Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
Submitted by
PRIYABRATA ADHIKARY
ROLL NO.: M6WRP14-01
CERTIFICATE OF RECOMMENDATION
This is to certify that the thesis entitled FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS OF SMALL
HYDROPOWER PROJECT USING RETSCREEN DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM: A
CASE STUDY is bonafide work carried out by PRIYABRATA ADHIKARY under
our supervision and guidance for partial fulfilment of the requirement for Post
Graduate Degree of Master of Engineering in Water Resources & Hydraulic
Engineering during the academic session 2013-2014.
------------------------------------THESIS ADVISOR
Dr. Pankaj Kumar Roy
Associate Professor
School of Water Resources Engineering
Jadavpur university,
Kolkata-700 032
------------------------------------DIRECTOR
Prof. (Dr.) Asis Mazumdar
School of Water Resources Engineering
Jadavpur University,
Kolkata-700 032
------------------------------------DEAN
Faculty Council of Interdisciplinary Studies, Law and Management
Jadavpur University,
Kolkata-700 032
CERTIFICATE OF APPROVAL **
This foregoing thesis is hereby approved as a credible study of an engineering
subject carried out and presented in a manner satisfactorily to warranty its
acceptance as a prerequisite to the degree for which it has been submitted. It is
understood that by this approval the undersigned do not endorse or approve
any statement made or opinion expressed or conclusion drawn therein but
approve the thesis only for purpose for which it has been submitted.
----------------------------------------------Committee of final examination
for evaluation of Thesis
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
iii
I hereby declare that this thesis contains literature survey and original research
work by the undersigned candidate, as part of his Master of Engineering in
Water Resources & Hydraulic Engineering studies during academic session
2013-2014.
All information in this document has been obtained and presented in
accordance with academic rules and ethical conduct.
I also declare that, as required by this rules and conduct, I have fully cited and
referred all material and results that are not original to this work.
NAME: PRIYABRATA ADHIKARY
ROLL NUMBER: M6WRP14-01
THESIS TITLE:
FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS OF SMALL HYDROPOWER PROJECT USING RETSCREEN
DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM: A CASE STUDY
SIGNATURE:
DATE:
iv
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
_________________________________________________________________
I express my sincere gratitude to my supervisor Dr. Pankaj Kumar Roy
Associate Professor, School of Water Resources Engineering, Jadavpur
University, under whose supervision and guidance this work has been carried
out. It would have been impossible to carry out this thesis work with
confidence without his wholehearted involvement, advice, support and
constant encouragement throughout.
I also express my sincere gratitude to Prof.(Dr.) Asis Mazumdar, Director,
School of Water Resources Engineering, Jadavpur University; Dr. Debasri Roy,
Associate Professor, School of Water Resources Engineering, Jadavpur
University; Prof.(Dr.) Arunabha Mazumdar, Professor-Emeritus, School of
Water Resources Engineering, Jadavpur University; Shri Subhasish Das
Assistant Professor, School of Water Resources Engineering and Shri Rajib Das,
Assistant Professor, School of Water Resources Engineering for their valuable
suggestions. Thanks are also due to all the staffs of School of Water Resources
Engineering and the Regional Centre, NAEB, Jadavpur University for their help
and support.
I also express my sincere gratitude to Prof.(Dr.) B. Majumdar, Power
Engineering Department, Jadavpur University for his valuable guidance.
Last but not the least; I am also grateful to my family for the earnest support
and dedicate my M.E. thesis to them.
-------------------------------PRIYABRATA ADHIKARY
(Roll No. : M6WRP14-01)
ABSTRACT
The assessment of Small Hydropower Project (SHPP) sites for project planning and
development represents a relatively high proportion of overall cost. A high level of
experience and expertise is required to accurately conduct this multidimensional
assessment at both pre-feasibility and feasibility analysis stage. A variety of computerbased feasibility assessment tools (IMP-5.0, RETScreen, Hydro-Help, HOMER, iHOGA
etc.) have been developed for the same. However, a reliable assessment implies
physical site surveying and planning at pre-feasibility stage itself. The advent of
Geographic Information System (GIS) along with these feasibility analysis software
tools has been of enormous use for the feasibility analysis of any renewable energy
project (including small hydropower project) at minimum time-cost-effort for making
further decision. Renewable energy sources are getting much more important to
replace conventional energy sources (fossil fuel) and reduce the increasing threat
coming from greenhouse gases. Hence small hydropower is becoming one of the
cheapest as well as most important sources of renewable energy. It is much more
advantageous than medium or large hydropower projects.
This thesis is based on application of one of the widely used small hydropower
development decision support system tool i.e. RETScreen software. A case study is also
performed to illustrate the successful use of this program for feasibility study of a
small hydropower project in India at minimum time-cost-effort based on the available
pre-feasibility report. Chapter-1 gives the introduction of the M.E. Thesis along with
the literature review, thesis objective and scope of work. Chapter-2 discussed on the
overall hydropower scenario in world as well as India along with the hydropower
working principle and other basics. Chapter-3 gives the concept of small hydropower
as a means of sustainable energy solution for future. Chapter-4 gives the details of prefeasibility report of the case study project. In Chapter-5 various decision support
system tools are discussed those are used world wide for small hydropower project
development. Chapter-6 gives the detailed feasibility analysis for validating the prefeasibility report of the case study project using RETScreen decision support system.
Chapter-7 gives the conclusion of the RETScreen analysis.
Keywords: Small Hydropower Development, Feasibility Study, RETScreen, GIS, MCDA
CONTENTS
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT.............v
ABSTRACT...01
1. INTRODUCTION...04
1.1. Introduction.05
1.2. Literature Review...06
1.3. The Objective of the Study08
1.4. The Scope of the Study09
2. HYDROPOWER PROJECTS....10
2.1. History of Hydropower.11
2.2. Hydropower in the World..11
2.3. Hydropower in India..12
2.4. Hydropower in Eastern India...12
2.5. Working Principle of Hydropower Plants14
2.6. Advantage of Hydropower Plants.15
2.7. Disadvantage of Hydropower Plants..16
2.8. Hydropower Project Implementation Process...17
3. SMALL HYDROPOWER PROJECTS A NEW CONCEPT.19
3.1. Definition of Small Hydropower20
3.2. Historical Background of Small Hydropower...23
3.3. Small Hydropower in the World...23
3.4. Small Hydropower in India23
3.5. Small Hydropower in Eastern India...24
3.6. Advantages of Small Hydropower26
3.7. Disadvantages of Small Hydropower Plants.27
3.8. Small Hydro Project Development..27
4. PRE FEASIBILITY REPORT A CASE STUDY....29
4.1. Project Location..30
4.2. Project Pre feasibility Report Summary.31
4.3. Project Hydrology..33
4.4. Project Meteorological Conditions33
4.5. Project Geology..34
4.6. Project Engineering Aspects..34
4.7. Project Environmental Aspects35
4.8. Project Economic Aspects36
5. RETSCREEN-SMALL HYDRO PROJECT ANALYSIS SOFTWARE...38
5.1. Small Hydro Assessment Tools-An Overview39
5.2. RETScreen Software42
CHAPTER-1
INTRODUCTION
1.1 Introduction
Electricity is the only form of energy which is easy to produce, easy to transport, easy
to control and easy to use. So it is mostly the terminal form of energy for transmission
and distribution. Electricity consumption per capita is the index of living standard of
people of a place or country. Electricity can be obtained from various sources broadly
classified as non-renewable or conventional sources and renewable or nonconventional sources. Keeping in mind the limited availability of conventional sources
of energy viz. coal, obtaining electricity from non-conventional sources are gaining
more and more importance. Solar power, wind power, geothermal power, hydro
power, tidal power are some common sources of renewable energy. Of these,
hydropower is one of the most reliable and easily available forms of non conventional
energy. The renewable sources are gaining more and more importance these days as
they pollute the environment to a much lesser extent. A hydroelectric power plant is a
renewable source of energy that does not pollute the environment. Hydroelectric
power plants limit the emission of green house gases from power generation plant
which is of high concern these days. As energy becomes the current catchphrase in
business, industry and society, energy alternatives are becoming increasingly popular,
in spite of having a high start up cost. The maintenance cost is however low.
Rs2.5/kWh (i.e. USD55/MWh approx.) which is relatively low, compared to others and
thus competitive. Along with the above mentioned parameters, Environmental Impact
Assessment (EIA) is another major aspect that has to be taken care of, wherein the
pros and cons of setting up of a plant (or any industry), on the surrounding
environment and society are to be considered.
1.2 Literature Review
Lea Kosnik, (Energy Policy, Elsevier, 2010) discussed the potential for small scale
hydropower to contribute to US renewable energy supplies, as well as reduce current
carbon emissions, was investigated. It was discovered that thousands of viable sites
capable of producing significant amounts of hydroelectric power were available
through out the United States. The primary objective of his research was to determine
the cost-effectiveness of developing these small scale hydropower sites. Just because
as it has the necessary topographical features to allow small scale hydropower
development, does not mean that it, should be pursued from a cost-benefit
perspective, even if it is a renewable energy resource with minimal effect so the
environment. This RETScreen based feasibility analysis finds that while the average
cost of developing small scale hydropower is relatively high, there still remain hundred
so sites on the low end of the cost scale that are cost-effective to develop right now.
C. Alonso-Tristn et al., (Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, 2011)
discussed a small hydropower plant in Spain in his study, from an energetic and
economic perspective. The viability of the facility was examined using the freeware
software RETScreen. Calculated and standard operational data were compared,
thereby demonstrating the feasibility of the project from all points of view. The study
highlighted the growing interest in renewable energies.
Adhikary et. al. (IJERT, 2013) compared as well as discussed the software tools for the
planning and development of small hydropower projects (SHPP) applicable especially
for Indian scenario. The main emphasis is on small scale hydropower resource
assessment computer tools and methodologies corresponding to a preliminary or prefeasibility and feasibility study level in India. The reviewed tools including RETScreen
vary from simple initial estimates to quite sophisticated software. The integration of
assessment tools into Geographic Information System (GIS) environments has helped
in the strengthening of the evaluation of the water power potential in the case of the
spatial variability of different factors affecting it. However, a reliable assessment of
real SHPP feasibility implies some physical site surveying also, but this traditional
assessment can be greatly facilitated using GIS techniques and DSS tools in India.
has played host to a number of international events over the years. Presently,
electricity is being generated through the use of diesel powered generating sets. The
adjoining communities are currently without electricity, although a few of the
residents have acquired generators for self provision, mostly for their domestic use.
Aside the high cost associated with this, the discharge of noxious contaminants into
the atmosphere is undesirable. Further, the ranch was visited to establish hands-on,
the existing renewable energy sources. A trade-off of these sources was carried out
with reference to a number of relevant evaluation parameters to identify the most
suited option for addressing the energy challenge. A comparative analysis thru
RETScreen of this selected source was then made to establish its techno economic
potential against the existing source of power generation- diesel powered generating
sets. Conclusively, the findings and recommendations of this research effort, if well
implemented, will be beneficial to the ranch, the adjoining communities and other
relevant stakeholders.
Reyhan Mutlu (M.S. Thesis, The Graduate School of Natural and Applied Sciences,
Middle East Technical University, 2010) discussed how hydropower helps countries to
meet their energy needs in an economically, environmentally, and socially sustainable
way while saving money and increasing energy security and self-reliance. Being one of
the fastest developing countries, electricity demand of Turkey has been increasing and
is expected to increase in the future. Untapped hydropower potential is among the
prospective alternative resources to supply this demand. Developing a hydropower
project requires a great deal of expertise in multiple disciplines. This study shows how
RETScreen can be used in assessing the economical feasibilities of the current
formulation for Niksar HEPP and its alternative schemes.
Eri A. Boye (M.S. Thesis, Department of Environmental Engineering, University of
Iceland / Department of Natural Resource Sciences, University of Akureyri, 2011)
discussed about how The Victoria Capitol Regional District (CRD) operates several
pressure reducing facilities (PRF) as part of their potable municipal waterways. A
feasibility and economic study was conducted to observe the viability of a proposed
hydropower station at the Humpback PRF also thru RETScreen.
1.3 The Objective of study
The use of clean energy technologies such as Small Hydropower Project - that is,
energy efficient and renewable energy technologies (RET) has increased greatly over
the past several decades. Technologies once considered quaint or exotic are now
commercial realities, providing cost-effective alternatives to conventional, fossil fuelbased systems and their associated problems of greenhouse gas emissions, high
operating costs, and local pollution. In order to benefit from these technologies,
potential users, decision and policy makers, planners, project financiers, and
equipment vendors must be able to quickly and easily assess whether a proposed
clean energy technology project is viable. This analysis allows for the minimum
investment of time-cost-effort and reveals whether a potential clean energy project is
CHAPTER-2
HYDROPOWER PROJECT
Eastern region (4113.12 MW) and lastly, North-Eastern region (1242 MW). In the
North-Eastern region, hydro provides 42.7% of total electricity, while in the Northern
region, 25.4% of electricity comes from hydro. Among the states, the two Himalayan
states of Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh have the most hydro electric generation
capacity as a percentage of total electricity produced. Our case study is from Bihar.
Bihar is a state in India located towards the northern belt of India. The state has
several rivers flowing through it such as Ganga, Sone, Bagmati, Kosi etc. The total area
covered by the state of Bihar is 94,163 Sq.Km. the state is located between 21-58'-10"
N ~ 27-31'-15" N latitude and between 83-19'-50" E ~ 88-17'-40" E longitude. Its
average elevation above sea level is 53 m. Post bifurcation of Bihar, the power
availability scenario in the state has worsened, as most operational power generating
plants fell within the territory of Jharkhand. Bihars power system has a peak of about
1,500 MW under the currently constrained demand scenario, where electricity covers
barely 50% of villages and 6% of households. Against this peak demand, the
availability is only about 950 MW, leading to wide-scale rationing of power to all
categories of consumers.
and environmental, social, or other impacts of the project, such that the proponent
can come to a decision about whether or not to proceed with the project. It is
characterized by the collection of refined site, resource and equipment cost data. It
typically involves site visits, resource monitoring, energy audits, more detailed
computer simulation, and the solicitation of price information from equipment
suppliers.
Engineering and Development: If, based on the feasibility study, the project
proponent decides to proceed with the project, and then engineering and
development will be the next step. Engineering includes the design and planning of the
physical aspects of the project. Development involves the planning, arrangement, and
negotiation of financial, regulatory, contractual and other non-physical aspects of the
project. Some development activities, such as training, customer relations, and
community consultations extend through the subsequent project stages of
construction and operation. Even following significant investments in engineering and
development, the project may be halted prior to construction because financing
cannot be arranged, environmental approvals cannot be obtained, the pre-feasibility
and feasibility studies missed important cost items, or for other reasons.
Construction and Commissioning: Finally, the project is built and put into service.
Certain construction activities can be started before completion of engineering and
development, and the two conducted in parallel.
Each step of this process could represent an increase of one order of magnitude or so
in expenditures and a halving of the uncertainty in the project cost-estimate. This is
illustrated in Figure for hydro projects where the level of uncertainty in estimates
decreases from 50% to 0% while the energy project implementation process is
progressing from the pre-feasibility to the commissioning stages. In this figure, the
accuracy of project estimates is judged in comparison to the actual costs incurred in
the final construction and commissioning project phase (based on empirical data for
projects actually built). RETScreen Software, can be used here for quick evaluation.
CHAPTER-3
SMALL HYDROPOWER PROJECT
(A NEW CONCEPT IN SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT)
Canal-based small hydropower schemes are planned to generate power by utilizing the
flow and fall in the canal. These schemes may be planned in the canal itself or in the
by-pass channel. These are low head and high discharge schemes. These schemes are
advantageous due to low gestation period, simple layout, no rehabilitation problems
and no socio-environmental problems.
stakeholders is the long lead times. This is due to the numerous permits and
clearances required for such a project.
3.5 Small Hydropower in Eastern India
In eastern zone the states having small hydro potential are namely Bihar, Orissa, West
Bengal and North Eastern States. As we know Bihar State Hydroelectric Power
Corporation Limited (BHPC) is a company of government of Bihar and is responsible for
exploring all possibilities of small hydroelectric potential and its development in the
State.
# Pre-feasibility study
Work on the selected site or sites would include: site mapping and geological
investigations (with drilling confined to areas where foundation uncertainty would
have a major effect on costs); a reconnaissance for suitable borrow areas (e.g. for sand
and gravel); a preliminary layout based on materials known to be available; preliminary
selection of the main project characteristics (installed capacity, type of development,
etc.); a cost estimate based on major quantities; the identification of possible
environmental impacts; and production of a single volume report on each site.
# Feasibility study
Work would continue on the selected site with a major foundation investigation
programme; delineation and testing of all borrow areas; estimation of diversion,
design and probable maximum floods; determination of power potential for a range of
dam heights and installed capacities for project optimisation; determination of the
project design earthquake and the maximum credible earthquake; design of all
structures in sufficient detail to obtain quantities for all items contributing more than
about 10% to the cost of individual structures; determination of the dewatering
sequence and project schedule; optimisation of the project layout, water levels and
components; production of a detailed cost estimate; and finally, an economic and
financial evaluation of the project including an assessment of the impact on the
existing electrical grid along with a multi-volume comprehensive feasibility report.
# System planning and project engineering
This work would include studies and final design of the transmission system;
integration of the transmission system; integration of the project into the power
network to determine precise operating mode; production of tender drawings and
specifications; analysis of bids and detailed design of the project; production of
detailed construction drawings and review of manufacturers equipment drawings.
However, the scope of this phase would not include site supervision or project
management, since this work would form part of the project execution costs.
CHAPTER-4
PRE-FEASIBILITY REPORT
(A CASE STUDY)
temperatures in summer ranges between 21C to 43C, and in winter the range is 6C
(in some localities) to 20C.
4.5 Project Geology
The project site lies in North Bihar in Kosi River Basin. The thick deposits of fine sand in
the region indicate that the area belongs to the recent phase of depositional period of
Himalayan Ranges. In general, the area is plain in nature. Geologically the entire area
at the Malhanwa SHPP site, which falls in the Kosi belt, consists of fine sand. The soil is
sandy up to a depth of 4m to 5m. Below these strata a layer of blackish soil is found.
The ground water table is found at 5m to 6m depth from the surface. The project area
lies is ZoneV of seismic zone as per Indian Seismic Zone Classification and earthquake
considerations are to be taken into account while designing the structure.
4.6 Project Engineering Aspects
Turbine and Generator
It is proposed to have 3 nos tubular/bulb/kaplan turbines of 2MW capacity each for
the rated discharge of 47.17m/s and a rated head of 4.7m. Three turbines will work
during June to October, two will work during November, December and May and only
one will work during January to April. Annual energy generated per annum works out
to be 32.4 GWh. Suitable transformers shall be installed to step-up the voltage to 11kV.
The other main parameters that are to be considered while designing a hydropower
plant:
A. Weir
Malhanwa SHPP is located on Baghla Dhar, 2.0 Km upstream of road-bridge on PipraTribeniganj road. The depth of rivulet at bridge site is about 5m to 6m. On left bank of
rivulet there is embankment which is 3m high. As the width of bridge at the crossing is
150m. An 8m high weir is proposed to be provided 2.0Km upstream of the road-bridge
on Pipra-Tribeniganj road, which can store water for power generation. The
weir/barrage is located in Supaul district of Bihar. The project can be approached from
Pipra-Tribeniganj road.
B. Water conductor system
The weir/barrage is proposed to be a concrete structure, along with suitable intake
structure. The water will flow through a penstock on downstream of this intake
structure. A trash rack is also proposed at the intake structure. The discharge from
generating units will flow from the tail race channel and join the downstream of Baghla
Dhar at a suitable location.
C. Power House
The power house of the proposed SHPP will be of surface type and located by the
course of stream. The generating units will be connected to step up transformers and
subsequently to outdoor switchyard.
a) Turbine
Three tubular/ bulb/kaplan type turbines each of 2MW will be installed along with
inlet valves/ gates, governing systems, drainage system and dewatering system.
b) Generator
Four horizontal generators each of 2.22MVA will be coupled with above turbines along
with static excitation system, cooling water system, fire protection system, control
panels, unit auxiliary boards.
c) Generator step up transformer
The output of each generator will be connected to a three phases, 2.22MVA, 3.3 /33KV
generator step up transformer of ONAN type equipped with all standard auxiliaries.
d) Other Auxiliaries
In addition to above, other standard auxiliaries like EOT crane, ventilation and air
conditioning system, DC supply system, station auxiliary supply system etc. will also be
installed inside the power house.
e) Switchyard
The output of the generator step up transformers will be connected to 33KV bus bars
in an outdoor 33KV switchyard. The switchyard shall accommodate 2 unit circuit
breakers and 2 nos. 33KV outgoing circuit breakers / feeder bays.
4.7 Project Environmental Aspects
The poundage formed due to raising of embankments of Baghla Dhar for the proposed
Malhanwa SHPP is not expected to increase abnormally the seepage water effects in
the surrounding area which is already having a network of canals associated with Kosi
Barrage at Hanuman Nagar.
Industry in Kosi river basin
The main inhabitants in Kosi river basin are agriculturists. However, there is no agroindustry for want of power and accordingly, the electricity from the proposed HydroElectric Project will go a long way to develop agro-industry, to give relief to the people
from the state for jobs. It will also improve law and order situation in the area.
Power Evacuation
The power generated at the proposed hydro-electric project can be easily evacuated
through three 33KV transmission lines, to grid sub-stations of BSEB at Pipra. Generally
the state transmission utility (STU) undertakes the job of transmission in case of
evacuation of power stations. Therefore this aspect has not been considered in this
report.
4.8 Project Economic Aspects
At the prevalent market rates the proposed Malhanwa SHPP which is of 6MW
capacities is estimated to cost Rs. 8.5 crores per MW amounting to approximately
Rs.51.0 Crores i.e US$ 11,333,333 (Year 2006).
A summary of the cost estimate of Malhanwa SHPP including direct and indirect
charges for the Project such as Pre-Feasibility, Development, Power system and
Engineering - Civil / Electromechanical / Misc. works is given below:
Basis of Estimates
General
A brief analysis of the cost estimate that was prepared in year 2006 to arrive at the
capital cost of Malhanwa SHPP is provided in this section. The total cost is broadly
divided under the following sections:
I-Civil Works
Under this heading provision has been made for various projects components as under:
# Preliminary: Some funds are allotted for the purpose of conducting initial survey of
the nearby area and the survey that may be required during the construction phase of
the project.
# Land: The cost that may be incurred during land acquisition from locals or land under
submergence, structures, colonies etc.
# Construction Works: This covers the cost of diversion works; barrage associated
hydro mechanical equipments etc.
# Power Plant Construction: This covers the cost of civil works of power house,
switchyard and tailrace etc.
# Building: Necessary provision has been made for residential and non residential
buildings.
# Miscellaneous: A provision has been kept from the total of Civil Works has been
made to meet the miscellaneous expenditures like construction power arrangements
etc.
CHAPTER-5
RETSCREEN INTERNATIONAL
(SMALL HYDRO ANALYSIS SOFTWARE)
experienced user can evaluate all aspects of an un-gauged hydro site. This includes a
power study, development of a flood frequency curve and fish habitat analysis. It is
useful to non specialists exploring possibilities for small hydro development and for
consulting engineers who need preliminary estimates of flood frequency and energy
potential. IMP consists of: Flood Frequency Analysis Model, Watershed Model,
Hydroelectric Power Simulation Model, and Fish Habitat Analysis Model. It is applicable
for India as well as other countries.
PEACH 2.0: This is a sophisticated program and is offered for SHPP planning and
designing across the world. The program is designed to take a developer through all
the necessary procedures in designing, building and commissioning a small hydro
scheme and analyzing the financial returns which may be expected. It follows following
steps: Site Data Definition, Project Creation, Project Design, Plant Design, Economic
and Financial Analysis, Report. The output provides following details: Site, Project and
Design parameter set definition; Power curve and main results; Construction costs; Bill
of quantities; Cost flows - Yearly cash flow; Economic analysis Economic analysis
graphic results; Financial analysis - Financial analysis graphic results. It is applicable for
India as well as other countries.
HydroHelp 1.2: MS Excel based HydroHelp series of programs has been developed to
allow engineers to obtain an initial assessment of a hydro-electric site, with a minimum
of site data. The programs are intended for use by relatively inexperienced hydro
engineers, by providing an expert guide throughout the project design process. The
programs do not include any hydrologic or financial analysis. There are presently 4
programs in the series, all for developments with surface power plants:
HydroHelp 1.2 for turbine selection.
HydroHelp 2.2 for Francis turbine project.
HydroHelp 3.2 for Impulse turbine project.
HydroHelp 4.2 for Kaplan turbine project.
The user starts with program #1 which provides the user with the best turbine suitable
for the flow, head and number of units desired in the power plant. Selection is based
on more than simple suitability. The user then proceeds to the next program, #2 for
Francis turbines, #3 for impulse turbines or #4 for Kaplan turbines, based on the type
of unit selected in the first program. These programs guide the user through the design
process as to the options available and the best choice. It is applicable for India as well
as other countries.
Green Kenue: This is an advanced hydrological toolkit within a GIS-enabled modeling
environment and software package. The software package provides an integrated
numerical modelling environment for hydrological models and 1D hydraulics and
routing models. Green Kenue is based on the core Kenue, which provides one unique
and shared platform and look-and-feel for purposes ranging from the development of
advanced cross-field modeling environments to the design of tailored technical
decision support systems. This software can provide engineering firms with advanced
tools for more precise hydrologic estimates needed to design small hydro sites. It is
applicable for India as well as other countries.
HOMER: It is a computer model that assists in the design of micro-power systems and
facilitates the comparison of power generation technologies across a wide range of
applications. HOMER models a power systems physical behaviour and its lifecycle cost,
which is the total cost of installing and operating the system over its life span. HOMER
allows the designer to compare many different RET design options based on their
technical and economic merits. It also assists in understanding and quantifying the
effects of uncertainty or changes in the inputs. HOMER can model off-grid and grid
connected micro-power systems serving electric and thermal loads, and comprising
any RET combination. It is applicable for India as well as other countries.
iHOGA: iHOGA (improved Hybrid Optimization by Genetic Algorithms) is software
developed in C++ for the simulation and optimization of Hybrid Renewable Systems
including SHPP for generation of electrical energy (DC and/or AC). Optimization is
achieved by minimizing total system costs throughout the whole of its useful lifespan,
when those costs are referred to or updated for the initial investment (Net Present
Cost, NPC). Optimization is therefore financial (mono-objective). However, the
program allows for multi-objective optimization, where additional variables may also
be minimized: equivalent CO2 emissions or unmet load (energy not served), as
selected by the user. Since all of these variables (cost, emissions, or unmet load) are
mutually counter productive in many cases, more than one solution is offered by the
program, when multi-objective optimization for RET is sought. Some of these solutions
show better performances when applied to emissions or unmet load, whereas other
solutions are best suited for costs. It is applicable for India as well as other countries.
MATLAB: Setting up and solving a large optimization problem for portfolio
optimization, constrained data fitting, parameter estimation, or other applications can
be a challenging task. As a result, it is common to first set up and solve a smaller,
simpler version of the problem and then scale up to the large-scale problem. Working
with a smaller version reduces the time that it takes to identify key relationships in the
model, makes the model easier to debug, and enables you to identify an efficient
solution that can be used for the large scale problem. Three techniques for finding a
control strategy for optimal operation of a hydroelectric dam: using a nonlinear
optimization algorithm, a nonlinear optimization algorithm with derivative functions,
and quadratic programming can be achieved thru MATLAB. It is applicable for India as
well as other countries.
CHAPTER-6
RETSCREEN BASED FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS
(EVALUATION OF THE CASE STUDY PROJECT)
Since there are three turbines in Malhanwa SHPP, availability was taken as 96 %. The
generator efficiency is taken as 96.5% which is within standard range of values.
Available flow adjustment factor is intended to allow the user to adjust the capacity
factor and electricity exported to the grid. This factor is primarily used for sensitivity
analysis in order to observe the effects of capacity factor and electricity generated on
the financial summary. This factor was entered as 1.0 in this study, meaning that the
flow values were not changed. Another input to be entered by the user in the energy
model sheet is the electricity export rate, which is used by the software to calculate
the income from electricity sale. Here we have considered $55 / MWh i.e Rs 2.5/KWh
(approx).
6.3 Cost Analysis Sheet
After filling the energy model sheet, the software directs the user to complete the cost
analysis sheet. RETScreen offers two types of cost estimations. The first one is detailed
cost estimation method. This cost estimation method is carried out in the cost analysis
sheet. The user can enter the pre-calculated quantities and unit costs for specific items.
This estimation method has two other sub methods in itself. The user can select one of
them considering the level of detail available for cost calculation. More detailed cost
estimations can be made with the second sub method. The sub method to be used is
selected at the beginning of the cost analysis sheet. This is used in our study.
The second cost estimation method offered by RETScreen is hydro formula costing
method. This method is available in the tools sheet. The hydro formula costing
method tool estimates the project costs using the empirical formulae derived from the
costs of numerous completed small hydro projects. Hydro formula costing method
uses the projects completed in Canada as the source for empirical formulae. Therefore,
the cost estimations are applicable for Canada. However, RETScreen enables the user
to enter the local conditions through cost ratios. These ratios should carefully be
calculated since the cost estimations could vary greatly with different cost ratios. The
total initial costs calculated by hydro formula costing method should be manually
entered into one of the cost item listed in the cost analysis sheet.
There are also annual costs. Annual costs include operation and maintenance costs,
land lease and resource rental, property taxes, insurance premium, parts and labor,
GHG monitoring and verification, community benefits, and general and administrative
expenses. Generally 0.2 % of the total investment cost can be allocated as operation
and maintenance costs. Considering the other sources of annual costs such as labor
cost or insurance premium, 0.4 % of the total investment cost is used for total annual
costs in this study. It should be noted that interest and depreciation costs are not
accepted as annual costs by RETScreen. Periodic cost of a power plant is the renewal
costs of electromechanical equipment. The total renewal cost for Malhanwa SHPP is
taken as 50 % of the electromechanical equipment cost in the 35th year as suggested.
6.4 Emission Analysis Sheet
RETScreen does not compute any environmental or social costs. The emission analysis
sheet allows the user to compare the greenhouse gas emissions of the project with
that of a conventional power plant.
United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) recognizes climate change as a major
global challenge that will have significant and long lasting impacts on human wellbeing and development. The main drivers of climate change are anthropogenic
greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, especially CO2. GHG emissions are mainly produced
by burning of fossil fuels. On the other hand, hydropower plants produce very small
amount of GHGs when compared to other energy options. The source of GHG
emissions in hydropower plants is the rotting of organic matter from the vegetation
and soils flooded when the reservoir is first filled. By offsetting GHG emissions from
gas, coal and oil fired power plant, hydropower can help slow down global warming.
Studies have shown that development of even half of the worlds economically feasible
hydropower potential could reduce GHG emissions by about 13 %. Furthermore,
hydropower plants do not emit any air pollutants. A coal-fired plant can emit 1000
times more SO2 (main cause of acid rain) than a hydropower plant when the fuel
required to build the hydropower plant is taken into account. Increased utilization of
hydropower plants can help reduce emissions of SO2 as well as other air pollutants like
nitrous oxides, thus leaving a cleaner air to future generations and minimize life losses
which are estimated at 2 million each year.
Projects are called feasible when benefit-cost ratio is greater than 1. The financial
analysis of the project indicates that the project is profitable. As can be seen in Figure,
Benefit-Cost Ratio is calculated as 2.17 for export rate of US$55.
Figure-6.12b: Hydro Formula Costing Method (3x2MW Malhanwa SHPP, Supaul, Bihar)
Even with very approximate data we get a project cost by RETScreen - Hydro Formula
Costing Method that is within +40% of the pre-feasibility stage estimate hence viable.
CHAPTER-7
CONCLUSION
CONCLUSION
Hydropower projects offer great opportunities for sustainable development of the
countries. Being the cheapest, domestic, and renewable resource of energy, it
deserves to be high up on the governments investment agenda. It is also a great
market that creates business opportunities for private companies, especially in the
developing countries. RETScreen Clean Energy Project Analysis Software is a decision
support tool developed in order to assist the planners and decision makers in
developing the renewable energy and energy efficient projects at minimum time-costeffort. The software can be utilized worldwide and it reduces the effort, money and
time spent while identifying and assessing potential energy projects and alternatives at
the initial planning stage. In this study, RETScreen is used to evaluate the techno economical feasibilities of the Malhanwa SHPP project. The software makes it a lot
easier to observe the effects of the changes in the project formulation, which could
otherwise take considerable amount of time.
The hydro formula costing method tool in RETScreen uses empirical formulas which
are based on the completed projects in Canada. Therefore, these cost calculations
include uncertainties when used in Canada as well as the other countries. The tuning
parameters such as local manufacture coefficient and labour cost coefficient should
carefully be selected to better estimate the initial costs. The software considers only
economic aspects when calculating total cost of the project. It does not take into
account the environmental aspects. It cannot evaluate environmentally favourable
solutions. The only environmental analysis available in RETScreen is the Emission
Analysis and it can be used to calculate the emissions reduced when a hydropower
project is implemented instead of a conventional thermal plant. Moreover, the
software ignores earthquake, erosion, and sediment problems. If such problems exist
in the project area, the software must be used with caution. The software has some
deficiencies in calculating tunnel and channel costs as well. It uses only the excavation
amounts but does not consider the expropriation costs. Another major drawback of
the software is that few of the hydraulic parameters internally calculated by the
software may be incorrect hence the software must be used with caution. However,
these analyses do not cover the assessment of the environmental effects or social and
cultural issues. In some cases a tunnel section may be preferred to a channel section
even if it is more expensive. As far as the number of trees cut is concerned, tunnel
construction is a better alternative. For earthquake-prone areas, tunnels may be
preferred since tunnels are known to be the most earthquake-resistant structures in a
hydropower scheme. However, a collapse in the tunnel can cost a lot more than a
failure in a channel, and can be more difficult to restore. Long tunnels can also cause
groundwater disturbance and dewatering in some places. During the tunnel
construction, noise and the vibration created by explosions may impact the fauna. On
the other hand, land acquisition costs for channels may be very costly in some regions
or even impossible in cultural and historical sites. Therefore, techno-economic
considerations are not solely enough in planning of hydropower projects. All of the
other aspects should be taken into account starting from the very beginning of the
project development process.
As explained in the previous paragraphs RETScreen has some weaknesses; but it still
can be used in pre-feasibility and feasibility studies, where the cost calculations are
expected to have an accuracy of around 40 %. It takes little time (3 to 6 months) to
learn how to use the software, and when the required data is available, it takes 48 to
72 hours to conduct techno - economical analysis for a hydropower project. Moreover,
when the input parameters of the program are changed, the results are updated
within seconds, which helps to save time. It can be concluded that the decision maker
may benefit from the analysis results of RETScreen software in evaluating various
alternatives of the hydropower project if he or she is informed about all the
weaknesses of the software.
Being one of the fastest growing economies in the world, India needs to develop
energy projects in order to provide the industry with the energy it requires. Significant
amount of electricity is generated in thermal plants using fossil fuel in India. Energy is
an important power in politics. Therefore, countries should try to utilize their domestic
energy resources as much as possible. India has a huge untapped potential in
hydroelectric power. Harnessing this potential should be prioritized in the energy
policy. This will ensure the self reliance of the energy market in India and help to
decrease GHG emissions for a cleaner future. Utilizing the hydropower potential does
not mean that the hydropower plants should be constructed whatever the cost.
Sustainable development of hydropower plants is essential. Technical, economical,
environmental and social aspects of these projects should be carefully assessed.
Legislative and administrative arrangements complying with international standards
should be prepared to guarantee the utilization of resources in an environmentally,
socially and economically sustainable way.
FUTURE SCOPE
Inaccurate design or improper selection of project or any parameter will have high
negative impact on the overall cost and efficiency. Thus it will result in producing less
power at a higher cost-per-watt. Efficient planning and design require advanced
engineering skills and reliable operation requires careful construction with quality
components and their proper maintenance. Small hydropower projects are emerging
as one of the solution for sustainable, green, environment friendly, long term and costeffective source of renewable energy for the future. Hence selecting the appropriate
or optimum small hydropower project and its parameters (site selection, feasible
project selection, project planning and development, renewable energy policy analysis,
maintenance strategy analysis, risk analysis, equipment selection, construction
material selection, supplier or project contractor selection etc.) in which to invest is a
critical task involving different factors and policies. Traditional single criteria decisionmaking approaches cannot handle the complexity of such systems. Multi criteria
methods provide a better and flexible tool.
REFERENCES
REFERENCE:
# P. Adhikary, P.K.Roy and A.Mazumdar: Safe and efficient control of hydro power
plant by fuzzy logic, IJESAT, Vol.2, Issue-5, pp. 1270-1277 (2012)
# P. Adhikary, P.K.Roy and A.Mazumdar: MCDA of manpower shift scheduling for cost
effective hydro power generation, IJETED, Vol.7, Issue-2, pp. 116-127 (2012)
# P. Adhikary, P.K.Roy and A.Mazumdar: Selection of Penstock material for SHP A
Fuzzy Logic Approach, IJAST-TM, Vol.6, Issue-2, pp. 521-528 (2012)
# P. Adhikary, P.K.Roy and A.Mazumdar: Selection of hydro-turbine blade material
Application of Fuzzy Logic (MCDA), IJERA, Vol.3, Issue-1, pp. 426-430 (2013)
# P. Adhikary, P.K.Roy and A.Mazumdar: Fuzzy Logic based user friendly Pico-Hydro
Power generation for decentralized rural electrification, IJETT, Vol.4, Iss.4, pp. 507-511
(2013)
# P. Adhikary, P.K.Roy and A.Mazumdar: Fuzzy logic based blade angle control of
Kaplan turbine for a hydro power project, ICERTSD 2013 (BESUS), Paper No: ICERTSD13-109 (2013)
# P. Adhikary, P.K.Roy and A.Mazumdar: Hydraulic transient analysis of SHP: A MCDM
application for optimum penstock design, IWMSID 2013 (IIT-Bhubaneswar), Paper No:
IWMSID / WRE / 16 (2013)
# P. Adhikary, P.K.Roy and A.Mazumdar: Indian small hydropower Project Planning And
Development : A Review Of DSS Tools, IJERT, Vol.2, Issue-6, pp. 1386-1391 (2013)
# P. Adhikary, P.K.Roy and A.Mazumdar: Fuzzy Logic based optimum penstock design:
Elastic Water column theory approach, ARPN-JEAS, Vol.8, Issue-7, pp. 563-568 (2013)
# P. Adhikary, P.K.Roy and A.Mazumdar: Multi-dimensional feasibility analysis of small
hydropower project in India: a case study, ARPN-JEAS, Vol.9, Issue-1, (2014)
# Lea Kosnik: The potential for small scale hydropower development in the US, Energy
Policy, Elsevier, 38, pp. 5512-5519 (2010)
# C. Alonso-Tristn, D. Gonzlez-Pena, M. Dez-Mediavilla, M. Rodrguez-Amigo, T.
Garca-Caldern: Small hydropower plants in Spain: A case study, Renewable and
Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, 15, pp. 2729-2735 (2011)
# L.M.K. Melvin: Small Hydro in Manitoba, M.S. Thesis, Department of Mechanical &
Industrial Engineering, University of Manitoba (2004)
# Jeffrey Andrew Tuhtan: Cost Optimization of Small Hydropower, M.S. Thesis, Water
Resources Engineering and Management Department, Universitt Stuttgart (2007)
# L Olawalemi OGUNLEYE: A Techno-economic Appraisal of Renewable Energy in
Remote, Off Grid Locations in Nigeria (Obudu Ranch as a case study), M.E. Thesis,
Potchefstroom Campus, North-West University (2008)
# Reyhan Mutlu: FEASIBILITY STUDY OF A HYDROPOWER PROJECT: CASE STUDY OF
NKSAR HEPP, TURKEY, M.S. Thesis, The Graduate School of Natural and Applied
Sciences, Middle East Technical University (2010)
# Eri A. Boye: A feasibility and economic study into the use of micro hydro power
applications to generate electricity from the Victoria Capital Regional Districts
municipal water facility, M.S. Thesis, Department of Environmental Engineering,
University of Iceland / Department of Natural Resource Sciences, University of Akureyri
(2011)
ANNEXURES
ANNEXURE - I
RETScreen Small Hydro Project Analysis Software Formulae
ANNEXURE - II
Small Hydropower Development Training (A.H.E.C., I.I.T., Roorkee, India)
ANNEXURE - III
Pathri Small Hydropower Project Details
(Site visit conducted by: A.H.E.C., I.I.T., Roorkee, India)
ANNEXURE IV
Priyabrata Adhikary
Asst Professor - Mechanical, S.V.I.S.T. (WBUT), Kolkata-145
Pankaj Kr Roy
Asst Professor, S.W.R.E., Jadavpur University, Kolkata-32
Asis Mazumdar
Professor and Director, S.W.R.E., Jadavpur University, Kolkata-32
Abstract
IJE
RT
1. Introduction
Over the last several decades, a variety of
computer-based assessment tools have been
developed world wide to address this problem and
enable a prospective developer to make an initial
assessment of the techno - economic feasibility of a
project before spending substantial sums of money.
A high level of experience and expertise is required
IJERTV2IS60510
www.ijert.org
1386
IJE
RT
IJERTV2IS60510
www.ijert.org
1387
IJE
RT
IJERTV2IS60510
www.ijert.org
1388
IJE
RT
iHOGA:
iHOGA
(improved
Hybrid
Optimization by Genetic Algorithms) is software
developed in C++ for the simulation and
optimization of Hybrid Renewable Systems
including SHP for generation of electrical energy
(DC and/or AC). Optimization is achieved by
minimizing total system costs throughout the whole
of its useful lifespan, when those costs are referred
to or updated for the initial investment (Net Present
Cost, NPC). Optimization is therefore financial
(mono-objective). However, the program allows for
multi-objective optimization, where additional
variables may also be minimized: equivalent CO2
emissions or unmet load (energy not served), as
selected by the user. Since all of these variables
(cost, emissions, or unmet load) are mutually
counterproductive in many cases, more than one
solution is offered by the program, when multiobjective optimization for RET is sought. Some of
these solutions show better performances when
applied to emissions or unmet load, whereas other
solutions are best suited for costs. It is applicable
for India as well as other countries.
IJERTV2IS60510
4. Conclusion
During the last 15-20 years, hydropower
assessment tools based on computer software have
improved considerably, accounting particularly for
the complex integration of river catchments
attributes world wide. This improvement is due
www.ijert.org
1389
5. Acknowledgement
6. References
[8]
Alterach, J.; Vergata, M. A method to
evaluate the effective potential hydropower
production applied to a case study. In Proceedings
of the International Conference HIDROENERGIA
2010, Lausanne, Switzerland, June 2010
[9]
Ballance, A.; Stephenson, D.; Chapman,
R.A.; Muller, J.A. Geographic information systems
analysis of hydro power potential in South Africa.
J. Hydroinform. 2000, 2, 247254
[10]
Carroll, G.; Rieves, K.; Lee, R.; Cherry, S.
Evaluation of potential hydropower sites
throughout the United States. In Proceedings of the
ESRI International User Conference, San Diego,
CA, USA, August 2004.
[11]
Dudhani, S.; Sinha, A.K.; Inamdar, S.S.
Assessment of small hydropower potential using
remote sensing data for sustainable development in
India. Energy Policy 2006, 34, 31953205.
IJE
RT
[7]
Adhikary,P., Roy,P.K., and Mazumdar,A.:
Hydraulic transient analysis of SHP: A MCDM
application for optimum penstock design, IWMSID
2013 (IIT-Bhubaneswar), Paper No: IWMSID /
WRE / 16.
[1]
Adhikary,P., Roy,P.K., and Mazumdar,A.:
Safe and efficient control of hydro power plant by
fuzzy logic, IJESAT, Vol.2, Issue-5, pp. 1270-1277
(2012)
[2]
Adhikary,P., Roy,P.K., and Mazumdar,A.:
MCDA of manpower shift scheduling for cost
effective hydro power generation, IJETED, Vol.7,
Issue-2, pp. 116-127 (2012)
[3]
Adhikary,P., Roy,P.K., and Mazumdar,A.:
Selection of Penstock material for SHP A Fuzzy
Logic Approach, IJASTTM, Vol.6, Issue-2, pp.
521-528 (2012)
[4]
Adhikary,P., Roy,P.K., and Mazumdar,A.:
Selection of hydro-turbine blade material
Application of Fuzzy Logic (MCDA), IJERA,
Vol.3, Issue-1, pp. 426-430 (2013)
[5]
Adhikary,P., Roy,P.K., and Mazumdar,A.:
Fuzzy Logic based user friendly Pico-Hydro Power
generation for decentralized rural electrification,
IJETT, Vol.4, Issue-4, pp. 507-511 (2013)
[12]
Felix, J.; Dubas, A. Use of GIS to identify
potential sites for small hydroelectric plants:
general concepts and exemple of application. In
Proceedings of the International Conference
HIDROENERGIA 2010, Lausanne, Switzerland,
June 2010
[13]
Forrest, N. Hydrobot: Remote Surveys of
National Hydro Resources. In Proceedings of the
International Conference HIDROENERGIA 2010,
Lausanne, Switzerland, June 2010
[14]
Gismalla, Y.A.; Bruen, M. Use of a GIS in
reconnaissance studies for small-scale hydropower
development in a developing country: a case study
from Tanzania. In Proceedings of the Conference
HydroGIS 96: Application of Geographic
Information Systems in Hydrology and Water
Resources Management, Vienna, Austria, April
1996
[15]
Gustard, A.; Irving, K.; Rees, G.; Young,
A. Hrological models for small scale hydropower
assessment. In Proceedings of the Conference
HIDROENERGIA 95, Milan, Italy, September
1995.
[6]
Adhikary,P., Roy,P.K., and Mazumdar,A.:
Fuzzy logic based blade angle control of Kaplan
turbine for a hydro power project, ICERTSD 2013
(BESUS), Paper No: ICERTSD-13-109.
IJERTV2IS60510
www.ijert.org
1390
IJE
RT
Biographies
IJERTV2IS60510
www.ijert.org
1391
ISSN 1819-6608
www.arpnjournals.com
ABSTRACT
The assessment of Small Hydro Power (SHP) sites for project planning and development represents a relatively
high proportion of overall cost. A high level of experience and expertise is required to accurately conduct this multidimensional assessment at both pre-feasibility and feasibility analysis stage. A variety of multi-criteria decision analysis or
making (MCDA or MCDM) methods as well as computer-based feasibility assessment tools have been developed for the
same. However, a reliable assessment implies physical site surveying and planning at pre-feasibility stage itself. The
advent of Geographic Information System (GIS) along with these feasibility analysis software tools has been of enormous
use for the feasibility analysis of SHP project at minimum time-cost-effort for making further decision. To the best of the
authors knowledge this software tool based novel approach for Indian small hydropower project feasibility analysis is
absent in renewable energy literatures due to its assessment complexity.
Keywords: hydropower, RET screen, feasibility analysis, MCDA, MCDM.
1. INTRODUCTION
Indian Government has taken up certain
resolutions towards the promotion of Small Hydro Power
(SHP) projects keeping in mind the various advantages.
Grants have been allotted and also provided subsidies to
promote alternative sources of electricity in the country.
On 24th May 2003, Honourable Prime Minister of India
launched a scheme, formulated by Central Electricity
Authority (CEA) for the preparation of Preliminary
Feasibility Report (PFR) of 162 new hydropower schemes
totalling to over 50, 000 MW. National average annual per
capita consumption is 603 units whereas in Bihar it is 75
units as published in report of FY: 2005-2006. The
National Electricity Policy (NEP) aims to achieve an
annual average per capita consumption of 1, 000 units
after 2012. Small hydropower generation [1, 2] as a clean,
renewable and long-term source of energy with peaking
capability has a valuable role in this power generation
addition strategy for Bihar and can significantly
supplement the large coal-based capacity addition targets
for the state. Once established, small hydropower plants
have long and productive lives in excess of 35 years, and
in the long-run have substantively cheaper operating costs
than coal-based or natural gas based plants. Bihar has been
making rapid progress in harnessing its small hydro.
Despite bifurcation of state, and transfer of potentially
attractive small hydro locations on geographic boundaries,
Bihar State Hydroelectric Power Corporation Ltd. (BHPC)
has expanded its generation capacity from 18.3 MW in
2000 to 47.1 MW till the end of the 10th Plan period. The
cost [3, 4] of clean-green-friendly hydroelectricity in India
is approx. Rs2.5/kWh (i.e., US$55/MWh approx. FY:
2006) which is relatively low, compared to others and thus
competitive.
2. LITERATURE REVIEW
Over the last few decades, a variety of multicriteria decision analysis or making (MCDA or MCDM)
80
ISSN 1819-6608
www.arpnjournals.com
Weighting Methods (Delphi Method, AHP etc.) [6, 7],
Objective Weighting Methods (LMS Method, TOPSIS
etc.) and Combined Weighting Methods. Then it is the
turn to determine the preference orders of alternative after
determining the criteria weights so that MCDA or MCDM
methods are employed to get the ranking order. Popular
MCDA or MCDM methods are divided into three
categories: Elementary Methods (Weighted Sum Method,
Weighted Product Method etc.), Unique Synthesizing
Criteria Methods (AHP, TOPSIS etc.) and Outranking
Methods (ELECTRE, PROMETHEE etc.) [8, 9]. Usually,
the decision maker selects the best alternative based on the
ranking orders after the calculation in a selected MCDA
method. The application of various MCDA or MCDM
method of calculation may yield different results.
Therefore, the ranking results are necessarily aggregated
again and the best scheme from the alternatives is selected.
The methods used to aggregate the preference orders are
called as Aggregation Methods (E.g. - Voting Method,
Mathematical Aggregation Method etc.). MCDA or
MCDM problems also have two broad classifications:
Multiple Objective Decision Making (MODM) and
Multiple Attribute Decision Making (MADM) or Multi
Criteria Analysis (MCA). The multiple-objective decision
making model (e.g. Global criterion method, Utility
function method etc.) is appropriate for "well-structured"
problems. Well-structured problems are those in which the
present state and the desired future state (objectives) are
known as the way to achieve the desired state. The model
encompasses an infinite or very large number of
alternative solutions that are not explicitly known in the
beginning, constraints are analyzed, and the best solution
is reached by solving the mathematical model. Multiple-
81
ISSN 1819-6608
www.arpnjournals.com
basic information concerning the site conditions: latitude
and longitude, available head, flow, or drop in elevation.
RETScreen calculates the estimated renewable energy
delivered for SHP projects, based on the adjusted available
flow (adjusted flow-duration curve), the design flow, the
residual flow, the load (load-duration curve), the gross
head and the efficiencies or losses. The flow-duration
curve of 6MW SHP site has been calculated and shown in
Figure-3.
a) Start
The Start worksheet of the RET-Screen
software has basic informations about the project,
planner, type of project, site location etc as shown in
Figure-2.
c) Cost analysis
During the Cost Analysis, a detailed cost
analysis is performed taking into account initial costs and
annual costs (maintenance, insurances etc.) involved in the
project as shown in Figure-5. The total initial cost
calculated was INR 51.00 Crores i.e., US$ 11, 333, 333
(Year: 2006). The cost of Feasibility Study,
Development and Engineering is 3% to 5% each of
Total Initial Cost. The cost of Power System is 30% to
35% whereas Balance Item and Misc. Cost is 50% to
55% of it. O and M Cost is generally 10% to 15% of the
Total Initial Cost for SHP plant.
82
ISSN 1819-6608
www.arpnjournals.com
83
ISSN 1819-6608
www.arpnjournals.com
f) Sensitivity analysis and risk analysis
Different economic scenarios were studied in
order to indicate the viability of the installation, by
varying the electricity price (EP) and the CPI (Consumer
Price Index). CPI affects the annual cost of the plant
(insurance, staff and maintenance). The electricity price is
fixed every year according to economic and political
parameters. Assuming that the plant has a lifetime of 35
years, the minimum EP increment was calculated in order
to offset the increased fixed costs incurred by the CPI. The
electricity price was adjusted in accordance with the
annual fixed tariff referred to as the CPI, with or without
governmental subvention. Thus from sensitivity and risk
analysis the SHP project feasibility is re-assured.
5. CONCLUSIONS
Small hydropower projects offer great
opportunities for sustainable development of the countries.
Being the cheapest, domestic, and renewable resource of
energy, it deserves to be high up on the governments
investment agenda. It is also a great market that creates
business opportunities for private companies, especially in
the developing countries like India. RETScreen Clean
Energy Project Analysis Software is a decision support
system (DSS) tool developed in order to assist the planners
and decision makers in developing the renewable energy
or any energy efficient projects. The software can be
utilized worldwide and it reduces time-cost-effort spent
while identifying and assessing potential energy projects
and alternatives at the feasibility or planning stage. The
software makes it a lot easier to observe the effects of the
techno-economic changes in the project formulation. It can
be concluded that the decision maker may benefit (in
terms of time-cost-manpower etc.) from the analysis
results of RETScreen software in evaluating various
alternatives of the hydropower project if he or she is
already informed about the few weaknesses of the
software (ignore problems of earthquake, erosion,
sediment etc.).
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
The authors declare that there is no conflict of
interests. The authors would like to thank BHPC, Bihar
and SWRE, Jadavpur University, Kolkata for providing
techno-commercial literatures or informations required
for the research work.
REFERENCES
[1] Adhikary P., Roy P.K. and Mazumdar A. 2013. Fuzzy
Logic based user friendly Pico-Hydro power
generation for decentralized rural electrification.
IJETT. 4(4): 507-511.
[2] Chin D.A., Mazumdar A. and Roy P.K. WaterResources Engineering (3rd Edition). Pearson
Educations Ltd.
84
ANNEXURE V
Project name
Project location
Prepared for
Prepared by
Project type
Power
Technology
Grid type
Hydro turbine
Central-grid
Analysis type
Heating value reference
Method 2
Lower heating value (LHV)
Show settings
Language - Langue
User manual
English - Anglais
English - Anglais
Currency
Symbol
Units
$
Metric units
Madhubani
Show data
Latitude
Longitude
Elevation
Heating design temperature
Cooling design temperature
Earth temperature amplitude
Unit
N
E
m
C
C
C
Air temperature
C
14.4
17.1
21.5
23.7
24.0
24.9
24.8
24.7
23.6
21.3
18.6
15.6
21.2
Month
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
Annual
Measured at
Climate data
location
26.4
86.1
151
9.5
28.3
16.4
Project location
26.4
86.1
151
Relative
humidity
%
44.5%
42.1%
39.3%
52.5%
72.1%
82.0%
86.6%
85.8%
84.5%
74.1%
53.4%
46.7%
63.8%
Daily solar
radiation horizontal
kWh/m/d
4.14
5.27
6.36
6.92
6.92
5.73
4.62
4.72
4.48
5.04
4.77
4.06
5.25
Atmospheric
pressure
kPa
93.3
93.1
92.9
92.7
92.4
92.2
92.2
92.3
92.6
93.0
93.3
93.4
92.8
Wind speed
m/s
2.6
3.0
3.1
3.4
3.4
3.1
2.6
2.4
2.3
2.3
2.5
2.5
2.7
10.0
Earth
temperature
C
15.4
19.2
24.8
27.0
26.8
26.6
25.8
25.5
24.4
22.1
19.2
16.3
22.8
0.0
Heating
degree-days
C-d
110
24
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
74
209
Cooling
degree-days
C-d
138
200
357
411
435
448
459
455
407
351
257
174
4,090
RETScreen4 2012-11-23
NRCan/CanmetENERGY
30-04-2014
Malhanwa SHPP 3x2MW-RETScreen Analysis.xls
Technology
Hydro turbine
Analysis type
Hydro turbine
Resource assessment
Proposed project
Hydrology method
Gross head
Maximum tailwater effect
Residual flow
Percent time firm flow available
Firm flow
Hydro turbine
Design flow
Type
Turbine efficiency
Number of turbines
Manufacturer
Model
Design coefficient
Efficiency adjustment
Turbine peak efficiency
Flow at peak efficiency
Turbine efficiency at design flow
Method 1
Method 2
m
m
m/s
%
m/s
m/s
Run-of-river
User-defined
6.0
1.00
0.000
10.0%
140.00
150.000
Kaplan
Standard
3
%
%
m/s
%
4.5
0.0%
90.4%
112.5
89.9%
%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
Flow
m/s
150.00
145.00
140.00
135.00
130.00
125.00
95.00
90.00
85.00
80.00
75.00
70.00
65.00
60.00
55.00
52.00
50.00
47.00
45.00
40.00
35.00
%
%
%
%
5.0%
3.0%
96.5%
96.0%
kW
%
MWh
MWh
7,060
1.00
55.3%
0
34,189
$/MWh
$/MWh
0.00
55.00
Show figure
Turbine
efficiency
0.00
0.00
0.34
0.52
0.61
0.65
0.68
0.69
0.70
0.71
0.71
0.72
0.73
0.74
0.74
0.75
0.76
0.77
0.77
0.78
0.79
Turbine
efficiency
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.07
0.41
0.63
0.76
0.83
0.87
0.89
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
Number of
turbines
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
Combined
efficiency
0.00
0.07
0.76
0.89
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
Show figure
Firm
6,660
30-04-2014
Malhanwa SHPP 3x2MW-RETScreen Analysis.xls
30-04-2014
Malhanwa SHPP 3x2MW-RETScreen Analysis.xls
30-04-2014
Malhanwa SHPP 3x2MW-RETScreen Analysis.xls
As fired fuel
Biogas
Building envelope properties
Appliances & equipment
Electricity rate - monthly
Electricity rate - time of use
GHG equivalence
Country
Local vs. Canadian equipment cost ratio
Local vs. Canadian fuel cost ratio
Local vs. Canadian labour cost ratio
Equipment manufacture cost coefficient
Exchange rate
Cold climate
Design flow
Gross head
Number of turbines
Type
Flow per turbine
Turbine runner diameter per unit
Facility type
Existing dam
New dam crest length
Rock at dam site
Maximum hydraulic losses
Miscellaneous losses
Road construction
Tunnel
Canal
Penstock
Distance to borrow pits
Transmission line
Grid type
Length
Difficulty of terrain
Voltage
$/CAD
yes/no
m/s
m
turbine
m/s
m
yes/no
m
yes/no
%
%
km
India
0.50
2.00
0.50
1.00
0.80
No
150
6
3
Kaplan
50.00
2.80
Small
No
Yes
5.0%
3.0%
kV
Amount
$
Adjustment
factor
0
0
872,000
18,187,000
0
264,000
262,000
0
0
0
0
0
19,585,000
Small
5.0%
10.0
Central-grid
10.0
1.0
33.0
km
150
6
3
Kaplan
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
Central-grid
Amount
$
0
0
523,200
Relative costs
0.0%
0.0%
4.5%
10,912,200
0
158,400
157,200
92.9%
0.0%
1.3%
1.3%
0
0
0
0
0
11,751,000
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
30-04-2014
Malhanwa SHPP 3x2MW-RETScreen Analysis.xls
Notes/Range
Second currency
Cost allocation
Second currency
Notes/Range
None
Unit
Quantity
cost
397,121
$
$
397,121
397,121
3.5%
cost
473,110
$
$
473,110
473,110
4.2%
$
$
498,102
498,102
4.4%
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
3,979,000
3,979,000
35.1%
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
5,986,000
5,986,000
11,333,333
52.8%
100.0%
cost
kW
km
km
project
project
cost
%
project
p-d
cost
%
0.00%
Unit
498,102
7,060.12
1
12 month(s)
$
$
$
Quantity
project
cost
%
Unit
cost
Year
10
cost
Unit cost
3,979,000
5,986,000
11,333,333
11,333,333
Amount
Unit cost
$
$
170,000
170,000
Unit cost
100,000
Relative costs
Amount
$
$
$
$
170,000
170,000
$
$
$
Amount
100,000
-
30-04-2014
Malhanwa SHPP 3x2MW-RETScreen Analysis.xls
(IPCC 2007)
(IPCC 2007)
Country - region
India
Fuel type
All types
GHG emission
factor
(excl. T&D)
T&D
losses
GHG emission
factor
tCO2/MWh
0.933
%
8.0%
tCO2/MWh
1.014
-10.0%
Fuel mix
%
100.0%
100.0%
Fuel type
Electricity
Total
CO2 emission
factor
kg/GJ
CH4 emission
factor
kg/GJ
N2O emission
factor
kg/GJ
Fuel
consumption
MWh
34,189
34,189
GHG emission
factor
tCO2/MWh
1.014
1.014
GHG emission
tCO2
34,665.2
34,665.2
CO2 emission
factor
kg/GJ
CH4 emission
factor
kg/GJ
N2O emission
factor
kg/GJ
Fuel
consumption
MWh
34,189
34,189
GHG emission
factor
tCO2/MWh
0.000
0.000
Total
1.014
Total
GHG emission
tCO2
0.0
0.0
2,773.2
2,773.2
2,773.2
Fuel mix
%
100.0%
100.0%
Fuel type
Hydro
Total
Electricity exported to grid
T&D losses
8.0%
MWh
34,189
Years of
occurrence
yr
1 to -1
Base case
GHG emission
tCO2
34,665.2
Proposed case
GHG emission
tCO2
2,773.2
31,892
tCO2
2,735
Power project
Gross annual
GHG emission
reduction
tCO2
31,891.9
is equivalent to
5,841
GHG credits
transaction fee
%
Net annual
GHG emission
reduction
tCO2
31,891.9
01-05-2014
Malhanwa SHPP 3x2MW-RETScreen Analysis.xls
Finance
Incentives and grants
Debt ratio
Debt
Equity
Debt interest rate
Debt term
Debt payments
%
%
%
yr
$
%
$
$
%
yr
$/yr
Fuel type
1 Hydro
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
70.0%
7,933,333
3,400,000
10.00%
10
1,291,113
%
yes/no
%
%
yr
yes/no
yr
No
Declining balance
Yes
15
No
MWh
$/MWh
$
%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
35
34,189
55.00
1,880,421
0.1%
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
397,121
473,110
498,102
3,979,000
0
0
0
0
5,986,000
11,333,333
$
$
$
$
170,000
0
1,291,113
1,461,113
$
$
$
100,000
0
0
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
0
1,880,421
0
0
0
0
1,880,421
Financial viability
Pre-tax IRR - equity
Pre-tax IRR - assets
%
%
17.6%
6.8%
%
%
17.6%
6.8%
Simple payback
Equity payback
yr
yr
6.6
8.9
tCO2/yr
tCO2/yr
tCO2
$/tCO2
$
yr
tCO2
%
0
29,341
1,026,921
0
0
%
$
%
$
%
$
$
$
$/yr
3,982,883
412,984
0
0
0
2.17
1.30
43.04
(14)
$/MWh
$/tCO2
After-tax
$
-3,400,000
412,688
405,646
398,159
390,205
381,761
372,802
363,303
353,237
342,574
168,395
1,610,452
1,597,815
1,584,454
1,570,331
1,555,408
1,539,646
1,523,002
1,505,433
1,486,891
1,201,999
1,446,694
1,424,934
1,401,991
1,377,807
1,352,320
1,325,464
1,297,171
1,267,368
1,235,981
770,735
1,168,131
1,131,497
1,092,936
1,052,353
1,009,645
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Cumulative
$
-3,400,000
-2,987,312
-2,581,666
-2,183,507
-1,793,303
-1,411,542
-1,038,739
-675,436
-322,199
20,374
188,770
1,799,222
3,397,037
4,981,491
6,551,821
8,107,229
9,646,875
11,169,878
12,675,311
14,162,202
15,364,201
16,810,895
18,235,828
19,637,819
21,015,626
22,367,946
23,693,410
24,990,581
26,257,949
27,493,930
28,264,665
29,432,796
30,564,293
31,657,229
32,709,582
33,719,226
33,719,226
33,719,226
33,719,226
33,719,226
33,719,226
33,719,226
33,719,226
33,719,226
33,719,226
33,719,226
33,719,226
33,719,226
33,719,226
33,719,226
33,719,226
MWh
$/MWh
$
yr
%
35,000,000
MWh
$/kWh
$
yr
%
Energy
delivered
(MWh)
34,189
34,189
30,000,000
0
25,000,000
Clean energy
Yes
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
Financial parameters
General
Fuel cost escalation rate
Inflation rate
Discount rate
Project life
20,000,000
15,000,000
10,000,000
5,000,000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35
-5,000,000
-10,000,000
Year
30-04-2014
Malhanwa SHPP 3x2MW-RETScreen Analysis.xls
Finance
Incentives and grants
Debt ratio
Debt
Equity
Debt interest rate
Debt term
Debt payments
%
%
%
yr
$
%
$
$
%
yr
$/yr
Fuel type
1 Hydro
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
70.0%
7,933,333
3,400,000
10.00%
10
1,291,113
%
yes/no
%
%
yr
yes/no
yr
No
Declining balance
Yes
15
No
MWh
$/MWh
$
%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
35
34,189
44.00
1,504,337
0.1%
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
397,121
473,110
498,102
3,979,000
0
0
0
0
5,986,000
11,333,333
$
$
$
$
170,000
0
1,291,113
1,461,113
$
$
$
100,000
0
0
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
0
1,504,337
0
0
0
0
1,504,337
Financial viability
Pre-tax IRR - equity
Pre-tax IRR - assets
%
%
10.6%
3.6%
%
%
10.6%
3.6%
Simple payback
Equity payback
yr
yr
8.5
13.0
tCO2/yr
tCO2/yr
tCO2
$/tCO2
$
yr
tCO2
%
0
29,341
1,026,921
0
0
%
$
%
$
%
$
$
$
$/yr
320,383
33,220
0
0
0
1.09
0.84
43.04
(1)
$/MWh
$/tCO2
After-tax
$
-3,400,000
36,228
28,809
20,945
12,614
3,792
-5,544
-15,421
-25,867
-36,909
-211,467
1,230,210
1,217,193
1,203,451
1,188,947
1,173,643
1,157,499
1,140,473
1,122,521
1,103,597
818,321
1,062,632
1,040,488
1,017,161
992,592
966,720
939,478
910,799
880,610
848,836
383,203
780,211
743,189
704,241
663,268
620,171
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Cumulative
$
-3,400,000
-3,363,772
-3,334,963
-3,314,018
-3,301,404
-3,297,612
-3,303,156
-3,318,577
-3,344,444
-3,381,353
-3,592,820
-2,362,610
-1,145,417
58,034
1,246,981
2,420,624
3,578,123
4,718,596
5,841,118
6,944,714
7,763,035
8,825,668
9,866,156
10,883,317
11,875,909
12,842,629
13,782,107
14,692,906
15,573,517
16,422,353
16,805,556
17,585,767
18,328,956
19,033,197
19,696,466
20,316,637
20,316,637
20,316,637
20,316,637
20,316,637
20,316,637
20,316,637
20,316,637
20,316,637
20,316,637
20,316,637
20,316,637
20,316,637
20,316,637
20,316,637
20,316,637
MWh
$/MWh
$
yr
%
MWh
$/kWh
$
yr
%
Energy
delivered
(MWh)
34,189
20,000,000
34,189
0
15,000,000
Clean energy
Yes
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
Financial parameters
General
Fuel cost escalation rate
Inflation rate
Discount rate
Project life
10,000,000
5,000,000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35
-5,000,000
Year
30-04-2014
Malhanwa SHPP 3x2MW-RETScreen Analysis.xls