Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
Valuation Conclusions
($ in millions)
1.
Football Field (shows valuation ranges of all indications and SPT conclusion)
METHODOLOGY
IMPLIED VALUATION
COMMENTS
$17,500
$18,900
$13,700
$13,600
$19,500
$24,600
$15,900
$10,000
$14,900
$0
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
Enterprise Value
b.
Note:
Low
High
Weight
$17,500
$19,500
25%
$18,900
$24,600
25%
$13,700
$15,900
25%
$13,600
$14,900
25%
Weighted Value
$15,925
$18,725
100%
Transaction Comparables and Analyst Averages valuation methods can be shown in the football field when relevant
GSN Digital
Low
High
Comps
Median
Implied
Selected as % of Median
$22.2
7.0 x
--
8.0 x
6.4 x
109.2%
--
124.8%
$155.2
--
$177.3
$44.2
3.5 x
--
4.5 x
3.8 x
92.1%
--
118.5%
$154.8
--
$199.0
100.7%
--
121.6%
CY 13
EBITDA
Mean / Median
Concluded Enterprise Value Range (Minority Basis)
Control Premium
25.0%
$155.0
--
$188.2
$155.0
--
$188.2
$38.8
$193.8
$47.1
--
$235.3
LTM
CY'13
Size
12/4/2012
Enterprise
Market
Value
Capitalization
LTM
Revenue
4.3x
3.1x
5.4x
1.7x
4.6x
4.3x
3.8x
4.4x
NA
5.3x
1.7x
4.5x
4.4x
3.9x
4.0x
NA
4.9x
NA
4.1x
4.1x
4.4x
12.0x
7.5x
12.2x
12.5x
10.0x
12.0x
10.8x
11.2x
NA
11.4x
9.4x
9.8x
10.5x
10.4x
10.5x
NA
10.3x
NA
8.9x
10.3x
9.9x
$5,705
$1,062
$23,946
$125
$10,346
$5,705
$8,237
$3,733
$608
$20,360
$184
$9,002
$3,733
$6,777
$1,325
$347
$4,460
$76
$2,256
$1,325
$1,693
Diversified Media
CBS Corporation
Walt Disney Co.
News Corp.
Time Warner Inc.
Viacom, Inc.
Median
Mean
1.9x
2.3x
1.9x
2.1x
2.2x
2.1x
2.1x
1.8x
2.3x
1.8x
2.0x
NA
1.9x
2.0x
1.7x
2.1x
1.8x
2.0x
NA
1.9x
1.9x
8.0x
9.0x
9.3x
8.5x
7.8x
8.5x
8.5x
7.6x
8.5x
9.1x
8.6x
7.9x
8.5x
8.3x
7.1x
7.7x
8.2x
8.0x
7.4x
7.7x
7.7x
$27,139
$97,562
$63,084
$58,984
$32,308
$58,984
$55,816
$22,159
$84,439
$57,473
$42,296
$24,778
$42,296
$46,229
$14,602
$42,278
$33,883
$28,758
$14,577
$28,758
$26,820
Global Median
Global Mean
2.3x
2.9x
2.2x
3.0x
2.1x
3.0x
9.2x
9.7x
9.1x
9.3x
8.1x
8.5x
$25,543
$32,026
$21,260
$26,503
$9,519
$14,256
Comparative Analysis
($ in millions)
Comparative Analysis
Size
LTM Revenue
Walt Disney Co.
News Corp.
Time Warner Inc.
CBS Corporation
Viacom, Inc.
Discovery Communications, Inc.
Scripps Networks Interactive, Inc.
Starz
AMC Networks Inc.
Crown Media Holdings Inc.
Outdoor Channel Holdings, Inc.
Historical Growth
2 Year CY EBITDA
CBS Corporation
Scripps Networks Interactive, Inc.
Starz
Outdoor Channel Holdings, Inc.
Discovery Communications, Inc.
Crown Media Holdings Inc.
Walt Disney Co.
News Corp.
AMC Networks Inc.
Time Warner Inc.
Viacom, Inc.
Profitability
LTM EBIT / LTM Revenue
Discovery Communications, Inc.
Scripps Networks Interactive, Inc.
Crown Media Holdings Inc.
AMC Networks Inc.
Viacom, Inc.
Starz
Time Warner Inc.
Walt Disney Co.
CBS Corporation
News Corp.
Outdoor Channel Holdings, Inc.
$42,278
$33,883
$28,758
$14,602
$14,577
$4,460
$2,256
$1,640
$1,325
$347
$76
Size
Enterprise Value
Walt Disney Co.
News Corp.
Time Warner Inc.
Viacom, Inc.
CBS Corporation
Discovery Communications, Inc.
Scripps Networks Interactive, Inc.
AMC Networks Inc.
Starz
Crown Media Holdings Inc.
Outdoor Channel Holdings, Inc.
$97,562
$63,084
$58,984
$32,308
$27,139
$23,946
$10,346
$5,705
$2,900
$1,062
$125
Historical Growth
2 Year CY Revenue
Scripps Networks Interactive, Inc.
Discovery Communications, Inc.
AMC Networks Inc.
Crown Media Holdings Inc.
Time Warner Inc.
Walt Disney Co.
News Corp.
CBS Corporation
Starz
Viacom, Inc.
Outdoor Channel Holdings, Inc.
23%
11%
10%
8%
7%
6%
5%
5%
2%
0%
NMF
Viacom, Inc.
Crown Media Holdings Inc.
Discovery Communications, Inc.
AMC Networks Inc.
Scripps Networks Interactive, Inc.
Time Warner Inc.
Walt Disney Co.
News Corp.
CBS Corporation
Starz
Outdoor Channel Holdings, Inc.
23%
13%
12%
10%
10%
8%
5%
3%
1%
1%
NMF
34%
33%
27%
24%
21%
20%
15%
15%
14%
8%
8%
Projected Growth
1 Year CY EBITDA
AMC Networks Inc.
CBS Corporation
Discovery Communications, Inc.
Scripps Networks Interactive, Inc.
Walt Disney Co.
News Corp.
Starz
Time Warner Inc.
Viacom, Inc.
Crown Media Holdings Inc.
Outdoor Channel Holdings, Inc.
19%
14%
10%
9%
8%
7%
5%
2%
1%
0%
0%
Projected Growth
1 Year CY Revenue
Scripps Networks Interactive, Inc.
AMC Networks Inc.
Discovery Communications, Inc.
Walt Disney Co.
Outdoor Channel Holdings, Inc.
CBS Corporation
News Corp.
Starz
Time Warner Inc.
Crown Media Holdings Inc.
Viacom, Inc.
12%
10%
7%
6%
5%
5%
4%
3%
0%
0%
NMF
46%
44%
41%
36%
29%
27%
26%
24%
23%
20%
13%
Leverage
Total Debt / Enterprise Value
Crown Media Holdings Inc.
AMC Networks Inc.
Starz
Time Warner Inc.
News Corp.
Viacom, Inc.
Discovery Communications, Inc.
CBS Corporation
Walt Disney Co.
Scripps Networks Interactive, Inc.
Outdoor Channel Holdings, Inc.
46%
40%
40%
34%
26%
25%
22%
22%
15%
13%
0%
Historical Growth
1 Year CY EBITDA
31%
28%
27%
24%
21%
20%
15%
13%
12%
8%
0%
Starz
Viacom, Inc.
CBS Corporation
Crown Media Holdings Inc.
Outdoor Channel Holdings, Inc.
Discovery Communications, Inc.
AMC Networks Inc.
News Corp.
Scripps Networks Interactive, Inc.
Time Warner Inc.
Walt Disney Co.
42%
41%
39%
29%
27%
25%
21%
21%
20%
17%
9%
Profitability
LTM EBITDA to LTM Revenue
Scripps Networks Interactive, Inc.
Discovery Communications, Inc.
Crown Media Holdings Inc.
AMC Networks Inc.
Viacom, Inc.
Starz
Walt Disney Co.
Time Warner Inc.
CBS Corporation
News Corp.
Outdoor Channel Holdings, Inc.
Historical Growth
1 Year CY Revenue
Key parameters to set for your search are geographic location, industry classifications, and company type
Selected Multiples
LTM Run Rate
Starz
Low
EBITDA
$436
7.5 x
Mean / Median
Concluded Enterprise Value Range (Control)
--
High
Comps
Median
8.5 x
8.0 x
Implied
Selected as % of Median
94.3%
--
106.8%
$3,270
--
$3,706
94.3%
--
106.8%
$3,270
--
$3,706
$3,300
$3,700
Comparable Transactions
($ in millions)
Financial Metrics
Announced
Network
Summary Description
EV
Revenue
EBITDA
EV/
EV/
Subscribers
Revenue
EBITDA
(mil.)
Subscriber Metrics
EV/
Revenue/
Subscriber
Subscriber
EBITDA/
Subscriber
TV Guide Network1
Outdoor Channel
Current TV
Travel Channel2
GSN
TV Games ("TVG") Networks
TV Guide Network3
$210.0
$168.2
$500.0
$975.0
$600.0
$50.7
$250.0
$82.0
$77.3
$108.4
$193.3
$139.7
$38.2
$103.0
$11.0
$12.6
$24.0
$77.8
$47.9
NA
$24.8
2.56x
2.18x
4.61x *
5.04x
4.30x
1.33x *
2.43x
19.1x *
13.3x
20.8x *
12.5x
12.5x
NA
10.1x
80.0
38.1
58.2
95.0
67.2
29.3
72.4
$2.63
$4.42
$8.59
$10.26
$8.93
$1.73
$3.45
$1.03
$2.03
$1.86
$2.03
$2.08
$1.30
$1.42
$0.14
$0.33
$0.41
$0.82
$0.71
NA
$0.34
$496.0
$31.1
$324.9
$70.0
$303.0
$203.0
$200.0
$255.0
$63.0
$552.0
$90.5
NA
$39.4
$19.0
$31.7
$25.6
NA
$9.1
$6.8
$72.9
$34.1
NA
NA
NA
$8.5
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
5.48x
NA
8.25x
3.68x *
9.56x
7.93x
NA
28.02x *
9.26x
7.57x
14.5x
NA
NA
NA
35.6x *
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
30.0
6.7
14.7
17.0
26.0
28.0
14.0
24.5
8.6
33.0
$16.53
$4.64
$22.10
$4.12
$11.65
$7.25
$14.29
$10.41
$7.33
$16.73
$3.02
NA
$2.68
$1.12
$1.22
$0.91
NA
$0.37
$0.79
$2.21
$1.14
NA
NA
NA
$0.33
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
$140.0
$288.0
$1,162.8
$932.8
$1,250.0
$650.0
$751.0
$1,181.2
$750.4
$615.4
$12.0
NA
NA
$72.9
$152.0
$64.0
NA
$109.4
$103.6
NA
NA
NA
$80.3
NA
$56.8
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
11.67x
NA
NA
12.80x
8.22x
10.16x
NA
10.80x
7.24x
NA
NA
NA
14.5x
NA
22.0x
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
36.7
44.0
58.4
42.4
56.0
39.0
45.6
34.5
40.3
36.0
$3.81
$6.55
$19.91
$22.00
$22.32
$16.67
$16.47
$34.24
$18.62
$17.09
$0.33
NA
NA
$1.72
$2.71
$1.64
NA
$3.17
$2.57
NA
NA
NA
$1.38
NA
$1.01
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
$3,500.0
$925.0
$684.0
$1,394.0
$3,113.9
$7,275.0
$14,000.0
$2,500.0
$2,450.0
$3,714.0
$3,976.0
$2,627.0
$3,118.0
$1,540.0
$550.0
NA
NA
NA
$437.0
$1,305.8
$4,381.0
$397.0
$340.0
$724.2
$360.0
$218.0
$413.0
$74.9
$294.0
$61.2
$71.4
$83.4
NA
NA
$858.0
$160.0
$87.0
$197.9
$123.0
$128.0
NA
NA
6.36x
NA
NA
NA
7.13x
5.57x
3.20x *
6.30x
7.21x
5.13x
11.04x
12.05x
7.55x
20.56x *
11.9x
15.1x
9.6x
16.7x
NA
NA
16.3x
15.6x
28.2x *
18.8x
32.3x *
20.5x
NA
NA
$5.73
NA
NA
NA
$3.28
$6.83
$33.62 *
$2.44
$4.16
$6.63
$2.38
$3.49
$3.60
$0.85
$3.06
$0.83
$0.81
$0.98
NA
NA
$6.58
$0.98
$1.06
$1.81
$0.81
$2.05
NA
NA
Sundance Channel
The Sportsman Channel
CSTV
News World International
Outdoor Channel
Noggin
Discovery Civilization
Health Network
BET on Jazz
GSN: The Game Show Network
30 - 60 Million Subscribers
10/12/04
03/25/04
12/01/03
03/01/02
11/04/02
10/01/01
10/01/01
05/22/01
05/01/01
05/01/01
Weather Channel
Oxygen
Travel Channel
CourtTV
E!, Style, International Channel
USA, SCI FI, Trio
QVC
AMC, IFC, WE
Comedy Central
Fox Family Worldwide
AMC, Bravo, IFC, & WE
BET
TNN and CMT
TV Guide and Sneak Preview
Note:
(1)
(2)
(3)
96.0
74.0
88.0
85.4
133.3
191.2
130.3
162.6
81.8
109.2
151.0
62.4
114.6
88.2
$36.46
$12.50
$7.77
$16.32
$23.36
$38.05
$107.44 *
$15.38
$29.95
$34.01
$26.33
$42.10
$27.21
$17.46
Financial Metrics
EV
Revenue
EBITDA
Subscriber Metrics
EV/
EV/
Subscribers
EV/
Revenue/
EBITDA/
Revenue
EBITDA
(mil.)
Subscriber
Subscriber
Subscriber
$50.7
$38.2
$11.0
2.18x
10.1x
29.3
$1.73
$1.30
$0.33
High
$975.0
$193.3
$77.8
5.04x
13.3x
95.0
$10.26
$2.08
$0.82
Median
$250.0
$103.0
$24.4
2.56x
12.5x
67.2
$4.42
$1.86
$0.34
Mean
$393.4
$106.0
$33.0
3.30x
12.1x
62.9
$5.72
$1.68
$0.47
$31.1
$14,000.0
$6.8
$4,381.0
$8.5
$858.0
5.13x
12.80x
9.6x
22.0x
6.7
191.2
$3.81
$42.10
$0.33
$6.83
$0.33
$6.58
$838.0
$1,795.2
$103.6
$400.4
$85.2
$160.3
7.93x
8.44x
15.6x
16.0x
44.8
64.8
$16.73
$18.78
$2.51
$2.66
$1.04
$1.63
Sources: Kagan, UBS estimates, Bear Stearns estimates, A.G. Edwards estimates, JP Morgan estimates, Capital IQ and various news articles.
Key parameters to set for your search are geographic location, industry classifications, transaction type, M&A announced date, target
revenue, and total transaction value
Key data columns include Announced Date, Buyer, Seller, Transaction Value, EV/Revenue, EV/EBITDA, etc.
$482
($193)
$289
(91)
(27)
27
$198
0.5
94%
$187
Year 2
2013E
$450
($180)
$270
(96)
(29)
29
$174
1.5
84%
$146
Year 3
2014E
Year 4
2015E
$474
($190)
$284
(101)
(30)
30
$184
2.5
75%
$138
Year 5
2016E
Year 6
2017E
$498
($199)
$299
(106)
(32)
32
$193
3.5
67%
$129
$506
($202)
$304
(108)
(32)
32
$196
4.5
60%
$117
$479
($192)
$288
(102)
(31)
31
$186
5.5
53%
$99
NPV
Terminal Exit Multiple
5.0x
6.0x
$2,183
$2,453
2,138
2,400
2,093
2,349
2,050
2,299
2,008
2,250
7.0x
$2,723
2,662
2,604
2,547
2,492
8.0x
$2,992
2,925
2,860
2,796
2,735
$815
$510
6.0x
$3,059
$1,533
65.3%
$2,349
5.2x
4.9x
5.8%
Discount Rate
$2,349
11.2%
11.7%
12.2%
12.7%
13.2%
4.0x
$1,914
1,875
1,837
1,801
1,765
EV Range
$2,000
--
$2,700
10
$815
$186
3.0%
$2,077
$1,103
57.5%
$1,918
4.0x
3.8x
4.1x
Discount Rate
EV Range
$1,918
11.2%
11.7%
12.2%
12.7%
13.2%
2.0%
$1,982
1,887
1,800
1,722
1,651
NPV
Perpetuity Growth Rate
2.5%
3.0%
$2,054
$2,135
1,950
2,020
1,856
1,918
1,772
1,827
1,695
1,744
$1,800
--
3.5%
$2,226
2,099
1,987
1,887
1,797
$2,100
4.0%
$2,330
2,189
2,065
1,955
1,857
Company
Scripps Networks Interactive, Inc.
CBS Corporation
The Walt Disney Company
News Corp.
Time Warner Inc.
Viacom, Inc.
Median
Mean
Company
Scripps Networks Interactive, Inc.
CBS Corporation
The Walt Disney Company
News Corp.
Time Warner Inc.
Viacom, Inc.
Median
Mean
Headquarter
Country
United States
United States
United States
United States
United States
United States
Risk Free
Rate
2.4%
2.4%
2.4%
2.4%
2.4%
2.4%
2.4%
2.4%
Debt
1,384.3
6,467.0
17,457.0
16,457.0
19,441.0
8,933.0
$12,695.0
$11,689.9
Levered Beta
1.11
2.26
1.21
1.53
1.17
1.28
1.25
1.43
Preferred
Stock
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
$0.0
$0.0
Unlevered
Beta
1.04
2.05
1.12
1.38
1.01
1.13
1.13
1.29
Equity Market
Value
10,129.1
30,085.6
115,331.3
74,058.5
55,746.8
32,893.2
$44,320.0
$53,040.7
Total
Capitalization
11,513.4
36,552.6
132,788.3
90,515.5
75,187.8
41,826.2
$58,507.0
$64,730.6
Equity Risk
Premium
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
Size
Premium
0.8%
(0.4%)
(0.4%)
(0.4%)
(0.4%)
(0.4%)
(0.4%)
(0.2%)
Debt to Equity
Market Value
12.0%
17.7%
13.1%
18.2%
25.9%
21.4%
17.9%
18.0%
Cost of
Equity
Debt to Total
Capitalization
12.0%
17.7%
13.1%
18.2%
25.9%
21.4%
17.9%
18.0%
Cost of
Debt
10.6%
17.0%
10.1%
12.2%
9.8%
10.5%
10.5%
11.7%
Preferred Stock to
Total
Capitalization
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
WACC
3.7%
6.2%
2.8%
6.6%
6.8%
5.2%
5.7%
5.2%
9.6%
14.7%
9.0%
10.7%
8.3%
8.9%
9.3%
10.2%
WACC Inputs
Unlevered Beta (u )
Calculated Levered Beta (u )
Market Premium (Rm-Rf)
Equity Size Premium (Rs)
Country Risk Premium
Company Specific Premium
Risk-Free Rate (Rf)
Pre-Tax Cost of Debt (Rd )
Assumed Marginal Corporate Tax Rate (T)
Equity as a Percentage of Total Capital
Debt as a Percentage of Total Capital
Target Total Debt / Equity Value
1.29
1.43
6.6%
1.7%
0.0%
0.0%
2.4%
5.7%
40.0%
80.0%
20.0%
18.0%
Calculation of WACC:
Cost of Equity (CAPM)
Cost of Debt
Calculated WACC
Selected WACC Range
11
Ke =
Ke =
Ke =
Kd =
Kd =
Kd =
WACC =
11.0%
Equity Market
Value to Total
Capitalization
88.0%
82.3%
86.9%
81.8%
74.1%
78.6%
82.1%
82.0%
Company
Mediaset Espaa Comunicacin, SA
Societe d'Edition de Canal Plus S.A.
Sun TV Network Ltd
Grupo Televisa, S.A.B.
ITV plc
Naspers Ltd.
ProSiebenSat.1 Media AG
RTL Group SA
Viacom, Inc.
Median
Mean
Company
Mediaset Espaa Comunicacin, SA
Societe d'Edition de Canal Plus S.A.
Sun TV Network Ltd
Grupo Televisa, S.A.B.
ITV plc
Naspers Ltd.
ProSiebenSat.1 Media AG
RTL Group SA
Viacom, Inc.
Median
Mean
Headquarter
Country
Spain
France
India
Mexico
United Kingdom
South Africa
Germany
Luxembourg
United States
Risk Free
Rate
2.4%
2.4%
2.4%
2.4%
2.4%
2.4%
2.4%
2.4%
2.4%
2.4%
2.4%
Preferred
Stock
$0.3
6.6
0.0
4,639.6
1,118.2
2,908.7
3,522.8
38.2
8,933.0
$1,118.2
$3,364.5
$0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
$0.0
$0.0
Equity Market
Value
$3,143.5
887.0
3,143.7
14,387.3
7,503.3
25,790.5
8,294.8
10,934.5
32,099.6
$7,503.3
$13,664.9
Levered Beta
1.22
0.49
1.37
1.05
1.06
0.48
1.40
0.60
1.05
1.05
1.10
Unlevered
Beta
1.22
0.49
1.37
0.86
0.95
0.44
1.07
0.60
0.88
0.86
0.91
Equity Risk
Premium
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
Debt
Total
Capitalization
$3,143.8
893.6
3,143.7
19,026.9
8,621.5
28,699.2
11,817.6
10,972.7
41,032.6
$8,621.5
$17,029.5
Debt to Equity
Market Value
0.0%
0.7%
0.0%
32.2%
14.9%
11.3%
42.5%
0.3%
27.8%
13.1%
16.0%
Debt to Total
Capitalization
0.0%
0.7%
0.0%
24.4%
13.0%
10.1%
29.8%
0.3%
21.8%
13.0%
14.5%
Preferred Stock to
Total
Capitalization
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Size
Premium
1.2%
1.8%
1.2%
0.8%
0.8%
(0.4%)
0.8%
0.8%
(0.4%)
0.9%
0.8%
Cost of
Equity
11.7%
7.4%
12.7%
10.2%
10.2%
5.2%
12.5%
7.2%
9.0%
9.6%
10.6%
Cost of
Debt
28.1%
22.2%
NA
7.8%
8.3%
6.6%
6.1%
26.8%
5.2%
7.8%
11.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
WACC Inputs
Unlevered Beta (u )
Calculated Levered Beta (u )
Market Premium (Rm-Rf)
Equity Size Premium (Rs)
Country Risk Premium
Company Specific Premium
Risk-Free Rate (Rf)
Pre-Tax Cost of Debt (Rd )
Assumed Marginal Corporate Tax Rate (T)
Equity as a Percentage of Total Capital
Debt as a Percentage of Total Capital
Target Total Debt / Equity Value
0.91
1.01
6.6%
4.3%
1.5%
2.0%
2.4%
7.8%
33.3%
85.5%
14.5%
16.0%
Calculation of WACC:
Cost of Equity (CAPM)
Cost of Debt
WACC
Selected WACC Range
12
Ke =
Ke =
Ke =
Kd =
Kd =
Kd =
WACC =
14.5%
Equity Market
Value to Total
Capitalization
100.0%
99.3%
100.0%
75.6%
87.0%
89.9%
70.2%
99.7%
78.2%
87.0%
85.5%
Choose an industry market capital structure based on the mean/median of the comparable companies
Capital structures for specific industries can also be obtained from Ibbotson
If you believe the subject company can not be leveraged at the current point (no meaningful earnings, assets, etc.), you can use 100%
equity capital structure
You can also use the current company capital structure for minority valuations (assuming no change of control, capital structure
continues to remain as is)
13
WACC: Beta
Use each public comparable companys actual cap structure when unlevering the betas. Relever the mean or median of the comparables
using the target companys capital structure
Exclude outliers (too low or high betas/do not use companies that are under financial distress)
If there are no public company comparables available to calculate beta, use an Asset beta for an industry from Damodarans website
Go to: http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/ and click Updated Data > Levered and Unlevered Betas by Industry
Industry Name
Advertising
Aerospace/Defense
Air Transport
Apparel
Auto Parts
Automotive
Bank
Bank (Midwest)
Beverage
Biotechnology
Building Materials
Cable TV
Chemical (Basic)
Chemical (Diversified)
14
Number of Firms
32
66
36
54
54
12
416
68
35
214
43
20
18
33
Average Beta
1.68
0.98
1.03
1.36
1.76
1.73
0.77
0.89
0.95
1.23
1.57
1.4
1.37
1.55
Cash/Firm Value
13.12%
11.74%
14.13%
5.13%
11.65%
16.84%
16.43%
15.03%
4.33%
18.10%
6.18%
3.61%
7.52%
6.96%
Use the latest country marginal tax rate when calculating WACC for the target from Damodarans website. If revenue comes from more
than one country, weight the marginal tax rate by each countrys revenue
Go to: http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/ and click Updated Data > Marginal tax rate by country
Source: KPMG
Data: As of January 5, 2013
Country
Afghanistan
Albania
Angola
Argentina
Armenia
Aruba
Australia
Austria
15
2005
0.00%
23.00%
35.00%
35.00%
20.00%
35.00%
30.00%
25.00%
2006
0.00%
20.00%
35.00%
35.00%
20.00%
35.00%
30.00%
25.00%
2007
20.00%
20.00%
35.00%
35.00%
20.00%
28.00%
30.00%
25.00%
2008
20.00%
10.00%
35.00%
35.00%
20.00%
28.00%
30.00%
25.00%
2009
20.00%
10.00%
35.00%
35.00%
20.00%
28.00%
30.00%
25.00%
2010
20.00%
10.00%
35.00%
35.00%
20.00%
28.00%
30.00%
25.00%
2011
20.00%
10.00%
35.00%
35.00%
20.00%
28.00%
30.00%
25.00%
2012
20.00%
10.00%
35.00%
35.00%
20.00%
28.00%
30.00%
25.00%
16
If the public company comparables are in the same country as the target, then you do not need to include a country premium since the
public company comparables capture the country risk premium
If the target is located outside the U.S., and the public comparables are U.S. companies, use the targets country premium from
Damodarans website. If revenue comes from more than one country, weight the country premium by each countrys revenue to come
with an estimate
Go to: http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/ and click Updated Data > Risk Premiums for Other Markets
Country
Albania
Angola
Argentina
Armenia
Australia
Austria
Azerbaijan
Bahamas
Bahrain
Bangladesh
Barbados
Belarus
Belgium
Belize
17
Region
Eastern Europe & Russia
Africa
Central and South America
Eastern Europe & Russia
Australia & New Zealand
Western Europe
Eastern Europe & Russia
Caribbean
Middle East
Asia
Caribbean
Eastern Europe & Russia
Western Europe
Central and South America
18
You can add a company-specific equity risk premium if you believe that there are factors (other than size) that may make the subject
company riskier than that of the comparables used to calculate the WACC. Factors can include:
Key man risk
Customer concentration
Litigation risk
Unproven business model (unproven sources of revenue or expense cuts)
Projections/growth seems high in light of historical results
If the public company comparables have debt, take the mean or median of their cost of debt. Exclude outlier/unreasonable
cost of debt. Also exclude convertible debt
2.
If you believe that the target is an investment grade company, use Moodys Baa pricing found on
http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/current/
3.
If there are no public comparables, look at Damodaran's website for an industry cost of debt. Updated Data > Levered and
Unlevered Betas by Industry. Look for D/E ratios
4.
Compare financial and operational ratios to rated debt securities to determine implied ratings. S&P has Leveraged
Commentary & Data or you can find these statistics on CapIQ
5.
Use Ibbotson SBBI Valuation Yearbook to benchmark credit statistics to imply a credit rating
19
5-Year IRR
51.4%
20.9%
10.6%
28.3%
10-Year IRR
34.9%
20.9%
21.6%
26.3%
20-Year IRR
20.4%
14.3%
15.3%
16.6%
Stage
Early Stage
Expansion
Acquisition / Buyout
IRR
> 45.0%
> 35.0%
> 35.0%
Source: Determinants of Required Return in Venture Capital Investments by Sophie Manigart and Karen De Warle.
Stage
Seed Stage
Startup
3rd Stage
4th Stage
Exit Stage
IRR
70.0%
55.0%
43.0%
37.0%
35.0%
IRR
50.0%
IRR
60.0%
50.0%
40.0%
30.0%
25.0%
Source: A Portfolio Model for Venture Capital Performance Measurement and Investment Selection by Terry Dornay.
Stage
Early Stage
Stage
Seed
Start-Up
Early-Stage
2nd Stage
Near Exit
Source: From the Mind of the Investor presented at the UNC Pembroke Entrepreneurial Summit, March 12, 2009.
Stage
Start-up
First Stage or "Early Development"
Second Stage or "Expansion"
Bridge / IPO Stage
IRR Range
Scherlis &
Sahlman Study
50.0% to 70.0%
40.0% to 60.0%
30.0% to 50.0%
20.0% to 35.0%
Plummer Study
50.0% to 70.0%
40.0% to 60.0%
35.0% to 50.0%
25.0% to 35.0%
20
30.0%
--
40.0%
Select a range