ESTADISTICA

Clculo de Precipitaciones Mximas Mediante los Mtodos Estadsticos
(Uso de los Factores de Frecuencia)
Ao
Precipitaciones Mximas para 38 aos Estacin Laraqueri-Puno

PP
PP
Posicin P >= PP (%) T (aos)
Y=Log PP
mm
mm
m
m/(N+1)
(N+1)/m
1963
37.7
0.03
39.00
1.7284
1964
40.3
0.05
19.50
1.6946
1965
39.6
0.08
13.00
1.6561
1966
37.0
0.10
9.75
1.6561
1967
30.3
0.13
7.80
1.6493
1968
27.2
0.15
6.50
1.6444
1969
21.6
0.18
5.57
1.6253
1970
28.4
0.21
4.88
1.6212
1971
31.8
0.23
4.33
1.6053
1972
27.6
10
0.26
3.90
1.6053
1973
25.2
1974
45.3
1975
30.0
1976
40.3
1977
25.9
1978
30.3
1979
45.3
1980
24.4
1981
29.8
1982
23.7
1983
30.4
1984
37.7
1985
44.6
1986
42.2
1987
29.3
1988
24.3
1989
53.5
1990
26.4
1991
24.8
1992
24.5
1993
39.9
1994
44.1
1995
38.7
1996
41.8
1997
49.5
1998
33.8
1999
24.2
2000
35.6
53.50
49.50
45.30
45.30
44.60
44.10
42.20
41.80
40.30
40.30
39.90
39.60
38.70
37.70
37.70
37.00
35.60
33.80
31.80
30.40
30.30
30.30
30.00
29.80
29.30
28.40
27.60
27.20
26.40
25.90
25.20
24.80
24.50
24.40
24.30
24.20
23.70
21.60
Media
11
0.28
3.55
1.6010
12
0.31
3.25
1.5977
13
0.33
3.00
1.5877
14
0.36
2.79
1.5763
15
0.38
2.60
1.5763
16
0.41
2.44
1.5682
17
0.44
2.29
1.5514
18
0.46
2.17
1.5289
19
0.49
2.05
1.5024
20
0.51
1.95
1.4829
21
0.54
1.86
1.4814
22
0.56
1.77
1.4814
23
0.59
1.70
1.4771
24
0.62
1.63
1.4742
25
0.64
1.56
1.4669
26
0.67
1.50
1.4533
27
0.69
1.44
1.4409
28
0.72
1.39
1.4346
29
0.74
1.34
1.4216
30
0.77
1.30
1.4133
31
0.79
1.26
1.4014
32
0.82
1.22
1.3945
33
0.85
1.18
1.3892
34
0.87
1.15
1.3874
35
0.90
1.11
1.3856
36
0.92
1.08
1.3838
37
0.95
1.05
1.3747
38
0.97
1.03
1.3345
Media
1.5172
Desv. Est.
33.87
8.32
Des. Est.
0.1056
Cof. Asim.
0.46
Cof. Asim.
0.1328
Anlisis de Precipitaciones Mximas - Mtodo Log-Normal
Evento
T
aos
K=Z
Anlisis de Precipitaciones M
PP (mm)
estimado
antilog(Y)
Evento
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39.00
0.02564
1.9495
1.7232
52.86
19.50
0.05128
1.6329
1.6897
48.95
13.00
0.07692
1.4263
1.6679
46.55
9.75
0.10256
1.2672
1.6511
44.78
7.80
0.12821
1.1350
1.6371
43.36
6.50
0.15385
1.0201
1.6250
42.17
5.57
0.17949
0.9172
1.6141
41.13
4.88
0.20513
0.8233
1.6042
40.20
4.33
0.23077
0.7361
1.5950
39.35
3.90
0.25641
0.6541
1.5863
38.58
3.55
0.28205
0.5764
1.5781
37.85
3.25
0.30769
0.5020
1.5703
37.18
3.00
0.33333
0.4303
1.5627
36.53
2.79
0.35897
0.3608
1.5553
35.92
2.60
0.38462
0.2929
1.5482
35.33
2.44
0.41026
0.2265
1.5412
34.77
2.29
0.43590
0.1610
1.5342
34.22
2.17
0.46154
0.0963
1.5274
33.68
2.05
0.48718
0.0321
1.5206
33.16
1.95
0.51282
-0.0320
1.5138
32.65
1.86
0.53846
-0.0962
1.5071
32.14
1.77
0.56410
-0.1607
1.5003
31.64
1.70
0.58974
-0.2258
1.4934
31.14
1.63
0.61538
-0.2918
1.4864
30.65
1.56
0.64103
-0.3589
1.4793
30.15
1.50
0.66667
-0.4276
1.4721
29.65
1.44
0.69231
-0.4982
1.4646
29.15
1.39
0.71795
-0.5713
1.4569
28.63
1.34
0.74359
-0.6473
1.4489
28.11
1.30
0.76923
-0.7270
1.4404
27.57
1.26
0.79487
-0.8112
1.4315
27.01
1.22
0.82051
-0.9013
1.4220
26.43
1.18
0.84615
-0.9989
1.4117
25.81
1.15
0.87179
-1.1065
1.4004
25.14
1.11
0.89744
-1.2279
1.3875
24.41
1.08
0.92308
-1.3699
1.3725
23.58
1.05
0.94872
-1.5458
1.3540
22.59
1.03
0.97436
-1.7917
1.3280
21.28
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
PRUEBA DE AJUSTE - ERROR CUADRAT

PRECIPITACION MAXIMA EN 24 HORAS - ESTACION
TR
(aos)
1
2
3
4
5
6
39.00
19.50
13.00
9.75
7.80
6.50
Datos
Observ. Xo
(mm)
53.50
49.50
45.30
45.30
44.60
44.10
LOG-PEARSON III
Xe
(mm)
53.66
49.38
46.80
44.92
43.42
42.17
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
5.57
4.88
4.33
3.90
3.55
3.25
3.00
2.79
2.60
2.44
2.29
2.17
2.05
1.95
1.86
1.77
1.70
1.63
1.56
1.50
1.44
1.39
1.34
1.30
1.26
1.22
1.18
1.15
1.11
1.08
1.05
1.03
42.20
41.80
40.30
40.30
39.90
39.60
38.70
37.70
37.70
37.00
35.60
33.80
31.80
30.40
30.30
30.30
30.00
29.80
29.30
28.40
27.60
27.20
26.40
25.90
25.20
24.80
24.50
24.40
24.30
24.20
23.70
21.60
41.08
40.12
39.25
38.45
37.71
37.02
36.37
35.75
35.16
34.59
34.04
33.50
32.98
32.47
31.97
31.48
30.99
30.50
30.01
29.53
29.03
28.53
28.03
27.51
26.97
26.40
25.81
25.18
24.48
23.70
22.77
21.54
SUMA
C
AJUSTE GRAFICO
COMPARACION DE PRECIPITACIONES MAXIMAS ESTIMADAS CON DISTR
60.00
50.00
mm)
40.00
50.00
Precipitacin(mm)
40.00
30.00
Datos Observados
Pearson Tipo III
Gumbel
Log- Normal
20.00
10.00
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
Tiempo de Retorno (Aos)
30.00
35.00
Anlisis de Precipitaciones Mximas - Mtodo de Gumbel
T
aos
Anlisis de Precipitaciones Mximas - M
PP (mm)
T
aos
Evento
T
aos
39.00
0.02564
2.3963
53.81
0.00
19.50
0.05128
1.8455
49.22
0.00
13.00
0.07692
1.5188
46.51
0.00
9.75
0.10256
1.2837
44.55
0.00
7.80
0.12821
1.0987
43.01
0.00
6.50
0.15385
0.9452
41.73
0.00
5.57
0.17949
0.8134
40.64
0.00
4.88
0.20513
0.6973
39.67
0.00
4.33
0.23077
0.5932
38.80
0.00
3.90
0.25641
0.4985
38.02
0.00
3.55
0.28205
0.4112
37.29
0.00
3.25
0.30769
0.3300
36.61
0.00
3.00
0.33333
0.2538
35.98
0.00
2.79
0.35897
0.1818
35.38
0.00
2.60
0.38462
0.1133
34.81
0.00
2.44
0.41026
0.0478
34.27
0.00
2.29
0.43590
-0.0152
33.74
0.00
2.17
0.46154
-0.0761
33.24
0.00
2.05
0.48718
-0.1353
32.74
0.00
1.95
0.51282
-0.1930
32.26
0.00
1.86
0.53846
-0.2495
31.79
0.00
1.77
0.56410
-0.3051
31.33
0.00
1.70
0.58974
-0.3600
30.87
0.00
1.63
0.61538
-0.4146
30.42
0.00
1.56
0.64103
-0.4689
29.97
0.00
1.50
0.66667
-0.5234
29.51
0.00
1.44
0.69231
-0.5782
29.06
0.00
1.39
0.71795
-0.6337
28.60
0.00
1.34
0.74359
-0.6903
28.12
0.00
1.30
0.76923
-0.7485
27.64
0.00
1.26
0.79487
-0.8087
27.14
0.00
1.22
0.82051
-0.8718
26.61
0.00
1.18
0.84615
-0.9388
26.06
0.00
1.15
0.87179
-1.0113
25.45
0.00
1.11
0.89744
-1.0917
24.78
0.00
1.08
0.92308
-1.1845
24.01
0.00
1.05
0.94872
-1.2989
23.06
0.00
1.03
0.97436
-1.4624
21.70
0.00
E - ERROR CUADRATICO MINIMO
N 24 HORAS - ESTACION LARAQUERI -PUNO

LOG-PEARSON III
(Xe - Xo)2 Xe
0.02
0.02
2.24
0.15
1.39
3.73
GUMBEL
(mm)
53.81
49.22
46.51
44.55
43.01
41.73
(Xe - Xo)2 Xe
0.09
0.08
1.45
0.56
2.53
5.60
LOG-NORMAL
(mm)
52.86
48.95
46.55
44.78
43.36
42.17
(Xe - Xo)2
0.41
0.31
1.55
0.27
1.53
3.73
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39.00
19.50
13.00
9.75
7.80
6.50
5.57
4.88
4.33
3.90
3.55
3.25
3.00
2.79
2.60
2.44
2.29
2.17
2.05
1.95
1.86
1.77
1.70
1.63
1.56
1.50
1.44
1.39
1.34
1.30
1.26
1.22
1.18
1.15
1.11
1.08
1.05
1.03
1.25
2.82
1.10
3.41
4.78
6.65
5.43
3.81
6.47
5.82
2.44
0.09
1.40
4.30
2.79
1.39
0.98
0.49
0.51
1.27
2.05
1.78
2.64
2.58
3.12
2.57
1.72
0.60
0.03
0.25
0.87
0.00
82.96
9.11
40.64
39.67
38.80
38.02
37.29
36.61
35.98
35.38
34.81
34.27
33.74
33.24
32.74
32.26
31.79
31.33
30.87
30.42
29.97
29.51
29.06
28.60
28.12
27.64
27.14
26.61
26.06
25.45
24.78
24.01
23.06
21.70
2.45
4.54
2.24
5.22
6.81
8.92
7.40
5.38
8.34
7.47
3.45
0.32
0.89
3.47
2.23
1.06
0.76
0.38
0.44
1.24
2.12
1.95
2.97
3.03
3.76
3.29
2.42
1.11
0.23
0.03
0.41
0.01
104.67
10.23
41.13
40.20
39.35
38.58
37.85
37.18
36.53
35.92
35.33
34.77
34.22
33.68
33.16
32.65
32.14
31.64
31.14
30.65
30.15
29.65
29.15
28.63
28.11
27.57
27.01
26.43
25.81
25.14
24.41
23.58
22.59
21.28
1.15
2.57
0.90
2.97
4.19
5.88
4.70
3.17
5.61
4.99
1.91
0.01
1.85
5.05
3.39
1.80
1.31
0.72
0.73
1.57
2.40
2.06
2.92
2.79
3.28
2.64
1.71
0.55
0.01
0.38
1.23
0.10
82.33
9.07
AJUSTE GRAFICO
STIMADAS CON DISTRIBUCIONES TEORICAS Y DATOS OBSERVADOS
po III
5.00
Aos)
Gumbel
30.00
Log- Normal
35.00
40.00
45.00
Precipitaciones Mximas - Mtodo Log-Pearson Tipo III
PP (mm)
estimado
antilog(Y)
aos
0.02564
2.0108
1.7296
53.66
0.00
0.05128
1.6689
1.6935
49.38
0.00
0.07692
1.4483
1.6702
46.80
0.00
0.10256
1.2797
1.6524
44.92
0.00
0.12821
1.1405
1.6377
43.42
0.00
0.15385
1.0201
1.6250
42.17
0.00
0.17949
0.9129
1.6137
41.08
0.00
0.20513
0.8154
1.6034
40.12
0.00
0.23077
0.7253
1.5938
39.25
0.00
0.25641
0.6409
1.5849
38.45
0.00
0.28205
0.5611
1.5765
37.71
0.00
0.30769
0.4850
1.5685
37.02
0.00
0.33333
0.4119
1.5607
36.37
0.00
0.35897
0.3412
1.5533
35.75
0.00
0.38462
0.2724
1.5460
35.16
0.00
0.41026
0.2053
1.5389
34.59
0.00
0.43590
0.1393
1.5319
34.04
0.00
0.46154
0.0743
1.5251
33.50
0.00
0.48718
0.0099
1.5183
32.98
0.00
0.51282
-0.0541
1.5115
32.47
0.00
0.53846
-0.1180
1.5048
31.97
0.00
0.56410
-0.1821
1.4980
31.48
0.00
0.58974
-0.2466
1.4912
30.99
0.00
0.61538
-0.3117
1.4843
30.50
0.00
0.64103
-0.3778
1.4773
30.01
0.00
0.66667
-0.4453
1.4702
29.53
0.00
0.69231
-0.5144
1.4629
29.03
0.00
0.71795
-0.5856
1.4554
28.53
0.00
0.74359
-0.6595
1.4476
28.03
0.00
0.76923
-0.7367
1.4394
27.51
0.00
0.79487
-0.8181
1.4308
26.97
0.00
0.82051
-0.9047
1.4217
26.40
0.00
0.84615
-0.9981
1.4118
25.81
0.00
0.87179
-1.1007
1.4010
25.18
0.00
0.89744
-1.2158
1.3888
24.48
0.00
0.92308
-1.3495
1.3747
23.70
0.00
0.94872
-1.5141
1.3573
22.77
0.00
0.97436
-1.7420
1.3332
21.54
0.00
AO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
PROM.
DESVEST.
C.V.
COEF. ASIM.
KURTOSIS
LARAQUERI
37.70
40.30
39.60
37.00
30.30
27.20
21.60
28.40
31.80
27.60
25.20
45.30
30.00
40.30
25.90
30.30
45.30
24.40
29.80
23.70
30.40
37.70
44.60
42.20
29.30
24.30
53.50
26.40
24.80
24.50
39.90
44.10
38.70
41.80
49.50
33.80
24.20
35.60
33.87
8.32
0.25
0.46
-0.78
CHILLIGUA
21.80
23.00
30.10
28.00
30.30
11.30
11.40
15.70
21.00
19.80
19.00
24.50
23.00
30.50
32.10
19.40
17.20
20.80
22.20
17.10
16.70
31.20
25.20
21.20
18.70
20.80
18.70
17.50
13.40
20.60
25.50
25.90
22.40
32.70
28.50
26.70
27.50
39.50
22.92
6.25
0.27
0.36
0.09
ILAVE
27.02
22.00
21.00
24.50
34.20
34.00
45.50
34.20
36.80
33.60
40.50
34.00
27.00
33.00
41.00
30.10
40.38
28.02
20.72
32.38
25.19
29.00
37.00
40.20
29.00
26.20
39.50
32.20
25.80
30.70
28.80
30.40
24.00
28.20
36.90
21.00
39.70
27.60
31.35
6.39
0.20
0.20
-0.70
PUNO
32.22
39.70
34.30
49.50
36.20
28.00
29.90
31.70
45.20
36.80
41.00
40.20
33.70
33.40
36.90
34.50
26.40
25.00
27.60
51.80
38.60
71.60
48.50
38.70
55.70
31.40
24.50
23.60
24.20
35.80
26.80
29.90
29.00
36.90
32.40
42.90
38.20
31.60
36.17
9.78
0.27
1.54
3.56

Ao
Precipitaciones Mximas para 38 aos Estacin Chilligua-Puno

PP
PP
Posicin
P >= PP (%)
T (aos)
mm
mm
m
m/(N+1)
(N+1)/m
Y=Log PP
1963
21.80
23.00
30.10
28.00
30.30
11.30
11.40
15.70
21.00
19.80
19.00
24.50
23.00
30.50
32.10
19.40
17.20
20.80
22.20
17.10
16.70
31.20
25.20
21.20
18.70
20.80
18.70
17.50
13.40
20.60
25.50
25.90
22.40
32.70
28.50
26.70
27.50
39.50
39.50
32.70
32.10
31.20
30.50
30.30
30.10
28.50
28.00
27.50
26.70
25.90
25.50
25.20
24.50
23.00
23.00
22.40
22.20
21.80
21.20
21.00
20.80
20.80
20.60
19.80
19.40
19.00
18.70
18.70
17.50
17.20
17.10
16.70
15.70
13.40
11.40
11.30
0.03
39.00
1.5966
0.05
19.50
1.5145
0.08
13.00
1.5065
0.10
9.75
1.4942
0.13
7.80
1.4843
0.15
6.50
1.4814
0.18
5.57
1.4786
0.21
4.88
1.4548
Media
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
0.23
4.33
1.4472
10
0.26
3.90
1.4393
11
0.28
3.55
1.4265
12
0.31
3.25
1.4133
13
0.33
3.00
1.4065
14
0.36
2.79
1.4014
15
0.38
2.60
1.3892
16
0.41
2.44
1.3617
17
0.44
2.29
1.3617
18
0.46
2.17
1.3502
19
0.49
2.05
1.3464
20
0.51
1.95
1.3385
21
0.54
1.86
1.3263
22
0.56
1.77
1.3222
23
0.59
1.70
1.3181
24
0.62
1.63
1.3181
25
0.64
1.56
1.3139
26
0.67
1.50
1.2967
27
0.69
1.44
1.2878
28
0.72
1.39
1.2788
29
0.74
1.34
1.2718
30
0.77
1.30
1.2718
31
0.79
1.26
1.2430
32
0.82
1.22
1.2355
33
0.85
1.18
1.2330
34
0.87
1.15
1.2227
35
0.90
1.11
1.1959
36
0.92
1.08
1.1271
37
0.95
1.05
1.0569
38
0.97
1.03
1.0531
22.92
Media
1.3438
Desv. Est.
6.25
Des. Est.
0.1231
Cof. Asim.
0.3643
Cof. Asim.
-0.4133

P
K=Z
PP (mm)
estimado
antilog(Y)
0.50000
0.0000
1.3438
22.07
0.20000
0.8415
1.4474
28.01
10
0.10000
1.2817
1.5016
31.74
25
0.04000
1.7511
1.5593
36.25
50
0.02000
2.0542
1.5966
39.50
75
0.01333
2.2168
1.6166
41.36
100
0.01000
2.3268
1.6301
42.67
150
0.00667
2.4752
1.6484
44.50
200
0.00500
2.5762
1.6608
45.80
300
0.00333
2.7134
1.6777
47.61
400
0.00250
2.8074
1.6893
48.90
500
0.00200
2.8785
1.6980
49.89
1000
0.00100
3.0905
1.7241
52.98
COM
60.00
50.00
Precipitacin (mm)
T
aos
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
0
20

T
PP (mm)
0.50000
-0.1643
21.89
0.20000
0.7195
27.41
10
0.10000
1.3046
31.07
25
0.04000
2.0438
35.68
50
0.02000
2.5923
39.11
aos
75
0.01333
2.9111
41.10
100
0.01000
3.1367
42.51
150
0.00667
3.4541
44.49
200
0.00500
3.6791
45.90
300
0.00333
3.9959
47.88
400
0.00250
4.2205
49.28
500
0.00200
4.3947
50.37
1000
0.00100
4.9355
53.75
Anlisis de Precipitaciones Mximas - Mtodo Log-Pearson Tipo III

T
aos
PP (mm)
estimado
antilog(Y)
0.50000
0.0686
1.3523
22.50
0.20000
0.8544
1.4490
28.12
10
0.10000
1.2288
1.4950
31.26
25
0.04000
1.6013
1.5409
34.74
50
0.02000
1.8277
1.5687
37.05
75
0.01333
1.9447
1.5831
38.29
100
0.01000
2.0220
1.5926
39.14
150
0.00667
2.1242
1.6052
40.29
200
0.00500
2.1924
1.6136
41.08
300
0.00333
2.2831
1.6248
42.15
400
0.00250
2.3440
1.6323
42.88
500
0.00200
2.3894
1.6379
43.44
1000
0.00100
2.5216
1.6541
45.09
Comparacin de los Valores de Precipitaciones Mximas Obtenidos

T
aos
PP (mm)
PP (mm)
Gumbel
Log-Pearson
0.50000
22.07
21.89
0.20000
28.01
27.41
22.50
50
0.02000
39.50
39.11
37.05
75
0.01333
41.36
41.10
38.29
100
0.01000
42.67
42.51
39.14
150
0.00667
44.50
44.49
40.29
200
0.00500
45.80
45.90
41.08
300
0.00333
47.61
47.88
42.15
400
0.00250
48.90
49.28
42.88
500
0.00200
49.89
50.37
43.44
1000
0.00100
52.98
53.75
45.09
28.12
COMPARATIVO DE PRECIPITACIONES MXIMAS OBTENIDAS
10
0.10000
31.74
31.07
31.26
(ESTACIN
CHILLIGUA)
25
0.04000
36.25
35.68
34.74
60.00
50.00
Precipitacin (mm)
PP (mm)
Log-Normal
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
0
200
400
LOG NORMAL
600
T (aos)
GUMBEL
800
LOG-PEARSON III
1000
Clculo de los Lmites de Confianza - Mtodo Log-Normal

Grados de libertad: 38 - 2 = 36
K=Z
t (estad.) =
2.028094001
IC(Y)
LCI(Y)
LCS(Y)
LCI(PP)
LCS(PP)
aos
2
0.50000
0.0000
1.3438
0.0472
1.2967
1.3910
19.80
24.60
0.20000
0.8415
1.4474
0.0549
1.3925
1.5023
24.69
31.79
10
0.10000
1.2817
1.5016
0.0637
1.4379
1.5652
27.41
36.75
25
0.04000
1.7511
1.5593
0.0751
1.4842
1.6344
30.50
43.09
50
0.02000
2.0542
1.5966
0.0832
1.5134
1.6798
32.62
47.84
75
0.01333
2.2168
1.6166
0.0877
1.5289
1.7043
33.80
50.62
100
0.01000
2.3268
1.6301
0.0908
1.5393
1.7209
34.62
52.60
150
0.00667
2.4752
1.6484
0.0951
1.5533
1.7435
35.75
55.40
200
0.00500
2.5762
1.6608
0.0980
1.5628
1.7588
36.55
57.39
300
0.00333
2.7134
1.6777
0.1020
1.5757
1.7798
37.64
60.22
400
0.00250
2.8074
1.6893
0.1048
1.5845
1.7941
38.41
62.25
500
0.00200
2.8785
1.6980
0.1070
1.5911
1.8050
39.00
63.82
1000
0.00100
3.0905
1.7241
0.1133
1.6108
1.8375
40.81
68.78
Clculo de los Lmites de Confianza - Mtodo de Gumbel

t (estad.) =
PP (mm)
IC(PP)
2.028094001
LCI(PP)
LCS(PP)
0.50000
-0.1643
21.89
2.41
19.48
24.30
0.20000
0.7195
27.41
2.69
24.73
30.10
10
0.10000
1.3046
31.07
3.26
27.81
34.32
25
0.04000
2.0438
35.68
4.21
31.48
39.89
50
0.02000
2.5923
39.11
5.00
34.11
44.11
75
0.01333
2.9111
41.10
5.48
35.62
46.58
100
0.01000
3.1367
42.51
5.82
36.69
48.34
150
0.00667
3.4541
44.49
6.32
38.18
50.81
200
0.00500
3.6791
45.90
6.67
39.23
52.57
300
0.00333
3.9959
47.88
7.18
40.70
55.05
400
0.00250
4.2205
49.28
7.54
41.75
56.82
500
0.00200
4.3947
50.37
7.82
42.55
58.18
1000
0.00100
4.9355
53.75
8.69
45.06
62.44
aos
Clculo de los Lmites de Confianza - Mtodo Log-Pearson Tipo III

t (estad.) =
IC(Y)
2.030107928
LCI(Y)
LCS(Y)
LCI(PP)
LCS(PP)
aos
1000
0.50000
0.0686
1.3523
0.0473
1.3050
1.3995
20.18
25.09
0.20000
0.8544
1.4490
0.0552
1.3938
1.5041
24.76
31.92
10
0.10000
1.2288
1.4950
0.0625
1.4325
1.5576
27.07
36.11
25
0.04000
1.6013
1.5409
0.0713
1.4696
1.6122
29.48
40.94
50
0.02000
1.8277
1.5687
0.0771
1.4916
1.6459
31.02
44.25
75
0.01333
1.9447
1.5831
0.0803
1.5029
1.6634
31.83
46.07
100
0.01000
2.0220
1.5926
0.0824
1.5103
1.6750
32.38
47.32
150
0.00667
2.1242
1.6052
0.0852
1.5200
1.6904
33.12
49.02
200
0.00500
2.1924
1.6136
0.0871
1.5265
1.7007
33.61
50.20
300
0.00333
2.2831
1.6248
0.0897
1.5351
1.7144
34.29
51.81
400
0.00250
2.3440
1.6323
0.0914
1.5409
1.7236
34.74
52.92
500
0.00200
2.3894
1.6379
0.0927
1.5452
1.7305
35.09
53.77
1000
0.00100
2.5216
1.6541
0.0965
1.5576
1.7506
36.11
56.32
1200

Precipitaciones Mximas para 38 aos Estacin Ilave-Puno

PP
PP
mm
mm
m
m/(N+1)
(N+1)/m
Ao
1
27.02
22.00
21.00
24.50
34.20
34.00
45.50
34.20
36.80
33.60
40.50
34.00
27.00
33.00
41.00
30.10
40.38
28.02
20.72
32.38
25.19
29.00
37.00
40.20
29.00
26.20
39.50
32.20
25.80
30.70
28.80
30.40
24.00
28.20
36.90
21.00
39.70
27.60
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
Media
45.50
41.00
40.50
40.38
40.20
39.70
39.50
37.00
36.90
36.80
34.20
34.20
34.00
34.00
33.60
33.00
32.38
32.20
30.70
30.40
30.10
29.00
29.00
28.80
28.20
28.02
27.60
27.02
27.00
26.20
25.80
25.19
24.50
24.00
22.00
21.00
21.00
20.72
31.35
Desv. Est.
6.39
Cof. Asim.
0.2011
Y=Log PP
7
0.03
39.00
1.6580
0.05
19.50
1.6128
0.08
13.00
1.6075
0.10
9.75
1.6062
0.13
7.80
1.6042
0.15
6.50
1.5988
0.18
5.57
1.5966
0.21
4.88
1.5682
0.23
4.33
1.5670
10
0.26
3.90
1.5658
11
0.28
3.55
1.5340
12
0.31
3.25
1.5340
13
0.33
3.00
1.5315
14
0.36
2.79
1.5315
15
0.38
2.60
1.5263
16
0.41
2.44
1.5185
17
0.44
2.29
1.5102
18
0.46
2.17
1.5079
19
0.49
2.05
1.4871
20
0.51
1.95
1.4829
21
0.54
1.86
1.4786
22
0.56
1.77
1.4624
23
0.59
1.70
1.4624
24
0.62
1.63
1.4594
25
0.64
1.56
1.4502
26
0.67
1.50
1.4475
27
0.69
1.44
1.4409
28
0.72
1.39
1.4317
29
0.74
1.34
1.4314
30
0.77
1.30
1.4183
31
0.79
1.26
1.4116
32
0.82
1.22
1.4012
33
0.85
1.18
1.3892
34
0.87
1.15
1.3802
35
0.90
1.11
1.3424
36
0.92
1.08
1.3222
37
0.95
1.05
1.3222
38
0.97
1.03
1.3163
Media
1.4873
Des. Est.
0.0900
Cof. Asim.
-0.1786

T
K=Z
aos
PP (mm)
estimado
antilog(Y)
0.50000
0.0000
1.4873
30.71
0.20000
0.8415
1.5630
36.56
10
0.10000
1.2817
1.6026
40.05
25
0.04000
1.7511
1.6448
44.14
50
0.02000
2.0542
1.6721
47.00
75
0.01333
2.2168
1.6867
48.61
100
0.01000
2.3268
1.6966
49.73
150
0.00667
2.4752
1.7100
51.28
200
0.00500
2.5762
1.7191
52.37
300
0.00333
2.7134
1.7314
53.88
400
0.00250
2.8074
1.7399
54.94
500
0.00200
2.8785
1.7463
55.75
1000
0.00100
3.0905
1.7653
58.26

T
PP (mm)
0.50000
-0.1643
30.30
0.20000
0.7195
35.95
10
0.10000
1.3046
39.68
10
25
0.04000
2.0438
44.40
25
50
0.02000
2.5923
47.91
50
aos
T
aos
2
75
0.01333
2.9111
49.94
75
100
0.01000
3.1367
51.38
100
150
0.00667
3.4541
53.41
150
200
0.00500
3.6791
54.85
200
300
0.00333
3.9959
56.87
300
400
0.00250
4.2205
58.31
400
500
0.00200
4.3947
59.42
500
1000
0.00100
4.9355
62.87
1000

T
Clculo de los Lmites de C
aos
PP (mm)
estimado
antilog(Y)
aos
0.50000
0.0297
1.4900
30.90
0.20000
0.8488
1.5637
36.62
10
0.10000
1.2610
1.6007
39.88
10
25
0.04000
1.6881
1.6392
43.57
25
50
0.02000
1.9573
1.6634
46.07
50
75
0.01333
2.0997
1.6762
47.45
75
100
0.01000
2.1951
1.6848
48.39
100
150
0.00667
2.3228
1.6963
49.69
150
200
0.00500
2.4090
1.7040
50.59
200
300
0.00333
2.5253
1.7145
51.82
300
400
0.00250
2.6043
1.7216
52.67
400
500
0.00200
2.6637
1.7269
53.33
500
1000
0.00100
2.8394
1.7427
55.30
1000

T
aos
PP (mm)
PP (mm)
Gumbel
Log-Pearson
aos
0.50000
30.71
30.30
30.90
0.20000
36.56
35.95
36.62
10
0.10000
40.05
39.68
39.88
10
25
0.04000
44.14
44.40
43.57
25
50
0.02000
47.00
47.91
46.07
50
75
0.01333
48.61
49.94
47.45
75
100
0.01000
49.73
51.38
48.39
100
0.00667
51.28
53.41
49.69
150
300
COMPARATIVO
DE PRECIPITACIONES
MXIMAS OBTENIDAS
0.00500
52.37
54.85
50.59
200
(ESTACIN
ILAVE)
0.00333
53.88
56.87
51.82
300
400
0.00250
54.94
58.31
52.67
400
500
0.00200
55.75
59.42
53.33
500
1000
0.00100
58.26
62.87
55.30
1000
200
60.00
PP (mm)
Log-Normal
150
70.00
Precipitacin (mm)
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
0
200
400
LOG-NORMAL
600
T (aos)
GUMBEL
800
LOG-PEARSON III
1000

K=Z
t (estad.) =
2.028094001
IC(Y)
LCI(Y)
LCS(Y)
LCI(PP)
LCS(PP)
0.50000
0.0000
1.4873
0.0345
1.4528
1.5218
28.37
33.25
0.20000
0.8415
1.5630
0.0401
1.5229
1.6031
33.33
40.10
0.10000
1.2817
1.6026
0.0465
1.5561
1.6491
35.98
44.58
0.04000
1.7511
1.6448
0.0549
1.5900
1.6997
38.90
50.09
0.02000
2.0542
1.6721
0.0608
1.6113
1.7329
40.86
54.06
0.01333
2.2168
1.6867
0.0641
1.6226
1.7508
41.94
56.34
0.01000
2.3268
1.6966
0.0664
1.6302
1.7630
42.68
57.94
0.00667
2.4752
1.7100
0.0695
1.6405
1.7795
43.70
60.18
0.00500
2.5762
1.7191
0.0717
1.6474
1.7907
44.40
61.76
0.00333
2.7134
1.7314
0.0746
1.6568
1.8060
45.37
63.98
0.00250
2.8074
1.7399
0.0766
1.6632
1.8165
46.05
65.54
0.00200
2.8785
1.7463
0.0782
1.6681
1.8245
46.57
66.75
0.00100
3.0905
1.7653
0.0829
1.6825
1.8482
48.14
70.50

t (estad.) =
PP (mm)
IC(PP)
2.028094001
LCI(PP)
LCS(PP)
0.50000
-0.1643
30.30
2.46
27.84
32.77
0.20000
0.7195
35.95
2.75
33.20
38.69
0.10000
1.3046
39.68
3.33
36.35
43.01
0.04000
2.0438
44.40
4.30
40.10
48.71
0.02000
2.5923
47.91
5.11
42.80
53.02
0.01333
2.9111
49.94
5.60
44.34
55.55
0.01000
3.1367
51.38
5.96
45.43
57.34
0.00667
3.4541
53.41
6.46
46.95
59.87
0.00500
3.6791
54.85
6.82
48.03
61.67
0.00333
3.9959
56.87
7.34
49.54
64.21
0.00250
4.2205
58.31
7.71
50.60
66.01
0.00200
4.3947
59.42
7.99
51.43
67.41
0.00100
4.9355
62.87
8.89
53.99
71.76

TENIDAS
ARSON III
1000
t (estad.) =
IC(Y)
2.030107928
LCI(Y)
LCS(Y)
LCI(PP)
LCS(PP)
0.50000
0.0297
1.4900
0.0345
1.4554
1.5245
28.54
33.46
0.20000
0.8488
1.5637
0.0403
1.5234
1.6039
33.37
40.17
0.10000
1.2610
1.6007
0.0462
1.5545
1.6470
35.85
44.36
0.04000
1.6881
1.6392
0.0537
1.5854
1.6929
38.50
49.31
0.02000
1.9573
1.6634
0.0589
1.6045
1.7223
40.22
52.76
0.01333
2.0997
1.6762
0.0618
1.6144
1.7380
41.15
54.70
0.01000
2.1951
1.6848
0.0637
1.6210
1.7485
41.79
56.04
0.00667
2.3228
1.6963
0.0664
1.6299
1.7626
42.65
57.89
0.00500
2.4090
1.7040
0.0682
1.6358
1.7722
43.24
59.18
0.00333
2.5253
1.7145
0.0706
1.6438
1.7851
44.04
60.97
0.00250
2.6043
1.7216
0.0723
1.6493
1.7939
44.59
62.22
0.00200
2.6637
1.7269
0.0736
1.6533
1.8005
45.01
63.17
0.00100
2.8394
1.7427
0.0774
1.6653
1.8202
46.27
66.09
1200

Precipitaciones Mximas para 38 aos Estacin Puno-Puno

PP
PP
mm
mm
m
m/(N+1)
(N+1)/m
Ao
1
32.22
39.70
34.30
49.50
36.20
28.00
29.90
31.70
45.20
36.80
41.00
40.20
33.70
33.40
36.90
34.50
26.40
25.00
27.60
51.80
38.60
71.60
48.50
38.70
55.70
31.40
24.50
23.60
24.20
35.80
26.80
29.90
29.00
36.90
32.40
42.90
38.20
31.60
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
Media
71.60
55.70
51.80
49.50
48.50
45.20
42.90
41.00
40.20
39.70
38.70
38.60
38.20
36.90
36.90
36.80
36.20
35.80
34.50
34.30
33.70
33.40
32.40
32.22
31.70
31.60
31.40
29.90
29.90
29.00
28.00
27.60
26.80
26.40
25.00
24.50
24.20
23.60
36.17
Desv. Est.
9.78
Cof. Asim.
1.5383
Y=Log PP
7
0.03
39.00
1.8549
0.05
19.50
1.7459
0.08
13.00
1.7143
0.10
9.75
1.6946
0.13
7.80
1.6857
0.15
6.50
1.6551
0.18
5.57
1.6325
0.21
4.88
1.6128
0.23
4.33
1.6042
10
0.26
3.90
1.5988
11
0.28
3.55
1.5877
12
0.31
3.25
1.5866
13
0.33
3.00
1.5821
14
0.36
2.79
1.5670
15
0.38
2.60
1.5670
16
0.41
2.44
1.5658
17
0.44
2.29
1.5587
18
0.46
2.17
1.5539
19
0.49
2.05
1.5378
20
0.51
1.95
1.5353
21
0.54
1.86
1.5276
22
0.56
1.77
1.5237
23
0.59
1.70
1.5105
24
0.62
1.63
1.5081
25
0.64
1.56
1.5011
26
0.67
1.50
1.4997
27
0.69
1.44
1.4969
28
0.72
1.39
1.4757
29
0.74
1.34
1.4757
30
0.77
1.30
1.4624
31
0.79
1.26
1.4472
32
0.82
1.22
1.4409
33
0.85
1.18
1.4281
34
0.87
1.15
1.4216
35
0.90
1.11
1.3979
36
0.92
1.08
1.3892
37
0.95
1.05
1.3838
38
0.97
1.03
1.3729
Media
1.5448
Des. Est.
0.1067
Cof. Asim.
0.6699

T
K=Z
aos
PP (mm)
estimado
antilog(Y)
0.50000
0.0000
1.5448
35.06
0.20000
0.8415
1.6347
43.12
10
0.10000
1.2817
1.6817
48.05
25
0.04000
1.7511
1.7318
53.92
50
0.02000
2.0542
1.7641
58.09
75
0.01333
2.2168
1.7815
60.46
100
0.01000
2.3268
1.7932
62.12
150
0.00667
2.4752
1.8091
64.42
200COMPARATIVO
0.00500
120.00
1.8198
DE2.5762
PRECIPITACIONES
66.05
MXIMAS
OBTENIDAS
PUNO)68.31
300
0.00333
2.7134(ESTACIN
1.8345
400
0.00250
2.8074
1.8445
69.91
500
0.00200
2.8785
1.8521
71.14
1000
0.00100
3.0905
1.8747
74.94
Precipitacin (mm)
100.00
80.00
60.00
40.00
20.00
0.00
0
200
400
600
T (aos) GUMBEL
LOG-NORMAL
800
1000
LOG-PEARSON III
1200

T
PP (mm)
aos
2
0.50000
-0.1643
34.56
0.20000
0.7195
43.20
10
0.10000
1.3046
48.92
25
0.04000
2.0438
56.15
50
0.02000
2.5923
61.51
75
0.01333
2.9111
64.63
100
0.01000
3.1367
66.83
150
0.00667
3.4541
69.94
200
0.00500
3.6791
72.14
300
0.00333
3.9959
75.23
400
0.00250
4.2205
77.43
500
0.00200
4.3947
79.13
1000
0.00100
4.9355
84.42

T
aos
PP (mm)
estimado
antilog(Y)
0.50000
-0.1103
1.5331
34.12
0.20000
0.7909
1.6293
42.59
10
0.10000
1.3296
1.6868
48.61
25
0.04000
1.9578
1.7538
56.73
50
0.02000
2.3943
1.8004
63.16
75
0.01333
2.6388
1.8265
67.07
100
0.01000
2.8082
1.8446
69.92
150
0.00667
3.0421
1.8696
74.06
200
0.00500
3.2050
1.8870
77.08
300
0.00333
3.4308
1.9111
81.48
400
0.00250
3.5886
1.9279
84.70
500
0.00200
3.7097
1.9408
87.26
1000
0.00100
4.0795
1.9803
95.57

T
aos
NIDAS
1000
SON III
1200
PP (mm)
PP (mm)
PP (mm)
Log-Normal
Gumbel
Log-Pearson
0.50000
35.06
34.56
34.12
0.20000
43.12
43.20
42.59
10
0.10000
48.05
48.92
48.61
25
0.04000
53.92
56.15
56.73
50
0.02000
58.09
61.51
63.16
75
0.01333
60.46
64.63
67.07
100
0.01000
62.12
66.83
69.92
150
0.00667
64.42
69.94
74.06
200
0.00500
66.05
72.14
77.08
300
0.00333
68.31
75.23
81.48
400
0.00250
69.91
77.43
84.70
500
0.00200
71.14
79.13
87.26
1000
0.00100
74.94
84.42
95.57

Grados de libertad: 38 - 2 =
36
K=Z
t (estad.) =
2.028094001
IC(Y)
LCI(Y)
LCS(Y)
LCI(PP)
aos
2
0.50000
0.0000
1.5448
0.0409
1.5039
1.5858
31.91
0.20000
0.8415
1.6347
0.0476
1.5871
1.6823
38.64
10
0.10000
1.2817
1.6817
0.0552
1.6264
1.7369
42.31
25
0.04000
1.7511
1.7318
0.0651
1.6666
1.7969
46.41
50
0.02000
2.0542
1.7641
0.0721
1.6920
1.8363
49.20
75
0.01333
2.2168
1.7815
0.0761
1.7054
1.8575
50.75
100
0.01000
2.3268
1.7932
0.0788
1.7144
1.8720
51.81
150
0.00667
2.4752
1.8091
0.0825
1.7266
1.8915
53.28
200
0.00500
2.5762
1.8198
0.0850
1.7348
1.9049
54.30
300
0.00333
2.7134
1.8345
0.0885
1.7460
1.9230
55.71
400
0.00250
2.8074
1.8445
0.0909
1.7536
1.9355
56.70
500
0.00200
2.8785
1.8521
0.0928
1.7593
1.9449
57.45
1000
0.00100
3.0905
1.8747
0.0983
1.7764
1.9731
59.76

36
t (estad.) =
PP (mm)
2.028094001
IC(PP)
LCI(PP)
LCS(PP)
aos
2
0.50000
-0.1643
34.56
3.77
30.79
38.33
0.20000
0.7195
43.20
4.20
39.00
47.40
10
0.10000
1.3046
48.92
5.10
43.82
54.02
25
0.04000
2.0438
56.15
6.59
49.56
62.73
50
0.02000
2.5923
61.51
7.82
53.69
69.34
75
0.01333
2.9111
64.63
8.58
56.05
73.20
100
0.01000
3.1367
66.83
9.12
57.72
75.95
150
0.00667
3.4541
69.94
9.89
60.05
79.83
200
0.00500
3.6791
72.14
10.44
61.69
82.58
300
0.00333
3.9959
75.23
11.23
64.00
86.47
400
0.00250
4.2205
77.43
11.79
65.64
89.22
500
0.00200
4.3947
79.13
12.23
66.90
91.37
1000
0.00100
4.9355
84.42
13.60
70.82
98.02

35
t (estad.) =
IC(Y)
2.0301079283
LCI(Y)
LCS(Y)
LCI(PP)
aos
2
0.50000
-0.1103
1.5331
0.0411
1.4920
1.5741
31.05
0.20000
0.7909
1.6293
0.0469
1.5823
1.6762
38.22
10
0.10000
1.3296
1.6868
0.0562
1.6306
1.7430
42.71
25
0.04000
1.9578
1.7538
0.0699
1.6839
1.8238
48.29
50
0.02000
2.3943
1.8004
0.0805
1.7199
1.8810
52.47
75
0.01333
2.6388
1.8265
0.0867
1.7398
1.9132
54.93
100
0.01000
2.8082
1.8446
0.0911
1.7535
1.9357
56.70
150
0.00667
3.0421
1.8696
0.0971
1.7724
1.9667
59.21
200
0.00500
3.2050
1.8870
0.1014
1.7855
1.9884
61.03
300
0.00333
3.4308
1.9111
0.1075
1.8036
2.0185
63.62
400
0.00250
3.5886
1.9279
0.1117
1.8162
2.0396
65.49
500
0.00200
3.7097
1.9408
0.1150
1.8259
2.0558
66.97
1000
0.00100
4.0795
1.9803
0.1250
1.8553
2.1053
71.66
LCS(PP)
38.53
48.11
54.56
62.64
68.59
72.04
74.47
77.90
80.33
83.75
86.19
88.08
93.99
LCS(PP)
37.51
47.44
55.33
66.65
76.02
81.89
86.23
92.62
97.37
104.36
109.55
113.71
127.45

Para Diferentes Periodos de Retorno
T
P
PP (mm)
PP (mm)
PP (mm)
aos
Log-Normal
Gumbel
Log-Pearson
0.50000
32.90
32.50
32.73
0.20000
40.37
39.85
40.30
10
0.10000
44.94
44.72
45.08
25
0.04000
50.37
50.87
50.93
50
0.02000
54.23
55.44
55.17
75
0.01333
56.41
58.09
57.61
100
0.01000
57.94
59.97
59.33
150
0.00667
60.07
62.61
61.75
200
0.00500
61.57
64.48
63.47
300
0.00333
63.66
67.12
65.88
400
0.00250
65.13
68.99
67.60
500
0.00200
66.26
70.43
68.93
1000
0.00100
69.77
74.93
73.09
GENERACION DE CAUDALES MAXIMOS DE DISEO

METODO: FORMULA DE MAC MATH
Microcuenca de Laraqueri - Punto N 1
Perodo de
Retorno
Area de la
Cuenca
Pendiente del
curso principal
Coeficiente de
escorrenta
PPmxima en 24
hrs
Caudal mximo
(Aos)
(Ha)
(m/Km)
(mm)
(m3/sg)
2
5
10
25
50
75
100
150
200
300
400
500
1000
19179.00
19179.00
19179.00
19179.00
19179.00
19179.00
19179.00
19179.00
19179.00
19179.00
19179.00
19179.00
19179.00
19.000
19.000
19.000
19.000
19.000
19.000
19.000
19.000
19.000
19.000
19.000
19.000
19.000
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
32.73
40.30
45.08
50.93
55.17
57.61
59.33
61.75
63.47
65.88
67.60
68.93
73.09
24.05
29.62
33.13
37.42
40.54
42.34
43.60
45.38
46.64
48.42
49.68
50.66
53.71
GENERACION DE CAUDALES MAXIMOS DE DISEO
METODO: FORMULA DE MAC MATH

Microcuenca Loripongo Punto N 2
Perodo de
Retorno
Area de la
Cuenca
Pendiente del
curso principal
Coeficiente de
escorrenta
PPmxima en 24
hrs
Caudal mximo
(Aos)
(Ha)
(m/Km)
(mm)
(m3/sg)
2
5
10
25
50
75
100
150
200
300
400
500
1000
36,358.00
36,358.00
36,358.00
36,358.00
36,358.00
36,358.00
36,358.00
36,358.00
36,358.00
36,358.00
36,358.00
36,358.00
36,358.00
17.000
17.000
17.000
17.000
17.000
17.000
17.000
17.000
17.000
17.000
17.000
17.000
17.000
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
32.73
40.30
45.08
50.93
55.17
57.61
59.33
61.75
63.47
65.88
67.60
68.93
73.09
33.26
40.96
45.82
51.76
56.07
58.55
60.30
62.76
64.50
66.96
68.70
70.06
74.28

Ao
Precipitaciones Mximas para 38 aos Estacin Laraqueri-Puno

PP
PP
Y=Log PP
mm
mm
m
m/(N+1)
(N+1)/m
1963
37.7
1964
40.3
1965
39.6
1966
37.0
1967
30.3
1968
27.2
1969
21.6
1970
28.4
1971
31.8
1972
27.6
1973
25.2
1974
45.3
1975
30.0
1976
40.3
1977
25.9
1978
30.3
1979
45.3
1980
24.4
1981
29.8
1982
23.7
1983
30.4
1984
37.7
1985
44.6
1986
42.2
1987
29.3
1988
24.3
1989
53.5
1990
26.4
1991
24.8
1992
24.5
1993
39.9
1994
44.1
1995
38.7
1996
41.8
1997
49.5
1998
33.8
1999
24.2
2000
35.6
53.5
49.5
45.3
45.3
44.6
44.1
42.2
41.8
40.3
40.3
39.9
39.6
38.7
37.7
37.7
37
35.6
33.8
31.8
30.4
30.3
30.3
30
29.8
29.3
28.4
27.6
27.2
26.4
25.9
25.2
24.8
24.5
24.4
24.3
24.2
23.7
21.6
Media
6
0.03
39.00
1.7284
0.05
19.50
1.6946
0.08
13.00
1.6561
0.10
9.75
1.6561
0.13
7.80
1.6493
0.15
6.50
1.6444
0.18
5.57
1.6253
0.21
4.88
1.6212
0.23
4.33
1.6053
10
0.26
3.90
1.6053
11
0.28
3.55
1.6010
12
0.31
3.25
1.5977
13
0.33
3.00
1.5877
14
0.36
2.79
1.5763
15
0.38
2.60
1.5763
16
0.41
2.44
1.5682
17
0.44
2.29
1.5514
18
0.46
2.17
1.5289
19
0.49
2.05
1.5024
20
0.51
1.95
1.4829
21
0.54
1.86
1.4814
22
0.56
1.77
1.4814
23
0.59
1.70
1.4771
24
0.62
1.63
1.4742
25
0.64
1.56
1.4669
26
0.67
1.50
1.4533
27
0.69
1.44
1.4409
28
0.72
1.39
1.4346
29
0.74
1.34
1.4216
30
0.77
1.30
1.4133
31
0.79
1.26
1.4014
32
0.82
1.22
1.3945
33
0.85
1.18
1.3892
34
0.87
1.15
1.3874
35
0.90
1.11
1.3856
36
0.92
1.08
1.3838
37
0.95
1.05
1.3747
38
0.97
1.03
1.3345
33.87
Desv. Est.
8.32
Cof. Asim.
0.4567
Media
1.5172
Des. Est.
0.1056
Cof. Asim.
0.1328

T
aos
K=Z
PP (mm)
estimado
antilog(Y)
0.50000
0.0000
1.5172
32.90
0.20000
0.8415
1.6061
40.37
10
0.10000
1.2817
1.6526
44.94
25
0.04000
1.7511
1.7022
50.37
50
0.02000
2.0542
1.7342
54.23
75
0.01333
2.2168
1.7514
56.41
100
0.01000
2.3268
1.7630
57.94
150
0.00667
2.4752
1.7787
60.07
200
0.00500
2.5762
1.7894
61.57
300
0.00333
2.7134
1.8038
63.66
400
0.00250
2.8074
1.8138
65.13
500
0.00200
2.8785
1.8213
66.26
1000
0.00100
3.0905
1.8437
69.77
COMPARAT
80.00
70.00
Precipitacin (mm)
60.00
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
0
200

T
PP (mm)
aos
2
5
0.50000
0.20000
-0.1643
0.7195
32.50
39.85
10
0.10000
1.3046
44.72
25
0.04000
2.0438
50.87
50
0.02000
2.5923
55.44
75
0.01333
2.9111
58.09
100
0.01000
3.1367
59.97
150
0.00667
3.4541
62.61
200
0.00500
3.6791
64.48
300
0.00333
3.9959
67.12
400
0.00250
4.2205
68.99
500
0.00200
4.3947
70.43
1000
0.00100
4.9355
74.93

T
aos
PP (mm)
estimado
antilog(Y)
0.50000
-0.0221
1.5149
32.73
0.20000
0.8343
1.6054
40.30
10
0.10000
1.2950
1.6540
45.08
25
0.04000
1.7959
1.7069
50.93
50
0.02000
2.1248
1.7417
55.17
75
0.01333
2.3030
1.7605
57.61
100
0.01000
2.4242
1.7733
59.33
150
0.00667
2.5886
1.7907
61.75
200
0.00500
2.7012
1.8026
63.47
300
0.00333
2.8548
1.8188
65.88
400
0.00250
2.9605
1.8299
67.60
500
0.00200
3.0407
1.8384
68.93
1000
0.00100
3.2815
1.8638
73.09

T
aos
2
0.50000
PP (mm)
PP (mm)
PP (mm)
Log-Normal
Gumbel
Log-Pearson
32.90
32.50
32.73
0.20000
40.37
39.85
40.30
10
0.10000
44.94
44.72
45.08
25
0.04000
50.37
50.87
50.93
50
0.02000
54.23
55.44
55.17
75
0.01333
56.41
58.09
57.61
100
0.01000
57.94
59.97
59.33
150
0.00667
60.07
62.61
61.75
200
0.00500
61.57
64.48
63.47
300
0.00333
63.66
67.12
65.88
400
0.00250
65.13
68.99
67.60
500
0.00200
66.26
70.43
68.93
1000
0.00100
69.77
74.93
73.09
COMPARATIVO DE PRECIPITACIONES MXIMAS OBTENIDAS

(ESTACIN LARAQUERI)
200
400
LOG-NORMAL
600
T (aos)
GUMBEL
800
LOG-PEARSON III
1000
1200

36
K=Z
t (estad.) =
IC(Y)
2.028094001
LCI(Y)
LCS(Y)
LCI(PP)
LCS(PP)
aos
2
5
0.50000
0.20000
0.0000
0.8415
1.5172
1.6061
0.0405
0.0471
1.4767
1.5590
1.5577
1.6532
29.97
36.22
36.12
45.00
10
0.10000
1.2817
1.6526
0.0546
1.5980
1.7073
39.63
50.96
25
0.04000
1.7511
1.7022
0.0644
1.6378
1.7666
43.43
58.43
50
0.02000
2.0542
1.7342
0.0714
1.6628
1.8056
46.01
63.91
75
0.01333
2.2168
1.7514
0.0753
1.6761
1.8267
47.44
67.09
100
0.01000
2.3268
1.7630
0.0779
1.6851
1.8409
48.42
69.33
150
0.00667
2.4752
1.7787
0.0816
1.6971
1.8603
49.78
72.49
200
0.00500
2.5762
1.7894
0.0841
1.7052
1.8735
50.72
74.73
300
0.00333
2.7134
1.8038
0.0876
1.7163
1.8914
52.03
77.88
400
0.00250
2.8074
1.8138
0.0900
1.7238
1.9038
52.94
80.12
500
0.00200
2.8785
1.8213
0.0918
1.7295
1.9131
53.64
81.86
1000
0.00100
3.0905
1.8437
0.0973
1.7464
1.9410
55.77
87.29

36
t (estad.) =
PP (mm)
IC(PP)
2.028094001
LCI(PP)
LCS(PP)
aos
2
0.50000
-0.1643
32.50
3.21
29.29
35.71
0.20000
0.7195
39.85
3.58
36.28
43.43
10
0.10000
1.3046
44.72
4.34
40.38
49.06
25
0.04000
2.0438
50.87
5.60
45.27
56.48
50
0.02000
2.5923
55.44
6.66
48.78
62.10
75
0.01333
2.9111
58.09
7.30
50.79
65.39
100
0.01000
3.1367
59.97
7.76
52.21
67.73
150
0.00667
3.4541
62.61
8.42
54.19
71.03
200
0.00500
3.6791
64.48
8.89
55.59
73.37
300
0.00333
3.9959
67.12
9.56
57.56
76.68
400
0.00250
4.2205
68.99
10.04
58.95
79.02
500
0.00200
4.3947
70.43
10.41
60.02
80.85
1000
0.00100
4.9355
74.93
11.58
63.36
86.51

35
t (estad.) =
IC(Y)
2.030107928
LCI(Y)
LCS(Y)
LCI(PP)
LCS(PP)
aos
2
0.50000
-0.0221
1.5149
0.0405
1.4744
1.5554
29.81
35.93
0.20000
0.8343
1.6054
0.0471
1.5583
1.6524
36.17
44.92
10
0.10000
1.2950
1.6540
0.0549
1.5991
1.7090
39.73
51.16
25
0.04000
1.7959
1.7069
0.0655
1.6414
1.7724
43.80
59.22
50
0.02000
2.1248
1.7417
0.0731
1.6685
1.8148
46.62
65.28
75
0.01333
2.3030
1.7605
0.0774
1.6830
1.8379
48.20
68.85
100
0.01000
2.4242
1.7733
0.0804
1.6929
1.8537
49.30
71.40
150
0.00667
2.5886
1.7907
0.0845
1.7061
1.8752
50.83
75.02
200
0.00500
2.7012
1.8026
0.0874
1.7152
1.8899
51.90
77.61
300
0.00333
2.8548
1.8188
0.0913
1.7275
1.9101
53.39
81.30
400
0.00250
2.9605
1.8299
0.0940
1.7359
1.9240
54.44
83.94
500
0.00200
3.0407
1.8384
0.0961
1.7423
1.9345
55.25
86.00
1000
0.00100
3.2815
1.8638
0.1024
1.7615
1.9662
57.74
92.52
FACTOR DE FRECUENCIA K = Z
DISTRIBUCION NORMAL
FACTOR DE FRECUENCIA K
DISTRIBUCION TIPO I - GUMBEL
Coeficiente
aos
1
2
3
4
5
6
8
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
125
150
175
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
950
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
7500
8000
10000
aos
1.00000
0.50000
0.33333
0.25000
0.20000
0.16667
0.12500
0.10000
0.06667
0.05000
0.04000
0.03333
0.02857
0.02500
0.02222
0.02000
0.01818
0.01667
0.01538
0.01429
0.01333
0.01250
0.01176
0.01111
0.01053
0.01000
0.00800
0.00667
0.00571
0.00500
0.00400
0.00333
0.00286
0.00250
0.00222
0.00200
0.00182
0.00167
0.00154
0.00143
0.00133
0.00125
0.00118
0.00111
0.00105
0.00100
0.00067
0.00050
0.00040
0.00033
0.00029
0.00025
0.00022
0.00020
0.00013
0.00013
0.00010
infinito
1.1774
1.4823
1.6651
1.7941
1.8930
2.0393
2.1460
2.3273
2.4477
2.5373
2.6081
2.6666
2.7162
2.7592
2.7971
2.8310
2.8616
2.8894
2.9150
2.9385
2.9604
2.9808
2.9999
3.0179
3.0349
3.1075
3.1656
3.2140
3.2552
3.3231
3.3775
3.4228
3.4616
3.4955
3.5255
3.5524
3.5769
3.5992
3.6197
3.6387
3.6564
3.6729
3.6885
3.7031
3.7169
3.8245
3.8989
3.9558
4.0016
4.0399
4.0728
4.1017
4.1273
4.2244
4.2396
4.2919
infinito
0.0000
0.4303
0.6742
0.8415
0.9674
1.1504
1.2817
1.5014
1.6452
1.7511
1.8343
1.9026
1.9604
2.0103
2.0542
2.0933
2.1285
2.1605
2.1898
2.2168
2.2418
2.2652
2.2870
2.3075
2.3268
2.4093
2.4752
2.5297
2.5762
2.6525
2.7134
2.7641
2.8074
2.8451
2.8785
2.9084
2.9355
2.9603
2.9830
3.0041
3.0236
3.0419
3.0591
3.0753
3.0905
3.2090
3.2908
3.3530
3.4031
3.4450
3.4809
3.5124
3.5402
3.6458
3.6624
3.7191
1
2
3
4
5
6
8
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
125
150
175
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
950
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
7500
8000
10000
1.00000
0.50000
0.33333
0.25000
0.20000
0.16667
0.12500
0.10000
0.06667
0.05000
0.04000
0.03333
0.02857
0.02500
0.02222
0.02000
0.01818
0.01667
0.01538
0.01429
0.01333
0.01250
0.01176
0.01111
0.01053
0.01000
0.00800
0.00667
0.00571
0.00500
0.00400
0.00333
0.00286
0.00250
0.00222
0.00200
0.00182
0.00167
0.00154
0.00143
0.00133
0.00125
0.00118
0.00111
0.00105
0.00100
0.00067
0.00050
0.00040
0.00033
0.00029
0.00025
0.00022
0.00020
0.00013
0.00013
0.00010
infinito
-0.1643
0.2538
0.5214
0.7195
0.8770
1.1198
1.3046
1.6347
1.8658
2.0438
2.1887
2.3108
2.4163
2.5093
2.5923
2.6673
2.7358
2.7987
2.8569
2.9111
2.9617
3.0093
3.0541
3.0965
3.1367
3.3115
3.4541
3.5747
3.6791
3.8535
3.9959
4.1163
4.2205
4.3125
4.3947
4.4691
4.5370
4.5994
4.6573
4.7111
4.7614
4.8087
4.8533
4.8955
4.9355
5.2518
5.4762
5.6502
5.7924
5.9126
6.0167
6.1086
6.1907
6.5069
6.5572
6.7312
FACTOR DE FRECUENCIA K PARA LA DISTRIBUCION DE PEARSON - TIPO III

Coeficiente
de
Asimetra
(c)
-2.6
-2.5
-2.4
-2.3
-2.2
-2.1
-2.0
-1.9
-1.8
-1.7
-1.6
-1.5
-1.4
-1.3
-1.2
-1.1
-1.0
-0.9
-0.8
-0.7
-0.6
-0.5
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
2.5
2.6
2.7
2.8
2.9
PERIODO DE RETORNO (AOS)

2
0.500
0.200
0.3469
0.3401
0.3326
0.3242
0.3152
0.3054
0.2949
0.2839
0.2722
0.2600
0.2473
0.2340
0.2204
0.2063
0.1919
0.1771
0.1620
0.1466
0.1309
0.1151
0.0990
0.0828
0.0664
0.0499
0.0333
0.0167
0.0000
-0.0167
-0.0333
-0.0499
-0.0664
-0.0828
-0.0990
-0.1151
-0.1309
-0.1466
-0.1620
-0.1771
-0.1919
-0.2063
-0.2204
-0.2340
-0.2473
-0.2600
-0.2722
-0.2839
-0.2949
-0.3054
-0.3152
-0.3242
-0.3326
-0.3401
-0.3469
-0.3527
-0.3577
-0.3616
0.6901
0.7055
0.7202
0.7342
0.7476
0.7602
0.7721
0.7832
0.7936
0.8032
0.8120
0.8201
0.8273
0.8338
0.8394
0.8442
0.8481
0.8513
0.8536
0.8550
0.8556
0.8553
0.8543
0.8523
0.8495
0.8459
0.8415
0.8362
0.8301
0.8232
0.8155
0.8070
0.7978
0.7878
0.7771
0.7657
0.7536
0.7409
0.7275
0.7135
0.6990
0.6839
0.6683
0.6523
0.6358
0.6190
0.6018
0.5843
0.5667
0.5488
0.5308
0.5128
0.4947
0.4768
0.4589
0.4413
10
25
50
75
PPROBABILIDAD DE EXCEDENCIA
0.100
0.040
0.020
0.013
0.7460
0.7716
0.7973
0.8229
0.8484
0.8737
0.8989
0.9237
0.9483
0.9724
0.9962
1.0194
1.0421
1.0643
1.0858
1.1066
1.1268
1.1462
1.1648
1.1826
1.1996
1.2157
1.2308
1.2450
1.2583
1.2705
1.2817
1.2919
1.3011
1.3091
1.3161
1.3221
1.3269
1.3306
1.3332
1.3348
1.3352
1.3346
1.3328
1.3301
1.3262
1.3214
1.3155
1.3087
1.3009
1.2922
1.2826
1.2721
1.2608
1.2488
1.2361
1.2227
1.2087
1.1942
1.1791
1.1637
0.7589
0.7909
0.8242
0.8588
0.8945
0.9312
0.9688
1.0072
1.0462
1.0858
1.1259
1.1663
1.2069
1.2477
1.2886
1.3293
1.3700
1.4104
1.4506
1.4903
1.5296
1.5683
1.6064
1.6438
1.6804
1.7162
1.7511
1.7850
1.8180
1.8499
1.8806
1.9103
1.9387
1.9659
1.9918
2.0164
2.0397
2.0617
2.0822
2.1014
2.1191
2.1355
2.1504
2.1639
2.1760
2.1867
2.1960
2.2039
2.2105
2.2157
2.2196
2.2222
2.2236
2.2238
2.2228
2.2208
0.7594
0.7916
0.8265
0.8638
0.9034
0.9451
0.9887
1.0342
1.0813
1.1299
1.1799
1.2311
1.2833
1.3365
1.3904
1.4450
1.5002
1.5557
1.6115
1.6675
1.7235
1.7794
1.8351
1.8906
1.9456
2.0002
2.0542
2.1075
2.1600
2.2117
2.2625
2.3123
2.3610
2.4085
2.4548
2.4999
2.5437
2.5860
2.6270
2.6665
2.7045
2.7410
2.7759
2.8092
2.8409
2.8710
2.8995
2.9263
2.9515
2.9750
2.9970
3.0173
3.0360
3.0532
3.0688
3.0829
0.7616
0.7924
0.8266
0.8640
0.9045
0.9479
0.9939
1.0424
1.0932
1.1461
1.2009
1.2576
1.3159
1.3756
1.4366
1.4988
1.5619
1.6259
1.6906
1.7558
1.8215
1.8874
1.9535
2.0196
2.0856
2.1514
2.2168
2.2818
2.3462
2.4100
2.4731
2.5353
2.5965
2.6567
2.7159
2.7738
2.8305
2.8859
2.9399
2.9925
3.0435
3.0930
3.1410
3.1873
3.2319
3.2749
3.3162
3.3557
3.3935
3.4295
3.4638
3.4963
3.5271
3.5561
3.5834
3.6091
100
200
500
1000
0.010
0.005
0.002
0.001
0.7648
0.7940
0.8271
0.8641
0.9047
0.9486
0.9958
1.0460
1.0989
1.1545
1.2124
1.2726
1.3349
1.3990
1.4647
1.5320
1.6007
1.6705
1.7414
1.8131
1.8855
1.9585
2.0319
2.1055
2.1793
2.2531
2.3268
2.4002
2.4733
2.5458
2.6178
2.6890
2.7595
2.8290
2.8975
2.9650
3.0312
3.0962
3.1599
3.2222
3.2830
3.3423
3.4000
3.4561
3.5105
3.5632
3.6142
3.6634
3.7108
3.7564
3.8001
3.8420
3.8821
3.9204
3.9568
3.9914
0.7807
0.8037
0.8323
0.8662
0.9051
0.9489
0.9972
1.0499
1.1066
1.1672
1.2314
1.2990
1.3697
1.4434
1.5198
1.5987
1.6800
1.7633
1.8485
1.9355
2.0239
2.1137
2.2046
2.2965
2.3892
2.4825
2.5762
2.6703
2.7645
2.8588
2.9528
3.0466
3.1400
3.2329
3.3250
3.4164
3.5069
3.5963
3.6846
3.7718
3.8576
3.9420
4.0249
4.1063
4.1860
4.2641
4.3404
4.4149
4.4876
4.5583
4.6272
4.6940
4.7589
4.8218
4.8826
4.9415
0.8224
0.8331
0.8517
0.8777
0.9109
0.9510
0.9976
1.0505
1.1094
1.1739
1.2439
1.3189
1.3988
1.4832
1.5719
1.6646
1.7610
1.8610
1.9642
2.0704
2.1794
2.2909
2.4047
2.5206
2.6384
2.7577
2.8785
3.0005
3.1235
3.2474
3.3719
3.4968
3.6220
3.7473
3.8726
3.9976
4.1223
4.2464
4.3698
4.4925
4.6141
4.7348
4.8542
4.9723
5.0890
5.2043
5.3179
5.4298
5.5399
5.6482
5.7546
5.8589
5.9613
6.0615
6.1596
6.2556
0.8716
0.8702
0.8783
0.8958
0.9221
0.9570
1.0001
1.0510
1.1095
1.1752
1.2477
1.3267
1.4120
1.5031
1.5998
1.7019
1.8089
1.9205
2.0366
2.1568
2.2808
2.4084
2.5393
2.6732
2.8099
2.9491
3.0905
3.2340
3.3793
3.5262
3.6744
3.8237
3.9740
4.1250
4.2765
4.4283
4.5802
4.7321
4.8838
5.0350
5.1858
5.3358
5.4850
5.6331
5.7801
5.9259
6.0703
6.2131
6.3544
6.4939
6.6317
6.7675
6.9013
7.0331
7.1628
7.2902
0.00
0.10
0.30
0.40
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.50
1.70
1.90
2.20
2.60
3.20
5.00
Tp = 0.833
t/Tp
0.00
0.10
0.30
0.40
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.50
1.70
1.90
2.20
2.60
3.20
5.00
0.00
0.03
0.19
0.31
0.66
0.82
0.93
0.99
1.00
0.99
0.93
0.86
0.68
0.46
0.33
0.21
0.11
0.04
0.00
Hidrograma unitario adimensional SCS

1.00
0.90
0.80
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
t/Tp
qp = 7.49
q/qp
0.00
0.08
0.25
0.33
0.50
0.58
0.67
0.75
0.83
0.92
1.00
1.08
1.25
1.42
1.58
1.83
2.17
2.67
4.17
q/qp
0.00
3.00
19.00
31.00
66.00
82.00
93.00
99.00
100.00
99.00
93.00
86.00
68.00
46.00
33.00
21.00
11.00
4.00
0.00
q/qp
t/Tp
0.00
2.00
6.00
8.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
22.00
24.00
26.00
30.00
34.00
38.00
44.00
52.00
64.00
100.00
0.00
0.03
0.19
0.31
0.66
0.82
0.93
0.99
1.00
0.99
0.93
0.86
0.68
0.46
0.33
0.21
0.11
0.04
0.00
q
0.00
0.22
1.42
2.32
4.94
6.14
6.97
7.42
7.49
7.42
6.97
6.44
5.09
3.45
2.47
1.57
0.82
0.30
0.00
Hidrograma Generado
8.00
7.00
6.00
q (m 3/s.cm )
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
t (horas )
3.00
Mtodo de Gumbel
T (aos)
PP (mm)
LCI(PP)
LCS(PP)
32.50
29.25
35.76
2
39.85
36.23
43.48
5
44.72
40.32
49.12
10
50.87
45.19
56.56
25
55.44
48.69
62.19
50
58.09
50.69
65.49
75
59.97
52.10
67.83
100
62.61
54.08
71.14
150
64.48
55.47
73.49
200
67.12
57.43
76.81
300
68.99
58.81
79.16
400
70.43
59.88
80.99
500
74.93
63.20
86.67
1000
COMPARATIVO DE PRECIPITACIONES MXIMAS OBTENIDAS (ESTACIN LARAQUERI)

80.00
70.00
60.00
P (mm)
50.00
LOG-NORMAL
GUMBEL
LOG-PEARSON III
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
0
200
400
600
T (aos)
800
1000
1200
2
5
10
25
50
75
100
150
200
300
400
500
1000
Log-Normal Gumbel
Log-Pearson
32.90
32.50
32.73
40.37
39.85
40.30
44.94
44.72
45.08
50.37
50.87
50.93
54.23
55.44
55.17
56.41
58.09
57.61
57.94
59.97
59.33
60.07
62.61
61.75
61.57
64.48
63.47
63.66
67.12
65.88
65.13
68.99
67.60
66.26
70.43
68.93
69.77
74.93
73.09
COMPARATIVO DE MTODOS DE DISTRIBUCIN DE PROBABILID
80.00
70.00
60.00
PrecipitacinMxima (mm)
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
2
10 25 50 75 100 150 200 300

Tiempo de retorno (aos)
Log-Normal
Gumbel
Log-P
DISTRIBUCIN DE PROBABILIDAD ESTACIN LARAQUERI
0 25 50 75 100 150 200 300 400 500 1000

Tiempo de retorno (aos)
Log-Normal
Gumbel
Log-Pearson

ESTADISTICA

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Clculo de Precipitaciones Mximas Mediante los Mtodos Estadsticos

(Uso de los Factores de Frecuencia)

Precipitaciones Mximas para 38 aos Estacin Laraqueri-Puno

Anlisis de Precipitaciones Mximas - Mtodo Log-Normal

PRUEBA DE AJUSTE - ERROR CUADRAT

Pearson Tipo III

Tiempo de Retorno (Aos)

Anlisis de Precipitaciones Mximas - Mtodo de Gumbel

Anlisis de Precipitaciones Mximas - M

E - ERROR CUADRATICO MINIMO

N 24 HORAS - ESTACION LARAQUERI -PUNO

Precipitaciones Mximas - Mtodo Log-Pearson Tipo III

Clculo de Precipitaciones Mximas Mediante los Mtodos Estadsticos

Precipitaciones Mximas para 38 aos Estacin Chilligua-Puno

Anlisis de Precipitaciones Mximas - Mtodo Log-Normal

Anlisis de Precipitaciones Mximas - Mtodo de Gumbel

Anlisis de Precipitaciones Mximas - Mtodo Log-Pearson Tipo III

Comparacin de los Valores de Precipitaciones Mximas Obtenidos

Clculo de los Lmites de Confianza - Mtodo Log-Normal

Clculo de los Lmites de Confianza - Mtodo de Gumbel

Clculo de los Lmites de Confianza - Mtodo Log-Pearson Tipo III

Clculo de Precipitaciones Mximas Mediante los Mtodos Estadsticos

Precipitaciones Mximas para 38 aos Estacin Ilave-Puno

Anlisis de Precipitaciones Mximas - Mtodo Log-Normal

Anlisis de Precipitaciones Mximas - Mtodo de Gumbel

Anlisis de Precipitaciones Mximas - Mtodo Log-Pearson Tipo III

Clculo de los Lmites de C

Clculo de los Lmites de C

Comparacin de los Valores de Precipitaciones Mximas Obtenidos

Clculo de los Lmites de C

Clculo de los Lmites de Confianza - Mtodo Log-Normal

Clculo de los Lmites de Confianza - Mtodo de Gumbel

Clculo de los Lmites de Confianza - Mtodo Log-Pearson Tipo III

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Precipitaciones Mximas para 38 aos Estacin Puno-Puno

Anlisis de Precipitaciones Mximas - Mtodo Log-Normal

Anlisis de Precipitaciones Mximas - Mtodo de Gumbel

Anlisis de Precipitaciones Mximas - Mtodo Log-Pearson Tipo III

Comparacin de los Valores de Precipitaciones Mximas Obtenidos

Clculo de los Lmites de Confianza - Mtodo Log-Normal

Clculo de los Lmites de Confianza - Mtodo de Gumbel

Clculo de los Lmites de Confianza - Mtodo Log-Pearson Tipo III

Comparacin de los Valores de Precipitaciones Mximas Obtenidos

GENERACION DE CAUDALES MAXIMOS DE DISEO

GENERACION DE CAUDALES MAXIMOS DE DISEO

METODO: FORMULA DE MAC MATH

Clculo de Precipitaciones Mximas Mediante los Mtodos Estadsticos

Precipitaciones Mximas para 38 aos Estacin Laraqueri-Puno

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Anlisis de Precipitaciones Mximas - Mtodo de Gumbel

Anlisis de Precipitaciones Mximas - Mtodo Log-Pearson Tipo III

Comparacin de los Valores de Precipitaciones Mximas Obtenidos

COMPARATIVO DE PRECIPITACIONES MXIMAS OBTENIDAS

Clculo de los Lmites de Confianza - Mtodo Log-Normal

Clculo de los Lmites de Confianza - Mtodo de Gumbel

Clculo de los Lmites de Confianza - Mtodo Log-Pearson Tipo III

FACTOR DE FRECUENCIA K PARA LA DISTRIBUCION DE PEARSON - TIPO III

PERIODO DE RETORNO (AOS)

Hidrograma unitario adimensional SCS

COMPARATIVO DE PRECIPITACIONES MXIMAS OBTENIDAS (ESTACIN LARAQUERI)

COMPARATIVO DE MTODOS DE DISTRIBUCIN DE PROBABILID

10 25 50 75 100 150 200 300

DISTRIBUCIN DE PROBABILIDAD ESTACIN LARAQUERI

0 25 50 75 100 150 200 300 400 500 1000