four modular
permanent magnet generators
Source: Clipper Windpower Inc.
The industry has seen a trend in the globalization of wind turbine technology via licensing of
manufacturing rights. Notably, American Superconductor Corp. (ASC), known for its hightemperature superconducting products, entered the wind turbine supply market with the
acquisition in 2007 of Austria-based Windtec, a designer and licenser of complete wind turbine
systems or subcomponents. ASC sells Windtecs proprietary designs to third parties for an initial
fee plus royalty payments for each installation. Purchase of the ASC design allows new
companies to quickly enter the turbine supply market with a tested and certified product. ASC
has sold turbine design licenses to several manufacturers including Sinovel (China), AAER
(Canada), Wikov (Czech Republic), and Fuhrlnder (Germany). See section 3.13 for further
information on technical advancements that have the potential to impact the wind industry
significantly.
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Wind Power
Manufacturer
Model
Rating
(kW)
Rotor
Diameter
(Meters)
Control
Scheme
Status
France
Areva WInd
M5000
5000
116
Pitch (V)
Multibrid; offshore
Germany
Bard
5.0
5000
122
Pitch (V)
Offshore
Germany
Enercon
E126 7.5 MW
7500
127
Pitch (V)
DD annular generator
Spain
Gamesa
G10X-4.5
4500
128
Pitch (V)
IGBT-inverter
Germany
REPOWER
5M
5000
126
Pitch (V)
Onshore/offshore
Germany
REPOWER
6M
6000
126
Pitch (V)
Onshore/offshore
China
Sewind
W3600
3600
116/122
Pitch (V)
Onshore/offshore
Denmark
Siemens
SWT-3.6-107
3600
107
Pitch (V)
Onshore/offshore
China
Sinovel
SL 5000
5000
128
Pitch (V)
Onshore/offshore
14
BTM Consult ApS. International Wind Energy Development World Market Update 2010, March 2011.
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In addition to an increase in individual turbine rated capacities, the land-based turbine market has
experienced an increase in the overall size of a wind power plant. The average size of wind
projects installed in 2009 was 91 MW, an approximate 10 MW over 2008 levels. In the United
States, there are more community wind turbine projects being developed, which drives down the
average wind project size. The nations second largest project, Caithness Shepherds Flat, an
845-MW project in Oregon, was completed and commissioned in September 2012. The largest
project is the 1020-MW Alta Wind Energy Center wind farm in California.
15
Andrew Fowler, June 2, 2008. AWEA Windpower 2008 Presentation, Trends in Wind Power Prices B.O.P. and
Turbine Costs, Renewable Energy Systems Americas (RES).
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Wind Power
Figure 3-31
Breakdown of estimated capital costs for land-based wind plants
Source: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, pp. 13721382
The technology advances of turbine technology discussed in the previous section are expected to
make an impact on the cost of wind turbines as the new technologies are implemented. Table 3-7
summarizes the expected technological advances in turbine technology and the range of
associated increases in capital cost and energy production. This information is based on an
analysis completed by the DOE in order to determine the feasibility of achieving 20% of the U.S.
electric supply mix from wind power by the year 2030 and the technological advances that
would be required. The analysis includes certain assumptions about future market conditions,
such as the long-term extension of the federal production tax credit, which would create a stable
market environment in which companies would be willing to invest in the required research and
development activities. It is expected that most of the listed improvements would not be attained
in the short term. Enlarged rotors are likely to provide the most improvements between now and
2020, whereas the advanced tower concepts may be developed later than the 2030 time frame.
O&M costs are highly variable and depend on a number of factors such as the O&M strategy
employed, the reliability of the equipment, the operating environment, and the roles and
responsibilities of the equipment manufacturer in providing service and warranty repairs. In the
traditional O&M model, the turbine supplier provides warranted service and repairs for a fixed
fee during the first few years of the project. Five to eight years ago, five-year warranties were
available in the market; however, the trend in recent years among turbine suppliers is to reduce
the term to two years and to eliminate operations tasks from the contract. Options are still
available to extend the warranty period beyond the initial two-year term, but owners of large
fleets tend to take over all turbine service, repairs and operations at the close of the warranty
period. Owners that do not have large fleets have also been turning to third-party operators to
service and repair their projects.
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Table 3-7
Areas of potential technology improvement
Cost Increments
(Best/Expected/Least, Percent)
Technical Area
Potential Advances
Annual Energy
Production
Turbine
Capital Cost
Advanced tower
concepts
+11/+11/+11
+8/+12/+20
Advanced (enlarged)
rotors
* Advanced materials
* Improved structural-aero design
* Active controls
* Passive controls
* Higher tip speed/lower acoustics
+35/+25/+10
6/-3/+3
+7/+5/0
0/0/0
Drive train
(gearboxes, generators,
and power electronics)
+8/+4/0
11/6/+1
Manufacturing and
learning curve
0/0/0
27/13/3
+61/+45/+21
36/10/+21
Totals
Source: 20% Wind Energy by 2030: Increasing Wind Energys Contribution to U.S. Electricity Supply, DOE,
May 2008. DOE/GO-102008-2578
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Offshore Wind Technology presented by Walt Musial, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, at AWEA
Offshore Wind Workshop, September 9, 2008.
17
BTM Consult ApS. International Wind Energy Development World Market Update 2009, March 2010, p. 64.
18
Offshore Wind Technology presented by Walt Musial, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, at AWEA
Offshore Wind Workshop, September 9, 2008.
3-57
Wind Power
19
40,000 MW by 2020: Building offshore wind in Europe. Renewable Energy World, January 3, 2008.
20
21
22
http://www.abb.com/cawp/seitp202/261428146168c203c12573bf002f3466.aspx.
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Installation costs
Average actual costsavailable reports and specific project data were examined to establish
actual component costs. This yielded a range of costs within which a developer should expect
each category of costs to fall.
Both these methods were used in developing the capital costs for the projects discussed in this
report.
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Wind Power
Jacket
Tripod
600720
(650)
9401,215
(1,100)
725980
(850)
8401,008
(910)
1,3161,700
(1,540)
1,0151,372
(1,190)
To date, only two examples of gravity-based foundations have been identified in place, for which data were
available. This includes one small WTG (maximum 2 MW in size) in shallow water, and a second project of 5 MW
in deep water.
24
These estimates are for the WTG purchase only and do not include delivery, installation and/or commissioning.
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Wind Power
Most offshore WTGs make use of medium voltage switchgears with a rated voltage of 36
kV, running at an operating voltage of 33 kV.
The IAG cannot run at an operating voltage of 36 kV, as the grid operators in Europe usually
request a maximum overvoltage of 20% for a short period of time. This level would create
too high a voltage for 36 kV rated switchgears to survive.
IAG cabling of higher voltages would require switchgears also rated to those higher voltages.
Switchgears with this capability are quite expensive and large, too large to fit in the base or
transition pieces of current WTGs, where the typical tower/transition piece measures 4.5 m to
6 m in diameter. In addition, use of higher voltage IAG would require higher safety/
shielding distances.
Costs for the IAG are typically estimated including installation of the cabling. Typical IAG costs
are in the range of 100 to 173 /kW (140 to 242 $/kW) with an average value of 130 /kW
(182 $/kW).
3.8.3.5 Offshore Substation (OSS)
The OSS is the offshore platform that is connected to the lower voltage strings of the IAG and to
the higher voltage export cable(s) to the coast (or to another platform). The OSS is mainly
equipped with busbars, switchgears, and step-up transformers to increase the voltage from the
usual 33 kV of the IAG to the higher voltage of the export cable(s). Typical costs for offshore
substations are in the range of 155 to 215 /kW (217 to 301 $/kW) with an average value of 181
/kW (253 $/kW).
3.8.3.6 Export Cabling and Onshore Interconnection
The export cable (usually one or two, depending on installed power and redundancy philosophy)
connects the OSS to the onshore grid or substation. Export cables are usually 120 kV to 160 kV
and operate at ac for wind farms near the coast, where the cable length is typically less than 100
km. With larger distances to the coast (100 km), a dc cable connection may be required as ac
cables are subject to high losses over such distances. Because both of the hypothetical wind
farms under discussion in this report are well within 80 km from shore (20 and 8 km,
respectively, for the NE and GL locations), we have assumed an AC export cable for both
facilities. In Europe, the export cable and the onshore interconnection are usually not considered
as part of the CAPEX for offshore wind farms, as it is often built by the transmission system
operator (TSO) or special purpose companies. In eight EU countries active in offshore wind
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development, five25 require the project developer to build and pay for the offshore export
cabling. In the United States, where no general policy has yet been enacted, we assume that
responsibility for export cabling lays 100% with the wind farm developer. Typical costs for
the export cabling and onshore interconnection are in the range of 250 to 1,300 /kW (350 to
1,820 $/kW) with an average value of 820 /kW (1,148 $/kW).
3.8.3.7 Installation Costs
The installation costs for offshore wind farms are estimated to range between 7% and 17% of the
total CAPEX. These costs depend heavily on project specific parameters, such as water depth,
coastal distance (or distance to base port), the number and size of both the foundations and the
WTG and the distances across the entire wind farm. Review of project data and available studies
has shown that installation costs for the IAG and the OSS are covered within the CAPEX for
those two components. As a result, in this section we report installation costs for two categories
only, the foundations and the WTG for the 3-MW+ sized projects. Typical costs for the
installation of foundation and WTG range between 290 and 500 /kW (406 to 700 $/kW) with an
average value of 385 /kW (539 $/kW). Table 3-9 summarizes the ranges and average costs by
major wind farm component, as discussed in this section.
Table 3-9
Offshore wind: CAPEX costs from project data
Cost Ranges
($/KW)
Cost Average
($/KW)
8401,680
1,260
1,7852,362
2,044
140242
182
Offshore substation
217301
253
3501820
1148
406700
539
3,7387,105
5,426
CAPEX Component
Total
25
The five that require the developer to build the offshore transmission line(s) are the UK, Sweden, the Netherlands,
Ireland, and France. Germany and Denmark consider this cost to be the responsibility of the TSO, whereas Belgium
has a cost-sharing formula: 1/3 TSO; 2/3 developer.
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Source
WTG
Foundation
Grid
Installation
Other
/kW
$/kW26
44
22
14
15
3,300
4,620
Windenergie Report
Deutschland
Offshore, Fraunhofer
IWES, 2009
45
25
21
3,600
5,040
not
not
not
not
estimated
estimated
estimated
estimated
3,700
5,180
not
not
not
not
not
estimated
estimated
estimated
estimated
estimated
3,000
4,200
Offshore Wind in
Europe, Market Study,
KPMG 2010
Offshore wind power:
big challenge, big
opportunity, Carbon
Trust, 2008
26
15
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Wind Power
Table 3-10 (continued)
Offshore wind: total CAPEX and CAPEX share by component category
Total CAPEX
(Estimated)
Foundation
Grid
not
not
not
estimated
estimated
estimated
KEMA project
data, 2011
36
22
28
Average values
41
23
19
13
Offshore Wind
Energy
Installation and
Decommissioning
Cost Estimation
in the US Outer
Continental Shelf,
Energy Research
Group, 2010
Installation
20
Figure 3-32
Offshore wind: CAPEX distribution by category
27
3-64
Other
not
/kW
$/kW
27
3,070
4,300
4,070
5,698
3,457
4,840
estimated
Wind Power
It is important to note that this analysis is based on historical data, largely European in origin.
Although the data themselves cluster sufficiently well to merit confidence in the result, it should
be noted that these figures might change significantly as U.S. offshore wind infrastructure grows
in depth and capability in all five categories of CAPEX, but particularly U.S.-based foundation
manufacturing and installation.
3.8.3.9 O&M Costs
This section explores the cost of operation and maintenance (O&M) for offshore wind farms.
Estimating O&M costs depends on many variables including turbine type, distance to shore,
location of O&M base, vessel types, and many other related factors. This section begins with an
overview of each O&M component, including a rough cost estimate. These generic factors have
been used in the project-specific estimates included in all three projects discussed in this report.
O&M costs for an offshore wind farm are significantly higher than for onshore wind farms and
therefore contribute substantially to the energy generation costs. These higher costs are the direct
result of the projects offshore location, which inherently includes difficult and costly access and
a generally higher cost to affect needed maintenance and repairs.
Maintenance is essential to guarantee the availability of a wind farm. Wind farm availability is
defined as the percentage of time the facility is able to produce electricity in proportion to 100%
of the time available in a certain period (usually one year). Availability is a function of the
reliability, maintainability, serviceability, and operation of the wind farm and each component of
that facility.
For offshore wind farms, site accessibility and the maintenance strategy adopted by facility
operators are of equal importance in maximizing the total availability of the offshore generation.
Figure 3-33 provides a diagram of the factors that influence the availability of an offshore wind
farm. Each of these is defined as follows:
Reliability of a system is the probability that the system will perform its tasks. This
probability is usually determined as a percentage of time or the mean time between failures
(MTBF). For a wind turbine, the average MTBF is between 1 and 4 months, depending on
the turbine type or the development stage of a wind turbine.
Availability is the probability that the system is operating satisfactorily. The major difference
between reliability and availability is the O&M strategy of the system. A system can be very
reliablethat is, its failure frequency is extremely low, but when no maintenance or repair
action is taken after a failure, its availability becomes very poor.
Maintainability is a more qualitative issue that addresses the ease of repair issue. It can be
expressed in terms of hours needed to complete a repair action.
Accessibility is associated with the ability to get to the site to perform necessary maintenance
and repairs. This can be affected by weather conditions, vessel availability, distance from
port, and project design.
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Figure 3-33
Factors that influence wind farm availability
Turbine reliability, maintainability, and serviceability are influenced by the turbine chosen. Each
type of turbine has specific failure rates for the components used, which influence its reliability.
Maintainability and serviceability are influenced in part by the type of components that are used
in the wind turbine and partly by the design of that turbine. During turbine design, designers can
take into account the nature and frequency of maintenancefor example, placing a filter that
needs frequent replacement in an easily accessible location.
The reliability, maintainability, and serviceability of a wind turbine and the influence of each
parameter on the units overall availability generally apply to both onshore and offshore turbines.
For onshore turbines, these three parameters are good indicators to predict overall availability.
Additional factors that influence offshore availability include both the accessibility of the wind
farm and the maintenance strategy adopted by operators. The reduced accessibility of offshore
facilities, and the logistical arrangements required (ships, jack-up barges, or helicopters), are the
main factors that differentiate offshore O&M from onshore O&M.
Generally, the costs for maintaining an offshore wind farm will be determined by both corrective
and preventive maintenance. The maintenance costs over the lifetime of the WTG can be split up
into three major phases. Each of these phases is characterized by different WTG operating
patterns and therefore by different O&M strategies and activities.
Phase 1: Startupduring the commissioning period, the burn-in problems usually require
additional maintenance effort (and thus costs). Time should be spent on finding the right settings
of software, changing minor production errors, etc. Turbine manufacturers usually provide a
fixed price, five-year contract that covers commissioning, preventive and corrective
maintenance, warranties, and machine damage.
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Phase 2: Normal operating lifeduring this period, preventive maintenance will be completed
and random failures might still occur. After about 10 years of operation, it is very likely that
some of the main systems of the turbines will need attention, including pitch motors, hydraulic
pumps, lubrication systems, rotor blades, gearbox, generator etc. Experience is so far quite
limited to indicate how often a major overhaul should be carried out. The exact point in time at
which the overhaul(s) should take place is presently not known, perhaps after seven years, 15
years, or not at all. The major overhaul in fact is to be considered as condition-based
maintenance.
Phase 3: Wear-out phaseduring this period, the failure rate can be expected to increase due to
aging of the components. As the end of the WTGs lifetime approaches, the rate of corrective
maintenance is likely to increase. At present, it is not possible to predict how much additional
corrective maintenance will be required, as most available failure statistics rely on data from
WTG that have less than 15 years of operation.
The chosen maintenance strategy describes the equipment needed to perform maintenance. It
also lays out the framework and plans to accomplish the two types of maintenance required by an
offshore wind farm: preventive maintenance and corrective maintenance. These two types of
maintenance are discussed in more detail in the next sections.
3.8.3.10 Preventive Maintenance
Preventive maintenance is performed to avoid component failures and is an essential part of
ensuring the maximum availability of the wind turbines. Most wind turbine types require
between one (state of the art) and two preventive maintenance visits per year. Work is performed
by a team of at least three service engineers;28 for large units, two to three teams (six to nine
technicians) are generally sent. Depending on the type of service, the number of service
technicians and the size of the wind turbine, a preventive overhaul can take between two and
nine visits (48216 hours of standstill). Currently, best practice for offshore preventive
overhauls requires between two and four days (4896 hours of standstill).
Below we describe three different categories of preventive maintenance: planned, Condition
based, and reliability based:
28
In Europe it has become an industry standard to always send at least three technicians to an offshore WTG for
safety reasons (it is easier to rescue an injured technician with two people and offshore wind farms are built in
remote areas).
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Wind Power
To the extent possible, timing of preventive maintenance can also improve project availability by
reducing the amount of power production loss due to O&M activities. Wind conditions at an
offshore wind facility are not uniform throughout the year, and there are typically periods of low
wind conditions. Timing preventive maintenance activities that require WTG shutdown during
low wind periods can improve project overall availability.
3.8.3.11 Corrective Maintenance
Corrective maintenance is defined as maintenance required to keep WTGs in operation that are
not part of the normal plant maintenance cycles. Often corrective maintenance is associated with
component failure, but can include corrective actions conducted on a non-routine basis to
mitigate a potential failure or investigate a site condition. The wind farm will also be equipped
with a SCADA monitoring system. The SCADA system enables monitoring and control of the
wind from a companys control center (onshore or offshore). Although safety reasons limit the
control capabilities of the SCADA system, most manufacturers allow remote starts, stops,
adjusting of maximum power, setting and changing parameters and yawing of the turbines.
Besides providing this level of remote control, the SCADA system is used for data acquisition.
Data logged by the SCADA system includes the following:
Historical and real-time data from a variety of control and safety sensors
Meteorological data
Production data
The SCADA system can indicate when a turbine is not functioning properly, thereby triggering
corrective maintenance. The SCADA system is not the only indicator for corrective maintenance.
During preventive maintenance or any extra service visit, inspections by service technicians may
reveal equipment conditions that cannot be corrected during routine maintenance visits and may
require further corrective maintenance.
Based on generalized data, on average, two to six failures requiring corrective maintenance occur
per year in state-of-the-art onshore WTG.29 Several types of failures can be solved by remote
means; others require on-site action by a maintenance team. Although these figures are valid for
onshore WTG, it is expected that state-of-the-art offshore WTG will achieve at least these
29
Durstewitz, Ensslin. +15 years of practical experiences with wind power in Germany.
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frequencies, if not a lower frequency of events. The current experience of offshore wind farms
shows lower overall project availability than that of onshore wind projects. It is also expected
that the new larger WTG models will have higher numbers of failures in their initial years than
current machines because of a lack of historical operating data.30
Turbine suppliers are understandably reluctant to provide data on the failure rates and frequency
of corrective maintenance of their turbines. Data gathered on different turbines and turbine
components shows that the average frequency of corrective maintenance for turbines is between
two to five occurrences per year, but with a large scatter (between 1 and 10) depending on the
units size, type, and age. Corrective maintenance rates are higher during the first three to five
years of operation when compared to the following five years.
Turbine corrective maintenance can be caused by many different components. Figure 3-34
depicts the distribution of failures by different categories of wind turbine components. The
majority of failures occur in electrical and control systems, including power electronics and
sensors.
Figure 3-34
Distribution of turbine failures by components
30
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Wind Power
When normal turbine operation is impeded or influenced by equipment problems, the severity of
the problem and the influence on operation determines the corrective maintenance action
required.
(Remote) resetTurbines are controlled and monitored by a variety of software. What could
seem to be a hardware problem could also be caused by software. A reset of the turbine could
solve the situation when this is caused by software. Resetting the turbine in many cases can
be done remotely. For safety reasons, however, it is not possible to perform a remote reset for
a large variety of equipment problems, especially if the root cause cannot be identified.
Small failureFailures can occur that have little or no impact on the operation of the wind
farm or wind turbine. These failures require corrective maintenance. When the failure doesn't
influence normal operation, the decision may be made to postpone corrective action until
preventive maintenance is planned.
Large failureFailures that have impact on the normal operation of the wind farm or wind
turbine require immediate corrective maintenance. Depending on the component and nature
of the failure, corrective maintenance can either be performed immediately or scheduled as
needed to accommodate mobilization of required vessels and/or the lead time needed to
secure spare parts.
The O&M costs are approximately 40 to 70 $/kW installed capacity per year.
Experience shows that O&M expenditures for offshore facilities can contribute to approximately
25 to 30% of the LCOE. By comparison, the equivalent O&M contribution for an onshore
facility is between 10% and 15%. The higher O&M burden for offshore facilities is attributable
to several factors, including (a) equipment costs for offshore O&M activities, such as crane ships
and other vessels; (b) higher wages for offshore technicians;and (c) accessibility (as offshore
locations may be impeded by weather conditions, high waves, and strong winds). Furthermore,
the capacity factors are generally higher for offshore wind farms. Other factors that come into
play include the following:
Turbine maintenanceturbine failure rate, indicating the demand for corrective maintenance
Transportation and vessel availabilitythe vessels and equipment required to access the
units, for lifting and repair, and the fluctuating prices for these elements
Weather conditionsthe influence of the wave height and wind speed on the operational
windows for accessing and repairing the turbine
Logistical considerationsfor example, personnel availability, the crew size, stock control,
contracts with equipment suppliers and offshore companies
31
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Wind Power
Turbine maintenance. If offshore turbines fail, maintenance technicians need to access the
turbines and carry out maintenance. Especially in case of failures of large components, offshore
turbines are being modified to make replacements of large components easy, such as by making
modular designs, or by building in an internal crane to hoist larger components. The ease by
which repairs can be made influences the O&M expenditures.
Transportation and vessel availability. For present-day offshore wind farms, small boats like
catamarans (e.g., Windcat), mono hulls (e.g., Fob Lady), or SWATH ( Small Waterplane-Area
Twin Hull) boats are being used to transfer personnel from the harbor to the turbines. In case of
bad weather, helicopters also are being used. Rigid inflatable boats (RIBs) are used only for short
distances and during very good weather. For intermediate sized components like a yaw drive,
main bearing, or pitch motor, it is often necessary to use a larger vessel for transportation of
equipment, such as a supply vessel.
For both construction and maintenance of an offshore wind farm, several purpose-built vessels
are used, such as cable laying vessels and heavy lifting vessels. These vessels can be deployed all
over the world. The Merchant Marine Act of 1920, commonly known as the Jones Act, requires
vessels engaged in the transport of passengers or cargo between U.S. destinations to be built and
flagged in the United States, and owned and crewed by U.S. citizens. The Merchant Marine Act
could influence the number, type, and cost of vessels available for offshore wind work on U.S.
projects, thereby creating possible capacity constraints.
Each of the vessel types listed above can be specified by several characteristics. For offshore
operation and maintenance, the following characteristics are of importance:
Weather windowthe nature and extremes of weather that the vessel can reliably and
consistently handle, especially wave height and wind speed
Logistics timelead time to arrange for and prepare the vessel for its intended use
Functional capabilitiesthese may take many forms, e.g., the maximum number of
maintenance technicians or personnel that can be transported, maximum hoisting capacity
and height, maximum load that can be transferred
Vessel costsof the system per hour or per day and the costs for mobilization and
demobilization
The cost of vessels can vary considerably depending on size and capabilities. Day rates may vary
between 2,500 for a small supply vessel to 100,000 or more for jack-up vessels. The
availability of vessels can also be an issue. Large lifting vessels are scarce and therefore not
always available when needed, which can result in long downtimes.
Weather conditions. Offshore weather conditions, mainly wind speeds and wave heights, do
have a large influence on the O&M procedures of offshore wind farms. The maintenance
activities and replacement of large components can only be carried out if the wind speed and
wave heights are sufficiently low. Preventive maintenance actions are therefore usually planned
in the summer period with lower wind speeds and wave heights and fewer storms. If failures
occur in the winter season, it does happen that technicians cannot access the turbines for repair
actions due to bad weather, and this may result in long downtimes and thus revenue losses.
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Wind Power
Logistical considerations. The location and capabilities of available harbor locations also have
an influence on the O&M strategy. All workers and goods have to be transferred between the
offshore wind farm and a selected harbor. The harbor capabilities determine which type of
vessels can enter the harbor, and under what weather conditions vessels can enter. The following
items related to harbor facilities influence O&M strategy and expenditures:
Proximity to wind farmthe location of the harbor determines the travel time to the wind
farm. Long traveling times result in longer down times, longer shifts for maintenance
personal and increased probability that weather will change before the wind farm is reached.
24/7 quayside access requiredalthough most O&M facilities currently operate within a 12
hour daily working window, it is essential that 24 hour access is available to facilitate 24
hour operation as required. This could, for example, be necessary during a major overhaul.
Speed restrictionsthe location of an O&M facility within a port environment and travel
distance through the port are key considerations. An O&M facility located deep within a
large port may prove less attractive when compared to a smaller port further away and not
subject to the same speed restrictions.
Conflicting traffica busy port can impact dramatically on the ability of an O&M operator
to respond to an emergency, thus a quieter port with less conflicting traffic is preferred.
Tidal constraintssome ports are not accessible during a certain period due to tidal
constrains. This can impact maintenance planning, travel time and quayside access.
Local, skilled workforcealthough a developer and the associated turbine manufacturer will
provide the specific training required to operate and maintain a wind farm, a local, skilled
workforce is essential.
Provision of a helicopter servicefor larger, more remote wind farms, transport to and from the
site may be supported by a dedicated helicopter service. Transportation by sea is also greatly
reliant on stable weather conditions, which can restrict access to the wind farm. A helicopter
service will greatly increase the ability to access the wind farm in poor weather conditions. It is
likely that most developers will require a dedicated helicopter facility on the same site as the
O&M building to minimize transfer times for maintenance crew and equipment.
Wind Power
hypothetical, assumptions were made regarding the project-specific information. Because many
of the models assumptions reflect predefined data incorporated into the model, the relationships
and results are indicative of an offshore wind farm in Europes North Sea.
3.8.4 Offshore Plant Performance
In general, the wind farms performance or overall efficiency is higher in smaller wind farms and
higher with larger distances between the WTG. This is due to the reduced wake effects, defined
as the reduction of the wind speed behind the rotors in a wind farm. The wake effect is also
responsible for an increase in the intensity of the turbulence inside a wind farm, which in turn
can lead to higher maintenance costs for the WTG (as higher turbulence causes a higher rate of
wear and tear on the WTG components). Optimal wind farm cost efficiency, therefore, represents
a tradeoff between the spacing and distances between the turbines, and the construction costs for
the offshore wind project.
Another variable that affects both cost and wind farm efficiency is the arrangement and
placement of turbines within the farm area. The layout can utilize either symmetrical or
asymmetrical placement of the WTG. Figure 3-35 shows two layouts of wind projects: an
optimized symmetrical layout on the left and an optimized stochastic layout on the right.
Experience and literature32 suggest that a symmetrical wind farm layout typically has lower
overall efficiency than an asymmetrical layout. For this reason, an asymmetrical layout was
chosen for purposes of this analysis. According to Neubert et al.,33 even an optimized
symmetrical layout will have a net energy output 1% below the wind farm efficiency of an
optimized asymmetrical layout.
Figure 3-35
Comparison of symmetrical and asymmetrical wind farm layouts
32
A. Neubert, A. Shah, W. Schlez (2010): Maximum Yield from Symmetrical Wind Farm Layouts. DEWEK
2010.
33
Ibid.
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Wind Power
Depending on the wind turbine type, the minimum distances between turbines as required by the
manufacturers will be five rotor diameters (in mean wind direction) and four rotor diameters
(perpendicular to the mean wind direction).
The shorter distances between turbines lead to higher wear and tear on the units due to higher
turbulences and wake effects inside the wind farm, which can in turn lead to a reduced unit
lifetime. For this reason, greater distances between the WTGs were used in both the Northeastern
and Great Lakes projects.
3.8.5 Offshore Plant Cost Estimates
3.8.5.1 Northeastern United States
For the purposes of this assessment, four northeastern coastal states were evaluated: Maine,
Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and New Jersey. The following factors were key to this analysis:
Ocean depth and floor conditionsthe availability of reliable and detailed information on
which to base design of the foundation structure for the hypothetical facility
Economic supportsthe availability and nature of any incentives for the developers of
offshore wind facilities, as these factors weigh into the economic calculation of later tasks
Based on this analysis, sites off the coast of New Jersey were selected for further consideration
(Figure 3-36). Our selection of New Jersey reflects several key factors:
The states proactive work to identify offshore tracks for wind industry leasing interest.34
The innovative program of economic supports created under the Offshore Wind Economic
Development Act. This program created a renewable energy credit (OREC) specifically for
offshore wind, and an aggressive state purchasing mandate is part of that program.
New Jerseys proximity to the major electricity markets of New Jersey and New York City.
The tract is made up of eight 5km-square blocks from the New Jersey Ocean Baseline Study.
These blocks are marked as blocks 7O, P, Q, and R, and 8O, P, Q, and R. Together, these blocks
constitute a site of 10 km wide by 20 km across, for 200 square km. The advantages of this
location include:
Inclusion within the study area of the New Jersey ocean baseline study area; therefore
environmental impacts have already been established/recorded
In April 2011, NJ DEP issued a call for nominations from firms interested in leasing tracts offshore for potential
wind generation. See the press release at http://www.state.nj.us/dep/newsrel/2011/11_0053.htm.
34
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Wind Power
Land access to nearest shore location may be problematic, given narrow roads on barrier
beaches and small vacation towns.
Closest shore area is not industrial, so staging is not as close as ideal. Barging from Port
Authority facilities may be required.
The selected tract begins roughly nine miles off the coast and extends eastward 10 km, making
the eastward edge of the potential tract 22 miles off the New Jersey coast. Depths increase
slightly over the 200 square km, from 22 m at the western edge to 31 m at the eastern boundary.
The tract is characterized by a gently sloping sandy bottom at 17 to 27 m in the area selected for
the wind farm, and has net mean tides of five feet. Average wind speeds at this location are
assumed to be 8.8 m/s, and the probability of winter ice formation is low.
Assessment of site environmental conditions relies on an extensive study completed by the NJ
Department of Environmental Protection in their Ocean/ Wind Power Ecological Baseline
Studies, released in late 2010.35 The Environmental Sensitivity Index (ESI) developed for the
New Jersey coast cataloged in detail the marine resources in this location. Sensitivities found in
this area include:
The identified tract is one of the largest studied that shows generally low sensitivity on most
parameters throughout the majority of the surveyed area.
Two shipwrecks are present within this tractcreating a single point as a non-development
area, because of the species that utilize the wreck for habitat.
One block (R7) contains a shoal, with relatively higher ESI in recognition of the essential
fisheries habitat and commercial and recreational fishing areas in that portion of the block.
Avian density is less than 50 birds per km2, on par with virtually the entire NJ coast.
The identified tractall eight surveyed blocksis considered generally representative of the
vast stretch of NJ coast, with between 13 and 24 (of the 40 species recorded in the area)
dependent on the habitat in these blocks. Only one small section of R7 was deemed to have
greater essential fish habitat (EFH), likely associated with the shoals in that block.
Five of the eight blocks had expanses where sea turtle sightings might occur, although at a
frequency less likely than many other coastal areas.
Marine mammalsboth threatened and endangered (T+E) and all other marine mammals
were noted in this location. The eight-block target location shows three blocks with the
lowest frequency of marine mammal sightings, two blocks with the highest frequency.
35
New Jersey Department of Environmental Protections four-volume series of Ocean/ Wind Power Ecological
Baseline Studies is available at http://www.nj.gov/dep/dsr/ocean-wind/report.htm.
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Wind Power
Figure 3-36
Northeastern project location
Project Description
The turbines selected for this project are the Siemens STW3.6 MW120. To reach the 450 MW
projected output, a total of 125 WTGs will be mounted on monopile foundations and 80 meter
towers. In the absence of detailed information on the turbulence or other parameters of the wind
conditions, a base area for the wind farm of 10 6 km, with the long side oriented toward the
main wind direction will be used. This produces a wind farm layout of 8 rows of 16 WTGs each
with one row with only 13 WTGs.
The wind farm layout is shown in Figure 3-37. The distances between the WTGs are six rotor
diameters or 720 m (6 120 m = 720 m) in mean wind direction and five rotor diameters or
600 m (5 120 m = 600 m) perpendicular to the mean wind direction. We also assumed a 500 m
safety distance around the wind farm. This safety buffer draws on European experience, is
usually considered part of the wind farm and represents a safety distance to shipping lines, cable
routes, pipelines, and the like. As an additional safety measure, offshore wind farms are usually a
restricted area for any public or recreation ship traffic.
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Wind Power
Figure 3-37
Northeastern U.S. project: wind farm layout
Given the assumed base area, orientation and wind farm layout, the efficiency of the
Northeastern U.S. Project is estimated to be 90%.
Cost Analysis
Estimated CAPEX
The Northeastern U.S. Project is defined according to the design criteria and boundary
conditions summarized in Table 3-11. These are the basis for the estimated cost elements in
Table 3-12, which are used in the economic modeling in the following sections.
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Table 3-11
Northeastern U.S. project: design criteria and boundary conditions
Parameter
Description / Comment
Rated capacity
450 MW
125 SWT-3.6-120
Rotor diameter
120 m
Hub height
80 m
Location
20 km
Water depth
921 m
(max. 27 m)
Tidal range
< 1.5 m
Wave heights
13 m
Ambient temperature
range
Soil conditions
Wind conditions
Ice formation
Very low
Foundations
Monopiles
IAG design
3-78
Value
33 kV
Offshore substation
(OSS)
Wind Power
Table 3-12
Northeastern U.S. project: estimated CAPEX
Component
Sum
[M]
Sum
[M$]
[/kW]
[$/kW]
2,240
Comments
Higher value due to hot climate
version
720
1,008
48
1,600
Foundations
293
410
21
650
59
83
130
Offshore substation
90
126
200
280
112
157
250
Installation
173
242
12
385
70
98
155
1,517
2,124
100
3,371
4,720
152
212
10
337
472
1,669
2,336
110
3,708
5,192
Other (project
development, insurance,
project management, etc.)
Subtotal:
Contingencies
Total
Conservative assumption
some sources use 5%
On this basis, the estimated total CAPEX for the Northeastern Offshore Wind Project is 1,669
M ($2,336 M) or 3,709/kW ($5,193/kW).
In addition to CAPEX, the TPI was estimated for the Northeastern Project, as shown in Table 313. TPI assumes the TPC with the addition of construction loan and other financing costs. Other
assumptions of the TPI calculation include a nine-month construction cycle and 40% of the cost
paid in month 1 with the balance of costs levelized over remaining 8 months (at 50/50
debt/equity ratio and debt interest rate).
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Table 3-13
Northeastern U.S. project: total plant investment
End of Year
Total Cash
Expended TPC
Before Tax
Construction
Loan Cost at
Debt Financing
Rate
2012 Value of
Construction
Loan Payments
TOTAL PLANT
INVESTMENT
($M)
($M)
($M)
($M)
2012
$2,336
$118.53
$2,454.71
$2,454,71
2013
$0
$0
$0
$0
TOTAL (TPI)
$2,454.71
As described above, the Northeastern Project is assumed to have 125 turbines of 3.6 MW,
located off the New Jersey coast.
To facilitate quick response to any failures occurring in the wind farm, qualified harbor facilities
must be located as close to the wind farm as possible. One harbor will be selected when there is a
harbor facility in close proximity that meets all the requirements. This would be the most ideal
situation since all operations can be coordinated from one location. A detailed assessment of
local options could also yield the result that no single nearby harbor meets all requirements. At
that point, operators must determine whether to select (a) a single harbor further away that meets
all requirements but will result in longer travel times, or (b) two harborsone harbor nearby for
day-to-day O&M activities, for which the harbor requirements are more easily met, as only
smaller vessels are used. A second harbor situated further away would be used for coordinating
O&M activities that require larger or special vessels.
After a quick assessment, two harbors were selected for the Northeastern project. The harbor that
will be used for the day-to-day O&M is the harbor of Atlantic City, which lies 30 km from the
wind farm. Because this harbor is not equipped with the appropriate freight handling equipment
for large components, however, large spare parts will have to be transported from Port Newark,
which is located 100 km from the wind farm.
Estimating project-specific O&M expenditures depends on many different factors. No detailed
information is available on wind and wave conditions for this hypothetical site. Also constructing
a specific O&M strategy for this location is out of the scope of this project; therefore, only a
general range of O&M expenditures can be given. O&M costs per year are approximately $50
per installed kW.
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Wind Power
The Northeastern project will have specific properties that influence the overall costs of the
O&M operation. The following section details some of these cost drivers, including:
Distance to harborfor each maintenance action a vessel has to travel to the wind farm. The
distance from the harbor to the wind farm has significant influence on total O&M
expenditures. Longer traveling times result in higher fuel consumption and longer down
times. Maintenance teams have less time to complete repairs, which can result in that some
maintenance actions require two shifts to complete instead of one. As the wind farm is 30 km
from the harbor, it will take a crew vessel traveling at 25 knots 45 minutes on average to
reach the wind farm. This is an average travel time for offshore wind farms. Larger
components are shipped from Newark, which will take a longer time due to the longer
distance and the lower traveling speed of the larger, specialized vessels.
Two harbor facilitiesusing two harbor facilities has the advantage that day-to-day
operations can be done from a harbor nearby the wind farm. The disadvantage is that two
separate locations have to be rented and equipped with appropriate equipment and facilities
to facilitate the O&M requirements.
To estimate the energy yield for the both the NE and GL wind farms, we refer to the gross
energy yields for the Siemens SWT-3.6-120 wind turbine that is assumed in both cases. For the
NE project, the assumed average wind speed of 8.8 m/s is shown in Figure 3-38.
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Wind Power
Figure 3-38
Power curve of STW-3.6-120
As no detailed wind conditions are known from these hypothetical sites, normal offshore
conditions have been assumed, following those seen in the North Sea (although these may be
very conservative for the less rugged NJ coast). Table 3-14 summarizes the annual energy yield
calculated from the average wind speed and other conditions shown.
Table 3-14
Annual energy yield, Northeastern U.S. project
Number of WTG
125
450
90
8.8
k-factor
2.3
16,856
2,107,000
1,896,300
We have used the values of the gross energy output in Table 3-14 for calculating the net energy
output, along with a typical guaranteed availability and other losses. The results are depicted in
Table 3-15.
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Wind Power
The technical availability estimate for the wind farm, 95%, is realistic and is a quite common
industry value for the guaranteed technical availability. Electrical efficiency is expected to be
98% for the Northeastern project, assuming that the point of common coupling (PCC) and thus
the kWh counter is inside the wind farm. Losses due to neighboring wind farms are not assumed,
as no other developments are known to be planned in the immediate vicinity. Other losses, which
are not covered by the availability guarantee of the WTG supplier, have also been considered.
These additional unavoidable losses may arise from (a) the 95/5% manufacturer operational
guaranteethat is, 5% of the operating hours might be unavailable because of issues with the
WTG; (b) other unavoidable and/or allowable standstills, such as normal maintenance, customer
and authority visits, ice formation on rotor blades, no accessibility due to bad weather, grid faults
and so forth.
In recognition of these factors, the following worst-case calculation is presented, based on
common O&M contracts and common allowable standstills per WTG:
Normal maintenance
35 days/year
13 day/year
510 days/year
0.5 day/year
Grid faults
0.5 day/year
Total
A realistic estimate for the best case would be some 7 to 10 days of allowable standstills per
year, which equals to losses of some 2% to 3%. Based on these assumptions, estimated annual
energy yield for the NE wind farm to be as shown in Table 3-15.
Table 3-15
Estimate of full load hours, Northeastern U.S. project
Estimated Availability
Gross Energy Yield [MWh/yr]
Base Case
Worst Case
1,896,300
1,896,300
- Availability
96.0 %
95.0 %
- Electrical Efficiency
99.0 %
98.0 %
2.0 %
7.0 %
1,766,200
1,648,900
6.9
13.4
3,924
3,649
Estimates for the realistic annual energy yield can be assumed to be roughly 1,766 GWh/yr for
the Northeastern project.
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Wind Power
Economic Analysis
As described earlier, the study methodology included development of the Offshore Wind
Economic Analysis Model. This tool was combined with the costs and output discussed in the
previous sections to calculate the LCOE on the Northeastern project. This calculation uses the
financial assumptions summarized in Table 3-16.
Table 3-16
Financial assumptions, Northeastern U.S. project
Rated plant capacity
Annual energy production at busbar (EPB)
Therefore, capacity factor
450 MW
1,766,200 MWh/yr
44,80%
2012
35%
State
State tax rate
Composite tax rate (T)
Book life
New Jersey
9.00%
41%
20 years
8.0%
50%
0%
50%
10.5%
0%
5.6%
8.1%
7.4%
Inflation rate
1.76%
6.3%
5.6%
0%
$0.022/kWh
$10 Million
$ 100 Million
$0/kWh
$0
Based on these assumptions, the LCOE for the Northeastern U.S. Project was calculated. EPRIs
methodology was used to yield the results summarized in Table 3-17.
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Wind Power
Table 3-17
Levelized cost of electricity, Northeastern U.S. project
(TPI * FCR) +
(O&M+LOR)/EPB
$2,454,709,160
10.37%
$57,546,300
$0
1,766,200 MWh/yr
Cost of EnergyTPI
14.4100 /kWh
Cost of EnergyO&M
3.2582 /kWh
Cost of EnergyLO&R
0 /kWh
COE Nominal
$0.176682/kWh
COE Nominal
17.6682 /kWh
Real Rates
$2,454,709,160
10.02%
$57,546,300
$0
1,766,200 MWh/yr
13.9286 /kWh
3.2582 /kWh
0 /kWh
COE Real
$0.171868/kWh
COE Real
17.1868 /kWh
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Wind Power
For the purposes of this study, the chosen location for the Great Lakes offshore wind project is in
Southern Lake Michigan near Berrien County as a representative site for the development of
Great Lakes offshore wind projects, as shown in Figure 3-39. The conditions of this site are
typical of those to be expected for the development of any most feasible offshore wind projects
in the Great Lakes. The following parameters used in determining the levelized electric cost for a
Great Lakes offshore wind project are based upon the site conditions to be found in this area.
Wind conditions are NREL Class 5, producing average wind speeds in the range of 8 m/s. Based
upon wind maps produced for the state of Michigan, wind speeds of 8.2 m/s will be used as the
average condition for this facility. Weather conditions at this location will impose significant
operational and performance considerations. In recognition of these constraints, the operational
assumptions for this site include:
Ice formation on the lake surface and on WTG beginning December 15 and lasting through
March 15; ice thickness assumed to be 8 in. (20 cm)
Disruption of turbine maintenance cycle, which depends on the availability of access vessels,
from January through March due to closure of the Great Lakes shipping season
Wind turbine reliability and production correspondingly decreased from January through
March, due to the inability to perform maintenance during this period.
Project Description
At 200 MW, the Great Lakes project is smaller than the Northeastern project. This theoretical
offshore wind project would consist of 55 Siemens SWT 3.6-MW120 turbines, placed on a
tripod foundation and 80 meter towers. Based on wind speed information available, the layout
designed is shown in Figure 3-40. This plot assumes a base area of ~ 6.4 3.64 km, with the
long side oriented toward the main wind direction. The layout features 11 rows of 5 WTG each
to accommodate the 55 machines.
Figure 3-39
Great Lakes project area
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Wind Power
The Siemens 3.6-MW turbines have a rotor diameter of 120 meters. To accommodate these
appropriately, we have used a distance between the WTG of 660 m, equivalent to 5.5 rotor
diameters (5.5 120 m = 660 m) in mean wind direction, and 540 m (4.5 rotor diameters
120 m) perpendicular to the mean wind direction. We also assumed a 500 m safety distance
around the wind farm; such a safety zone is analogous to the 23 km2 required in some European
offshore wind farms. This 500-m strip is usually considered part of the wind farm and represents
a safety buffer between the facility and shipping lines, cable routes, pipelines etc. Offshore wind
farms are usually a restricted area for any public or recreational boating traffic.
Figure 3-40
Wind farm layout
Using this base area and layout, WTG orientation and distances, we expect the wind farm
efficiency to be 90%.
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Wind Power
Cost Analysis
Estimated CAPEX
The Offshore Wind Economic Analysis Model utilized the design parameters and the cost
parameters to estimate CAPEX for the Great Lakes project. In this section we summarize the
design and boundary conditions of the wind farm and finish with a CAPEX calculation including
the major facility components.
The Great Lakes project is defined according to the design criteria and boundary conditions
summarized in Table 3-18.
Table 3-18
Design criteria and boundary conditions for Great Lakes project
Parameter
Value
Description/Comment
55 SWT-3.6-120
Rotor diameter
120 m
Hub height
80 m
Location
Lake Michigan
20 km
Water depth
3045 m
Tidal Range
N/A
Wave heights
8m
min. 50C
Ambient temperature
range
Soil conditions
Wind conditions
Ice conditions
Up to 0.2 m
Foundations
Tripods
IAG design
33 kV
OSS
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Wind Power
Based on the cost descriptions and the preceding design criteria, the CAPEX for the Great Lakes
project is estimated in Table 3-19.
Table 3-19
Estimated CAPEX for Great Lakes project
Component
Sum
[M]
Sum
[M$]
[/kW]
[$/kW]
Comments
330
462
43
1,650
2,310
Foundations
180
252
24
900
1,260
28
39
140
196
Offshore substation
40
56
200
280
48
67.2
240
100
140
13
500
42
59
210
768
1,075
100
3,840
5,376
77
108
10
384
536
845
1,183
110
4,224
5,914
Installation
Other (project
development, insurance,
project management, etc.)
Subtotal:
Contingencies
Total
Conservative assumption
some sources use 5%
On this basis, estimates for the total CAPEX of the Great Lakes Offshore Wind Project is
850 M ($1,190 M) or 4,252/kW ($5,952/kW).
In addition to CAPEX, TPI for the Great Lakes project was also estimated, as shown in Table 320. TPI assumes the TPC with the addition of construction loan and other financing costs. Other
assumptions of the TPI calculation include a nine-month construction cycle; 40% of the cost paid
in month 1 with the balance of costs levelized over the remaining eight months (at 50/50
debt/equity ratio and debt interest rate).
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Wind Power
Table 3-20
Total plant investment, Great Lakes project
End of Year
Total Cash
Expended
TPC
(M$)
Before Tax
Construction
Loan Cost at
Debt Financing
Rate
2011 Value of
Construction Loan
Payments
Total Plant
Investment
(M$)
(M$)
(M$)
2011
$1,182.72
$60.01
$1,242.73
$1,242,73
2012
$0-
$0
$0
$0
TOTAL (TPI)
$1,242.73
As described earlier, the Great Lakes project is an offshore wind farm of 55 turbines of 3.6 MW.
The project is positioned in the southwest of Lake Michigan. To enable quick response to any
failures, the facilities at Burns Harbor, Indiana, were found to meet all requirements at a distance
of 16 km from the wind farm.
As described earlier, estimating project-specific O&M expenditures is very dependent on many
different factors. Therefore, for this project the yearly O&M costs are in the range between $40
and $70 per installed kW. The following section details several site-specific cost drivers that
have been identified for the Great Lakes Project. These include the following:
Lake accessLarge parts of Lake Michigan are frozen during the winter months (especially
from January until March), which makes accessing the turbines by boat impossible during
this period. Turbines can be reached by helicopter, but this is also restricted by weather (e.g.,
icing conditions). This reduced accessibility may therefore result in long downtimes when a
failure occurs. As a result, revenue losses due to any failure will be higher than in other
months.
When a turbine is in operation, components generate heat, which increases the temperature in
the turbine. When a failure occurs and a turbine shuts down, less heat is produced. This has
to be compensated by electrical heaters in the turbine. When an electrical failure results in
loss of power, this could lead to additional failures as the temperatures could drop below
design parameters.
Vessel availabilityOperators often secure availability contracts for vessels used regularly
for O&M activities. Vessels required for more specific operationsfor example, cablelaying vessels or jack-up vessels for exchanging large componentsare often purpose-built
and service many clients. The costs of these vessels are influenced by their availability and
the distance they must travel for each project. Until the Great Lakes region sees development
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Wind Power
of significant offshore wind activity, vessels with the right capabilities may be required to
travel from the Atlantic coast or other distant harbors, resulting in long mobilization times
and high costs. In addition, because access to the Great Lakes through the Saint Lawrence
River is restricted by ice formation, large lifting vessels will not be able to reach the wind
farm during winter months, with corresponding impact on the availability of the wind farm.
To compensate for the high mobilization cost, clustering of maintenance activities should be part
of the O&M strategy. When clustering maintenance activities a heavy lifting vessel will be
chartered when, for example, a minimum of three turbines require the vessel for maintenance.
Clustering allows maintenance activities to be divided over the three turbines. A downside is the
increased downtime for the turbines because they will not be repaired until a certain threshold of
turbines require repair. For purposes of this analysis, the estimates O&M costs for the Great
Lakes project are $60/kW.
Estimated Energy Yield
To estimate the energy yield for the Great Lakes wind farm, the gross energy yield for the WTG
has been calculated, based on the turbines power curve. Please refer to Figure 3-41 for the
power curve of the Siemens STW-3.6-120 at 8.2 m/s average wind speed for this site. Table 3-21
summarizes the gross energy yield for the Great Lakes project.
Figure 3-41
Power curve of STW-3.6.120 (8.2 m/s)
As no detailed wind conditions are available from these hypothetical sites, we have assumed
normal offshore conditions, again based on experience in the North Sea. These have been
adapted to some extent for the Great Lakes project.
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Wind Power
Table 3-21
Annual energy yield, Great Lakes project
55
Number of WTGs
200 (198)
90
8.2
k-factor
2.0
14,921
820,655
738,590
We have used the values of the gross energy output in Table 3-21 to calculate the net energy
output, given a typical guaranteed availability and other losses. The results are summarized in
Table 3-22.
The technical availability of 95% for the wind farm is a realistic assumption and is quite
common industry value for the guaranteed technical availability. Electrical efficiency is expected
to be 99% for the Great Lakes project, with the assumption that the PCC, and thus the kWh
counter, is inside the wind farm. Losses due to neighboring wind farms have not been assumed.
Other losses, which are not covered by the common availability guarantee of the WTG supplier
(service provider), have also been considered. As discussed with the Northeastern US project,
these additional unavoidable losses include the 5% of operating hours not covered by the
manufacturers guarantee and therefore possible unavailability due to issues with the WTG, as
well as other forms of allowable or unavoidable standstills.
The following worst-case calculation based on typical O&M contracts shows common allowable
standstills per WTG. While these assumptions are similar to those for the Northeastern U.S.
project, the rationale is different. In the case of the Great Lakes project, estimates of downtime
take into account the colder temperatures and deeper water depth of the Great Lakes location.
This contrasts with the Northeastern project, where the downtime calculation reflects the larger
project size and greater distances.
Normal maintenance:
35 days/year
13 day/year
510 days/year
0.5 day/year
Grid faults
0.5 day/year
Total
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Wind Power
A realistic estimate for the best case would be some 7 to 10 days of allowable standstills per
year, which equals to losses of some 2% to 3%. Based on these assumptions, estimated annual
energy yields of the Great Lakes wind farm are according to the values in Table 3-21.
Table 3-22
Estimated full load hours, Great Lakes project
Estimated Availability
Gross energy yield (MWh/yr)
Base Case
Worst Case
738,590
738,590
- Availability
96.0 %
95.0 %
- Electrical efficiency
99.0 %
98.0 %
2.0 %
7.0 %
687,900
639,500
6.9
13.4
3,440
3,200
The above calculations show that realistic annual energy yields can be assumed to be in the
neighborhood of 688 GWh/yr for the Great Lakes project.
Economic Analysis
Given the costs and output discussed in the previous sections, the LCOE for the Great Lakes
project has been calculated. This calculation made use of the financial assumptions summarized
in Table 3-23.
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Wind Power
Table 3-23
Financial assumptions, Great Lakes project
Rated plant capacity
Annual energy production at busbar (EPB)
450 MW
1,766,200MWh/yr
44,80%
2012
35%
State
Michigan
9.00%
41%
Book life
20 Years
8.0%
50%
0%
50%
10.5%
0%
5.6%
8.1%
7.4%
Inflation rate
Real discount rate before tax
6.3%
5.6%
0%
$0.022/kWh
$ 10 Million
3-94
1.76%
$ 100 Million
$
0/kWh
$
Wind Power
Based on these assumptions, the LCOE for the Great Lakes project was calculated. EPRIs
methodology was used to yield the results summarized in Table 3-24.
Table 3-24
Levelized cost of electricity (LCOE), Great Lakes project
(TPI * FCR) +
(O&M+LOR)/EPB
$1,242,726,852
10.55%
$29,780,800
$0
687,916 MWh/yr
Cost of EnergyTPI
19.0655 /kWh
Cost of EnergyO&M
4.3291/kWh
Cost of EnergyLO&R
0 /kWh
COE Nominal
$0.233947/kWh
COE Nominal
23.3947 /kWh
Real Rates
$1,242,726,852
10.02%
$29,780,800
$0
687,916 MWh/yr
19.4094 /kWh
4.3291 /kWh
0 /kWh
COE Real
$0.227386/kWh
COE Real
22.7386 /kWh
3-95
Wind Power
The higher costs for the Great Lakes project are due to following three factors:
Smaller project sizeThe lower economies of scale will increase the average cost per kW
for the project
Vessel availability and locationCurrently, the types of vessels used for offshore wind
project construction and operation do not exist on the Great Lakes. Movement of such
vessels from ocean ports may not be viable due to the limits of the Saint Lawrence Seaway.
The relocation of such vessels to the Great Lakes also increases project costs.
Deeper waterThe Great Lakes project is on average 25 m deeper than the Northeast
Project. This necessitated the use of tripod foundations, resulting in a significant increase in
foundation costs. The estimated increase in foundation costs is over $600/kW. This cost
differential can be expected to decrease as increased use of tripod foundations results in more
experience with installation.
Lake iceIce formation on Lake Michigan can affect design, construction, and operation of
the project. All foundations and the offshore substation need to be designed for the potential
ice loads that can occur on the Great Lakes. The analysis assumes the overall construction
period of the smaller Great Lakes project will be the same as the larger Northeastern project,
because it may not be possible to perform construction while ice is on the Lake Michigan.
Access for operations, maintenance, and repairs can be impacted by lake ice during winter
months.
36
The Energy Challenge Energy Review Report 2006, Department of Trade and Industry, London, 2006.
3-96
Wind Power
As a result of concerns regarding the cost of offshore wind and the UKs renewable energy
targets, several studies have examined the economics of offshore wind. The following are the
reports on UK wind project costs used in the development of this section:
Great Expectations: The costs of offshore wind in UK waters understanding the past and
projecting the future, Technology and Policy Assessment Function of the UK Energy
Research Centre, September 2010
UK Electricity Generation Costs Update, Mott MacDonald, Brighton, UK, June 2010
UK Offshore Wind: Building an Industry Analysis and scenarios for industrial development,
Douglas Woods, Renewable UK, London, UK, June 2010
The Energy Challenge Energy Review Report 2006, Department of Trade and Industry,
Norwich, UK July 2006
These studies provide a clear view of the challenges facing the UK in developing offshore wind
projects and meeting its renewable energy goals. The balance of this section draws on these
reports and other data sources to present cost and economic data on offshore wind projects in the
UK.
The UK is developing its offshore wind projects in a series of rounds. Each round was created
when the UK auctioned leases for developing offshore wind projects. For the most part, the
projects with leases in Round 1 are either in operation or under construction. The first of the
Round 2 projects began construction in October 2007 (300 MW Thanet wind farm). There is
approximately 7 to 8 GW of offshore wind projects in Round 2. Approximately 656 MW of
Round 2 projects are in operation and another 1.9 GW under construction, as can be seen in
Table 3-25.
Table 3-25
UK Round 2 offshore wind project status
Location
Status
Capacity
Developer/Turbines
Triton Knoll
Pre-application
1,200
Docking Shoal
540
Centrica
Westernmost Rough
240
DONG Energy
Race Bank
620
Centrica
Dudgeon
560
Warwick energy
London Array II
370
Gwynt y Mor
576
Humber Gateway
300
E.ON UK Renewables
389
ScottishPower / DONG
Energy
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Wind Power
Table 3-25 (continued)
UK Round 2 offshore wind project status
Location
Status
Capacity
Developer/Turbines
Lincs
270
Centrica / DONG /
Siemens Project Ventures
London Array 1
630
Walney II
184
DONG Energy
Sheringham Shoal
317
Greater Gabbard
504
173
Walney I
184
DONG Energy
Thanet
300
TOTAL MW
7,356
In Operation
657
Under Construction
1,904
The average distance from shore of the non-operating Round 2 projects is about 23 km, with the
closest being 9 km and the furthest 40 km. For the remainder of this section, the engineering and
economic evaluation of offshore wind in the UK will use the London Array 1 project as a basis
for its discussion. This is a 630 MW project located just off the Thames Estuary in the North Sea.
The project was chosen because it represents a project of considerable size and has development
characteristics that are average for those projects being developed in Round 2.
Physical Characteristics
For the UK offshore wind project assessed, the London Array Project Phase I was chosen,
described in the companys website (http://www.londonarray.com/the-project). Upon
completion, the project will be approximately 1 GW, with roughly 341 Siemens 3.6 offshore
wind turbines, four offshore substations, over 800 km of cabling and cost in excess of 4.5
billion ($6.3 billion). The discussion in this section will address the first phase of the project,
currently under construction and expected to be in full operation in 2013. Reasons for choosing
the project for this study include the following:
It is larger than the two U.S. projects, which provides some indications of economy of scale
impacts.
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The UK project is defined according to the design criteria and boundary conditions
summarized in Table 3-26. These are the basis for the estimated cost elements in Table 3-27,
which are used in the economic modeling that follows.
Table 3-26
Design criteria and boundary conditions, UK project
Parameter
Rated capacity
No. and type of WTG
Value
630 MW
175 SWT-3.6-120
Rotor diameter
120 m
Hub height
80 m
Location
Distance from coast
North Sea
20 km
Water depth
1523 m
Tidal range
4.6 m
Wave heights
Ambient temperature range
Soil conditions
Wind conditions
9m
Thames Estuary
Measured from centre of wind farm
Foundations
Monopiles
IAG design
Ice formation
Description / Comment
33 kV
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Location
The London Array project is located in the North Sea off the Thames Estuary, about 20 km from
shore (see Figure 3-42). The total project area for both Phase I and II is estimated at 230 km2.
The expected average wind speed for the site is in the range of 8.9 m/s. Water depth for the site
ranges from 15 m to 25 m.
Figure 3-42
UK project locations
Project Ownership
The estimated total cost for London Array 1 is approximately 2.2 billion. The financial risk of
such a large project required the creation of a consortium so the risk could be spread across
several parties. The consortium for the London Array project has three players: Dong Energy is
the controlling partner with 50% ownership; E.ON Group has a 30% stake in the project; and
Masdar has the remaining 20% share of the project. Capsule descriptions of the three companies
follow.
E.ON GroupGerman based E.ON Group is one of the worlds largest power and gas
companies. At facilities across Europe, Russia, and North America, more than 85,000
employees generated just under 93 billion in sales in 2010. They are a leading energy
supplier in the UK, with around 8 million customers. E.ON has been involved in renewable
energy since 1991, when they invested in their first onshore wind farm. They now own and
operate 22 wind farms in the UK including the 60-MW Scroby Sands offshore wind farm off
the coast of Great Yarmouth and the 60-turbine Robin Rigg Wind Farm in the Solway Firth.
Many more projects are in the pipeline.
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Wind Turbines
The London Array 1 will contain 175 Siemens 3.6 MW wind turbines (SWT-3.6-120), as shown
in Figure 3-43. This turbine has a rotor diameter of 120 meters. Hub height for the project will be
at 87 m. The Siemens contract for the wind turbines was placed at 1.0 billion. Installation of the
wind turbines and tower will be by a German and Danish group comprising of Per Aarsleff A/S
and Bilfinger Berger Ingeniuerbeau GmBH.
Figure 3-43
UK wind farm layout
Monopile foundations were chosen for this project because the water depth is 25 m or less. Each
monopole weighs approximately 268 tons. These will be driven 20 m to 50 m into the seabed and
capped with a transition piece to the turbine towers. The monopiles were supplied by a German
and Danish group (Per Aarsleff A/S and Bilfinger Berger Ingeniuerbeau GmBH). Estimated
value of the monopile supply and installation contract is 250 million.
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The London Array 1 will have two offshore and one onshore substations. The offshore substation
will step up the power from the wind farm to 150 kVA. The onshore substation is located 54 km
from the wind farm at Cleve Hill in Graveney, Essex. The Cleve Hill substation will step up the
power from the wind farm to 400 kV for interconnection with National Grids 400 kV
transmission system. Equipment supply and construction of all three substations was awarded to
Future Energy, a joint venture among Fabricom, Iemants, and Geosea. Estimated cost for the
offshore substations is 85 million each. The onshore substation is expected to cost 30 million.
Inner Array Cabling
The London Array 1 wind farm is expected to require 210 km of array cable to link in all 175
turbines to the offshore substations. JDR Cable Systems will supply the 210 km of 33 kV array
cables that will link the turbines to each other and to the offshore substations. The expected cost
of the array cabling is approximately 85 million.
Onshore Cabling
There will be four cables connecting the offshore substations to the onshore substations. The
cabling to be used will be 150 kV XLPE submarine power cables. Nexans Norway AS has been
awarded the contract to supply the 220 km of 150 kV subsea export cable connecting the
offshore substations to the shore.
Cost Analysis
Estimated CAPEX
The estimated CAPEX for this project (Table 3-27) is based on information obtained from
various sources. A press release in December 2009 discusses the execution of 2 billion in
contracts. The European Investment Bank, a finance bank for the project, estimated the total
CAPEX for this phase of the project at 2.2 billion GBP, 2.568 billion.37 This figure is used in
the analysis for this report.
37
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Table 3-27
Estimated CAPEX for UK project
Sum
[M]
Sum
[M$]
[/kW]
[$/kW]
1,167
1,634
50
1,853
2,594
Foundations
420
588
18
667
934
70
98
111
156
Offshore substation
140
196
222
311
163
229
259
363
Installation
257
360
11
408
571
Other (project
development, insurance,
project management, etc.)
117
163
185
259
Average value
2,335
3,268
100
3,706
5,188
233
327
10
371
519
2,568
3,595
110
4,076
5,707
Component
Wind turbine generators
Subtotal
Contingencies
Total
Comments
Higher value due to hot climate
version
Conservative assumption
some sources use 5%
Because this project is structured financially differently from a U.S. project, the total CAPEX is
assumed to include construction finance costs. Thus, TPI equals CAPEX for this project.
Estimated O&M Costs
As described above, the London Array 1 Project is assumed to have 125 turbines of 3.6 MW,
located in the North Sea in the Thames Estuary. To facilitate quick response to any failures
occurring in the wind farm, qualified harbor facilities must be located as close to the wind farm
as possible. One harbor will be selected when there is a harbor facility in close proximity that
meets all the requirements. This would be the ideal situation since all operations can be
coordinated from one location. A detailed assessment of local options could also result that no
single nearby harbor meets all requirements. At that point, operators must determine whether to
select (a) a single harbor further away that meets all requirements but will result in longer travel
times, or (b) two harborsone harbor nearby for day-to-day O&M activities, for which the
harbor requirements are more easily met because only smaller vessels are used. A second harbor
situated further away would be used for coordinating O&M activities that require larger or
special vessels.
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After a quick assessment, two harbors were selected for the London Array 1 Project. The harbor
that will be used for the day to day O&M are the ports of Ramsgate or Sheerness, both of which
lie approximately 50 km from the wind farm.
Estimating project-specific O&M expenditures depends on many different factors. O&M
operations are well understood in the North Sea. O&M costs per year range between $40 and $70
per installed kW. A report by Ernst & Young indicates that expected O&M costs should be in the
range of 44/kW to 70/kW.38 The Energy Research Center of the Netherlands report, Current
developments in wind2009: Going to great lengths to improve wind energy, gives an estimate
of $1.07/kWh (0.00764/kWh). For the purposes of this study, O&M costs will be set at 70/kW.
Estimated Energy Yield
To estimate the energy yield for the UK wind farm (Table 3-28), we refer to the gross energy
yields for the Siemens SWT-3.6-120 wind turbine that is assumed in all three cases. For the UK
Project, the assumed average wind speed of 8.9 m/s is shown in Figure 3-44.
Figure 3-44
Power curve of STW-3.6-120 (8.9 m/s)
38
Ernst & Young, Cost of and financial support for offshore wind: A report for the Department of Energy and
Climate Change, 27 April 2009, p. 9.
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Table 3-28
Annual energy yield, UK project
Number of WTG
175
630
90
8.9
k-factor
2.3
17,002
2,975,350
2,677,815
We have used the values of the gross energy output in Table 3-28 for calculating the net energy
output, along with a typical guaranteed availability and other losses.
The assumed technical availability of the wind farm of 95% is realistic and is common industry
value for the guaranteed technical availability. Electrical efficiency is expected to be 98% for the
UK Project, assuming that the PCC, and thus the kWh counter, is inside the wind farm. Losses
due to neighboring wind farms are not assumed, as no other developments are known to be
planned in the immediate vicinity. Other losses, which are not covered by the availability
guarantee of the WTG supplier, have also been considered. These additional unavoidable losses
may arise from (a) the 95/5% manufacturer operational guaranteethat is, 5% of the operating
hours might be unavailable due to issues with the WTG; (b) other unavoidable and/or allowable
standstills, such as normal maintenance, customer and authority visits, ice formation on rotor
blades, no accessibility due to bad weather, grid faults, and so on.
In recognition of these factors, the following worst-case calculation was developed, based on
common O&M contracts and common allowable standstills per WTG:
Normal maintenance:
35 days/year
13 day/year
510 days/year
0.5 day/year
Grid faults
0.5 day/year
Total
A realistic estimate for the best case would be some 7 to 10 days of allowable standstills per
year, which equals to losses of some 2% to 3%. Based on these assumptions, the estimated
annual energy yield for the UK wind farm is as shown in Table 3-29.
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Table 3-29
Estimate of full load hours, UK project
Estimated Availability
Gross energy yield (MWh/yr)
Base case
2,677,815
- Availability
96.0%
- Electrical efficiency
99.0%
2.0%
2,494,095
6.9
3,924
The realistic annual energy yield for the London Array Phase 1 offshore wind farm can be
assumed to be roughly 2,495 GWh/yr for the UK Project.
Economic Analysis
Given the costs and output discussed in the previous sections, the Offshore Wind Economic
Analysis Model was used to calculate LCOE for the UK Project. This calculation used the
financial assumptions summarized in Table 3-30.
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Table 3-30
Financial assumptions for the UK project
Rated plant capacity
Annual energy production at busbar (EPB)
Therefore, capacity factor
630 MW
2,494,095 MWh/yr
45.2 %
2012
35%
0%
35%
20 Years
0.0%
50%
0%
50%
10.5%
0%
5.6%
8.1%
6.9%
Inflation rate
1.76%
6.3%
5.2%
0%
$0.0/kWh
$0/kWh
$0
$0
Based on these assumptions, the calculated the LCOE for the London Array Phase 1 Project is
summarized in Table 3-31. A breakdown of the estimated capital costs for selected UK
installations is given in Figure 3-45.
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Table 3-31
Levelized cost of electricity, UK project
(TPI * FCR) +
(O&M+LOR)/EPB
$3,594,752,000
11.33%
$82,271,280
$0
2,494,095 MWh/yr
Cost of EnergyTPI
16.3244 /kWh
Cost of EnergyO&M
3.2986 /kWh
Cost of EnergyLO&R
0 /kWh
COE Nominal
$0.196231/kWh
COE Nominal
19.6231 /kWh
Real Rates
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$3,594,752,000
10.90%
$82,271,280
$0
2,494,095 MWh/yr
15.7139 /kWh
3.2986 /kWh
0 /kWh
COE Real
$0.190125/kWh
COE Real
19.0125 /kWh
Wind Power
Figure 3-45
Breakdown of estimated capital costs for selected installed offshore UK wind plants
Source: Study of the Costs of Offshore Wind Generation-A Report to the Renewables Advisory
Board and DTI, Offshore Design Engineering (ODE) Limited, Sept 14, 2006
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Table 3-32
Project descriptions
The onshore project rated capacities were chosen to be consistent with typical current installed
capacities in each state within the last four years. For the Georgia site, the rated capacity is
assumed to be approximately 50 MW, which is similar to that of the northeast, which has similar
land constraints.
Table 3-33 presents the conceptual layout design assumptions for each site. The projects are
based on a generic 2-MW wind turbine, which represents the average onshore turbine power
rating for recent installations. Generic turbine models were chosen to avoid favoring a specific
turbine manufacturer. The wind turbine spacing and wind rose for each site were based on NREL
and private party wind data and consider the typical site terrain, infrastructure and other
obstacles allowed. The wind turbine crosswind and downwind separations inTable 3-33 are
given in rotor diameters.
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Table 3-33
Conceptual layout design assumptions
Note that none of these assumptions is representative of conditions for the entire state or region.
The costs and energy capture values used in this report are meant to be examples; they are not
meant to represent average costs and performance for every potential project within the state.
For all cases, a shallow-depth concrete gravity foundation (spread footing) is assumed to be used.
At present, this foundation type is the most commonly used design for onshore wind energy
applications throughout the United States and the world. These foundations typically have
octagonal bases bearing on either native soil or engineered fill and are normally backfilled with
compacted native soil with the pedestals protruding above the finished grade.
3.9.2 Plant Performance
Plant performance is measured by the annual capacity factor, which is the annual kilowatt-hour
energy production as a fraction of the energy that would be produced if plant operated at its rated
capacity 100% of the time. For wind plants, it is a function of average of wind speed, wind speed
frequency distribution, energy losses due to planned and unplanned outages and electrical losses,
soiling and icing of wind turbine blades, wake turbulence, and other losses. The annual capacity
factors presented in this report were developed by analyzing performance data from modern
wind farms that were installed no earlier than 2004. The assessment also excluded wind farms
that had less than six months of available operating data. Ventyx Velocity Suite was used to
gather the data.
The resulting annual capacity factor estimates for the five conceptual onshore and one offshore
wind plants in the United States, as well as those in Brazil and Australia, are as follows:
California: 33%
Texas: 41%
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Michigan: 33%
Washington: 30%
Georgia: 29%
Brazil: 42%
Australia: 38%
The total capital requirement estimates for the onshore wind projects range from a little less than
$2,000/kW for the 100-MW Brazilian wind plant to about $2,500/kW for the 100-MW
Australian plant. The estimate for the most expensive domestic wind farm, the 50-MW Georgia
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site, can be attributed to the turbine cost for the low-wind speed region. Both the hub height and
rotor diameter are significantly increased for the Southeast. In addition, it does not have the
benefit of economies of scale, as it is only 50-MW because land constraints and it reflective of
the region being in the early stages of wind technology adopotion.
3.9.4 Operation and Maintenance Cost
Both plant-provided and contracted O&M costs were evaluated for this study. Plant-provided
O&M (plant O&M) is an O&M strategy whereby the owner of the wind farm provides personnel
and equipment for upkeep of the facility. All costs and liability associated with the failure of
plant equipment, other than equipment covered by a manufacturers warranty, are borne by the
owner. Contracted O&M strategy assumes that O&M costs are outsourced by the owner to a
third-party firm (often the original equipment manufacturer [OEM]). The third-party contractor
provides all necessary technical personnel for operation and maintenance of the facility.
For this study it was assumed that O&M costs associated with the WTGs are covered by the
WTG manufacturer for the first two years of service under the wind turbine purchase agreement.
We also assumed that an extended WTG warranty is purchased by the owner for an additional
three years of coverage (contract O&M). During this five-year contract O&M period we
assumed that the owner is only responsible for maintenance of the balance-of-plant including a
site manager and minimal technical support for the contract O&M provider. The purchase of the
extended WTG warranty is assumed to cost nominally $40,000 per WTG per year and adjust
both for inflation and project size.
O&M costs considered include the following:
Fixed labor costs for the operation and maintenance of the facility, including administrative
expenses
Maintenance costs, consisting of spare parts, consumables, cranes, and the like for the WTGs
and balance of plant (BOP) equipment
Other expenses, including insurance, property tax, land lease fees, and management
Fixed labor costs include staffing the required maintenance personnel. Only minimal costs are
considered for the contracted O&M scenario, as only a site manager and minimal technical staff
are required to support the contracted O&M team.
Maintenance costs include scheduled and unscheduled WTG maintenance and BOP
maintenance. Scheduled WTG maintenance is the routine, planned work on the turbines, based
on the OEM manuals (commonly performed every six months per WTG). Unscheduled WTG
maintenance is a budgetary value for covering the unexpected repairs of WTG equipment when
equipment breaks. This budgetary value includes costs for labor, materials and crane rental. BOP
maintenance includes upkeep in the project collection substation, meteorological towers, pad
mounted transformers and all other BOP equipment.
Land lease agreement costs are site specific and may be dependent on individual negotiations
with land owners. A land lease agreement with a private land owner may require a fixed payment
plus a percentage of gross revenue. Other types of land lease payment agreements may only
entitle the land owner to a percentage of gross revenues of all WTGs located on the property.
Some agreements may also include provisions for land use that do not include WTGs, such as
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access roads, transmission lines, and the like. Other types of land agreements might involve
leases from a federal agency such as the Bureau of Land Management (BLM). For this estimate,
annual land lease costs are assumed to be 2.5% of gross energy revenue.
Insurance costs are assumed to be 0.2% of total plant cost.
Property taxes are assumed to be 0.2% of total plant cost and are included in the O&M costs.
Tables 3-35 and Table 3-36, respectively, summarize plant-provided and contracted O&M
averaged over the first five years of the project life. Costs are thousands of dollars per year
unless otherwise noted. Comparing the two tables, one can see that, on average, the total contract
O&M cost ($/kW/yr) exceeds the cost of plant O&M at each site. This reflects the fact that the
contract O&M provider (often the manufacturer) assumes all risk both for repair and
maintenance as well as for any performance or availability guarantees that are in place. Also
evident in Table 3-35 is the influence of project size on O&M costs. Although several factors
influence the differences in O&M cost among the different regions, one can see that, in general,
larger projects (e.g., Texas and Washington) have lower O&M costs per kW than smaller
projects (e.g., New York and Georgia).
For a wind plant in Georgia, O&M costs are also affected by the taller tower. The O&M cost
estimator assumes that crane costs increase by approximately 50% when tower height increases
from 80 m to 100 m. Over the 20-year project life, that translates into a 10% increase in WTG
maintenance costs (not including BOP or other O&M costs). However, low labor rates in that
region of the country mask, to some extent, the impact of a larger crane. In addition, the full
impact of increased crane costs tends to occur later in the project life as parts failure rates
increase. The net result for Georgia as that even with a taller tower, during the first five years of
operation the O&M costs for the example project in that region were slightly lower than for a
similar-sized project in New York. For contract O&M, however, the total costs for the Georgia
wind plant exceed those of the New York wind plant.
Table 3-35
Plant-provided O&M costs (2011$), average of years 15
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Table 3-36
Contracted O&M costs (2011$), average over extended warranty period (years 15)
*Includes only site manager and minimal support labor for contract O&M.
**Includes warranty/extended service contract fee, plus BOP.
Figures 3-46 and Figure 3-47 show a breakdown of the total O&M costs for a representative
project in California. Figure 3-46 includes O&M costs related to labor and maintenance, and
Figure 3-47 shows a breakdown of other O&M costs. The first column in each figure shows
costs for contract O&M averaged over the five-year extended warranty period. The remaining
columns in each figure show average plant O&M in five-year increments over the life of the
project. Notable in Figure 3-46 is that plant-provided labor and maintenance O&M cost for years
1 through 5 is approximately 18% lower than the cost of the equivalent level of O&M provided
by the OEM. When the OEM provides O&M service under a warranty and/or maintenance
agreement they take on more risk than the plant operator would. The plant owner is typically
willing to pay extra for contract O&M for the first year or two of a project to avoid risk
associated with infant mortality failures and the potential for reduced WTG availability in the
first six to 12 months of operation. Despite the increased cost of contract O&M compared with
plant O&M, there are several reasons that the plant-owner may extend the contract O&M beyond
the typical two-year warranty period. These include the following:
Capability for remote monitoring from a central location. This capability has the potential to
anticipate problems and thereby increase WTG availability.
Over time the cost of plant-provided O&M increases, as shown in Figure 3-46, due partly to
inflation but also due to increased parts replacement cost. Parts replacement cost (including
hardware, crane and additional labor) increases faster than inflation because failure rates
increase as hardware ages. Figure 3-46 shows that whereas in the early years of a project
labor costs compose nearly half of all O&M costs (excluding other O&M costs), parts
replacement cost dominates O&M cost in the later years.
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Figure 3-46
California plant-provided O&M costs over time compared with contracted O&M costs in
years 15 (inflation rate = 2.5%)
The other O&M expenses shown in Figure 3-47 include administrative, financial and legal costs,
insurance costs, property taxes and lease payments to landowners. We assumed these costs,
which grow with inflation, to be similar for contract O&M or plant O&M over the same time
period. Plots showing other O&M costs for the remaining regions look very similar to Figure
3-47 and therefore have not been included.
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Figure 3-47
California plant-provided other expenses over time (inflation rate = 2.5%)
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Table 3-37
Wind probabilistic analysisvaried parameters
Initial
Value
Varied Parameter
(Most Likely)
Capacity Factor (%)
Normal
33%
41%
33%
30%
30%
29%
42%
38%
Triangular
$2,022
$1,842
$2,154
$2,161
$2,100
$2,408
$1,922
$2,581
value
Triangular
$59
$50
$58
$63
$57
$65
$75
$69
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Table 3-37 (continued)
Wind probabilistic analysisvaried parameters
Varied Parameter
Initial Value
(Most Likely)
Debt Rate*
5.5%
5.5%
6.0%
5.5%
5.5%
7.0%
7.9%
7.0%
Equity Rate*
2 percentage points
Triangular
6.5%
6.5%
7.0%
6.5%
6.5%
8.0%
10.0%
10.0%
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Table 3-38
Static parameters for financial analysis including incentives
Plant Lifespan and Financial Timing Assumptions
2011
Units
20
years
2.5
5.0
%/yr
2.5
5.0
%/yr
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
60/40
%/%
10
years
5-year
MACRS
Tax Rate
U.S. and Australia
35
Capital Cost
Tax-Related Assumptions
Brazil
20
22
13
$/MWh
$/MWh
General Inflation
U.S. and Australia
Brazil
2.5
5.0
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Figure 3-48
Sensitivity of LCOE to varied parameters (California case)
Probability Distributions
Table 3-39 summarizes the initial, mean (P50), and 95th percentile (P95) values of the LCOE,
and Figures 3-49 through Figure 3-56 present the probability distributions of the LCOE for each
of the sites. The figures show the minimum, maximum, and 5%, 50%, and 95% values of the
LCOE at which the LCOE is less than values shown in the figures. LCOE values are presented in
2011 dollars.
Table 3-39
Initial, mean, and 95th percentile LCOE values, including incentives (2011$)
Results
LCOE initial
value ($/MWh)
Mean
($/MWh)
95th
Percentile
$47.55
$49.57
$59.01
$28.71
$30.65
$37.63
$52.23
$54.67
$65.08
$60.09
$62.07
$73.21
$55.85
$58.33
$68.99
$77.63
$80.46
$94.40
$60.30
$62.66
$73.07
$88.97
$91.29
$105.72
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Figure 3-49
LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 1 (California)
Figure 3-50
LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 2 (Texas)
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Figure 3-51
LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 3 (Michigan)
Figure 3-52
LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 4 (New York)
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Figure 3-53
LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 5 (Washington)
Figure 3-54
LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 6 (Georgia)
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Figure 3-55
LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 7, tax incentive (Brazil)
Figure 3-56
LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 8, CDM (Australia)
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Table 3-40
Static parameters for financial analysis without incentives
Plant Lifespan and Financial Timing Assumptions
2011
Units
20
years
2.5
%/yr
Brazil
5.0
2.5
Brazil
5.0
%/yr
Capital Cost
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
60/40
%/%
10
years
5-year
MACRS
Tax Rate
35
$/MWh
$/MWh
2.5
Brazil
5.0
Tax-Related Assumptions
General Inflation
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Figure 3-57
Sensitivity of LCOE to varied parametersno PTC (California case)
Table 3-41
Initial, mean, and 95th percentile LCOE values with no incentives (2011$)
Results
LCOE,
value
initial
Mean
($/MWh)
95th
Percentile
($/MWh)
Wind Plant 1 (CA)
$68.78
$70.79
$80.31
$49.79
$51.76
$58.80
$73.83
$76.26
$86.59
$81.31
$83.31
$94.63
$77.08
$79.55
$90.56
$99.96
$102.79
$116.80
$63.87
$66.21
$75.21
$102.98
$105.30
$120.35
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Figure 3-58
LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 1, no PTC (California)
Figure 3-59
LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 2, no PTC (Texas)
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Figure 3-60
LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 3, no PTC (Michigan)
Figure 3-61
LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 4, no PTC (New York)
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Figure 3-62
LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 5, no PTC (Washington)
Figure 3-63
LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 6, no PTC (Georgia)
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Figure 3-64
LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 7, no incentives (Brazil)
Figure 3-65
LCOE probabilistic analysis resultswind plant 8, no incentives (Australia)
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in four sites clears all required hurdles and demonstrates resource quality sufficient to produce
energy in the target cost range. The high levels of in-house expertise maintained by experienced
pre-development companies and consultants helps to reduce pre-development risk and improve
the probability of identifying and successfully developing sites with the optimal resource in any
given area. Utilities choosing to take on the pre-development task can avoid the significant fees
charged by pre-development specialists for packaged sites, but may expose themselves to a
high probability of project failure or disappointing results. Utilities may also hire experienced
consultants to guide the pre-development process and manage sub-tasks in disciplines unfamiliar
to utility personnel, thereby reducing risk.
3.11.2 Project Development Process
The vast majority of wind capacity on-line in the United States has been developed, financed,
built, and operated by wind independent power producer companies, with the energy being
sold under long-term power purchase agreements with utilities. This arrangement stems from
the complexity of wind project development and project operation. Specialized activities require
expertise across a range of disciplines, a number of which do not fall within the areas of
expertise of typical electric utilities. In addition, equipment procurement and operations are
subject to substantial economies of scale. A small but growing portion of U.S. wind capacity is
owned and operated by utilities. Much of the utility-owned facilities have traditionally comprised
small wind installations with fewer than five turbines and been operated by municipal and public
utilities. However, large-scale, multimegawatt utility wind ownership is on the upswing.
MidAmerican Energy developed a 310-MW project in its Iowa territory, intends to embark on
future projects totaling 545 MW, and is proposing to add another 1,000 MW of owned wind
generation, thereafter. Other utilitiesincluding Alliant Energy, Kansas City Power & Light,
Minnesota Power, Nebraska Public Power District Oklahoma Gas & Electric, Puget Sound
Energy, Sacramento Municipal Utility District, and WE Energies, among othershave either
already invested in or have announced plans to own and develop wind projects.
3.11.2.1 Pre-Development Activities
The project development process falls into three distinct stages: (1) pre-development;
(2) engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC); and (3) operations. Primary predevelopment tasks include resource assessment, transmission access evaluation, land acquisition,
permitting, pre-engineering/costing, marketing, and, sometimes, finance.
Wind resource quality can vary significantly from site to site. Obviously some locations are
windier than others, but even within a known wind resource area, the wind resource can vary
substantially between adjoining land parcels, depending on topography. This is further
complicated by the fact that, for a given site, wind resources generally exhibit seasonal, diurnal,
and hourly variations. Accordingly, optimizing site selection for resource quality is perhaps the
most important and difficult pre-development task. Wind resource quality is characterized by
wind speed and directiontypically expressed as frequency distributions, the wind shear or
variation of wind speed with elevation, and the turbulence intensity.
Prior to final site selection, the wind resource is measured for an extended period of timeat
least one year, and usually two to three yearsto statistically quantify the resource. If the data
collected show a high correlation to a nearby meteorological tower with a longer operating
historyat an airport, for examplea shorter period of data collection may be acceptable.
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A meteorological tower or mast is erected at one or more locations to continuously measure wind
speed, direction, temperature, and sometimes other weather parameters. The measurements are
made at multiple elevations above the ground (typically 10, 30, and 50 meters) to allow the wind
shear to be estimated. As a rule of thumb, meteorological tower height should be at least
two-thirds the planned turbine hub height.
The recent trend toward turbine towers 80 m and taller will likely engender broader use of
new 60-m meteorological towers and SODAR, sonic detection, and ranging technology that uses
sound to passively profile the vertical shear from the ground up to several hundred meters. The
resulting data are stored on site by a data logger and periodically downloaded on site or remotely
by modem. Data are analyzed to resolve erroneous values and calculate average wind speeds,
directions, and temperatures over annual, seasonal, monthly, and hourly time intervals. The
information is often expressed in wind speed frequency distributions and wind roses, which
graphically show the relative frequency of wind speed and direction, and wind energy.
Most regions of the United States have specific locations where significant wind resources exist,
especially on mountain passes, ridges, and coastal areas near oceans and large lakes. Figure 3-66
shows the distribution of wind power in the United States.
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Figure 3-66
Distribution of average wind power in the United States
Source: Renewable Resource Data Center
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Wind speed class characterizes the wind resource, with the darkest areas representing high-speed
Class 7 winds and the lightest representing low-speed Class 1 winds. In the last few years, more
detailed wind maps have been generated for most of the country that show the wind resource
distribution in finer detail than was available in previous maps. A listing and web links to these
updated wind maps is available from the DOE at
www.eere.energy.gov/windandhydro/windpoweringamerica/.
For cost-effective wind power generation, a wind power plant must be located at a site with high
wind speeds and must use reliable, efficient wind turbines. Generally, Class 3 is representative of
a low-to-moderate wind resource and Classes 4 through 6 are considered to be the most desirable
for commercial wind projects.
Site selection is typically an iterative screening process in which the pros and cons for a large
number of potential sites are evaluated with increasing levels of scrutiny until the highest
viability site or sites are selected for further pursuit. Pre-engineering, costing, and output
projection also include many variables and components that are unique to wind generation
and require specialized knowledge.
In todays market, the wind project pre-development stage is often conducted by small,
regionally focused, independent wind pre-development companies that actively seek out sites
and, in turn, sell a completed pre-development package to large energy companies that selffinance, build, own, and operate multiple wind projects. A completed pre-development package
typically includes: fully-documented wind resource studies, land leases, land use entitlements
(permits), an interconnection agreement, and a power purchase agreement. The build, own,
operate (BOO) companies typically also maintain in-house pre-development groups that actively
seek and pre-develop sites and market output to utilities or other buyers.
3.11.2.2 Engineering, Procurement, and Construction Activities
At the EPC stage, there is also a range of cost and risk considerations that should be evaluated.
Wind generation technology and associated power management equipment is fully commercial
but still evolving rapidly. Advances are made annually in improving project engineering, layout,
equipment, and material choices. Accordingly, to achieve optimal project performance, engineers
with substantial and current wind generation experience should be utilized.
During the 1980s and 1990s, most wind projects were developed by independent predevelopment companies that also managed EPC tasks and project finance, tapping financial
markets for debt and equity. However, over the past several years, large utility or oil and gas
company affiliates have consolidated dominant wind development market share using a balance
sheet finance approach. The independent project finance model may re-emerge in the later half
of this decade as the broader financial markets recover their confidence in electricity generation
investments.
At the procurement level, economies of scale in purchasing can be important. Large wind buildown-operate companies often maintain multiyear bulk purchasing agreements with major
equipment vendors, which can allow them to gain the pricing benefit of very large purchase
orders and spread them across numerous projects, both large and small. Utilities and developers
purchasing equipment and services for single projects do not have this advantage. Nevertheless,
the wind turbine market in the United States is extremely competitive and has the benefit of a
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O&M Personnel
12
R 2 = 0.9196
10
8
6
4
2
0
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
Number of Turbines
O&M Personnel
12
R 2 = 0.7002
10
8
6
4
2
0
0
50
100
Project Rating (MW)
150
200
Figure 3-67
Number of O&M personnel at a wind power plant versus the number of turbines and
project rating
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The industry must continue to take this issue seriously and strive to minimize avian and bat risk at
all wind facilities through ongoing research and proper siting. The National Wind Coordinating
Committee continues to take a lead role in coordinating and disseminating research on biological
impacts of wind farms and is an excellent resource for information on this subject [9].
3.12.2 Noise
Although wind generation facilities generate noise during both construction and operation, it is
the long-term operating noise that receives the most attention during permitting. In August 2002,
the National Wind Coordinating Committee issued an update to its report, Permitting of Wind
Energy Facilities, which addresses noise characteristics, impacts on receptors, prediction and
measurement, and mitigation strategies [18].
The noise produced by operating wind generation facilities is much different in both level and
character from the noise generated by large power plants and other industrial facilities. It is
generally considered to be low-level noise and consists of both mechanical and aerodynamic
components.
Mechanical noise is typically only tonal noise at discrete frequencies, such as noise caused by
wind turbine mechanical components, vortex shedding from blades, and unstable flows over
holes or slits. Mechanical components that generate noise include gearboxes, yaw drives, brakes,
and cooling fans for generators. Mechanical noise can increase as components move out of
alignment and gears and bearings wear over time.
Aerodynamic noise is caused by airflow over and past the turbine blades and tends to increase
with rotor speed and wind speed. It consists of three components: broadband, impulsive, and
low-frequency noise. Broadband noise is characterized by a continuous distribution of sound
pressure with frequencies greater than 100 Hertz (Hz) and is often caused by the interaction of
turbine blades and atmospheric turbulence, producing the familiar swishing or whooshing
sound. Impulsive noise typically appears as a thumping noise as the wind turbine blades of
downwind turbines pass through the wind shadow of the tower. Low-frequency noise, in the
range 20 to 100 Hz, is also associated with older downwind turbines and results from interactions
between the blades and wake turbulence caused by towers and nearby wind turbines.
In general, the more the noise from a new source exceeds the background level or generates a
different tonal characteristic than background noise, the more it will be unacceptable to the local
community. The perception of wind generator noise by a receptor depends on the noise intensity,
frequency, frequency distribution, and pattern; background noise level; proximity of the receptor
to the wind turbine; terrain and vegetation between the wind generator and the receptor; and the
nature of the receptor. Background noise tends to increase with wind speed and thus mask the
wind generator noise. Therefore wind generator noise is generally most noticeable at lower wind
speeds. If the receptor is at a location where the wind speed is lower than at the wind turbine,
e.g., in a hollow or depression in the terrain, then the background noise will also be lower there.
In general, a wind turbine is likely to be heard at twice the distance in hilly terrain as in flat
terrain.
Although no federal and few state noise standards exist, the U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency has promulgated noise guidelines. Many local governments have enacted local noise
ordinances that must be considered when siting wind facilities.
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The NWCC Permitting Handbook cites two proposed noise measurement techniques for wind
energy systems, one prepared by the Solar Energy Research Institute (now NREL) in 1987,
A Proposed Metric for Assessing the Potential of Community Annoyance; the other prepared
by the American Wind Energy Association (AWEA) in 1989, Procedure for Measurement of
Acoustic Emissions from Wind Turbine Generator Systems, Tier 12.1. In addition, the
International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC) proposed a standard in 1988 that was
rejected in the balloting process.
Turbine noise studies should include separate measurements of low-frequency and A-weighted
noise levels across a range of wind speeds, turbulence conditions, distances from the turbine,
and locations of the receptor relative to wind direction. Preferably before the wind project is
installed, background noise measurements should be conducted at representative dwellings
up to one-quarter mile from the site for flat terrain, and up to one-half mile for uneven terrain.
Receptors at less windy locations should be emphasized.
Several software packages are available that predict noise level profiles for the area around
a wind facility. However, prediction of wind generator noise levels at a given site is difficult
because conditions vary between sites. For example, the variations of wind turbulence and
noise with wind speed depend on wind direction, terrain, vegetation, and other site variables
and are rarely the same at two sites. Thus, the measured noise levels at one site are not
necessarily representative of the noise levels that would occur at another site. Noise mitigation
measures include requirements for noise setbacks of 400 to 1,000 meters from the edge of the
property line; installation of sound insulation and baffles in the turbine nacelle; use of low-speed
cooling fans, special finishing of gear teeth, vibration isolators and soft mounts for major
components; and design of wind turbine rotors for low noise. If local residences are shielded
from the wind, a larger setback may be required than in an exposed location.
3.12.3 Visual Impact
Wind projects are usually located in rural and remote areas, and their visual impacts are somewhat
different from those of conventional power plants. Visual impact considerations during permitting
typically focus on the impact of the wind project on the viewshed, or visual appearance of the
project setting from different locations. They include the impacts on the natural terrain and
landscape; the form, line, color, and texture of the viewshed; and the visibility and appearance of
landmarks in the area. In addition, the compliance of the project with public preferences, local
goals, policies, and guidelines regarding visual quality is crucial toward gaining acceptance.
The elements of wind projects that affect visual impact include the relative elevations of the site and
the surrounding area; the presence of dense woodland or other vegetation cover at the site; the
number of wind turbines; wind turbine spacing and uniformity; height and color of the wind turbine
nacelle, tower, and rotor; the type of tower used (lattice or tubular steel); markings and lighting
required for FAA approval; roads built on slopes; and the locations and sizes of service buildings,
substations, electrical switchgear, transmission lines, and other on-site facilities. In general,
deploying fewer and wider-spaced turbines of uniform type, color, tower design, and rotational
direction enhances a projects visual appearance and makes it more likely to gain public acceptance.
In a March 2003 study, the Renewable Energy Policy Project (REPP) found that property values
within the viewshed of recently constructed commercial-scale wind farms have not been
negatively affected [10]. The study assembled a database covering every wind development that
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had come online in the United States after 1998 with 10-MW installed capacity or greater. REPP
then compared actual property sales records for all land within the viewshed and for a
comparable community not within the viewshed. The report found that for the great majority of
projects, property values actually rose more quickly in the viewshed than they did in the
comparable community. Moreover, values increased faster in the viewshed after the projects
came on-line than they did before. In all, 30 cases were analyzed; in 26 of them, property values
in the affected viewshed increased more than those in other areas without wind turbines.
3.12.4 Shadow Flicker
Shadow flicker is a result of the alternating changes in light intensity that can occur at times
when the rotating blades of wind turbines cast moving shadows on the ground or on structures
(see Figure 3-68). As the turbine blades pass in front of the sun, a shadow moves across the
surrounding area, causing a flicker effect as the turbine rotates. Because of the necessary location
of the sun in the sky, shadow flicker is limited in time and location. The location of the turbine
shadow varies by time of day and season.
Figure 3-68
Shadow flicker impact illustration (AWEA)
Flickering occurs in a butterfly-like pattern around each turbine. AWEAs standard of 1,000 m
from a wind turbine is often cited as the distance necessary to prevent significant impact from
shadow flicker. Based on observed modeling and actual project analysis, 1,400 m is the distance
to have very little impact throughout the year. Figure 3-69 illustrates the important role of
distance in reducing the impact of shadow flicker.
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Figure 3-69
The importance of distance in shadow flicker prevention (CH2MHill)
These shadows can be disruptive and has caused concerned in Northern Europe and certain parts
of the United States. Many opponents of new wind farms cite the concern that the shadow flicker
causes headaches, nausea, dizziness, and disorientation and can trigger seizures in people who
suffer from epileptic seizure. However, typical epileptic seizures are precipitated by light flashes
in the range from 5 to 30 Hz. Shadow flickering caused by todays wind turbines rotating at a
much slower rate is in the range of 0.6 to 1.0 Hertz. Wind power advocates argue that empirical
evidence does not support the claims of negative health impacts from wind farm installations.
Shadow flicker can be addressed in a variety of ways, including instituting a significant buffer
zone from the wind farms, landscaping to block the shadows, or stopping the turbines during the
most vulnerable times. During the project design, developers are often requested or required to
analyze shadow clicker to determine where the shadows would fall and for how long over the
course of a year.
3.12.5 Radar Interference
Wind turbines, like other tall, metallic structures, can interfere with communication or radar
signals when these signals are interrupted by the turbine structure or the rotor plane. Wind
turbines can sometimes cause electromagnetic interference affecting TV and radio reception.
Electromagnetic interference can be caused by near-field effects, diffraction, or reflection and
scattering. Although instances of TV or radio interference are infrequent and typically
straightforward to mitigate, the interaction of wind turbines and navigational or defense radar
signals is the subject of considerable recent attention.
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The increase of the number of wind turbines around military installations and airports has
increased risks to radar systems that track aircraft and other vehicles. The concern is that the
rotating blades will scatter waves or be mistaken for aircraft or other moving vehicles on radar
screens, ultimately negatively impacting training exercises and operational readiness. In the
majority of cases, interference is either not present, is not deemed significant, or can be readily
mitigated. Understanding the extent of a wind installations radar interference potential and
developing mitigation techniques can be more complicated than for other forms of potential
interference, as it depends on turbine height, rotor sweep area, blade rotation speed, and the
landscape surrounding a wind energy project.
There are essentially two types of interferences: direct interference and Doppler interference.
Direct interference happens with high reflectivity and reduces radar sensitivity, sometimes
producing false images (ghosting) or shadow areas (dead zones). Doppler interference
creates false targets and affects both airborne and fixed radar.
The following tools and practices are being studied to manage or mitigate the potential impact of
wind turbine interference:
Conducting studies and doing extensive modeling in the early stages of project development
to ensure that the wind farm location is not in an area of high radar activity. Wind farm
layout optimization, terrain masking/shielding, or reduction of the radar cross-section area
may be sufficient to address identified interference problems.
Installing additional radars to cover the shadow spots, relocating radar installations to
accommodate the new wind farms, or altering air traffic routes around new wind farms.
Using long-range radars that are wind far friendly (e.g., Lockheed Martins AN/TPS-77).
Wind Power
3.14 References
1. American Wind Energy Association (AWEA) news release, August 20, 2003, available at
http://www.awea.org/news/news030820nmw.html.
2. Wind Turbine Verification Project Experience: 1999. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2000. 1000961.
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37. Engineering and Economic Evaluation of Utility-Scale Wind Power Plants. EPRI, Palo Alto,
CA: 2009. 1017599.
3.14.1 DOE-EPRI Wind Turbine Verification Program Reports
38. Tennessee Valley Authority Buffalo Mountain Wind Power Project First-and Second-Year
Operating Experience: 2001-2003. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2003. 1008031.
39. Tennessee Valley Authority Buffalo Mountain Wind Power Project Development. EPRI,
Palo Alto, CA: 2003. 1004207.
40. Big Spring Wind Power Project Third-Through Fifth-Year Operating Experience:
2001-2004. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2004. 1008384.
41. Big Spring Wind Power Plant Second-Year Operating Experience: 2000-2001. EPRI,
Palo Alto, CA: 2001. 1004042.
42. Big Spring Wind Power Plant First-Year Operating Experience: 1999-2000. EPRI,
Palo Alto, CA: 2000. 1000958.
43. Project Development Experience at the Big Spring Wind Power Plant. EPRI, Palo Alto,
CA: 1999. TR-113919.
44. Lessons Learned at the Iowa and Nebraska Public Power Wind Projects. EPRI, Palo Alto,
CA: 2000. 1000962.
45. Iowa/Nebraska Distributed Wind Generation Projects First-and Second-Year Operating
Experience: 1999-2001. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2001. 1004039.
46. Project Development Experience at the Iowa and Nebraska Distributed Wind Generation
Projects. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 1999. TR-112835.
47. Kotzebue Electric Association Wind Power Project Third-Year Operating Experience:
2001-2002. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2002. 1004206.
48. Kotzebue Electric Association Wind Power Project Second-Year Operating Experience:
2000-2001. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2001. 1004040.
49. Kotzebue Wind Power Project Initial Operating Experience: 1998-2000. EPRI, Palo Alto,
CA: 2000. 1000957.
50. Project Development Experience at the Kotzebue Wind Power Project. EPRI, Palo Alto,
CA: 1999. TR-113918.
51. Wisconsin Low Wind Speed Turbine Project Third-Year Operating Experience: 2000-2001.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2001. 1004041.
52. Wisconsin Low Wind Speed Turbine First and Second Year Operating Experience:
1998-2000. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2000. 1000959.
53. Wisconsin Low Wind Speed Turbine Project Development. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 1998.
TR-111438.
54. Green Mountain Power Wind Power Project Third Year Operating Experience: 1999-2000.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2000. 1000960.
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55. Green Mountain Power Wind Power Project Second Year Operating Experience: 1998-1999.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 1999. TR-113917.
56. Green Mountain Power Wind Power Project First Year Operating Experience: 1997-1998.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 1998. TR-111437.
57. Green Mountain Power Wind Power Project Development. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 1997.
TR-109061.
58. Central & South West Wind Power Project Third Year Operating Experience: 1998-1999.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 1999. TR-113916.
59. Central & South West Wind Power Project Second Year Operating Experience: 1997-1998.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 1998. TR-111436.
60. Central & South West Wind Power Project First Year Operating Experience: 1996-1997.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 1997. TR-109062.
61. Central and South West Wind Power Project Development. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 1996.
TR-107300.
62. DOE-EPRI Wind Turbine Verification Program TVP MI-112231 Status Report, 1998.
63. DOE-EPRI Wind Turbine Verification Program TVP MI-112231 Status Report, 2001.
64. Review of Operation and Maintenance Experience in the TVP Program, Report No.
LP-500-28620, 2000.
3.14.2 Other Reports
65. Musial, W. and S. Butterfield, Future for Offshore Wind Energy in the United States,
National Renewable Energy Laboratory NREL/CP-500-36313, presented at EnergyOcean
2004, Palm Beach Florida, June 2830, 2004.
66. Frandsen, S., Design of Offshore Wind Turbines, Professional Course, Developing
Offshore Wind Energy, European Renewable Energy Centers Agency (EUREC), June 2003.
67. Engineering and Economic Evaluation of Renewable Energy Technology. EPRI, Palo Alto,
CA: 2007. 1012726.
68. Advanced Wind Turbine Technology Assessment2010. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2010.
1019772.
69. Wind Power Technology Status and Performance and Cost Estimates2009. EPRI, Palo
Alto, CA: 2010. 1020362.
70. Wind Turbine Blade Structural Health Monitoring: Methods and Benefits. EPRI, Palo Alto,
CA: 2010. 1021655.
71. Qu, R., Workshop on Next Generation Wind Power, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute. May
2010. Development and Challenges of Permanent Magnet Wind Generators. Published
May 12, 2010. Retrieved September 2010 via http://www.rpi.edu/cfes/news-andevents/Wind%20Workshop/Development%20Challenges%20of%20PM_Generator_RPI_Qu
_v8.pdf.
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72. de Vries, E., Permanent Solution? Renewable Energy World, April 8, 2010. Retrieved
September 2010 via
http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2010/04/permanent-solution.
73. Tan, A., A Direct Drive to Sustainable Wind Energy. Windsystems Magazine, March 2010.
Retrieved September, 2010 via
http://windsystemsmag.com/media/pdfs/Articles/2010_March/Zenergy_0310.pdf.
74. Abrahamsen, A.B., N. Mijatovic, E. Seiler, et al., Superconducting Wind Turbine
Generators. Superconducting Science and Technology, Vol. 23, 2010. Retrieved September,
2010 via http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1088/0953-2048/23/3/034019.
75. Tyler, D., Clean Technica. American Superconductor, DOE Study Large Wind Turbine
Design. Published February 11, 2009. Retrieved August 2010 via
http://cleantechnica.com/2009/02/11/american-superconductor-doe-to-study-large-windturbine-design/.
76. Chow, R., and C.P. van Dam., A Focus on the Flow in the Inboard Part of the Blade.
Presented at the Sandia National Laboratories Blade Workshop, July 2022, 2010. Retrieved
August 2010 via http://windpower.sandia.gov/2010BladeWorkshop/PDFs/2-2-A2%20VanDam.pdf.
77. Fairley, P., Stealth-Mode Wind Turbines. Technology Review, November 2, 2009.
Retrieved August 2010 via http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/23837/.
78. Renewable Energy Focus. Updated: QinetiQ and Vestas Test Stealth Technology for Wind
Turbines. Published October 26, 2009. Retrieved September 9, 2010 via
http://www.renewableenergyfocus.com/view/4715/updated-qinetiq-and-vestas-test-stealthtechnology-for-wind-turbines/.
79. Karal, P.and R. Stancich, Whats New about Gravity Base Foundations for Offshore
Wind? Wind Energy Update, September 3, 2010. Retrived September 7, 2010 via
http://social.windenergyupdate.com/qa/what%E2%80%99s-new-about-gravity-basefoundations-offshore-wind.
80. Jonkman, J. and D. Matha. National Renewable Energy Laboratory, A Quantitative
Comparison of the Responses of Three Floating Platforms. Report NREL/CP-500-46726,
March 2010. Retrieved August 2010 via
http://permanent.access.gpo.gov/lps123972/46726.pdf.
81. Lombardi, C., Norway Oil Giant Floats Idea for Bobbing Windmills. CNET News, Green
Tech, August 19, 2010. Retrieved September 8, 2010 via http://news.cnet.com/830111128_3-20014140-54.html.
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4.1 Introduction
Biomass fuels produced by living plant and animal matter provide electric utilities and other
electricity generators with dispatchable renewable power (see Table 4-1 for an overview). For
the most part, biomass fuels can be produced, concentrated, and stored for use when it is
economical to do so. The U.S. Energy Information Agency (EIA) estimates that biomass
supplied 4.3 1015 Btu (Quads) of energy to the U.S. economy in 2010, a 30% increase above
2007 levels. Altogether, biomass supplies some 21 EJ to the worlds economylargely in
North America, Scandinavia, China, and numerous developing economies. Over the past
decade, annual biomass consumption in the United States has ranged from 2.77 EJ to 3.8 EJ
(2.627 to 3.615 Quads), depending on economic activity among the wood products industries,
agribusinesses, electric utilities, and other industries. Biomass consumption in the U.S. economy
has been generally quite stable, though it did climb more than 7% in 2007 owing to increased
demand for biofuels in the transportation sector.
Table 4-1
Biomass electricity generation overview
Installed Capacity (est.)
(Jan. 1, 2011 est.)
World leaders:
- Brazil: 7,800 MW
- Germany: 4,900 MW
- China: 3,700MW
Technology Readiness
Environmental Impact
4-1
Policy Status
Trends to Watch
Biomass fuels are largely industrial fuels. Table 4-2 shows the distribution of biomass fuels
among the economic sectors, based on EIA data. These data do not include the more than 0.66 EJ
of biomass used in transportation in the form of ethanol added to gasoline and biodiesel added to
diesel fuel.
Table 4-2
Biomass energy consumption in the U.S. economy by sector and type, 2010 (Quads)
Biomass Type
Industrial
Electricity
Total
0.490
1.307
0.189
1.986
MSW/Landfill Gas
0.029
0.122
0.227
0.378
Other Biomass
0.005
0.046
0.025
0.076
Total
0.524
1.475
0.441
2.44
Source: EIA
4-2
Economic Sector
In the electricity sector, use of biomass for power generation is expected to double every 10
years through 2030. Biopower uses bioenergy systems to generate electricity through the
following methods:
Cofiring where biomass substitutes a portion of coal (or oil/gas) in existing power plants
Gasification, which converts biofuels or biomass into carbon monoxide and hydrogen by
reacting the raw materials at high temperatures with a controlled amount of oxygen and/or
steam
Pyrolysis, which converts biomass into easily stored and transported liquid by subjecting the
feedstock to high temperatures in the absence of oxygen
Combined heat and power facilities, which generate steam/hot water for process or district
heating and electricity
Figure 4-1 illustrates the percentage share of renewable electricity (in billions kWh) that biomass
is expected to contribute through 2035.
Figure 4-1
Renewable electricity projections, excluding hydropower (billion kWh/yr)
Source: EIA, Energy Outlook 2011
Historically, biomass consumption for energy use has remained at low levels. However, as
Figure 4-1 illustrates, biomass is expected to be one of the most important sources of U.S.
renewable electricity generation through 2035, trailing only hydropower, based on projected
kilowatt-hours delivered. In fact, biomass is predicted to grow to roughly 39% in 2035.
4-3
Furthermore, in scenarios that reflect the impact of a 20% federal renewable portfolio standard
(RPS) and in scenarios that assume carbon dioxide reduction requirements based on international
agreements, electricity generation from biomass is projected to increase more substantially. In
these scenarios, environmental benefit is the primary reason driving increased biomass
utilization.
Compared with coal, biomass feedstocks have lower levels of sulfur, sulfur compounds, and
mercury, and demonstrations have shown that biomass cofiring with coal can also lead to lower
combustion-based nitrogen oxide emissions. Perhaps the most significant environmental benefit
of biomass, however, is potential reduction in carbon dioxide emissions. If analyzed as a closedloop process harnessed to cultivate biomass, in which power is generated using feedstocks that
are grown specifically for the purpose of energy production, the CO2 emissions resulting from
biomass firing are virtually offset. Many varieties of energy crops are being considered
including hybrid willow, switchgrass, arundo donax, sorghum, and hybrid poplarand may
become commercially available in the United States in the short term.
Feedstock cost and feedstock availability are the main barriers to widespread use of biomass for
power generation. In the long term, bio-power potential will depend on technology advances as
well as on the level of competition for feed stocks with food and fiber production for arable land
use. Land-based competition may not be an issue until 2020, however, as enough land that has
been idled by farm programs appears to exist to satisfy biomass crop growing needs. Once
biomass crop acreage requirements exceed 30 million acres, which is likely by 2020, according
to Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) estimates, biomass crops will begin to compete with
traditional agricultural crops.
In addition, societal risks associated with widespread use of biomass include intensive farming,
overuse of fertilizers, chemicals use, and biodiversity conservation. They pose a challenge to
increased biomass usage. Certifications attesting the sustainable production of biomass feedstock
are needed to, for example, improve upon land management techniques. While overexploitation
of biomass resources in developed and developing countries should be avoided, sustainable
biomass can offer an important, productive use for marginal lands and bring socioeconomic
benefits to many rural regions of the world.
Separately, innovative densification pre-treatments, such as pelletization, torrefaction/upgrading,
and conversion into bio-oil (e.g. by pyrolysis) may help overcome the economically and
environmentally challenging logistics of long-distance transportation. The commercial
emergence of these pre-treatment methods could help facilitate a global international trade by
reducing logistic costs.
4.1.1 Basic Issues Associated with Biomass Fuel Utilization
Biomass fuels exhibit certain fundamental differences from other fossil fuels. Typically, biomass
fuels are either gathered or harvested from diffuse sources and concentrated at a given location.
Consequently, there are practical limits on the quantities that can be obtained at any location
without experiencing significant cost pressures. This phenomenon limited the capacities of the
early iron furnaces fueled by charcoal in Pennsylvania and other states in the late 18th century
and early 19th century [1], and remains an issue today, though at a significantly expanded scale.
This is in distinct contrast to fossil fuels such as coal that are produced in centralized locations
and distributed to users such as power plants.
4-4
Biomass fuels currently used as fuels today are, almost exclusively, residues from other
processes. They may be wood processing residues such as slash, hog fuel, bark, sawdust, or spent
pulping liquor. They may be agricultural and agribusiness residues such as bagasse. They may be
wastewater treatment gas or landfill gas. These are commodities that are presently outside the
commercial mainstream. In many cases, these commodities have both material and energy value.
Wood waste markets, for example, can include mulch for urban areas, bedding for livestock and
poultry, feedstocks for materials such as particleboard, and feedstocks for niche chemical and
related products. As a result, fuel pricing is highly sensitive to locale and the competitive
pressures of local and regional economies.
Significant efforts have also been made to develop short-rotation biomass crops to be used
exclusively as fuel or energy feedstocks. To date, these have not produced competitively priced
fuels, though development continues.
4.1.2 Technology Considerations for Using Biomass Fuels
Biomass-to-power technologies can be divided into two basic categories: (1) existing
technologies that are either commercialized or nearly ready for commercial implementation, and
(2) goal technologies that have been proposed and are of long-term interest. Most of this chapter
will focus on the first category, as its costs, technologies, and issues are better understood.
4.1.2.1 Commercially Available Technologies
Commercially available technologies include stand-alone condensing power plants, such as
those owned by electric utilities and independent power producers (IPPs). Stand-alone power
plants fired by wood waste and certain agricultural wastes were developed extensively during the
early years of the Public Utilities Regulatory Policies Act (PURPA). Stand-alone power plants
fired with municipal solid waste (MSW) and landfill gas have also been developed. For example,
landfill gas is used to fuel a 50-MWe steam boiler installation at the Puente Hills, Los Angeles
landfill. The energy installation at Puente Hills also includes a combustion turbine and internal
combustion engines.
Equally significantly, commercially available technologies include Rankine-cycle cogeneration
facilities such as those owned and operated by companies in the forest products industry, the
sugar industry, and other manufacturing interests. Such installations couple a medium-pressure
boiler with main steam conditions, typically 600 psig/750F, 850 psig/825F, 1250 psig/950F,
and 1450 psig/1005F to either backpressure turbines or automatic extraction turbines. Process
steam is typically generated at 50 psig, 150 psig, or 450 psig depending on the application. The
energy released when steam is expanded from throttle conditions to exhaust conditions is used
to generate electricity. In selected cases, such as the Snohomish County Public Utility District in
Washington, utilities team with forest products industry firms to jointly develop such
cogeneration capabilities.
Biomass cofiring technologies have historically been employed at numerous locations in the
United States and continously in Europe. For example, wood waste has been blended with coal
on the main belt leading to the Willow Island Generating Station #2 boiler, a 188-MWe cyclone
boiler owned by First Energy. Sawdust and other biofuels have been ground and separately
injected into the 105-MWe boiler at Greenidge Station in a project developed in the mid-1990s
by New York State Electric and Gas (NYSEG) and continued by AES, the current plant owner.
4-5
Southern Company has pioneered numerous cofiring approaches at Plant Hammond, Plant Yates,
Plant Gadsden, and other installations. Previously, Northern States Power implemented biomass
cofiring at its Allen S. King Generating Station. The New York Power Authority (NYPA)
cofired biodiesel with oil in its 890-MW Poletti station. Numerous vendors now offer
commercial systems, but because of unclear regulations and poor economics, biomass cofiring is
not commonly practiced in the United States.
An example of coupling atmospheric gasification of biomass to electricity-generating Rankinecycle installations is the Kymijarvi power plant in Lahti, Finland, owned and operated by Lahden
Lampovoima Oy. The Lahti gasification project, an EU Thermie demonstration, involved
numerous partners, including Lahden Lampovoima Oy, Foster Wheeler Energia Oy, VTT (the
Technical Research Center of Finland), Elkraft Power Co., Ltd. of Denmark, and Plibrico Ab
from Sweden. The project involved installing a Foster Wheeler atmospheric circulating fluidized
bed gasifier capable of converting sawdust, bark, wood chips, plywood trim, particleboard trim,
and recycled fuel (REF) into a producer gas for firing in the coal-fired boiler used for generating
electricity and district heat. Based on the success of that project and other gasification projects,
atmospheric circulating fluidized bed boilers can now be procured commercially for such
cofiring projects used to generate electricity.
For each of these commercially available technologies, the issues of fuel cost and the availability
of fuel in significant quantities remain driving issues. The process of gathering and concentrating
the fuel in a single location is a primary consideration. All these commercially available
technologies exhibit technical advantages and disadvantages associated with using biomass fuels.
Such technical considerations, along with economics, are discussed in subsequent sections of this
chapter.
4.1.2.2 Goal Technologies
The technologies that have long-term promise, but remain beyond current technical and
economic feasibility on a proven basis, are many and varied.
The practice of raising silvicultural or agricultural crops as a fuel supply is one such technology.
As mentioned previously, this technology was employed by the early iron industry in the
fledgling United States. It has appeared significantly in the literature since the early 1970s (see,
for example, Szego and Kemp [2], Bethel et al. [3] and Henry [4]). Government research in this
area has been significant over a long period of time. To date, however, experience has shown
that biomass cannot be grown and harvested at costs close to those associated with alternative
combustible resources. Further, there are significant economic issues associated with competition
for the resource, once grown, that make this a goal technology rather than a near-term
commercial reality. In the United Kingdom, however, government policies are in place that may
offer a significant role for dedicated biomass. The success of this program will be watched
carefully in the coming years.
Portland General Electric has identified arundo donax as a species that could be cultivated in
western Oregon and/or Washington exclusively for the purpose of power generation in a PC unit.
As of late 2011, a test plot has been developed, and an early crop harvested. Although arundo is
considered an invasive species, this might represent the first commercial dedicated energy crop
effort in the United States.
4-6
Pressurized gasification with hot or warm gas cleanup, coupled with combustion turbines in
integrated gasification combined-cycle (IGCC) applications, also remains a long-term
possibility. Scale limitations severely constrain the economics of this technology. Furthermore,
hot or warm gas cleanup remains an elusive target. A demonstration of low-pressure gasification
firing reciprocating engines is under way in Skive, Denmark. Pyrolysis to produce liquid fuels is
yet another goal technology, but with serious practical problems.
Atmospheric (or near-atmospheric) gasification with warm gas cleanup in a configuration that
provides fuel to reciprocating engines and district heating is also considered a goal technology,
though is much nearer to commercial readiness than pressurized biomass gasification used in
combined cycle mode. Demonstrations at Harbore, Denmark, featuring the Vlund gasifier,
provide evidence of approaching commercial deployment. This technology category is addressed
in more detail in Section 4.4.5.
4.1.2.3 Prospectus
Within this expanding framework, the generation of electricity from biomass can be evaluated.
In order to make such an evaluation, this chapter considers the physical and chemical
characteristics of various biomass fuels, and the technical characteristics and costs of various
biomass technologies.
As a practical matter, national estimates have policy implications but do not replace on-the-ground
field surveys for utilities and generating stations that require local availability estimates when
considering firing biomass singly or in combination with fossil fuels. Local estimates are based
upon forest industry or agricultural industry activity, plus local markets for forest industry
residues.
Residues include bark, sawdust, shavings, chips, hog fuel, logging residues, silvicultural residues
(e.g., pre-commercial thinnings), dead and diseased timber, and fire-damaged timber that cannot be
salvaged. Local residues may also include an array of agricultural materials such as the following:
Corn stover
Corn cobs
Wheat straw
Rice straw
Rice hulls
Vineyard prunings
Orchard prunings
Oat hulls
Bagasse
Determination of locally available biomass depends upon local forest industry or agricultural
activity, local competing markets for the material, and transportation systems available. Local
conditions vary substantially. For example, in the Chicago area, bark commands a premium price
as mulch. In some areas with high concentrations of poultry farms, sawdust and rice hulls both
command good prices as bedding material. Chips command prices greater than fuel prices in
areas that are within economical haul distances of pulp mills or manufacturers of oriented strand
board (OSB), medium-density fiberboard (MDF), or related products. Other competing uses that
have been encountered include manufacturing charcoal, particleboard, and specialty products.
When considering agricultural residues, seasonality becomes a concern. For wastewater treatment
gas, the population served by the wastewater treatment plant is the primary factor and can include
industries as well as residential populations. Similarly, landfill gas utilization depends on landfills
serving large populations. As a consequence, California has more than 200 MWe of generation from
landfill gas [6]. In all cases, however, local resource availability is the governing factor.
Local resource availability is critical because biomass fuels have limited transportability. Green
wood wastes typically have bulk densities of 0.21 to 0.26 kg/m3 (16 to 20 lb/ft3). This compares
to coals with bulk densities of 0.68 to 0.78 kg/m3 (52 to 60 lb/ft3). Crop wastes can have bulk
densities of 0.11 to 0.13 kg/m3 (5 to 8 lb/ft3). Landfill and wastewater treatment gases are
typically saturated with water, and have heating values that are about half of that associated with
natural gas (on a dry gas basis). Further, landfill and wastewater treatment gases are not
compressed, while natural gas is transported under significant pressure. The typical estimated
maximum haul distances for woody biomass are on the order of 50 to 75 miles (80 to 120 km);
economical transport distances for other biomass fuels are significantly lower.
4-8
Energy crops are just beginning to be commercially grown in the United States, and RD&D is
under way to explore optimal energy crop species. The main potential energy crop species being
considered are hybrid poplar, hybrid willow, switchgrass, and as noted earlier, canes/reeds such
as arundo. POLYSYS, an agricultural policy simulation model of the U.S. agricultural sector,
assumes that energy crops production will be limited to areas that are climatically suited for their
production, thus excluding all states in the Rocky Mountain and Western Plains regions. Future
genetic improvements in energy crops may extend this range. POLYSYS excludes irrigation as a
viable management practice for energy crops production.
Crop, forest, and primary mills provide roughly 70% of the current biomass resource. The single
largest source of biomass is crop residue. Perennial crops have the largest growing potential for
energy production. Dedicated energy crops (switchgrass, willow, hybrid poplar) can often be
economically grown on land that is not suitable for conventional crops and can provide erosion
protection for agricultural set-aside or Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) lands. Figure 4-2
breaks out the various sources used for biomass generation.
Methane from
Domestic
Wastewater
0%
Switchgrass on
CRP Lands
20%
Crops
Residues
37%
Methane from
Landfills
3%
Methane from
Manure
Management
1%
Urban Wood
7%
Secondary Mill
1%
Forest Residues
13%
Primary Mill
18%
Figure 4-2
Breakdown of biomass feedstock
The key to producing low-cost plantation feedstocks is land availability and quality, which to a
significant extent determine the degree of site preparation necessary, the choice of species and
rotations (cutting cycles), required cultural management and soil amendments (fertilization, weed
control, etc.), and fuel transport and logistics. Land and site quality also define biomass
productivity, the major determinant of total feedstock cost. In addition, productivity is a key
factor in determining the total size of the plantation, annual feedstock production, and the size of
the conversion facility that can be supported. Figure 4-3 shows the effect of biomass plant scale
on feedstock requirements and transport distances.
4-9
Figure 4-3
Effect of biomass plant scale on feedstock requirements and plantation area required [43]
Greater plantation productivity directly translates into reduced land requirements. Higher
conversion efficiencies translates into more installed plant capacity for a given feedstock
requirement or less required plantation area for a given installed capacity.
4.2.1 Biofuels vs. Biomass Electricity
A 2009 study performed by researchers at Stanford University, the University of California
Merced, and others [44] concludes that, on average, using biomass to produce electricity is 80%
more efficient than transforming the biomass into biofuel. In addition, the electricity option was
deemed to be twice as effective at reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The analysis covered a
range of harvested crops, including corn and switchgrass, and a number of different energy
conversion technologies. Data collected were applied to electric and combustion-engine versions
of four vehicle types, and their operating efficiencies were estimated during city and highway
driving. The study accounted for the energy required to convert the biomass into ethanol and
electricity, as well as for the energy intensiveness of manufacturing and disposing of each
vehicle type. Bioelectricity far outperformed ethanol in most scenarios. (It some cases it was
found to be 80% more efficient.)
4.2.2 Basic Properties of Solid Biomass Fuels
Fuel properties can be characterized in terms of proximate and ultimate analyses, reactivity
measurements, ash elemental analyses, ash reactivity, and trace metal composition.
4-10
Moisture %
Fuel
Pine Chips
Pine
Shavings
Red Oak
Shavings
Fresh Mixed
Sawdust
Urban Wood
Waste*
45.0
45.0
28.8
40.0
30.8
84.7
84.7
79.5
80.0
76.0
Fixed carbon
15.2
15.2
19.0
19.0
18.1
Ash
0.1
0.1
1.5
1.0
5.9
49.1
49.1
51.6
49.2
48.0
Hydrogen
6.4
6.4
5.8
6.0
5.5
Nitrogen
0.2
0.2
0.5
0.4
1.4
Sulfur
0.2
0.2
0.0
<0.1
0.1
Oxygen
44.0
44.0
40.6
43.0
39.1
Ash
0.1
0.1
1.5
1.0
5.9
8502
8502
8069
8400
8364
HHV (Btu/lb)
4-11
Fuel
Fresh
Switchgrass
Weathered
Switchgrass
Reed Canary
Grass
Mulch Hay
15
15
65.2
19.5
Moisture %
76.18
81.8
76.1
77.6
Fixed carbon
16.08
14.8
4.1
17.1
Ash
7.74
3.4
19.8
5.3
46.73
49.4
45.8
46.5
Hydrogen
5.88
5.9
6.1
5.7
Nitrogen
0.54
0.4
1.0
1.7
Sulfur
0.13
0.3
0.1
0.2
Oxygen
38.99
40.6
42.9
40.6
Ash
7.74
3.4
4.1
5.3
HHV (Btu/lb)
7750
8150
7103
8058
Table 4-5
Proximate and ultimate analyses for typical manures
Parameter
Moisture %
Fuel
Dairy TieStall Manure
Poultry Litter
Sheep
Manure
Swine Waste
64.7
69.8
20.0
47.8
97.8*
76.0
30.1
55.3
65.2
59.6
Fixed carbon
18.1
7.4
7.7
14.0
7.3
Ash
6.0
62.5
17.0
20.9
33.1
48.6
22.6
38.1
40.6
38.0
Hydrogen
5.8
2.9
5.6
5.1
5.5
Nitrogen
1.4
1.1
3.5
2.1
3.2
Sulfur
0.1
0.1
0.6
0.6
0.6
Oxygen
38.1
10.8
30.9
30.7
19.6
Ash
6.0
62.5
17.0
20.9
33.0
8203
3644
6399
6895
7328
HHV (Btu/lb)
4-12
4-13
Note the extremely high concentrations of inorganic ash in some of the dairy manure and swine
wastes. Table 4-6 shows the concentrations of fuel nitrogen and ash for selected biomass
materials, expressed in lb/106 Btu.
Table 4-6
Nitrogen and ash concentrations in biomass fuels (values in lb/106 Btu)
Nitrogen (lb/106 Btu)
Pine chips
0.24
0.12
Pine shavings
0.24
0.12
0.61
1.86
0.47
1.19
1.67
7.05
Fresh switchgrass
0.70
9.99
Weathered switchgrass
0.49
4.17
1.41
5.77
Mulch hay
2.11
6.58
1.71
7.31
3.02
171
Poultry litter
5.47
26.6
Sheep manure
3.04
30.31
Swine manure
4.37
45.0
Fuel
<0.4 lb alkali (K2O + Na2O)/106 Btu, low slagging and fouling potential
4-14
Fuel
Pittsburgh
#8 Coal
Pine
Shavings
Reed Canary
Grass
Poultry Litter
Al2O3
25.34
13.4
1.66
2.26
9.14
BaO
0.15
0.05
0.02
0.05
CaO
2.28
8.75
9.57
23.3
12.7
Fe2O3
18.34
5.94
1.47
1.37
4.04
K2O
2.22
4.94
18.1
10.7
9.94
MgO
0.82
3.35
5.29
8.91
4.01
MnO
0.49
0.11
0.14
0.36
Na2O
0.25
1.38
2.34
7.04
3.60
P2O5
0.4
1.44
13.8
14.7
14.0
SiO2
48.2
57.2
43.0
26.0
39.4
SO3
0.67
0.05
0.02
0.14
2.58
SrO
0.80
0.11
0.11
0.03
TiO2
1.16
4.99
5.08
0.51
0.325
0.339
0.741
1.539
0.699
Base/acid ratio
Table 4-8
Ash analyses of switchgrass and other herbaceous crops
Parameter
Fuel
Switchgrass
#1
Switchgrass
#2
Alfalfa Stems
Wheat
Straw
Rice Straw
SiO2
65.18
65.42
1.44
55.70
73.00
Al2O3
4.51
6.98
0.60
1.80
1.40
TiO2
0.24
0.34
0.05
0.00
0.00
Fe2O3
2.03
3.56
0.25
0.70
0.60
CaO
5.60
7.14
12.90
2.60
1.90
MgO
3.00
3.17
4.24
2.40
1.80
Na2O
0.58
1.03
0.61
0.90
0.40
K2O
11.60
7.00
40.53
22.80
13.50
P2O5
4.50
2.80
7.67
1.20
1.40
SO3
0.44
2.00
1.60
1.70
0.70
CO2
0.00
0.00
17.44
0.00
0.00
Base/Acid Ratio
0.33
0.30
28.00
0.51
0.24
4-15
Table 4-9 presents the Miles et al. [10] slagging and fouling index for selected biomass fuels.
Note the comparison of the manurestie-stall dairy manure and chicken litterto woody
biomass and herbaceous biomass.
Table 4-9
Slagging and fouling index for selected biomass fuels
Fuel
0.010.02
0.080.12
0.45
Alfalfa stems
3.38
Fresh switchgrass
0.801.22
Weathered switchgrass
0.330.51
1.18
Tie-stall manure
1.30
Chicken litter
3.60
Sources: Miller et al. (2002); Prinzing (1996); Baxter et al. (1996a); Miles et al. (1993).
Trace metal concentrations in biomass are typically lower than in coal. This has been shown
with repeated testing (see Tillman [8] [11], Payette et al. [12], and Hus and Tillman [13]). In
particular, mercury concentrations, expressed as lb/106 Btu or mg/kJare significantly lower for
biomass than for coal [12].
Trace metals in wood waste, agricultural materials, and other biomass fuels are a reflection
of where they came from. Trees grown in areas where there are high concentrations of trace
metals will exhibit somewhat elevated concentrations of same. Herbaceous crops will exhibit
metal concentrations associated with fertilization practices. Urban wood waste will exhibit
metal concentrations associated with glues, laminates, paints, coatings, and related materials
(see Tillman [14]). Recent studies have shown that mercury concentrations in sawdust are
typically 0.001 to 0.002 mg/kg in the as-received wood, or 0.002 to 0.004 mg/kg in the wood
waste on an oven dry basis [15]. Studies of urban wood waste have shown the following trace
metal concentrations in mg/kg of fresh material [13]:
4-16
Previous studies [16] have shown wide ranges in trace metal concentrations, as shown in
Table 4-10. These ranges reflect differences in the originating environment of the wood and
wood waste. Table 4-11 shows ranges measured for wood waste burned at a pulp mill in the
Pacific Northwest.
Table 4-10
Ranges in concentrations of trace metals in woody biomass (mg/kg in dry wood)
Metal
Mean
Range
Arsenic
6.5
310
Barium
0.5910
Cadmium
10.4
326
Chromium
31.4
9.192
Lead
72
38127
Nickel
36.6
11.650
Vanadium
53
2779
Zinc
500
200794
Table 4-11
Ranges in concentrations of trace metals in woody biomass burned at a pulp mill in the
Pacific Northwest (mg/kg in dry wood)
Metal
Mean
Range
Arsenic
0.475
BDL1.8
Barium
51.5
4366
Beryllium
BDL
BDL
Cadmium
BDL
BDL
Chromium
128.4
16524
Chromium +6
0.063
BDL0.3
Lead
2.71
1.16.1
Nickel
137.3
BDL556
99
35207
Zinc
Source: Tillman, 1994.
Trace metals in herbaceous crops and animal manures exhibit the same wide variability. Again,
the originating and processing environments govern trace metal concentrations.
4-17
Statistical Measure
Average
Standard Deviation
95% Confidence
Interval
5.14
1.27
2.657.63
1.51
0.12
1.271.75
0.59
0.10
0.390.79
4-18
1 0 0 .0 0 %
9 0 .0 0 %
8 0 .0 0 %
7 0 .0 0 %
6 0 .0 0 %
M a x im u m
V o la tile Y ie ld (% )
5 0 .0 0 %
4 0 .0 0 %
3 0 .0 0 %
2 0 .0 0 %
1 0 .0 0 %
0 .0 0 %
S aw dust
U rb a n w o o d
F re s h
W e a th e re d
B la c k
P itts b u rg h
W a s te
S w itc h g ra s s
S w itc h g ra s s
Thunder
#8
F u e l T yp e
Figure 4-4
Maximum volatile yield of biomass fuels compared to reference coals
Sources: Johnson et al., 2001; Johnson et al., 2002
All biomass fuels exhibit maximum volatile yields of about 90+%. This compares with the
lower maximum volatile yields for the two representative coals. It is also significant to note that
the fresh sawdust and fresh switchgrass achieved maximum volatile yields at 1832F (1000C)
while the urban wood waste and weathered switchgrass required temperatures of 2732F
(1500C) to achieve maximum volatile yield.
4.2.3.2 Fuel Nitrogen Characteristics of Biomass Fuels
The overall reactivity of biomass fuels is clearly established. The reactivity of nitrogen from the
various biomass fuels significantly impacts its ability to influence NOX formationor NOX
control. Key measures include fuel nitrogen in lb/106 Btu as well as the following:
These parameters are important in that the volatile fuel nitrogen is more readily reduced to N2
through staged fuel and staged air mechanisms. However, it is important to recognize that not all
nitrogen volatiles are identical, and they evolve at different time histories. Nitrogen volatiles that
evolve more rapidly are more likely to be released from the fuel particle in a fuel-rich region of
the furnace; nitrogen volatiles that are slow to evolve are more likely to be released in a fuel-lean
environment, where surplus oxygen exists.
4-19
Figure 4-5 shows fuel nitrogen concentrations for four biomass fuels extensively analyzed, along
with reference coals. Note the high concentration of fuel nitrogen in the urban wood waste. Total
fuel nitrogen concentration in the sample analyzed is consistent with that measured in the urban
wood waste cofired at the Bailly Generating Station [11]. It results largely from glues in the
plywood and particleboard, OSB, and MDF components of the urban wood waste. It also results
from coatings and coverings, including paints and laminates. The nitrogen contents in the fresh
and weathered switchgrass samples vary significantly, with the weathered switchgrass showing
less fuel nitrogen.
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
Fuel Nitrogen,
Lb/MMBtu
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
Sawdust
Urban wood
Fresh
Weathered
Black
Pittsburgh
Waste
Switchgrass
Switchgrass
Thunder
#8
Fuel Type
Figure 4-5
Fuel nitrogen concentrations for the fuel samples analyzed in detail
Source: Johnson et al., 2001; Johnson et al., 2002
Figure 4-6 shows the distribution of nitrogen in volatile or char form for these fuels. Note that
the sawdust contains virtually no char nitrogen. Nitrogen in sawdust has been shown to comprise
largely amine functional groups in the living portion of the wood. The char nitrogen is virtually
identical for the two switchgrass samples and for the urban wood waste. Clearly some of the
nitrogen in the glues does not evolve in volatile form, but remains in the char form. Note also
that the char nitrogen for biomass is significantly lower than that for the reference fuels. The
Black Thunder PRB coal shows increased char nitrogen, and the Pittsburgh Seam coal shows the
highest concentration of fuel nitrogen in char form. These data for coals are well correlated with
the degree of difficulty in controlling NOX emissions during pulverized coal combustion.
4-20
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
Distribution of
Fuel Nitrogen by
Type (lb/MMBtu)
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
Sawdust
Urban wood
Fresh
Weathered
Black
Pittsburgh
Waste
Switchgrass
Switchgrass
Thunder
#8
Fuel Type
Figure 4-6
Distribution of volatile and char fuel nitrogen in selected biomass and reference coal
samples
Source: Johnson et al., 2001; Johnson et al., 2002
Maximum volatile nitrogen yield significantly affects NOX management. It ties structural
considerations to fuel behavior in combustion settings. Figure 4-7 shows maximum nitrogen
volatile yield as a function of fuel sample. Note that sawdust shows the highest maximum
nitrogen volatile yield, whereas Pittsburgh Seam coal shows the lowest nitrogen volatile yield.
Weathered switchgrass shows the lowest nitrogen volatile yield among the biomass fuels. These
data are consistent with those previously presented in terms of overall fuel volatility and
distribution of fuel nitrogen.
Given these data, it is critical to evaluate the behavior of nitrogen volatiles in biomass and
compare that behavior to the nitrogen volatiles of reference coals. Baxter et al. [23, 24] initiated
investigations into the rate of nitrogen volatile release from coal particles during the pyrolysis or
devolatilization phases of combustion. These investigations recognize that fuel nitrogen in all
coal can be in pyrrole, substituted pyrrole, and pyridine forms, and can be in amine and aniline
forms in the lower rank coals (e.g., lignites) to a very limited extent. These various forms of
nitrogen in fuel volatilize at different temperatures and at different time histories, as the particle
is heated and devolatilized. Volatiles that evolve most rapidly are also most easily controlled.
They tend to evolve in fuel-rich or oxygen-deficient regions of the combustion system. Nitrogen
volatiles retained for longer times in the fuel particle are more likely to be released in fuel-lean
regions of the combustion zone, where excess oxygen is available to oxidize the volatile
nitrogen.
4-21
100.00%
90.00%
80.00%
70.00%
Maximum
Nitrogen Volatile
Yield (%)
60.00%
50.00%
40.00%
30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
Urban wood
Sawdust
Waste
Fresh
Weathered
Switchgrass Switchgrass
Black
Pittsburgh
Thunder
#8
Fuel Type
Figure 4-7
Maximum nitrogen volatile yields for selected biomass and coal samples
Source: Johnson et al., 2001; Johnson et al., 2002
Drop-tube reactor experiments by Johnson et al. [7, 18] document volatile nitrogen evolution
patterns for four biomass fuel samples evaluated: sawdust, urban wood waste, fresh switchgrass,
and weathered switchgrass. Nitrogen volatilization patterns are shown as a function of
temperature, recognizing that the temperature history of the particle is a reasonable substitute for
the time history of the fuel particle during the devolatilization phase. In these experiments, the
volatile nitrogen evolution rate was compared to the volatile carbon evolution rate and to the
total volatile matter evolution rate. These volatilization patterns were developed over the entire
temperature range of 400C to 1700C.
Figures 4-8 through 4-11 present the volatile nitrogen and carbon evolution rates for
representative biomass fuels. Among these samples, nitrogen volatiles evolve most rapidly for
sawdust, where nitrogen volatiles evolved more rapidly than the carbon volatile matter,
particularly during the initial stages of pyrolysis. For urban wood waste, the nitrogen evolution
rate essentially parallels the carbon volatile evolution rate. The nitrogen volatile evolution rate
lags just slightly behind the volatile carbon evolution rate for fresh switchgrass. This is quite
similar to the result for urban wood waste. The nitrogen volatile evolution lags significantly
behind the carbon volatile evolution for the weathered switchgrass, indicating the potential for
more difficulty in using this fuel to reduce NOx emissions from biomass combustion.
4-22
100.00
90.00
Nitrogen
80.00
70.00
60.00
Carbon
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
1200
1400
1600
1800
Temperature (C)
Figure 4-8
Volatile nitrogen and carbon evolution from fresh sawdust
100.00
90.00
Carbon
80.00
70.00
60.00
Nitrogen
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Temperature (C)
Figure 4-9
Volatile nitrogen and carbon evolution from urban wood waste
4-23
100.00
90.00
80.00
Carbon
70.00
60.00
50.00
Nitrogen
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
Temperature (C)
Figure 4-10
Volatile nitrogen and carbon evolution from fresh switchgrass
100.00%
90.00%
80.00%
Carbon
70.00%
60.00%
50.00%
40.00%
30.00%
Nitrogen
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Temperature (C)
Figure 4-11
Volatile nitrogen and carbon evolution from weathered switchgrass
4-24
1400
1600
1800
The data presented here can also be normalized to total volatile evolution, as is shown in Figures
4-12 and 4-13 for the sawdust and weathered switchgrass. Normalizing the data to proximate
analysis, consistent with the Baxter analysis [23, 24], provides a means for relating volatile
nitrogen evolution to traditional fuel analyses. Further, it provides a means for relating the
nitrogen evolution data to typical information used in burner design and operation.
100.00
90.00
80.00
70.00
60.00
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
90.00%
80.00%
70.00%
60.00%
50.00%
40.00%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
Figure 4-13
Nitrogen and carbon volatile evolution from weathered switchgrass normalized to total
volatile evolution
4-25
The normalized data demonstrate that the carbon volatile evolution and the total volatile
evolution are virtually identical, with only a slight lag in the carbon volatile evolution caused by
the hydrogen in the fuel.
An alternative approach to evaluating these data is to calculate the nitrogen/carbon (N/C) atomic
ratios of the char remaining from pyrolysis or devolatilization at given temperatures. If the N/C
ratio is declining, then the nitrogen volatiles are evolving more rapidly than the carbon volatiles.
Alternatively, if the N/C ratio is increasing, then the nitrogen is preferentially being retained in
the char. These data can be presented as calculated N/C ratios. These data can also be presented
on a normalized basis, where the initial N/C ratio of the fuel is considered 1.0. N/C ratios in the
char can then be related to the N/C ratio in the fuel on a proportional basis. Both approaches are
presented in Figures 4-14 and 4-15. In Figure 4-14, where normalized data are presented, Black
Thunder and Pittsburgh #8 coals are also presented for comparative purposes. The sawdust
shows the only initial decline in N/C ratios, indicating the preferential evolution of nitrogen
volatiles. The urban wood waste and fresh switchgrass data show that the nitrogen volatiles
evolve at a rate just slightly slower than the carbon volatiles. The weathered switchgrass data
show that the nitrogen volatile evolution lags significantly behind carbon volatile evolution at the
early stages of combustion. The coal data show that the more reactive Black Thunder coal
nitrogen volatile evolution pattern essentially mirrors the carbon volatile evolution pattern, while
there is a significant lag in the nitrogen volatile evolution relative to the carbon volatile evolution
for the Pittsburgh #8 coal.
Nitrogen/Carbon Atomic Ratio in Solid Fuel or
Char
0.035
Urban Wood Waste
0.030
0.025
0.020
Fresh Switchgrass
0.015
Weathered Switchgrass
0.010
Sawdust
0.005
0.000
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
Temperature (C)
Figure 4-14
Nitrogen/carbon atomic ratios for biomass chars formed during DTR pyrolysis at various
temperatures
4-26
2.5
Weathered Switchgrass
2
Fresh Switchgrass
1.5
Pittsburgh #8
Black Thunder
0.5
Fresh Sawdust
0
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
Temperature (C)
Figure 4-15
Normalized nitrogen/carbon atomic ratios for biomass solid fuel and char, compared to
Pittsburgh #8 bituminous coal and Black Thunder Powder River Basin sub-bituminous
coal
The result of the nitrogen evolution analysis is an assessment of the relative desirability of the
four biomass fuels tested. Sawdust clearly has the lowest potential for generating NOx emissions
and weathered switchgrass has the most potential. Fresh switchgrass and urban wood waste are
about on equal footing with respect to nitrogen evolution; however, fresh switchgrass has the
advantage of a lower fuel nitrogen content. Actual impact on NOx emissions will vary
significantly, though, depending on the fraction of biomass burned, pre-existing combustion
conditions, and so on.
4.2.3.3 Ash Reactivity, Slagging, and Fouling
Ash reactivity, slagging, and fouling also provide significant concerns for biomass fuel
utilization. Ash elemental analyses have been previously presented. More significant data can be
obtained from chemical fractionation of the ash, however. In this procedure (see Miller et al. [25,
26] and Miller and Miller [27]), the fuel is successively leached in water, ammonium acetate, and
hydrochloric acid (HCl). The successive leaching provides insights into the reactivity of a given
inorganic constituent by revealing mineral associations of the cations. Matter leached with water
and ammonium acetate is highly reactive; matter leached in HCl is less reactive, whereas the
residue from this procedure is considered to be relatively unreactive. Examining selective
leaching results has shown to be an effective method of predicting deposition in coals as well.
Baxter et al. [24] and Bryers [28] have used this procedure to evaluate a wide array of biomass
fuels, and a very similar technique is used to assess the deposition probabilities of coals and
other mineral effects.
4-27
Table 4-13 presents chemical fractionation of an array of biomass fuels developed by Miller et
al. [25]. This includes wood, herbaceous material (Reed Canary grass), and manure samples.
Table 4-13
Chemical fractionation analyses of various biofuel ashes
Parameter
Fuel
Pine
Shavings
Reed
Canary
Grass
Sheep
Manure
Poultry Litter
65
97
97
96
41
Acid soluble
Insoluble
35
20
77
98
96
99
90
Acid soluble
Insoluble
23
10
92
92
58
68
41
Acid soluble
41
31
58
Insoluble
72
95
77
90
69
Acid soluble
10
21
19
Insoluble
18
12
30
25
32
12
Acid soluble
13
Insoluble
70
72
68
75
100
29
55
Acid soluble
Insoluble
71
45
100
100
100
Potassium
Sodium
Calcium
Magnesium
Aluminum
Silicon
4-28
Table 4-14, from Baxter et al. [24], presents chemical fractionation of switchgrass.
Table 4-14
Chemical fractionation of potassium in switchgrass for four samples
Parameter
Switchgrass Sample
A
C1
C2
Water soluble
52
68
70
72
Ion exchangeable
35
24
20
16
Acid soluble
Residual
10
10
Baxter, as reported by Miles et al. [10], performed one complete analysis of switchgrass as
shown in Table 4-15. These results show the high reactivity of the alkali, and alkali earth
minerals along with the low reactivity of the silica, alumina, and titanium dioxide.
Table 4-15
Complete chemical fractionation of a switchgrass sample
Ash Component
Ion Exchangeable
Acid Soluble
Residual
SiO2
100
Al2O3
100
TiO2
100
Fe2O3
40
60
CaO
80
10
MgO
32
48
13
Na2O
52
48
K2O
70
20
10
P2O5
70
15
SO3
26
69
Chemical fractionation provides key insights into the reactivity of ash and its potential to cause
slagging and fouling. It provides insights into potential combustion problems of various biomass
fuels when used in conjunction with total ash concentration. Reactivity places a premium on
low-ash biomass fuels and demonstrates some of the difficulties with the herbaceous materials. It
also demonstrates that trees grown for fuel with high doses of fertilizer containing potassium
could generate significant slagging and fouling deposits.
4-29
Mechanical
draft cooling
tower
Cooling
water
Turbine/
generator
Electricity
Moisture losses
Biomass
710 F
269 F
Alternate
Fuel
Receiving
Utility boiler
Air heater
610 F
Coal
Bottom ash
ESP
80 F
Combustion
air
Ferrous
Figure 4-16
Schematic of biomass cofiring with coal in a utility boiler
4-30
Stack
Fly ash
The biomass fuel being fired (woody biomass, herbaceous biomass, gaseous fuel from a
landfill, a wastewater treatment facility, or an atmospheric gasifier)
The boiler type (cyclone, tangentially fired pulverized coal, wall-fired pulverized coal,
fluidized bed)
The design and operating parameters of the unit (e.g., the presence of spare pulverizer
capacity, the use of low-NOX burners).
There are certain combinations that are highly useful, but others simply do not work. Technology
selection is based upon putting the most appropriate combination in place.
Numerous facilities have demonstrated cofiring (Table 4-16). Of these, cofiring has continued at
the Greenidge Station, the Big Stone Plant, Plant Gadsden, and the Willow Island Generating
Station, at a minimum. It was previously practiced for many years at the King Generating Station
of Northern States Power and several other locations. In Europe, Electrabels Gelderland station
cofires commercially, as do many other sites in Europe, including the Drax power station, Dong
Energys Studstrup station, and EDF Polskas Krakow station.
4.3.2 Cofiring in Cyclone Boilers
Cyclone firing demonstrates that the key issue of cofiring in either cyclone boilers or pulverized
coal (PC) boilers is fuel handling. Combustion considerations dictate many of the environmental
and technical consequences of cofiring. Materials handling concerns have the major impact on
economics.
Cyclone boilers are commonly considered most appropriate for cofiring dissimilar solid fuels
biomass fuels, tire-derived fuel (TDF), petroleum coke, and other opportunity fuels. In cyclone
firing, fuel crushed typically to 0.375-inch 0-inch (9.5 mm 0 mm) is stored in bunkers. The
outfeed from the bunkers falls by gravity through the downcomers to the feeders, typically Stock
gravimetric feeders, and is then fed by gravity to the cyclone burners. Rather than being burned
in suspension, the fuel is burned in a cyclone, forming a slag layer on the cyclone barrel.
4-31
Boiler Type
Biomass
Fired
Responsible
Organization
TVA
Cyclone
Sawdust
TVA/EPRI/DOENETL
TVA
T-fired PC
Sawdust
TVA
TVA
Wall-fired PC
Sawdust
TVA
Plant Hammond
Southern Co
Wall-fired PC
Sawdust
Southern Co.
Plant Kraft
Southern Co
T-fired PC
Sawdust
Southern Co.
Alabama Power
T-fired PC
Switchgrass,
sawdust
Southern Co.,
DOE, EPRI
Shawville Generating
Station
GPU Genco
Wall-fired PC
T-fired PC
Sawdust
GPU/EPRI/DOENETL(2)
Seward Generating
Station
GPU Genco
Wall-fired PC
Sawdust
GPU/EPRI/DOENETL(2)
Greenidge Station
NYSEG/AES(1)
T-fired PC
General
wood waste
NYSEG/
NYSERDA(3)
MG&E
Wall-fired PC
Switchgrass
DOE/EPRI
Michigan City
Generating Station
NIPSCO
Cyclone
Urban wood
waste
EPRI/DOE-NETL(2)
NIPSCO
Cyclone
Urban wood
waste
EPRI/DOE-NETL(2)
Albright Generating
Station
Allegheny Energy
T-fired PC
Sawdust
Allegheny
Energy/DOENETL(2)/EPRI
Allegheny Energy
Cyclone
Sawdust
Allegheny
Energy/DOENETL(2)/EPRI
Dunkirk Generating
Station
Niagara Mohawk
T-fired PC
Sawdust/
SRWC
DOE-GFO(4)
Alliant Energy
T-fired PC
Switchgrass
DOE-GFO(4)
TECO
Coal gasifier
IGCC
SRWC
DOE-NETL(2)
Southern Co
T-fired PC
Switchgrass
DOE-GFO(4)
Midkraft
Wall-fired PC
Straw
Elsamprojekt
Lahden
Lampovoima Oy
Wall-fired PC
General
wood waste
Plant
Plant Gadsden
Ottumwa Generating
Station
Polk County Generating
Station
Plant Gadsden
Studstrup(5)
Lahti (gasification)
FWOy/EU Thermie
Program
Notes:
1. Many of these units have changed hands since the demonstration (e.g., AES has purchased the Greenidge Station formerly owned by
NYSEG).
2. NETL is the National Energy Technology Laboratory of DOE.
3. NYSERDA is the New York State Energy Research and Development Agency.
4. GFO is the Golden Field Office of DOE.
5. One example of many European cofiring demonstrations.
4-32
The flow of fuel to the bunkers, coal feeders, and cyclones is appropriate for granular and
regularly shaped particles. Wood waste, such as sawdust at 18 lb/ft3, works well in cyclone
boilers. However, cyclone technology is not suitable for switchgrass and other herbaceous
materials, as reported by Bush et al. [29]. Jenike and Johanson of Westford, Massachusetts, state
that, in evaluating co-feeding and co-milling switchgrass and coal at Plant Gadsden for Southern
Co., they analyzed blends of switchgrass and Pratt Seam coal. Their research documented that a
blend of 5% switchgrass and 95% coal on a mass basis would not flow from the bunker. The
needle-like characteristics of the switchgrass particles, combined with the low bulk densities of
switchgrass (e.g., 5 to 7 lb/ft3), resulted in continuous bridging. As a consequence of the handling
characteristics of herbaceous materials, all cyclone demonstrations have been on woody biomass.
Cyclone firing is unique in that the coal is not pulverized, combustion occurs at very high peak
flame temperatures (e.g., 3300F to 3550F), and inorganic matter is largely converted into a
liquid slag, which is then tapped from the furnace bottom. Cyclone firing typically results in
about 70% of the mineral matter in the coal or fuel mass being removed as bottom ash or slag,
leaving only 30% of the mineral matter to exit the boiler as fly ash. Slag or bottom ash is
typically sold for sandblasting grit, roofing granules, and similar products.
Cyclone firing can generate high concentrations of NOX. Uncontrolled combustion NOX
emissions of 1.2 to 2.0 lb/106 Btu have been generated, depending on boiler size and
configuration (front wall vs. opposed wall configurations of the cyclone barrels). More recently,
most cyclone boilers have been equipped with overfire air systems to reduce NOX emissions to
the 0.3 to 0.5 lb/106 Btu range. No new cyclone boilers have been built since about 1975, due in
large part to the NOX emissions associated with these units.
Cyclones, originally designed for slagging coals of the Midwest, have had success in firing a
range of coals. Consequently, cyclone boilers were adapted to cofire petroleum coke [19], tirederived fuel (TDF) [30], and other opportunity fuels with coal. In the 1970s, some experiments
cofired refuse-derived fuel (RDF) and coal in cyclone boilers. In the 1990s, Northern Indiana
Public Service Co. (NIPSCO) cofired tar-laden soils from manufactured gas plants with coal in
one cyclone boiler. In the early 1990s, Northern States Power also began cofiring dry wood
waste from Andersen Windows with PRB coal at its 600-MWe King Generating Station.
4.3.2.1 Cofiring System Design for Cyclone Boilers
With the exception of the King Station, where dry sawdust from a neighboring window
manufacturing facility was blown into the secondary air system of three of 12 cyclone barrels, all
demonstrations have blended woody biomass with coal and/or other opportunity fuels on the coal
pile or on the conveyor leading to the bunker system. Consequently, the cofiring system has to
have sufficient transport capacity to load the entire requirement for biomass within a two-to fourhour window depending upon loading schedules at the plant.
Critical variables associated with cyclone cofiring systems include the following:
Project design life can be between three and 10 years, as the cofiring system addresses existing
plants built before 1975. This impacts the robustness of the design. Degree of automation is
critical. If the plant accepts a low degree of automation, the capital cost can be minimized;
however, labor requirements increase.
As a minimum, cofiring requires a pile and a reclaim conveyor connected to the main belt
conveyor feeding the bunkers or silos. This requires a truck unload location and a conveyor with
a belt scale for control. One to two workers are necessary to operate the system. It also requires
accepting the risk of tramp material in the biomass. Absent accepting this risk, a magnet must be
installed somewhere on the conveyor. This system can be enhanced by a pole barn or similar
structure to contain biomass dust. At the other extreme, the system can be built to accept any
type of truck and automatically screen biomass for oversized particles, with a grinder for
oversized particles, a stock-out bin, a reclaim system, and controls to manage the blend
automatically. This may require one-quarter to one-half of a worker. Space available dictates
whether a hydraulic truck unloader can be successfully installed. It also dictates conveyor
lengths, conveyor selection, and ease of operation. Soil conditions can be critical in determining
whether spread footings are acceptable or whether pile construction is required. Plant standards
dictate whether or not the electrical installation must be explosion-proof, the extent to which fire
suppression systems are required, the method and degree of system controls, and the extent to
which redundancy is built into the system. All of these are issues with significant economic
consequences.
An example of a cyclone cofiring system is the Willow Island Generating Station boiler #2
demonstration hosted by Allegheny Energy Supply Co., LLC. The Willow Island Generating
Station boiler #2, located in Willow Island, West Virginia, is a 188-MWe (net) unit equipped
with five cyclone barrels, all located in two rows or elevations on the front wall of the boiler. The
boiler operates in a positive pressure mode. The cyclones are equipped with scroll feeders.
Willow Island #2 boiler burns a washed Pittsburgh Seam coal. Limestone is periodically added
to the coal to enhance the slag-forming properties of the fuel. The plant is equipped with a hot
side electrostatic precipitator (ESP) for particulate control. Overfire air (OFA) was subsequently
added to the #2 boiler to reduce NOX emissions.
The design criteria for the Willow Island cofiring system included the following:
The capability to blend 15% sawdust with coal (mass basis) on the main coal belt,
recognizing that normal operation would involve blending 10% sawdust with coal on the
main belt.
The capability to receive and process at least 150 to 200 tons (six to eight truckloads) of
sawdust daily in walking floor vans.
The capacity to store more than three days of sawdust on-site to supply the boiler with
biomass during weekends, including holiday weekends.
The construction of a facility with a design life of more than three years.
The capability to screen the entire mass of biomass fuel to protect the crushers and cyclone
barrels from undesirable material.
4-34
The capability to grind oversized particles to a fuel specification of less than 0.25-inch
particles, consistent with maximizing the volatile matter release in the cyclone barrels.
The capability to meter the flow of biomass to the cyclone barrels in order to measure the
blends being put up in the bunkers.
Figures 4-17 and 4-18 show the system design. In this system, walking floor vans discharge their
load to a live-bottom hopper. The bottom of the hopper is a conveyor belt carrying the sawdust to
a 50-ton/hr disc screen capable of screening 0.25-inch 0-inch sawdust particles. Oversized
material is discharged from the screen to a slow speed/high torque grinder that reduces the wood
particles to the desired size. Acceptable particles are then carried by mechanical conveyor to a
408-ton live bottom storage bin. This bin accepts the material through three openings. It has the
capability to level the storage pile of sawdust using three leveling screws at the top of the bin.
The floor of the bin is a walking floor capable of moving the entire mass of sawdust in the bin.
Figure 4-17
Plan view of the Willow Island biomass cofiring system
4-35
Figure 4-18
Elevation view of the Willow Island biomass cofiring system
Sawdust is discharged from the bin by twin counter-rotating augers that convey the material to a
weigh belt conveyor. The augers operate at variable speed and meter the sawdust to the weigh
belt conveyor. The weigh belt conveyor carries sawdust to the main coal conveyor from the
crusher house to the power plant bunkers. The system is designed to convey up to 75 ton/hr of
sawdust to the main coal conveyor. Sawdust is added to the conveyor belt before the automatic
belt samplers. TDF is added to the conveyor belt separately, after the belt samplers.
The design was based on walking floor van truck transportation. Value engineering dictated that
walking floor vans are used due to the costs of hydraulic chip van dumpers. Further, dust
management issues made use of trailer dump trucks less than desirable. Finally, there was
insufficient space at the Willow Island site to house a truck dump other than a walking floor
receiving hopper.
The design then focused on screen selection. The disc screen provided an acceptable particle size
for combustion without generating the levels of dust associated with trommel screens. Further,
disc screens experience little blinding. Covered mechanical conveyors, selected both for
maintenance and dust management reasons, were used to load the bunker, rather than pneumatic
conveyors previously used to feed silos.
The walking floor bin was chosen over a silo because of storage requirements and height
considerations, in addition to consequent maintenance concerns when dealing with the head
pulley of the conveyor feeding the bin. There were ample reasons for using either type of storage
system, and customer preference ultimately influenced the choice of the storage facility. Covered
contained storage of the prepared fuel is always employed at power plants due to dust
management considerations.
Some additional features were incorporated into the design. A small permanent vacuum system
was added to facilitate general site cleanup. Dock seals were added around the truck unloading
hopper to minimize sawdust spillage at that location (Figure 4-19 shows a truck unloading
sawdust). An inspection door was added to the twin auger conveyor moving sawdust from the
walking floor bin to the weigh belt metering conveyor. These features improve the overall
performance of the system.
4-36
The system was installed on a site requiring extensive piling, which added considerably to the
cost. The system also met plant requirements for an explosion-proof electrical system.
Figure 4-19
Receiving sawdust at the Willow Island Generating Station
4-37
Description
Capital Cost
Process Equipment
$920,200
Engineering Studies
$194,400
Soils studies
Engineering
3
Construction
$1,114,400
$86,800
TOTAL
$2,315,800
Table 4-18
Capital cost summary for the Bailly Generating Station cofiring system
Number
1
Description
Capital Cost
Process Equipment
$587,700
Trommel screen
Aboveground reclaim
Air slide metering conveyor
2
$327,400
$266,500
TOTAL
$1,181,600
The cost range, $140 to $180/kW supported by biomass, is a reasonable estimate of the capital
costs associated with cofiring in cyclone boilers, particularly at the 8- to 12-MWe range. Because
these systems are largely materials handling systems, the exponential scale factor for estimating
larger systems would be 0.65 to 0.8. The $1.18 million cost of the Bailly system could well
represent a minimum cost for cofiring at smaller scales.
4-38
The differential operating costs associated with automation is due to additional labor
requirements. Annual maintenance costs can be estimated at about 4% to 5% of the initial capital
investment.
4.3.2.3 Cofiring Impacts in Cyclone Boilers
Cofiring in cyclone boilers has been tested and demonstrated in a significant number of plants
including the Allen Fossil Plant of TVA, the Bailly Generating Station of NiSource, the
Michigan City Generating Station of NiSource, and the Willow Island Generating Station of
Allegheny Energy.
Efficiency impacts have been modest. At the Willow Island cofiring demonstration, 10% cofiring
(mass basis) resulted in an increase in the net station heat rate (NSHR) of 30 Btu/kWh.
Efficiency penalties of up to 0.5% have been measured when cofiring at 10% mass basis (5%
thermal basis) at the Allen Fossil Plant, the Bailly Generating Station, and the Michigan City
Generating Station. This is about equal to 50 Btu/kWh [11].
Operationally, cofiring increased the duty on the coal feeders to the cyclones, as would be
expected. In no case did cofiring limit unit capacity. Flame temperatures were largely unaffected.
Further, flame intensity of sawdust and finely divided biomass equals that of coal. Furnace exit
gas temperatures (FEGT) decreased in all cofiring tests at Willow Island and at the other cyclone
demonstrations. Figure 4-20 depicts this phenomenon at Willow Island.
3000
2000
1500
FEGT when cofiring coal and sawdust
1000
500
0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
Figure 4-20
Influence of cofiring in cyclone boilers on furnace exit gas temperature
Source: Tillman and Payette, 2004
4-39
Cofiring can also reduce the viscosity of slag formed in the cyclone barrel, increasing the
flexibility of coal chosen. Figure 4-21 shows the impact of cofiring on slag viscosity as
determined by FACTSAGE modeling performed by Miller et al. [25]. Note the significant
change in viscosity from 100% bituminous coal to various cofiring approaches.
10000
1000
Viscosity, poise
100
Fuel 1
Fuel 2
10
Fuel 3
Fuel 4
Fuel 5
Fuel 9
1
1200
1600
2000
2400
2800
3200
3600
4000
Temperature, F
Figure 4-21
Impact of cofiring on slag viscosity (Fuels 2 to 9 are various cofiring scenarios using woody
biomass, herbaceous biomass, and animal manures with Eastern bituminous coals.)
Source: Miller et al., 2002
Typically, cofiring has reduced uncontrolled NOX emissions; however, this has not always
occurred. At Bailly Generating Station, NOX reductions of about 0.1 lb/106 Btu occurred when
cofiring at 10% wood (mass basis), and were far more dramatic when blending petroleum coke
with wood and coal. NOX emissions reductions at Allen Fossil Plant were up to 0.2 lb/106 Btu
when cofiring at 10% (mass basis), depending on the base coal employed. At Willow Island
Generating Station, NOX emissions did not decrease or increase. SO2 emissions decreased as a
function of wood substitution for coal in the boiler.
Testing at Bailly Generating Station [11] demonstrated that carbon monoxide and hydrocarbon
emissions did not increase or decrease as a result of biomass cofiring. The influence on SO3
emissions was inconsequential (approximately 2 ppmvd @ 3% O2).
In all cases, mercury (Hg) emissions decreased as a function of the concentration of Hg in the
feed fuels.
4-40
Greenidge Station
Gadsden Station
Buck Station
Lett Station
Injecting the sawdust directly into the boiler, requiring changes in the final handling and
control approaches
4-41
The Albright design involved accepting sawdust through a walking floor receiver. This receiver
is slightly wider than a walking floor van, and can hold the entire load of a single truck. This
provides for surge capacity in the unloading process. The discharge of the walking floor unloader
is a series of screw conveyors transporting the sawdust to a 30-ton/hr disc screen.
A disc screen was chosen for Albright Generating Station rather than a trommel screen or deck
screen. Dust management was the critical issue, and a disc screen with covers generates less dust
in the work area than a trommel screen. Disc screens have been successfully deployed in the
forest products industry as well as the waste-to-energy industry. This screen produces a product
for suspension firing at less than 6.35 mm (<0.25-inch). The size chosen was based upon
extensive research conducted from 1992 to 1995, and the success of both TVA and Southern
Company cofiring <6.35 mm (<0.25-inch) sawdust in PC boilers.
The <6.35 mm (<0.25-inch) sawdust from the screen was deposited in a bin and then
pneumatically transported to the top of the agricultural silo. Material rejected as being oversized
was originally ground in a research grinder. When that proved unsuccessful in a commercial
application, it was returned to the vendor and the oversized materialless than 5% of the
incoming feedstockwas disposed of. Some employees used a portion of this as mulch on their
own property, while some was landfilled. Eventually a two-stage grinder and associated dust
management system was purchased to reduce the size of oversized product.
From the silo, sawdust was reclaimed on demand, fed through a surge hopper and onto a weigh
belt conveyor feeding a live bottom bin. The live bottom bin discharged sawdust into two rotary
airlocks, each supported by blowers. This arrangement transported sawdust to opposite corners
of the T-fired boiler. Processing equipment was housed in a metal building in order to manage
the entire process. The building also housed the motor control center and all other electrical
systems.
The Albright system delivered up to 6 tons/hr to the boiler, supporting the generation of
approximately 6.0 MWe or about 4.3% of the net generation of the #3 boiler. Injection into the
boiler was accomplished with two specially designed injectors capable of following the burner
tilts. The boiler has four rows of burners, with the injectors installed between the B and C rows.
The burners and sawdust delivery system were designed with a tip velocity of 25.5 m/s
(5,000 ft/min) and with an air/fuel mass ratio of 2 kg air/kg fuel. This achieved a substoichiometric air/fuel ratio and a fuel speed sufficient to overcome the flame speed of biomass.
The first consideration was essential for NOX control; the second consideration was a safety
issue.
The system used two independent control systems: one to manage the flow of fuel to the silo and
a second to manage the flow of sawdust to the boiler. The second set of controls allows the
system operator to set the flow of sawdust up to 5.5 tonnes/hr (6 tons/hr) to the boiler at his
discretion. It also permits the operator to shut down the flow of sawdust with an emergency stop
if, for any reason, the operator believes that such action is in the best interest of the boiler and the
power plant.
The design for Seward Generating Station, also using sawdust, was virtually identical to Albright
with one exception: instead of having a separate biomass injector, the Seward wall-fired burners
were modified to fire sawdust into the center of the coal burner. The sawdust and the coal
interacted in the flame envelope (Figure 4-22).
4-42
Both Albright and Seward used separate blowers and separate transport lines for each biomass
injection point. An alternative used at both Plant Gadsden and Dunkirk Generating Station
acquired biomass from the bin using an eductor and a single transport line. This transport line
then employed a splitter to convey the biomass to individual burners.
Figure 4-22
Design of the sawdust injection system at Seward Generating Station
4-43
Description
Process Equipment
Capital Cost
$882,700
Burners
Disc screen
Overs 2-stage grinder
Dust control for grinder
Screw conveyor
Sawdust receiving bin, blower, and cyclone
Storage silo and unloader
Paddle conveyor
Surge hopper and live bottom bin
Weigh belt feeder
Rotary airlocks and blowers
Walking floor unloader
Motor starters, motor vontrol venters, and related
System controls
2
Engineering Studies
Construction
$710,000
$135,600
TOTAL
$82,100
$1,810,400
Capital costs associated with herbaceous crop cofiring systems are likely to be substantially
higher than those associated with biomass. Experience at the Ottumwa Generating Station and
Greenidge stations, as well as at the Grena, Avedore, and Studstrup Power Plants of DONG
Energy in Denmark, demonstrate the need to commit significant resources to dry storage of the
biomass and to extensive grinding systems. Further, because herbaceous biomass is largely a
seasonal product, investments are required to provide this material on a year-round basis.
4.3.3.3 Impacts of Cofiring Biomass in PC Boilers
The impacts of separate injection cofiring solid biomass fuels in PC boilers are distinct and
separate from those for cofiring in cyclone boilers. Biomass cofiring does not reduce boiler
capacity. In winter, when wet coal reduces capacity, biomass cofiring can facilitate recovery
of some of the lost capacity as demonstrated at Seward Generating Station [8, 19, 31].
Efficiency penalties can be very modest or somewhat significant, depending on system design
and operation. Typically, biomass is introduced with ambient air. This reduces the combustion
air passing through the air heater and raises the temperature of the gaseous combustion products
exiting the air heater. Further, like cofiring in cyclone boilers, moisture and hydrogen in the fuel
cause a small boiler efficiency penalty. For example, at Albright Generating Station, the
efficiency penalty was about 3.5 Btu/kWh based on sawdust heat input. This resulted in a penalty
of 35 Btu/kWh at 10% cofiring.
4-44
Emissions impacts are clear and significant. SO2 emissions decline as a function of biomass
Btu substitution in the boiler. Similarly, Hg emissions decrease as a function of Btu substitution.
Assuming the test results at Albright Generating Station can be generalized to all units, CO and
opacity emissions are not affected by cofiring. NOX emissions decrease, particularly as a function
of the location of the biomass injection.
At Seward Generating Station, NOX emissions decreased dramatically when cofiring sawdust,
and the data are represented by Equation 4-1:
NOX = 0.030 + 0.0017(L) + 0.082(EO2) 1.917(Wh)
Equation 4-1
where NOX = oxides of nitrogen, lb/106 Btu, L = load measured as main steam flow in 1000
lb/hr, EO2 = excess O2 reported in the control room (total basis), and Wh = wood cofiring
percentage, heat input basis. The r2 for Equation 4-1 is 0.93. Further, the probability that any
term is a random occurrence is small. These probabilities are respectively L = 2.09 10-5; EO2 =
2.53 10-5; Wh = 8.39 10-7; and the overall probability is 4.36 10-6.
NOX can also be expressed on a mass basis, as is shown in Equation 4-2:
NOX = 0.026 + 0.0017(L) + 0.083(EO2) 0.899(Wm)
Equation 4-2
where Wm = wood cofiring percentage, mass basis; r2 = 0.93. The probabilities in Equation 4-2
are essentially identical to those of Equation 4-1.
The NOX reduction at Albright Generating Station indicated in Figure 4-23 is represented by
the equation:
NOX = 0.361 0.0043(Cm%) + 0.022(EO2%) 0.00055(SOFA)
Equation 4-3
where NOX is measured in lb/106 Btu, EO2% is percent excess oxygen in the flue gas leaving
the furnace (total basis), and SOFA is the total position of the three SOFA damper systems.
Alternatively, the equation is
NOX = 0.157 0.002(W%) + 0.009(O2%) 0.00024(SOFA)
Equation 4-4
4-45
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
Figure 4-23
NOX reduction at the Albright Generating Station
4-46
The hot gas temperature is 1520F to 1580F (827C to 860C), and the gas is fed directly to the
boiler to recover both the chemical energy and sensible heat from the gas. In tests, the gasifier
supplied 12% to 16% of the total heat input to the boiler. The gasifier was put on line in
September 1998 and has been operational ever since. It has an average availability approaching
88%, with its highest monthly availability slightly above 95% [47]. A similar system is used by
Electrabel at its Ruein Unit 5 to contribute 17 MWe out of 540 MWe.
Other utilities have studied similar applications, using gasifiers supplied by a variety of vendors.
Various feasibility studies have estimated the capital costs for such systems as approximately
$600/kW supported by biomass. Such capital costs include both the material handling systems
for biomass fuels, the gasifier and the hot gas piping. If gas cooling and clean-up are required,
the capital costs increase.
Use of wastewater treatment gas and landfill gas is also frequently proposed. Such gaseous
products are at low pressure and, at 500 to 650 Btu/scf, they can be attractive if the gas is used in
immediate proximity to a suitable power plant. The gas can be used in coal-fired boilers, naturalgas-fired boilers, or in combined-cycle applications. Again it is most suitable as a duct burner
fuel in a combined-cycle application. One such installation exists south of Sacramento,
California.
Wastewater treatment gas is fired in the Allen Fossil Plant, generating green power for TVA. In
this application, wastewater treatment gas from the Maxson Wastewater Treatment Plant serving
the south side of Memphis, Tennessee. Gas is introduced in separate burners above the cyclone
barrels. Although the Allen Fossil Plant approach does not make special use of the gas, landfill
gas or wastewater treatment gas could well be employed as reburn gas.
The database for these applications is insufficient to provide estimates of capital cost or
operating and maintenance costs. Quantities of gas available, specific application, piping
distances, and the degree of gas clean-up required make each case unique. It is sufficient to note
that this approach can be quite cost-effective depending upon the individual situation.
4.3.4.1 Biomass Pre-Treatments for Cofiring with Coal
There are operational challenges associated with cofiring biomass with coal that can be
addressed either by making modifications to power plants or through downstream actions, such
as replacing corroded equipment. And, to a certain extent, many of the technical challenges
associated with cofiring biomass with coal can be avoided via upstream measures, such as
biomass pre-treatment. However, the more advanced the biomass pre-treatment, the higher the
cost of the feedstock. Common pre-treatment options are sizing, compacting, and drying.
Pelletizing is also applicable in cofiring applications.
The cost of biomass fuel for cofiring with coal, however, depends not only on the procurement
cost but also on the cost of handling, storage, transportation, operability of the boiler, and end
use of the waste. Therefore, it may not necessarily be economical to use the cheapest fuel
available if the negative impact on the boiler operation or fuel operability is significant. The cost
benefit analysis along the complete cofiring chain should be considered in deciding on the
quality and price of the biomass used in cofiring.
4-47
Matching the narrow specifications of the feeding system and boiler with a wide variety of
biomass feedstocks
Reducing the costs and improve the characteristics of the biomass fuel for transportation,
storage, and handling
Minimizing operation and maintenance costs using a homogeneous fuel suitable for
automatic feeding with existing plant systems
Washing to remove deleterious materials from biomass is not yet commercially ready, and no
known large-scale tests are underway. Torrefaction and pelletizing is nearly commercial and is
expected to be ready for large-scale deployment by as early as 2012 if economic conditions allow.
Table 4-20 lists the pre-treatment options for addressing cofiring constraints.
Table 4-20
Pre-treatment options for addressing cofiring constraints [46]
Biological degradation of wood is decreased after pelletization but does still occur. Moreover,
uniformity of pellets is hard to establish, and there are substantial variations between pellets
made out of softwood, hardwood, and different tree species. Additionally, pelletization is
currently mostly limited to sawdust and cutter shavings as economical feedstock, making the
pellet market closely related to the wood processing industry.
Torrefied pellets have advantages over untreated wood pellets. Biomass is very dry after
torrefaction and its moisture uptake is very limited (1%6%). Biological degradation is almost
halted, volumetric energy density is about 30% higher than that of wood pellets, and the
torrefaction process can be used to upgrade most wood and herbaceous biomass, thus increasing
feedstock flexibility. Torrefied pellets would seem to allow high biomass cofiring in existing PC
coal boilers with minimum investment and impact on existing hardware. Additionally, due to
energy densification, torrefied pellets can decrease long distance transport costs compared with
green wood chips and wood pellets. An ongoing EPRI test will confirm the grindability and
combustibility of pelletized and torrefied biomass.
4.3.4.2 The Global Biomass Pellet Market
The wood pellet market is growing rapidlyespecially in North America, Europe, and Russia
but remains immature. To date, its availability is heavily influenced by subsidies, resource
availability, fossil fuel prices, and seasonal influences. Certification of wood pellets is not yet a
hot topic, but it is likely to become one in the years to come, once sustainability requirements for
biomass are provided in Europe and North America.
The following are the main factors driving international pellet trading over the next five years:
RPS policies
The primary future producers and exporters of wood pellets are expected to be Canada, the United
States, Russia, Belarus, Ukraine, and Latin America. Meanwhile, the main pellet users and/or
importers are likely to be Canada, the United States, Germany, Austria, the UK, and Ireland.
The anticipated logistical challenges that must be tackled to support the emergence of a global
biomass pellet market include the following:
Large facilities for export or ship transport should optimize logistical costs and allow for
international trade in biomass similar to the present coal trade. Coal power plants located close to
the coasts and designed for imported coal may be in the best position to take advantage of large
shipments of pellets by barge at internationally competitive prices from such sources as Brazil
and other Latin American countries, Canada, Russia, Ukraine, among others.
4-49
Spent pulping liquor (e.g., black liquor from Kraft pulping) combustion systems designed to
recover pulping chemicals while producing steam for both electricity generation and process
heat applications.
Other agribusiness systems with biomass either fired directly in a boiler or gasified and gas
fired in a waste heat boiler with steam subsequently used for electricity generation.
Boilers fired with landfill or wastewater treatment gas, designed to produce electricity.
Internal combustion engines, typically diesel engines, fired with landfill gas, wastewater
treatment gas, or producer gas from woody or herbaceous biomass gasification.
Of these, wood-waste-fired boilers and chemical recovery boilers are the dominant sources of
biomass electricity today. Black liquor from Kraft pulp mills is used to produce more electricity
than any other form of biomass, followed closely by wood waste.
Chemical recovery boilers and associated systems are specific to the pulp and paper industry,
and are not considered further here. The wood-waste-fired boiler is the focus of this discussion,
as it provides the most promise for electricity generation.
4.4.1 Wood-Waste-Fired Boilers
Wood-waste-fired boilers, also known as hog fuel boilers, have long been used in the forest
products and pulp and paper industries to generate process steam and cogenerate both electricity
and process steam. Major integrated forest products mills producing a product mix including
Kraft pulp, plywood, and dimension lumber commonly installed such boilers as power boilers.
Examples abound, including the Longview #11 boiler at the Weyerhaeuser complex in
Longview, Washington and comparable power boilers at Weyerhaeuser facilities in Columbus,
Mississippi, Plymouth, North Carolina, and New Bern, North Carolina. Georgia Pacific,
International Paper, and others have similar installations.
4-50
Electric utilities and independent power producers also constructed wood-waste-fired boilers to
generate electricity as their sole product. Large units have been constructed by Washington
Water Power at Kettle Falls, Washington; Burlington Electric at the McNeil Generating Station
in Burlington, Vermont; and at other locations. Independent power producers built similar
systems to fire wood waste and wood-like biomass fuels. Large numbers of such systems were
built in California, Maine, and elsewhere in response to PURPA, the need for capacity in certain
areas of the country, and localized availability of materials. The Shasta Generating Station in
Anderson, California is a prime example of such facilities.
4.4.1.1 Typical Capacities of Wood-Waste-Fired Plants
While coal is produced at a central mine location and distributed to users, wood waste is
produced as a distributed resource over a large area and must be collected or gathered and
shipped to the user location. This fundamental distinction highlights one capacity limitation
impacting biomass systems. The second limitation results from the typical fuel characteristics:
These factors combine to limit boiler and generating capacity. Given typical transportation
distances for wood fuel of up to 50 miles (80 km), wood-fired boilers have been limited to a
nominal 100 to 125 ton/hr firing rate (nominally 10,000 ft3/hr of fuel), or 50 to 70 MWe
depending on system design and operation. This capacity limitation carries with it the following
significant implications:
It is difficult to economically justify more than three turbine extractions for feedwater
heaters; the three extractions are typically for a low-pressure heater, the deaerater, and a
high-pressure heater. In some cases only one extraction (deaerater) is justified.
Reheat cycles that significantly improve cycle efficiencies are not economical at the small
plants available for wood firing.
Depending on staffing philosophies, such units will achieve ratios of 0.5 to 2.0 MWe per
worker, depending upon unit capacity and staffing approach. This contrasts with
conventional coal-fired staffing ratios of 3 to 6 MWe/worker.
Typical stand-alone wood-fired power plants have been built at capacities ranging from 11 MWe
to 70 MWe, and the larger plants were most successful.
4.4.1.2 Wood-Waste-Fired System Design
Numerous wood-waste-fired systems have been developed for the current market. In order to
evaluate system design, a generic plant is considered. It represents standard practices in woodwaste-fired technology. Variations on this approach are also discussed below.
4-51
Figure 4-24 shows the standard fuel handling approach. Loaded trucks of wood waste are
received and unloaded by hydraulic unloaders that raise the truck sufficiently to dump the load
into a hopper and feed it to a disc screen. Oversized particles are hogged using hammer hogs or
(rarely) knife hogs. The entire fuel pile is then stocked out. Wood waste or hog fuel is then
reclaimed and transported to the plant, where it is discharged into bunkers.
F1
X-110
Truck Unloader/Scale
F-111
Receiving Hopper/Magnet
H-112
Rotary Disc Screen
F2
F3
J-114
RDS Conveyor
C-113
Hammer Mill
F4
F1
J-115
HM Conveyor
F-117 HM Pile
X-120 Dozer
F-132
Feed Bin
F1
F-130
Reclaim Hopper/Pit
X-121 Dozer
F6
J-133
Feed Conveyor
B
F5
J-131
Reclaim Conveyor/Scale
Figure 4-24
Representative wood fuel handling system
Because waste wood truckloads typically contain 20 to 25 tons, large plants such as McNeil
Generating Station or Kettle Falls Generating Station require a significant commitment to wood
fuel handling. A 50-MWe plant burning 80 to 100 tons/hr requires four to five trucks per hour, 24
hours per day, seven days per week. Burlington Electric chose another approach to keep truck
traffic out of the plant neighborhood. It receives wood waste off site, load it into open hopper
railroad cars, and transport the biomass to the plant. The wood is discharged at a trestle facility.
This has plant benefits, but increases the cost of materials handling.
Weyerhaeuser at Longview, Washington, uses a wood fuel stacker-reclaimer arrangement
instead of bulldozer reclaiming. This helps manage the 100+ tons/hr burned in its #11 boiler.
Numerous studies have addressed the addition of drying systems to the materials handling as a
means for improving boiler efficiency. These are not generally employed. Dryers require energy
to operate, consequently reducing the efficiency gain. Further, drying technologies introduce the
potential for fires, which have occurred at installations that use fuel dryers. Consequently, the
general approach is to use the boiler as the dryer unless site-specific circumstances favor use of a
separate dryer.
4-52
The traditional wood-fired boiler used in electricity generation is a spreader-stoker. Figure 4-25
shows a typical flowsheet for a stoker boiler. Wood is discharged from the surge bin via a twin
counter-rotating auger system and fed to a stoker. Unlike the typical coal stoker, which is a
paddlewheel device, a wood fuel stoker is an air-swept design that throws the wood fuel onto the
grate. Figure 4-26 depicts a typical boiler and turbine-generator system, along with feedwater
heaters, pumps, and fans.
Mechanical
draft cooling
tower
Cooling
water
Turbine/
generator
Moisture losses
Wood
blend
Electricity
On-site
wood
preparation
308 F
Stoker boiler
Air heater
638 F
Fines
Ferrous
Bottom ash
Fabric filter
80 F
Combustion
air
Stack
Fly ash
Figure 4-25
Schematic of biomass-fired stoker boiler power plant
The plan area heat release for wood-waste-fired boilers is typically on the order of 750 103 to
1 106 Btu/ft2-hr. Most coal-fired stokers are in the 500 103 to 750 103 Btu/ft2-hr range. The
volatility of the wood fuel allows a higher area heat release rate. The furnace volumetric heat
release for wood waste is typically 13,000 to 20,000 Btu/ft3/hr, compared to coal at 20,000 to
25,000 Btu/ft3/hr. The lower calorific value of the wood fuel and higher moisture content reduces
the volumetric heat release. Evaporation of fuel moisture to a vapor can require significant
furnace volume.
4-53
5
900
967.4
N-300
STM Turbine
N-310
25 MW Generator
4
275
1105
6A
G-226
Ejector
700
500
7A
X-215
NH4 Grid
400
100
8A
E-217
Economizer
210
10
ATM
125.5
2
E-224
Condenser
250
1110
10A
10B
100
25
80
30
NH4
CA
CA
E1
ATM
E-218
Air Heater
X-211
Oil Burner (4X)
7A
400
100
200
90
WASTE
CA
CA
D-223
Deaerator
6A
8A
210
10
700
500
A2
13
175
140
200
CA
CA
E-221
FW Heater
CA
X-212
Air Swept Burner (4X)
ATM
X-213
Air Cooled Grate
ATM
G-216
Blower
8B
130
4
11
59
H-219
Air Filter
125.5
1.96
12
ATM
200
1160
G-220
FD Fan
J-214
Bottom Ash Screw Conveyor
E-225
FW Heater
6B
300
490
A1
BBD
1
L-222
FW Pump
200
90
DMP
125.5
145
G-227
C Pump
WASTE
Figure 4-26
Typical boiler and turbine-generator approach
Grate selection is of consequence. The generic design presented here uses a water-cooled grate
design such as the Detroit Stoker Hydrograte. Alternatives include air-cooled pinhole grates,
where primary or undergrate air not only provides oxidant to fuel on the grate, but also cools the
grate bars themselves.
Steam conditions are a function of the design capacity of the boiler. For lower-capacity boilers
(e.g., 250,000 lb/h steam), 600 psig/750F conditions are common. For medium-capacity
boilers, the steam conditions are often 850 psig/825F, and higher capacity units typically use
1250 psig/950F and 1450 psig/1000F steam conditions. The larger units use more feedwater
heaters to improve the thermal efficiency of the unit.
Alternative circulating and bubbling fluidized-bed boilers and gasifiers coupled to waste heat
boilers may also be used. Figure 4-27 shows a typical fluidized bed combustion power plant
flowsheet. Selection of a steam generator depends upon the type and quality of biomass available
as well as the site and project-specific economics. For example, the Tacoma Steam Plant #2 was
repowered using two bubbling bed steam generators coupled to the existing boilers, used as
waste heat boilers. Tacoma Public Utilities fueled the units with a mixture of wood waste,
refuse-derived fuel (RDF), and coal.
4-54
Mechanical
draft cooling
tower
Cooling
water
Turbine/
generator
Electricity
710 F
On-site
wood
preparation
Fluidized
bed
boiler
312 F
Air heater
642 F
Fines
Ferrous
Sand
Bottom ash
Fabric filter
80 F
Combustion
air
Stack
Fly ash
Figure 4-27
Schematic of biomass-fired atmospheric fluidized boiler power plant
Turbines are selected based on unit capacity and whether the system is designed as a stand-alone
power-only plant, or whether it is a cogeneration or CHP plant. Steam turbines can be designed
with automatic extractions for process steam or as backpressure turbines exhausting process
steam at 50 psig, 150 psig, or other conditions depending upon the plant requirements.
Alternatively, the turbines can be designed and supplied to exhaust steam at 2 to 3 in HgA if
power is the exclusive product. Typical water rates (lb steam/kWh) for Rankine-cycle turbines
used in wood-waste-fired power plants are shown in Tables 4-21 and 4-22. Table 4-21 presents
water rates for condensing turbines, whereas Table 4-22 presents water rates for backpressure
cogeneration turbines.
Table 4-21
Typical water rates for condensing turbines in wood waste-fired plants
Turbine Throttle Pressure
Water Rate
Psig/F
Atm/C
lb steam/kWh
kg steam/kWh
600/750
41/400
9.8
4.4
850/825
58/440
8.7
3.9
1250/950
85/510
8.3
3.8
1450/1000
102/540
8.0
3.6
4-55
Water Rate
TurbineGenerator Cap.
Psig/F
Atm/C
lb steam/kWh
kg steam/kWh
15
15
15
20
20
20
25
25
25
600/750
850/825
1250/950
600/750
850/825
1250/950
600/750
850/825
1250/950
41/400
58/440
85/510
41/400
58/440
85/510
41/400
58/440
85/510
31.6
23.6
18.4
30.9
23.4
18.1
30.6
23.2
17.9
14.3
10.7
8.3
14.0
10.6
8.2
13.9
10.5
8.1
Given the typical boiler efficiencies of well-run wood-waste-fired boilers, the net station heat
rates (NSHR) for small condensing wood-fired plants are typically in the 15,000 to 17,000
Btu/kWh range, whereas the NSHR values for the 40+ MWe units are typically in the 13,000 to
14,000 Btu/kWh range. NSHR values depend on the capital investments made in such equipment
as economizer and air heater surface, feedwater heaters, and like equipment. Balance of plant
becomes a critical concern for these systems. For more severe steam conditions, feedwater
treatment requirements become more substantial.
The incremental net station heat rate for cofiring systems is far more attractive. For
backpressure turbines with throttle steam conditions of 1250 psig/950F and exhaust conditions
of 50 or 150 psig, the NSHR appropriate for the power generation element is on the order of
4,500 to 5,000 Btu/kWh. This is based upon the fact that many process uses of steam capitalize
on the heat of vaporization. Consequently, losses associated with the heat of vaporization are
ascribed to the process user. The losses attributed to cogeneration are related to boiler efficiency
(or boiler thermal losses) and turbine efficiency (or turbine losses). With cogeneration systems
based upon extraction steam, NSHR values can be on the order of 7,500 Btu/kWh or more,
depending on the proportion of steam used in cogeneration applications and the proportion of
steam condensed in power generation application.
4.4.1.2.3 Pollution Control Systems
Air pollution equipment for solid biomass-fired systems includes either fabric filters (FF) or
electrostatic precipitators (ESP), and either selective catalytic reduction (SCR) or selective noncatalytic reduction (SNCR) systems. Acid gas scrubbers are not required due to the compositions
of typical solid biomass fuels. For this analysis, an ESP was assumed, with multi-clones installed
ahead of the ESP. Multi-clones are useful in scavenging stray glowing embers should they leave
the economizer and air heater sections of the steam generator hot. A SNCR system was also
assumed, as firing wood waste typically generates less NOX than firing coal in larger utility boilers.
Figure 4-28 depicts the air pollution control system along with a mechanical cooling tower and a
demineralizer system for feedwater treatment.
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E2
E1
Cooling Tower
210
14.7
230
14.7
ATM
BBD
H-419
C2
J-421
100
25
G-423
J-422
X-424
K-425
C1
C1
WASTE
80
30
C3
L-416
L-418
Demineralizer Plant
N3
NH4
F-411
N1
P-417
C2
H-420
N4
H-412
N2
L-410
N6
C3
NH4
M-415
L-413
RW
DW
RW
N5
L-414
P-419
Figure 4-28
Air pollution control system, cooling tower, and demineralizer for a typical wood-wastefired plant
Higher inorganic matter than wood waste with the wood waste containing significantly
higher concentrations of calcium, potassium, sodium, and phosphorus
Higher bulk densities than the biomass fuel, with the exception of stone-fruit pits
(e.g., peach pits)
Designers of boilers firing such materials must take into account the significantly higher slagging
and fouling propensities of these materials when compared to typical wood waste (see Baxter et
al. [23, 24]). Experience in the Central Valley of California and elsewhere has shown that the
combination of ash chemistries and chlorine has increased ash deposition in the boiler. Some of
these biomass materials have been sufficiently different in characteristics that special systems
have been used. Rice hulls, for example, have been suspension-fired. They have also been
gasified and the product gas fired in a waste heat boiler for steam generation and subsequent
power generation.
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Rankine-cycle generation has also been used in firing landfill gas and wastewater treatment gas.
For example, the 10 million ton/yr Puente Hills landfill has a 50-MWe Rankine-cycle generating
station. Similar boilers are installed at the Spadra and Coyote Canyon landfills, also in the Los
Angeles County area.
Primary differences include fuel handling and pollution control. The gaseous fuel is produced at
low pressure and saturated with water vapor. Further, it can contain solid contaminants and some
chlorinated compounds. Gas treatment for such biogas-burning boilers may include gas
dehydration, particulate scavenging, and other gas treatments depending upon the design
principles used. Flue gas treatment focuses more on NOX removal than particulate capture.
Operating and maintenance costs for wood-waste-fired generation are typically site-specific,
depending on the owner, the location, and its proximity to related facilities. For example, a
project located on the site of an integrated forest products mill can share certain maintenance
facilities and costs. An independent plant must bear the entire cost of operations and
maintenance.
Typically, a wood-fired plant requires about 20 to 30 employees, including a plant manager,
engineer, business manager, secretary, four shifts with three employees/shift, two fuel yard
employees, and a maintenance crew including both millwrights and electricians. Nominally, a
crew of about 25 is adequate for plant operations. However, larger stations (e.g., 40+ MWe)
generally are more heavily staffed to handle increased fuel receipts and the increased complexity
of the unit. Alternatively, outsourcing can be used to manage the staffing complement. For
smaller generating stations up to 15 MWe capacity, staffing is about 0.5 MWe capacity/worker.
Larger units may achieve better ratios such as 1 to 2 MWe capacity/worker.
Maintenance requirements are comparable to those associated with coal-fired generating stations;
the same types of problems occur. Annual maintenance costs can be estimated at 4% to 5% of
the total capital cost of the facility. However, this is a generalized number, and site-specific
maintenance costs vary significantly.
4.4.2 Repowering Existing Coal Units for Biomass Firing
The Schiller station in Portsmouth, New Hampshire is the site of a novel repowering of an
existing coal unit to wood firing. The station consisted of three 50-MW coal-fired units. PSNH
and its subsidiary, Northern Wood Project, opted to decommission one of the boilers and replace
it with a dual-fuel fluid bed boiler. While the unit is designed for both coal and wood, it is
anticipated that only wood will be fired. The new boiler was integrated with the existing steam
circuit, which kept costs down. Additionally, a wood receiving yard was necessary to
accommodate truck delivery of wood. The unit came on line in December 2006 and early reports
suggest the unit is performing up to expectations. The cost of repowering was about $1,400/kW.
Repowering smaller and older coal units may offer significant advantages to utilities. It allows
them to utilize existing sites and local established infrastructure. The wood retrofits would
support the local forestry industry, contribute to the utilitys renewable portfolio, and in general
reduce the site emissions profile.
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The combustion turbine, in particular, is penalized (relative to natural gas turbines) by the small
scale of the equipment and by the need for gas cleaning and compression.
Operating and maintenance costs for these systems can be both site specific and technology
specific.
4.4.5 Near-Commercial Technologies
Hundreds of biomass gasifiers are deployed worldwide (there are at least 50 suppliers), but
almost all of them are unsuitable for central station type utility power applications. There are
three primary reasons for this. First, almost all of them are too small for utility application. Most
are rated at less than 1 MW thermal, and would consequently have high operating costs. Second,
the gas quality of many of the small gasifiers is quite low and is suitable for direct combustion as
required for process heat or district heating or, in some cases, running small reciprocating
engines with associated high maintenance costs. And finally, while small gasifiers have been
shown to be robust operationally, scale-up to utility sizes (approaching 10 MW and greater) is
problematic.
Demonstrations of larger-scale gasification technology coupled with district heating are
underway throughout Europe and show promise both technically and economically. These are
demonstrations of gasifiers that are either already at utility scale, or could easily be scaled to
larger scale. Larger configurations reduce the operating cost by spreading fixed costs (i.e.,
operations staff) over a larger output. Economies of scale also reduce variable operating unit
capital cost.
4.4.5.1 Types of Gasifiers
Depending on the physical characteristics of the biomass and the type of gasifier, the feedstock
may require pre-processing so that it can be fed into the gasifier. This may include shredding,
pelletizing, screening, and/or drying. The feedstock is then fed into the gasifier. A small portion
of the feedstock reacts with air, oxygen, and/or steam that are injected into the process, and some
low-level partial oxidation reactions occur. This provides heat to drive off the volatile matter in
the feedstock, and initiates the gasification reactions, forming syngas.
Once the gasification reactions are initiated, sufficient heat is generated to maintain the process.
The operating temperature is a function of the feedstock heating value, the configuration of the
gasifier, the amount of air or oxygen added, and the amount of steam injected. In low
temperature gasification, the inorganic ash is removed as a clinker-like bottom ash. In high
temperature gasification, the gasifier operates above the melting points of the inorganic
substances in the ash, forming a molten slag. This slag is tapped from the bottom of the gasifier
into a water bath, where it solidifies into a glassy, inert material.
The types of gasifiers typically used with biomass feedstock are described below and shown in
Figure 4-29.
Moving or fixed bedthe feedstock enters from the top of the reactor, falling onto a grate
(which may be stationary or mechanically moved or agitated to promote contact between the
feedstock and oxidant, and to allow ash to exit). Steam, oxygen or air is injected into the
bottom (updraft) or side/top (downdraft). The syngas exits the reactor. Temperatures are low
to moderate, and ash is removed in solid form.
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Fluid bedthe feedstock enters from the side or bottom of the gasifier, with sufficient air or
oxygen to fluidize a blend of feedstock and a fluidizing agent, typically sand. This provides
turbulence and efficient mixing for thorough gasification, and is advantage for feedstocks
which have low reactivity or are difficult to gasify. Steam may be added into the bottom.
Syngas exits at the top of the gasifier, and typically enters a cyclone for removal of ash,
unreacted char, and any fluidizing sand that are carried over in the syngas stream. The
char/ash/sand mixture may be disposed of, or returned to the gasifier feed to enhance carbon
conversion and to recover fluidizing sand.
Figure 4-29
Gasifier types for biomass (EPRI 1023994)
Selection of the type of gasifier depends on feedstock, ash characteristics, and the type of syngas
desired. For example, the lower temperature of fixed-bed gasifiers tends to form more methane
in the syngas. High methane content is not acceptable for some downstream uses, i.e. production
of liquid fuels and chemicals.
Fixed Bed Gasification
Fixed-bed gasifiers can be classified primarily as updraft and downdraft. Updraft gasifiers
(Figure 4-30) represent the oldest and simplest gasifiers. The updraft gasifier is a counterflow
reactor in which feedstock is typically introduced into the top by means of a lockhopper or rotary
valve and flows downward through the gasifier to a grate where ash is removed. The gasifying
medium, air or oxygen (and possibly steam), is introduced below the grate and flows upward
through the reactor. At the bottom of the reactor (combustion zone) char that remains from
gasification of the feedstock burns to form carbon dioxide (CO2) and steam (H2O), which then
flow upward through the bed countercurrent to the downflowing feedstock material. The partial
oxidation reactions supply the heat needed to drive gasification, pyrolysis and drying. The
maximum temperature in the combustion zone is typically higher than 2,200F. In the reduction
zone, the CO2 and H2O are partially reduced to carbon monoxide (CO) and hydrogen (H2)
through reaction with carbon in the char. In the pyrolysis zone, these gases contact dry biomass
and devolatilize it to produce pyrolysis products (gases, liquids and tars) and residual char.
Above this zone, the gases dry the wet incoming biomass. A wide range of tars and oils, which
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can condense in product lines, are produced in the pyrolysis zone. For this reason updraft
gasifiers are usually operated in a close-coupled mode to a furnace or boiler to produce steam or
hot water. Certain feeds with low-melting ash may have slagging on the combustion grate. In
addition, feedstock particle size needs to be controlled to maintain a uniform bed.
Figure 4-30
Updraft gasifier (EPRI 1023994)
In downdraft gasifiers (Figure 4-31), both the oxidant and syngas flow in the same direction as
the solid biomass. Downdraft gasifiers are specifically designed to minimize tar and oil
production. The biomass and the gases move co-currently downward through the bed. The
pyrolysis products pass through the hot char combustion zone, where they are contacted with air
and the tars are thermally cracked and partially oxidized. This provides a filtering effect to help
to clean the syngas prior to exiting the gasifier. Typical tar conversion is greater than 99%, and is
a function of temperature, combustion efficiency and channeling. The combustion zone
temperature is typically 1,500-2,200F. The hot char in the reduction zone reduces CO2 and H2O
to CO and H2, which are the primary components of syngas. The exit syngas temperature is
typically >1,000F.
Downdraft gasifiers have the same general constraints on feed properties as updraft gasifiers.
The biomass needs to have a fairly uniform particle size distribution with few fines to maintain
bed physical properties and minimize channeling. The biomass needs to have low ash with a high
fusion temperature to prevent slagging. In addition, the biomass moisture content needs to be less
than about 20% to maintain the high temperatures required for tar cracking (too high a moisture
content will cool the syngas).
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Figure 4-31
Downdraft gasifier (EPRI 1023994)
In a fluid bed gasifier, as shown in Figure 4-32, the gas velocity is high enough that the biomass
particles are widely separated and circulate freely throughout the bed. During overall circulation
of the bed, streams of gas flow upward in channels containing few solids, and clumps or masses
of solids flow downward. The fluidized bed looks like a boiling liquid and has the physical
properties of a fluid. For biomass gasification, the fluidizing material is air, oxygen, or steam,
and the bed is usually sand, limestone, dolomite, or alumina. An air inlet distribution manifold or
series of sparge tubes or bubble caps are used to fluidize the bed. Biomass is introduced either
through a feed chute at the top of the bed or through an auger or similar feed system into the bed.
In-bed introduction provides residence time for fines that would otherwise be entrained in the
fluidizing gas and not converted in the bed. As the syngas exits the gasifier, a cyclone is used to
return unreacted biomass, char, and the fluidizing sand to the bed.
The biomass is introduced into the bed to raise the bed temperature to the desired operating
range, typically 1,100 to 1,600F. Bed temperature is governed by the desire to obtain complete
devolatilization of the biomass versus the need to maintain the bed temperature below the ash
fusion temperature of the biomass ash. As biomass is introduced into the bed, most of the
organics vaporize and are partially oxidized in the bed. The exothermic combustion provides the
heat to maintain the bed at temperature and to volatilize additional biomass. Fluidized bed
gasifiers have the advantage of extremely good mixing and high heat transfer, resulting in very
uniform bed conditions. Gasification is very efficient, and 95% to 99% carbon conversion is
typical.
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Figure 4-32
Fluid bed gasifier (EPRI 1023994)
There are two general types of fluidized bed gasifiers: bubbling fluid bed (BFB) and circulating
fluid bed (CFB). Both systems use a sand bed that is maintained in the fluid state by air addition.
Syngas carries some char and sand up into the freeboard area where some solid disengagement
occurs (solids fall back to the sand bed) and then passes on to the cyclone where a very high
fraction of remaining particles are separated and flow by gravity from the bottom of the cyclone
to the sand bed.
The main difference between the two designs is the degree of fluidization that is used. As the
word bubbling implies, the sand bed in the BFB is churning in a relatively gentle fashion; the
sand moves in fashion similar to boiling liquid.
The CFB uses a much more active bed with much more of the interior of the gasifier filled with a
blend of sygas, feedstock and fluidizing sand. As the gas exits the gasifier, a significant amount
of bed material is carried forward to the cyclone for separation. A relatively large stream of sand
(with unreacted char) thus returns to the bed via an intended circulation path
Circulating Pyrolysis
Pyrolysis utilizes externally provided heat in a closed reactor, without the addition of air or
oxygen, to thermally decompose the biomass and drive off the volatile components as syngas.
This typically occurs at temperatures of 400 to 1,400F. Because there is no oxidant added, the
fixed carbon portion of the biomass exits the reactor as a carbon char mixed with the ash from
the biomass. This char/ash mixture is typically disposed of, or, depending on its physical and
chemical characteristics, used as a soil amendment.
Pyrolysis is typically not as efficient as gasification, as heat must be added externally (typically
in the form of combustion of natural gas or even syngas), and a substantial portion of the
biomass can exit as unreacted char. A modification of basic pyrolysis technology, circulating
pyrolysis, directly addresses these issues. Circulating pyrolysis effectively uses a pair of fluid
beds to perform a combination of pyrolysis and generation of the heat needed to initiate the
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pyrolysis reactions by combusting the unreacted char (see Figure 4-33). Biomass is introduced
into the pyrolysis bed, which contacts the biomass with hot sand to generate syngas via
pyrolysis. Steam is typically used to fluidize the pyrolysis bed. The solids (sand and char
primarily) exit overhead and are removed in a cyclone. Separated solids (sand and char) are
moved to the second reactor vessel where oxygen (air can be used) is introduced to combust the
char and heat the fluidizing sand. The hot flue gas exits overhead, carrying sand to another
cyclone; flue gas flows to a stack (or may be used in a heat recovery steam generator to generate
steam for use in the plant or for power generation) and the separated hot sand flows back to the
sand bed in the pyrolysis vessel to provide the external heat required for pyrolysis.
Since no air is added in pyrolysis, the syngas is not diluted with nitrogen from the air and a very
high quality syngas with low tar content is produced. Because steam is used in the pyrolysis
reactor, the syngas contains a relatively high concentration of hydrogen.
Syngas ExhaustGas
Pyrolysis
Reactor
Cyclones
Char
Combustor
Feedstock
Sand/Char
Mixture
Fluidizing
Sand
Fluidizing
Steam
CombustionAir
Figure 4-33
Circulating pyrolysis (EPRI 1023994)
Gasification requires a form of oxygen to enable the conversion of the organic portions of the
biomass feedstock to syngas. Oxygen (O2) is used to reduce the solid or liquid feedstock to
syngas containing primarily hydrogen (H2) and carbon monoxide (CO), which carry much of the
original feedstocks heat content to a downstream system which can efficiently convert it to
power (via combustion), fuels, or chemicals. Use of oxygen, sometimes in combination with
steam, results in the maximum H2 and CO content in the syngas. Oxygen-blown gasification
typically produces medium-Btu syngas.
Air can also be used since it contains about 21% O2. However the main constituent of air is
nitrogen (N2) at about 79%. Introduction of air into a gasifier results in the O2 being consumed to
form CO. N2 does not react, but dilutes the syngas, resulting in lower heat content per volume.
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Air-blown gasification typically produces low-Btu syngas. The downstream systems thus must
be larger to handle the larger volume of syngas which could contain the same amount of heat as a
much smaller volume of O2-derived syngas. If power generation via combustion of the syngas in
a boiler or thermal oxidizer, or possibly in a reciprocating engine-generator, is intended, syngas
from an air-blown gasifier can be readily handled. However, if a gas turbine will be utilized, the
higher-Btu, lower tar, lower volume syngas from an O2-blown gasifier may be required.
The primary effect of use of O2 is the cost of producing or obtaining the O2. Purchasing O2 from
a third party can be expensive; some savings may be possible by installing and air separation unit
(ASU) as part of the gasification facility, but utility costs, particularly power to drive the
compression systems involved, must be considered. Significant amounts of N2 result from the O2
separation, which can be advantageous if a separate use is available for high purity N2. ASUs are
complex systems to operate and maintain; this may be simplified by purchasing the O2 acrossthe-fence from a supplier that specializes in the operation of ASUs.
When air is used, it is typically supplied via a blower, making it a much lower cost oxidant
4.4.5.2 Syngas Quality for Downstream Use
As noted above, the major components of syngas are H2, CO, CO2, and water vapor. For airblown gasifiers, approximately half of the syngas (by volume) will be N2, which dilutes the
syngas. In addition to these components, syngas produced from biomass gasification will also
contain the following:
Ash
Char
Tars
When the syngas is simply combusted in a thermal oxidizer or boiler to produce steam or for use
in a steam turbine-generator for power generation, little or no syngas cleanup may be required. In
those cases, post-combustion emission control systems are typically used to capture/remove
constituents prior to discharge from the plant stack. Pre-combustion syngas cleanup typically
includes the use of cyclones to remove char and/or ash from the syngas stream. This helps to
protect downstream heat transfer surfaces from plugging, fouling, and corrosion.
When the syngas will be directly combusted in a reciprocating engine or gas turbine, a much
higher level of syngas quality is required. Tars, ash, char and condensed metallic compounds can
quickly damage (through erosion and/or corrosion) the specialized materials and parts in rotating
equipment. Tars can condense onto syngas piping, as well as in control valves in the path to the
engine or gas turbine. As temperatures and pressures change in the syngas line, tars have been
known to form crystalline organic compounds (such as naphthalenes) in syngas filters, control
valves, and then in the engine combustion chamber. Vaporous metallic compounds (i.e., sodium
and potassium compounds that enter with the biomass) can also condense in combustors or on
pistons. Another example of this is when the biomass feedstock contains silica-based organic
compounds, which upon combustion, form silicon dioxide (sand), which quickly erodes pistons
and cylinders.
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In order to protect engines and gas turbines from these contaminants, a range of syngas cleaning
systems may be utilized. The choice depends on the syngas contaminants and the type of
downstream combustion device, as follows:
Catalytic or high temperature systems to crack (decompose) the tars into the simple syngas
constituents
Quenching systems to cool the syngas and wash out ash, char, and tars (moisture must then
be removed)
The following section briefly describes some key demonstrations of atmospheric gasification in
Europe, and their role in power production. With the exception of the gasifier at Ruien, the
projects highlighted below (and several more) are first-of-a-kind demonstrations. Consequently,
cost and performance information is difficult to acquire and interpret. Other demonstrations, such
as the biomass gasification/combined-cycle demonstration at Vrnamo, have been completed and
provide a reasonable technical backdrop, but little cost information. At this time, there are no
active biomass gasification power demonstrations in the United States.
4.4.5.3 Wood Gasification for Power and District Heating in Gssing, Austria
The Gssing Gasifier is a 2-MWe, 4.5 MWth, circulating fluid bed gasifier. Wood harvested from
local forests is the fuel. The village of Gssing has 56 km of district heating supplying the local
hardwood flooring industry, other industries, as well as a residential heating network. Repotec
owns the gasifier technology, developed by the Technical University of Vienna, and has built a
larger unit at Heiligenkreuz, Austria. The Heilegenkreuz unit is designed to produce
11 MWe/6 MWth, and was commissioned in late 2006.
Figure 4-34 shows the overall process flow diagram. The dimensions of the gasifier vessel are
2.5-m ID, 5.5-m OD, and 8-m tall. The vessel is refractory lined and has an external combustion
zone or combustion leg, operating at nominally atmospheric pressure, with steam injection in the
bottom of the vessel to keep N2 levels low. The ash is stored and, at some point in the future, is
expected to be cleared by environmental authorities to be spread on fields. It takes about 12 to 15
hours to start up the gasifier and two days to shut down, mostly due to thermal stress limitations
on the refractory. The gasifier could be scaled up easily, according to the staff at the site, but
would require multiple combustion legs around the central gasifier rather than a single
combustion leg as currently configured. The bed temperature is 850C and the gas temperature is
about 830C at the gasifier exit.
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150C
830C
850C
Figure 4-34
Schematic of biomass gasification application for combined heat and power
The syngas reports to the gas cooler, where it is cooled to 150C to generate steam, which goes
to the district heating network. The cooled gas goes to the baghouse, where most of the
particulates are removed and reintroduced into the combustion leg. The baghouse is pulsed with
nitrogen. The particulate-free gas reports to the scrubber, which uses biodiesel to scrub tars and
condense H2O. Incoming tar levels are 500 ppm, and less than 20 ppm tar is in the product gas.
Then the cleaning liquid is separated, and the middles (tar/water/biodiesel) are introduced into
the combustion leg. The gas composition is 22% CO, 23% CO2, 40% H2, 10% CH4, 4% N2.
4.4.5.4 Wood Gasification at Harbore
A Vlund-designed updraft gasifier has been installed and operated at Harbore in western
Denmark since 1988. Figure 4-35 shows a process flow diagram of the system. The gasifier
dimensions are about 2.2 m ID and 12 m high. It operates at atmospheric pressure. The feedstock
is nominally 40 mm green wood chips, delivered from local suppliers. The unit consumes 1.5
tons/hr at maximum load. The chips are delivered to the top of the gasifier, where a spreader
turning in the middle distributes the chips. When the torque on the spreader decreases, more
wood is added. At the bottom of the gasifier, humidified air enters the gasifier, which consumes
3 to 4 Nm3 water per day. The temperature is 1200C at the bottom of the gasifier
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vessel and the product gas leaves the top of the gasifier at 75C. The gas composition is 30%
CO, 20% H2, 5% methane, 8% CO2, 3% N2, and the heating value of 6 MJ/nm3, compared to
natural gas at about 40 MJ/nm3. This does not include the dilution of the humidified air. The gas
contains 100 g/nm3 of tar. For firing the gas in IC engines, its tar content needs to be less than
50 mg/nm3. Ash is drawn out of the bottom, and the annual production is about 50 t/year.
Figure 4-35
Process flow diagram for the Vlund Gasifier at Harbore
The gas is cooled in two stages to 35C, and then enters a wet ESP. The product gas is clean
enough to be burned in Jenbacher engines. The ESP effluent, a water/tar/particulate mixture,
reports to a settling vessel. The heavy tar is stored in a recirculated, heated vessel for combustion
during the winter months as peaking heat. The water/soluble tars are heated until vaporized,
then combusted for additional district heating capacity.
The electric capacity of the unit is 1.3 MW and the thermal service is up to 3 MW. The supplier,
Babcock and Wilcox Vlund, has indicated that it should be feasible to scale this gasification
process to about 20 MW total energy output.
4.4.5.5 Gasification of Wood Pellets at Skive
In Skive in northern Denmark, the local utility, Fjernvarme, has an extensive district heating
network, currently fired predominantly by wood pellets and natural gas. There is some electricity
generation as well. The heating network encompasses 8000 homes and is growing. To meet that
growth, Fjernvarme is building a wood gasifier at its Thorvej site. The gasifier will produce
6 MW electric power in three 2-MW Jenbacher engines, and 20 MW of steam heat in two
10-MW boilers. Figure 4-36 shows the process flow diagram for the plant.
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Figure 4-36
Fjernvarme process flow diagram for coproduction of 6 MW electric and 10 MW thermal
The gasifier is a Carbona slightly pressurized gasifier. One of the unique features of this gasifier
is a tar cracker to address the tar problems that other gasifiers have had. Fjernvarme is producing
electricity primarily due to government mandate and would prefer to concentrate on producing
hot water.
The Thorsvej site already has two large wood pellet-fired stoker boilers on site, so the fuel
handling storage and infrastructure is already largely in place.
The gasifier at Skive has completed construction and was undergoing startup activities at the
time of this writing. Originally, the unit was to have been commissioned in summer 2006, but
business issues with the constructor have introduced delays.
4.4.5.6 Cofiring Syngas at Ruien
In western Belgium, Electrabels Ruien power station has begun to embrace biomass fuels as
part of its goal to displace coal-based carbon. A part of that strategy is to install an atmospheric
fluid bed gasifier to provide syngas to the boiler. The gasifier operates on sized green wood. The
feed is generally coarse 50-mm wood chunks. Wood is delivered via walking floor truck,
screened for oversize and tramp material, and conveyed to a covered storage area. The wood is
extracted and conveyed to the gasifier. Figure 4-37 shows a schematic of the gasification facility
at Ruien. Note that the gasifier has only particulate removal for gas cleanup. This is all that is
required, since the gas is directly injected into the boiler and any tars or other organics will be
destroyed in the combustion process. The injection of the fuel gas occurs below the lowest coal
firing level of Unit 5. The syngas contributes about 17 MW to the 190-MW rated capacity of the
unit.
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Figure 4-37
Overall configuration of the biomass gasifier at Ruien
Although there have been a few issues with this unit, it has mostly operated very smoothly.
There are indications that using dry wood causes more operational problems than fresh, green
wood, and consequently, Electrabel strives to have mostly fresh wood delivered.
4.4.5.7 Wood Gasification at Kokemki
The town of Kokemki, Finland, is the site of a demonstration of the Condens Oy Novel
gasifier. The gasifier is a fixed-bed unit, and is fueled by local wood supply. The unit has an
electrical output of 1.8 MWe and a thermal output of 4.3 MWth. The electricity is generated by
syngas-fired reciprocating engines. The unit has been in operation since 2005. The vendor
indicates that capacity could be increased to 10 MW or greater. Figure 4-38 shows a schematic
of the Kokemki gasification system.
4-71
Figure 4-38
Schematic of biomass gasification and power generation system at Kokomki
4-72
To date, each of these technologies has encountered significant technical, economic, and
institutional barriers sufficient to inhibit implementation on a commercial utility scale.
Furthermore, the traditional commercial testthe ability of vendors to give guaranteeshas not
been met. Consequently, the technical and economic information available to provide
performance or cost data is somewhat speculative at this time.
Some of these technologies may never achieve commercial status. Many biomass technologies
have already been developed but have not succeeded commercially, including the following:
It is not the purpose of this report to project which technologies will attain commercial status, but
to provide utilities with sufficient information to understand the commercially available
technologies and near-term potentials.
Proposed section to be
added to the existing
furnace
Figure 4-39
Example bubbling bed retrofit to a pulverized coal boiler
Source: Metso
100-MW
Wall-fired PC
60-MW
BFB
Capacity Factor
85%
Biomass Properties
Fuel Type
Heating Value (dry)
Moisture Content
4-74
4770
6070
Moisture, %
45.00
30.00
Ash, %
2.18
2.77
Volatile Matter, %
45.32
57.68
Fixed Carbon, %
7.49
9.54
Carbon, %
27.67
35.22
Hydrogen, %
2.53
3.22
Nitrogen, %
0.57
0.73
Sulfur, %
0.06
0.08
Chlorine, %
0.02
0.03
Moisture, %
45.00
30.00
Ash, %
2.18
2.77
Oxygen, %
21.96
27.96
Ultimate Analysis
4-75
The fixed and variable O&M cost estimates are respectively $132/kW-yr and $3.5/MWh. Fixed
O&M costs consist of wages and wage-related overheads for the permanent plant staff, routine
equipment maintenance, and other fees. Variable O&M costs include costs associated with
equipment maintenance during outages, catalyst/reagents, chemicals, water, and other
consumables. Fuel costs are determined separately and are not included in either fixed or
variable O&M costs.
Table 4-25
Plant performance summary for PC coal-fired and repowered biomass-fired bubbling
fluidized bed plants
Source: EPRI [43]
Units
Coal-fired
PC Unit
kW
113,000
68,200
Btu/kWh
8,218
8,635
kW
13,000
8,200
11.5
12.0
kW
100,000
60,000
MBtu/h
941
589
Boiler Efficiency
88.0
78.0
MBtu/h
1,069
756
Coal Consumption
tons/h
43.8
Biomass Consumption
tons/h
79.3
Btu/kWh
10,690
12,600
Parameter
Turbine Gross Output
Turbine Heat Rate
1. Performance is preliminary and for information only. Not to be used for detailed design.
2. Auxiliary power is assumed.
3. Once through cooling is assumed.
4. Average ambient conditions of 62.1F dry bulb temperature and 54.8F wet bulb temperature. Dew point
temperature (49.6F) is assumed to be the cold water temperature.
4-76
1 60
20
($1,000)
2.0
0.75
January 1, 2011
($/kW)
(%)
$16,540
$50,000
$66,540
$280/kW
$830/kW
$1,110/kW
16%
47%
63%
$970
$750
$1,670
$3,390
$20/kW
$10/kW
$30/kW
$60/kW
1%
1%
2%
3%
$15,390
$20,680
$36,070
$260/kW
$340/kW
$600/kW
15%
19%
34%
$106,000
$1,200
$107,200
$10,700
$117,900
$1,770/kW
$20/kW
$1,790/kW
$180/kW
$1,970/kW
100%
132
3.50
12,600
4
Baseload
40
0.150.24
Fuel dependent
<0.02
Commercial
Simplified
Notes:
1. The Hypothetical In-Service Date assumes Notice to Proceed with preliminary activities on January 1, 2011 and
assumes no overlap of pre-construction and construction activities.
2. All costs are presented in October 2010 dollars.
4-77
Base Case
Sensitivity
Case 11
Sensitivity
Case 21
3.55
2.55
4.55
18
18
18
45
32
57
14
14
14
80
67
92
18
18
18
Total4 ($/MWh)
Levelized Cost of Electricity2 Without ITC
($/MWh)
Fixed O&M Component of LCOE ($/MWh)
Variable O&M Component of LCOE ($/MWh)
45
32
57
22
22
22
88
76
101
Total ($/MWh)
Notes:
1
Sensitivity cases assume biomass fuel costs are $1.00/MBtu above and below the base cost of $3.55/MBtu.
Estimate of LCOE assumes an 85% capacity factor, 20-year project life, and constant dollars.
Levelized fixed charge is 7.33%/yr with the investment tax credit (ITC) and 8.5%/yr without the credit.
Sum of LCOE component values may not equal total value due to rounding.
4-78
Capacity Factor
80%
10%
Biomass Properties
Fuel Type
Heating Value (dry)
Moisture Content
Coal Properties
Type
Heating Value
Central Appalachian
12,207 Btu/lb
4-79
Baseline CAPP
Coal
Raw Wood,
45% Moisture
Dried Wood,
30% Moisture
Torrefied
Wood
12,207
4768
6068
12,759
Moisture, %
8.47
45.00
30.00
6.21
Ash, %
11.24
2.18
2.77
1.78
Volatile Matter, %
29.57
45.32
57.68
19.66
Fixed Carbon, %
50.72
7.50
9.54
72.35
Carbon, %
69.96
27.67
35.22
78.24
Hydrogen, %
4.47
2.53
3.22
3.19
Nitrogen, %
1.36
0.57
0.73
0.56
Sulfur, %
1.03
0.06
0.08
0.01
Chlorine, %**
0.15
0.02
0.03
0.00
Moisture, %
8.47
45.00
30.00
6.21
Ash, %
11.24
2.18
2.77
1.78
Oxygen, %
3.47
21.97
27.96
10.01
Higher Heating
Value, Btu/lbm
Proximate Analysis*
Ultimate Analysis*
Notes:
* As-received values.
** Although not in the ASTM ultimate analysis, chlorine is often reported with it.
4-80
Coal
Coal +5%
Undried
Biomass
Coal +10%
Undried
Biomass
Coal +15%
Undried
Biomass
Gross Power, MW
261.50
261.50
261.50
261.50
Net Power, MW
250.00
248.46
248.52
247.88
Boiler Efficiency, %
87.38
87.10
86.62
86.13
9762.5
9892.5
9951.8
10,037.3
2440.6
2457.9
2473.3
2488.0
0.0
122.9
247.3
373.2
99.97
95.65
91.18
86.63
0.00
12.89
25.94
39.14
Table 4-31
Performance estimates for cofiring coal and dried biomass
Source: EPRI [48]
Coal
Coal +5%
Dried Biomass
Coal +10%
Dried
Biomass
Coal +15%
Dried
Biomass
Gross Power, MW
261.50
261.50
261.50
261.50
Net Power, MW
250.00
248.49
248.58
247.97
Boiler Efficiency, %
87.38
87.28
87.13
86.91
9762.5
9867.7
9901.6
9958.1
2440.6
2452.1
2461.4
2469.3
0.0
122.6
246.1
370.4
99.97
95.42
90.74
85.97
0.00
10.10
20.28
30.52
4-81
Coal
Coal +5%
Torrefied
Wood
Biomass
Coal +10%
Torrefied Wood
Biomass
Coal +15%
Torrefied
Wood Biomass
Gross Power, MW
261.50
261.50
261.50
261.50
Net Power, MW
250.00
248.40
248.48
248.58
Boiler Efficiency, %
87.38
87.56
87.63
87.69
9762.5
9830.7
9822.8
9811.5
2440.6
2441.9
2440.8
2438.9
0.0
122.1
244.1
365.8
99.97
95.02
89.98
84.92
0.00
4.78
9.56
14.34
4.5.2.3 Total Capital Requirement and Operation and Maintenance Cost Estimates
Table 4-33 summarizes total capital requirement, and fixed and variable operation and
maintenance cost estimates for the base case, cofiring coal and biomass at 10% heat input from
undried biomass fuel. All costs are in October 2010 dollars and are based on the contribution of
biomass to the rated capacity with cofiring (10% of 250 MW, or 25 MW).
The total capital requirement estimate at 10% heat input from biomass is $533/kW. The scope
includes major equipment (fuel handling and preparation and boiler modification), direct and
indirect balance-of-plant costs, interest during construction, and owners costs. Fuel
handling/preparation and boiler modification respectively contribute 16% and 47% of the total
plant cost before addition of interest during construction and owners costs.
The incremental fixed and variable O&M cost estimates are respectively $12.44/kW-yr and
$1.72/MWh, based on the contribution of biomass to the 250-MW rated capacity. Fixed O&M
costs consist of wages and wage-related overheads for the permanent plant staff, routine
equipment maintenance, and other fees. Variable O&M costs include costs associated with
equipment outage maintenance, catalyst/reagents, chemicals, water, and other consumables. Fuel
costs are determined separately and are not included in either the fixed or variable O&M costs.
4-82
($ 1,000)
1.5
0.5
January 1, 2011
($/kW)3
(%)
$8,325
$1,025
$9,350
$333/kW
$41/kW
$374/kW
64%
8%
72%
$587.50
$300.0
$587.50
$1,475
$23.50/kW
$12.0/kW
$23.50/kW
$59/kW
4.5%
2.0%
4.5%
11%
$525
$1,700
$2,225
$21/kW
$68/kW
$89/kW
4%
13%
17%
$13,050
$522/kW
100%
$13,050
$522/kW
$275
$11/kW
$13,325
$533
12.44
1.72
9,760
4
Baseload
40
0.05
0.06
0.006
4-83
Commercial
Simplified
Notes:
1. The Hypothetical In-Service Date assumes Notice to Proceed with preliminary activities on January 1, 2011 and
assumes no overlap of pre-construction and construction activities.
2. All costs are presented in October 2010 dollars.
3. Costs presented on $/kW basis are determined based on biomass-fired capacity (i.e., equivalent power output of 25
MW).
50-MW bubbling fluidized bed boiler fired by a mixture of 80% woody biomass and 20%
switchgrass based on heat input.
100-MW BFB
Woody
Biomass
50-MW
100-MW
50-MW
Boiler Type
BFB
BFB
BFB
Capacity Factor
85%
85%
85%
100%
100%
20%Switchgrass/ 80%
woody biomass
Undried
blended
biomass
8,670 Btu/lb
Undried blended
biomass
8,670 Btu/lb
45%
45%
15% Switchgrass
Parameter
Net Capacity
Fuel Type
Higher Heating Value (dry)
Moisture Content
4-84
100-MW BFB
Woody
Biomass
50-MW BFB
Switchgrass/
Woody Biomass
58,824
113,636
59,524
8,902
8,505
8,895
8,824
13,636
9,524
15
12
16
50,000
100,000
50,000
75
75
75
698.2
1289.4
705.9
73.2
135.2
69.8
13,964
12,894
14,119
Parameter
Boiler Efficiency, %
4.5.3.3 Total Capital Requirement and Operation and Maintenance Cost Estimates
Table 4-36 summarizes the performance, total capital requirement, and fixed- and variable-O&M
cost estimates for the bubbling fluidized bed boiler cases. All costs are in October 2010 dollars
and are based on net output.
The total capital requirement estimates are respectively $5,588, $4,053, and $5,806/kW for the
50- and 100-MW BFB plants fired by woody biomass and the 50-MW plant fired by an 80%
biomass/20% switchgrass mixture. The scope includes major equipment (fuel handling and
preparation and boiler modification), direct and indirect balance-of-plant costs, interest during
construction, and owners costs.
4-85
100-MW BFB
Woody
Biomass
50-MW BFB
Switchgrass /
Wood
Southeast
Southeast
Southeast
1 50 MW
1 100 MW
1 50 MW
Mechanical
Mechanical
Mechanical
100%
100%
80%/20%
Wood/Switchgrass
30
30
30
1.5
2.5
2.5
Jan-11
Jan-11
Jan-11
$1,350
$1,050
$1,350
$370
$300
$370
Biomass Handling
$350
$270
$480
Environmental Controls
$110
$70
$110
$2,180
$1,690
$2,310
BOP Facilities
$840
$550
$840
$380
$260
$420
$1,220
$810
$1,260
$1,330
$890
$1,340
$30
$30
$30
$170
$120
$180
$1,530
$1,040
$1,550
$4,930
$3,530
$5,120
Total Cost
Total Plant Cost
4-86
$160
$157
$168
$5,090
$3,684
$5,278
$510
$369
$528
$5,590
$4,053
$5,806
100-MW BFB
Woody Biomass
50-MW BFB
Wood/
Switchgrass
Fixed, $/kWbiomass-yr
113
63
114
Variable, $/MWhbiomass
5.8
5.1
5.85
13,964
12,894
14,119
Baseload
Baseload
Baseload
40
40
40
NOx, lb/MBtu
0.10 0.12
0.1
0.10 0.12
SOx, lb/MBtu
0.04 0.08
0.01
0.04 0.08
0.015 0.035
0.018
0.015 0.035
Commercial
Commercial
Developing
Simplified
Simplified
Simplified
Performance/Unit Availability
Duty Cycle
Minimum Load, %
Emission Rates
1. The Hypothetical In-Service Date assumes Notice to Proceed with preliminary activities on January 1, 2011 and
assumes no overlap of pre-construction and construction activities.
2. All costs are presented in October 2010 dollars.
The fixed O&M costs are respectively $113, $63, and $114/kW-yr and the variable O&M costs
are respectively $5.8, $5.1, and $5.9/MWh for the 50- and 100-MW BFB plants fired by woody
biomass and the 50-MW plant fired by an 80% biomass/20% switchgrass mixture. Fixed O&M
costs consist of wages and wage-related overheads for the permanent plant staff, routine
equipment maintenance, and other fees. Variable O&M costs include costs associated with
equipment maintenance during outages, catalyst/reagents, chemicals, water, and other
consumables. Fuel costs are determined separately and are not included in either fixed or
variable O&M costs.
4.5.3.4 Levelized Cost of Electricity Estimates
Table 4-37 summarizes the levelized cost of electricity estimates for the 50- and 100-MW BFB
plants fired by undried woody biomass and the 50-MW BFB plant fired by an 80% wood/20%
switchgrass mixture. The costs are levelized over the 30-year project life and are in constant
October 2010 dollars.
The levelized costs are respectively $126, $87, and $148/MWh for the 50- and 100-MW BFB
plants fired by woody biomass and the 50-MW plant fired by an 80% biomass/20% switchgrass
mixture. The major assumptions include 30-year project life, zero inflation, 55%/45%
debt/equity ratio, 4% interest on debt, 8% return on equity, 15-year debt financing term, zero
investment tax credit, five-year MACRS tax depreciation, and 40% income tax rate.
4-87
If the 30% investment tax credit (ITC) is applied, the levelized cost decreases $104, $71, and
$125/MWh for the 50- and 100-MW woody biomass fired plants and the 50-MW plant fired by
the wood/switchgrass mixture. Relative to the repowering and cofiring cases, it is more likely
that stand-alone biomass-fired BFB projects would be eligible for the ITC, provided that the
applying entities (i.e., project owners) are eligible and the project commences operation prior to
the expiration of the ITC.
Table 4-37
Levelized cost of electricity estimates for biomass-fired bubbling fluidized bed plants
(3Q 2010$)
Source: EPRI [48]
50-MW BFB
Woody
Biomass
100-MW BFB
Woody
Biomass
50-MW BFB
Wood/
Switchgrass
3.55
3.55
3.55
5.05
Fixed O&M
15
15
Variable O&M
Fuel
50
46
54
34
24
35
104
84
110
Fixed O&M
15
15
Variable O&M
50
46
54
61
44
63
132
104
139
Cost Component
Biomass Fuel Cost, $/MBtu
Switchgrass Fuel Cost, $/MBtu
Capital Charge3
Total
Fuel
Capital Charge
Total3
Notes:
1
Sensitivity cases assume biomass and switchgrass fuel costs are each $1/MBtu above and below the base costs
of $3.55/MBtu and $5.05/MBtu.
Estimate of LCOE assumes an 85% capacity factor, 30-year project life, and constant dollars.
Levelized fixed charge is 6.4%/yr with the investment tax credit (ITC) and 7.42%/yr without the credit.
Sum of LCOE component values may not equal total value due to rounding.
4-88
Net Capacity
50-MW
Boiler Type
Stoker
Capacity Factor
85%
100%
Biomass Properties
Fuel Type
8,670 Btu/lb
Moisture Content
45%
58,824
8,902
8,824
15
50,000
Boiler Efficiency, %
72.8
709.6
74.4
14,191
4-89
4.5.4.3 Total Capital Requirement and Operation and Maintenance Cost Estimates
Table 4-40 summarizes the performance, total capital requirement, and fixed- and variable-O&M
cost estimates for the stoker boiler plant. All costs are in October 2010 dollars and are based on
the net output.
The total capital requirement estimate is $5188/kW. The scope includes major equipment (fuel
handling and preparation and boiler modification), direct and indirect balance-of-plant costs,
interest during construction, and owners costs.
Table 4-40
Performance and cost estimates for stoker boiler plant (3Q 2010$)
Source: EPRI [42] [43]
Net Capacity and Boiler Type
Location
Rated Capacity
Rated Capacity (units unit size), MW
Biomass fuel feed system
Fraction of plant output from biomass, %
Physical Plant
Unit life, years
Scheduling
Preconst., License & Design Time, Years
Idealized Plant Construction Time, Years
Hypothetical In-Service Date
Total Capital Requirement, $/kW
Major Equipment Cost
Steam Generator System
Turbine Island System
Biomass Handling
Environmental Controls
Total Major Equipment Cost
Direct Balance of Plant Cost
BOP Facilities
General Facilities & Site Specific
Total Direct Balance of Plant Cost
Indirect Balance of Plant Costs
Engineering Fee & Construction Management
Process Contingency
Project Contingency
Total Indirect Balance of Plant Cost
Total Cost
Total Plant Cost
AFUDC (Interest during construction)
Total Plant Investment (including AFUDC)
Total Owners Cost, $/kW
4-90
$1,209
$370
$350
$110
$2,039
$840
$380
$1,220
$1,330
$29
$165
$1,524
$4,783
$155
$4,938
$247
Notes:
1.
The Hypothetical In-Service Date assumes Notice to Proceed with preliminary activities on January 1,
2011 and assumes no overlap of pre-construction and construction activities.
2.
The fixed and variable O&M cost estimates are respectively $132/kW-yr, and $3.5/MWh. Fixed
O&M costs consist of wages and wage-related overheads for the permanent plant staff, routine
equipment maintenance, and other fees. Variable O&M costs include costs associated with
equipment maintenance during outages, catalyst/reagents, chemicals, water, and other
consumables. Fuel costs are determined separately and are not included in either fixed or
variable O&M costs.
4.5.4.4 Levelized Cost of Electricity Estimate
Table 4-41 summarizes the levelized cost of electricity estimate for the stoker boiler plant. The
levelized cost is $122/MWh in constant third-quarter 2010 dollars. The major assumptions
include 30-year project life, zero inflation, 55%/45% debt/equity ratio, 4% interest on debt, 8%
return on equity, 15-year debt financing term, zero investment tax credit, five-year MACRS tax
depreciation, and 40% income tax rate.
If the 30% investment tax credit (ITC) is applied, the levelized cost decreases by about
$20/MWh. Relative to the repowering and cofiring cases, it is more likely that standalone
biomass-fired stoker projects would be eligible for the ITC, provided that the applying entities
(i.e., project owners) are eligible and the project commences operation prior to the expiration of
the ITC.
4-91
Base Case
3.55
15
Variable O&M
Total3
50
32
102
15
Variable O&M
Total3
50
52
122
Estimate of LCOE assumes an 85% capacity factor, 30-year project life, and constant dollars.
Levelized fixed charge is 6.4%/yr with the investment tax credit (ITC) and 7.33%/yr without the credit.
Sum of LCOE component values may not equal total value due to rounding.
4-92
Net Capacity
38-MW
Boiler Type
Stoker
Capacity Factor
80%
100%
Biomass Properties
Fuel Type
Higher Heating Value (dry)
Moisture Content
4-93
16 MW
4 MW
9.5%
38 MW
908
52
162
4.5.5.3 Total Capital Requirement and Operation and Maintenance Cost Estimates
Table 4-44 summarizes the performance, total capital requirement, and fixed- and variable-O&M
cost estimates for the biomass gasification plant. All costs are in 2011 dollars and are based on
the net output.
The total capital requirement estimate is $5188/kW. The scope includes major equipment (fuel
handling and preparation and boiler modification), direct and indirect balance-of-plant costs,
interest during construction, and owners costs.
Table 4-44
Performance and cost estimates for biomass gasification (2012$)
Source: EPRI
42-MW Gasification
Plant
42-MW Gasification
Plant
Southeast GA
Northeast ME
1 42 MW
1 42 MW
Mechanical
Mechanical
100%
100%
30
30
2.1
2.1
Fuel Handling/Preparation
$7,590
$7,648
Dryer/Gasification/Power Plant
$87,446
$87,596
4-94
42-MW Gasification
Plant
Southeast GA
Northeast ME
$95,036
$95,244
$37,720
$42,435
$37,720
$42,435
$17,576
$18,260
$13,800
$13,800
Process Contingency
$7,043
$7,820
$38,419
$39,880
$171,175
$177,559
$4,076
$4,228
42-MW Gasification
Plant
42-MW Gasification
Plant
Northwest OR
UK England
1 42 MW
1 42 MW
Mechanical
Mechanical
100%
100%
30
30
2.1
2.1
$7,648
$7,705
Dryer/Gasification/Power Plant
$87,596
$87,745
$95,244
$95,450
$42,435
$47,150
$42,435
$47,150
$18,260
$18,948
$13,800
$13,800
Process Contingency
$7,820
$8,625
$39,880
$41,373
$177,559
$183,973
$4,228
$4,380
4-95
The total annual O&M cost (OPEX) assumption is based on ANDRITZ Carbona information and
is $2.8 million per year including labor, supplies, consumables such as water, chemicals, natural
gas, propane, and fuel oil. An annual cost increase of 2.4% is assumed.
Feedstock
The cost for feedstock for biomass gasification is a critical assumption due to the significance of
its cost in relation to total plant costs and due to the volatility in pricing based on feedstock
availability and proximity to the plant.
Feedstock cost was evaluated by using state forestry departments and other forest, wood and
lumber interest websites. The forestry departments are responsible for management and
furtherance of the forest resources within each state and collect and distribute information
regarding biomass types and prices. These representative prices indicate the broad range of
marketable wood materials which are traded within a given state with information with regard to
availability and pricing trends. Between the states there are variations of major uses and
concentrations; for example, Georgia has a greater emphasis on pulpwood than Oregon, which
produces more lumber. Base prices were chosen for this study by reviewing data on the websites
and including an allowance for transportation (wood must be cut, limbs trimmed and loaded onto
a truck, regardless of source; then it must be driven a certain distance to the plant site assumed to
be within about 50 miles).
The feedstock costs assumed for each region are as follows:
SE U.S.Georgia
NE U.S. Maine
NW U.S. Oregon
UK (London)
$ 30/ton
$ 20/ton
$ 45/ton
$ 87/ton
The cost for property taxes on plant assets is included in annual costs based on an average
property tax rate for each of the regions analyzed. Rates assumed, per $US of economic property
value, are: SE U.S. 1.2%, NE U.S. 1.28%, NW U.S. 1.39% and 0% for the UK. The rate is
applied to a depreciated total plant cost based on 3.33% annual economic depreciation, assuming
a 30-year economic life.
4.5.3.4 Levelized Cost of Electricity Estimate
LCOE for each of the regions are summarized in Table 4-44. Based on the cash flows projected
for capex, opex, feedstock costs, property taxes and incentives over the 30-year plant life, the net
present value (NPV) of these costs was calculated. This NPV, divided by the NPV of the energy
produced over the same 30-year plant life, is the LCOE for the example plant in each region.
Individual contributions to the total LCOE for four major cost components and tax incentives are
included in the table; these were determined using a similar NPV method which used only their
individual cost streams versus generated power values. The LCOE results are shown in Table 445 and the cost components of each LCOE amount are shown graphically in Figure 4-40.
4-96
SE
NE
NW
UK
CAPEX
$ 50
$ 52
$ 52
$ 53
OPEX
$ 11
$ 11
$ 11
$ 11
Feedstock
$ 53
$ 36
$ 80
$ 155
Property tax
$ 4
$ 5
$ 5
$ 0
$ 0
$ 0
$ 0
($ 96)
($ 49)
($ 45)
($ 62)
($ 46)
$ 69
$ 58
$ 87
$ 78
Tax benefits
LCOE
Note: Total LCOE values in each column may not add due to rounding.
Figure 4-40
LCOE cost comparisonscomparison by region
As shown in Table 4-45 and Figure 4-40, the LCOE for the SE U.S. region is in the mid-range of
the four regions evaluated at a total LCOE of $69/MWh. The largest component of the LCOE is
the Feedstock cost, which in this region, comprises $53/MWh of the total LCOE and is
significantly higher than the NE U.S. region, but lower than in the NW U.S. region. The capex
costs amount to $50/MWh which, after being adapted to SE region costs from the Nordic region
base cost, are estimated to be the lowest of the four regions. OPEX and property taxes are
approximately the same as the other U.S. regions and slightly lower than the UK. Before
deducting the tax benefits, the sum of the SE U.S. region costs are $119/MWh. The PTC
incentive included in Tax benefits is $11/MWh and is the same for each U.S. location. While the
UK region does not have this PTC benefit, the ROC benefit of $96/MWh far exceeds the U.S.
4-97
locations PTC benefit. The balance of the SE U.S. regions Tax benefits is due to depreciation
and expense deductions, and this varies from the other locations primarily due to Feedstock cost
differences discussed above.
Northeast United States (NE U.S.)
Table 4-45 and Figure 4-40 show a LCOE in the NE U.S. of $58/MWh, which is the lowest of
the four regions. The largest cost contribution is CAPEX at $52/MWh which is slightly higher
than the SE U.S., but the same as for the NW U.S. Feedstock costs are the lowest of all four
regions by a fairly sizeable margin at $36/MWh which is the key driver in the SE U.S. region
showing the lowest LCOE. OPEX and property taxes are approximately the same as the other
U.S. regions and slightly lower than for the UK. Before deducting the Tax benefits, the sum of
the NE U.S. region costs are $103/MWh. The PTC incentive included in Tax benefits is
$11/MWh and is the same for each U.S. location. Again, while the UK region does not have this
PTC benefit, the ROC benefit of $96/MWh in the UK far exceeds the U.S. locations PTC
benefit. The balance of the NE U.S. tax benefits is due to depreciation and expense deductions,
and this varies from the other locations primarily due to feedstock price differences discussed
above.
Northwest United States (NW U.S.)
Table 4-45 and Figure 4-40 show a LCOE cost of $87/MWh for the NW U.S., which is the
highest of the three U.S. locations, but still lower than for the UK region by $9/MWh. The
$45/ton feedstock cost, which is the highest in the United States, results in the largest
contribution to LCOE at $80/MWh. CAPEX at $52/MWh is about 4% more than for the SE
U.S., the same as for the NW U.S., and about 3% lower than for the UK. OPEX and property
taxes remain at $11/MWh and $5/MW, the same as the other U.S. regions. Total costs before
deducting tax benefits are $148/MW. Tax benefits include the same PTC as the other U.S.
regions, and higher tax deduction benefits than the other U.S. regions due to significantly higher
feedstock costs.
United Kingdom (UK)
Table 4-45 and Figure 4-40 show LCOE projected by the model of $78/MWh for the UK region.
Capex at $53/MWh is 2% to 4% higher than for each of the U.S. locations. Feedstock costs are
significantly higher in this region than any of the U.S. locations, and are by far the largest cost
contribution to LCOE at $115/MWh. OPEX is projected to be $11/MWh, similar to the United
States. There were no property taxes assumed for the UK region, compared to an average of
$5/MWh in the U.S. regions. Total UK costs before reduction for tax benefits and incentives are
$219/MWh, which is almost 48% more than the highest U.S. location, again due primarily to the
high feedstock cost in the UK. Much of this higher UK cost is offset by the ROC incentive,
which amounts to $96/MWh and far exceeds the PTC incentives in the U.S. regions. The Tax
benefits in the UK region are lower than the U.S. locations due to a far lower corporate tax rate
of 24% versus the U.S. average combined federal/state rate of 38%, even though UK deductible
costs of feedstock are so much higher.
4-98
Due to the uncertainty regarding the extension of the U.S. tax codes PTC, the LCOE results
have been calculated as if the PTC were no longer available, and are shown in Table 4-46.
Table 4-46
LCOE without PTC
LCOE Components - $/MWh
WITHOUT PTC
Capex
SE
NE
NW
UK
$50
$52
$52
$53
Opex
$11
$11
$11
$11
Feedstock
$53
$36
$80
$155
Property tax
$4
$5
$5
$-
$-
$-
$-
$(96)
Tax benefits
$(38)
$(34)
$(51)
$(46)
LCOE
$80
$69
$98
$78
Note: Total LCOE values in each column may not add due to rounding.
Demonstration of machines for establishing, harvesting, transporting, and storing energy crop
systems
Basic and applied R&D on grasses and alternative energy crops for areas not suitable for
wood crops
Continuous breeding and plant improvement programs for energy crops to improve yields
Schemes which can accelerate development of the sustainable biomass fuel supply, such as
standards for certifying sustainable biomass feedstock
Primary conventional combustion issues that need to be addressed include the following:
Demonstration of technical innovations (e.g. biomass pre-treatment processes, residuederived fuels) that will extend the range of fuels than can be burned
4-99
Demonstrations covering the range of gasification and pyrolysis technologies appropriate for
worldwide regions
Demonstration of pyrolysis systems when the current applied R&D shows sufficient progress
Cofiring: Under IRS Code, an open-loop biomass facility that cofires biomass with fossil
fuels does not qualify for fiscal incentives.
Modification of existing facilities: Facilities that have been converted from fossil fuel units to
open-loop or closed-loop biomass units or cofiring plants do not currently qualify for the
PTC.
Definition of waste: The current definition of open-loop biomass does not assure facility
owners that they can pay for the open loop biomass used as fuel and still qualify for the PTC.
Biomass to create gas or thermal energy: The PTC does not currently apply to facilities that
create biomass-derived renewable energy gas and thermal energy.
4.8 Conclusions
Biomass fuels are many and varied, with distinct characteristics. Although there are institutional
and political questions concerning the classification of wood waste and other waste products as
biomass or renewable, technically they are biomass resources that are derived from living plants.
Most biomass fuels permit utilities to generate dispatchable renewable power. The fuels can
be extracted and/or stored and then used to meet electricity demand. Utilization systems can
capitalize upon the characteristics of these fuels. They are modest in heating value, highly
reactive, low in nitrogen and sulfur, and of varying ash characteristics. Of the biomass fuels
available, woody biomass is the most commonly used material, but agricultural wastes and
dedicated energy crops appear to be the biomass fuels of the future.
Numerous technologies are available for biomass fuel utilization, including both cofiring options
and stand-alone options. Cofiring provides a means for incorporating biomass utilization into
electricity generating facilities with the lowest cost and the least risk. Cofiring can be used to
enhance combustion and, in most cases, reduce SO2 and NOX emissions. The lack of sulfur in
biomass fuels, coupled with low nitrogen concentrations, reactive nitrogen, and reactive fuel as a
whole, provides the basis for this enhanced combustion.
4-100
The forest products and pulp and paper industries, as well as some electric utilities and
independent power producers, have built stand-alone plants. These systems are not inexpensive.
However, they provide a basis for using biomass to generate electricity. They can be
economically justified depending upon localized economics and their use in addressing customer
needs. Institutional arrangements that provide partnerships between industries and utilities can be
particularly useful in such circumstances.
Biomass pre-treatment may open a global biomass trade similar to that of coal. But key to the
expansion of biomass for electricity production will be available tax incentives, RPS mandates,
and GHG-reduction directives that externalize the costs of using fossil fuels. For example,
torrefied biomass may contribute to offsetting fossil-fuel emissions, but consideration of carbon
credits for the char field application will be required to expand its worldwide use.
In summary, biomass is dispatchable renewable power. It can come in solid or gaseous form, and
can be exploited using a wide variety of technologies to supply electricity to internal customers
or to the grid. Moreover, its carbon neutral or negative characteristics position it to potentially
contribute to the target of de-carbonizing electricity production.
4.9 References
1. Walker, J. 1966. Hopewell Village: The Dynamics of a Nineteenth Century Iron-Making
Community.University of Pennsylvania Press, Philadelphia.
2. Szego, G.C. and C.C. Kemp. 1973. Energy Forests and Fuel Plantations. CHEMTECH. May.
3. Bethel, J. et al. 1976. The Potential of Lignocellulosic Material for the Production of
Chemicals, Fuels, and Energy. National Academy of Sciences, Washington, D.C.
4. Henry, J.F. 1979. The Silvicultural Energy Farm in Perspective, in Progress in Biomass
Conversion, Vol. 1. (Sarkanen, K.V. and D.A. Tillman, eds.) Academic Press, New York.
pp. 215256.
5. Walsh, M.E. et al. 2000. Biomass Feedstock Availability in the United States: 1999 State
Level Analysis. Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN.
6. SCS Engineers. 2002. Economic and Financial Aspects of Landfill Gas to Energy Project
Development in California. California Energy Commission. Sacramento, CA. 500-02-020F.
7. Johnson, D.K., D.A. Tillman, B.G. Miller, S.V. Pisupati, and D.J. Clifford. 2001.
Characterizing Biomass Fuels for Co-firing Applications. Proc. 2001 Joint International
Combustion Symposium. American Flame Research Committee. Kuai, Hawaii.
September 912.
8. Tillman, D.A. Final Report: EPRI-USDOE Cooperative Agreement: Co-firing Biomass with
Coal. Contract No. DE-FC22-96PC96252. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2001. 104601.
9. Jenkins, B.M., L.L. Baxter, T.R. Miles, Jr., and T.R. Miles. 1996. Combustion Properties of
Biomass. Proc. Biomass Usage for Utility and Industrial Power. An Engineering Foundation
Conference. Snowbird, UT. April 28May 3.
10. Miles, T.R., et al. 1993. Alkali Slagging Problems with Biomass Fuels. Proc. First Biomass
Conference of the Americas. Aug. 30Sep. 2. Burlington, VT, pp. 406421.
11. Tillman, D.A. Biomass Cofiring: Field Test Results. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 1999. TR-113903.
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12. Payette, K., T. Banfield, T. Nutter, and D. Tillman. 2002. Emissions Management at Albright
Generating Station through Biomass Cofiring. Proc. 27th International Technical Conference
on Coal Utilization and Fuel Systems. Clearwater Florida, March 47.
13. Hus, P.J. and D.A. Tillman. 2000. Cofiring multiple opportunity fuels with coal at Bailly
Generating Station. Biomass and Bioenergy 19(6):385394.
14. Tillman, D.A. 1994. Trace Metals in Combustion Systems. Academic Press, San Diego, CA.
15. Opportunity Fuel Cofiring at Allegheny Energy: Final Report. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2004.
1004811.
16. Campbell, A.G. 1990. Recycling and Disposal of Wood Ash. TAPPI. Sep., pp. 141145.
17. EPRI Alternative Fuels Database. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 1996. TR-107602.
18. Johnson, D.K., et al. 2002. Report to Foster Wheeler on Pyrolysis of Urban Wood Waste and
Fresh Switchgrass. Private communication. Pennsylvania State University, University Park,
PA.
19. Tillman, D.A. 2002a. Petroleum Coke as a Supplementary Fuel for Cyclone Boilers. Proc.
27th International Technical Conference on Coal Utilization and Fuel Systems. Clearwater
Florida, March 47.
20. Shafizadeh, F., and W. DeGroot. 1976. Combustion Characteristics of Cellulosic Fuels, in
Thermal Uses and Properties of Carbohydrates and Lignins (Shafizadeh, F., K. Sarkanen, and
D. Tillman, eds.). Academic Press, New York, pp. 118.
21. Shafizadeh, F. and W. DeGroot. 1977. Thermal Analysis of Forest Fuels, in Fuels and
Energy from Renewable Resources (Tillman, D., K. Sarkanen, and L. Anderson, eds).
Academic Press, New York, pp. 93114.
22. Broido, A. 1976. Kinetics of Solid-Phase Cellulose Pyrolysis, in Thermal Uses and
Properties of Carbohydrates and Lignins (Shafizadeh, F., K. Sarkanen, and D. Tillman, eds.).
Academic Press, New York, pp. 1936.
23. Baxter, L.L. et al. 1996a. The Behavior of Inorganic Material in Biomass-Fired Power
Boilers: Field and Laboratory Experiences. Proc. Biomass Usage for Utility and Industrial
Power. Engineering Foundation Conference. Snowbird, UT. April 28May 3.
24. Baxter, L.L. et al. 1996b. The Behavior of Inorganic Material in Biomass-Fired Power
BoilersField and Laboratory Experiences: Vol II of Alkali Deposits Found in Biomass
Power Plants. SAND96-8225 Volume 2 and NREL/TP-433-8142.
25. Miller, S.F., B.G. Miller, and D. Tillman. 2002. The Propensity of Liquid Phases Forming
During coal-Opportunity Fuel (Biomass) Cofiring as a Function of Ash Chemistry and
Temperature. Proc. 27th International Technical Conference on Coal Utilization and Fuel
Systems. Clearwater Florida, March 47.
26. Landfill Methane Outreach Program, U.S. EPA:
http://www.epa.gov/lmop/overview.htm#methane.
27. Miller, B.G., S.F. Miller, C. Jawdy, R. Cooper, D. Donovan, and J. Battista. 2000. Feasibility
Analysis for Installing a Circulating Fluidized Bed Boiler for Cofiring Multiple Biofuels and
Other Wastes with Coal at Penn State University. Second Quarterly Technical Progress
Report. Work Performed Under Grant No. DE-FG26-00NT40809.
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28. Miller, S.F. and B. G. Miller. 2002. The Occurrence of Inorganic Elements in Various
Biofuels and its Effect on the Formation of Melt Phases During Combustion. Proc.
International Joint Power Generation Conference. Phoenix, AZ,. June 2427.
(IJPGC2002-26177).
29. Bryers, R.W. 1993. Analysis of a Suite of Biomass Samples. Foster Wheeler Development
Corporation, Livingston, NJ. Report FWC/FWDC/TR-94/03.
30. Bush, P.V. et al. 2001. Evaluation of Switchgrass as a Cofiring Fuel in the Southeast.
USDOE Cooperative Agreement No. DE-FC36-98GO10349. Southern Research Institute,
Birmingham, AL.
31. Harding, N.S. 2002. Cofiring Tire-Derived Fuel with Coal. Proc. 27th International
Technical Conference on Coal Utilization and Fuel Systems. Clearwater, Florida,
March 47.
32. Tillman, D.A. 2002b. Cofiring Technology Review. Report to USDOENETL. Pittsburgh,
PA.
33. Kitto, B. and D. Green. 2003. Electricity Generation Using Digester Gas at Clean Water
Services. Proc. 28th International Technical Conference on Coal Utilization and Fuel
Systems. Clearwater, Florida, March 58.
34. Green, A. 2003. Opening Remarks. International Conference on Co-Utilization of Domestic
Fuels. Gainesville, Florida. February 56.
35. Tillman, D.A., A.J. Rossi, and W.D. Kitto. 1981. Wood Combustion: Principles, Processes,
and Economics. Academic Press, New York.
36. Assessment of Biogas-Fueled Electric Power Systems. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2004. 1009450.
37. Haq, Z. 2002. Biomass for Electricity Generation. U.S. DOE Energy Information
Administration.
38. Perlack, R.D., et al. Biomass Fuel from Woody Crops for Electric Power Generation. Oak
Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN: 1995. ORNL-6871.
39. Campbell, J.E., Lobell, D.B., et al. Greater Transportation Energy and GHG Offsets from
Bioelectricity than Ethanol. Science. 2009.
40. Georgia Pacific. 2009. Processed Engineered Fuel-Effective Waste to Energy Solution.
41. A. Maciejewska. 2006. Cofiring of Biomass with Coal: Constraints and Role of Biomass Pretreatment. European Commission EUR 22462 EN.
42. Engineering and Economic Evaluation of Renewable Energy Technology. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA:
2007. 1012726.
43. Engineering and Economic Evaluation of Biomass Power Plants, 100% Biomass
Repowering, Biomass Cofiring, and Bubbling Fluidized Bed Biomass Combustion. EPRI,
Palo Alto, CA: 2010. 1019762.
44. REN21 2011, Renewables 2011 Global Status Report (Paris: REN21 Secretariat).
45. Annual Energy Review 2011, U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): August 2011.
DOE/EIA-0384(2009).
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46. Engineering and Economic Evaluation of Biomass Gasification Power Plants. EPRI, Palo
Alto, CA: 2012. 1023994.
47. Raskin, N. et al. Power Boiler Fuel Augmentation with a Biomass Fired Atmospheric
Circulating Fluid-Bed Gasifier, Bio Bioener, 20(6), 2001, pp. 471-481.
4-104
5.1 Introduction
Municipal solid waste (MSW) is an unavoidable by-product of human activities. Across the
globe, countries are grappling with how to manage the waste stream of human existence
properly. The tonnage of glocal post-recycling MSW in urban centers is estimated at
approximately 1.2 billion tons. Of this amount, 16% is landfilled in modern regulation landfills,
67% is disposed of in traditional dumps without methane recovery and about 16% is combusted
in waste to energy (WTE) facilities. Table 5-1 gives an overview of MSW technologies and
Figure 5-1 outlines waste management practices for several countries.
Table 5-1
MSW overview
Installed Capacity
(est.)
Technology
Readiness
The core MSW technologies are mature: mass burn, refuse-derived fuel/processed
engineered fuel (RDF/PEF) cofiring, landfill gas (LFG).
Advanced thermal conversion technologies, (that is, pyrolysis, plasma arc) are in
the late demonstration/early deployment stages
MSW pretreatment and MSW-natural gas hybrid cycles are still within the research
and development stages.
High confidence in cost estimates and projections for more traditional combustion
systems.
Low confidence in cost estimates and projections for advanced systems .
Environmental
Impact
Economic Status
Policy Status
Trends to Watch
5-1
Figure 5-1
MSW management by country
There are currently 87 WTE plants in the U.S., equating to 2.7 GW of electricity generation from
MSW. This does not include facilities for district heating. See Figure 5-2 for a map of facilities
in the United States. In the United States, adversed converstion technologies have been slow to
be deployed and most MSW is landfilled. This is due largely to common misperceptions that
continue to foster unfavorable political conditions and negative public opinions, in addition to
the high up-front capital costs. However, as utilities look for renewable resources to supply
future generation needs, WTE plants have the benefits of being both baseload generation and a
solution to a growing waste management issuea feature that many other renewables lack.
According to previous EPRI analysis and modeling, modern MSW plants could substantially
increase in the deployment in the next 5 to 10 years. This is also true around the world as
countries look to for reduced greenhouse gas emissions. When MSW is processed at a modern
incinerator or advanced energy recovery plant rather than landfill, emissions of methan-rich gas
attributatiole to the decomposition of buried organic materials are avoided. TO the extent that
WTE capapacity relieds on carbon-neutral organic materials, it offsets the CO2 from fossil power
plants. Also, recycling the metals recovered at WTE plants avoids the emissions associated with
the mining and processing of virgin metals.
5-2
Although the United States has been rather slow to pursue MSW options, many countries in
Europe and Asia have integrated resource management plans in their energy supply portfolio.
Europe currently has more than 400 WTE factilties to support and EU landfill direction of a 65%
reduction in landfilling of biodegraeable MSW. In addition, China has set a target of meeting
30% of the countrys electricity needs by 2030. India is currently working to determine how
WTE plants can fit in managing their waste stream.
Figure 5-2
States with WTE facilites
Source: Energy Recovery Council, October 2010
There are several WTE technologies that are available and others that are still in the development
phase. The fuel characteristics will define the technology that should be pursued. For instance,
due to the high moisture content in Indian domestic waste, anaerobic digestion is a better
candidate than incineration for a WTE facility. Other WTE technologies include mass burn, RDF
cofiring, landfill gas utilization, pyrolysis, gasification, plasma arc, aerobic composting and
chemical decomposition. WTE technologies are at varying stages of development and
commercial maturity.
5-3
Facilities Subject
Permitting Authority
Prevention of
significant
deterioration
USEPA
Non-attainment NSR
USEPA
Title V
State agencies
State agencies
USEPA/state
agencies
39 Full list available in Code of Federal Regulations Title 40, Sec. 70.3 Applicability
5-4
A new source review (NSR) will be required for a new municipal waste combustor and other
conversion technologies. There are three types of NSR permitting requirements an emissionsource may have to meet. The NSR requirement will depend on its location, size of the facility,
and classification as a major or minor source (dependent on quantity of emissions). The three
types of NSR requirements are (1) prevention of significant deterioration (PSD) permit, which is
required for new major emission sources or a major emission source making a major facility
modification in an attainment area (an area of heightened emission restrictions); (2) nonattainment NSR permits, which are required for new major sources or major sources making a
major modification in a non-attainment area; and (3) minor source permits, which vary
depending on an individual states requirements and typically aim to prevent emissions that
interfere with regional attainment of National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS).40
The PSD review and permitting process requires the following:
Existing ambient air quality analysisa detailed analysis of the air quality surrounding the
facility site (at a distance defined by the individual state), which may require installing air
monitoring equipment to collect data for as long as a year.
Best available control technology (BACT) analysisan analysis of all available control
technologies for air emissions in a top down review. Analyses include economic,
environmental and energy costs for each alternative. The criterion for selection is best control
at acceptable cost.
In addition to NSR and PSD review, Title V of the Clean Air Act of 1990 ensures that for all
emission sources there is facility-wide emission accounting, designed to integrate all local
allowable level restrictions and equipment permits Individual state permits are required to include
an accounting of the plant size, characteristics of the wastes handled, lists of emission sources and
rates, lists of all emission control equipment and reduction characteristics, and descriptions of all
test methods and monitoring plans to ensure continued compliance to emission standards. Each
permit is given on a five-year issue, except for municipal waste combustors, which enjoy a tenyear issue, and permits are re-opened and evaluated for new construction or altered operational
behaviors, as well as when new requirements are passed on the federal or state level. Each
individual permit is required to allow time for extensive EPA and local level public review, and
each is judicially reviewable at the state court level. If facilities are found to experience emissions
at levels higher than for which they are permitted, states are required to levy fines and facilities
are subject to civil and criminal enforcement procedures if they continue to emit above permitted
levels, or are found to be operating without appropriate Title V permitting.41
40
41
5-5
In April 2007, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that greenhouse gases (GHGs) are identified as air
pollutants by the Clean Air Act, and so the EPA was responsible for researching the effects of
GHGs on air quality, and in turn, public health.42 Greenhouse gases, including carbon dioxide
(CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), erfluorocarbons
(PFCs), and sulfur hexafluoride (SF6), are natural and anthropogenic gases that absorb and emit
radiation at specific wavelengths within the spectrum of thermal infrared radiation emitted by the
Earths surface, potentially trapping heat within the atmosphere.43 As a result, there has been
increased effort and interest in monitoring and reducing these pollutants. In order to incorporate
monitoring and regulation of GHGs without overburdening the permitting administrative
process, EPA has established a systematic introduction of high emission thresholds, which are
scheduled to be lowered over time to allow small emitters time to come under compliance while
immediately identifying and reducing emissions from the largest sources. This plan for
identification of sources and action against emitters in order of size is known as the Tailoring
Rule, as it tailors air quality and operational permitting requirements to the emission level
experienced.
The Tailoring Rule was finalized on May 13, 2010, and sets thresholds for GHG emissions that
define when Title V operating permits and prevention of significant deterioration (PSD) permits
are required for both new and existing facilities. The largest facilities that are responsible for
70% of all stationary-source GHG emissions will be brought under inspection during the process
of this rule's implementation. The GHG emission threshold is based upon CO2 equivalents, and is
comprised of the EPAs six different GHGs (CO2, CH4, N2O, SF6, HFCs, PFCs), weighted by
global warming potential. The Tailoring Rule is divided into four steps that are scheduled to be
implemented by 2016. As CO2 is identified as a GHG, EPA has responded to comments from a
variety of industry groups as it defines what CO2 emissions are to be included in the thresholds
established by the Tailoring Rule. Initially, no distinction was made between the emission of
anthropogenic (produced by human and industrial activity) and biogenic (naturally derived) CO2.
The EPA has, in the past, counted the methane from LFG and human aggregations of waste to be
anthropogenic, but the CO2 emitted from landfills has been considered biogenic. In the past,
biogenic emissions have not counted toward GHG emission inventories and reporting
requirements, but under the Tailoring Rule, the emission thresholds would count both biogenic
and anthropogenic emissions which would indicate an enormous increase in the apparent
emissions volumes generated. If facilities do not have a standardized and researched manner of
accurately modeling and predicting their biogenic fugitive emissions of CO2, then they would
incur great expense when required to do so. On July 5, 2011, The EPA ruled to postpone the
inclusion of biogenic CO2 for three years. As emissions of CO2 from biogenic sources will not be
counted, only large emitters that must already obtain Clean Air Act permits for other pollutants
will come under review for greenhouse gas emissions in the early years of rule implementation.
As a preemptive action to future reductions of emission thresholds, facilities that have the
capacity should consider energy efficiency and GHG emission reductions in design and
operation, and actively engage in the EPA GHG rulemaking process.44
42
5-6
5-7
Definition
Cellulosic biofuel
60%
Biomass-based diesel
50%
Advanced biofuel
50%
Conventional
renewable fuel
Several further exceptions and restrictions are defined by the RFS2 regulations. The term
lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions indicates the aggregate quantity of greenhouse gas
emissions (including direct emissions and significant indirect emissions such as emissions from
land use changes), related to the full fuel lifecycle, including all stages of fuel and feedstock
production and distribution, from feedstock generation or extraction through the distribution and
delivery and use of the finished fuel to the ultimate consumer. Greenhouse gas thresholds are
defined as the reduction in lifecycle GHGs for a renewable fuel in comparison to the 2005
baseline gasoline or diesel that it displaces.
5-8
All conventional renewable fuel facilities (domestic and international) that commenced
construction prior to EISA are grandfathered, and not required to meet the minimum 20 percent
GHG threshold. EISA restricts types of renewable fuel feedstocks and land that feedstocks can
come from, as it defines renewable biomass48 as the following:
Planted trees and tree residue from actively managed tree plantations on non-federal land
cleared prior to December 19, 2007
Algae
Separated yard waste or food waste, including recycled cooking and trap grease
All other feedstocks identified in Table 5-4, which displays the three methods named in the
RFS2 regulations as valid for the production of cellulosic biofuels.
Table 5-4
Cellulosic biofuel pathways for use in generating RINs
Fuel Type
Feedstock
Production
Process
Requirements
Ethanol
Any
Cellulosic
diesel, jet fuel
and heating oil
Any
Cellulosic
naphtha
Fischer-Tropsch
process
48
5-9
Any producers of biofuels that wish to pursue RINs, yet do not utilize one of the pathways or
feedstocks displayed in Table 5-4, have opportunity to petition for a RIN assignment. Although
the cellulosic components of separated MSW are named as approved feedstocks for renewable
fuel generation, raw MSW that has not been separated would currently require petition for a RIN
assignment. The requirements of the petition process include full documentation of economic
and environmental impacts of the use of the source material, identification of known quantities
and projections of future quantities of source material, as well as full analysis of processing and
conversion technologies.
5.3.2 Renewable Portfolio Standard
The renewable portfolio standard (RPS) requires production of energy from renewable sources to
increase, and obliges utility companies to produce a percentage of their energy from renewable
sources (depending upon specific state requirements and definitions). The entities affected are
most commonly investor-owned utilities and electric service providers, although some states
have included provisions for municipal utilities to voluntarily participate. As of May 2011, 26
states had adopted an RPS and an additional six had adopted a renewable portfolio goal.
Currently, states with RPS requirements have mandated that between 4% and 33% of all
electricity is generated from renewable sources by a specified date.49 Currently, MSW has been
considered as a renewable fuel (and eligible for meeting renewable fuel portfolio standards) in 23
states, shown in Table 5-5.
Table 5-5
States defining MSW as a renewable fuel eligible to meet renewable portfolio standards
States Defining MSW as a Renewable Fuel Eligible to
Meet Renewable Portfolio Standards
(as of 7/5/2011)
California
Massachusetts
Oregon
Connecticut
Mississippi
Pennsylvania
District of Columbia
Minnesota
Puerto Rico
Florida
Missouri
South Dakota
Hawaii
Nevada
Utah
Iowa
New Jersey
West Virginia
Maine
Ohio
Washington
Maryland
Oklahoma
Source: DSIRE Portfolio Standards/Set Asides for Renewables & Efficiency, 2011
49
5-10
The requirements for RDF utilization as a renewable fuel varies between states. For example, in
California it is not always considered renewable if produced through direct combustion, and in
other locations only a certain percentage of renewable sales may be met through MSW
feedstocks. In Hawaii, Minnesota, and South Dakota, MSW may be classified as biomass.
Although MSW may not be an eligible feedstock for renewable generation in every state and
through every conversion pathway, energy recovered from MSW through mass burn and refusederived fuel (RDF) combustion within WTE processes has been defined as renewable in 27
states (including the District of Columbia), shown in Table 5-6.
Table 5-6
States defining waste-to-energy as renewable in state law
States Defining Waste-to-Energy as Renewable in
State Law (as of 10/1/2010)
Alaska
Maine
Oklahoma
Arkansas
Maryland
Oregon
California
Massachusetts
Pennsylvania
Connecticut
Michigan
Puerto Rico
District of Columbia
Minnesota
South Carolina
Florida
Nevada
South Dakota
Hawaii
New Hampshire
Virginia
Iowa
New Jersey
Washington
Indiana
New York
Wisconsin
In addition to individual state laws designating energy generated through WTE processes as
renewable, the federal government has issued numerous policies, statutes, and regulations
throughout the past thirty years supporting this designation, shown in Table 5-7.
Although MSW may not be considered as a renewable feedstock in all states, landfill gas derived
from the decomposition of MSW may be much more widely used to meet renewable targets.
Landfill gas is named as an eligible feedstock in all states except Indiana (although energy
generated from organic waste biomass may be considered on a case-by-case basis in Indiana).
5-11
a traveling grate, or in a fluidized bed where combustion occurs on a bed of sand at the bottom of
a cylindrical furnace. The MSW processing requirements for RDF vary depending on the boiler
style to be used, as suspension boilers, for example, require a smaller particle size then a
fluidized bed.
Another long-term approach to energy recovery from MSW is the tapping into landfill-based
disposal sites to capture the landfill gas (LFG) generated by the decomposition of MSW. Since
1975, with the beginning of operations at the Palos Verdes Landfill LFG Energy Facility in
Rolling Hill Estates, California,50 many landfills have utilized the gases extracted from landfills
to fill demands for energy on-site and at a distance, as an alternative to flaring. According to the
EPA Landfill Methane Outreach Program (LMOP), there are currently more than 500 projects
throughout the United States that generate more than 1,560 MW from LFG, and there are 530
landfills that have the potential to participate in LFG to energy programs.51 LFG may be used onsite or transported via pipeline.
In recent years, the emergence of advanced thermal conversion technologies, such as pyrolysis,
gasification, and plasma arc, have presented additional possibilities for the conversion of waste
into energy and valuable fuel products such as biodiesel or ethanol. Through heating and reacting
waste with oxygen or air to produce a synthetic gas (syngas) that then has the possibility of being
co-fired, these technologies have demonstrated effective at facilities in Europe, Asia, and
Canada. There are multiple configurations of gasifiers and pyrolysis systems, differentiated by
the use of wet or dry feed, gas flow direction, and use of air or oxygen, and these systems are
capable of converting 70% to 85% of the carbon in the feedstock to syngas. Though versions of
these technologies have been used by the electric power industry to generate energy throughout
the world from fossil fuels for over the past 35 years, with nineteen gasification plants in the
United States,52 there are no gasification or plasma arc facilities utilizing MSW as a feedstock
currently operating in the United States.
Other technologies employing MSW for energy recovery include aerobic digestion, anaerobic
digestion, and chemical decomposition. In these methods of energy recovery from MSW, liquefied
and slurried waste feedstocks undergo biological and chemical processes, to be converted into
useful chemical feedstocks, fuels, oils, fertilizers, and other valuable products. Aerobic digestion
utilizes biological processes to decompose the organic fraction of MSW through the use of
microbes that thrive in oxygen-rich environments, producing stable solids that can be used as
agricultural compost. Similarly, anaerobic digestion occurs in oxygen-poor environments,
producing biogas and stable solids (also often used as compost). Through chemical decomposition,
waste is liquefied and processed to promote depolymerization, and ultimate outputs include fuels,
oils, and many chemical products. MSW digestion and decomposition processes have been used
throughout the world to process a wide variety of biomass feedstocks, though no facilities are
commercially operating in the United States to process MSW.
50
5-13
Figure 5-3
Waterwall furnace section53
Depending on the design, potentially half the heat generated from the burning waste is absorbed
by the waterwalls and the balance heats water flowing through the other components of the
boiler (evaporator, super heater and economizer), as shown in Figure 5-4, or heats the process air
via an air preheater.
53
5-14
Figure 5-4
Typical mass-burn waterwall system54
54
5-15
The off-gas exiting the boiler passes through an air pollution control (APC) system, where
pollutants are removed, and is discharged through a stack to the atmosphere. Waste is burned to
an ash, called bottom ash, in the furnace. Heat extracted from the waterwalls and the boiler
sections generate steam, which, in most facilities, is directed to a turbine generator for electric
power production. Waterwall systems generally have unit sizes of 200 tons per day (TPD) up to
750 TPD, and multiple units are used when higher waste disposal capacity is required. Much of
the equipment is field-erected requiring extended contracting schedules of 28 to 32 months.
5.5.1.1 Typical Mass Burn Technical Parameters
Mass burn waterwall systems are the most efficient of the mass burn technologies in terms of
waste burn-out and in energy generation. They have been built in unit sizes up to 750 TPD.
Through use of multiple units facilities can be built to handle 3000 TPD or more (such as the
four-750 TPD unit plant located in Fairfax County, Virginia). Depending on final design
configuration, typical waterwall boilers operate in the range of 700 to 860 psig and operate at
temperatures in the area of 700 to 830F. Facilities operating at these pressures and
temperatures can generate approximately 680 and 2,000 MWh of electricity each day, through
the use of condensing steam turbine generators. Each facility is coupled with air pollution control
(APC) equipment, including activated carbon injection systems for the reduction of mercury and
dioxins, Ammonia injection, flue gas scrubbers with lime injection, fabric filter baghouses for fly
ash collection, and continuous emissions monitoring (CEM) systems, among other facilityspecific controls.55
5.5.1.2 Mass Burn Experience and Vendors in the United States
No new greenfield mass-burn WTE facilities have been built in the United States for more than
twenty years, although recently there have been several new procurements and expansions of
existing facilities to add additional units. Also, there have been acquisitions where ownership
and operator changes at certain existing facilities have changed. As a result, the majority of firms
associated with mass-burn WTE are either operators or owners/operators of existing facilities. As
shown in Table 5-8, Covanta and Wheelabrator own and operate the majority of privately owned
mass-burn WTE facilities.
55
5-16
Owned
Operated
14
30
10
16
Public
28
Other
Total
54
54
Some of the mass burn facilities were designed by American firms with their proprietary
technology, such as Detroit Stoker, Combustion Engineering (now Alstom), and Babcock &
Wilcox, but the majority of these existing systems are of European grate design. The two leading
suppliers of WTE grate systems in the United States and overseas are The Martin Company of
Germany and Von Roll of Switzerland, represented in the U.S. by Covanta and Wheelabrator,
respectively.
Although there were no WTE facility procurements in the United States throughout the late 20th
and early 21st centuries, there have been recent expansions and procurements for new facilities,
which indicates a re-emergence of these facilities and the positive environmental impacts they in
comparison to those of a landfill. Table 5-9 summarizes the recent expansions and procurements
of new facilities in the North America. Although the U.S. market may have been stagnant,
throughout this same time period the demand for these facilities has increased in Europe and in
Eastern Asia. European and Japanese technology suppliers are actively marketing their systems,
and they have been consistently improving both their energy production and environmental
performance. The waterwall technology is mature and is used more than any other for large WTE
facilities in the United States and overseas.
5-17
Location
TPD
Status
Expansion1
Hillsborough County Resource Recovery
Facility
Florida
600
Operating
Florida
630
Operating
Hawaii
900
Under construction
Minnesota
200
Operating
Maryland
1,500
Florida
3,000
Ontario, CN
470
New Procurements
Note: 1. Tons Per Day (TPD) represent only the expansion capability, not the overall facility processing capabilities
5-18
Figure 5-5
Typical modular combustion system
Source: Consutech Systems; Richmond, VA
A major advantage of this system is operations in the primary combustion chamber occur at substoichiometric airflows, creating more of a pyrolysis type of operation. With less air, the fans can
be smaller and the chamber itself can be smaller than with other systems. Also, with less air
flow, high and uniform temperatures, and turbulent mixing of gases throughout the second
chamber, less particulate matter (soot) and organic contaminants enter the gas stream, resulting
in the air pollution system being sized for a smaller load. The off-gas exiting the boiler then
passes through an the APC system, much like the waterwall boiler, though what is required to
process and treat the off-gas may be less extensive than what is needed in the case of a waterwall
boiler system.
These systems are referred to as modular systems, because they are factory built and can be
brought to a site for final assembly of the modules and set up in a relatively short period of time,
for example, 18 to 24 months. Multiple units, or modules, are used to process larger amounts of
MSW. They are less efficient than waterwall units in waste burnout and in energy generation and
when 24/7 operation is required, are typically built in unit sizes of 120 to 150 TPD. Through use
of multiple modular Enercon refractory-lined modular combustor units, facilities such as
Pittsfield Resource Recovery Facility in Pittsfield, Massachusetts; Pioneer Valley Resource
Recovery Facility in Agawam, Massachusetts; and Covanta Wallingford Energy-from-Waste in
Wallingford, Connecticut are each able to process between 240 and 420 TPD of MSW. The
Pittsfield Resource Recovery Facility produces more than 400 million pounds of steam at 220
psig/ 540F and 3.5 million KW of electricity annually, whereas the Pioneer Valley and
Wallingford facilities produce 9.4 MW and 11 MW of electricity, respectively, through the use
of condensing steam turbine generators, achieving temperatures and pressures as high as 750F
and 700 psig. Modular facilities are coupled with APC systems that are similar to mass burn
facilities, and include activated carbon injection systems for the reduction of mercury and
dioxins, flue gas scrubbers with lime injection, fabric filter baghouses for fly ash collection, and
continuous emissions monitoring (CEM) systems, among other facility-specific controls.56
56
5-19
Modular systems are also used for smaller WTE facilities and industrial applications. There are
only a small a number of American firms supplying such systems in the United States, and are
competitive in overseas markets as well. The more active of these suppliers are Consutech
Systems (formerly Consumat) of Richmond, Virginia; Enercon Systems, Inc. of Elyria, Ohio;
and Basic Environmental Engineering of Chicago, Illinois. They have each been supplying
smaller-scale incineration systems for MSW and other wastes for more than 25 years. As shown
in Table 5-10, most of the modular units in service today are publicly owned and operated.
Table 5-10
Operating modular system facilities and vendors
Entity
Owned
Operated
Public
Other
Total
12
12
5-20
approximately 10% RDF to coal by mass of incoming feed.58 Of the 49 proposed biomass
facilities and proposed expansions of existing facilities, two are planned to co-fire biomass
feedstocks (both woody biomass). Although not planned to co-fire with coal, one facility will
utilize MSW, however no facilities are planned to utilize RDF. Table 5-11 provides an overview
of the facilities co-firing with coal.
Table 5-11
Biomass power facilities co-firing with coal
State
Biomass
Feedstock
Installed
Capacity (MW)
Cofiring
Biomass
w/Coal
SD Warren Westbrook
ME
Forest residue
65
Yes
MN
Mill residue,
forest residue
26.5
Yes
ML Hibbard
MN
Mill residue,
forest residue,
railroad ties
72.8
Yes
IA
RDF
10
Yes
VA
Wood waste
585
Yes
LA
Woody biomass
585
Yes
HI
Woody biomass
24
Yes
WI
MSW
No
Facility Name
Existing Facilities
Planned Facilities
5-21
Figure 5-6
Simplistic RDF processing facility
Other configurations may include additional separating equipment, or may not use any trommels,
but the RDF generated is always shredded, so that it is capable of being blown into a furnace.
Although results vary with the processing configuration and unless more aggressive materials
recovery is desired as part of the RDF processing system, in general about 80% of the incoming
MSW stream is converted into RDF for the thermal process. With more aggressive materials
recovery processing for cardboard, plastics, ferrous and non-ferrous metals, and inerts recovery,
the RDF fraction could be 50% to 60%.
For illustration purposes, Figure 5-6 shows that the RDF produced is blown into the furnace from
the left, above the grate. What does not burn in suspension (above the grate) will burn on the
grate, and the hot gases generated will pass through a waterwall section and then a boiler section.
This system is similar to the mass-burn waterwall facility except in the nature of waste charging
and burnout.
An overview of the RDF process is given in Figure 5-7.
5-22
Figure 5-7
Typical RDF combustion facility
Source: Energy Answers Corporation
5-23
An advantage of this RDF production system is the removal of metals and other recoverable or
inert materials from the waste stream. Although not all these facilities include this step in the
RDF processing line, those that do can realize revenue from the sale of recovered metal. For
instance, at the North County Resource Recovery Project in West Palm Beach, Florida, the
nominal 3,000 TPD RDF processing facility removed and sold over 36,000 tons of ferrous
metals in 2004, which represented over 3 percent of the weight of the incoming waste stream.
With the removal of non-combustibles, the specific heat content per pound of RDF can be
increased by 10% over the original MSW, with the ash and moisture content also reduced, as
shown in Table 5-12.
Table 5-12
Comparative fuel properties of RDF
Type of Fuel
Moisture
Content (%)
Ash
Content (%)
RDF
12,000 to 16,000
5,160 to 6,880
15 to 25
10 to 22
Coal
21,000 to 32,000
9,030 to 13,760
3 to 10
5 to 10
MSW
11,000 to 12,000
4,730 to 5,160
30 to 40
25 to 35
When RDF is combusted in existing utility boilers, it is often fired in one of two boiler
configurations, suspension fired boilers or semi-suspension (stoker) boilers. For use in
suspension firing boilers which may have no bottom grates, RDF must be finely processed,
usually below 0.75 inch, greatly increasing the cost of RDF production. Alternatively, the
installation of dump grates at the bottom of furnaces if size reduction cannot be performed
effectively to achieve an acceptable burnout. Although semi-suspension firing, where RDF is
much coarser (and can be of sizes up to six inches) does not always introduce the same
requirements for boiler alteration or increased processing, many potential RDF users have found
challenges to storing, handling, and feeding RDF of this size. As a result, several RDF users have
opted to pelletize or dandify RFD as an alternative to using it in its loose fluff form.
5.5.2.2 RDF Fluidized Bed
For fluidized bed combustion, MSW is shredded to less than 4 inches mean particle size using an
RDF process similar to that previously described to produce the fuel. The RDF is blown onto a
bed of sand at the bottom of a vertical cylindrical furnace, as shown in Figure 5-8.
5-24
Figure 5-8
Fluidized bed
Source: Energy Products of Idaho, Coeur dAlene, ID
Hot air is also injected into the bed from below, and the sand has the appearance of a bubbling
fluid as the hot air agitates the sand particles. Moisture in the RDF is evaporated almost
instantaneously upon entering the bed, and organics burn out both within the bed and in the
freeboard, the volume above the bed. Steam tubes are embedded within the bed and a transverse
section of boiler tubes captures heat from the flue gas exiting the furnace; an Energy Products of
Idaho (EPI) system is shown in Figure 5-9. EPIs fluidized bed system in La Crosse, WI
(owned/operated by Xcel Energy) is fueled by RDF and hogged waste wood. By permit, this
facility has a fuel mix of 50% RDF and 50% wood by Btu content. The plant was first fired with
RDF in 1987 and the La Crosse County-Xcel agreement, initially for 20 years, has been extended
through 2023. It consists of two 14-MW units, and approximately 73,000 tons per year (TPY) of
MSW is processed into RDF on-site by Xcel Energy. The wood is procured from a nearby thirdparty processor. The Xcel Energy boilers operate at 450 psig/750F.
Figure 5-9
Typical RDF fluid bed system
Source: Energy Products of Idaho, Coeur dAlene, ID
5-25
Fluid bed incineration is more efficient than grate burning-based incineration systems. The fluid
bed is very effective in waste destruction and requires less air flow than mass-burn or modular
systems. The fluid bed, however, does require relatively uniform sized material and removal of
certain slagging materials, therefore RDF preparation is necessary. It is required for operation of
the fluidized bed, not, as with the above systems utilized due to the inherent benefits associated
with materials recovery.
An RDF/gasification/incineration technology, similar to that described earlier, is manufactured
by Ebara Corporation of Tokyo. Ebara has four such systems in operation for MSW and
industrial wastes in Japan, ranging in facility size from 185 TPD to 460 TPD. Its version of the
fluid bed system described previously is called a fluidized-bed gasifier, illustrated in Figure 5-10.
Figure 5-10
RDF fluidized bed gasification system
Source: Ebara Corporation, Tokyo, Japan
The fluidized-bed gasification system exports a burnable gas. RDF is first prepared using a
process similar to the ones illustrated in Figures 5-6 and 5-7. The RDF (called Wastes in
Figure 5-10) is then charged into the fluid bed and the gases generated are directed to a
combustion chamber with molten slag dropping out to a water-cooled sump. The molten slag
solidifies into a glass-like material that can be used as a construction material or fill. Heat from
the gas fired in the combustion chamber is captured in hot water tubes in the boiled to generate
steam which can be used for electric power generation. Without the generation of a usable gas
stream, and with the necessity of a combustion chamber for gas burnout, this system is an
incinerator.
5-26
Owned
Operated
Xcel Energy
Public
Other
Total
15
15
Equipment used in RDF/stoker and suspension firing boiler technology is adapted from
equipment provided in coal-fired electricity generation plants, and there are many established
U.S. system and equipment suppliers, such as Foster Wheeler, Riley Power Inc. (a Babcock
Power Inc. company, formerly Riley Stoker Corp.), and Babcock and Wilcox. Some of the
earliest 100 percent fired RDF-boiler systems were installed in the late 1970s through early
1980s by Combustion Engineering, Inc. (now Alstorm). These units in Detroit, Honolulu, and
Hartford, CT are still in operation.
There are several RDF/fluid bed systems operating in Europe (particularly in Scandinavia, where
a number of fluid bed incinerator manufacturers are located). In the United States, fluidized bed
combustion using RDF as a fuel include French Island, WI, owned and operated by Excel
Energy of Minneapolis and Tacoma Washington Municipal Utility. The equipment was supplied
by Energy Products of Idaho in Coeur dAlene, the only U.S. firm currently manufacturing fluid
bed furnaces for RDF firing. Other U.S. firms, Foster Wheeler, Babcock & Wilcox, and others,
have provided fluidized bed units utilizing coal, rice hulls, and other feedstocks.
5.5.3 LFG Utilization Technologies
The concern for the release of methane into the earths atmosphere from MSW landfills has
drawn the attention of regulators and landfill owners/operators in the United States and
internationally for more than 30 years. LFG generation starts from the time when waste is first
put in place and continues for 20 or more years after the landfill is closed. Landfills today
generally need to have active gas collection and control system (GCCS) to control odors and
comply with increasingly more-stringent air-quality regulations. A simplified LFG collection
system is depicted in Figure 5-11.
5-27
Figure 5-11
Simplified landfill gas collection system
Source: USEPA
The number of landfills with a GCCS has increased significantly due to the requirement for
landfills to have a Title V operating permit, and the need for landfill operators to comply with
other air permitting rules and regulations. The USEPA reports that there are about 2,300
landfills59 currently operating in the United States.
There are about 560 LFG energy projects listed as partners with the USEPA in the Landfill
Methane Outreach Program (LMOP), and about 500 other landfills with the potential to turn
their landfill gas into energy. Table 5-14 shows a summary the number of projects and types of
conversion technology, for the projects participating in LMOP. Many more MSW landfills
actively collect and combust LFG with flare system to reduce odors, and maintain compliance
with state and federal regulations. Sites with a consistent gas quality and quantity represent
potential opportunities for recovering energy.
Table 5-14
Summary of LMOP projects, by conversion technology
Conversion Technology
Number of Projects
Comments
Electricity Generation
407
Direct Heat
129
LFG to Pipeline
24
Total
560
The three most common options for converting LFG to energy are (1) electricity generation,
(2) direct heating and use by an industry, and (3) treated LFG to a pipeline. The feasibility of
these projects depends on the market value of the product generated, LFG quality and LFG
quantity. These options are described in the following text. As more landfills construct and
operate collection systems, the opportunities for recovering energy from LFG have also increased.
There is a dual benefit in using LFG to produce usable energy because greenhouse gas emissions
are reduced and the need to use nonrenewable sources of energy, such as coal, oil and natural gas,
is reduced.
59
5-28
Figure 5-12
Landfill gas collection and electricity production layout
Source: Enerdyne Power Systems
There are several different technologies used to convert the energy from LFG, including internal
combustion (IC) engines, turbines, micro-turbines, and fuel cells. Table 5-15 presents several
examples of LFGTE projects of varying sizes. As represented here, sites with relatively small gas
flows typically use micro-turbines. Sites with relatively high gas flows have the option to use
either steam turbines, which can combust gas at a high flow rate, or several IC engines.
60
5-29
Location
Grove City, OH
Generating Capacity
300 KW
Micro-turbine
Prince William, VA
1.9 MW IC Engines
0.7 mmscfd
Willard, MO
1.58 mmscfd
Orlando, Orange
County, FL
12.4 MW
Newport Beach, CA
Whittier, CA
Steam turbine
21.0 MW
Steam turbine
50 MW-Steam turbine
5.76 mmscfd
7.0 mmscfd
33.1 mmscfd
The majority of LFGTE projects use IC engines produced by companies such as Caterpillar or
GE Jenbacher. The evaluation presented in this report will use the IC engine technology as an
example project. One of the most common sizes of an IC engine is the 1MW unit. An engine
with this rating needs about 500 scfm of treated LFG to operate at full generating capacity. he
combination of a gas processing unit, an IC Engine, the generator and a transformer is commonly
called an engine/generator set. Figure 5-12 shows a schematic diagram of gas extraction from a
landfill, gas processing to remove moisture, the engine/generator set and electrical connection to
the power grid. During the development of an LFGTE project using IC engines, it is necessary to
evaluate the historical deposition rate of the MSW, the gas flow rates over time and select an
engine type and size that is suitable for the gas flow rate. A picture of a typical IC
engine/generator set is shown on Figure 5-13.
Figure 5-13
Typical LFG engine/generator set
Source: Caterpillar EnginesSuffolk, VA project
5-30
Gas flow rates on landfills vary over time. Depending on gas flow rates, it is common to develop
a project where multiple units are installed. Using a modular or incremental approach, the
amount of electricity produced can be adapted to changes in gas flow rates. Once a project is
established, additional engines can be added as the gas flow rates increase. Similarly, IC engines
can also be removed as flow rates decrease. For example, three 1-MW Jenbacher units were
initially installed at the Winnebago County Snell Road Landfill in 1999. Thereafter in 2007, a
1.06-MW combined heat and power (CHP) unit was installed.
When using LFG in an IC engine to generate electricity, LFG must be processed or treated to
remove water, particulate matter and other trace constituents. The extent of processing depends
on the type of engine used to burn the LFG. Figure 5-12 shows a moisture separator at the inlet
side of the LFG extraction blower. It is common practice to pre-treat LFG by flowing it through
a moisture separator built into the LFG collection system. Additional GCCS treatment may need
to be done to generate gas suitable for certain engines depending on the manufacturer. Figure 512 shows the gas flowing through a condenser and chiller before entering the engine generator
set for conversion to electricity.
The gas treatment process is done to remove water and other impurities. This process involves
compressing and cooling the LFG, as shown in Figure 5-12. Particulates and other trace
constituents such as hydrogen sulfide (H2S), non-methane organic compounds (NMOCs), and
siloxanes that cause silicate deposits in engines are partially removed during the treatment
process. Certain engines need cleaner fuel than others. The decision to select a certain type or
manufacturer of an IC engine is based on weighing the cost of replacement and maintenance that
would need to be done, as compared to the cost for doing additional treatment of the gas.
5.5.3.2 LFG as Direct Heat Source
When an industry utilizing natural gas or other non-renewable fuels in its manufacturing process
is located near a landfill, LFG may be sold to that industry to offset their need for other
traditional fuel sources. LFG can be used as a direct heat source in a boiler, dryer, kiln,
greenhouse or other thermal application. LFG can also be burned and used to evaporate leachate.
LFG is being used as a heat source in the auto manufacturing, chemical production, food
processing, pharmaceuticals, cement and brick manufacturing, and consumer electronics
industries.
When selling gas for use in a direct heat application, the gas must be pretreated at the landfill to
remove water and other trace constituents. As shown in Figure 5-12, pre-treatment in a moisture
separator is done as part of the LFG collection system. Because the pre-treatment only removes part
of the water and other constituents, additional processing or treatment of the LFG is usually required
to make it suitable for use. The treatment process generally involves compressing and dehydrating
the LFG, as shown in Figure 5-14. It is also necessary to remove H2S and volatile organic
compounds (VOCs), which is accomplished with this treatment process. Figure 5-15 shows a picture
of an LFG compression system designed to compress, clean, and deliver processed gas to an end
user at a specified pressure and quality. This type of unit can also be adapted to remove CO2 to
increase the heating value of the gas.
5-31
Figure 5-14
LFG cleaning diagram with CO2 wash
Source: Acrion Technologies, Inc.
Figure 5-15
Landfill gas compression and cleaning unit
Source: Lectrodryer, LLC
The size of a direct-heat source project depends primarily on the amount of gas generated at the
landfill, and secondarily on the amount of gas the industrial end-user is willing to accept. The
overall project involves cleaning the gas, compressing the gas at a facility located on the landfill,
and introducing the gas into a pipeline that connects the landfill to the industry. After the gas has
been collected and treated at the landfill, it is compressed and injected into the pipeline so it
meets the pressure specified by the end-user when it arrives at the point of discharge at the
industry. It is usually necessary to construct the pipeline connect from the landfill to the industry
as part of the overall project. The USEPA reports that there are about 129 landfill projects61 in
the United States where treated LFG is delivered to industries that burn the gas in their own
boilers or other similar heating devices. A list of several example direct heat projects is presented
below in Table 5-16.
61
5-32
Because the flow of LFG is relatively constant throughout the day, industries often use the LFG
to keep their boilers or other heating units warm during times when production is not at full
capacity. The treated LFG can provide a low-cost source of energy that flows at a relatively
consistent rate.
Table 5-16
List of representative direct heat projects
Project Name
Location
Project Type
Madison, WI
Alternative Fuel
0.028 mmscfd
Suffolk, VA
Industrial Boiler
1.0 mmscfd
Fort Bend, TX
Industrial Boiler
4.32 mmscfd
Bordentown, NJ
Greenhouse
0.216 mmscfd
Location
Project Type
Fort Smith, AR
3.3 mmscfd
Church Hill, TN
1.44 mmscfd
Maple Valley, WA
10.6 mmscfd
62
63
5-33
Once the treated gas has been processed to meet the pipeline companys specifications, it is
compressed and injected into the pipeline at a location approved by the pipeline company.
According to the definition for Pipeline Natural Gas in 40 CFR 72.2, the treated gas must have
at least 70% methane by volume or have a gross calorific value between 950 and 1100 Btu per
cubic foot, and contain less than 0.5 grains of total sulfur per 100 standard cubic feet of gas. The
extent of gas treatment needed on a project will depend on the pipeline companys required
specifications, and the quality and quantity of available LFG.
Payment for the gas is usually based on measurements of Btu. Some projects convert LFG to
either compressed natural gas (CNG) or liquefied natural gas (LNG) for use as fuel in trucks or
other applications where these types of fuel are needed.
5.5.4 Syngas Co-Firing and Hybrid Cycles
A combustible gas can be produced from organic compounds, including coal and those in solid
waste, directly through various processing systems. The resulting gas product is referred to as
syngas (from synthetic gas or synthesis gas) In the late 1800s, syngas was produced by the
gasification of coal for lighting and industrial use. During WWII, Germany produced large
quantities syngas from coal, which was further processed into diesel and aviation fuels. When
the feedstock used to produce syngas is recently living organisms or products made from them,
the syngas is termed biogas. The feedstocks, biomass, used to produce biogas include
agricultural residues, wood, solid waste and crops grown for feedstock, such as switch grass. It
can be directly produced from biomass feedstocks by a variety of methods and productions
techniques. Landfill gas, discussed in the previous section, is an indirect method of biogas
production from solid waste.
The current research and development activities are concentrated on the production of biogas
from biomass and/or solid wastes containing biomass. The focus on biomass for biogas
production is because it is carbon neutralthat is, the CO2 released in the biomass utilization is
recaptured in growing the biomass. Once produced, biogas can be used as an intermediate in
producing synthetic petroleum for use as a fuel or lubricant via the FischerTropsch process,
similar to what Germany did in World War II.
Biogas consists of a mixture of gases including methane, hydrogen, carbon monoxide, and
carbon dioxide. It varies in its energy density, from 50% of the energy density of natural gas to
15%, depending on the feedstock and the gas production technology. Biogas is combustible and
may be used as a fuel in internal combustion engines or as an intermediate for the production of
other chemicals.
The composition of biogas varies depends upon the nature of the feedstock and the production is
what produces LFG, which typically has an energy density, typically measured as Btu/scf, of
approximately half that of natural gas. Biogas is made up of a combination of gases, as shown in
Table 5-18.
5-34
Moisture or water is endemic to organic feedstocks and can cause difficulty in the production of
biogas. Also, the moisture produced in the gas production can become part of the biogas, which
reduces the energy density of the gas. Practical and cost-effective technologies to remove
moisture are available. In addition to moisture, biogas may contain a number of trace
constituents that cause problems in combustion systems including inorganic silicon-based
particles, tars, and low-melting-point metals such as aluminum and magnesium.
Table 5-18
Primary constituents of biogas
Compound
Chemical Symbol
Percentage Range
Methane
CH4
5575%
Carbon Dioxide
CO2
3045%
Carbon Monoxide
CO
Trace
Hydrogen
H2
01%
Nitrogen
N2
05%
Sulfur Dioxide
H 2S
12%
Water
H 2O
010%
Figure 5-16
Electrabel Plant, Ruien, Belgium
Source: Vergokan Group
Amergas in Amer, Netherlands has developed a gasifier, Lurgi design, firing demolition wood.
The biogas produced is co-fired in Unit 9 of EPZs Amer power station, which has a net capacity
of 600 MW and 350 MWth (Megawatt Thermal). The use of biomass saves the combustion of
70,000 TPY of coal. The biogas provides output equivalent to 29 MW, or 26 MW plus 15
MWth64 or about 5% of the facilitys energy. The power consumption of the gasifier is 0.75 MW.
The net efficiency of wood conversion is 34%, or 31% for electricity production and 18 percent
for heat in cogeneration mode. The product gas is cleaned before being fired in the existing
boiler, which has to comply with stringent SO2 and NOx-emission standards, as well as providing
a certified fly ash. Although Amergas started operations in 2000, several problems arose during
commissioning, with major modifications scheduled for completion by mid-2002. The capital
costs for the Amer gasification plant cost approximately $36.2 million (in 2000 US$).
The SilvaGas (previously FERCO) system for production of biogas was operated at 350 TPD dry
of wood at the McNeil facility in Burlington, Vermont, beginning in 1997, with the biogas
successfully co-fired in the wood combustion boiler. The initial work had US DOE funding but
additional support of full integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) implementation
(including gas cleaning and a new high efficiency gas turbine to replace the boiler) did not occur;
the existing plant proved to be uneconomic for electricity production, and was shut down in
2001. FERCO also failed to raise further capital with disputes between investors, and filed for
bankruptcy in November 2002. SilvaGas has planned several larger commercial plants for some
time (again only for heat and power production), but construction has not started.
64
5-36
In the United States, there is at least one project that have co-fired LFG in existing coal fired
boilers. The landfill gas is produced by anaerobic digestion and averages approximately 500 Btu
per cubic foot, after condensate removal. The Los Reales Landfill owned by the City of Tucson
produces LFG which is captured for co-firing. The LFG is transported to the Tucson Electric
Power, Sundt Generating Station via a 3.5-mile pipeline. It is co-fired in the Unit #4 boiler
replacing approximately 20,000 tons of coal per year.
Co-firing biogas can reduce the carbon footprint of an existing coal fired plant and will utilize
local biomass and waste materials. The gasification system will allow a facility to utilize local
carbon-neutral fuels and waste streams resulting in reduced environmental impact of the plant,
while meeting energy needs of the community. It provides the additional benefit of providing
disposal for those wastes used as feedstock for the biogas production.
Co-firing biomass via a gasification process holds great promise from an environmental
perspective. NOx, SO2, CO2, and heavy metals emissions can be reduced through displacement of
coal with cleaner biogas while improving the performance and reducing operational risk for the
existing boiler when compared to direct co-firing of biomass. In general the proposed solution
would represent a low cost alternative for NOx abatement with the incentives of green power
production when compared to other solutions available. Co-firing of biogas in existing coal fired
boilers has the advantage over the co-firing of RDF. These include a much lower tendency for
fouling and slagging and subsequent problems in the superheaters with the resulting drop in
efficiency. Also, by not introducing biomass ash into the boiler eliminates the problems
associated with ash removal and utilization. By co-firing of biogas produced from MSW and
other wastes, a number of problems related to deterioration of ash quality may be avoided.
5.5.5 Advanced Thermal Conversion Technologies
There are many technologies currently being proposed for the treatment and disposal of MSW
throughout the world. Most of these involve thermal processing, but some others comprise the
biological or chemical decomposition of the organic fraction of the waste to produce useful
products like compost or energy products, notably gas for downstream combustion or use as
chemical feedstock.
Thermal processing refers to a number of different types of technologies utilizing heat as the
mode of waste treatment. Currently there are more than 100 thermal processing firms, including
developers, offering gasification, pyrolysis, plasma arc, and anaerobic digestion technologies.
(Note: pyrolysis, or starved air combustion, was mentioned earlier in Section 5.5.1.3 associated
with smaller modular incineration systems.)
5.5.5.1 Pyrolysis
In pyrolysis, an organic waste, such as MSW, is heated without oxygen (or air), similar to the
generation of coke from coal or charcoal from wood. This generates a gas, char and inorganic
residue. The gas is burned out in a gaseous phase, requiring much less oxygen than incineration.
Metals, glass and other inorganic residues will usually melt at the temperatures within the
pyrolysis chamber and will be discharged as a black gravel-like substance, termed frit.
Advantages of this process are in the lack of air entering the chamber and the resulting smaller
size of system components. Without air, there is little nitrogen oxide generation, and low
particulate (soot) formation. There have been many attempts to develop this technology outside a
laboratory or a pilot plant.
5-37
In demonstrations in the 1970s, it was difficult to maintain a sealed chamber to keep air out, and
waste variability created problems in maintaining consistent operation. When the pyrolysis gas is
fired in a combustion chamber that is part of the system, the system is classified as an
incinerator, and facilities were required to obtain the appropriate permits as incinerators.
Between March 1975 and February 1977, the city of Baltimore utilized pyrolysis to process
30,000 tons of solid waste, but ceased operation after numerous unsuccessful attempts to achieve
even partial capacity sustained operation. The plant was redesigned and began operating again in
1979, and was finally closed in 1980, as its emissions far exceeded permit limitations.65 Through
the 1980s, permit requirements became continuously more stringent and while facilities were
able to install air quality control equipment at great expense to meet emission standards, the
byproducts of pyrolysis at that time could not be treated easily, and often were tested to be above
permit limits for low volatile metals. Although pyrolysis has been used throughout the world to
process a variety of feedstocks, including plastic wastes and biomass, and treatment methods
have been developed for byproducts, limited performance data is available for pyrolysis systems
that process hazardous wastes that may contain dioxins and PCBs and the treated byproducts
from hazardous waste pyrolysis may still require special handling and disposal.66 Currently, there
are no full-scale pyrolysis systems in commercial operation using MSW in the United States.
A 50-TPD pilot demonstration system began operating in southern California in 2005. Shown in
Figure 5-17, it was built and is operated by International Environmental Solutions (IES) of
Romoland, CA. The process shreds MSW down to a uniform size capable of feeding into the
thermal converter, or pyrolysis chamber. The pyrolysis gas generated is fired in a secondary
combustion chamber, or thermal oxidizer, and passes through a waste heat boiler for heat
recovery. Char drops out the bottom of the pyrolysis chamber for disposal or further processing
for recovery of metals and other constituents. Although this system is marketed as a pyrolysis
system, a combustion chamber is necessary for its operation (for destroying organics in the offgas) and the presence of this chamber classifies the system as an incinerator.
65
5-38
Figure 5-17
Process diagram of a pyrolysis system
Source: International Environmental Solutions, Inc., Romoland, CA
5.5.5.2 Gasification
Gasification is the heating of an organic waste, such as MSW, to produce a synthesis gas, syngas,
which consists primarily of hydrogen, carbon monoxide, carbon dioxide, and some trace
compounds. It varies in its heating value from 200 to 500 Btu per cubic foot. It can be used as
fuel or as feedstock or for production of other chemicals.
Whereas pyrolysis systems are primarily focused on waste destruction, a gasifier is designed
primarily to produce a usable gas. As shown in Figure 5-18, Thermoselect, a European firm
represented in the U.S. by Interstate Waste Technologies (IWT) of Malvern, PA, has developed a
system composed of 400-TPD modules processing MSW.
5-39
Wastes
Synthesis Gas
Production of
High
Temperature
Reactor
1,200C
Quench
Hydrogen
Methanol
Ammonia
or
Power
generation
Scrubber
Sulfur
Process water
treatment
Degassing Channel
Press
Clean water
Salt
O2
Homogenization reactor
Zinc Concentrate
2000C
1600C
Metals and
Minerals
Oxygen generation
facility
Figure 5-18
Typical gasification system
Source: Interstate Waste Technologies, Malvern, PA
Waste is fed into a gasification chamber to begin the heating process, first having been
compressed to remove entrapped air. Some oxygen, sufficient only to maintain the heat
necessary for the process to proceed, is injected into the reactor, where temperatures in excess of
3,000F are generated. At this high temperature, organic materials in the MSW will dissociate
into hydrogen, methane, carbon dioxide, water vapor, and so on, and non-organics will melt and
form a glass-like slag. The gas is cleaned, water is removed, and it can be used for power
generation, heating or for other purposes. The glass-like slag can be processed to remove metals
and used as fill, or as a building material for roads and the like.
Seven plants with IWT technology are currently operating in Japan, with at least two of them
firing MSW. The largest of these plants in Kurashibi has a reported furnace size of 200 TPD,
with three units of this size the plant is firing up to 600 TPD of MSW.
Another gasifier marketed for MSW is built by EnTech of Devon, England. It has constructed
approximately 20 of these facilities, which are in operation on MSW in Europe and Asia, many
of which are relatively small (less than 10 tons per day), with none designed for more than 70
TPD throughout. This system generates, in addition to a salable gas (synthesis gas, or syngas),
recyclable plastics and other potential revenue streams such as metals, sulfur and salt. As shown
in Figure 5-19, MSW is classified by a combination bag breaker and gravity separator process,
termed a Kinetic Streamer.
5-40
Figure 5-19
EnTech process schematic
Source: EnTech
In the EnTech system oversize materials, which are basically inorganic, are directed either to a
plastics recycler or a non-plastics recycling station, while the majority of waste (presumably
organic) is directed to a dryer to remove entrained moisture. The dryer utilizes the latent heat
inherent in the organic content of the waste to produce the heat necessary to drive the
gasification process. The syngas can be fired in a waste heat boiler for steam and subsequent
electric power production.
Two Canadian firms have advanced gasification. Enerkem, headquartered in Montreal, Quebec,
has an operating pilot gasification facility in Sherbrooke, Quebec, and a commercial
demonstration facility in Westbury, Quebec which began operation in 2009. Also, in 2008,
Enerkem signed an agreement with Edmonton, Alberta to build a 100,000 TPY facility, with
completion and commissioning scheduled for 2012. These facilities produce ethanol from the gas
using a thermal/chemical process. The Plasco Energy Group, which has a five-TPD research
facility in Spain, has operated a 100-TPD pilot plant in Ottawa, Ontario. Plasco received final
approval from the Ontario Ministry of the Environment to complete construction at a
400-TPD commercial facility for the City of Ottawa. The demonstration plant is in operation and
3600 tons of trash were processed at the facility in 2012. The final 400-TPD facility is scheduled
to be completed in 2016. Plascto was in agreement with CWMC in Red Deer, Alberta for a 200TPD facility, scheduled for completion by 2012, but this plan was scrapped because the city was
unable to guarantee enough trash to feed the plant.
5-41
Figure 5-20
Cross-section of a plasma arc furnace
Source: Westinghouse Plasma Corporation
Plasma is a collection of free-moving electrons and ions across a gas volume at reduced pressure.
The gas molecules, losing one or more electrons, become positively charged ions capable of
transporting electric current and generating heat when the electrons go into a stable state and
release energy similar to lightning in the atmosphere. Plasma can reach temperatures exceeding
7,000F. Molten slag generated by the process is about 3000F. The by-products of plasma
gasificationslag or glassy aggregate and metalsare similar to those produced in other hightemperature gasification technologies. As with other gasification technologies, plasma
gasification requires the pre-processing of the MSW feed to reduce the particle size before its
introduction into the plasma reactor. (Note: although Figure 5-20 indicates MSW enters in the
upper left side of the gasifier, the actual feedstock is similar to RDF.)
5-42
One of the primary drawbacks of plasma arc technology is the huge parasitic load of the plasma
torches. Therefore, the net electric output of the conversion process, if generating electricity for
sale from the system, would be substantially reduced. There are no commercial-scale plasma arc
facilities processing MSW in the United States, although several companies are marketing some
form of this technology and proposing facilities. There are three small plasma arc facilities
processing MSW and/or auto-shredder residue in Japan reportedly using the Westinghouse
plasma reactor. Few, if any of the plasma arc pilot facilities have been able to generate a fuel gas,
and air emissions have been found to be no better than conventional incineration systems.
5.5.6 Aerobic Composting
Composting is a natural process that depends on the action of microscopic organisms to break
down organic matter. Composting has been used for hundreds of years, if not thousands, to process
a variety of agricultural wastes. There are two types of micro-organisms that digest the organic
materials: aerobic and anaerobic. The first need oxygen or air to function and the latter work
without oxygen. There are five factors that influence the composting process: (1) moisture,
(2) oxygen or air, (3) temperature, (4) chemical balance of carbon and nitrogen and (5) particle size.
Large-scale mixed waste composting facilities are industrial plants that receive MSW and grind
the material in large shredders, and remove inert materials by screening and other processes. The
feed material is then moved to the composting vessel where the organic materials are digested by
the micro-organisms. The process and factors 1 through 3 above are controlled by computer.
After initial processing through the vessel, the resulting compost product is stored to cure and
then it is ready to be sold. Using California post-recycling waste composition data,67 it is
estimated that aerobic composting would reduce the waste landfilled to 25% of the initial feed.
There would be 43% recovered as compost and material products and 32% released to the
atmosphere as gases (mainly CO2 and water vapor). The products produced from MSW
processing facility include materials: ferrous metals, nonferrous metals, and various grades of
plastic, which are recovered in front end processing. Glass may be recovered or may be
pulverized and become part of the compost product. The compost product has a low economic
value and competes with peat moss as a soil conditioner.
There are several hundred mixed waste composting plants in Europe, both aerobic and anaerobic.
BioCycle reports68 that there are 13 MSW composting facilities operating in the United States, as
shown in Table 5-19.
In 1995, there were 17 MSW composting facilities operating in the United States.69 Of these
plants only three are currently operating. In 1995, the number of technology suppliers included
Bedminster, Danaco, Ryan/OTVD, Buhler and others. Large-scale plants with daily processing
capacities of 200 TPD or greater, were built in Portland, OR, Baltimore, MD, Miami, FL, Cobb
County, GA, Sevier County, TN, Sumter County, FL and Pembroke Pines, FL, all of which
failed for technical reasons, such as odor control, or financial difficulties. A key problem has
typically been that the quality of the compost being produced was lower than expected, which
reduced the revenues and made the projects too costly and/or non-competitive with other
available waste management alternatives.
67
Statewide Waste Characterization Study, California Integrated Waste Management Board, December 1999.
BioCycle Magazine, JG Press, Inc., November 2008.
69
Municipal Solid Waste Composting A Review, Gershman, Brickner & Bratton, Inc., for Solid Waste Association of North
America and U.S. EPA, April 1995.
68
5-43
The trend in composting seems to be toward segregating bio-wastes and then composting to
produce compost and/or biogas. In the United States, composting is used primarily to process
yard waste and sewage sludge (biosolids), and there are thousands of successful projects. These
are generally small units processing less than 10 dry TPD of biosolids, with two large facilities
processing more than 200 dry TPD.
5-44
State
Ownership/Operator
System
Throughput Tons/Day
(unless noted)
Gilroy
CA
Private/Z-Best Composting
350
Mariposa County
CA
Municipal
60
Cobb County
GA
Municipal
200
Marlborough
MA
Private/WeCare Environmental
1,500-2,000 tons/month
(with bio solids)
Nantucket
MA
Truman
MN
Municipal
In-vessel (OTVD)
65
West Yellowstone
MO
Municipal
40 peak/20 off-peak
West Wendover
NV
Municipal
Delaware County
NY
Municipal
Medina
OH
Municipal/Norton Environmental
Windrow
33
Rapid City
SD
Municipal
Columbia County
WI
Municipal
Rotating drums/windrows
80
5-45
Anaerobic digestion is a natural process where micro-organisms break complex organic molecules
into smaller ones and produces combustible biogas composed of methane and carbon dioxide as a
product. It has been applied to a variety of organic feedstocks including sewage sludge, animal
wastes and purpose grown plants. As applied to the processing of MSW, anaerobic digestion is a
treatment process where waste is first presorted and then fed into closed vessels. The control of the
process has several key factors including temperature, amount of moisture and number of stages
which determine the residence time to accomplish the digestion. Most common are high-moisture
processes. These use agitators, pumps, conveyors and other materials handling equipment, MSW is
hydrated and forms a slurry. Metals, glass and other constituents of MSW that have no affinity for
water are eventually discharged from the system into dedicated containers for recycling, further
processing or final disposal. The paper, garbage, soluble components,and the like generate black
water, which has a relatively high organic content. This stream is processed in a series of sealed
digesters without air where microorganisms break down the solids and generate gas containing
methane. The time in the chamber and the residence time will be sufficient to generate the gas. The
process is shown in the schematic in Figure 5-21.
Figure 5-21
Process flow for anaerobic digestion system
Source: Arrow Bio
When the moisture level is between 25% and 40%, the process is refered to as dry anaerobic
digestion. At this moisture level the prepared MSW feedstockinorganics removed and
shreddedcannot be pumped but is stacked in a closed vessel for digestion. The process is one
of plugged flow through a verticle or horiznotal vessel. The advantages of dry anaerobic
digestion is the facilities are compact and require low water and energy inputs.
All anaerobic digestions systems produce a residue at the end of digestion. This is composed of
mineral and non-organic material plus organic material that was not digested. Some organic
materials, such as lignin, do not break down in the anaerobic digestion process. This solid
residue has application as soil conditioners. Suitability would be determined by the analysis of
the residue which may have contaminents from the MSW.
This gas is rich in methane and other organics and can be burned as a fuel for heating or for
electric power generation. The solid residual from the digestion process is similar to compost and
can be used as a soil amendment. The process also separates out recyclable materials, such as
glass and metals. There are many such facilities processing sewage sludge, manure and other
homogeneous wastes.
5-46
Figure 5-22
ArrowBio facility in Sydney, Australia
Source: Arrow Bio
5-47
One form of chemical decomposition is used to break cellulose into sugars for fermenting to
produce ethanol. This is the hydrolysis process, of which two types have been applied to the
organic components of solid waste: acid hydrolysis and enzyme hydrolysis. They have also been
used in combination. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory developed and has operated
pilot processes, which have demonstrated technically feasibility. No production plants, however,
have been built to date. The city of Los Angeles received nine submissions for hydrolysis
processes, including those from Arkenol and Iogen, but no hydrolysis process was selected by
Los Angeles.
The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) is working to move cellulosic ethanol to commercial
production. In this effort, DOE selected six companies for demonstration grants in 2007,
including the following:
Abengoa Bioenergy Biomass of Kansas, LLC of Chesterfield, MOThe proposed plant will
be located in Kansas and will produce 11.4 million gallons of ethanol annually.
ALICO, Inc. of LaBelle, FLThe proposed plant will be in LaBelle, Florida and will
produce 13.9 million gallons of ethanol a year.
BlueFire Ethanol, Inc. of Irvine, CAThe proposed plant will be in Southern California and
will produce about 19 million gallons of ethanol a year.
Broin Companies of Sioux Falls, SDThe plant is in Emmetsburg, Iowa, and after
expansion, it will produce 125 million gallons of ethanol per year.
Iogen Biorefinery Partners, LLC, of Arlington, VAThe proposed plant will be built in
Shelley, Idaho and will produce 18 million gallons of ethanol annually.
Range Fuels (formerly Kergy Inc.) of Broomfield, COThe proposed plant will be
constructed in Soperton, Georgia and will produce about 40 million gallons of ethanol and
9 million gallons methanol per year.
INEOS New Planet BioEnergy Lisle, ILThe proposed plant will be constructed in Vero
Beach, Florida and will produce about 8 million gallons of fuel grade ethanol and 6 MW of
power.
These facilities plan to use a variety of cellulosic feedstocks including: corn stover, wheat and
rice straw, wood waste, green/yard wastes, and switch grass. Vereniums 1.4 million gallon per
year cellulosic ethanol plant in Jennings, LA is the nations first operating demonstration. It uses
bagasse and other wastes as feedstocks and received DOE funding.
Microwaves can be used as the external heat source for chemical decomposition or
depolymerization. Microwave systems have been built to decompose some special wastes,
particularly tires. Goodyear obtained a patent to de-vulcanize tires and built a facility in
Lincoln, NE to process in-plant scrap in the late 1970s. Several small units have been operated
5-48
Maturity
Mature
Mature
Note
LFG Utilization:
LFG to Electricity
Mature
Mature
LFG to NG Pipeline
Mature
PilotLab
PilotLab
5-49
In this chapter, the results of an engineering and economic evaluation of a representative power
plant firing MSW is presented. This evaluation includes a mass burn 25-MW (net output)
waterwall boiler with a moving grate, fired by typical raw (unprocessed) MSW.
5.6.1 The MSW Stream
MSW includes materials discarded by households, institutions (schools, libraries, prisons, and so
on), commercial establishments (stores, offices, etc.), and other members of society with,
increasingly, a significant amount of the recyclable materials removed. This amount varies from
community-to-community due to several factors. Although MSW is heterogeneous, it is possible
to establish a typical estimate of its characteristics that can be used for its evaluation. It is
assumed that white goods (refrigerators, washing machines, etc.) will be removed from the waste
stream and waste materials such as yard wastes (grass clippings, tree trimmings, dead leaves,
etc.) will be composted or otherwise recycled rather than being comingled with MSW. On this
basis, the analysis in Table 5-21 was developed, showing MSW as a fuel compared to coal, as
well as for RDF, discussed later in this report.
Table 5-21
Typical waste fuel parameters compared with coal
Unit
Baseline Coal
Illinois/Central
MSW @31%
Moisture2
RDF @25%
Moisture2
Btu/lb
12,000
5,300
5,700
Moisture
17.6
31
25
Ash %
8.9
16
9.6
Volatile Matter
36.4
44.2
54.6
Fixed Carbon
37.1
8.8
10.8
Total
100
100
100
Fuel Parameter
Heating Value
Proximate Analysis
77.4
39
47.9
Hydrogen
5.5
5.3
6.5
Nitrogen
1.1
0.4
0.3
Sulfur
4.8
0.2
0.2
Chlorine
Not detected
1.5
1.2
Oxygen
11.2
53.6
43.9
Total
100
100
100
5-50
Baseline Coal
Illinois/Central
MSW @31%
Moisture2
RDF @25%
Moisture2
Silica (SiO2)
41.7
50.5
56.3
Alumina (Al2O3)
20
18.2
20.1
Titania (TiO2)
0.8
Not detected
Not detected
19
12
Lime (CaO)
7.8
8.7
Magnesia (MgO)
0.8
0.7
0.8
1.6
5.9
6.6
Sodium (Na2O)
1.6
3.1
3.5
4.4
Not detected
Not detected
Undetermined
2.1
1.8
Total
100
100
100
Fuel Parameter
Ash Mineralpercent of ash
Sources:
1. Coal: Steam, Its Generation and Use, Babcock & Wilcox, 41st Edition, pp. 9-10.
2. MSW, RDF: Comprehensive Waste Characterization by Glaub, Savage, et al., Proceedings of the Eleventh
Biannual Conference of the ASME Waste Processing Division, p. 95.
5-51
2008
2009
Generation
254,980
251,020
242,960
63,090
61,750
61,270
21,710
22,100
20,750
84,800
83,850
82,020
170,180
167,170
160,940
31,970
31,550
29,010
138,210
135,620
131,930
2008
2009
Generation
100
100
100
24.8
24.6
25.2
8.5
8.8
8.6
33.3
33.4
33.8
66.7
66.6
66.2
12.5
12.6
11.9
54.2
54
54.3
Source: U.S. EPA, 2009 Municipal Solid Waste in the United States, Table 29
Notes:
1. Composting of yard trimmings, food scraps and other MSW organic material, and does not include backyard composting.
2. Includes combustion of MSW in mass burn or refuse-derived fuel form, and combustion with energy recovery of source
separated materials in MSW (for example, wood pallets and tire-derived fuel).
3. Discards after recovery minus combustion with energy recovery. Discards include combustion without energy recovery.
A mass-burn WTE facility converts waste into useful energy. The energy can be in the form of
heat, which can then be used to generate steam or steam and electricity, or it can be in the form
of a combustible gas, which can be used to supplement natural gas supplies. The majority of
WTE processes used in the United States today are direct combustion (incineration) technologies
and they offer several benefits when compared to land application, or landfilling, as discussed in
the following text.
5-52
WTE is immediate. Waste is processed within hours or days of its delivery to the facility. By
contrast, landfills are designed for the permanent deposition of MSW and its decomposition
over the years. Modern landfills are sealed from external influences, such as rainwater, and
the natural degradation of MSW is slowed, creating a potential source of leachate and
volatile off-gases that can contaminate water sources, create odor, and cause other safety
hazards.
WTE systems require a relatively small land area, allowing the facility to be located close to
the waste source. Landfills need many acres of land, making them unsuitable for locations
near population centers, resulting in longer trucking routes and associated safety and
pollution concerns.
By definition, WTE systems produce steam and/or electric power. They can be connected to
an existing electric power grid to generate revenue for the facility. Landfill gas can be
collected and used to generate useful energy, but a landfill typically has to be of a minimum
of 10 acres in size and must have been in operation for at least 8 to 10 years to generate
sufficient energy to make landfill gas recovery for energy production economical. After the
landfill has been filled, the quantity of landfill gas generation will decline over time until it is
exhausted. WTE systems will generate energy whenever they are charged with waste.
Modern air emissions control for WTE is effective and efficient. Troublesome pollutants
such as dioxins, nitrogen oxides, hydrogen chloride, heavy metals, and so on, can be
effectively removed from the flue gas before being discharged into the atmosphere. This also
includes nuisance emissions such as smoke and odor.
WTE systems are reliable, reflecting annual operating availability of some individual units
being up to 95%, and an overall system availability being approximately 90%. There nearcertainty not only that MSW will be disposed of, but also that power generation goals will be
met.
Ash from WTE systems is approximately 25% of the MSW by weight, and 10% by volume.
Where ash is found to contain troublesome pollutants, such as heavy metals in dangerous
concentrations, admixtures, such as Dolomitic lime (CaMg(CO3)2), are available that will
bind these constituents and render them harmless, allowing the ash to be disposed of in a
permitted landfill, or in some instances recycled as alternative landfill cover, road fill, cinder
blocks or other similar products. In some WTE facilities, the ash is processed through screens
and magnetic separation equipment to recover ferrous metals, and in some cases, non-ferrous
metals.
5-53
There are a number of issues with WTE plants that should be considered, including the following:
WTE requires skilled operators and maintenance personnel, with the same education and
experience as utility boiler operators and maintenance personnel, whereas a landfill labor
pool is predominantly equipment operators who operate the waste compaction equipment and
LFG fueling equipment.
Fossil fuel is required for WTE startup and in the rare instances where MSW is wet (waterlogged), requiring supplemental fuel to maintain operating temperatures for CO control.
At this time, the cost of disposal of MSW at a WTE facility is generally higher than at a
landfill in many parts of the country, which is one reason that WTE plants currently handle
only 12% of the MSW stream.
The capital cost of a WTE facility typically ranges between $220,000 and $300,000 per
installed daily ton of design capacity. Factors such as facility size and location are the driving
factors for the cost differences. Although landfills can be expensive, depending on their
location, in general, the capital cost of a WTE facility is higher.
More operators and other personnel (electricians, mechanics, other maintenance workers),
and with a greater level of skills, are required for WTE facilities than for landfill operations
of a similar daily capacity.
5-54
Figure 5-23
Simplified mass burn waste-to-energy facility schematic
5-55
Charging hopperWaste is dropped into the charging hopper by the crane. With a negative
pressure in the furnace, air will tend to leak into the charging hopper, and it is important to
keep the hopper full of waste. This amounts to a plug that prevents air flow that can
prematurely ignite waste before it gets into the furnace.
GratesA series of moving grates convey the MSW through the furnace. The first section of
grates serve to dry out the material. Burning will begin on the second grate section, when
sufficient moisture has evaporated from the MSW. After the volatiles in the MSW have been
released and burned out, the remaining combustible content of the waste burns out to an ash
on the third grate section. At the end of this section, the ash is dropped by gravity into an ash
quench.
Ash dischargeAsh residue from the MSW falls off the last grate segment and is water
quenched and transferred up an incline to an ash storage pit. Traveling up the incline, usually
on a drag-chain conveyor system, the Ash loses much of the quench water, which flows by
gravity back down to the quench pit for reuse. The ash pit is emptied on a regular basis, and
the ash is taken to a landfill for ultimate disposal. As noted earlier, at some WTE facilities
the ash is processed with screens and magnets for recovery of metals and/or further managed
for beneficial use. Beneficial use application usually requires that the ash test non-hazardous.
Off-gasGases released from the MSW pass through the waterwall section of the furnace
where they burn, generating temperature in excess of 1,800F. The waterwall is built of water
tubes and about half of the heat contained in the burning gas is absorbed in this area of the
furnace. The balance of the usable heat in the hot gas stream is removed in longitudinal
sections of the boiler, including the superheater and economizer. The gas is reduced in
temperature from 1,800F, or higher, to a temperature of less than 400F before exiting to a
gas cleanup system.
5-56
Unit(s)
Basis
NOx
(ppmdv)
205
HCl
(ppmdv)
29
SO2
(ppmdv)
80
CO
(ppmdv)
30
Mercury
(g/dscm)
44
Cadmium
(g/dscm)
27
Dioxins/Furans
(g/dscm)
29
Lead
(g/dscm)
100
Particulates
(mg/dscm)
40
Source: U.S. EPA Emission Standards FAR 40, Part 60, for Municipal Solid Waste Combustors, at 7% Oxygen
Carbon monoxideThis pollutant is not affected by the air emissions control system. It is
controlled in the burning process. With the proper temperature in the combustion chamber,
with sufficient air flow and with effective turbulence, carbon monoxide levels should be less
than the maximum allowable value
Hydrogen chloride and sulfur oxides (acid gases)The generation of these gases is based on
the amount of chlorine and sulfur in the waste. A reagent, usually lime, is injected into the
flue gas and will absorb these gases.
CDD/CDFThese are dioxins and furans, and along with mercury, they are controlled
through the addition of activated carbon injection into the flue gas stream. The activated
carbon will adsorb mercury, CDD/CDF, and other unburned organics on their surface,
removing them from the flue gas.
5-57
Particulate matter (PM), heavy metalsSome of the particulate matter and most heavy
metals (including cadmium and lead), will be adsorbed in the surface of the lime reagent
injected into the flue gas stream, as discussed above for acid gas control. A fabric filter
(baghouse) is normally included in the air emissions control system. This will remove
particles from the gas stream, including the spent lime and activated carbon reagents already
introduced into the flue gas.
Applying T-G efficiency: 6.596 0.97 = 6.801 lbs/ KWh actual steam rate
The critical parameters for process evaluation from the above calculation are 1,192 ton/day
(assume 1,200 tons/day) MSW, a total steam flow (212,531 lb/hr) and a net electrical generation
of 25 MW.
5.6.8 Facility Sizing
The WTE facility must operate continuously because it receives waste on a continuous basis.
Two units would be provided, each for half the design capacity. When one unit is down for
scheduled (or unplanned) maintenance, the other unit will be able to operate. For the indicated
capacity in this evaluation, two 600 tons/day units would be provided for the 1,200 tons/day
of MSW.
5.6.9 System Maintenance and Reliability
A waste-to-energy facility is designed to operate continuously, 24 hours per day, and except for
maintenance shutdowns, 365 days per year. Planned (scheduled) maintenance will require
approximately two weeks a year per boiler and will involve refractory inspections, tube
inspections, replacement of grate components and refractory sections, burner and boiler
maintenance. Unplanned maintenance can occur at any time, to repair boiler tubes, refractory or
moving parts within the grate system. The boiler will require two days for shutdown and another
two days to heat up to operating temperature, so unplanned maintenance, where access into the
boiler is necessary, will likely require at least a week of downtime.
5-58
With a total of two weeks scheduled outage per unit and an additional week of unscheduled
downtime, the availability of each WTE unit is approximately 94%. Planned maintenance is
usually done in the fall and/or winter when waste flows are lower. So, the facility will need to be
designed with enough storage capacity to accommodate waste receipts during the outage(s) or an
alternative method of disposal will need to be found for approximately 5% of the MSW the year.
An alternative to this is to oversize the facility to accommodate this expected downtime, which
can represent a significant increase in cost.
5.6.10 Mass Burn Process
As previously described, mass burning of MSW refers to the charging of refuse to the furnace
without pre-processing. It is charged as it comes off the truck except for the removal of white
goods (refrigerators, washing machines, etc.) and certain other large bulky items. As depicted in
Figure 5-24, 50 tons per hour of MSW is charged to the loading hopper of the furnace. With the
addition of appropriate combustion air, the MSW will burn out to 12 tons/hour of ash residue
which must be collected and removed for processing or for final disposal in a landfill. Overfire
air is injected into the furnace to burn off the gases generated by the waste combustion process.
The hot gases will release heat into the furnace boiler sections to generate over 300,000 lb per
hour of steam. The cooled gases will continue to an air emissions control system where all but
trace amounts of contained pollutants will be removed. The cleaned gas will be drawn through an
induced draft fan, then into the stack and discharged to the atmosphere, meeting the strict air
emissions regulatory requirements for the facility.
Steam from the furnace will be directed to a turbine generator for the generation of over 31-MW
of electric power. Extraction points along the turbine will discharge a low pressure steam supply
for feedwater heating and other in-plant use. In addition, some of the generated power will be
used for in-plant operations. The net power generation for sale is assumed to be 25-MW. The
turbine, a condensing turbine, will discharge through a condenser and condensate will be
returned to the steam cycle. Condenser cooling water is provided through a conventional cooling
tower on-site. Makeup water is required for losses in both boiler blowdown and cooling tower
evaporation and blowdown.
5-59
Figure 5-24
Waste-to-energy system schematic
5-60
Comment
Cranes
Compressors
The property size requirements for a 1,200-ton per day facility range between 5 and 10 acres.
Available traffic patterns play a key role in final site size needs. The site would typically be
located in or near a community capable of meeting the daily and annual feedstock requirements.
Once the general location has been identified, other setup factors include but are not limited to
proximity to major roads for waste vehicle access and egress; availability of utilities, including
natural gas, power and water; utility substation for the energy produced by the facility; and
applicable zoning laws and ordinances. In preparing the economic evaluation for the 25-MW
mass burn facility, we have assumed an 8-acre site at an estimated land cost $350,000 per acre.
As stated in the introduction, fixed and variable O&M costs for the mass burn facility evaluation
have been developed based on a generic location within the mid-Atlantic region of the United
States. Fixed and variable O&M cost categories are defined in Table 5-25.
5-61
Performance
1,200 TPD of MSW at 5,000 Btu/lb
Electric Power Output
Gross 31.5 MW
Net 25 MW
MSW moisture content is 30%
Operations Related
42 personnel at an average hourly rate of $26.40 are necessary to manage, operate,
and maintain the facility on a 24/7 basis.
The fringe benefits burden rate on all labor is 35% of the base salary.
A 10% overtime factor for all operations and maintenance staff is applied.
Ash transportation and disposal costs are assumed at $40 per ton.
Plant consumables and supplies are included.
Chemicals and reagents
Ammonia (assumed cost: $850 per ton)
Carbon (assumed cost: $1,700 per ton)
Utility costs have been included.
Purchased electricity at $70 per MWh
Potable water at $3.40 per 1,000 gallons
Mobile equipment and auxiliary fuel costs are included.
5-62
Maintenance
Annual maintenance costs have been developed per equipment manufacturer
recommendations or GBB experience
General
Management and overhead is included at 12% of the total O&M costs.
Insurance and property tax allowances have been included.
Rated Capacity
Plant size (units unit size), MW (net)
1 25
Gross capacity, MW
31.25
Net capacity, MW
Capacity factor, % (Net: Gross Power)
25
80%
Physical Plant
Plant life, Years
50
Scheduling
Preconstruction, license and design time,
Months
16.5
16.5
2012
5-63
$1,000
$/KW
$63,400
$2,536
24%
$10,000
$400
4%
Environmental controls
$17,500
$700
7%
$90,900
$3,636
34%
BOP Facilities
$27,700
$1,108
10%
$108,600
$4,344
41%
$136,300
$5,452
51%
$18,000
$720
7%
Contingency
$21,200
$850
8%
$39,200
$1,570
15%
$266,400
$10,658
100%
$11,606
$464
$278,006
$11,122
$26,644
$1,066
$304,600
$12,188
480.72
Variable, $/MWh
52.35
Performance/Unit Availability
Net plant heat rate, Btu/KWh (HHV)
Equivalent Planned (Scheduled) Outage Rate, %
4,000
4%
Mature
Preliminary
5-64
Base Case
Sensitivity
Case 1
Sensitivity
Case 2
5.00
6.00
4.00
54.88
54.88
54.88
52.35
52.35
52.25
20.00
24.00
16.00
44.31
44.31
44.31
Total3 ($/MWh)
131.54
127.54
135.54
54.88
54.88
54.88
52.35
52.35
52.25
20.00
24.00
16.00
52.48
52.48
52.48
Total3 ($/MWh)139.71
139.71
135.71
143.71
Notes:
1. Sensitivity cases assume the MSW fuel costs differential is based on a $1/MBtu change above and below the
difference between base case fuel cost. However, the actual difference between the cost of $3.40/MBtu and the
disposal fee charged to haulers of $5.00/MBtu is $8.40/MBtu.
2. Estimate of LCOE assumes an 80% capacity factor, 20-year project life, and constant dollars.
3. Sum of LCOE component values may not equal total value due to rounding.
3.54%
$388
3.77%
$460
Scenario
Note:
1. Fixed capital charge component of cash flow calculated by multiplying the LFCR by the total capital requirement.
The components of the annual fixed charge excludes charges associated with fixed O&M costs and includes estimates
for the amortization, depreciation, return on equity, income and property taxes, insurance, and other costs.
Evaluation: at a heat level of 10%, the equivalent input of 10% from RDF (25-MW as
co-fired refuse derived fuel with a heat content of 5,700 Btu/lb) and 90% coal (225-MW).
As previously described in this report, MSW can be processed to produce a feedstock typically
called RDF, which has improved properties for subsequent combustion and will also have other
advantages over directly firing MSW.
5.7.1 RDF Processing and Features
The processing of MSW into RDF is typically done for the following reasons:
Heat contentMany of the materials removed from MSW in preparing an RDF are
inorganic, such as metals, aluminum and glass. As a result, the net heating value of RDF is
usually higher than that of the original MSW. Where removal of plastics is also included in
the process, the increase in heat content would be less because plastics generally have a
relatively high heating value. Even in this case, the heat content (measured on a Btu/lb basis)
will not decrease because of expected high fraction of removed inorganic materials.
5-66
Inorganics removalLow melting point components of MSW (mainly glass and aluminum)
will tend to increase slagging during the combustion process, so removal of these materials
through RDF preparation will reduce the incidence of slag formation in the boiler. Also, ash
quantity will decrease.
Uniformity of fuel materialRDF processing creates a physically more uniform size product
which can be conveyed, blown, and fired in suspension, which would have been impossible
with the original MSW.
To be compatible with conventional power systems for co-firing with coal, the MSW must be
converted to RDF to allow it to be handled, conveyed, and fired in an effective manner.
5.7.2 RDF Production Technologies
RDF is a generic term for a variety of treatment options which can include any of the following
processes:
Basic: shred MSW and remove ferrous and non-ferrous metals from the shredded material
with magnetic and eddy current magnet systems.
Intermediate: use an automated bag breaker to open any plastic bags present, pass the MSW
through a trommel screen to remove glass and other very small and larger materials by
gravity (or screen size), shred the rest of the waste, and remove ferrous and non-ferrous
metals from the shredded material with magnetic and eddy current magnet systems.
Manual: use an automated or semi-automated bag breaker system to open any plastic bags
present, pass the MSW through a manual sorting line where identifiable and bulky
components of the waste are removed, pass the balance of the material though a shredder and
remove ferrous and non-ferrous metals from the shredded material with magnetic and eddy
current magnet systems.
Advanced: Pass the shredded material in any of the above options through an air density
separator (air classifier), optical sorting system, salt bath or other equipment to remove most
of the glass, aluminum and other metals and inorganics from the shredded waste.
There are a number of options within these examples depending on the ultimate size of the RDF
desired and the kinds of materials desired to be removed from the waste stream. In some
applications, double shredding (two shredders in series) is used to reduce the ultimate size of the
RDF more efficiently than with a single shredder.
Any of these treatment options will remove some level of inorganics from the waste stream (metals,
glass, ceramics, stones, and so on) Common, readily available equipment, such as shredders and
magnets in the Basic and Intermediate options noted earlier will reduce the inorganic content of
MSW to the range of 8% to 12%, but to get much above this range would require the air classifiers,
optical sorting systems, and other equipment as noted in the Advanced option.
The maximum size of RDF that can be fired reliably in suspension (noted below) is minus 2 inch
(maximum dimension of 2 inches); however, the smaller this size, the more efficient will be the
combustion process. Also, with a smaller size the ability to remove inorganics increases. Air
classification, for example, is much more efficient with smaller size materials. The cost of
processing RDF necessarily increases as the complexity of the process increases. The smaller the
RDF size, the less the inorganic fraction, the higher the heat content, but the more it costs.
5-67
5-68
Table 5-29 outlines typical heating values of waste and other materials.
Table 5-29
Typical heat content of waste and other materials
MSW (in England)
3,800-4,800
Btu/lb
4,000-5,500
Btu/lb
5,100
Btu/lb
5,700
Btu/lb
Hospital waste
6,000
Btu/lb
7,800
Btu/lb
8,000
Btu/lb
Coal
11,500
Btu/lb
Tires
13,800
Btu/lb
Fuel oil
18,750
Btu/lb
Note: 1. Maximum processing refers to the use of eddy current magnetic separation, air classification, screens,
drying and additional processing equipment stages in addition to the conventional shredding, trommel and ferrous
metal magnetic separation used for basic RDF production. Higher heat content RDF may not be available in all
locations but if a reliable supply is established, the per-ton cost of RDF compared to the advantages of higher
calorific waste would have to be evaluated on a case-by-case basis depending upon the boiler system to determine
cost effectiveness.
Melting point of glass: from 900F to over 2,500F depending on the type of glass and its
additives
5-69
Table 5-30 outlines the typical moisture and ash ranges for RDF, and the baseline coal, used in
this evaluation. RDF contains a slightly higher ash fraction than coal, which may increase
slagging.
Table 5-30
Moisture and ash percentages of RDF and coal
Fuel
Baseline Coal Illinois/Central Appalachian
RDF
Moisture, %
Ash, %
17.6
8.9
25
9.6
Sources: Portions of: Steam, its Generation and Use, Babcock & Wilcox, 41st Edition, pp. 9-10; Comprehensive
Waste Characterization by Glaub, Savage, et al, Proceedings of the Eleventh Biannual Conference of the ASME
Waste Processing Division, p. 95.
As discussed in the following section, some furnace systems can be designed to accommodate
the presence of most of these materials, with certain restrictions.
5.7.5 RDF Co-Fire Energy Generation and Feedstock
For the 250-MW (net) plant considered in this evaluation, with 20% power for internal use (250
MW 0.8 = 312.5 MW gross power generation), assuming steam generated at 825 psig and
850F with a turbine exhaust of 2.0 inches Hg, and a 97% turbine-generator efficiency:
Applying T-G efficiency: 6.597 0.97 = 6.801 lbs/KWh actual steam rate
With this PC boiler burning 12,000 Btu/lb coal with a typical equivalency of 9,000 net Btu/hr per
KW70 the following coal feed rate is required:
Using RDF for 10% (25 MW) of the heat capacity of the net 250-MW boiler, and with a net heat
content of RDF of 5,700 Btu/lb, equivalent to 562 KWh/ton71:
The two critical parameters for process evaluation from the above calculation are total steam
flow (2,125,312 lb/hr) for generating a net of 250 MW and 1,068 tons/day RDF with 10% of the
calorific requirement derived from the combustion from RDF.
70
71
5-70
RDF co-firing may reduce base facility operating costs for ammonia due to lower NOx.
Potential financial incentives or revenues, such as carbon credit sales, may be available to the
base facility for the RDF fired.
MSW is ubiquitous, although RDF may not be. RDF processing facilities can be built and
placed in operation in a relatively short time to process the MSW as the market requires.
There are no noticeable adverse effects on air emissions due to the addition of 10% RDF to
the power plant.
RDF has a very low sulfur fraction, decreasing the sulfur oxides footprint from a coal-fired
power plant.
RDF has a low nitrogen content compared to coal and will generate less NOx.
If the cost of RDF becomes uneconomical as a fuel, the boiler can return to 100% coal firing.
Firing RDF for power generation is a form of using a waste for the public good. It could be
expected to have a positive public relations impact, particularly on the local community.
Firing MSW/RDF for power generation will reduce the need for landfills or other disposal
facilities for this waste.
Modifications are required for the power plant, including additional equipment for RDF
receipt, storage and conveyance, additional burners, boiler tube re-routing, possibly a dump
grate in the boiler, and requisite RDF firing system controls.
Operators, and management, will have to deal with a completely different material than that
for which they are accustomed. RDF is a heterogeneous fuel that degrades over time and may
produce odor, it can be difficult to store long-term and may increase the potential for fire at
the facility.
Additional use of soot blowers may be required to minimize slagging and remove potential
accretions from increased particulate loading from RDF firing.
The quality of the fly ash from a facility firing RDF may be different from what is typically
seen in 100% coal firing facility, so the difference must be thoroughly understood before the
ash is utilized in process, such as a cement admixture.
As a different type of fuel and originating from MSW, it will require separate receiving and
handling, and may require separate environmental permitting.
5-71
Figure 5-25
Simplified system schematic
The RDF stream will have dedicated burners, firing concurrently in the existing boiler with the
existing PC burners. RDF has a higher ash content than coal, but at 10% input, the additional ash
should not require additional equipment in the gas stream. Soot blower operation frequency will
increase, and there will likewise be additional residual in the existing flyash hoppers.
If not already provided with the PC furnace, a dump grate would be desirable to increase the
combustion of the heavier fraction of RDF particles that will not burn in suspension within the
boiler freeboard.
The air pollution control system within the boiler facility must control pollutants from the
burning coal, and with the exception of chlorine, RDF combustion will generate essentially the
same categories of pollutants such as particulate, NOx and SOx. The reagent used for SOx control
(usually lime or a derivative product) would be sufficient to remove the hydrogen chloride from
the RDF combustion process.
As shown in Figure 5-25, a continuous emissions monitoring system is provided with existing
boiler systems. It would be desirable to add a hydrogen chloride (HCl) analyzer if not already in
place. This will monitor for HCl, which is not presently a major concern with coal burning plants.
5-72
RDF receiptThe RDF fuel will be delivered to the power plant by truck and weighed prior
to being off-loaded into the RDF storage system. Truck scales are assumed to already exist at
the plant.
RDF conveyance equipmentTrucks would unload RDF into a dedicated hopper, which will
convey it to an on-site storage/unloading hopper. From the storage hopper the RDF will be
conveyed and controlled into metering bins for charging the boiler.
Storage equipmentA live-bottom storage hopper for at least two days storage of RDF is
required. With an estimated density of 2-inch RDF of 405 pounds per cubic yard, and a daily
consumption of 1,100 tons, the storage requirement for one day is approximately
6,000 cubic yards.
Storage capacityFor two days storage, and applying a contingency factor of 25% to the
required volume, the storage bin would have an estimated storage capacity of 15,000 cubic
yards.
Boiler introductionThe RDF would be introduced into the boiler at three locations on each
of two opposing sidewalls, using three burners or nozzles each boiler wall, at approximately
slightly higher elevation then the existing PC burners. A typical RDF burner is shown
in Figure 5-26.
RDF burnoutMost of the RDF will burn in suspension in the boiler. Heavier portions of the
RDF, however, will drop to the bottom of the furnace, and a dump grate is advisable to
complete the burnout of this material. A typical dump grate is shown in Figure 5-27.
Boiler modificationsThe boiler wall tubes will have to be modified to provide for the
installation of the RDF burners, along with modifications to accommodate the installation of
the dump grate, if not already present.
ControlsThe RDF supply system must be integrated into the boiler fuel feed control
system. This requires a change in the existing fuel controls in addition to provision of RDF
measuring and metering equipment.
5-73
Figure 5-26
RDF burner
Source: B&W Steam 41st edition
Figure 5-27
Dump grate
Source: B&W Steam 41st edition, Chapter 29
5-74
Conveyor to storage
The largest equipment would be the live-bottom storage hopper, approximately 90 feet in
diameter by 90 feet high. RDF, because of its higher concentration of combustible materials and
its lower moisture content compared to MSW, represents a higher flammability danger than
MSW. This is an important factor in the design and selection of an RDF storage facility with
supplemental safety equipment, including fire detection instruments and fire protection
equipment included and integrated in the existing facility.
5.7.9 Performance Parameters
By limiting the RDF feed rate to 10% of the total heat input to the boiler, there should be
minimal effect of RDF firing on many of the existing systems and equipment as follows:
Fuel feedingCoal and RDF are charged into the furnace in completely separate feed lines.
Coal should be used to bring the boiler up to at least 50% of the rated load.
Boiler controlOnce the boiler is at or above 50% load, RDF can be introduced. Control of
boiler parameters should be switched to RDF for the base (constant) load with coal feeding to
vary with fuel demand.
Boiler unburned carbonRDF has a lower fixed carbon content than coal. The firing of coal
in the boiler, however, will likely be more efficient than firing of RDF because all of the coal
is fired in suspension while some of the RDF will not burn until it falls onto the dump grate,
which is a less efficient burning process. With these two opposing issues, it is likely that
there will be no, or negligible, change in unburned carbon due to RDF firing.
Boiler NOx generationCoal contains a higher percentage of fuel nitrogen than RDF, which
represents only a fraction of the total NOx generated. If there is a change in NOx generation,
there should be a decrease when firing with RDF.
Mercury (Hg) Coal contains a higher percentage of mercury than RDF, which represents
only a fraction of the total Hg generated. If there is a change in Hg generation, there should
be a decrease when firing with RDF.
5-75
Boiler slagging and foulingDepending on the amount of inorganics present in the RDF, it
is expected that there will be some additional slagging and fouling with RDF firing. Many of
the inorganics (aluminum, glass, etc.) will have lower melting and ash fusion temperature
than the fired coal, and it is likely to melt at boiler temperatures. This will require more
frequent use of wall and tube soot blowers with RDF than with coal alone. However, the
majority of these materials should be removed in the RDF production process.
Boiler corrosionAs noted earlier, at 10% RDF firing, there should be no significant
increase in boiler corrosion.
Ash characteristicsWith the majority of inorganics removed from the MSW stream during
the RDF production process, the majority of heavy metals, including mercury, should also be
removed. It is likely that the ash inorganic content, including heavy metals, will be no more
than what is currently in coal ash.
Air pollution controlThe control of SOx and particulate in a power boiler, although not
necessarily the preferred design for hydrogen chloride removal from RDF, will remove over
90% of the HCl generated by RDF combustion at the 10% RDF loading rate. Likewise,
particulate removal from the increased load expected from the RDF should also be satisfactory
without additional modifications from the existing control system. RDF contains less sulfur
than coal, and there should be a slight decrease in reagent requirement when firing it.
Continuous emissions monitoring (CEM) With relatively little chlorine or HCl in the gas
stream for a coal burning power plant, there has been no need for HCl monitoring in the
CEM package. As a recognized pollutant, however, and with chlorinated materials expected
in the RDF, HCl monitoring of the stack discharge would be necessary.
Out of serviceWhen the boiler is out of service it should be kept at a temperature above the
hydrogen chloride dew point. As shown in Figure 5-28, the acid gas dew point for HCl for
moisture concentrations to about 12.5% and HCl concentrations up to 1,000 PPM is 60C
(140F). Although the amount of HCl is very low at 10% RDF firing, there will be some HCl
in the flue gas, and deposited on boiler walls and tubes. If allowed to remain at a temperature
below the HCl dew point for even a few days, hydrogen chloride can form and would be very
destructive to any steel surfaces within the equipment.
Fly ash and bottom ashRDF has a higher ash content than coal, as shown in Table 5-30.
The ash quantities are expected to increase slightly to reflect the additional ash in the
RDF feed.
5-76
Figure 5-28
Hydrogen chloride dew point72
Source: Anti-Corrosion Methods and Materials, Vol. 51, 3 (2004, W.M.M. Huijbregts, R. Leferink)
Boiler deratingBoiler derating is not required. It would be necessary if the feed would
create a severe problem such as excessive slagging for a particular feed rate, but this is not
expected with only 10% RDF fraction, and with many inorganics removed from the RDF
stream (inorganics are the main source of furnace slagging).
Air emissionsAs previously noted, emissions due to RDF firing are not expected to have a
significant impact on overall emissions from a coal fired plant that is equipped with a modern
air pollution control system. Specifically, note the fate of some of the major pollutants
expected in a power plant firing coal and RDF:
72
Sulfur oxides: RDF has little sulfur, less than coal. Less sulfur oxides are generated from
the burning of RDF than the burning of coal.
5-77
Heavy metalsWith the majority of inorganics removed from the MSW stream when RDF
is produced, the majority of heavy metals, including mercury, should also be removed. Of the
remaining inorganics, it is likely that they will amount to no more than what is found in the
fired coal stream. The systems and equipment for emissions control in a coal plant, generally
reagent with a bag house or electrostatic precipitator, will remove any heavy metals brought
to the combustion chamber with the RDF.
Nitrogen oxidesNitrogen oxides are generated through thermal NOx (formed as a function
of temperature and oxygen present in the combustion air stream), fuel NOx (a function of the
amount of nitrogen in the fuel) and prompt NOx (from hydrocarbon compounds within the
feed). Thermal NOx will comprise the greatest fraction of NOx produced, but it is a function
of temperature. The greater the temperature the greater the NOx; however, the temperature
within a coal burner is higher than that of a RDF burner. Less thermal NOx will be generated
through RDF firing than coal firing.
Particulate matterIt is possible that RDF will generate more particulate matter during
combustion than coal because most of the coal particulate will be captured in the molten ash
generated in a PC burner whereas the geometry of an RDF burner will not provide the same
absorption mechanism. With 10% RDF burning, it is likely that additional ash will be
generated than 100% coal burning, and this will lead to additional service for the wall and
tube soot blowers. Once past the boiler and economizer tube banks, the majority of any
particulate remaining in the flue gas stream should be removed by the air pollution control
system.
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Baseline Coal
Illinois/Central Appalachian
Btu/lb
12,000
5,700
Moisture
17.6
25
Ash %
8.9
9.6
Volatile Matter
36.4
54.6
Fixed Carbon
37.1
10.8
Total
100
100
Fuel Parameter
Heating Value
Proximate Analysis
77.4
47.9
Hydrogen
5.5
6.5
Nitrogen
1.1
0.3
Sulfur
4.8
0.2
Chlorine
Not detected
1.2
Oxygen
11.2
43.9
Total
100
100
Silica (SiO2)
41.7
50.5
Alumina (Al2O3)
20
18.2
Titania (TiO2)
0.8
Not detected
19
12
Lime (CaO)
7.8
Magnesia (MgO)
0.8
0.7
1.6
5.9
Sodium (Na2O)
1.6
3.1
4.4
Not detected
Undetermined
2.1
1.8
Total
100
100
Sources: Steam, Its Generation and Use, Babcock & Wilcox, 41st Edition, pp. 9-10; Comprehensive Waste
Characterization by Glaub, Savage, et al., Proceedings of the Eleventh Biannual Conference of the ASME Waste
Processing Division, p. 95
5-79
5-80
Figure 5-29
RDF co-firing processing diagram
5-81
There are several alternatives for the receiving and storing of RDF, such as (1) the material
being received and stored in a dedicated building with boiler feed conveyors being fed through
the use of front end loaders; (2) the material being received in a dedicated building with a pit and
automated feeding system to feed the boiler; and (3) through the use of truck tipping equipment,
dedicated storage building or silo and automated boiler feed equipment. The latter option
described is the basis of estimates contained within this report. The major equipment categories
affecting the capital costs of this evaluation include those listed in Table 5-32.
Table 5-32
RDF capital equipment
Equipment
Comment
2 conveyors @ 50 TPH
2 systems @ 40 TPH
RDF burners
6 burners @ 10 TPH
HCl monitoring
Note: Boiler modifications including the number of RDF injection nozzles and grate requirements are based on
assumptions described herein. However, the actual modifications may vary significantly once the actual
facility/boiler is identified. GBB highly recommends the owners engineer and the original equipment manufacturer
(OEM) participate in this engineering review.
As stated earlier, marginal fixed and variable operation and maintenance (O&M) costs for the
RDF co-fire evaluation have been developed based on a generic location within the mid-Atlantic
region of the United States. Fixed and variable cost categories are defined in Table 5-33.
Table 5-33
Fixed and variable cost categories
Fixed Costs
Wages (including overtime and benefits)
Staff supplies, training, and safety
Routine building and equipment maintenance
Other costs
Variable Costs
Equipment outage maintenance
Marginal ash disposal
Utilities
Other consumables
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The RDF co-firing assumptions used to develop the marginal O&M costs are as follows:
Performance
1,100 TPD of RDF at 5,700 Btu/lb
Displaces 225 TPD of Illinois/Central Appalachian coal at 12,000 Btu/lb
10% or 25 MW of the plants power produced by co-firing RDF
RDF moisture content is 25%
Operations-Related Costs
Management or administrative labor is assumed to be included in the base facility
operations.
Six new personnel at an average hourly rate of $24 will be necessary to operate and
maintain the new equipment.
The fringe benefits burden rate on all labor is 35% of the base salary.
A 10% factor is used for overtime for operations and maintenance staff.
Marginal plant consumables and supplies are included.
Marginal ash disposal and transportation costs are included at $40 per ton.
Utility costs for the new equipment is included.
Equipment electrical loads estimated at $35 per MWh
Potable water: $3.40 per 1,000 gallons
Maintenance
Annual maintenance costs have been developed utilizing equipment manufacturer
recommendations or GBB experience.
General
Management and overhead is included at 12% of the marginal O&M costs.
A marginal insurance allowance is included.
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RDF Co-firing
Rated Capacity
Plant size (units unit size), MW (net)
1 250
Gross capacity, MW
250
25
Capacity factor, %
10%
Physical Plant
Plant life, Years
20
Scheduling
Preconstruction, license and design time, Years
0.5
0.5
2012
$1,000
$/KW
$4,362
$174
19%
$6,450
$65
28%
$10,812
$239
47%
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RDF Co-firing
$1,620
$258
7%
$4,730
$189
21%
$6,350
$447
28%
$3,430
$137
15%
Contingency
$2,210
$88
10%
$5,640
$226
25%
$22,802
$912
100%
$358
$14
--
$23,160
$926
--
$2,280
$91
--
$25,400
$1,018
--
47.65
Variable, $/MWh
18.63
Performance/Unit Availability
Net plant heat rate, Btu/KWh (HHV)
4,560
4%
Demo
Preliminary
Sensitivity
Case 1
Sensitivity
Case 2
-0.4
-1.4
0.6
5.67
5.67
5.67
18.63
18.63
18.63
2.00
6.00
3.00
7.79
7.79
7.79
Total3 ($/MWh)
30.09
26.09
35.09
5.67
5.67
5.67
18.63
18.63
18.63
2.00
-6.00
3.00
9.13
9.13
9.13
Total3 ($/MWh)
31.42
27.42
36.42
Cost
MSW Fuel Cost1, $/MBtu
Levelized Cost of Electricity2 with ITC ($/MWh)
Notes:
1. Sensitivity cases assume MSW fuel costs different than the base case, at $1/MBtu above and below the base cost
of $3.40/MBtu.
2. Estimate of LCOE assumes an 80% capacity factor, 20-year project life, and constant dollars.
3. Sum of LCOE component values may not equal total value due to rounding.
7.15%
$65
7.54%
$77
Scenario
Notes: 1. Fixed capital charge component of cash flow calculated by multiplying the LFCR by the total capital
requirement. The components of the annual fixed charge excludes charges associated with fixed O&M costs and
includes estimates for the amortization, depreciation, return on equity, income taxes, insurance, and other costs.
5-86
LFG as direct heat sourceLFG is cleaned and dried for use as of fuel for an industry or user
that consumes a relatively large amount of natural gas fuel.
LFG to pipelineLFG is cleaned, dried, and purified to become a high-Btu fuel for injection
into a natural gas pipeline.
5-87
Average Untreated
LFG
Methane (CH4)
% v/v
50
% v/v
45
Nitrogen (N2)
% v/v
Oxygen (O2)
% v/v
<1
ppmv
21
Halides
ppmv
132
ppmv
2,700
lb/MMscf
3,500
Btu/Scfm
450550
Fuel Parameter
Source: Energy Information Administration. US Department of Energy, Growth of Landfill Industry 1996
The typical methods for treating LFG gas to remove condensate and trace constituents are to
compress and cool and/or filter it. The cleaning process is determined by the technology, project
design and type of energy being produced. A single cycle system, primarily compressing and
cooling the gas, is typically adequate for allowing the LFG to be combusted in an internal
combustion engine for the production of electricity or used in most direct heat projects.
Additionally, in the case of a high-Btu conversion project, it will be necessary to remove CO2 to
increase the methane content of the gas and thus increase the heating value of the gas. If the LFG
contains relatively high amounts of nitrogen (N2), it may not be suitable for conversion to a highBtu fuel because the nitrogen will reduce the methane concentration and heating value of the end
product. N2 may also cause operational problems with certain types of CO2 removal processes.
5.8.3 LFG Basic Design
The design elements for converting LFG in an energy recovery project are basically the same.
The most important aspect of a project is the conceptual design phase. The technological
approach needs to be selected at this stage of the project. The type of project will depend on an
evaluation of the quality, quantity and long-term trend of gas production from the landfill. The
size of the landfill, the amount of waste buried, and future disposal quantities expected are
critical to evaluate. The type of project also depends on the long-term priority and commitment
5-88
of the entity that owns and operates the gas collection system. In certain situations such as a
high-Btu project, the gas collection system must be operated in a manner to minimize the amount
of air drawn through the waste field and into the gas. If the gas collection system is operated in a
manner to maintain compliance with air-quality permit requirements, where the goal is collect
the maximum amount of methane, the introduction of air is an unavoidable secondary impact, so
the gas quality, including amount of air it contains, must be considered during the project
development and design stage.
5.8.3.1 System Maintenance and Reliability
An LFG-to-energy facility is designed to operate continuously, 24 hours per day and, except for
maintenance shutdowns, 365 days per year. Planned (scheduled) maintenance will require
approximately two weeks a year and will involve equipment inspections and routine maintenance
of the engine/generators, compression and cleaning skids, and scheduled outages can occur at
any time, due to problems with the landfill collection system, gas quality issues or unforeseen
issues with the applicable LFG to energy components.
With a total of two weeks scheduled outage and an additional week of unscheduled downtime, the
availability of the LFG-to-energy facilities is approximately 94%. Therefore, a flare system will
typically be needed to be included with each facility to manage the disposal of LFG during outage
periods.
5.8.4 LFG Issues
The potential issues associated with using LFG as an energy source are as follows:
Poor maintenance or operation of the LFG collection system (wells and collection header
system) affects the gas quality.
Inconsistent maintenance or operation of the collection system affects the gas pressures.
LFG has a lower Btu value than natural gas, which may require modification of the end
users equipment.
Use of landfill gas has a positive effect on the environment through the reduction of
greenhouse gases (GHGs).
In most state and federal renewable energy programs, LFG is considered a renewable fuel.
Use of LFG in the production of electricity, direct heat and injection into a gas pipeline can
generate revenues in the carbon market, and provide the project owner with valuable tax
credits.
5-89
5.8.6 LFG-to-Electricity
In a typical LFG-to-electricity project, electrical power is generated using an internal combustion
(IC) reciprocating engine or combustion turbine to power the generator(s) and produce electricity
for in-house use and sale. The basic capital elements of a LFG-to-electricity project of this type
are gas cleaning equipment, engine-generator set, switchgear and electrical interconnection yard
for connection to the power grid. The gas cleaning equipment is installed to remove water vapor,
H2S and siloxanes. The assumed LFG flow of 1,000 scfm will supply enough fuel to power two
IC engines, such as CAT 3520 or GE Jenbacher engines. Other engine suppliers that provide
equipment to the industry include Deutz and GE Waukesha. Engines designed for this
application typically require the methane content of the LFG be in the range of 40% to 50% by
volume. Table 5-38 illustrates the typical post treatment gas characteristics for IC engines
designed for this application. These engines are purchased as generator sets along with the gas
cleaning equipment and switch gear.
Table 5-38
Summary of gas supply parameters for LFG engines
Fuel Parameter
Illustrative Range
H2S content
<0.15% v/v
Total Cl content
Total F content
Silicon (Si)
Dust
Oil/residual oil
Moisture
1050 C
>40%
Hydrogen (% v/v)
<12%
Source: Data from four LFG engine manufacturers integrated into this table by GBB
The use of gas turbines, such as those manufactured by Solar Turbines, is an option for the IC
units. However, these typically require a higher gas pressure and quality than an IC engine, so
gas turbines are used when individual sites might produce 3 to 5 MW without going to multiple
generating units. Individual IC engines are typically used at sites where the LFG quantity could
produce 0.8 to 3.0 MW.73
73
5-90
With the output of this example facility being electricity, and the output from an IC
engine/generator usually at 480 volts, a transformer will be needed to increase the voltage to the
level in the transmission lines at the interconnection point to the power grid. It is usually
necessary and desirable to make the connection to transmission lines with three-phase power.
The interconnection location and input power specifications must be determined through the
local power company before beginning the design for a project of this type. The voltage and
distance to the interconnection point can have a significant impact on capital and maintenance
costs. This evaluation does not include an estimate for the distribution of power beyond the
transformers 230/13.8 KV connection. Depending on site location, the interconnection
requirements with the local utility, and associated costs, could be extensive.
5.8.7 Landfill Gas to Direct Heat
In the case of a direct heat application, the final product gas must be clean, relatively dry and
delivered to the end-users facility at a specific pressure. There are no standard or minimum fuel
quality requirements when using LFG in direct heat applications. Fuel quality in these
applications will be determined by the end user, pipeline length and untreated gas characteristics.
For the purpose of this evaluation, it is assumed the gas qualities for LFG-to-electricity
previously identified in Table 5-38 would meet the minimum requirements for most direct heat
applications.
The basic capital elements for this type of project are the gas cleaning equipment, one or more
compressor stations, the pipeline constructed between the landfill and the end users facility, and
the cost to modify the end users plant to burn the LFG. It is desirable to remove as much
condensate as possible to increase the heating value of the gas and increase the efficiency. This
also reduces the cost of conveying the gas to the end user by eliminating or reducing the amount
of condensate in the gas.
After the LFG is dried and cleaned at or near the landfill, it is compressed and discharged into a
pipeline leading to the end user. A compressor skid is used to pressurize the gas for conveyance.
The compressor skid will need to be designed to meet the pressure required at the point of
delivery of the end user, allowing for whatever pressure drop occurs in the system as the pipeline
size and length between the generation site and user increases.
There is usually no economical way to store treated LFG at the landfill. The ideal gas customer
has a steady daily gas demand that is consistent with consuming the gas production of the
landfill, so the gas volume can be used as it is collected (generated) and delivered.
The pipeline constructed between the LFG cleaning and compression equipment and the end
users facility, would typically be a nominal 4-inch-diameter HDPE pipe rated for high pressure
use. One of the most important aspects of the design and construction of this technology is to
identify the pipeline distance and acquire a right-of-way for the proposed pipeline. A single stage
compressor with about 75-horsepower rating would be used to compress that gas to about 250
psi. By compressing the gas to a pressure of 250 psi at the property line of the landfill, the gas
would flow at the rate of 1,000 cfm and maintain a pressure of about 100 psi at adistance of
about 5 miles. The designer would work with the end user to learn the required discharge
pressure at the point where the gas enters the end-users facility. The size of the compressor
would be based on the required discharge pressure, length of pipeline needed to reach the end
used, and the pipe size used to convey the required volume of gas.
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The cost of designing and constructing the gas pipeline ranges from about $100 to $200 per
lineal foot, or about $500,000 to $1,000,000 per mile. The piping material used would be high
density polyethylene, which is suitable for use with pressures up to about 250 psi. Property
acquisition or easements for the rights to install the gas pipeline must also be factored into the
capital and operating costs. Due to this uncertainty and variability of costs and site conditions
associated with different projects and locations, these costs have not been included in our
analysis.
5.8.8 Landfill Gas to Pipeline
In preparing landfill gas for injection into a natural gas pipeline, the Btu value of the gas will
have to be increased from 50% methane (by volume, as generated) to a minimum of 80% to 90%
methane, by volume. Table 5-39 illustrates the typical post treatment gas characteristics for LFG
in a pipeline application.
Table 5-39
Landfill gas quality characteristics for injection into pipeline
Fuel Parameter
Unit
Methane (CH4)
% v/v
>90
% v/v
<3
Nitrogen (N2)
% v/v
<3
Oxygen (O2)
% v/v
<1
ppm v/v
<4
lb/MMscf
<7
Btu/Scfm
>950
For marketing as pipeline quality gas, the LFG must be cleaned and virtually all of the CO2
removed to create a pure methane product. Certain projects are using MEDAL membranes for
CO2 removalfor example, where the design is to reduce the CO2 content from 45% down to
1%. An illustrative schematic of the MEDAL system, which can be skid-mounted, is depicted in
Figure 5-30.
5-92
Figure 5-30
MEDAL CO2 removal system
Source: Renewable Solutions Group 9/21/09, D. Wentworth
The basic capital elements for this type of project are gas cleaning equipment for H2S removal, a
CO2 removal system, a compressor station, and the pipeline constructed between the LFG
treatment plant at the landfill and the point of injection into the natural gas pipeline. The
processing equipment for a high-Btu process will include cleaning equipment to remove H2S,
NMOCs, and other trace constituents, which is typically done before the gas enters the CO2removal components of the system. Similar to the direct heat technology, a compressor skid must
be installed, typically at the landfill, after the point where CO2 removal is completed and the
LFG gas has been converted to a methane-rich quality (such as >90%). Natural gas pipelines
typically operate at what is called the maximum allowable operating pressure (MAOP), which is
dictated by factors such as pipe material, pipe size and location of the line. MAOP typically
ranges from 200 psi to 1,500 psi74 and normally is at approximately 90% of the systems designed
MAOP, so a post treatment compressor skid is typically necessary to prepare the LFG gas for
injection into the pipeline.
The pipeline constructed between the LFG cleaning and compression equipment and the
injection point of the high pressure natural gas pipeline would typically be a nominal 4-inchdiameter carbon steel pipe rated for high pressure use. One of the most important aspects of the
design and construction of this technology is to identify the pipeline distance and acquire a rightof-way for the proposed pipeline. A two stage compressor with a 250-horsepower rating would
be used to compress the gas to a pressure of about 900 psi. This was assumed to be the pressure
required to discharge into the distribution pipeline. By compressing the gas to a pressure of 900
psi at the property line, there would be no significant drop in pressure over a distance of up to 5
miles at the required flow rate of about 475 cfm considering a 5% loss. It is assumed the designer
would work with the natural gas company to select the pipeline design, materials of construction
and location for the gas to be discharged into the natural gas line. The designer would also obtain
information on the distribution pipeline material, size and operating pressure from the gas
company, and use this information to select the appropriate compressor.
74
5-93
The cost of designing and constructing the gas pipeline ranges from about $120 to $200 per
lineal foot, or about $600,000 to $1,200,000 per mile. The piping material would carbon steel,
which is needed due to withstand the 900 psi pressure of the high-Btu gas when discharged into
the pipeline used to convey the gas. Property acquisition or easements for the rights to install the
gas pipeline must also be factored into the capital and operating costs. Due to this uncertainty
and variability of the costs and site conditions associated with different projects and locations,
we have not included these costs in our analysis.
5.8.9 Capital and O&M Related Scope and Equipment
The technologies involved in each of the LFG-to-energy projects evaluated in this report are
similar in many respects, with the differences being dictated by the desired end use of the gas.
The property requirements for each project configuration are all similar in size, approximately
1 acre, and located adjacent too and within the borders of the permitted landfill. Figure 5-31
presents a simplified process diagram for each landfill gas applications that was evaluated.
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Figure 5-31
Landfill gas utilization process diagram
5-95
Each of the LFG technologies evaluated is conceived to be operated and monitored remotely,
thus minimizing the necessity for dedicated staff and associated buildings or facilities. In
consideration of this, costs of enclosures were estimated for only the engine/generator set and
associated electrical equipment, with the standby flare and gas clean-up and compression skids
and associated equipment designed for outdoor operation, with no building or enclosures
required. The major equipment supply categories, affecting the capital costs of the evaluation,
include those listed in Table 5-40.
Table 5-40
LFG capital equipment requirements1
LFG to
Electricity
LFG to Direct
Heat
LFG to Pipeline
(High Btu)
Stand-by flare
Compressor/cleaning skid
Equipment enclosures
Equipment
As stated earlier, fixed and variable O&M costs for the LFG evaluation have been developed
based on a generic location within the mid-Atlantic region of the United States. Applicable
variable costs include cost estimates for outage maintenance, utilities, and reagent costs
associated with the equipment. Normal O&M or fixed costs include wages, overhead, and
equipment maintenance. Table 5-41 defines the fixed and variable cost categories used in the
evaluation.
5-96
Performance
LFG to Electricity
Two (2) 1.6-MW internal combustion engine generator sets
Net plant output 2.8 MW
LFG to Direct Heat
Output of 250 psi LFG @ 500 Btu v/v
LFG to Pipeline
Output of 900 psi LFG @ 900 Btu v/v
Operations-Related Costs
The average labor rate is $26 per hour and based on staffing levels typical for projects of
these types.
The fringe benefits burden rate on all labor is 35% of the base salary.
A 10% factor for overtime for operations and maintenance staff is applied.
5-97
Maintenance
Annual maintenance costs have been developed based on manufacturer recommendations or
GBB experience.
General
Management and overhead has been included at 10% of the total O&M costs.
Property
The annual facility property lease expense is included in the fuel cost.
Because each of the LFG technologies evaluated is assumed to be designed to be operated and
monitored remotely, minimizing the necessity of dedicated staff, the staffing levels and expenses
are estimated accordingly.
5.8.9.1 LFG Fuel Costs
As previously discussed, LFG is composed of 45% to 55% methane (CH4) with the balance
being carbon dioxide (CO2) and other trace elements, so effectively, LFG has approximately half
the heating value of natural gas; therefore, the cost of LFG is adjusted accordingly. Aside from
the heating value affecting the cost of LFG, other factors such as maintenance of the gas
collection system, agreement term with landfill owner, and the property lease are all accounted
for in the gas cost. In some cases, the gas users do not pay for the gas because they invested in,
and operate, the LFG collection system. In developing the LFG fuel cost in our evaluation, we
utilized the U.S. Energy Administration, 2011 average U.S. natural gas wellhead price as the
base fuel cost and adjusted it for the difference in heating value of approximately 50% and
property lease and collection system costs. Based on these factors, we have estimated LFG fuel
costs to be approximately $2.50/MBtu.
5.8.9.2 Cost Estimate Summary
Tables 5-42 through 5-44 summarize the capital and O&M costs, on a $/KW basis, for the LFGto-electricity project. For the LFG to direct heat and LFG to high pressure pipeline evaluations,
the costs are presented on a $/KW equivalent basis.
5-98
Rated Capacity
Plant size (units unit size), MW (net)
2 1.6
Gross capacity, MW
3.2
Net capacity, MW
2.8
Capacity factor, %
88%
Physical Plant
Plant life, Years
20
Scheduling
Preconstruction, license and design time,
Years
0.5
0.5
2012
$1,000
$/KW
$500
$179
7%
$2,900
$1,036
42%
$3,400
$1,214
49%
$680
$243
10%
$1,728
$617
25%
$2,408
$860
35%
$430
$154
6%
Contingency
$655
$234
10%
$1,085
$388
16%
$6,893
$2,462
100%
5-99
$108
$39
$7,001
$2,500
$689
$246
$7,600
$2,747
164
Variable, $/MWh
3.24
Performance/Unit Availability
Net plant heat rate, Btu/KWh (HHV)
438
4%
Mature
Preliminary
Table 5-43
LFG to direct heat capital operations and maintenance costs
Facility Type
Rated Capacity
Plant type
Net energy output BTU/yr
Energy output KWh/yr (Btu equivalent)
250,000
Capacity Factor,1 %
100%
Physical Plant
Plant life, years
5-100
20
0.5
0.5
Scheduling
2012
$1,000
$/MBtu
$500
$2.00
47%
$500
$2.00
47%
BOP Facilities
$100
$0.40
9%
$300
$1.20
28%
$400
$1.60
38%
$65
$0.26
6%
Contingency
$101
$0.41
10%
$166
$0.67
16%
$1,066
$4.27
100%
$17
$0.07
$1,083
$4.33
$107
$0.43
$1,100
$4.76
$0.48
Variable, $/MWh
$0.23
5-101
Performance/Unit Availability
Net plant heat rate, Btu/KWh (HHV)
500
4%
Mature
Preliminary
Note: 1. The capacity factor for the direct heat application is 100% because the gas collected from the landfill gas
collection and control system is typically treated only to remove condensate and trace constituents. This treatment
process does not reduce the amount of methane in the processed gas. The gas delivered to the end user is assumed to
maintain its heating value at 500 Btu per cubic foot.
Table 5-44
LFG to high-pressure pipeline capital operations and maintenance costs
Facility Type
LFG to Pipeline
Rated Capacity
Plant type
LFG to Pipeline
237,500,000,000
Capacity Factor,1 %
95%
Physical Plant
Plant life, years
20
Scheduling
Preconstruction, license and design time,
Years
0.5
0.5
2012
$1,000
$/MBtu
$500
$2
6%
$2,150
$9
25%
$600
$3
7%
$3,250
$14
38%
5-102
LFG to Pipeline
$1,300
$5
15%
$2,275
$10
27%
$3,575
$15
42%
$870
$4
10%
Contingency
$808
$3
10%
$1,678
$7
20%
$8,503
$36
100%
$133
$1
$8,636
$36
$850
$4
$9,400
$40
$1.97
Variable, $/MBtu
$1.16
Performance/Unit Availability
Net plant heat rate, Btu/KWh (HHV)
475
4%
Mature
Preliminary
Note: 1. The term capacity factor in a high Btu application is associated with the HHV loss as a result of the gas
being treated to increase the quality of the gas for injection into the pipeline. The loss, which can be 5% of the
methane in the gas stream, cannot be recovered.
5-103
Sensitivity
Case 1
Sensitivity
Case 2
2.50
1.50
3.50
19.53
19.53
19.53
3.24
3.24
3.24
1.10
.70
1.50
20.07
20.07
20.07
Total3 ($/MWh)
43.94
43.54
44.34
19.53
19.53
19.53
3.24
3.24
3.24
1.10
.70
1.50
24.45
24.45
24.45
Total3 ($/MWh)
48.32
47.92
48.72
Cost
LFG Fuel Cost,1 $/MBtu
Levelized Cost of Electricity2 with ITC ($/MWh)
5-104
Sensitivity
Case 1
Sensitivity
Case 2
2.50
1.50
3.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.23
0.23
0.23
2.50
1.50
3.50
0.31
0.31
0.31
Total3 ($/MBtu)
3.54
2.54
4.54
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.23
0.23
0.23
2.50
1.50
3.50
0.38
0.38
0.38
3.61
2.61
4.61
Base Case
Sensitivity
Case 1
Sensitivity
Case 2
2.50
1.50
3.50
2.05
2.05
2.05
1.16
1.16
1.16
2.50
1.50
3.50
2.45
2.45
2.45
Total3 ($/MBtu)
8.16
7.16
9.16
2.05
2.05
2.05
1.16
1.16
1.16
2.50
1.50
3.50
2.98
2.98
2.98
8.69
7.69
9.69
Cost
LFG Fuel Cost,1 $/MBtu
2
Total ($/MBtu)
Table 5-47
LFG to high-pressure pipeline levelized cost of energy
Cost
LFG Fuel Cost,1 $/MBtu
2
Total ($/MBtu)
Notes: 1. Sensitivity cases assume the LFG fuel costs are $1/MBtu above and below the base case.
2. Estimate of LCOE assumes an 80% capacity factor, 20-year project life, and constant dollars.
3. Sum of LCOE and LCOEn component values may not equal total value due to rounding.
5-105
6.83%
$169
7.49%
$206
Scenario
Table 5-49
LFG to direct heat levelized fixed capital charge component
Levelized Fixed Charge
Rate (LFCR)
7.30%
$0.31
8.00%
$0.38
Scenario
Table 5-50
LFG to high-pressure pipeline levelized fixed capital charge component
Levelized Fixed Charge
Rate (LFCR)
6.81%
$2.45
7.47%
$2.98
Scenario
Note: 1. Fixed capital charge component of cash flow is calculated by multiplying the LFCR by the total capital
requirement. The components of the annual fixed charge excludes charges associated with fixed O&M costs, and
includes estimates for the amortization, depreciation, return on equity, income and property taxes, insurance, and
other costs.
5-106
5.8.10 Conclusions
Biomass fuels are many and varied, with distinct characteristics. Although there are institutional
and political questions concerning the classification of wood waste and other waste products as
biomass or renewable, technically they are biomass resources that are derived from living plants.
Most biomass fuels permit utilities to generate dispatchable renewable power. The fuels can
be extracted and/or stored and then used to meet electricity demand. Utilization systems can
capitalize upon the characteristics of these fuels. They are modest in heating value, highly
reactive, low in nitrogen and sulfur, and of varying ash characteristics. Of the biomass fuels
available, woody biomass is the most commonly used material, but agricultural wastes and
dedicated energy crops appear to be the biomass fuels of the future.
Numerous technologies are available for biomass fuel utilization, including both cofiring options
and stand-alone options. Cofiring provides a means for incorporating biomass utilization into
electricity generating facilities with the lowest cost and the least risk. Cofiring can be used to
enhance combustion and, in most cases, reduce SO2 and NOx emissions. The lack of sulfur in
biomass fuels, coupled with low nitrogen concentrations, reactive nitrogen, and reactive fuel as a
whole, provides the basis for this enhanced combustion.
The forest products and pulp and paper industries, as well as some electric utilities and
independent power producers, have built stand-alone plants. These systems are not inexpensive.
However, they provide a basis for using biomass to generate electricity. They can be
economically justified depending on localized economics and their use in addressing customer
needs. Institutional arrangements that provide partnerships between industries and utilities can be
particularly useful in such circumstances.
Biomass pre-treatment may open a global biomass trade similar to that of coal. But key to the
expansion of biomass for electricity production will be available tax incentives, RPS mandates,
and GHG-reduction directives that externalize the costs of using fossil fuels. For example,
torrefied biomass may contribute to offsetting fossil-fuel emissions, but consideration of carbon
credits for the char field application will be required to expand its worldwide use.
In summary, biomass is dispatchable renewable power. It can come in solid or gaseous form, and
can be exploited using a wide variety of technologies to supply electricity to internal customers
or to the grid. Moreover, its carbon neutral or negative characteristics position it to potentially
contribute to the target of de-carbonizing electricity production.
5-107
SOLAR PHOTOVOLTAICS
6.1 Introduction
Solar photovoltaic (PV) modules are solid-state semiconductor devices that convert sunlight into
direct-current electricity. PV was initially developed for the space program in the 1950s to power
the first satellites, an application for which simplicity and reliability were tremendously
important and cost was of much lesser consequence. In the early 1970s, PV began to be used for
terrestrial power applications, which led to a shift in R&D goals and funding sources away from
the space program to private/public sector collaborative efforts. This work, led primarily by the
United States, Europe, and Japan, has resulted in a generally steady, dramatic decrease in module
costs and a concurrent near-doubling in energy conversion efficiency. The average module sales
price (in 2011 dollars) dropped from $80,700/kW in 1976 to $1,320/kW in 2011 to under
~$900/kW in 4Q2012. Over the same period, the performance of high-end commercial modules
has increased from 8% conversion efficiency to about 20%. As the market for solar panels grew,
the demand for panels during 2003 to 2008 outpaced the supply. This was primarily a result of
constraints in solar-grade silicon, a key raw material in crystalline panels. This economic
imbalance was the principal reason module prices rose after 2003 and remained higher than
expected after years of declining prices.
Although the PV market growth has continued, the impact of the recent global economic
downturn combined with a very significant increase in poly-silicon supply and module
manufacturing capacity have driven prices significantly downward. Expanded Chinese
manufacturing has been a primary cause of the large increase in solar-grade silicon and
crystalline module manufacturing capacity. In 2012, Chinese manufacturers now account for
60% of world PV shipments, and nine of the top 10 PV manufacturers are predicted to be
crystalline-based Chinese companies within the next several years (the lone exception being
CdTe producer First Solar). First Solar, the thin film market leader, reached commercial scale
production capacity of 2,300 MWp in 2011 and now holds approximately 11% of global market
share. These factors, combined with the recessionary downturn and revisions of various national
tariffs and incentives, have created the current volatile market in which supply outpaces demand
and margins are squeezed.
As of the end of 2011, there were approximately 70,000 MW (70 GW) of PV capacity installed
worldwide, with about 4,000 MW deployed in the United States (Table 6-1) [37]. The
incremental global capacity additions in 2011 totaled approximately 30,000 MW [38], a 75%
increase over 2010 (Figure 6-1).
6-1
Solar Photovoltaics
Table 6-1
Overview of solar photovoltaics
Installed Capacity
(Jan. 1, 2012 est.)[36]
70,000 MW worldwide
4,000 MW in United States
World Leaders:
Germany: 28,000 MW
Italy: 12,800 MW
Japan: 4,900 MW
Spain: 4,500 MW
Technology Readiness
Environmental Impact
Economic Status
Policy Status
6-2
Solar Photovoltaics
Table 6-1 (continued)
Overview of solar photovoltaics
Trends to Watch
6-3
Solar Photovoltaics
Figure 6-1
Worldwide PV industry growth
Source: EPRI, Navigant Consulting, Solar Power Consulting
6-4
Solar Photovoltaics
The PV deployment growth rate has subsided greatly (but is still over 30%) due to the current
supply-demand mismatch, but as the global economy recovers and capital for PV investments
becomes more readily available, it is expected that more robust growth rates will resume. The
forecast for 2012 global deployment is likely slightly below 2011 levels of 30,000 MW. In the
United States, slightly over 3 GW is expected [42]. Given the increased supply capacity and
tempered demand-pull incentives, it is reasonable to expect continued consolidation in the
industry. The recent collapse in module prices has come at an inopportune time for many thin-film
(a-Si, CdTe, CIGS) companies that are just starting commercial manufacturing. As newcomers,
they faced not only higher actual costs on average than more-established c-Si competitors, but it
has become more difficult to offer the significantly lower price points necessary to win over new
customers from the incumbents. Many companies are exiting the conventional a-Si marketmost
notably Uni-Solaror are changing focus, as with Moser Baers hybrid wafered-silicon cell with a
thin film of amorphous silicon. Only two CdTe technologies remainFirst Solar and Xunlight
26following the exit of Abound, Calyxo GmbH, GE (Primestar) and WK Solar. Some CIGS
companies, such as Heliovolt and Nuvosun, have opted to delay production ramp-up altogether to
limit near-term losses. Others, such as Ascent, Global Solar, and SoloPower, have adopted nichemarket strategies in which they offer a specialized product that commands a higher price.
These survival approaches may succeed in the likely event that the oversupply subsides as the
total PV market continues its historic expansion, even if at a slower pace than the past decades
over-50% compound annual growth rate. Thin film technologies are expected to continue
competing with conventional silicon-based products. Silicon cells at approximately 15%
efficiency (roughly twice as efficient as older a-Si thin-film PV technologies at 7% efficiency)
are well suited to space-constrained rooftop applications (roughly twice as efficient as older a-Si
thin-film PV technologies at 7% efficiency). Although crystalline cells still have an efficiency
advantage, thin-film technologies are moving into the 12% to13% efficiency range, which lowers
racking costs in utility-scale applications and makes them power dense enough for many rooftop
applications. Global thin-film panel production is also increasing and driving down costs. It has
risen from 400 MWp in 2007 to near 6,000 MW in 2012; however, it has dropped a few
percentage points in market share in the past year, now accounting for 11% of total PV panel
production. Thin film production and installation at this scale has allowed this portion of the PV
industry to build expertise and lower costs on the production side through improved
manufacturing equipment. Also, this volume makes them significant participants in the utilityscale, commercial and residential markets. First Solar continues to be the industry leader with its
low-cost, higher-efficiency (now at 12.6%) CdTe thin-film modules [48] (see Figure 6-2).
6-5
Solar Photovoltaics
Figure 6-2
View down one row in 12-MW section of EdF Energies Nouvelles 115-MW plant at Toul,
France using First Solar modules
Solar Photovoltaics
The U.S. government, acting through the DOE, has instituted several programs through the years
to support PV research and development, subsidize its use, and plan for its future. The federal
Million Solar Roofs initiative, begun under the Clinton administration, aimed to install one
million solar energy systemsincluding PV, water heating, and space heatingon the rooftops
of American homes and businesses by 2010. The initiative included federal procurement
programs, technology grants, and lending programs. Briefly renamed Solar Powers America,
the Million Solar Roofs program effectively concluded in 2006 after investing $16 million to
help install approximately 370,000 solar projects comprising 200 MW of grid-connected PV and
another 200 MW of solar water heating capacity. A final report on the program was issued in
October 2006 [33]. Since then, states such as California and Delaware have established their own
Million Solar Roofs programs and goals. In July 2010, Senator Bernie Sanders (Ind.-VT)
introduced the Ten Million Solar Roofs Act of 2010 (S. 3460) to support similar efforts
through 2021.
In 2006, the Bush administration launched the DOE Solar America Initiative (SAI), whose goals
were to accelerate PV deployments and conduct RD&D targeted to bring PV costs to grid
parity by 2015. The DOE PV budget was roughly doubled as a result of the SAI program and
many new projects were launched, consisting primarily of industry-led short-term efforts to more
rapidly scale up current PV technologies. They also included public-outreach educational
projects, a technology incubator program to help startup companies move from laboratoryscale pilot lines into early commercial-scale production, and a small amount of more exploratory
research into novel concepts. The SAI concluded in 2009, but the activities developed during its
tenure were incorporated into the portfolio of DOEs Solar Energy Technologies Program.
Funding provided through the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009
greatly expanded DOEs budget for solar energy research, development, and demonstration. In
addition, the DOE Loan Guarantee Program was established to support qualified projects in the
belief that accelerated commercial use of these new or improved technologies will help to sustain
economic growth, yield environmental benefits, and produce a more stable and secure energy
supply. In March 2009, DOE awarded a $535 million loan guarantee to PV developer Solyndra
to advance its cylindrical PV panel design and build a 500-MW-per-year module factory in
Fremont, California. In October 2009, DOE announced that it would draw on ARRA funds to
provide guarantees for up to $8 billion in loans for conventional renewable energy projects such
as solar, wind, biomass, geothermal and hydropower. At the same time, DOE pledged to
streamline the selection standards and lending process.
In early September 2011, Solyndra ceased all business activity, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy,
and laid off nearly all its employees. The Solyndra business model was flawed in that it assumed
continued high costs for silicon. Its design utilized CIGS PV cells. When the cost of silicon
sharply decreased, the custom equipment designs for the Solyndra product were too expensive
compared to the more traditional standardized PV panels. Since the announcement of the
bankruptcy, an investigation into the DOE loan process has begun and vigorous debate on the
role of government in supporting new technologies has ensued. In addition, the solar energy
sector has also come under severe scrutiny. However, despite the criticisms, the DOE continues
to provide funding to organizations in the solar industry. Dozens of PV companies are currently
in the queue for DOE support.
6-7
Solar Photovoltaics
In 2011, the Obama administration introduced the SunShot Initiative. The program aims to
reduce the cost of installed solar to $1 per watt, bringing the levelized cost of electricity to 6
cents/kWh without subsidies, by 2020. Under the SunShot Initiative, the U.S. Department of
Energy is funding selective research and loan guarantees for high risk, high payoff concepts in
all facets of solar energy project installation, ranging from the photovoltaic modules and balance
of plant (BOP) components to the reduction of soft costs. Grid integration costs are also being
addressed.
Several states also have programs encouraging the development of renewable energy. In many
cases, a combination of state and federal incentive, rebate, or loan programs can pay a significant
share of a PV systems cost. Most notably, beginning in 1998 Californias Emerging Renewables
Program (ERP) and Self-Generation Incentive Program (SGIP) led to an estimated installed gridconnected PV capacity totaling one-quarter of the nations installed PV in 2005. As of January 1,
2010, SGIP had helped fund more than 890 PV projects representing nearly 136 MW of
generating capacity [34]. Californias PV momentum was further boosted in 2006 by the passage
of SB-1 (Senate Bill 1) and the formation of the California Solar Initiative (CSI), a $3 billion
program to incentivize the installation of one million solar rooftops by 2017. Through midNovember 2012, the CSI had helped fund nearly 106,000 installed PV projects with a cumulative
capacity over 1540 MW (Figure 6-3) [38].
Figure 6-3
California Solar Initiative installed projects by month [38]
As of the end of 2011, California led the United States in cumulative installed PV capacity with
1,564 MW, followed by New Jersey with 566 MW, Arizona with 398 MW, Colorado with 197
MW, and New Mexico with 165 MW [48]. The Interstate Renewable Energy Council (IREC)
concluded that while non-residential (i.e., commercial) systems made up the bulk of new
installations in 2011, utility-scale systems had the highest growth. Residential, non-residential,
and utility installed capacity in 2011 compared to 2010 increased by 24%, 137%, and 146%,
respectively. The non-residential segment in 2011 had the highest installed capacity at 822 MW
(45%), followed by the utility segment at 698 MW (38%) and residential segment at 324 MW
(18%) (Figure 6-4).
6-8
Solar Photovoltaics
Figure 6-4
Annual U.S. installed grid-connected PV capacity by sector [38]
In addition, solar requirements embedded in renewable portfolio standards (RPSs) are also
fueling PV development. The National Database of State Incentives for Renewable Energy
(DSIRE; www.dsireusa.org) provides up-to-date information on state financial and regulatory
incentives that are designed to promote renewable energy technologies.
Other nations, such as Germany, Italy, Spain, and Japan, have had active and generous
government-sponsored and -mandated incentive programs. As a result of its aggressive
programs, Germany leads the world in both annual grid-connected PV installations, with almost
7,500 MW added in 2011 and a total installed capacity of approximately 28 GW, representing
nearly half the worlds total. Italy installed over 9 GW in 2011, making it the second largest
market in the world with almost 13 GW of cumulative installed capacity. Japan installed almost
1,300 MW for a total of nearly 5 GW. The fourth place position belonged to Spain, which added
about 400 MW for a total of 4.5 GW. The United States was fifth with 4 GW [36].
6-9
Solar Photovoltaics
Historically, government subsidies have strongly influenced the growth of the solar power
industry. For example, in the United States producers of renewable energy receive tax credits. In
Germany, electricity distributors are required to pay above-market rates, called feed-in tariffs, for
electricity generated from renewable sources. Similar feed-in tariff incentives have been adopted
by Spain, Italy, Ontario, Canada, and dozens of other countries around the world. Figure 6-6 shows
historic growth in different regions of the world. Asia, North America, and, more recently, Oceania
have ramped up deployment over the past few years, whereas growth in Europe has slowed.
Figure 6-5
Historic PV market growth by country
Source: Navigant Consulting [41]
6.2.1 Japan
Japan had approximately 320 MW of PV in place at the end of 2000, with more than two-thirds
of it installed through a residential capital cost buy-down program that began in 1994 and was
administered by the New Energy Foundation, part of the Ministry of Economy, Trade, and
Industry (METI) until the programs termination in 2005 [15]. In the following five years,
another 1.1 GW was installed, nearly all under the METI program, launched in the late 1990s
and run by METIs New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO).
The purpose of the METI program is to develop a full range of new energy technologies,
including PV, by subsidizing both R&D and market penetration to bring costs down.
6-10
Solar Photovoltaics
METI PV systems are grid-connected and net-metered, which increases their attractiveness given
Japans high-priced electricity. The maximum subsidy provided to system buyers was initially
about 50% of installed costs. It has decreased annually, reaching 10% in 2003, and was phased out
completely in 2005. Despite the decline and eventual termination of end-user incentives, the
program remained popular and successful to its end, in part because net prices in Japan have
continued to fall, aided by ongoing Japanese government market-development assistance to the
industry.
After three stagnant years, new incentives that took effect in January 2009 paid 70,000/kW
(approximately $820/kW U.S.) for residential PV systems and led to Japans installing more PV
than ever in 2009, approximately 484 MW [32, 40]. In November 2009, METIs New Purchase
System for Solar Power Generated Electricity established a new feed-in tariff of 48/kWh
($0.56/kWh U.S.) for electricity generated by residential PV smaller than 10 kW and 24/kWh
($0.28/kWh U.S.) for non-residential PV, which is expected to further Japans refined goals to
install 28 GW of PV by 2020 and 56 GW by 2030 [40]. After the Fukushima Dai-Ichi nuclear
power plant radiation leaks following the March 2011 earthquake and tsunami, Japanese officials
pledged to reduce reliance on atomic energy, including an aggressive plan that would make it
compulsory for all new buildings and houses to come fitted with solar panels by 2030. The
countrys new FIT plan, ratified in June 2012, pays 42/kWh, or $0.53/kWh over a 20-year
timeframe.75 Operators must sign contracts with power companies by March 2013 to lock in the
FIT purchase price.
6.2.2 Germany
Germany had approximately 110 MW of PV installed as of the end of 2000. Following a 1000
Solar Roofs program in 1989, Germany initiated a 100,000 Solar Roofs program in 1999 with
the goal of installing 300 MW of PV by 2004. The program provides 10-year low-interest loans
that feature no money down and no interest payment for two years toward the installation of
rooftop PV systems. Over the term of the program that ended in June 2003, loans were approved
for approximately 350 MW.
Germanys Renewable Energy Sources Act, which took effect in April 2000, also encouraged
PV development by offering high financial incentives. The act established a PV feed-in tariff
which initially offered solar power producers roughly 0.5062 per kWh ($0.66 at April 2006
exchange rates, about $0.75 in late 2007, $0.69 in 2008), guaranteed for 20 years. Since 2002,
this guaranteed price has been reduced by 5% to 6.5% per year, depending on the type of system,
to encourage cost reductions. New regulations that took effect in January 2004 provide a tiered
incentive structure ranging from 0.469 to 0.632/kWh of PV generation, depending on the
system size and whether it is free-standing, rooftop, or building integrated. In addition to national
incentives, some individual German municipalities offer production incentives funded by
surcharges on utility bills. All told, these programs have helped catapult the countrys PV
capacity from 76 MW in 2000 to nearly 8900 MW in 2009 [36], with about 3000 to 3800 MW of
that total installed in 2009 alone [25]. Much of the year-end rush was due to a steep reduction in
Germanys feed-in tariff (Figure 6-6).
75
A slight variation in compensation under Japans new FIT exists for PV systems above and below 10 kW.
6-11
Solar Photovoltaics
Figure 6-6
German PV installations between January 2009 and March 2010 showing surge of projects,
particularly larger than 10 kW, at years end in anticipation of declining feed-in tariff
Source: Solarenergie-Frderverein Deutschland e.V.
In January 2010, the feed-in tariffs were 0.4301/kWh ($0.56/kWh) for a typical 30-kW rooftop
installation, 0.4092/kWh ($0.53/kWh) for a 30- to 100-kW rooftop system, and 0.3194/kWh
($0.42/kWh) for ground installations. Due to the strong growth of solar PV installations in
Germany, the government lowered solar PV tariffs by 20-30 percent in June 2012, with 1%
digressions every month and a cumulative 52-GW capacity cap. In addition, subsidies were
eliminated for systems greater than 10 MW. The German PV market stayed steady through 2011
despite the declining feed-in tariff and political uncertainty, and over 5 GW were installed
through August 2012, putting the country on track for a third year of approximately 7 GW of
incremental new capacity.
6.2.3 Technology Performance and Cost Tables
As solar photovoltaic technology continues to evolve, significant cost reductions are expected to
continue as a result of improving power conversion efficiencies, development of low-cost cell
fabrication processes, increasing cell production volume with attendant economies of scale, and
reduced balance-of-plant costs through standardized modular power blocks.
The following subsections address the performance and cost of PV technologies using a twotrack approach. Distributed and utility-scale PV systems demand very different economic and
technical considerations. In particular, for distributed PV systems, the costs are typically covered
by a building owner or operator with significant support in the form of rebates or tax credits in
most cases. These systems require a more flexible and tailored approach. The information and
examples that follow are intended to illustrate some of the variables involved and an approach to
estimating system performance and cost through a range of options.
6-12
Solar Photovoltaics
Obtain detailed cost and performance data from the PV system or module manufacturer.
Simulate the production of the PV system, taking into account sun angles and module
orientation.
Calculate monthly energy and/or demand savings using their specific utility tariff structure.
Calculate the financial impacts and applicability of various buy-down programs, tax credits,
and financing terms.
In recent years, the rooftop PV market has evolved so that many capable installers take
responsibility for such concerns on behalf of their clients, who need do little more than sign a
contract and write a check. Such customer service has minimized the effort that might have
deterred potential PV owners in the past and helped increase sales. Because the factors involved
vary so widely, it is impractical to attempt to construct a single table representative of all
distributed PV systems. One consumer tool that has been designed to overcome these difficulties
is the Clean Power Estimator. Section 6.2.5.2 provides sample calculations using the
Estimator.
6.2.3.2 Utility-Scale PV Plant Performance and Cost Estimates
The technology performance and cost tables for utility-scale central-station PV power plants are
based on the performance and cost estimates presented in the March 2012 EPRI report,
Engineering and Economic Evaluation of Central-Station Solar Photovoltaic Power Plants [35].
Tables 6-2 through 6-8 summarize the design and site assumptions and performance, capital and
operation and maintenance costs, and levelized cost of electricity estimates for conceptual 10MW central-station PV power plants for 22 combinations of six PV technologies and four sites
in the United States. The assumptions and results are addressed in the following sections.
Although the capital costs have changed significantly since the time of the study, the relative cost
and performance for different technologies and locations still offer useful comparisons.
6-13
Solar Photovoltaics
Table 6-2 describes the six PV technologies that were analyzed. They are fixed-tilt flat plate
modules using crystalline silicon (c-Si), thin-film amorphous silicon (a-Si) , thin-film cadmium
telluride (CdTe) and thin film copper indium gallium (di)selenide (CIGS); single-axis tracking
modules using c-Si cells; and two-axis tracking, multijunction concentrating PV modules (CPV).
The system designs are based on current best practices for North American utility-scale
photovoltaic plants.
Table 6-3 provides information on the four PV project sites: Las Vegas, Nevada; Alamosa,
Colorado; Jacksonville, Florida; and Columbus, Ohio. They were chosen to be representative of
a range of site conditions in different regions of the United States. Region 1 is a location with
high direct normal insolation (DNI), little cloud cover and high ambient temperatures, typical of
the arid zones lower than 5000 feet in the desert Southwest (Arizona, California, Nevada, Texas
and New Mexico). Region 2 is a location with high DNI, little cloud cover and low ambient
temperatures, typical of Rocky Mountain areas with locations above 5000 feet in Arizona,
Colorado, Utah and New Mexico. Region 3 is a location with high global horizontal insolation
(GHI), dense cloud cover, high humidity and high ambient temperature. This region is
considered typical of southeast-coastal Texas, the southern States and Florida (excluding the
southernmost coastal areas). Region 4 is a location with low GHI, cold winters with variable
skies and hot humid summers with frequent dense cloud cover. This region is considered typical
of New England and the Northern and Midwestern states.
Table 6-2
PV technology summary
PV Technology
Fixed-Tilt Thin Film
Amorphous Silicon
Fixed-Tilt Thin FilmCadmium
Telluride
Single-Axis Tracking
Crystalline Silicon
Fixed Tilt Thin FilmCIGS
Abbreviation
Description
a-Si
CdTe
SAT c-Si
CIGS
c-Si
Concentrating Photovoltaic
CPV
6-14
Solar Photovoltaics
Table 6-3
Photovoltaic site assumptions
Region #
Description
Site
Irradiance1
Ambient
Temperature
Cloud Cover
Desert Southwest
Las Vegas,
Nevada
High DNI
High
Low
Rocky Mountain
Alamosa,
Colorado
High DNI
Low
Low
South-Central U.S.
Jacksonville,
Florida
High GHI
High
Northeastern and
Midwestern U.S.
Columbus,
Ohio
Low GHI
High in summer,
Low in winter
High in summer,
low in winter
Although not analyzed in this study, coastal areas of the Pacific Northwest are expected to have
less favorable economics than the other four locations as they present low insolation and dense
cloud cover for a significant part of the year. However, as PV prices become more competitive
this region also is experiencing increased PV deployment activity.
The terrain conditions of each project site are assumed to be either flat or a location with a
topography and cover that does not incur a significant cost to clear and grade flat in preparation
for the construction of the PV power plant.
6.2.3.2.2 Plant Performance Estimates
Table 6-4 summarizes the estimated first-year power generation and annual capacity factors of
each of the 22 conceptual PV power plants. The annual capacity factor estimates represent the first
year of operation, after which they decline gradually as the PV modules age. They range from
14.4% for the fixed-flat plate CdTe and c-Si systems in Columbus, Ohio to 27.9% for the
concentrating PV system in Alamosa, Colorado. The assumed degradation rate is 0.75% per year.
6-15
Solar Photovoltaics
Table 6-4
First-year electricity generation and capacity factors
Technology
Fixed a-Si
Fixed CdTe
Fixed CIGS
Fixed Crystalline
Concentrating
Solar PV
Location
AC Capacity Factor
Las Vegas, NV
21,513
24.6%
Alamosa, CO
20,052
22.9%
Jacksonville, FL
16,434
18.8%
Columbus, OH
13,963
15.9%
Las Vegas, NV
23,220
26.5%
Alamosa, CO
21,833
24.9%
Jacksonville, FL
18,145
20.7%
Columbus, OH
15,445
17.6%
Las Vegas, NV
24,517
28.0%
Alamosa, CO
24,862
28.4%
Jacksonville, FL
18,828
21.5%
Columbus, OH
16,408
18.7%
Las Vegas, NV
22,340
25.5%
Alamosa, CO
20,833
23.8%
Jacksonville, FL
17,120
19.5%
Columbus, OH
14,577
16.6%
Las Vegas, NV
21,153
24.1%
Alamosa, CO
19,760
22.6%
Jacksonville, FL
16,325
18.6%
Columbus, OH
14,099
16.1%
Las Vegas, NV
24,294
27.7%
Alamosa, CO
24,416
27.9%
Table 6-5 summarizes the total capital requirement estimates for the conceptual solar PV plants.
The reference date of the cost estimates is 4th quarter 2011.
The total capital requirement consists of the total plant cost, escalation and interest during
construction, and owners costs. The total plant cost includes PV equipment procurement and
transportation, balance-of-plant direct labor and material, and indirect and EPC construction
costs. The total plant investment is the sum of total plant cost and escalation and interest during
construction (also known as allowance for funds used during construction, or AFUDC). The total
6-16
Solar Photovoltaics
capital requirement is the sum of total plant investment and owners costs (due diligence,
permitting, legal, development, land, taxes, and fees). Larger projects generally benefit from
economies of scale and this is reflected in the cost estimates. The assumed land cost is $10,000
per acre.
The total capital requirements of the six PV technologies are assumed to be the same at the four
locations. As shown in Table 6-5, they range between $3,275/kW76 (net ac) for the fixed-tilt poly
crystalline (c-Si) systems and $3,900/kW for the single-axis tracking mono crystalline (c-Si)
systems.
6.2.3.2.4 Operation and Maintenance Cost
Operation and maintenance (O&M) cost consists of scheduled maintenance and cleaning,
unscheduled maintenance, inverter replacement reserve, and insurance, property taxes and
owners costs. As shown in Table 6-6, the O&M costs range from $19.7/kW-yr for the fixed-tilt
poly-crystalline (c-Si) system to $24.6/kW-yr for the two-axis tracking system (CPV). Scheduled
maintenance and module cleaning are the largest components of the O&M cost.
6.2.3.2.5 Levelized Cost of Electricity
The levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) is a measure of the life-cycle cost of electricity, and
provides a consistent basis for comparing the economics of the projects evaluated across all of
the technologies and locations. The LCOE is calculated using a model that sums the present
values of the annual O&M and capital-related costs and amortizes the result to yield the levelized
cost. The capital component of LCOE is a function of the total capital requirement and the
economic assumptions.
Table 6-7 summarizes the LCOE estimates for each of the technologies and locations, and both
with and without the 30% federal investment tax credit (ITC). The 30% ITC expires at the end of
2016 while the parallel non-expiring 10% investment tax credit for solar facilities will continue
beyond 2016. With the 30% ITC, the LCOE varies between $112/MWh for the two-axis tracked
high concentration PV/Alamosa, Colorado case and $195/MWh for the fixed tilt thin film
CdTe/Columbus, Ohio case. Without the tax credit, the LCOE varies between $175/MWh and
$305/MWh for the same technologies and locations.
All costs are in 4th quarter 2011 U.S. dollars, and the levelized costs assume 20-year plant life,
55/45 debt-equity ratio, 7.0%/yr interest on debt, 11%/yr return on equity, 3%/yr, inflation and
escalation of operation and maintenance costs, five-year MACRS tax depreciation, 40% income
tax rate, 30% investment tax credit, and no production tax credit.
76
According to market research analysts and PV installers, average megawatt-scale PV installation prices have
fallen to approximately $2,600/kW as of 4Q2012.
6-17
Solar Photovoltaics
Table 6-5
Utility-scale solar photovoltaic power plant total capital requirement estimates (4th Quarter 2011$)
PV Technology
Fixed-Tilt
a-Si $/kW
Fixed-Tilt
CdTe $/kW
Fixed-Tilt
CIGS $/kW
Single
Axis
Tracking
C-Si $/kW
Fixed Tilt
C-Si $/kW
2-Axis
Tracking
Conc. PV
$/kW
$363
$381
$312
$159
$263
Inverter + Installation
$303
$303
$303
$303
$303
DC Wiring
$517
$484
$437
$383
$349
Substation + MV System
$145
$145
$145
$145
$145
$15
$15
$15
$15
$15
$498
$606
$383
$910
$315
$1,842
$1,935
$1,595
$1,916
$1,390
Engineering + Management
$141
$148
$141
$158
$135
Contingency + Profit
$177
$186
$176
$198
$169
$318
$334
$316
$356
$304
$1,014
$1,191
$1,338
$1,379
$1,379
$1,502
$3,173
$3,460
$3,250
$3,651
$3,074
$3,318
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$3,173
$3,460
$3,250
$3,651
$3,074
$3,318
$239
$244
$224
$250
$202
$241
$3,412
$3,704
$3,474
$3,900
$3,275
$3,559
DAS/SCADA
Mounting System
Total Direct Balance of Plant Costs
$1,815
Modules
Total Plant Cost
Escalation and Interest During Construction
Total Plant Investment
Total Owner's Cost
Total Capital Requirement
6-18
Solar Photovoltaics
Table 6-6
Utility-scale solar photovoltaic power plant operation and maintenance cost estimates (4th Quarter 2011$)
Fixed-Tilt
Plate a-Si
$/kW-yr
Fixed-Tilt
Plate CdTe
$/kW-yr
Fixed-Tilt
Plate c-Si
$/kW-yr
Fixed-Tilt
CIGS
$/kW-yr
Single Axis
Tracking
C-Si $/kW-yr
2-Axis
Tracking
Conc. PV
$/kW-yr
$11.0
$10.5
$9.7
$10.6
$11.1
$14.6
Unscheduled Maintenance
$0.5
$0.5
$0.5
$0.5
$0.5
$0.5
$6.0
$5.9
$5.9
$6.0
$5.9
$5.9
Subtotal O&M
$17.5
$16.9
$16.1
$17.1
$17.5
$21.0
$3.6
$3.6
$3.6
$3.6
$3.6
$3.6
Total O&M
$21.1
$20.5
$19.7
$20.7
$21.1
$24.6
PV Technology
Operation and Maintenance Cost
6-19
Solar Photovoltaics
Table 6-7
Levelized cost of electricity with and without 30% investment tax credit (4th Quarter 2011$)
Technology
Fixed a-Si
Fixed CdTe
Single-Axis
Tracking
Crystalline
Fixed CIGS
Fixed
Crystalline
Concentrating
Solar PV
6-20
Las Vegas, NV
$134
$208
Alamosa, CO
$136
$210
Jacksonville, FL
$160
$249
Columbus, OH
$192
$299
Las Vegas, NV
$133
$206
Alamosa, CO
$132
$206
Jacksonville, FL
$156
$244
Columbus, OH
$195
$305
Las Vegas, NV
$131
$203
Alamosa, CO
$119
$188
Jacksonville, FL
$157
$246
Columbus, OH
$183
$287
Las Vegas, NV
$131
$202
Alamosa, CO
$131
$204
Jacksonville, FL
$156
$243
Columbus, OH
$185
$289
Las Vegas, NV
$128
$198
Alamosa, CO
$129
$201
Jacksonville, FL
$154
$240
Columbus, OH
$181
$282
Las Vegas, NV
$120
$183
Alamosa, CO
$112
$175
Location
Solar Photovoltaics
Figure 6-7
LCOE probabilistic analysis: fixed a-Si modules, Las Vegas, NV (4th Quarter 2011$)
Table 6-8 summarizes the performance, capital, and O&M cost estimates for the six PV
technologies.
6-21
Solar Photovoltaics
Table 6-8
Utility-scale solar photovoltaic power plant performance and cost estimate summary (4th Quarter 2011$)
Fixed-Tilt
c-Si $/kWyr
Fixed Tilt
Thin Film
CIGS
$/kW-yr
Single
AxisTracking
c-Si $/kW-yr
2-Axis
Tracking
CPV $/kW-yr
10 1 MW
10 1 MW
10 1 MW
10 1 MW
10 x 1 MW
2012
2012
2012
2012
2012
Fixed-Tilt
Thin Film
a-Si $/kWyr
Fixed-Tilt
Thin Film
CdTe $/kWyr
10 1 MW
2012
PV Technology
2012
2012
2012
2012
2012
2012
Jan-12
Jan-12
Jan-12
Jan-12
Jan-12
Jan-12
$1,842
$1,935
$1,390
$1,595
$1.916
$1,815
$318
$334
$304
$316
$356
PV Modules
$1,014
$1,191
$1,379
$1,338
$1,379
$1,502
3,173
$3,460
$3,074
$3,250
$3,651
$3,318
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$3,173
$3,460
$3074
$3,250
$3,651
$3,318
$239
$244
$202
$224
$250
$241
$3,412
$3,704
$3,275
$3,474
$3,900
$3,559
$21.1
$20.6
$19.8
$20.8
$21.1
$24.6
Las Vegas, NV
22.6%
22.2%
22.4%
25.0%
26.9%
27.7%
Alamosa, CO
19.1%
20.7%
21.1%
25.3%
26.8%
27.9%
Jacksonville, FL
17.0%
16.9%
16.9%
18.4%
19.6%
Columbus, OH
14.6%
14.6%
14.4%
15.8%
16.9%
6-22
Solar Photovoltaics
Table 6-8 (continued)
Utility-scale solar photovoltaic power plant performance and cost estimate summary
Fixed-Tilt
c-Si
$/kW-yr
Fixed Tilt
Thin Film
CIGS
$/kW-yr
Single
AxisTracking
c-Si $/kW-yr
3.8%
3.8%
3.8%
3.8%
1.0%
1.0%
1.0%
1.0%
2.0%
95%
95%
95%
95%
94%
20
20
20
20
20
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Simplified
Simplified
Simplified
Simplified
Simplified
Fixed-Tilt
Thin Film
a-Si $/kWyr
Fixed-Tilt
Thin Film
CdTe $/kWyr
3.8%
PV Technology
2-Axis
Tracking
CPV $/kW-yr
Unit Availability
6-23
Solar Photovoltaics
$100,000
$10,000
$1,000
$100
0.0001
0.001
0.01
0.1
Figure 6-8
Worldwide average PV module selling price vs. cumulative sales
6-24
10
100
1000
T.M. Peterson 09/23/10
Solar Photovoltaics
Figure 6-9
Trends in worldwide average PV module selling price vs. cumulative sales
Source: Navigant Consulting
Solar Photovoltaics
Location
Global
Latitude Tilt
(kWh/m2/yr)
Global
Maximum
Direct
1-Axis
Wind Speed
Normal
Tracking
(mph)
(kWh/m2/yr)
(kWh/m2/yr)
Dry
Bulb
(C)
Wet Bulb
(C)
City
City
Cost
Index
Factor
El Paso, TX
2434
2921
2631
70
17.4
20.5
0.850
Albuquerque, NM
2401
2881
2566
90
13.8
18.9
0.927
Phoenix, AZ
2394
2873
2496
75
21.3
24.4
0.977
Carrisa Plains, CA
2345
2814
2445
70
20.1
26.5
1.100
Ely, NV
2230
2676
2377
74
6.7
15.6
1.062
Fresno, CA
2169
2603
2243
43
16.8
22.2
1.112
Dodge City, KS
2055
2466
2103
78
12.7
23.3
0.950
Santa Maria, CA
2039
2447
1947
60
13.8
18.3
1.130
Fort Worth, TX
1877
2252
1764
68
19.0
25.6
0.951
Columbia, MO
2058
2470
1552
54
12.5
25.6
0.987
10
Apalachicola, FL
1866
2239
1639
67
19.8
26.6
0.900
11
Brownsville, TX
1868
2242
1587
106
18.2
26.7
0.860
12
Omaha, NE
1767
2120
1652
109
9.7
25.6
0.950
13
Great Falls, MT
1715
2058
1641
82
7.2
17.8
0.952
14
Bismarck, ND
1707
2048
1641
72
5.2
22.8
0.880
15
Medford, OR
1699
2039
1582
60
11.6
21.1
1.080
16
Cape Hatteras, NC
1747
2096
1504
110
16.5
25.5
0.820
17
Miami, FL
1802
2162
1418
132
24.1
26.1
0.930
18
Charleston, SC
1690
2028
1354
76
18.2
27.2
0.836
19
Lake Charles, LA
1652
1982
1285
69
20.2
26.7
0.920
20
Nashville, TN
1589
1907
1279
73
15.2
25.6
0.843
21
Madison, WI
1554
1865
1304
77
7.2
25.0
0.939
22
6-26
Solar Photovoltaics
Table 6-9 (continued)
Site data for 27 locations in the continental United States
Solar Insolation
Location
Global
Latitude Tilt
(kWh/m2/yr)
Global
Maximum
Direct
1-Axis
Wind Speed
Normal
Tracking
(mph)
(kWh/m2/yr)
(kWh/m2/yr)
Dry
Bulb
(C)
Wet Bulb
(C)
City
City
Cost
Index
Factor
Washington, DC
1559
1871
1287
78
12.1
25.6
0.970
23
Caribou, ME
1418
1702
1183
76
3.8
21.7
0.885
24
Boston, MA
1421
1705
1160
87
10.7
23.9
1.073
25
New York, NY
1402
1682
1087
113
12.5
24.4
1.127
26
Seattle, WA
1299
1559
999
65
10.6
19.7
1.051
27
A critical aspect of evaluating economic feasibility is obtaining the correct solar resource, utility
tariff, and incentive data applicable to the specific customer. The Estimator contains databases
for this purpose that are regularly updated to ensure that Estimator licensees are using accurate
data. Table 6-10 describes the contents of the Estimator databases.
Many of the Estimator databases are indexed to locations. Once a location is selected, the
databases provide available utility tariffs for that location. The Estimator is normally configured
to use a default tariff, but it allows the user to select from all tariffs offered by the utility. In
addition, the selected location determines the available federal, state, and utility economic
incentive programs, the solar resource data, income tax rates, and air emissions rates.
Table 6-10
Information included in Clean Power Estimator databases
Database
Description
Solar Resource
Utility Incentives
State Incentives
Federal Incentives
Electricity Tariffs
Over 1300 tariffs for residential and commercial customers, including net
metering tariffs; provides wide flexibility in capturing the range of tariff
structures, including seasonal variations, time of day variations, metering
charges, energy pricing, demand pricing, energy and demand tiers, sell-back
pricing, fuel cost adjustments, public programs, and other special charges;
tariffs are updated using the Estimators semi-automated monitoring tools
Tax rate schedules reflect tax filing status, such as personal income for
married couples filing jointly, individuals, corporations, etc., for all states
6-27
Solar Photovoltaics
Table 6-10 (continued)
Information included in Clean Power Estimator databases
Database
Description
Depreciation Schedules
Environmental
Emissions Factors
Air emissions (CO2, SO2, and NOX) offset rates by state based on regional mix
of sources, such as coal, gas, diesel, hydro, and nuclear
The case studies below show how cost estimates are derived for rooftop PV systems of both
residential and commercial sizes in five different geographical, regulatory, and tariff situations in
the United States. These examples demonstrate that factors such as incentives and rate structures
can be as important as local solar resource to customer economics when deploying a distributed
PV system.
6.2.5.3 Hypothetical Case Studies
Assumed capital costs are based on the median total system cost (per kWdc nameplate rating) for
completed California Solar Initiative (CSI) incentive applications with a reservation request
review date of April through September 2010, rounded to the nearest $100 per kW [47].
Residential systems are assumed to have a total installed cost of $6,500 per kWdc, and
commercial systems have a cost of $6,000 per kWdc. (Table 6-17 illustrates the cost impacts of
various utility, state, and federal incentives.) The net capital cost on a CEC-rating basis ($/kWac)
is also included for reference. The tabulated values are the net costs to consumers making the
investments, after all incentives and tax impacts are taken into account.
The Estimator methodology was applied to 10 case studies located in five utility territories across
the country. These represent a range of meteorological conditions, electric rates, net metering
availability, and incentive policies. The 10 cases are defined in Table 6-11.
Table 6-11
Rooftop case-study electric-rate scenarios
6-28
State
Case Name
Tariff
NY
LIPA Residential
NY
LIPA Commercial
OH
FirstEnergy Residential
Residential Service
OH
FirstEnergy Commercial
General Service
AL
AL
AZ
SRP Residential
AZ
SRP Commercial
CA
PG&E Residential
CA
PG&E Commercial
Solar Photovoltaics
The assumed annual electric bill for each case-study customer was $1200 for residential
systems and $20,000 for commercial systems. Using these values along with specific rate details
(fixed charges, demand charges, energy charges), seasonal variations, and hourly load profiles,
the corresponding annual consumptions were was calculated.77 Table 6-12 shows annual
consumption and comparative average electricity prices (including all cost components) for the
10 scenarios.
Systems are assumed to have a dc rating (i.e., the sum of all the PV modules Standard Test
Condition [STC] nameplate ratings) of 5 kW for residential systems and 10 kW for commercial
systems. System performance was modeled using actual equipment characteristics assuming
south facing module orientation with tilt angle equal to the local latitude and no shading.78
CEC-AC system ratings and estimated annual performance by location are shown in Table 6-13,
and capital costs are given in Table 6-14.
77
Load profiles by region are included in the Clean Power Estimator database. The data include relative hourly
values by month (12 month 24 hour matrices). All days within a given month are assumed to be identical.
78
PV modules selected were BP Solar model MST-50, rated at 50 W (100 modules for residential and 200 modules
for commercial). Inverters were Xantrex model PV-5208, rated at 5 kW, and PV-10208, rated at 10 kW, for
residential and commercial systems, respectively.
6-29
Solar Photovoltaics
Table 6-12
Rooftop case-study utility rates
Residential
Commercial
LIPA
First
Energy
Alabama
Power
SRP
PG&E
LIPA
First
Energy
Alabama
Power
SRP
PG&E
1,200
1,200
1,200
1,200
1,200
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
20,000
6,215
6,576
10,319
10,620
7,511
126,434
142,407
199,559
219,838
130,435
0.193
0.182
0.116
0.113
0.160
0.158
0.140
0.100
0.091
0.153
Table 6-13
Rooftop case-study system performance
Residential
Commercial
LIPA
First
Energy
Alabama
Power
SRP
PG&E
LIPA
First
Energy
Alabama
Power
SRP
PG&E
42
40
33
33
37
42
40
33
33
37
System Rating
(kWac, CEC-AC*)
4.47
4.47
4.47
4.47
4.47
8.57
8.57
8.57
8.57
8.57
6,162
5,545
6,624
8,322
7,274
11,805
10,623
12,691
15,997
14,056
15.7
14.2
16.9
21.3
18.6
15.7
14.2
16.9
21.3
18.7
Latitude (N)
* The CEC-AC rating is calculated from the PV-USA Test Conditions (PTC) module dc rating (1000-W/m2 insolation, 20C ambient temperature, 10-m
above grade, 1-m/s wind) and the system inverter efficiency. Although the CEC-AC rating does use the more real world PTC measure of module
performance, rather than the industry-standard STC rating, it ignores other typical system losses, such as module mismatching and field-wiring resistance.
Therefore, it is still an optimistic measure of total system output in most cases.
6-30
Solar Photovoltaics
Table 6-14
Rooftop case-study capital costs
Residential
Commercial
LIPA
First
Energy
Alabama
Power
SRP
PG&E
LIPA
First
Energy
Alabama
Power
SRP
PG&E
6,500
6,500
6,500
6,500
6,500
6,000
6,000
6,000
6,000
6,000
7,270
7,270
7,270
7,270
7,270
7,000
7,000
7,000
7,000
7,000
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
60,000
60,000
60,000
60,000
60,000
Incentives
LIPA Buydown
(17,500)
OH PV Rebate
(15,000)
(30,000)
(1,549)
(2,993)
(15,000)
(10,037)
AZ Tax Credit
(1,000)
(6,000)
NY Tax Credit
(5,000)
(9,750)
(5,250)
(9,750)
(8,250)
(9,285)
(18,000)
(18,000)
(18,000)
(18,000)
(18,000)
Taxes on Incentives
LIPA Buydown
13,633
4,457
11,778
AZ Tax Credit
2,465
NY Tax Credit
1,650
19,400
12,250
22,750
18,580
21,666
31,316
23,883
42,000
31,877
40,025
4,340
2,740
5,089
4,157
4,847
3,654
2,787
4,901
3,720
4,670
6-31
Solar Photovoltaics
Finally, Table 6-15 shows the economic results, in terms of both simple payback and the internal
rate of return. These results vary enormously, with simple payback ranging more than a factor of
4, from 13 to 57 years.
The best possible results would benefit from all four primary driving factors:
Availability of incentives
The least economic residential case of those studied is the one at Alabama Power. Although its
performance (capacity factor of 16.9%) is in the middle of the range, it has nearly the lowest
average retail electricity price ($0.116/kWh), net metering is not offered, and there are no
incentives other than the federal investment tax credit that is available to all systems.
Table 6-15
Rooftop case-study economic-analysis results
Residential
Commercial
LIPA
First
Energy
Alabama
Power
SRP
PG&E
LIPA
First
Energy
Alabama
Power
SRP
PG&E
1122
970
402
779
1146
2024
1659
1406
1419
2285
Simple Payback
(years)
17
13
57
24
19
15
14
30
22
18
IRR (%)
7.0
10.4
<0
4.2
6.1
15.3
20.9
7.6
11.8
11.7
The most economically attractive case studied is the commercial system in First Energys
territory. Although its performance is the lowest of the group (14.2% capacity factor), the utility
does offer net metering, the incentives available are the most generous, and the retail electricity
price is above the commercial-case average. It is particularly interesting to compare the LIPA
and SRP commercial cases. They have comparable incentive levels so that their net costs are
similar, and they both offer net metering. However, SRPs far better solar resource (21.3%
versus LIPAs 15.7% capacity factor) fails to offset the advantage of LIPAs higher electric
rate so that the LIPA system is a rather more attractive investment.
6.2.5.4 Central Station PV Cost and Performance Methodology
This section presents and illustrates a methodology to estimate the performance and cost of
central-station PV power plants using fixed flat-plate, one-axis, and two-axis tracking. Tracking
systems maximize the power output of a particular PV array but also add to its cost and
mechanical complexity. The source of the 2010 PV cost and performance estimates is the 2010
EPRI report, Engineering and Economic Evaluation of Central-Station Solar Photovoltaic
Power Plants [42].
6-32
Solar Photovoltaics
The resulting estimates represent technology available for commercial order in a given year and
site conditions that include annual insolation, average ambient temperature, and a city cost index.
Because solar PV technology is continually evolving, the projections are based on an assumed
future technology development and market scenario. Hence, these performance and cost
projections are subject to considerable positive and negative uncertainty, especially in the out
years. To evaluate the economics of future central-station PV, three possible technologies are
evaluated below and each is evaluated for various years. For fixed flat-plate PV systems, the
example assumes a scenario of thin-film PV technology evolution, based initially on singlejunction copper indium-gallium diselenide or cadmium telluride technology and evolving to
multi-junction technology involving copper indium diselenide, cadmium telluride, and perhaps
other materials in later years. The overall system efficiency (solar energy to ac power) will
increase from approximately 10% in 2010 to 14.2% by the year 2030. This assumes that the
commercial module efficiency increases from 12% in 2010 to 17% by 2030.
For the one-axis tracking flat-plate PV systems, the development scenario assumes crystalline
silicon PV technology. The overall system efficiency (solar energy to ac power) will increase
from 14.7% in 2010 to 20% by the year 2030. This assumes that the commercial module
efficiency increases from 17% in 2010 to 24% by 2030. Note that the addition of one-axis
tracking also increases the solar input by 20%, relative to the fixed flat-plate system.
For the two-axis tracking, high-concentration PV system, the development scenario assumes that
the technology uses a point-focus, gallium arsenide cell system with 1000x concentration. The
overall system efficiency will increase from 21.7% in 2010 to 40% by 2030. The corresponding
cell efficiencies range from 27% in 2010 to 50% in 2030. The rated outputs are 17,000 kWac in
2010 and 68,000 kWac in 2030.
The capital cost of solar PV power plants is a function of the performance of the solar collectors,
the plant rating and number of modules, and the delivered cost of the modules, arrays, trackers,
controls, power conversion system, and the other balance-of-plant components. O&M cost is a
function of the solar collector area, the complexity of the solar tracking and control system, and
the failure and replacement rates of the plant components. As the technology advances over time,
performance improves, component costs drop, and the market for PV technology will grow,
significantly reducing unit capital and O&M costs.
Tables 6-16 through 6-18 provide estimates of cost and performance for each the three PV
system examples as a function of the year of commercial order. The data are extrapolated from
the May 2010 Engineering and Economic Evaluation of Central-Station Solar Photovoltaic
Power Plants report [42] using staff judgment based on historic PV cost and performance trends.
Performance data include system conversion efficiencies and rated outputs (Wac/m2). Cost data
include collector area and projections of total plant cost ($/m2 and $/kWac), O&M cost ($/m2/yr
and $/kWac/yr), and land lease cost (% of revenues, $/kWh) for two kWac output ratings: (1) the
nominal output rating of plants to be installed in a given year; and (2) scaled to an output rating
of 5 MWac. Table 6-19 lists scaling factors that are used to scale the solar collector area, total
plant cost, and O&M cost estimates to different plant ratings.
6-33
Solar Photovoltaics
Table 6-16
Solar PV power plant capital, O&M, and lease cost projections for
fixed flat-plate thin-film photovoltaic power plants (Dec 2009$)
Commercial Order Year
2020
2030
System Efficiency
13%
15%
130
150
50,000
200,000
380,000
1,300,000
$180
$110
TPC ($/kWac)
$1,400
$730
O&M ($/m2/yr)
$3.0
$2.0
O&M ($/kWac/yr)
$23
$13
38,000
33,000
Total ($/kWac)
$1,500
$810
O&M ($/kWac/yr)
$32
$23
3%
3%
Collector Area (m )
Total Installed Cost ($/m2)
Costs Scaled to 5 MW
Table 6-17
Solar PV power plant capital, O&M, and lease cost projections for one-axis tracking
crystalline silicon flat-plate photovoltaic power plants (Dec 2009$)
Commercial Order Year
2020
2030
System Efficiency
18%
20%
180
200
50,000
200,000
280,000
1,000,000
$250
$150
TPC ($/kWac)
$1,400
$750
O&M ($/m2/yr)
$4.50
$3.00
$25
$15
28,000
25,000
Total ($/kWac)
$1,500
$830
O&M ($/kWac/yr)
$35
$26
3%
3%
Collector Area (m )
Total Installed Cost ($/m2)
O&M ($/kWac/yr)
Costs Scaled to 5 MW
6-34
Solar Photovoltaics
Table 6-18
Solar PV power plant capital, O&M, and lease cost projections for two-axis
tracking high concentration photovoltaic power plants (Dec 2009$)
Commercial Order Year
2015
2020
2030
System Efficiency
28%
32%
40%
240
270
340
20,000
50,000
200,000
84,000
180,000
590,000
1000
1000
1000
$600
$390
$250
$2,500
$1,400
$740
$10.00
$6.50
$5.00
$42
$24
$15
21,000
18,000
15,000
Total ($/kWac)
$2,800
$1,700
$920
O&M ($/kWac/yr)
$51
$33
$25
3%
3%
3%
Collector Area (m )
Concentration Ratio
2
Table 6-19
Solar PV power plant capital and O&M cost scaling factors vs. rated plant output relative
to a 5-MWac plant
Total Plant Cost Factor
Rated
Output
(kWac)
Fixed
Flat Plate
1-Axis
Flat Plate
2-Axis
HCPV
Fixed
Flat Plate
1-Axis
Flat Plate
2-Axis
HCPV
10
2.33
2.33
2.55
2.75
2.75
2.51
50
1.87
1.87
2.12
2.12
1.98
100
1.7
1.7
1.8
1.89
1.89
1.78
500
1.37
1.37
1.41
1.45
1.45
1.41
1000
1.24
1.24
1.27
1.3
1.3
1.27
5000
10,000
0.97
0.97
0.95
0.9
0.9
0.91
20,000
0.95
0.95
0.89
0.82
0.82
0.82
50,000
0.92
0.92
0.83
0.72
0.72
0.73
100,000
0.9
0.9
0.8
0.63
0.63
0.65
200,000
0.9
0.9
0.8
0.57
0.57
0.59
6-35
Solar Photovoltaics
As described in the steps below, the annual power generation is calculated by multiplying the
annual insolation estimate for the site from Table 6-9 by the system efficiency from Tables 6-16
through 6-18. The system efficiency allows for soiling, energy collection, power conversion,
step-up transformer, availability, and other losses within the power plant, but excludes substation
losses.
The performance estimating procedure involves the following steps:
1. Obtain insolation and other site data from Table 6-9 and the system efficiency and rated
output corresponding to the PV technology and year of commercial order from Table 6-16
for fixed flat-plate, Table 6-17 for one-axis tracking flat-plate, and Table 6-18 for two-axis
tracking concentrator technologies.
2. Calculate the required solar collector area (m2) by dividing the kW rating of the plant at
standard conditions (kWac) by the rated output (Wac/m2) corresponding to the year of
commercial order:
Collector Area (m2) = [(Plant Rating, kWac)/(Rated Output, Wac/m2)] x 1000
3. Calculate the annual power generation by multiplying the annual insolation (kWh/m2/yr)
by the system efficiency (%) and the collector area (m2):
Annual Power Generation (kWh/yr) =
4. (Annual Insolation, kWh/m2/yr) (System Efficiency, %) (Collector Area, m2)
For a 1000-kWac one-axis tracking flat-plate solar PV power plant, ordered in 2010 and a plant
site near El Paso, Texas, the following steps are used:
1. The one-axis tracking insolation rate for El Paso is 2921 kWh/m2/yr % (from Table 6-8).
For the one-axis tracking flat-plate PV system ordered in 2010, the Rated Output is 147
Wac/m2 and the system efficiency is 14.7% (from Table 6-17).
2. The required solar collector area is: Collector Area (m2) = (1000 kWac)/(147 Wac/m2) 1000
= 6,803 m2
3. The net annual power generation is:
Annual Power Generation (kWh/yr) =
(2921 kWh/m2/yr) (14.7%) x (6,803 m2) = 2,921,000 kWh/yr
6.2.5.4.2 Example Capital and O&M Cost Calculations
The total plant cost includes all direct and indirect construction costs, sales tax, engineering and
procurement costs, and contingencies. The O&M cost includes all labor and material required to
operate and routinely maintain the plant as well as allowances for periodic repair and
replacement of failed modules and other components. If applicable, the lease cost covers the cost
of leasing the land for the plant site.
6-36
Solar Photovoltaics
Solar Photovoltaics
Land-use concerns for most PV deployments are minimal. In operation, PV produces no liquid
or solid waste and requires no fuel handling. In most applications, PV is installed on a building
rooftop, a parking structure, or available nearby land. Building-integrated PV is incorporated
directly into a buildings roofing, siding, or glass surfaces.
Only large utility-scale, industrial, or military PV installations demand large areas of dedicated
land. In most cases, such land consists of inhospitable, desert-like terrain of little use for
alternative development but which nevertheless raises concerns about habitat disruption. In late
2009, potential conflicts between solar power and wildlife habitat were spotlighted with Sen.
Dianne Feinsteins (D-CA) introduction of the California Desert Protection Act of 2010 (S.2921),
which at this writing in December 2012 is pending. The act sets aside approximately 2.5 million
acres of the Mojave Desert for conservation by expanding Death Valley National Park, Joshua
Tree National Park, and the Mojave National Preserve, as well as establishing the new Mojave
Trails National Monument and Sand to Snow National Monument. Several solar power projects
mostly solar thermal but also photovoltaichad been slated for siting on land that will be off
limits to development if the bill passes. Press reports claimed that as many as 13 solar power
project developers cancelled proposals rather than work around the restrictions. However, of
possible benefit to solar projects, Section 203 of the bill addresses renewable energy and requires
the Bureau of Land Management, Department of Defense, and U.S. Forest Service to undertake
environmental studies and identify federal land where such projects could be expedited. In July
2012, the Bureau of Land Management released a roadmap for solar energy development on
federal lands in seventeen zones across six states. The Programmatic Environmental Impact
Statement (PEIS) intends to streamline permitting and provide other incentives for large-scale
solar projects in regions identified as having good solar resource, transmission, and other favorable
project development characteristics. In general, environmental impacts on native plants and
wildlife can be minimized with proper planning and management.
Interestingly, the land-use impacts of PV can compare very favorably with those of other
generation options such as hydroelectric power. For example, one can contrast the output of
Hoover Dam to that of a hypothetical PV installation occupying the same land area as Lake
Mead (which is formed by the Colorado River behind Hoover Dam and provides the water to
turn its hydro turbines):
(Typical Annual Insolation Value) (PV Module Efficiency) (Area of Lake Mead) =
(2000 kWh/m2) (10%) (688.6 million m2) = 138 billion kWh per year
Hoover Dam generates an average of four billion kWh per year; its maximum annual net
generation was 10.35 billion kWh in 1984. Thus, on average, Hoover Dam/Lake Mead produces
just 3% as much electricity as would PV occupying an equivalent amount of land. This comparison
is merely illustrative of the potential energy that could be generated using a given amount of land
area, and obviously does not take into account the many other costs and benefits involved.
6-38
Solar Photovoltaics
Project sizeFor most power-generating technologies, large systems are more cost-effective
per unit capacity. However, due to its modular construction, economies of scale have a much
smaller effect on PV system cost than on the cost of conventional power plants such as
combustion turbines.
Demonstration versus production systemsDemonstration projects are more expensive per
unit of capacity than production systems and, because they are research oriented and employ
new or untested equipment, they can have lower reliability as well.
Overall project planAlthough most structures with the proper orientation and design (roof
support, drainage, etc.) can be readily retrofitted to accept PV, it is preferable to design a
building, subdivision, or business park to optimize the placement of PV from the start.
Structures can be designed with the future deployment of PV in mind even if it is not included
at the time of construction. Although it is also possible to retrofit structures for buildingintegrated PV, incorporated into roofing materials, window glass, facades, and so on, its full
economic and technological benefits are best realized when it is included from design through
completion.
Type of installationGround-mounted systems may benefit from economies of scale
because they can be larger and heavier than roof-mounted systems. However, roof-mounted
systems or building-integrated PV may benefit from savings in land costs or provide
ancillary benefits such as shade or insulation. More sophisticated mounting systems that
move a PV array to track the suns motion on either one axis or two axes can increase the
arrays power output but also add to its cost and mechanical complexity.
Type of developerPV projects can be designed and installed by electric utilities, energy
service companies, solar companies, and private individuals. The system developers
background and experience can make a significant impact on a projects success. For
example, using high-quality components and proper installation practices, an experienced
system integrator can improve the likelihood that a project will be trouble free.
6-39
Solar Photovoltaics
Distribution system issuesUtility distribution companies have concerns about the safety
and power-quality impact of connecting PV to distribution feeders. These interconnection
questions involve such issues as islanding protection, fault contributions, and voltage
regulation. For most small PV systems, recent IEEE and state utility commission standards
have made interconnection more straightforward.
Availability and competitive cost of grid-supplied electricityPV is recognized as costeffective for many off-grid energy applications that are remote from a distribution line. The
technology has advanced to the point where some on-grid applications may also prove costeffective in high-price utility locations when coupled with various tax incentives.
Solar Photovoltaics
system size and location (e.g., water availability, climate and weather conditions, travel
distances, customer vs. utility property), plant technology and architecture (e.g., panel and
inverter types, fixed vs. tracked, performance ratio thresholds), ease of site access (e.g., ground
mount vs. roof mount), as well as the extent that meters, inverters, and monitoring equipment are
deployed at a site, among other factors.
Although occasional panel washing may be necessary, in most climates and locations natural
precipitation limits losses due to dust and grime accumulation to about 10% to 15%. PV modules
are manufactured to withstand a hail-impact test. For glass-encapsulated modules, the primary
environmental hazard is vandalism in cases where its potential is not minimized by the site
design. Lightning is also an infrequent hazard. A typical rooftop PV system located on a home or
business can operate with literally no maintenance for years (as most do). PV O&M strategies
focus on the following three areas:
Corrective or reactive maintenance, which addresses equipment breakdowns after the fact.
The current industry standard break-fix strategy allows for low upfront costs but also
greater risk of component failure and higher back-end costs. It can be lessened by effective
preventive maintenance and condition-based maintenance strategies.
Condition-based maintenance (CBM), which uses real-time data to prioritize and optimize
maintenance and resources. Increasing numbers of third-party providers are developing CBM
plans to improve O&M efficiency, but with some upfront costs for communications and
monitoring software and hardware.
A major distinction among the three approaches is that preventive maintenance requires O&M
action perhaps once or twice per year, whereas corrective or reactive maintenance as needed is
typically less frequent and condition-based maintenance is continuous. Overall, the PV industry
is trending toward O&M approaches that promote greater oversight and management capability.
An EPRI survey of PV O&M knowledge and practices [42] concluded that the O&M costs for
PV systems smaller than 1 MW have ranged from $6/kW to $27/kW, or from less than 1% to 7%
of total system cost over the life of a PV project. While the sample size for the survey was small,
the wide cost range indicates diverse approaches to PV O&M. For utility-scale PV plants, O&M
costs were estimated to vary with the type of technology and tracking schemes involved. Those
estimates are summarized in Table 6-20.
6-41
Solar Photovoltaics
Table 6-20
Utility-scale PV power plant O&M cost estimates (2011$)
O&M Costs
($/kW-yr)
Fixed-Tilt
c-Si
Fixed-Tilt
CdTe
Fixed-Tilt
a-Si
Single-Axis
Tracking c-Si
Fixed Tilt
CIGS
Scheduled
Maintenance/Cleaning
9.7
10.5
11.0
11.1
10.6
Unscheduled
Maintenance
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
Inverter Replacement
Reserve
5.9
5.9
6.0
5.9
6.0
16.1
16.9
17.5
17.5
17.1
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
19.7
20.5
21.1
21.1
20.7
SUBTOTAL O&M
Insurance, Property
Taxes, Owners Costs
TOTAL O&M
2-axis
Tracking
CPV
14.6
0.5
5.9
21.0
3.6
24.6
The optimal and most cost-beneficial means for operating and maintaining PV systems to reduce
downtime and maximize output are still being developed as the industry gains experience. As
this information is documented and disseminated best practices can be identified and adopted.
6.4.3 Grid Connection
Only a very small proportion of PV-equipped facilities operate completely disconnected from the
electric grid, most often for reasons of distance and cost to connect or the owners personal
philosophy of self reliance. Grid-connection provides significant technical and economic
advantages for a PV power system and consequently the majority, more than 95%, of residential,
commercial, industrial and third party PV plants are grid connected.
The electric grid enables renewable power systems to deliver energy and meet varying demand
without the need for a separate energy storage system. Connection also provides a path to the
larger electricity market for PV energy. By virtue of many interconnected sources and loads the
grid provides stability of supply with the capacity to give and take energy when demand changes
or overloads occur. It simplifies the balancing of variations in supply and demand of individual
distributed generators over a wide area. It also provides the quality of supply needed for PV and
end-use equipment, maintaining and regulating the voltage level and power frequency.
A healthy grid is good and necessary for widespread PV deployment; however, because the grid
has been designed, built, and operated based on a centralized generation approach, much of it is
not ready for a high penetration of distributed generation. With continued PV deployment there
is a need to define what a future and more PV-ready distribution grid will look like and how it
will evolve. Grid modernization, concepts that are often labeled as smart grid, can enhance the
value of distributed renewable power while enhancing distributed load control and overall
electric system operating efficiency.
With this evolution in PV penetration, grid planning and operation must also evolve. From
todays requirements in IEEE 1547-2003, Standard for Distributed Resources Interconnected
with Electric Power Systems, interconnection and operating rules are expected to change with
PV penetration level. From a few percent of demand, where PV is not expected to affect
6-42
Solar Photovoltaics
Solar Photovoltaics
6-44
Solar Photovoltaics
Figure 6-10
U.S. shipments of PV by market sector (top) and end use (bottom) in 2009
Source: EIA [16-53]
6-45
Solar Photovoltaics
Internationally, the World Bank, the Global Environmental Facility, regional development
banks, and other national and international programs have made funds available for developing
renewable technology systems, particularly in developing countries such as Indonesia and Brazil.
This financial and technical support has helped provide PV-based systems to areas where electric
service has never been available. The mix of PV applications in different countries varies
according to their particular electricity infrastructures, local demand, incentives and policy
support, and other variables as demonstrated by Figure 6-11. For example, note the
overwhelming fraction of PV dedicated to grid-connected applications in Italy (ITA) due to the
country aggressive solar program, whereas countries such as Australia (AUS) have many offgrid communities and fewer policies supporting deployment.
(MEX = Mexico, CAN = Canada, ISR = Israel, AUS = Australia, SWE = Sweden, DNK =
Denmark, FRA = France, AUT = Austria, CHE = Switzerland, PRT = Portugal, JPN = Japan, ITA
= Italy, CHN = China)
Figure 6-11
Distribution of installed PV applications in countries participating in the International
Energy Agency (IEA) Photovoltaic Power Systems Program in 2011
Source: IEA [35]
Solar Photovoltaics
Capacity (MW)
of the worlds PV capacity (Figure 6-12) with 20 GW of capacity in China in 2011, almost
double the previous year [29]. Note that shipments by region do not coincide with demand. The
majority of installations are in Europe. Many of the leading PV producers are vertically
integrated organizations that refine basic cell materials, produce cells, and assemble modules.
Another type of organization is the module assembly firm, which purchases PV cells from
various manufacturers and adds value by producing modules. A list of the leading PV
manufacturers is provided in the next section.
Figure 6-12
Annual solar cell production by country
Source: Data compiled by the Earth Policy Institute from GTM Research,
http://earth-policy.org/indicators/C47 [43]
6.5.3 Resources
6.5.3.1 Internet Sites
The reader is referred to the following Internet sites for further information. Although these sites
contain information and contacts that may be of interest, EPRI cannot vouch for the accuracy of
their content.
U.S. DOE Energy Office of Efficiency and Renewable Energy
www.eere.energy.gov
U.S. National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)
www.nrel.gov/csp/
6-47
Solar Photovoltaics
6-48
Solar Photovoltaics
6.5.3.2 PV Manufacturers
Note: In rankings compiled by Solar Outlook and Photon International, the companies listed
below were among the largest PV manufacturers in 2010, worldwide. Worth noting is that PV
cell production increased 118% from 2009 levels with almost half of the cell manufacturing
being produced in China. The ranges of production estimates reported here reflect differences in
the source data. These companies are included in this list of contacts for informational purposes
only; no endorsement is implied.
Suntech Power
Suntech, based in Wuxi, China, surpassed 2009 industry leader First Solar to become the top PV
cell producer at 1.58 GW in 2010. In 2009, Suntechs production was only 704 MW, and in 2011
it is 2.4 GW [35].
www.suntech-power.com
JA Solar
JA solar is also based in China, specifically Shabei, China. In 2009 the company produced
approximately 509520 MW of multi-crystalline PV cells. According to the IEA, the 2011
production was 2.8 GW [35]. JA Solars rise is particularly impressive, as the company rose
from being sixth largest manufacturer in 2009 to the second largest in 2010.
www.jasolar.com
First Solar
A manufacturer of CdTe cells/modules, First Solar increased its production from 60 MW in 2006
to approximately 1981 MW in 2011 [35]. It became the first pure thin-film manufacturer to top
the PV production list in 2009. The company is based in Tempe, Arizona.
www.firstsolar.com
Yingli Solar
Yingli is headquartered in Baoding, China. Although founded in 1998, the company only began
producing PV modules in 2002, and in 2009 produced around 525 MW. Production in 2010
increased to over 1,000 MW.
www.yinglisolar.com
6.5.4 Applicable Codes and Standards
Both customers and distribution companies anticipate that adoption of universal standards will
address interconnection requirements, ease the introduction of PV into the marketplace, and
eliminate the complex and sometimes time-consuming or expensive tangle of practices currently
followed. Several respected organizations are leading the drive to create such standards,
including IEEE, Underwriters Laboratories (UL), and the Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission (FERC).
A trend in this area is growing consensus that earlier codes and standards addressing PV
inverters and interconnection were better suited for an environment in which PV on the grid was
rare. As PV becomes commonplace, it appears that more robust and intelligent inverters could be
very helpful in stabilizing the grid during disturbances, rather than immediately disconnecting as
most standards require. This perspective is expected to inform future work on relevant codes and
standards, although it has not yet emerged in the form of new drafts or working group activities.
6-49
Solar Photovoltaics
The following list summarizes the content and status of key interconnection standards already
promulgated or under development. Each standard relies on the precedents the others have set. In
many instances, standards issued by different organizations have been developed cooperatively.
IEEE 929-2000: the IEEE Recommended Practice for Utility Interface of Residential and
Intermediate Photovoltaic Systems, which describes the interface, functions, and requirements
necessary to interconnect a PV power system with the electric grid. It also describes acceptable
and safe practices for accomplishing those functions.
UL 1741: the Standard for Safety for Static Inverters and Charge Controller for Use in
Photovoltaic Power Systems, is closely related to IEEE 929-2000. In fact, UL and IEEE worked
together to ensure that testing procedures described in UL 1741 ensure inverter compliance with
the guidelines established in IEEE 929-2000.
IEEE 1547: the Standard for Distributed Resources Interconnected with Electric Power
Systems. It is seen as a critical milestone for the DG industry. IEEE 1547 provides a uniform
interconnection standard that states and energy companies throughout the U.S. and the world are
expected to use as the basis for their own interconnection practices. The recent Energy Policy
Act of 2005 also includes language encouraging states to adopt IEEE 1547 as the basis for their
interconnection standards.
6.6 References
1. Renewable Energy Technology Characterizations. EPRI and U.S. Department of Energy:
1997. TR-109496.
2. Engineering and Economic Evaluation of Central-Station Photovoltaic Power Plants.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 1992. TR-101255.
3. Capital Requirement and Economic Summary, 50 MW Photovoltaic Fresnel Lens
Concentrator Plant, Scientific Analysis, Inc., EPRI Project RP 2948-8, March 5, 1991.
4. Moskowitz, P.D., National PV Environmental, Health and Safety Information Center:
Bibliography, Brookhaven National Lab, Upton, NY: 1993. Report 11973.
5. Renewable Energy 2000: Issues and Trends, U.S. Energy Information Administration:
February 2001. DOE/EIA-0628.
6. Renewable Energy Annual 2000, U.S. Energy Information Administration: March 2001.
DOE/EIA-0603.
7. Renewable Power Industry Status Overview. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 1998. TR-111893.
8. Photovoltaic Five-Year Market Forecast 20002005, Strategies Unlimited: April 2000.
Report PM-48.
9. 2000 Photovoltaic Industry Competition Analysis, Strategies Unlimited: July 2000.
Report PC-11.
10. Annual Solar Thermal and Photovoltaic Manufacturing Activities Tables, 2000,
U.S. Energy Information Administration, www.eia.doe.gov.
11. Distributed Renewable Energy Generation Impacts on Microgrid Operation and Reliability.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2002. 1004045.
6-50
Solar Photovoltaics
12. CERTS Customer Adoption Model, Consortium for Electric Reliability Technology
Solutions, prepared for the Transmission Reliability Program, Office of Power Technologies,
U.S. Department of Energy by Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley,
California: March 2001. LBNL-47772.
13. Assessment of Rooftop and Building-Integrated PV Systems for Distributed Generation.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2003. 1004204.
14. Photovoltaic Manufacturer Shipments 20002002, Strategies Unlimited: August 2002.
Report PM-51.
15. Bolinger, M., and R. Wiser, Support for PV in Japan and Germany, Case Studies of State
Support for Renewable Energy, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, September 2002.
16. Annual Energy Review 2009, U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), August
2010. DOE/EIA-0384(2009). See also
http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/solar.renewables/page/solarreport/solarpv.html.
17. Hoff, T.E., TAG Case Studies for Clean Power Estimator Model of Distributed PV.
Draft report to EPRI, Clean Power Research, October 2002.
18. Sun Screen II: Investment Opportunities in Solar Power, Credit Lyonnais Securities Asia:
July 2005.
19. Case Studies of Grid-Connected Photovoltaic Systems, Volume 2. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA:
2003. 1004203.
20. Analysis of Worldwide Markets for Photovoltaic Products & Five-Year Application Forecast
2006/2007, Navigant Consulting: August 2007, Report NPS-GLOBAL2.
21. Sharp, T., New Energy for Japan, Cogeneration & On-Site Power Production, James &
James Ltd., London, U.K.: September-October 2003.
22. Photovoltaic Manufacturer Shipments & Profiles, Strategies Unlimited: September 2003.
SUPM 53.
23. Photovoltaic Balance-of-Systems and U.S. Grid-Connected System Price Analysis 2005,
Strategies Unlimited: June 2005. Report PM 56.
24. Green, M.A., Third Generation Photovoltaics: Advanced Solar Energy Conversion,
Springer-Verlag, Berlin (2003).
25. Solar Outlook, Navigant Consulting: February 29, 2010. Issue SO2010-1.
26. U.S. Solar Industry Year in Review, Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA), April 2010.
27. Laying the Foundation for a Solar America: The Million Solar Roofs Initiative, DOE Office
of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), October 2006.
28. Engineering and Economic Evaluation of Central-Station Solar Photovoltaic Power Plants.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2012. 1025005.
29. Development of Renewable Energy Sources in Germany in 2009, Federal Ministry for the
Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety: March 2010.
30. California Solar Initiatives website,
http://www.californiasolarstatistics.ca.gov/reports/monthly_stats/.
6-51
Solar Photovoltaics
31. National Survey Report of PV Power Applications in Japan 2009, International Energy
Agency Cooperative Program on Photovoltaic Power Systems and New Energy and
Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO): May 2010.
32. Addressing Solar Photovoltaic Operations and Maintenance Challenges: A Survey of
Current Knowledge and Practices. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: July 2010. 1021496.
33. Mills, A. and R. Wiser, Implications of Wide-Area Geographic Diversity for Short-Term
Variability of Solar Power, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, LBNL-3884E.
September 2010.
34. Hoff, T. and R. Perez, Quantifying PV Power Output Variability, conditionally accepted for
publication in Solar Energy, 2010.
35. Trends in Photovoltaic Applications: Survey Report of Selected IEA Countries between 1992
and 2011, International Energy Agency, Paris, France: August 2012. IEA-PVPS T1-21:2012.
36. Engineering and Economic Evaluation of Central-Station Solar Photovoltaic Power Plants.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2012. 1025005.
37. REN21 2012, Renewables 2012 Global Status Report (Paris: REN21 Secretariat).
38. U.S. Solar Market Trends 2011, Interstate Renewable Energy Council (IREC): August 2012.
39. Thin-Film 20122016: Technologies, Markets, and Strategies for Survival.
http://www.greentechmedia.com/research/report/thin-film-2012-2016/. GTM Research:
2012.
40. Annual Energy Review 2010, U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): August 2010.
DOE/EIA-0384(2009).
41. Analysis of Worldwide Markets for Solar Products and Five-Year Application Forecast:
2011/2012. Navigant Consulting, Report NPS-Global7: August 2012.
42. Engineering and Economic Evaluation of Central-Station Solar Photovoltaic Power Plants.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: May 2010. 1021320.
43. U.S. Solar Market Insight: 2nd Quarter 2012. GTM Research: 2012.
44. U.S. Solar Photovoltaic Manufacturing: Industry Trends, Global Competition, Federal
Support. Congressional Research Service: June 2012.
6-52
GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
7.1 Introduction
Geothermal energy is literally energy in the form of heat contained within the Earth. It arises
from the Earths molten interior and occurs mainly in geologically active areas where the
planets continental plates meet. It is very accessible in certain areas, such as the Ring of Fire
that bounds the Pacific Ocean (Figure 7-1). These regions are often characterized by volcanism,
earthquakes, hot springs, and/or geyser activity. However, in recent years geothermal resources
are also being used in central China, Utah and other areas considerably distant from geologic
plate boundaries. Table 7-1 presents an overview of geothermal energy.
Table 7-1
Geothermal energy overview
Installed Capacity (est.
as of Q1 2012)
11,224 MW worldwide
3,187 MW in the United States
Technology Readiness
Environmental Impact
Economic Status
7-1
Geothermal Energy
Table 7-1 (continued)
Geothermal energy overview
Policy Status
Trends to Watch
Figure 7-1
Map illustrating the Ring of Fire [38]
7-2
Geothermal Energy
7-3
Geothermal Energy
7-4
Geothermal Energy
Table 7-2
Proposed geothermal resource temperature classification
Class of
Resource
Reservoir
Temperature
Mobile
Fluid
Phase in
Reservoir
Production
Mechanism
Fluid State at
Wellhead
Applicable
Power
Conversion
Technology
Unusual
Development or
Operational
Problems
Class 1:
Non-electrical
Grade
< 100C
Liquid
water
Artesian
self-flowing
wells;
pumped
wells
Liquid water
Direct Use
Class 2:
Very Low
Temperature
100C to
< 150C
Liquid
water
Pumped
wells
Liquid water
(for pumped wells);
steam-water mixture
(for self-flowing wells)
Binary
Class 3:
Low
Temperature
150C to
< 190C
Liquid
water
Pumped
wells; selfflowing wells
(only at
the higher
temperature
end of the
range)
Liquid water
(for pumped wells);
steam-water mixture
(for self-flowing wells)
Calcite scaling
in production
wells and stibnite
scaling in binary
plant are
occasional
problems
Class 4:
Moderate
Temperature
190C to
< 230C
Liquid
water
Self-flowing
wells
Steam-water mixture
(enthalpy equal to
that of saturated
liquid
at reservoir
temperature)
Single-stage
Flash; Two
stage Flash;
Hybrid
Calcite scaling in
production wells
and occasional
problem; aluminosilicate scale in
injection system
a rare problem
7-5
Geothermal Energy
Table 7-2 (continued)
Proposed geothermal resource temperature classification
Class of
Resource
7-6
Reservoir
Temperature
Mobile
Fluid
Phase in
Reservoir
Production
Mechanism
Fluid State at
Wellhead
Applicable
Power
Conversion
Technology
Unusual
Development or
Operational
Problems
Class 5:
High
Temperature
230C to
< 300C
Liquid
water;
Liquiddominated
two phase
Self-flowing
wells
Steam-water mixture
(enthalpy equal to or
higher than that of
saturated liquid at
reservoir
temperature)
saturated steam
Single-stage
Flash; Hybrid
Silica scaling in
injection system
occasionally
corrosion;
occasionally high
NCG content
Class 6:
Ultra-High
Temperature
300C +
Liquiddominated
two phase
Self-flowing
wells
Steam-water mixture
(enthalpy equal to or
higher than that of
saturated liquid
at reservoir
condition); saturated
steam; super heated
steam
Single-stage
Flash
Class 7:
Steam Field
240C
(33.5 bar-a
pressure;
2,800 kJ/kg
enthalpy)
Steam
Self-flowing
wells
Saturated or
superheated steam
Direct Steam
Occasionally high
NCG content or
corrosion
Geothermal Energy
Figure 7-2 illustrates the calculated distribution of geothermal energy as a function of the
resource temperature worldwide. Based on this distribution, it is possible to evaluate the
potential for low-temperature electricity production and direct heat utilization.
Figure 7-2
Distribution curve of geothermal energy as a function of worldwide temperature [39]
7.2.1.2 Depth
Resource development also depends on the depth to which wells must be drilled to tap
underground reservoirs of hot water or steam as well as the permeability of the rock formation
that constitutes the reservoir and, therefore, the rate of flow from the reservoir rock into the
wells. Depth may range from less than 1,000 feet (300 m) to over 7,000 feet (2,000 m). The
combined effects of permeability and well design/performance can be measured as flow rate per
unit of pressure difference that drives the flow. Some new projects are designed to produce from
depths of 10,000 feet or more.
7.2.1.3 Resource Permeability
Permeability of a hydrothermal reservoir has a significant impact on the economics of
geothermal energy projects. Low resistance to fluid flow (hot water or steam) from the
hydrothermal aquifer to the well bore(s) results in high well production rates and therefore,
lowers unit cost to deliver hot fluid to the geothermal power plant or heat-using facility.
Permeability is a function of the degree of fractures in the rock and the porosity of the rock
matrix. Geothermal resources are associated with volcanic and seismic regions of the Earth.
Therefore, fractures due to seismic (i.e., earthquake) faults are often associated with
hydrothermal reservoirs and can often significantly contribute to their permeability. Often, the
pattern of productive wells in a hydrothermal geothermal field follows a fault linefor example,
at Roosevelt Hot Springs near Milford, Utah, where PacifiCorp has its 38-MWe Blundell
Geothermal Plant. The limit of the production zone of a geothermal field may also be defined by
a rather pronounced line where the change in rock type at a fault ends the zone of a permeable
rock formation containing the water and/or steam.
7-7
Geothermal Energy
7-8
Geothermal Energy
Figure 7-3
U.S. geothermal resource potential map (estimated temperatures [C] at 6 km depth) (top),
2004 SMU heat flow assessment (bottom)
7-9
Geothermal Energy
A 2006 study from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) estimated that 100,000 MW
of electricity could be installed by 2050 using EGS technology. This projection is based in part
on an abundance of available geothermal resources and readiness of technology elements to
capture the resource. However, a DOE evaluation of the MIT study indicates that significant
advances are needed to achieve the goals of large-scale (100,000 MW) use of cost-competitive
geothermal energy. Needed advances include site characterization, reservoir creation, well field
development and completion, and system operation, as well as improvements in drilling and
power conversion technologies [37]. These technology improvements will also support ongoing
development and expansion of the hydrothermal industry.
Figure 7-4 shows the geographic distribution of estimated Engineered Geothermal Systems
(EGS) resources in the western United States.
Figure 7-4
Estimated EGS resources in the western United States
Source: USGS 2008
Several EGS projects are currently producing power while several others are expected to produce
power in the near term. These include the following:
In October 2008, the DOE selected four new cooperative projects for EGS system
demonstrations in the United States which it hopes will lead to technology readiness by 2015.
7-10
Geothermal Energy
Figure 7-5
Total installed capacity in 2007
GHC Bulletin, September 2007
7-11
Geothermal Energy
Table 7-3
Installed geothermal power worldwide [28, 34]
Installed
Capacity
In 2000 (MW)
Installed
Capacity
In 2005 (MW)
Installed
Capacity
In 2007 (MW)
Running
Capacity
In 2007 (MW)
2010 Forecast
(MW)
United States
2,228
2,564
2,884
1,935
2,817
3,093
Philippines
1,909
1,930
1,969.7
1,855.6
1,991
1,904
Indonesia
589.5
797
992
991.8
1,192
1,197
Mexico
755
953
953
953
1,178
958
Italy
785
791
810.5
711
910
843
546.9
535
535.2
530.2
535
536
New Zealand
437
435
471.6
373.1
590
628
Iceland
170
202
421.2
420.9
580
575
El Salvador
161
151
204.2
189
204
204
Costa Rica
142.5
163
162.5
162.5
197
166
Kenya
45
129
128.8
128.8
164
167
Nicaragua
70
77
87.4
52.5
143
88
Russia
23
79
79
79
185
82
56
56
56
56
Guatemala
33.4
33
53
49
53
52
Turkey
20.4
20
38
29.5
83
82
China
Portugal
29.2
16
27.8
16
27.8
23
18.9
23
28
35
24
France
COUNTRY
Japan
4.2
14.7
14.7
14.7
35
29
16
Germany
0.2
8.4
8.4
52
Ethiopia
7.3
7.3
7.3
7.3
7.3
Austria
1.1
1.1
0.7
1.4
Thailand
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
.3
Australia
Total
0.2
7,973
0.2
8,933
0.2
9,929
0.1
8,590
0.2
10,993
10,717
7-12
1.1
Geothermal Energy
Note that geothermal plants can typically achieve annual capacity factors of 85% to 90% or
higher [3, 10, 13]. In fact, dry steam resources such as the Geysers typically run at a lower
capacity factor than possible due to different business arrangements (i.e., there is no requirement
that the utility buy all the electricity that can be generated).
Table 7-4 provides data from the Geothermal Energy Association detailing total U.S. installed
capacity as of March 2009. Figure 7-6 plots the trajectory of U.S. geothermal development.
Table 7-4
U.S. installed capacity as of March 2009 [42]
Alaska
California
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Utah
Wyoming
TOTAL
0.73MW
2,615MW
43MW
16MW
469MW
0.28MW
42MW
0.25MW
3,187MW
Figure 7-6
Total U.S. installed geothermal capacity as of March 2009 [42]
7-13
Geothermal Energy
Figure 7-7
Hydrothermal power plant at the Geysers, California
In general, geothermal fluids are tapped through wells, also referred to as bores or bore
holes, and although akin to oil and gas wells which use similar drilling technology geothermal
wells are larger in diameter and typically drilled through hard crystalline rock at much higher
temperatures than the sedimentary environments encountered for oil and gas wells. Well depths
typically range from 200 to 3,500 meters. The fluids surging out of the wells are piped out to the
power plant. One or more wells may be connected to feed steam to the turbine. Geothermal hot
water, steam, or vaporized secondary working fluids then impel a turbine, which in turn transfers
the energy by spinning a generator to create electricity. Waste heat from the process, mainly due
to heat rejection from the steam cycle, is then recovered by a heat exchanger or directly ejected
to the atmosphere through condensers and cooling towers. Remnant geothermal liquids,
including any excess condensate, are generally pumped back into the reservoir through injection
wells. In some systems outside the United States, cooled liquid leaving the plant is disposed of
on the surface or in streams. This cooled liquid is, of course, hot relative to ground surface,
stream, or river temperatures.
If present, non-condensable gases are removed from the system by gas ejection equipment and
released to the atmosphere after treatment mandated by emission regulations. Some emission
control systems may produce sludge or solids that are disposed of either in reclaim fields or in
landfills.
7-14
Geothermal Energy
The nominal plant size used in most system characterizations and industry comparisons is 50
MWe. Real-world systems range in size from 0.075 MWe to 180 MWe [3, 10]. The technology
driver affecting design, performance, and cost of these systems is directly linked to the reservoir
temperature. In general, higher temperatures facilitate higher thermodynamic cycle efficiencies,
and result in a lower cost of the produced electricity. This is because higher-temperature fluid
has more energy per unit mass and because the second law of thermodynamics states that higher
temperatures are converted into useful work more efficiently than lower temperatures. To allow
for these variations, this discussion addresses high-temperature reservoirs (flashed-steam
systems) and moderate-temperature reservoirs (binary systems).
In high-temperature geothermal systems with temperatures greater than 302F (150C), the
reservoir fluid consists of hot water and/or steam. These higher-temperature systems typically
flash the hot water into steam to drive steam turbines and are typically the better candidates for
power plant electricity generation.
Intermediate-temperature systems have resources between 194F and 302F (90C and 150C)
and usually require the use of a secondary fluid for power production. These binary power plants
require a closed-loop heat exchanger technology that allows transfer of the heat from the
geothermal fluid to a secondary fluid that vaporizes at a lower temperature, which in turn drives
the turbine.
The 1996 DOE/EPRI Next Generation Geothermal Power Plant (NGGPP) study [13] provides
substantial performance data and a robust set of cost data for a wide range of reservoir conditions
and power plant technologies, and is still used today. Additional general background information on
geothermal electric technologies and resources is available in several references [9, 15, 16, 27].
7.3.1.1 Major Common System Components and Features
Wells: Wells for production and injection of geothermal fluids. These range in total depth
from 200 to 3,500 m at existing producing U.S. hydrothermal reservoirs. The wells are
drilled and completed using technology for deep wells that has been incrementally adapted
from oil and gas well technology since the 1960s, and are typically larger diameter than oil
and gas wells. The produced fluids range from totally liquid to liquid-vapor mixtures (with
two-phase flow at the wellhead). In a dry steam field, the wells produce only steam (and
perhaps very small amounts of liquid condensate). Injection wells at some geothermal fields
return spent (heat removed) geothermal fluid to the underground reservoir.
7-15
Geothermal Energy
Reservoir design and management: The goal of a reservoir design and management
process is to optimize the harvesting of heat, and thus the production of electricity from the
reservoir, at least cost over the life of the plant. These costs are accounted for in this
discussion but are not represented in the system schematics.
Surface piping system: Insulated surface piping that transports fluid between the wells and
the power plant equipment.
Power conversion system (power plant): A powerhouse that converts heat (and other
energy) from the geothermal fluid into electricity. Power plants consist of (a) one or more
turbines connected to one or more electric generators; (b) a condenser to convert the vapor
exiting from the turbine (water or other working fluid) to a liquid; (c) a heat rejection
subsystem to transfer waste heat from the condenser to the atmosphere; most systems use
cooling towers (wet or dry), and others use cooling ponds; (d) electrical controls and
conditioning equipment, including a step-up transformer to match transmission line voltage;
and (e) an injection pump that pressurizes the spent geothermal liquid from the power plant
to return it to the geothermal reservoir through the injection wells. Representative powerconversion (power plant) technologies are described below.
Operation and maintenance: Activities and costs related to the operation and maintenance
(O&M) of the system over a typical 30-year useful life of an individual power plant and a 40to 100-year production life of a reservoir as a whole. Relative to fossil-fuel-fired power
generation, simple-cycle hydrothermal power plants are much less complex, operate at
relatively low pressure and temperature, and have fewer auxiliaries. Nonetheless, geothermal
plants incur a significant penalty with respect to the severe equipment operating environment
created by saturated steam containing relatively high levels of impurities of non condensable
gases, dissolved and suspended solids. Geothermal maintenance costs are about twice that of
fossil power plants, due principally to corrosion of well casings, surface pipelines, and so on;
deposition of geothermal mineral phases and corrosion products inside production and
injection wells, steam field piping and turbines; and erosion of surface piping, valves, and
turbine blades.
7-16
Geothermal Energy
One or two large flash tanks in which part of the geothermal fluid vaporizes (flashes) into
steam at pressures less than the pressure in the reservoir. The turbine in the dual-flash system
shown in Figure 7-8 has dual inlets to admit high-pressure steam from the first flash tank and
low-pressure steam from the second flash tank. The flash tanks can be located at the
wellhead, at the power plant, or at both locationsfor instance, the first stage at the
wellhead(s) and second stage at the power plant. At Cerro Prieto in Mexico, just south of the
U.S.Mexico border near Mexicali, the original single-flash system uses flash separators at
the wellheads. A subsequent modification generates power from a second-stage flash and
features a central low-pressure flash steam facility and adjacent power plant. The liquid from
the first separation (wellhead separators) is flashed to generate the low-pressure steam that
drives the added turbine/generator.
7-17
Geothermal Energy
Figure 7-8
Dual-flash (two-flash) geothermal power plant
Special features related to minimizing the deposition of silicate scale. The plant depicted in
the system diagram is similar to some, but not all, U.S. flash plants, and geothermal brine
often contains substantial amounts of dissolved silica, which tends to precipitate on
equipment walls as hard scale if not treated. Mitigation measures include the following:
Elevating the conversion cycles brine exit temperature above that optimal for maximum
power production, which tends to keep some of the silica in solution (this is the method
of choice when silica presents a small to moderate problem.)
Using a pH modification system, which injects small quantities of acid upstream of the
first flash tank to reduce the pH of the geothermal fluid, thus reducing the rate at which
silica precipitates out of solution allowing the fluid to be re-injected before scaling
occurs.
7-18
Geothermal Energy
Descriptions of flashed steam geothermal power plants are presented in the Renewable Energy
Technology Characterizations (RETC) [10]. The NGGPP report [13] provides a range of process
and cost information. A 2012 update to the NGGPP report provides updated information on
flashed steam technologies [44].
7.3.1.4 Binary Power Plants
For hydrothermal fluids with temperatures below 360F (180C), binary cycle technology is
generally most cost-effective. Binary cycles are also applied together with a flash cycle in
hybrid or bottoming cycle configurations, where the binary cycle generates power from the
lower-temperature liquid that remains after one or two flash steps upstream have exploited the
higher-temperature heat. In this application, the binary cycle is an alternative to the second or
third stage of flash. Thus, the binary cycle is another way to use more of the heat and increase
the megawatt-hours of electricity generated per ton of geothermal fluid brought to the power
plant from the well field.
In a binary cycle power system, the natural geothermal fluid flows in one of two loops that make up
the binary system. Figure 7-9 is a schematic diagram of a binary cycle geothermal power plant.
Figure 7-9
Binary cycle geothermal power plant (air-cooled design)
Hydrothermal fluid passes through a heat exchanger where it vaporizes a secondary fluid, usually
an organic compound with a low boiling point such as isopentane, which drives a specially
designed turbine. Having given up its heat, the water is returned to the geothermal reservoir
using a deep injection well. Low-pressure vapor from the turbine is liquefied in the condenser
and re-pressurized by the hydrocarbon pump. Waste heat is ejected to the atmosphere through a
condenser and cooling tower. The water and working fluid are confined to separate closed loops
during the whole process, so there are few or no air emissions.
7-19
Geothermal Energy
Makeup water is required for the heat rejection system if wet cooling towers are used, but not if
dry cooling towers are used. The binary system characterized here is one with dry cooling (aircooled). However, wet cooling will usually be less expensive than dry cooling, if cooling water
is available. Due to the lower operating temperature of a binary geothermal power plant, more
water will be needed for the heat rejection system than for an equivalent sized fossil fuel plant.
Technical descriptions of binary-cycle or organic Rankine cycle (ORC) power systems and other
systems proposed for moderate-temperature reservoirs can be found in the NGGPP report [13] as
well as in the 2010 EPRI report Engineering and Economic Evaluation of Low-Temperature
Geothermal Power Plants [49]. The RETC report [10] references others such as binary systems,
vacuum-flash, and ammonia-based cycles. A 2012 update to the NGGPP report provides updated
information on binary technologies [44].
Equipment present in most binary systems includes the following:
Down-hole production pumps in the production wells. These keep geothermal fluid from
vaporizing in the wells or in the power plant, and enhance the production well flow rate.
A working fluid pump, the main cycle pump, that pressurizes the low-boiling-temperature
liquid working fluid to drive it around the power-conversion loop.
A primary heat exchanger, where heat is extracted from the geothermal fluid and transferred
to vaporize the binary working fluid (isobutane in the case shown in Figure 7-9).
A turbine that converts energy in the high-temperature high-pressure working fluid vapor to
shaft energy, driving a generator.
Most geothermal binary plants consist of a number of smaller modules, each having a capacity of
1 to 12 MWe net. EPRI has extensively documented the largest binary power system ever built,
the nominal 48-MWe (net) Heber Binary Project, built by DOE and San Diego Gas and Electric
Company as a demonstration project in the 1980s. [17].
The trend in binary-cycle technology since the mid-1980s has been toward binary cycles of
relatively small size, despite the lower cost of electricity that would be expected to result from
economies of scale at larger sizes. The reasons for this are that binary cycles lend themselves
well to smaller sizes and to modular construction techniques, and the economics of financing
favors smaller sizes. For instance, in New Zealand, the large unit size that launched Wairakei at
over 100 MWe more than 40 years ago is no longer seen as the preferred path, because field
development in smaller increments of 20 MWe or less enables a well developer to establish a
revenue stream sooner, without the cost and risk of proving a 50- or 100-MWe resource in the
ground. The 100-MWe unit size was developed in New Zealand when there was a national
government-owned power generation and distribution corporation. Now, with smaller, private,
competing power generation companies in charge of generating electricity, smaller increments of
capital and less time from first exploration to power sales take priority. The new priorities have
led to the choice of binary cycles at 20- to 24-MWe or smaller unit size as the preferred
technology during the past decade.
7-20
Geothermal Energy
7-21
Geothermal Energy
Figure 7-10
HDR geothermal production process
To exploit HDR resources, site developers first create a permeable reservoir by hydraulic shear
fracturing in a construction phase [3]. Then, in the operating phase, water from the
surface must be pumped through the fractures to extract heat from the rock [10]. At sufficient
temperature, the water can be flashed to steam and used to generate power. Alternatively, the
injected water can be held at sufficient pressure to maintain it in liquid form for use in a binary
or a flash/binary hybrid cycle. The technical challenges lie in the sub-surface elements of the
system, not the power cycle, notably related to deep drilling and in situ fracturing [9, 15].
Flash steam or binary cycle technologies could both be used with HDR resources depending on
the temperature of geothermal fluid produced. However, because of constraints imposed by high
well costs, most of the accessible HDR resource would likely produce wellhead fluids in the
moderate temperature range best suited for binary cycle technology [9].
To date, HDR resources have not been developed commercially in the United States. Well costs
increase exponentially with depth; because HDR resources are much deeper than hydrothermal
resources, they are much more expensive to develop. Also, although the technical feasibility of
creating HDR reservoirs has been demonstrated at experimental sites in the United States,
Europe, and Japan, operational uncertainties regarding the resistance of the reservoir to flow,
thermal drawdown over time, and water loss have so far made commercial development risky.
Lower-cost resource assessment and drilling technologies will help bring these HDR systems
into commercial use [3, 4, 9]. Significant progress has been achieved in recent tests at Soultz,
France under European Union (EU) sponsorship, and in Australia under largely private
sponsorship. However, HDR systems lack a demonstration of their capability at the present time.
DOE has aptly named its effort to investigate the potential for increasing the amount of
electricity generated from geothermal sources as enhanced geothermal systems (EGS). As the
name suggests, EGS technology could be used to enhance and extend hydrothermal geothermal
production zones. The same technology that fractures HDR formations and allows them to heat
water that can flow to a geothermal power plant on the surface could also be applied to extend
7-22
Geothermal Energy
the life, flow rate, and size of the production zone of a hydrothermal geothermal field. Such
technology could enhance or restore the permeability of rock formations and bring in new
sources of water, such as the treated wastewater from the fringes of the Geysers field in northern
California. It could also help maintain production at sites where natural geothermal steam and
water are depleted or insufficient natural permeability is encountered.
7.3.3.1 Supercritical Cycles
Supercritical fluids reside at a temperature and pressure that can allow the fluid to diffuse
through solids. A supercritical fluid such as supercritical carbon dioxide (SCCO2) can be pumped
into an underground formation to fracture the rock, thus creating a reservoir for geothermal
energy production and heat transport. The supercritical fluid used to form the reservoir can also
be used as a geofluid to heat-up, expand, and be pumped out of the reservoir to transfer heat to a
surface power plant or other application.
Utilizing SCCO2 for geothermal power production in an EGS system has promise. Although the
heat capacity of SCCO2 is 40% that of water, it has a much lower viscosity and large density
differential between hot and coldthat is, extraction and reinjection points that make this
technology worth further exploration. The large density differential has the ability to form a
thermal siphon in which the heavier cold SCCO2 at the injection point tends to sink while the
lighter hot SCCO2 at the extraction point tends to rise. This combined with the low viscosity of
SCCO2 could greatly reducing pumping needs, a critical consideration given that EGS systems
are envisioned residing several to tens of kilometers beneath the surface. This advantage of
SCCO2 would have an offsetting effect on its relatively low heat capacity compared to water
vapor. Another consideration is that subsurface minerals are insoluble in SCCO2, thus reducing
mineral scaling issues on well lining and surface equipment [40].
Supercritical cycle technology could use SCCO2 as the geofluid (for geothermal heat exchange in
the reservoir) and remove the need for a binary plant heat exchanger by directly expanding the
SCCO2 through a specifically designed turbine, increasing efficiency while lowering capital
investment. However, the produced SCCO2 stream needs to be dried before entering the turbines
to avoid condensation of liquid water during decompression and cooling. Brown [40] has
postulated that the SCCO2 would eventually dissolve all in situ water in the EGS reservoir,
resulting in pure SCCO2 at the extraction point.
Access to large quantities of CO2 is essential for supercritical plants, first to charge the reservoir
and then to make-up for underground capture. The cost of such access could be defrayed by the
CO2 sequestration benefits. Overall, the concept of SCCO2 as a heat transmission fluid for EGS
looks promising for future applications and deserves more study to develop the scientific basis
for a field demonstration.
7.3.4 Hot Sedimentary Aquifer (HSA)
Hot sedimentary aquifers are reservoirs in which rainwater that has been absorbed into the
ground is heated at temperatures that increase with depth or by contact with hot rocks. The water
collects in porous rocks between two impermeable sedimentary layers, creating an aquifer from
which hot fluid can be extracted, usually by drilling. HSA typically requires a binary cycle for
electricity production due to the temperature of the brine. The focus of HSA research is to find
shallow systems that reduce development costs and allow the use of proven hydrothermal
7-23
Geothermal Energy
Figure 7-11
Hot sedimentary aquifer production process
7-24
Geothermal Energy
Figure 7-12
Geothermal-solar hybrid production process for a geothermal flash steam plant
7-25
Geothermal Energy
Figure 7-13
Geothermal-solar hybrid production process for a hot water/brine non-flash resource
Figure 7-14
Geothermal-gas peaker production process
7-26
Geothermal Energy
Figure 7-15
Geo-biomass hybrid cycle
Geothermal Energy
Geothermal heat pumps (GHPs) are one of the fastest-growing applications of renewable energy
in the world. This form of direct use of geothermal energy is based on the relatively constant
ground or groundwater temperature in the range of 4C to 30C (39F to 86F). GHPs provide
space heating, cooling, and domestic hot water for homes, schools, factories, and public and
commercial buildings.
Until recently, almost all ground source heat pump installations occurred in Europe and North
America. However, installations expanded to more than 40 countries in 2007, up from 26
countries in 2000. China is the most significant newcomer in the application of heat pumps to
space heating.
The potential of GHP is very large, as space heating and water heating are significant parts of the
energy budget in large parts of the world. In industrialized countries, 35% to 40% of the total
primary energy consumption is used in buildings. Future development predictions show
exponential worldwide growth in the heat pump sector: up to 200,000 MWth for 2020 to about
750,000 MWth by 2050. In contrast, estimated capacity worldwide in 2008 for geothermal heat
pumps was about 30,000 MWth.
Substantial changes in the basic conversion cycle designs used in the plants, including the
addition of topping and bottoming cycles, improved working fluids, and the used of
various hybrid cycles. An example of a topping cycle is the rotary separator turbine (RST)
developed by Douglas Energy and previously by Biphase Energy Systems, with major testing
support from EPRI during 19781984 and from Utah Power & Light in 19811987.
Subsequent testing has been done at Cerro Prieto, the geothermal field in Mexico just south
of the California border, with support from the California Energy Commission and DOE. The
RST extracts added electric power at the high-temperature side of a flash process by having
the flash and separation take place in a rotary separator designed to capture the kinetic energy
that the flashing steam imparts to the liquid phase. Examples of bottoming cycles include the
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Geothermal Energy
third stage of flash in use in New Zealand, a binary cycle added at the low-temperature side
of a flash cycle, and a special low-temperature water-ammonia binary cycle (the Kalina
Cycle79 of Exergy Inc.) added below a flash or a binary cycle.
Efforts on the part of system operators to reduce O&M costs, especially by reducing the
number of staff employed at each system and site. This is being accomplished through
increased automation of controls and monitoring. An example is the operation and
maintenance of the Wairakei and Ohaaki-Broadlands fields by Contact Energy in New
Zealand. The central control system at the Wairakei plant also controls the Ohaaki plant 15
km away, and a roving operator performs monitoring and maintenance tasks for both plants.
Gradual reduction in complex instrumentation and controls as operations are streamlined and
engineers learn what components are safe to omit.
The consensus in the industry is that characterizing the commercial potential of identified
geothermal reservoirs is a high priority [3]. Techniques such as fracture mapping, more accurate
thermal gradient wells, and other untested methods should be evaluated and refined if
appropriate. In the near term, such work will focus on the following:
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Geothermal Energy
7.4.1.2 Arizona
Arizona has one small project in development. Greenfire Energy is developing a DOE funded
2MW EGS plant utilizing SCCO2 along with metal organic heat carriers (MOHC) as the working
fluid in the St. Johns near Springerville in northern Arizona. The MOHC are intended to improve
the heat capacity of the SCCO2 thus improving its performance relative to steam. Greenfire
presented its results to date at the DOE Geothermal Technologies Program peer review in May
2012.
7.4.1.3 California
In Californiasite of the vast majority of U.S. geothermal power productiongeothermal
development continues at a high level of activity. Currently 31 projects from 11 different
companies are being developed representing an additional 1,766 MW of geothermal capacity.
Geothermal power plants operating in California include the following:
The Geysers: 22 dry steam units, totaling 1,531 MW of installed capacity (but only 932 MW
operating due to a steam shortfall)
Others: 29 units
The total installed geothermal capacity in the state as of December 2011 was 2,615.4 MW.
Geothermal power supplied about 42% of Californias in state renewable electric generation in
2010. With an aggressive renewable portfolio standard, California expects the state to at least
double its geothermal capacity in the next decade.
7.4.1.4 Colorado
Colorado is experiencing some geothermal activity with two early phase projects being
developed. One is at Mt. Princeton and the other is at Poncha Hot Springsboth of these
locations are in the mountains of central Colorado. Current project estimates are 20 to 25 MW
combined.
7.4.1.5 Hawaii
Currently, one geothermal power plant operates on Hawaii. The existing 10 flash + binary units
provide 35 MW installed capacity (30 MW running, after rehabilitation and work over). This
power plant supplies approximately 20% of the total electricity need of the Big Island and its
160,000 inhabitants. Recently an 8-MW expansion was completed, with permitting in place to
add an additional 22 MW thereafter.
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Geothermal Energy
Hawaiian Electric Company (HELCO) is actively seeking new geothermal resources, and Ormat
currently has three projects in developmenttwo on the Big Island and one in Maui.
7.4.1.6 Idaho
In early 2008, Idahos first geothermal power plant came on line. The Raft River binary plant has
a nameplate rating of 15.8 MW, although currently its net electrical power output is between
10.5 and 11.5 MW. The plants owner, U.S. Geothermal, is in the process of expanding the
project to 45 MW. There are several other projects in the early development phases that could
potentially add 250 to 325 MW of electricity in Idaho.
7.4.1.7 Louisiana
A small 50-kW geothermal project that plans on using hot geothermal brine co-produced with oil
and gas production is currently being developed by Gulf Coast Green Energy.
7.4.1.8 Mississippi
A small DOE funded 50kW co-produced demonstration project was completed in 2011 at a
Denbury Resources producing oil well in Laurel, MS. The project was developed by Gulf Coast
Green Energy. The six month demonstration used technology from ElectraTherm (the Green
Machine). The project concluded in November 2011 with 1,136 total runtime hours, and
provided insight for future installations.
7.4.1.9 Nevada
Currently, 22 geothermal plants operate in Nevada, with a collective nameplate capacity of 469
MW. Between confirmed and unconfirmed projects, a total of 59 projects and 17 geothermal
prospects are under development in Nevada, which could eventually supply between 1,915 and
2,125 MW of electricity.
7.4.1.10 New Mexico
Raser Technologies 240-kW pilot installation project at Lightning Dock went on line in July
2008, making it New Mexicos first geothermal power plant. The pilot has since been shut down,
and Utah-based Cyrq Energy is redeveloping the site for a total planned capacity of 15 MW.
Gradient Resources has a project in early development in southern New Mexico at a resource
estimated to be as high as 100 MW. A direct-use aquaculture facility is also operating in New
Mexico, with the potential for a 1-MW plant to be built at that site in the future.
7.4.1.11 North Dakota
The University of North Dakota is working with several entities to put in a 250-kW coproduction demonstration plant at an existing oil field.
7.4.1.12 Oregon
The Oregon Institute of Technology continues to host the only geothermal plant in the state. The
280-kW plant is located on its main campus and serves as a learning platform for students.
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Geothermal Energy
Another 15 projects and two geothermal prospects are currently in development with a total
capacity of up to 300 MW.
7.4.1.13 Texas
Texas currently has 800 kW of co-produced projects in some phase of development in the
southeast part of the state.
7.4.1.14 Utah
Utah had three geothermal power plants in operation. The Blundell Plant has two units for a total
of 32 MW. Utahs second geothermal power plant, Hatch, has a gross capacity of 10 MW.
Eleven projects and eight geothermal prospects are currently in development with a total
capacity of up to 195 MW.
7.4.1.15 Washington
Gradient Resources is currently developing one geothermal prospect in the state near Mt. Baker.
The estimated capacity available from this resource is up to 100 MW.
7.4.1.16 Wyoming
The first geothermal power plant in Wyoming came on line in September 2008. The coproduction demonstration project consists of a 250-kW organic Rankine cycle power unit.
7.4.2 Hot Dry Rock Technology Status
Hot dry rock (HDR) field investigations began in the early 1970s at Fenton Hill, New Mexico,
near the Los Alamos National Laboratory. This project was the first attempt in the world to make
a deep, full-scale engineered reservoir. Experiments from 1973 to 1996 aimed to develop
methods to economically extract energy from HDR systems located in basement rock at suitably
high temperatures. Support for the project declined during the later phases of work and by 2000,
all experiments were terminated and the site was decommissioned.
Building on the experience of the Fenton Hill project, experiments were performed at two sites
in Japan during the 1980s and 1990s. These experiments included work similar to that of the
DOE EGS program, namely enhancing a poor or declining conventional hydrothermal hot-waterproducing field through targeted rock fracturing in zones where more permeability was needed.
The most significant experiment in the world since 1994 has been the European project at Soultz,
France, where two fracture zones have been completed, one deeper and hotter than the other. The
deep zone could be the source of sufficiently high-temperature hot water to drive an electric
power generation station. Circulation tests have been performed, from injection well to hot rock
fractured by high-pressure injection to the production well and back to the surface. The wells
were stimulated by adding salt and nearby lake water to provide initial brine. During the 2001 to
2004 period, a pilot plant was built using the previously drilled and stimulated three-well system.
During the second phase, which was to last from 2005 to 2008, an initial 1.5-MW power plant
was constructed for operation using the medium circulation loop of 26 gal/s [100 L/s]. The plant
went on-line in June 2008.
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Geothermal Energy
In mid-2003, Geodynamics Ltd. of Australia began drilling to build the worlds first commercial
HDR plant. The Habenero 1 well extends just under 3 miles (4.4 km) under South Australias
Cooper Basin to tap a promising geothermal region in which rocks achieve temperatures of about
550F (290C). HDR exploration in South Australia alone covers an area of 991 km2 and has
potential for future capacities in the thousands of megawatts. The nearly 1000 km2 HDR resource
is equivalent to 50 billion barrels of oil or 10.3 billion tonnes of coal20 times larger than all
the known Australian oil reserves and equivalent to 40 years of the nations current black coal
production.
Geodynamics has secured the rights to another HDR field in the Cooper Basin and two others
in the Hunter Valley in New South Wales. After developing an initial demonstration HDR plant
in the 1 MWe range, the company plans to build a commercial-scale power plant capable of
generating hundreds of megawatts.
Habanero 1 and 2, Geodynamics first two geothermal wells, have produced good results. The
company has successfully completed the riskiest task of the project, hydraulic stimulation of the
underground wells and heat exchanger. In 2005, the firm reported that using a larger than
expected heat exchanger had exceeded expectations. An initial water circulation test in spring
2005 lasted 40 hours and reached temperatures of 389F (198.5C). Habanero 2 produced about
10 MW of thermal power during diagnostic flow tests. The flow test in April 2005 found some
potential for power production, but concluded that a dropped plug was restricting the connection
to the geothermal reservoir. The companys attempt to drill another sidetrack encountered
problems and was concluded in June 2006 when the drill pipe became stuck. Multiple other wells
have since been drilled including Habenero 3 (2008, 4.2km, 242C), Jolokia 1 (2008, 4.9 km,
263C), Savina 1 (2009, 3.9km, suspended) and the recently completed Habenero 4 (2012,
4.2km). Habenero 4 will be paired with Habenero 1 (as an injector well) to demonstrate a 1
MWe demonstration power plant expected to come on-line in 2013.
HDR development to date indicates that there is a very good potential for economic energy
extraction in the future. This potential has been considerably enhanced by the discovery of
overpressures in the granite fracture network, which could add a large convective heat
component into the original design. Overall, EGS technology has the potential to provide a
sizeable addition to current geothermal production.
In 2008 Davenport Newberry drilled two exploration wells to over 3 km on the shoulder of
Newberry Volcano near Bend, OR encountering 316C rock with no permeability and thus no
geofluid. Davenport partnered with AltaRock Energy to develop a proof of concept HDR project
at Newberry using $23.45M of DOE funding out of a total budget of $43.81M. Utilizing one of
the original wells, the goal of the project is to stimulate the rock by pumping cold water from the
surface thus creating a fractured network of rock with in situ water. In order to create more
fractures per well, AltaRock plans on using proprietary diverters to create up to three fracture
zones per well.
To date the project has encountered significant permitting delays; however recently all
permitting was completed and AltaRock begin its first stimulation test in October 2012. Of note
is an extensive seismic monitoring array which was installed prior to the stimulation in order to
get a seismic base line. As the system is stimulated seismic events will be compared to the
baseline in order to better understand induced seismicity in EGS projects.
7-33
Geothermal Energy
Figure 7-16
The Grubb curve
7-34
Geothermal Energy
Geophysical methods in geothermal exploration can be divided into four main groups depending
on the physical parameters measured, as follows:
Potential methods based on the density and magnetic properties of rocks as well as two of the
Earths potential fieldsmagnetism and gravity
Seismic methods, based on the elastic properties of rocks and the equations of wave
propagation in continuous media
Radiometric methods, based on the radioactive emission of rocks and atomic physics
equations (These methods are most commonly used in well logging.)
Each method has a specific application, depending on the physical properties of the target and
how precisely these properties can be detected by the technology available.
Gravimetric methods are comparatively easy to use and fairly economical. They provide a good
estimate of the extent of bodies with certain density. The resolution and quality of data, however,
decrease considerably with depth. Gravimetric studies therefore provide a useful tool for shallow
reservoirs.
Similarly, magnetic methods have been very popular during the past 30 years because of the
rapidity with which the measurements can be made and the low cost of the operation. Restrictions
are the depth of resolution, the complexity of the interpretation which compromises reliability for
structures with complicated geometric shapes, and insensitivity to the actual presence of water.
Methods for measuring the electrical resistance of the sub-surface can be divided in two general
groups:
Electrical potential has been used mainly for shallow depths; for example, for groundwater
aquifers or very shallow geothermal reservoirs.
The most common geophysical methods used today for geothermal exploration are
electromagnetic. They can be induced actively via the transient electromagnetic (TEM) method,
which is now routinely applied to depths of 2000 m. For greater depths, the magnetotelluric
(MT) method, which measures the Earths impedance to naturally occurring magnetic waves, has
become the standard approach.
Seismic methods use the propagation of elastic waves, which are either generated artificially by
an explosive source or occur naturally due to earthquake activity. Active seismic methods are the
standard tool for hydrocarbon prospecting, as they can be used to supply a detailed image of the
subsurface structure in the sedimentary environment of most oil and gas reservoirs. Passive
seismology, if recorded appropriately, can be used to help understand the structural context or to
give an outline of the actual fluid/geothermal reservoir.
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Geothermal Energy
Electrical and seismic methods are also used for down-hole tools. Some specific tools were
specifically developed for well logging, such as to perform radiometric measurements of the rock
units accessed by the well via neutron and gamma ray measurement.
The principal methods used for geothermal regional studies are MT and seismic surveys,
whereas gravity and aeromagnetic approaches are often applied to increase the reliability of
conclusions based on the former two methods. Seismic tomography of the Earths crust, which is
quite expensive, reveals geometrical boundaries. Without geological information, none of the
geophysical methods can produce reliable results upon which to base decisions on the existence
of a geothermal reservoir and its boundaries. Therefore, seismic and electromagnetic methods are
often supplemented by gravity and/or aeromagnetic surveys of a different scale that depends on
the required resolution. Magnetic anomalies correlate quite well with horizontal zonation of the
structure, while gravity maps are used to locate deep faults and delineate fracture zones
characterized by low density.
Because the mining cost (exploration and drilling) to access geothermal resources represents
over 60% of a projects total investment, a reduction in mining cost would increase the
competitiveness of geothermal energy significantly. This goal can be achieved by developing
innovative detection methods prior to drilling fluid bearing zones in naturally and/or artificially
fractured geothermal reservoirs.
There is substantial RD&D associated with geophysical methods improvement and application,
as follows:
Before and during production: Identify prospective reservoirs without drilling, define
boundaries (lateral and vertical), and improve methods to identify drilling targets (productivity).
During and after production: Continuously characterize the reservoir, predict fluid
circulation during stimulation, track injected fluids and predict reservoir
performance/lifetime (effectiveness and sustainability).
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Geothermal Energy
Shallow wells supply the majority of current hydrothermal plants. Unfortunately, however, a
scarcity of geothermal well cost data makes it impossible to estimate statistically meaningful
well costs via a comparison to oil and gas wells costs. There is simply too large a degree of
uncertainty; an average completed geothermal well may cost up to 30% more than oil and gas
well for the same depth (up to 3,000 m). Well design concepts and predictions for the deeper
categories6,000 m, 7,500 m, and 10,000mwould be even more speculative, as there have
been only two or three wells drilled close to depths of 10,000 m in the United States.
Emerging technologies, which have yet to be demonstrated in geothermal applications and are
still going through development and commercialization, have the potential to significantly reduce
well costs, especially those at 4,000 m and deeper.
Technologies with the potential to reduce well costs include the following:
Well design changes, particularly involving the use of smaller increments in casing diameters
with depth
Under-reaming, a key enabling technology for almost all of the EGS drilling applications
Three revolutionary drilling technologies that may have a particularly large impact on lowering
EGS drilling costs are hydrothermal flame spallation and fusion drilling, chemically enhanced
drilling, and metal shot abrasive-assisted drilling. Each of these methods augments or avoids the
traditional methods of penetration based on crushing and grinding rock with a hardened material
in the drill bit itself, thereby reducing the tendency of the system to wear or fail.
In addition, rate of penetration (ROP) issues can significantly affect drilling costs in crystalline
formations by increasing costs by as much as 20% above those for more easily drilled basin and
range formations.
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Geothermal Energy
Geothermal power plants are able to generate energy at all times, except during planned and
unplanned maintenance and repair episodes. Experience has led to longer periods between major
overhauls, with many operators achieving five-year time spans. Because of the strong economic
incentive to stay on line, unplanned maintenance outages are kept to a minimum through the
application of highly reliable equipment and adequate spare parts inventories. Some facilities are
achieving capacity factors of 85% to 95%. Plant operators prefer to run their plants as baseload
units because the fixed costs of operation far exceed the variable costs. An exception occurs
when the fuel supply (steam) is less than that needed to satisfy the power plants capacity. In
such a case, the plant will operate at or near full capacity during peak-use periods (highest price
for electricity) and then back down during off-peak periods.
Experiments have shown that some geothermal power plants, such as the dry steam plants
at the Geysers facility in northern California, can be cycled to follow system load in the
intermediate-baseloaded area of the utility time-demand curve, thereby increasing their value in
certain applications. It is likely that load following would be more difficult for flash and binarycycle plants than for dry steam plants. Current contract capacity factors are on the order of 60%
to 80%, but capacity factors for many operating plants are close to 100%. A capacity factor
greater than 100% is possible, because some plants can operate above their design and nameplate
rating nearly all the time. Recent cost reductions in flash power plants may enhance their
competitiveness in the United States. In the international market, geothermal development in
regions such as Indonesia and the Philippines is returning to the strong growth that began in the
early 1990s [2].
During the 1990s, competition from low-cost electricity generated from natural gas hurt the
economic competitiveness of geothermal electric systems, slowing their development and
deployment. During the early 1990s, geothermal power developers expected to compete
successfully against 6 to 7 cent/kWh power in the western United States. By the end of the
decade, they instead found themselves competing against 2.5 to 3.5 cent/kWh electricity. This
situation may be repeating because of the drop in natural gas prices due to the success of
fracking. As of the publication of this report natural gas prices were at an average of well below
$4/MBTU at most of the hubs in the United States and corresponding power prices were
averaging 3.7 cents/kWh. Mitigating low power prices are changing public and private
preferences for more diverse sources of electricity supply, particularly from renewable and fossil
carbon-free sources. Current and future renewable portfolio standard (RPS) demands in the
western states will likely drive geothermal power development, and correspondingly geothermal
may significantly contribute to the renewable energy power supply.
The two factors most frequently cited for limited geothermal development are permitting issues
and the high cost of resource exploration and development. Several proposed projects have been
severely delayed in the permitting process, and market prices have just recently been sufficient to
encourage more substantial project developments [3, 27]. Another lesser factor is the limited
number of economically feasible resource sites located near transmission grids. Although market
participants do not generally cite transmission constraints as a restriction on development, the
U.S. Forest Services denial of permits for transmission lines and the high costs of alternate
routing have delayed several planned projects in California [3].
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Geothermal Energy
The current state of many aspects of geothermal technology was fairly well documented in the
1990s. The 1996 Next Generation Geothermal Power Plants (NGGPP) study, prepared for DOE,
EPRI, BPA, and SCE by the Ben Holt Company, characterizes conventional flash and binary
technology and evaluates new technologies proposed for the next generation of geothermal
power plants [13]. Prior to that study, it had been difficult to obtain current cost and performance
data for geothermal power plants because of the proprietary nature of such information. Newer
cost models still reference this document for their base case comparisons [1, 24, 30]. For HDR,
the cost estimates provided for creating a HDR reservoir, as well as its performance, were based
on assessments made by scientists at Los Alamos National Laboratory, where HDR had been
studied in previous years [11]. Table 7-5 provides an updated cost breakdown, performed by
EPRI, of four different 50-MW geothermal plants in 2009 U.S. dollars.
Table 7-5
Estimated costs for a 50-MW geothermal plant (Dec 2009 $)
Flash Steam
Capital Cost
($/kW)
Break-Even
Generation
(/kWh)
Binary
Reverse
Refrigeration
Cycle
EGS
Plant: $1230
$1540
Plant: $154$1850
Plant: $1850
$2050
Plant: $1230
$2460
3.6 5.6
4.6 9.2
6.2 12.3
7.7 16.4 +
Transmission-line costs
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Geothermal Energy
Table 7-6
Estimated geothermal development costs (Dec 2009 $)
Most Likely
Incremental Capacity
(Gross MW)
Average
Development Cost
Per kW Installed
California
3,000
$3,024
Western Nevada
1,300
$3,536
Total
4,300
$3,178
Region
Knowledge of resource
Environmental policies
Markets
Geothermal Energy
Table 7-7
Design assumptions for geothermal plants
Design Assumption
Flash stages
Flash Steam
Binary Cycle
Comments
Single
N/A
50 MWn
50 MWn
Bottom-exhaust, dual-flow
turbine.
40 MWn
N/A
Top-exhaust, dual-flow
turbine.
6 bara
(1 bara = 1 bar
absolute)
NCG System
Two-stage
hybrid system
None
N/A
Single pressure,
recuperated or
unrecuperated; working
fluid optimized for
conditions; 50 MWn
Not considered/compared:
mixed working fluids;
combined cycles; or mixed
cycles.
N/A
Iso-pentane
N/A
Pure
No impurities or NCGs
considered.
Cooling
Wet cooling
tower
Air-cooled condenser
Makeup water
Condensate
from steam
H2S abatement
Incinerator
None
None
Assumes combustible
mixture of H2S, methane,
hydrogen that might be
present in noncondensable gases, to
allow use of an incinerator.
Other abatement options
would likely be more costly.
7-41
Geothermal Energy
Table 7-8
Performance and total capital requirement estimates for geothermal power plants (December
2010 $)
Source: EPRI [41]
Flash Steam 50
MWn
Flash Steam, 40
MWn
Binary Cycle 50
MWn
Rated Capacity
Net Capacity, kWn
50,000
40,000
50,000
54,560
43,880
57,580
380
307
458
Resource Temperature, C
280
280
280
Physical Plant
Plant Life, Year
Land Required, m2
30
30
30
30,000
25,000
40,000
December, 2010
December, 2010
December, 2010
$15
$15
$15
$1,558
$1,595
$1,737
$501
$504
$573
$1,598
$1,628
$1,650
$786
$868
$665
$4,458
$4,565
$4,639
$293
$300
$305
$4,752
$4,865
$4,945
$238
$243
$247
$4,989
$5,109
$5,192
76.4
76.8
80.6
3.6
4.5
3.6
9.6
10.5
7.6
37.1
36.8
30.8
96
96
96
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Preliminary
Preliminary
Preliminary
Well Field
Gathering System
Total Plant Direct Construction Cost
Performance/Unit Availability
Exergetic Efficiency, %
Capacity Factor, %
Confidence and Accuracy Rating
*This is the nominal annual VOM cost, which excludes makeup drilling.
7-42
Geothermal Energy
Table 7-9
Levelized cost of electricity estimates for geothermal power plants (30-year project life,
constant December 2010 $)
Source: EPRI [41]
Levelized Cost of Electricity ($/MWh)
Flash Steam
50 MWn
Flash Steam,
40 MWn
Binary Cycle
50 MWn
Capacity Factor
96%
96%
96%
$47.7
$49.1
$52.4
Fixed O&M
$9.1
$9.1
$9.6
Variable O&M
$9.6
$10.5
$7.6
Total
$66.4
$68.7
$69.6
Geothermal Energy
2. In the United States and in many other countries as well, land is not the limiting factor in
most settings. This is especially important in considering biomass energy, where the land
comparison should be made not to the land use of other energy sources but rather to the land
used for agriculture and forestry.
Table 7-10
Land area requirements for current renewable technologies
Land Area for 100 GWe
Unit Size
(MWe)
Area to
Support Unit
Size (Acres)*
Power Per
Unit of Area
(kW/acre)
Area
(106 Acres)
Fraction
of U.S.**
Solar Thermal
75
408
180
0.54
0.028%
PV, Residential
0.0026
0***
NA
PV, Utility-Scale
2.4
24
100
0.053%
Wind
50
3,707
14
7.4
0.39%
Geothermal
50
420
120
0.84
0.044%
Biomass
50
39,400
1.3
78.7
4.1%
7.6.2 Subsidence
Land above or adjacent to a subsurface geothermal reservoir may sink or subside due to the
extraction of geothermal fluid from the reservoir. Subsidence is not always easy to detect and
may be of no consequence.
Several areas of subsidence have been detected in the New Zealand fields. At Wairakei, the
oldest geothermal field in New Zealand and one that has operated at close to 170-MWe capacity
for approximately 40 years, one area of subsidence has created a pond at a low spot in a stream.
Another has been detected over an area of approximately 1 km2 and could eventually lead to
rerouting a section of roadway. A series of elevation surveys, conducted every several years
throughout the region of the Wairakei field and environs, made it possible to detect this rather
inconspicuous subsidence.
In anticipation of geothermal development expansion, biennial surveys of elevations in and near
the Imperial Valley (California) geothermal fields were performed in the 1970s. Because of a
gravity flow ditch irrigation system in a low desert valley and the agriculture-based economy,
the surveys were needed to ensure that no harm was caused by geothermal production and to
alert and correct the situation if adverse trends developed. Several hundred megawatts of
generating capacity have been installed and operated in the Imperial Valley over the past two
decades, and there has been no significant subsidence.
7-44
Geothermal Energy
Figure 7-17
Steam pipelines for the Ohaaki, New Zealand plant run through land used for
grazing and agriforestry
7.6.3 Emissions
The environmental impacts of generating electricity from geothermal resources are benign
relative to conventional power generation options. Geothermal power generation does not
produce the federally regulated air contaminants commonly associated with other power
generation options, including sulfur dioxide, particulates, carbon monoxide, hydrocarbons, and
photochemical oxidants. Some hydrothermal fluids contain hydrogen sulfide and/or high levels
of dissolved solids such as sodium chloride (salt). Hydrogen sulfide emissions are abated, when
necessary, with environmental control technology. Emission factors are typically in the range of
45 kg/MWh for carbon dioxide and 0.0145 kg/MWh for hydrogen sulfide. Hydrogen sulfide is
now routinely abated at geothermal power plants, resulting in the conversion of over 99.9% of
the hydrogen sulfide from geothermal non-condensable gases into elemental sulfur, which can be
converted to a non-hazardous fertilizer feedstock. Since 1976, hydrogen sulfide emissions have
declined from 1,900 lb/hr to 200 lb/hr or less, while at the same time the geothermal power
production has increased from 500 MW to over 2,500 MW. Another hazardous element found in
a few geothermal plants is mercury. Although mercury is not present in every geothermal
resource, where it is present mercury capture equipment typically reduces emissions by 90% or
more. The relatively highest mercury emitters are two facilities at the Geysers in California.
They release mercury at levels that do not trigger any health risk analyses under California
regulations. The Soultz EGS project in northeastern France near the German border has
encountered radioactive scaling due to a radiogenic source within the geothermal reservoir.
Plant operators have implemented polyphosphonates and other products from the oil and gas
industry to inhibit scaling. It is not known whether this will be an issue in future EGS projects;
research has been proposed to assess the level of probable occurrence in other locations.
7-45
Geothermal Energy
The visible plumes seen rising from some geothermal power plants are, in fact, water vapor
(steam). A case study by GEA [27] showed that a coal plant updated with scrubbers and other
emissions control technologies emits 24 times more carbon dioxide, 10,837 times more sulfur
dioxide, and 3,865 times more nitrous oxides per megawatt-hour than a geothermal plant.
Averages of four significant pollutants emitted by geothermal and coal facilities are presented in
Table 7-11. Following the table is a brief discussion of other emissions that have sometimes been
associated with geothermal development. Issues revolving around groundwater contamination
are avoided through protective well completion practices. The geothermal industry has
developed various methods to mitigate chemical emission concerns.
Table 7-11
Averages of four significant pollutants, as emitted from geothermal and coal facilities
Source: GEA 2005 [27]
Nitrogen
Oxides (NOx)
Sulfur Dioxide
(SO2)*
Particulate
Matter (PM)
Carbon
Dioxide (CO2)
00.35
060
4.31
10.39
2.23
2191
Emissions Offset by
Geothermal Use (per yr)
32,000 tons
78,000 tons
17,000 tons
16 million tons
Emission
Geothermal Emissions
(lb/MWh)
* Although geothermal plants do not emit sulfur dioxide directly, once hydrogen sulfide is released as a gas into the atmosphere,
it eventually converts to sulfur dioxide and sulfuric acid. Therefore, any sulfur dioxide emissions associated with geothermal
energy derive from hydrogen sulfide emissions.
7-46
Geothermal Energy
7-47
Geothermal Energy
Overall, the impact of induced seismicity on the implementation of various different enhanced
geothermal activities will depend on the risk associated with the activity and the cost-benefit
ratio. All experience to date has shown that the risk, while not zero, has been either minimal or
can be handled in a cost-effective manner. Recently a protocol for assessing induced seismicity
risks for EGS projects was released by the Department of Energy Geothermal Technologies
Program [50].
7-48
Geothermal Energy
Today, there are more than 200 commercial geothermal projects operating in 24 countries with a
cumulative installed capacity of approximately 10.7 GW worldwide. The United States is
currently the worlds top geothermal market, with more than 3 GW of installed capacity. With a
pipeline of more than 4GW of confirmed projects, the United States is poised to more than
double existing capacity over the next five years. U.S. geothermal activity will be primarily
concentrated in a few Western states that are home to vast hydrothermal resources. Developers
are expected to focus on low-hanging fruit opportunities located in California and Nevada.
Internationally, Indonesia and the Philippines are poised to ramp up their geothermal capacity in
the near term. Meanwhile, market activity in Japan, Iceland, Italy, New Zealand, and Mexico,
which account for over 65% of the remaining global installed geothermal capacity, should also
increase. Although these markets have seen relatively limited growth over the past few years,
urgency to advance low-carbon baseload power generation is helping to re-ignite new capacity
growth in these markets.
Separately, attention is turning to new markets. Chile, Turkey, Russia, Nicaragua, Germany,
Australia, and East Africa are all poised to initiate projects as greater effort is made to integrate
renewables, diversify energy portfolios, and hedge against natural gas price volatility.
7.7.2 Research Needs and Recommendations
Although geothermal is considered a mature technology, there are many opportunities for
improvement through research and development. Geothermal projects are very capital intensive.
Discussions with industry leaders suggest that that future geothermal R&D programs should
focus on reducing the cost of finding and developing new geothermal resources.
The industry consensus is that characterizing the commercial potential of identified geothermal
reservoirs is a high priority. Techniques such as fracture mapping, more accurate thermalgradient wells, and other, untested methods should be evaluated and refined, if appropriate. The
objective is to be able to measure the temperature, fluid characteristics, and permeability of the
resource prior to committing to expensive production wells and generation equipment.
Industry comments suggest that structured, integrated tests and experiments by industry in
collaboration with the California Energy Commission and DOE are essential to ensure further
development of commercial geothermal power. In the near term, this work should focus on the
following areas:
Supporting funding to reduce production drilling costs and develop direct-use demonstration
and commercial projects
7-49
Geothermal Energy
Improving public awareness about the benefits of geothermal power, direct-use, and GHP
Enhanced geothermal systems are still widely experimental. A 2008 DOE survey identified
the following three critical assumptions for EGS technology that require evaluation and testing
before the economic viability of EGS can be confirmed:
Sustained reservoir production: Recent studies conclude that 200C fluid flowing at
80 kg/sec (equivalent to about 5 MWe) is needed for economic viability. No EGS project to
date has attained flow rates in excess of approximately 25 kg/sec.
Replication of EGS reservoir performance: EGS technology has not been proven to work at
commercial scales over a range of sites with different geologic characteristics.
These assumptions can be tested with multiple EGS reservoir demonstrations using current
technologies. In the long term, significant reduction in drilling costs will be necessary to access
deeper resources, and the cost of converting geothermal energy into electricity must be reduced.
These improvements will move EGS technology forward as an economically viable means of
tapping the nations geothermal resources.
7-50
Geothermal Energy
Geothermal Energy
Calpine Corp.
Founded in 1984, Calpine operates the Geysers in northern California and is the largest producer
of geothermal electricity in the world.
www.calpine.com
Unocal Geothermal
Unocal operates three of the worlds largest geothermal electricity projects, Tiwi and Mak-Ban
in the Philippines and Gunung Salek in Indonesia, which together have a combined installed
generating capacity of 1,100 MW. Unocal merged with Chevron Corporation in 2005.
http://www.chevron.com/deliveringenergy/geothermal/
The World Bank
The World Bank provides a source of financial and technical cost data for geothermal
development in countries around the world.
http://econ.worldbank.org
GeothermalBiz.com
The Geothermal Biz website provides general information on state government agencies, for
example state energy offices, relevant legislation, e.g., for renewable portfolio standards (RPS)
and public benefits funds. Also included is information on state, local, and utility incentives that
promote geothermal energy, such as tax incentives, grants, loans, rebates, and utility green
pricing programs.
http://www.geothermal-biz.com
7.9 References
1. Renewable Energy Annual 2003. Available
http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/solar.renewables/page/rea_data/rea_sum.html. EIA,
Washington, D.C.: December 2004. DOE/EIA-0603(99).
2. Huttrer, G., The Status of World Geothermal Power 19952000. Paper prepared for the
World Geothermal Conference and the DOE Geothermal Power Program, as an update of
the 1995 status report on geothermal power deployment, based on the Country Update
papers submitted to the World Geothermal Conference held in Japan, MayJune 2000.
Paper prepared by Gerald W. Huttrer of Geothermal Management Co., Frisco, Colorado:
May 2000.
3. Market Assessment of Renewable Energy in California. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2001.
1001193.
4. Duffield, W.A., J.H. Sass, and M.L. Sorey, Tapping the Earths Natural Heat, U.S.
Geological Survey Circular 1125, 1994.
5. Assessment of Geothermal Resources of the U.S.1978. Ed. L.J.P. Muffler, USGS Circular
790, 1978.
6. Geothermal Energy in the Western U.S. and Hawaii: Resources and Projected Electricity
Generation Supplies. EIA: September 1991. DOE/EIA-0544.
7. Annual Energy Outlook 2007, EIA: February 2007.
8. Greenhouse Gas Reduction with Renewables. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2000. TR-113785.
7-52
Geothermal Energy
9. Tester, J.W., and H.J. Herzog, Economic Predictions for Heat Mining: A Review and
Analysis of Hot Dry Rock (HDR) Geothermal Energy Technology, Massachusetts Institute
of Technology, July 1990.
10. Renewable Energy Technology Characterizations, EPRI and DOE. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA:
1997. TR-109496.
11. Brown, D. and D. Duchane, Los Alamos National Laboratory, personal communication
to Lynn McLarty (one of the authors of the RETC [10]), November 5, 1996.
12. Assessment of Geopressured Energy Resources on the Gulf Coast of the U.S. Report to EPRI
by Southwest Research Inst. (San Antonio, TX). EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 1983. AP-3109-WE.
13. Next Generation Geothermal Power Plants. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 1996. TR-106223.
14. Proceedings of the 10th EPRI Geothermal Conference and Workshop, San Diego, June 1986.
EPRI, Palo Alto, California: 1986. AP-5059-SR.
15. Armstead, H.C.H. and J.W. Tester, Heat Mining: A New Source of Energy, E.&F.N.
Spon Ltd. University Press, London: 1987.
16. Mason, T.R., Improving the Competitive Position of Geothermal Energy, Proceedings of
Geothermal Program Review XIV, DOE: April 1996. Report DOE/EE-0106.
17. Heber Binary Cycle Geothermal Demonstration Power Plant, EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: August
1998. AP-5787-SR. (Note: This was the last in a series of several reports published by EPRI
during the development and implementation of the Heber Project between 1978
and 1988.)
18. Los Alamos National Laboratory. Proceedings of the 3rd International Hot Dry Rock
Energy Forum, Santa Fe, NM, May 1316, 1996.
19. EPRI Technical Assessment Guide Electricity Supply Volume 1, Rev. 7. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA:
1993. TR-102275-V1R7.
20. Annual Energy Outlook 1996, EIA: August 1996. DOE/EIA-0603(96).
21. Entingh, D.J., Technology Evolution Rationale for Technology Characterizations of U.S.
Geothermal Hydrothermal Electric Systems, BNF Technologies Inc., Alexandria, Virginia,
Draft Report: March 1993.
22. Renewable Power Industry Status Overview. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 1998. TR-111893.
23. Annual Energy Outlook 1998 with Projections Through 2020, EIA, Office of Integrated
Analysis and Forecasting, Washington, D.C. 20585: December 1997. DOE/EIA-0383 (98),
Distribution Category UC-950.
24. Annual Energy Outlook 2002 with Projections Through 2020, EIA, Office of Integrated
Analysis and Forecasting, Washington, D.C., December 2001.
25. Hunt, T., geophysical and geothermal consultant in Taupo, New Zealand. Personal
communication to Evan Hughes, October 2003.
26. Radon as an In Situ Tracer in Geothermal Reservoirs, Project 1992-1, Final Report to
EPRI by Professor Paul Kruger of Stanford University: August 1987. EPRI AP-5315.
7-53
Geothermal Energy
27. Kagel, A., D. Bates, and K. Gawell, A Guide to Geothermal Energy and the Environment,
Geothermal Energy Association, Earth Day 2005.
28. Bertani, R., World Geothermal Generation 20012005 State of the Art, 2005. Prepared for
World Geothermal Congress 2005, Turkey.
29. Sanyal, S.K., Classification of Geothermal SystemsA Possible Scheme, 2005. Prepared for
Thirtieth Workshop on Geothermal Reservoir Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford,
California: January 31February 2, 2005. SGP-TR-176.
30. Sanyal, S.K., Cost of Geothermal Power and Factors that Affect It, 2005. Prepared for
Thirtieth Workshop on Geothermal Reservoir Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford,
California: January 31February 2, 2005. SGP-TR-175.
31. Geothermal Resource Council, Geothermal Bulletin Volume 33 Number 3, June 2004.
32. Lovekin, J., New Study Highlights Geothermal Resources Available for Development in
California and Nevada, December 2004. GRC Bulletin, p. 242.
33. New Geothermal Site Identification and Qualification: April 2004. CEC Publication No.
P500-04-051.
34. Bertani, R., World Geothermal Generation in 2007, GHG Bulletin, September 2007.
35. U.S. Geothermal Power Production and Development Update, March 2009, Geothermal
Energy Association.
36. The Future of Geothermal Energy: Impact of Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS) on the
United States in the 21st Century, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2006.
37. An Evaluation of Enhanced Geothermal Systems Technology, Geothermal Technologies
Program, Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, DOE, 2008.
38. Sanyal, S.K. et al. Future of Geothermal Energy, Geothermal Energy Conference,
Canadian Geothermal Energy Association, April 2009.
39. Bertani, R., Long Term Projections of Geothermal-Electric Development in the World,
GeoTHERM ConferenceOffenburg, March 2009.
40. Brown, D.W., A Hot Dry Rock Geothermal Energy Concept Utilizing Supercritical CO2
Instead of Water Proceedings, Twenty-Fifth Workshop on Geothermal Reservoir
Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, California, January 2426, 2000.
41. Engineering and Economic Evaluation of Geothermal Power Plants. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA:
2010. 1019761.
42. Annual Geothermal Power Production and Development Report: April 2012, Geothermal
Energy Association.
43. Renewable Energy in California, ACORE, updated 09/2012.
44. Next Generation Geothermal Power Plants: 2012 Update. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2012.
1024006.
45. Single-Well Enhanced Geothermal System Front End Engineering and Design: Optimization
of a Renewable Geothermal System for Harvesting Heat from Hot, Dry Rock. EPRI, Palo
Alto, CA: 2011. 1021665.
7-54
Geothermal Energy
7-55
SOLAR THERMAL
8.1 Introduction
Solar thermal electric power technology has received substantial development attention since the
early 1970s. Government energy research programs in the developed countries have invested
several billions of dollars (U.S. equivalent) over the past three decades aimed at its advancement
and commercial introduction. U.S. development efforts were particularly strong during the
1980s, and resulted in deployment of a significant amount of experimental and commercial
hardware during that decade.
Attention subsided in the 1990s primarily because conventional energy prices seemed to stabilize
at affordable levels. In addition, the primary interest of the solar power community shifted from
large-scale wholesale power to smaller-scale retail power, due in part to the emerging electric
sector restructuring movement. Key elements of that movement included increased emphasis on
dispersed, distributed generation and retail competition for electricity supply. In addition,
development issues had surfaced for the solar thermal options, and the resources to resolve those
issues were not forthcoming because of the markets characteristics at the time. Nonetheless,
several major field deployment and advancement activities were carried out in the 1990s,
resulting in important new contributions that enhanced the prospects for these technologies.
Driven by looming capacity shortfalls, the new century found the restructuring movement
slowing and industry interest in central-station power plants increasing. Growing public interest
in renewable energy, fueled by pending carbon emissions constraints and renewed concerns over
energy prices and security, has put solar thermal electric generation back into serious
consideration. In the past few years, there have been indications that the time has come for
significant new investments in solar thermal. New plants are now operating in the United States,
Spain and elsewhere, with thousands of more megawatts of solar thermal capacity on the
drawing boards. Real-world operating experience is bolstering confidence that solar thermal
plants can run reliably, and further understanding of their engineering challenges, operating
issues, and O&M costs will be possible as such data are made public. Anecdotal evidence says
that industry experience with operational plants has been generally favorable.
8-1
Solar Thermal
Overviews of the various solar thermal technologies are given in Tables 8-1 through 8-4.
Table 8-1
Central receiver technology
Installed Capacity (est.)
Technology Readiness
Demonstration to early-commercial
Moderate-low confidence in cost estimates and technology projections
Environmental Impact
Economic Status
Policy Status
Trends to Watch
Large projects planned in the U.S., Europe, South Africa, Turkey, and
China
Thermal storage to allow dispatchable solar power; value of storage
depends on whether local time-of-use rates and other pricing and policy
circumstances make it worth the investment
Molten salt and direct steam projects in Spain, South Africa, Turkey,
China, Nevada, Arizona, and California
Table 8-2
Dish/engine technology
Installed Capacity (est.)
Technology Readiness
Early demonstration
Low confidence in cost estimates and development projections
Environmental Impact
Economic Status
Policy Status
Trends to Watch
8-2
Solar Thermal
Table 8-3
Linear Fresnel reflector technology
Installed Capacity (est.)
Technology Readiness
Demonstration
Low confidence in cost estimates and development projections
Environmental Impact
Economic Status
Policy Status
Trends to Watch
Table 8-4
Trough technology
Installed Capacity (est.)
Technology Readiness
Commercial
Moderate confidence in cost estimates and technology projections
Environmental Impact
Economic Status
Policy Status
8-3
Solar Thermal
Table 8-4 (continued)
Trough technology
Trends to Watch
Solar Thermal
molten salt as the HTF and energy storage medium. In this system, molten salt was pumped from
a cold tank and cycled through the receiver, where it was heated and returned to a hot tank.
The hot salt could then be used to generate electricity when needed. Current designs allow
storage times ranging from 2 to 15 hours. Such thermal storage capability makes central
receivers (and troughs, when so equipped) the most flexible of solar technologies, promising
dispatchable power with load factors of up to 75%in principle, even 100%. Solar Two
operated from April 1996 to April 1999. The EUs first commercial 11-MW central receiver
project, PS10, became operational in Spain in August 2007, and the second, PS20, began
operation adjacent to PS10 in April 2009. Also in Spain, the 17-MW Gemasolar central receiver
project began operation in May 2011. Meanwhile, a number of new power tower projects are
being proposed for construction over the next five to seven years in the U.S., EU, South Africa,
Turkey, and China.
Dish/engine systems use an array of mirrors made from glass facets to form a parabolic dish that
focuses solar energy onto a receiver located at the focal point of the dish. A HTF, typically
helium or hydrogen, is heated in the receiver tube and used to generate electricity in a small
engine attached directly to the receiver. Current designs employ a Stirling engine, but future
designs could use Brayton-cycle (turbine) engines or dense arrays of high-efficiency
photovoltaic cells. The former technology leader, Stirling Energy Systems (SES), demonstrated a
six-dish 150-kW system with Sandia National Laboratories and signed power purchase
agreements (PPAs) in 2005 for up to 1,750 MW, but in 2011 SES declared bankruptcy, and those
large projects were converted to PV generation. Meanwhile, the 60-dish, 1.5-MW Maricopa
dish/engine plant in Arizona which began providing electricity to Salt River Project in January
2010 continues to operate. Another company, Infinia has developed a little over 1 MW of 3-kW
systems and is under DOE contract to incorporate thermal energy storage into its receiver.
Near- and long-term cost projections for trough technology are higher than those for power
towers and dish/engine systems due in large part to the lower solar concentration involved,
which results in lower temperatures and efficiency. However, with more than 20 years of
operating experience, continued technology improvements, and O&M cost reductions, troughs
are currently the most reliable and lowest risk solar thermal electric technology for near-term
deployment.
Linear Fresnel reflector (LFR) is conceptually similar to the parabolic trough, but instead of
using curved mirrors in an actual parabola, it uses an array of narrow, nearly flat mirrors
individually tilted and turned on their axes, forming a Fresnel approximation of a parabola to
reflect sunlight to the receiver. Using flat mirrors and water/steam as the HTF translates to lower
costs, but performance is expected to be inferior to trough, central receiver and dish/engine
technologies. Future plant designs will target operation at temperatures similar or greater than
synthetic oil-based trough systems, and molten salt HTF designs are under development.
LFR has gained more attention in recent years after AREVA Solar (formerly Ausra) deployed a
5-MW system in Bakersfield, CA in 2008 and Novatec Biosol commissioned a 30-MW plant in
Spain in 2012. LFR has also proven its value in solar thermal hybrid configurations with roughly
6 MW operating and 44 MW under construction in Australia. Large commercial standalone CSP
projects are under construction in Jordan and India.The more novel solar chimney is not yet as
well understood as the first four technologies above. Therefore, they are only briefly described in
this section, as no significant economic details are yet known.
8-5
Solar Thermal
8.1.2 Hybridization
All solar thermal technologies have the potential to operate as hybrids, with collected solar
energy introduced into a gas turbine or coal boiler system in concert with conventional fossil
fuels or other sources of heat. For example, a parabolic-trough solar field can be integrated with
a conventional combined-cycle plant to make up an integrated solar combined-cycle (ISCC)
system. Such hybridization can effectively increase the dispatchability of solar electricity and
thereby minimize grid integration issues. For retrofit applications, this approach is typically
limited to receiving about 10% to 20% of the total heat input from sunlight due to the limitation
of the existing equipment to accommodate larger amounts of solar. Central-receiver solar fields
are better suited to hybridization with natural gas combined-cycle and Rankine-cycle plants, and
can potentially accommodate higher levels of solar input due to the higher steam temperatures
that more closely match the existing steam turbine conditions. Eight solar thermal hybrid projects
representing 170 MW of solar capacity are now operational, and eleven more with 286 MW of
planned capacity are slated to come online in the next few years. The existing and planned
projects incorporate a range of solar technologies, fossil plants, and integration designs. The
majority of the projects use parabolic-trough technology, although a few have selected linear
Fresnel reflector, and a project in Turkey will use central-receiver technology.
As originally proposed by Luz Solar International, the ISCC configuration consists of a
parabolic-trough field, a combined-cycle power plant fueled by natural gas or other fossil fuel,
and a solar steam generator. During solar-powered operation, water from the cooler end of the
steam cycle is diverted and heated into saturated steam by the solar steam generator. The
saturated steam is then returned to the heat recovery steam generator (HRSG), where the
combined fossil- and solar-heated steam flow is then superheated by fossil-fueled heating. Other
integration options are feasible depending on the steam conditions available from the solar field.
When sunlight is unavailable, an integrated plant can operate as a conventional fossil-fueled
combined-cycle facility.
Advantages of solar thermal hybrid plants include the high efficiency with which they convert
solar energy to electrical energy compared to stand-alone solar plants, the relatively low
incremental unit cost for the larger steam turbine in an integrated plant compared to a solar-only
plant, and reduced thermal inefficiencies associated with the daily start up and shut down of the
steam turbine. Projects up to 75 MW in size are now operational in the United States, Algeria,
Egypt, Iran, Italy, Australia and Morocco. Other projects ranging from small demonstration units
up to 92.5 MW are being developed in Australia, Mexico, Spain, Chile, Turkey, Portugal,
France, China and Canada.
8-6
Solar Thermal
8.2 Resources
This section of the Renewable Energy Technology Guide addresses solar resource assessment,
technology overview, and status for utility-scale solar thermal electric applications. It also
discusses likely development pathways, performance and cost history and projections, operating
and maintenance labor requirements, environmental issues, and potential for greenhouse gas
reduction.
The solar energy resource at a given location is characterized by the solar radiation per unit area
(or insolation) expressed in units of kilowatt-hours or megajoules per square meter per year
(kWh/m2/yr or MJ/m2/yr). The insolation reaching the Earths surface varies with latitude,
altitude, time of day and season, as well as with local weather and atmospheric conditions arising
from natural particulates or air pollution.
As sunlight passes through the atmosphere, some is reflected, some is absorbed, and some is
scattered. Because of these losses, the amount of energy that actually reaches the Earth never
exceeds about 70% of that present outside our atmosphere. Latitudes closer to the equator, and
especially regions with dry climates, typically exhibit the highest average insolation.
Insolation reaches a solar collector either directly (direct-normal radiation), after being scattered
(diffuse radiation), or after being reflected from the ground. These are important distinctions
because all solar thermal designs employ optical concentration and can use only direct-normal
solar radiation.
80
8-7
Solar Thermal
Figure 8-1 shows the distribution of direct-normal insolation in the world and United States. The
areas with the highest insolation include parts of the United States, Australia, Africa, and the
Middle East. In the United States, direct-normal insolation is most abundant in the Southwest,
and the largest regions of highest-quality resource are in Nevada, Arizona, California, and New
Mexico. Average insolation values for a given location, such as those shown in Figure 8-1, are
adequate for rough calculations, but to accurately predict the output and, therefore, the energy
cost of a solar thermal system, measurements should be taken over the course of at least one year
at a potential power plant location.
To assess the potential solar resource overall, it is important to know the geographic regions
where insolation is generally high, but the truly available resource is also constrained by land
topology, prior claims on it for other purposes, and other considerations. Solar thermal plants
cannot be easily installed in the mountains and they would be unwelcome in many places such as
national parks, military reservations, and urban areas. An NREL study used GIS screening
techniques to identify the land comprising the premium sites suitable for solar thermal power
plant deployment in the U.S. Southwest [11]. The study began with all land having an average
insolation greater than 6.75 kWh/m2 and filtered out unsuitable areas using the following criteria:
military bases with a one-mile buffer; national wilderness areas with a five-mile buffer; Fish and
Wildlife Service land with a one-mile buffer; National Park Service land with a five-mile buffer;
National Forest Service land; cropland; major highways with a half-mile buffer; navigable
waterways with a half-mile buffer; lakes with a two-mile buffer; major urbanized areas with a
four-mile buffer; railroads with a 500-foot buffer; and locations 9,000 feet above sea level with a
4.5-mile buffer around each plant. The study concluded that using only 3% of the land area that
remained after filtering could provide over 1 million GWh of solar thermal-generated electricity
annually, representing about 25% of net U.S. electricity generation in 2008. The recent SunShot
Solar Vision Study published by the DOE outlined the feasibility of achieving 10% and 20% of
power generation from solar (PV and solar thermal) in the U.S. by 2030.
8-8
Solar Thermal
Figure 8-1
Distribution of direct-normal insolation worldwide (top, kWh/m2/yr) and U.S.
(bottom, Wh/m2/day)
Sources: U.S. DOE and ISET
8-9
Solar Thermal
8-10
Solar Thermal
Figure 8-2
Solar trough collector field at Kramer Junction, California (Note the receiver tube at the
reflectors focal point that transports heat-transfer fluid.)
Figure 8-3
Andasol 1 and 2 parabolic trough plants, Spain
Source: Solar Millennium
8-11
Solar Thermal
In the United States, the solar collector field typically provides maximum solar output in late
spring or summer. The gas-fired heater is typically used to extend operation to late afternoon and
early evening hours during the summer peak period and to augment the solar collector field
during cloudy periods. Although the gas-fired heater is physically capable of more extended use,
power plants operated as qualifying facilities (QFs) under PURPA are limited to generating 25%
of total energy from gas. Utility-owned plants are not subject to the same limitation on gas use at
the present time. The California plants principals formerly included Sunray Energy, the Kramer
Junction Co., KJC Operating Co., and FPL Energy, but now FPL Energy is the principal owner.
The plants benefit from federal and state investment incentives, solar property tax exclusion, and
accelerated depreciation intended to encourage solar projects.
8.3.2 Central Receiver
Central receiver plants use hundreds or thousands of sun-tracking mirrors called heliostats to
focus concentrated solar radiation on a tower-mounted heat exchanger (receiver). Because they
perform better at larger sizes, these plants are best suited for utility-scale applications of many
tens to a couple hundred of megawatts.
The heliostat field surrounding the tower is laid out to optimize either the annual or seasonal
performance of the plant. In a typical installation, solar energy collection occurs at a rate that
exceeds the maximum required to provide steam to the turbine. Consequently, a thermal storage
system can be charged at the same time that the plant is producing power at full capacity.
Without energy storage or fossil-fuel hybridization, solar technologies are limited to annual
capacity factors of less than approximately 30%. However, with sufficient storage capability, a
central receiver could potentially operate all of the time without a backup fuel source. The Solar
Two and Gemasolar projects have demonstrated such 24-hour operation.
Although central receivers are commercially less mature than parabolic trough systems, several
component and experimental systems have been field tested around the world in the past 25
years to demonstrate the engineering feasibility and economic potential of the technology (Table
8-5). These experimental facilities were built to show that central receivers can produce
electricity and to test and improve individual system components.
The first large-scale test of the central receiver system was the 10-MWe Solar One project at
Daggett, California, which operated from 1982 to 1988 and was then the worlds largest central
receiver plant. It proved that large-scale central receiver power production was feasible. In that
plant, water was converted to steam in the receiver and used directly to power a conventional
Rankine-cycle steam turbine. The thermal storage system stored heat from solar-produced steam
in a thermocline tank filled with rocks and sand, using oil as the heat-transfer fluid. The storage
system extended the plants power-generation capability into the night and provided heat for
generating low-grade steam for keeping parts of the plant warm during off-hours and for
morning startup. Unfortunately, the storage system was complex and thermodynamically
inefficient. Although Solar One successfully demonstrated central receiver technology, it also
revealed the disadvantages of a water/steam system, such as intermittent turbine operation due
to short-term cloud cover and lack of effective thermal storage.
8-12
Solar Thermal
Table 8-5
Central receiver demonstration projects
Country
Power
Output
(MWe)
Heat Transfer
Fluid
Storage Medium
Operation
Began
Spain
0.5
Liquid Sodium
Sodium
1981
EURELIOS
Italy
Steam
Nitrate Salt/Water
1981
SUNSHINE
Japan
Steam
Nitrate Salt/Water
1981
Solar One
USA
10
Steam
Oil/Rock
1982
CESA-1
Spain
Steam
Nitrate Salt
1983
MSEE/Cat B
USA
Molten Nitrate
Nitrate Salt
1984
THEMIS
France
2.5
Hi-Tec Salt
Hi-Tec Salt
1984
SPP-5
Russia
Steam
Water/Steam
1986
TSA
Spain
Air
Ceramic
1993
Solar Two
USA
10
Nitrate Salt
1996
PS10
Spain
11
Steam
Water/Steam
2007
Solar Energy
Development Center
Israel
Steam
na
2008
PS20
Spain
20
Steam
Water/Steam
2009
Eureka
Spain
Steam
Water/Steam
2009
Germany
1.5
Air
Air
2009
Spain
20
Nitrate Salt
2011
Project
SSPS
Jlich
Gemasolar
(aka Solar Tres)
During the operation of Solar One, research began on a more advanced molten-salt central
receiver design that would store energy more efficiently. This led to the Solar Two project
(Figure 8-4). In the Solar Two power tower, liquid salt at 550F (290C) was pumped from a
cold storage tank through the receiver, where it was heated to 1,050F (570C), then on to a
hot tank for storage. When power was needed from the plant, hot salt was pumped to a steam
generating system that produced superheated steam for a conventional Rankine-cycle
turbine/generator system. From the steam generator, the salt was returned to the cold tank, where
it was stored and eventually reheated in the receiver. Determining the optimum storage size to
meet power-dispatch requirements was an important part of the system design process.
8-13
Solar Thermal
Figure 8-4
Solar Two central receiver in operation (The two tanks to the left of the tower base are the
storage tanks for the hot and cold molten salt solutions.)
The Solar Two storage medium was a 60/40 mixture of sodium nitrate and potassium nitrate,
which melts at 428F (220C). It was maintained in a molten state at 554F (290C) in the cold
storage tank. Molten salt can be difficult to contain and transport because it has a low viscosity
(similar to water) and it wets metal surfaces extremely well. An important consideration in
successfully implementing this technology is identifying pumps, valves, valve packing, and
gasket materials that will work with molten salt. Accordingly, Solar Two was designed with a
minimum number of gasketed flanges, while most instrument transducers, valves, and fittings
were welded in place. Designers specified stainless steel for all pipes, valves, and vessels
because of its corrosion resistance in the molten-salt environment. In addition, the design must
allow the receiver to rapidly change temperature during cloud passage, for example, without
being damaged. The Solar Two receiver could safely change from 554F to 1058F (290C to
570C) in less than one minute.
The developers of Solar Two envisioned the project primarily as a demonstration of a complete
molten salt central receiver power plant, albeit at a less than commercial scale. In reality, the
program was more a development effort than a demonstration effort. Operators used many of the
programs resources to improve system components and devise solutions for problems that arose.
The result is that Solar Two was quite successful as a development program. Much was learned
and documented that should substantially reduce the technical risks associated with future molten
salt central receiver plants.
8-14
Solar Thermal
Solar Twos major contributions toward resolving key issues included the following:
It clearly demonstrated that a solar central receiver can operate as a dispatchable power plant
as part of a utility generating mix. On several occasions the plant operated for many
consecutive days, providing power to the grid during peak load periods even after sundown,
and in some cases even through the night. During one such period, the plant operated
continuously for 154 hours, although at reduced power because of limited thermal storage
capacity.
Although trace heating was a major unresolved concern at the conclusion of earlier central
receiver projects, substantial progress toward resolving this issue was made at Solar Two.
Trace heating is needed to prevent the molten salt from solidifying while the plant is not
operating. After the total rework of the original trace heating system during 1996, the system
operated with good reliability through the end of the project. Effective trace heating in the
vicinity of bends and unusual shapes such as those present in the receiver piping is still an
issue of some concern, but reasonable solutions have been proposed that can be employed in
future plants.
Except for the heliostat field, which had known deficiencies, Solar Two actually achieved
design-point efficiencies for all its major subsystems. Of particular importance were the
receiver and thermal storage performance parameters. The receiver demonstrated efficiencies
in the range of 86% to 88%, and the effective efficiency of the storage subsystem was 99%
after taking into account that some of the collected thermal energy is transported quickly to
the steam generator. Even if all of the energy were to reside in thermal storage for a 24-hour
period before transport to the steam generator, efficiency would have been about 97%.
Storage performance is highly significant. That subsystem worked under normal operating
conditions for essentially three years, and was particularly well characterized. It clearly
demonstrated the ability to store energy for several days with minimal losses. In addition,
post-experiment examination of the tanks (carbon-steel for the low-temperature tank and
stainless steel for the high-temperature tank) showed little evidence of corrosion, which
suggests not only excellent performance but also long service life for molten-salt storage
systems. No other renewable energy generation option can offer storage with performance
approaching this level. In addition, the incremental cost of this storage is relatively low, by
some estimates, approximately 10% of the total plant cost assuming five hours of storage.
Project funding limitations, coupled with concerns about the condition of the heliostat field,
prevented the operation of Solar Two for another year or two. This is unfortunate, because a
number of equipment and operating strategy issues had been resolved during the project, and
it may have been possible to obtain operating experience under conditions characteristic of
commercial operation. Data on annual operating efficiencies obtained under such conditions
could have been adjusted to account for known deficiencies in the plant such as turbine
generator limitations and heliostat field condition.
8-15
Solar Thermal
In addition to annual energy production potential, several other key technical issues remain
unresolved and cause risk levels to remain high. These include the following:
Long thermal time constants still result in limitations on useful energy collection. Morning
warmup periods for the thermal collection and electricity generation subsystems are still
measured in hours. Warmup periods might be reduced by improving warming strategies
using stored thermal energy and by increasing plant capacity factors by increasing field size
and storage capacity. The effectiveness of such measures remains to be demonstrated in
future plants.
Lifetime and maintenance requirements for molten-salt valves are still uncertain. The Solar
Two evaluation team recommended redesigning the salt loop to minimize the use of valves.
Another recommendation for future plants was to use pumps with long shafts so that they can
be placed on top of the salt tanks.
System startup in high winds is still an issue. As with earlier central receiver field tests, the
inability to operate during high winds was a significant cause of lost energy at Solar Two.
Heliostat field availability at Solar Two was less than expected. In contrast, availability for
Solar One was very high. While inattention to the entire plant facility between the two
projects was likely a major cause for the drop in availability, the issue of long-term heliostat
life is still open. It also appears that earlier high hopes for potentially low-cost stretched
membrane heliostats have diminished and that, for the foreseeable future, plants will rely on
glass-metal designs. This has implications for commercial plant costs because the glass-metal
designs are more expensive. On the other hand, experience with trough systems demonstrates
that glass reflectors perform very well under real-world operating conditions.
The 11-MW PS10 plant near Seville, Spain was the worlds largest operating central receiver
plant in 2008. The system operates at saturated steam conditions of 482F (250C). After
roughly a year and a half of commercial operation, the plant owners reported that the
performance had improved by 10% due to optimization of the temperature gradient across the
receiver surface and other operational improvements. The 20-MW PS20 plant sited next to PS10
came online in 2009. The larger tower was designed with lower auxiliary loads to boost
performance. Eureka, a 2-MW high-temperature demonstration tower, is also operational at the
same site to validate superheated steam operation. In May 2011 the 19.9-MW Gemasolar project
was commissioned in Spain, and several larger-scale projects are scheduled to come online
between 2012-2015. SolarReserve is developing 150-MW, 110-MW, 150-MW and 50-MW
plants in California, Nevada, Arizona and Spain, respectively. BrightSource has approximately
900 MW of projects in California and 400 MW in Nevada to built in the same timeframe, and a
pipline of an additional 1800 MW to be built in California by 2020.
8-16
Solar Thermal
8.3.3 Dish/Engine
Dish/engine systems employ a parabolic reflector to focus concentrated sunlight onto a receiver
located at the focal point of the dish (Figure 8-5). The sunlight heats a working fluid in the
receiver tube, which transfers heat to a small engine used to generate electricity. Many
thermodynamic cycles and working fluids have been considered for dish/engine systems, but the
Stirling and open Brayton (gas turbine) cycles are generally favored. Conventional automotive
Otto and Diesel engine cycles are not feasible in this application because of the difficulties in
integrating them with concentrated solar energy.
Figure 8-5
25-kW SAIC dish/engine system at the DOE Mesa Top Thermal Test Facility
Source: NREL
The key components that affect the cost and performance of dish/engine systems are the
concentrator, the receiver, and the engine itself. To achieve the high temperatures required to
efficiently convert heat to work, the dish must precisely track the sun on two axes.
Dish/engine systems in operation have typically been scattered demonstration units, including
several installed at Sandia National Laboratories Solar Thermal Test Facility. In January 2010,
SES and Tessera Solar commissioned the 1.5-MW Maricopa Solar Plant, composed of 60 25-kW
SunCatcher units, in Peoria, AZ. However, SES declared bankruptcy in 2011 and the Maricopa
project assets were auctioned in April 2012.
Infinia has thus far survived the solar industry shake-out. Under new management since 2011
and with a recent $15.5M VC investment in October 2012, the company is developing a 1.5-MW
installation (430 units) at the Tooele Army Depot outside Salt Lake City, UT.
8-17
Solar Thermal
8.3.3.1 Concentrators
The size of a dish/engine systems solar concentrator is determined by the heat input
requirements of the engine. At a nominal maximum direct-normal solar insolation of 1,000
W/m2, a 25-kW dish/Stirling system has a concentrator diameter of approximately 10 meters.
Infinias 3.5-kW PowerDish81 design has a 6.7-meter diameter dish. Concentrators use a
reflective surface of aluminum or silver deposited on glass or plastic. The most durable reflective
surfaces have been silver/glass mirrors. Because dish concentrators have short focal lengths,
relatively thin glass mirrors approximately 1 mm are required to accommodate the required
curvatures. In addition, for rear-surface-reflector mirrors, glass with low iron content helps to
reduce absorbance losses in the glass. Depending on the glass thickness and iron content,
silvered mirrors have solar reflectance values in the range of 90% to 94%. Although glass
mirrors achieve high performance and the technology is well-understood, they drive up the cost
of the concentrator. For this reason, ongoing work has centered on developing low-cost reflective
elements, such as those based on polymer films and stainless-steel membranes.
Typically, concentrators approximate a paraboloid of rotation by using an array made up of
multiple mirrors supported by a truss structure. One innovative solar-concentrator design used
stretched membranes, in which a thin reflective membrane is stretched across a rim or hoop. A
second membrane is used to close off the space behind. A partial vacuum is drawn in this space,
bringing the reflective membrane into an approximately spherical shape. This design proved
problematic in operation, however, and is not being currently pursued.
A concentrators optical design and accuracy determine the concentration ratio, defined as the
average solar flux through the receiver aperture divided by the ambient direct-normal solar
insolation. Typical concentration ratios are over 2,000. The intercept fraction, defined as the
fraction of the reflected solar flux that passes through the receiver aperture, is usually greater
than 95%.
The receiver absorbs energy reflected by the concentrator and transfers it to the engines working
fluid. The absorbing surface is usually placed behind the focus of the concentrator to reduce the
flux intensity incident on it. Stirling and Brayton engines each have their own interface issues.
Stirling engine receivers must efficiently transfer concentrated solar energy to a high-pressure
oscillating gas, usually helium or hydrogen. In Brayton receivers, the flow must be steady and at
relatively low pressure.
There are two general types of Stirling receivers: direct-illumination receivers (DIRs) and
indirect receivers which use an intermediate heat-transfer fluid. DIRs adapt the heater tubes of
the Stirling engine to absorb the concentrated solar flux. Because of the high heat-transfer
capability of high-velocity, high-pressure helium or hydrogen, DIRs are capable of absorbing
high levels of solar flux (approximately 75 W/cm2). However, balancing the temperatures and
heat addition between the cylinders of a multiple-cylinder Stirling engine remains an integration
issue.
81
8-18
Solar Thermal
Liquid-metal heat-pipe solar receivers may help to solve this problem. In a heat-pipe receiver,
liquid sodium metal is vaporized on the absorber surface of the receiver and condensed on the
Stirling engines heater tubes. This results in a uniform heater-tube temperature, thereby enabling
a higher engine working temperature for a given material, and therefore higher engine efficiency.
Although not yet demonstrated, longer-life receivers and engine heater heads are also
theoretically possible through the use of a heat pipe. Stirling receivers are typically about 90%
efficient in transferring energy delivered by the concentrator to the engine.
Solar receivers for dish/Brayton systems are less developed. In addition, the poor heat-transfer
coefficients of relatively low-pressure air, combined with the need to minimize pressure drops in
the receiver, make receiver design challenging.
8.3.3.2 Engines
The engine in a dish/engine system converts heat to mechanical power in a manner similar to
conventional engines by compressing a working fluid when it is cold, heating the compressed
working fluid, and then expanding it through a turbine or with a piston to produce work. The
mechanical power is converted to electric power by an electric generator or alternator. Electric
output in current dish/engine prototypes using a Stirling engine is about 25 kWe.
The Stirling engine is a leading candidate for dish/engine systems because of its high efficiency
and because its characteristic external heating makes it adaptable to concentrated solar flux. The
Stirling engines used in solar dish/Stirling systems use hydrogen or helium working gas and
operate at high temperatures and pressures, up to 700C (1,300F) and 20 MPa (2,900 psia),
respectively. In the Stirling cycle, a working gas is alternately heated and cooled by constanttemperature and constant-volume processes. Stirling engines usually incorporate an efficiencyenhancing regenerator that captures heat during constant-volume cooling and replaces it when
the gas is heated at constant volume. There are a number of mechanical configurations that
implement these constant-temperature and constant-volume processes. Most involve the use of
pistons and cylinders. Some use a displacer (a piston that displaces the working gas without
changing its volume) to shuttle the working gas back and forth from the hot region to the cold
region of the engine. For most engine designs, power is extracted by a rotating crankshaft. An
exception is the free-piston configuration, where the pistons are not constrained by crankshafts or
other mechanisms. They bounce back and forth on gas springs and the power is extracted from
the power piston by a linear alternator or pump. The best Stirling engines today achieve thermalto-electric conversion efficiencies of about 40%.
The Brayton engine, also called the jet engine, combustion turbine, or gas turbine, is an internalcombustion engine similar to an Otto-or Diesel-cycle engine in that air is compressed, fuel is
added, and the mixture is burned. In the Brayton cycle, however, the hot exhaust gases expand
through a turbine, rather than against a piston. In a dish/Brayton system, solar heat is used to
replace (or supplement) the fuel. As in the Stirling engine, recuperation of waste heat is
a key to achieving high efficiency. Therefore, waste heat exhausted from the turbine is used to
preheat air from the compressor.
8-19
Solar Thermal
Figure 8-6
LFR Array at Liddell Power Station, Australia
Source: SolarPACES
The tower-mounted linear receivers consist of a series of steel tubes surrounded by a trapezoidal
reflective surface. Nominal sun concentration is less than 80 suns. Within the receiver,
pressurized water is converted to either saturated or superheated steam conditions (up to
approximately 480C has been demonstrated), and the steam from this process drives
conventional Rankine cycle steam turbines and generators. AREVA Solar is currently
constructing a 44-MW solar field to augment the Kogan Creek supercritical coal plant in
Queensland, Australia. Separately, it is building a 250-MW stand-alone LFR solar project in
Rajasthan, India to be completed in phases from 2013 to 2015.
8-20
Solar Thermal
Figure 8-7
Cross-section diagram of solar chimney (Sunlight heats trapped air that then rises through
the cylindrical tower. Water tubes inside the greenhouse-like structure surrounding the
chimney would help retain heat.)
Source: C. Pietschiny
Architect Christian Pietschiny has suggested a novel strategy for gaining broader support and
economic benefit from a solar chimney: make it the worlds largest work of art. Pietschiny
proposes that a solar chimney presented as an enormous public expression of aesthetics, ecology,
and economy could attract attention, investors, and even tourists who would not otherwise take
an interest in an electricity generation project. Figure 8-8 is a painting showing one approach to
this vision. In October 2010 the Southern California Public Power Authority approved a power
purchase agreement to buy the output of a 200-MW solar chimney to be built in Arizona by
EnviroMission of Australia. If completed, the $700 million plant, with a 3-mile (4.8-km)
diameter greenhouse and 800-plus meter-tall chimney containing 35 wind turbines, would
become the worlds second tallest man-made structure. A 27-MW solar chimney is reportedly
under development in China as well.
8-21
Solar Thermal
Figure 8-8
Solar chimney sculpture
Source: C. Pietschiny
8-22
Solar Thermal
Table 8-6
Technology monitoring guide for solar thermal power plants
Leading Developers of the Science or Technology
R&D
Intensity
Moderate
Government
Nonprofit
Developers and
Organizations Organizations
Vendors
FlabegSolar
DOE (Sandia, DLR
Acciona Solar
(Germany)
NREL),
Abengoa/Solucar
CIEMAT
SENER
(Spain)
Cobra
Schott Solar
SkyFuel
Iberdrola
Flagsol
TSK
Central
Receiver
Moderate
DOE (Sandia,
NREL),
CIEMAT
Parabolic
Dish/Stirling
Engine
Low
DOE (Sandia),
CIEMAT
Linear
Fresnel
Reflector
Low
DOE,
CIEMAT
Technologies
Parabolic
Trough
DLR
Changes to
Watch for
Direct steam
Lower-cost
generation, moltenmirror support
salt or gas HTFs,
structures,
thermal storage, non-glass reflective
film collectors,
improvedsingle-vessel
performance
storage, lower-cost
receiver tubes,
storage strategies,
larger plants,
improved receiver
hybrid plants
tube designs
Major Trends
Nexant (Bechtel)
Solar Reserve/USRG
(UTC)/Rocketdyne
Abengoa/Solucar
SENER
BrightSource
eSolar
Molten-salt
receiver,
superheatedsteam receiver,
air receiver,
smaller/cheaper
heliostat
designs
Schlaich-Bergermann
and Partner (SBP)
Infinia
HelioFocus
AREVA Solar (Ausra)
TSK
Lower-cost dish
and mirror
structures
Early demos,
hybrid
operation, proof
of economics
Thermal storage,
decoupling energy
collection from
electricity
generation,
multiple distributed
towers vs. single
tower,
supercritical-CO2
Brayton engines
Durable free-piston
engine, phasechange thermal
storage
Scale-up to 100megawatt scale,
stand-alone
operation
Unresolved
Issues
Steam or gas
flow control,
cost reduction
potential of
reflective film
collectors, freeze
protection of
molten-salt HTF
in collector field,
operation of
thermal-gradient
storage tank
Energy
production,
high temperature
operation, cost
Engine
availability, O&M
costs, cycling
impacts
Cost, efficiency,
proven
performance,
long-term O&M
cost.
8-23
Solar Thermal
Table 8-7
Technology process development map: solar thermal power plants
Parabolic
Trough/Gas
Hybrid
Parabolic
Trough with
Storage
Molten Salt
Central
Receiver
Direct Steam
Central
Receiver
Dish/Stirling
Engine
Parabolic
trough
Heat transfer
from oil to
steam cycle
Efficiency (net)1
Parabolic trough
Heliostat field
Heliostat field
Parabolic dish
Heat transfer
from oil to
molten salt to
steam cycle
Heat transfer
from molten
salt to steam
cycle
Direct steam
cycle
(saturated or
superheated)
Heated gas
(helium/hydrogen)
powers Stirling
engine
1517%
1314%
1520%
1522%
1630%
Relatively flat
terrain with
high annual
direct insolation
and some
natural gas
availability (for
backup)
Capital and
O&M cost
O&M cost
Capital cost
Optimum control
of storage
subsystem, high
freezing point of
salt
High freezing
point of salt
Steam cycle
control, high
parasitic losses
Uncertain
maintenance
costs
Direct steam
generation
or other hightemperature
HTF,
inexpensive
reflectors with
resistance
to soiling
Direct steam
generation or
other hightemperature
HTF,
inexpensive
reflectors with
resistance to
soiling, lower
cost storage
Steam control
system, energy
storage,
parasitic loss
reduction
Need for
highly reliable
reflectors,
trackers, and
engines
Relative Capital
Medium
High
Medium
Uncertain
Uncertain
Relative O&M
Medium
High
High
Uncertain
Uncertain
Busbar2
From 13/kWh
From 13/kWh
From 11/kWh
Uncertain
Uncertain
Resources
Capital cost
Operation
Technology
Needs
Costs
Does not reflect potentially high financing costs for first-of-a-kind systems or subsidies
8-24
Solar Thermal
Table 8-7 (continued)
Technology process development map: solar thermal power plants
Parabolic
Trough/Gas
Hybrid
Parabolic
Trough with
Storage
Molten Salt
Central
Receiver
Direct Steam
Central
Receiver
Dish Stirling
Engine
Development Timeframe
Research
Late 1970s
Current
1980s
Late 1970s
1970s1980s
Development
1980s
Current
1980s
Early 1980s
1980s1990s
Demonstration
19861987
Current
19931998
19841987
19831990s
Commercialization
1988
2009
2011
2009
2010
Examples
operating
successfully
More than a
dozen
operating in
Spain
High first
cost hurts
market
prospects
Dispatchability
helps market
prospects, but
temperature
limitations may
make it
uncompetitive
relative to other
CSP options
Limited
competition
for moltensalt
equipment;
strong
competition
for other key
components
Successful
first year of
operation at
Gemasolar
20-MW plant
Markets
Key Issues
Limited
competition
for Stirling
engine and
parabolic dish
collectors
Recent interest,
driven in part
by RPS in CA,
NV, AZ, NM,
CO, TX, and
Spanish solar
incentive may
spur very largescale
development in
next 510
years
Competition
from PV has
slowed
momentum
Recent
interest, driven
in part by RPS
and Spanish
solar incentive
may spur very
large-scale
development in
next 510
years
Competition
from PV has
slowed
momentum, but
storage
capability is
differentiator
Interest
initially
lagged
trough and
direct steam
tower due to
high cost
and need for
relatively
large system
sizes
(>100 MW).
Pricing
below trough
options and
inherent
storage
capability is
differentiator
PS10 and
PS20 designs
appear to
be limited
to very high
feed-in tariff
market
Unclear if
Brightsource
thermal
energy
storage option
will be
competitive
with direct
molten salt
systems
Infinia has
begun
megawattscale
deployments
and
prospects for
learning more
about largescale dish
operation still
appear bright
Addition of
thermal
storage may
be key
8-25
Solar Thermal
8-26
Solar Thermal
The World Banks Global Environment Facility (GEF) has pursued government and commercial
interests in building the next wave of solar thermal trough power plants. The builders envision
these installations as fossil-hybrid combined-cycle plants, with the solar contribution limited to
10% to 20%. Egypt built a hybrid solar fossil thermal power plant that generates 140 MW, 20
MW of which is provided by solar power. The Moroccan national utility, ONE, built an
integrated solar combined cycle (ISCC) plant with a net output of 470 MW, 20-MW of which is
solar trough. Separate from the GEF, Algeria developed a 150-MW total, 25-MW solar plant and
GEF studies for similar systems are under way in Mexico.
In the United States, there is one operating ISCC plant and one more planned. The first to be
commissioned was FPLs $476 million Martin Solar Energy Center (Figure 8-9), which added
75-MW of solar capacity to an existing combined-cycle plant. It was completed at the end of
2010. Another project, the Palmdale (Calif.) Hybrid Plant, is conceived as a city-owned 570-MW
combined-cycle plant with about 50 MW of solar capacity. As of August 2011, the project was
approved by California Energy Commission staff.
Figure 8-9
Martin Next-Generation Solar Energy Center
Source: FPL
Roughly 4,700 MW of additional parabolic trough systems are planned to be on-line by 2020 in
the United States, Spain, Abu Dhabi, Morocco, South Africa and other locations worldwide.
Development efforts are under way to improve solar collector assembly technology. A
consortium in Europe has developed and tested an advanced collector, dubbed the EuroTrough,
that is intended to contain the best features of the second and third generations of Luz collectors
(LS-2 and LS-3). Several of the parties to the EuroTrough development have also continued to
evolve variations of their own that minimize support frame material and offer simpler, faster
installation features. In addition, Acciona in the United States developed a collector based on the
LS-2 design that offers advantages in manufacturing, installation, and resistance to high winds.
Schott Solar and the former Siemens/Solel (recently divested) have each developed improved
vacuum-insulated receiver tubes.
8-27
Solar Thermal
Gemasolar
10
19.9
2.7
2.1
Surround
Surround
1.1
>2.5
82,000
318,000
40
120
Cylindrical
Cylindrical
15
20%
~75%
8%
unknown
Field Layout
Solar Multiple
Receiver Configuration
Storage (hrs)
In January 2009, Torresol Energya joint venture of SENER and Masdar of Abu Dhabi
invested 171 million to begin construction on the project. In November 2009, the European
Investment Bank (EIB) loaned an additional 80 million. The overall project is also backed with
funds provided under the terms of the Fifth European Community Framework Research Program
(Contract NNE5-2001-369).
8-28
Solar Thermal
Figure 8-10
Gemasolar plant under construction, May 2010
Source: SENER
Figure 8-11
Gemasolar molten salt storage tanks under construction, June 2010
Source: SENER
8-29
Solar Thermal
Figure 8-12
Gemasolar receiver tower and heliostat
Source: T. Peterson
The 5-MW Sierra SunTower built by eSolar began generating electricity in August 2009 (Figure
8-13). Constructed in less than one year, the plant features 24,000 heliostats, approximately 1 m2
each, that concentrate sunlight onto a central tower. The Sierra SunTower facility achieves 5
MW by combining two 2.5-MW modules. Power generated is being sold to Southern California
Edison.
8-30
Solar Thermal
Figure 8-13
Sierra SunTower plant using modular tower approach
Source: T. Peterson
The project, on private land zoned for heavy industrial use, was fully financed and developed by
eSolar, which hopes to use it as a template for future plants. In February 2009, eSolar announced
an agreement with NRG Energy to develop three plants in California and New Mexico that
would generate up to 465 MW. In March 2009, the company licensed its technology to the
ACME Group to develop up to 1 GW of solar-thermal capacity in India, and in January 2010 it
signed a memorandum of understanding to develop up to 2 GW of solar power in China. More
recently, the eSolar technology was licensed by GE for solar thermal hybrid applications. The
first such project will be located in Turkey.
In September 2007, BrightSource filed an application with the California Energy Commission
(CEC) to build three plants totally 377 MW on federal land, to be called Ivanpah 1, Ivanpah 2,
and Ivanpah 3. It won approval for a DOE loan guarantee, and began construction in 2010.
Electricity generated will be sold to PG&E. Contracts with PG&E and SCE total approximately
1800 MW.
The Ivanpah plants will employ BrightSources proprietary Luz Power Tower LPT 550
technology, whose working fluid operates at 550C (1020F). The company is also developing a
next-generation central receiver called the LPT 650 that would operate at 650C (1200F).
BrightSource expects each 100 to 250-MW unit to employ a single tower surrounded by tens of
thousands of heliostats, each about 10-m2 in area. BrightSource plans to deploy two units per
500-MW plant in future project designs. These plants could in principle also incorporate thermal
energy storage to increase their flexibility and dispatchability, and in fact, in November 2011
BrightSource announced that storage systems would be added to certain projects to be developed
for SCE. As a consequence one fewer plant will need to be built to satisfy the energy production
requirements of the PPA. The plants will use dry air-cooled condensers, rather than wet cooling,
to minimize water usage in the desert environment.
8-31
Solar Thermal
BrightSource selected Bechtel, an equity investor in the project, to build the Ivanpah plant in
September 2009. In February 2010, BrightSource requested the CEC to consider a revised design
that has only three towers and covers about 12% less land to lessen the plants environmental
impact, specifically to reduce incursion on desert tortoise habitat. Ivanpah is one of several
projects that BLM is fast-tracking to expedite their approval to make them eligible for cash
refunds in lieu of investment tax credits under ARRA. Construction began in late 2010 and
operations are scheduled to commence in 2013.
In late 2009, SolarReserve announced three large molten salt central receiver projects, one in
Spain and two in the United States. One of them, the 110-MW Crescent Dunes Solar Energy
Project with NV Energy to be located near Tonopah, Nevada, won approval from the Public
Utilities Commission of Nevada in July 2010, and the Rice Solar Energy Project was approved
by the California Energy Commission in December 2010. This is good news for the solar thermal
development community, as such plants represent an order-of-magnitude size increase over Solar
Twoand nearly as large a step beyond Gemasolar. As such, they could demonstrate actual
commercial-scale central-receiver-with-storage operation. However, such a large one-step scale
increase entails considerable risk, which SolarReserve addresses through a technology guarantee
from United Technology Corporation (UTC), a $50 billion company that licenses the technology
to SolarReserve. SolarReserve also has project contracts in Spain.
South Africas major electric utility, Eskom, has also been actively developing plans for solar
thermal projects for use in that country. Unlike the solar energy resources in Spain, where the
best resources are still 10% to 20% below that of the best Southwestern U.S. sites, some South
African sites are among the best in the world. The government of South Africa has set the goal of
generating 10,000 GWh of energy from clean renewable resources by 2013, representing about
5% of the nations current electricity consumption. In March 2009, the National Energy
Regulator of South Africa (NERSA) established a feed-in tariff for renewables based on the
levelized cost of electricity. South Africa has also established a National Solar and CSP research
program through which it provides funding to university researchers in the field. In late 2010 the
South African government announced plans for a 5-GW solar park to be developed in Upington
by 2020. So far two CSP projects with Abengoaa 100-MW trough with two hours of storage
and a 50-MW central receiver with three hours of storagehave been announced.
8.4.3 Dish/Engine
The dish/engine designs of Stirling Energy Systems, Inc. (SES) stem from the McDonnell
Douglas work of the 1980s. SES holds the rights to the McDonnell Douglas concentrator
technology, and continues the relationship with Kockums to use its 4-95 25-kWe engine, which
SES has the exclusive right to market in North America. The companys SunCatcher product
is a 25-kW dish/engine unit with radial curved glass mirror facets arranged in a paraboloid to
focus sunlight onto a four-cylinder reciprocating Stirling engine. In February 2008, a SunCatcher
system at Sandia National Laboratories set a world record for dish/engine solar-to-electric
efficiency of 31.25%. In 2004, SES began working with Sandia on a six-dish 150-kW
demonstration program to clarify and mitigate scale-up issues for the SES design. Research with
Sandia and others led to improvements in design, materials and weight, which should translate
into higher efficiency and lower cost.
8-32
Solar Thermal
SES was the leading producer of parabolic dish technology in the world until declaring
bankruptcy in November 2011. The companys future is uncertain, and the pipeline of projects in
southern California has been converted to PV. In the meantime, Infinia has made great strides in
recent years and has promising ideas for incorporating thermal energy storage into its
dish/engine designs. Infinia broke ground in August 2012 on a 1.5-MW project at Tooele Army
Depot near Salt Lake City, UT. The installation will use 430 of Infinias 3.5-kW PowerDish units
(see Figure 8-14 for an example of the PowerDish units). A 10-MW installation was expected to
be on-line by the end of 2012, and earlier in 2012 the company announced a 25.5-MW project in
Cyprus.
One strategy pursued by dish/engine developers is development of technologies and
manufacturing process with production partners from the automotive industry that are already
familiar with similar materials and requirements. Infinia, based in Ogden, Utah, claims multiple
years of maintenance-free operation at a cost moderately lower than photovoltaic technology.
They report a net peak efficiency of 24%. One unique aspect of the Infinia system is the
possibility of thermal energy storage using phase-change materials. The company received $9.4
million in 2008 and another $3 million in 2009 from DOE to develop a thermal energy storage
system for its dish/Stirling unit.
Figure 8-14
Thirty Infinia PowerDish units demonstrated in Spain
Source: DOE EERE
A European program called EuroDish is a joint venture of several German and Spanish firms,
with government support from the European Community and the German and Spanish
governments. This program is headed by Schlaich-Bergermann and Partner (SBP), and uses the
SOLO Kleinmotoren V-161 engine. Twelve units have been built and tested, most on the order
of 10 kW in size. SBP has focused attention on achieving fully automatic operation. There
appears to have been little EuroDish activity since about 2007.
8-33
Solar Thermal
In addition, a number of small industrial firms have emerged to develop and/or commercialize
Stirling systems of various sizes ranging from tens of watts to tens of kilowatts. Many of these
have originated since 1995, apparently in response to growing interest in distributed generation.
Owing to their use of external, continuous combustion, Stirling engines are expected to have
environmental characteristics superior to those of internal combustion engines. In fact the SOLO
unit mentioned above is being developed primarily for on-site cogeneration.
8.4.4 Linear Fresnel Reflector
Until it was acquired by AREVA Solar in February 2010, Ausra was the worlds leading
proponent and developer of compact LFR (CLFR) technology. The first significant prototype
demonstration of CLFR was the Liddell Solar Thermal Station in Australia, where a 3-MW
CLFR system was built to augment the steam cycle of a conventional 2000-MW coal-fired steam
turbine plant. In October 2008, the 5-MW Kimberlina pilot plant was commissioned in central
California to become the first commercial demonstration of CLFR technology. AREVAs stated
intention is to build an international solar steam-generating business around Ausras CLFR
technology, which may stimulate additional interest in the approach and investment by others.
They are currently constructing a 44-MW project that will augment a 750-MW supercritical coal
plant in Australia and a 250-MW standalone plant in India.
Puerto Errado 1 (PE1) is a 1.4-MW CLFR plant commissioned in April 2009 near the town of
Calasparra, Spain. Built by Novatec Biosol and Prointec, the plant consists of two 800-meterlong solar fields providing steam for a Rankine-cycle turbine-generator. It was considered a
prototype for larger plants to follow.
In February 2010, the international engineering firm TSK announced plans to build the 30-MW
Puerto Errado 2 (PE2) CLFR plant in Spain, consisting of Novatec Biosols solar field
technology and two 15-MW GE steam turbines. Each turbine is served by a solar field consisting
of 14 receivers 940 meters long, each flanked with eight rows of flat mirrors with a total area of
302,000 m2 to concentrate sunlight on the receivers. The project minimizes water consumption
by using air-cooled condensers and a robotic mirror washing method. Groundbreaking took place
in April 2010, and the project was completed in August 2012.
8-34
Solar Thermal
Except for the parabolic trough, none of the solar thermal technologies described in this report
has ever been available commercially. Although the PS10, PS20, and Gemasolar central receiver
projects are now providing electricity to the Spanish grid, they remain heavily dependent on
generous feed-in tariffs and have not released information about their capital expenses or O&M
costs. Therefore, real cost data based on recent commercial production and plant operation do not
exist (except, again, for parabolic trough plants).
Because of the limited activity in building new parabolic trough plants until the past five years
and the demonstration status of central receiver, dish/Stirling, and LFR technologies, EPRI notes
that they stand to benefit significantly from learning-by-doing cost reductions during commercial
scale up, and this effect cannot be represented accurately in the cost projections. EPRI therefore
recommends that use of these data be restricted to order-of-magnitude cost comparisons in farfuture planning, because actual costs will depend greatly on the cumulative deployments
achieved by a given year for each of the technologies.
8.5.1 Engineering and Economic Evaluation
The performance and cost data presented in Tables 8-9 and 8-10 are from the 2012 EPRI Report,
Solar Thermal Technology Status and Performance and Cost Estimates2011 [19]. Four solar
thermal technologies are addressed, parabolic trough with no thermal storage, parabolic trough
with six-hour thermal storage, central receiver with 10-hour thermal storage, and dish/Stirling
with no thermal sotorage. The levelized cost of electricity estimates in Table 8-10 are in
December 2010 dollars and are levelized over the 30-year project life.
Table 8-9
Performance and cost estimates for solar thermal technologies (December 2010$)
Source: EPRI [19]
Parabolic
Parabolic
Central
TroughTroughReceiverDish/Stirling
No Thermal 6-hr Thermal 10-hr Thermal
1
1
1
Storage
Storage
Storage
Rated Capacity
2 125 MW
2 125
MW
100 MW
4,000 25
kW (100
MW)
30
30
30
30
5.6
7.7
14
Cooling Type
Wet
Wet
Dry
NA
8-35
Solar Thermal
Table 8-9 (continued)
Performance and cost estimates for solar thermal technologies (December 2010$)
Source: EPRI [19]
Parabolic
Parabolic
Central
TroughTroughReceiverDish/Stirling
No Thermal 6-hr Thermal 10-hr Thermal
Storage1
Storage1
Storage1
Scheduling
Hypothetical In-Service Year
Jan 2011
Jan 2011
Jan 2011
Jan 2011
18
18
18
18
24
24
24
18
EOY 2010
EOY 2010
EOY 2010
EOY 2010
$2,168
$3,068
$3,410
$2,200
$1352
$1240
Capital Costs
Month/Year Dollars
Collectors, and Concentrators
Thermal Storage
Power Generation and Balance of Plant
$852
$852
$950
$920
$300
$528
$480
$620
$3,320
$5,796
$6,150
$3,740
$72
$128
$140
$40
$3,392
$5,924
$6,290
$3,780
$680
$1,184
$1,260
$760
$4,072
$7,108
$7,550
$4,540
$64
$68
$66
$62
96
96
96
98
556,000
892,000
430,000
208,000
7.65
7.65
7.65
7.65
Commercial
Early
Commercial
Early
Commercial
Early
Commercial
Simplified
Simplified
Simplified
Simplified
OwnersCosts
Total Capital Requirement, Hypothetical InService Year (Includes AFUDC)
Operational and Maintenance Costs
Fixed O&M, $/kW-yr
Equivalent Planned Outage Rate, %
Equivalent Unplanned Outage Rate, %
Equivalent Availability, %
8-36
Solar Thermal
Table 8-10
Constant-dollar levelized cost of electricity for solar thermal power plants (December 2010$)
Source: EPRI [19]
Parabolic
Parabolic
Central
TroughTroughReceiveNo Thermal 6-hr Thermal 10-hr Thermal
Dish/Stirling
Storage
Storage
Storage
Plant Size (no. of units unit size)
2 125 MW
2 125 MW
100 MW
4,000 25 kW
(100 MW)
25.4%
40.7%
49.1%
23.7%
152
147
129
175
39
26
21
40
113
122
109
135
224
225
198
262
39
26
21
40
185
199
178
221
Capacity Factor
LCOE with Investment Tax Credit, $/MWh
Constant-dollar evaluation assumes zero escalation for general inflation and fixed O&M inflation is excluded
from the debt interest and equity return rates.
8-37
Solar Thermal
Table 8-11
Selected data for solar trough systems
SEGS VI
Near Term
Advanced
30
125
200
188,000
1,157,560
2,000,000
None
(fossil hybrid)
12
34
35.8
53
22.51
35.8
53
2519
2519
2519
89.4
427.2
928.6
59.0
427.2
928.6
107
65
281
3.61
1.91
0.6
3048
2,710
14701
4861
2931
147
NA
754
324
3972
5,028
2535
10.7
13.5
16
633.8
542.9
253.5
Data in italics are calculated values inferred from other entries or data discussed in references.
The near-term plant also provides the basis for estimating the upper bound on efficiency, again
because the apparent optimism of the advanced plant has been tempered. However, it seems
reasonable to expect that at least half of the 20% receiver efficiency improvement assumed in the
advanced plant will actually occur, which would increase plant efficiency by about 10% over that
of the near-term plant. Hence, 15% will be used for the current evaluation as the upper bound.
For the upper bound on cost, the value achieved with SEGS VI provides a firm basis. It is
reasonable to assume that additional experience would reduce that cost somewhat, perhaps by
5% to approximately $600/m2. Because that value is given in 1997 dollars, it is adjusted from
December 1997 to December 2012 dollars. Assuming a 2.5%/yr escalation rate, the increase is
about 45% and the resulting cost is about $870/m2.
A 90%-confidence levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) range can now be calculated for trough
systems. This analysis assumes a 10.5% fixed charge rate, covering all annual charges related to
the plants capital investment, and annual insolation of 2,500 kWh/m2. This insolation is
somewhat less than that reported earlier for Kramer Junction, but is felt to be more representative
of typical locations for trough plants. For O&M costs, the upper bound assumes the value
8-38
Solar Thermal
demonstrated at the Kramer Junction 150-MWe park: 2.5/kWh. For the lower bound, it is
reasonable to assume that mature plants would approach a value between those shown for the
advanced and near-term plants. For this evaluation, 1.0/kWh will be used. The resulting upper
and lower values for levelized COE, not including any financial incentives, are:
Levelized COEU = (100)(0.105)(800)/((2500)(0.11)) + 2.5 = 33.0 /kWh
Levelized COEL = (100)(0.105)(490)/((2500)(0.15)) + 1.0 = 14.7 /kWh
Thus, the LCOE for trough plants having modest technology advances is estimated to lie
between about 15 /kWh and 33 /kWh. These values are based on the assumed fixed charge
rate and insolation level, and can be easily adjusted using the preceding relationships to reflect
different values for those parameters if desired.
8.5.3 Central Receiver
With respect to the cost of a central receiver project, there is little basis to make substantial
changes from the projections EPRI developed in 1989 [7]. Solar Two, the only major central
receiver hardware activity in the United States since 1989, provided no new cost information,
although it did provide solid, positive experience with molten salt storage equipment and
operation. It therefore provides a qualitative reduction in prudent contingency factors for some of
the major plant components, and it strengthens the basis for a portion of the lower-bound cost
estimate from the 1989 evaluation. However, the lower bound also assumed significant cost
reduction of heliostats, based on the use of stretched polymer membranes rather than glass
reflectors. In 1989, the expectation was that the unit-area cost of heliostats would eventually drop
to $75/m2 if polymer reflectance and lifetime were acceptable. However, experience with
polymer membranes over the past decade for heliostats, dish reflectors, and troughs has not been
encouraging. All current and foreseeable system development work is now based on glass
reflectors. Hence the heliostat portion of the lower-bound cost is now somewhat suspect.
Cost data from the PS10, PS20, and Gemasolar plants are currently not publicly available, and
the saturated steam systems are not likely to become economical commercial products. Generous
Spanish feed-in tariffs were required to overcome the economic disadvantages of saturated steam
and make PS10 and PS20 feasible in the context of their unique market. Until large-scale
superheated steam systems are developed, the economics of commercial direct steam towers will
not be well-understood.
Additional perspective on cost projections can be obtained from EPRI and DOEs 1997
Renewable Energy Technology Characterization report [1] and EPRIs 2008 New Mexico
Central Station Solar Power: Feasibility Study [12]. These studies offer projections for a 2010
central receiver plant with 13 hours of molten-salt thermal storage and current cost estimates for
a 2011 plant with three to nine hours of storage, respectively. Projections in the former report are
also presented for 2020 and 2030, which include modest improvements in cost and operating
efficiencies. The improvements in operating efficiencies are judged to be speculative. The results
of the study in New Mexico are considered the most realistic near-term cost and performance
figures. It should also be noted that $75/m2 in current dollars has been a long-term goal for
heliostat costs for more than two decades. Thus, the goal in constant-dollar terms has actually
been decreasing. This reduces the credibility of the goal, especially because experience suggests
that the hoped-for reductions in materials costs are becoming less likely.
8-39
Solar Thermal
The 2011 central receiver plant cost, expressed in dollars per unit area of heliostats, was
projected to be $474/m2 in December 2009 dollars. In EPRIs 1989 evaluation, the corresponding
cost was about $296/m2 in 2009 dollars. In light of the preceding discussion of heliostat costs
and, in particular, the speculative nature of the $75/m2 goal, this evaluation will retain the lowerbound cost estimate of $296/m2. The upper-bound cost estimate will be changed from the value
calculated for the 1989 evaluation to 10% above the New Mexico estimate, or $520/m2.
The upper and lower bounds on the efficiency were assumed to be 10% above and below the
16% estimate in the New Mexico study. O&M was assumed to be similar to that of the trough.
Using the foregoing values in the same formula pair as the parabolic trough calculation yields an
LCOE range, expressed in December 2012 dollars, of approximately 8.6/kWh to 19.3/kWh.
8.5.4 Dish/Engine
Progress with dish/engine systems over the past 15 years has come primarily from testing
individual units fielded by SES, SAIC/STM, SBP, Sandia, and Infinia. In aggregate, including
the earlier experience of the 1980s, these units logged nearly 80,000 operating hours through
mid-2002. However, there is as yet no large body of operating experience on which to base
projections for mature-system energy costs that have substantially more validity than those
offered in EPRIs 1989 evaluation [7].
Similarly, because these programs were all heavily supported by government sources and
commercial offerings do not yet have public visibility, there is little basis for developing new
cost estimates with increased confidence. However, one factor is evident that would tend to
increase the lower bound cost estimate described in the 1989 evaluation: it now appears that all
firms pursuing dish systems are employing glass reflectors. As with central receiver heliostats,
experience with polymer membranes has been disappointing. This is expected to increase the
cost of the dish concentrator component by as much as 100%, which in turn would increase the
cost of the entire unit by about 30%. The impact on the lower-bound LCOE would be an increase
of about 30%, assuming no change in the upper-bound efficiency value.
Consequently, the LCOE range for dish systems today is estimated to be 9.7 to 37.7/kWh, in
2012 dollars.
8-40
Solar Thermal
8-41
Solar Thermal
8-42
Solar Thermal
Although the mirrors have proven to be among the trough systems most reliable
components, differential thermal expansion caused some separation of the mirrors from their
mounting pads. The problem was resolved through the use of new mounting materials and
adhesives. In general, mirrors can be maintained without degradation through simple periodic
washing. Front-surface mirrors have the potential to yield higher reflectivity, but must
demonstrate long-term performance, durability, and washability.
Mirror breakage at the edges of the collector fields in high winds was a major problem that
often caused cascading breakage of encapsulated glass heat collection elements and other
mirrors. A means of strengthening the edge-mounted mirrors with a backing made of
fiberglass-resin successfully reduced breakage of these mirrors. Additional work developed
operating strategies for high wind conditions, with the aim of allowing plant operation in
high winds to continue and avoid loss of solar energy while also ensuring that vulnerable
collectors would be stowed in a safe position before wind damage could occur. Although
some valuable insights were developed, results of this work were inconclusive.
8-43
Solar Thermal
By 1992, approximately 15% of the 50,000 heat collection elements (HCE) at the Kramer
Junction park were damaged, either through loss of vacuum in the space between the receiver
and the concentric glass tube or through loss of the glass tube entirely. Because loss of the
glass reduced performance to a much greater extent than loss of the vacuum, workers
developed a temporary repair procedure in which a new glass tube could be affixed to the
HCE. Then after several adjacent HCEs developed problems, all could be replaced at the
same time. In addition, strategies to protect the glass-to-metal seal have reduced the
incidence of vacuum loss in the HCEs. Finally, Solel and Schott have developed new HCE
designs that use an improved selective receiver-tube coating with reduced emissivity and
greatly increased resistance to oxidation and the associated degradation of optical and
thermal properties in the event of vacuum loss. Protection of the vacuum seal is also
enhanced in these new designs. Future HCE designs should use new tube materials to
minimize bowing problems, allow broken glass sleeves to be replaced in situ, and continue to
improve coating materials that efficiently transmit solar energy to the working fluid.
The Luz LS-3 collector initially showed higher performance than earlier Luz collectors,
owing to higher concentration ratio and higher peak optical efficiency. Over time, however,
these units would lose their alignment, causing significant performance degradation.
Subsequent changes in the mechanical design of the LS-3 have corrected this problem, and
LS-3 collectors used in SEGS VIII and IX showed substantial improvement in alignment
maintainability. Operators also devised procedures for identifying collectors that were
developing alignment problems.
Because the solar collector assemblies track the sun, piping connections to the receiver tubes
must tolerate motion. Originally, corrugated flex hoses served this purpose. Reliability of
these was marginal, and occasionally a catastrophic failure would occur, resulting in a fire
fed by the heat-collection oil. The corrugations also caused noticeable pressure losses in the
heat-collection loop. Many of these hoses have been replaced with a ball-joint arrangement
that has greatly improved the reliability of these connections. Ball joints are highly likely to
be used in future trough plants. Better seals for pumps in the thermal collection loop
represent another advance, which has greatly improved pump reliability.
Several key issues remain for trough systems, including the following:
Despite substantial progress, O&M costs are still quite high. The trough community projects
that these costs can be reduced to 1/kWh or less, but this remains to be demonstrated.
Although incremental advances have been made, substantial reductions in capital costs have
not been demonstrated.
Increasing plant size, including thermal storage, and further increasing total collector area to
fill the thermal storage and increase plant capacity factor are likely to result in significant
cost reductions. Early experience with the molten-salt storage system of the Andasol-1 plant
appears very promising in this regard.
8-44
Solar Thermal
Molten salt storage appears to have good prospects for use in trough systems, particularly
because of its success with the central receiver approach. However, the storage subsystem
contributes more cost to a trough system than to a central receiver system, both because lower
temperature differences are involved, which increases the salt inventory per unit of energy
storage, and because salt cannot, as yet, be used as the heat collection fluid. Therefore, oil-tosalt heat exchangers are required that add a cost component beyond the salt storage tanks.
Alternative heat collection fluids have been proposed for trough systems, such as molten salt
and water-steam. These offer higher peak performance due to higher operating temperatures,
which could translate into lower costs. However, the technical difficulties of handling these
fluids without leaks or freezing throughout large collector fields in a wide range of
environmental conditions are significant. This indicates that credible cost projections for
near-term trough systems are limited to those based on close derivatives of the systems
deployed in southern California.
Other O&M issues include tracking maintenance via computerized maintenance management
software, performing periodic collector alignment, developing system design specifications and
operating procedures to allow quick start-up, and developing an effective O&M organization to
handle the special demands of operating a solar trough plant.
Prior to commercial operation, large solar systems in utility-size power plants need to pass a
performance acceptance test. NREL has undertaken the development of interim guidelines for
parabolic trough solar plants to recommend test procedures that can yield results of a high level
of accuracy consistent with good engineering knowledge and practice. The report, Utility-Scale
Parabolic Trough Solar SystemsPerformance Acceptance Test Guidelines [14] was published
in May 2011.
8.7.2 Central Receiver
The Solar Two plant was constructed during the mid-1990s. Initial operation began in June 1996,
and the plant was operated in various experimental modes through April 1999. The original
intent was to complete system checkout during the first several months, then conduct a one-year
experimental evaluation program during which the characteristics of the plant would be fully
explored and documented without emphasis on power production. This was to be followed by a
two-year period of simulated commercial operation in which optimum power production was the
only goal.
In practice, initial operation uncovered serious problems with the system design. The trace
heating subsystem had to be completely reworked, and the steam generator developed an early
tube rupture. These repairs and others set back the schedule by about 18 months. Consequently,
the experimental evaluation and the power production phases were conducted concurrently over
about a 12-month period. During this period, the design-point (i.e., peak) performance of the
system and major components was well characterized. However, operators did not collect longerterm operating performance information, so they could not determine actual annual system
performance. Some performance projections were possible, based on a combination of modeling
and actual data.
8-45
Solar Thermal
Peak component and system efficiencies for Solar One and Solar Two are shown in Table 8-12.
In addition to measured values for the two plants, this table shows goals for both Solar Two and
a commercial plant. The table shows that the net peak efficiency for Solar Two was projected to
be essentially the same as that actually observed for Solar One. For Solar Two, analysts factored
some acknowledged deficiencies in the heliostat field into the projected goal, but these were to
be offset by a higher receiver efficiency (which arises from a reduction in physical size, owing
to improved fluid heat transfer and, thus, reduced radiation losses). Parasitic losses would also
be higher for Solar Two, primarily because of the need for trace heating.
Table 8-12
Peak central-receiver system efficiency components
Solar One
Actual (%)
Solar Two
Goal (%)
Solar Two
Actual (%)
Commercial
Plant Goal (%)
90.3
90.7
90.7
94
Field Efficiency
76
72
66
71
Field Availability
99
98
94
99
Mirror Corrosion
100
97
97
100
Mirror Cleanliness
95
95
90
95
Receiver Efficiency
78
87
88
88
Storage Efficiency
N/A
99
99
99
Steam/Turbine Generator
33
34
34
42
16.6
17.2
14.7
23.2
90
88
87
93
15
15
13
22
Category
Mirror Reflectivity
Solar Twos actual peak performance was somewhat less than the goal. This resulted primarily
because of deficiencies in the heliostat field, as discussed earlier. It is reasonable to assume that
those deficiencies would be eliminated in a new power plant. It is remarkable that the inclusion
of energy storage in the Solar Two plant produced an almost negligible impact on the overall
plant efficiencies.
Of greater significance are annual system efficiencies. Although these were not measured for
Solar Two, an attempt to estimate them was made by the Sandia evaluation team. These
estimates are shown in Table 8-13, along with measured values for Solar One and goals for Solar
Two and a commercial plant. The table also shows values adjusted for the known deficiencies of
Solar Two.
8-46
Solar Thermal
Table 8-13
Annual average central receiver system efficiency components
Solar One
Actual (%)
Solar Two
Goal (%)
Solar Two
Adjusted (%)
Commercial
Plant Goal (%)
Plant Availability
90
90
90
91
58
50
51.5
56
Receiver Efficiency
65
76
76
79
Piping Efficiency
99
99
99
99
Storage Efficiency
N/A
97
97
99
Steam/Turbine Generator
30
32
41
41
10.1
10.5
13.9
16.3
72
73
73
90
7.3
7.7
10.1
14.7
Category
The heliostat field represents the largest single capital investment in a central receiver power
plant. Relatively few heliostats have been manufactured to date, and their cost remains high.
In contrast to solar trough drive systems, which move on only one axis, heliostats must move
in two axes and reflect the suns rays onto the central tower with a high degree of accuracy.
Thus, related O&M is more complex and costly.
Although it is a suitable working fluid in many respects, molten salt has proven problematic in
others. It can be troublesome to maintain in a molten state, requiring a fairly complex heat
trace system employing electric wires attached to the outer surface of pipes. Valves can also
be a problem in a molten salt system, requiring special packing and extended bonnets. Design
improvements and standardization in valve design would reduce risk and ultimately reduce
O&M costs. Based on O&M experience at Solar Two, subsequent central receiver projects
are likely to employ new materials or thermal management practices that ease some of the
problems observed.
Since Solar Two was decommissioned and disassembled, the most ambitious and noteworthy
central receiver projects are the currently operating 11-MW PS10, 20-MW PS20, and 20-MW
Gemasolar systems. All are located in Spain. PS10 and PS20 use saturated steam as a heat
transfer fluid, whereas Gemasolar uses molten salt. Abengoa, which owns PS10 and PS20, has
not released detailed operational cost or performance information for those plants. More
generally, Abengoa has shared that day-to-day operation of the plants has gone as expected, and
that overall their performance has been satisfactory. Likewise, SENER and Torresol have shared
plant operational highlights [20], but not sufficient cost and performance data to provide insights
on subsystem costs and efficiencies.
8-47
Solar Thermal
8.7.3 Dish/Engine
Like central receiver heliostats, dish/engine systems must track the sun in two axes and with
extreme accuracy. This introduces increased complexity and potential for O&M problems.
Dish/engine systems must be stowed when wind speeds are too high, typically about 35 mph
(16 m/s). If intended for remote or autonomous operation, a dish/engine system must therefore be
equipped with reliable sun and wind sensors to determine whether conditions warrant operation.
Dish/engine systems need a parabolic reflective surface to focus sunlight on a receiver; however,
that does not necessarily require a mirror. Although a reflective surface of silver deposited on
glass is the most durable option, low-cost and lightweight polymer films stretched over hoops
and drawn into a spherical shape with a vacuum have also been used successfully on a small
scale, with hope that their relatively lower cost will offset their greater fragility.
Other systems of concern include the receiver, the enginemost commonly a Stirling engine,
although Brayton cycle engines are also being investigatedengine cooling systems, and
the alternator. In particular, the Stirling engine must demonstrate acceptable efficiency and
reliability before commercial deployment can be seriously considered. In general, dish/engine
systems would benefit from the introduction of a commercial engine system produced in volume.
Detailed operating experience and O&M data from Infinias installations are not yet available.
8.7.4 Linear Fresnel Reflector
The only significant demonstrations of LFR technology to date have been the Liddell Solar
Thermal Station in Australia, the 5-MW Kimberlina project in California, and the Puerto Errado
(PE) 1 and 2 projects in Spain. All except PE2 entered service in 2008. Detailed operating
experience and O&M data have not yet been released for any of them. However, all reportedly
operated as expected and provided their owners with sufficiently encouraging information to
develop more ambitious projects.
8-48
Solar Thermal
Abengoa Solar
Based in Spain, Abengoa is committed to developing PV, solar thermal and industrial heat
technologies for commercial, industrial and utility applications.
www.abengoa.com
Acciona Energia
C/Yanguas y Miranda, 1-5, 31002-Pamplona, Spain. Accionas mission is to be leaders in
the management of infrastructures, services and renewable energy, actively contributing to social
well-being and sustainable development. Its annual revenue exceeds $5 billion and it operates on
five continents. Solargenix Energy, an Acciona subsidiary based in Sanford, North Carolina, is
developing a range of solar thermal systems using compound parabolic collectors for broad use
in buildings and electricity generation. Through Solargenix, Acciona also acquired intellectual
property from the former Duke Solar Energy.
www.acciona-energia.com
www.solargenix.com
Arizona Public Service Co.
P.O. Box 53999, Phoenix, AZ 85072. Through its Solar Test and Research (STAR) Center, APS
is a utility leader in researching and implementing many types of solar energy systems.
www.aps.com
AREVA
Headquartered in Paris, France, AREVA acquired U.S.-based Ausra in February 2010 with the
stated intention of using Ausras experience in compact linear Fresnel reflector (CLFR) systems
to anchor an international solar energy business. The new AREVA Solar continues to market
CLFR as a solar steam generator for power and industrial applications.
www.areva.com/
Black & Veatch
With over 30 years experience with assessing renewable energy technologies, Black & Veatch
has participated in hundreds of projects throughout the world. They provide engineering,
consulting and construction services.
www.bv.com
BrightSource Energy, Inc.
1999 Harrison Street, Suite 500, Oakland, CA 94612. BrightSource Energy designs and builds
large scale solar plants that deliver solar energy in the form of steam and/or electricity
to industrial and utility customers worldwide.
www.brightsourceenergy.com
CIEMAT
(Research Centre for Energy, Environment and Technology), Carretera Sens s/n-04200
Tabernes (Almera), Spain. CIEMAT is a Research Public Institution attached to the Spanish
Ministry of Education and Science. The Solar Platform of Almera, jointly managed by CIEMAT
and DLR, is one of the most important European Centers on Solar Thermal Energy.
www.ciemat.es/portal.do
8-49
Solar Thermal
Cobra
Cardenal Marcelo Spinola, 10, 28016-Madrid, Spain. Cobra is an engineering, operations,
installation and maintenance provider that supports several industries, including energy projects.
The company has over sixty year of experience and employs more than 22,000 professionals.
www.grupocobra.com
DLR (German Aerospace Center)
Cologne, Germany. This public non-government center focuses on aviation, space flight, and
energy technology in close cooperation with partners from academia and industry. An
experienced solar plant contractor and operating agent, DLR is involved in solar trough
feasibility studies in Spain and elsewhere.
www.dlr.de
eSolar Inc.
130 West Union Street, Pasadena, CA 91103. eSolar is a developer of a novel, modular, 46-MW
system for building distributed central-receiver plants.
www.esolar.com
FlabegSolar
Also known as Flabeg Solar International, this company is a subsidiary of the Pilkington Group,
one of the worlds leading glass manufacturers. FlabegSolar manufactures a highly-specialized
glass called Optisol that is used for solar reflectors, flat-plate collectors, and PV applications.
Pilkington supplied the parabolic trough reflectors for SEGS I through IX and is active in solar
thermal feasibility studies and development activities.
www.flabeg.com
Flagsol
Flagsol GmbH is a German joint venture between Solar Millennium AG and Ferrostaal AG to
develop parabolic trough solar thermal plants 50 to 250 MW in size, including the Andasol
plants in Spain and the Kuraymat plant in Egypt.
www.flagsol-gmbh.com/flagsol/index.html
Fluor
6700 Las Colinas Blvd., Irving, TX 75039. Fluor is active in solar, wind, geothermal, and
biomass activities around the world. In the solar field, it develops both photovoltaic and solar
thermal projects. In August 2009, Fluor won a contract to design eSolars 46-MW central
receiver plants, and, in February 2010, signed an agreement to develop a 50-MW CSP plant in
Spain.
www.fluor.com
Infinia
6811 West Okanogan Place, Kennewick, WA 99336, is a developer of small-scale
(3-kW) dish-Stirling systems and has recently begun marketing them for utility-scale
applications.
www.infiniacorp.com
8-50
Solar Thermal
8-51
Solar Thermal
SolarReserve, LLC
2425 Olympic Blvd, Ste 6040W, Santa Monica, CA 90404. SolarReserve has developed a
reference plant configuration for a concentrating solar power tower project using the proprietary
molten salt receiver, thermal storage and delivery system developed by Pratt & Whitney
Rocketdyne, Inc. and Hamilton Sundstrand Corporation, both of which are wholly owned
subsidiaries of United Technologies Corporation. SolarReserve is owned by USRG Power &
Biofuels Fund II, L.P. and Hamilton Sundstrand Corporation and was formed to develop utilityscale solar power projects using this technology.
www.solar-reserve.com
WorleyParsons
With offices in 38 countries, WorleyParsons provides professional engineering, construction and
operation services to solar projects throughout the world. The company is technology-neutral,
with over 5000 MW of solar thermal under development.
www.worleyparsons.com
8.8.1 Internet Resources
In addition to the vendors and organizations listed in the preceding section, the reader can visit
the following websites. Note that although these sites contain information and contacts that may
be of interest, EPRI cannot vouch for the accuracy or quality of all of their content.
U.S. DOE Energy Office of Efficiency and Renewable Energy
www.eere.energy.gov
U.S. DOE Concentrating Solar Power Program
The U.S. DOE administers the SunLab program through two of its national laboratories:
Sandia National Laboratory in New Mexico, and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory
in Colorado. SunLab operates the National Solar Thermal Test Facility.
http://www.sandia.gov/csp/csp_r_d_sandia.html
U.S. DOE/USA Solar Trough Initiative
Funded by the U.S. DOE and operated by SunLab, TroughNet is a comprehensive source for
government efforts in solar thermal technology, projects, research and development, and other
related resources.
www.nrel.gov/csp/troughnet/
U.S. National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)
www.nrel.gov/csp/
American Solar Energy Society (ASES)
ASES is a national organization dedicated to advancing the use of solar energy for the benefit
of U.S. citizens and the global environment. The society sponsors conferences and publishes a
magazine and white papers on the subject. ASES is the U.S. section of the International Solar
Energy Society (ISES).
www.ases.org
www.ises.org
8-52
Solar Thermal
8.9 References
1. Renewable Energy Technology Characterizations. EPRI and U.S. Department of Energy:
1997. TR-109496.
2. Zavoico, A., W. Gould, B. Kelly, and I. Pastoril, Solar Power Tower (SPT) Design
Innovations to Improve Reliability and PerformanceReducing Technical Risk and Cost,
presented at the ASME 2001 International Solar Energy Conference, Washington, D.C.:
April 2001.
3. Kelly, B., Herrmann, U., and Hale, M.J., Optimization Studies for Integrated Solar
Combined Cycle Systems, presented at the ASME 2001 International Solar Energy
Conference, Washington, D.C.: April 2001.
4. Stone, K., Liden, B., Ellis, E., Sattar, T., and Mancini, T., SES/Boeing Dish Stirling
System Operation, presented at the ASME 2001 International Solar Energy Conference,
Washington, D.C.: April 2001.
5. Diver, R., Andraka, C., Rawlinson, K., Thomas, G., and Goldberg, V., The Advanced
Dish Development System Project, presented at the ASME 2001 International Solar Energy
Conference, Washington, D.C.: April 2001.
8-53
Solar Thermal
6. Mayette, J., Davenport, R., and Forristall, R., The Salt River Project SunDish-Stirling
System, presented at the ASME 2001 International Solar Energy Conference, Washington,
D.C.: April 2001.
7. Holl, R.J., Status of Solar-Thermal Electric Technology. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 1989.
GS-6573.
8. DeMeo, E., Solar-Thermal Electric Power: 2003 Status Update. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA:
2003. 1008463.
9. Price, H., Lupfert, E., Kearney, D., Zarza, E., Cohen, Gl, Gee, R., and Mahoney, R.,
Advances in Parabolic Trough and Solar Power Technology, Journal of Solar Energy
Engineering, Vol. 124: May 2002.
10. Stirling Engine Assessment. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2002. 1007317.
11. Leitner, A. Fuel from the Sky: Solar Powers Potential for Western Energy Supply,
NREL/SR-550-32160. Golden, CO: National Renewable Energy Laboratory, July 2002.
12. New Mexico Central Station Solar Power: Final Summary Report. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA
and the Public Service Company of New Mexico, El Paso Electric, San Diego Gas &
Electric, Southern California Edison, Tri-State Generation & Transmission Association,
and Xcel Energy: 2008. 1016344.
13. Case Study: Gemasolar Central Tower Plant, SENER Engineering and Systems Inc.,
presentation at Concentrated Solar Power Summit conference, San Francisco, June 2010.
14. Utility-scale Parabolic Trough Solar SystemsPerformance Acceptance Test Guidelines,
NREL: August 2010. Draft report.
15. Solar Thermal Electric Technology: 2009. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2010. 1021386.
16. Concentrating Solar Thermal Technology. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2009. 1018577.
17. Australian Sustainable Energy: Zero Carbon Australia Stationary Energy Plan, Energy
Research Institute, University of Melbourne: July 2010.
18. Solar Energy Technologies Program Peer Review, DOE Energy Efficiency and Renewable
Energy (EERE), Washington D.C.: May 2010.
19. Solar Thermal Technology Status and Performance and Cost Estimates2011. EPRI, Palo
Alto, CA: 2012. 1025007.
20. Case Study on Thermal Energy Storage: Gemasolar. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2012. 1025405.
8-54
9.1 Introduction
The history of tidal power goes back to at least the Middle Ages. Primitive tidal mills were
operated in England in the 11th century, and numerous tidal mills were built in Western Europe,
Canada, and the United States during the 18th century. As a result of the Industrial Revolution
and subsequent widespread use of electric power, tidal mills became obsolete.
Actual construction of first-generation modern tidal power plants (dam or barrage systems) has
been limited to one large, 240-MW facility at LaRance, France; a small, 20-MW experimental
plant at Annapolis, Nova Scotia that is still operating today; and a number of small experimental
plants in Russia and China. During the summer of 2011, a tidal power plant began operation at
Lake Shihwa on the west coast of South Korea. When fully operational it will be the worlds
largest tidal power plant, at 254 MW.
Second-generation or tidal in-stream tidal energy conversion (TISEC) technology, which
captures the kinetic energy from unimpounded tidal currents, is a new technology that has
heightened interest in the commercial development of tidal energy conversion technology in
Europe, Korea, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, and the United States over the past five years.
This second-generation TISEC is the focus of this chapter (see Table 9-1 for an overview).
Table 9-1
Ocean tidal energy overview
Installed Tidal
Capacity
(as of November
2011)
9-1
Economic Status
9-2
Regulatory Status
Government
Support of Tidal
Energy
Technology
9-3
SnoPUD filed a Final License Application with FERC on March 1, 2012 and is
awaiting FERC approval for the Admiralty Inlet project.
Additional megawatt-scale demonstration and early commercial projects are
expected to be deployed over the next decade in Canada, Europe, Korea,
Australia, New Zealand, and the United States.
Major players in the wind and conventional hydropower industries are
acquiring significant stakes in hydrokinetic device development and
manufacturing companies. The technical and business experience they bring
to hydrokinetic generation may accelerate the development of the tidal
generation industry.
Final reports for DOE Reference Models are expected by September 30, 2013.
The tides are the result of gravitational forces exerted by the Moon and the Sun on the oceans of
the Earth, with the Moon having the predominant influence. The changing relative position of
these bodies causes the surface of the oceans to rise and fall periodically, as illustrated in
Figure 9-1. The gravitational forces of the Sun and the Moon and the centrifugal forces due to
the rotation about the Earth-Moon center-of-gravity create two bulges in the Earths oceans:
one closest to the Moon, and the other on the opposite side of the globe, as illustrated in Figure
9-2. These bulges result in two tides per day, called semi-diurnal tidesthe dominant tidal
pattern in most of the worlds oceans.
TISEC sites are typically located where there is a narrow channel or passage between two land
masses or an inlet into a bay, through which substantial volumes of tidal water must flow at high
speed. Tidal power sites should also have suitable seabed geology for proper anchoring of the
TISEC devices, and should be situated reasonably close to existing grid interconnection points.
Figure 9-1
Earth, Moon, and Suns influence on tides
9-4
Figure 9-2
The Earths tidal bulge
An illustration of a typical open-rotor, axial-flow water turbine TISEC device is shown in Figure
9-3. For such a water turbine, the hydrokinetic power per unit cross sectional area (in this case,
the area of the rotor blades) is equal to one-half the density of water multiplied by the cube of the
water speed. This relationship is illustrated in Figure 9-4.
Figure 9-3
Typical hydrokinetic water turbine
Figure 9-4
Tidal power density
The DOEs marine and hydrokinetic energy research is focused on assessing the potential
recoverable energy from MHK resources in the United States, and facilitating the development
and deployment of technologies to fully realize this potential. MHK technologies represent an
opportunity for the United States to engage directly in an emerging area of science and
discovery, while developing an entirely new suite of renewable energy technologies available to
reduce emissions and help states meet renewable energy portfolio standard (RPS) targets.
The DOEs priorities for tidal power include the following:
Facilitating the deployment of prototypes, and collecting data on the energy conversion
performance and environmental impacts of the devices
Determining the available, extractable, and cost effective resources in the United States
Characterizing and comparing the wide variety of existing marine hydrokinetic technologies
Minimizing the cost, time, and negative impacts associated with siting projects
The design, fabrication and testing of an improved turbine blade design structure for Verdant
Power, Inc.
A program to conduct in-water testing and demonstration of tidal flow technology as a first
step toward deploying a commercial tidal power facility by the Snohomish Public Utility
District (SnoPUD), a municipal utility in Washington State.
The selection and funding of two National Marine Renewable Energy Centersone at the
University of Hawaii, and a second run jointly by Oregon State University and the University
of Washington. Further, DOE funded a market acceleration program, consisting of
nationwide resource wave and tidal hydrokinetic resource assessments and a collaborative
project to address navigation and environmental issues as well as clarify the permitting
process.
In 2009, DOE support for tidal power included funding of the following:
An EPRI project to conduct desktop modeling studies of strike probability and flume testing
of fish interactions with hydrokinetic turbines
DOE funding in 2010 focused on advancing the development of marine and hydrokinetic
systems and components.
9-6
Throughout 2011 and 2012 the DOE offered multiple financial opportunities to MHK industry
businesses, including special loan guarantees and grants. The main types of awards offered to
MHK developers included Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) programs and Small
Business Technology Transfer (STTR) programs. In FY 2010 the program selected 27 projects
for funding, with individual awards ranging from $160,000 to $10 million. In April 2012 the
DOE announced that there is $9 million available this year to fund approximately 50 small
businesses. Selected projects will receive 1-year awards of up to $150,000. Awardees with
successful projects will also have the opportunity to compete for follow-on funding in excess of
$1 million. These funding programs are intended to help emerging MHK technologies advance
along the DOE Technology Readiness Level (TRL) chain. There are 10 TRL levels that are
organized as follows:
TRL 13
Concept Definition
TRL 4
Proof of Concept
TRL 5/6
TRL 7/8
TRL 9
Array Testing
TRL 10
Commercialization
For the tidal industry specifically, the DOE funded Georgia Tech to develop a tidal resource
assessment. The report was released in June 2011 and is titled Assessment of Energy
Production Potential from Tidal Streams in the United States. The DOE is also funding a large
multi-organizational project to develop MHK reference models. The project began in May 2010
and according to a DOE presentation, the goal of the project is to develop a representative set of
Reference Models (RM) for the MHK industry to develop baseline costs of energy (COE) and
evaluate key cost component/system reduction pathways. The presentation notes that there is a
need [to identify] COE targets with regard to technology type and future innovation
opportunities to prioritize research and cost reduction pathways. The reference model
completion date is slated for September 2013.
So far in 2012 five funding opportunity announcements have been issued for water power
technologies:
1. Open Funding Opportunity Announcement
Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy (ARPA-E)
2. Hydropower Advancement Project (HAP)Standard Assessments to Increase Generation
and Value
U.S. Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy
3. In-Water Wave Energy Conversion (WEC) Device Testing Support
U.S. Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Water Power
Program
4. FY12 SBIR/STTR Funding Opportunity Announcement
Small Business Funding Opportunity Announcement (FOA)
9-7
9-8
Icy Passage Tidal Project (P-13605). Natural Currents Energy Services was issued a preliminary
permit for its Icy Passage Tidal Project on April 30, 2010. This 300-kW project would be located
in Icy Passage, near Gustavus, Alaska. The project has continued to file progress reports with
FERC up through March 29, 2012. The project remains in Phase 1Siting/Planning in the DOE
MHK database.
Gastineau Channel Tidal Project (P-13606). Natural Currents Energy Services was issued a
preliminary permit for its Gastineau Channel Tidal Project on April 30, 2010. This 400-kW
project would be located in Gastineau Channel, near Juneau, Alaska. The project has continued
to file progress reports with FERC up through March 29, 2012.
East Foreland Tidal Energy Project (P-13821). ORPC received a FERC preliminary permit for
its proposed East Foreland project on March 11, 2011. The project has a combined capacity
between 5 and 100MW, and would be located in Cook Inlet near Nikiski, Alaska. The project
has continued to file progress reports with FERC up through February 27, 2012.
Killisnoo Tidal Energy Project (P-13823). Natural Currents Energy Services received a
preliminary permit from FERC on January 21, 2011. The 250-kW project would be located in
Kootznahoo Inlet, northeast of Killisnoo Island, near the City of Angoon, in southeastern Alaska.
The project has continued to file progress reports, but as of July 26, 2012 the projects third
progress report is overdue.
9.2.2.2 Projects in Washington
There are three tidal power projects under consideration or development in Washington state.
Two have been issued preliminary permits by FERC, and the other is a U.S. Navy (federal)
project.
Deception Pass Tidal Energy Project (P-12687). FERC issued a preliminary permit for
SnoPUDs Deception Pass Tidal Energy Project on August 4, 2010. The proposed project would
consist, in part, of four 20-m, 1.6-MW horizontal-axis turbines and would be located in Puget
Sound within Deception Pass, between Whidby Island and Fidalgo Island. The preliminary
permit is a reissuance of a preliminary permit held by SnoPUD. Under the previous preliminary
permit, SnoPUD filed a pre-application document (PAD) for the project on January 31, 2008.
SnoPUD engaged in other activities, such as consultation with resource agencies and other
stakeholders, that were directed toward submission of a license application. Under the reissued
Preliminary Permit, SnoPUD proposed to submit a draft license application for the Deception
Pass Tidal Energy Project by August 4, 2012. As of July 19, 2012 progress reports continue to be
submitted but the draft license application has not been submitted.
Admiralty Inlet Tidal Energy Project (P-12690). On March 2, 2010, the Public Utility District
No. 1 of Snohomish County, Washington (SnoPUD) filed an application with FERC to renew its
preliminary permit for its Admiralty Inlet Tidal Energy Project. FERC issued the renewed
preliminary permit on July 8, 2010. This project would be located in Admiralty Inlet in the
northwestern portion of Puget Sound, between the Olympic Peninsula and Whidbey Island,
Washington. The proposed project consists, in part, of two 10-m, 500-kW capacity turbines to be
manufactured by Open Hydro. In October 2008, the DOE provided a $1.2 million grant to the
utility to support the tidal energy effort at Admiralty Inlet, and on September 9, 2010, the DOE
announced that it had awarded the project an additional grant of $10 million in funding, which
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will be matched by $10.1 million in non-federal funding. SnoPUD submitted its draft license
application with FERC on December 28, 2009. On July 7, 2011, FERC published the notice
concluding the pre-filing process. The final license application was expected by August 31,
2011, and finally submitted on March 1, 2012. As of July 18, 2012 the project continues to
perform environmental analyses and work with agencies and various stakeholders to address
their comments. According to the projects presentation at the Global Marine Renewable Energy
Conference in April 2012, the future scheduled activities are as follows:
Onshore construction, foundation fabrication, and subsea cable lay will occur in late 2012 to
early 2013.
Turbines will be installed on foundations and testing and tow trials will commence in
September 2013.
U.S. Navy Demonstration Project in Puget Sound. Through a congressionally directed and
funded project, the Navy will install turbines from Verdant Power for a demonstration
installation in Puget Sound. Unlike the Snohomish PUD project, however, the primary goal of
the Navys pilot project is aimed at furthering the state of tidal energy technology by gathering
operational and environmental assessment data. The Navy plans to temporarily place three
Verdant Power tidal turbines in the waters on the west side of Admiralty Inlet off Marrowstone
Island. The turbines, which are to be installed in early 2013, will power two buildings and a
parking lot at the Navys ammunition depot on Indian Island, near Port Townsend. On October 4,
2012, the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) sent a letter to FERC requesting that
FERC review the project and determine that it does not present material risk to underwater
cables owened by Nippon Telegraph & Telephone Corp. of Tokyo. Verdant has modified its
installation plan to not include anchors during the installation plan.
9.2.2.3 Projects in California
San Francisco Bay Tidal Energy Project II (P-12585). On September 30, 2008, Golden Gate
Energy (GGE) filed with FERC an application for a pilot project license, which FERC denied.
On October 1, 2008, GGE was reissued a preliminary permit to evaluate the feasibility of the
project and prepare a license application. Once again, on February 4, 2010, GGE was reissued a
preliminary permit. As of June 21, 2012 FERC has granted GGE a time extension for filling the
draft license application.
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In September, 2010, the U.S. Department of Commerce awarded $1.4 million to the city of
Eastport and Washington County to establish the Maine Marine Energy Center, an advanced
composite material manufacturing facility that can produce the complex components and subassemblies required by the ocean energy industry.
Ocean Renewable Power Company (ORPC) received $10 million in funding from DOE (to be
matched by $11.1 million in non-federal funding) to build, install, operate, and monitor a
commercial-scale array of five grid-connected devices in Cobscook Bay, Eastport, Maine. An
award of $1.2 million to ORPC from the Maine Technology Institute to support that work was
announced on October 14, 2010.
ORPC Cobscook Bay Tidal Energy Project (P-12711) and Western Passage Tidal Energy
Project (P-12680). ORPC is planning a three-part project, called the Maine Tidal Energy Project,
at the mouth of the Bay of Fundy (off Eastport and Lubec, Maine). The three-part project
includes Cobscook Bay, Kendall Head, and the Western Passage. ORPC filed a draft
hydrokinetic pilot license application with FERC on July 24, 2009 for both the Cobscook Bay
and Western Passage projects. In preparation for writing this application, ORPC developed
environmental study plans for its Eastport sites and has been collecting data from the sites
regarding tidal current velocity, marine geophysical characteristics, benthic characteristics and
terrestrial site review. ORPC was reissued preliminary permits for these two projects on
January 13, 2011. The Cobscook Bay Tidal Energy Project (P-12711) has a proposed capacity of
750 kW, and the Western Passage project (P-12680) has a proposed capacity of 1.2 MW. ORPC
completed fabrication, assembly and shop testing of its 60-kW, beta pre-commercial tidal
generator unit (TGU) in early 2010 and deployed the device in Cobscook Bay in March 2010.
On September 1, 2011 ORPC applied for a pilot project license for the Cobscook Bay project,
and on February 27, 2012 the license was issued by FERC. On April 26, 2012 the Maine Public
Utilities Commission approved the primary contract terms of power purchase agreements (PPAs)
for the ORPC Maine Tidal Energy Project. These will be the first long-term PPAs for tidal
energy in the United States. On July 25, 2012 ORPC held the dedication ceremony for the
project, making it the first commercial tidal energy project in the U.S. The project is under way
and ORPC installed a commercial TidGen82 Power System in the second half of 2012. On
September 13, 2012, the underwater turbine generator came on-line. The TidGen is designed to
have a peak output of 180 kilowatts. Currently in pilot phase, the project will eventually add two
additional TidGen turbines, each with a peak output of 180kw. The second phase of installation
will take place in the fall of 2012. The Western Passage Tidal Energy Project (P-12680) remains
in the preliminary permit phase. As of July 11, 2012 FERC granted the project a time extension
for filing the draft license application.
Town of Wiscasset Tidal Resources Project (P-13329). FERC issued the town of Wiscasset a
preliminary permit for the Wiscasset Tidal Resource Project on May 28, 2009. The preliminary
permit cites 4 to 40 OCGen hydrokinetic turbines with a total installed capacity of 1 to 10 MW;
however, the project proponents anticipate applying for a pilot project license, which limits the
project capacity to 5 MW. The project received a time extension from FERC for filing a draft
license application on June 15, 2011 and the most recent progress report was submitted on
November 1, 2011.
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Homeowner Tidal Power Electric Generation Project (P-13345). On July 1, 2009, FERC issued
a preliminary permit for the Homeowner Tidal Power Electric Generation Project to be located
on the Kennebec River in Sagadahoc County, near Phippsburg, Maine. The proposed project
would comprise six hydrokinetic turbines with a combined capacity of 60 kW, in addition to
transmission lines connected directly to individual homes and appurtenant facilities. As of the
end of 2009, the project applicant anticipated pursuing a license exemption. On July 2, 2012 the
project applied for a subsequent preliminary permit for Kennebec River Pleasant Cove
Road/Woodland Lane Homeowners by Dot Kelly. On August 1, 2012 FERC notified the project
that the permit application was deficient.
Damariscotta River Hydrokinetic Tidal Energy Project (P-13646). FERC issued a preliminary
permit for the Damariscotta Tidal Project on May 19, 2010. The proposed project would be
located on the Damariscotta River in Lincoln County, Maine. The project would have a total
installed capacity of 250 kW provided by 10 to 20 EnCurrent hydrokinetic generator units.
FERC cancelled the preliminary permit on July 28, 2011, because the project applicant failed to
submit the required notice of intent (NOI) and pre-application document (PAD). As of August 2,
2012 no further updates have occurred.
Kendall Head Tidal Energy Project (P-13801). On January 13, 2011, FERC issued ORPC a
preliminary permit for the Kendall Head Tidal Energy Project. The project would consist of four
OCGen hydrokinetic tidal devices, each consisting of two 150-kW turbine generator units for a
combined capacity of 1.2 MW; an anchoring support structure; a mooring system; a 2,700-foot
submersed cable connecting the turbine generating units to a shore station; an 8,500-foot, 34.5kV transmission line connecting the shore station to an existing distribution line; and appurtenant
facilities. The project would be located in the Western Passage, Washington County, Maine. On
July 11, 2012 FERC issued a time extension to ORPC for filing the draft license application.
Treat Island Tidal Project (P-14330) and Lubec Narrows Tidal Project (P-14331). On April
19, 2012 FERC issued preliminary permits to ORPC for the Treat Island Tidal Project in
Passamaquoddy Bay, between the town of Eastport and Treat Island, Washington Count, Maine.
The project will consist of 15 TidGen devices, each 150 kW. On that same day FERC issued
another preliminary permit to ORPC for the Lubec Narrows Tidal Project to be located in Lubec
Narrows and Johnson Bay, near the Town of Lubec, Washington County, Maine. The project
will consist of 10 RivGen83 devices, each 60 kW.
9.2.2.7 Projects in New Hampshire
General Sullivan and Little Bay Bridges Tidal Energy Project (P-13503). The University of
New Hampshire Center for Ocean Renewable Energy (UNH/CORE) filed a preliminary permit
application for the General Sullivan and Little Bay Bridges Tidal Energy Project to be located on
the Piscataqua River in Rickingham and Stafford counties, New Hampshire. FERC issued the
preliminary permit on September 30, 2009. The proposed project comprises a single 10-footwide by 35-foot-long test platform suspending a variety of hydrokinetic devices into the river,
including a Gorlov Helical turbine generation unit, plus appurtenant facilities. Because electricity
generated by the system would power the test platform, the project would require no
transmission line. UNH/CORE intends to develop the site as a nationally recognized testing and
evaluation facility for marine hydrokinetic turbines, with no intention to connect with the electric
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grid. Thus, UNH/CORE expects to seek an exemption from a FERC license. FERC requires that
projects receiving preliminary permits also intend to develop the site for commercial use. The
project is located in the town of Newington, NH, where the local Conservation Commission
refused to allow the project to be developed commercially. Therefore, on March 19, 2012 a
notice of surrender for the preliminary permit was issued by FERC.
9.2.2.8 Projects in New Jersey
Kingsbridge (Wills Hole) Tidal Electric Project (P-13247). On December 22, 2010, Natural
Current Energy Services filed a draft application for an original license for the Wills Hole
project. That draft application was dismissed by FERC on April 4, 2011. Reasons cited for
dismissal included incomplete consultation, no proposed post-license monitoring and safeguard
plans, and a general lack of detail in the draft application. On July 12, 2011, the applicant filed a
regular six-month progress report. The preliminary permit expired on November 30, 2011. It is
not clear whether the applicant has applied for a renewal of the preliminary permit. As of May 3,
2012 the project continues to file progress reports with FERC.
Hoffmans Marina Tidal Energy Project (P-13682). Natural Currents Energy Services filed an
application for a FERC-issued preliminary permit on May 5, 2010, for the Hoffmans Marina
Tidal Energy Project, which would be located on Manasquan River, in Monmouth County, New
Jersey. The proposed project would consist of 10 20-kW turbines with a combined capacity of
200 kW and would be operated to power the marina and associated office building on site. A
notice of surrender of preliminary permit was issued on September 26, 2011 for the project.
Highlands New Jersey Tidal Energy Project (P-13725). Natural Currents (NC) Energy Services
was issued a preliminary permit on January 11 2011, for the Highlands New Jersey Tidal Energy
Project, which would be located on the Shrewsbury River, in Monmouth County, New Jersey.
The project would utilize 20 150-kW Natural Currents Red Hawk Tidal In-Stream Energy
Conversion (TISEC) modules with a total combined capacity of 3 MW. The preliminary permit
was surrendered on January 11, 2012 following overdue progress report submissions. Following
this, Natural Currents Energy Services filed a new permit (P-14393) on April 23, 2012 for the
same site. FERC rejected the permit application on July 9, 2012 based on the projects previous
failure to submit progress reports on time.
Salem Tidal Energy (P-13849). Natural Currents Energy Services received a preliminary
permit for its Salem Tidal Energy Project on May 2, 2011. The proposed capacity of the project
is 3 MW, utilizing between 10 and 30 NC Sea Dragon or Red Hawk tidal turbines (rated capacity
100kW each). On June 25, 2012 FERC issued a letter to the project stating that the notice of
intent and pre-application document for licensing was overdue.
Cohansey River Tidal Energy (P-14127). FERC issued a preliminary permit to Natural Currents
Energy Services for its Cohansey River project on September 1, 2011. The authorized capacity
of the proposed project is 3 MW, utilizing between 10 and 30 NC Sea Dragon or Red Hawk tidal
turbines (rated capacity 100kW each). As of March 7, 2012 the project continues to submit
progress reports to FERC.
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BW2 Tidal Energy Project (P-14222). Natural Currents Energy Services filed an application for
a preliminary permit on July 13, 2011, for a 1-MW capacity project on the Maurice River. The
proposed project consists of 2 NC Sea Dragon or Red Hawk tidal turbines, each with a rated
capacity of 150 kW. On February 3, 2012 the application for preliminary permit was accepted.
As of February 6, 2012 the project has submitted its 45-day report to FERC.
DorchesterMaurice Tidal Energy Project (P-14223). Natural Currents Energy Services filed
an application for a preliminary permit on July 13, 2011, for a 2-MW capacity project on the
Maurice River. The proposed project would consist of 1 to 10 NC Sea Dragon or Red Hawk tidal
turbines, at a rated capacity of 100 kW each. On February 3, 2012 the application for a
preliminary permit was accepted. As of February 6, 2012 the project has submitted its 45-day
report to FERC.
Margate Tidal Energy Project (P-14224). On July 14, 2011, Natural Currents Energy Services
filed an application for a preliminary permit for a 3 MW project north of Margate City. The project
would deploy 10 to 30 NC Sea Dragon 100-kW tidal turbines. The preliminary permit was issued
on January 18, 2012. On July 5, 2012 the project submitted its six-month progress report.
Avalon Tidal Energy Project (P-14228). Natural Currents Energy Services filed an application
for a preliminary permit on July 15, 2011, for a 3-MW capacity tidal project in Ingram
Thorofare, near Avalon, NJ. The proposed project would utilize between 10 and 30 NC Sea
Dragon or Red Hawk tidal turbines (rated capacity 100kW each). On February 3, 2012 the
preliminary permit was issued by FERC. On February 6, 2012 the project submitted its 45-day
report.
Cape May Tidal Energy Project (P-14232). On July 18, 2011, Natural Currents Energy Services
filed an application for a preliminary permit for a 3 MW capacity project on the Cape Bay Canal,
Cape May, NJ. The project would deploy 10 to 30 Natural Currents Sea Dragon 100-kW units.
The permit was issued on February 13, 2012 and on February 14, 2012 the project submitted its
45-day report.
Maurice River Tidal Energy Project (P-14234). Natural Currents Energy Services submitted an
application for a preliminary permit to FERC on July 18, 2011, for a 3-MW tidal energy project
on the Maurice River. The project would utilize between 10 and 30 NC Sea Dragon or Red
Hawk tidal turbines (rated capacity 100kW each). On March 12, 2012 FERC issued the
preliminary permit, and on March 16, 2012 the project submitted its 45-day report.
9.2.3 U.S. Developer and Project Deployment Highlights
9.2.3.1 Verdant Power
In December 2010, Verdant Power submitted a final license application to FERC to install and
operate 30 turbines (each turbine rated at about 34 kW for a total of roughly 1 MW). On May 3,
2011, FERC recommended licensing the Roosevelt Island Tidal Energy (RITE) Project. On
December 22, 2011 the NYS Department of Environmental Conservation granted Verdant Power
a water quality certification permit. On January 23, 2012 FERC granted Verdant Power a 10-year
hydrokinetic pilot project license, making it the first licensed tidal power project in the U.S. The
project is being developed in a phased approach to include up to 30 commercial class Free Flow
System turbines (5th generation) providing 1 MW of power.
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Figure 9-5
Vortex-induced vibrations oscillate objects in fluid currents
A prototype device was field-tested in the St. Clair River in spring 2010, and the company is
developing its next generation device for testing. The company is striving to commercialize the
technology in 2013 or 2014.
9.2.3.3 Ocean Renewable Power Company
ORPC is developing MHK tidal projects at two locations in the United States (Maine and
Alaska) and one location in Nova Scotia, Canada.
Maine updates: ORPC fabricated its 60-kW beta turbine generating unit in 2009 to early 2010 and
deployed it in March 2010 on a floating barge in Cobscook Bay, near Eastport, Maine. On October
14, 2010, ORPC was awarded $1.2 million to facilitate development of the TidGen Power System
from a beta pre-commercial status to a grid-connected and revenue generating commercial product.
This follows the award of $10 million from DOE to support a commercial-scale tidal project in
Cobscook Bay on September 9, 2010. On September 1, 2011 ORPC applied for a pilot project
license (which differs from a preliminary permit) for the Cobscook Bay project (part of the Maine
Tidal Energy Project), and on February 27, 2012 the license was issued by FERC. On April 26,
2012 the Maine Public Utilities Commission approved the primary contract terms of power
purchase agreements (PPAs) for the ORPC Maine Tidal Energy Project. These will be the first
long-term PPAs for tidal energy in the United States. On July 25, 2012 ORPC held the dedication
ceremony for the project, making it the first commercial tidal energy project in the U.S. The
project is under way and ORPC installed a commercial TidGen Power System in the second half of
2012. On September 13, 2012, the underwater turbine generator came on-line. The TidGen is
designed to have a peak output of 180 kilowatts. Currently in pilot phase, the project will
eventually add two additional TidGen turbines, each with a peak output of 180kw. The second
phase of installation will take place in the fall of 2012. The Western Passage Tidal Energy Project
(P-12680) remains in the preliminary permit phase. As of July 11, 2012 FERC granted the project
a time extension for filing the draft license application.
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Alaska updates: ORPC is developing a project at the Cook Inlet in Alaska. Owing to special
environmental concerns about endangered species in the Cook Inlet, ORPC was awarded
$600,000 in 2009 by the U.S. DOE to monitor beluga whales.
Nova Scotia updates: ORPC is collaborating with Canadian independent power producer, Fundy
Tidal Inc., to develop a tidal energy project in the Bay of Fundy. The project plans to supply up
to 1.5 MW of power and begin delivering electricity to the local grid by mid-2013. The project
hopes to benefit from the worlds first Community Feed-In Tariff for tidal energy, which is
currently being finalized by the Province of Nova Scotia.
9.2.3.4 Free Flow Power
The first field demonstration of a tidal energy device in Massachusetts took place in Muskeget
Channel on five consecutive days between August 8 and 15, 2011. Free Flow Power also tested a
prototype during the summer of 2011 in the Mississippi River, near Baton Rouge, Louisiana.
9.2.3.5 UEK Corporation
University of Manitoba and Manitoba collaborated to test UEK Corporations Underwater
Electric Kite in the Winnipeg River, Pointe du Bois, Manitoba, Canada. The turbine was
deployed from a barge in early October 2011.
In recognition of the common challenges faced at FORCE and the European Marine Energy
Centre (EMEC), as well as the benefits of collaboration, representatives of the two centers singed
a strategic agreement in May 2011.
On November 7, 2011 FORCE opened its $1.3 million visitor center in Parrsboro. The 3,000
square-foot facility overlooks the Cape Split tidal turbine demonstration site in the Minas
Passage. During that same month FORCE released the results of its first environmental
monitoring report. Additional studies were performed, including acoustic Doppler current
profiles, electromagnetic field risks to marine organisms, and observation surveys of seabirds
and mammals. Final reports for these studies will be available in 2012.
9.3.1.2 The Canoe Pass Tidal Energy Corporation (CPTEC)
CPTEC will apply a $2 million award from the Innovative Clean Energy Fund toward the
installation of two 250-kW EnCurrent turbines, developed by New Energy Corp of Calgary,
Alberta. The Canoe Pass site is adjacent to the foot of Seymour Narrows north of the Campbell
River. The project was undergoing environmental review in 2011. Device deployment is
anticipated in 2012. On May 31, 2012 CPTEC filed an application to the Minister of Transport,
Infrastructure and Communities under the Navigable Waters Protection Act for the approval of
plans and site work.
9.3.1.3 Ocean Renewable Power Company
In July, 2011, Maine-based ORPC formed ORPC Nova Scotia in order to take advantage of the
proximity and tremendous tidal energy potential of Nova Scotias Bay of Fundy waters. A
planned project at Petit Passage is just 50 miles from ORPCs Eastport, Maine, projects. ORPC
has formed a strategic partnership with Canadian independent power producer, Fundy Tidal Inc.,
to develop a 1.5 MW tidal energy project in the Bay of Fundy utilizing the robust tidal resource
of Digby Gut at the entrance to the Annapolis Basin. The project will use ORPCs TidGen Power
System and expects to be delivering electricity to the local grid by mid-2013. The project also
expects to benefit from the worlds first Community Feed-In Tariff for tidal energy development,
currently being finalized by the Province of Nova Scotia.
9.3.2 United Kingdom (UK)
The UK is maintaining its stature as the global leader in tidal energy technology development. In
an effort to solidify its leadership position in TISEC development, the UK has established an
installed marine energy capacity goal of 2 GW by 2020 and adopted an energy policy designed
to attract and support TISEC developers and equipment testing.
On March 16, 2010, the Scottish government and crown estate announced a 4 billion project to
build 10 tidal and wave power sites with a combined capacity of 1.2 GW in the Orkney Islands
and Pentland Firth. The projects are expected to require an additional investment of 1 billion to
construct new grid connections, ports, and other support facilities. These projects were described
as the worlds first commercial wave and tidal power schemes, with capacity evenly divided
between wave and tide-based generation. The tidal projects are listed in Table 9-2.
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Developer
Technology Supplier
MW
Westray South
SSE Renewables
Developments
TBC
200
Cantick Head
SSE Renewables
Holdings
Open Hydro
200
Brough Ness
SeaGeneration Ltd.
Marine Current
Turbines
100
Ness of Duncansby
ScottishPower
Renewables
TBC
100
Inner Sound
MeyGen
Atlantis Resources
400
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On July 30, 2012 the Marine Energy Park was launched at EMEC to heighten the international
profile of the region and its reputation as a world leader in marine energy. In March of 2012
representatives from EMEC announced that they had signed a memorandum of understanding
(MOU) with the Ocean Energy Association of Japan (OEAJ) to develop a marine energy test
center in Japan. EMEC will provide design, development, and operation support for the new test
center.
As of April 2012 EMEC has 14 clients and remains the worlds only accredited, grid connected,
wave and tidal test site. Recent developer-specific activities at EMEC are described in the
following subsections, which summarize the recent activities of selected UK TISEC developers.
Figure 9-6
OpenHydro device at the EMEC Fall of Warness tidal test site
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Figure 9-7
Marine Current Turbines SeaGen
SeaGeneration (Kyle Rhea) Ltd. is a development company set up by Marine Current Turbines
(MCT). The company is proposing to develop a tidal stream array at a site between the Isle of
Skye and the west coast of Scotland called Kyle Rhea. The project is currently in the process of
performing an environmental impact assessment (EIA) necessary before applying for a lease
from the Crown Estate. The process is expected to take one full year.
9.3.2.1.2 Marine Current Turbines -SeaGeneration (Wales) Ltd.
SeaGeneration (Wales) Ltd. is a development company set up by MCT and RWE npower
renewables. The company is proposing to develop a tidal stream array at a site off the northwest
coast of Anglesey referred to as the Skerries. Extensive feasibility assessments and
environmental studies have been carried out looking at the site and SeaGen Wales submitted an
application in early 2011 to the Welsh Assembly Government for consent to build and operate
the tidal stream array.
9.3.2.2 Pulse Tidal
The Pulse Tidal technology is based on twin hydrofoils positioned across the tidal flow. Moving
water pushes the foils either up or down according to the angle of the foil in the water. The
vertical forces act in the same way that air moving over a wing provides lift. A conventional
generator above the water surface is driven by the foils moving below the surface.
Pulse Tidal received funding from the UK Governments Technology Program to research and
develop a 100-kW Pulse generator in the Humber estuary close to Immingham (Figure 9-8). The
generator fed power ashore directly to supply a large chemical works.
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The mean water level the Pulse Stream 100 operates in at Humber is only 9 m; with 4 m of tidal
range either side of that, the Pulse Tidal concept proved for the first time the potential for tidal
stream energy from shallow waters. Pulse Tidal has begun environmental studies at the planned
site of the worlds first commercial shallow water tidal energy site at Kyle Rhea, the strait
between the Isle of Skye and the Scottish mainland, and plans to start generating there in 2012.
On January 20, 2012 Pulse Tidal was selected to receive a $50,000 feasibility study grant from
USDA Rural Development for a hydrokinetic turbine project in Matanuska Susitna Borough,
Alaska.
In the spring of 2012 the Crown Estate awarded Pulse Tidal a lease agreement for a 1.2 MW fullscale demonstration tidal project to be deployed off Lynmouth in Devon, at the South West
Marine Energy Park. The deployment, planned for 2014, will be Englands largest tidal
generation machine.
Figure 9-8
Pulse Tidal generator
9.3.2.3 Swanturbines
A 300-kW demonstration device is being assembled to be installed at the European Marine
Energy Centre (EMEC) in Orkney. The Cygnet device is illustrated in Figure 9-9. This
7 million project will demonstrate the robust design and installation philosophy of the
Swanturbines technology. In early April 2010, trials confirmed the feasibility of deploying
Swanturbines Cygnet device at EMEC. On October 19, 2010 the project successfully completed
a test of installation methodology with Jumbo Offshore.
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Figure 9-9
Swanturbines Cygnet
The GlaxoSmithKline Montrose project is a proposed tidal array project in the River South Esk
Estuary. Each of the 0.7-MW turbines will be part of a 15 turbine array that will be installed in
two phases over a period of 14 months. The project is intended to provide power to the GSK
Montrose site, which is a primary manufacturing and supply facility and a key provider of active
pharmaceutical ingredients for some of GSKs most therapeutically and commercially important
products. The project began in 2010 and has since completed environmental impact statements,
feasibility studies, and has secured a lease with the Crown Estate (November 30, 2011). On
March 20, 2012 Swanturbines submitted a license application for the project.
9.3.2.4 Tidal Generation Limited
Tidal Generation Limited (TGL), a wholly owned subsidiary of Rolls-Royce, deployed and
connected a prototype of its 500-kW tidal turbine at EMEC in 2010 (Figure 9-10). As of late
October 2011, the device had supplied over 100 MWh of electrical power to the national grid. In
March 2012 the company announced that its device has surpassed 200 MWh of power generation
fed into Scotlands national grid. TGL is currently constructing a 1-MW device to be installed at
EMEC in 2012. TGL then plans to install a 10 MW demonstration array in 2013/2014.
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Figure 9-10
Tidal Generation Limited DeltaStream
9-25
Hammerfest Strm was selected by ScottishPower Renewables for their Islay and Duncansby
Head sites totaling 105 MW. Tidal resource and seabed surveys have been completed, and the
environmental impact assessment has been submitted. The Scottish government approved the 10MW Islay project in March 2011. The 1 MW demonstration project on the island of Eday was
installed in December 2011 and on May 17, 2012 the project completed its initial testing period.
9.3.2.7 Bluewater
In November 2011, Bluewater Energy secured a test berth at EMEC for a full-scale version of its
floating BlueTEC tidal power turbine system.
9.3.2.8 Kawasaki
In late October 2011, Kawasaki Heavy Industries announced it had signed a contract for a test
berth at EMEC. It also announced it was about to begin testing a sub-scale device off of Okinawa
to support development of a 1-MW prototype for deployment at EMEC. The prototype is
being certified by GL Renewable Certification (GL RC) and the process began in April 2012.
The 1-MW device will be tested at EMEC in 2013.
9.3.2.9 Voith Hydro
In late July 2011, Voith Hydro began installing a monopole for its tidal turbine at EMECs Fall
of Warness tidal test site. The company plans to deploy a full-scale prototype of its HyTide
device in August or September 2012.
Voith Hydros first tidal current device prototype is in operation off the coast of South Korea in
the Sea Turtle Tidal Park. The device has a rated capacity of 110kW. When complete, the park
will have a total capacity of 150 MW.
9.3.2.10 Flumill
Flumill AS, a Norwegian company, delivered its first commercial tidal energy system at EMEC
in late 2011. The device will be tested at EMECs nursery tidal test site in Shapinsay Sound over
a period of three to six months. The device uses 30-40 m long glass fiber Helix Screws to
capture energy from tidal currents.
On March 28, 2012 Flumill received approval from the Norwegian Water Resources and Energy
Directorate to build a 5 MW tidal power pilot project outside Troms, at Rystraumen, a tidal
current in the fjord dividing the island Kvalya from the mainland.
9.3.2.11 Scotrenewables
The SR250 was constructed at Harland & Wolff in Belfast toward the end of 2010. Following
tow tests in the sheltered waters of Shapinsay Sound to simulate tidal flow, Scotrenewables
successfully generated power with its floating SR250 device at the Falls of Warness test site in
December 2011. The device is designed to facilitate deployment and retrieval by a modest-sized
boat. The device was successfully connected to the national grid at the European Marine Energy
Centre at the end of March 2011, making it the worlds first floating tidal turbine to export power
to the national grid. A two-year test program has now commenced and a 4-day deployment was
successfully completed in May 2012.
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9.3.3 Ireland
9.3.3.1 OpenHydro
The development of OpenHydros Open-Centre technology began in the United States during the
early 1990s, and the company has over a decade of experience developing and testing the OpenCentre Turbine in marine conditions. OpenHydro was formed in 2005 after negotiating world
rights to the Open-Centre technology in late 2004. The Open-Centre Turbine is designed to be
deployed directly on the seabed. It can be located at depth and presents no navigational hazard.
OpenHydros installation in September 2008 (Figures 9-11 and 9-12) is the worlds first
successful deployment of a tidal turbine mounted directly on a gravity base on the seabed. The
installation took place at EMEC in Scotland.
Figure 9-11
OpenHydro Gravity Base installation
Figure 9-12
OpenHydro Gravity Base photo
To solve the problem of vessel availability and enable launches of the tidal power devices,
OpenHydro commissioned the worlds first specialist barge to install seabed-mounted tidal
turbines (Figure 9-13).
9-27
Figure 9-13
OpenHydro deployment vessel
OpenHydro unveiled its next-generation 10-m diameter, 1-MW Open Centre turbine in
September 2009 and deployed that turbine in the Bay of Fundys Minas Passage in November
2009, in partnership with Nova Scotia Power and the Fundy Ocean Research Centre for Energy
(FORCE). The device was fabricated and shipped to the Bay of Fundy from OpenHydros
Technical Center at Carlingford Lough, Ireland. The turbine was pulled from the water in May
2010, prior to its planned removal in the fall of 2010, when it was discovered that two of the
turbine blades had broken off.
On October 5, 2009, Open Hydro received notice of a 2 million grant from Sustainable Energy
Irelands (SEI) Ocean Energy Prototype Research and Development Programme. The grant will
be used to design and develop OpenHydros next generation 16-m Open-Centre turbine, subsea
base, and installation barge.
On March 16, 2010, OpenHydro and its partner, SSE Renewables, were awarded exclusive rights
to develop a 200-MW tidal energy farm at the Cantick Head site in the Pentland Firth off the
north coast of Scotland. On July 6, 2010, OpenHydro was awarded a 1.85 million grant from
Scotlands Wave and Tidal Energy: Research, Development and Demonstration Support
(WATERS) fund. The funds will be used to design, develop, manufacture, and test a power
conversion and control system for connecting arrays of tidal turbines to the grid.
Open Hydro also has demonstration projects under planning and development in Admiralty Inlet,
Puget Sound, Washington; at FORCE in the Bay of Fundy, Nova Scotia, Canada; and Alderney,
Channel Islands (a British Crown dependency), and Paimpol-Brehat in Brittany, France
(discussed in the next sextion).
9.3.4 France
Electricite de France (EDF) Group has selected Irish company OpenHydro Group to build the
first underwater tidal turbines at Paimpol-Brehat in Brittany, France. The effort is part of its pilot
project to build a tidal turbine farm to generate electricity from tidal energy.
9-28
Announced in October 2009, the OpenHydro partnership involves installing four 16-m, 2-MW
turbines. The first of the turbines to be assembled was towed from the DCNS shipyard in Brest
on August 31, 2011, for commissioning tests at sea prior to installation. The turbines will be
connected to the electricity grid beginning in 2012. The test unit at Paimpol-Brehat will
reportedly enable the technology to be tested in real-world conditions and permit assessment of
impacts on the marine environment. In the future, other technologies tested by EDF could be
deployed to take advantage of the Paimpol-Brehat regions powerful tidal currents.
In July of 2012 the European utility GDF Suez announced that they are exploring the feasibility
of installing two tidal test sites off the coast of France. The company hopes to install up to six of
Voith Hydros HyTide turbines at Raz Blanchard by 2015, providing up to 12 MW of generating
capacity. The company also hopes to establish a second test site at the Passage du Fromveur
using Sabellas D10 prototype by 2016.
9.3.5 Australia
Tenax Energy is developing tidal energy at sites in Australia. These locations were selected
based on high tidal velocity, water depth, and proximity to existing grid infrastructure. The initial
focus is on Clarence Strait in the Northern Territory. Two other sites are in Victoria and
Tasmania.
In early September 2010, Australias Northern Territory granted a site license to Tenax Energy
for a proposed 200-MW project in Clarence Strait between the northern coast of Australia and
the Tiwi Islands, near the city of Darwin. The license allows Tenax to undertake environmental
studies, which are needed to obtain other regulatory approvals. Tenax is considering OpenHydro
turbines for this project. As of late 2011, the only tidal power installation in Australia was
Atlantis Resources 150-kW AN400 device deployed at San Remo, Victoria, Australia.
9.3.6 New Zealand
In March 2011, New Zealands Minister of Conservation approved a proposed tidal power
project in the mouth of Kaipara Harbour in Northland, New Zealand. The project put forth by
Crest Energy would deploy up to 200 completely submerged devices with a total maximum
generating capacity of 200 MW.
9.3.7 India
Atlantis Resources Corporation is developing a tidal power project with Gujarat Power
Corporation Limited in the Gulf of Kutch in Gujarat India. The project team is current assessing
the viability of a 250 MW tidal turbine farm. The Gulf of Kutch is an eastwest-oriented
indentation north of Saurashtra Peninsula. It is known for its tidal range of up to 8 m and charts
indicate flow rates of up to 5 knots. The project was ratified by the Chief Minister of Gujarat in
November 2010 and pilot project funds were approved in April 2012. Deployment is expected to
begin in 2013.
9-29
9.3.8 Africa
In May 2012 the Florida-based MHK developer, Hydro Alternative Energy Inc. (HAE),
announced its plan to develop a 1 MW tidal power project in the South African Agulhas Current
near Durbin. The project will be in partnership with the South African municipality e Thekwini.
HAE plants to installed one of its Oceans tidal power units at a cost of approximately US$20
million.
9.3.9 Japan
In March 2012 representatives from EMEC announced that they had signed a memorandum of
understanding (MOU) with the Ocean Energy Association of Japan (OEAJ) to develop a marine
energy test center in Japan. EMEC will provide design, development, and operation support for
the new test center.
9-30
Figure 9-14
United States tidal current reference stations
9-31
1000
800
600
400
200
0
Depth-Averaged Velocity
(mid-point of speed bin, m/sec)
Figure 9-15
Annual average tidal current speed probability distributions for Dog Island Transect,
Western Passage, Maine
Figure 9-16 shows the available tidal energy resource for the five U.S. feasibility study sites
and one additional site, North Inian Pass in southeast Alaska. North Inian Pass may be the largest
tidal energy site in North America.
Figure 9-16
Annual tidal energy resource for six U.S. tidal current sites
Following the site surveys, EPRI performed design, performance, cost, and economic feasibility
studies for five U.S. sites and two Canadian sites. The results of this work are documented in
reports available from EPRIs Ocean Energy website (http://oceanenergy.epri.com).
9-32
9-33
Axial flow: the axis of rotation is parallel to the direction of water flow.
Cross flow: the axis of rotation is perpendicular to the water stream and may be oriented at
any angle, from horizontal to vertical, with respect to the water surface.
9-34
Figure 9-17
Tidal energy conversion system configurations
The subsystems for a hydrokinetic turbine typically include a blade or rotor, which converts the
energy in the water to rotational shaft energy; a drive train, which usually comprises a gearbox
and a generator; a support structure for the rotor and drive train; and other equipment, including
controls, cables, and interconnection equipment. Additional ways of classifying these devices
include the following:
Open vs. ducted: Turbine rotors may be either open, much like wind turbines, or enclosed in
a duct or shroud. Because the energy is a function of the cross-sectional area of the flow
directed through the swept area of the turbine, using a duct of a given cross sectional area is
the equivalent of using an open rotor with the same cross-sectional area. The wind energy
industry has found that adding length to a rotor blade is more economical than adding a duct
to increase the cross-sectional area and power of a wind machine. However, the economics
may differ for wind turbines given the lower density of the fluid medium.
9-35
Fixed vs. variable pitch blades: Pitch control is used to limit power, maximize the efficiency
of the turbine in variable flows, and enable bi-directional operation. There are other ways to
accomplish these three functions with fixed-blade turbines and many different design
concepts for implementing them.
Closed-center vs. open-center hubs: Instead of a fixed hub and rotating blades, a design
variation uses an outer fixed rim and an inner rotating bladed disc. The potential benefit of an
open-center design is eliminating the need for a gearbox by encapsulating the stator of a
generator on the rim of the machine.
Savonius vs. Darrieus vertical-axis turbines: First invented in Finland, the Savonius turbine
is S-shaped when viewed along the axis of rotation. This drag-type turbine turns relatively
slowly, but yields a high torque. The Darrieus turbine was invented in France in the 1920s.
Often described as looking like an eggbeater, this type of turbine has vertical blades that
rotate into and out of the flow. Using hydrodynamic lift, these turbines can capture more
energy than drag devices.
Helical vs. cycloidal: Aerodynamic lift-type vertical axis turbine blade configuration. A
helical blade traces a three-dimensional curve that lies on a cylinder or cone, such that its
angle to a plane perpendicular to the axis is constant. A cycloidal blade has the shape of a
curve traced by a point on the circumference of a circle that rolls on a straight line.
There are other types being investigated, such as hydro Venturi and hydrofoil or vortex-induced
oscillation. However, they are not of sufficient practical importance at this time to be described
in this chapter. Information on these devices is contained in an EPRI report [14] on TISEC
devices available at EPRIs Ocean Energy website (http://oceanenergy.epri.com).
9.5.2 TISEC System Developers
Today, a number of companies are leading the commercialization of technologies to generate
electricity from tidal currents. Table 9-3 lists most known device developers as of November
2011; it excludes those with only conceptual designs and patents.
9-36
Device Name
Unknown
Type
Oscillatory Wings
Development Status(2)
Experimental
Tidal Turbine
Generator
Neptune
Early Commercial
Technology
Demonstration
1. Early Commercial
2. Laboratory Testing
3. Laboratory Testing
1. AR series
2. AS series
3. AN series
Not disclosed
Technology
Demonstration
Experimental
BioStream
Oscillatory Biomimetic
Experimental
Ducted Cross-Flow
Experimental
Technology
Demonstration
Experimental
Aquantis
Vertical-Axis CrossFlow
Dual Ducted AxialFlow
Vertical-Axis CrossFlow
Axial Flow
Stingray
Oscillatory Wing
Ducted Axial-Flow
Technology
Demonstration
Laboratory Testing
Early Commercial
Osprey
HS300
HS1000
Morild
Vertical Axis
Axial-Flow
Hydro-Gen
Axial-Flow
Experimental
Technology
Demonstration
Commercial
Demonstration
Technology
Demonstration
Early Commercial
Atlantisstrom
www.atlantisstrom.de
Aquascientific
http://aquascientific2.moonfruit.com
BioPower Systems
www.biopowersystems.com
Blue Energy Canada Inc.
www.bluenergy.com
Bluewater
www.bluewater.com
BluStream
Atlantisstrom
C-Energy
www.c-energy.nl
Ecomerit Technologies
www.ecomerit.com
Engineering Business
www.engb.com
Firth Tidal Energy
http://firthtidalenergy.com/home/
Free Flow Power
www.freefllowpower.com
Free Flow 69
Hammerfest STROM AS
www.hammerfeststrom.com
Hydra Tidal
www.hydratidal.com
Hydro-Gen
Wave Rotor
Hydrovolts
http://hydrovolts.com
Kepler Energy
www.keplernergy.co.uk
Lucid Energy
www.lucidenergy.com
Lunar Energy Ltd
www.lunarenergy.co.uk
Marine Current Turbines Ltd
www.marineturbines.com
Minesto Tidal Energy Solutions
www.minesto.com
Transverse
Horizontal Axis
Water Turbine
Gorlov Helical
Turbine (GHT)
Rotech Tidal Turbine
Seaflow and
SeaGen
Deep Green
Axial-Flow
Darrieus, Savonius,
and FlipWing blades
Horizontal Cross-Flow
Vertical Axis
Ducted Horiz. Axis
Axial-Flow
Kite-Mounted AxialFlow Turbine
Experimental
Experimental
Experimental
Technology
Demonstration
Technology
Demonstration
Commercial
Demonstration
Laboratory Testing
9-37
9-38
Device Name
Sea Dragon
Red Hawk
CoRMaT
Proteus
Type
Axial-Flow Tandem
Contra-Rotating Rotor
Vertical-Axis CrossFlow
EnCurrent Turbine
Vertical Axis
Evopod
Axial-Flow
TIDES
Unknown
TidGen
Cross-Flow HorizontalAxis
Ducted Axial-Flow
Open Centre
Turbine
Kobold
Vertical Axis
Oscillating Wing
Sabella D03
Sabella D10
SR 250
Axial-Flow
EXIM
Vertical Axis
TidEL
Twin Axial-Flow
Swan Turbine
Axial-Flow
DeltaStream
Axial-Flow
Unknown
Ducted Vertical-Axis
Cross-Flow
Axial-Flow
Twin Axial-Flow
Development Status(2)
Commercial
Demonstration
Experimental
Commercial
Demonstration
Technology
Demonstration
Technology
Demonstration
Experimental
Technology
Demonstration
Commercial
Demonstration
Commercial
Demonstration
Technology
Demonstration
Experimental
Technology
Demonstration
Technology
Demonstration
Technology
Demonstration
Technology
Demonstration
Unknown
Experimental
Technology
Demonstration
Technology
Demonstration
Tidal Hydraulic
Generator
Horizontal Axis
Tidal Sail
Cross-flow Sails
Experimental
Triton
Axial-Flow
Tocardo
Axial-Flow
Underwater Electric
Kite
Integrated Tidal
Generator
Ducted Axial-Flow
Technology
Demonstration
Technology
Demonstration
Commercial
Demonstration
Experimental
Ducted Axial-Flow
Device Name
Free Flow Turbine
Type
Axial-Flow
Unknown
Horizontal Axis
VIVACE
Oscillatory Wing
Development Status(2)
Commercial
Demonstration
Technology
Demonstration
Laboratory Testing
Unknown
Not Disclosed
Laboratory Testing
Notes:
1. This list excludes individual inventors with conceptual-level technology.
2. The following definition of development status was used:
Technology demonstration: Large engineering prototype at-sea testing whose purpose is to test for function and
performance
Commercial demonstration: Large manufacturing prototype at-sea testing whose purpose is to test for
commercial viability
Early commercial: Offering many units of large size for purposes of generating and selling the electricity
produced.
Studies of potential effects on marine life were initiated in 2008 for the MCT SeaGen project in
Strangford, UK. More recently, environmental studies have been undertaken to assess fish
interactions with Ocean Renewable Power Corporations beta TidGen turbine in Cobscook Bay.
While results of many environmental studies are proprietary, a body of literature is developing
that specifically addresses environmental impacts of tidal and other marine renewable energy
technology. A project undertaken by DOEs Pacific Northwest National Laboratory called
TETHYS seeks to compile and provide access to this developing body of knowledge. TETHYS
can be accessed online at: http://mhk.pnnl.gov/wiki/index.php/Tethys_Home.
Jacobson [15] described the challenges associated with environmental assessment of tidal and
wave energy technologies, and outlined a strategy for addressing them.
EPRI conducted desktop and laboratory flume studies of interactions between hydrokinetic
turbines and fish at Alden Research Laboratories in Holden, Massachusetts, and at the USGS
Conte Anadromous Fish Research Laboratory in Turners Falls, Massachusetts. The results of
these studies [16, 17], sponsored by industry and the DOE, are publicly available and
downloadable from EPRIs website. These studies found that the majority of fish in the
laboratory setting passed around the area swept by the turbine rotor if allowed to do so. Injury
and mortality rates were low for fish that were forced through the turbines.
9.5.5 Permits for Tidal Power Plants
The novelty of TISEC technology has to date triggered conservative evaluations and an
extensive approval process at the federal, state, and local levels. As of November 2011, there
were no FERC licenses issued for operation of tidal energy projects. Table 9-4 lists the pending
preliminary permits for tidal hydrokinetic projects; Table 9-5 lists the active, issued preliminary
permits. Many of these preliminary permits are have been reissued either because the prior
permit expired or to accommodate substantive changes in the project description. Preliminary
permits are valid for 36 months from the month of issuance. Of the permits listed in Table 9-5,
the Margate Tidal permit through the Orient Point Tidal permit were issued in 2012. Additional
information can be obtained at the FERC website: www.ferc.gov/industries/hydropower/indusact/hydrokinetics/permits.asp).
Table 9-4
Pending FERC preliminary permits for tidal current projects (as of August 2, 2012)
Docket No.
9-40
Project Name
State
Authorized
Capacity (kW)
ME
P-13345
P-14394
MA
5,000
P-14395
NY
5,000
60
Project Name
State
P-12585
CA
10,000
P-13509
AK
2,200,000
P-13605
AK
300
P-13606
AK
400
P-12690
WA
1,000
P-12687
WA
6,400
P-12679
AK
1,000
P-12704
ME
9,000
P-12665
NY
200
P-13730
NY
2,000
P-12680
ME
1,200
P-13801
ME
1,200
P-13884
ME
21,100
P-13821
AK
100,000
P-13849
NJ
3,000
P-13015
MA
4,940
P-14127
NJ
3,000
P-14224
Margate Tidal
NJ
3,504,000
P-14223
Dorchester-Maurice Tidal
NJ
1,000
P-14222
BW2 Tidal
NJ
300
P-14228
Avalon Tidal
NY
3,000
P-14232
NJ
3,000
P-14234
NJ
100
P-14330
ME
2,250
P-14331
ME
600
P-14333
NY
110
9-41
High annual current flow measured by both flow volume and velocity
9-42
Proximity to a transmission and distribution system that can transfer power from the tidal
plant to a substation interconnection point
Water depth that allows the device to be mounted on the seabed with sufficient overhead
clearance for navigation, if required
Availability of a local labor force to be trained for employment in this new industry
Installation: Includes all activities associated with the plant construction, including:
transport, underwater cable installation, mooring installation, device deployment and
commissioning. The plant is assumed to terminate on shore. No cost is included for the
interconnection of the plant with the electrical grid.
Permitting and environmental compliance: Includes all cost components required to permit a
plant. Uncertainties in this cost category are high because there is limited experience to draw
from. These costs include site baseline assessments, environmental baseline studies, and
consultant fees.
Infrastructure: All costs except for those of the devices and moorings themselves, including
underwater cables, cable landing to shore, dockside improvements, and specialized vessels
used to operate the project.
Mooring: Includes all components required to keep the device on-station. These may involve
mooring chains, anchors, piled foundations, shackles and other mooring components.
Structural: Includes the main structural components, typically built from structural steel,
concrete or fiberglass.
Power take-off: Includes all components and subsystems required to convert the primary
mechanical energy into electricity that can be fed into the electric grid. Subsystems include
items such as a generator, gearbox, hydraulic system, frequency converter, step-up
transformer, and electrical riser cable.
9-43
Operating and maintenance (O&M) costs are divided into the following cost centers. To
normalize costs from operational activities, such costs are expressed as present value, divided by
the plants operational life and rated capacity to yield a unit of dollars per kilowatt capacity per
year ($/kW-year). The following are cost centers that contribute to O&M cost estimates in this
analysis:
Insurance: Insurance costs for one-off off-shore installations are typically on the order of 2%
of capital cost. As technology matures and technology-related risks are reduced, such
insurance costs are expected to decline to a level similar to that of wind energy today.
Marine monitoring: It is expected that many early-adopter projects will require ongoing
monitoring of the plants environmental effects to satisfy regulatory agencies. This may
include measures such as active and passive acoustic monitoring, fish studies, and sediment
transport studies.
Operations: This cost center contains all expenses associated with the operation, maintenance
and repair of the plant. This category includes labor cost, fuel cost, management expenses
and facility leases.
Replacement parts: Includes the cost of all parts that require replacement of the life of a
project.
The first analysis summarized here assesses the cost and performance of a specific TISEC device
in a variety of applications and environments. That analysis is followed by another completed in
2011 for a generic wave energy conversion device located off the coast of northern California.
When possible, the cost, performance and economic assessments presented are based on actual
testing and pilot-plant data to inform and drive techno-economic models.
9.6.2.1 Assessment for Selected Tidal Power Plants in Maine and Washington
EPRI performed a point design for both a single-unit demonstration and a commercial wave
power plant for sites in five U.S. states (Alaska [5], Washington [6], California [7],
Massachusetts [20], and Maine [21]) and two Canadian provinces (New Brunswick [22] and
Nova Scotia [23]). These designs were used to estimate cost and performance. Performance
estimates were developed using tidal current data predictions obtained from NOAA. Cost
estimates were developed by creating a detailed breakdown of the various cost centers and
outlines of installation and operation procedures, and by cross checking them with a variety of
sources, including local operators, the design team, local manufacturers, and similar offshore
projects in the oil and gas and offshore wind industries.
EPRI independently estimated plant system costs based on the Marine Current Turbine SeaGen
dual 18-m diameter rotor device design for the five tidal sites in the United States and the two
tidal sites in Canada. Table 9-6 summarizes the cost estimates for both small- and large-scale
TISEC plants at two of the seven sites: Tacoma Narrows in Washington State and the Western
Passage between Maine and New Brunswick.
9-44
0.83 MW
Western
Passage ME
10 MW
Western
Passage ME
0.72 MW
Tacoma
Narrows WA
45.8 MW
Tacoma
Narrows WA
1 0.83
12 0.83
1 0.716
64 0.716
3,480
41,732
1,875
120,000
0.83
10
0.75
45.8
SeaGen
SeaGen
SeaGen
SeaGen
Seabed, m2
500
125,000
500
750,000
20
20
20
20
Note 1
Note 1
Note 1
Note 1
12
24
12
24
Dec 2009
Dec 2006
Dec 2006
Dec 2006
266
592
524
84
Subsea cables
144
23
28
20
1,576
987
1,576
729
571
558
1,018
932
1,806
345
1,042
229
1,921
655
2,223
496
Note 3
Note 3
Note 3
Note 3
Contingencies 3
Note 3
Note 3
Note 3
Note 3
6,284
2,679
6,411
2,493
535
195
544
186
6,819
2,874
6,955
2,679
Scheduling
Development time, months1
Construction time, months
Capital Cost ($/kW)
Month/Year Dollars2
341
7,160
5
144
348
3,018
7,303
5
134
2,813
N/A
4.2
N/A
3.7
95
98
95
98
Pre Coml
Pre Coml
Pre Coml
Pre Coml
Simplified
Simplified
Simplified
Simplified
Notes:
1. Development time for permitting is an unknown at this early point with emerging ocean energy technology.
2. The costs are in December 2005 dollars in References 10 through 16 and were adjusted by 2.5%% inflation to
Dec 2009.
3. Construction management, commissioning, and contingency costs are built into each of the subsystems.
4. Assumed to be 5% of TPI; cost of permitting is an unknown at this early point with emerging ocean energy
technology.
5. O&M costs for a pilot plant cannot be estimated.
9-45
These cost estimates are in December 2009 constant dollars, are based on an assumed set of
financial incentives, and do not include permitting and engineering costs. To avoid significant
environmental impacts, the energy extraction was conservatively limited to 15% of the available
energy resource.
9.6.2.2 Assessment for Typical TISEC Device Installed in Washington State
The following cost and economic assessments are based on a hypothetical installation at a
reference site and the following table shows the relevant parameters of the reference deployment
site [29]. In contrast to the assessment above, this analysis assumes generic wave power arrays of
5 MW, 20 MW, and 50 MW operating in an ocean environment with the following
characteristics:
Table 9-7 summarizes the results of the assessment, with costs for each size plant broken down
by capital expenses (CAPEX in $/kW), O&M expenses (OPEX in $/kW-year), plant
performance, and the resulting cost of electricity (cents/kWh). CAPEX includes the costs of
permitting and environment, installation, infrastructure, mooring, structural components, and
power take-off equipment. OPEX includes the costs of insurance, marine monitoring,
replacement parts, and operations.
Figure 9-18 graphically summarizes the CAPEX results for the three sizes of TISEC plants,
whereas Figure 9-19 does the same for O&M.
9-46
20 MW
50 MW
Power Take-off
$1493
$1382
$1315
Structural
$789
$657
$583
Infrastructure
$3005
$800
$344
Installation
$2966
$1108
$580
$1276
$349
$140
$9528
$4295
$2962
Operations
$94
$48
$24
Replacement Parts
$19
$19
$19
Marine Monitoring
$197
$49
$20
Insurance
$161
$69
$38
$470
$185
$100
4.9%
4.3%
3.4%
Capacity Factor
30%
30%
30%
Availability
95%
95%
95%
CAPEX Contribution
40
18
12
O&M Contribution
24
64
28
18
CAPEX ($/kW)
TOTAL
O&M ($/kW-year)
TOTAL
O&M Percent of CAPEX
Performance
TOTAL
9-47
$12,000
$10,000
CAPEX($/kW)
$8,000
Permitting&Environment
Installation
$6,000
Infrastructure
Structural
$4,000
PowerTakeOff
$2,000
$0
5MW
20MW
50MW
Figure 9-18
Capital cost breakdown for a typical tidal power technology
$500
$450
O&M($/kWyear)
$400
$350
$300
Insurance
$250
MarineMonitoring
$200
ReplacementParts
$150
Operations
$100
$50
$0
5MW
20MW
50MW
Figure 9-19
Operational cost breakdown for a typical tidal power technology
Tidal current velocity and corresponding power density are highly localized and can vary
significantly over a few hundred meters. To illustrate the sensitivity of a plants levelized cost of
electricity (LCOE) to the power density at the site, the velocity distribution during the
performance assessment was simply scaled to evaluate the technologys sensitivity to the
resource strength (Figure 9-20). This assessment does not consider regional differences in
diurnal inequalities and other site-specific resource differences, but can serve as an indicator to
evaluate the sensitivity of LCOE to resource strength.
9-48
CostofElectricity(cents/kWh)
25
20
15
10
5
0
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
PowerDensity(kW/m^2)
Figure 9-20
Cost of electricity as a function of power density
9-49
Lab/Idea
Prototype
Volume
Production
Commercial
Cost
Stage of Development
Figure 9-21
Cost projection as a function of development status
Table 9-8 describes the economic results for the five U.S. feasibility evaluation sites. These
cost and COE estimates were escalated from 2005 to December 2009, assuming an escalation
rate of 2.5%/year. The LCOE is in 2009 constant dollars and is based on an assumed set of
financial incentives. The capital cost estimate includes a 5% allowance for due diligence and
permitting costs and excludes engineering costs. In two cases, California and Maine, the 15%
extraction limit could not be reached because of the relatively small high-current area limiting
the number of existing technology turbines which could be deployed.
Table 9-8
Cost estimates for selected U.S. feasibility evaluation sites (Dec 2009$)
AK
Knik Arm
WA
Tacoma
Narrows
CA
Golden
Gate
MA
Muskeget
Channel
ME
Western
Passage
50
46
44
10
14.6
13
16.5
1.6
4.6
Number of Turbines
66
64
40
12
122
114
100
19
27
4.5
4.2
4.0
0.6
1.1
128
120
129
1.5
41.7
10.2
10.0
7.3
9.5
6.2
7.8
7.9
5.4
6.6
4.6
9-50
TISEC technology has similarities with wind technology and has benefited from learning
experiences and cost reductions that have occurred in that industry. Additional reductions from
the TISEC cost shown in the table above will be realized through value engineering and
economies of scale.
9-51
Although there have been few environmental studies of these new concepts, a preliminary
indication of the importance of each of these issues can be gained from published literature related
to other technologies, e.g., noises generated by similar marine construction activities, EMF
emissions from existing submarine cables, and environmental monitoring of active offshore wind
farms. Experience with other, similar activities in freshwater and marine systems will also provide
clues to effective impact minimization and mitigation measures that can be applied to these new
renewable energy technologies. However, some aspects of the environmental impacts are unique to
the technologies, and will require operational monitoring to determine the seriousness of the
effects. This is particularly true for the cumulative effects of large numbers of ocean energy or
hydrokinetic devices that will comprise fully built-out projects. Impacts to bottom habitats,
hydrographic conditions, or animal movements that are inconsequential for a few units may
become serious if large, multi-unit projects exploit large areas in a river, estuary, or nearshore
ocean. For some environmental issues it will be difficult to extrapolate predicted effects from small
to large numbers of units because of complicated, non-linear interactions between the placement of
the machines and the distribution and movements of aquatic organisms. Assessment of these
cumulative effects will require careful environmental monitoring as the projects are deployed.
Evaluation of monitoring results might be usefully conducted in an adaptive management
framework. There are numerous state and federal agencies and environmental laws and regulations
that will influence the development of marine and hydrokinetic technologies. Federal licensing of
these renewable energy projects is the responsibility of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
and the Minerals Management Service. Their licensing decisions will include input from other
federal and state agencies, tribes, environmental groups, and other stakeholders. After a licensing
decision has been made and operation of the energy project has begun, the identification (and
correction) of environmental impacts will depend on appropriate monitoring.
The ability to modify the project in order to mitigate unacceptable environmental impacts identified
by operational monitoring might be based on application of adaptive management principles
reflected in the project license conditions. In the context of marine and hydrokinetic energy
technologies, adaptive management is a systematic process by which the potential environmental
impacts of installation and operation could be evaluated against quantified environmental
performance goals during project monitoring. Early information about undesirable outcomes could
lead to the implementation of additional minimization or mitigation actions which are subsequently
re-evaluated. An adaptive management process is particularly valuable in the early stages of
technology development, when many of the potential environmental effects are unknown for
individual units, let alone the eventual build out of large numbers of units. Basing the
environmental monitoring programs on adaptive management principles, as advocated by many
resource and regulatory agencies, will take advantage of ongoing research and monitoring to help
refine technology designs and to improve environmental acceptability of future installations.
The second major report [24], sponsored by DOE, sought to develop a framework for identifying
key environmental concerns associated with marine renewable energy projects, including TISEC
projects. The third report [26] focused on environmental effects of tidal energy development. All
three of these reports constitute scoping documents that identify the range of issues potentially
faced by the industry as a whole and by developers of individual projects. Much work remains to
be done to narrow the scope of the data-gathering requirements placed on project developers
[15].
9-52
Capacity (MW)
Project Name-Site
2012
2013
2014
2015
Verdant
0.110
ORPC
0.150
Snohomish PUD
ORPC
U.S. Navy
0.1
TOTAL NEW
YEARLY CAPACITY
0.260
4.1
5.5
0.5
4.6
5.6
11.1
CUMULATIVE
In general, EPRI expects that tidal energy will experience a growth rate that is constrained by
regulatory barriers and funding. EPRI estimates that there could be 500 MW of tidal energy plant
capacity by 2025. If Alaska is able to harness its tidal energy resource in this time period, this
estimate would be much larger (Alaska is believed to have more than 90% of the total U.S. tidal
energy resource). If small (tens of kilowatts) hydrokinetic turbines rated at lower speeds (less
than 2 m/s) become economical, the number and distribution of viable sites could increase.
3. Acoustics
a. Effects of MHK noise in riverine environments
b. Noise measurement and net-pen studies of select species
4. Toxicity
a. Effects of antifouling coatings on aquatic organisms
5. Benthic Habitat Alteration
a. Development of measurement methodology to evaluate effects of MHK devices
on benthic habitats
6. Data Aggregation and Risk Modeling
a. Development of a publicly available information database for MHK
environmental research
These national laboratories include the following:
In addition to the research being conducted by the DOE national laboratories, the department has
also funded the development of National Marine Renewable Energy Centers. As of 2012 the
department has helped establish three National Marine Renewable Energy Centers: Northwest
National Marine Renewable Energy Center (NNMREC), Hawaii National Marine Renewable
Energy Center (HINMREC), and Southeast National Marine Renewable Energy Center
(SNMREC).
The Northwest National Marine Renewable Energy Center is a DOE-funded partnership between
Oregon State University and the University of Washington. Oregon State University is
responsible for wave energy R&D, whereas the University of Washington is responsible for tidal
energy R&D. The Hawaii National Marine Renewable Energy Center is a partnership between
the DOE and the University of Hawaii, and focuses on wave energy R&D and Ocean Thermal
Energy Conversion (OTEC) R&D. The Southeast National Marine Renewable Energy Center is
a partnership between the DOE and Florida Atlantic University, and focuses on OTEC R&D and
ocean current energy R&D.
9-54
9.10 Conclusion
Considerable potential exists for generating electrical power from tidal energy in the United
States and many other places in the world. However, most of the U.S. tidal energy potential
exists in the state of Alaska, where the demand is low and where there is no transmission
infrastructure to bring the energy into the lower 48 states. There are only a few excellent tidal
sites in the lower 48 states. Those known to EPRI are the following:
Golden Gate, California: Excellent tidal resource (both volume and power density), adjacent
to a large load center with grid infrastructure, a nearby port, and high electricity prices.
Puget Sound, Washington: Excellent tidal energy resource (both volume and power density)
at a few sites, adjacent to a large load center with grid infrastructure, nearby port, but low
electricity prices.
Western Passage, Maine: Excellent tidal energy resource (both volume and power density),
adjacent to transmission infrastructure for delivering the power to large load centers, nearby
port, and high electricity prices.
Verdant Power believes that the East River in New York is a good tidal site, as do other firms. It
remains to be seen how FERC will treat multiple licenses on a single river, given that the
projects may have impacts on each other.
9.12 References
1. Methodology for Estimating Tidal Current Energy Resources and Power Production by Tidal
In-Stream Energy Conversion (TISEC) Devices. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2006. EPRI-TP-001NA (Revision 3).
2. Maine Tidal In-Stream Energy Conversion (TISEC): Survey and Characterization of
Potential Project Sites. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2006. EPRI-TP-003 ME Rev 1.
3. Massachusetts Tidal In-Stream Energy Conversion (TISEC): Survey and Characterization of
Potential Project Sites. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2006. EPRI-TP-003-MA (Revision 1).
4. Nova Scotia Tidal In-Stream Energy Conversion (TISEC): Survey and Characterization of
Potential Project Sites. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2006. EPRI-TP-003-NS (Revision 2).
5. System Level Design, Performance, Cost and Economic AssessmentKnik Arm Alaska Tidal
In-Stream Power Plant. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2006. EPRI-TP-006-AK.
6. System Level Design, Performance, Cost and Economic AssessmentTacoma Narrows
Washington Tidal In-Stream Power Plant. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2006. EPRI-TP-006-WA.
7. System Level Design, Performance, Cost and Economic AssessmentSan Francisco Tidal
In-Stream Power Plant. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2006. EPRI-TP-006-SF-CA.
9-55
8. Tidal In-Stream Energy Resource Assessment for Southeast Alaska. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA:
2006. EPRI-TP-003-AK.
9. Bryden, I. and S.J. Couch. 2006. ME1marine energy extraction: tidal resource analysis.
Renewable Energy 31(2): 133-139.
10. Black and Veatch. 2004. UK, Europe, and Global Tidal Energy Resource Assessment. The
Carbon Trust, London. Marine Energy Challenge Report No. 107799/D/2100/05/1.
11. Bryden, I.G. and S.J. Couch. 2007. How much energy can be extracted from moving water
with a free surface: a question of importance in the field of tidal current energy? Journal of
Renewable Energy 32(11): 1961-1966.
12. Polagye, B. 2009. Hydrodynamic Effects of Kinetic Power Extraction by In-Stream Tidal
Turbines. Doctoral dissertation. University of Washington, Seattle, WA.
13. Polagye, B., P.C. Malte, M. Kawase, and D. Durran. 2008. Effect of large-scale kinetic
power extraction on time-dependent estuaries. Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical
Engineers, Part A: Journal of Power and Energy 222(5): 471484.
14. Survey and Characterization. Tidal In Stream Energy Conversion (TISEC) Devices. EPRI,
Palo Alto, CA: 2005. EPRI-TP-004-NA.
15. Jacobson, P.T. 2011. Challenges and opportunities in tidal and wave power. In: K.R. Rao
(ed.). Energy and Power Generation Handbook. American Society of Mechanical Engineers,
New York.
16. Fish Passage Through Turbines: Application of Conventional Hydropower Data to
Hydrokinetic Technologies. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2011. 1024638.
17. Evaluation of Fish Injury and Mortality Associated with Hydrokinetic Turbines. EPRI, Palo
Alto, CA: 2011. 1024569.
18. Instream Tidal Power in North America: Environmental and Permitting Issues. Prepared by
Devine Tarbell & Associates, Inc., EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2006. EPRI-TP-007-NA.
19. New Brunswick Tidal In-Stream Energy Conversion (TISEC): Survey and Characterization
of Potential Project Sites. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2006. EPRI-TP-003-NB (Revision 1).
20. System Level Design, Performance, Cost and Economic AssessmentMassachusetts
Muskeget Channel Tidal In-Stream Power Plant. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2006. EPRI-TP-006MA. June 10, 2006.
21. System Level Design, Performance, Cost and Economic AssessmentMaine Western
Passage Tidal In-Stream Power Plant. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2006. EPRI-TP-006-ME.
22. System Level Design, Performance, Cost and Economic AssessmentNew Brunswick Head
Harbour Passage Tidal In-Stream Power Plant. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2006. EPRI-TP-006NB..
23. System Level Design, Performance, Cost and Economic AssessmentMinas Passage Nova
Scotia Tidal In-Stream Power Plant. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2006. EPRI-TP-006-NS.
9-56
24. Kramer, S., M. Previsic, P. Nelson, and S. Woo. 2010. Deployment Effects of Marine
Renewable Energy Technologies: Framework for Identifying Key Environmental Concerns in
Marine Renewable Energy Projects. Prepared by RE Vision Consulting, LLC for DOE. RE
Vision DE-003.
25. USDOE (U.S. Department of Energy). 2009. Report to Congress on the Potential
Environmental Effects of Marine and Hydrokinetic Energy Technologies. Energy Efficiency
and Renewable Energy, Wind and Hydropower Technologies Program, Washington, DC.
December 2009.
26. Polagye, B., B. Van Cleve, A.E. Copping, and K. Kirkendall. 2011. Environmental Effects of
Tidal Energy Development. Seattle, WA.
27. Prioritized Research, Development, Deployment and Demonstration (RDD&D) Needs:
Marine and Other Hydrokinetic Renewable Energy. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2008. 1014762.
28. UKERC (UK Energy Research Centre). 2008. UKERC Marine (Wave and Tidal Current)
Renewable Energy Technology Roadmap. Summary Report.
29. Previsic, M., Cost Profiles of Marine Hydrokinetic (MHK) Technologies, September 2011.
9-57
10
10.1 Introduction
Ocean waves are generated by the influence of wind on the ocean surface (Figure 10-1). Ripples
on the surface create a steep slope against which the wind can push and cause waves to grow. As
the wind continues to blow, the ripples become chop, fully developed seas and, finally, swells. In
deep water, the energy in waves can travel for thousands of miles until their energy is dissipated
on distant shores.
Individual waves represent an integration of all winds encountered as they travel over the ocean
surface. Sea states (comprising wave height, period, phase and direction) can be accurately
predicted more than 48 hours in advance. This predictability, along with the relatively small shortterm variability of the available resource, will allow time for grid operators to dispatch other
generation resources to balance demand with supply. This is a major advantage over wind and solar
generation. Other characteristics of wave energy that make it especially attractive for electricity
generation are its high power density (kW/meter of wave crest length) and the potential for being
relatively environmentally benign if properly sited, sized, deployed, operated and maintained. See
Table 10-1 for an overview of ocean wave energy.
Table 10-1
Ocean wave energy overview
Installed Offshore
Wave Capacity
(as of November
2011)
Wave Energy
Conversion (WEC)
Technology
Readiness
10-1
Environmental Impact
10-2
Numerous wave power plant projects have been permitted in Europe and
Australia.
On August 13, 2012 FERC granted Ocean Power Technology a commercial
license for the full build-out of the 1.5 MW, grid-connected wave power
station. This is the first commercial license issued for a wave power project
in the U.S. The license provides approval for the deployment of up to ten
grid-connected OPT devices for 35-years. OPT is working through the
permitting and licensing process to expand this site to 50 MW capacity. This
expansion project is called Phase III, and received a preliminary permit on
March 15, 2011 (P-13666).
The time, cost and complexity of the U.S. regulatory process can be difficult
for wave power project developers.
The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) has primary
jurisdiction for licensing ocean wave energy under the Federal Power Act
(FPA), both in state waters and on the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) ,
which lies 3 to 200 nautical miles off shore except in the Gulf of Mexico,
where it is 12 to 200 nautical miles..
FERC has developed a six-month license application process for pilot
demonstration plants.
The 2005 Energy Bill gave the Mineral Management Service (MMS) (now
BOEM) jurisdiction to lease lands on the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS 3
to 200 nautical miles offshore, except for the Gulf of Mexico, where it is 12
to 200 nautical miles).
FERC will no longer issue preliminary permits for wave plants on the OCS
but will continue to do so for wave plants in state waters.
BOEM lease rules for alternative energy on the OCS were issued in April
2009. There currently are no leases for wave plants on the OCS nor are
there any applications for leases for wave plants on the OCS.
On July 29, 2012 the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM)
(formerly BOEMRE) and the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
(FERC) announced revised guidelines for MHK developers pursuing
permitting and licensing on the OCS. The revisions further clarify the
regulatory process and help streamline the process for authorizing research
and testing of MHK devices.
10-3
Trends to Watch
Economical power from ocean waves requires the very best engineering
skills. In addition, resolution of sea space conflicts will require
communication outreach and skillful negotiation.
Demonstration projects and early commercialization projects, including
multi-megawatt wave farms, are expected to be deployed over the next
decade in Europe, South America, and Australia (and the United States if
regulatory obstacles are overcome).
Final reports for DOE Reference Models are expected by September 30,
2013.
Ocean waves are composed of orbiting particles of water, as illustrated in Figure 10-2. At the sea
surface, the diameter of water particle orbits is equal to wave height. Orbital motion decays
exponentially with depth, and its amplitude is only 4% of its surface value at half a wavelength
below the surface. The wave orbital motions are not significantly affected by the bottom in water
deeper than half a wavelength. The vector field of particle motion is illustrated in Figure 10-3.
Figure 10-1
Wind blowing over fetch of water,
producing waves
10-4
Figure 10-2
Particle motion in different water depths
Figure 10-3
Vector field for particle motion in waves [1]
In deep water, wavelength is directly proportional to wave period squared. Therefore, the
wavelength of a 10-second wave is four times longer than that of a 5-second wave, and it will
begin to interact with the seabed in water that is four times as deep. Since the rate at which a
wave travels (its phase velocity) is equal to wavelength divided by period, a 10-second period
wave travels twice as fast as a 5-second wave. The combined potential and kinetic energy of the
waves travels at the velocity of the wave group, which in deep water is equal to half the phase
velocity.
Wave-power linear density (kilowatts per meter [kW/m] of wave crest width) is defined as the
flux of energy across a vertical plane intersecting the sea surface and extending to the depth of
no subsurface orbital motion (which is half the wavelength of the longest harmonic component).
For a 16-second wave, this depth is 200 m, which is the approximate depth of the continental
shelf edge.
The power of ocean waves is expressed in kilowatts per meter of wave crest front. Figure 10-4
depicts the power flux as the energy that crosses through a vertical plane 1 meter in width.
Annual averages range from 10 kW/m to 100 kW/m, depending on site location.
Figure 10-4
Wave power flux
10-5
Facilitating the deployment of prototypes, and collecting data on the energy conversion
performance and environmental impacts of the devices
Determining the available, extractable, and cost-effective resources in the United States
Minimizing the cost, time, and negative impacts associated with siting projects
10-6
Engineering design, baseline environmental studies, and license construction and operation
applications to help Pacific Gas and Electric (PG&E), the largest investor-owned utility in
California, develop a hub to deploy wave energy converters and connect them to the grid
In addition, DOE selected and funded two National Marine Renewable Energy Centers: one at
the University of Hawaii, and a second run jointly by Oregon State University and the University
of Washington. Further, the DOE funded a market acceleration program, consisting of
nationwide wave and tidal hydrokinetic resource assessments, and a collaborative project to
address navigation and environmental issues as well as clarify the permitting process. EPRI was
selected by the DOE to conduct the national wave energy resource assessment. EPRI completed
the national wave energy resource assessment in late 2011. A report of the assessment [2] is
publicly available for download from EPRIs website. Related maps and data can be accessed at
the National Renewable Energy Laboratorys (NRELs) online Renewable Energy Atlas.
On August 3, 2010 the U.S. DOE announced the creation of the Southeast National renewable
Energy Center (SNMREC) at Florida Atlantic University. As the third National Marine
Renewable Energy Center, SNMREC will focus on ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC)
and ocean current energy R&D.
Two FY09 solicitations were issued by the Wind and Water Power Program of the DOE in April
2009: (1) a Funding Opportunity Announcement (FOA) directed at industry partners and
industry-led teams; and (2) a Program Announcement (PA) directed at DOE national laboratories
to address technical challenges in water power development as well as market acceptance
barriers. The industry FOA consisted of six parts:
1. Marine and Hydrokinetic Energy Conversion Device or Component Design and
Development
2. Marine and Hydrokinetic Site-specific Environmental Studies/Information
3. Advanced Water Power Market Acceleration Projects/Analysis and Assessments
4. Hydropower Grid Services
5. Environmental Mitigation Effectiveness
6. University Hydropower Research Program
10-7
An assessment of offshore ocean current energy resources along the U.S. coastline, excluding
tidal currents, to determine maximum practicably extractable energy
An assessment of projected life-cycle costs for ocean thermal energy conversion in the
United States over time
An assessment of global and domestic U.S. ocean thermal energy resources to determine
maximum practicably extractable energy
An assessment of projected life-cycle costs for wave, tidal, ocean current, and in-stream
hydrokinetic power in the United States over time
An assessment of the energy resources available from installing power stations on nonpowered dams and in constructed waterways and the construction of new pumped storage
facilities in the United States to determine maximum practicably extractable energy
On September 9, 2010, DOE announced the results of its FY 2010 solicitation from MHK energy
technology development projects. Substantial match with non-federal dollars is required of
grantees under the DOE funding opportunity. Wave energy proposals selected for funding
included the following:
$2.4 million grant to Ocean Power Technologies (OPT) to deploy a full-scale 150-kW
PowerBuoy system at its Reedsport Oregon site
$1.8 million grant to Northwest Energy Innovations to verify ocean wavelength performance
for a new point absorber wave energy device
$2.4 million grant to Wavebob, LLC, to develop and test an advance power take-off device
for their point absorber wave energy device
Several smaller grants for projects related to wave energy device and device component
development and monitoring
On October 26, 2010, DOE, BOEMRE, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA) announced awards of nearly $5 million for environmental research
projects to advance ocean renewable energy. Funded projects included the following:
Baysian Integration for Marine Spatial Planning and Renewable Energy Siting (Parametrix,
$499,000)
10-8
Protocols for Baseline Studies and Monitoring for Ocean Renewable Energy (Pacific Energy
Ventures, $499,000)
Technology Roadmap for Cost Effective, Spatial Resource Assessments for Offshore
Renewable Energy (University of MassachusettsMarine Renewable Energy Center,
$748,000)
Throughout 2011 and 2012, the DOE offered multiple financial opportunities to MHK industry
businesses, including special loan guarantees and grants. The main types of awards offered to
MHK developers included Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) programs and Small
Business Technology Transfer (STTR) programs. In FY 2010 the program selected 27 projects
for funding, with individual awards ranging from $160,000 to $10 million. In April 2012 the
DOE announced that there is $9 million available this year to fund approximately 50 small
businesses. Selected projects will receive 1-year awards of up to $150,000. Awardees with
successful projects will also have the opportunity to compete for follow-on funding in excess of
$1 million. These funding programs are intended to help emerging MHK technologies advance
along the sequence of DOE Technology Readiness Levels (TRLs). There are 10 TRLs, which are
organized as follows:
TRL 4
Proof of Concept
TRL 5/6
TRL 7/8
TRL 9
Array Testing
TRL 10
Commercialization
Currently, the DOE is funding a large multi-organizational project to develop MHK reference
models. The project began in May 2010 and, according to a DOE presentation, the goal of the
project is to develop a representative set of Reference Models (RM) for the MHK industry to
develop baseline costs of energy (COE) and evaluate key cost component/system reduction
pathways. The presentation notes that there is a, need [to identify] COE targets with regard to
technology type and future innovation opportunities to prioritize research and cost reduction
pathways. The reference model completion date is slated for September 2013. The Point
Absorber Wave Energy Converter (WEC) report was due September 30, 2011. The Oscillating
Water Column WEC and Surge Type WEC reports are due September 30, 2012.
10-9
So far in 2012 five funding opportunity announcements (FOAs) have been issued for water
power technologies:
1. Open Funding Opportunity Announcement
Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy (ARPA-E)
2. Hydropower Advancement Project (HAP)Standard Assessments to Increase Generation
and Value
U.S. Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy
3. In-Water Wave Energy Conversion (WEC) Device Testing Support
U.S. Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Water Power
Program
4. FY12 SBIR/STTR Funding Opportunity Announcement
Small Business Funding Opportunity Announcement (FOA)
5. DE-FOA-0000747: RFIImproving Marine and Hydrokinetic and Offshore Wind Energy
Resource Data
U.S. Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy
FOA #3 is particularly significant for the wave energy industry because it offers $500,000 to one
project to deploy and test a buoy (point-absorber) WEC for one year at the Navys Wave Energy
Test Site (WETS) off of Marine Corps Base Hawaii in Kaneohe Bay, Oahu. The opportunity was
announced on May 18, 2012 and the submission deadline was June 18, 2012.
10.2.1.3 Federal Regulations
On August 3, 2009, Minerals Management Service (renamed the Bureau of Ocean Energy
Management, Regulation, and Enforcement [BOEMRE]) and the Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission (FERC) issued guidance on the regulation of hydrokinetic projects on the Outer
Continental Shelf (OCS).
On July 29, 2012 the newly renamed Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) (formerly
BOEMRE) and FERC announced revised guidelines for MHK developers pursuing permitting
and licensing on the OCS. The revisions further clarify the regulatory process and help
streamline the process for authorizing research and testing of MHK devices.
10.2.2 State Highlights
10.2.2.1 Projects in Hawaii
In October 2008, the University of Hawaii (UH) was selected as one of two national sites for
development of a Marine Renewable Energy Center (MREC). The Hawaii National Marine
Renewable Energy Center (HINMREC) is managed by the Hawaii Natural Energy Institute
(HNEI) at UH and funded by DOE at approximately $1 million per year with equivalent cost
share from UH and industrial partners. The center is an international partnership between
academia, industry, local and federal government agencies, and non-government organizations
(NGOs). The objectives of the Hawaii project are to facilitate the development and
10-10
implementation of commercial wave energy systems with one or more systems deployed and
supplying power to the local grid at greater than 50% availability within five years, and to assist
the private sector to move ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC) systems beyond proof-ofconcept to pre-commercialization.
The MREC will work closely with energy developers to conduct supporting research on system
performance and survivability, grid integration and environmental impacts, including completing
necessary environmental studies and assisting industrial partners to acquire required permits.
Partners include local engineering firms familiar with the permitting process.
MREC proposes to build on current and proposed marine energy projects in Hawaii to accelerate
the establishment of up to three field test facilities for hydrokinetic systems and one for OTEC
component testing. Proposed wave energy test sites include Pauwela Point on the northeast coast
of Maui, in cooperation with Maui Electric Company and Oceanlinx; the Kaneohe Marine Corps
Base on Oahu, where Ocean Power Technologies maintains an ongoing program; and off the
Makai Research Pier located west of Makapuu Point on the eastern tip of Oahu. The latter site is
proposed for obtaining long-term data series on wave energy resources, research on corrosion
and innovative materials, and an easily accessible site for deploying and testing small wave
energy conversion devices and components. The pier is already permitted for a range of marine
research activities. The HINMREC seeks to expand the existing facilities at Kaneohe Bay to
accommodate up to four wave energy conversion devices with 300 to 500 kW capacity each.
U.S. NavyOPT Project at Kaneohe Bay. From 2009 to 2011 Ocean Power Technologies (OPT)
tested its 40 kW PowerBuoy in 30 m depth, 0.75 miles offshore at the Kaneohe Bay Marine
Corps Base on Oahu, becoming the first grid-connected wave energy device in the United States.
Project accomplishments include the following:
Subsea and utility interconnection cables deployed and onshore station installed.
PowerBuoy interface with the electrical utility power grid certified as compliant with
international standards.
Validated hydrodynamic modeling using actual measurements through wave tank and ocean
testing.
Refined and ocean-tested PowerBuoy tuning software (tunes buoy performance to changing
wave conditions).
In 2011 OPT completed testing of its 40 kW PowerBuoy. On April 26, 2012 Philip Vitale, the
Deputy Chief Technology Officer and Director of Ocean Engineering for the Naval Facilities
Engineering Command, presented a project status update at the Global Marine Renewable
Energy Conference. He presented the following project updates for the Wave Energy Test Site
(WETS):
Moorings
Oceanlinx Maui Wave Energy Project (P-13521). FERC issued a preliminary permit to
OceanLinx Hawaii, LLC, on November 25, 2009, for it wave energy project off the coast of
Maui, about 0.6 miles north of Pauwela Point. The proposed project would deploy oscillating
water column wave energy conversion technology with a combined nameplate capacity of
2.7 MW. During the first year of the project, Oceanlinx worked with Maui Electric Company
(MECO) to refine the design and routing of the undersea cable to connect the project to MECOs
grid. MECO reported a preliminary cost estimate of $11 to $15 million. This estimate
significantly exceeds the initial estimates of $5 million; consequently, the project partners are
exploring cost-saving alternatives, including deploying a smaller device (up to 1.0 MW) in
shallower water closer to shore. Commencement of environmental studies awaits selection of a
lower-cost deployment site closer to shore. On January 13, 2012 FERC canceled Oceanlinks
preliminary permit following failure to submit a notice of intent and draft license application
(DLA).
10.2.2.2 Projects in Oregon
The Oregon Innovation Council granted $4.2 million to create the non-profit Oregon Wave
Energy Trust (OWET) in 2007. It is OWETs mission to establish the state as the preeminent
developer of wave energy in the United States, with the goal of producing 500 MW of clean
powerabout 3% to 5% of the states energy demandfrom the ocean by 2025. To achieve this
mission, OWETs strategy is to maintain technology neutrality and focus its resources on
reducing the barriers hindering the emerging wave energy industrys progress toward
commercial development. OWETs activities are grouped within four major program areas:
Stakeholder education and engagement: Specific activities include (a) Coastal Community
Open Houses, (b) creating a statewide network of coastal economic and community
development advisors, (c) facilitating development of organized fishermen groups to
participate in wave energy planning, (d) showcasing at consumer events, and (e) producing a
wave energy conference.
Market development: OWET recently completed a Utility Market Initiative. This extensive
project sought to produce an effective market strategy to integrate wave energy projects into
the electric utility system and establish technical requirements to connect into the grid [3].
OWET hopes to create a utility pull and wave energy push to help meet the target
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production goals. On March 25, 2010, OWET released its Wave Energy Infrastructure
Assessment in Oregon report [4]. In July 2011, OWET published a report whose purpose was
to generate policy recommendations and market approaches to address the above-market
price of ocean energy-produced electricity [5].
In 2010 OWET also created the Oregon Wave Energy Commercialization Program (OWEC).
According to the OWET Oregon waveNEWS publication, the program is designed to
create market development activities by offering strategic business development services to
ocean industry companies and organizations. The two main elements of the program are (1)
commercialization grants and (2) commercialization acceleration support services. The
OWEC Grant Program helps the wave energy industry by bridging the gap between
traditional R&D funding sources and the availability of private investment. The following
section details recent OWEC Grant Program awards, quoted from OWETs Oregon
waveNEWS publication:
June 2012
o Neptune Wave Power was selected to receive an OWET grant for the fabrication,
deployment and monitoring of its WEC buoy at NNMRECs Newport test facility.
July 2012
o Atmocean, Inc. will undertake a full-size mini-array deployment near Coos Bay,
Oregon this summer to accelerate development of their Wave Energy/Sequestration
Technology (WEST) system. Upon completion, WEST will achieve TRL 7. OWET
funding is currently being utilized to aid in fabrication, deployment, and eventual
retrieval of the WEST system.
o Columbia Power Technologies will conduct experimental validation of recent, highimpact design modifications that offer a cost of energy decrease of well over 30%.
This project will include optimization of the new design, fabrication and wave tank
testing at Oregon State University of a 33rd scale WEC and reduced-impact mooring,
and post-processing and data analysis.
o M3 Wave Energy will enlist local industry partners to develop a submerged wave
energy device manufacturing plan with a focus on key Department of Energy TRL 4
criteria, which include a pilot project fabrication plan and a commercial-scale array
manufacturing plan.
o Northwest Energy Innovations (NWEI), in partnership with other industry leaders
from New Zealand, will verify the ocean wavelength functionality of the Wave
Energy Technology-New Zealand (WET-NZ) device through wave tank testing and
controlled open sea deployment of a 1:2 scale device. NWEI expects the WET-NZ
technology will be ready for commercial development in the United States upon
completion of this program.
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Research: OWET directs and funds environmental and applied research projects to answer
key questions about wave energy development. It has completed baseline assessment studies
on seabirds and whale migration at the proposed wave energy project sites. During 2009 and
2010, OWET supported additional research on seabirds, crab distribution, EMF, sediment
transport, and create a planning tool to model cumulative effects of wave energy projects.
OWET published a report in 2011 that makes recommendations regarding policies and
market approaches to address the above-market price of electricity produced by ocean energy
projects [5].
Douglas County Wave and Tidal Energy (P-12743). FERC issued a preliminary permit for the
Douglas County Wave and Tidal Energy Project on October 6, 2010. This project would be
located at the mouth of the Umpqua River near existing jetties. The preliminary permit
authorizes capacity up to 3 MW. The project developer considers an oscillating water column
system the most feasible for the site. As of May 11, 2012 the project continues to submit
progress reports to FERC.
Coos Bay OPT Wave Park (P-12749). On August 10, 2010, FERC issued a preliminary permit
for the Coos Bay OPT Wave Park Project. The project would be located in the Pacific Ocean
between 2.5 and 3.0 miles off the coast near Coos Bay, Oregon. The project would consist of 200
PowerBuoys having a combined, installed capacity of 100 MW, as well as an approximately 3.4mile subsea transmission cable and other facilities. As of August 16, 2012 the project continues
to submit progress reports to FERC.
Reedsport OPT Wave Park (P-12713). On February 1, 2010, OPT submitted a License
Application (LA) for the 1.5-MW Reedsport OPT Wave Park project. It is the first commercial
scale wave park on the West Coast of the United States. On July 28, 2010, OPT and several
intervenors to the FERC licensing process entered into a settlement agreement resolving issues
associated with issuance of an original license for the project, and requesting a license term of 35
years. On December 3, 2010, FERC published an environmental assessment (EA) that analyzed
the potential environmental effects of licensing the project and concluded that licensing the
project, with appropriate environmental protective measures, would not constitute a major
federal action that would significantly affect the quality of the human environment. On August
24, 2011, the Department of Energy issued a notice adopting FERCs EA and announcing a
FONSI for the single buoy project. The company had delayed plans to deploy a single
PowerBuoy until summer of 2012 and begin deployment of the additional nine PowerBuoys
sometime thereafter.
In June of 2012 OPT announced that it had successfully completed extensive factory acceptance
testing of its utility-scale PowerBuoy (PB150).85 On August 13, 2012 FERC granted OPT a
commercial license for the full build-out of the 1.5 MW, grid-connected wave power station.
This is the first commercial license issued for a wave power project in the United States. The
license provides approval for the deployment of up to 10 grid-connected OPT devices for 35
years.
85
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Reedsport OPT Wave Park, Phase III (P-13666). Ocean Power Technologies (OPT) received a
preliminary permit on March 15, 2011, for Phase III of its Reedsport commercial wave energy
park. Phase III is intended to expand the project from the initial 1.5-MW project to 50 MW,
comprising 100 500-kW PowerBuoys. The Phase III project is intended to expand the size of the
project site, potentially utilizing the transmission cable and corridor associated with the 1.5-MW
project. OPT also intends to use the results of studies conducted at the 1.5-MW project to inform
the evaluation of the License Application for the 50-MW project. As of July 31, 2012 the project
continues to submit progress reports to FERC and collaborate with various regulatory agencies
and stakeholders.
Northwest National Marine Renewable Energy Center. Oregon State University (OSU) and the
University of Washington (UW) were awarded $6.25 million by DOE to develop the Northwest
National Marine Renewable Energy Center (NNMREC). OSU plans to deploy various devices
and subsequent environmental measurement devices at a location near Newport to study new
technologies and evaluate potential environmental effects. During the summer of 2012 the DOE
prepared and released a draft environmental assessment (EA) to analyze and describe the
potential environmental impacts associated with NNMRECs Newport facility. Public comments
were accepted until July 18, 2012.
NNMREC plans to develop multiple ocean test berths in two phases. Phase 1 consists of a
mobile ocean test berth (MOTB) to allow testing and analysis of WEC devices without
connecting to the electric grid. Phase 2 consists of a grid connected ocean test berth (GCOTB).
NNMREC is currently in Phase 1, with scheduled completion in late 2012. The NEPA process
has been initiated and NNMREC is moving forward with environmental reviews and permitting.
During the summer of 2012 OSU and NNMREC will test its first device, called WET-NZ, at the
Newport ocean test berth. The center will also deploy the Ocean Sentinel, a floating
instrumentation buoy developed at NNMREC. The buoy is designed for testing wave energy
converters (WECs) and provides power analysis and data acquisition, environmental monitoring,
and an active converter interface to control power dissipation to an on-board electrical load.
Currently NNMREC/OSU facilities are capable of modeling and testing small-scale WEC
prototypes at the Corvallis, Oregon campus, and a non-grid connected test berth for in-ocean
testing is available in Newport, Oregon. In recognition of the need for a facility capable of
accommodating commercial scale devices, NNMREC is working to develop the Pacific Marine
Energy Center (PMEC). PMEC will be a world class, full-scale, grid-connected ocean energy
test facility at NNMREC capable of accommodating commercial scale devices (TRL 5-9). It will
be the first full scale, grid connected test center in the United States. With funding from OWET,
NNMREC will partner with the widely successful European Marine Energy Center (EMEC) to
complete the development plan for PMEC.
10.2.2.3 Projects in California
Pacific Gas and Electric Humboldt WaveConnect Project (P-12779). On October 28, 2010,
PG&E announced that it was suspending the Humboldt WaveConnect project, citing permitting
challenges and unexpectedly high costs.
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PG&Es service territory borders 960 km of Pacific coastline, with wave power densities of 20
40kW/m, making wave power a renewable energy resource of strategic value to the utility. The
WaveConnect projects goal was to assess wave energys potential and examine the regulatory
and environmental issues associated with such a facilitys development. WaveConnect was
intended to provide the infrastructure to test small arrays of commercial wave energy conversion
devices in California, and therefore allow the emerging wave power industry and PG&E to gain
an understanding of the full life cycle of deployed technologies (Figure 10-5).
Figure 10-5
Schematic of PG&E WaveConnect system
In late 2008, DOE selected PG&E to receive a cost-sharing grant of $1.2 million. In early 2009,
PG&E received a decision of approval from the California Public Utility Commission to spend
$4.8 million of ratepayer-based funds toward the estimated design and licensing costs for the
pilot WaveConnect project.
PG&E received preliminary permits from FERC for the Humboldt site and a second potential
site in Mendocino County in early 2008. A preliminary permit for a third site near Vandenberg
Air Force Base referred to as the Central Coast site was granted in May 2010. In early May 2009,
PG&E announced that it was dropping the Mendocino County study because Port Noyo Harbor
in Fort Bragg, California, was found to be unsuitable to support a pilot wave energy project.
After considerable effort pursuing licensing, permitting, data collection, planning, and
communication with WEC manufacturers, local stakeholders, and the several public agencies
involved, PG&E suspended work on the Humboldt project in November 2010 and the Central
Coast project in May 2011. PG&E intended WaveConnect to take advantage of FERCs
expedited Pilot Project Licensing Process (PPLP). However, other permitting, regulatory,
environmental, and stakeholder engagement processes involved in siting a wave power project
largely negated any potential advantages offered by the PPLP, leading PG&E to conclude that
WaveConnect was untenable at both sites given the state of wave power technologies and the
available funding and resources.
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Green Wave Mendocino Project (P-14291) and San Luis Obispo Project (P-14292). FERC
took final action on October 26, 2010 canceling Green Wave Energy Solutions two projects off
the cities of Mendocino (P-13053), and Morro Bay (P-13052), California. These preliminary
permits were canceled for failure to file a notice of intent (NOI) to file a license application and a
pre-application document (PAD) for each project. Green Wave Energy Solutions filed new
applications for preliminary permits (100 MW each) off Mendocino and San Luis Obispo on
September 26, 2011.
On March 23, 2012 FERC rejected the preliminary permit application (P-14292) for the San Luis
Obispo Wave Park Project because Green Wave Energy Solutions failed to respond to FERCs
February 8, 2012 comments by March 9, 2012.
On July 19, 2012 FERC denied the preliminary permit application for the Green Wave
Mendocino Wave Park Project (P-14291) because it failed to demonstrate good faith and due
diligence during the term of its prior permit.
Sonoma Coast Hydrokinetic Energy Project Fort Ross (South) (P-13377). FERC issued
preliminary permits to the Sonoma County Water Agency for three projects on July 9, 2009, one of
which is still active. The project would deploy oscillating water column devices and/or buoy-type
wave energy conversion devices with a combined capacity of up to 5 MW. The preliminary permit
application noted possible future expansion of the project up to 40 to 200 MW.
On August 4, 2011 FERC canceled the preliminary permit because the project chose to suspend
further developments until funding was secured.
SWAVE Catalina Green Wave Energy Project (P-13498). FERC issued a preliminary permit
for the SWAVE project to Scientific Applications & Research Associates, Inc. (SARA) on
September 15, 2009, for an array of 10 to 40 SWAVE buoys approximately 0.75 miles off the
west coast of Santa Catalina Island. SARA voluntarily surrendered the preliminary permit for the
project on October 13, 2010, after determining that the project was not feasible at that time.
San Onofre OWEG Electricity Farm (P-13679). FERC issued JD Products, LLC, a preliminary
permit on October 29, 2010, for the proposed San Onofre OWEG Electricity Farm Project. The
project would consist of up to 11,443 Ocean Wave Electricity Generation (OWEG) units, an
experimental technology, with an estimated total installed capacity of 3,186 MW. The landbased portions of the project would be located on a site adjacent to the San Onofre Nuclear
Generating Station (SONGS). The application notes that SONGS Station 1 is inoperative, and
Stations 2 and 3 will be decommissioned by 2022. The application proposes to use the
distribution infrastructure currently associated with SONGS. The initial plan is to install only 50
of the experimental OWEG units for an estimated capacity of 8.9 MW.
On October 27, 2011 the project filed a notice of intent (NOI) and pre-application document
(PAD) with FERC. Later, it was determined that the project was unable to afford the costs
associated with conducting environmental studies prior to the construction and operation of the
proposed project. The project requested that the NOI/PAD process be put on hold until it could
obtain additional funding. On March 9, 2012 FERC terminated the integrated licensing process
for the project.
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Invergordon, Scotland: OPT deployed its PB150 PowerBuoy on April 15, 2011 for ocean
trials approximately 33 nautical miles from Invergordon, Scotland. Peak electrical power
exceeded 400 kW, indicating the PB150 could produce its rated capacity of 150 kW on
average under favorable wave conditions. The six-month trials have concluded successfully.
Reedsport, Oregon: On July 28, 2010, OPT signed a settlement agreement with 11 federal
and state agencies and three non-governmental stakeholders for its 10-buoy, 1.5-MW
commercial power project off the coast at Reedsport, Oregon. This agreement followed
submission of the Final License Application for the project on February 1, 2010. On August
13, 2012 FERC granted OPT a commercial license for the full build-out of the 1.5 MW, gridconnected wave power station. This is the first commercial license issued for a wave power
project in the U.S. The license provides approval for the deployment of up to ten gridconnected OPT devices for 35 years. OPT is working through the permitting and licensing
process to expand this site to 50 MW capacity. This expansion project is called Phase III, and
received a preliminary permit on March 15, 2011 (P-13666). As of July 31, 2012 the project
continues to submit progress reports to FERC and collaborate with various regulatory
agencies and stakeholders.
Kaneohe Bay, Hawaii: On September 27, 2010, OPT announced that it had completed the
first-ever grid connection of a wave energy device in the United States at the Marine Corps
Base Hawaii (MCBH), Kaneohe Bay, Oahu, Hawaii. The 40 kW device was deployed on
December 14, 2009 about 0.75 miles offshore in approximately 100 feet of water. By August
2011, the PB40 PowerBuoy system had completed 5.6 million cycles of operation. In 2011
OPT completed testing of its 40 kW Power Buoy. Project accomplishments include the
following:
Subsea and utility interconnection cables deployed and onshore station installed.
PowerBuoy interface with the electrical utility power grid certified as compliant with
international standards.
Validated hydrodynamic modeling using actual measurements through wave tank and
ocean testing.
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Cornwall, UK: OPT is poised to be the first customer at the South West of England Regional
Development Agencys (SWRDAs) Wave Hub project. The Wave Hub system underwent
its first full test in early November 2010.
Victoria, Australia: In July 2012 Victorian Wave Partners (owned by OPT) and Lockheed
Martin entered into an agreement to advance a 19-MW wave energy project in Victoria,
Australia. The project is one of the largest wave energy projects in the world and will utilize
a $66.5 million grant from Australias Department of Resources, Energy and Tourism.
Lockheed Martin will assist with the design of OPTs PowerBuoy technology, lead the
production and system integration of the wave energy converters, and support overall
program management. Construction will begin in 2013.
Aquamarine Power's Oyster system (Figure 10-6) was officially launched at the European
Marine Energy Centre (EMEC) in Orkney on November 20, 2009. In July 2011, Aquamarine
Power unveiled its next-generation device, the 800-kW rated capacity Oyster 800. The device
commenced operational testing at EMECs Billia Croo test site in June of 2012. During that
same month, the device produced its first electrical power to the grid. Aquamarine Power has
also been granted consent to install up to two more Oyster devices at EMEC.
The Oyster is a hydroelectric wave energy converter that consists of an oscillator fitted with
pistons and fixed to the near-shore seabed. Each passing wave activates the Oscillator, pumping
high-pressure water through a subsea pipeline to the shore. Onshore, conventional hydroelectric
generators convert this high-pressure water into electrical power. Together, the three Oyster 800
devices will form a 2.4-MW array. The Oyster has been under development by Aquamarine Power
since 2005, in partnership with the Marine Energy Research Group at Queens University, Belfast.
10-19
Figure 10-6
Aquamarine Power Oyster
Aquamarine Power received a $100,000 grant (requiring a $100,000 company match) from the
Oregon Wave Energy Trust to assess the wave energy potential along Oregons coast, but
forfeited the award, citing regulatory uncertainty surrounding Oregons ongoing Territorial Seas
Plan development. The plan was intended to be complete in 2010, but likely will not be complete
before mid-2012. Until the plan is complete, the state is precluded from offering seabed leases
for wave energy development.
In May, 2011, Aquamarine Power secured leases totaling 40 MW off Scotlands Western Isles
for deployment of its Oyster technology. The company secured $11 million in new funding in
September, 2011, following announcement of a $5.5 million loan from Barclays earlier the same
month.
Pelamis WavePower
The Pelamis wave energy converter (WEC) is rated at 750 kW with a target capacity factor of
25% to 40%. The device consists of five tube sections linked by flexible, bi-directional joints.
The power take-off system is driven by hydraulic cylinders at the joints. The company has
produced six full-scale devices to-date.
In July 2010, E.ON deployed a second-generation Pelamis WavePower device at EMEC.
Following four days of successful testing, the device was removed for inspection and prepared
for redeployment. The machine has been grid-connected since October 2010. A second device
owned by Scottish Power Renewables arrived in early November 2011, and in 2012 will operate
in tandem alongside the previously deployed device.
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In May 2011 Aegir Wave Power, a joint venture between Pelamis WavePower and Vattenfall,
was awarded an agreement for lease from the Crown Estate for a 10 MW wave farm at the
Shetland Islands, off the coast of Scotland. The project will consist of 10 to 14 Pelamis wave
machines and will begin construction in 2015.
On March 15, 2012 Vattenfall announced that it had reserved the last remaining berth at EMEC
to test a 750-kW Pelamis wave energy converter. Vattenfall plans to start testing a Pelamis
device in 2014 and, following successful tests, will purchase a single Pelamis device.
Pelamis WavePower is a partner in the Hebridean Marine Energy Futures Project in Scotland.
Through this project, Pelamis is planning to develop a 10 MW wave farm in the Bernera area off
the west coast of Lewis in the Outer Herbrides. The proposed wave farm will consist of up to 14
Pelamis wave energy devices. In October 2011 the Bernera project was successful in securing an
agreement for lease from the Crown Estate.
10.3.1.2 Wave Energy Test Centers
The UKs wave testing facilities include the New and Renewable Energy Center (NaREC), with
sub-scale prototype testing in a wave tank; the European Marine Energy Center (EMEC), with
single full-scale prototype testing in natural waters; and Wave Hub, for arrays of full-scale
prototypes tested in natural waters. Each facility is described here.
NaREC
NaREC is a leading research and development platform for new, sustainable, and renewable
energy technologies located in Blythe, England. Its range of development, testing and consulting
services work to support the evolving energy industry and transform innovative new
technologies into commercial successes. NaREC provides the emerging marine renewables
industry the support it needs to transform winning concepts into commercial successes. NaREC
services include the following:
Complete in-house prototype development facilities for wave technology, including a wave
tank
Electrical engineering consultancy and support for power conversion and drive train
development
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In operation since 2003, EMECs current wave energy clients include Aquamarine Power, E.ON,
ScottishPower Renewables, Seatricity, Vattenfall, and Wello Oy. The first developer to test its
wave energy device at EMEC was Pelamis WavePower. Between 2004 and 2007 Pelamis
WavePower its their first-generation P1 device at EMEC. The second wave energy developer to
use EMECs facilities was the Finnish company AW-Energy. In 2005 the company tested its
fully submerged WaveRoller device.
Successful testing of the Pelamis P1 device led to the development of Pelamiss second
generation P2 device, which was deployed at EMEC by the utility company E.ON in July 2010.
Another utility company, ScottishPower Renewables, deployed a Pelamis P2 device adjacent to
the E.ON device at EMEC in May 2012. A third utility company, Vattenfall, plans to deploy a
Pelamis P2 device at EMEC in 2014.
Edinburg-based Aquamarine Power is the developer of the Oyster wave energy device. To date,
Aquamarine Power has deployed and tested two full-scale Oyster devices at EMEC: the 315 kW
Oyster 1, and the 800 kW Oyster 800. The Oyster 800 was grid-connected in June 2012 and is
currently undergoing testing at EMEC. Aquamarine Power has also been granted consent to
install up to two more Oyster devices alongside the Oyster 800 device at EMEC.
The British company, Seatricity, plans to deploy its 1-MW device at EMEC during the summer
of 2012. The Seatricity concept involves multiple floats traveling up and down with the waves,
operating pumps to pressurize sea water, which is piped ashore to drive a standard hydroelectric
turbine.
The Finnish company Wello Oy successfully installed its full-scale Penguin device at EMEC on
June 30, 2012.
Figure 10-7 illustrates Ocean Power Technologies 150-kW PowerBuoy (potential future EMEC
client), Aquamarine Powers Oyster, and a second-generation P2 Pelamis WavePower device.
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Figure 10-7
EMEC testing configuration in 2011
The EMEC test site at Billia Coo in mainland Orkney provides the worlds only multi-berth,
open-sea test facility for wave energy converters. The EMEC offices and data facilities are in
Stromness. Orkney was chosen because of its natural and man-made resources. The wave test
facility site receives uninterrupted Atlantic waves of up to 15 meters. Orkney is also the most
northerly community connected to the UK national grid, has excellent harbor facilities, and a
significant professional community experienced in working with renewable energy.
On July 30, 2012 the Marine Energy Park was launched at EMEC to heighten the international
profile of the region and its reputation as a world leader in marine energy.
The UK Wave Hub
Wave Hub is a 42 million test facility for wave energy technology. In early September 2010,
Wave Hub deployed a 12-ton, grid-connected socket on the ocean floor 10 miles offshore of
Cornwall, South West England in 55 m of water. On November 2, 2010, the complete system
was connected to the grid and tested. Four 300-m tails extended from the hub, each
constituting a test berth for deploying a wave energy conversion device with a capacity up to 4 to
5 MW. The project funders are the South West Regional Development Agency (12.5 million),
the European Regional Development Convergence Fund Programme (20 million), and the UK
government (9.5 million). In April 2011 Wave Hub welcomed the first wave energy device for
testing, Fred Olsens BOLT Lifesaver wave energy converter. The device is being tested at the
Falmouth Bay test site, part of the South West Marine Energy Park.
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Irelands target installed capacity for ocean energy is 500 MW by 2020. According to the 2012
GMREC presentation by The Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland (SEAI), Ireland is
developing two open sea test sites and three options for commercial wave energy deployments
(WestWave project). The full scale Atlantic Marine Energy Test Site (AMETS) is located in
Belmullet. According to the GMREC presentation, the foreshore lease application was submitted
in December of 2011 and is currently in the public consultation phase. The substation planning
application is to be submitted by the summer of 2012. In addition to the Belmullet test site,
Ireland is also developing a -scale Wave Energy Test Site in Galway Bay.
The WestWave project is part of the Irish Governments Ocean Energy Strategy, and seeks to
become the first wave energy project in Ireland by 2015. According to the projects website
(http://www.westwave.ie) the strategy is divided into four phases: (1) prototype and R&D
development, (2) development of a wave energy test site to facilitate pre-commercial single
device demonstration, (3) development of pre-commercial array projects between 5 and 10 MW,
and (4) development of commercial array projects. Phases 1 and 2 are already under way. The
purpose of the WestWave project is to fulfill Phase 3 by 2015. Phase 4 seeks to have commercial
array projects being developed toward 2020 and beyond. Currently, three locations are being
considered for the WestWave commercial deployments: Belmullet, Achill, and Clare. The
project consortium includes four of the leading wave energy developers: Wavebob, Ocean
Energy, Aquamarine Power, and Pelamis.
10.3.2 Portugal and Spain
Portugal and Spain are currently involved in a variety of research projects and multi-national
collaboration programs aimed at advancing the status of the MHK energy industry. The
following information presents a brief overview of these activities.
10.3.2.1 Developments in Portugal
Portugals Wave Energy Centre (WavEC) is a non-profit organization, founded in 2003, and
dedicated to the development of ocean wave energy and other offshore renewables. WavEC is
currently funding a large variety of projects to advance the status of the ocean energy industry.
The following information presents a brief overview of select projects.
The Pico Power Plant is a 400 kW wave energy demonstration power plant on Pico Island in the
Azores. The plant has been in operation since 2008 and utilizes oscillating water column (OWC)
technology to generate electricity.
The WaveRoller prototype of a bottom-mounted flat-plate oscillating device developed by the
Finnish company AW-Energy was deployed in April 2007 at Peniche, Portugal, 100 km north of
Lisbon. In 2008, AW-Energy announced plans to construct a 1-MW plant. The company now
has all the necessary permits to install the project and connect it to the grid. The company
expected to ship the first 3 100-kW WaveRoller by the end of December 2011, followed by
deployment in Peniche as soon as the weather allowed.
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Figure 10-8
Wave Star 1:10 machine with buoys raised
Figure 10-9
Wave Star 1:2 machine with buoys raised
Floating Power Plant A/S has constructed a 37-m model for a full off-shore test at Vindeby
offshore wind turbine park, located off the coast of Lolland in Denmark (Figure 10-10). The test
system, named Poseidon 37, is 37 meters wide, 25 meters long, 6 meters high (to deck), and
weighs approximately 300 tons. It is a combined wind-wave energy converter. The test plant was
launched in Nakskov Harbour in May 2008, and towed to the test site and installed in August
2008. On June 14, 2010, Poseidon was redeployed at a test site in Onsevig, Denmark, to begin
Test Phase 2. The platform has demonstrated its stability even when the wind turbines are
operating at peak efficiency. The Poseidon 37 was brought ashore on October 24, 2011, for
repair and refitting with a new power take-off system and a more advanced system for
conditioning monitoring.
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Figure 10-10
Floating power plant AS Poseidon
Figure 10-11
Seabased AB linear generator
In March, 2011, Wave Dragon announced it had started development of a 1.5-MW North Sea
demonstration of its Wave Dragon device. The company plans to deploy the device offshore of
Hanstholm at the DanWEC test center in Denmark. A 1:4.5 scale prototype of a larger device
was launched in 2003 and was the worlds first offshore grid-connected wave energy conversion
device. It was deployed off the cost of Denmark at Nissum Bredning, and as of August 2009 had
accumulated over 20,000 hours of experience supplying electricity to the grid.
10.3.4 Australia, New Zealand, and Tasmania
Australia, New Zealand, and Tasmania are also pursuing wave energy projects. Companies
involved in developing wave energy in Oceana include BioPower Systems Pty, Oceanlinx, and a
partnership among Industrial Research Limited, the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric
Research (NIWA), and energy industry consultants Power Projects Limited.
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Figure 10-12
BioPower BioWave
Figure 10-13
Oceanlinx oscillating water column
Port Kembla (New South Wales, Australia): Oceanlinx deployed its third-generation, 1:3
scale model, pre-commercial device, known as the Mk3PC, on February 26, 2010, and
connected it to the grid on March 19. On May 14, 2010, the device broke free of its mooring.
Otherwise, the Mk3PC performed as designed, thereby validating the design for Oceanlinxs
full-scale 2.5-MW commercial device.
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Oceanlinx is planning to deploy the worlds first 1-MW wave energy converter,
greenWAVE, in Port MacDonnell, South Australia. The device utilizes oscillating water
column (OWC) technology. On July 4, 2012 the Australian government awarded
approximately $4 million to Oceanlinx for their project. The funding includes one year of
operating costs after grid connection.
Hawaii: A memorandum of understanding was signed with Maui Electric Co. (MECO) in
Hawaii for up to 2.7 MW. On November 9, 2011, FERC notified Oceanlinx of probable
cancellation of the preliminary permit issued on November 25, 2009, for failure to file the
required notice of intent and draft license application within two years of preliminary permit
issuance.
10.3.4.3 Aotearoa Wave and Tidal Energy Association (AWATEA) of New Zealand
According to the 2012 GMREC presentation by AWATEA, there are several active ocean energy
projects underway in New Zealand, including Crest Energy, Wave Energy Technology-New
Zealand (WET-NZ), Chatham Islands Marine Energy (CHIME), Neptune Power, Tangaroa
Energy, and Energy Pacifica. The following information presents a brief update of select
projects:
WET-NZ: The WET-NZ project is an R&D project to develop a wave energy converter
(WEC). After multiple device design concepts, the third device (20 kW) was deployed for
three months and is currently undergoing refurbishment. WET-NZ and Northwest Energy
Innovations (NWEI) were recently awarded $2 million to further testing of the WET-NZ
device at Oregon State Universitys Wave Energy Test Project beginning in the summer of
2012.
Chatham Islands: The Chatham Islands project plans to deploy a Wavegen LIMPET device
on the main Chatham Island, totaling 220 kW. In July 2010 the project received $2.16
million in funding. Currently the project is facing delays due to issues over ownership of the
islands electricity system.
10-28
Outer Shelf
Inner Shelf
194
79
Pacific Ocean
1,356
724
Total Alaska
1,550
803
Bering Sea
Table 10-3
West Coast available wave energy resources (TWh per year)
State
Outer Shelf
Inner Shelf
Washington
116
72
Oregon
179
143
Northern California
65
45
Central California
185
148
Southern California
43
12
587
419
California
Table 10-4
Hawaii available wave energy resources by major island (TWh per year)
Hawaii
Total Hawaii
Outer Shelf
Inner Shelf
Kauai
21
19
Oahu
22
14
Molokai
22
16
Maui
16
17
Hawaii
35
33
130
110
10-29
Outer Shelf
Inner Shelf
Maine
19
13
New Hampshire
n/a
Massachusetts
45
36
Rhode Island
New York
16
12
New Jersey
14
Delaware
Maryland
Virginia
North Carolina
57
30
South Carolina
24
12
Georgia
Florida
41
36
237
172
Table 10-6
Gulf of Mexico available wave energy resources by state (TWh per year)
State
Outer Shelf
Inner Shelf
Florida
23
15
Alabama
Mississippi
n/a
Louisiana
29
19
Texas
27
23
83
60
The percent of the total available wave energy that is technically recoverable was estimated for
three assumed array capacity densities, and assuming a 100-fold difference in wave power
density between the threshold operating condition and the maximum operating condition. The
three assumed capacity densities were 10 MW/km and 15 MW/km, which bracket the current
state of technology, and 20 MW/km, which represents an achievable improvement. Percent
recoverable wave energy in Tables 10-7 through 10-9 should be multiplied by the corresponding
values in Tables 10-2 through 10-6 to obtain estimates of technically recoverable wave energy in
units of TWh per year.
10-30
Inner Shelf
Recoverable
Resource
TOC
(MW/km)
MOC
(MW/km)
West Coast
(WA, OR, CA)
31%
37%
300
East Coast
(ME through NC)
57%
70%
200
East Coast
(SC through FL)
67%
78%
100
Gulf of Mexico
68%
71%
100
Alaska
(Pacific Ocean)
29%
46%
300
Alaska
(Bering Sea)
40%
50%
300
Hawaii
54%
56%
200
Coastal Region at
10 MW/km Packing Density
Table 10-8
Percent technically recoverable wave energy by region for capacity packing density of
15 MW/km under assumptions described in text
Outer Shelf
Recoverable
Resource
Inner Shelf
Recoverable
Resource
TOC
(MW/km)
MOC
(MW/km)
West Coast
(WA, OR, CA)
42%
48%
300
East Coast
(ME through NC)
65%
81%
200
East Coast
(SC through FL)
76%
87%
100
Gulf of Mexico
77%
79%
100
Alaska
(Pacific Ocean)
39%
52%
300
Alaska
(Bering Sea)
49%
59%
300
Hawaii
64%
56%
200
Coastal Region at
15 MW/km Packing Density
10-31
Inner Shelf
Recoverable
Resource
TOC
(MW/km)
MOC
(MW/km)
West Coast
(WA, OR, CA)
50%
55%
300
East Coast
(ME through NC)
73%
88%
200
East Coast
(SC through FL)
82%
93%
100
Gulf of Mexico
84%
85%
100
Alaska
(Pacific Ocean)
46%
59%
300
Alaska
(Bering Sea)
56%
65%
300
Hawaii
72%
73%
200
Coastal Region at
20 MW/km Packing Density
Additional results and methodology of the resource assessment are available in an EPRI report
[2]. Results are also displayed via Geographic Information System (GIS) as part of the NRELs
Renewable Energy Atlas, which includes wave power densities for specific coordinates along
with user-selectable annual and monthly statistical products. The database also includes the
probability distributions of sea state parameters, which developers need to predict the annual and
monthly energy yield of their devices and projects. The wave power density, significant wave
height (Hmo), energy wave period (Te), the directions of the primary wind-wave and primary and
secondary swell waves, and bathymetry (iso-baths) are displayed on a GIS map from a depth of
50 meters out to either 200 meters depth or 50 nautical miles from shore (whichever is closer to
the shoreline). The GIS map includes the entire coastline of the United States, including Alaska,
Hawaii, and Puerto Rico.
The influence of the ocean floor reduces wave power levels in shallow waters (<50 m).
Submerged features such as canyons can also focus energy, leading to hot spots in close
proximity to shore. A number of shallow-water wave transformation models take into account
the bathymetry to calculate near-shore wave data. High-resolution bathymetry is required. The
input boundary condition for these shallow water models is the output from the NOAA
WAVEWATCH III model at the edge of the OCS. Experience with shore-based devices shows a
need for extensive modeling in such locations.
10-32
Figure 10-14
West Coast reference stations
Figure 10-15
Hawaii reference stations
(Point Makapuu is CDIP 0098)
Figure 10-16
NOAA Wave Watch III global coverage
All regional models obtain hourly boundary data from the global model. All models are run on
the 0000 GMT, 0600 GMT, 1200 GMT and 1800 GMT model cycles, and start with a 6-hour
hindcast to ensure continuity of swell. The models provide 126-hour forecasts, with the
exception of the North Atlantic Hurricane model, which provides a 72-hour forecast.
Graphical products are maps and spectra; binary and text products are gridded binary (GRIB)
files, spectral data, and spectral bulletins. Detailed parameter definitions can be found in the
NOAA WAVEWATCH III Users Manual [7].
10.4.3 Wave Power Forecasting
Reliable electric power system operation requires precise balancing of supply and demand. Grid
operators manage supply-demand balance on a minute-to-minute basis considering load forecasts
and using current resources, rules, and procedures. Accurate wave power forecasts will help
system operators meet the challenge of integrating wave-generated power with the electric grid.
10-34
In 2007, EPRI investigated the accuracy of forecasting wave power as a function of forecasting
time horizon [8]. In the original wave energy study co-funded by the Bonneville Power
Administration (BPA), WAVEWATCH III forecasts were available only at NDBC buoy
locations in very deep water 100 nautical miles or more from the coastline. The EPRI Project
Team accomplished the forecast accuracy study in two steps:
1. Virginia Tech compared the WAVEWATCH III forecast accuracy with far offshore buoys.
2. SAIC correlated time-lagged data from the far offshore buoys to a few buoys at about 50 m
depth, the depth currently favored for offshore wave power plants.
NOAA WAVEWATCH III now forecasts wave sea states shoreward to the 50-m depth contour.
EPRI conducted a study for Pacific Energy Ventures and Oregon Wave Energy Trust in 2009
making a one-to-one comparison of WAVEWATCH III forecasts with co-located measurements
at a NDBC buoy on the 50-m depth contour [9]. Time-lagged correlations between far offshore
and 50-m depth buoys are no longer required.
Oscillating water column (OWC): At the shoreline, this could be a cave with a
blow-hole and an air turbine/generator in the blow hole. Near shore or offshore, an OWC
device is a partially submerged chamber with air trapped above a column of water. As waves
enter and exit the chamber, the water column moves up and down and acts like a piston. A
column of air, contained above the water level, is compressed and decompressed by this
motion to generate an alternating stream of high-velocity air in an exit blowhole. The air is
channeled through an air turbine/generator to produce electricity.
Overtopping terminator: A floating reservoir structure with reflecting arms and a ramp.
Arriving waves overtop the ramp and are contained in the reservoir. The collected water
turns turbines connected to generators as it flows out of the device.
10-35
Overtopping
Reservoir
Figure 10-17
Wave energy device principles
10-36
Waves
overtopping
the ramp
Figure 10-18 shows examples of the four machine types summarized earlier. There are many
other design concepts that are related to these machine types.
Oceanlinx
Pelamis
Wave Dragon
Figure 10-18
Wave energy device concept
10-37
Device Name
Type(2)
Able Technologies
abletechnologiesLLC. com
Advanced Wave Power
www.advancedwavepower.com/
AeroVironment
www.avinc.com/engineering/marine_e
nergy
AlbaTERN
www.albatern.co.uk/index.html
Applied Technologies Company
www.atecom.ru/wave-energy/
Artificial Muscles
www.artificialmuscles.com
Aquamarine Power
www.aquamarinepower.com
Aqua-Magnetics
www.amioceanpower.com/home
Atargis Energy
www.atargis.com/index.html
Atmocean
www.atmocean.com/
AW Energy
www.aw-energy.com
AWS Energy
www.waveswing.com
Balkee Tide and Wave Electricity
Generator
BioPower Systems
www.biopowersystems.com
Bourne Energy
www.bourneenergy.com/future.html
Wave Pipe
Point Absorber
Nautilus
Point Absorber
Eel Grass
Point Absorber
Squid
Attenuator
Point Absorber
Development
Status(3)
Laboratory Proof of
Concept
Experimental
Point Absorber
Experimental
Oscillating Wave
Surge Converter
Point Absorber
Technology
Demonstration
Cycloidal Wave
Energy Converter
Atmocean
Attenuator
Experimental
WaveRoller
Oscillating Wave
Surge Converter
Point Absorber
Oyster
Electric Buoy
Archimedes Wave
Swing
TWPEG
Point Absorber
Technology
Demonstration
Commercial
Demonstration
Point Absorber
bioWave
Oscillatory
OceanStar
Attenuator
Brandl Motor
brandlmotor.de/index_eng.htm
Brandl Generator
Point Absorber
Experimental
Wave Plane
Other
Concept
CETO
Point Absorber
Commercial
Demonstration
C-Wave Limited
www.cwavepower.com
C-Wave
Attenuator
Experimental
Anaconda
Articulating linear
absorber
Laboratory Proof of
Concept
Wave Pump
Point Absorber
Experimental
Multiple devices
Point Absorber
Commercial
Demonstration
10-38
Technology
Demonstration
Device Name
Type(2)
Development
Status(3)
ConWEC AS
Point Absorber
Experimental
Daedalus Informatics
www.daedalus.gr/weca.html
WECA
Oscillating Wave
Surge Converter
Lab Testing
SeaRaser Buoy
Point Absorber
Experimental
DEXAWAVE Energy
www.dexawave.com/
DEXAWAVE
Converter
Attenuator
Experimental
Dresser-Rand
HydroAir
Oscillating Water
Column
Lab Testing
Ecofys
www.ecofys.co.uk
Waverotor
Hydrodynamic Lift
Experimental
SEAREV
Oscillating Water
Column
Lab Testing
Ecomerit Technologies
www.ecomerittech.com/centipod.php
Centipod
Attenuator
Experimental
Edinburgh University
www.mech.ed.ac.uk/research/wavepo
wer/sloped%20IPS/Sloped%20IPS%2
0intro.htm
Attenuator
Lab Testing
Salter Duck
Attenuator
Experimental
ELGEN Wave
Horizon Platform
Point Absorber
Lab Testing
Sperboy
Experimental
www.sperboy.com
Oscillating Water
Column
Point Absorber
Experimental
www.elgenwave.com/
Embley Energy
www.eurowaveenergy.com/
Float Incorporated
www.floatinc.org/
Rho-Cee
Oscillating Water
Column
Lab Testing
Poseiden
Attenuator
Technology
Demonstration
Buldra
Point Absorber
Technology
Demonstration
Syphon Wave
Generator
Submerged
Pressure
Differential
Experimental
10-39
Device Name
Type(2)
Development
Status(3)
Floating Wave
Generator
Attenuator
Experimental
Wave Treader
Attenuator
Experimental
Ocean Treader
Green Ocean Wave Energy
greenoceanwaveenergy.com
Point Absorber
Experimental
Wave Turbine
Attenuator
Experimental
GyroWaveGen
GyroWaveGen
Other
Concept
Hann-Ocean
Drakoo
Point Absorber
Experimental
Hidroflot s.L.
www.hidroflot.com
Ocean Converter
Multiple Pt.
Absorbers
Laboratory Testing
Hydam Technology
McCabe Wave
Pump
Attenuator
Technology
Demonstration
SEADOG water
pump
Point Absorber
Early Commercial
Intentium
www.intentium.com/
Offshore Wave
Energy Converter
Other
Concept
Interproject Service
http://www.ips-ab.com/
Point Absorber
Experimental
IWAVE
IWAVE
Point Absorber
Concept
JAMSTEC
www.jamstec.go.jp/jamstece/30th/part6/page2.html
Mighty Whale
Oscillating Water
Column
Technology
Demonstration
Jospa
http://www.jospa.ie/
Irish Tube
Compressor (ITC)
Overtopping/
Lab Testing
hann-ocean.com/
Waveenergy.nualgi.com
Terminator/
Oscilating Water
Column
Tetron
Point Absorber
Laboratory Testing
PowerGin
Overtopping/
Laboratory Proof of
Concept
PS Frog
Point Absorber
WRASPA
Oscillating Wave
Surge Converter
10-40
Other
Laboratory Proof of
Concept
Device Name
Type(2)
Langlee System
Oscillating Wave
Surge Converter
Experimental
Multi Absorbing
Wave Energy
Converter
(MAWEC)
Oscillating Water
Column
Laboratory Testing
Manchester, Univ of
www.reuk.co.uk/Manchester-BobberWave-Power.htm
Bobber
Point Absorber
Laboratory Proof of
Concept
Motor Wave
www.motorwavegroup.com
Motor Wave
Point Absorber
Experimental
Pendulor
Oscillating Wave
Surge Converter
Experimental
Navatek
www.navatekltd.com
Navatek WEC
Attenuator
Laboratory Proof of
Concept
Triton
Point Absorber
Technology
Demonstration
Neptune Systems
Magneto Hydro
Dynamics
Other
Concept
WaveSurfer
Point Absorber
Commercial
Demonstration
Ocean Energy
Buoy (OEBuoy)
Oscillating Water
Column
Technology
Demonstration
Ocean Harvester
Point Absorber
Laboratory Proof of
Concept
Ocean Navitas
www.oceannavitas.com/index.html
Aegir Dynamo
Point Absorber
Experimental
Uiscebeatha
Oscillating Water
Column
Commercial
Demonstration
PowerBuoy
Point Absorber
Early Commercial
Point Absorber
Experimental
OWWE Rig
Hybrid Wind-Wave:
Point Absorber and
Overtopping/
Concept
Terminator
10-41
Device Name
Type(2)
OWEC
Point Absorber
Ocean Wavemaster
Wave Master
Other
Oceantec Wave
Energy Converter
Attenuator
Offshore Islands
www.offshoreislandslimited.com/
Wave Catcher
Point Absorber
OWEL WEC
Other
Laboratory Proof of
Concept
OreCON Ltd
www.orecon.com
MRC1000
Floating Point
Absorber &
Oscillating Water
Column
Technology
Demonstration
Point Absorber
Technology
Demonstration
Pelagic Power
www.pelagicpower.no/about.html
W2Power
Point Absorber
Experimental
Pelamis
Attenuator
Early Commercial
Perpetuwave Power
www.perpetuwavepower.com/index.ph
p
Wave Harvester
Attenuator
Laboratory Testing
Pontoon Power
www.pontoon.no/
Pontoon Power
Converter (PPC)
Attenuator
Laboratory Testing
Energy Conversion
Platform (ECP)
Point Absorber
Experimental
Purenco AS
www.straumekraft.no
Fisherman
Point Absorber
Experimental
CETO
Point Absorber
Technology
Demonstration
Point Absorber
Experimental
Resen Waves
www.resenwaves.com
Lever Operated
Pivoting Float
Point Absorber
Experimental
Point Absorber
Laboratory Proof of
Concept
Oscillating Wave
Surge Converter
Laboratory Testing
10-42
Laboratory Proof of
Concept
Experimental
Device Name
Type(2)
Development
Status(3)
Ryokuseisha
www.ryokuseisha.com/eng/product/po
wer_supply/index.html
Wave Activated
Generator (WAG)
Buoy
Oscillating Water
Column
Technology
Demonstration
MHD Generator
Other
Laboratory Proof of
Concept
Oscillating Wave
Surge Converter
Commercial
Demonstration
SDE
www.sde.co.il/
Seabased AB
www.seabased.com
Direct Driven
Linear Gen
Point Absorber
Laboratory Proof of
Concept
Sea Power
www.seapower.com
Floating Wave
Pres. Vessel
Point Absorber
Experimental
SeaNergy
Submerged
Pressure
Differential
Technology
Demonstration
Seatricity
www.seatricity.net/
Point Absorber
Experimental
SeaVolt Technologies
Wave Rider
Point Absorber
Seawood Designs
www.surfpower.ca
SurfPower
Point Absorber
Experimental
SEEWEC Consortium
www.seewec.org
FO3
Point Absorber
Technology
Demonstration
Sieber Energy
www.wave-energy-accumulator.com
SIE-CAT Wave
Energy
Accumulator
SRI International
http://sri.com
Electroactive
Polymer Artificial
Muscle (EPAM)
Generagor
Point Absorber
Experimental
SyncWave Energy
www.syncwaveenergy.com
SyncWave
Point Absorber
Technology
Demonstration
Surf Buoy
www.cosmotheist.com/Surfbuoy.htm
SurfBuoy
Point Absorber
Experimental
Trement Electric
www.npowerpeg.com/index.php/blog/7
7-npower-wave-energy-converter
nPower WEC
Point Absorber
Proof of Concept
Trident Energy
www.tridentenergy.co.uk/index.php
Direct Energy
Conversion
Point Absorber
Laboratory Proof of
Concept
Versabuoy Intl
www.vbuoy.com
VersaBuoy
Point Absorber
Experimental
Laboratory Proof of
Concept
10-43
Device Name
Type(2)
Development
Status(3)
Vigor WEC
Attenuator
Laboratory Testing
Limpet,
Oscillating Water
Column
Commercial demo
w/Limpet and
breakwater systems;
floating system status
unknown
Nearshore OWC,
Breakwater Turbine
Wave Dragon
Overtopping
Commercial
Demonstration
Wave Energy AS
www.waveenergy.no
Overtopping
Technology
Demonstration
WET EnGen
Point Absorber
Experimental
WET-NZ
Point Absorber
Experimental
Wave Star
Point Absorber
Technology
Demonstration
Waveberg Development
www.waveberg.com
Waveberg Pump
Attenuator
Experimental
Wavebob Ltd
www.wavebob.com
Wavebob
Point Absorber
Technology
Demonstration
Wavemill Energy
Wavemill
Wavepiston
www.wavepiston.dk
Wavepiston
Oscillating Wave
Surge Converter
Experimental
WavePlane
www.waveplane.com
WavePlane
Overtopping/
Experimental
Wello OY
www.wello.fi/
Penguin
Terminator
Attenuator
Experimental
Notes:
1. This list excludes most individual inventors with conceptual-level-only technology.
2. The principle of operation: Point Absorber, Attenuator, Overtopping/Terminator, Oscillating Water Column, Oscillating
Wave Surge Converter, Submerged Pressure Differential, and Other.
3. The following definition of development status was used:
Laboratory testing stage
Experimental Subscale at sea testing
Technology Demonstration Large size engineering prototype at sea testing whose purpose is to test for function and
performance
Commercial Demonstration Large size manufacturing prototype at sea testing whose purpose is to test for
commercial viability
Early Commercial Offering many units of large size for purposes of generating and selling the electricity produced
10-44
and migrations. Project installation and operation will change the physical environment. Possible
effects on biological resources could include alteration of the behavior of animals, damage and
mortality to individual plants and animals, and potentially larger and longer-term changes to
plant and animal populations and communities. Some effects are expected to be minor, but the
potential significance of many of the environmental issues cannot yet be determined owing to a
lack of experience with operating projects.
Although there have been few environmental studies of these new concepts, a preliminary
indication of the importance of each of these issues can be gained from published literature
related to other technologies (e.g., noises generated by similar marine construction activities,
EMF emissions from existing submarine cables, and environmental monitoring of active offshore
wind farms). Experience with other, similar activities in freshwater and marine systems can also
suggest effective impact minimization and mitigation measures that can be applied to these new
renewable energy technologies. However, some aspects of the environmental impacts are unique
to the technologies, and will require operational monitoring to determine the magnitude and
significance of the effects. This is particularly true for the cumulative effects of large numbers of
ocean energy devices that commercial-scale projects will comprise.
Impacts to bottom habitats, hydrographic conditions, or animal movements that are
inconsequential given a few units may be significant if large, multi-unit projects exploit large
areas in a near-shore ocean area. For some environmental effects it will be difficult to extrapolate
the effects from small to large numbers of units because of complicated, non-linear interactions
between the placement of the machines and the distribution and movements of aquatic
organisms. Assessment of these cumulative effects will require careful environmental monitoring
as the projects are deployed.
Evaluation of monitoring results might be usefully conducted in an adaptive management
framework. There are numerous state and federal agencies and environmental laws and
regulations that will influence the development of marine and hydrokinetic technologies. Federal
licensing of these renewable energy projects is the responsibility of FERC and BOEMRE. Their
licensing decisions include input from other federal and state agencies, tribes, environmental
groups, and other stakeholders. After a licensing decision has been made and operation of the
energy project has begun, the identification (and correction) of environmental impacts will
depend on appropriate monitoring.
The ability to modify a project to mitigate unacceptable environmental impacts identified by
operational monitoring might be based on applying adaptive management principles reflected in
the project license conditions. In the context of marine and hydrokinetic energy technologies,
adaptive management is a systematic process by which the potential environmental impacts of
installation and operation could be evaluated against quantified environmental performance goals
during project monitoring. Early information about undesirable outcomes could lead to the
implementation of additional minimization or mitigation actions which are subsequently reevaluated. An adaptive management process is particularly valuable in the early stages of
technology development, when many of the potential environmental effects are unknown for
individual units, let alone the eventual build out of large numbers of units. Basing the
environmental monitoring programs on adaptive management principles, as advocated by many
resource and regulatory agencies, will take advantage of ongoing research and monitoring to help
refine technology designs and to improve environmental acceptability of future installations.
10-46
Project/Permit Name
Capacity
(MW)
State
P-12743
P-12749
P-13666
Filing
Date
Issue Date
Issued/
Pending
OR
10/6/2010
Issued
100
OR
8/10/2010
Issued
48.5
OR
3/15/2011
Issued
P-13679
3,186
CA
10/29/2010
Issued
P-13823
0.25
AK
1/21/2011
Issued
2/1/2010
8/5/2010
Preliminary Permits
FERC
None
Pilot Licenses
FERC
FERC
Construction and
Operation Licenses
FERC
FERC
State Agency
BOEMRE
Leases
1. To 3 nautical miles except in Texas and Gulf of Mexico states where state lands extend to 12 nautical miles.
2. On the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS).
The regulatory permitting, licensing, and leasing processes associated with U.S. ocean wave
projects can be lengthy, costly, and complex. Indeed, regulatory issues represent a significant
barrier to ocean wave energy development in the United States.
10-47
Since 1920, construction and operation of a non-federal hydroelectric project in the United States
has required a license issued by FERC in accordance with the Federal Power Act. In 2004, as a
result of legal interpretation from FERC, wave energy hydroelectric projects were placed under
FERC licensing jurisdiction.
Meanwhile, the 2005 Energy Policy Act (EPAct05) gave jurisdiction for leasing on the Outer
Continental Shelf to the Department of Interiors Mineral Management Service (now BOEM). In
addition to FERC and BOEM, approvals to install and operate a pilot or commercial project are
still required from many other federal, state, and local regulatory agencies (upward of 20
different agencies).
10.5.7 WEC Power Plant Footprints
Use of sea space by wave energy power plants is of critical concern to many environmental
advocacy and ocean user groups. The oceans are held in trust by the federal and state
governments for the good of society as a whole, and these areas are currently used for multiple
purposes (commercial fishing, recreation, commercial shipping, dump sites, military training,
etc.).
The footprints of some of the existing technologies for a 10-MW and a 100-MW wave power
plant are shown in Table 10-13. The Orecon machine, the only tension-moored device in the
table, will have the smallest footprint. Slackly moored devices such as the Pelamis and the
PowerBuoy will require larger footprints. The Oyster is a near-shore device that operates only in
the surge zone.
Table 10-13
WEC device areal footprints
Absorber Dimensions
Length (m)
Width (m)
Length (m)
Width (m)
Pelamis P1 (1)
123
4.6
300
150
18
18
100
100
Aquamarine Power
Oyster (3)
12
18
30
30
30
45
245
130
# Rows
Length (km)
Width (km)
Pelamis P1 (1)
19
1.0
0.90
20
0.70
0.30
Aquamarine Power
Oyster (3)
33
1.0
0.03
1.47
0.13
10-48
Width (m)
Width (m)
# Rows
Length (km)
Width (km)
Pelamis P1 (1)
210
10
1.80
200
0.30
Aquamarine Power
Oyster (3)
333
10
0.03
68
4.16
0.52
Notes:
1. Based on preliminary design performed by EPRI for Oregon Pelamis Wave Power Plant [13].
2. Based on March 2008 Coos Bay Preliminary Application Document filed with FERC. Project size estimates
based on 100-m lateral spacing and 100 m between rows for PB500 PowerBuoys. Overall 100-MW project size
includes three transit lanes. Each lane is 400 m in length.
3. Based on Aquamarine Power website, 300-kW machine located at 15-m depth and 12 18-m size (EPRI assumed
12-m lateral spacing)
4. Based on input provided by Orecon MRC rated at 1.5 MW.
A nearby harbor with sufficient depth, size, and port infrastructure to support the assembly
and deployment of the plant and maintenance operations
A transmission and distribution system that can flow the power from the wave plant into the
grid and a substation interconnection point close to shore
An easement for the submerged cable from the wave power plant to shore and possibly under
the beach to the substation, similar to the easement required for an outflow pipe
Bathymetry that provides a depth of about 50 m within two to three miles of shore
10-49
A sandy seabed (for anchor placement) and a sandy route to shore for trenching the
submerged cable
Minimum conflicts of sea space use (e.g., fishing, crabbing, whale migration)
Installation: Includes all activities associated with the plant construction, including:
transport, underwater cable installation, mooring installation, device deployment and
commissioning. The plant is assumed to terminate on shore. No cost is included for the
interconnection of the plant with the electrical grid.
Permitting and environmental compliance: Includes all cost components required to permit a
plant. Uncertainties in this cost category are high because there is limited experience to draw
from. These costs include site baseline assessments, environmental baseline studies, and
consultant fees.
10-50
Infrastructure: All costs except for those of the devices and moorings themselves, including
underwater cables, cable landing to shore, dockside improvements, and specialized vessels
used to operate the project.
Mooring: Includes all components required to keep the device on-station. These may involve
mooring chains, anchors, piled foundations, shackles, and other mooring components.
Structural: Includes the main structural components, typically built from structural steel,
concrete or fiberglass.
Power take-off: Includes all components and subsystems required to convert the primary
mechanical energy into electricity that can be fed into the electric grid. Subsystems include
items such as a generator, gearbox, hydraulic system, frequency converter, step-up
transformer, and electrical riser cable.
Operating and maintenance (O&M) costs are divided into the following cost centers. To
normalize costs from operational activities, such costs are expressed as present value, divided by
the plants operational life and rated capacity to yield a unit of dollars per kilowatt capacity per
year ($/kW-year). The following are cost centers that contribute to O&M cost estimates in this
analysis:
Insurance: Insurance costs for one-off offshore installations are typically on the order of 2%
of capital cost. As technology matures and technology-related risks are reduced, such
insurance costs are expected to decline to a level similar to that of wind energy today.
Marine monitoring: It is expected that many early-adopter projects will require on-going
monitoring of the plants environmental effects to satisfy regulatory agencies. This may
include measures such as active and passive acoustic monitoring, fish studies, and sediment
transport studies.
Operations: This cost center contains all expenses associated with the operation, maintenance
and repair of the plant. This category includes labor cost, fuel cost, management expenses,
and facility leases.
Replacement parts: Includes the cost of all parts that require replacement of the life of a
project.
The first analysis summarized in the text that follows assesses the cost and performance of a
specific wave energy conversion device in a variety of applications and environments. That
analysis is followed by another completed in 2011 for a generic wave energy conversion device
located off the coast of northern California. When possible, the cost, performance, and economic
assessments presented are based on actual testing and pilot-plant data to inform and drive technoeconomic models.
10.6.2.1 Assessment for Linear Absorber Devices in Massachusetts and Oregon
Table 10-14 summarizes EPRIs cost and performance estimates for a Pelamis-type linear
absorber wave power plant deployed in two size rangesa single-unit pilot plant and a 300,000MWh/yr commercial-scale plantin two locations: on the East Coast at Wellfleet,
Massachusetts, and on the West Coast at Reedsport, Oregon. All cost figures are expressed in
2009 dollars.
10-51
103 MW
Wellfleet MA
0.75 MW
Reedsport OR
90 MW
Reedsport OR
1 0.75
206 0.5
1 0.75
180 0.5
964
300,000
1,000
300,000
0.75
103
0.75
90
Physical Plant
Seabed, km2
Unit Life, Years
<0.5
20
18.5
20
<0.5
20
16.2
20
Note 1
12
Note 1
24
Note 1
12
Note 1
24
$1,050
$1,528
$367
$2,316
$1,282
$0
$954
$755
Note 3
($91)
$8,159
$693
$8,852
$66
$53
$264
$1,412
$555
$132
$133
$125
Note 3
($13)
$2,728
$330
$3,061
$874
$452
$367
$2,316
$1,282
$0
$10,653
$633
Note 3
($1,663)
$5,318
$452
$5,770
$32
$23
$264
$1,412
$555
$150
$143
$123
Note 3
($126)
$2,577
$254
$2,830
$408
$136
$266
$129
$9,260
$3,197
$6,035
$2,959
N/A7
$0.53
N/A7
$0.48
N/A
$1.07
N/A
$1.03
85
95
85
95
PreCommercial
PreCommercial
PreCommercial
PreCommercial
Simplified
Simplified
Simplified
Simplified
Scheduling
Development time, Months
Construction time, Months
Capital Cost ($/kW)
On-shore transmission and grid interconnection
Subsea cables
Mooring
Power Conversion Modules
Structural sections
Facilities
Installation
Construction Mgmt and Commissioning
Contingencies
Less State Renewable Inv Tax Credit (4 & 5)
Total Plant Cost (TPC)
AFUDC (interest during construction)
Total Plant Investment
Owner Costs
Due diligence, engineering, permitting, legal,
financial fees, etc.
Total Capital Requirements
Yearly O&M Costs (% of TPC per year)
10 Year One-Time Retrofit Costs (% of TPC)
Unit Availability (%)
Notes:
1. Development time for permitting is an unknown at this early point with emerging ocean energy technology.
2. The costs are in November 2004 dollars in References 15 through 19 and were adjusted with a 2.5% inflation
rate to Dec 2009 dollars.
3. Contingency costs are built into each of the subsystems.
4. The Oregon credit is 25% of the project cost up to a maximum of $10 million.
5. The Massachusetts credit is 9.5% of the installation cost.
6. Permitting cost is assumed to be 5% of total plant cost; Permitting cost is an unknown at this early point with
emerging ocean energy technology.
7. O&M costs for a pilot plant cannot be estimated.
10-52
10.6.2.2 Assessment for Typical Wave Power Device Installed in Northern California
The following cost and economic assessments are based on a hypothetical installation at a
reference site and the following table shows the relevant parameters of the reference deployment
site. In contrast to the assessment above, this analysis assumes generic wave power arrays of
5 MW, 20 MW, and 50 MW operating in an ocean wave environment with the following
characteristics:
Water depth: 70 m
Distance to shore: 5 km
Table 10-15 summarizes the results of the assessment, with costs for each size plant broken
down by capital expenses (CAPEX in $/kW), O&M expenses (OPEX in $/kW-year), plant
performance, and the resulting cost of electricity (cents/kWh). CAPEX includes the costs of
permitting and environment, installation, infrastructure, mooring, structural components, and
power take-off equipment. OPEX includes the costs of insurance, marine monitoring,
replacement parts, and operations.
Figure 10-19 graphically summarizes the CAPEX results for the three sizes of wave energy
plants, and Figure 10-20 does the same for O&M.
10-53
20 MW
50 MW
Power Take-off
$915
$821
$764
Structural
$3662
$3134
$2828
Mooring
$375
$360
$351
Infrastructure
$249
$133
$103
Installation
$708
$318
$194
$1003
$269
$107
$6913
$5035
$4347
Operations
$90
$49
$34
Replacement Parts
$81
$73
$68
Marine Monitoring
$154
$39
$15
Insurance
$113
$78
$45
$439
$239
$163
6.3%
4.7%
3.7%
Capacity Factor
30%
30%
30%
Availability
95%
95%
95%
CAPEX Contribution
30
22
19
O&M Contribution
22
12
52
34
27
CAPEX ($/kW)
TOTAL
O&M ($/kW-year)
TOTAL
O&M Percent of CAPEX
Performance
TOTAL
10-54
Figure 10-19
Capital cost breakdown for a typical wave energy technology
$500
$450
OPEX($/kWyear)
$400
$350
$300
Insurance
$250
MarineMonitoring
ReplacementParts
$200
Operations
$150
$100
$50
$0
5MW
20MW
50MW
Figure 10-20
Operational cost breakdown for a typical wave energy technology (in $/kW-year)
10-55
Average power density at the deployment site has a significant impact on device performance,
cost and the resulting cost of electricity (COE). Figure 10-21 shows the COE sensitivity to power
density at an installed capacity of 50 MW. This sensitivity was evaluated by developing
performance cost and economic assessments at different potential deployment sites in the United
States and Europe.
35
CoE(cents/kWh)
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
20
25
30
35
40
PowerDensity(kW/m)
45
50
55
Figure 10-21
Cost of electricity as a function of the power density at the deployment site
10-56
technologies with more developed options. Based on its extensive experience with emerging
energy technologies, EPRI has developed a cost estimate rating methodology which assesses the
likely range of uncertainty based on a technologys design maturity and the amount of detail
available for the cost estimate. To reduce the uncertainty in this assessment, only data from
devices that are at a fairly advanced stage of development are used. As a result, all of the cost
data given in this report have an estimated uncertainty range of 30%.
Lab/Idea
Prototype
Commercial
Volume
Production
Cost
Stage of Development
Figure 10-22
Cost projection as a function of development status
It is an established fact that learning through production experience reduces costs. Cost reduction
follows a logarithmic relationship such that for every doubling of the cumulative production of
new wave power units, a specific percentage reduction in production costs would be expected.
The specific percentage used in this study was 82%, which is consistent with documented
experience in the wind energy, photovoltaic, shipbuilding, and offshore oil and gas industries.
As occurred with computers, flat-screen televisions, and wind turbines and PV panels, the costs
of WEC devices will decline as the industry moves toward larger-scale manufacturing and higher
cumulative production. The top line in Figure 10-23 is the industry-documented wind energy
learning curve. This curve was developed by EPRI based on data from a multitude of sources.
Figure 10-23 also shows the lower and higher bounds of the wave energy cost estimates as well.
The 82% learning curve is applied to the wave power plant installed cost but not to the O&M
component of the cost of electricity, which is why the three curves are not parallel.
10-57
Wind
COE (cents/kWh)
100.00
Actual
Wind
COE
History
10.00
Projected Wave
Upper and Lower
COE
1.00
100
1000
10000
100000
The adoption of ocean power technologies will be based upon the value of electricity these
devices generate and supply to the grid as well as their ease of integration with the grid. In
addition to the capital cost of installation, O&M will make a significant contribution to the total
cost. O&M costs related to unplanned maintenance is a major factor in the overall cost of
electricity.
EPRIs economic assessments have been based on a wave power plant book lifetime of 20 years.
The cost flow profile for wave energy, much like many renewable energy technologies, is
heavily front-loaded; 90% or more of the COE from wave power plants will derive from initial
capital costs and installation costs. Conversely, typical fossil fuel power plants experience fuel
and ongoing operations that are about 80% of the plant's cost of electricity.
Levelized COE takes into account all fixed and recurring costs of a wave power plant as a
function of the electrical energy it generates. The costs, annual energy produced, and financial
assumptions on which the estimates are based are documented by EPRI [13].
Although there are some federal and state tax incentives to build renewable power systems, these
incentives are insufficient to finance early-adopter, small-scale projects. As a result, developers
will be put in the position of having to push for large commercial installations to drive cost
down, and in the process may be forced to assume the significant technical, economic, and
environmental risks of deploying unproven technologies at large scale.
10-58
Dozens of institutional investors in U.S. renewable energy projects pulled out of the market
when the nations liquidity dried up in 2008. Some found more lucrative investments elsewhere
while others found themselves unable to take advantage of tax credits because they lacked the
profits to do so. The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009 changed the
investor ground rules; however, construction delays engendered by permitting requirements
precluded ocean energy projects from exploiting those funds.
Large insurance companies and investment banks that engage project developers provide the
majority of the renewable energy project financing.
10-59
In addition to the research being conducted by the DOE National Laboratories, the department
has also funded the development of National Marine Renewable Energy Centers. As of 2012 the
department has helped establish three National Marine Renewable Energy Centers: Northwest
National Marine Renewable Energy Center (NNMREC), Hawaii National Marine Renewable
Energy Center (HINMREC), and Southeast National Marine Renewable Energy Center
(SNMREC).
The Northwest National Marine Renewable Energy Center is a DOE-funded partnership between
Oregon State University and the University of Washington. Oregon State University is
responsible for wave energy R&D, while the University of Washington is responsible for tidal
energy R&D. The Hawaii National Marine Renewable Energy Center is a partnership between
the DOE and the University of Hawaii, and focuses on wave energy R&D and Ocean Thermal
Energy Conversion (OTEC) R&D. The Southeast National Marine Renewable Energy Center is
a partnership between the DOE and Florida Atlantic University, and focuses on OTEC R&D and
ocean current energy R&D.
10.9 Conclusions
Considerable potential exists for generating electrical power from wave energy off the coast of
the United States and many other places in the world. Wave energy climates are the most
favorable for west-facing coasts between 35 and 55 degrees latitude in the Northern and
Southern Hemispheres. In the United States, the prime locations (i.e., those with a good wave
climate, port infrastructure, and/or coastal grid infrastructure) are the following:
Northern California and Hawaii, which have excellent wave energy climates, good coastal
grid infrastructures, good ports, and high electricity prices.
Oregon, which has excellent wave energy climate, good coastal grid infrastructure, good
ports, but low electricity prices.
Washington, which has excellent wave energy climate, poor coastal grid infrastructure, good
ports, but low electricity prices. The system load is in the Seattle area and there is no
transmission infrastructure to transmit power across the Olympic peninsula.
Alaska, which has excellent wave energy climate, poor coastal grid infrastructure, good
ports, and high electricity prices. The system load is relatively small in the Anchorage,
Fairbanks, and Juneau areas and there is no transmission infrastructure to move the power to
those areas.
10-60
The potential recoverable electricity from wave energy resources is estimated by EPRI to be
about 6.5% of todays electricity consumption in the United States. Initial studies suggest that
given sufficient deployment scale, these technologies will be commercially competitive with
other forms of renewable power generation. However, significant technical, economic,
operational, environmental and regulatory barriers remain to be addressed in order to allow this
emerging industry to move progress to commercial development.
The experience related to ocean energy is limited to prototype installations that provide a limited
understanding of economic, operational, environmental, and regulatory issues. It will be
critically important to gain a full understanding of all life-cycle-related issues over the coming
years to pave the way for larger-scale commercial deployments and a successful wave energy
industry.
Such understanding can only be gained from demonstration and commercial systems deployed
by early adopters. First-generation commercial systems will not only address technology-related
issues, but will also provide confidence to regulators, the general public and investors. Both
market push (R&D) and market pull (economic incentives) mechanisms will be required to
successfully move this technology sector forward and develop the capacity to harness wave
energy from the ocean.
10.11 References
1.
Zurkinden, A.S., F. Campanile, and L. Martinelli. 2007. Wave energy converter through
piezoelectric polymers. COMSOL Users Conference. Genoble, France.
2.
Mapping and Assessment of the United States Ocean Wave Energy Resource. EPRI, Palo
Alto, CA: 2011. 1024637.
3.
OWET (Oregon Wave Energy Trust). 2009. Utility Market Initiative: Integrating Oregon
Wave Energy into the Northwest Power Grid. Prepared by Pacific Energy Ventures on
behalf of the Oregon Wave Energy Trust. December 2009.
4.
OWET (Oregon Wave Energy Trust). 2009. Wave Energy Infrastructure Assessment in
Oregon. Prepared by Advanced Research Corporation. December 1, 2009.
10-61
5.
OWET (Oregon Wave Energy Trust). 2011. Ocean Energy Blue Tag Study: Bridging the
Gap Between the Cost of Wave Energy and its Market Value. Prepared by Robert K.
Harmon & Company, LLC, July 2011.
6.
Tolman, H.L. 1991. A third-generation model for wind waves in slowly varying, unsteady
and inhomogeneous depths and currents. Journal of Physical Oceanography 21: 782-797.
7.
Tolman, H.L. 2009. User manual and system documentation of WAVEWATCH III version
3.14. Environmental Modeling Center, Marine Modeling and Analysis Branch, National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. MMAB Contribution No. 276. May 2009.
8.
Feasibility of Using Wavewatch III for Days-Ahead Output Forecasting for Grid Connected
Wave Energy Projects in Washington and Oregon. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2008. EPRI-WP012.
9.
Wave Energy Forecasting Accuracy as a Function of Forecast Time Horizon. EPRI, Palo
Alto, CA: 2009. EPRI-WP-013.
10. E2I EPRI Assessment: Offshore Wave Energy Conversion Devices. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA:
2044. E2I-EPRI-WP-004-US (Revision 1).
11. California Wave Power Demonstration Project: Bridging the Gap Between the Completed
Phase 1 Project Definition Study and the Next PhasePhase 2 Detailed Design and
Permitting. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2007. EPRI-WP-011-CA.
12. USDOE (U.S. Department of Energy). 2009. Report to Congress on the Potential
Environmental Effects of Marine and Hydrokinetic Energy Technologies. Energy Efficiency
and Renewable Energy, Wind and Hydropower Technologies Program, Washington, DC,
December 2009.
13. System Level Design, Performance and CostsOregon State Offshore Wave Power Plant.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2004. E2I-EPRI Global-WP-006-OR (Revision 1).
14. E2I EPRI Survey and Characterization of Potential Offshore Wave Energy Sites in Hawaii.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2004. E2I-EPRI-WP-003-HI (Revision 1).
15. E2I EPRI Survey and Characterization of Potential Offshore Wave Energy Sites in
Washington. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2004. E2I-EPRI-WP-WA-003.
16. E2I EPRI Survey and Characterization of Potential Offshore Wave Energy Sites in Oregon.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2004. E2I-EPRI-WP-OR-003.
17. E2I EPRI Survey and Characterization of Potential Offshore Wave Energy Sites in Maine.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2004. E2I-EPRI-WP-003-ME.
18. System Level Design, Performance and CostsHawaii State Offshore Wave Power Plant.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2005. E2I-EPRI-WP-006-HI.
19. System Level Design, Performance and CostsSan Francisco California Energetech
Offshore Wave Power Plant. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2004. E2I-EPRI-006B-SF.
20. System Level Design, Performance and Costs for San Francisco California Pelamis
Offshore Wave Power Plant. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2004. E2I-EPRI Global-006A-SF.
10-62
21. System Level Design, Performance and CostsMassachusetts State Offshore Wave Power
Plant. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2004. E2I Global-EPRI-WP-006-MA.
22. System Level Design, Performance and CostsMaine State Offshore Wave Power Plant.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2004. E2I-EPRI Global-WP-006-ME.
23. Prioritized Research, Development, Deployment and Demonstration (RDD&D) Needs:
Marine and Other Hydrokinetic Renewable Energy. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2008. 1014762.
24. UKERC (UK Energy Research Centre). 2008. UKERC Marine (Wave and Tidal Current)
Renewable Energy Technology Roadmap. Summary Report.
10-63
11
11.1 Introduction
The overall hydrokinetic power potential of U.S. rivers with discharge rates (Q) greater than
113 m3/s and velocities greater than 1.3 m/s was estimated by New York University (NYU) in
1986 to be 12,500 MW, using conservative assumptions of turbine array deployment [1]. The
best river in-stream hydrokinetic resources in the United States are in Alaska and the Pacific
Northwest; however, all states have some hydrokinetic resources, assuming conversion
technology is economical at lower power densities than was assumed in the NYU study. Table
11-1 provides an overview of river in-stream energy and Figure 11-1 shows the major North
America rivers and their annual discharges in km3/year.
Table 11-1
Overview of river in-stream energy
Technology Readiness
(as of November 2011)
Economic Status
Installed Capacity
(as of November 2011)
11-1
Government Support of
RISEC Technology
Trends to Watch
Environmental Impact
Regulatory Status
11-2
Figure 11-1
Major North American rivers and their yearly discharges in km3/year
In North America, the discharge of fresh water is dominated by the Mississippi (Q = 600 km3/yr)
and the St. Lawrence (Q = 440 km3/yr), both of which receive large inputs from the highprecipitation region east of the mountain ranges that dominate the western third of the continent.
Other large rivers in North America include the Mackenzie and the Yukon (which discharge into
Arctic marine waters), the Western Hudson Bay Group, the Columbia, the Sacramento, the
Colorado, and the Hudson rivers.
11.1.1 Main Components of River Hydrokinetic Resource
There are four major components of river in-stream or current flow at a given transect of a river:
discharge, velocity, cross-section area and stage. Discharge is the volume of water moving past a
given cross section of river per unit of time. The units generally used to express this
measurement are cubic meters per second (m3/s). Velocity is the speed of water movement in
meters per second (m/s). Cross-section area is the water area (in m2) in a plane perpendicular to
the flow at a given point along the river. Stage is the height (in meters) of the water level above
an arbitrary zero point. All of these components are interrelated: as water levels increase, so do
discharge and speed; when the stage increases, so does cross-sectional area.
Flow velocity is dependent on the amount of friction between the water and the stream channel.
Smoother channels have less friction and, therefore, faster flow. Channel roughness contributes
to turbulence, which dissipates energy and reduces flow velocity. The Manning equation is used
to calculate average flow velocities in open-channel systems:
k R 2 / 3 S 1/ 2
V
n
11-3
In this equation, V is the average flow velocity in feet per second or m/s; R is the hydraulic radius
in feet or m, and is the ratio of the cross-sectional area of the stream divided by the length (feet
or m) of channel bottom along that cross section (wetted perimeter), S is the slope of the water
surface, k is a conversion constant that is 1.49 for English units and 1 for metric units, and n is
the Manning roughness coefficient. A larger value of the Manning coefficient yields a smaller
value for flow velocity. Typical values of n are shown in Table 11-2.
Table 11-2
Manning coefficients for representative river substrates
Substrate Type
0.040.05
0.035
0.025
0.020
Smoothed concrete
0.012
Current speed varies spatially within any river or channel. Current speed is influenced by
proximity to obstacles such as rocks and vegetation found along the riverbed, which reduce the
flow rate. Therefore, the current is usually fastest in the middle and slowest along the edges and
bottom of the river. In addition, the current is usually faster at the outside of a river bend than on
the inside of the bend. Fast current may also scour out the outer channel if the substrate is
erodable, thereby deepening the channel there.
Erosion and water velocity have a direct relationship, as erosion and the maximum particle size
transported increases with flow velocity. Thus, substrate particle size is sorted by local water
velocity. Just as speed affects erosion, erosion affects speed. The speed of a river affects the
shape of the river itself. At a high gradient, the speed of a river is at its maximum and the shape
of the river is very narrow, stretching out as the slope gradient decreases.
11.1.2 The Conversion of River In-Stream Hydrokinetic Energy to Electricity
A river in-stream energy conversion (RISEC) device harnesses the unidirectional flow of a river
or man-made canal. The power of a river current, in watts, is given by
Pwater = A V3
where A is the cross-sectional area of flow intercepted by the device (in square meters), is the
water density (in kilograms per cubic meter), and V is the water velocity (meters per second).
The energy recovery efficiency and performance of an in-stream energy conversion device can
be estimated using the simplified model of a generic RISEC device as described later. The
calculation addresses the energy collection and conversion efficiency of each step in the process,
beginning with the kinetic energy of the flowing water stream and proceeding through the
turbine, drive train, generator, and power conditioning steps as illustrated in Figure 11-2.
11-4
Water
Kinetic
Energy
Turbine
Efficiency
Drive
Train
Eff.
Gen
Eff.
Power
Cond.
Efficienc
Grid
Ready
Electric
Energy
Figure 11-2
Steps affecting hydrokinetic turbine efficiency
The individual efficiencies (f) of the RISEC components determine the net usable power that can
be delivered to the grid as described in following equation:
Pdelivered = Pwater fRISEC,
where
fRISEC = fTurbine fDriveTrain fGenerator fPowerConditioning
Because all RISEC devices rely on moving water, and the water must retain enough kinetic
energy to exit the turbine, there is a limit to the portion of kinetic energy that can be removed by
a turbine. The maximum energy that can be extracted by a turbine immersed in a free (unducted,
unconstrained) stream is known as the Betz limit. The Betz limit of 59% is sometimes used as a
theoretical maximum efficiency of a turbine. Typical values for component efficiencies are fTurbine
= 40%, fDriveTrain = 95%, fGenerator = 95%, and fPowerConditioning = 97%. The resulting overall efficiency in
this example is 35%.
Figure 11-3 is an illustration of a typical open-rotor, horizontal-axis RISEC device. The
hydrokinetic energy available to such a water turbine per unit cross-sectional area (in this case,
the area of the rotor blades) is equal to one-half the density of water multiplied by the cube of the
water speed (Figure 11-4).
Figure 11-3
Example of a hydrokinetic turbine
Figure 11-4
Water power density
11-5
Facilitating the deployment of prototypes, and collecting data on the energy conversion
performance and environmental impacts of the devices
Determining the available, extractable, and cost effective resources in the United States
Characterizing and comparing the wide variety of existing marine hydrokinetic technologies
Minimizing the cost, time, and negative impacts associated with siting projects
11-6
TRL 13
Concept Definition
TRL 4
Proof of Concept
TRL 5/6
TRL 7/8
TRL 9
Array Testing
TRL 10
Commercialization
Currently, the DOE is funding a large multi-organizational project to develop MHK reference
models. The project began in May 2010 and according to a DOE presentation, the goal of the
project is to, Develop a representative set of Reference Models (RM) for the MHK industry to
develop baseline costs of energy (COE) and evaluate key cost component/system reduction
pathways. The presentation notes that there is a, Need [to identify] COE targets with regard to
technology typeand future innovation opportunities to prioritize research and cost reduction
pathways. The reference model completion date is slated for September 2013. The Point
Absorber Wave Energy Converter (WEC) report was due September 30, 2011. The Oscillating
Water Column WEC and Surge Type WEC reports are due September 30, 2012.
So far in 2012 five Funding Opportunity Announcements have been issued for water power
technologies:
1. Open Funding Opportunity Announcement
Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy (ARPA-E)
2. Hydropower Advancement Project (HAP) Standard Assessments to Increase Generation
and Value
U.S. Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy
11-7
In response to the two companies enormous opposition to the decision, FERC reversed its
decision in a June 9, 2011 letter, stating, After reviewing all of the resulting filings, staff has
determined that it is appropriate to continue processing permit applications on the lower
Mississippi River at this time. Additionally, 43 of Free Flow Powers permits were accepted for
filing, whereas 40 of Northland Powers permits were listed as deficient, requiring additional
information.
11-8
Figure 11-5
Hydrokinetic turbine deployment from barge at Ruby, Alaska, on the Yukon River
Another Alaska project was the first to seek a FERC pilot hydrokinetic license. Alaska Power &
Telephone (AP&T) submitted a draft pilot license application along with a notice of intent to test
a 100-kW hydrokinetic system on the Yukon River at the small community of Eagle. In 2007,
the Denali Commission of Alaska awarded $1.6 million in grant funds to assist in the
development and deployment of the companys river hydrokinetic project. The project was
awarded an additional $1.5 million grant in 2010. A 25-kW EnCurrent turbine, adaptable to a
variety of locations where sufficient tidal or river current flow is available, is being evaluated
over a five-year period. In 2012, the project will relocate to the Alaska Center for Energy and
Power test facility at Nenana, Alaska, on the Tanana River for further studies.
In early May 2009, rapidly rising temperatures in excess of 70F caused a rapid melt-out of
ice and snow along the Yukon River, resulting in unprecedented flooding that nearly wiped out
Eagle. An aerial view (Figure 11-6) shows at least two dozen buildings submerged in a sea of
car-sized ice chunks and 30 feet of muddy floodwater. The Yukon rose 30 feet over its normal
level when 4- to 7-foot-thick ice pans surged downstream, choking the river and bulldozing
islands and shorelines. Despite this setback, the project continued with seasonal deployments of
the 25-kW turbine. Debris management during the open water season also presents a challenge,
although the EnCurrent turbine itself has proven to be robust to debris in deployments through
2011. However, in June 2011 the company surrendered its FERC preliminary permit.
11-9
Figure 11-6
Village of Eagle during spring breakup of 2009
EPRI System Definition and Feasibility Study at Three Sites in Alaska. This study was
conducted under the sponsorship of the Alaska Energy Authority (AEA), Chugach Electric, and
Anchorage Municipal Light & Power. EPRI first conducted a site survey for six locations in
close proximity to small villages that typically have power needs of a few hundred kilowatts. The
attributes needed for a good RISEC site were characterized. Of particular importance is the river
current velocity profile [2].
Based on the survey results, the projects Alaskan sponsors selected three sites for preliminary
design of a RISEC power plant: Kvichak River at Igiugig, Eagle on the Yukon River, and
Whitestone on the Tanana River. EPRI then prepared the design and estimated the cost to
construct, deploy, operate and maintain this plant. Last, EPRI assessed the technical and
economic feasibility of RISEC technology applied at these sites. The simple payback periods
estimated for the remote villages of Iguigig and Eagle, both of which have an isolated grid, were
three to four years and four to five years, respectively. The simple payback period estimated for
Whitestone, a remote but grid-connected village, was eight to nine years [3]. Detailed studies are
being conducted by the Alaska Energy Authority on the Kvichak River at Igiugig in support of a
project deployment there. Studies include acoustic current Doppler profiler (ACDP), and are
expected to lead to site selection and deployment of a device in 2012.
Alaska Energy Authority Contract Awards. The AEA awarded two contracts to local
universities to characterize the river in-stream resource potential in Alaskan rivers:
11-10
bathymetric, current distribution, and water surface elevation/slope data. UAA has installed
water-level gauges at the various study sites to obtain flow/velocity data through the openwater period. Using data from U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) gauging stations, UAA will
estimate the long-term hydrologic (i.e., velocity and depth) conditions at the selected rural
sites.
University of Alaska Fairbanks (UAF): UAF will deploy measurement devices and
characterize the long-term velocity profile at Nenana on the Tanana River. UAF will perform
environmental effects analysis, analyze the effects of cold temperatures and ice on the water
turbine, and plan a water turbine pilot demonstration project.
Igiugig RISEC Water Power Project (P-13511). On October 29, 2009 the Igiugig Village
Council in Alaska was awarded a preliminary permit for its project, the Igiugig RISEC Water
Power Project (P-13511), located on the Kvichak River in the Lake and Peninsula Borough,
Alaska. The project would utilize 12 RISEC devices, totaling 40 kW. On September 27, 2011
FERC granted the project an 11-month time extension for filing the Notice of Intent and
Draft License Application. As of March 30, 2012 the project continues to submit progress
reports.
Nenana RivGen Power Project (P-13883). On March 2, 2011 ORPC Alaska, LLC. was
granted a preliminary permit from FERC for the Nenana RivGen Power Project (P-13883),
located on the Tanana River in the vicinity of Nenana, Alaska, in the unorganized borough of
Yukon-Koyukuk, Alaska. The project would utilize up to six 50-kilowatt RivGen devices
with a combined capacity of 300 kilowatts. As of February 27, 2012 the project continues to
submit progress reports.
11-11
Figure 11-7
Hydro Greens Hydrokinetic Turbine (left) and the deployment site at lock and dam #2 on
the Mississippi River at Hastings, Minnesota (right)
Free Flow Power Mississippi River Proposal. Free Flow Power, a Massachusetts-based
company, proposes to place 180,000 underwater turbines along 500 miles of the Mississippi
River. As of August 2, 2012 the company held 58 preliminary permits from FERC for projects
totaling 7,344 MW authorized capacity. Figure 11-8 shows project locations in the Memphis,
Vicksburg, and New Orleans districts of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.
In 2010, Free Flow Power tested interactions between its 3-meter turbine and fish in a flume at
the USGS Conte Anadromous Fish Laboratory in Turners Falls, Massachusetts (Figure 11-9).
Beginning on June 20, 2011, the company began testing its first full-scale hydrokinetic turbine
generator in the Mississippi River at Plaquemine, Louisiana. The turbine is installed on a
research platform that is instrumented to monitor water velocity and turbine performance;
however, the turbine is not grid-connected.
11-12
Figure 11-8
Preliminary permit sites held by Free Flow Power on the Mississippi River; Memphis
District (upper left), Vicksburg District (upper right), and New Orleans District (lower left)
of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
11-13
Figure 11-9
Pre-test inspection of Free Flow Power 3-meter turbine in flume at the USGS Conte
Anadromous Fish Laboratory
FERC Attempts to Limit Permitting on the Mississippi River. In April 2011 FERC issued notice
to Free Flow Power Corp. and Northland Power Mississippi River LLC stating that the two
companies already hold or have applied for 141 preliminary permits on the Mississippi River and
will not be issued any more. FERC reasoned that it appears unlikely, as a pragmatic matter, that
either applicant will be able to develop and file license applications for more than a small
percentage of these sites during the preliminary permit term, and that holding so many permits
limits fair competition among other developers. After receiving enormous opposition from the
two companies, FERC reversed its decision in June 2011. In 2012, 20 preliminary permits were
issued to Free Flow Power and one was issued to Northland Power Mississippi River LLC.
11.2.2.4 Detroit River Projects
RISEC Project Feasibility Study on the Detroit River. The Detroit/Wayne County Port
Authority (DWCPA), NextEnergy, the Detroit Riverfront Conservancy, and the University of
Michigan School of Naval Architecture and Marine Engineering are engaged in a collaborative
effort to develop and deploy a RISEC system on the Detroit River. Vortex Hydro Energy LLC, a
company set up by the University of Michigan, is developing the patented RISEC technology,
intended to be used at the DWCPAs new Public Dock and Terminal project. On August 2, 2010,
Vortex Hydro Energy LLC conducted an open water test of its latest Vortex Induced Vibration
(VIVACE) converter. The device was tested in the St. Clair River at Port Huron, MI.
11-14
Figure 11-10
Location of Verdants Cornwall Ontario Renewable Energy (CORE) Project in the St.
Lawrence River
11-15
Figure 11-11
Site of the CORE Project on the St. Lawrence River (left), and Verdant Turbine (right)
Figure 11-12
Positioning the anchor for the EnCurrent turbine deployment at Fort Simpson, NT, Canada
11-16
Upcoming and In-Progress Canadian Projects. New Energy Corporation is currently working
on several projects to deploy their EnCurrent hydrokinetic turbines, including the following:
500 kW Canoe Pass Tidal Energy Demonstration Project, Campbell River, British Columbia
11-17
3.00
Velocity (m/s)
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Figure 11-13
Stream velocity profile across the Yukon River at the USGS Gauging Station at Eagle,
Alaska for a discharge rate of 183,000 ft3/s
0.0
-2.0
-4.0
-6.0
-8.0
-10.0
-12.0
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Figure 11-14
Channel cross section at the USGS Gauging Station at Eagle, Alaska, at a discharge rate
of 183,000 ft3/s
11-18
Velocity (ft/s)
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
Discharge (ft^3/s)
Velocity
Fitted
Log. (Velocity)
Figure 11-15
Velocity versus discharge at the USGS Gauging Station at Eagle, Alaska
35%
30%
Frequency
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
2.
85
2.
65
2.
45
2.
25
2.
05
1.
85
1.
65
1.
45
1.
25
1.
05
0.
85
0.
65
0.
45
0.
25
0.
05
0%
Velocity (m/s)
Figure 11-16
Velocity distribution at the USGS Gauging Station at Eagle, Alaska
11-19
250,000
200,000
ft^3/s
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Month
Figure 11-17
Average discharge by month at the USGS Gauging Station at Eagle, Alaska
9.00
8.00
7.00
Velocity (ft/s)
6.00
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
-1.00
Jan
Feb Mar
Apr
May Jun
Jul
Aug Sep
Oct
Nov Dec
Month
Figure 11-18
Average velocity by month at the USGS Gauging Station at Eagle, Alaska
11-20
Axial flow: the axis of rotation is parallel to the direction of water flow.
Cross flow: the axis of rotation is perpendicular to the water stream and may be oriented at
any angle, from horizontal to vertical, with respect to the water surface.
Figure 11-19
River in-stream energy conversion devices
11-21
The subsystems for a hydrokinetic turbine typically include a blade or rotor, which converts the
kinetic energy in the water to rotational shaft energy; a drive train, which usually comprises a
gearbox and a generator; a support structure for the rotor and drive train; and other equipment,
including controls, electrical cables, and interconnection equipment.
Additional ways of classifying these devices include the following:
Open vs. ducted: Turbine rotors may be either open, much like wind turbines, or enclosed in
a duct or shroud. Since the energy extracted from the current is a function of the crosssectional area of the flow directed through the swept area of the turbine, using a duct of a
given cross-sectional area is the equivalent of using an open rotor with the same crosssectional area. The wind energy industry has found that adding length to a rotor blade is more
economical than adding a duct to increase the cross-sectional area and power of a wind
machine. However, the economics may differ for water turbines.
Fixed vs. variable-pitch blades: Pitch control is used to limit power, maximize the efficiency
of the turbine in variable flows, and enable bi-directional operation. There are other ways to
accomplish these three functions with fixed-blade turbines and many different design
concepts for implementing them.
Closed-center vs. open-center hubs: Instead of a fixed hub and rotating blades, a design
variation uses an outer fixed rim and an inner rotating bladed disc. One potential benefit of
an open-center design is eliminating the need for a gearbox by encapsulating the stator of a
generator on the rim of the machine.
Savonius vs. Darrieus vertical-axis turbines: First invented in Finland, the Savonius turbine
is S-shaped when viewed from above. This drag-type turbine turns relatively slowly, but
yields a high torque. The Darrieus turbine was invented in France in the 1920s. Often
described as looking like an eggbeater, this turbine has vertical blades that rotate into and out
of the flow. Using hydrodynamic lift, these turbines can capture more energy than drag
devices.
Non-turbine types are also being investigated, such as hydro Venturi and hydrofoil or vortex
induced oscillation. A few examples are described in the following subsection.
11.5.2 RISEC Technology Developers
Today, a number of entrepreneurial companies are leading the commercialization of in-stream
river energy conversion technologies. Any tidal in-stream energy conversion (TISEC)
technology can be applied to river in-stream energy conversion (RISEC). Table 11-3 lists known
RISEC/TISEC developers that are developing in-stream river applications as of August 2, 2012.
11-22
Device Name
Type
Development
Status 2
Unknown
Oscillatory
Laboratory
FFP Turbine
Generator
Axial Horizontal
Axis
Technology
Demonstration
Lucid Energy
www.licidenergy.com
Gorlov Helical
Turbine (GHT)
Cross Flow
Vertical Axis
Technology
Demonstration
Krouse Turbine
Axial Horizontal
Axis
Commercial
Demonstration
EnCurrent Turbine
Cross Flow
Vertical Axis
Commercial
Demonstration
OCGen
Cross Flow
Horizontal Axis
Commercial
Demonstration
Underwater Electric
Kite
Axial Horizontal
Axis
Commercial
Demonstration
Verdant Power
www.verdantpower.com
Axial Horizontal
Axis
Commercial
Demonstration
Vortex Hydro
www.vortexhhydro.com
VIVACI
Oscillatory
Laboratory
Microturbine River
In Stream
Axial Horizontal
Axis
Laboratory
11-23
model has two hydrofoils arranged in a tandem configuration so that the two hydrofoils also
operate with a 90-degree phasing. Thus far, the model system has operated satisfactorily.
AHRTA is now in the process of developing a new model with a simpler mechanism to enforce
the phasing between the pitch and plunge motion.
Figure 11-20
Experimental configuration of the AHRTA oscillating turbine
Figure 11-21
Free Flow Power SmarTurbine generator
11-24
FFP plans to place six to 12 turbines in arrays on pilings, 25 feet off the bottom of a river and at
least 40 feet below the surface to stay clear of ships and boats. The company expects to
manufacture two versions of the Free Flow Turbine Generator: a 2-meter turbine designed to
generate 10 kW at a flow velocity of 2 m/s, and a 1-meter turbine designed to generate 10 kW at
a flow velocity of 3 m/s.
Currently, all of Free Flow Powers hydrokinetic projects are located on the Mississippi River.
The company is investigating the feasibility of RISEC projects at several locations along the
river and holds 58 FERC-issued preliminary permits. In April 2011 FERC issued notice to Free
Flow Power Corp. and Northland Power Mississippi River LLC stating that the two companies
already hold or have applied for 141 preliminary permits on the Mississippi River and will not be
issued any more in order to promote fair competition among other developers. After receiving
enormous opposition from the two companies, FERC reversed the decision in June 2011. In 2012
20 preliminary permits were issued to Free Flow Power and only one was issued to Northland
Power Mississippi River LLC.
11.5.2.3 Hydro Green
Houston-based Hydro Green Energy, LLC has developed and patented a hydrokinetic turbine
array (HTA) system. The company intends to operate as an independent power producer (IPP),
selling the power generated from its HTAs via long-term, wholesale power purchase agreements
(PPAs), although the company has recently focused its attention on low-head hydropower
applications. Figure 11-22 illustrates a 2-by-2 hydrokinetic HTA configuration, and Figure 11-23
is an underwater illustration of the patented hydrokinetic in-stream river current device array
configuration.
Figure 11-22
Hydro Green turbines
11-25
Figure 11-23
Hydro Green turbine array configuration
Figure 11-24
Lucid Energy Gorlov Helical Turbine
11-26
Figure 11-25
Lucid Energy array configuration
11-27
Figure 11-26
New Energy system concept
Figure 11-27
New Energy EnCurrent turbine
Figure 11-28
Ocean Renewable Power Co. OCGen module
In mid-May 2007, ORPC initiated an OCGen TGU demonstration project in tidal currents
in the Western Passage (Passamaquoddy Bay) near Eastport, Maine. The demonstration was
completed in early 2008, and it successfully proved the basic design and technical feasibility of
the OCGen TGU. Data were also collected for use in the subsequent TGU commercial designs.
ORPC has continued to test improved designs at Eastport and was the recipient of a $10 million
grant from DOE to facilitate commercialization of its technology. ORPC holds a preliminary
permit for a site on the Tanana River, Alaska, where the RivGen TGU may be deployed.
11-28
On March 2, 2011 ORPC Alaska, LLC. was granted a preliminary permit from FERC for the
Nenana RivGen Power Project (P-13883), located on the Tanana River in the vicinity of Nenana,
Alaska, in the unorganized borough of Yukon-Koyukuk, Alaska. The project would utilize up to
six 50 kW RivGen devices with a combined capacity of 300 kW.
11.5.2.7 UEK Corp.
UEK Corp. was founded in 1981 by Philippe Vauthier, an early visionary in TISEC technology.
Since his death in 2008, the company has been led by his widow Denise Vauthier. UEK stands
for Underwater Electric Kite, Vauthiers description of a system that consists of two joined,
free-flow turbines tethered to the river or sea bed. Figure 11-29 illustrates deployment of a
prototype in the tailwater of a conventional hydropower project.
Figure 11-29
UEK prototype demonstrated in 2000
Source: UEK
11-29
Figure 11-30
Verdant Power Free Flow turbine
Figure 11-31
Verdant Power turbine lowered into the East River prior to mounting on a monopile
Verdant Powers Free Flow turbines can operate in both tidal and river settings. Turbines
deployed in tidal settings are assembled with internal yaw bearings, which allow the turbines to
pivot with the changing tide. Turbines designed for rivers are fixed. Depending on the site,
various types of devices can be used to anchor the turbines underwater. Verdant is currently
pursuing the permits required for a phased commercial project in Canadian waters of the St.
Lawrence River near Cornwall, Ontario (CORE project).
Following the successful testing of Verdants fourth- generation Free Flow device at the RITE
project from 2006 to 2009, Verdants fifth-generation device is planned for installation at that
site, as well as the CORE project site. As of January 23, 2012, Verdant Power is currently the
first developer to hold a commercial pilot project license from FERC for a tidal power project,
which utilizes Verdants TISEC/RISEC Free Flow device.
11-30
Figure 11-32
Vortex-induced vibrations oscillating objects in fluid currents
VIVACE devices can be positioned below the surface, thereby avoiding interference with other
river uses such as fishing, shipping, and tourism. In addition, VIVACE utilizes vortex formation
and shedding, the same mechanism fish use to propel themselves through the water, which
makes it compatible with marine life.
A VIVACE prototype was tested in the St. Clair River, Michigan in late 2010, and Vortex Hydro
expects to begin commercializing the technology by 2013.
11.5.2.10 Whitestone Power & Communications
Whitestone Power & Communications is a publicly owned company in Delta Junction, Alaska.
Whitestones axial flow device, Microturbine River In Stream, is currently listed at DOE
Technology Readiness Level (TRL) 5/6: System Integration, and Technology Laboratory
Demonstration. A diagram of the device is shown in Figure 11-33, and the DOE MHK
Technology Database lists the following description of the device:
HDPE blades are the only moving parts in the water. This gives the turbine high resistance to silty
or salty water. Blades designed to survive impact of 1500 lb object. HDPE provides flexibility
and strength. Blades penetrate water 24 inches allowing for deep and shallow operation.
Mounting design allows for variable depth operation for varying river conditions. All submerged
prime-mover parts constructed from HDPE. No underwater gearboxes, generators or electrical
cables. Velocity of blades 50% of velocity of river current.
11-31
Figure 11-33
Whitestone Power & Communications Microturbine River-In-Stream device
11-32
Figure 11-34
Ice jam during spring breakup: upstream view of the Yukon River at Eagle, Alaska
Since 1920, constructing and operating a non-federal hydroelectric project in the United States
has required a license issued by FERC in accordance with the Federal Power Act. In 2004, as a
result of legal interpretation from FERC, unconventional tidal and wave energy hydroelectric
projects were placed under FERC jurisdiction. In October, 2007, FERC announced a new
streamlined permitting approach for marine and hydrokinetic energy projects intended to reduce
the duration of the approval process from five years to six months for five-year licenses for pilot
projects under 5 MW. FERC issued a white paper in April 2008 explaining the new pilot project
licensing process, posted online at http://www.ferc.gov/industries/hydropower/indusact/hydrokinetics/pdf/white_paper.pdf.
In April 2011 FERC attempted to revise permitting and licensing for RISEC projects,
specifically projects on the lower Mississippi River, by denying additional preliminary permits to
Free Flow Power Corporation and Northland Power Mississippi River LLC. The reason, FERC
claimed, was that these two companies hold too many permits on the Mississippi River, which
prevents fair competition among other developers. Between these two developers there are 141
issued and pending FERC preliminary permits. Despite objecting to FERCs decision, Free Flow
Power immediately withdrew 58 of 60 applications and chose not to renew five other permits. In
response to the two companies enormous opposition to the decision, FERC reversed its decision
in June 2011. Subsequently, 43 of Free Flow Powers permits were accepted for filing by FERC,
whereas 40 of Northland Powers permits were listed as deficient, requiring additional
information.
First and foremost, a high annual current flow, in terms of both volume and speed
A transmission and distribution system that can transport the power from the river plant into
the grid and a substation interconnection point close to shore
Sufficient depth for the device to be deployed off the river bottom and completely
submerged, and which provides navigation clearance if required
11-34
Tanana at Whitestone
Yukon at Eagle
Taku at Juneau
Yukon at Pilot Station
Kvichak at Igiugig
Figure 11-35
Site location overview, with chosen sites indicated in yellow
For each of the three sites, point designs for both a single-unit demonstration and a commercial
tidal power plant were used to estimate cost and performance. Performance estimates were
developed using river current data predictions obtained from USGS. Figure 11-36 shows the
cross-sectional water depth profiles at the USGS measurement stations of the three sites of
interest.
0
-2
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
-4
-6
-8
-10
Kvichack @ Igiugig
-12
Yukon @ Eagle
Tanana @ Big Delta
-14
Distance from Shore (m)
Figure 11-36
Water depth profiles at three Alaska sites during typical river discharges
Figures 11-37 and 11-38 show the monthly average velocities and monthly average crosssectional power densities at the three sites. Rotor power output is directly related to the
hydrokinetic power density at a river site and significantly affects the project economics. As
noted earlier, the hydrokinetic power density of a free-flowing stream is proportional to the cube
11-35
of fluid velocity. Although the power densities for all three sites are much higher during summer
than winter, the Iguigig site exhibits much less summer/winter variability than the other two
sites. This is a direct result of the storage provided by Lake Llama upstream of the Iguigig site.
The higher river discharge rates during summer and associated higher velocities are a direct
result of the annual snow melt.
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Month
Figure 11-37
Average water velocities by month at three sites in Alaska
4.50
4.00
3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Month
Figure 11-38
Average power densities by month at three sites in Alaska
11-36
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
11-37
Lab/Idea
Prototype
Commercial
Volume
Production
Cost
Stage of Development
Figure 11-39
Cost projection as a function of development status
For the purpose of this assessment, a number of cost centers were defined that would allow
sufficient detail to provide a solid understanding of the impacts of the major cost drivers. The
following are cost centers that contribute to capital cost estimates in this analysis:
Installation: Includes all activities associated with the plant construction, including:
transport, underwater cable installation, mooring installation, device deployment and
commissioning. The plant is assumed to terminate on shore. No cost is included for the
interconnection of the plant with the electrical grid.
Permitting and environmental compliance: Includes all cost components required to permit a
plant. Uncertainties in this cost category are high because there is limited experience to draw
from. These costs include site baseline assessments, environmental baseline studies, and
consultant fees.
Infrastructure: All costs except for those of the devices and moorings themselves, including
underwater cables, cable landing to shore, dockside improvements, and specialized vessels
used to operate the project.
Mooring: Includes all components required to keep the device on-station. These may involve
mooring chains, anchors, piled foundations, shackles, and other mooring components.
Structural: Includes the main structural components, typically built from structural steel,
concrete or fiberglass.
Power take-off: Includes all components and subsystems required to convert the primary
mechanical energy into electricity that can be fed into the electric grid. Subsystems include
items such as a generator, gearbox, hydraulic system, frequency converter, step-up
transformer, and electrical riser cable.
11-38
Operating and maintenance (O&M) costs are divided into the following cost centers. To
normalize costs from operational activities, such costs are expressed as present value, divided by
the plants operational life and rated capacity to yield a unit of dollars per kilowatt capacity per
year ($/kW-year). The following are cost centers that contribute to O&M cost estimates in this
analysis:
Insurance: Insurance costs for one-off offshore installations are typically on the order of 2%
of capital cost. As technology matures and technology-related risks are reduced, such
insurance costs are expected to decline to a level similar to that of wind energy today.
Marine monitoring: It is expected that many early-adopter projects will require ongoing
monitoring of the plants environmental effects to satisfy regulatory agencies. This may
includes measures such as active and passive acoustic monitoring, fish studies, and sediment
transport studies.
Operations: This cost center contains all expenses associated with the operation, maintenance
and repair of the plant. This category includes labor cost, fuel cost, management expenses
and facility leases.
Replacement parts: Includes the cost of all parts that require replacement of the life of a
project.
11-39
Yukon at Eagle
Tanana at Whitestone
30
207
107
1,325
41
47
593
December 20092
December 20092
December 20092
Onshore Transmission
and Grid Interconnection
$2,575
$2,246
$178
Subsea Cables
$1,025
$894
$71
Powertrain Mounting
$1,100
$589
$627
Power Conversion
Modules
$1,325
$1,505
$1,168
Structural Sections
$925
$327
$565
Assembly
$225
$131
$150
Transport to Site
$150
$65
$105
Onsite Assembly
$150
$44
$105
Device Deployment
$38
$11
$26
Contingencies
$350
$196
$232
$7,863
$6,008
$3,229
$786
$601
$326
$8,649
$6,609
$3,555
Due Diligence,
Permitting, Fees and
Taxes
$393
$300
$161
Total Capital
Requirement
$9,042
$6,909
$3,717
$302
$140
$224
90
38
90
30 to +80% O&M
Costs
30 to +80% O&M
Costs
30 to +80% O&M
Costs
Number of Units
11-40
Table 11-5 summarizes the results of the assessment, with costs for each size plant broken down
by capital expenses (CAPEX in $/kW), O&M expenses (OPEX in $/kW-year), plant
performance, and the resulting cost of electricity (cents/kWh). CAPEX includes the costs of
permitting and environment, installation, infrastructure, mooring, structural components, and
power take-off equipment. OPEX includes the costs of insurance, marine monitoring,
replacement parts, and operations.
Table 11-5
RISEC energy cost, performance and economic profiles (2011$)
Plant Capacity
1 MW
5 MW
10 MW
Power Take-off
$1790
$1099
$898
Structural
$2043
$1746
$1632
Mooring
$204
$181
$172
Infrastructure
$493
$306
$250
Installation
$864
$294
$188
$1556
$347
$174
$6950
$3974
$3313
Operations
$171
$100
$79
Replacement Parts
$26
$19
$17
Marine Monitoring
$174
$35
$17
Insurance
$100
$42
$16
$470
$196
$129
6.8%
4.9%
3.9%
Capacity Factor
30%
30%
30%
Availability
95%
95%
95%
CAPEX Contribution
31
18
15
O&M Contribution
26
11
57
29
22
CAPEX ($/kW)
TOTAL
O&M ($/kW-year)
TOTAL
O&M Percent of CAPEX
Performance
TOTAL
11-41
Figure 11-40 graphically summarizes the CAPEX results for the three sizes of RISEC plants,
whereas Figure 11-41 does the same for O&M.
$8,000
CAPEX($/kW)
$7,000
$6,000
Permitting&Environment
$5,000
Installation
$4,000
Infrastructure
Mooring
$3,000
Structural
$2,000
PowerTakeOff
$1,000
$0
1MW
5MW
10MW
Figure 11-40
RISEC capital expense as a function of plant scale
Figure 11-41
RISEC O&M expense as a function of plant scale
11-42
River current velocity and corresponding power density are highly localized and can vary
significantly over a few hundred meters. To illustrate the sensitivity of a plants levelized cost of
electricity (LCOE) to the power density at the site, the velocity distribution during the
performance assessment was simply scaled to evaluate the technologies sensitivity to the
resource strength (Figure 11-42). This assessment does not consider regional differences in river
discharge and other site-specific resource differences, but can serve as an indicator to evaluate
the sensitivity of LCOE to resource strength.
35
CoE(cents/kWH)
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
0
MeanPowerFlux(kW/m2)
Figure 11-42
Cost of electricity as a function of mean power flux
11-43
Iguigig
Eagle
Whitestone
No
Yes
No
1.48 kW/m2
1.5 kW/m2
0.67 kW/m2
3.24 kW/m2
3.2 kW/m2
1.48 kW/m2
719 kW
4,601 kW
762 kW
1:4
1:20
1:10
60 m
150 m
50 m
40 kW
70 kW
> 5 MW
# of RISEC Devices
30
Rotor Diameter
1.5 m
2m
2m
Rated Capacity
42 kW
61 kW
593 kW
220 MWh/year
113 MWh/year
1356 MWh/year
Capacity Factor
65%
57%
29%
Availability
90%
38%
90%
$269,000
$308,000
$1,821,000
$5,800/kW
$7,500/kW
$3,100/kW
0.65 $/kWh
0.65 $/kWh
0.18 $/kWh
3 Years
4 Years
8 Years
Ice Freeze-over?
The value of electricity revenues is the avoided cost. For a rural Alaskan utility running on diesel, the avoided
cost is essentially the fuel cost. With fuel costs of $8/gallon delivered and efficiencies of 13 kWh/gallon, the
avoided cost is typically $0.65/kWh. The O&M cost of a diesel genset is $0.02-$0.05/kWh, but we
conservatively assume that a genset idling in the background has no O&M savings. For the grid-connected
Whitestone case, a value of $0.18/kWh was used.
2.
The simple payback period (SPP) is the year when the yearly revenues (calculated as the product of the annual
electricity produced multiplied by the avoided electricity cost) equals the sum of the capital cost plus O&M
cost. Escalation of non-fuel cost was assumed to be 3% per year and escalation of fuel costs was assumed to be
8% per year.
11-44
Impact(s)
Mitigation
Withdrawal of
River Energy
Interactions with
Aquatic Life,
Seabirds and
Benthic
Ecosystems
Emissions
Visual
Appearance and
Noise
Conflicts with
Other Uses of
River Space
The U.S. Department of Energy and the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory developed
TETHYS (after the mythical Greek titaness of the seas), which is a database and knowledge
management system that provides access to information and research pertaining to the potential
environmental effects of marine and hydrokinetic (MHK) and offshore wind development.
Tethys also hosts data from Annex IV, an international collaboration to gather information on
MHK environmental research worldwide. As of August 2012, there were 16 research reports in
the TETHYS database pertaining to RISEC devices.
11-45
Project Name/Site
2011
2012
2013
ABS Alaskan
0.005
Hydro Green
Hastings, Minnesota
0.100
0.025
100s of
MW
100s of
MW
100s of
MW
100s of
MW
Other 2008-Issued
FERC Prel. Permits
Various
100s of
MW
100s of
MW
TOTAL NEW
YEARLY CAPACITY
0.130
0.2
CUMULATIVE
Note:
1.
If Free Flow Power and Hydro Green complete their license applications within the three-year time frame of the
FERC preliminary permit, they should have their construction and operation licenses in 2011 and construct and
begin operation in 2012 or shortly thereafter.
In general, EPRI expects that river in-stream energy will experience a growth rate that is limited
by regulatory barriers and government support for the emerging river energy industry. EPRI
estimates that there could be 500 MW of RISEC plant capacity by 2025. This assumes that
FERC and other regulatory agencies change their practices to enable river in-stream plants to be
permitted at about the same cost as onshore wind plants, and that Congress enacts the same
financial incentives for river in-stream energy as are available for wind energy. There is a
potential for river in-stream capacity to significantly increase if Free Flow Power and Hydro
Green build their plants under the existing preliminary permits issued by FERC. Of course, it is
unknown at this time whether and how many of the RISEC projects in the FERC queue will
actually be built.
11-46
In addition to the research being conducted by the DOE National Laboratories, the department
has also funded the development of National Marine Renewable Energy Centers. As of 2012, the
department has helped establish three National Marine Renewable Energy Centers: Northwest
National Marine Renewable Energy Center (NNMREC), Hawaii National Marine Renewable
Energy Center (HINMREC), and Southeast National Marine Renewable Energy Center
(SNMREC).
11-47
The Northwest National Marine Renewable Energy Center is a DOE-funded partnership between
Oregon State University and the University of Washington. Oregon State University is
responsible for wave energy R&D, while the University of Washington is responsible for tidal
energy R&D. The Hawaii National Marine Renewable Energy Center is a partnership between
the DOE and the University of Hawaii, and focuses on wave energy R&D and Ocean Thermal
Energy Conversion (OTEC) R&D. The Southeast National Marine Renewable Energy Center is
a partnership between the DOE and Florida Atlantic University, and focuses on OTEC R&D and
ocean current energy R&D.
11.10 Conclusions
Considerable potential exists for generating electric power from river energy in the United States
and many other places in the world. Most of the high-power-density U.S. river hydrokinetic
energy potential exists in the lower Mississippi River, the Pacific Northwest, and particularly in
the state of Alaska. Many preliminary permits have been issued for the Mississippi, Missouri,
and Ohio rivers, due in part to the proximity to electrical load.
11.12 References
1. Miller, G., J. Franceschi, W. Lese and J. Rico. 1986. The Allocation of Kinetic Hydro Energy
Conversion SYSTEMS(KHECS) in USA Drainage Basins: Regional Resource and Potential
Power. NYUDAS 86-151.
2. River In-Stream Energy Conversion (RISEC) Characterization of Alaska Sites. EPRI, Palo
Alto, CA: 2008. EPRI-RP-003-Alaska.
3. System Level Design, Performance, Cost and Economic AssessmentAlaska River In-Stream
Power Plants. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2008. EPRI-RP-006-Alaska.
4. Fish Passage Through Turbines: Application of Conventional Hydropower Data to
Hydrokinetic Technologies. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2011. 1024638.
5. Evaluation of Fish Injury and Mortality Associated with Hydrokinetic Turbines. EPRI, Palo
Alto, CA: 2011. 1024569.
6. Previsic, M., Cost Profiles of Marine Hydrokinetic (MHK) Technologies, September 2011.
7. Prioritized Research, Development, Deployment and Demonstration (RDD&D) Needs:
Marine and Other Hydrokinetic Renewable Energy. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2008.
11-48
12
producing or storing electric energy with the intent of enabling practical use or commercial sale
of the available energy. A generating station is also defined as a plant wherein electric energy is
produced from some other form of energy by means of suitable apparatus (for example,
chemical, mechanical or hydraulic).
The operation of electric power systems is fundamentally different from services provided by
other types of utilities. Electric systems have two unique physical operating constraints:
Electric energy is not commercially stored86 like natural gas and water. Production and
consumption (generation and load) must be balanced in near real-time. This requires
continuous monitoring of load, generation, and the voltages and energy flows throughout the
power system, as well as adjusting generation output to match consumption.
The transmission and distribution network is primarily passive, with few control valves or
booster pumps to regulate electrical energy flows on individual lines. Flow-control actions
are limited primarily to adjusting generation output and to opening and closing switches to
add, remove, or reroute transmission and distribution lines and equipment from service.
These two operating constraints lead to numerous reliability consequences with practical
implications that dominate power system design and operation, including the following:
Every action can potentially affect all other activities on the power system. Therefore, the
operations of all bulk-power participants must be coordinated.
Cascading problems that quickly escalate in severity are a real threat. Failure of a single
element can, if not managed properly, cause the subsequent rapid failure of many additional
elements, potentially disrupting the entire power system.
Contingency readiness may limit current operations. For example, likely power flows that
occur if another element fails could limit the allowable power transfers.
Maintaining system stability and reliability often requires that actions be taken
instantaneously (within fractions of a second), requiring automatic computations,
communications, and controls.
These consequences bear directly on how wind and solar power interacts with the power system.
12.1.2 Expectations Based on Traditional Generator Performance
Reliable and low-cost operation of the interconnected electric utility is not a natural state but
relies on operational scheduling, planning, and coordination of a multitude of electric utility
control systems. A traditional electric utility generator is not just a source of energy. Operators
rely on an array of performance capabilities and specific services from traditional generators.
Some of these services are simply provided by generator operators as part of their participation
in an energy market. Others are obtained from bidding into separate ancillary services markets
that have evolved with deregulation of generation services. The exact definition of these services
varies in different markets but, in general, they fall into the categories described in Table 12-1.
86
Electricity is not stored directly. Rather, it is converted to another form of energy and re-converted later.
Pumped storage hydro converts electricity to mechanical potential energy by lifting water. Batteries convert electric
energy to chemical potential energy. Their conversion to electricity uses conventional generators or inverters.
12-2
Description
Energy (firm) scheduled well in advance, based on
availability, price, and long-term contracts.
Time Frame
Long-term
commitments
Load-Following or
Energy-Balancing Units
Frequency Regulation
(regulating reserves)
Continuous with
response in seconds
Spinning Operating
Reserves
Non-Spinning Operating
Reserves
Respond within 10
minutes
Replacement Reserves
Notes:
1.
Loss of load expectation (LOLE) is the probably measure that a load cannot be served with available generation.
2.
Automatic generation control (AGC) is a method for adjusting generation to minimize frequency deviations and
regulate tie-line flows.
3.
Control performance standards (CPS1 and CPS2) are minute-to-minute and 10-minute average criteria for load
frequency control in each control area. These criteria require control areas to maintain their area control errors (ACE)
within tight limits. ACE is measured in MW and is defined as the instantaneous difference between the actual and
scheduled interchanges plus frequency bias (imbalances that bias the system toward maintaining 60 Hz).
4.
Frequency regulation service is usually provided by generation that is on-line and delivering some level of base energy
power on a full-time basis or scheduled. The service increases and decreases power output so that the average output
over the scheduled period does not changethat is, there is no net change in delivered energy attributed to the
frequency regulation service. Consequently, energy-storage devices could provide this service. in some ISOs,
particularly California, this service may be split into two, with separate up and down regulation.
12-3
Response time is one of the critical factors in defining generation capabilities and services. The
reaction time is critical because of the nature of the electric utility system, which operates with
very little electrical storage, as described earlier. Furthermore, the degree to which variable wind
and solar power can be absorbed without significant integration issues, as well as the value
attributed to wind power, is determined by how well the traditional generation functions are
fulfilled, as well as the standard to which they need to be fulfilled.
12.1.3 Typical Power System Operations and Planning
This section outlines power system operations and planning, so that the reader can have a better
understanding of how variable renewable generation may have an impact on power system
operations and planning. From a planning perspective, the main aim is to ensure there are
sufficient resources available in periods from months to decades ahead to meet demand at the
desired level of reliability, while ensuring that cost, environmental, and other regulatory
constraints are met. With increased levels of variable generation, their particular characteristics,
described in the next section, will need to be accommodated. Reliability metrics and economic
planning are important aspects of long-term power system planning.
With or without variable renewable generation, the system operating strategy will likely include
energy balancing from both committed and reserve units, unit commitment block scheduling, and
an economic dispatch procedure. This strategy starts with a forecast of system load with timevarying characteristics and expected minimums and maximums. Inventories of available
generation and the estimated cost of energy as well as other services are maintained, or bid into a
market by market participants if appropriate. Desired reserve margins are set. Base loaded units
and firm energy blocks can be scheduled so that, in the short term, the operator is only dealing
with small differences between the predicted and actual load and/or available generation. Thus,
the system operator is effectively managing supply and demand over three time scales: (1) daysand hours-ahead scheduling, (2) intra-hour load following and balancing, and (3) fast regulation
to maintain system frequency and voltage, as shown in Figure 12-1. The impact that variable
renewable generation may have on this strategy is discussed later. All three time frames are also
important to effectively integrating any generation resource, including wind. This section first
describes day-to-day system operation, followed by a short description of some of the key
planning issues.
12-4
Figure 12-1
System operation over minutes/hours (top) to days (bottom)
guarantee a certain available supply of generation for a period in the future. This could also have
the side effect of reducing the volatility of energy prices in the day-ahead and real-time markets.
Resource adequacy generation resources are typically required to bid into the day-ahead energy
market under a bid cap. In non-market regions, the resources may receive a payment based on a
long-term agreement. Resources will each have a capacity credit, which is the amount of firm
capacity they can contribute to resource adequacy. Generation with low capacity credits tends to
have low output at peak, which is often the case with variable renewable generation.
In addition to ensuring that there is sufficient generation years ahead of time, the transmission
system must also be designed to ensure that generation can be delivered to load in a reliable
fashion. Therefore, transmission planning aims to plan for build-outs of new transmission
resources, while ensuring that reliability is maintained. In particular, the system must be able to
operate in a secure fashion, which means that it must be able to handle the loss of any
transmission line. Transmission planning often aims to balance reliability with economicsthat
is, the system should be built to ensure it is robust to contingencies (it can maintain stability with
the loss of any critical element), but overbuilding the system is expensive and inefficient. As
described later, the dispersed nature and low capacity factor of variable renewable generation
may increase transmission planning challenges.
12.1.3.2 Unit Commitment
Day-to-day operation starts with the unit commitment (UC) process. UC is part of a set of
programs for scheduling generation on an hourly to weekly basis. The primary goal is
determining which generation should be online at various parts of the day, while considering
generator characteristics as in Table 12-3. Vertically integrated utilities typically run their UC
optimization computer programs the day before the operation is needed. These programs accept
as inputs detailed information on the characteristics of the individual generating units that are
available to produce electricity on the following day, including unit status, minimum and
maximum output levels, ramp-rate limits, startup and shutdown costs, durations and lead times,
minimum runtimes, and unit fuel costs at various output levels. They then schedule generation
based on the objective of lowering overall system costs while meeting forecasted energy and
reserve requirements. Unit commitment is run for both markets and non-market systems.
Generally, markets will schedule a day ahead based on generator and load bids received, with a
reliability unit commitment run by the system operator to ensure security on the system once the
market has cleared. In many markets, unit commitment processes will continue to be run at
various intervals prior to the time of delivery to ensure sufficient energy and ancillary services to
meet demand at the desired reliability level. For example, the California Independent System
Operator (CAISO) runs day-ahead, hour-ahead, and real-time markets.
12.1.3.3 Economic Dispatch
Once generators are committed (turned on and synchronized to the grid), they are available to
deliver power to meet customer loads and reliability requirements. Utilities will typically run
their least-cost dispatch model every five minutes or so. This model forecasts load for the next
five-minute interval and decides how much more or less generation is needed during the next
interval for regulation to meet the system load. The model then selects the least-cost combination
of units that meet the need during the next intra-hour interval.
12-6
Load following resources are dispatched to follow within-the-hour load changes in the load (or
net load when including variable generation) consistent with the economic dispatch cycle (5 to
10 minutes per cycle). These are therefore used to follow variability in the load over periods of 5
to 20 minutes; sufficient load-following is procured in the economic dispatch stage to meet
variations in load. Load-following requirements tend to be somewhat correlated; most area
profiles rise in the morning and drop off in the evening. Still, because load-following
requirements are not perfectly correlated, the total system load-following requirement is less than
the sum of the load-following requirements of individual end users. This aggregation of loads
has a powerful effect on system planning and operation because the system must respond to total
variations, not the sum of individual variations
12.1.3.4 Role of Ancillary Services
In addition to committing and dispatching units, system operators contract for ancillary services
to support operation of the grid. FERC has defined ancillary services as those necessary to
support the transmission of electric power from seller to purchaser, given the obligations of
control areas and transmitting utilities within those control areas to maintain reliable operations
of the interconnected transmission system. This statement recognizes the importance of ancillary
services for bulk-power reliability and to support commercial transactions. Although the
resources necessary to create these services are generators, the services themselves must be
deployed and controlled by the same system operator that controls the transmission system.
Ancillary services are conceptually well defined. They have existed throughout the history of the
power system. However, the details of obtaining them from markets are still evolving. Ancillary
services normally provided by generation include regulation, contingency reserves, voltage
control, and black start capability. In many market regions, the resources to provide ancillary
services are determined based on a co-optimization with energy resources in the day-ahead
market. All resources bid in both energy and regulating capability and costs, and the market
optimizer (or vertically integrated utilities UC tool) determines the best mix of resources to
provide energy and ancillary services to meet scheduled demand at lowest cost. Energyboth in
day-ahead and from the perspective of interval-to-interval economic dispatch and load
followingwas already described. A brief description of different reserve types follows. Note
that these will vary from region to region and are constantly evolving, but the following serves as
an approximate guide.
Regulating Reserves/Regulation
System operators run regulation markets to ensure that there is adequate on-line generation
capacity for ramping up or down to follow the load and regulate the faster and more random
changes in load, especially in time periods shorter than the dispatch interval (i.e., within 5
minutes in many markets). Regulating units must be on-line and provide fast response
(regulation reserve, or simply regulation) to meet minute-by-minute fluctuation in the system
energy balance. The North American Electric Reliability Council (NERC) has set guidelines on
response-time performance for plants providing frequency regulation.
Both regulation and load following are dealt with on a balancing or control area basis through
NERC standards. It is not necessary to compensate for each and every load variation directly, but
the aggregate change in the area must be balanced; this includes any deviations from scheduled
flows on tie-line, thus the balancing authority or independent system operator (ISO) must ensure
12-7
that the net balance (of generation and supply on the system and tie line flows versus scheduled)
are maintained. The fast, random fluctuations associated with regulation are typically
uncorrelated. Consequently, the total regulation requirement is not the sum of all the regulation
requirements of the individual loads and uncontrolled generators, but is instead the sum of the
correlated components. Various plants in the generation mix will bid in or be scheduled to
provide balancing (energy regulation) to the system. It should be noted that controlling loads is
another way to balance supply and demand. Load control or load as a resource is being
considered by most ISOs. Demand response can be relatively fast and may be the least-cost
option. With the advent of the smart grid and associated technologies, controllable or responsive
loads may well increase significantly in the next decade, and such resources may prove very
useful in providing load following and regulating reserves.
Recently, FERC issued an order that would pay regulation revenues based on performance rather
than the capacity alone. This gives resources a chance to correct the higher frequency ACE
signals instead of respond to AGC and possibly receive higher payments for fast and accurate
response to these signals. FERC 755 requires regional transmission officers (RTOs) to base the
regulation market clearing price on the total cost to supply regulating reserve, including the
opportunity cost of the marginal resource. This may make the supply of regulation more
profitable for certain resources, while improving system-wide provision of regulation. The
largest impact will likely be for storage and demand response, which have high capital costs but
low opportunity costs to provide regulation; it may also be important for wind generation.
Table 12-2 shows the typical controllability characteristics of different types of generation that
may be in a fleet. Note that variable generation is shown here; whereas for the other technologies
what is shown is the controllability, however, for these resources, what is shown is how likely
the technology is to change in that period of time.
12-8
UnControlled
Variability
Minimum
Output % of
Rated**
Typical
Unit Size
[MW]
Minutes
100% in 30 sec
to 2 min
Seasonal
10%
1200
Hours-days
Once/day
1 to 2% per
minute
Rarely
40 to 50%
10750
SteamCoal
Critical Pressure
Hours-days
Once/day
0.2 to 2% per
minute
Rarely
40 to 50%
10750
Combined Cycle
Natural Gas
Hours
Twice/day
2 to 3% per min
Rarely
45 to 55%
40400
Combustion
Turbine Simple
Cycle
Minutes
More than
twice/day
3 to 5% per
minute
Rarely
55 to 65%
20250
Diesel Internal
Combustion
Minutes
More than
twice/day
100% in 15 to
30 seconds
Rarely
10%
0.120
Hours-days
Days
0.2 to 2% per
minute
Rarely
90 to 100%
7501500
Wind*
Seconds*
Minutes*
Seconds*
10%/min
2 to 5%
0.14.5
Solar PV*
Seconds*
Minutes*
Seconds*
10%/sec
2 to 5%
<0.11
Solar Thermal
6-hr Storage*
6090
minutes
More than
twice/day
Daily sitedependent
10%
50150
Compressed Air
Energy Storage
Minutes
More than
twice/day
30 to 40% per
minute
Rarely
25 to 30%
20250
Seconds to
minutes
Minutes
Seconds
Rarely
2 to 5%
<0.11
Startup
Time
Minimum
Cycling Time
Conventional
Hydro*
Minutes
SteamCoal
Generation Source
SteamNuclear
Battery Energy
Storage
* Controlled output changes depend on available resource (water, wind, sun), whereas uncontrolled output
variability, such as output ramp rates, vareis by technology and weather. Wind and solar PV are only partially
controllable and as such should be treated differently than other resources described here. In addition, it should be
noted that most wind, and much of solar PV, will be in the form of larger plants, from 10 to 100s of MWs in siz
** Minimum output is dictated by economics as well as technical limits, and market incentives could act to lower
minimum outputs.
12-9
Contingency generation reserves are needed in case of sudden loss of generation, off-system
purchases, unexpected load fluctuations, and/or unexpected transmission line outages. These
reserves may be spinning or non-spinning reserves, or simply serve as replacements. Reserve
generation units may be categorized as follows:
Contingency reserves. The power system must always be prepared to survive the
unexpected loss of a generator or a transmission line. To accomplish this, the power system
operator is required to maintain contingency reserves consisting of spinning reserve and nonspinning reserve sufficient to meet the largest credible contingency.
Spinning operating reserve. At least half the contingency reserve is typically spinning
reserve. Spinning (sometimes called synchronous) reserve comes from generation that is online, not fully loaded, capable of responding fully within 10 minutes, and able to maintain
that output for at least two hours. Spinning reserve units are also required to be responsive to
frequency deviations. In some regions, demand response is now allowed to provide spinning
reservefor instance, it can contribute to PJMs synchronous reserve market.
Replacement reserve. Contingency reserves must be restored so that the system is prepared
for a subsequent unexpected outage. Some regions specifically identify replacement reserves,
which are capable of responding within one hour and sustaining that response for an
additional two hours. They can be generators, loads, or resources from outside the ISOs
control area.
Together, spinning reserve, non-spinning reserve, and replacement reserve provide resources that
begin responding immediately to an unexpected event, are fully deployed within 10 minutes, are
capable of responding to a second event within one hour, and can sustain the total response for
three hours. This coordinated set of resources is designed to provide sufficient time for markets
to begin functioning again and return the system to normal operations. All of these services and
regulation are typically procured through day-ahead and hour-ahead markets run by the ISO or
balancing authority.
Figure 12-2 provides a summary of deployment times for various ancillary services. Reserves are
deployed only during contingency operations, whereas regulation and voltage control are
required during both normal and contingency operations.
12-10
Replacement Reserve
Voltage Control
0.1
98041
10
100
1000
TI ME (MINUTE S)
Figure 12-2
Ancillary services distinguished by their deployment times and durations
other entities, identifying it as an area that requires further study and possibly new standards or
regulations. Changing plant mix has been identified as a key reason for this, with coal being
replaced by gas (which may provide less inertia) and, more recently wind, and solar PV. The
nature of variable renewables means they do not provide the natural inertia and governor
response of conventional plant, and thus may affect frequency response.
12.1.3.7 Black Start
Because of relatively strict geographic requirements for black-start capability, it is also not
normally procured through markets. System operators determine the systems black-start
requirements to ensure that the system could be restored to service expeditiously if it should ever
fail completely. Long-term contracts are established with selected black-start units. Each blackstart unit must be capable of starting without external assistance within 10 minutes. It must be
capable of supplying the reactive power requirements and controlling the voltage of the
energized transmission system and operating for a minimum of 12 hours.
Wind
Solar Thermal
Solar PV
Wave
Tidal Current
Development
Status
Commercial
Emerging
Commercial
Commercial
PreCommercial
PreCommercial
Energy
Source
Uneven solar
heating
Sun
Sun
Wind over
water
Gravity of
moon and sun
Power Density
(annual 8760
average per
unit area)
0.250.35
kW/m2
(US Great
Plains)
0.180.3
kW/m2
(Southwest
US)
0.150.24
kW/m2
(Southern &
Western US)
2025 kW/m2
(US West
Coast)
210 kW/m2
(Northern US)
Variability
Weather
patterns
Day-night;
clouds, haze,
and humidity
Day-night;
clouds and
haze
Sea states
Diurnal and
semi-diurnal
Predictability
Hours
Minutes
Minutes
Days
Years
12-12
Thermal renewable generation resources, such as biomass, geothermal, and biogas, will behave
much as thermal plants currently do. Therefore, the issues likely to be seen on the distribution
and transmission systems will not be different than those seen when installing conventional
sources of electricity. This chapter does not examine these in any great detail. When certain
characteristics of these plants are relevant they are mentioned, but such plants are not the focus
of this chapter.
More than 50% of currently deployed renewable generation cannot be dispatched and available
power output depends on the weather. This number is likely to grow and increase variable
generation in the grid. Thus, grid-operating flexibility is reduced and reserve requirements
increase to accommodate these less controllable resources.
Wind in particular, but also run-of-river and geothermal, are typically remote and not near
primary transmission rights-of-way. The economics of adding transmission or distribution for
renewable energy can be challenging if capacity factors are low or output is variable. Tidal and
wave energy devices are currently not near commercial deployment, so they are not focused on
in this discussion. In the case of run-of-river hydropower, not shown in the table, output may be
more predicable with changes related to wet and dry seasons and longer-term weather patterns.
Power delivery contracts, as well as environment constraints, can also affect renewable
generation flexibility. For example, many hydro facilities must meet river flow requirements
regardless of grid power needs, geothermal is often purchased as must take energy, and
municipal solid waste facilities are driven to dispose of their accumulating fuel. In contrast, solar
thermal electric technology includes about 30 minutes of natural thermal inertia and is very
conducive to the addition of additional thermal storage without significantly increasing cost. In
many areas of the West, two to six hours of thermal storage can provide solar plant flexibility
and carry afternoon solar peaks into early evening load peaks.
When wind, solar, and other variable generation resources are part of the generation mix,
operators must consider their unique characteristics when planning and operating the power
system. Conventional power plant performance metrics are designed for dispatchable
generation. These can be difficult to apply to variable generators such as wind and solar power.
Currently IEEE 762-2006 is the standard for reporting individual power plant performance. The
Standard assumes fuel is available, and indicates to what extent the rest of the plant performs
relative to its rating and availability. In contrast, performance metrics used for renewable plants
normally assume that fuel is variable and the main determining factor of plant availability. This
contrast, between traditional controllable generation and emerging variable generation, has led to
some confusion and hesitation to incorporate solar plants into a conventional generation fleet.
The following characteristics of variable generation are likely to require changes in system
operation and planning:
Variability
Uncertainty
Distributed generation
12.2.1 Variability
The output of most traditional generators can be planned, as well as controlled, even minute-tominute to meet the expected daily load and to balance or regulate load variations. Variable
generation output depends on the weather and is determined by characteristics such as timevarying wind speeds, solar insolation, or tidal current. Its output varies day to day, as well as
from hour to hour and even minute to minute. Seasonal changes are also likely. Figure 12-3
shows the annual wind output at a site in the Midwestern United States with hourly resolution,
and Figure 12-4 shows the hourly output of a solar PV plant over one week.
Although two variable generation facilities may have the same capacity rating and annual energy
production, different wind regimes or solar insolation patterns may result in very different
hourly, daily, and seasonal operating schedules. Consequently, aggregating output over a large
area can reduce variability because the output of different widespread wind farms or solar plants
is not perfectly correlated. Additionally, variability is reduced when examining wind and solar
PV output together.
Hourly Wind Production
250
200
MW
150
100
50
0
1
10
Month
Figure 12-3
Wind output varying diurnally, seasonally, and with weather changes
12-14
11
12
Figure 12-4
Daily variation of solar PV system output over a month (recorded for 1-MW site near
Knoxville, TN, 2012)
Figure 12-5 compares typical variations in system load (electricity demand) with variations in
wind power generation. The difference is the amount of required generation scheduling and
energy regulation for non-wind power plants. Experience to date has shown that wind output is
not likely to coincide with peak load requirements (and thus has a low contribution to resource
adequacy) and that there are interesting successes and significant challenges to absorbing higher
levels of deployment. As the footprint covered by the installed variable generation increases, the
total variability decreases because variability is smoothed as outputs from wind plants are not
fully correlated. Therefore, when considering the effect that wind plants have on the system, it
should be noted that each does not need to be balanced individually, but rather the impact on the
system net load as a whole should be considered.
12-15
Figure 12-5
Hourly load shapes with and without wind generation (from DOE 20% Wind Energy by
2030, Report DOE/GO-102008-2567, May 2008)
In addition to balancing supply and demand on an hourly basis, maintaining grid stability usually
involves moment-to-moment balancing of the load and generation by holding a constant
frequency, as described previously. A substantial load change may cause sudden changes in
frequency to which speed governors on individual generator units must respond. The number of
plants and their capacity to provide load balancing and regulation are limited in any power
system. The challenge is to have sufficient energy balancing and regulating generation with ramp
rates to meet the worst-case net load fluctuations. Introducing variable generation usually means
that additional flexibility will be required on the part of other conventional generation to
accommodate sub-hourly ramps. Figure 12-6, from NREL, shows the distribution of 5-minute
changes in generator loading requirements with and without wind generation.
Wind power outputs have significant spatial variations. Outputs from nearby wind plants are
correlated, but outputs from distant wind plants are not. This spatial variation can smooth output
in show time frames. As shown in Figure 12-7, also from NREL, short-time fluctuations of wind
power are independent regardless of distance between wind plants. However, longer-time wind
power fluctuations are correlated for nearby wind power plants.
Figure 12-6
Number of P observation changes in average power for 4 ramp rate intervals: 10 seconds,
1 minute, 10 minutes, and 1 hour (The period shown is summer of 2012; from NREL.)
12-16
Figure 12-7
Example of wind power plant output correlation with distance (from NREL)
12.2.2 Uncertainty
As well as being variable, most variable generation (with the exception of tidal power) is
unpredictable. The degree of predictability varies with technology; wind power can be well
forecast for the next few hours, but beyond that is difficult to predict. Solar PV can be difficult to
forecast over one hour for smaller arrays. This uncertainty of output increases the need for
regulating reserves, and should also be considered when making unit commitment decisions. The
likely forecast error, often measured as mean absolute error (MAE) or root mean square error,
needs to be accounted for by including additional flexibility in the commitment, so that forecast
errors can be covered by plants in an economical and reliable way.
The prediction error for variable generation increases with timeforecasts are less accurate a day
ahead than an hour ahead. As with variability, uncertainty is decreased when variable generation
is spread out over larger areas. The main prediction errors tend to be for large ramps, which are
decreased when a larger area is considered since there is not perfect correlation between the
output of plants in different areas.
12.2.3 Non-Synchronous Nature of the Resource
Wind and solar PV (and other inverter connected generation) does not connect synchronously to
the grid, which is different from other conventional resources, which spin at the same frequency
as the grid. This means that these resources do not naturally provide inertia or primary frequency
response. Increased levels of inverter-based generation therefore cause concerns about the
frequency response capabilities of the system. As well as not providing the frequency response
characteristics, they will also displace other generators which can provide these critical services,
and thus the ability of the system to respond to faults may be degraded. Recently, various
vendors have begun to implement active power control on wind turbines which would allow this
service to be provided from wind, by emulating inertia and primary frequency response. Solar
PV may also be able to provide primary frequency response in the future.
12-17
In addition to frequency issues, wind and PV may displace traditional reactive power resources
on the system, both for normal operation and following a fault. Without these resources
available, there may not be sufficient reactive resources on the system to maintain voltages at
required levels. In addition, wind and/or PV plants may actually consume reactive power if not
controlled to avoid this, thus making the situation worse. However, in the past decade, much
work has been done to provide interconnection standards such that now most wind plants and
larger PV plants will provide reactive power support to the system, either through their own
power electronics or through associated reactive power equipment.
12.2.4 Distributed Nature of the Generation
Wind, solar, and other renewable generation are deployed both as large projects interconnected
to the transmission system and as small distributed facilities connected to the distribution system.
Even though wind is considered primarily as a bulk-generation resource, a growing number of
installations are being deployed on distribution systems at or near smaller load centers. Because
distributed systems are designed for one-way power flow, distributed generators require special
arrangements for connection and protection.
Two types of distributed wind and solar applications are common. Some facilities use local
distribution to collect energy from individual units and deliver it to the distribution system. Other
facilities are more dispersed and are individually connected to the system. Integration issues that
may surface in these distribution scenarios include voltage regulation, protection coordination,
and interferences or harmonic flows along rights-of-way. In general, these are the same
integration concerns that occur when generation is added into the distribution system.
12.2.5 Remote Location of Some Renewable Resources
Although good quality renewable energy sites exist throughout the United States, the best wind
and solar resources are located relatively far from large load centers. In addition, sites selected
for building large wind farms are likely to be away from population centers. This is not unique to
wind. For example, other generation types, such as hydro and coal-fired stations, may also be
located at significant distances from load centers. However, wind developments have tended to
not consider the available transmission capacity to these sites or include the transmission-related
costs of taking the wind to market.
12.2.6 Experience of Integration of Wind Power
In some regions, such as Northern Europe and the upper Midwest and California in the United
States, relatively high penetration levels are managed via a strong existing transmission
backbone and by relying on other controllable generation, such as gas turbines and hydropower.
Other regions with less flexibility have experienced forced curtailment of wind generation, such
as transmission congestion in west Texas, transmission and distribution line voltage control
issues along the Buffalo Ridge in Minnesota and northwest Iowa, and challenges for grid
operators to follow load and manage ramp rates in territories such as the California ISO, New
Mexico and the Big Island of Hawaii (EPRI Wind Integration Technology Assessment and Case
Studies, 1004806, March 2004). Curtailment will generally happen for one of two reasons: lack
of flexibility in the generation fleet (plant cannot be ramped down or turned off quick enough to
accommodate wind) or congestion in the transmission network.
12-18
As penetration levels of variable generation increase, so does the challenge of managing this
resource. Wind penetration levels are already 10% to 15% of capacity in some areas of New
Mexico and California. Utilities such as Public Service of Colorado have seen instantaneous
penetrations of over 50% of demand being met by wind energy during low load periods. Even
higher penetrations have occurred on islands and in European grids. Although in the main,
integration of this level of wind generation has not caused any particular issues, with higher
penetration, the response of wind turbines to weather and power system transients have created
operating concerns. It can also have an impact on the frequency performance of the system as
shown in Figure 12-8.
Figure 12-8
Example of wind plant output variation on area control error (ACE)
Courtesy of Public Service of New Mexico
12-19
By its nature, solar energy is more available during the summer than in the winter, as shown in
Figure 12-10. For most areas with summer peaking of demand, this profile is a good match with
load requirement. Even so, seasonal and daily variations of available output affect capacity factor
and overall system economics.
Figure 12-9
Relative cost of photovoltaic electricity due only to resource variability
Figure 12-10
Monthly solar energy variation over one year
12-20
Widespread deployment of solar would certainly challenge both retail and wholesale grid
operations. Some studies estimate that such challenges could manifest as early as 2020 in some
parts of the country. (See the EPRI white paper, Distributed Photovoltaics: Utility Integration
Issues and Opportunities, August 2008, 1018096, as well the prior Western Governors
Associations Clean and Diversified Energy Initiative Solar Task Force Report, completed
January 2006.)
Interconnection
Rules
System Integration
Concerns
Local connection
requirements, e.g.,
IEEE 1547 and
derivatives.
Understanding system
response for planning and
analysis of scenarios
Depending on the location and the relative size of renewable output, integrating variable
generation ultimately leads to increased variability and uncertainty, remote locations requiring
increased transmission, with impacts on system dispatch, network stability, load following, and
load balancing. The impacts of wind generation on both technical operating limits and ancillary
costs are summarized in the EPRI report, Survey of Wind Integration Study Results (1011883,
March 2006), covering North American sites. A related report also covers European sites (EPRI
1012734, March 2007). A number of key integration impacts have been identified.
Increased Need for System Flexibility and Transmission
The need for additional system flexibilitythe ability of the system to respond to variability and
uncertaintyis principally determined by wind-related features, with wind penetration being the
single greatest factor; studies and experience to date have shown that most power systems can,
on an energy basis, reliably accommodate up to 10% penetration, with only minor cost and
operating impacts. The cost to provide this system flexibility (as opposed to the costs to actually
connect wind to transmission and distribution networks) is best described as the additional costs
induced by balancing the variability and uncertainty of wind, and is a function of the existing
power system, plus any new investment required. A 2009 IEA study that compared the wind
integration costs from studies across Europe and North America, cited a cost range of 0 to 4.0
/MWh, or about 0 to $5.63/MWh;87 see Figure 12-11. In addition to these balancing costs to
provide flexibility during operations, another key aspect is to ensure that flexibility is provided in
the planning process.
Figure 12-11
Results from estimates for the increase in balancing and operating costs due to wind
power [1]88
87
88
12-22
With regard to moving wind energy to load, transmission issues are particularly challenging.
From planning to permitting, from capital cost estimation to cost allocation, there is no clear
indication how and whether sufficient transmission will be constructed to tap into our vast,
remote, domestic wind resources. However, it remains that of all the flexible resource
possibilities, it seems that increasing the transmission capabilities of an area, both in improved
transmission within the area and improved transmission to other regions in order to access
flexibility, is key to integrating variable generation.
Minimum load considerations present a technical limit on the amount of wind that a power
system can accommodate. Proposed federal environmental regulations directed at thermoelectric
power plants will inadvertently decrease operational flexibility from mainly baseload plants
namely by increasing higher minimum loads and slowing ramp rates. At periods of low net load,
thermoelectric power plants may be shut down to accommodate windfor example, over a night
or a weekend. Many combined cycle natural gas-fired units and some coal units already operate
in this two-shift mode, meaning they shut down overnight; this type of operation may be needed
for more units, which will be particularly difficult for those which have operated as baseloaded
units for most of their lifetime. This additional generator cycling is expected to be an
increasingly challenging aspect of variable generation integration. With increased requirements
for flexibility, plants operated in a more flexible manner may see increases in variable O&M
costs, increases in forced and scheduled outages, reductions in lifetime, and reductions in
efficiency, all in the face of reduced operating hours and possible reduced revenue. Therefore,
planning and operating the power system will have to incorporate these issues to ensure that the
flexibility required is available. System planning will likely have to account for increased
flexibility requirements in the future as well as traditional resource adequacy requirements.
Situational Awareness Impacts
With increased levels of variable generation, operators will be required to deal with larger, more
frequent ramps in system net load (load minus variable generation) as well as more uncertainty
in when they occur. This will require greater situational awareness. With increasing levels of
variable generation, the system will move from a mainly deterministic system to a more
stochastic system, with increased uncertainty causing significant challenges for system operators.
In particular, bulk system operators faced with significant amounts of distributed energy
resources, such as PV, may not have direct visibility of the minute-to-minute production of that
resource, and thus will not know what the conventional plant on the system needs to be doing.
This is already being seen in places such as the Big Island of Hawaii and, to a lesser extent, parts
of Germany and Southern California. Figure 12-12 gives an example of the type of large ramps
that may be seen by an operator with increased levels of variable generation. This shows how
reserves available to the operator dropped off as wind on the system decreased at the same time
as a load rise. It can be seen that this was not forecasted wellforecasting, though improved
significantly in the past decade and now in use in all of the North American ISOs, is still never
going to be perfect, increasing the need for situational awareness.
12-23
Figure 12-12
Large wind ramp in Texas showing need for increased situational awareness
concerns due to displaced conventional plant are limiting the amount of energy that can be met
instantaneously by non-synchronous sources (in Ireland, currently 50% can be met before wind
is curtailed; this is expected to be raised in the near future).
0.5
0.3
0.1
-0.1 0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
-0.3
-0.5
-0.7
-0.9
Figure 12-13
Power factor curves for example wind plant
A final impact on transmission system stability may come from significant penetration of
distributed energy resources, such as small (rooftop) PV. Here, issues such as a lack of visbility
of output and the impact on load are important and will make it more difficult to operate the
system In addition, these generators are currently connected through the IEEE 1547 standard for
distributed generation, which has a requirement to disconnect the generation if a low voltage or
low frequency event is seen. Although the primary purpose of that is to maintain safety and
ensure that local reliability is maintained, it has the side effect of possibly causing a fault on the
bulk system to be exasperated as the PV disconnects. There is currently a proposal to change
IEEE 1547 to accommodate bulk system as well as distribution system needs to account for this.
As well as the impacts listed earlier, other impacts may also arise from the integration of variable
renewable resources in the bulk system. However, those listedincreased need for flexibility
and transmission, possible impacts on system stability, and increased need for situational
awarenessare those which have been identified as most crucial based in studies and experience
to date.
12.3.2 Distribution Connected Generation Impacts
Todays electric distribution systems have evolved over many years, in response to load growth
and changes in technology. The largest single investment of the electric utility industry is in the
distribution system. Most common are radial circuits fed from distribution substations designed
to supply load based on customer demand requirements while maintaining an adequate level of
power quality and reliability, as shown in Figure 12-14.
12-25
Figure 12-14
Todays typical distribution feeder topology [1]
Figure 12-14 shows how the system is designed to be fed from a single source. Protection is
based on time-overcurrent relays and fuses that use nested time delays to clear faults by opening
the closest protective device to a fault and minimizing interruptions. It is designed to safely clear
faults and get customers back in service as quickly as possible. In areas of high load density,
network systems are common. These systems are fed by multiple transmission sources, and
thereby provide high reliability. Both radial and network distribution systems have been
designed to serve load, with little planning for generation connected at these levels.
Circuit sectionalizing switches are manually controlled to restore load in unfaulted sections
downstream from a failure. The system voltage is maintained in compliance with American
National Standard Institute (ANSI) Std. C84-1, which specifies that service voltage be delivered
within 5% of the system rated voltage. These systems are generally considered to be ready to
support small photovoltaic installations without change, when the PV inverters meet appropriate
IEEE, UL, and FCC standards, and the overall penetration levels are very low.
12-26
The designs and technologies associated with todays distribution systems impose important
limits on the ability to accommodate rooftop solar and other distributed generation, end-user load
management, distributed system controls, automation, and future technologies such as plug-in
hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV). The system characteristics that lead to these limitations include
the following:
Voltage control is achieved with devices (voltage regulators and capacitor banks) that have
localized controls. These schemes work well for todays radial circuits but they do not handle
circuit reconfigurations and voltage impacts of local generation well. This results in limits on
the ways circuits can be configured and important limits on the penetration of distributed
resources. It also limits the ability to control the voltage on distribution circuits for
optimizing customer equipment energy efficiency.
The infrastructure is limited in its capacity to support new electrical demand such as home
electronics and PHEVs. These new loads have the potential to seriously affect distribution
system energy delivery profiles. Communication and coordinated control will be needed to
effectively serve this new demand.
At the same time, the distribution system infrastructure is aging, resulting in concerns for
ongoing reliability. Utilities are struggling to find the required investment just to maintain the
existing reliability, much less achieve higher levels of performance and reliability. New
automation schemes are being implemented that can reconfigure circuits to improve reliability,
but these schemes do not achieve the coordinated control needed to improve energy efficiency,
manage demand, and reduce circuit losses.
The bottom line is that todays power distribution system has not been designed for distributionconnected PV or other high penetration of distributed generation. In the past this was not an
issue, but today, with larger amounts of PV connecting to the electric system, we can expect new
challenges in how distributed and variable generation can be safely and reliably interconnected.
12-27
The following impacts will be seen when large amounts of PV are integrated at the distribution
level:
Steady-state voltage regulation: Because distributed energy resources (DER) raise voltage
levels when they inject power into the grid, they may cause high voltage conditions at high
penetration levels. This will have an impact on the stability of the grid, and needs to be
mitigated.
Voltage flicker: Voltage flicker is a sudden change in voltage that occurs in seconds or
fractions of a second that can cause objectionable changes in the visible output of lighting
systems. The existing standards are likely adequate for high penetration of distributionsystem-connected PV.
Harmonics: Harmonics are distortions in the regular 60-Hz sine wave in North American
power systems. Too much harmonic distortion can cause adverse operation of customer and
utility equipment. Improvements over the past 10 years in the quality of inverter output have
drastically reduced issues with PV system harmonics. The existing standards are likely
adequate for high penetration of distribution system connected PV.
Unintentional islanding: Utilities are regularly required to isolate a section of the power
system by disconnecting the section with network protectors or switches. Unintentional
islands can be established when a section or the grid is isolated from the substation supply
while the load continues to be maintained by an energy source within the isolated section that
continues to provide power. Unintentional islands pose a threat to proper utility system
operation due to their unsynchronized nature, hazard to public safety, and inadequacy to meet
customer loads. The IEEE 1547 standard and utility interconnection guidelines require PV
systems connecting to the network to have anti-islanding protection set to disconnect in the
event that the network voltage or frequency goes outside of predefined limits. As a result,
unintentional islands are not currently considered a significant concern. However, current
anti-islanding techniques require PV systems to drop offline rather than ride-through
temporary faults, contributing to voltage drop or frequency problems. Large amounts of PV
could be prone to tripping during severe transmission system disturbances that typically
affect a wide geographical area.
In order to directly address the issues related to connecting large amounts of PV in the
distribution system, four key areas will need to be addressed:
1. Voltage regulation practices
2. Overcurrent protection practices
3. Grounding practices
4. Switching and service restoration practices
Fortunately, due to the robustness of the existing design practices, the distribution system can
handle some level of distributed renewable generation without modification. The basis for
simplified interconnect rules, such as California Rule 21, is that some level of robustness in
existing distribution design allows connection without detailed engineering studies. Standards
such as IEEE 1547-2003 and U.L. Inverter Test Standard 1741 evolved to enable connection
without major design changes to the electric system.
12-28
In most areas today, distributed renewable generation is treated as negative load and the usual
functions of generation are not expected or required. However, as PV deployments grow, feeder
cases that cross the threshold are expected, requiring changes in operation rules such that
distributed generation will need to provide voltage support and eventually energy balancing. This
is anticipated to occur initially on individual feeders with high penetration and later on at the
substation and sub-transmission level. Table 12-5 shows how the role and the rules for behavior
of distributed generation need to need to change with increasing penetration levels.
Table 12-5
Grid penetration scenarios and changing role of distribution generation
% of Generation
2%
10%
Grid Penetration
Scenarios
I. Low-numbers
and level of PV
with relatively stiff
grid connection
II. Moderate-level
of PV with
relatively soft grid
connection
III. High-level of
PV with capacity
of grid less than
the load demand
IV. PV operates
part time as an
island or microgrid
PV Impact and
its role in the
Grid
Critical to power
delivery and
meeting demand
Primary power
source for
standalone
operation
Interconnection
and Integration
Objectives
Non interference,
good citizen and
compatible
Engage PV for
system
operations and
control
Rely on PV for
stability and
regulation
Rules / Standard
Operating
Procedures
IEEE 1547-2003
current practice
radial feeders
Modified 1547,
add network and
penetration limits
Standalone rules
that are system
dependent
Main Concerns
with Respect to
System Dynamic
Grid Impacts
-Voltage and
current trip limits
-Interfere with
regulation
-Availability
-Availability
-Recovery times
-Regulation
provided
-Load following
-Response to
faults
-Synchronization
-Coordination
-Ramping
response
-Normal and
reserve capacity
-Islanding
30%
100%
-Voltage control
-Interactions of
machine controls
Transitions On- and Off-Grid
12-29
12-30
rely on real-time wind speed, direction, and power generation data; rapid-update numerical
physical model data; simple persistence, and adjustments using self-learning statistical methods
such as screening multiple linear regression (SMLR), artificial neural network (ANN), and
support vector machines (SVM) (Figure 12-15).
Longer forecast time intervals greater than four to six hours typically use numerical weather
prediction, physical wind flow models, and statistical techniques to predict weather conditions,
wind flow patterns near the wind turbines, and wind energy generation. The technology has
advanced to the point that the mean absolute error of same-day wind energy forecasts has
decreased to 6% to 8% and the error of next-day forecasts has decreased to about 15%.
Predictors
P1,P2,...
SMLR
ANN
SVM
Predictand
F
Training
Algorithm
F = f(P1,P2,...)
Figure 12-15
Wind predictions adjusted using self-learning statistical methods
Source: AWS Truepower [26]
Figure 12-15 is a schematic diagram of an example longer-term forecast model used by AWS
Truepower to generate 48-hour forecasts [26]. The longer-term forecast model typically involves
the following steps:
1. Download numerical weather forecast data from the National Center for Environmental
Prediction (NCEP) website.
2. Calculate wind flow around wind plant using a meso-scale or wind-flow model.
3. Apply model operating statistics (MOS) to estimate adjusted wind speed and direction at
wind plant.
4. Estimate hourly power generation at 100% availability using wind plant model.
5. Apply MOS to adjust the hourly power generation forecast.
6. Adjust forecast to account for curtailment and forced outages of individual wind turbines (if
available).
7. Issue the 48-hour forecast of hourly wind speed and energy generation.
12-32
Although forecast accuracy has improved and commercial forecasting systems are being applied
throughout the world, there are still several issues that stand in the way of further reductions of
wind forecast error. They include (1) the general unavailability of robust real-time wind speed,
direction, and generation data for individual wind plants and for regional wind generation
resources; (2) the unavailability of operational status data for individual wind turbines required
to adjust forecasts for machines that are shut down or curtailed; and (3) methodologies to
accurately forecast rapid changes of wind speed and generation and that result in high ramp rates
of regional wind generation.
A recent Department of Energy project, the Wind Forecast Improvement Project (WFIP), is
examining the benefits of increasing the number of sensors and the nature of the sensor
technology, being provided to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
which runs all the numerical weather prediction (NWP) forecasts for North American entities
(the ECMWF, the European body, and other bodies also run forecasts for North America as part
of their global models). This project is examining how these data can be utilized with new NWP
forecasting models developed at NOAA, such as the Rapid Refresh model and the High
Resolution Rapid Refresh model, which runs more frequently and at higher resolution than
previous models, thus allowing more up-to-date and more granular data, which can then be used
as input to the commercial providers forecasting tools. Similar work is expected for solar
forecasting.
As the installed wind capacity continues to grow, the value of more accurate wind energy
forecasts will increase. Thus, there will be a large incentive to further improve forecast accuracy
in future years. The need for more accurate forecasting of high ramp rates up and down has
become especially important because the combined output of large concentrations of wind power
plants can change quickly and affect operation of the grid. Because of the complexity of weather
impacts on wind plant output, ramp rate forecasting is particularly challenging. The factors
affecting ramp forecasting include passage of weather fronts and storms that cause sudden
changes in wind speed and direction, large-scale eddy currents that cant be predicted, and
variations of atmospheric stability that affects local wind patterns.
A final recent development in variable generation forecasting is in the area of probabilistic
forecasting. This method produces forecasts with uncertainty intervals around a mean forecast.
This allows operators greater knowledge of how confident the model is in the forecast ability, as
well as giving operators greater knowledge of whether they will have a wide range of forecast
error for any particular forecast. It can also be used with stochastic optimization based methods
as described later to better operate the system.
12.4.3 Increased Diversity through Increased Transmission and BA Cooperation
As mentioned earlier, many integration studies show the benefit of diversity when integrating
variable generation. Increased diversity in the area in which variable generation is installed
reduces variability and uncertainty, making variable generation easier to manage. For example,
while wind power can be very variable at one wind plant, the variability of 10 wind plants will
be significantly less. Considering a larger area increases the flexible resources that can be used to
deal with wind power variability, as well as provide inertia. Therefore, strengthening the
transmission network allows variable generation to be accessed and its total impact reduced. This
would also require increased balancing area (BA) cooperation to ensure the flexible resources on
12-33
the system as a whole are well utilized to minimize the effect of variability. Instead of each
balancing area needing to manage its own variability, increased cooperation would allow a
sharing of reserves needed to manage variability. The total reserves needed over all regions
would thus be decreased, and the flexible resources needed could be reduced. A good example of
this can be found in Europe, where Denmark, with very high wind penetration, is able to access
flexible resourcesparticularly hydroin neighboring Norway to mitigate variability effects.
Currently, there is much focus in the Western Interconnection of the United States on possible
costs and benefits of setting up an energy imbalance market there, which could be used to
share energy imbalance requirements throughout the region rather than each BA being required
to meet its own.
12.4.4 Flexibility from Conventional (Non-Variable Generation) Plant
Increased demand for flexibility from the conventional fleet can be met by building new
technology, such as energy storage, and can also be managed, to a certain extent, by existing
resources. Dispatchable plantswhich can respond to commands from the system operator to
change outputare the dominant source of flexibility today, and will remain of crucial
importance in the future. All types of dispatchable plants can change their output, but certain
types are technically better able to respond, both in the extent to which they can change their
output as well as the time it takes to do so. The critical characteristics of conventional plant
which can be used to maintain the balance of supply and demand are their ramp rates, startup
times, and minimum turn-down level.
Expected or unexpected increases in wind power output will force conventional generators to
ramp down or shut-down entirely, while reductions in wind power output, will force
conventional plant to ramp up their output, or if sufficient ramping capability is not available,
fast-starting units will need to come online. Some generation types (such as hydro or even open
cycle gas turbines) are more suited to frequent cycling, but for others, particularly units designed
for baseload operation, the large temperature and pressure gradients associated with cycling
operation impact the plants heat rate and can accrue large levels of damage within the plants
components. Baseload generators were designed to be run at, or close to, maximum output on a
continual basis. As such, the components of these generators were designed and specified for
creep conditions (i.e., constant stress), however in reality these generators are now operating
under fatigue conditions (i.e., fluctuating stress). Creep and fatigue can interact in a synergistic
manner in that creep will reduce fatigue life and, likewise, fatigue reduces creep life.
Therefore, when a baseload unit, which has been operating under creep conditions, switches to
cycling operation, the creepfatigue interaction renders the unit highly susceptible to component
failure leading to increased maintenance requirements and forced outage rates. Thermal shock,
metal fatigue, corrosion, erosion, and heat decay are common damage mechanisms that result
from cycling operation. However, the time it takes before this damage manifests itself is
variable. Analysis by Intertek Aptech suggests that following a switch to cycling operation it can
take in the region of five to seven years for the effects to be seen in a new plant or nine months to
two years in an older plant. Thus, plant operators and system planners, when considering the
issue of plant cycling, will need to take a longer-term perspective.
12-34
12-35
Planners will need to be able to ensure sufficient flexibility on the grid to deal with the
increased variability and uncertainty. This needs to recognize contributions from distributed
resources such as storage, electric vehicles and demand response. Additionally, planners
must consider more than just the traditional peak load or snapshot hours to ensure that hourto-hour variability can be managed.
Bulk system coordination of photovoltaic for market and bulk system control: Dispatch
center control of distributed renewable generation on the transmission system will be needed.
This will allow renewable generation to participate and be aggregated into energy markets as
well as allow for control to preserve system stability, power quality, and reliability at the
bulk level.
12-36
Interactive voltage regulation and VAR management: Utility voltage regulator and
capacitor controls will be interactive with each other and photovoltaic sources. The central
controller shown in Figure 12-16 will help manage the interactivity to ensure optimized
voltage and reactive power conditions.
Protective relaying schemes designed for renewable generation: The distribution system
and sub-transmission will include more extensive use of directional relaying,
communication-based transfer trips, pilot signal relaying, and impedance-based faultprotection schemes (like those used in transmission). These can work more effectively with
multiple sources on the distribution system.
12-37
Figure 12-16
Distributed controller results aggregated to manage area power and system voltage
profiles
PV
Inverter
Source
SUBSTATION
Rotating
Machine
Source
Switch B
(3rd to close)
Switch C
(Last to close)
FEEDER
Circuit Breaker
(first to close)
Load
Area 1
Switch A
(2nd to close)
Load
Area 2
Rotating
Machine
Source
Load
Area 3
PV
Inverter
Source
Load
Area 4
Figure 12-17
Cascaded restoration of distributed generators
12-38
- Harden the power system and loads to be less susceptible to ground fault overvoltage
(increase voltage withstand ratings).
- Change protective relaying for ground faults so a high penetration of grounding sources
does not affect the ground fault relaying.
- Change feeder grounding scheme or load serving scheme back to a grounded three-wire
system.
Distributed energy storage: Energy storage of various forms will apply to correct temporary
load/generation mismatches, regulate frequency, mitigate flicker, and assist advance islanding
functions and service restoration. Table 12-6 shows the costs of distribution scale storage.
Table 12-6
Energy storage characteristics by application (kilowatt-scale)
Technology
Option
Maturity
Capacity
(kWh)
Power
(kW)
Duration
(hrs)
% Efficiency
(total cycles)
Total Cost
($/kW)
Cost
($/kW-h)
Demo100250
Commercial
2550
25
8590
(4500)
16003725
400950
Zn/Br Flow
Demo
100
50
60
(>10000)
14503900
7251950
Li-Ion
Demo
2550
2550
14
8093
(5000)
28005600
9503600
8590
(1500-5000)
45205600
2260
Zn/Br Flow
Demo
930
315
24
6064
(>5000)
20006300
7851575
Li-Ion
Demo
740
110
17
7592
(5000)
1250
11,000
8002250
Lead-Acid
2
4
1400
Refer to the full EPRI report for important key assumptions and explanations behind these estimates. All
systems are modular and can be configured in both smaller and larger sized not represented. Figures are
estimated ranges for the total capital installed cost estimates of current systems based on 2010 inputs
from vendors and system integrators. Included are the costs of power electronics if applicable, all costs
for installation, step-up transformer, and grid interconnection to utility standards. Smart-grid
communication and controls are also assumed to be included. For batteries, values are reported at rated
conditions based on reported depth of discharge. Costs include process and project contingency
depending on technical maturity. The cost in $/kW-h is calculated by dividing the total cost by the hours of
storage duration.
For CAES and Pumped Hydro, larger and smaller systems are possible. For belowground CAES the heat
rate may range from ~3845-3860 Btu/kWh and the energy ratio is 0.68-0.78; for aboveground CAES the
heat rate is ~4000 Btu/ kWh and the energy ratio is ~1.0.
For C&I and residential applications lower CAPEX costs may be possible if the battery system is
integrated and installed with a photovoltaic system.
First-of-a-kind system costs will be higher than shown. Future system costs may be lower than shown
after early demonstrations are proven and products become standardized.
12-39
These system changes and technology upgrades represent an extensive investment on the part of
electric utilities, rate payers, and equipment manufacturers, and a huge change in the way the
power system is designed and operated. These changes will not come overnight and will require
many decades to implement, as well as considerable engineering planning and development to
determine the balance of features and capabilities needed against the cost and complexity of
implementation. Nonetheless, these are the approaches needed to move to high-penetration PV,
and the industry needs to begin work now on research and development so that the technologies,
tools, and approaches will be available in a timely manner.
Another configuration on the horizon is likely to coordinate multiple generators at dispersed
locations and with a variety of energy resources, including various combinations of solar, wind,
other generators and energy-storage devices. Microgrids may be applied in a broad range of sizes
and configurations. Figure 12-18 shows examples of possible microgrid subsets that could be
developed on a typical radial distribution system. These microgrid subsets include a single
customer, a group of customers, an entire feeder, or a complete substation with multiple feeders.
A very large substation could have up to 100 MW of capacity, eight or more feeders, and could
serve more than 10,000 customers.
Figure 12-18
Concept of distribution microgrids of various sizes and levels allowing reliability islands
and grid tie operation
Challenges with microgrids are many. Regardless of their size, they must take on key control
responsibilities while operating in the islanded state; otherwise, serious damage may result. At
the same time, these distributed generators must not adversely impact reliability, voltage
regulation, or power quality on the bulk power system while the microgrid is interconnected.
12-40
Figure 12-19
Distributed controller must be integrated with overall distribution control system to
maximize system value and reduce capacity requirements
The master controller is the key to providing a future sophisticated microgrid operation that
maximizes efficiency, quality, and reliability. Although some of the capabilities identified for an
intelligent microgrid master controller are currently being researched, other capabilities do not
yet exist. The Galvin Electricity Initiative documented the functional requirements for master
controller software in the report Master Controller Requirements Specification for Perfect Power
Systems (02162007 Rev. 3, 2007), which is available from the Galvin Electricity Initiatives
website at www.galvinpower.org.
In 2008, the German Association of Energy and Water Industries (BDEW) introduced new grid
codes for connecting power plants to the medium-voltage grid. Generating plants connected to
the medium-voltage networks have to support grid stability and must not disconnect from the
grid during a fault, as is common practice today in many countries. With the increasing
penetration of distributed generation (DG) sources in the medium-voltage grid, it is necessary
that these plants include both dynamic and static grid-support capabilities.
12-41
Due to high penetration of DG plants in the medium-voltage grid, new medium voltage grid code
in Germany requires that these plants provide voltage stability during voltage drop in the grid,
often referred to as fault ride-through (FRT). Figure 12-20 illustrates one ride-though concept
proposed in this grid code. PV systems connected to medium voltage grid need to do the
following:
Stay connected during a voltage drop down to 0% UC with duration up to 150 ms.
Support the grid by providing additional reactive current during a symmetrical fault.
In case of an unsymmetrical fault, the reactive current must not cause voltages increase
above 1.1 UC in the non-faulty phases.
Figure 12-20
FRT limiting curves proposed in the new German grid codes for connecting PV systems to
the medium-voltage power grid
According to this medium-voltage grid code, a plant must be able to curtail active power output
in steps of 10% (or smaller) of the agreed rated output power. Above a system frequency of 50.2
Hz, all generating units have to reduce their power output with a gradient of 40%/Hz of the
instantaneously available power. Above 51.5 Hz and below 47.5 Hz, the plant has to disconnect
from the grid. In response to the following cases, the network operator can temporarily limit the
feed-in power or disconnect the plant:
12-42
This new German grid code also requires DG plants connected to the medium-voltage grid to
provide static grid support by providing reactive power. The reactive power set point can be
either fixed or adjustable by a signal from the network operator, as follows:
12.6 References
12.6.1 In-Text Citations
1. Wind Report 2004: E.ON Netz GmbH, Bayreuth, Germany. 2004, updated by German
Renewable Energy Sector Shows Impressive Growth, Greenprices, January 24, 2007.
2. Study of Electric Transmission in Conjunction with Energy Storage Technology: Lower
Colorado River Authority, Austin, TX, Ridge Energy Storage & Grid Services, Austin, TX,
RnR Engineering, Austin, TX, and Walter J. Reid Consulting, Austin, TX, August 2003.
3. Giovanni, D. Wind Energy in the Big Island: Hawaii Electric Light Company, Hilo, HI.
Presented at USDOE/DBEDT Forum, April 2002.
4. Brooks, E.D.L., Smith, J., Pease, J., and McGree, M. Assessing the Impact of Wind
Generation on System Operations at Xcel Energy-North and Bonneville Power
Administration. Windpower 2002. AWEA Washington, D.C.
5. Brooks, D., Lo, E., Zavadil, R., Santoso, S., and Smith, J. Characterizing the Impact of
Significant Wind Generation Facilities on Bulk Power System Operations Planning.
UWIG, May 2003.
6. Dragoon, K. and Milligan, M. Assessing Wind Integration Costs with Dispatch Models: A
Case Study. Windpower 2003, Austin, TX.
7. Hirst, E. Integrating Wind Energy with the BPA Power System: Preliminary Study.
Prepared for BPA Power Business Line, September 2002.
8. Hirst, E. Integrating Wind Output with Bulk Power Operations and Wholesale Electricity
Markets. Wind Energy 5(1) 2002, pp. 1936.
9. Electrotek Concepts, Inc. Systems Operations Impacts of Wind Generation Integration
Study. Prepared for We Energies, June 2003.
12-43
10. United States Patent #5,083,039, Variable Speed Wind Turbine, Richardson et al., issued
January 21, 1992.
11. Asplund, G. et al. DC Transmission Based on Voltage Source Converters. CIGRE Session
1998 paper No 14-302.
12. Grainger, W. and Jenkins, N. Offshore Wind Farm Electrical Connection Options. British
Wind Energy Association, 2002.
13. Torbjrn Thiringer et al. Grid Disturbance Response of Wind Turbines Equipped With
Induction Generator and Doubly-Fed Induction Generator. Chalmers University of
Technology, IEEE T&D Dallas, September 2003.
14. IEEE Draft Trial-Use Guide for Application of Power Electronics for Power Quality
Improvement on Distribution Systems Rated 1 kV through 38 kV, P1409, D10,
September 5, 2003.
15. Sannino, A., Sversson, J., and Larsson, T. Power-Electronic Solutions to Power Quality
Problems. Electric Power Systems Research 66 (2003) 71-82, Department of Electric Power
Engineering, Chalmers Univ. of Technology, Gothenburg, Sweden.
16. Short-Term Wind Generation Forecasting Using Artificial Neural Networks. EPRI, Palo
Alto, CA: 2003. 1009219.
17. California Wind Energy Forecasting System Development and Testing Phase 1: Initial
Testing. California Energy Commission, Sacramento CA; EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2002.
1003778.
18. California Wind Energy Forecasting System Development and Testing Phase 2: 12-Month
Testing. California Energy Commission, Sacramento CA, EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2003.
1003779.
19. Texas Wind Energy Forecasting System Development and Testing Phase 1: Initial Testing.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA; U.S. Department of Energy, Washington DC: 2003. 1008032.
20. Texas Wind Energy Forecasting System Development and Testing Phase 2: 12-Month
Testing. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA; U.S. Department of Energy, Washington DC: 2004. 1008033.
21. Wind Energy Forecasting Applications in Texas and California. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2003.
1004038.
22. California Regional Wind Energy Forecasting System Development, Volume 1: Executive
Summary. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA; California Energy Commission, Sacramento, CA: 2006.
1013262.
23. California Regional Wind Energy Forecasting System Development, Volume 2: Wind Energy
Forecasting System Development and Testing and Numerical Modeling of Wind Flow over
Complex Terrain. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA; California Energy Commission, Sacramento, CA:
2006. 1013263.
24. California Regional Wind Energy Forecasting System Development, Volume 3: Wind Tunnel
Modeling of Wind Flow over Complex Terrain. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA; California Energy
Commission, Sacramento, CA: 2006. 1013264.
12-44
25. California Regional Wind Energy Forecasting System Development, Volume 4: California
Wind Generation Research Dataset (CARD). EPRI Palo Alto, CA, California Energy
Commission, Sacramento, CA: 2006. 1013265.
26. Zack, J.W. Wind Forecasting: State of the Art. CanWEA Wind and Power Systems
Seminar, May 20, 2009, Montreal, Quebec.
27. Cruden, A. and Dudgeon, G.J.W. Opportunities for Energy Storage Devices Operating with
Renewable Energy Systems. EESAT 2000, September 1820, Orlando, FL.
28. Strbac, G., Bathurst, G.N., and Jenkins, N. Integration of Renewable Generation into the UK
MarketOpportunities for Energy Storage. EESAT 2000, September 1820, Orlando, FL.
29. Taylor, R.E., and Hoagland, J.J. Using Energy Storage with Wind Energy for Arbitrage,
EESAT 2002, April 1517, 2002, San Francisco.
30. Taylor, R., Hoagland, J., and Bradshaw, D. Energy Storage for Ancillary Services, EESAT
2002, April 1517, 2002, San Francisco.
31. Key, T., and Kamath, H. Electric Energy Storage: Will it Help Enable DE? Primen
Perspective on Distributed Energy, Primen, DE-PP-23, August 2003.
12.6.2 General
Wind Power Integration Assessment and Case Studies. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2004. 1004806.
EPRI-DOE Handbook of Energy Storage for Transmission and Distribution Applications).
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA; U.S. Department of Energy, Washington, D.C.: 2003. 1001834.
Norris, B., EPRI Energy Storage Handbook: Wind Energy Storage Applications, Gridwise
Engineering Co., Danville, CA: 2003.
Technical Assessment GuideStorage. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2000. 1001203.
12.6.3 Renewable Generation Grid Impacts and Integration
Characterizing the Impacts of Significant Wind Generation Facilities on Bulk Power System
Operations Planning: Utility Wind Interest GroupXcel Energy-North Case Study, Utility Wind
Interest Group, Reston. VA, EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2003. 1004807.
Wind Report 2004: E.ON Netz GmbH, Bayreuth, Germany. 2004.
Eastern Wind Integration and Transmission Study, NREL, 2009.
Western Wind and Solar Integration Study, NREL, 2010ew.
IEA Wind Task 25, Design and Operation of Power Systems with Large Amounts of Wind
Power: Final Report, Phase One 20062008. VTT Research Notes 2493, 2009.
12-45
13
Lifetime in the
Atmosphere
50-Year
100-Year
Variable
Methane (CH4)
12 (3) years
56
21
120 years
280
310
170
Chlorofluorocarbons
(CFCs)
Not given
4,900
3,800
Not given
Source: U.S. DOE EIA, Emissions of Greenhouse Gases in the U.S. 1996, October 1997.
Over a 50-year timeframe, methane absorbs 21 times as much infrared radiation as an equal mass
of carbon dioxide. Thus, we say that the infrared absorbing equivalent of a ton of methane
released by a landfill is 21 tons of carbon dioxide. Similarly, the infrared absorbing equivalents
of a ton of nitrous oxide and a ton of chlorofluorocarbons are 310 tons and 3,800 tons of carbon
dioxide, respectively.
Heat ContentHHV
Carbon Content
(Btu/lb)
(MJ/kg)
(lb-C/lb)
(kg-C/kg) (lb-C/MBtu)
(kg-C/GJ)
Coal: Bituminous
13,700
31.798
0.782
0.782
57.08
24.59
Coal: Sub-bituminous
9,000
20.889
0.580
0.580
64.44
27.77
Oil
20,000
46.420
0.92
0.92
46.0
19.8
Natural Gas
23,400
54.311
0.75
0.75
32.1
13.8
Wood (dry)
8,000
18.568
0.45
0.45
0*
0*
*Note: Fossil carbon intensity is the measure relevant to greenhouse gas. By this measure, wood from
renewably grown trees has zero carbon intensity. If the carbon content of the fuel were put into the same
formula used for fossil fuels, the carbon intensity of wood is 54.2 lb-C/MBtu (23.4 kg-C/GJ).
Table 13-3 compares the impacts of fuel carbon content and net heat rate to the fossil carbon
intensity of selected coal- and natural-gas-fired generation technologies. The data are presented
in units of mass of CO2 and carbon (C) released per megawatt-hour of electricity generated.
Existing coal-fired power plants operating at 34.1% thermal efficiency (HHV) exhibit the highest
generation carbon intensity per megawatt-hour generated (0.26 metric ton C/MWh) while
advanced, natural-gas fuel cell plants operating at 63.7% net thermal efficiency exhibit the
lowest generation carbon intensity (0.08 metric ton C/MWh) (note: one metric ton = one tonne).
13-2
Carbon Content
(lb/MBtu)
56.7
C
(ton/MWh)
10,000
1.04
0.28
56.7
9,087
0.94
0.26
56.7
7,308
0.76
0.21
32.1
10,300
0.61
0.17
Advanced, CC (0.538)
32.1
6,350
0.37
0.10
Advanced, CT (0.427)
32.1
8,000
0.47
0.13
32.1
5,361
0.32
0.09
SI Units
Carbon Content
(kg/GJ)
Net Heat
Rate (kJ/kWh)
CO2
(tonne/MWh)
C
(tonne/MWh)
24.43
10,550
0.95
0.26
24.43
9,587
0.86
0.23
24.43
7,710
0.69
0.19
13.83
10,867
0.55
0.15
Advanced, CC (0.538)
13.83
6,699
0.34
0.09
Advanced, CT (0.427)
13.83
8,440
0.43
0.12
13.83
5,656
0.29
0.08
Coal
Natural Gas
Coal
Natural Gas
Hydro, pumped storage, and peaking capacity in the existing generation mix
13-3
Impacts on the dispatch and annual capacity factor of each component of the generating mix
The impacts of these factors vary with the renewable generation type and grid characteristics and
tend to be greatest for wind, which is a variable generation resource and not dispatchable, and
lowest for biomass, geothermal, and hydro, which are typically dispatchable. The impacts for
solar photovoltaic and thermal generation are intermediate between those of wind and the other
renewables, as discussed further in the following sections.
13.4.1.1 Wind
In most cases, the daily operating cycle of wind generation does not follow the daily load
demand cycle. For example, peak wind generation may occur at night during the winter and in
the afternoon during the summer. In addition, wind generation can ramp up or down quickly as
weather fronts move by, creating the need to rapidly increase or decrease other generation
connected to the grid in order to follow load. When the penetration of wind generation in the mix
is a few percent, the impacts are usually minimal and the electricity grid can easily absorb the
wind generation. However, if wind penetration rises above 10% to 15%, especially during low
load periods at night, the impacts become more significant. In the latter case, addition of wind
generation usually requires an increase in spinning reserves for load following and regulation,
increased cycling of base load coal units, and possible curtailment of wind generation at night.
Each of these factors decreases the net CO2 emissions offset resulting from adding wind to the
generating mix. In fact, the net emissions offset can even be negative, e.g. the CO2 emissions can
actually increase. For more information, consult recent references that address wind integration
impacts (UWIG-EPRI [3], White [4], and E.ON Netz GMbH [5]).
13.4.1.2 Solar PV and Thermal
Solar PV and thermal generation are also variable resources, but their operating cycles are
predictable and more synchronized with the daily load demand cycle. In addition, solar thermal
generation is usually configured to include backup gas-firing heating or thermal energy storage
to allow the plant to operate during off-peak hours. Thus, with backup gas firing, their actual net
CO2 emissions offsets would be somewhat lower than the levelized emissions offsets presented
later.
13.4.1.3 Biomass, Geothermal, and Hydro
Biomass, geothermal, and hydro units are typically dispatchable and their CO2 emissions offsets
should be close to the levelized offsets presented later.
13.4.1.4 Planting Trees and Other Fast-Growing Crops
In addition to the CO2 emissions offsets of renewable generation technologies, plantations of
fast-growing trees and other biomass crops such as eucalyptus, hybrid poplar, and switchgrass
act as carbon sinks that absorb CO2 from the atmosphere via photosynthesis.
13-4
For example, as discussed in Reference 8, the annual growth of a hybrid poplar plantation in the
Pacific Northwest absorbs 5 to 8 tons of carbon per acre or 18.3 to 29.3 ton CO2/acre per year
(11.2 to 18.0 metric tons C/hectare per year; one hectare = 10,000 square meters).
As shown in Table 13-3, a coal-fired power plant generates up to 1.04 tons of CO2/MWh (0.95
metric ton carbon/MWh). Therefore, an acre of hybrid poplar would absorb the CO2 produced by
the generation of 17.6 to 28.2 MWh from coal.
A 500-MW coal-fired power plant operating at 85% capacity factor generates 3,723,000
MWh/year and 3,872,000 tons CO2/year. In order to absorb the entire CO2 volume generated by
the plant each year, the required hybrid poplar plantation would cover 132,000 to 211,000 acres,
or 206 to 330 square miles.
13.4.2 Levelized CO2 Emissions Offsets
This section presents charts and other information to estimate the CO2 emissions offsets resulting
from adding renewable generation to an electricity system. The estimates assume that (1) each
MWh of electricity generated by renewable resources replaces 1 MWh of electricity that would
otherwise be generated by the existing generation mix; and (2) the relative contribution of each
component of the mix to generation and CO2 emissions does not change.
Figure 13-1 plots the fossil CO2 emission offset (metric ton CO2/MWh) for coal, oil, and natural
gas generation as a function of the percentage of total kilowatt-hours of generation contributed
by the respective fossil fuel sources. The chart shows separate curves for 100% fossil fuel
generation by coal, oil, and natural gas. These curves provide representative data for illustration
only and can vary greatly depending on the specific generation technology involved (see Table
13-3). The levelized CO2 emission offset for a specific blend of coal, oil, and natural gas
generation is estimated by either interpolating a value between the three curves or by calculating
a weighted average of the values determined by the coal, oil, and gas curves on the chart.
Figure 13-2 shows the levelized CO2 emissions control cost ($/metric ton CO2) as a function of
the cost premium of renewable power relative to the existing system generation cost and the CO2
emissions offset. Figure 13-3 is similar except that it shows the CO2 emission control cost as a
function of the fossil fuel mix and assumes that 50% of the generation is contributed by coal, oil,
and natural-gas-fired technologies.
13-5
0.8
0.7
100% Coal
0.6
0.5
0.4
100% Natural Gas
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
250
0.2
200
0.3
150
0.4
100
0.6
50
1.0
0
-50
-10
10
20
30
40
50
Figure 13-2
Levelized CO2 emissions control cost vs. cost premium and CO2 emissions offset
13-6
60
200
150
100
100% Coal
50
0
-50
-100
-10
10
20
30
40
50
60
To illustrate the application of the charts, if a fossil generation mix is 70% coal and 30% natural
gas, and fossil fuels supply 90% of the kilowatt-hours generated, Figure 13-1 indicates that the
CO2 emissions factors for coal and natural gas (at 90%) are about 0.85 and 0.46 metric ton
CO2/MWh, respectively. Thus the weighted CO2 emissions offset factor is (0.85 70%) + (0.46
30%) = 0.74 metric ton CO2/MWh. If the cost premium is $10/MWh, then the CO2 emissions
control cost is $10/MWh / 0.74 metric ton/MWh = $13.60/metric ton CO2.
13-7
California
Texas
Michigan
New York
New York
Offshore
100
100
200
150
50
202
4Q 2010
4Q 2010
4Q 2010
4Q 2010
4Q 2010
4Q 2010
Total Capital
Requirement $/kW)
$2,159
$2,663
$2,101
$2,345
$3,277
$4,240
Operation &
Maintenance Cost
($/kW-yr)
$31.8
$43.0
$31.6
$37.5
$40.0
$131.3
Annual Capacity
Factor
35%
33%
31%
28%
29%
45%
Levelized Cost of
Electricity ($/MWh)
$58.1
$77.9
$64.6
$81.0
$101.7
$110.2
Location
Rated Capacity (MW)
Reference Date
of Costs
The levelized wind energy cost ranges between about $58/MWh at the 100-MW base case plant
and about $110/MWh at the 202-MW New York offshore wind plant.
Figure 13-4 presents the resulting levelized CO2 emissions control cost vs. system generation
cost at the 100-MW California wind project for five CO2 emissions offset factors between 0.2
and 1.0 metric ton CO2/MWh. The analysis assumes the CO2 emissions offset factor is 0.755
metric ton CO2/MWh, which is consistent with the advanced IGCC coal plant example in Table
13-3 and a representative mix of coal and cleaner natural gas combustion. The levelized CO2
emissions control cost decreases as both the CO2 emissions offset factor and system generation
cost increase, and it becomes negative for system generation costs higher than the $78/MWh
wind generation cost. Negative values of the levelized CO2 emissions control cost correspond to
a net credit for reducing CO2 emissions.
Figure 13-5 presents the levelized CO2 emissions control cost vs. system generation costs for
each of the six wind plant cases described in Table 13-4. The CO2 control cost increases as the
wind generation cost increases and is highest for the 202-MW New York offshore wind plant
and lowest for the 100-MW base case plant.
13-8
400
300
200
100
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.6
1.0
0
-100
-200
-300
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
200
150
100
50
0
-50
-100
-150
-200
-250
NY Offshore 202 MW
NY Onshore 50 MW
MI Onshore 150 MW
CA Onshore 100 MW
TX Onshore 200 MW
Base Case Onshore 100 MW
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
13-9
13.5.2 Biomass
Biomass generation cost is most sensitive to the delivered biomass fuel cost, the installed cost of
the biomass power system, and the net thermal efficiency of the power cycle. The installed cost
is expected to remain relatively stable over time, but the delivered biomass fuel cost may decline
as new crop planting, cultivation, harvesting, and handling technologies improve. The net
thermal efficiency of the power cycle has the potential to improve as well.
Table 13-5 summarizes the total capital requirement, fixed and variable O&M, plant
performance, and levelized cost of electricity for a 60-MW, 100% biomass repowered , a 250MW biomass-cofired plant (at 10% heat input from biomass), and a 50-MW biomass-fired
bubbling fluidized bed boiler power plant.
Figure 13-6 shows the levelized CO2 emissions control cost for the three cases as a function of
the system generation cost. The source of the data is the 2010 EPRI report, Engineering and
Economic Evaluation of Biomass Power Plants [7]. Assuming that the system generation cost is
$50/MWh, the levelized CO2 cost ranges between minus $25/metric ton CO2 for the 10%
biomass-cofired plant and plus $101/metric ton CO2 for the 100% biomass-fired bubbling
fluidized bed plant. The cofiring cost is based on the 25-MW contribution of the biomass fuel to
the 250-MW output of the coal-fired plant and incremental cost of the biomass fuel vs. coal. A
negative CO2 control cost corresponds to a net credit for reducing CO2 emissions.
Table 13-5
Levelized cost of electricity for 50-MW biomass-fired stoker and fluidized bed boiler power
plants ($/MWh, 3rd Quarter 2010$)
Source: EPRI [7]
100%
Biomass
Repowering
10% Biomass
Cofiring
100% Biomass
Bubbling FBC
1,970
1,690
5,590
Fixed OM
132
21.6
113
Variable O&M
3.5
4.9
5.8
Btu/kWh
12,600
9,760
13,964
GJ/kWh
13,284
10,290
14,723
Fuel $/GJ
3.37
0.24
3.37
Capacity Factor
85%
85%
85%
Capital
22
20
56
Fixed O&M
18
15
Variable O&M
Fuel
45
50
TOTAL
88
31
126
13-10
200
100% Biomass Bubbling FBC (50 MW)
150
100
50
0
-50
-100
-150
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
13-11
Rated Capacity
10 MW
10 MW
10 MW
$3,834
$3,721
$4,027
$53
$53
$48
22.6%
19.1%
17.0%
14.6%
22.2%
20.7%
16.9%
14.6%
22.4%
21.1%
16.9%
14.4%
$249
$294
$330
$384
$247
$264
$324
$380
$258
$275
$342
$402
1-Axis
Tracking c-Si
Tilted 1-Axis
Tracking c-Si
2-Axis
Tracking CPV
Rated Capacity
10 MW
10 MW
10 MW
$4,557
$5,066
$4,937
$62
$62
$67
25.0%
25.3%
18.4%
15.8%
26.9%
26.8%
27.7%
27.9%
$267
$263
$362
$421
$258
$275
$260
$258
13-12
600
Columbus, OH
500
1-Axis cSi
400
Fixed CdTe
300
200
100
0
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
13.5.4 Geothermal
Geothermal generation cost is most sensitive to the geothermal energy production and the
installed cost of the geothermal wells and power system.
Table 13-7 presents the 20-year levelized cost of electricity for 50-MW flash-steam and 50-MW
binary-cycle geothermal plants. The data are from the 2010 EPRI report, Engineering and
Economic Evaluation of Geothermal Power Plants [9].The levelized COE is $66/MWh and
$70/MWh for the flash-steam and binary-cycle geothermal plants.
Figure 13-8 shows the resulting CO2 emission control costs versus the base system generation
cost for the 50-MW flash-steam and 20-MW binary-cycle geothermal plants. The analysis
assumes the CO2 emissions offset factor is 0.717 tonne CO2/MWh, including the 95% adjustment
for the CO2 emissions released during the production of geothermal power.
13-13
Binary
Cycle
50
50
$4,989
$5,192
$76.4
$80.6
$9.60
$10.50
Capacity Factor
96%
96%
$47.7
$52.4
O&M
$9.1
$9.6
$9.6
$7.6
TOTAL
$66.4
$69.6
Geothermal Technology
Rated Capacity, MW
Figure 13-8 shows that, as the base system generation cost increases, the CO2 emissions control
cost decreases and becomes negative for generation cost greater than about $66/MWh for flashsteam and $70/MWh for binary-cycle geothermal plants.
13-14
120
100
80
60
50-MW Binary-Cycle
40
20
50-MW Flash-Steam
0
-20
-40
-60
0
20
40
60
80
100
13-15
Parabolic
Trough:
6-hr Thermal
Storage
Central
Receiver:
10-hr
Thermal
Storage
Dish/Stirling
250
250
100
100
4,070
6,160
6,510
4,540
64
68
66
62
Fuel, $/GJ
25.4%
40.7%
49.1%
23.7%
Capital @ 6.68%/yr
210
199
174
250
O&M
45
30
24
47
Fuel
255
229
198
297
2 125 MW
2 125 MW
100 MW
4,000 25
kW (100 MW)
25.4%
40.7%
49.1%
23.7%
116
100
86
133
35
23
19
36
81
77
67
97
196
175
152
228
35
23
19
36
161
152
133
191
Rated Capacity, MW
Total Capital Requirement, $/kW
Capacity Factor
Levelized COE $/MWh
TOTAL
Figure 13-9 presents the resulting levelized CO2 emissions control costs for the four solar
thermal power plant technologies. The analysis assumes that the CO2 emissions offset factor is
0.755 metric ton CO2/MWh. The CO2 emissions control cost decreases with increasing system
generation cost. The solar thermal power tower with 10-hour thermal energy storage has the
lowest CO2 emissions control cost and the dish/Stirling plant has the highest cost.
13-16
400
300
Dish Stirling
Parabolic Trough
200
100
Tower
10-hr Storage
Parabolic Trough
6-hr Storage
-100
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
13.6 References
1. Greenhouse Gas Reduction with Renewables. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2000. TR-113785.
2. Renewable Energy Technology Characterizations. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 1997. TR-109496.
3. Characterizing the Impacts of Significant Wind Generation Facilities on Bulk Power System
Operations Planning: Utility Wind Interest GroupXcel Energy-North Case Study.
EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2003. 1004807.
4. White, D. J., Danish Wind: Too Good to be True?, The Utilities Journal,
July 2004, pp, 37-39.
5. Wind Report 2004, E.ON Netz Gmbh, Bayreuth, Germany, 2003.
6. Engineering and Economic Evaluation of Utility-Scale Wind Power Plants. EPRI, Palo Alto,
CA: 2009. 1017599.
7. Engineering and Economic Evaluation of Biomass Power Plants, 100% Biomass
Repowering, Biomass Co-Firing, and Bubbling Fluidized Bed Biomass Combustion. EPRI,
Palo Alto, CA: 2010. 1019762.
8. Engineering and Economic Evaluation of Central-Station Solar Photovoltaic Plants. EPRI,
Palo Alto, CA: 2009. 1017600.
13-17
9. Engineering and Economic Evaluation of Geothermal Power Plants. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA:
2010. 1019761.
10. Solar Thermal Technology Status and Performance and Cost Estimates2010. EPRI, Palo
Alto, CA: 2010. 1022504.
11. Stanton, B., Eaton, J., Johnson, J., Rice, D., Schutte, B., and Moser, B., Hybrid Poplar in the
Pacific Northwest, the Effects of Market-Driven Management, Journal of Forestry, June
2002.
13-18
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