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markets, the expected returns from the Black-Litterman model match the
equilibrium, and the unconstrained optimal portfolio is the market equilibrium
(capitalization weights) portfolio. In the case when the investor has one or more
views about the market, the Black-Litterman approach combines the information
from the equilibrium and tilts the optimal portfolio away from the market portfolio in
the direction of the investors views.
Constraints
Expected Returns (multiple views of relative outperformance) In general
portfolio weight increases as expected returns increases
Degree of confidence
The constrained Optimal portfolio BL not very intuitive in these cases
Risk Constraint weights are adjusted by scaling target risk levels with
volatility of unconstrained optimal portfolio
Budget Constraint
Beta Constraint
Advantages
1. Intuitive
2. Systematic approach to demonstrate deviation of users market view from
reference equilibrium
3. Market Capitalization portfolio with equilibrium expected returns provide
optimal portfolios on which views can be superimposed easily
4. Selected views on regions, sector outperformance etc can be easily
incorporated
5. Simplistic way of incorporating views on portfolios using Markowitz
framework rather than working on complete vector of expected returns.
Benefits
1. The unconstrained optimal portfolio is the market equilibrium portfolio plus a
weighted sum of portfolios calibrated with users view
2. As expected the weight of an asset in portfolio increases with positive view in
comparison to one implied by equilibrium
Calculation Procedure
1. There are
portfolio) is
returns:
. The expected
= w eq . The CAPM
= +
(e)
, where
(e)
is
. The parameter
K N
is a
Q+ (v)
is
(v)
-vector, and
, where
is normally
( )
[ 1 + P ' 1 Q ].
1
=[ ( )1+ P' P ]
1
5. The investor has the world average risk tolerance. The objective of the
investor is to maximize the utility
optimal portfolio is
= 1 /
w =weq + P '
Since the columns of matrix P are the portfolios in the users view, this
means that the unconstrained optimal portfolio is the market portfolio plus a
weighted sum of the portfolios in the users views. The weights for these
portfolios are given by the elements of the vector
1
formula
6. Let
P ,Q
and
represent the
model,
p,q
and