Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
52-Week High
Trailing PE
Annual Div
ROE
LTG Forecast
1-Mo Return
1,485.05 (INR)
242,665
1,774.65
23.8
34.00
14.5%
20.3%
3.1%
July 9, 2015
INDIA NATIONAL Exchange
Market Cap
52-Week Low
Forward PE
Dividend Yield
Annual Rev
Inst Own
3-Mo Return
277.9B
1,336.20
23.3
2.3%
117.9B
25.0%
-8.5%
AVERAGE SCORE
Score Averages
JUL-2013
JUL-2014
JUL-2015
HIGHLIGHTS
Peers
-6M
-3M
-1M
-1W
RAMCOCEM
Current
9
SHREECEM
ACC
PRISMCEM
DALMIABHA
1Y Trend
Hold
40 Analysts
Sell
Reduce
Hold
Buy
Strong
Buy
BUSINESS SUMMARY
ACC Limited is an India-based company engaged in the manufacturing and selling of cement and ready mix concrete. The Company offers various
cement products, such as ACC-Gold, ACCF2R, ACC Plus and ACC Coastal+. The Company offers various concrete products, such as Permecrete,
Stampcrete and Imprincrete, ready to use mortar, Thermocrete and Hi-densecrete, which have lower environmental footprint. The Company's
subsidiaries include ACC Mineral Resources Limited, Bulk Cement Corporation (India) Limited, Lucky Minmat Limited, National Limestone Company
Private Limited and Singhania Minerals Private Limited.
Page 1 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
ACC (ACC-IN)
INDICATOR COMPONENTS
The AVERAGE SCORE combines the quantitative analysis of five widely-used investment decision making tools: Earnings,
Fundamental, Relative Valuation, Risk, and Price Momentum. A simple average of the underlying component ratings is normally
distributed to rank stocks on a 1-10 scale (10 being awarded to the most favorable). These factors may be evaluated differently using
alternative methodologies and the importance of individual factors varies across industries, market capitalization and investment styles.
Additional criteria should always by used to evaluate a stock.
Earnings
Fundamental
Relative Valuation
Risk
Price Momentum
PEER ANALYSIS
Currency in INR
PRICE MOMENTUM
Average
Score Ticker
Price
(07/09/15)
1-Mo
Return
11,105.35
1,485.05
VALUATION
3-Mo
Return
1-Yr
Return
Market
Cap
Trailing
PE
1.9%
0.1%
53.0%
380.6B
49.1
3.1%
-8.5%
3.5%
277.9B
23.8
FUNDAMENTAL
Forward
PE
ANALYSTS
Dividend
Yield
Net
Margin
LTG I/B/E/S
Forecast Mean
# of
Analysts
56.5
0.3%
20.8%
32.0% Buy
30
23.3
2.3%
7.7%
20.3% Hold
40
SHREECEM
ACC
RAMCOCEM
339.95
7.2%
3.9%
18.0%
80.0B
34.8
22.8
0.4%
9.5%
-- Buy
15
PRISMCEM
109.60
6.6%
-10.0%
55.0%
58.4B
2220.0
31.4
--
--
-- Buy
10
DALMIABHA
590.15
2.2%
30.4%
26.2%
48.0B
153.3
27.8
0.3%
3.7%
JKCEMENT
623.55
9.4%
-10.0%
61.0%
44.9B
30.5
19.6
0.6%
--
JKLAKSHMI
336.35
9.5%
-9.0%
46.8%
39.7B
38.2
20.1
0.6%
3.4%
ORIENTCEM
174.95
5.9%
-7.4%
84.0%
35.9B
18.4
18.6
1.0%
6.6%
-- Buy
BIRLACORPN
421.30
5.9%
-6.2%
10.8%
32.5B
18.5
9.5
1.4%
5.2%
-- Strong Buy
INDIACEM
94.90
20.1%
-11.5%
-5.4%
29.3B
--
13.0
2.1%
--
OCL
497.10
4.0%
9.9%
70.0%
27.8B
24.1
--
0.8%
--
1,434.39
6.9%
-1.7%
38.4%
95.9B
261.1
24.3
1.0%
8.1%
6.5
Average
PEER COMPANIES
SHREECEM
RAMCOCEM
PRISMCEM
DALMIABHA
JKCEMENT
Shree Cement
Ramco Cements
Prism Cement
Dalmia Bharat
J K Cement
Page 2 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
JKLAKSHMI
ORIENTCEM
BIRLACORPN
INDIACEM
OCL
JK Lakshmi Cement
Orient Cement
Birla Corp
India Cements
OCL India
-- Strong Buy
-- Buy
55.0% Strong Buy
-- Hold
-- Strong Buy
35.7% Buy
8
17
22
14
6
18
3
16.6
ACC (ACC-IN)
EARNINGS
Currency in INR
Earnings Score Averages
Peers
Positive
Neutral
Negative
JUL-2012
JUL-2013
JUL-2014
JUL-2015
-6M
-3M
-1M
-1W
RAMCOCEM
10
10
Current
10
SHREECEM
PRISMCEM
NR
ACC
DALMIABHA
1Y Trend
EARNINGS INDICATORS
Earnings Surprises
Estimate Revisions
Recommendation Changes
(33.3% weight)
(33.3% weight)
(33.3% weight)
SHREECE
RAMCOCE
RAMCOCE
PRISMCEM
PRISMCEM
ACC
SHREECE
DALMIABH
RAMCOCE
SHREECE
DALMIABH
DALMIABH
ACC
PRISMCEM
ACC
Last 4 Quarters
# Positive Surprises (> 2%)
# Negative Surprises (< -2%)
# In-Line Surprises (within 2%)
Avg Surprise
Last 4 Weeks
-----
# Up Revisions
# Down Revisions
Avg Up Revisions
Avg Down Revisions
HIGHLIGHTS
- The Earnings Rating for ACC declined significantly over the past week
from 7 to 3. The current rating is considerably more bearish than the
Construction Materials industry average of 5.5.
- During the past four weeks, analysts covering ACC have made no
upward or downward EPS estimate revisions for the current quarter.
- There have been 2 upward and 6 downward broker recommendation
changes for ACC over the past 120 days.
# Broker Upgrades
# Broker Downgrades
2
6
PRICE TARGET
The chart indicates where analysts predict the stock price will be within
the next 12 months, as compared to the current price.
12-Month Price Target
2,000
HIGH
Mean
1,660.00
MEAN
High
1,900.00
Low
1,040.00
1,800
1,600
1,485.05
1,400
1,200
# of Analysts
1,000
Page 3 of 11
LOW
Current Price
Price Target
11.8%
43
ACC (ACC-IN)
Estimates
21.25
Quarterly
21.00
17.33
18.00
15.00
12.92
12.00
9.00
HIGH
MEAN
LOW
10.23
03-14
06-14
09-14
Actuals
12-14
10.570
--
Low
10.570
--
--
06-15
140
Annual
HIGH
80.00
MEAN
61.72
56.28
LOW
60.00
40.00
2013
2014
2015
10.570
----
--
High
Estimates
100
Current
30 Days Ago
90 Days Ago
% Change (90 Days)
NA
10.570
# of Analysts
120
Q
06-15
06-15
Mean
2015
2016
Mean
60.570
80.480
High
82.480
99.800
Low
45.800
67.000
22
21
# of Analysts
2016
ANALYST RECOMMENDATIONS
Q
--
Y
2015
Y
2016
Price
Target
Strong Buy
-60.570
80.480
1,630.00
-63.150
83.790
1,650.00
-64.570
85.250
1,600.00
--6.2%
-5.6%
1.9%
Next Expected Report Date: 07/27/15
Buy
10
Hold
16
Reduce
Sell
EARNINGS SURPRISES
Comparing a company's actual earnings to the mean expectation of
analysts results in a difference referred to as a 'positive' or 'negative'
surprise. Research has shown that when a company reports a
surprise, it is often followed by more of the same surprise type.
Amount
Percent
4
7
0
36.4%
63.6%
--
Surprise
Type
Announce
Date
Period End
Date
Actual
EPS
Mean
EPS
Surprise
(%)
POSITIVE
NEGATIVE
NEGATIVE
POSITIVE
POSITIVE
NEGATIVE
02/03/15
10/30/14
07/24/14
04/24/14
02/06/14
10/23/13
12/31/14
09/30/14
06/30/14
03/31/14
12/31/13
09/30/13
17.330
10.230
12.920
21.250
14.650
6.320
10.070
11.520
16.470
14.660
11.290
10.570
72.1%
-11.2%
-21.6%
45.0%
29.8%
-40.2%
ANNUAL REVENUE
A pattern of increasing sales in
conjunction with a rising EPS may
influence a buy recommendation, while
flat or falling sales and faltering
earnings may explain a sell
recommendation. A rising EPS with flat
or falling sales may result from
increased cost efficiency and margins,
rather than market expansion. This
chart shows the sales forecast trend of
all analysts and the highest and lowest
projections for the current and next
fiscal year.
Page 4 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
Actuals
Estimates
200B
2015
2016
Mean
127.5B
144.9B
HIGH
High
138.3B
160.3B
MEAN
Low
121.4B
133.6B
LOW
Forecasted Growth
11.1%
26.2%
21
20
180B
160B
140B
120B
100B
109.1B
2013
114.8B
# of Analysts
2014
2015
2016
ACC (ACC-IN)
FUNDAMENTAL
Fundamental Score Averages
Q3
2014
Q4
2014
Q1
2015
Q2
2015
SHREECEM
NR
NR
10
Peers
Positive
ACC
Neutral
RAMCOCEM
Negative
DALMIABHA
PRISMCEM
NR
NR
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2013
2014
3Y Trend
FUNDAMENTAL INDICATORS
Profitability
Debt
Earnings Quality
Dividend
(25% weight)
(25% weight)
(25% weight)
(25% weight)
Revenue Growth
For year over year
ending 03/15
Gross Margin
For trailing 4 qtrs
ending 03/15
Return On Equity
For trailing 4 qtrs
ending 12/14
Net Margin
For trailing 4 qtrs
ending 03/15
SHREE
RAMCO
SHREE
ACC
PRISMC
RAMCO
ACC
DALMIA
ACC
RAMCO
RAMCO
SHREE
DALMIA
ACC
DALMIA
SHREE
PRISMC
DALMIA
PRISMC
14.7
PRISMC
46.8
23.7
13.3%
44.4%
2.1
2.3%
HIGHLIGHTS
- The Fundamental Rating for ACC improved significantly over the last
quarter from 7 to 9. The current rating is considerably more bullish
than the Construction Materials Industry Group average of 6.0.
- The company's gross margin has been higher than its Industry Group
average for each of the past five years.
- Of the 49 firms within the Construction Materials Industry Group that
have reported debt-to-capital, ACC is among 27 firms whose balance
sheet is free of long-term debt.
Page 5 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
- The company's days sales in inventory has been lower than its
Industry Group average for each of the past five years.
- Of the 67 firms within the Construction Materials Industry Group, ACC
is among 34 companies that pay a dividend. The stock's dividend
yield is currently 2.3%.
ACC (ACC-IN)
RELATIVE VALUATION
Relative Valuation Score Averages
JUL-2013
JUL-2014
JUL-2015
Peers
-6M
-3M
-1M
-1W
ACC
Current
4
PRISMCEM
DALMIABHA
RAMCOCEM
SHREECEM
1Y Trend
Trailing PE
Forward PE
(50% weight)
(25% weight)
(25% weight)
PRISMCEM
DALMIABH
ACC
RAMCOCE
ACC
ACC
RAMCOCE
SHREECE
RAMCOCE
SHREECE
DALMIABH
PRISMCEM
DALMIABH
PRISMCEM
SHREECE
Price to Sales
2.4 Trailing PE
23.8
Forward PE
23.3
5-Yr Average
19.4
5-Yr Average
19.2
24.1
22% Premium
19.0
23% Premium
HIGHLIGHTS
- ACC currently has a Relative Valuation Rating of 4 while the S&P BSE
SENSEX index has an average rating of 4.7.
- ACC's Trailing P/E and Forward P/E are both significantly above
(more expensive than) their 5-year averages.
- ACC's Price to Sales ratio of 2.4 represents a 8% Premium to its 5year average of 2.2.
Page 6 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
ACC (ACC-IN)
PRICE TO SALES
TRAILING PE
The most recent week's close price divided by the revenue per share.
Price to Sales:
5-Year Average:
S&P BSE SENSEX Index Average:
Construction Materials Group Average:
3.6
3.4
3.2
3.0
2.8
2.6
2.4
2.2
2.0
1.8
1.6
2.4
2.2
3.6
1.7
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
FORWARD PE
Forward PE:
5-Year Average:
S&P BSE SENSEX Index Average:
Construction Materials Group Average:
2010
2010
23.8
19.4
24.1
41.6
5-Yr Average
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
FORWARD PEG
The most recent week's close price divided by the sum of the four
upcoming quarterly consensus estimates.
30
28
26
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
Trailing PE:
5-Year Average:
S&P BSE SENSEX Index Average:
Construction Materials Group Average:
28
26
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
5-Yr Average
2010
The most recent week's close price divided by the sum of the four most
recently reported quarterly earnings.
5-Yr Average
2011
Forward PEG:
5-Year Average:
S&P BSE SENSEX Index Average:
Construction Materials Group Average:
2012
Page 7 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
2013
2014
2015
2010
1.0
1.6
1.5
1.1
5-Yr Average
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
ACC (ACC-IN)
RISK
Risk Score Averages
Peers
-6M
-3M
-1M
-1W
10
10
10
10
10
DALMIABHA
RAMCOCEM
SHREECEM
10
10
PRISMCEM
10
ACC
Positive
Neutral
Negative
JUL-2012
JUL-2013
JUL-2014
JUL-2015
1Y Trend
RISK INDICATORS
Magnitude Of Returns
Volatility
Beta (1-year)
Correlation
(25% weight)
(25% weight)
(25% weight)
(25% weight)
ACC
SHREE
RAMCO
DALMIA
PRISMC
ACC
RAMCO
SHREE
ACC
DALMIA
PRISMC
RAMCO
SHREE
DALMIA
PRISMC
DALMIA
SHREE
ACC
PRISMC
RAMCO
Standard Deviation
Last 90 Days
1.83
Last 60 Months
7.81
Intra-Day Swing (Last 90 Days)
Average
2.7%
Largest
5.1%
HIGHLIGHTS
- ACC currently has a Risk Rating of 10 while the S&P BSE
SENSEX index has an average rating of 9.6.
- ACC tends to perform in-line with the S&P BSE SENSEX index
regardless of whether the market is experiencing an up or a
down day.
- In both short-term and long-term periods, ACC has shown high
correlation (>= 0.4) with the S&P BSE SENSEX index. Thus,
this stock would provide only low levels of diversification to a
portfolio similar to the broader market.
- Over the last 90 days, the daily price fluctuations of ACC have
been in-line with the S&P BSE SENSEX index firms.
0.98
0.94
0.93
0.74
0.79
0.71
59%
65%
36%
27%
RISK ANALYSIS
Peers
ACC
Best
Daily
Return
Last 90 Days
Worst
#
# Largest
Daily Days Days Intra-Day
Return
Up Down
Swing
Last 60 Months
Best
Worst
Monthly Monthly
Return
Return
4.1%
-4.0%
33
31
5.1%
26.7%
-17.9%
DALMIABHA
10.0%
-6.1%
37
27
11.4%
56.2%
-18.0%
PRISMCEM
6.7%
-4.9%
31
33
13.0%
46.0%
-25.0%
RAMCOCEM
4.8%
-5.3%
28
36
15.6%
23.1%
-30.0%
SHREECEM
10.1%
-4.6%
35
29
10.1%
25.7%
-16.9%
1.9%
-2.6%
29
34
3.1%
11.7%
-10.6%
S&P BSE
SENSEX
Page 8 of 11
ACC (ACC-IN)
PRICE MOMENTUM
Currency in INR
Price Momentum Score Averages
JUL-2013
JUL-2014
JUL-2015
Peers
-6M
-3M
-1M
-1W
PRISMCEM
RAMCOCEM
DALMIABHA
10
SHREECEM
10
ACC
Current
1Y Trend
Seasonality
(70% weight)
(30% weight)
DALMIABH
PRISMCEM
RAMCOCE
RAMCOCE
SHREECE
ACC
PRISMCEM
SHREECE
ACC
DALMIABH
PRICE PERFORMANCE
Daily close prices are used to calculate the
performance of the stock as compared to a
relevant index over five time periods.
CNX 500
0.9%
1-Week
-1%
3.1%
4.6%
1-Month
3-Month
ACC
-4.4%
1-Year
Page 9 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
CNX 500
1,485.05
6915
52-Week High
1,774.65
7051
52-Week Low
1,336.20
6747
- On 07/09/15, ACC closed at 1,485.05, 16.3% below its 52week high and 11.1% above its 52-week low.
- ACC shares are currently trading 1.9% above their 50-day
moving average of 1,457.45, and 0.9% below their 200-day
moving average of 1,498.54.
- The CNX 500 index is currently 1.9% below its 52-week high
and 2.5% above its 52-week low.
-8.5%
YTD
ACC
Close Price (07/09/15)
6.1%
2.1%
3.5%
13.3%
ACC (ACC-IN)
dividend yield.
- Dividend Growth Rate: (Dividends per Share Previous Dividends per Share)
/ Previous Dividends per Share
- Dividend Funding: Dividends / Operating Cash Flow
- Dividend Coverage: (Pre-Tax Income + Interest Expense) / (Interest Expense
+ Dividends)
- Dividend Yield: Annual Dividends per Share / Current Market Price per Share
Indicator Trend
The fundamental indicator trend displays either quarterly scores over the past three
years or annual scores over the past six years, depending on the reporting periods
for the country. The best and worst scores can be easily determined from the
values shown on the chart for each quarter or year.
Relative Valuation
The Relative Valuation Rating is based on a combination of three component
factors: Price to Sales (50% weight), Trailing P/E (25% weight), and Forward P/E
(25% weight). After the weightings are considered to combine individual factors,
equal deciles are used to rank each stock across the market on a scale of 1 to 10,
with 10 being most favorable. These common valuation metrics are evaluated
against the overall market, the index, and the company's own historic 5-year
averages. A stock needs to have at least one of the three relative valuation factors
in order to receive a score.
Page 10 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
Outstanding)
Trailing P/E: Close Price / Most Recent 4 Quarters or 1 Year of Earnings
Forward P/E: Close Price / Upcoming 4 Quarters or 1 Year of Earnings
Valuation Averages
Negative values are excluded when calculating the averages. A maximum value of
100 is placed on Trailing P/E and Forward P/E, a maximum value of 5 is placed on
Forward PEG, and a maximum value of 20 is placed on Price to Sales when
calculating the averages. Higher values are rounded down to the maximum for the
averages.
ACC (ACC-IN)
Mineral Resources / Construction Materials / Construction Materials
Valuation Multiples
The valuation multiples provide the Trailing P/E, Forward P/E, Forward PEG, and
Price to Sales for the company and the S&P 500 index average. In addition, a
comparison of the current companys values to its 5-year average and an industry
average are presented. A discount occurs when the companys ratio is valued more
favorably (lower) than that to which it is compared.
Risk
The Risk Rating displays stocks on a scale of 1 to 10 with 10 being awarded to the
least risky stocks. It is derived by looking at a series of long-term (5-year) and
short-term (90-day) stock performance measures including volatility, magnitude of
returns, beta, and correlation. Each factor is equally weighted. Then, equal deciles
are used to rank each stock across the market. A stock needs to have at least two
of the four risk factors in order to receive a score.
Magnitude of Returns The best / worst daily returns in the past 90 days and the
last 60 months, along with the average and largest intra-day stock swing.
Beta Measures the tendency of a securitys returns to respond to swings in the
market, based on the beta of the company versus the relevant index.
Correlation Determines how closely the returns of the stock and the relevant
index move together, measured over the last 90 days and last 60 months.
Risk Analysis
Price analysis for the company and the relevant index is provided over two time
periods. Daily analysis is provided for the last 90 days, whereas monthly statistics
are used for the last 60 months.
Price Momentum
The Price Momentum Rating is based on a combination of two technical
performance factors: relative strength (70% weight) and seasonality (30% weight).
After the weightings are considered to combine individual factors, equal deciles are
used to rank each stock across the market on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being most
favorable. A stock needs to have data for the relative strength factor in order to
receive a score.
Relative Strength The relative strength of the company for the last 1 month, 3
month and next 2 months for the company and industry, over the past 10 years.
A lower industry rank indicates a higher return.
Price Performance
Daily close prices are used to calculate the price performance of the stock. The
performance of the relevant index is also displayed as a means of comparison.
DISCLAIMER
All information in this report is assumed to be accurate to the best of our ability.
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. The information contained in
this report is not to be construed as advice and should not be confused as any sort
of advice. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making
their investment decision.
Page 11 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.