Platts PE 29 July 2015

R
A
S
This Weeks Highlights:
Asian Ethylene - NEA, SEA stable

Asian HDPE - Bearish on weak crude, shaky macroeconomics
S
A
D
Asian LDPE - Falls $15-$55/mt on weak demand

Asian LLDPE - Falls $50-$65/mt on limited Chinese demand
MU
Platts International Prices
Polymerupdate Indian Domestic Producer Price
Polymerupdate CIF India Prices
Polymerupdate Indian Producer Posting Price Comparison
Polymerupdate Indian Open Market Price Table
Heard in PVC Market
Currency Rates
Platts International Market Commentary & Analysis
Polymerupdate - PE Market Supply Scenario
Platts Price Analysis Of PE Chain Processing Margins
Platts Polymer Shipping Costs (USD/MT)
Crisil Research Macroeconomics & Currency Monthly Analysis
Point of Contact
10
Polymerupdate - About us & Copyright
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Platts - About us & Copyright
10
Week 30 July 29, 2015

POLYMERUPDATE INDIAN DOMESTIC PRODUCER PRICE RIL (Ex-Hazira)
PLATTS INTERNATIONAL PRICES (USD/MT)

July 22
(WK 29)
July 29
(WK 30)
India Crude basket: (USD/b)
55.70
53.30
- 02.40
Naphtha:
459.85
438.35
- 21.50
Product
(MOP West India)
Price Change
on Week
INDIA DOMESTIC PRODUCER PRICE - RIL (Ex Hazira)

Product

1169-1171
1174-1176
+ 05
1094-1096
1099-1101
+ 05
HDPE Inj CFR South Asia
1319-1321
1259-1261
- 60
HDPE Inj CFR Far East Asia
1289-1291
1209-1211
- 80
CFR South East Asia

Polyethylene :
HDPE Inj CFR South East Asia
1319-1321
1239-1241
- 80
HDPE Blow CFR South Asia
1334-1336
1269-1271
- 65
HDPE Blow CFR Far East Asia
1314-1316
1219-1221
UD
HDPE Blow CFR South East Asia
1334-1336
1249-1251
HDPE Film CFR South Asia
1329-1331
1279-1281
- 85
HDPE Film CFR Far East Asia
1309-1311
1229-1231
HDPE Film CFR South East Asia
1319-1321
1259-1261
- 60
- 50
- 80
LLDPE GP CFR South Asia
1289-1291
1239-1241
- 50
LLDPE GP CFR Far East Asia
1254-1256
1189-1191
- 65
LLDPE GP CFR South East Asia
1274-1276
1219-1221
- 55
LDPE CFR Far East Asia
1329-1331
1274-1276
- 55
LDPE CFR South East Asia
1309-1311
1294-1296
- 15
10680-10720
10430-10470
- 250
LLDPE
9330-9370
9130-9170
- 200
LDPE
10730-10770
10380-10420
- 350

USD/MT
Raffia
99.94
1420
99.94
1420
Film
97.46
1384
97.46
1384
Injection
100.93
1435
100.93
1435
Blow Moulding
98.79
1404
98.79
1404
Pipe
99.53
1415
99.53
1415
Film
95.76
1360
95.76
1360
Rotomoulding
94.75
1345
94.75
1345
Injection
98.26
1396
98.26
1396
Extrusion Coating
97.54
1386
97.54
1386
General
110.91
1580
110.91
1580
Heavyduty
115.27
1644
115.27
1644
Milk Pouch
116.09
1656
116.09
1656
Injection
117.56
1677
117.56
1677
Lamination
123.38
1762
123.38
1762
R
A
S
INR/KG
LDPE Grade
*Domestic Indian producer prices are quoted in INR/kg basic (Nett of all taxes); equivalent USD/MT price is calculated at
current US/INR rate. *Lot Size:
1 Truck Load (10 to 16 MT)
- Price assessments are based on information gathered from a cross section of the industry that includes resin producers,
processors, traders and distributors.
- Standard repeatable orders (based on confirmed market deals) form the basis of the prices.
PLATTS INTERNATIONAL PRICES
China Domestic (YUAN/MT EX-WORK) :

HDPE Film
Price Change on Week
INR/KG
LLDPE Grade
AS
- 95

July 29 (WK 30)
USD/MT
HDPE Grade
Ethylene :
CFR North East Asia
July 22 (WK 29)

INR/KG
Specifications:
Cargoes of 100-500mt delivered 15-30 days forward from date of publication with up to 30 days
credit, basis CFR Far East Asia: China main ports (Shanghai, Shenzhen, Ningbo, Shantou, Hong Kong); CFR South East
Asia: Indonesia (Jakarta, Surabaya), Singapore, Philippines (Manila Bay), Malaysia (Port Kelang), Thailand (Bangkok,
Laem Chabang, Map Ta Phut), Vietnam (Ho Chi Minh). Platts prices reflect spot market values on the day of publication.
India Crude Import Basket Calculation: ( (Dubai + Oman) / 2 * 65.2% ) + (Dated Brent * 34.8%)
MOP West India : Mean of Platts FOB West India naphtha export price
ContactDetails:344,AtoZIndl.Estate,G.K.Marg,LowerParel(W),Mumbai400013,INDIA|Email:info@polymerupdate.com|Tel:+912261772000(25lines)|Fax:+912261772025
Week 30 July 29, 2015

POLYMERUPDATE (CIF INDIA PRICES)
CIF INDIA BY ORIGIN (Nhava Sheva Port)
South Korea
Singapore
WK 29
WK 30
July 22
July 29
Raffia
1330
1300
- 30
Film
1340
1310
- 30
Injection
1340
1310
- 30
Blow Moulding
1350
1320
- 30
HDPE Grade
Price Change
on Week
Pipe
1390
1360
- 30
HMHD
1400
1370
- 30
LDPE Grade
1340
- 50
Heavyduty
1410
1360
- 50
Milk Pouch
1420
1370
- 50
Injection
1430
1380
- 50
--
--
--
LLDPE Grade
July 22
July 29
--
--
--
1310
1280
- 30
1300
1270
- 30
1315
1285
- 30
--
--
1360
1330

A
D
U
--
July 22
July 29
--
1320
1290
- 30

1340
1310
- 30
1340
1310
--
--
--
--
1620
1300
1270
- 30
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
Thailand
Qatar
1370
1320
- 50
1400
1350
- 50
1410
1360
- 50
- 50

1420
1370
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--

--
1340
1360
-- 30
--
- 50
1330
- 30
-1280
- 30
1380
--
1310
-1310
- 30

--
1370
--
1340
Price Change
on Week
1340
1430
- 30
Rotomoulding
July 29
--
1420
1280
July 22
1370
- 50
1310
- 30
WK 30
--
1360

1300
WK 29
Singapore
1330
Price Change
on Week
--
- 50
1410
WK 30
- 30
AR
SS
Saudi Arabia
WK 29
Price Change
on Week
1330
1380
South Korea
Film
Metallocene
WK 30
Singapore
1390
Injection
WK 29
South Korea
General
Lamination

Thailand
1330
1280
- 50
1350
1300
- 50
1360
1310
- 50

- 50

--
--
--
--
--
--
1560
1480
- 80
Thailand
1340
1310
--
--
--
--
1310
- 30
1360
1620
--
- 30
Saudi Arabia
1300
1270
- 30
--
--
1330
1300
- 30
1330
- 30
1350
1320
- 30

--
--
--
--
--
--
--
- 30
- All prices are in USD/MT CIF India (Nhava Sheva)

- For South Korea, Singapore, Thailand and Saudi Arabia :
Cargo size of 50-100mt delivered within 30 days.
- Price assessments are based on information gathered from a cross section of the industry that includes resin producers, processors, traders and distributors.
- Standard repeatable orders (based on confirmed market deals) form the basis of the prices.
Week 30 July 29, 2015

POLYMERUPDATE - INDIAN PORDUCER POSTING PRICE COMPARISON (GRADE WISE)
LDPE Ex-Mumbai (Panvel Depot) w.e.f 16-July-2015
HDPE w.e.f 16-July-2015

Grade
BLOW MOULDING
INJECTION MOULDING
( MFI - 18 )
INJECTION MOULDING
( MFI - 7 ) UV
HDPE FILM
HDPE PIPE
HMHDPE FILM
RAFFIA
Producer (Ex Works)
Grade No.
INR/MT
USD/MT
RIL (BC/NC)
RIL (Hazira)
HALDIA (HC)
GAIL (M/B/T)
GAIL (M/B/T)
54GB012
B56003
B6401
B52A003A
B63A003A
99040
98790
100000
94010
94010
1407
1404
1421
1334
1334
RIL (Hazira)
HALDIA (HC)
GAIL (M/B/T)
50MA180
97640
99900
93700
1387
1420
1330
1435
1444
1370
1384
M5018L
I50A180A
RIL (Hazira)
HALDIA (HC)
GAIL (M/B/T)
I60U080A
100930
101550
96470
RIL (Hazira)
F56003
97460
L60075
M6007LU
S
S
A
UD
P54A001A
1415
1548
1458
RIL (Hazira)
52GF004
98450
1399
HALDIA (Works)
GAIL (M/B/T)
F5400
F55HM003A
100950
95570
1435
1357
1408
1420
1599
1349
46GP009
P-5300
RIL (Hazira)
RIL (Hazira)
HALDIA (HC)
53EA010
R5801
99060
99940
105350
GAIL (M/B/T)
W50A009A
95060
E52009
Producer
RIL
Grade No.
1070LA17
*INR/MT
123378.75
USD/MT
1762
LDPE IM
RIL
16MA400
117562.50
1677
LDPE GP
RIL
24FS040
110913.75
1580
LDPE MP
RIL
1005FY20
116088.75
1656
LDPE HEAVY DUTY
RIL
RIL
22FA002
1020FA20
115267.50
109901.25
1644
1566
AR
99530
108700
104530
RIL (BC/NC)
HALDIA (HC)
GAIL (M/B/T)
* Prices are in INR/MT (inclusive of excise duty)
Grade
LDPE EC
Grade
LLDPE EXTRUSION
COATING
LLDPE w.e.f 16-July-2015

Producer (Ex Works)
Grade No.
INR/MT
USD/MT
RIL (Hazira)
HALDIA (HC)
GAIL (M/B/T)
E24065
72307E
E36A060
97540
99950
94370
1386
1421
1339
RIL (Hazira)
M26500
98260
1396
HALDIA (HC)
71501-S
--
--
LLDPE FILM
RIL (BC/NC)
RIL (BC/NC)
RIL (Hazira)
RIL (Hazira)
HALDIA (HC)
GAIL (M/B/T)
20FS010
20FS020
F18010
F19010
71601S
F20S009A
94960
95970
95750
95760
97900
92830
1348
1363
1359
1360
1391
1317
LLDPE ROTOMOULDING
RIL (BC/NC)
RIL (Hazira)
HALDIA (HC)
HALDIA (HC)
GAIL (M/B/T)
36RA045
R35042
73005T
73204T
R35A042A
97880
94750
101250
101250
93920
1390
1345
1440
1440
1333
LLDPE INJECTION
MOULDING
*Domestic Indian producer prices are quoted in INR/MT basic (Nett of all taxes) ; equivalent USD/MT price is at current US/INR rate. *Lot Size:
1 Truck Load (10 to 16 MT)
- Ex Works: BC/NC = Ex Works Baroda Complex / Nagothane Complex | Ex Works: HC = Halidia Complex | Ex Works: M/B/T = Mumbai / Bhiwandi / Thane
- Product Key: EC = Extrusion Coating, IM = Injection Moulding, GP = General Purpose, MP = Milk Pouch, MFI = Melt Flow Index, UV = Ultra Violet, HM = Heavy Molecule
- USD Price calculation: INR/MT Aprox. Clearing and Forwarding charges / Basic Duty / Exchange Rate = USD/MT (For example: 82330 2500 / 1.075 / 54.24 = 1396)
Week 30 July 29, 2015

POLYMERUPDATE - Indian Open Market Price Table
Note: All prices are in INR/kg levels.
Mumbai
Delhi
Kolkatta
Bangalore
Indore
Chennai
Ahmedabad
Rajasthan
Kanpur
Hyderabad
Punjab
Kerala
HMHDPE
109 - 110
112 - 113
114 -115
107.5 - 109
115.5 - 116.5
111 - 113
116 - 117
115 - 116
114 - 115
109.5 - 111
115 - 116
118 - 118.5
HDPE Raffia
111 - 112
111 - 112
109.5 - 110
113 - 114
121 - 122
112 - 114
114 - 115
HDPE Injection
110.5 - 111
112 - 113
113 - 114
107.5 - 109
115 - 116
111.5 - 112
114 - 115
113 - 114
112 - 113
109 - 110.5
114 - 115
HDPE Blow
Moulding
112.5 - 113
111 - 112
114 - 115
114 - 115.5
114.5 - 115.5
113.5 - 114
114 - 115
113 - 114
114 - 115
116 - 117
115 - 116
115.5 - 116
LLDPE Film
111 - 112
113 - 114
113 - 114
105.5 - 107.5
114 - 115
110 - 111
117 - 118
113 - 114
113 - 114
108 - 109
117 - 118
116.5 - 117
LDPE FILM
113 - 114
117 - 118
119 - 119.5
111 - 114
118 - 119
115.5 - 116.5
117 -118
118 - 119
119 -119.5
114 - 115
119 - 120
120 - 120.5
Product
Currency rates equivalent to 1 US Dollar :

Countries
Currency Rates
UD
Indian Rupees (INR)

Pakistan Rupees (PKR)
China Yuan Renminb (CNY)
Bangladesh Taka (BDT)
Sri Lanka Rupees (LKR)
AS
63.81
R
A
S
Countries
Currency Rates
Japan Yen (JPY)
101.82
Indonesia Rupiahs (IDR)
13,447.00
6.21
Malaysia Ringgits (MYR)
3.80
77.70
Singapore Dollars (SGD)
1.36
133.50
South Korea Won (KRW)
1160.68
Thailand Baht (THB)
34.83
Saudi Arabia Riyals (SAR)
3.74
Taiwan New Dollars (TWD)
31.42
United Arab Emirates Dirhams (AED)
3.67
123.59
Week 30 July 29, 2015

Heard in PE MARKET
Platts :
HDPE FILM: China-South Asia spread pegged at $50/mt. August discussions pegged at $1,225/mt CFR South Asia (India), 100-500mt, LC 90days, middle east origin
HDPE FILM: China-Southeast Asia spread pegged at $30/mt, August cargoes pegged at $1,260/mt CFR Southeast Asia (Vietnam), 100-500mt, LC 90days, Middle east origin
HDPE film: August cargoes pegged at $1,230/mt CFR China, 100-500mt, LC90 days, Middle east origin
HDPE Blow moulding BM: China-South Asia spread pegged at $50/mt. August discussions heard at $1,270/mt CFR South Asia, 100-500mt, LC90days
HDPE Blow moulding BM: China-Southeast Asia spread pegged at $30/mt, August buy sell notions at $1,250/mt CFR Southeast Asia (Vietnam), 100-500mt, LC 90days
HDPE blow moulding: August cargos pegged at $1,220/mt CFR China, 100-500mt, LC 90 days, Middle east origin
HDPE Blow moulding: August buying ideas heard below domestic cargo import parity prices of $1,313/mt CFR China, 100-500mt, LC 90 days, Middle east origin
HDPE INJECTION: China-South Asia spread pegged at $50/mt, Any August discussions heard at $1,260/mt CFR South Asia, 100-500mt, LC 90days
HDPE INJECTION: China-Southeast Asia spread pegged at $30/mt, August buy sell notions at $1,240/mt CFR Southeast Asia (Vietnam), 100-500mt, LC 0-30days
R
A
S
HDPE INJECTION: August buying ideas heard below domestic cargo import parity prices of $1,300/mt CFR China, 100-500mt, LC 90 days, Middle east origin
HDPE YARN: China- Southeast Asia spread pegged at $30/mt, August buy-sell discussions pegged at $1,270/mt CFR Southeast Asia (Vietnam), 100-500mt, LC 0-30days
S
A
D
HDPE YARN: August buying ideas heard below domestic cargo import parity prices of $1,379 /mt CFR China, 100-500mt, LC 90 days, Middle east origin
HDPE YARN: August buy-sell discussions pegged at $1,240/mt CFR China, 100-500mt, LC 0-30days
HDPE film: August cargo offer heard at $1,240/mt CFR China, 100-500mt, Brazilian origin through traders, LC 90days
MU
HDPE FILM: Any August offer heard at $1,330-1,340/mt CFR South Asia (India), 100-500mt, Middle east origin, LC 90 days
HDPE film: August cargo heard offered at $1,295-1,300/mt CFR China, 100-500mt, LC at sight, Chevron Philips origin through traders
LDPE film: August cargo pegged at $1,275/mt CFR China, 100-500mt, LC 90 days, Middle east origin
LDPE film: August cargo pegged at $1,295/mt CFR Southeast Asia (Vietnam), 100-500mt, LC30-60 days
LDPE film: August cargo offer heard at $1,250/mt CFR China, 100-500mt, TT, Qatari origin through traders
LLDPE film: August cargoes pegged at $1,190/mt CFR China, 100-500mt, LC 90 days, Middle east origin
LLDPE FILM: China-South Asia spread pegged at $50/mt. August cargoes pegged at $1,240/mt CFR South Asia, 100-500mt
LLDPE FILM: China-South Asia spread pegged at $50/mt. August cargoes pegged at $1,225/mt CFR South Asia, 100-500mt
LLDPE FILM: China-Southeast Asia freight pegged at $30/mt, August buy sell discussions heard at $1,205/mt CFR Southeast Asia (Vietnam), 100-500mt, LC 0-30days, middle east origin
LLDPE film: August cargoes pegged at $1,175/mt CFR China, 100-500mt, LC 90 days, Middle east origin
LLDPE film: End August offer at $1,180-1,200/mt CFR China, 100-500mt, LC 90days , Middle east origin
Week 30 July 29, 2015

Heard in PE MARKET
Polymerupdate :
29-7-2015: UAE producer offers HDPE Film at $1270-1280/mt in India (CIF Nhava Sheva port)
29-7-2015: Middle East producer offers HDPE Film at $1300-1310/mt in India (CIF Nhava Sheva port)
29-7-2015: Saudi Arabia producer offers HDPE Film at $1350/mt in India (CIF Nhava Sheva port)
29-7-2015: Saudi Arabia producer offers HDPE Injection at $1370/mt in India (CIF Nhava Sheva port)
29-7-2015: Saudi Arabia producer offers HDPE Blow Moulding at $1360-1370/mt in India (CIF Nhava Sheva port)
29-7-2015: Saudi Arabia producer offers HDPE Injection at $1360/mt in Pakistan
29-7-2015: Saudi Arabia producer offers HDPE Blowmoulding at $1390/mt in Pakistan
29-7-2015: Saudi Arabia producer offers HDPE Film at $1300/mt in Pakistan
R
A
S
29-7-2015: Qatar producer offers HDPE Film at $1320/mt in Pakistan

29-7-2015: Saudi Arabia producer offers HDPE Film at $1340/mt in Pakistan
S
A
D
29-7-2015: Saudi Arabia producer offers LDPE Film at $1310/mt in India (CIF Nhava Sheva port)
29-7-2015: South Korea producer offers LDPE Lamination at $1440/mt in India (CIF Nhava Sheva port)
MU
29-7-2015: UAE producer offers LDPE Film at $1270/mt in India (CIF Nhava Sheva port)
29-7-2015: Saudi Arabia producer offers LDPE Heavyduty at $1340/mt in India (CIF Nhava Sheva port)
29-7-2015: Saudi Arabia producer offers LDPE Film at $1320/mt in Pakistan
29-7-2015: Qatar producer offers LDPE Film at $1320/mt in Pakistan
29-7-2015: Saudi Arabia producer offers LLDPE Film at $1310/mt in India (CIF Nhava Sheva port)
29-7-2015: Saudi Arabia producer offers LLDPE roto moulding at $1370/mt in India (CIF Nhava Sheva port)
29-7-2015: Saudi Arabia producer offers LLDPE injection moulding at $1370/mt in India (CIF Nhava Sheva port)
29-7-2015: Middle East producer offers LLDPE Film at $1310-1320/mt in India (CIF Nhava Sheva port)
29-7-2015: Qatar producer offers LLDPE Film at $1320/mt in Pakistan
29-7-2015: Saudi Arabia producer offers LLDPE Film at $1310/mt in Pakistan
29-7-2015: Saudi Arabia producer offers LLDPE Injection at $1445/mt in Pakistan
29-7-2015: Saudi Arabia producer offers LLDPE Rotomoulding at $1410/mt in Pakistan
Week 30 July 29, 2015
PLATTS INTERNATIONAL MARKET COMMENTARY & ANALYSIS
Asian HDPE: Bearish on weak crude, shaky macroeconomics
Asian Ethylene: NEA, SEA unchanged
- Buyers stay out seeing drop in crude
- Flat amid sluggish trading
- Supplies still tight from Middle East
- Downstream remains bearish
Asian high density polyethylene film grade prices fell $50-$95/mt this week on bearish sentiment. Most buyers
The Asian ethylene market was steady Wednesday as trading remained sluggish amid volatile
stayed away from the market, as they felt prices would continue to fall seeing the shaky economic situation.
upstream and downstream markets. September ICE Brent futures inched down $0.07/barrel
Supplies were, however, still tight, especially from the Middle East. In feedstock news, CFR Northeast Asia
day on day to be assessed at $52.69/b at 4:30 pm Singapore time (0830 GMT) Wednesday.
ethylene price was assessed flat day on day at $1,175/mt and the CFR Southeast Asia ethylene price was also flat
China's stock market rebounded Wednesday after plunging for two consecutive days but
at $1,100/mt Wednesday. Prices and margins for polyethylene are expected to remain weak, guided mostly by
sentiment in ethylene derivatives markets remained bearish. High density polyethylene fell
between PE and ethylene narrowed to $55/mt, lower than the typical breakeven spread of
$150/mt. Most market participants remained on the sidelines.
AS
UD
RATIONALE:
The CFR Northeast Asia ethylene was assessed unchanged day on day at $1,175/mt
fresh supplies from new polyethylene plants coming on-stream during the period, lackluster demand from
R
A
S
$65/mt day on day to be assessed at $1,230/mt Wednesday. Following the plunge, the spread
downstream plastic converters, as well as crude oil movements, observers said. However producers expected
supply tightness towards the end of the year when demand for plastics increase for the Christmas/New year peak
manufacturing season. In plant news, Indonesia's Chandra Asri will shut two polyethylene units with combined
nameplate capacity of 336,000 mt/year in Cilegon from September for two to three months, a source close to the
company said Wednesday. The units will shut while a 600,000 mt/year cracker at the site undergoes
debottlenecking, the source said.
Wednesday. Trading was sluggish, with no bids or offers heard. Meanwhile, CFR Southeast
Asia ethylene was also assessed flat at $1,100/mt, in line with a quiet NEA market.
RATIONALE:
HDPE film was assessed at $1,230/mt CFR Far East Asia Wednesday, down $65/mt week on week. Buying
indications for August-arrival cargoes was heard below $1,200/mt CFR China, with buyers basing bids on import
parity price of domestic cargoes. An offer was heard at $1,240/mt CFR China from a Chinese trader, while other
producers offered at $1,295-$1,300/mt CFR China. The CFR South Asia HDPE film was assessed at $1,280/mt
CFR, down $50/mt week on week, based on typical price differentials of around $50/mt, market observers said.
Week 30 July 29, 2015
PLATTS INTERNATIONAL MARKET COMMENTARY & ANALYSIS

Asian LLDPE: Falls $50-$65/mt on limited Chinese demand
Asian LDPE: Falls $15-$55/mt on weak demand
- Ample domestic supply in China
- Buyers remain on sidelines amid fall in crude
- Borouge starts up new plant in UAE
- Economic concerns in China weaken sentiment
Asian linear low density polyethylene fell $65/mt on week to $1,190/mt CFR Far East Asia Wednesday, as Chinese import
demand was limited by ample availability of cheaper supplies in the domestic market. Prices of domestic cargoes in China
Low density polyethylene prices fell this week amid weak demand as buyers remained
were equivalent to $1,200/mt on an import parity basis. In addition, crude futures have fallen, with ICE September Brent
on the sidelines waiting for clearer market direction to emerge. A number of smaller
crude futures down $3.75/barrel on week to be assessed at $52.69/b at 4:30 pm Singapore time (0830 GMT)
distributors in China had positions in both equity and commodity markets and were
Wednesday. Most buyers expect LLDPE producers to reduce offers further to stimulate demand, but many sellers also
losing money amid the fall in China's equity markets, traders in China said. Crude
held back on offers. Many coal-to-polyolefin plants were heard to be running well, increasing supplies. Some Chinese
futures were on a downtrend, with September ICE Brent futures down $3.75/barrel
traders were considering exports, given extremely weak demand in China. In plant news, UAE's new Borouge 3 in Abu
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Dhabi was started progressively in May and collectively the three Borouge petrochemical complexes will reach full
operations by Q4 2015, Borouge CEO Wim Roels said Tuesday. The material is targeted mainly at Asia and the Middle
East, with some small volumes for Europe, another company source said. The complex has a total high density/linear low
AS
density polyethylene unit with a capacity of 1.08 million mt/year and a 350,000 mt/year low density polyethylene unit.
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Borouge's two existing crackers -- Borouge 1 and Borouge 2 -- can produce 2.1 million mt of ethylene, 1.14 million mt of
week on week at $52.69/b at 4:30 pm Singapore time (0830 GMT) Wednesday. In

plant news, Iran's Amir Kabir Petrochemical Co. plans to shut its polyethylene complex
for 20 day's maintenance in April 2016, a company source said. The complex has a
140,000 mt/year HDPE plant, 240,000 mt/year LLDPE plant and 300,000 mt/year LDPE
plant.
PE and 800,000 mt of PP annually. The company had earlier announced new warehouses in Tianjin, China and Jurong
Island, Singapore and the opening of the Borouge 3 container terminal to cope with the increased volumes. Elsewhere,
Japanese producer Prime Polymer plans to start its new 300,000 mt/year metallocene LLDPE plant on Jurong Island,
Singapore, by end-2015, a source close to the company said. And India's GAIL Limited plans to bring onstream a new
400,000 mt/year polyethylene plant at its Pata complex in Uttar Pradesh state by September, two months later than
scheduled because of unexpected technical difficulties, a company source said Wednesday. It currently operates a
310,000 mt/year HDPE/LLDPE swing plant at the site. GAIL is also the marketer of polymers produced by Brahmaputra
Cracker and Polymer Limited's new complex in Assam, which has also had its startup delayed to September.
RATIONALE:
RATIONALE:
LDPE was assessed down $55/mt week on week at $1,275/mt CFR Far East Asia
Wednesday. The CFR Southeast Asia marker was assessed down $15/mt over the same
period at $1,295/mt. Lower offers heard at $1,250/mt CFR Far East Asia could not be
confirmed and were excluded from the assessment. Traders did not give firm bid and
offer indications, but said the high $1,200s/mt for both CFR Far East and Southeast
Asia were workable trade levels.
LLDPE was assessed down $65/mt week on week at $1,190/mt CFR Far East Asia Wednesday. While some sell indications
were heard at low as $1,180/mt CFR Far East Asia (China), traders said $1,190/mt CFR China was more a representative
trading level. The CFR South Asia price was assessed at $1,240/mt, down $50/mt week on week. A few major Chinese
traders surveyed said they would consider selling to India at this price, given that demand was extremely weak in China.
A price differential of $50/mt might cover their freight costs and some profit margins, they added.
Week 30 July 29, 2015
POLYMERUPDATE - PE MARKET SUPPLY SCENARIO

Amir Kabir to shut LLDPE plant for maintenance
next year
Amir Kabir Petrochemical Company (AKPC) is in plans
to shut its linear low density LLDPE) plant for
maintenance turnaround. The plant is likely to be taken
off-stream in early April 2016. It is planned to remain
off-stream for around 20-21 days. Located at Bandar
Imam, Iran, the LLDPE plant has a production capacity
of 240,000 mt/year.
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Amir Kabir to shut HDPE plant for maintenance

next year
Amir Kabir Petrochemical Company (AKPC) is in plans
to shut its High density HDPE) plant for maintenance
turnaround. The plant is likely to be taken off-stream in
Q1 2016. It is planned to remain off-stream for around
20-21 days. Located at Bandar Imam, Iran, the plant
has a production capacity of 140,000 mt/year.
HDPE plant likely to be taken off-stream by
PetroRabigh
PetroRabigh is in plans to shut its high density HDPE)
plant for maintenance turnaround. The plant is likely to
be shut in early October 2015. It is planned to remain
off-stream for around one month. Located in Rabigh,
Saudi Arabia, the plant has a production capacity of
300,000 mt/year.
LLDPE plant planned to be taken off-stream by Hanwha
Hanwha Chemical is in plans to shut its linear low density LLDPE) plant for maintenance turnaround. The plant is planned to be shut in November 2015. It is likely to remain off-stream for around 10 days. Located at
Yeosu in South Korea, the plant has a production capacity of 385,000 mt/year.
No. 4 cracker planned to be shut by CPC
CPC is likely to shut its No. 4 cracker for maintenance turnaround. The cracker is planned to be shut in Q4, 2015. The period of the shutdown could not be ascertained. Located in Linyuan, Taiwan, the cracker has an
ethylene capacity of 380,000 mt/year and propylene capacity of 193,000 mt/year.
Week 30 July 29, 2015

PLATTS Price Analysis of PE Chain Processing Margins
Naphtha to Ethylene
Polyethylene to Naphtha
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Typical North East Asian $/mt margin for producing ethylene

from naphtha using a conversion cost of $350/mt.
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Ethylene to Polyethylene
CFR FE Asia LLDPE price as a ratio to naphtha
Intra-Asian LDPE Premiums
Typical $/mt margin for producing LLDPE in Far East Asia

from ethylene using a conversion cost of $150/mt
Premium or discount of weekly LDPE Southeast Asian price over weekly Far East Asian LDPE
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Week 30 July 29, 2015
PLATTS Polymer shipping costs (USD/MT)

From:
Middle East
Middle East
To:
East China
South China
India
Southeast Asia
NW Europe
Turkey
US Gulf
Latin America
25 100 MT
20 25
15 25
45 50
30 35
55 65
50 70
130 140
165 175
> 100 MT
10 15
10 15
30 40
25 30
50 60
40 60
120 130
160 165
NOTES:
Polymers refer to Polyethylene, Polypropylene, Polystyrene, ABS, and PVC.
1) Middle East loadings refer to products coming from Jebel Ali (Dubai), Khalifa (Abu Dhabi), Jubail (Saudi Arabia), Shuaiba (Kuwait),
Rabigh (Saudi Arabia), Mesaieed (Qatar), Assaluyeh and Bandar Imam Khomeini (Iran) ports. The assessments are normalized
between these ports.
2) East China deliveries refer to products coming into Zhangjiagang, Shanghai, Jiangyin, Nantong, Ningbo, Nanjing, Zhenjiang ports.
3) South China deliveries refer to products coming into Shenzhen, Shantou, Hong Kong, Xiamen, Zhuhai ports.
4) India deliveries refer to products coming into Kolkata, Mumbai and Chennai ports.
5) South East Asia deliveries refer to products coming into Indonesia (Jakarta, Surabaya), Singapore, Philippines (Manila Bay),
Malaysia (Port Kelang), Thailand (Bangkok), Vietnam (Ho Chi Minh) ports.
6) Northwest Europe deliveries refer to products coming into Antwerp port. Deliveries into Rotterdam and Amsterdam ports will be
normalized to Antwerp.
7) Turkey deliveries refer to products coming into Istanbul and Mersin ports.
8) US Gulf deliveries refer to products coming into Houston port. No deliveries from the Persian Gulf.
9) Latin America deliveries refer to products coming into mainports in Brazil, Chile, Uruguay.
CRISIL Research Macroeconomics & Currency Monthly Analysis
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Overview: On exports, worry beads forming

After falling by 1.5% in 2014-15, merchandise exports from India plunged 16.8% in the first 3 months ofthis fiscal. What went wrong?
The export destinations are not doing well, prices of many export items have fallen and the rupee, too,has appreciated in real terms
against the basket of 36 countries. Weakgrowth in the US economy in the first quarterwould have contributed to the sharp slide in
India'sexports as well.But our preliminary analysis shows the decline in exports is higher than warranted by these factors. That isto say,
the decline isnt merely cyclical; there could be structural elements at play as well. The cyclicalcomponent of the exports will move up
when cyclical factors (world GDP growth, prices) turn favourable,but structural factors, if not addressed, will continue to act as a drag
on India's export performance.The slowdown in trade is not unique to India. An IMF study (2014) notes that a part of the global
tradeslowdown since the crisis has been driven by structural, not cyclical factors. Theslowdown in trade could reflect deeper, structural
factors, such as a rise in protectionism or a change inglobal production schemes throughout the world.In the case of India, there are
additional worries. Falling competitiveness is another structural factorrestricting export growth. For key export items such as gems &
jewellery and textiles, RevealedComparative Advantage has come down over the years. Recently,the Indian commerce secretary also
expressed concerns on falling competitiveness of Indian exports due toinfrastructure and easing of doing business issues.Another
concern is the threat emanating from treaties such as Trans Pacific Partnership(TPP), which is being forged between 12 countries,
including the US. By not being a part of TPP, India riskslosing out a significant chunk of its export market; TPP countries account for
25% of Indias exports.Indeed, India needs to address export-related issues on a war footing.
11
Week 30 July 29, 2015

IIP indicates industry growth gaining traction
Industrial production growth inched down to 2.7% in May from 3.4% in April. However, despite the volatility, IIP numbers have averaged at a
higher level in 2015 - at 3.5% since January 2015 as compared to 1.4% in the 5 months prior to that. Therefore, IIP data suggests an
improvement in industrial activity this year in comparison to 2014, so far. In May, IIP growth slowed as the manufacturing sector lost
momentum on the back of weak performance of consumer-oriented sectors. Unseasonal rains earlier in the year, resulting in lower rural
demand, are weighing on consumer goods. This is reflected in lower two-wheeler and tractor sales in April and May. Therefore, favourable
distribution of rainfall so far and deficiency at -4% of long term average - much lower than last year - is a welcome respite.
Inflation crawls up in June

Inflation inched up to 5.4% from 5% in May due to a 70 bps increase in food inflation. Higher protein inflation -9.7% in June compared with 8.2%
in May - was behind the food inflation rise. Inflation in pulses crossed 22% in June as production suffered largely a result of a weak monsoon last
year and damage to crops from unseasonal rains this year. So far, the monsoon scenario remains favourable, with rainfall at 4% below the long
term average as on July 8, 2015. But, healthy and well-distributed rainfall in July and August will be crucial. We go by Indian Meteorological
Departments forecast of 12% deficient rainfall, but assume distribution remains normal, and the government undertakes proactive steps to
contain food inflation. We, therefore, expect CPI inflation at 5.8% in 2015-16, down from 6% in 2014-15. Core inflation rose 20 bps to 5.3% in
June, a slower climb compared to 40 bps in May. The pick-up came from a sharp jump in personal care and effects (up 120 bps) and in household
services, health, transport and communication and, recreation and amusement (all up 30 bps).
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Rupee stays put in June

The rupee averaged 63.9/$, hardly changed from 63.8/$ in May. However, it fell to 71.6 against the euro from71.2 in May. In the first half of
June, the rupee hovered between 64.2/$ and 63.8/$, and rose to 63.5/$ in the second half as weak employment data dragged the US dollar
down. However, as uncertainty on Greece loomed large in the last week of June, the rupee lost some ground, closing at 63.8/$. There was also
no support from FIIs, with net outflows continuing for the second consecutive monthly.
About CRISIL Research

CRISIL Research is India's largest independent and integrated research house. We provide insights, opinions, and analysis on the Indian economy, industries, capital markets and companies. We are India's most credible
provider of economy and industry research. Our industry research covers 70 sectors and is known for its rich insights and perspectives. Our analysis is supported by inputs from our network of more than 4,500 primary
sources, including industry experts, industry associations, and trade channels. We play a key role in India's fixed income markets. We are India's largest provider of valuations of fixed income securities, serving the mutual
fund, insurance, and banking industries. We are the sole provider of debt and hybrid indices to India's mutual fund and life insurance industries. We pioneered independent equity research in India, and are today India's largest
independent equity research house. Our defining trait is the ability to convert information and data into expert judgements and forecasts with complete objectivity. We leverage our deep understanding of the macroeconomy
and our extensive sector coverage to provide unique insights on micro-macro and cross-sectoral linkages. We deliver our research through an innovative web-based research platform. Our talent pool comprises economists,
sector experts, company analysts, and information management specialists.
12
Week 30 July 29, 2015
POLYMERUPDATE
PLATTS
Editorial Contact:
Global Editorial Director, Petrochemicals: Simon Thorne
Director, Editorial: Jwalant Oza
Managing Editor: Prema Viswanathan
Senior Editors: Harsh Nadkarni, Feroz Khan
Singapore Editors: Gustav Holmvik, Ng Bao Ying, Michelle Kim, Heng Hui, Genevieve Soong,
Maithreyi Ramdas, Pamela Sumayao, Jennifer Lee
Sales Contact:
Marketing Managers: Reshma Jadhav, Tausif Siddiqi, Nilesh Shah
Tokyo Editors: Fumiko Dobashi, Anton Ferkov
About Polymerupdate: Polymerupdate is a destination for global players seeking plastics and petrochemical intelligence. We are a world renowned provider of real time news and price alerts spanning a whole spectrum of
products including Crude oil, Naphtha, Aromatics, Olefins, Polyolefins and Petrochemical Intermediates.
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Credible, neutral and regular reporting has attracted over a thousand subscribers who include most of the regions leading resin producers, processors, distributors, traders, consultant firms, investment bankers, credit rating
agencies, as well as front runners in the international information services, news and media companies.
To further facilitate its readers, Polymerupdate recently launched the World's 1st Android & Blackberry Applications for daily polymer news & prices. Polymerupdate through it's daily alerts helps companies worldwide increase
their revenues and their profits, by providing them with real time, quality, valuable and business critical information. With its well appointed stringers and channel partners from across the world, Polymerupdate is rapidly
extending its reach within the industry, as it strives toward its goal of becoming the number one player in its space globally. Additional information available on http://www.polymerupdate.com .
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Copyright (C) 2014 Shalimar Infotech Pvt. Ltd. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED: Shalimar Infotech Pvt. Ltd. makes no warranties as to the accuracy of information, or results to be obtained from use. No portion of this
publication may be photocopied, reproduced, retransmitted, put into a computer system or otherwise redistributed without prior written authorization from Polymerupdate.com. Polymerupdate.com is a TRADEMARK of Shalimar
Infotech Pvt. Ltd.
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About Platts: Founded in 1909, Platts is a leading global provider of energy, petrochemicals and metals information and a premier source of benchmark prices for the physical and futures markets. Platts' news, pricing,
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This Weeks Highlights:

Asian Ethylene - NEA, SEA stable

Asian LDPE - Falls $15-$55/mt on weak demand

Platts International Prices

Polymerupdate Indian Domestic Producer Price

Polymerupdate CIF India Prices

Polymerupdate Indian Producer Posting Price Comparison

Polymerupdate Indian Open Market Price Table

Heard in PVC Market

Platts International Market Commentary & Analysis

Polymerupdate - PE Market Supply Scenario

Platts Price Analysis Of PE Chain Processing Margins

Platts Polymer Shipping Costs (USD/MT)

Crisil Research Macroeconomics & Currency Monthly Analysis

Polymerupdate - About us & Copyright

Platts - About us & Copyright

Week 30 July 29, 2015

PLATTS INTERNATIONAL PRICES (USD/MT)

India Crude basket: (USD/b)

(MOP West India)

INDIA DOMESTIC PRODUCER PRICE - RIL (Ex Hazira)

HDPE Inj CFR South Asia

HDPE Inj CFR Far East Asia

CFR South East Asia

HDPE Inj CFR South East Asia

HDPE Blow CFR South Asia

HDPE Blow CFR Far East Asia

HDPE Blow CFR South East Asia

HDPE Film CFR South Asia

HDPE Film CFR Far East Asia

HDPE Film CFR South East Asia

LLDPE GP CFR South Asia

LLDPE GP CFR Far East Asia

LLDPE GP CFR South East Asia

LDPE CFR Far East Asia

LDPE CFR South East Asia

PLATTS INTERNATIONAL PRICES

China Domestic (YUAN/MT EX-WORK) :

Price Change on Week

July 29 (WK 30)

July 22 (WK 29)

Week 30 July 29, 2015

- All prices are in USD/MT CIF India (Nhava Sheva)

Week 30 July 29, 2015

HDPE w.e.f 16-July-2015

Producer (Ex Works)

LDPE HEAVY DUTY

* Prices are in INR/MT (inclusive of excise duty)

LLDPE w.e.f 16-July-2015

Week 30 July 29, 2015

Note: All prices are in INR/kg levels.

Currency rates equivalent to 1 US Dollar :

Indian Rupees (INR)

Japan Yen (JPY)

Indonesia Rupiahs (IDR)

Malaysia Ringgits (MYR)

Singapore Dollars (SGD)

South Korea Won (KRW)

Thailand Baht (THB)

Saudi Arabia Riyals (SAR)

Taiwan New Dollars (TWD)

United Arab Emirates Dirhams (AED)

Week 30 July 29, 2015