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Abstract: This paper seeks to compare the determinants of capital structure of one of the top-African gold mining firms
(AngloGold Ashanti) with world-top gold mining firms. Determinants of capital structure would vary in different regions
which could influence the market capitalization of a firm; therefore, a comprehensive understanding of this issue would
be helpful for the decision makers of gold mining industry. For this purpose, regressions are run for these two different
samples. Empirical results show that significant determinants of capital structure have different impacts on the leverage
ratios of AngloGold and world-top gold mining firms except profitability which affects the leverage ratios of both
samples identically. The findings of this paper provide insights for African gold mining managers and policy makers
based on empirical evidences.
Keywords: Determinants of Capital Structure, Leverage Ratio, African Gold Mining Firms, World Gold Mining Firms
1 Introduction
There are 47 countries and over 800 million people in Sub-Saharan Africa, some of the worlds largest remaining
undeveloped mineral deposits are hosted in this area. Mining industry activities play an important role in the economic
grows of the region the activities such as development of resources, ranging from coal to lead to cobalt to gold. Regarding
to natural resources a large number of the nations in SSA still perform poorly on many development indicators, which
leads to increased levels of political and economic uncertainty. Funding and developing mining projects need a powerful
foreign investment because most of SSA countries are involved with dearth of capital. Although the region remains a
medium to high-risk zone for most international banks in any capacity, European banks (the traditional lenders) is lending
and financing the new institution in mining sector recent years (Mulherin, 2012).
S. M. Hashemi and H. Hosseini. K (2013) studied on determinants of capital Structure in the top-five gold mining
companies. They found that profitability of a firm and tangibility of its assets are significantly affecting the leverage ratio
of top gold mining firms.
In the following section, determinants of capital structure which are believed to be important in the gold mining firms are
discussed briefly.
Norwegian companies during 1992 to 2005 by Mjos (2007) shows that size of a firm is positively related to its debt ratio.
Another similar study which is done by Frank and Goyal (2007) has investigated US firms during 1950 to 2003 shows
that larger firms have higher debt ratios in comparison with the smaller ones. This study evaluates the size of a firm by
natural logarithm of its total sales or total revenues. On the other hand, a negative relationship could exist between size
and leverage ratio because large firms may have better internal resources and easier access to financial markets and
benefit from better financial conditions on these markets when requesting new issuance of capital (Booth et al., 2001).
1.2.4 Tangibility of Assets
Mining firms, more than other industries, are dependent on their tangible or physical assets. Creditors consider tangible
assets as collaterals which have the least level of risk. Moreover, tangible assets are easier to liquidate in comparison with
intangible ones. Therefore, corporations which have higher amounts of tangible assets are potential to finance their
operations more via debt financing rather than equity financing because the former has lower costs compared to the latter
(Biger, Nguyen and Hoang, 2008).It is indicated in the literature that the type of assets have great impacts on leverage
either positively or negatively (Biger, Nguyen and Hoang, 2008).Similar studies (Frank and Goyal, 2007; Mjos, 2007)
show that as tangible assets of a firm increases, the leverage of that firm increases accordingly. In order to convert the
data for investigation, the ratio of fixed assets to total assets is calculated to be the representative of tangibility of assets.
1.2.5 Growth Opportunities
According to the pecking order theory, there should be a positive relationship between growth opportunities of a firm and
leverage. As firms tend to invest more to grow, they need more debt financing because retained earnings (internal
financing) are limited. Therefore, growth opportunities of a firm affect the leverage ratio of a firm. It is shown that firms
with higher growth opportunities are not willing to increase their debt because they are sure about future investment
opportunities. Therefore, high-growth firms tend to borrow less in order to decrease the transfer of wealth from the
shareholders to the creditors (Mayers, 1977).
1.2.6 Profitability
As profitability can influence the debt ratio of a firm in different ways, the direction of its impact on debt ratio is
conflicting. Based on the trade-off theory, if a firm earns more profits, it should employ higher debt ratios. Higher debt
ratios are associated with more tax savings and lower financial costs of bankruptcy. In addition, profitable firms are more
able to increase debt capacity because of their potential in loan repayment (Guad et al., 2005). However, the opposite
relationship between profitability and debt ratio is the representative of pecking order theory. Based on this theory,
profitable firms tend to benefit from internal funds rather than employing external funds (Myers, 1984).
Production
Tones
(USD Billion)
49.0
210.4
Canada
39.0
67.93
Canada
29.09
141.1
United State
Newcrest Mining
Kinross Gold
Eldorado Gold
26.0
11.5
10.59
58.77
74.2
18.69
Australia
Canada
Canada
AngloGold Ashanti
16.7
111.8
South Africa
Company
Barrick Gold
Goldcorp
Newmont Mining
Headquarters
In order to investigate the relationship between the determinants of capital structure and leverage ratio, a single model is
defined (equation 1):
Leverage = F (Non-Debt Tax Shield, Profitability, Risk, Size, Tangibility, Growth)
(1)
The dependent and independent variables of above equation are defined in the following table (Table 2):
Description
Total debt divided by total assets
Depreciation and depletion divided by total assets
Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by total assets
3 Empirical Analysis
In this section, the empirical findings of our research regarding the determinants of capital structure are presented.
AngloGold
(
)
(
( (
World-top
( (
))
(
))
The outcomes of regression models for AngloGold and world-top firms are shown in the Table 3 and 4, respectively.
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
DNDTS
DPROFITABILITY
DRISK
DSIZE
DTANGIBLITY
GROWTH
C
1.606513
-0.322698
-0.003278
0.007653
-0.131804
-0.004600
0.002835
0.484794
0.073199
0.002310
0.025329
0.127477
0.005761
0.003483
3.313802
-4.408484
-1.419085
0.302135
-1.033940
-0.798510
0.814018
0.0016
0.0000
0.1610
0.7636
0.3053
0.4277
0.4189
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
0.435465
0.379011
0.025617
0.039375
154.1481
7.713689
0.000004
0.003734
0.032508
-4.392481
-4.162140
-4.301334
1.993608
The OLS regression outcomes for AngloGold show that only non-debt tax shield and profitability are significantly
affecting the leverage ratio of AngloGold; where the coefficient of non-debt tax shield is positive and the coefficient of
profitability is negative. In addition, the R-squared of this regression shows that more than 43% of changes in leverage
ratio can be explained by these 6 independent variables.
The positive effect of non-debt tax shield intensifies the importance of tax shield for AngloGold in contrast to its worldtop competitors (shown in Table 4). This behavior of world-top firms is consistent with the findings of DeAngelo and
Masulis (1980) that tax deductibility of depreciation and tax credits can mutually cause to mitigate the benefits of debt
financing.
On the other hand, the effect of profitability on the leverage ratio is not only similar to the world-top firms, but also it is
consistent with the pecking order theory. Based on this theory, profitable firms tend to benefit from internal funds rather
than employing external funds (Myers, 1984).
Table 4: Estimations of OLS Regression Model for World-Top Gold Mining Firms
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
DGROWTH
DNDTS
DPROFITABILITY
DRISK
DTANGIBLITY
DDSIZE
C
0.022361
0.049086
-0.081679
0.000196
0.017355
-0.103444
0.000343
0.010831
0.111700
0.032497
8.74E-05
0.009886
0.029901
0.010681
2.064528
0.439443
-2.513469
2.240853
1.755551
-3.459491
0.032138
0.0419
0.6614
0.0138
0.0275
0.0826
0.0008
0.9744
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
0.224163
0.171860
0.102934
0.942987
85.68835
4.285809
0.000769
0.000646
0.113111
-1.639341
-1.452357
-1.563759
2.537527
The OLS regression outcomes for World-Top gold mining firms show that growth, profitability, risk, tangibility and size
are statistically significant. The growth opportunities and tangibility of assets of these firms have positive impacts, while
the size of the firms, their risk level and their profitability negatively affect the leverage ratio. However, the coefficient of
risk is almost zero, so its impact is not considerable. In addition, as R-squared shows, more than 22% of changes in
leverage ratios of these firms are explained by the independent variables.
As world-top gold mining firms may have a better access to financing resources, an increase in size of these firms affects
the leverage ratio negatively. Moreover, the positive impact of growth opportunities and tangibility of assets on the
leverage ratio demonstrates the presence of a positive signal for creditors.
GROWTH
D(NDTS)
D(PROFITABILITY)
D(RISK)
D(SIZE)
D(TANGIBLITY)
GROWTH
1.000000
-0.075355
0.001162
0.156596
0.404042
0.007516
D(GROWTH)
D(NDTS)
D(PROFITABILITY)
D(RISK)
D(SIZE)
D(TANGIBLITY)
D(GROWTH)
1.000000
-0.199791
0.206564
-0.406828
0.154432
-0.067823
D(NDTS)
D(PROFITABILITY)
D(RISK)
D(SIZE)
D(TANGIBLITY)
1.000000
0.107846
-0.337579
0.114517
-0.189385
1.000000
-0.265636
0.058657
0.235069
1.000000
0.301332
-0.537610
1.000000
-0.124662
1.000000
D(D(SIZE))
D(TANGIBLITY)
1.000000
0.004329
1.000000
1.000000
0.077626
0.103024
0.063054
1.000000
0.149529
0.005091
4 Conclusions
The significant determinants of capital structure in case of AngloGold are consisted of profitability and non-debt tax
shield, while profitability, size, tangibility of assets and growth opportunities are the significant determinants of capital
structure in the world-top gold mining firms. Therefore, as the first main finding, only profitability has the same impact
on the leverage ratios of both samples. The negative relationship between profitability and leverage ratio is mentioned in
the studies of Titman S, Wessels R. (1988), Rajan RG, Zingales L. (1995), Biger N et al. (2008).
On the other hand, the second main finding of this study shows that other significant determinants of capital structure are
different in each sample. This issue may be related to the firm such as creditworthiness of company and management
priority or to some other reasons such as accessibility of funding resources, geopolitical circumstances.
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