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Finance Infrastructure
Review Full Year
2013
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Contents
Headline Figures Project Finance Full Year 2013
Executive Summary
Regional Analysis
Americas
10
11
Europe
12
Sector Analysis
13
14
Power
16
Renewables
18
Transport
20
Social Infrastructure
22
Water
24
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Total volume
US$ 280bn
Deal count
548
Debt volume
US$ 234bn
Previous Years
2012: US$ 186bn 2012: 420 2012: US$ 153bn
2011: US$ 248bn 2011: 565 2011: US$ 183bn
2010: US$ 242bn 2010: 641 2010: US$ 170bn
Regions
Sectors
Europe
2013 208, US$ 74bn
2012 188, US$ 51bn
2011 288, US$ 84bn
Transport
2013 62, US$ 52bn
2012 59, US$ 41bn
2011 72, US$ 50bn
Americas
2013 152, US$ 73bn
2012 142, US$ 63bn
2011 157, US$ 71bn
Power
2013 74, US$ 44bn
2012 50, US$ 28bn
2011 75, US$ 45bn
Renewables
2013 236, US$ 35bn
2012 193, US$ 36bn
2011 229, US$ 43bn
Social Infra
2013 58, US$ 13bn
2012 52, US$ 10bn
2011 77, US$ 22bn
Telecoms
2013 9, US$ 7bn
2012 6, US$ 1bn
2011 9, US$ 5bn
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PPP/PFI*
2013 95, US$ 45bn
2012 101, US$ 46bn
2011 135, US$ 58bn
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Regional markets showed good signs of improvement in 2013 with deal value across all regions up on the previous year.
The total global deal value was by 51 per cent at US$280 billion compared to US$180 billion in 2012. Total debt value was
up by 53 per cent and a deal count was up by 30 per cent.
Despite this positive note, and despite the overall increase in debt and equity levels, greenfield activity remains
dampened. The volume of finance for greenfield projects was up on 2012 but still remains considerably down on the high
levels of the pre-crisis years.
Australia and the US remained the top PF markets in 2013, the same positions the two countries occupied in 2012:
Australia in particular had a very successful year with nearly US$50 billion invested across all sectors (energy and
infrastructure). The US saw increased capital injection into energy and infrastructure projects in 2013 despite a fall in the
number of projects that reached financial close.
Saudi Arabia was the third largest country in terms of deal value as a result of closing big-value projects such as US$19
billion Sadara petrochemical complex financing. The UK remains the largest global market for project finance investments
in social and transport infrastructure sectors.
Activity in Eastern Europe was bolstered by a small number of countries which represented 31 per cent of capital
investments and 16.5 per cent of all deal volume in Europe as a whole. Turkey, the fifth biggest market of 2013, saw the
number of deals closed in 2013 rise to 13, up from just 4 in 2012.
Rounding out the top 10 countries were Vietnam with over US$9 billion (figures elevated by the massive US$9 billion Nghi
Son Refinery project), Nigeria with US$8.5 billion, Canada at US$7.6 billion, the United Arab Emirates with US$7.2 billion
and Germany at US$6.9 billion.
In terms of sectors, oil & gas led the way by overall deal value in 2013, netting US$113 billion. Transport was second with
just over US$50 billion, and in a reversal of 2012, power beat renewables into third (the sectors receiving over US$40
billion and US$35 billion respectively).
Despite the constraints facing many public sector budgets the availability of long term debt did not present an obstacle to
financing in 2013. In the small localities where the issue remained new financing solutions were investigated and utilised
to address the problem: for example 2013 saw an increase in the use of capital market financings in infrastructure, a
funding source that many believe has not yet been fully tapped and which could become a huge and widespread source
of infrastructure finance.
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Chart 2
Infrastructure Journals 2013 league tables show that the biggest lenders to infrastructure are no longer the European
banks. Asian banks, including Australian institutions, have continued to usurp this historic paradigm. Of Europes banks
only ING Group, Credit Agricole Group and BNP Paribas remain in the top 10, with most of their lending focused on
Europe and the Americas.
Across the medium and long term many governments would benefit from establishing and maintaining more structured
and systematic processes around the tendering and management of projects. A more directed approach to infrastructure
development should see the markets rise still further whilst the creation of a greater internal capacity to lead projects in
national governments will open the way for greater private investment.
All in all 2013 was a positive year for infrastructure, one which saw a return of growing pipelines, available finance and
investor confidence, trends we must hope will continue into 2014 and beyond.
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Value (US$m)
Top Deal
Country
Value (US$m)
Financial Close
The region received US$57 billion in infrastructure investments for 59 projects; out of this US$44 billion was debt. The
Africa & Middle East region was dominated by Oil & Gas (62 per cent) followed by Power (21 per cent) and Mining & Metals
(9 per cent)
Breakdown
Overall, the region saw a considerable year-on-year increase on investments, up from US$21 billion in 2012, fuelled by
high activity in energy sector. Oil and gas deals dominate the market in Nigeria, Israel, Angola, Ghana, and the Middle
East. Around 34 per cent of the regions investments went to Sadara Petrochemical Complex, which received a total of
US$19.35 billion in loans/bonds financing.
In Africa, there was a twofold year-on-year increase in investments and deal flow - a total of 12 countries closed 29 deals
worth US$15.2 billion. The uptick in volume in Africa is due to oil and gas infrastructure deals in Nigeria, and Angola, and
renewable energy deals in South Africa. The largest deal in Africa was a US$6.15 billion Olokola Refinery and Petrochemical Plant in Nigeria.
MENA attracted 73.6 per cent of regional investments, where nine countries closed 30 deals worth US$42 billion, up from
a US$14.2 billion market valuation in 2012. MENAs investments focused primarily on the oil and gas sector, where 68 per
cent of the capital was invested. Other active assets included Emals aluminium smelter, IWPPs in UAE and Kuwait, IPPs in
Saudi Arabia and Morocco, as well as onshore wind, and pv solar facilities in Jordan and Israel.
Across the entire region, countries with the highest value of investments were Saudia Arabia, Nigeria and the UAE.
Around 88 per cent of all the deals were new-build or expansion projects with construction costs, which attracted 92 per
cent all the regions capital investments in 2013.
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Americas
Sector
Value (US$m)
Top Deal
Country
Value (US$m)
Financial Close
The region received US$78 billion in infrastructure investments for 153 projects; out of this US$66 billion was debt. The
Americas was dominated by Power sector (31 per cent), Oil & Gas (29 per cent) followed and Renewables (20 per cent).
Breakdown
TThe infrastructure market in the Americas has become the largest project finance market in 2013, advancing ahead of
Europe and Asia, and attracting 23 per cent of global project finance investments. Investments in infrastructure that have
been growing each year over the past four years, saw a 23 per cent year-on-year increase, and the deal count was up
by 8 per cent, fuelled by energy sector investments. Power sector attracted considerable capital investments in the USA,
Canada, Chile, Peru and Brazil with a total of US$23.8 billion. USA, Brazil and Mexico are the leading markets in the oil
and gas and transport sectors. Renewables sector has been particularly active making the Americas a global leader
in renewables last year, with 45 per cent of the global market share. Although 82 per cent of value concentrated in the
US and Canada, Latin America financed the higher number of deals in wind, pv solar and small hydro. USA and Canada
attracted a total of US$59.1 billion investments for 96 projects.
Latin America attracted a total of US$26.8 billion or 34 per cent of investments in the region, with most investments
focusing on Brazil, Mexico and Chile.
Across the entire region, countries with the highest value of investments were USA with US$38 billion investments,
Canada with US$13 billion, Mexico with US$7.2 billion and Brazil with US$7 billion.
Around 74 per cent of all the deals were new-build or expansion projects with construction costs, which attracted 75 per
cent of the total capital investments in the region in 2013.
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10
Value (US$m)
Top Deal
Country
Value (US$m)
Financial Close
The region received US$76 billion in infrastructure investments for 129 projects; out of this US$66 billion was debt. The
Asia & Pacific region was dominated by Oil & Gas (50 per cent) followed by Transport (17 per cent) and Power (10 per cent).
Breakdown
The region was the second largest global market for infrastructure investments in 2013. Due to the characteristics of
regional trade between Australia, China, Japan and Indonesia, and India there is a prevalence of oil and gas sector
investments and infrastructure that supports these trade links within regional economies, these include LNG infrastructure,
drilling rigs, pipeline and refineries, as well as ports and other transport links.
The largest global transaction in project finance market last year was Australias Ichthys LNG project valued over US$20
billion. Traditionally, Australia is a market leader in terms of project finance investments; it closed a total of US$52 billion
worth of deals in 2013.
Besides Australia, another 19 countries raised financing for projects last year. Vietnam in particular has seen a boost in
project finance activity in oil and gas refinery sector.
Renewables have been growing steadily in the region, with an increase in onshore wind farms and pv solar. Onshore
wind farms raised a total of US$3.5 billion up from US$626 million in the year 2012. PV solar attracted a total of US$1.7
billion, up from US$203 million in 2012. Australia, Japan and Thailand are the dominant players in the renewables sector
in the region.
Around 64 per cent of all the deals were new-build or expansion projects, which attracted 67 per cent investments in the
region in 2013.
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11
Europe
Sector
Value (US$m)
Top Deal
Country
Value (US$m)
Financial Close
The region received US$74 billion in infrastructure investments for 207 projects; out of this US$63 billion was debt. Europe
was dominated by Transport (37 per cent) followed by Oil and Gas (22 per cent) and Renewables (15 per cent) with Social
Infrastructure accounting for (10 per cent).
Breakdown
The region has conceded its dominant position as a global project finance market to the Americas and Asia.
Nevertheless, the region saw a considerable year-on-year improvement in the volume of investments putting a stop to
the decline that started in 2010.
There were 23 active countries that closed 163 greenfield, 27 refinancing and 17 acquisition deals both in Western and
Eastern Europe.
Greenfield investments with a total of US$39.7 billion closed mainly in transport, followed by renewables and social
infrastructure, with the year-on-year increase especially prominent across transport, social, oil and gas and water.
There was an uptick in M&A activity in the region, across oil and gas, power and transport sectors. Oil and gas sector
saw diverse assets reaching financial close that included greenfield LNG, storage, refinery and petrochemical facilities,
acquisition of natural gas networks, drilling rigs, and refinancing of earlier high-profile gas pipelines and storage
acquisition transactions.
Western Europe attracted around 72 per cent of all investments, or US$53 billion. Eastern Europe attracted a total of
US$21 billion investments, primarily in Transport and Power assets.
The UK was the largest project finance market in the region with US$19.7 billion investments in 53 deals. France closed
54 deals worth US$6.5 billion. Turkey is a rapidly growing area for infrastructure investments that closed 14 deals worth
US$13.1 billion, as well as several prominent corporate M&A deals electricity and ports transactions.
Overall in Europe, around 79 per cent of all the deals were new-build or expansion, which attracted 54 per cent the total
investments. Around 30 per cent of the project finance investments went to refinancing transactions and the remaining 16
per cent financed M&A deals.
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13
Value(US$m)
Financial Close
Location
The sector received a total of US$113 billion in infrastructure investments for 78 projects; out of this US$89 billion was debt.
The sector was dominated by LNG projects (33 per cent), followed by petrochemicals (21 per cent) and refineries (17 per
cent).
Breakdown
The figures represent a notable increase over 2012 wherein the sector only managed to gather US$58 billion in
investments across 50 deals. Oil & Gas remains by far the largest sector by total deal value across the entire gamete of
global project finance, over twice the second place sector (Transport).
Chart 5
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Regionally, Asia & Pacific was the most active in the sector netting over US$37 billion in investments, narrowly beating
Africa & the Middle East into second with US$35 billion. Asia & Pacific also secured the
most debt, both in real terms (US$33 billion, nearly US$10 billion more than any other region) and in proportion to the total
value of all deals closed in the region, nearly 87 per cent of total deal value was debt (Europe had the second highest
ratio at 82 per cent but this was over the smallest total deal value US$16.7 billion and smallest total debt value US$13.8
billion).
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15
Power
Name
Value(US$m)
Financial Close
Location
The sector received US$44 billion in infrastructure investments for 74 projects; out of this US$39 billion was debt. The
Power sector was dominated by gas-fired generation projects (49 per cent) followed by coal-fired power plants (23 per
cent) and hydropower plants (9 per cent).
Breakdown
The figures represent a notable increase over 2012 wherein the sector only managed to gather US$28 billion in
investments across 60 deals. Additionally, the Power sector recovered its position ahead of Renewables as second within
energy, reinstating the historic status quo subverted in 2012. Power secured over US$10 billion more investment than
Renewables last year.
Chart 6
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Regionally, the Americas was the most active in the sector netting over US$19 billion in investments, beating Africa & the
Middle East into second with US$11 billion.
Chart 7
Gas fired and CCGT projects made up the largest sub section of power deals in 2013 accounting for nearly US$20 billion.
In terms of countries, the US was the most active with nearly 20 closed transactions, while Thailand commissioned and
closed the most primary financings with six, valued at a total of just over US$2 billion.
Around US$6 billion was invested in transmission and distribution projects internationally though only across a small
number of deals, six in total.
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17
Renewables
Name
Value(US$m)
Financial Close
Location
The sector received US$35 billion in infrastructure investments for 236 projects; out of this US$30 billion was debt. The
Renewables sector was dominated by onshore wind projects (49 per cent) followed by pv solar projects (32 per cent) and
offshore wind projects (six per cent).
Breakdown
Renewables fell behind Power in 2013 despite securing the same level of investment as the previous year, nearly US$35
billion. Deal count rose significantly in 2013 however to 236, over 41 more than the previous year.
Chart 8
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Unsurprisingly the stalwarts of Renewables generation, the Americas and Europe, took the majority of investments, US$26
billion in total: the Americas secured top spot with US$15.5 billion in investment, Europe closed on nearly US$11 billion worth
of financing for Renewable projects.
Wind and solar still make up the vast majority of closed deals in 2013, with the usual suspects of the US, UK, France
Germany, Italy Canada and Australia taking the lions share of the projects.
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Transport
Name
Value(US$m)
Financial Close
Location
The sector received US$52 billion in infrastructure investments for 61 projects; out of this US$43 billion was debt. The
Transport sector was dominated by roads projects (44 per cent) followed by airports (21 per cent), and rail (14 per cent).
Breakdown
The transport sector was the second most active sector across global infrastructure and energy in 2013, securing US$52
billion in investment across 61 projects. A total US$52 billion deal value represents an increase of more than US$10 billion
over 2012, and is the highest total value the transport sector has secured in the past four years.
Whilst deal count was up on 2012 figures, and despite the aforementioned increase in deal value, the 61 transactions
closed in 2013 were 17 down on the previous high of past years (78 in 2010).
Chart 6
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Only three regions were active in this sector last year, the Americas, Asia & Pacific and Europe. Among those Europe was
far and away the sector leader, securing over US$27 billion in investment, over twice the combined total of the Americas
and Asia & Pacific combined (US$12.1 and US$12.9 billion respectively).
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21
Social Infrastructure
Name
Value(US$m)
Financial Close
Location
The sector received US$13 billion in infrastructure investments for 58 projects; out of this US$10 billion was debt. The Social
infrastructure sector was dominated by healthcare (24 per cent), education (23 per cent) and waste/recycling projects (18
per cent).
Breakdown
2013 saw the Social & Defence sector mount a small recovery from its dire 2012, securing US$12.6 billion across 58 deals,
however these figures were still far behind the 2011 high of US$21.4 billion in investment and 2010s high of 105 deals.
Chart 10
22
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23
Water
Name
Value(US$m)
Financial Close
Location
The sector received US$6.6 billion in infrastructure investments for eight projects; out of this US$6.4 billion was debt.
Breakdown
In 2013 the Water sector secured US$6.6 billion in investment spread across eight deals, an increase of over US$2 billion
on 2012 figures. Deal count was the highest in three years in the sector (beating 2012s six and 2011s 7), though was still
below the 2012 high of 11.
Asia & Pacific led the way with US$5.178 billion in investment, of which US$5.114 billion was debt. This figure far
outstripped the second most active region, Africa & Middle East, which secured just US$835 million in investment.
Australia was the only country to close more than one water project in 2013, the Victorian and Sydney Desalination plants.
The majority of the water projects closed in 2013 were desalination projects, and these expensive projects account for
the majority of the total value of all water transactions closed last year e.g. the US$3.5 billion Victorian Desalination Plant
refinancing, Australia. The remaining few projects were in the pipe network and water treatment subsectors.
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Global Infrastructure
League Tables
The IJ League Tables are available on www.ijonline.com
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