DPR Full

Independent Statistics & Analysis
U.S. Energy Information

Administration
September 2015
Drilling Productivity Report

For key tight oil and shale gas regions
Bakken
Marcellus
Utica
Niobrara
Permian
Haynesville
Eagle Ford
The seven regions analyzed in this report accounted for 95% of domestic oil production growth
and all domestic natural gas production growth during 2011-13.
Contents
Year-over-year summary
Bakken Region
Eagle Ford Region
Haynesville Region
Marcellus Region
Niobrara Region
Permian Region
Utica Region
Explanatory notes
Sources
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Year-over-year summary
September 2015
drilling data through August
projected production through October

New-well oil production per rig
New-well gas production per rig
barrels/day
thousand cubic feet/day

October-2014
October-2015
October-2014
1,500
October-2015
9,000
8,000
1,250
7,000
1,000
6,000
5,000
750
4,000
500
3,000
2,000
250
1,000
0
0
Bakken
Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus
Niobrara
Permian
Legacy oil production change
Eagle Ford Haynesville
Marcellus
Niobrara
Permian
Utica
Niobrara
Permian
Utica
Legacy gas production change
thousand barrels/day
Bakken
Bakken
Utica
million cubic feet/day
Marcellus
Niobrara
Permian
Bakken
Utica
(25)
(100)
Marcellus
(200)
(50)
(300)
(75)
(400)
(100)
(500)
(125)
(600)
October-2014
October-2015
October-2014
October-2015
(700)
(150)
Indicated monthly change in oil production (Oct vs. Sep)
Indicated monthly change in gas production (Oct vs. Sep)

October-2014
October-2014
October-2015
October-2015
250
200
150
100
50
0
-50
-100
-150
-200
-250
100
80
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
Bakken
Marcellus
Niobrara
Permian
Bakken
Utica
Oil production
Natural gas production

October-2014
October-2014
October-2015
Niobrara
Permian
Utica
Permian
Utica
October-2015
18,000
2,800
2,400
15,000
2,000
12,000
1,600
9,000
1,200
6,000
800
3,000
400
0
0
Bakken
Marcellus
Niobrara
Permian
Utica
U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report
Bakken
Niobrara
Bakken Region
September 2015
694
692
Oil
+2
barrels/day
month over month
Monthly
additions
from one
average rig
October
September
barrels/day
Bakken Region
Rig count
rigs
barrels/day
700
250
new-well oil production per rig
600
200
rig count
500
955
918
October
September
Gas
+37
month over month
Bakken Region
Rig count
rigs

4,200
3,600
3,000
250
new-well gas production per rig
200
rig count
400
150
2,400
150
300
100
1,800
100
200
1,200
50
100
0
2007
0
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
50
600
0
2007
0
2008
2009
2010
2011
Bakken Region
Bakken Region
0

0
(10)
(20)
(30)
(40)
(50)
(60)
(70)
(80)
(90)
2007 2008 2009
(10)
(20)
(30)
(40)
(50)
(60)
(70)
(80)
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2010
2012
2011
2012
2013
2014
2013
2015
2014
2015
Bakken Region
Indicated change in oil production (Oct vs. Sep)
Bakken Region
Indicated change in natural gas production (Oct vs. Sep)
+49
-21
-70
100
100
50
50
-50
-69
-2
-50
Sep
1,203
Mbbl/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Bakken Region
Oil production
Net
change
Oct
1,182
Mbbl/d
Sep
1,577
MMcf/d
Legacy
production
change
Net
change
Oct
1,575
MMcf/d
Gas -2
month over month

7,000
1,200
6,000
1,000
5,000
800
4,000
600
3,000
400
2,000
200
1,000
2008
Production
from
new wells
Bakken Region
Oil -21
month over month
1,400
0
2007
+67
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
3
Eagle Ford Region
September 2015
795
792
Oil
+3
barrels/day
month over month
Monthly
additions
from one
average rig
October
September
barrels/day
Eagle Ford Region

barrels/day
800
700
600
Rig count
rigs
350

rig count
500
400
100
50
0
2007
0
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
250
200
2,400
150
1,800
100
1,200
50
600
0
2007
0
2008
2009
2010
2011
0

0
(20)
(50)
(40)
(100)
(60)
(150)
(80)
(200)
(100)
(250)
(120)
(300)
(140)
(350)
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
300
3,000
Eagle Ford Region

2008
350

rig count
Eagle Ford Region

(160)
2007
Rig count
rigs

4,800
3,600
100

month over month
Eagle Ford Region

250
200
Gas
+44
4,200
150
300
September
300
200
2,224
2,180
October
(400)
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2012
2013
2014
2013
2015
2014
2015
Eagle Ford Region

Eagle Ford Region

150
+86
-62
-148
300
100
200
50
100
-50
-100
-100
+241
-358
-117
-200
Sep
1,486
Mbbl/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Eagle Ford Region

Oil production
Net
change
Oct
1,424
Mbbl/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Eagle Ford Region

Oil -62
month over month
1,800
Sep
6,925
MMcf/d
Net
change
Oct
6,808
MMcf/d
Gas -117
month over month

10,000
1,500
8,000
1,200
6,000
900
4,000
600
2,000
300
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
4
Haynesville Region
September 2015
27
27
Oil
0
barrels/day
month over month
Monthly
additions
from one
average rig
October
September
barrels/day
Haynesville Region
Rig count
rigs
barrels/day
1,000
300
250
800
rig count
200
600
150
400
100
200
50
0
2007
0
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
5,885
5,879
October
September
Gas
+6
month over month
Haynesville Region
Rig count
rigs

7,000
300
6,000
250
rig count
5,000
200
4,000
150
3,000
100
2,000
50
1,000
0
2007
0
2008
2009
2010
2011
Haynesville Region
Haynesville Region
0

0
2012
2013
2014
2015
(100)
(1)
(200)
(2)
(400)
(300)
(500)
(3)
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
(600)
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Haynesville Region
Haynesville Region
2.0
+1
-1
250
+218
-179
+39
150
1.0
50
0.0
-50
-1.0
-150
Sep
58
Mbbl/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Haynesville Region
Oil production
Net
change
Oct
58
Mbbl/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Haynesville Region
Oil 0
month over month
2,000
Sep
6,484
MMcf/d
Net
change
Oct
6,523
MMcf/d
Gas +39
month over month

12,000
10,000
1,600
8,000
1,200
6,000
800
4,000
400
0
2007
2,000
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
5
Marcellus Region
September 2015
60
59
Oil
+1
barrels/day
month over month
Monthly
additions
from one
average rig
October
September
barrels/day
Marcellus Region
Rig count
rigs
barrels/day
1,500
150
rig count
1,200
120
900
90
8,463
8,412
October
September
Gas
+51
month over month
Marcellus Region
Rig count
rigs
9,000
150
rig count
7,500
120
6,000
90
4,500
600
60
300
30
0
2007
0
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
60
3,000
30
1,500
0
2007
0
2008
2009
2010
2011
Marcellus Region
Marcellus Region
0

0
2012
2013
2014
2015
(100)
(1)
(200)
(300)
(2)
(400)
(3)
(500)
(4)
2007
(700)
2007
(600)
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Marcellus Region
Marcellus Region
5.0
+4
+0
-4
800
4.0
600
3.0
400
2.0
200
1.0
0.0
-200
Sep
71
Mbbl/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Marcellus Region
Oil production
Net
change
Oct
71
Mbbl/d
Oil +0
month over month
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Sep
16,372
MMcf/d
+580
Production
from
new wells
-662
Legacy
production
change
Marcellus Region
2008
2009
Net
change
Oct
16,290
MMcf/d
Gas -82
month over month

18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
2007
-82
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
6
Niobrara Region
September 2015
572
560
Oil
+12
barrels/day
month over month
Monthly
additions
from one
average rig
October
September
barrels/day
Niobrara Region
Rig count
rigs
barrels/day
600
140
500
120
rig count
100
400
80
300
60
200
40
100
20
0
2007
0
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2,067
September 2,020
Gas
+47
October

month over month
Niobrara Region
Rig count
rigs

3,600
140
120
3,000
100
2,400
80
1,800
60
1,200
600
0
2007
40
20
rig count
2008
2009
0
2010
2011
Niobrara Region
Niobrara Region
0
(5)
(10)
(15)
(20)
(25)
(30)
(35)
(40)
(45)
(50)
2007 2008 2009

0
2012
2013
2014
2015
(20)
(40)
(60)
(80)
(100)
(120)
(140)
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
(160)
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Niobrara Region
Niobrara Region
30
+26
-19
-45
+93
150
20
100
10
50
-10
-50
-20
-143
-50
-100
Sep
399
Mbbl/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Niobrara Region
Oil production
Net
change
Oct
380
Mbbl/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Niobrara Region
Oil -19
month over month
1,000
Sep
4,371
MMcf/d
Net
change
Oct
4,321
MMcf/d
Gas -50
month over month

6,000
5,000
800
4,000
600
3,000
400
2,000
200
0
2007
1,000
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
7
Permian Region
September 2015
370
365
Oil
+5
barrels/day
month over month
Monthly
additions
from one
average rig
October
September
barrels/day
Permian Region
barrels/day
400
350
300
Rig count
rigs
600
500
rig count
400
250
200
300
150
200
100
100
50
0
2007
0
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
October
September
643
630
Permian Region
1,800
1,500
500
rig count
400
1,200
300
900
200
600
100
300
0
2007
0
2008
2009
2010
2011

0
(20)
(40)
(60)
(80)
(100)
(120)
(140)
(160)
(180)
2007 2008 2009
(40)
(50)
(60)
(70)
(80)
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
600
0
(30)
Rig count
rigs

2,100
Permian Region
(10)

month over month
Permian Region
(20)
Gas
+13
2010
2011
2012
2012
2013
2014
2013
2015
2014
2015
Permian Region
Permian Region
100
+94
+23
-71
200
75
150
50
100
25
50
+163
-155
+8
0
Sep
1,997
Mbbl/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Permian Region
Oil production
2,200
2,000
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2007 2008 2009
Net
change
Oct
2,020
Mbbl/d
Sep
6,470
MMcf/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Permian Region
Oil +23
month over month
Net
change
Oct
6,478
MMcf/d
Gas +8
month over month

12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
8
Utica Region
September 2015
353
339
Oil
+14
barrels/day
month over month
Monthly
additions
from one
average rig
October
September
barrels/day
Utica Region
barrels/day
1,400
1,200
Rig count
rigs
35

rig count
7,484
7,343
October
September
Gas
+141
month over month
Utica Region
Rig count
rigs

8,400
35
30
7,200
25
6,000
800
20
4,800
20
600
15
3,600
15
400
10
2,400
10
200
1,200
1,000
0
2007
0
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
30
rig count
0
2007
25
0
2008
2009
2010
2011
Utica Region
Utica Region
0

0
2012
2013
2014
2015
(10)
(1)
(20)
(30)
(2)
(40)
(3)
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
(50)
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Utica Region
Utica Region
6.0
+2
-1
-3
100
+41
-45
-4
Legacy
production
change
Net
change
75
4.0
50
2.0
25
0.0
-2.0
-25
Sep
72
Mbbl/d
Production
from
new wells
Legacy
production
change
Utica Region
Oil production
Net
change
Oct
71
Mbbl/d
Oil -1
month over month
500
Sep
2,794
MMcf/d
Production
from
new wells
Utica Region
Oct
2,790
MMcf/d
Gas -4
month over month

3,000
2,500
400
2,000
300
1,500
200
1,000
100
0
2007
500
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
9
Explanatory notes
September 2015

The Drilling Productivity Report uses recent data on the total number of drilling rigs in operation along
with estimates of drilling productivity and estimated changes in production from existing oil and natural
gas wells to provide estimated changes in oil1 and natural gas2 production for seven key regions. EIAs
approach does not distinguish between oil-directed rigs and gas-directed rigs because once a well is
completed it may produce both oil and gas; more than half of the wells do that.
Monthly additions from one average rig

Monthly additions from one average rig represent EIAs estimate of an average rigs3 contribution to
production of oil and natural gas from new wells.4 The estimation of new-well production per rig uses
several months of recent historical data on total production from new wells for each field divided by the
region's monthly rig count, lagged by two months.5 Current- and next-month values are listed on the top
header. The month-over-month change is listed alongside, with +/- signs and color-coded arrows to
highlight the growth or decline in oil (brown) or natural gas (blue).
New-well oil/gas production per rig
Charts present historical estimated monthly additions from one average rig coupled with the number of
total drilling rigs as reported by Baker Hughes.
Legacy oil and natural gas production change
Charts present EIAs estimates of total oil and gas production changes from all the wells other than the
new wells. The trend is dominated by the well depletion rates, but other circumstances can influence the
direction of the change. For example, well freeze-offs or hurricanes can cause production to significantly
decline in any given month, resulting in a production increase the next month when production simply
returns to normal levels.
Projected change in monthly oil/gas production
Charts present the combined effects of new-well production and changes to legacy production. Total
new-well production is offset by the anticipated change in legacy production to derive the net change in
production. The estimated change in production does not reflect external circumstances that can affect
the actual rates, such as infrastructure constraints, bad weather, or shut-ins based on environmental or
economic issues.
Oil/gas production
Charts present all oil and natural gas production from both new and legacy wells since 2007. This
production is based on all wells reported to the state oil and gas agencies. Where state data are not
immediately available, EIA estimates the production based on estimated changes in new-well oil/gas
production and the corresponding legacy change.
Footnotes:
1. Oil production represents both crude and condensate production from all formations in the region. Production is
not limited to tight formations. The regions are defined by all selected counties, which include areas outside of
tight oil formations.
2. Gas production represents gross (before processing) gas production from all formations in the region.
Production is not limited to shale formations. The regions are defined by all selected counties, which include
areas outside of shale formations.
3. The monthly average rig count used in this report is calculated from weekly data on total oil and gas rigs
reported by Baker Hughes.
4. A new well is defined as one that began producing for the first time in the previous month. Each well belongs to
the new-well category for only one month. Reworked and recompleted wells are excluded from the calculation.
5. Rig count data lag production data because EIA has observed that the best predictor of the number of new
wells beginning production in a given month is the count of rigs in operation two months earlier.
10
Sources
September 2015

The data used in the preparation of this report come from the following sources. EIA is solely
responsible for the analysis, calculations, and conclusions.
Drilling Info (http://www.drillinginfo.com) Source of production, permit, and spud data for counties
associated with this report. Source of real-time rig location to estimate new wells spudded and completed
throughout the United States.
Baker Hughes (http://www.bakerhughes.com) Source of rig and well counts by county, state, and basin.
North Dakota Oil and Gas Division (https://www.dmr.nd.gov/oilgas) Source of well production, permit,
and completion data in the counties associated with this report in North Dakota
Railroad Commission of Texas (http://www.rrc.state.tx.us) Source of well production, permit, and
completion data in the counties associated with this report in Texas
Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection
(https://www.paoilandgasreporting.state.pa.us/publicreports/Modules/Welcome/Welcome.aspx) Source
of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in
Pennsylvania
West Virginia Department of Environmental Protection (http://www.dep.wv.gov/oil-andgas/Pages/default.aspx) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties
associated with this report in West Virginia
Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission (http://cogcc.state.co.us) Source of well production,
permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Colorado
Wyoming Oil and Conservation Commission (http://wogcc.state.wy.us) Source of well production,
permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Wyoming
Louisiana Department of Natural Resources (http://dnr.louisiana.gov) Source of well production,
permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Louisiana
Ohio Department of Natural Resources (http://oilandgas.ohiodnr.gov) Source of well production,
permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Ohio
11

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Independent Statistics & Analysis

U.S. Energy Information

Drilling Productivity Report

Drilling Productivity Report

New-well gas production per rig

thousand cubic feet/day

Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus

Legacy oil production change

Eagle Ford Haynesville

Legacy gas production change

million cubic feet/day

Eagle Ford Haynesville

Eagle Ford Haynesville

Indicated monthly change in oil production (Oct vs. Sep)

Indicated monthly change in gas production (Oct vs. Sep)

million cubic feet/day

Eagle Ford Haynesville

Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus

Natural gas production

million cubic feet/day

Eagle Ford Haynesville

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report

Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus

Drilling Productivity Report

new-well oil production per rig

thousand cubic feet/day

thousand cubic feet/day

new-well gas production per rig

million cubic feet/day

million cubic feet/day

million cubic feet/day

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report

Eagle Ford Region

Drilling Productivity Report

Eagle Ford Region

new-well oil production per rig

million cubic feet/day

Eagle Ford Region

new-well gas production per rig

Eagle Ford Region

thousand cubic feet/day

thousand cubic feet/day

Eagle Ford Region

thousand cubic feet/day

Eagle Ford Region

Eagle Ford Region

million cubic feet/day

Eagle Ford Region

Eagle Ford Region

million cubic feet/day

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report

Drilling Productivity Report

new-well oil production per rig

thousand cubic feet/day

thousand cubic feet/day

new-well gas production per rig

million cubic feet/day

million cubic feet/day

million cubic feet/day

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report

Drilling Productivity Report

new-well oil production per rig

thousand cubic feet/day