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Introduction
The events in the US equity market on August 24, 2015 marked the first true
opportunity to assess the efficacy of reforms implemented in response to the 2010
Flash Crash,1 such as individual stock trading halts, policies to address erroneous
transactions, and the market-wide circuit breaker. For most of the day, the market
functioned and remained accessible to investors at record-setting trading levels and
volatility. But, during the first hour of trading, a tumultuous US market open
precipitated rapid, anomalous price moves in many stocks, exchange-traded
products (ETPs), and closed-end funds (CEFs). This ViewPoint examines the
events of that first hour.
August 24 reminds us that we live in a world of increasing volatility, as technology
and many other dynamics impact capital markets from equities to fixed income. For
example, it was only a year ago that we experienced the Treasury Flash Rally on
October 15, 2014. With the recognition that moments of high volatility and
discontinuous pricing may be a persistent aspect of todays markets, we see a need
for market participants, exchanges, and regulators to improve the US equity markets
ability to cope with extraordinary volatility.
In this ViewPoint, we discuss the lessons from August 24 and analyze the brief
breakdown in the arbitrage mechanism for many US-listed ETPs that invest in US
equities. We believe that the industry and regulatory response should first focus on
facilitating the free flow of pricing and order information across the US equity market
ecosystem. We share recommendations to refine trading mechanisms and guard
rails to enhance the resiliency of the US equity market, which we believe will
promote fair and orderly markets and benefit the functioning of both ETPs and
individual stocks. As discussed throughout this ViewPoint, proposed improvements
must balance attempts to improve market resiliency with the preservation of the
existing and well-functioning processes through which equity securities are traded
today.
Barbara Novick
Richard Prager
Vice Chairman
Hubert De Jesus,
Supurna VedBrat
Co-Head of Market
Structure and
Electronic Trading
Co-Head of Market
Structure and
Electronic Trading
Martin Small
Samara Cohen
US Head of iShares
US Head of iShares
Capital Markets
Ananth Madhavan,
PhD, Global Head of
Alexis Rosenblum
Market activity on August 24 was particularly extreme. Before the market opened,
global equity markets were down 3% to 5% and the e-mini S&P 500 future was limit
down 5% in pre-market trading before wider price curbs went into effect at 9:30am.3
Due to these pre-opening factors, the morning began under selling pressure with
substantial order imbalances at the open as investors reacting to global macro
concerns flooded the marketplace with aggressive orders to sell (that is, orders to
sell without any restrictions as to price or timeframe such as market and stop-loss
sell orders). According to the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), the volume of
The opinions expressed are as of October 2015 and may change as subsequent conditions vary.
Government Relations
& Public Policy
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Contributors to disruptions on the morning of August 24:
1. A confluence of US equity market issues exposed structural flaws that impeded the flow of order and pricing
information, halted trading, and delayed the open for various securities.
Widespread selling pressure led to pre-market price declines in futures and a surge in market orders.
Almost half of New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)-listed equities had not opened by 9:40am.4 Exchange rules limited preopen pricing information on those securities.
Many stocks that opened on time began trading at abnormally low levels (e.g., down 20%).
Trading in hundreds of securities was repeatedly halted by Limit-Up Limit-Down (LULD) rules, including 773 Limit Up halts
and 505 Limit Down halts.5
2. The US equity ETP arbitrage mechanism was temporarily impaired due to disruptions stemming from the above issues.
~20% of US-listed ETPs were halted from trading at some point during the day.6
ETPs depend on market makers to arbitrage price discrepancies between share price and underlying portfolio value.
Market makers in US equity ETPs, in particular, required near-100% price transparency across the US equity market to
determine when arbitrage opportunities were available and implement hedges.
Arbitrage ceased temporarily on many US ETPs amid the lack of price indications, widespread anomalous single stock
pricing, uncertainty around hedging due to fear of broken trades, delayed opens and trading halts in many stocks. The
result was price dislocations or disparate behavior between comparable ETPs, similar to the experience of individual stocks.
The issues were primarily concentrated in US-listed ETPs that invest in US equities. 7 US-listed ETPs that invest in non-US
equities or bonds and ETPs listed in other countries generally traded normally.
After the first hour, the market and ETP arbitrage functioned well. August 24 was the second-highest trading day in US
equity history; ETPs comprised 37% of that flow.8
3. Excessive use of market and stop-loss orders that seek liquidity at any price inflamed the situation.
When markets are volatile, liquidity can come at a cost.
Market and stop-loss orders that demand liquidity at any price added to selling pressure and proved especially risky on
the morning of August 24.
[2]
Source: Bloomberg. Data reports the lowest price at each minute interval and is
normalized relative to the closing price on August 21.
[3]
Representative ETP
Source: TAQ, Nasdaq. For illustrative purposes only. Width of bubbles represents volume for each individual trade. Note that some of the reopening trades in the ETP
example are reported individually instead of as a block transaction meaning that there are multiple small bubbles instead of one large bubble as shown for the opening.
[4]
BATS
NASDAQ
NYSE
NYSE
Arca
NYSE
MKT
< 1m
57
11
520
1-5m
30
15
242
5-15m
25
10
96
>15m
82
42
141
Source: TAQ.
[5]
Representative ETP 2
Representative ETP 3
Representative ETP 4
Representative ETP
Index
Source: Bloomberg. Note primary and secondary axes use different scales.
[6]
Description
Obligations
Broker-dealers
No obligations.
Exchangeregistered market
makers
Electronic market
makers
No obligations.
High Frequency
Arbitrageurs
No obligations.
Wholesale / OTC
market makers
[7]
[8]
[9]
Since
1960
Since
1980
Since
2000
Since
2010
<-3%
160
155
112
19
<-5%
35
34
23
<-7%
12
12
10
<-10%
[ 10 ]
NYSE
MKT
NYSE
Arca
NYSE
9:30-9:35
204
1,239
1,086
2,751
20
9:35-9:40
60
10
559
9:40-9:50
33
14
833
9:50-10:00
11
371
10:00-10:30
38
191
> 10:30
89
NASDAQ
BATS
[ 11 ]
when faced with the risk that their positions may become
unhedged.35 The discrepancy between LULD price bands
and erroneous trade guidelines undermines liquidity provision
when it is most needed.
Furthermore, the erroneous trade dispute process may be
difficult for all market participants to access equitably. The
request to have an exchange review a trade must usually be
made within 30-60 minutes of the execution. This window is
necessarily narrow in order to achieve quick and orderly
resolution of trade appeals. However, it may naturally
disadvantage investors who are not active traders. Although
only a few trades were cancelled on August 24 according to
Deutsche Banks report on the events of August 24, 36 it is
very likely that the opportunity to review a transaction had
long since expired before many market participants were
even aware that they had executions. In some instances,
investors may not realize that their orders have been filled
until they receive the trade confirmation reports. As such,
policies which prevent anomalous trades from ever occurring
are more effective than cancellation guidelines that leave
market participants liable for bad executions. In fact, in
proposing the LULD plan, the plan participants stated that a
key benefit of the limit up-limit down requirements should be
the prevention of clearly erroneous executions. 37 BlackRock
recommends a review to harmonize erroneous trade
guidelines and LULD rules to eliminate any uncertainty
regarding whether a trade will be cancelled.
Issuer Consideration of Listing Standards
Events from August 24 have demonstrated that exchange
rules and procedures have an enduring effect on the market
quality of their listed securities. Exchange practices may
inhibit transparency of imbalances, set auction prices that are
not fully representative of overall demand, or aggravate price
volatility. As such, BlackRock believes that issuers of both
individual stocks and ETPs have a responsibility to their
investors to consider whether an exchanges rules and
processes are sound before listing their securities. ETP
Reference
Price
9:45 am3:35 pm
9:30 am-9:45 am
3:35 pm-4:00 pm
> $3
5%
10%
> $3
10%
20%
Between
$0.75 and
$3
20%
40%
< $0.75
$0.15 or
75%
$0.30 or 150%
Reference Price
10%
5%
3%
Multi-stock Event
(between 5 and 20)
10%
30%
Leveraged ETF/ETN
Guidelines multiplied by
leverage multiplier (e.g. 2x)
[ 12 ]
Price
Discretion
Description
Immediacy
Market
None
Immediate
Limit
Within Limit
Stop
Order which converts into a market order when the stop price is reached
None
Stop Limit
Order which converts into a limit order when the stop price is reached
Within Limit
Source: BlackRock.
Only limit and stop limit orders, which ensure that executions
are at or better than a specified price, protect investors
against very low sale or very high purchase prices. 38
Investors should consider using limit orders which are
marketable to increase the likelihood of an execution while
still retaining protection against large price moves.
Marketable limit orders are limit orders that are currently
executable at the existing market price, as the limit price is
set at or above (below) the best offer (bid) price for a buy
(sell) order.
Another area where further education is required, is the fact
that trading around the open can be particularly volatile this
is a period when investors digest new information and price
discovery is taking place in the market. During this time,
liquidity providers will typically widen their bid-offer spreads or
reduce the depth of their interest to manage risk. Exhibit 12
highlights some of the intraday dynamics which exist in the
US equity market. The first 30 minutes of the day typically has:
The least liquidity order book depth, or the quantity of
[ 13 ]
Conclusion
As market participants and regulators continue to review the
events of August 24, many have asked: what can we learn
from August 24 and how can we collectively move forward in
light of this experience? Over the past few weeks, we have
considered various lessons from August 24 and we have
identified three key issues:
Intraday Volatility
Source: KCG
[ 14 ]
Notes
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.
26.
27.
28.
29.
30.
31.
32.
33.
34.
35.
36.
37.
38.
For additional information on the May 2010 Flash Crash, see BlackRock, ViewPoint, Revisiting the Flash Crash: A Year Has Passed,
What has Changed? (May 2011), available at http://www.blackrock.com/corporate/en-us/literature/whitepaper/viewpoint-revisiting-theflash-crash-may-2011.pdf and BlackRock, ViewPoint, Understanding the Flash Crash: What Happened, Why ETFs Were Affected, and
How to Reduce the Risk of Another, (Nov. 2010), available at https://www.blackrock.com/corporate/ench/literature/whitepaper/understanding-the-flash-crash-nov-2010.pdf (November 2010 Flash Crash ViewPoint).
Bloomberg. As of Aug. 24, 2015.
Id.
TAQ. As of Aug. 24, 2015.
Id.
JP Morgan, NYSE. As of Aug. 24, 2015.
Credit Suisse, Market Commentary, Perfect Storm Leads to ETF Trading Halts (Sep. 30, 2015), available at https://edge.creditsuisse.com/edge/Public/Bulletin/Servefile.aspx?FileID=26992&m=-1862231407.
Goldman Sachs Research, How ETFs Shaped Yesterdays Selloff (Aug. 25, 2015) (Goldman Sachs ETF Report).
Bloomberg. As of Aug. 24, 2015. Note that at 9:35am on August 24, the S&P 500 index was down 5.3% from previous close.
Id.
In the event that an extreme market volatility condition is declared with respect to trading on or through the facilities of the NYSE, the
NYSE can temporarily suspend applicable requirements to make pre-opening indications in a security (Rules 15 and 123D(1)) at the
opening of trading or reopening of trading following a market-wide trading halt. See NYSE, Rule 48: Exemptive Relief Extreme Market
Volatility Condition, available at
http://nyserules.nyse.com/NYSETools/PlatformViewer.asp?selectednode=chp_1_3_7_14&manual=/nyse/rules/nyse-rules/.
TAQ. As of Aug. 24, 2015.
KCG, Market Insights, Examination of August 24 Market Volatility (Sep. 14, 2015).
NYSE. As of August 24, 2015.
JP Morgan, NYSE. As of Aug. 24, 2015.
Nasdaq, Press Release, New York Stock Exchange Remains Global Leader in Capital Raising in First Half of 2015; Leader in Tech IPOs,
REITs and ETP Listings (Jul. 6, 2015), available at http://www.nasdaq.com/press-release/new-york-stock-exchange-remains-globalleader-in-capital-raising-in-first-half-of-2015-leader-in-20150706-00315#ixzz3n5V8UCJE.
NYSE Arca, Trader Update, NYSE Arca Equities Enhancements to Auction Collars (Sep. 4, 2015), available at
https://www.nyse.com/publicdocs/nyse/markets/nyse-arca/NYSE_Arca_Trader_Update_Auction_Collars_Sept_2015.pdf (NYSE Arca
Trader Update).
APs are sophisticated institutional trading firms that enter into a contract with the ETP specifying rules for creating and redeeming ETP
shares.
For many years, including most recently in our August 2015 letter to the SEC, we only included two categories valuation clarity and
access that are necessary for an effective arbitrage mechanism. However, in light of the events of August 24, we felt it was important
to acknowledge that certainty of execution, which was lacking for certain periods on that day, is also essential. See BlackRock, Comment
Letter, Request for Comment on Exchange-Traded Products SEC (Aug. 11, 2015), available at
https://www.blackrock.com/corporate/en-in/literature/publication/sec-request-for-comment-exchange-traded-products-081115.pdf.
Harts, William R., Modern Markets Initiative, Letter to SEC (Sep. 24, 2015), available at http://modernmarketsinitiative.org/wpcontent/uploads/2015/09/Letter-to-SEC-on-ETFs.pdf.
ArcaVision. As of August 24, 2015.
Goldman Sachs ETF Report.
NYSE Arca Rules, Rule 104.
The Brady Commission Report found that: When abnormal demands confront the equity market, the liquidity in each marketplace is
unimportant[market makers go home with relatively small positions]Investors must depend on the liquidity supplied by participants in
the entire equity market. See Report of the Presidential Task Force on Market Mechanisms (Jan. 1988) at 57.
State Street Global Advisors, Stress Testing ETFs: Lessons from the Last Twenty Years (Jan. 2014), available at http://spdretfs.com/data/uploads/2014/01/Stress-Testing-ETFs-Lessons-from-the-Last-Twenty-Years.pdf.
Various elements of the US equity markets are regulated by the SEC and CFTC. While FINRA, NFA, and exchanges are self-regulatory
organizations (SROs), the SEC and CFTC have ultimate oversight powers on securities matters under their jurisdiction.
Angel, James J., Ph.D., CFA, Limit Up Limit Down: National Market System Plan Assessment to Address Extraordinary Market
Volatility, (May 28, 2015), Georgetown University at 17.
Id. at 11. See also SEC, Release No. 3464547, 76 Fed. Reg. 31647-31659 (Jun. 1, 2011), available at
http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2011-06-01/pdf/2011-13472.pdf.
TAQ. As of Aug. 24, 2015.
MFA suggests that a reassessment be conducted by regulators at least every two years. See Managed Funds Association, U.S. Equity
Market Structure: A Year in Review and the Push for Continued Vigilance, (Sep. 2015), available at www.tabbgroup.com.
Bloomberg, TAQ. As of Aug. 24, 2015.
Id.
NYSE Rule 123D(1) requires that 3 minutes must elapse between the first indication and the market open and that an additional minute is
required after each subsequent indication, in the event that the opening price will be outside of the prior indication. See
http://nyserules.nyse.com/nyse/rules/nyse-rules/chp_1_3/chp_1_3_8/chp_1_3_8_14/default.asp.
NYSE Arca Trader Update.
November 2010 Flash Crash ViewPoint.
Deutsche Bank Global Market Structure, US Market Structure Commentary: Just Another Manic Monday? (Sep. 24, 2015).
NYSE Euronext, Response to Comments on Plan to Address Extraordinary Market Volatility Pursuant to Rule 608 of Regulation NMS
under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (Nov. 2, 2011), available at http://www.sec.gov/comments/4-631/4631-21.pdf.
Although Limit and Stop Limit orders provide investors with price protection, they may result in delayed executions and do not guarantee
a fill. Investors must assess whether the opportunity cost of not receiving an execution is outweighed by the increased certainty on the
price achieved.
[ 15 ]
RELATED CONTENT
ViewPoint - US Equity Market Structure: An Investor Perspective, Apr 2014
Equity Market Structure Recommendations, Letter to SEC, Sep 2014
ViewPoint - Revisiting the Flash Crash: A Year Has Passed, What Has Changed?, May 2011
ViewPoint - Understanding the "Flash Crash": What Happened, Why ETFs Were Affected, and How to Reduce the Risk of Another,
Nov 2010
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GOV-0053