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Interviews with 1,012 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC

International on September 4 - 8, 2015. The margin of sampling error for


results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
The sample also includes 930 interviews among registered voters (plus or
minus 3 percentage points).
This sample includes 612 interviews among landline respondents and 400
interviews among cell phone respondents.

EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE:


Thursday, September 10 at 6:00 a.m.

BASED ON 923 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 7 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 930 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)
4.

How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next years election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all
enthusiastic?
Extremely
enthusiastic

Very
Somewhat
Not too
Not at all
No
enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion

Registered Voters
Sept. 4-8, 2015

30%

24%

25%

10%

12%

August 13-16, 2015


July 22-25, 2015
Nov. 2-4, 2012
Sept. 28-30, 2012
Sept. 7-9, 2012
Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012
Aug. 22-23, 2012
June 28-July 1, 2012
Mar. 24-25, 2012
Feb. 10-13, 2012
Jan. 11-12, 2012
Oct. 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
Oct. 5-7, 2010*
Sept. 21-23, 2010*
Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008
Oct. 17-19, 2008
Sept. 5-7, 2008
June 23-24, 2007
Oct. 14-16 2004
Sept. 3-5 2004
Oct. 24-26 2003

29%
22%
38%
37%
30%
32%
31%
28%
24%
22%
24%
28%
29%
28%
20%
23%
37%
34%
30%
26%
36%
32%
19%

27%
26%
30%
25%
27%
25%
27%
25%
23%
26%
27%
23%
25%
30%
22%
17%
32%
24%
30%
28%
34%
32%
34%

23%
27%
17%
20%
22%
20%
23%
25%
29%
26%
27%
28%
25%
24%
30%
31%
16%
23%
23%
27%
17%
23%
31%

10%
13%
9%
9%
15%
11%
10%
13%
11%
13%
10%
9%
10%
11%
16%
17%
7%
11%
11%
13%
8%
9%
11%

10%
11%
5%
9%
6%
11%
9%
9%
12%
13%
12%
12%
10%
7%
12%
12%
8%
8%
6%
6%
4%
4%
4%

*
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
1%

POLL 9
3

-2-

September 4-8, 2015

BASED ON 259 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND


136 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN
DEMOCRATIC, FOR A TOTAL OF 395 REGISTERED DEMOCRATS-- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5%
PTS.)
4.

How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next years election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all
enthusiastic?
Extremely
enthusiastic

Very
Somewhat
Not too
Not at all
No
enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion

Registered Democrats
Sept. 4-8, 2015

28%

24%

26%

9%

13%

August 13-16, 2015


July 22-25, 2015
Nov. 2-4, 2012
Sept. 28-30, 2012
Sept. 7-9, 2012
Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012
Aug. 22-23, 2012
June 28-July 1, 2012
Mar. 24-25, 2012
Feb. 10-13, 2012
Jan. 11-12, 2012
Oct. 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
Oct. 5-7, 2010*
Sept. 21-23, 2010*
Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008
Oct. 17-19, 2008
Sept. 5-7, 2008
June 23-24, 2007
Oct. 14-16 2004
Sept. 3-5 2004
Oct. 24-26 2003

33%
18%
37%
39%
30%
32%
29%
27%
25%
20%
21%
21%
26%
26%
13%
16%
45%
45%
36%
28%
38%
31%
19%

22%
28%
33%
25%
29%
24%
29%
32%
21%
29%
28%
22%
29%
30%
21%
14%
34%
23%
30%
32%
27%
26%
29%

23%
28%
17%
21%
23%
23%
24%
26%
33%
27%
31%
34%
29%
27%
35%
36%
13%
20%
21%
27%
19%
23%
31%

11%
15%
6%
8%
13%
9%
11%
9%
10%
11%
10%
10%
9%
12%
18%
19%
4%
7%
6%
9%
8%
10%
16%

11%
11%
5%
7%
6%
12%
6%
6%
10%
12%
9%
12%
6%
5%
12%
15%
3%
5%
6%
4%
7%
10%
5%

*
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*

POLL 9
3

-3-

September 4-8, 2015

BASED ON 307 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


167 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN
REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 474 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/4.5% PTS.)
4.

How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next years election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all
enthusiastic?
Extremely
enthusiastic

Very
Somewhat
Not too
Not at all
No
enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion

Registered Republicans
Sept. 4-8, 2015

34%

25%

24%

9%

7%

August 13-16, 2015


July 22-25, 2015
Nov. 2-4, 2012
Sept. 28-30, 2012
Sept. 7-9, 2012
Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012
Aug. 22-23, 2012
June 28-July 1, 2012
Mar. 24-25, 2012
Feb. 10-13, 2012
Jan. 11-12, 2012
Oct. 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
Oct. 5-7, 2010*
Sept. 21-23, 2010*
Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008
Oct. 17-19, 2008
Sept. 5-7, 2008
June 23-24, 2007
Oct. 14-16 2004
Sept. 3-5 2004
Oct. 24-26 2003

28%
28%
42%
38%
32%
35%
35%
31%
25%
26%
26%
38%
38%
33%
29%
31%
28%
24%
26%
27%
35%
31%
19%

33%
27%
28%
27%
25%
27%
26%
20%
27%
25%
28%
26%
23%
31%
25%
22%
32%
26%
28%
25%
42%
39%
39%

23%
27%
17%
17%
19%
17%
22%
24%
25%
25%
25%
20%
18%
19%
25%
27%
19%
27%
26%
27%
15%
21%
32%

9%
9%
9%
11%
17%
12%
8%
15%
13%
15%
12%
7%
10%
10%
13%
13%
9%
12%
15%
16%
6%
6%
7%

7%
10%
4%
7%
7%
8%
10%
9%
11%
10%
9%
9%
10%
6%
8%
7%
12%
10%
4%
6%
2%
3%
2%

*
*
1%
*
*
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%

*QUESTION WORDING: How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for Congress this year -- extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat
enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic?

POLL 9
3

-4-

September 4-8, 2015

BASED ON 923 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 7 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 930 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)
5.

How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President next year -- will it be
extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM
ORDER)
Extremely
Very
Moderately
Not that
No
important
important
important
important opinion
The economy
Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV)
52%
36%
10%
2%
*
June 26-28, 2015
47%
41%
11%
2%
*
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
48%
41%
10%
1%
*
Feb. 12-15, 2015
41%
47%
11%
1%
*
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
42%
45%
12%
1%
*
Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV)
58%
35%
6%
1%
*
June 28-July 1, 2012
51%
41%
6%
2%
*
October 14-16, 2011
54%
39%
6%
1%
*
June 3-7, 2011
51%
41%
6%
2%
*
October 17-19, 2008
61%
33%
5%
2%
*
June 26-29, 2008
58%
35%
6%
1%
*
Jan. 14-17, 2008
45%
41%
12%
2%
*
Nov. 2-4, 2007
34%
48%
16%
2%
*
May 4-6, 2007
33%
46%
16%
4%
*
Illegal immigration
Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV)
June 26-28, 2015
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
Feb. 12-15, 2015
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
June 28 July 1, 2012
October 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
October 17-19, 2008
June 26-29, 2008
Jan. 14-17, 2008
Nov. 2-4, 2007
May 4-6, 2007

39%
30%
30%
29%
30%
28%
24%
29%
29%
34%
31%
23%
31%

29%
32%
33%
35%
35%
31%
28%
33%
31%
33%
34%
38%
32%

21%
26%
26%
26%
26%
26%
27%
26%
28%
24%
23%
26%
26%

11%
12%
11%
10%
9%
14%
19%
12%
12%
9%
11%
13%
10%

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
1%

Foreign policy
Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV)
June 26-28, 2015
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
Feb. 12-15, 2015
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV)
June 28-July 1, 2012
October 14-16, 2011

35%
32%
33%
28%
29%
41%
24%
23%

35%
39%
40%
39%
39%
31%
39%
33%

24%
22%
22%
25%
25%
21%
26%
32%

6%
7%
5%
7%
6%
6%
11%
11%

*
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
1%

(RV) = Registered voter


*Asked of a half sample.

POLL 9
3

-5-

September 4-8, 2015

BASED ON 923 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 7 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 930 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)
5.

How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President next year -- will it be
extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM
ORDER)

Health care
Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV)
June 26-28, 2015
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
Feb. 12-15, 2015
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV)
June 28-July 1, 2012
October 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
October 17-19, 2008
June 26-29, 2008
Jan. 14-17, 2008
Nov. 2-4, 2007
May 4-6, 2007

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

47%
44%
44%
39%
41%
49%
47%
42%
45%
44%
47%
41%
35%
43%

36%
39%
39%
40%
39%
33%
40%
38%
41%
38%
36%
36%
41%
35%

13%
13%
13%
16%
17%
14%
10%
16%
10%
13%
14%
19%
19%
18%

3%
4%
4%
5%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
4%
3%
4%
5%
4%

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*

(RV) = Registered voter


*Asked of a half sample.

POLL 9
3

-6-

September 4-8, 2015

BASED ON 459 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 4 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 463 REGISTERED VOTERS IN VERSION A. -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/4.5% PTS.)
5.

How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President next year -- will it be
extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM
ORDER)
Extremely
Very
Moderately
Not that
No
important
important
important
important opinion

Taxes
Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV)
June 28 July 1, 2012*
October 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
October 17-19, 2008
June 26-29, 2008
Jan. 14-17, 2008
Nov. 2-4, 2007
May 4-6, 2007

36%
38%
34%
37%
42%
40%
30%
24%
30%

34%
38%
37%
40%
39%
34%
38%
39%
40%

23%
18%
23%
18%
16%
22%
27%
29%
23%

6%
6%
6%
5%
3%
5%
5%
7%
6%

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%

Abortion
Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV)
June 28 July 1, 2012
June 3-7, 2011
Oct. 17-19, 2008
Jan. 14-17, 2008
June 26-29, 2008
Nov. 2-4, 2007
May 4-6, 2007

27%
22%
20%
29%
24%
24%
22%
27%

18%
27%
23%
22%
24%
26%
24%
24%

27%
23%
25%
26%
26%
25%
25%
24%

26%
27%
32%
23%
24%
25%
28%
24%

1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
*
1%

The income gap between rich and


poor Americans
Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV)
Feb. 12-15, 2015
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)

33%
29%
30%

28%
32%
30%

24%
24%
25%

15%
15%
15%

*
*
*

Terrorism
Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV)
June 26-28, 2015
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
Feb. 12-15, 2015
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
June 28 July 1, 2012
October 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
October 17-19, 2008
June 26-29, 2008
Jan. 14-17, 2008
Nov. 2-4, 2007
May 4-6, 2007

49%
48%
49%
42%
44%
41%
36%
42%
50%
45%
42%
32%
45%

31%
33%
32%
38%
37%
30%
36%
33%
33%
32%
34%
44%
35%

13%
14%
14%
14%
15%
18%
19%
16%
14%
18%
19%
18%
14%

7%
5%
5%
6%
4%
10%
9%
8%
3%
4%
5%
6%
6%

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*

(RV) = Registered voter


*Asked of a half sample.

POLL 9
3

-7-

September 4-8, 2015

BASED ON 464 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 3 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 467 REGISTERED VOTERS IN VERSION B -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/4.5% PTS.)
5.

How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President next year -- will it be
extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM
ORDER)
Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

Global warming
Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV)
Feb. 12-15, 2015
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
Nov. 2-4, 2007

23%
22%
23%
19%

24%
23%
21%
29%

30%
26%
26%
27%

23%
29%
30%
25%

*
*
*
*

Education
Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV)
Feb. 12-15, 2015
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
June 28 July 1, 2012
May 4-6, 2007

47%
40%
41%
44%
44%

34%
42%
41%
34%
37%

13%
13%
14%
18%
16%

6%
5%
4%
6%
3%

*
*
*
*
*

Social Security and Medicare


Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV)
Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV)
June 28-July 1, 2012*
October 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011**
October 17-19, 2008
June 26-29, 2008
May 4-6, 2007

50%
43%
39%
38%
37%
46%
41%
38%

31%
34%
40%
40%
42%
34%
36%
37%

15%
18%
17%
18%
17%
16%
18%
20%

4%
5%
4%
4%
5%
4%
4%
4%

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*

Gun policy
Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV)
June 28 July 1, 2012*
June 3-7, 2011
June 26-29, 2008
Nov. 2-4, 2007
May 4-6, 2007

42%
22%
21%
26%
20%
26%

26%
28%
27%
27%
26%
26%

24%
28%
30%
28%
29%
29%

8%
22%
20%
19%
26%
17%

*
1%
1%
*
*
2%

(RV) = Registered voter


*Asked of a half sample.

**"Medicare"

POLL 9
3

-8-

September 4-8, 2015

BASED ON 307 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


167 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 474 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
26.

I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in
2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely
to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone
else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham,
Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio,
Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, or Scott Walker. (RANDOM ORDER)

Trump
Carson
Bush
Cruz
Huckabee
Walker
Fiorina
Paul
Rubio
Christie
Kasich
Graham
Jindal
Santorum
Gilmore
Pataki
Perry
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion

POLL 9
3

Sept. 4-8
2015

Aug. 13-16
2015

July 22-25
2015

June 26-28
2015

32%
19%
9%
7%
5%
5%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
3%
2%
2%

24%
9%
13%
5%
4%
8%
5%
6%
8%
3%
5%
*
*
1%
*
*
2%
4%
3%
1%

18%
4%
15%
7%
5%
10%
1%
6%
6%
4%
4%
1%
2%
2%
*
1%
3%
4%
4%
3%

12%
8%
17%
3%
5%
6%
1%
8%
7%
3%
3%
1%
2%
4%
N/A
*
4%
5%
6%
3%

-9-

September 4-8, 2015

BASED ON 307 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


167 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 474 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
27.

And who would be your second choice?


FIRST CHOICE SECOND CHOICE
(Question 26)
(Question 27)
Trump
Carson
Bush
Cruz
Huckabee
Walker
Fiorina
Paul
Rubio
Christie
Kasich
Graham
Jindal
Santorum
Gilmore
Pataki
Perry
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion

POLL 9
3

32%
19%
9%
7%
5%
5%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
3%
2%
2%

18%
16%
10%
7%
5%
3%
8%
4%
7%
5%
3%
*
1%
2%
*
2%
1%
2%
4%
*

-10-

September 4-8, 2015

BASED ON 307 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


167 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 474 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
27a.

What is the most important reason why you support [INSERT NAME FROM Q26]? Is it mostly
because of... (RANDOM ORDER)
Sept. 4-8
2015

POLL 9
3

All candidates
On the job experience
Positions on issues
Because you dont like the other candidates
No opinion

23%
65%
10%
1%

Donald Trump supporters


On the job experience
Positions on issues
Because you dont like the other candidates
No opinion

21%
71%
5%
3%

Supporters of other candidates


On the job experience
Positions on issues
Because you dont like the other candidates
No opinion

25%
62%
12%
1%

-11-

September 4-8, 2015

BASED ON 307 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


167 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 474 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
27b.

Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each of
them won the Republican presidential nomination next year. As I read each name, please tell me
whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset
if that person were the Republican nominee? (RANDOM ORDER)
Enthusiastic

Satisfied but
not enthusiastic

Ben Carson
September 4-8, 2015

43%

33%

15%

5%

4%

Donald Trump
September 4-8, 2015

40%

27%

13%

19%

Marco Rubio
September 4-8, 2015

21%

48%

21%

7%

3%

Ted Cruz
September 4-8, 2015

21%

42%

22%

10%

6%

Scott Walker
September 4-8, 2015

16%

43%

25%

8%

8%

Jeb Bush
September 4-8, 2015

16%

36%

26%

21%

1%

POLL 9
3

-12-

Dissatisfied but
not upset
Upset

No
opinion

September 4-8, 2015

BASED ON 923 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 7 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 930 REGISTERED VOTERS IN VERSION A. -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/3% PTS.)
31.

Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is
most likely to win the Republican nomination for president next year? (RANDOM ORDER)
Sept. 4-8
2015
Trump
41%
Bush
22%
Carson
9%
Rubio
4%
Cruz
3%
Christie
2%
Kasich
2%
Paul
2%
Fiorina
1%
Graham
1%
Huckabee
1%
Perry
1%
Santorum
1%
Walker
1%
Gilmore
*
Jindal
*
Pataki
*
Someone else (vol.) 3%
No opinion
8%

July 22-25
2015
18%
39%
2%
6%
4%
3%
1%
3%
*
1%
2%
1%
1%
11%
*
*
*
2%
6%
FOR COMPARISON

QUESTION WORDING: Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is most
likely to win the Republican nomination for president this year?

Romney
Santorum
Gingrich
Paul
Someone else (vol.)
Bachmann
Cain
Huntsman
Perry
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

Feb. 10-13
2012

Dec. 16-18
2011

Oct. 14-16
2011

Sept. 9-11
2011

68%
13%
11%
5%
*
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
2%

41%
2%
37%
4%
*
6%
N/A
*
4%
2%
3%

51%
1%
3%
3%
*
3%
18%
*
14%
N/A
8%

28%
1%
6%
4%
*
3%
5%
1%
41%
3%
2%

DATA SHOWN PRIOR TO SEPTEMBER 2015 IS FOR ALL ADULTS NOT REGISTERED VOTERS

POLL 9
3

-13-

September 4-8, 2015

METHODOLOGY
A total of 1012 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones.
Among the entire sample, 27% described themselves as Democrats, 24% described themselves as Republicans, and 49% described
themselves as independents or members of another party.
All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national
Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage.
Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of
+/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with
an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error
larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "N/A".

POLL 9
3

-14-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 4
How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year's election -extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at
all enthusiastic?
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------30%
31%
29%
32%
24%
22%
26%
27%
25%
24%
25%
24%
10%
10%
10%
9%
12%
13%
10%
8%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----30%
24%
25%
10%
12%
*
+/-3.0

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------30%
28%
24%
22%
25%
27%
10%
9%
12%
14%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----30%
24%
25%
10%
12%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----30%
25%
26%
9%
10%
*
+/-6.0

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----30%
24%
25%
10%
12%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----20%
20%
37%
9%
14%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----33%
25%
21%
10%
11%
*
+/-6.5

South
----35%
26%
21%
7%
10%
1%
+/-5.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----30%
24%
25%
10%
12%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------40%
27%
21%
7%
5%
*
+/-7.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------28%
21%
23%
13%
14%
1%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty
Oppose
------25%
29%
30%
6%
10%
*
+/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----30%
22%
27%
12%
9%
*
+/-8.5

Non-White
--------25%
19%
26%
10%
20%
*
+/-7.5

5064
----35%
22%
22%
9%
12%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------31%
26%
22%
9%
11%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----30%
33%
24%
5%
7%
1%
+/-5.5

No
College
------29%
20%
26%
10%
14%
*
+/-6.5

Independent
-----23%
23%
26%
11%
16%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----40%
25%
21%
7%
6%
1%
+/-5.5

Under
50
----26%
22%
27%
12%
13%
*
+/-6.0

50 and
Older
-----33%
26%
23%
8%
10%
1%
+/-4.0

Attended
College
-------30%
27%
24%
9%
10%
*
+/-3.5

Lean
Democrat
-----28%
24%
26%
9%
13%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----22%
22%
28%
15%
14%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----21%
25%
27%
10%
17%
*
+/-5.5

West
----26%
23%
24%
15%
12%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----29%
25%
22%
11%
13%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----34%
25%
24%
9%
7%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------42%
25%
21%
7%
5%
1%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----27%
25%
27%
9%
11%
*
+/-5.0

Rural
----37%
21%
23%
9%
9%
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-15-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 5A
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
A. The economy
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------52%
48%
57%
53%
36%
38%
34%
37%
10%
11%
8%
9%
2%
3%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----52%
36%
10%
2%
*
+/-3.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------52%
54%
36%
33%
10%
11%
2%
2%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----52%
36%
10%
2%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----52%
35%
10%
3%
*
+/-6.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----52%
36%
10%
2%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----50%
39%
9%
2%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----55%
32%
9%
4%
*
+/-6.5

South
----55%
34%
9%
2%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----52%
36%
10%
2%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------64%
30%
5%
*
*
+/-7.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------55%
34%
10%
2%
*
+/-5.0

Tea Pty
Oppose
------39%
45%
12%
4%
*
+/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----55%
38%
3%
4%
*
+/-8.5

Non-White
--------52%
34%
11%
3%
*
+/-7.5

5064
----56%
34%
9%
1%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------53%
36%
10%
2%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----45%
43%
10%
2%
*
+/-5.5

No
College
------56%
33%
9%
2%
*
+/-6.5

Independent
-----49%
37%
12%
2%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----59%
36%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Under
50
----53%
34%
10%
3%
*
+/-6.0

50 and
Older
-----52%
38%
9%
1%
*
+/-4.0

Attended
College
-------50%
38%
10%
2%
*
+/-3.5

Lean
Democrat
-----50%
37%
10%
3%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----39%
43%
13%
5%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----52%
35%
11%
2%
*
+/-5.5

West
----47%
41%
12%
*
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----47%
40%
10%
3%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----57%
36%
7%
*
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------59%
34%
6%
*
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----55%
35%
9%
1%
*
+/-5.0

Rural
----53%
37%
10%
*
*
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-16-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 5B
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
B. Illegal immigration
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------39%
36%
42%
39%
29%
32%
25%
27%
21%
18%
23%
23%
11%
13%
9%
10%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----39%
29%
21%
11%
*
+/-3.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------39%
42%
29%
25%
21%
19%
11%
13%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----39%
29%
21%
11%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----31%
23%
30%
15%
1%
+/-6.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----39%
29%
21%
11%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----35%
29%
24%
12%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----35%
23%
23%
18%
*
+/-6.5

South
----43%
31%
18%
7%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----39%
29%
21%
11%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------54%
28%
11%
7%
*
+/-7.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------41%
31%
18%
10%
*
+/-5.0

Tea Pty
Oppose
------25%
25%
34%
17%
*
+/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----49%
24%
15%
12%
*
+/-8.5

Non-White
--------39%
32%
16%
13%
*
+/-7.5

5064
----38%
33%
18%
11%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------37%
31%
22%
10%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----40%
32%
22%
5%
1%
+/-5.5

No
College
------45%
26%
16%
12%
*
+/-6.5

Independent
-----37%
30%
19%
14%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----51%
31%
15%
3%
*
+/-5.5

Under
50
----39%
24%
22%
14%
*
+/-6.0

50 and
Older
-----39%
32%
20%
9%
*
+/-4.0

Attended
College
-------35%
30%
24%
11%
*
+/-3.5

Lean
Democrat
-----30%
25%
29%
15%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----26%
28%
24%
22%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----30%
29%
29%
12%
*
+/-5.5

West
----40%
29%
20%
10%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----36%
29%
21%
14%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----51%
32%
13%
4%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------53%
30%
12%
4%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----41%
29%
20%
9%
*
+/-5.0

Rural
----40%
28%
23%
8%
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-17-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 5C
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
C. Taxes
Base = Half Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------36%
34%
38%
30%
34%
35%
33%
35%
23%
22%
24%
31%
6%
8%
4%
4%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
34%
23%
6%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------36%
40%
34%
34%
23%
22%
6%
4%
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
34%
23%
6%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
34%
23%
6%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
34%
23%
6%
*
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----41%
26%
26%
7%
*
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------33%
34%
25%
8%
*
+/-6.5

65+
----38%
39%
20%
3%
*
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----33%
37%
23%
7%
*
+/-7.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------39%
32%
22%
7%
*
+/-7.0

Republican
-----43%
30%
25%
3%
*
+/-8.0
South
----41%
37%
19%
4%
*
+/-8.0

Under
50
----32%
37%
23%
7%
1%
+/-8.5

Attended
College
-------34%
35%
24%
7%
1%
+/-5.0
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----40%
32%
23%
5%
*
+/-5.5

Lean
Democrat
-----32%
35%
25%
7%
1%
+/-7.0
Moderate
----32%
44%
20%
5%
*
+/-7.5

Urban
----37%
32%
28%
2%
1%
+/-8.5

Lean
Republican
-----41%
34%
21%
4%
*
+/-6.5
Conservative
------45%
31%
21%
3%
*
+/-7.0

Suburban
----36%
38%
17%
8%
*
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------28%
35%
30%
7%
1%
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-18-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 5D
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
D. Global warming
Base = Half Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------23%
21%
25%
18%
24%
21%
26%
23%
30%
30%
30%
35%
23%
28%
18%
24%
*
*
1%
*
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----23%
24%
30%
23%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------23%
27%
24%
23%
30%
30%
23%
19%
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----23%
24%
30%
23%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----23%
24%
30%
23%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----23%
24%
30%
23%
*
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----33%
27%
28%
12%
*
+/-8.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----25%
23%
28%
23%
*
+/-7.0

$50K
or more
------21%
23%
33%
23%
*
+/-6.0

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------19%
26%
39%
16%
*
+/-7.0

65+
----25%
22%
27%
24%
2%
+/-7.5

No
College
------26%
21%
27%
25%
1%
+/-8.5

Independent
-----23%
27%
28%
21%
*
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----12%
14%
35%
37%
1%
+/-8.0
South
----20%
28%
26%
26%
*
+/-7.5

Attended
College
-------21%
26%
32%
21%
*
+/-5.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----25%
23%
28%
23%
1%
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----33%
27%
30%
10%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----22%
24%
42%
12%
*
+/-7.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----11%
20%
31%
37%
*
+/-6.5
Conservative
------17%
20%
24%
38%
1%
+/-7.0

Suburban
----23%
26%
24%
26%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----24%
17%
38%
21%
1%
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------38%
27%
21%
14%
*
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-19-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 5E
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
E. Abortion
Base = Half Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------27%
22%
33%
28%
18%
19%
18%
20%
27%
29%
26%
26%
26%
30%
22%
26%
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----27%
18%
27%
26%
1%
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------27%
30%
18%
17%
27%
24%
26%
27%
1%
1%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----27%
18%
27%
26%
1%
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----27%
18%
27%
26%
1%
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----27%
18%
27%
26%
1%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----31%
18%
26%
24%
*
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------25%
20%
29%
27%
*
+/-6.5

65+
----34%
27%
19%
17%
3%
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----22%
18%
28%
32%
1%
+/-7.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------27%
18%
29%
26%
1%
+/-7.0

Republican
-----39%
17%
29%
14%
1%
+/-8.0
South
----33%
16%
24%
26%
1%
+/-8.0

Under
50
----23%
15%
32%
31%
*
+/-8.5

Attended
College
-------24%
18%
28%
29%
1%
+/-5.0
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----32%
22%
23%
21%
1%
+/-5.5

Lean
Democrat
-----19%
19%
28%
33%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----15%
17%
32%
34%
1%
+/-7.5

Urban
----27%
17%
26%
30%
*
+/-8.5

Lean
Republican
-----37%
19%
26%
17%
1%
+/-6.5
Conservative
------39%
20%
29%
12%
*
+/-7.0

Suburban
----25%
19%
35%
20%
1%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------13%
22%
31%
35%
*
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-20-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 5F
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
F. Foreign policy
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------35%
33%
37%
37%
35%
38%
32%
35%
24%
23%
24%
24%
6%
6%
7%
4%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
35%
24%
6%
*
+/-3.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------35%
35%
35%
34%
24%
24%
6%
7%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
35%
24%
6%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----25%
40%
25%
9%
*
+/-6.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
35%
24%
6%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----32%
39%
25%
4%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----33%
29%
28%
10%
*
+/-6.5

South
----41%
34%
19%
6%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
35%
24%
6%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------50%
29%
15%
5%
*
+/-7.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------34%
35%
25%
6%
*
+/-5.0

Tea Pty
Oppose
------25%
40%
28%
7%
*
+/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----34%
31%
28%
7%
*
+/-8.5

Non-White
--------29%
36%
24%
11%
*
+/-7.5

5064
----35%
32%
25%
7%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------34%
34%
25%
7%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----43%
38%
15%
4%
*
+/-5.5

No
College
------35%
30%
26%
8%
*
+/-6.5

Independent
-----31%
33%
28%
8%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----52%
32%
15%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Under
50
----31%
35%
27%
7%
*
+/-6.0

50 and
Older
-----38%
34%
21%
6%
*
+/-4.0

Attended
College
-------34%
38%
23%
5%
*
+/-3.5

Lean
Democrat
-----25%
39%
27%
8%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----24%
42%
25%
8%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----27%
35%
29%
9%
*
+/-5.5

West
----30%
39%
27%
5%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----29%
39%
25%
7%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----47%
31%
19%
3%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------48%
32%
18%
3%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----38%
35%
22%
5%
*
+/-5.0

Rural
----38%
31%
24%
7%
*
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-21-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 5G
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
G. The income gap between rich and poor Americans
Base = Half Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------33%
29%
37%
29%
28%
30%
25%
27%
24%
21%
26%
28%
15%
19%
12%
16%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----33%
28%
24%
15%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------33%
38%
28%
32%
24%
20%
15%
10%
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----33%
28%
24%
15%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----33%
28%
24%
15%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----33%
28%
24%
15%
*
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----40%
27%
19%
14%
1%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------30%
25%
26%
19%
*
+/-6.5

65+
----35%
25%
25%
15%
*
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----31%
31%
24%
14%
*
+/-7.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------30%
25%
28%
17%
*
+/-7.0

Republican
-----19%
22%
36%
24%
*
+/-8.0
South
----33%
27%
24%
17%
*
+/-8.0

Under
50
----28%
30%
26%
16%
*
+/-8.5

Attended
College
-------31%
22%
26%
20%
*
+/-5.0
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----38%
26%
21%
14%
*
+/-5.5

Lean
Democrat
-----48%
33%
11%
8%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----25%
34%
23%
18%
*
+/-7.5

Urban
----40%
24%
22%
13%
*
+/-8.5

Lean
Republican
-----18%
23%
36%
22%
*
+/-6.5
Conservative
------24%
22%
34%
19%
*
+/-7.0

Suburban
----29%
33%
24%
14%
*
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------45%
37%
15%
3%
*
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-22-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 5H
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
H. Terrorism
Base = Half Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------49%
48%
51%
52%
31%
27%
34%
29%
13%
16%
10%
14%
7%
9%
4%
6%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
31%
13%
7%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------49%
50%
31%
33%
13%
11%
7%
5%
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
31%
13%
7%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
31%
13%
7%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
31%
13%
7%
*
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----54%
26%
11%
8%
*
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------48%
29%
15%
8%
*
+/-6.5

65+
----52%
37%
8%
4%
*
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----40%
33%
16%
11%
*
+/-7.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------51%
36%
8%
4%
*
+/-7.0

Republican
-----70%
21%
9%
*
*
+/-8.0
South
----53%
32%
10%
5%
*
+/-8.0

Under
50
----46%
31%
16%
7%
*
+/-8.5

Attended
College
-------45%
32%
16%
7%
*
+/-5.0
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----53%
31%
10%
6%
*
+/-5.5

Lean
Democrat
-----37%
35%
20%
8%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----42%
36%
13%
9%
*
+/-7.5

Urban
----48%
37%
12%
3%
*
+/-8.5

Lean
Republican
-----65%
26%
7%
2%
*
+/-6.5
Conservative
------64%
29%
6%
1%
*
+/-7.0

Suburban
----50%
27%
13%
10%
*
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------33%
33%
24%
10%
*
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-23-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 5I
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
I. Education
Base = Half Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------47%
42%
52%
41%
34%
37%
32%
40%
13%
14%
12%
15%
6%
8%
4%
4%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----47%
34%
13%
6%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------47%
56%
34%
29%
13%
10%
6%
6%
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----47%
34%
13%
6%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----47%
34%
13%
6%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----47%
34%
13%
6%
*
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----50%
31%
13%
6%
*
+/-8.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----44%
34%
18%
3%
*
+/-7.0

$50K
or more
------44%
34%
16%
6%
*
+/-6.0

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------50%
34%
11%
5%
*
+/-7.0

65+
----40%
38%
19%
3%
*
+/-7.5

No
College
------44%
38%
11%
7%
*
+/-8.5

Independent
-----53%
33%
9%
6%
*
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----34%
40%
21%
5%
*
+/-8.0
South
----48%
32%
14%
6%
*
+/-7.5

Attended
College
-------49%
32%
15%
4%
*
+/-5.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----43%
36%
18%
3%
*
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----52%
32%
10%
6%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----46%
36%
14%
4%
*
+/-7.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----40%
36%
17%
6%
*
+/-6.5
Conservative
------48%
32%
14%
6%
*
+/-7.0

Suburban
----49%
33%
13%
6%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----47%
32%
14%
6%
*
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------51%
28%
12%
9%
*
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-24-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 5J
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
J. Health care
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------47%
44%
51%
45%
36%
35%
37%
38%
13%
16%
10%
15%
3%
6%
1%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----47%
36%
13%
3%
*
+/-3.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------47%
52%
36%
34%
13%
13%
3%
1%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----47%
36%
13%
3%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----47%
39%
10%
5%
*
+/-6.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----47%
36%
13%
3%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----47%
37%
11%
5%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----45%
42%
11%
2%
*
+/-6.5

South
----50%
32%
16%
2%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----47%
36%
13%
3%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------50%
31%
15%
4%
*
+/-7.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------49%
36%
12%
3%
*
+/-5.0

Tea Pty
Oppose
------42%
39%
16%
3%
*
+/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----49%
30%
15%
5%
*
+/-8.5

Non-White
--------53%
32%
9%
6%
*
+/-7.5

5064
----47%
36%
15%
2%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------46%
36%
13%
5%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----47%
42%
9%
2%
*
+/-5.5

No
College
------50%
37%
12%
1%
*
+/-6.5

Independent
-----46%
37%
14%
3%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----51%
32%
15%
2%
*
+/-5.5

Under
50
----48%
34%
13%
5%
*
+/-6.0

50 and
Older
-----47%
38%
13%
2%
*
+/-4.0

Attended
College
-------46%
36%
14%
5%
*
+/-3.5

Lean
Democrat
-----49%
39%
9%
3%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----47%
34%
14%
4%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----38%
44%
13%
4%
*
+/-5.5

West
----47%
36%
12%
5%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----43%
38%
15%
4%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----48%
34%
15%
2%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------55%
29%
13%
3%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----49%
36%
12%
3%
*
+/-5.0

Rural
----48%
38%
14%
1%
*
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-25-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 5K
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
K. Social Security and Medicare
Base = Half Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------50%
47%
52%
50%
31%
28%
32%
32%
15%
19%
12%
15%
4%
5%
4%
3%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----50%
31%
15%
4%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------50%
58%
31%
24%
15%
14%
4%
3%
*
1%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----50%
31%
15%
4%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----50%
31%
15%
4%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----50%
31%
15%
4%
*
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----50%
27%
15%
8%
*
+/-8.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----51%
38%
10%
1%
*
+/-7.0

$50K
or more
------44%
32%
18%
6%
*
+/-6.0

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------52%
31%
13%
5%
*
+/-7.0

65+
----57%
31%
12%
*
*
+/-7.5

No
College
------58%
32%
9%
1%
*
+/-8.5

Independent
-----51%
32%
14%
2%
1%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----46%
31%
18%
5%
*
+/-8.0
South
----50%
30%
18%
2%
*
+/-7.5

Attended
College
-------43%
29%
20%
7%
1%
+/-5.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----53%
35%
11%
1%
*
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----49%
33%
13%
6%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----47%
35%
16%
2%
*
+/-7.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----51%
29%
16%
3%
*
+/-6.5
Conservative
------54%
28%
14%
3%
1%
+/-7.0

Suburban
----53%
27%
16%
4%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----65%
24%
9%
3%
*
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------48%
29%
18%
5%
*
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-26-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 5L
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
L. Gun policy
Base = Half Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------42%
40%
43%
43%
26%
29%
24%
30%
24%
21%
27%
22%
8%
10%
5%
5%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----42%
26%
24%
8%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------42%
43%
26%
25%
24%
23%
8%
8%
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----42%
26%
24%
8%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----42%
26%
24%
8%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----42%
26%
24%
8%
*
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----42%
19%
30%
10%
*
+/-8.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----42%
25%
30%
4%
*
+/-7.0

$50K
or more
------42%
26%
25%
7%
*
+/-6.0

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------38%
29%
27%
6%
*
+/-7.0

65+
----46%
30%
20%
4%
*
+/-7.5

No
College
------48%
28%
16%
8%
*
+/-8.5

Independent
-----45%
22%
23%
10%
*
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----36%
42%
20%
2%
*
+/-8.0
South
----43%
27%
19%
11%
*
+/-7.5

Attended
College
-------36%
25%
31%
8%
*
+/-5.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----43%
27%
26%
4%
*
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----41%
20%
30%
10%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----38%
27%
30%
5%
*
+/-7.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----43%
32%
20%
4%
*
+/-6.5
Conservative
------48%
27%
18%
7%
*
+/-7.0

Suburban
----47%
29%
18%
6%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----43%
29%
24%
4%
*
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------38%
20%
29%
14%
*
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-27-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 26
I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After
I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else.
Base = Registered Republicans
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------9%
8%
10%
6%
19%
16%
22%
20%
2%
3%
1%
3%
7%
8%
7%
7%
3%
3%
3%
4%
1%
2%
1%
1%
5%
6%
3%
4%
1%
2%
*
*
2%
1%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
3%
5%
1%
4%
*
*
*
*
3%
1%
5%
3%
1%
1%
*
1%
32%
31%
33%
33%
5%
7%
3%
5%
*
*
*
*
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
*
4%
2%
2%
1%
3%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
19%
2%
7%
3%
1%
5%
1%
2%
*
3%
*
3%
1%
32%
5%
*
3%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----5%
20%
3%
8%
2%
2%
4%
3%
1%
1%
1%
*
4%
1%
31%
5%
*
4%
3%
1%
+/-7.5

65+
----7%
17%
2%
8%
5%
*
6%
*
4%
*
1%
1%
3%
*
39%
6%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-7.5

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----6%
19%
3%
8%
3%
1%
4%
2%
2%
*
1%
*
4%
1%
34%
5%
*
3%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-28-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 26
I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After
I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else.
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------9%
15%
19%
14%
2%
4%
7%
7%
3%
1%
1%
1%
5%
6%
1%
1%
2%
*
*
*
3%
5%
*
1%
3%
1%
1%
1%
32%
31%
5%
4%
*
*
3%
2%
2%
4%
2%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
19%
2%
7%
3%
1%
5%
1%
2%
*
3%
*
3%
1%
32%
5%
*
3%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------3%
20%
2%
9%
4%
1%
3%
2%
2%
*
2%
*
5%
*
32%
6%
*
4%
*
2%
+/-6.0

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----8%
14%
3%
8%
3%
1%
4%
*
1%
*
5%
*
4%
*
37%
5%
*
3%
3%
*
+/-7.5

Republican
-----10%
22%
1%
7%
4%
1%
5%
2%
2%
*
2%
*
2%
1%
28%
5%
*
3%
1%
3%
+/-5.5

Attended
College
-------8%
21%
3%
6%
5%
1%
3%
*
2%
*
4%
*
3%
*
33%
6%
*
2%
1%
1%
+/-5.0
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Lean
DemoRepubcrat
lican
------ -----N/A
9%
N/A
19%
N/A
2%
N/A
7%
N/A
3%
N/A
1%
N/A
5%
N/A
1%
N/A
2%
N/A
*
N/A
3%
N/A
*
N/A
3%
N/A
1%
N/A
32%
N/A
5%
N/A
*
N/A
3%
N/A
2%
N/A
2%
+/-4.5
Moderate
----10%
16%
5%
*
6%
2%
3%
3%
2%
1%
5%
*
3%
*
32%
6%
*
3%
2%
1%
+/-8.5

Conservative
------9%
21%
*
11%
2%
1%
6%
*
1%
*
3%
*
3%
1%
32%
4%
*
2%
*
2%
+/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-29-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 26
I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president
in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most
likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support
someone else.
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
19%
2%
7%
3%
1%
5%
1%
2%
*
3%
*
3%
1%
32%
5%
*
3%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
19%
2%
7%
3%
1%
5%
1%
2%
*
3%
*
3%
1%
32%
5%
*
3%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------3%
21%
2%
11%
3%
1%
5%
1%
1%
*
3%
*
2%
1%
41%
2%
*
*
4%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------12%
17%
2%
3%
4%
2%
4%
*
2%
*
4%
*
4%
1%
32%
5%
*
4%
1%
3%
+/-6.0

South
----11%
20%
*
11%
3%
3%
4%
*
*
*
2%
*
2%
1%
35%
2%
*
3%
*
3%
+/-7.0

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----6%
20%
4%
8%
3%
2%
1%
2%
2%
*
4%
*
4%
1%
35%
4%
*
2%
1%
2%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-30-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 27
And who would be your second choice?
Base = Registered Republicans with a first choice

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------10%
9%
10%
10%
16%
17%
16%
16%
5%
4%
5%
3%
7%
6%
9%
7%
8%
7%
9%
10%
*
*
*
*
5%
4%
5%
6%
1%
1%
*
1%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
4%
3%
6%
5%
1%
*
3%
2%
7%
8%
7%
8%
2%
1%
3%
3%
18%
23%
13%
18%
3%
2%
4%
3%
*
*
*
*
2%
3%
2%
2%
4%
4%
4%
4%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
16%
5%
7%
8%
*
5%
1%
3%
2%
4%
1%
7%
2%
18%
3%
*
2%
4%
*
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----12%
15%
2%
7%
8%
*
4%
1%
4%
5%
6%
*
7%
2%
16%
5%
*
3%
5%
*
+/-7.5

65+
----8%
16%
2%
11%
16%
1%
9%
1%
2%
*
2%
1%
8%
1%
14%
2%
*
1%
3%
1%
+/-7.5

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----10%
15%
2%
9%
11%
*
6%
1%
3%
3%
4%
1%
7%
2%
15%
3%
*
2%
4%
1%
+/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-31-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 27
And who would be your second choice?
Base = Registered Republicans with a first choice

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------10%
7%
16%
10%
5%
7%
7%
8%
8%
5%
*
*
5%
8%
1%
*
3%
3%
2%
4%
4%
6%
1%
*
7%
2%
2%
4%
18%
26%
3%
2%
*
*
2%
1%
4%
6%
*
1%
+/-4.5 +/-8.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
16%
5%
7%
8%
*
5%
1%
3%
2%
4%
1%
7%
2%
18%
3%
*
2%
4%
*
+/-4.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------13%
23%
4%
6%
10%
*
2%
1%
3%
*
3%
2%
11%
1%
12%
2%
*
4%
1%
*
+/-6.0

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----15%
19%
5%
7%
6%
*
2%
1%
3%
1%
4%
2%
6%
1%
18%
2%
*
3%
5%
1%
+/-7.5

Republican
-----6%
14%
4%
7%
9%
*
6%
1%
3%
2%
4%
*
9%
3%
19%
4%
*
2%
4%
*
+/-5.5

Attended
College
-------9%
17%
7%
7%
8%
*
4%
1%
4%
*
4%
*
11%
3%
16%
2%
*
2%
6%
*
+/-5.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----13%
14%
4%
3%
3%
*
3%
*
6%
2%
7%
4%
11%
1%
17%
3%
*
3%
5%
*
+/-8.5

Lean
Republican
-----10%
16%
5%
7%
8%
*
5%
1%
3%
2%
4%
1%
7%
2%
18%
3%
*
2%
4%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------7%
18%
5%
10%
10%
*
5%
1%
2%
2%
4%
*
6%
3%
19%
2%
*
1%
4%
*
+/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-32-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 27
And who would be your second choice?
Base = Registered Republicans with a first choice

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
16%
5%
7%
8%
*
5%
1%
3%
2%
4%
1%
7%
2%
18%
3%
*
2%
4%
*
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
16%
5%
7%
8%
*
5%
1%
3%
2%
4%
1%
7%
2%
18%
3%
*
2%
4%
*
+/-4.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------5%
24%
1%
12%
15%
*
5%
1%
3%
2%
2%
1%
4%
4%
15%
4%
*
*
3%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------13%
13%
7%
6%
5%
*
6%
*
3%
2%
7%
*
9%
1%
18%
3%
*
3%
6%
1%
+/-6.5

South
----7%
20%
8%
10%
7%
*
5%
*
1%
*
4%
3%
6%
3%
20%
2%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-7.0

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----9%
18%
6%
7%
8%
*
6%
1%
3%
1%
1%
2%
8%
1%
20%
1%
*
2%
6%
*
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-33-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 27A
What is the most important reason why you support this candidate?

Is it mostly because of...

Base = Registered Republicans


Total
Men
Women
White
----------------Her/His on the job experience
23%
28%
18%
21%
Her/His positions on issues
65%
62%
69%
70%
You like no other candidates
10%
9%
11%
8%
No opinion
1%
1%
2%
2%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0
Total
----Her/His on the job experience
23%
Her/His positions on issues
65%
You like no other candidates
10%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
Total
$50K
--------Her/His on the job experience
23%
30%
Her/His positions on issues
65%
59%
You like no other candidates
10%
9%
No opinion
1%
2%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-8.5
Total
----Her/His on the job experience
23%
Her/His positions on issues
65%
You like no other candidates
10%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Her/His on the job experience
23%
Her/His positions on issues
65%
You like no other candidates
10%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Her/His on the job experience
23%
Her/His positions on issues
65%
You like no other candidates
10%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----16%
71%
12%
1%
+/-7.5

$50K
or more
------18%
70%
11%
1%
+/-6.5

65+
----23%
72%
5%
*
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----28%
57%
14%
1%
+/-8.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------19%
77%
1%
3%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------27%
62%
11%
1%
+/-6.5

Republican
-----20%
71%
7%
2%
+/-6.0
South
----27%
63%
8%
2%
+/-7.5

Attended
College
-------22%
69%
7%
2%
+/-5.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----19%
72%
9%
*
+/-5.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----23%
65%
10%
1%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------22%
70%
7%
1%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----20%
64%
13%
2%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-34-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 27A
What is the most important reason why you support Donald Trump?

Is it mostly because of...

Base = Registered Republicans who support Donald Trump

His on the job experience


His positions on issues
You like no other candidates
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----21%
71%
5%
3%
+/-8.0

His on the job experience


His positions on issues
You like no other candidates
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----21%
71%
5%
3%
+/-8.0

His on the job experience


His positions on issues
You like no other candidates
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----21%
71%
5%
3%
+/-8.0

His on the job experience


His positions on issues
You like no other candidates
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----21%
71%
5%
3%
+/-8.0

His on the job experience


His positions on issues
You like no other candidates
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----21%
71%
5%
3%
+/-8.0

His on the job experience


His positions on issues
You like no other candidates
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----21%
71%
5%
3%
+/-8.0

Men
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Women
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
----21%
74%
2%
3%
+/-8.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Attended
College
-------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Lean
Republican
-----21%
71%
5%
3%
+/-8.0
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-35-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 27A
What is the most important reason why you support all other candidates?

Is it mostly because of...

Base = Registered Republicans who support a candidate other than Trump


Total
Men
Women
White
----------------Her/His on the job experience
25%
30%
18%
20%
Her/His positions on issues
62%
58%
67%
67%
You like no other candidates
12%
12%
13%
11%
No opinion
1%
*
2%
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 +/-6.0
Total
----Her/His on the job experience
25%
Her/His positions on issues
62%
You like no other candidates
12%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.5

Total
----Her/His on the job experience
25%
Her/His positions on issues
62%
You like no other candidates
12%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.5
Total
----Her/His on the job experience
25%
Her/His positions on issues
62%
You like no other candidates
12%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.5
Total
----Her/His on the job experience
25%
Her/His positions on issues
62%
You like no other candidates
12%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.5
Total
----Her/His on the job experience
25%
Her/His positions on issues
62%
You like no other candidates
12%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------17%
71%
12%
*
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------29%
57%
12%
2%
+/-8.0

Republican
-----20%
71%
7%
1%
+/-7.0
South
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Attended
College
-------23%
69%
7%
1%
+/-6.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----18%
72%
11%
*
+/-6.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----25%
62%
12%
1%
+/-5.5
Conservative
------22%
68%
9%
1%
+/-7.0

Suburban
----23%
60%
15%
2%
+/-8.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-36-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 27BA
Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each
of them won the Republican presidential nomination next year. As I read each name, please tell me
whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset,
or upset if that person were the Republican nominee?
A. Donald Trump
Base = Registered Republicans
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------Enthusiastic
40%
41%
40%
45%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
27%
29%
24%
25%
Dissatisfied but not upset
13%
13%
14%
13%
Upset
19%
17%
22%
17%
No opinion
*
*
*
*
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
40%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
27%
Dissatisfied but not upset
13%
Upset
19%
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
Total
$50K
--------Enthusiastic
40%
45%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
27%
27%
Dissatisfied but not upset
13%
10%
Upset
19%
18%
No opinion
*
*
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-8.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
40%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
27%
Dissatisfied but not upset
13%
Upset
19%
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Enthusiastic
40%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
27%
Dissatisfied but not upset
13%
Upset
19%
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Enthusiastic
40%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
27%
Dissatisfied but not upset
13%
Upset
19%
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----41%
27%
15%
17%
*
+/-7.5

$50K
or more
------39%
24%
14%
23%
*
+/-6.0

65+
----51%
25%
13%
10%
1%
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----45%
28%
7%
20%
*
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------53%
27%
13%
6%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------38%
27%
14%
21%
*
+/-6.0

Republican
-----37%
26%
18%
19%
*
+/-5.5
South
----46%
23%
11%
20%
*
+/-7.0

Attended
College
-------41%
26%
13%
19%
*
+/-5.0
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----45%
27%
14%
14%
*
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----36%
22%
18%
24%
*
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----40%
27%
13%
19%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------43%
29%
12%
16%
*
+/-5.5

Suburban
----43%
26%
11%
19%
*
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-37-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 27BB
Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each
of them won the Republican presidential nomination next year. As I read each name, please tell me
whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset,
or upset if that person were the Republican nominee?
B. Jeb Bush
Base = Registered Republicans
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------Enthusiastic
16%
14%
19%
16%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
36%
32%
40%
38%
Dissatisfied but not upset
26%
28%
23%
27%
Upset
21%
25%
17%
18%
No opinion
1%
1%
*
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
16%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
36%
Dissatisfied but not upset
26%
Upset
21%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
Total
$50K
--------Enthusiastic
16%
23%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
36%
28%
Dissatisfied but not upset
26%
28%
Upset
21%
19%
No opinion
1%
2%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-8.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
16%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
36%
Dissatisfied but not upset
26%
Upset
21%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Enthusiastic
16%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
36%
Dissatisfied but not upset
26%
Upset
21%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Enthusiastic
16%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
36%
Dissatisfied but not upset
26%
Upset
21%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----17%
38%
27%
18%
*
+/-7.5

$50K
or more
------12%
41%
26%
22%
*
+/-6.0

65+
----13%
38%
26%
21%
2%
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----16%
32%
20%
31%
*
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------11%
38%
33%
17%
2%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------21%
37%
21%
20%
1%
+/-6.0

Republican
-----16%
39%
30%
14%
1%
+/-5.5
South
----19%
37%
30%
13%
*
+/-7.0

Attended
College
-------15%
41%
23%
21%
1%
+/-5.0
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----16%
38%
27%
19%
1%
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----16%
35%
23%
24%
2%
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----16%
36%
26%
21%
1%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------15%
38%
28%
18%
*
+/-5.5

Suburban
----12%
37%
27%
23%
1%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-38-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 27BC
Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each
of them won the Republican presidential nomination next year. As I read each name, please tell me
whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset,
or upset if that person were the Republican nominee?
C. Ben Carson
Base = Registered Republicans
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------Enthusiastic
43%
43%
42%
45%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
33%
31%
35%
33%
Dissatisfied but not upset
15%
18%
12%
12%
Upset
5%
4%
6%
5%
No opinion
4%
3%
6%
5%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
43%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
33%
Dissatisfied but not upset
15%
Upset
5%
No opinion
4%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
Total
$50K
--------Enthusiastic
43%
35%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
33%
35%
Dissatisfied but not upset
15%
18%
Upset
5%
3%
No opinion
4%
9%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-8.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
43%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
33%
Dissatisfied but not upset
15%
Upset
5%
No opinion
4%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Enthusiastic
43%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
33%
Dissatisfied but not upset
15%
Upset
5%
No opinion
4%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Enthusiastic
43%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
33%
Dissatisfied but not upset
15%
Upset
5%
No opinion
4%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----45%
26%
18%
6%
4%
+/-7.5

$50K
or more
------51%
30%
12%
7%
1%
+/-6.0

65+
----49%
31%
12%
3%
5%
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----39%
32%
19%
4%
6%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------57%
26%
10%
1%
6%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------35%
41%
17%
4%
3%
+/-6.0

Republican
-----46%
33%
13%
5%
3%
+/-5.5
South
----51%
35%
8%
3%
3%
+/-7.0

Attended
College
-------46%
33%
13%
4%
2%
+/-5.0
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----47%
28%
16%
5%
4%
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----30%
37%
26%
3%
4%
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----43%
33%
15%
5%
4%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------51%
31%
11%
4%
3%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----48%
28%
13%
7%
4%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-39-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 27BD
Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each
of them won the Republican presidential nomination next year. As I read each name, please tell me
whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset,
or upset if that person were the Republican nominee?
D. Scott Walker
Base = Registered Republicans
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------Enthusiastic
16%
17%
15%
18%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
43%
41%
45%
45%
Dissatisfied but not upset
25%
24%
26%
23%
Upset
8%
9%
7%
7%
No opinion
8%
8%
8%
7%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
16%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
43%
Dissatisfied but not upset
25%
Upset
8%
No opinion
8%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
Total
$50K
--------Enthusiastic
16%
16%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
43%
42%
Dissatisfied but not upset
25%
27%
Upset
8%
3%
No opinion
8%
12%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-8.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
16%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
43%
Dissatisfied but not upset
25%
Upset
8%
No opinion
8%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Enthusiastic
16%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
43%
Dissatisfied but not upset
25%
Upset
8%
No opinion
8%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Enthusiastic
16%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
43%
Dissatisfied but not upset
25%
Upset
8%
No opinion
8%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----22%
37%
26%
10%
4%
+/-7.5

$50K
or more
------17%
44%
22%
13%
5%
+/-6.0

65+
----19%
47%
19%
6%
8%
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----14%
42%
22%
11%
11%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------25%
53%
14%
3%
5%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------13%
37%
33%
6%
10%
+/-6.0

Republican
-----18%
43%
28%
6%
5%
+/-5.5
South
----12%
52%
20%
5%
11%
+/-7.0

Attended
College
-------18%
42%
23%
9%
7%
+/-5.0
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----21%
41%
23%
9%
6%
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----11%
34%
38%
12%
6%
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----16%
43%
25%
8%
8%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------18%
48%
21%
5%
9%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----15%
45%
24%
10%
7%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-40-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 27BE
Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each
of them won the Republican presidential nomination next year. As I read each name, please tell me
whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset,
or upset if that person were the Republican nominee?
E. Ted Cruz
Base = Registered Republicans
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------Enthusiastic
21%
24%
17%
22%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
42%
39%
45%
43%
Dissatisfied but not upset
22%
20%
24%
21%
Upset
10%
12%
8%
10%
No opinion
6%
5%
7%
5%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
21%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
42%
Dissatisfied but not upset
22%
Upset
10%
No opinion
6%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
Total
$50K
--------Enthusiastic
21%
14%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
42%
48%
Dissatisfied but not upset
22%
20%
Upset
10%
8%
No opinion
6%
10%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-8.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
21%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
42%
Dissatisfied but not upset
22%
Upset
10%
No opinion
6%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Enthusiastic
21%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
42%
Dissatisfied but not upset
22%
Upset
10%
No opinion
6%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Enthusiastic
21%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
42%
Dissatisfied but not upset
22%
Upset
10%
No opinion
6%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----26%
38%
25%
10%
1%
+/-7.5

$50K
or more
------26%
39%
21%
11%
3%
+/-6.0

65+
----25%
40%
21%
8%
7%
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----19%
42%
19%
13%
7%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------38%
42%
16%
1%
3%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------11%
45%
25%
9%
9%
+/-6.0

Republican
-----22%
42%
23%
8%
5%
+/-5.5
South
----28%
43%
16%
5%
7%
+/-7.0

Attended
College
-------21%
43%
20%
10%
7%
+/-5.0
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----25%
39%
23%
9%
3%
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----6%
43%
35%
12%
4%
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----21%
42%
22%
10%
6%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------28%
41%
17%
7%
6%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----24%
39%
20%
11%
6%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-41-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 27BF
Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each
of them won the Republican presidential nomination next year. As I read each name, please tell me
whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset,
or upset if that person were the Republican nominee?
F. Marco Rubio
Base = Registered Republicans
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------Enthusiastic
21%
20%
22%
24%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
48%
51%
46%
45%
Dissatisfied but not upset
21%
18%
24%
21%
Upset
7%
9%
5%
6%
No opinion
3%
3%
3%
4%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
21%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
48%
Dissatisfied but not upset
21%
Upset
7%
No opinion
3%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
Total
$50K
--------Enthusiastic
21%
14%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
48%
58%
Dissatisfied but not upset
21%
18%
Upset
7%
6%
No opinion
3%
3%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-8.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
21%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
48%
Dissatisfied but not upset
21%
Upset
7%
No opinion
3%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Enthusiastic
21%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
48%
Dissatisfied but not upset
21%
Upset
7%
No opinion
3%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Enthusiastic
21%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
48%
Dissatisfied but not upset
21%
Upset
7%
No opinion
3%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----22%
44%
25%
7%
1%
+/-7.5

$50K
or more
------26%
44%
21%
6%
3%
+/-6.0

65+
----26%
45%
18%
7%
4%
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----17%
51%
21%
9%
1%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------29%
50%
15%
4%
2%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------18%
50%
24%
4%
4%
+/-6.0

Republican
-----23%
46%
21%
5%
5%
+/-5.5
South
----21%
57%
15%
3%
4%
+/-7.0

Attended
College
-------26%
46%
19%
5%
3%
+/-5.0
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----24%
44%
22%
7%
2%
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----16%
39%
33%
7%
4%
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----21%
48%
21%
7%
3%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------25%
53%
16%
4%
3%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----24%
46%
21%
7%
3%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

-42-

September 4-8, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015


Question 31
Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is
most likely to win the Republican nomination for president next year?
Base = Registered Voters
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------22%
20%
23%
22%
9%
9%
9%
8%
2%
1%
3%
1%
3%
2%
3%
3%
1%
*
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
2%
2%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
2%
3%
1%
2%
1%
*
1%
*
4%
3%
5%
4%
1%
1%
*
1%
41%
46%
37%
43%
1%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
3%
3%
2%
1%
8%
7%
8%
8%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----22%
9%
2%
3%
1%
1%
1%
*
2%
*
2%
1%
4%
1%
41%
1%
*
3%
8%
+/-3.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
Total
$50K
--------22%
16%
9%
5%
2%
2%
3%
2%
1%
*
1%
2%
1%
1%
*
1%
2%
2%
*
*
2%
3%
1%
2%
4%
3%
1%
1%
41%
46%
1%
1%
*
*
3%
3%
8%
8%
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

3549
----23%
12%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
*
*
4%
*
4%
1%
42%
*
*
1%
9%
+/-8.5
$50K
or more
------24%
10%
3%
3%
1%
*
1%
*
2%
1%
1%
*
5%
*
38%
1%
*
2%
7%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error
* percentage less than 1%
CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 4 to 8, 2015
Question 31

POLL 9
3

Non-White
--------21%
10%
4%
2%
*
*
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
2%
5%
*
38%
1%
*
5%
7%
+/-7.5

5064
----22%
10%
2%
3%
1%
*
*
1%
4%
1%
3%
*
6%
1%
36%
2%
*
2%
6%
+/-5.5
No
College
------14%
6%
1%
1%
*
2%
2%
1%
2%
1%
4%
*
5%
1%
47%
1%
*
4%
10%
+/-6.5

-43-

65+
----20%
10%
2%
2%
1%
*
2%
*
2%
*
1%
*
3%
*
39%
1%
*
4%
10%
+/-5.5

Under
50
----23%
7%
2%
2%
*
1%
1%
*
*
*
2%
1%
3%
1%
46%
1%
*
2%
7%
+/-6.0

Attended
College
-------27%
11%
3%
3%
1%
*
*
*
2%
*
1%
1%
4%
*
38%
1%
*
2%
6%
+/-3.5

Lean
Democrat
-----27%
7%
4%
2%
*
*
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
1%
5%
*
32%
1%
*
3%
12%
+/-5.0

50 and
Older
-----21%
10%
2%
3%
1%
*
1%
1%
3%
*
2%
*
5%
1%
37%
2%
*
3%
8%
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----19%
11%
1%
3%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
*
4%
1%
51%
1%
*
1%
4%
+/-4.5

September 4-8, 2015

Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is
most likely to win the Republican nomination for president next year?
Base = Registered Voters

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----22%
9%
2%
3%
1%
1%
1%
*
2%
*
2%
1%
4%
1%
41%
1%
*
3%
8%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----29%
8%
4%
1%
*
*
1%
*
1%
1%
1%
2%
5%
*
32%
*
*
4%
9%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----22%
9%
2%
3%
1%
1%
1%
*
2%
*
2%
1%
4%
1%
41%
1%
*
3%
8%
+/-3.0

North
east
----22%
12%
4%
1%
1%
*
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
6%
*
37%
*
*
6%
9%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----22%
6%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
*
5%
1%
5%
*
4%
*
40%
3%
*
4%
5%
+/-6.5

South
----19%
8%
1%
5%
*
*
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
2%
3%
1%
49%
1%
*
*
6%
+/-5.5

Total
----22%
9%
2%
3%
1%
1%
1%
*
2%
*
2%
1%
4%
1%
41%
1%
*
3%
8%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------11%
14%
*
4%
*
*
*
*
4%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
58%
*
1%
*
4%
+/-7.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------18%
9%
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
4%
1%
43%
1%
*
3%
9%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty
Oppose
------36%
5%
2%
1%
1%
*
1%
*
3%
1%
2%
*
6%
*
29%
2%
*
3%
8%
+/-5.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
No opinion
Sampling Error
* percentage less than 1%

POLL 9
3

Independent
-----20%
7%
2%
3%
*
1%
1%
1%
3%
*
4%
*
4%
*
42%
1%
*
2%
8%
+/-5.0

Republican
-----18%
13%
1%
3%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
4%
2%
51%
1%
*
1%
5%
+/-5.5

-44-

Liberal
----34%
5%
2%
3%
1%
*
*
*
3%
*
5%
*
3%
*
30%
2%
*
1%
11%
+/-7.0

West
----26%
11%
3%
2%
1%
3%
*
*
1%
*
3%
*
3%
1%
34%
1%
*
2%
11%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----22%
7%
4%
1%
*
2%
2%
*
3%
1%
1%
*
6%
*
37%
1%
*
5%
9%
+/-5.5

Urban
----25%
8%
1%
3%
1%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
1%
*
5%
*
38%
1%
*
4%
10%
+/-6.0

Conservative
------16%
12%
1%
3%
*
*
1%
1%
*
*
2%
2%
3%
1%
52%
1%
*
1%
4%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----21%
8%
3%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
*
2%
1%
4%
*
42%
2%
*
1%
6%
+/-5.0

Rural
----21%
7%
2%
1%
*
*
2%
*
3%
*
1%
*
2%
1%
49%
1%
*
1%
8%
+/-6.5

September 4-8, 2015