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Exchange.
How much the banking sector affecting the Market Index.
Compare the Bank Index with Dhaka Stock Exchange General Index.
2. Literature Review
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Now a days it is well established that, economic growth promote by a well functioning financial
system through which, efficient allocation of resources is possible and thus the stock markets
have been established in almost every part of the world. Because, Growth of new businesses or
an economy would not be possible without availability of stocks and development of financial
markets (Haferand and Hein, 2007). Moreover the access of private companies to funding
through these financial markets help to improve the efficiency of allocation of resource. So, as a
part of the financial market, stock market performs a crucial role for economic development as
an intermediary between investors and firms (Mukit and Shafiullah, 2012) and thus stock market
development plays an important role in predicting future economic growth (Levine and Zervos,
1998).
Bangladesh has two full-fledged automated stock exchanges: Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) and
Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE). In the last decade stock market of Bangladesh went through
many changes and huge ups and downs were seen. The economic crisis of the world in year
2009-11 also affected the market adversely. There are 19 categories of companies enlisted and
among them Banking sector containing 30 banks with 413,755.49 million (Dec 2014) of market
capitalization which is the category with highest market capital. Besides that it has been found
that, bank Play an important role in the economy development of every nation (Karim and Alam,
2013). As the banking sector of Bangladesh compared to its economic size is moderately bigger
than many other economies of equal level of development and per capita income, banking sector
has evolved to become the dominant financial intermediary in Bangladeshi financial system.
Thats why, in our country many people believe that banking sector has vast effect on Stock
market index. Besides that from the literature it has been found that, Banks are a fundamental
component of the financial system, and are also active players in financial markets
(Dhanabhakyam & Kavitha, 2012). So it is assumed that the market moves according to the
banking sector moves. But how much is this true or how much the banking sector really affect
the market index?
3. Organizational Overview
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The necessity of establishing a stock exchange in the then East Pakistan was first decided by the
government when, early in 1952, it was learnt that the Calcutta Stock Exchange had prohibited
the transactions in Pakistani shares and securities. The provincial industrial advisory council
soon thereafter set up an organizing committee for the formation of a stock exchange in East
Pakistan. A decisive step was taken the second meeting of the organizing committee held on the
13th March, 1953. In the cabinet room, eden building, under the chairmanship of Mr. A.
Khaleeli, secretary government of East Bengal, commerce, labor and industries department at
which various aspects of the issue were discussed in detail. Then the central governments
proposal regarding the Karachi Stock Exchange opening a branch in Dhaka did not find favor
with the meeting who felt that East Pakistan should have an independent stock exchange. It was
suggested that the Dhaka Narayanganj Chamber of Commerce & Industry should approach its
members for the purchase of membership cards at RS.2000 each for the proposed stock
exchange. The location of the exchange it was thought should be either Dhaka, Narayanganj or
Chittagong. An organizing committee was appointed consisting of leading commercial and
industrial personalities of the province with Mr. Mehdi Ispahani as the convener in order to
organize the exchange.
The chamber informed its members and members of its affiliated associations of the proceedings
of the above meeting, requesting them to intimate whether they were interested in joining the
proposed stock exchange. This was followed by a meeting, at the chamber of about 100 persons
interested in the formation of the exchange on 07.07.1953. The meeting invited 8 gentlemen to
become promoters of the exchange with Mr. M Mehdi Ispahani as the convener and authorized
them to draw up the memorandum and article of association of the exchange and proceed to
obtain register under the companies act.1913. The other 7 promoters of the exchange were Mr. J
M Addision-Scott, Mr. Mhodammed Hanif, Mr. A C Jain, Mr. A K Khan, Mr. M Shabbir Ahmed
and Mr. Sakhawat Hossin.
It was also decided that membership fee was to be RS.2000 and subscription rate at 15 per
month. The exchange was to consist of not more than 150 members. A meeting of the promoters
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was held at the chamber on 03.09.1953 when it was decided to appoint Orr Dignam & Co.,
solicitors to draw up the memorandum and articles of association of the stock exchange based on
the rules of stock exchange existing in other countries and taking into account local conditions.
The 8 promoters incorporated the formation as the East Pakistan Stock Exchange Association
Ltd. on 28.04.1954. As public company, on 23.06.1962 the name was revised to East Pakistan
Stock Exchange Ltd. Again on 14.05.1964 the name of East Pakistan Stock Exchange Limited
was changed to "Dhaka Stock Exchange Ltd."
At the time of incorporation the authorized capital of the exchange was RS. 300000 divided into
150 shares. Of RS. 2000 each and by an extraordinary general meeting adopted at the
extraordinary general meeting held on 22.02.1964 the authorized capital of the exchange was
increased to TK. 500000 divided into 250 shares of TK. 2000 each. The paid up capital of the
exchange now stands at TK.460000 dividend into 230 shares of TK. 2000 each. However 35
shares out of 230 shares were issued at TK. 80,00,000 only per share of TK. 2000 with a
premium of TK. 79,98,000.
Although it incorporated in 1954, the formal trading was started in 1956 in Narayanganj after
obtaining the certificates of commencement of business. But in 1958 it was shifted to Dhaka and
started functioning in the Narayangonj Chamber Building in Motijheel C/A. On 1.10.1957 the
stock exchange purchase a land measuring 8.75 kattah at 9F Motijheel C/A from the government
and shifted the stock exchange to its own location in 1959.
Since 1971 till 1976, the trading activities of the Stock Exchange remained suppressed due to the
liberation war and the economic policy pursued by the then government. The trading activities
resumed in 1976 with only 9 companies listed having a paid up capital of Taka 137.52 million on
the stock exchange (Chowdhury, 1994).
Trading is done through automated on-line system every day except Friday, Saturday and other
government holidays. There are four markets in the system: (1) Public Market: Only trading of
market lot share is done here through automatic matching. (2) Block Market: A place where bulk
quantities of shares are traded through pick and fill basis. (3) Odd Lot Market: Odd lot scripts are
traded here based on pick and fill basis. (4) OTC Market: Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) has
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launched the over-the-counter (OTC) market-a separate trading floor-- to facilitate trading of the
non-listed and the de-listed companies. The shares of companies that have been de-listed from
the premier bourse will be placed on the OTC market in the first phase. In the next phase, shares
of non-performing and non-operational companies that will be removed from the main board will
be traded on the new OTC floor.
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Market Surveillance.
Investors Protection Fund (As per investor protection fund Regulations 1999).
Number of Companies
30
7
5
31
23
18
18
25
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
Insurance
It Sector
Jute
Miscellaneous
Mutual Fund
Paper & Printing
Pharmaceuticals & Chemicals
Services & Real Estate
Tannery Industries
Telecommunication
Textile
Travel & Leisure
Total Companies
Source: Official web site of Dhaka Stock Exchange
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6
3
11
41
2
27
4
5
2
41
4
324
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As a substitute for the market portfolio of risky assets when calculating the systematic
risk of an asset.
1. Price-weighted index: The price of each component stock is the only consideration
when determining the value of the index. Thus, price movement of even a single security
will heavily influence the value of the index and it ignoring the relative size of the
company as a whole.
Example: Dow Jones Industrial Average, NYSE Arca Major Market Index and the NYSE
ARCA Tech 100 Index.
3. Equal-weighted Index: There all components are assigned the same value or weight.
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Very recently Dhaka Stock Exchange introduced a new index, DSEX Shariah Index (DSES), on
January 20, 2014 which serve as a Shariah Compliant broad market benchmark in Bangladesh
Capital Market. This index has been made by combining the sector and screening based
companies sorting out from DSE Broad Index. The DSES had been launched to inspire the
investors who wanted to invest as per Islamic Shariah Compliance rule and it is hoped that this
index may attract the Middle East foreign investors.
4.
Although there are many way to calculate the stock index and Dow Jones Industrial Average
(DJIA) is most popular but here we have used the Market Value Weighted method.
Criticism of the DJIA:
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The divisor needs to be adjusted every time one of the companies in the index has
a stock split.
We have collected all Banks Trade Information from 2009 to 2014 from Dhaka Stock Exchange
library. Then we have segregated every Sundays closing price and No. of share of all banks. By
using these two information we calculated the market capital of Bank Sector in every Sunday
(We have taken Mondays data when stock market was closed or holiday on Sunday). We have
considered 1000 as a base index to calculate stock index on 1 st January, 2009. Formula for index
calculation Index t
PQ
PQ
t
Where:
Indext = index value on day t
Pt = ending prices for stocks on day t
Qt = number of outstanding shares on day t
Pb = ending price for stocks on base day
Qb = number of outstanding shares on base day
We also have taken data of Dhaka General Index (DGEN) for the time period of 2009 to 2013
(Up to July, as after that it has been closed) and Dhaka Stock Exchange Index (DSEX) for the
period of August 2013 to December 2014. Later on we made a graph with those data so that we
can compare it with the bank Index.
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5.
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involvement of new investors, investing of more money into the Stock market the Market capital
goes up as well as the Index (Bank Index) also goes up gradually (graph-1). From the graph we
can see that from 2009 to 2010 the graph hold the upward trend and it hit the top level with the
Index point of 3122 in December 2010. After that the graph shows that, Index (Bank Index)
goes down sharply which we called market crashed and gradually again it came to very close of
base line which was 1000.
Graph1: Bank Index
We also have draw the Dhaka Stock Exchange General Index (DGEN) by taking consideration of
every Sundays closing Index value. There we have found that, the Index started with 2845
points in 4th January 2009 and from the beginning it started to decline, but later on as the days
goes on it also started to goes up (Graph-2). Due to increasing of investment in stock market the
index follows the upward trend and it hit the top level with 8919 point in December 2010. Later
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on the graph follow the downward trend sharply, that means the market crashed. At the end, it
again come to very near of 3000 which was in 2009.
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1447.08
25.43
1309.40
#N/A
449.13
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Sample Variance
Kurtosis
Skewness
Range
Minimum
Maximum
201719.65
0.85
0.93
2528.11
594.22
3122.34
Column 2
1
0.938310653
Column 2
1
0.577783932
6.
One of the objective of this paper was compare the Bank Index with the Dhaka Stock Exchange
Index, so we different graph and Statistical analysis as well. From the graph we have seen that
Bank Index and DGEN looks like almost same, but not the DSEX. From 2009 to 2013, the
minimum point of DGEN is 2427 and maximum is 8919. On the other hand the minimum point
of Bank Index is 594 and maximum is 3122. Bank Index and DGEN hit the highest level at the
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same day and at the same way both the index shows the market crash. At the end of 2012 again
all index came to their base line. We have found clearer picture from the Descriptive statistics.
There we have found that, Correlation of Bank Index with DGEN is 0.93 but correlation of Bank
Index with DSEX is 0.57. Which means now a days Banking sector is not affecting the Stock
Market Index that it was before.
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7.
Conclusion:
Index is an important scale to measure the performance stocks. An index calculated by the total
market capital so the every information of issuing shares of stocks and the adjusting prices of the
stocks must be accurate. If the data is not accurate thus the index does not provide an actual
signal of the stocks. Besides that, In the stock market Banking sector is having a vast market
capital so it plays an important role to the movement of Market Index. So, government should
keep a keen eye on the performance of these banks and to look after whether the banks are really
maintaining their rules and regulations or not. Because banking business has been shaped as
global business and the rest other business greatly depends on the strength of banking business
performance. Although after crashing the Stock Market in 2010 the total Economy of Bangladesh
was shaken and the Banking sectors performance as well but now the market is trying to recapture
its stable condition by employing different policies. Investors also should have the knowledge regarding
the stock market and its Index to take the correct decision and not to lose their money.
8. Reference
1. AL- Shubiri F. N. (2010) Analysis the Determinants of Market Stock Price Movements: An
Empirical Study of Jordanian Commercial Banks. International Journal of Business and
Management. 5(10) P. 137-147
2. Chowdhury, A. R. (1994) Statistical Properties of Daily Return from the Dhaka Stock
Exchange. Bangladesh Development Studies. Vol. XXII.
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9.
Appendix
shares
such
as
those
held
Calculated as:
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by
promoters
and
governments.
The free-float method is seen as a better way of calculating market capitalization because it
provides a more accurate reflection of market movements. When using a free-float methodology,
the resulting market capitalization is smaller than what would result from a full-market
capitalization method.
Categories of Companies
Market Capitalization
(Tk. in mn)
% of Total Cap
Financial Sector
Banks
413,755.49
15.39
Financial Institutions
179,603.73
6.68
Insurance
97,970.58
3.64
Mutual Funds
30,334.05
1.13
212,777.17
7.92
Manufacturing
Food & Allied Product
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Pharmaceuticals
336,250.53
12.51
90,468.97
3.37
114,978.64
4.28
Ceramic
23,894.12
0.89
Tannery
23,618.76
0.88
2,199.09
0.08
879.57
0.03
199,166.36
7.41
329,377.13
12.25
22,992.45
0.86
5,823.21
0.22
Telecommunication
506,168.55
18.83
28,515.00
1.06
Miscellaneous
69,333.65
2.58
2,688,107.05
100%
Textile
Engineering
Total
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