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E. Popovich
INTRODUCTION
This article presents the Improve and Control Phases
of an application of the Six Sigma DMAIC model to
G.E.P. Boxs famous paper helicopter experiment
(Box, 1992; Johnson et al., in review). The intent of this
article is to present the reader with a case study for structuring a Six Sigma project. Similar work has been done
with this type of case (Rasis et al., 2002).
In the previous article (Johnson et al., 2006), which
contained the first three phases of the DMAIC model
(Define, Measure, and Analyze Phases), the Lilliputian
National Army (LNA) was moving toward a siegebreaking technique based upon aerial assault, instead
of traditional land-based attack methods. By following
the first three phases of the model, the process to be
improved was determined to be the Helicopter
431
432
J. A. Johnson et al.
In-Depth Analysis
Team members studied the Analysis of Variance
(ANOVA) output for the experiment to identify which
factors and interactions significantly effect flight time
(see Table 1). The second part of Table 1, Analysis
of Variance for Flight numerically reiterates the
impact of the two way interactions and the main effects
that was illustrated in the Figure 1. This gives some
further insight as to what will actually be found in
the first part of Table 1, Estimated Effects and Coefficients for Flight.
The first part of Table 1, Estimated effects and
coefficients for flight, shows the p-values for each
main (factor) effect and interaction effect. All effects
that are statistically significant are indicated by a
p-value less than 0.05. The statistically significant main
effects and interactions have been condensed into
Table 2.
Figure 1.
433
Figure 2 shows that wing length is the most significant X. Paper, clip, width, and length are of secondary
importance. Body taping and joint taping are the least
significant of all the factors.
All interactions supercede all main effects to determine what value of the individual design factor should
be set at. With this in mind, it would be wise to start at
the bottom of Table 2, and work up, analyzing each
significant interaction. The first interaction is
Length! Wing, and going to Figure 3, it can be seen
that the longer wing, 4.75 inches, and the shorter
length, 3.00 inches, optimize the flight time, as that is
the highest point within the box where the Length
and Wing columns or rows intersect. Both combinations in the table will yield the same result, as the
two plots are inverses of each other. The next interaction is Clip! Length, and using the same methods to
find the highest point within the relevant boxes on
Figure 3 shows that the length should be 3.00 inches
and that no paper clip should be used. Continuing
up Table 2, the next interaction is Paper! Width, and
using the relevant boxes in Figure 3, shows that the
width of the helicopters body should be 1.42 inches
and that the helicopter should be made with white
paper. The final interaction is Paper! Clip, and using
Figure 3, it can be found that white paper should be
used with no paper clip. These results are then compiled and summarized in the Table 3.
Note that in Table 3 there is no indication for the
factors labeled Body Tape or Joint Tape. This is
because there were no interactions for these factors,
and as a result, no known information can be
displayed.
With all of the interactions from Table 2 having
been analyzed, the remaining effects, known as main
effects, or single factor effects can be analyzed. The
analysis for these is found in Figure 2, and the first
of these effects from Table 2 is Wing. Consulting
Figure 2, the optimal wing length is 4.75 inches. In this
case, it can be seen that this is consistent with the wing
length that was determined by analyzing the relevant
interaction. If there is a conflict between the analyses
of the interactions and the main effects, in general,
the interaction affect is given consideration first.
The next two items found in Table 2, Length and
Width, show that the analysis of the main effects for
best results is consistent with the interaction analysis.
However, the next item in Table 2, Body tape, must
be considered.
Body Tape is listed as one of the unknowns in
Table 3; therefore the main effect is relevant to determining the level for the factor in the final design of
the aircraft. Consulting Figure 2, it can be seen that
434
J. A. Johnson et al.
Table 1
Original ANOVA output from Minitab
Estimated effects and coefficients for flight (coded units)
Term
Constant
Paper
Clip
Bodytape
Jointtape
Width
Length
Wing
Paper! Clip
Paper! Bodytape
Paper! Jointtape
Paper! Width
Paper! Length
Paper! Wing
Clip! Bodytape
Clip! Jointtape
Clip! Width
Clip! Length
Clip! Wing
Bodytape! Jointtape
Bodytape! Width
Bodytape! Length
Bodytape! Wing
Jointtape! Width
Jointtape! Length
Jointtape! Wing
Width! Length
Width! Wing
Length! Wing
Paper! Clip! Bodytape
Paper! Clip! Jointtape
Paper! Clip! Width
Paper! Clip! Length
Paper! Clip! Wing
Paper! Bodytape! Jointtape
Paper! Bodytape! Width
Paper! Bodytape! Length
Paper! Bodytape! Wing
Paper! Jointtape! Width
Paper! Jointtape! Length
Paper! Jointtape! Wing
Paper! Width! Length
Paper! Width! Wing
Paper! Length! Wing
Clip! Bodytape! Jointtape
Clip! Bodytape! Width
Clip! Bodytape! Length
Clip! Bodytape! Wing
Clip! Jointtape! Width
Clip! Jointtape! Length
Effect
Coef
SE Coef
0.14734
"0.12797
"0.05828
"0.00516
"0.17797
"0.16391
0.49297
"0.04484
"0.02641
"0.01828
"0.05172
"0.04078
"0.01328
0.01953
"0.01859
0.01984
"0.04984
0.03016
"0.02141
"0.01797
0.01672
0.03359
"0.01797
0.01672
"0.00703
"0.03047
0.00078
"0.05516
0.04141
0.00078
"0.00391
"0.00297
0.01641
"0.03953
0.01703
0.00734
"0.00766
"0.01672
0.03234
0.00297
0.03453
"0.01609
"0.02766
0.03641
"0.01141
"0.01297
"0.03422
"0.01516
0.00078
2.10523
0.07367
"0.06398
"0.02914
"0.00258
"0.08898
"0.08195
0.24648
"0.02242
"0.01320
"0.00914
"0.02586
"0.02039
"0.00664
0.00977
"0.00930
0.00992
"0.02492
0.01508
"0.01070
"0.00898
0.00836
0.01680
"0.00898
0.00836
"0.00352
"0.01523
0.00039
"0.02758
0.02070
0.00039
"0.00195
"0.00148
0.00820
"0.01977
0.00852
0.00367
"0.00383
"0.00836
0.01617
0.00148
0.01727
"0.00805
"0.01383
0.01820
"0.00570
"0.00648
"0.01711
"0.00758
0.00039
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
193.39
6.77
"5.88
"2.68
"0.24
"8.17
"7.53
22.64
"2.06
"1.21
"0.84
"2.38
"1.87
"0.61
0.90
"0.85
0.91
"2.29
1.39
"0.98
"0.83
0.77
1.54
"0.83
0.77
"0.32
"1.40
0.04
"2.53
1.90
0.04
"0.18
"0.14
0.75
"1.82
0.78
0.34
"0.35
"0.77
1.49
0.14
1.59
"0.74
"1.27
1.67
"0.52
"0.60
"1.57
"0.70
0.04
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.009
0.814
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.043
0.230
0.404
0.021
0.066
0.544
0.373
0.396
0.365
0.025
0.171
0.329
0.412
0.445
0.128
0.412
0.445
0.748
0.166
0.971
0.014
0.062
0.971
0.858
0.892
0.454
0.074
0.437
0.737
0.726
0.445
0.142
0.892
0.118
0.462
0.209
0.099
0.602
0.553
0.121
0.489
0.971
(Continued)
435
Effect
Coef
SE Coef
0.00391
0.04109
0.02172
0.00328
"0.00422
"0.00641
"0.01391
0.00766
"0.03359
0.01734
0.02078
"0.04234
"0.00516
0.00703
0.00195
0.02055
0.01086
0.00164
"0.00211
"0.00320
"0.00695
0.00383
"0.01680
0.00867
0.01039
"0.02117
"0.00258
0.00352
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.18
1.89
1.00
0.15
"0.19
"0.29
"0.64
0.35
"1.54
0.80
0.95
"1.94
"0.24
0.32
0.858
0.064
0.322
0.881
0.847
0.770
0.525
0.726
0.128
0.429
0.343
0.056
0.814
0.748
DF
Seq SS
Adj SS
Adj MS
7
21
35
64
64
Total
10.9781
0.6043
0.5369
0.9707
0.9708
10.9781
0.6043
0.5369
0.9707
0.9708
127
1.56830
0.02878
0.01534
0.01517
0.01517
13.0900
103.40
1.90
1.01
0.000
0.026
0.473
Table 2
Significant effects from Table 1
Term
Constant
Paper
Clip
Bodytape
Width
Length
Wing
Paper! Clip
Paper! Width
Clip! Length
Length! Wing
Effect
Coef
SE Coef
"0.14734
"0.12797
"0.05828
"0.17797
"0.16391
0.49297
"0.04484
"0.05172
"0.04984
"0.05516
2.10523
"0.07367
"0.06398
"0.02914
"0.08898
"0.08195
0.24648
"0.02242
"0.02586
"0.02492
"0.02758
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
0.01089
193.39
"6.77
"5.88
"2.68
"8.17
"7.53
22.64
"2.06
"2.38
"2.29
"2.53
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.009
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.043
0.021
0.025
0.014
436
J. A. Johnson et al.
Table 3
Factors determined through analysis of interactions
Variable name
Paper
Clip
Bodytape
Jointtape
Width
Length
Wing
Figure 2.
Variable
Optimizing value
Paper type
Paper clip
Body tape
Joint tape
Body width
Body length
Wing length
White paper
No clip
Unknown
Unknown
1.42 inches
3.00 inches
4.75 inches
Table 4
Final design parameters based on main effect and
interaction analysis
Variable name
Paper
Clip
Bodytape
Jointtape
Width
Length
Wing
Variable
Optimizing value
Paper type
Paper clip
Body tape
Joint tape
Body width
Body length
Wing length
White paper
No clip
No tape
Unknown
1.42 inches
3.00 inches
4.75 inches
Table 5
Design parameters for new aircraft
Variable name
Figure 3.
Paper
Clip
Bodytape
Jointtape
Width
Length
Wing
Variable
Optimizing value
Paper type
Paper clip
Body tape
Joint tape
Body width
Body length
Wing length
White paper
No clip
No tape
No tape
1.42 inches
3.00 inches
4.75 inches
437
Figure 4.
CONTROL PHASE
The Control Phase establishes the ongoing
controls necessary to sustain the benefits from the
Six Sigma project. It comprises four steps: standardization, mistake-proofing, documentation, and
giving control of the process back to the process
owner.
438
J. A. Johnson et al.
Table 6
Process capability with the new design
Yield
CTQ
Flight time
DPMO
Sigma
Current
Desired
Gap
Current
Desired
Gap
Current
Desired
Gap
99.90888600%
99.90000000%
"0.00888600%
911.14
1000.00
"88.86
4.62
4.59
"0.03
150
6
5
6
1
3
10
1
10
8
2
2
100
4
5
439
5
336
8
7
2
135
3
9
1
10
20
Redesign of template
and warning
sign with picture
ofcorrect fold
Redesign of template and
integration of wing
tolerance tool
Integration of wing
tolerance tool
New process flowchart
and control plan
2
6
24
5
9
8
360
Helicopter education
seminar
Incorrect wing
1) Employee
length
awareness
of wing length
2) Incorrect body Single edge folds
folds
Action
Likelihood of
Likelihood of
Occurrence Severity
detection
RPN
Failure mode
Risk elements
Table 7
Failure mode effects analysis (FMEA)
Likelihood of
Likelihood of
occurrence
Severity
detection
RPN
Lilliputian workers cannot reliably fold at a 90degree angle. This problem can easily be circumvented
using the wing tolerance tool. This tool requires that
the angle of the wings be within one degree of specification, 90 degrees, for the tool to fit onto the helicopter. The RPN drops to a value of 6 given use of the
wing tolerance tool.
Problem 2Incorrect Body FoldsRPN 24
Requiring employees to check that the body has
two edges can circumvent the problem of folding the
body in the wrong directions (see Figure 7).
Figure 7 will be posted on the production floor
and will be included in the training manual. In addition
to this commonsense circumvention measure for Risk
Element 2, there is an additional precaution that incorporates instructions into the design (see Figure 8).
Employees should be able to read the word Outside and should not be able to read the word Inside
on a completed helicopter. This is not a substitute for
the first control measure because this precaution is not
capable of preventing the body folding problem.
While it may seem a simpler solution to have text
on both sides of the paper, the War Paper Machine
does not replicate designs that require objects on both
sides of the paper, and forcing it to do so would create
Figure 7.
440
J. A. Johnson et al.
Figure 8.
an endless cycle of recalibration that is otherwise unnecessary. Figure 9 shows a picture of the War Paper
Machine. The RPN drops to 8 given these precautionary measures.
Risk Element 3Incorrect Wing Folds by Direction
RPN 20
This risk is catastrophic, but it is blatantly obvious
because it will appear as though the helicopter is missing a wing. This has not been a problem in the past due
to ease of detection; however, reducing the risk is quite
simple. The design of the helicopter template has been
modified to make it easier to determine folds, as shown
in Figure 8. The words Bottom Side should only be
visible from below the helicopter and vice versa for
Top Side. The new design should be communicated
to all relevant employees.
The wing tolerance tool that was developed for
Risk Element 4 provides an additional control for Risk
Element 3 because it is nearly impossible for incorrect
wing folds to go undetected. Therefore, the RPN
drops to 10.
Figure 9.
The most significant lesson learned from this project was the value of Six Sigma methods in improving
and innovating the LNA to better fight the LFF. Consequently, the training arm of the LNA developed Six
Sigma courseware and offer it on demand to any division of the LNA desirous of such a training program.
SUMMARY
441
442
J. A. Johnson et al.
REFERENCES
Box, G. E. P. (1992). Teaching engineers experimental design
with a paper helicopter. Quality Engineering, 4(3):
453459.
Gitlow, H., Oppenheim, A., Oppenheim, R. (1995). Quality
Management: Tools and Methods for Improvement, 2nd
ed. Boston, MA: Irwin McGraw-Hill.
Johnson, A., Widener, S., Popovich, E., Gitlow, H. (2006).
A six sigma black belt case study: G.E.P. Boxs Paper
Helicopter Experiement Part A. Quality Engineering,
18(4):413430.
Rasis, D., Gitlow, H., Popovich, E. (2002). Paper organizers
international: A fictitious six sigma green belt case study
Part 1. Quality Engineering, 15(1):127145.
Rasis, D., Gitlow, H., Popovich, E. (2002). Paper organizers
international: A fictitious six sigma green belt case study
Part 2. Quality Engineering, 15(2):259274.