Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
MANAGEMENT SERVICES
A. KEH
FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS
Introduction:
Financial Statements are basically the information an outsider can derive from the company. To be able to assess the
different aspects of the enterprise (such as asset management, profitability and performance), a financial statement analysis
can be made.
Financial Statements
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow Statement
Analysis
Solvency and Stability
Profitability
Liquidity
Measurement
Capital adequacy to meet long-term obligations
Performance and growth potential
Availability of cash and other near cash assets to meet
maturing short term obligations
Financial Statement Analysis interprets financial statement data and presents in summary form to simplify users analysis.
Uses and Purposes of Financial Performance Analysis:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Horizontal Analysis or Comparative Statements data from two time periods are compared or a comparison
between actual and budgets or two versions of budgets.
2.
Trend Percentage Analysis base year comparisons are made over a series of periods and expressed in % forms
with the earliest year as base year.
3.
Common-size Statements or Vertical Analysis also known as Percentage Composition Statement; all
statement values are expressed as a percentage of a base number which is set equal to 100%.
Income Statement NET Sales = 100%
Balance Sheet Assets = 100%
Most useful information derived from vertical analysis are:
Gross Profit Rate = Gross Profit / Sales
CGS Ratio
= CGS / Sales
Net Income%
= Net Income / Sales
Debt Ratio
Equity Ratio
4.
= Debt / Assets
= Equity / Assets
Ratio Analysis defined as selecting one variable as the numerator and another variable as the denominator which
can be expressed as a %, a ratio or merely a number.
RETURNS
Growth
Earnings
Market Performance
Page 2
Financial Risk additional risk placed on the common stockholders as a result of the firms decision to use debt.
Liquidity
What liquid assets are available or accessible to meet demands for cash from expected and unexpected sources?
1. Current Ratio =
Measure:
2.
Current Assets
Current Liabilities
Ability to meet maturing short term obligations
3.
Ability to meet maturing short-term obligations and more stringent measure compared to current
Cash Ratio
(Cash + Marketable Securities)
Current Liabilities
Measure:
Ability to meet maturing short-term obligations for companies with problematic inventory and
receivable levels.
4.
5.
Off-balance sheet financing liquidity sources such as lines of credit and borrowing agreements
Measure:
2.
Debt Ratio
Debt
------Total Assets
Measure:
3.
Capital Multiplier =
Measure:
4.
Indicates how much total investment can be financed from owner-provided equity
5.
Page 3
Indicates the worth of each share of common stock based on historical cost.
Asset Quality
Are assets used efficiently?
1.
2.
3.
Inventory Turnover
Cost of SALES
Ave. Inventory
Measure:
4.
5.
6.
Asset Turnover
SALES
Average Assets
Measure:
7.
Payables Turnover
Purchases
Average Accounts Payable
Measure:
8.
Earnings
Is net income adequate to satisfy investors dividend and rate of return expectations and to support growth?
1.
Return on Sales
Net Income
Sales
Measure:
Page 4
Return on Assets
Net Income
Average Assets
Measure:
3.
Return on Equity
Net Income
Average Stockholders Equity
Measure:
4.
5.
Operating Expenses
Sales
Market Performance
How do financial markets evaluate the financial condition of the firm?
1.
2.
Dividend Yield
Dividend
Market Value
Measure:
Markets willingness to pay for every peso dividend distributed to its shareholders; determines the
markets confidence level towards the companys profitability and ability to declare future dividends
Exercise: (refer to Heart Sales Company and Acidic Inc.)
LEVERAGE
In physics, leverage implies the use of a lever (simple tool) to raise a heavy object with a small amount of force. In politics,
people have leverage if they can accomplish a great deal with their influence by simply making a phone call. We apply this
concept of leverage in business as well taking into account a small increase in sales will generate a large effect on income
(operating leverage). Similarly, a small increase in debt utilization can generate an improved ROE result. (financial leverage)
A. Operating Leverage
Change in EBIT
Degree of Operating Leverage = % Change in EBIT
EBIT
----------------------= ----------------------% Change in Sales
Change in Qty.
Quantity
Where:
Measure:
Note: The above formula does not completely deviate from the original formula derived in the discussion of Break-even
Analysis which is CM / Net Income (also known as EBIT or Operating Income).
Page 5
Derivation:
(
Qty X CM/unit) FC
(Qty X CM/unit) FC
Qty
Qty
(
Qty X CM/unit) 0
(Qty X CM/unit) FC
Qty
Qty
Qty X CM/unit
(Qty X CM/unit) FC
Qty
Qty
Qty X CM/unit
(Qty X CM/unit) FC
CM
NI (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes)
B. Financial Leverage - use of borrowed funds and fixed income securities (debt and preferred stock) to enhance the
rate of return to equity owners.
Degree of Financial Leverage =
=
Measure:
% Change in EPS
% Change in EBIT
EBIT
---------------------EBIT Interest Preferred Dividends (before taxes)
Financial Leverage = Return on Common Stockholders Equity less Return on Total Assets
Page 6
Positive Financial leverage means that rate earned on borrowed assets exceeds the rate paid for the privilege of borrowing.
Also means that we made good use of the borrowed funds and earned profits from its use. (ROE > Interest Rate)
In the illustration above, it is assumed to have a positive financial leverage. With the use of debt (8%), ROE will improve
since current ROE is 12% (12% return > 8% debt).
Negative Financial Leverage means that the rate earned on borrowed assets is less than the borrowing rate. Simply put,
the returns supposedly generated from borrowings did not cover for the interest charges of the borrowing. (ROE < Interest
Rate)
EFFECT OF DEBT ON RATE OF RETURN
no
debt
P12,000
0
P12,000
P100,000
12%
12%
debt
P12,000
4,800
P 7,200
P60,000
12%
10%
debt
P12,000
4,000
P 8,000
P60,000
13.33%
14%
debt
P12,000
5,600
P 6,400
P60,000
10.67%
% change in EPS OR CM
% change in Sales
EBT
(DOL)*(DFL)
Note: An increase in Operating leverage can result in lower need for Financial leverage.
Illustration:
Fufu Soft Drinks Inc. sells 500,000 bottles of softdrinks a year. Each bottle produced has a variable cost of P2.50 and sells for
P4.50. Fixed operating costs are P500,000. The company has current interest charges of P60,000 and preferred dividends of
P24,000. The corporate tax rate is 40%.
Required:
a.
b.
c.
Altman Z-Score
The Z-score model is a quantitative model developed in 1968 by Edward Altman to predict bankruptcy (financial distress) of
a business, using a blend of the traditional financial ratios and a statistical method known as multiple discriminant analysis.
The Z-score is known to be about 90% accurate in forecasting business failure on year into the future and about 80%
accurate in forecasting it two years into the future.
Formula:
Z=
1.2
+1.4
+0.6
+0.999
+3.3
x
x
x
x
x
Z Score
Less than 1.8
Greater than 1.81 but less than 2.99
Greater than 3.0
Probability of Failure
Very High
Not Sure
Unlikely
Page 7
Du Pont Chart
SALES
Minus
COST OF SALES
3
NET PROFIT
AFTER TAXES
Minus
OPERATING
EXPENSES
Net Profit
Margin
DIVIDED BY
MINUS
SALES
INTEREST
EXPENSES
Return
on Assets
MINUS
TAXES
SALES
CURRENT ASSETS
Total Asset
Turnover
DIVIDED BY
PLUS
NET FIXED ASSETS
TOTAL ASSETS
MULTIPLIED BY
CURRENT
LIABILITIES
3
Total L + C =
Total Assets
Total Liabilities
PLUS
Return
On
Equity
pl us
Divided by
CAPITAL
LONG TERM DEBT
CAPITAL
FINANCIAL
LEVERAGE
MULTIPLIER
Du Pont Chart - a chart designed to show the relationships among return on investment, asset turnover, the profit margin
and leverage
Du Pont Equation a formula that gives the rate of return on assets by multiplying the profit margin by the total assets
turnover.
Key Formulae developed from the Du Pont Chart
Profit Margin
X
Total Assets Turnover
ROA =
=
Net Income
Sales
Sales
Total Assets
ROA
Capital Multiplier
Net Income
Total Assets
Total assets
Total SHE
Net Income
Sales
Sales
Total Assets
Net Income %
Asset Turnover
ROE =
Note:
Asset
Asset
Total Assets
Total SHE
X
Total Debt
Asset
Total Equity
Asset
Debt Ratio
Equity Ratio
Capital Multiplier
Illustration:
1.
A fire has destroyed many of the financial records of Sons and Co. You are assigned to put together a financial
report. You have ground the return on equity to be 12% and the debt ratio was 0.40. What was the return on assets?
2.
Debra and Co. has a debt ratio of 0.50, a total assets turnover of 0.25 and a profit margin of 10%. The president is
unhappy with the current return on equity and he thinks it could be doubled. This could be accomplished by
increasing the profit margin to 14% and by increasing debt utilization. Total assets turnover will not change. What
new debt ratio along with the 14% profit margin is required to double the return on equity?
/keh
Page 8