Você está na página 1de 8

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve

Environmental Management in Southeast Asia


CBS Hotel Angelo King International Center, Manila
22 August 2011
Guinsaugon, St. Bernard

1990 Luzon Earthquake

The geographic and geologic


setting of the Philippines
make it prone to various
hazards, including:

typhoon/rain-related
volcano-related
(22 active volcanoes)

PERLA J. DELOS REYES


Officer-In-Charge & Supervising Science Research Specialist
Geology & Geophysics Research and Development Division (GGRDD)
Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (PHIVOLCS)
Department of Science and Technology (DOST)

Mayon Volcano, 1993


1994 Mindoro Tsunami

earthquake-related
(20 events recorded/day,
90 damaging earthquakes
for past 400 years)
Tsunami
(~40 events for past
400 years)

26/8/2011

26/8/2011

Earthquake Generators: Active Faults and Trenches


Predict the occurrence of volcanic eruptions and

earthquakes
Determine how eruptions and earthquakes shall occur

and areas likely to be affected


Generate sufficient data for forecasting of volcanic

eruptions and earthquakes


Mitigate hazards of volcanic activities through detection,

forecast and warning systems


Formulate appropriate disaster preparedness plans
Philippine seismicity 1600s to
present

26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

26/8/2011

Active Faults &


Trenches

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

Hazard and Risk Mitigation

Active, Inactive and Potentially


Active Volcanoes

Pinatubo
Taal
Kanlaon
Mayon

Installation of
monitoring instruments

MONITORING
SYSTEM

Bulusan
Hibok-Hibok
Matutum*
Parker*

Eruptions

NATURAL
HAZARDS

PREDICTION
SYSTEM

RESPONSE
SYSTEM
Ground Rupture due to
Earthquake

Mapping & hazard


assessment
Tsunami Drill

Evacuation Map

~300 volcanoes, 22 active


26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

26/8/2011

Hazard information dissemination; mainstreaming of risk reduction into local


dev. Planning process (REDAS); Tsunami CBEWS

Research and Development Programs


Volcano Hazard Map

Sampling

Volcanic and seismic hazards

mapping and risk assessment


Active fault mapping and
paleoseismic studies
Study of tectonic uplift and
subsidence of marine
deposits
Global Positioning System
(GPS) for active faults and
volcanoes
Tsunami modeling, hazards
mapping, risk assessment,
detection and warning

Table top analysis


Data on impacts
(aerial surveys,
literature)
Topographic map

Stratigraphic
Hazard Map

Tsunami Modeling

Surface Geology

and remote sensing


interpretation
Collaboration w/
RS agencies

Ground rupture
mapping

Preliminary

modeling (lahar,
tsunami)
LAHARZ modeling
(Iverson & others, 1998;
Schilling, 1998).

26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

26/8/2011

26/8/2011

Tsunami modeling for


prediction of arrival time,
inundation extent

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

Field validation and

sampling for laboratory


analyses
Including interviews of
residents in surveyed
areas
Trenching
g
Data processing (including
possible remodeling w/
new field survey data)

S-wall

Generation of Hazard

Maps/Deposit Maps

26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

10

1:50,000 scale

1. Northern
N th
L
Luzon
2. Central Luzon
3. Infanta
4. Guinayangan
5. Bondoc Peninsula
6. Masbate Island
7. Leyte Island
8. Eastern Mindanao

www.phivolcs.dost.gov.ph
26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

11

26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

12

Other Seismic Hazard Maps (Regional Scale)

Liquefaction Prone Map

Landslide Prone Map

Regional Maps: Region


I | CAR l Region II | Region
III | Region IV A | Region IV
B | Region V | Region VI and
Region VII | Region
VIII | Region IX | Region
X | Region XI | Region
XII | Region XIII

26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

13

26/8/2011

Ground Shaking Hazard Map

Tsunami Vulnerability Map

14

Regional Maps:
Region I
Region II
Region III
Region IV-A
Region IV-B
Region V
Region VI & VII
Region VIII
Region IX
Region X
Region XI
Region XII
Region XIII

Valley Fault
Maps: Alabang | Alvarez | Bagumbayan | Diliman |
Marikina | Metro
Manila | Montalban |Muntinlupa | Pasig | Remedios |
San Mateo | San Pedro | San Rafael | Sun
Valley | Taguig
Valley Fault Map Index

1:10,000 scale

Regional scale
26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

15

26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

16

Liquefaction
Liquefaction
Susceptibility
Hazard Map
Map
of of
Metro
the Philippines
Manila

TSUNAMI RISK MITIGATION PROGRAM:


Hazard Mapping Component
B. Regional (1:10,000

1. Produced tsunami hazard maps in scale) or larger


coastal areas in the Philippines,
and updated national tsunami
information database;
A. Nation-wide (1:50,000 scale) 467 sheets

Liquefaction Susceptibility
Map of the Philippines
Liquefaction Hazard Map of
Metro Manila

26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

17

Dr. Yuichiro Tanioka -tsunami


wave height
Utilized PHIVOLCS-developed Rapid Earthquake
Damage Assessment System (REDAS) software to Dr. Modesto Ortiz - tsunami
inundation.
compute for the tsunami wave heights and
inundation.

18

Liquefaction
Liquefaction
Susceptibility
Hazard Map
Map
of of
Metro
the Philippines
Manila

Region I
Region II

Ilocos Norte Ilocos Sur La Union Pangasinan


Batanes Cagayan Isabela

Region III

Aurora Bataan Zambales

Region IV-A
Region IV-B
Region V

Batangas Cavite Quezon


Mindoro Island Palawan
Albay Camarines Norte Camarines Sur Catanduanes

Region VI

Aklan Antique Guimaras Iloilo Negros Occidental


Bohol Negros Oriental Siquijor

Region VII

1:50,000
,
scale

R i VIII
Region

The Tsunami Hazard Maps was produced under the


Department of Science and Technology-Grant-In-Aid
Program (DOST-GIA) in December 2007.

Sorsogon

E t
Eastern
Samar
S
Northern
N th
Samar
S
Leyte
L t Island
Il d

Region IX

Zamboanga City Zamboanga del Norte Zamboanga del Sur Zamboanga Sibugay

Region X

Camiguin

Region XI

Davao del Sur Davao Oriental

Region XII

Sarangani

Region XIII

Surigao del Norte

ARMM

Basilan

Lanao del Norte

South Cotabato

Sultan Kudarat

Surigao del Sur

Lanao del Sur Maguindanao Sulu Tawi Tawi

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

26/8/2011

19

PROVINCES COVERED

READY PROJECT COMPONENT # 1:


Multi-hazard Mapping and Assessment

2011 (Desktop)
1. Agusan del Sur
2. Nueva Viscaya
3. Cagayan
4. Zamboanga
Sibugay
5. Quirino

1:50,000 scale
Flood (MGB), rain-triggered landslide (MGB), storm surge
(PAGASA)

2009
1. Northern Samar
2. Eastern Samar
3. Zambales
2008
1. Bohol
2. Aurora
3. Cavite
4. Pampanga
5. Laguna

2011
1. Ilocos Norte
2. Ilocos Sur
3 Abra
3.
Ab
4. Benguet
5. Catanduanes

p
g
ground shaking,
g liquefaction,
q
Ground rupture,
earthquake-triggered landslide, tsunami (PHIVOLCS)
Volcanic hazards (PHIVOLCS)

2007
1. Southern Leyte
2. Leyte

2010
1. Antique
ongoing
2. Iloilo - ongoing

1:10,000

2006
1. Surigao del Sur
2. Surigao del Norte

Rain-triggered landslide (MGB), flood (PAGASA)


Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast
Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

26/8/2011

21

26/8/2011

22

Liquefaction
Liquefaction
Susceptibility
Hazard Map
Map
of of
Metro
the Philippines
Manila

PROVINCE

GR

GS

EIL

LIQ

TSU

VOLC

Surigao del Sur*


Surigao del Norte*
Southern Leyte **
Leyte **
Bohol***
Aurora***
Cavite***
Pampanga***

1:50,000 scale

Laguna
Laguna***
Northern Samar****
Eastern Samar****

COMPONENT # 1:
Multi-hazard Mapping
and Assessment in
Zambales Province

Zambales****

26/8/2011

Antique

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Iloilo

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ilocos Norte

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ilocos Sur

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Abra

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Benguet

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Catanduanes

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Ongoing

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

23

26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

24

Earthquake Impact Reduction Study for


Metropolitan Manila (MMEIRS) March 2004

Ground Rupture

Liquefaction

Tsunami

Ground Shaking

No Volcanic Threat
except ASHFALL

Earthquake-induced
Landslide

COMPONENT # 1:
Multi-hazard Mapping and Assessment in Cavite Province
26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

25

26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

26

Surface Geology of Metro Manila

Earthquake Impact Reduction Study for


Metropolitan Manila (MMEIRS)

Surface
Geology

Ground Rupture
Quezon City
Marikina City
Pasig City
Makati City
Taguig City
Muntinlupa City

West
Valley
F lt
Fault

Manila
Trench

Model

Characteristics

08 West
Valley Fault

7.2

Severe Damage

13 Manila
Trench

7.9

Tsunami

East Valleyy Fault


West Valley Fault

Worst case for Manila Trench has since changed to 8.2


26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

27

28

Earthquake Impact Reduction Study for Metropolitan Manila (MMEIRS)

Ground Rupture Hazard in Quezon City


Intensity Distribution
(PHIVOLCS Earthquake
Intensity Scale PEIS)
Makati

Intensity
(PEIS)
IX
VIII
VIII

26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

29

26/8/2011

30

Liquefaction Potential

Makati

26/8/2011

M k ti
Makati

High
Relatively High
Relatively Low
Low

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

LPG Refilling
Station

31

26/8/2011

Fire outbreak by
electrical short
circuit;
Explosion off
petroleum, gas
tanks may cause
spreading of fire

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

32

Model 13 (Manila Trench)

West

Average height 2 m

Fire, Building Damage

Maximum. 4 m

North

Arrival time ~ 1 hour

Bridge Damage

South

East

Model 08 (West Valley Fault)

Bridge Damage

Would not occur

Building Damage, Bridge


Damage
26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

33

26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

34

Heavily damaged or collapsed / Partially damaged


Damage to Lifeline

Residential houses13% (168,300 houses)


26% (339,800 houses)
Government buildings . 8 10% / 20 25%
10
10--30 storey
t
buildings
b ildi
.11%
11% / 27%
30
30--60 storey buildings..2% / 12%

water supply pipes.... 4,000 points


electrical cables cut... 30 kms
telephone
p
cables cut 95 kms
Cellular phone services affected due to cell site damages
Bridges .. 9 collapsed
Wharf . Damage at North and

Fire
Total 500 fire outbreak

26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

South port

35

26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

36

PINATUBO ASHFALL
HAZARD MAP

From Building Collapse

Death.33,500 persons
Injured114,000
KANLAON LAVA FLOW HAZARD MAP

From Fire
Death.18,000
PINATUBO PYROCLASTIC FLOW
HAZARD MAP

TAAL BASE SURGE


HAZARD MAP

26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

37

26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

38

Revised Mayon Volcano Lahar Hazard Map

This Lahar Hazard Map is based on historical datasets and LAHARZ modeling results using
parameters of the 2006 Supertyphoon Reming event on the October 2009 Digital Elevation Model
(DEM) provided by JAXA through Sentinel Asia. (July 2010)

2009 Lava Flow Monitoring at Mayon Volcano

26/8/2011

40

Lava Volume Estimation from October 2009 and Dec 25, 2009 ALOS DEMS
BASED ON RAW DEM
Lava flow (Dec 25, 2009)
Length = 4.3km from Summit
Area = 673,200 m2
Volume = 2,658,900 assume neg
value are 0s

BASED ON adjusted DEM


Lava flow (Dec 25, 2009)
Length = 4.3km from Summit
Area = 673,200 m2
Volume = 6,209,200 assume neg
value are 5m

THICKNESS (m)
THICKNESS (m)

NASA EO-1 Dec 15, 2009


Lava Flow: 3.0km

TERRASAR Dec 19, 2009


Lava Flow : 3.2km

ALOS Dec 25, 2009


Lava Flow: 4.4km

Source: Japan Aerosspace Exploration Agency (JAXA)/Sentinel Asia Project

26/8/2011

Technical Workshop on Support to Local Government to Improve Environmental Management in Southeast


Asia_PHIVOLCS Hazard Mapping Program- 08.22.2011

41

42

Department of Science and Technology

Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology


Tel: (+632) 426-1468 to 79

Fax: (+632) 929-8366

Come visit us at
PHIVOLCS Bldg., C. P. Garcia Avenue
University of the Philippines Campus
Diliman, Quezon City

or at
www.phivolcs.dost.gov.ph

Você também pode gostar