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1. INTRODUCTION
Injecting drug use (IDU), when addressed at all, has for long been dealt with
purely as a law enforcement problem. Its links with crime and its image as a
stain on society have dominated policy debates (MacCoun & Reuter, 2002).
Law and order approaches to IDU have had varying success; some have
curbed the practice while others have made little impact, with suppliers and
Substance Use: Individual Behaviour, Social Interactions, Markets and Politics
Advances in Health Economics and Health Services Research, Volume 16, 371395
Copyright r 2005 by Elsevier Ltd.
All rights of reproduction in any form reserved
ISSN: 0731-2199/doi:10.1016/S0731-2199(05)16018-X
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372
consumers nding other means of reaching each other. In the past, the drain
on resources has been the major outcome of unsuccessful policies. More
recently, human immunodeciency virus (HIV)/acquired immune deciency
syndrome (AIDS) has emerged as an additional cost of IDU practices that
involve the sharing of needles and syringes. IDU with HIV-infected injecting
equipment is a highly effective means of HIV transmission, and ill-thoughtout policies to control the former today run the risk of increasing the latter.
The emergence of HIV/AIDS has opened up the discourse on IDU,
which is now increasingly seen as more than just a crime issue, since it also
poses significant public health challenges and brings up human rights
concerns. For instance, traditional crime-focussed approaches to addressing HIV among drug users have led to human rights abuses, some of
which, such as the imprisonment of HIV-positive injecting drug users in
the Indian state of Manipur in the early 1990s, have attracted worldwide
attention (Sarkar et al., 1993). Perhaps of even greater concern is the
recognition that IDU is a major channel for transmission of the virus in
many countries and, since drug users have sex with non-drug users, it also
acts as a bridge for HIV to cross into the mainstream population. Governments have therefore been forced to revise their stance on the issue.
While many remain wary of providing services and information to individuals they see as criminals, some policy-makers have begun to bring
users into the social services fold as part of multi-pronged HIV-prevention
strategies (MacCoun & Reuter, 2002).
While public health and human rights aspects of IDU are obviously crucial, economic analysis also has much to contribute to the policy debate.
During the last decade, economists have enhanced greatly our understanding of the HIV/AIDS epidemic by focussing on its economic dimensions
its economic impacts, its roots such as economic deprivation, or tools to
evaluate alternative policy interventions, such as costbenet and cost-effectiveness analyses. A particularly fruitful area of research has been economists contributions to behavioural models that describe HIV transmission
among sex workers and subsequently into the general population (Kremer,
1996; Philipson & Posner, 1993). Economic research has also focussed on
drug markets and drug use, characterized by significant theoretical and
empirical contributions, especially in the eld of drug addiction (Becker &
Murphy, 1988; Grossman & Chaloupka, 1998; Saffer & Chaloupka, 1999).
It is somewhat surprising then to nd that there are relatively few economic
analyses that focus on understanding the behaviour patterns of people who
inject drugs and share needles and syringes, and how that behaviour links to
HIV transmission. It is this gap that the chapter proposes to address.
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Table 1.
Region
South and Southeast Asia
Eastern Europe and Central Asia
East Asia and Pacific
North America
Western Europe
South America
Middle East and North Africa
Oceania
Caribbean
Sub-Saharan Africa
In the West, Spain has more than 1% of its population injecting drugs, with
the corresponding estimate for the U.S.A. at around 0.5%.
The prevalence of IDU has shot up in some low- and middle-income
countries in recent years. In Russia and India, for example, there are
thought to be 20 times more injecting drug users today than in 1990 (although rates in Russia have recently stabilized) (United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), 2004). Globalization has contributed to this
growth. Improved transport and communications networks have made it
easier for drugs to be moved. Drug trade routes have therefore shifted and
expanded, and previously untapped markets have been exposed to hard
drugs for the rst time. In large swathes of Asia, IDU was relatively unheard
of until the 1980s; Southern India, for example, was only exposed to injection-quality heroin when young people began to migrate there from
Manipur in the northeast. West African states such as Nigeria and Cote
dIvoire, meanwhile, have recently become stops on international heroin
trafcking routes. Both South Asia and West Africa have seen sharp rises in
IDU (Stimson & Choopnaya, 1998). Institutional breakdown, such as the
collapse of health and drug control systems in Russia, is a further factor
behind the increases, and the greater availability of plastic syringes as
countries have become more open to foreign-produced medical supplies may
also have had an effect.
In some areas, on the other hand, IDU has stabilized or declined in recent
years. After a clampdown on opium growing in Afghanistan in 2001, IDU
rates fell in the countries of the former Soviet Union (although with the
rapid resurgence of poppy growing in Afghanistan, rates may well be rising
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Table 2.
Regions/Countries
Asia
China
India
Indonesia
Malaysia
Myanmar
080%
168%
1547%
1040%
3763%
Latin America
Argentina
Brazil
Puerto Rico (San Juan only)
Uruguay
1939%
2842%
4255%
8%
Western Europe
France
Italy
Portugal
Spain
1419%
1066%
14%
1566%
study carried out in Rio de Janeiro, the WHO found that 70% of users
reported never using condoms with casual partners, although of course behaviour may have changed since. In Bangkok, 45% never used them (WHO,
1994). Studies in India also indicate lower rates of condom use among those
who inject drugs (Kumar, Aggarwal, & Kumar, 1996).
Whether HIV among injecting drug users is transmitted to the general
population, of course, depends on the amount of unprotected sex they have
with non-users. Sexual intercourse is a less efcient means of transmitting
the virus than sharing needles, so the non-IDU individuals most likely to be
at risk are those who have sex with users on a regular basis. Prisoners and
clients of sex workers may be the most likely conduits from users to the
mainstream population, along with long-term partners of drug users.
Many injecting drug users go into sex work in order to nance their habit,
an obvious way in which economics enters the equation between HIV and
IDU (UNODC, 2004, p. 51). Some sex workers, moreover, inject drugs to
relieve stress. A U.S. study found that 70% of female users and 56% of male
users had had sex in return for money or drugs (Rothenberg et al., 2000).
377
Studies in Europe and Asia have also found overlap between the two practices. People who have unprotected sex with sex workers are therefore vulnerable to HIV infection.
IDU is also common in prisons. Due to the constraints in such settings,
sharing needles is widespread. Sexual intercourse between prisoners (mostly
men) occurs frequently, and since anal sex is a more effective transmission
route than other types of intercourse, HIV rates tend to be higher inside
than outside prisons (UNODC, 2004). Adding IDU to the mix puts prisoners and those they come into contact with at even greater risk. According
to UNODC, After the prisoners release, the virus is spread via sexual
transmission to sexual partners, and via needle sharing to other injecting
drug users . . . These prison populations constitute a significant risk factor
for the diffusion of HIV (UNODC, 2004).
Unprotected sex with sex workers or individuals whose sexual history is
not known, of course, is risky whether or not that individual is an injecting
drug user. If sex workers do not contract HIV from needle sharing, they
may well contract it through intercourse. It is the efciency with which
needle sharing disseminates the virus that adds an extra element of risk to
relationships with injecting drug users and makes them a likely route for the
virus to enter the general population. In the U.S.A., infection rates among
injecting drug users partners rose steadily through the 1990s (Morbidity and
Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR), 1996). In Yunnan Province, China,
where 49% of married male users in a study were HIV-positive, 10% of their
non-IDU wives were also infected. None of the couples used condoms
(Zheng et al., 1994). The study authors estimated an annual transmission
rate of 6.4% per person.
Sharing needles therefore poses serious threats to both injecting drug
users and mainstream populations. HIV has a disproportionate effect on
those who inject drugs compared to the rest of society. In the U.S.A., 36%
of HIV-positive women and at least 23% of men are thought to be injecting
drug users (less than 1% of the overall population injects drugs) (Centers for
Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), 2002). In Western Europe, 10% of
new infections in 2002 occurred through IDU, and in Eastern Europe 41%
(European Centre for the Epidemiological Monitoring of AIDS, 2003). In
parts of the developing world outside Africa, injecting drug users represent
an even higher proportion of infections in Malaysia, 77% of people living
with HIV/AIDS are injecting drug users, and in China and Vietnam around
two-thirds of infected individuals inject drugs (Aceijas et al., 2004).
IDU is likely to become a less important mode of HIV transmission once
the virus takes hold in the mainstream population, with sexual intercourse
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taking over as the main transmission channel. Unprotected sexual intercourse between users and non-users, however, remains an effective way for
the virus to bridge the two population groups.
2.3. Policy Challenges
Clearly, IDU poses threats to societies as well as practitioners. As indicated
above, users can act as a bridge for HIV to cross over into the mainstream
population if they have unprotected sex with non-IDU partners, a phenomenon that constitutes a negative externality, if the latter are uncompensated
(Philipson & Posner, 1993). Similarly, HIV-positive female users may also
transmit the virus to their children during childbirth and while breastfeeding.
As well as the obvious harm in terms of poor health and loss of life, this may
have significant economic costs for societies, which have to divert resources to
HIV/AIDS treatment and also lose many productive individuals to the virus
(HIV/AIDS primarily affects people of working age) (Bloom et al., 2004).
A different type of public health and economic problem is associated with
increased levels of crime that often accompany IDU. This association is not
surprising since sustaining a drug habit is expensive, and the difculty of
combining repeated IDU with the need to nance the habit forces many
users to turn to crime. For instance two-thirds of people arrested in Britain
test positive for drugs, while in Holland half of all petty crimes are committed by users of hard drugs such as heroin and cocaine. The British Home
Ofce estimated that drug-related crime costs the country over $7 billion per
year (Economist, 2002). Drug-related crime also diverts resources from other
law and order matters, increasing the risk of broad social breakdown.
The crime problems associated with injected drugs are not limited to the
places where drugs are used, as is best illustrated by drug-producing countries such as Colombia and Afghanistan. Poverty and lack of social cohesion, and law and order promote suitable conditions for the growth and
manufacture of drugs. The latter, in turn, creates further societal divisions
(from petty crime to full-scale war) and hinders development efforts. The
prospects of entire societies are therefore threatened. Sanctions against
countries that produce drugs can also have negative effects. Sanctions
deepen poverty, hunger, and unemployment, and force more individuals to
resort to illegal means of making a living. They also distract the sanctioning
countries attention from other issues. The National Commission on Terrorist Attacks upon the United States (2004) found that customs ofcers and
law enforcement agencies were more preoccupied with preventing illegal
drugs entering the country than with the threat of terrorism.
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users are infected with HIV, a user shooting up with a shared needle three
times a day is very likely to use an infected needle within 7 days.
The opprobrium of society is another major negative effect of IDU. Unlike
smoking, injection leaves visible scars on the body. It also requires visits to
pharmacies or other stores to buy equipment. As well as being stigmatized by
their peers, therefore, injecting drug users are also more likely to be arrested
than those who smoke. In many countries, too, health services, legal systems,
and other state bodies discriminate against those who inject drugs.
The preceding framework for individual drug injecting behaviour can
readily accommodate a scenario providing for the sharing of injecting
equipment, as should be obvious from the discussion above. In particular,
the greater is the full cost of owning a personal needle (or a new needle)
relative to the expected cost of a shared needle (including the expected cost
of HIV infection from sharing), the greater the likelihood will be of the
individual sharing injecting equipment.
It should be emphasized in this connection that the full cost of a personal
needle is not just the market price of the needle at a pharmacy: Black market
needle prices will typically be higher when needles cannot be purchased
without a prescription. Moreover, the (expected) costs of carrying a personal needle would also go up if possessing injecting equipment without a
prescription is considered illegal, or when the chance of being arrested for
drug possession, or being otherwise harassed by the police, increases with
needle possession. This last possibility would also adversely affect the frequency with which injecting drug users would buy drugs, potentially lowering their opportunity of buying drugs at the best prices. Sharing would, of
course, lower the likelihood of a given individual being caught with injecting
equipment during a random police check, by reducing the requirement for
every injecting drug user to carry his own needle.
The expected cost of infection from sharing a used needle would be small
if the individual making the decision already knows himself to be HIVpositive with a high degree of certainty. In contrast, if the individual is HIVfree, the expected cost of being infected is likely to be high.
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3.3. Criminalization
As with the other methods employed to tackle the problems of IDU, outright criminalization can have positive, neutral, or negative effects. At the
level of production, Afghanistans ban on opium poppy production in 2001
and reduced production in Myanmar and Laos cut IDU in Central, South,
and Southeast Asia in 2002, for example (UNODC, 2004) (although even
here the long-term effects are uncertain as poppy growing has recently recovered in Afghanistan).
Efforts by the U.S.A. to stop cocaine production in South America,
however, have merely served to destabilize countries, such as Colombia, and
shift the industry to other parts of the region, such as Peru, without reducing
the availability of drugs in the U.S. Gang warfare over control of distribution networks within the U.S.A., meanwhile, continues to take a heavy
social toll. Even where law enforcement efforts are successful in targeting
the production of drugs that can be injected, they may, at least until production shifts to other areas, drive up drug prices. When such efforts are
successful, users can then obtain a smaller quantity of drugs for their money
and therefore need to gain satisfaction from a smaller amount, or spend
more money. If the rational drug user of the previous subsection was initially smoking/inhaling drugs, he might nd injecting, which provides a
more immediate and more enduring high than the other intake options, an
attractive option, if the benets minus the risks (expected cost) from IDU
exceed the net benets from smoking/inhalation.
If sharing is the cheaper of the two injecting options (sharing versus
owning a personal needle) an even lower cost is possible by sharing needles,
although the individuals risk of HIV infection, of course, goes up. It is
important to note that sharing would be the preferred mode for injecting
drugs, when the full price of owning a personal needle is high for the
reasons mentioned previously (illegality of possessing a needle, potential for
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getting caught for drug possession when possessing a needle) and the expected cost of injecting with an infected needle is low. Individuals infected
with HIV, or those that foresee sharing frequently in their careers, might
be expected to have relatively lower expected costs of sharing injecting
equipment and, therefore, will prefer sharing now when injecting drugs.
At the level of consumption, in India, for example, efforts to clamp down
on heroin use in the 1980s were successful in curbing heroin injection but
unsuccessful in changing injecting behaviour, as users injected synthetic
opiates instead (Riehman, 1996). Criminalization of sale and consumption
also has the effect of driving IDU off the streets and into prisons in many
countries, where the imperative to share needles is increased, rationalized in
the individual utility maximization framework as an increase in the full cost
of obtaining new needles. In 1994, the WHO recommended that drug policies switch their focus from law enforcement to public health and socially
based approaches (WHO, 1994).
A parallel can be drawn between the criminalization of IDU and methods
to curtail sex work. Like drug use, sex work has long been treated as a crime
and dealt with purely by law enforcement. In Asia, for example, where the sex
work industry blossomed in the 1960s and 1970s, initial responses took the
form of arrests or even execution of sex workers and pimps. Since the industry
and the abuses that tarnished it continued unabated, however, policy makers
were forced to look for new solutions. This search became more urgent with
the advent of HIV/AIDS, as sex work was now linked to an unusually serious
public health problem one that goes far beyond concerns about syphilis and
gonorrhea. In recent years, Asian governments have worked through brothel
madams to improve working conditions for their employees and through
non-governmental groups to transmit health messages and promote alternative employment opportunities for young women. In Thailand, where drug
dealers continue to be executed, sex work has been decriminalized.
Some governments have begun to take a similar approach in their response to IDU. Several countries have attempted to improve the conditions
within which IDU takes place. Some have done this by relaxing laws, with
countries such as Turkey legalizing needle sale and possession. A broader
perspective, incorporating public health and economic considerations, has
also begun to make inroads into drug policy.
3.4. A Broader Perspective
Although legalizing needle sale and possession stops short of complete decriminalization of drug possession and use, it is a tacit acknowledgement that
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balance is positive, the extent of the effect is disputed and, of course, varies
from programme to programme and from country to country. Based on
studies of risk reduction, Lurie and associates found that the lifetime medical cost of treating an individual infected with HIV was at least 10 times the
annual nancial cost of operating an NEP, thus pointing to the large gains
possible from NEPs (Lurie et al., 1993). In Hamilton, Canada, the local
NEP was forecast to prevent 24 cases of HIV infection in 5 years, with a
ratio of cost savings to costs of 4 : 1, given the significant gains in avoided
treatment costs (Gold, Gafni, Nelligan, & Millson, 1997).
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the needle infection rate recorded in the literature may reect only changes
in the rate at which the two groups hand needles into the NEP. The falling
needle infection rate indicates only that the safe group is becoming relatively
more numerous among those who turn in needles either, for instance, because knowledge about the NEP is disseminating more quickly among this
group, or because the safe group nds it optimal to turn needles over more
quickly than the risky group. In either case, the fall in the needle infection
rate would have no bearing whatsoever on the spread of HIV.
Similarly, existing models treat needle exchanges very much like mosquito nets that randomly net-contaminated (or uncontaminated) needles,
and replace them with uninfected new needles. But injecting drug users are
likely to choose which needles to turn in and when to turn them in. Thus one
would expect the least desirable and therefore the oldest needles to be the
ones most likely turned into NEPs (i.e., discarded). One immediate consequence is that the needles that are turned into NEPs will have higher contamination rates than of the average needle being used by drug injectors.
That would suggest that analyses using needle infection rates among needles
turned into NEPs are based on terminal needle infection rates and not
average needle infection rates; and so will give an inaccurate estimate of
HIV-transmission rates.
It should also be added that most current epidemiological models for
IDU and HIV take as given that NEP needles would exchange one for one
with the existing stock of needles, leaving their overall supply unchanged. If
as we would expect, there is a black market ow of needles that responds to
the NEP intervention, the attractive results claimed in existing studies may
not hold up; for instance, about 30% of the needles the New Haven NEP
collected were from non-programme sources. Most existing analyses cannot
say whether reductions in ows of needles from those other sources offset,
or more than offset, the NEP ows. If there were a reduction in needle ows
from alternative sources that fully offset the added ow from an NEP, the
NEP would accomplish nothing.
In work undertaken for this chapter we modelled IDU behaviour in different settings that allowed for optimizing behaviour by injecting drug users
and the existence of markets for needles. In the model, a drug user makes a
decision on whether to rent an old needle, to rent a new needle for injecting
drugs, or opt for smoking, abstaining, or carrying ones own needle in a
utility maximization framework. The model allowed for both new and old
needles, and for the fact that needles have nite life spans. The model and its
variants were used to analyse several different policies that have been proposed for reducing the spread of HIV among injecting drug users, such as
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NEPs, legalization of needle sales, and harsher penalties for sale and
possession. This chapter also reviewed epidemiological models currently used
to assess NEPs and compared their results with our models calculations.
The major conclusion of our work is that standard epidemiological models underestimate the HIV-reducing effects of NEPs. The underestimation
results because previous models are constructed to consider only the impact
of changes in circulation times and on needle contamination rates, and
not the effects of NEPs on users choices between using clean needles and
sharing them, i.e. sorting effects. Table 3 presents simulation results for an
IDU community of the impact of alternative sized NEPs, and with varying
elasticities of supply of new needles in the black market (Bloom, Mahal, &
OFlaherty, 2004; Table 1). It also assesses effectiveness (in terms of changes
in HIV-incidence rates) of alternatively sized NEPs using a behavioural
perspective, and compares these ndings to calculations based on standard
epidemiological models that do not allow for endogenously determined behaviour (e.g., Kaplan & OKeefe, 1993).
Several features of the results in Table 3 are worthy of note. First, increases in the size of NEP and the needle supply elasticity parameter e
(easing of supply conditions) are associated with lower average needle infection rates, lower percentage of shared injections, lower average number
of times a needle is used, and ultimately lower HIV incidence. Second, these
results provide, we believe, a convincing explanation, based on rational
behaviour, of the empirical ndings of reduced sharing, reduced number of
times a needle is used and the like, as observed by several authors on the
subject (Lurie et al., 1993). Third, the average and the terminal needle infection rates need not move in the same direction and that ndings based on
terminal needle infection rates may lead to erroneous conclusions, and make
NEPs to appear to be less effective than they actually are.
Most current model-based assessments of NEPs rely on terminal needle
infection rates to calculate effects of NEPs on HIV incidence. These models,
for reasons mentioned above, also ignore the sorting effect of an NEP and
so usually underestimate its benecial effect, in percentage terms, even if
they had used the average needle infection rate for their calculations of
incidence. This can be directly observed from Table 3, which presents HIVincidence estimates from standard epidemiological models, using average
needle infection rates, and compares them to incidence rate calculations that
account for behaviour response. Ignoring the sorting effect meant that the
standard models underestimate, in percentage terms, the effect of NEPs on
HIV incidence in Table 3. Using the terminal needle for calculating HIVincidence rates would only accentuate these biases.
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Table 3.
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.20
0.40
16.7
53.6
57.3
94.0
151.4
9.1
52.5
59.7
89.0
133.2
6.3
51.2
61.8
84.0
115.6
3.8
48.2
63.3
74.0
84.5
2.2
44.3
59.0
46.0
41.3
161.1
149.6
137.6
114.1
76.5
8.5
52.3
60.1
88.2
130.3
6.0
51.0
62.0
83.4
113.5
4.7
49.6
63.0
78.6
97.9
3.2
46.9
62.8
69.0
71.4
2.0
44.0
57.7
49.8
34.9
147.7
136.1
124.6
103.5
70.1
3.6
47.6
63.1
71.9
78.8
3.1
46.6
62.6
68.0
68.9
2.8
45.7
61.7
64.0
60.0
2.3
44.5
59.6
56.0
44.7
1.7
43.9
55.0
39.9
22.4
109.6
101.4
93.7
79.8
56.0
Source: Authors calculations using starting data from existing studies for New York, New
Haven, and elsewhere. Shared needles (N/(N+O))100 where N new needle users, O old
needle users; e supply elasticity of new needles in the black market.
3.8. Summing Up
The various analyses above suggest that effectiveness of individual programmes is likely to depend on a range of factors, but reaching injecting
drug users with some type of programme is obviously critical if health is to
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improve. Legal constraints and police harassment may deter users from
accessing programmes, which highlights the importance of involving other
sectors in NEP planning. Where users, moreover, do not perceive a need to
use new needles (e.g., if they and many of their peers are already infected
with HIV or lack knowledge of infection risks), they are unlikely to attempt
to make use of programmes whatever the police impediments or absence
thereof. Education efforts, possibly using peer educators, will be vital in
such cases, while incentives such as free drug provision or even cash are
likely to be needed to reach the most reluctant users.
Devising an effective NEP is a complex task, particularly when support
from the state is weak or absent. Inadequate funding of programmes hampers efforts, leaving NEPs bereft of well-trained staff and reliable equipment
supplies. In the developed world, opposition to NEPs among voters and
local communities is likely to limit funding, but in developing countries
resources are often scarce regardless of which policies are seen as desirable.
Some governments are unable to afford needles for medical use, for example, and therefore have a hard time explaining their use in NEPs. In such
circumstances, means of supplying needles other than from the public purse
will have to be considered. Legalization of sale, which gives the private
sector responsibility for distribution and for attracting customers, may be an
effective alternative (or complement) to NEPs. International HIV-prevention programmes may also be a valuable source of supplies.
All these potential obstacles mean that NEPs are unlikely to be wholly
effective at preventing HIV transmission. Overcoming them is likely to require a more comprehensive strategy, involving bleach distribution, education programmes, and treatment for dependency, as well as needle exchange.
Legalization of needle sale and possession should also be considered by
policy makers.
4. CONCLUSIONS
In conclusion, no single approach is likely to effectively address the key
IDU-related problems of drug dependency and needle sharing. Criminalization has failed to wipe out IDU, and programmes involving bleaching,
needle exchange, or peer education work best when complemented by efforts in other areas.
By clarifying the underpinnings of behaviours at risk for HIV infection,
economic analysis has also contributed to understanding the complexity of
the mechanisms associated with the transmission of HIV and served to
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from law enforcement agencies and public health practitioners. The problems posed by IDU have no simple solutions, but political awareness and a
broad perspective on both methods and target audiences is likely to reward
those attempting to limit the damage it causes.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The authors acknowledge the assistance of Om Lala, Larry Rosenberg, and
Mark Weston in the preparation of this chapter.
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