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cost;
I. INTRODUCTION
ITH the rapid development of power grid, the traditional
way of equipment management only pays attention to
immediate interests, which already cannot adapt to the
development of the times. Life cycle cost management regards
grid equipment life cycle activity as management object,
avoiding the short-term behavior, so it has broad application
prospects[1-3].
The assets management in whole life cycle of transformer
demands abundant data, and the associated links are numerous,
so it needs to establish mathematics model of the transformer
life cycle cost, and then build the transformer cost management
system. Therefore, how to establish a scientific, reasonable and
comprehensive life cycle model of transformer is an important
research topic in recent years.
Manuscript received July 24, 2014. This work was supported by National
Natural Science Foundation of China (51307060); Colleges and Universities in
Hebei Province Science and Technology Research Project(Z2013086);
Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(2014MS84); State
Key Laboratory of Alternate Electrical Power System with Renewable Energy
Source(LAPS14011); State Grid Corporation Project(kj2013-065).
QIAO Guo-hua, SU Lei, ZHANG Bo and XING Jian-gang are with State
Grid Hebei Electric Power Company, Shijiazhuang, 050000, P.R.China.
REN Zheng and ZHAN Xiang-ling are with the School of Electrical and
Electronic Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Baoding,
071003, P.R. China(e-mail: renzheng6536@126.com ).
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Paper No CP1692
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is construction cost,
cg
Among them,
no-load loss;
factor;
Among them,
wh
POWERCON 2014
Paper No CP1692
is
1
1
represents electrovalence,
(4)
represents
represents availability
()
1
Among them,
represents load
1
1
(5)
1
1
0)
(6)
(7)
Among them,
0.85
rate.
(2) Artificial maintenance cost
Artificial maintenance cost can be described as follows:
(0.15
is procurement
is other cost..
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(
1
Among them,
1
1
(8)
Among them,
cycle.
1760
(9)
Above 16
11200
1
1
() ()
( )(1
()
(1
(11)
Among them,
represents overhaul period,
overhaul ratio increase rate.
category
day
night
range of application
50
40
55
45
60
50
65
55
4a
70
55
4b
70
60
represents
(10)
Among them,
()
1
1
( ))
Among them,
represents electrovalence;
1
1
(12)
represents the
Among them,
1
1
(13)
Charge standard
(yuan/month)
350
440
550
700
880
1100
1400
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Excessive
decibels
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Charge standard
(yuan/month)
2200
2800
3520
4400
5600
7040
8800
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1,
2,
( 1,
1, 2,
, )
(15)
lead to
has no
effect on LCC.
In the traditional transformer LCC sensitivity analysis, it
only applies partial derivative to measure the importance of
parameters, but it's not scientific. Because traditional sensitivity
analysis method can only get the LCC sensitivity for a
parameter change, but a single sensitivity cant prove the
importance of the parameters for the LCC.
For example, the partial derivative of one parameter is very
big, but it accounts for the proportion is very small in LCC,
even can be ignored in the initial LCC analysis. Although this
parameter fluctuation will cause the great change of LCC, but it
is not important in the LCC estimate and does not need to pay
attention to. This suggests that the high sensitivity parameters
having great influence on LCC are not necessarily, so not all the
high sensitivity parameters are worth being paid attention to.
This paper has improved the traditional sensitivity analysis
method and obtained the comprehensive sensitivity analysis
method. In this way, we both consider the sensitivity coefficient
and the share of parameter value in LCC. The comprehensive
sensitivity analysis steps are shown as follows:
1) Using the minimum and maximum of 1 , 2 , , , we can
calculate the average
min
max
2) Use 1 , 2 ,
of each parameter.
(
) 2(
1, 2,
, )
(16)
1, 2,
, )
(17)
max
1, 2,
, )
(19)
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Operation Cost
59.30%
Maintenance Cost
12.64%
Paper No CP1692
in
Failure Cost
0.97%
Disposal Cost
0.14%
Investment Cost
21.20%
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8.55
0.00001
0.69
4.8
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8
0%
1513
3
5%
1.5
41
10
12
Valu
Annual
e
Gradient
4.64
15.00%
0
0%
0
0
0%
0%
2.45
10.86%
0.17
18.58%
0.64
4.69%
0.26
13.33%
5.45
10.27%
0.32
10.27%
0.99
10.27%
12.0
4
10.27%
1.26
10.27%
6.98
10.28%
0.44
7.00%
Paper No CP1692
1.27
4.44%
2.28
-2.46%
0.89
8.6
0%
0%
Operation Cost
4236
Environmental Cost
306
105
903
Failure Cost
72.8
Disposal Cost
9.95
Parameters
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
V. CONCLUSION
(1) The model which is built in this paper adds environmental
cost model, including the punishment cost of greenhouse gases,
the punishment cost of the electromagnetic radiation, the
punishment cost of noise pollution. At the same time, we have
completed the model of other links. It is more comprehensive,
scientific and reasonable.
(2) This paper proposes the comprehensive sensitivity analysis
method. It considers the sensitivity coefficient and parameter
values, so it makes up for the deficiency of the traditional
sensitivity analysis method. The example verifies the scientific
and rationality of comprehensive sensitivity analysis method,
this method can play a certain guiding role in the engineering
practice of transformer LCC control.
REFERENCES
[1]
[2]
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
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[3]
[4]
[5]
[6]
[7]
[8]
[9]
[10]
[11]
[12]
[13]
[14]
[15]
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