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Guiding Principle
David Orban
www.davidorban.com
Thank you for attending this evening the inaugural His life has been in balance between his scientific
lecture in the Ibn Khaldun Lecture series on Al- endeavors, and the realism of the political sphere as
Andalus Alhambra! I want to thank Michel Manen he had to constantly strive for a position of stability
for inviting me, for inviting me back, after an other among the rapidly changing powers of his time.
inaugural lecture that I gave for him more than a This is very much true of all of us, as we are torn
year ago. It is evident with how much passion and between our quests for knowledge, and
persistence Michel built the basis of Al-Andalus, understanding, and the needs of our personal,
and of the community that you see around, made of social, and professional lives.
people, and of the principles that drive them.
The real measure of his value, as it is for all those
I will start with an introduction, where who create systems of ideas, is the fertility of what
we will look at Ibn Khaldun’s contributions to he created. Our memetic evolution is based on
culture and science. fertile ideas, and based on this measure the seeds
In the first part of our conversation I will that Ibn Khaldun planted have shown to be of
describe what I view as the basis of tolerance or immense value to everyone who came after him.
lack of tolerance in our societies.
In the second part, based on an analogy
with the characteristics that we identify in the first 1.
part, I will look at the nature of robust IT systems.
In the third part we will look at how can As I am about to start the exposition of the main
online worlds evolve social systems based on these arguments of my lecture, I can only hope to
principles? Can these systems teach a lesson to introduce some elements that are minimally
those of the physical world? worthy...
In conclusion, I will want to make some
proposals based on the lessons learned during the Let’s see how tolerance in societies emerges as a
lecture. ...So let’s start! value, and what makes it desirable.
I am honored to start a lecture series named after People, as well as societies have to define
such an important figure in the culture, and history themselves through a set of norms. These give rise
of humankind. to the individuality of a person or of a society.
Ibn Khaldun lived in the 14th century, in what is Apart from features of the biology, or topography,
today Tunisia. He was a scholar, historian, in people and places, many of the defining
theologian, and a statesman, and he is considered characteristics of a person or a society are derived
the father of several scientific disciplines, such as from the roles and the rules that are developed,
demography, sociology, and modern economics. Of learned, transmitted, and maintained throughout its
the social sciences in general! His theory of social life.
conflict and of social cohesion expressed in his
major work, the Muqaddimah, as well as his These features provide a utility, through their
economic analysis of value added labor processes expression, to their bearer, and their presence
are recognized as the basis of the modern analyses creates a positive feedback, achieving in the system
of these important elements. a high level of coherence.
Since the system can not count on an unlimited We have seen how tolerance emerges
amount of resources available to it, satisfying the spontaneously within a biological or social system.
requirements of the first level of energy use is a Now let’s see what is its analogue in a
priority in order to keep its various parts in working technological construct.
order.
The other will be recognized by the system because Our technological systems are created through a
of its differences, in composition, behavior, rules, process that finds optimal solutions given a series
and meta-rules. There will be explicit comparisons, of constraints in a time that is orders of magnitude
and the results of these are going to determine the faster than biological evolution. This process is the
mind, and the level of reaction to the other. evolution of ideas, or memetic evolution.
As long as these differences stay dynamically The same principles of differentiating between the
below a certain threshold, it will be more desired system, and the external factors remain.
convenient for the system to accept them, rather And as the functions of the system are needed in
than expend additional energies to shield from time, on top of executing them, there is an
them, or to fight against them. additional meta-goal of preserving the system’s
integrity in the artificial systems as well. Using
The differences will not at that point disappear, and their human creators, these systems strive to keep
they will not stop from having an effect on both the on living.
system and the other. Rather, as implicitly they
have been labeled benign, they will exert a One of the best examples of fault-tolerance, of
fertilizing and stimulating effect on the self, tolerance for errors, is the routing system employed
making it sure that that the parameters that define by the Internet. When you have a large system like
its nature stay clearly defined, that they can be the internet, based on relatively unreliable parts,
always confronted with a wider reality of whose connections might or might not work in any
parameter-sets. given moment, the packets of information that are
routed to their destination cannot, and should not
know in advance what specific path they will take.
So what does this have to do with the metaverse, Previously we spoke about ROI in the efforts of
and online worlds? I contend that it has everything preserving the coherence of a given system. The
to do with it! In this penultimate section of my complementary concept of cost opportunity comes
lecture let’s see how, and why... into play here: what do I lose if I concentrate on
avoiding mistakes? Or, similarly, what can I gain
The complexity of our online lives is increasing by doing, however imperfectly, and what do I lose
exponentially. It took tens of thousands of years to by not doing? These calculations are done
develop tribal living, and thousands of years to implicitly, but are the basis of real activity and
build the urban societies. The existences that investments in time and resources in the online
started with the earliest online chat rooms, and worlds.
news groups, and email lists precede only few
decades the richness of the experience that we are This is why the online worlds are not just mere
now living in the metaverse. tools to help with the daily chores of life in the
material world. They are bound to develop new
levels of organization that will express higher
fertility and broader resilience than anything seen
in our atomic societies before.
4.