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The Saudi move has been strongly backed by the US, Riyadhs principal ally,
which is providing logistical and intelligence support. It is inconceivable that
the Saudis stated plan to launch a ground offensive into Yemen employing
150,000 troops would be under contemplation without prior American
agreement and support.
As yet, American forces do not appear to be directly involved. But the fact that
the Saudis have given the name Storm of Resolve to their air operation in
Yemen recalls another big joint operation involving US and Saudi ground
forces, Operation Desert Storm, the 1991 war to drive Saddam Husseins Iraqi
forces out of Kuwait.
The Saudi decision to unveil the international coalition in Washington
suggests that the Obama administration, rather than the normally risk-averse
regime in Riyadh, may be the driving force behind the intervention.
The US also sees this fight as part of a much bigger, strategic struggle with
Iran. But little in the Middle East is straightforward. In another regional
theatre of war, the Americans find themselves fighting on the same side as the
Iranians, using their air power to support Iranian-backed Shia militia
attacking Islamic State forces in the Iraqi city of Tikrit.
Incongruous, too, is the prospect of John Kerry, the US secretary of state,
meeting his Iranian counterpart this week in Lausanne to try to seal a nuclear
deal with Tehran at the same time as the two countries take drastically
opposite sides over Yemen. By dramatising the confrontation with Iran, the
Saudis may be sending a not so oblique message to Washington that the
nuclear deal, which they oppose, is dangerous and that Tehran is not to be
trusted.
If so, they will have Israels wholehearted backing. Other western and global
powers may be drawn in as the crisis unfolds. The Saudi-led intervention has
had an immediate, negative impact on world markets, and drove up the
overnight oil price by 6%. Import-dependent China was quick to express its
concern, though oil-producing Russia (and Iran) will be pleased to see energy
prices rising.
Diplomats suggest that Britain, the former colonial power in Yemen and a
close Saudi ally, may also be asked for help, if it has not already been