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Research Article
Potential of Wind and Solar Electricity Generation in Bangladesh
Sanjoy Kumar Nandi,1 Mohammad Nasirul Hoque,1
Himangshu Ranjan Ghosh,2 and Swapan Kumar Roy3
1 Department
1. Introduction
The growth of the worlds human population has created
several problems. One of them is global warming caused by
the abundance of CO2 in the atmosphere. Many of these
gases are produced from power plants burning fossil fuel
all over the world. Electricity has a direct cost associated
with it and the global price of electricity has increased
steadily with increasing fuel price during the last decades. In
some parts of the world there is still no electricity available
or it is unreliable. Energy supply is a major problem for
all classes in Bangladesh. The energy consumption rate is
208 kWh/capita, which is the lowest in the world [1]. Electric
generating capacity in 2010 was 5823 MGW, of which 96.05%
was thermal, and the remainder hydroelectric, at 18 power
stations [2, 3]. The electricity infrastructure is old and badly
maintained, breaks down frequently, and is inadequate to
meet the demand. Power cuts are frequent; many areas are
only supplied for a few hours a day. Some areas have no
power for days at a time when a local generator fails. The
Organization
BCAS
BCSIR
GTZ
Location
Kuakata
Charfassion
Noakhali
Chittagong
Kutubdia
Coxs Bazar
Teknaf
Teknaf
Sant Martin
Feni
Anwara
Teknaf
Anemometer
height (m)
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
10
30
20
20
20
Average
speed (m/s)
4.5
4.0
2.9
3.8
4.4
3.2
2.8
3.5
4.7
4.0
4.4
4.3
Measuring
period
09/9608/97
01/0104/02
06/9605/97
Technology (CUET) and Kuakata from June 2005 to December 2006, was used for analysis of wind resource assessment.
For estimation of global solar radiation from sunshine
duration and cloud cover, we have collected sunshine
duration and cloud cover data for 31 stations of Bangladesh
Meteorological Department (BMD) for 19812001. Both
organizations have been using the Campbell-Stokes sunshine
recorders and have been measuring cloud cover by eye
estimation in Octa. BMD was using the original CampbellStokes sunshine duration measurement cards since 1991,
after that they are using locally made cards with dierent
sensitivity than the original ones. To avoid unexpected error
due to card change, studies have been done for 1992
2001 period. The long-term wind flow of Islands and the
southern coastal belt of the country indicate that the average
wind speed remains between 3 and 4.5 m/s for the months
of MarchSeptember and 1.72.3 m/s for the remaining
period of the year [4]. This indicates there is a good
potential in islands and coastal areas for the application
electricity generation from wind. But during the summer
and monsoon seasons (March to October), there can be
very low-pressure areas, and storm wind speeds of 200
300 km/h can be expected. Wind turbines should be strong
enough to withstand these high wind speeds [4]. The longterm average sunshine data indicate that the period of bright
(i.e., more than 200 W/m2 intensity) sunshine hours in the
coastal region of Bangladesh vary from 3 to 11 h daily and
the global radiation varies from 3.8 to 6.4 kW h/m2 /day
[5]. These data indicate that there are good prospects for
solar, thermal and photovoltaic application in Bangladesh.
So, densely populated tropical country like Bangladesh could
be electrified by wind/PV grid system using the inexhaustible
and pollution free solar and wind sources energy without
using any novel technologies. Compensation of electricity
shortage and reduction CO2 emission would be done by
introducing wind and solar energy sources for electricity
generation in mass scale. In this paper, techno-economic
feasibility analyses are carried out for 100 kW wind and
PV grid systems. To find the optimum size of inverter and
for technical analysis, simulation software Renewable Energy
Technologies screen (RETScreen) is used [6].
k1
K v
P(v) =
c c
(v/c)
= 0,
v > 0,
(1)
v 0.
T
0
v (t)dt,
(2)
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Month
CUET 10 m
Khagrachari 10 m
Kuakata 30 m
Kutubdia 20 m
CUET 20 m
Khagrachari 20 m
Kuakata 20 m
Kutubdia 10 m
5
Wind speed (m/s)
4
3
2
1
0
0
8 10 12 14 16
Local time (hour)
CUET 10 m
Khagrachari 20 m
Kutubdia 20 m
Sitakunda 30 m
CUET 20 m
18
20
22
Kuakata 30 m
Kutubdia 10 m
Khagrachari 10 m
Kuakata 20 m
Sitakunda 20 m
4.17 m/s. The highest average annual wind speed (4.17 m/s)
was observed in Kuakata and the lowest value (1.32 m/s)
was observed in Khagrachari. The analysis showed that
highest wind speed was found during summer at Kutubdia
and Kuakata. The annual cycle of monthly average wind
speed shows fairly large seasonal variation, the appearance of
which is typical for measurement sites, with minimum values
in winter (OctoberMarch) and maximum values during
summer (AprilSeptember, Figure 1). Similar variations also
observed for BCAS Kutubdia and Kuakata stations [10,
11]. The analysis of the daily cycle of the wind speed at
dierent time instants, however, suggests that the dominance
of daytime winds over night winds that is characteristic
of mainland measurement sites also contributes to this
feature. The hourly variation of wind speed is shown in
Figure 2. While there is almost no dependence of the wind
speed on the measurement time for Kuakata and a weak
maximum becomes evident at afternoon for all stations.
NNW
N
15%
NNE
NW
NNW
NE
NW
10%
WNW
0%
WSW
SW
WNW
20%
ENE
10%
0%
WSW
SE
S
Khagrachari
ESE
SW
SSE
SE
SSW
(a)
NNW
NW
N
20%
10%
0%
NNE
NNW
NE
NW
ENE
WNW
N
20%
NNE
NE
10%
ENE
5%
WSW
ESE
SW
SE
S
Kuakata
SSE
15%
5%
SSW
S
CUET
(b)
15%
WNW
NE
40%
ENE
ESE
SSW
NNE
30%
5%
N
50%
SSE
(c)
0%
WSW
ESE
SW
SE
SSW
S
Kutubdia
SSE
(d)
Figure 3: Wind rose for dierent locations showing percentage of wind direction.
5
25
35
CUET (10 m height)
30
20
Frequency (%)
Frequency (%)
25
20
15
15
10
10
5
5
0
0
0
Actual frequency
Actual frequency
Weibull prediction
Weibull prediction
(a)
(b)
Figure 4: Actual and predicted wind speed probability for CUET, for dierent heights.
50
20
Khagrachari (10 m height)
45
35
Frequency (%)
Frequency (%)
40
30
25
20
15
10
10
5
0
0
10
Weibull prediction
Weibull prediction
(a)
(b)
Figure 5: Actual and predicted wind speed probability for Khagrachari for dierent heights.
(3)
20
Kuakata (20 m height)
Frequency (%)
Frequency (%)
15
10
10
0
1
10
10
11
12
Actual frequency
Actual frequency
Weibull prediction
Weibull prediction
(a)
(b)
Figure 6: Actual and predicted wind speed probability for Kuakata for dierent heights.
15
20
Frequency (%)
Frequency (%)
15
10
10
0
0
10
10
11
Actual frequency
Weibull prediction
Weibull prediction
(a)
(b)
Figure 7: Actual and predicted wind speed probability for, Kutubdia for dierent heights.
N =
(4)
(5)
15
14
Sitakunda (30 m height)
10
10
Frequency (%)
Frequency (%)
12
8
6
4
2
0
0
10 11 12
0
0
10 11 12
Actual frequency
Actual frequency
Weibull prediction
Weibull prediction
(a)
(b)
Figure 8: Actual and predicted wind speed probability for Sitakunda for dierent heights.
200
160
120
80
2 1/2
H
H
dical
dim eas
40
0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
RMSE =
Month
CUET 10 m
Khagrachari 20 m
Kutubdia 10 m
Sitakunda 30 m
CUET 20 m
Kuakata 20 m
Kutubdia 20 m
Khagrachari 10 m
Kuakata 30 m
Sitakunda 20 m
(6)
MBE =
(7)
100
80
MPE =
60
40
20
0
0
CUET 10 m
Khagrachari 20 m
Kutubdia 10 m
Sitakunda 30 m
8 10 12 14 16
Local time (hour)
CUET 20 m
Kuakata 20 m
Kutubdia 20 m
Khagrachari 10 m
18
20
22
Kuakata 30 m
Sitakunda 20 m
(8)
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Year
Faridpur
Tangail
Teknaf
Rangpur
Mymensingh
Chittagong
Sylhet
Dinajpur
Comilla
Coxs Bazar
Srimangal
Madaripur
Rajshahi
Kutubdia
Khulna
Sitakundu
Barisal
Hatya
Satkhira
Chandpur
Dhaka
Swandip
Khepupara
Bhola
Bogra
Rangamati
Jessore
Patuakhali
6
5
4
3
2
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Year
Faridpur
Chittagong
Teknaf
Dinajpur
Mymensingh
Coxs Bazar
Sylhet
Ishawrdi
Comilla
Kutubdia
Srimangal
Sitakundu
Rajshahi
Feni
Khulna
Patuakhali
Barisal
Mcourt
Satkhira
Bhola
Dhaka
Hatya
Khepupara
Chandpur
Bogra
Swandip
Jessore
Madaripur
Tangail
Rangamati
Rangpur
Figure 12: The variation of the yearly averaged daily cloud cover
data over dierent stations.
Table 2: MBE, RMSE, and MPE for global and diuse radiation
correlations.
MBE
9.246
RMSE
32.92
MPE
14.72
Parameter
Annual wind power density
Height o f wind power density
Wind plant capacity
Gross energy production
Wind plant capacity factor
Renewable energy delivered
(Annually)
Net GHG reduction (Base
case-Diesel)
Initial cost
Energy production cost
Unit
W/m2
M
kW
MWh
%
Value
200
50
100
169
17
tCO2 /yr
153
tCO2 /yr
171
BDT
BDT/kWh
18,637,500
5.14
Unit
%
%
%
MWh
MWh
m2
BDT
BDT/kWh
Value
100
12.3
6.8
156.29
148.47
704.9
33,793,648
09.68
tCO2 /yr
164.84
9
10
5.5
5
4.5
4
3.5
3
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Month
Bogra
Feni
Rangpur
Hatya
Teknaf
Sitakunda
Chittag
Ishawrd
Satkhira
Jessore
Bhola
Comilla
Khulna
Srimangal
Kutubdi
Chandpur
Coxs Bazar
M. Court
Sylhet
Mymensingh
Khepupara
Dhaka
Rajshah
Barisal
Swandip
Madarip
Faridpur
Rangama
Dinajpur
Tangail
Potuakh
5. Conclusions
The study reveals that Kutubdia and Kuakata have potential
for wind power and consistent with other study such as BCAS
measurement sites. We have used short-term data for the
analysis. There is a general claim that minimum ten years
data are required for proper assessment of wind resource
at a particular site. It is required to measure wind speed
for dierent heights and terrain eect to find out exact
potential of each sites. At the end, the present work is only
a preliminary study in order to assess wind energy analysis
of the selected sites and give useful insights to engineers and
6
9
5
100
120
140
160
180
Power density (W/m2 )
200
6.5
16
12
4
100
150
200
250
PV cost (BDT/Wp)
300
350
Figure 15: Sensitivity analysis due to the change of PV cost for the
grid-connected system.
10
21
18
15
12
9
6
0
6
8
10
Discount rate (%)
12
14
16
Figure 16: Sensitivity analysis due to the change of discount rate for
the grid-connected system.
Acknowledgments
The authors must thank Sustainable Rural Energy (SRE)
of Local Government engineering department (LGED) and
Bangladesh Meteorological Department (BMD) for providing data for the study.
References
[1] Key world statistics, The International Energy Agency (IEA),
2010.
[2] Bangladesh Power Development Board (BPDB), http://www
.bpdb.gov.bd/generation.htm.
[3] Final Report of Solar and Wind Energy Resource AssessmentBangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh, 2007.
[4] I. Troen and E. L. Petersen, European Wind Atlas, Risoe
National Laboratory, Roskilde, Denmark, 1989.
[5] S. Barbaro, G. Cannata, S. Coppolino, C. Leone, and E.
Sinagra, Correlation between relative sunshine and state of
the sky, Solar Energy, vol. 26, no. 6, pp. 537550, 1981.
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