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Issue 21
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Amid major political and economic upheaval in India, September has witnessed significant action
by the Government of India (GoI). After a long time, the Government has unveiled a series of
bold policy reforms to revive investor sentiment in the Indian economy. The reforms include the
opening up of the multi-brand retail, broadcast and aviation sectors to foreign investment.
Further, other measures such as diesel price increases, disinvestment in four public sector
undertakings, and a cap on subsidies on LPG to curb the fiscal deficit have been announced. The
reforms come at a time when the government is under the scanner for the coal scam, a faltering
Indian economy, the prevailing policy logjam, and the risk of a credit downgrade to junk status by
international credit-rating agencies.
These reforms and policy initiatives are a step in the right direction for the plunging Indian
economy, where most key economic indicators are currently weak. According to the Central
Statistical Organisations recently released GDP figures, the countrys GDP growth has
languished to 5.5 percent in 1Q13, which is close to its three-year low1. The manufacturing
sector, which continues to bear the heat of high interest rates and low demand, is particularly
responsible for this decline in growth. The Index of Industrial Production (IIP), another key
indicator of industrial activity, also indicates a disappointing industrial performance. IIP growth
remained nearly flat at 0.1 percent in July 2012 as compared to 3.7 percent posted a year ago2.
Inflation provided some respite in July when it decreased to below 7 percent in close to three
years. However, the relief was short-lived, with inflation resurging to 7.6 percent in August3. This
has compelled the RBI to retain key interest rates, while lowering the cash reserve ratio (CRR) by
25bps recently to infuse liquidity within the system4.
Thus, these reforms - likely to be followed by other supporting measures and a fiscal
consolidation plan by the Ministry of Finance in the near future - offer a ray of hope for the
decelerating Indian economy5. Optimism can be drawn mainly from the boost that these reforms
are expected to give to the weak economy by reviving investor confidence, attracting foreign
investment, generating employment opportunities and containing the rising fiscal deficit.
However, the success of these reforms will depend largely on their persistent and effective
implementation and follow up with much broader reforms.
1. Indias GDP growth falls to 5.5 percent, The Indian Express, 31 August 2012
2. GoI, Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, Central Statistical Organisation,
http://mospi.nic.in/Mospi_New/upload/iip/IIP_main.htm?status=1&menu_id=89, accessed [21/09/2012]
3. Office of the Economic Advisor, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, http://eaindustry.nic.in/ , accessed [21/09/2012]
4. Oommen A. Ninan, CRR cut to inject Rs.17,000 crore, The Hindu, 17 September 2012
5. Deepshikha Sikarwar, Government readies second wave of reforms; to roll out a slew of nuts & bolts measures shortly, The Economic Times, 17
September 2012
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Indian Economy
Indias Big Bang reforms - the silver lining?
03
Education
A massive leap in higher education
06
Financial Services
Indias mutual fund industry - SEBIs endeavour to
re-energize the industry
10
Government
Indias Human Development Index
14
Healthcare
Outsourcing in healthcare - the success mantra
18
IT-BPO
IT - A strategic driver to facilitate reforms 2.0
21
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Indian
Economy
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Inflationary
Inflationary Trend
Trend
Rohit Bammi
Head
Financial Risk Management
rohitbammi@kpmg.com
The situation is equally gloomy on the inflation side, which has been primarily
responsible for slow economic activity in the country; it has compelled the
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to maintain a tight monetary policy for the last two
years. Although headline inflation moderated to nearly a three-year low in July
to 6.87 percent, it rose once more to 7.55 percent in August, dimming all
hopes of monetary easing by the RBI2. Guided by its prime focus to manage
high inflation, the RBI consequently left key interest rates unchanged.
However, it cut the cash reserve ratio (CRR) by 25 bps in September, which is
expected to increase the flow of credit to productive sectors3.
High interest rates, along with long-overdue government action to remove
structural bottlenecks in the economy, have adversely affected industrial
activity, investor sentiment and demand in the Indian economy. The uncertain
global environment has further aggravated the volatile environment by keeping
the Indian Rupee weak.
Amid this vulnerable condition of the Indian economy, economists and
academicians have been suggesting second-generation policy reforms as a
savior to the slowing economy. Although the Government of India (GoI) has
acknowledged the importance of reforms, it has only recently exhibited
political will to push things through and launch a package of big-ticket reforms
to revive the dipping Indian economy.
Back-to-back
announcements hiking the
diesel prices and liberalizing
investments positively
surprised both domestic
and international observers.
The Governments
continued resolve to
implement these and other
tough medicines in the face
of political opposition will
be critical in attracting
incremental investment
that leads to tangible
growth.
Rohit Bammi
Head
Financial Risk Management
KPMG in India
Inflationary
Inflationary Trend
Trend
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Education
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Narayanan Ramaswamy
Head
Education
narayananr@kpmg.com
It is expected that the curricula and structure of this model will evolve through
increased exchange between participants. Currently, most free MOOCs do not
offer college credit to students at affiliated institutions, but they may provide
participants with a certificate of completion. However, this could change with
institutes such as the University of Washington looking to offer credit, as well as
some extra assignments and instructors, for its Coursera classes in exchange
for a fee2. Further, college-enrolled students who pay tuition may qualify for
college credit if they demonstrate complete command over the course content.
Until now, most MOOCs have offered only computer science, mathematics and
engineering courses. In future, though, Coursera plans 100 or more courses in
subjects as diverse as medicine, poetry and world history since 1300.3
The following are some well-known MOOCs that are currently operating in the
education space:4
Academic Room: The Academic Room offers more than 1,000 full-length
lecture videos of courses from Harvard, MIT, Yale, Columbia, Stanford,
Berkley, Duke and Carnegie Mellon. These are accompanied by course
material such as books, journal articles and syllabi listings for self-paced
learning.
Coursera : Funded through venture capital of USD16 million, the company
was founded by computer science professors Andrew Ng and Daphne Koller
from Stanford University; it plans to offer more than 100 courses from an
expanded roster of 16 top-tier universities, including the California Institute
of Technology, Duke University and the University of Virginia.
Khan Academy : Indo-Bangladeshi American educator Salman Khan
established this non-profit educational organization in 2006.
1. Instruction for Masses Knocks Down Campus Walls: New York Times, 4 March , 2012
2. UW to offer fee-based courses through Coursera: Seattle Times, 18 July, 2012
3. Is Coursera the Beginning of the End for Traditional Higher Education? 17 July, 2012
4. www.academicroom.com , www. Courser.org, www.khanacademy.org , www.edx.org, http://mitx.mit.edu
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edX and MITx : MIT has launched the not-for-profit MITx in effort bid to
develop a free and open platform for online education. MITx will offer a
portfolio of MIT courses for free to a virtual community of learners around
the world. It will also enhance the educational experience of its oncampus students, offering them online tools that supplement and enrich
their classroom and laboratory experiences, according to the
Universitys website. The inaugural course, 6.002x, was launched in
March 2012. Harvard joined the initiative, which was subsequently
renamed edX, and Berkeley joined in the summer. At present, Harvard
and MIT have both invested USD30 million each, and the Bill and Melinda
Gates Foundation has provided additional support of USD1 million.
Berkeley has also decided to join the edX collaboration. In fact, more than
120 universities from around the world have expressed interest in
collaborating with edX since Harvard and MIT announced its creation in
May. However, edX has been steadfast in adding only one affiliate at a
time to maintain its quality. In addition to providing online courses on the
edX platform, the "X University" Consortium is expected to serve as a
forum through which members can share experiences around online
learning. Many more universities may join this forum in future.5
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Financial
Services
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10
Akeel Master
Head
Financial Services
amaster@kpmg.com
From a single-player monopoly in 1964, the Indian mutual fund industry has
evolved into a high-growth and competitive market on the back of favourable
economic and demographic factors. As of August 2012, 44 asset
management companies (AMCs) were operating in India with assets under
management (AUM) of INR 6.4 trillion. However, after several years of
persistent growth, the industry witnessed consistent declines of 6.3 percent
and 5.1 percent in its AUM during FY11 and FY12, respectively1. One of the
reasons could be the changes in regulatory guidelines-example ban on entry
load, stringent KYC norms, guidelines on transaction charges, tightening
valuation and advertisement norms - which were introduced in a short span of
time thus giving less time to the industry to adjust in the new environment.
Trend in AUM
--6%
7.5
5.4
Akeel Master
Head
Financial Services
KPMG in India
12.8%
--5%
7.0
6.6
4.9
1.1%
3.6
-0.8%
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
(INR trillion )
-2.3%
-2.3%
Brazil Japan US
Source: Various monthly publications of Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI);ICI Factbook 2012
Note: based on GDP and AUM as of December 2011
77.0%
Nest 75 cities
5%
Nest 20 cities
7%
41.1% 40.3%
34.0%
33.6%
12.7%
US
Europe Brazil
UK
Japan
4.7%
4.6%
India China
Others cities
3%
Nest 10 cities
14%
World
Top 5 cities
71%
Source: Various monthly publications of Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI); ICI Factbook 2012
Note: based on GDP and AUM as of December 2011
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11
12
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13
Government
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14
Navin Agrawal
Partner
Government
navinagrawal@kpmg.com
The contest between Indias GDP and the Human Development Index (HDI)
as the most appropriate measure of the performance of a country has been
longstanding. While GDP is a measure of income, HDI is one that indicates
the wellbeing of citizens. The HDI is a composite statistic used to rank
countries by degree of human development, which is considered
synonymous with standard of living and/or quality of life. The first Human
Development Report introduced a new way of measuring development by
combining indicators of life expectancy, educational attainment and income
into a composite human development index, the HDI. The breakthrough for
the HDI was the creation of a single statistic which was to serve as a frame
of reference for both social and economic development. The HDI sets a
minimum and a maximum for each dimension, called goalposts, and then
shows where each country stands in relation to these goalposts, expressed
as a value between 0 and 11.
With appropriate
commitment from political
leadership for reform
programs across health,
education, social security
and employment, the
government needs to fine
tune its programs while
focusing on inclusive
growth and also
continuously monitor and
evaluate their outcomes.
Navin Agarwal
Partner
Government
KPMG in India
Current scenario
While it has shown considerable potential in its performance on economic
indicators such as GDP, India has yet to improve its position on the HDI to
realize the potential that GDP has to offer. The country remains at the
bottom of the ladder in terms of HDI. According to UN Indias Human
Development Report, India is in the medium human development category
and is ranked 134 among 187 countries2. The following table indicates the
countrys HDI comparing trends from 1980 - present.
India
South Asia
World
2011
0.547
0.630
0.548
0.682
2010
0.542
0.625
0.545
0.679
2009
0.535
0.618
0.538
0.676
2008
0.527
0.612
0.532
0.674
2007
0.523
0.605
0.527
0.670
2006
0.512
0.595
0.518
0.664
2005
0.504
0.587
0.510
0.660
2000
0.461
0.548
0.468
0.634
1995
0.437
0.517
0.444
0.613
1990
0.410
0.480
0.418
0.594
1985
0.380
0.450
0.389
0.576
1980
0.344
0.420
0.356
0.558
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15
Education
India has, for long, been cautious in its approach towards spending on education.
The Right to Education Bill was in danger of being shelved on the grounds that it
was too expensive for the government. India's low scores on human
development have much to do with the absence of safety nets for the urban
poor.
The country still accounts for around 30 percent of the worlds illiterate
population, and 70 percent of these people are women.
Urban poverty
There is no urban equivalent of the National Rural Health Mission or the National
Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme.
Environmental performance
The country ranks 125 among 132 countries on Yale University's Environmental
Performance Index, behind the likes of Pakistan, Moldova and Kyrgyzstan.
Next Steps3
Education
The education policy of successive governments should be more inclusive in
nature, with equal emphasis on enrollment as well as improvement in the overall
functioning and quality of schools.
Governments need to strengthen the outreach of their education reforms while
increasing the availability of information to remote corners of the country.
Health
The Indian Government needs to devise effective policies in the public health
sector with cohesive involvement from all relevant stakeholders. These include
hospitals, pharmaceutical companies, health educators, health professionals, and
logistics companies engaged in health-related service delivery. At the same time,
the government needs to lay sufficient emphasis on wider determinants of
healthcare such as food and livelihood security, drinking water, womens literacy,
nutrition and sanitation.
The public health policy should not only focus on the prevention of diseases by
providing clean water and sanitation. It should also stress on fighting disease by
administering antibiotics, which can be facilitated through the appropriate training
of public health specialists and the development of health facilities at all levels.
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Social protection
Migrant workers, women and children, the elderly, physically challenged
individuals and tribal communities are among the marginalised sections of
society. They need the allegiance of government reforms, laws, rights and
policies for increased human development. Thus, it is imperative that their socialprotection needs are identified, addressed and regularly monitored.
The effective participation of the people is a prerequisite to facilitating
accountability in social transfers. Therefore, the need of the hour is to tackle
issues of economic and social equity, gender bias, and illiteracy at the grassroots
level.
In addition, the Indian Government should design a framework to monitor and
evaluate the performance of reform programs and conduct impact assessments
of these programs to facilitate the efficient utilization of tax payers money.
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17
Healthcare
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18
Amit Mookim
Head
Healthcare
amookim@kpmg.com
Introduction
Over the years, outsourcing has emerged as a winning business model for
Indian hospitals. Many have outsourced noncore hospital jobs to the
specialized sector. The objective - to focus on the quality of healthcare
delivery rather than on other allied time-consuming yet essential initiatives.
Outsourcing relieves the burden of administration, procurement, accounting,
logistics and other responsibilities on management, thus generating savings
of indirect costs related to such functions.
Another point of view, which applies in the case of outsourcing diagnostic or
super-specialized services, is to leverage the knowledge and infrastructure of
an external party for enhanced cost efficiency and quality in healthcare. 1
Outsourcing is not a recent trend. Wockhardt Hospital in Mumbai outsourced
its payroll activity to Mafoi, a leader in handling HR solutions, for a range of
industries way back in October 2007. Care Hospital in Hyderabad followed
suit and emulated the concept2.
Further, outsourcing is not restricted to HR payroll and soft skills. Hospitals
today outsource services such as billing, revenue cycle management (RCM)
for credit billing, back-office work, medical records storage (both electronic
and hard copy), patient record transcription or medical transcription, and
diagnostic facilities1.
Outsourcing specialized services
Outsourcing has been particularly prominent in the areas of radiology and
imaging, nuclear medicine, oncology, dental services and ophthalmology
recently. For instance, Fortis Hospital, Sir Gangaram Hospital and Dr. BL
Kapoor Hospital have all outsourced their radio-diagnosis facilities2.
The rising cost of high-technology equipment is the primary driver of this
trend. With technology evolving rapidly, hospitals are finding it difficult to
invest significant capital in equipment so frequently. Thus, outsourcing
functions that entail the use of complex and expensive equipment becomes a
viable solution, allowing hospital owners to lower risk in terms of technology
evaluation and other factors such as potential returns.
Cath (catheterization) lab outsourcing is another trend gaining ground.
Outsourcing the lease of cardiac cath lab equipment and the provision of cath
lab staff services, along with lab maintenance, is a rapidly evolving trend in
many countries, including India. Medical equipment manufacturers have a
wide presence in this niche space. In a market where the majority of patients
are opting for interventional cardiology procedures over conventional
surgeries, the demand for such services is only expected to increase.
Conclusion
Outsourcing in healthcare is currently neither homogeneous nor organized.
While some early players are now expanding beyond the initial centers, the
capital-intensive nature of the business does not make it rapidly scalable.
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20
IT - BPO
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21
Retail
Reform
Impact on IT
Aviation
Power
Broadcast
Allowed FDI of 51
percent in multi-brand
retail and 100 percent
in single brand retail.
Allowed FDI of 49
percent by foreign
airlines.
Allowed FDI of 49
percent in power
exchanges.
Allowed FDI of up to
74 percent in various
broadcast services.
IT investments in
overhauling back-end
infrastructure and
cold chains.
Modernization of IT
systems in airlines to
match the global
standards.
Wider deployment of
smart grids and other
smart IT
infrastructure.
Digitisation of the
existing network and
upgrade of back-end
systems.
Supply chain
management, CRM,
point of sale and
multi-channel
integration.
Reservation and
ticketing systems,
airport operation
systems, back office
integration.
Advanced metering,
demand side
management
solutions, smart
metering and smart
grids.
Broadcast
management systems,
content management
systems, broadcast
managed services.
IT Solutions
Source: KPMG in India Analysis; UPA unleashes big-ticket economic reforms: India Inc cheers FDI in retail, aviation and power exchanges, The Economic Times, Sep
15, 2012; FDI in broadcast to spur digitization, Business Standard, Sep 15, 2012
1. UPA unleashes big-ticket economic reforms: India Inc cheers FDI in retail, aviation and power exchanges, The Economic Times, Sep 15, 2012,
2. FDI in broadcast to spur digitization, Business Standard, Sep 15, 2012
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22
3.
4.
5.
6.
FDI in retail and aviation sectors set to become a reality now, The Economic Times, Sep 21, 2012
Exchange rate used: 1 USD = 50 INR
Farm produce waste pegged at 7%, or Rs 50k cr, The Times of India, Sep 2, 2011
FDI in Power Exchanges: Market not mature to attract foreign players, says industry, The Hindu Business Line, Sep 14, 2012
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23
24
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25
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