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ASSIGNMENTS
PROGRAM:
SEMESTER-I
Subject Name
Study COUNTRY
: Sudan
Permanent Enrollment Number (PEN) :
Roll Number
: IB01652010-2012045
Student Name
: SOMAIA TAMBAL ELMALIK
INSTRUCTIONS
a) Students are required to submit all three assignment sets.
ASSIGNMENT
Assignment A
Assignment B
Assignment C
DETAILS
Five Subjective Questions
Three Subjective Questions + Case Study
40 Objective Questions
MARKS
10
10
10
b)
c)
d)
e)
Signature
Date
:
:
_____15.AUG.2011____________________________
Ques. 2 The raw data displayed here are the scores (out of 100 marks) of a
market survey regarding the acceptability of a new product launch by a
company for a random sample of 50 respondents
40
25
41
43
38
44
45
26
42
44
37
45
41
9
39
36
36
40
45
23
35
27
35
39
45
24
18
32
32
41
30
26
25
28
38
39
29
35
27
40
8
8
40
25
41
48
40
42
26
43
No.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
Classes
5 10
10 - 15
15 20
20 25
25 30
30 35
35 40
40 45
45 50
frequency
3
0
1
2
10
2
12
15
5
frequency curve :
Ques.3 Compute the mean, standard deviation and Coefficient of variation of the
following data and comment on the result
Size
12.5
13.0
13.5
14.0
14.5
15.0
15.5
16.0
Frequency
4
19
30
63
66
29
18
1
Ques.4 Following figures give the rainfall in inches for the year and the production in
00 of Kgs. For the Rabi crop and Kharif crop. Calculate the Karl Pearsons
coefficient of correlation, between rainfall and total production and comment on the
result.
Rainfall
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
Rabi Production
15
18
20
32
40
39
40
Kharif Production
15
17
20
18
20
21
15
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
Total
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
15
17
20
18
20
21
15
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-3
-1
2
0
2
3
-3
18
4
4
0
4
12
-18
24
The mean of x = 26
The mean of y = 18
Cov ( x,y) = 24 / 7= 3.43
Sx = 4.32
Sy = 2.45
R = 3.43 / (4.32 * 2.45) = 3.43 / 10.584 = 0.324
R=
N=9
Physic Ranks(d
s
.1)
35
3
23
5
47
1
17
6
10
7
43
2
9
8
6
9
28
4
Mathemati
cs
30
33
45
23
8
49
12
4
31
=0.9
Ranks(d.
2)
5
3
2
6
8
1
7
9
4
d1 =( r1 d2
r2)
-2
4
2
4
-1
1
0
0
-1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
12
Assignment B
ii. Four cards are drawn at random from a pack of 52 playing cards. Find
the probability of getting
a. all the four cards of the same suit
Answer: P = p1.p2.p3.p4= 1/4 X 1/4 X 1/4 X 1/4 = 0.0039
Ques.2 The following table gives the aptitude test scores and productivity
indices of 10 workers selected at random:
Aptitude scores(X) 60
Productivity index(Y) 68
62
60
65
62
70
80
72
85
48
40
53
52
73
62
Aptitude
scores(X)
1.
60
2.
62
3.
65
4.
70
5.
72
6.
48
7.
53
8.
73
9.
65
10.
82
Total 650
Productivity
index(Y)
68
60
62
80
85
40
52
62
60
81
650
Y = a + bX =
X = 650
Y = 650
XY = a X + X2
43294 = a * 650 + 36150
43294 - 36150= a650 =
x*y
X2
4080
3720
4030
5600
6120
1920
2756
4526
3900
6642
43294
3600
3844
4225
4900
5184
2034
2809
5329
4225
6724
36150
XY = 43294
X2 = 36150
a= 7144/650= 10.99
Answer,B :
Y = na +b X
650 = 10 *10.99 + b * 650
650 109.9 = b650
= 0.83
The equation :
Y = 10.99 + 0.83X
A: The productivity index of a worker whose test score is 92 :
While x = 92 y is :
Y = 10.99 + 92 * 0.83 = 87.4
65
60
82
81
Ques.3 Discuss the different components of a time series and fit a trend line with
the help of following data by using Free hand curve method and Semi-averages
method:
Year 1993 94
Profit
10
(Rs. in lakhs).
95
12
96
16
97
8
98
6
99
14
2000 01
15 10
02
14
03
20
04
13
18
Freehand method:
Freehand method
Advantages
1. The Freehand method is a very simple method of estimating trend.
2. There is flexibility in this method as it can be used regardless whether the trend is a
straight line or non-linear.
3. If the statistician is well-conversant with the movement of the particular variable
involved in the time series, the use of this method may even give a better expression to the
long-term movement than the trend fitted by a rigid mathematical formula.
Limitations
1.This is a highly subjective method as the trend line fitted to the same set of data by this
method will vary from one person to another.
2. In view of the trend line being highly subjective, it is not an appropriate method for
making predictions.
3. It means very long experience on the part of the statistician to use this method, otherwise,
the trend fitted would not be of much use.
Year
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
X
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Y
10
12
16
8
6
14
15
10
14
20
13
18
Average
66/6=11
90/6=15
1) The average of first part of the data is 11 and that of the second part is I5. Since 11 is the
average of1993, 1994, 1995, 1996 , 1997and1998 11 is plotted in between 1997 and 1998,
which is the middle of the 6-year period. Likewise, 15 is plotted in between
2) 2003 and 2004. Then these points are joined by a straight line, which is a semi-average
trend line.
Advantages
1. The method of semi-averages is simple to use as anyone can use it conveniently.
2. This is an objective method as anyone applying it to the given set of data would get the
same trend line.
Limitations
1. This method will always give a straight line trend regardless of the nature of the given set
of data. Thus, it assumes a straight line relationship, which may not be true.
2. This method may give wrong trend-line on account of the limitations of arithmetic
average. In case there is an extreme value in either half or both halves of the time series,
then the trend line will not give a realistic growth of the phenomenon being measured. In
order to overcome this problem, it is necessary to ensure that the data do not have extreme
values.
A time series:
Is a chronological sequence of observations on a particular variable. Usually the
observations are taken at regular intervals (days, months, years), but the sampling could be
irregular. A time series analysis consists of two steps:
Case Study
The marks obtained by seven students in Statistics and Accountancy are as
follows:
Age(X) 56 42 36 47 49 42 60 72 63 55
Blood
149
150
Pressure(Y)
147
125
118
128
145
140
155
160
SOLUTION:
i.Given the form of the scattered diagram, does it appear that a straight line provides an
accurate model for the data?
ii.Find the correlation coefficient between Age(X) and Blood Pressure(Y) and discuss its natur
No.
X
Y
1.
56
14
7
(X - X Mean) *(Y -Y X * Y
Mean)
20.14
8232
2.
42
3.
36
4.
47
5.
49
6.
42
7.
60
8.
72
9.
63
10.
55
Total
12
5
11
8
12
8
14
5
14
0
15
5
16
0
14
9
15
0
170.34
5250
383.94
4248
71.24
6016
10.56
7105
17.34
5880
103.74
9300
362.34
11520
78.84
9387
23.24
8250
1241.72
75188
Answer: ii.
X Mean = 52.2
Y Mean = 141.7
Cov = (X - X Mean) *(Y -Y Mean)/ n = 1241.72/ 10 = 124.172
Sx = 11.05
Sy = 13.76
iii.
Answer: iii.
The equation for a straight line is:
Y =a + bX
XY = a X + X2
:. A= XY- X2 / X
X= 522
X2= 28,348
Xy= 75188
A= 28348-75188 /522 = 89.7
B:
Y = na +b X
Y= 1417 n= 10 a= 89.7
x = 522
iv.
1417-897 = b* 522
Assignment C
Ques.1 a sequence of interrelated decisions made either simultaneously or over several time periods called dynamic
decisions.
a. dynamic decisions()
b. static decisions
c. Both
d. None
Ques.2 Stocking of an item for sale in a certain trade fair, illustrates a
a. Static decision
b. Where uncertainly exists
c. Nature is opponent.
d. All of above()
Ques.3 Quantitative analysis is also called
a. Operations research
b. Management science
c. Quantitative techniques
d.
a. Rule of thumb
b. Commonsense
c. Snap judgment.
d. Quantitative Techniques()
Ques.6 Statistics is a branch of
a. applied physics
b. applied mathematics()
c. applied commerce
d. Dramatics
Ques.7 The mean of 7, 12, 24, 20, 19 is
a. 14
b. 16
c. 15.4
d. 16.4()
Ques.8 (X/c) =
a. ( X)/n c
b. ( X)/ c
c. ( X)/c()
d. X/c.
Ques.9 Midterm exam scores for a small advanced neuroanatomy class are provided below. Scores represent
percent of items marked correct on the exam.
87,99,75,87,94,75,35,88,87,93
The mode of the distribution
a. 75
b. 87()
c. 88
d. 94
Ques.10 Which measure of Central tendency is most efficient
a. Mean()
b. Median
c. Mode
d. All are equal
e.
Ques.11 Mean Deviation can be calculated from
a. Mean()
b. Median
c. Mode.
d. All the three
Ques.12 Qualitative data are
a. Non-numeric()
b. Numeric
c. Can be both
d. None
Ques.13 The numeric data that have a finite number of possible values is called
a. Continuous data
b. Discrete data()
c. Datum
d. None
Ques.14 The Coefficient of Variance is expressed as
a.
CV =
.S . X 100()
Xmean
b. CV =
.S .
Xmean
c. CV = . Xmean . X 100
S
d. CV = (X - Xmean )
Ques.15 Which one is unaffected by extreme scores
a. Mean
b. Median()
c. Mode
d. Range
Ques.16 A storeowner kept a tally of the sizes of suits purchased in her store. Which measure of central tendency
should the storeowner use to describe the average suit sold?
a. Mean()
b. Median
c. Mode
d. None
Ques.17 The correlation coefficient, r = -1, implies
a. Perfect negative()
b. Perfect positive
c. No correlation
d. Limited correlation
Ques.18 If two variables changes in the opposite direction and in the same proportion, the correlation between the
two is
a. Perfect positive
b. Limited positive
c. Limited Negative
d.
Perfect negative()
Ques.19 The value of r gives the magnitude of correlation and its sign denotes its
a. Value
b. Direction()
c. Both
d. None
Ques.20 By the Rank method the value of R is -0.73 it suggests a
a. trend
b. seasonal variation()
c. irregular fluctuations
d. a cycle
Ques.23 Which of the following is NOT an assumption of the Binomial distribution?
a. Regressed variable()
b. Regressor variable
c.
d.
Random variable
All of the above
Ques.25.Given that we have collected pairs of observations on two variables X and Y , we would consider fitting a
straight line with X as an explanatory variable if:
c.r = +1()
c. r = 0
Ques.27 The regression Analysis Studies
a. arithmetic mean
b. geometric mean()
c. harmonic mean
d. median
Ques.29 Gradual shifting of a time series over a long period of time is called
a. periodicity.
b. cycle.
c. regression.
d. trend.()
Ques.30 The trend component is easy to identify by using
a. moving averages()
b. exponential smoothing
c. regression analysis
d. the Delphi approach
Ques.31 Seasonal components
a. cannot be predicted.
b. are regular repeated patterns.()
c. are long runs of observations above or below the trend line.
d. reflect a shift in the series over time.
1. Ques.32 What probability is shown on the Venn diagram by the shaded region below t probability is shown on
the Venn diagram below
a. a. p(A)
b. b. p(B)
c. p(A and B)
d. p(not
B)()
Ques.33 At Sanjay Middle School, 3 out of 5 students make honor roll. What is the probability that a student does not
make honor roll?
a. 65%
b. 40%()
c. 60%
d. None of the above
Ques.34 In a class of 30 students, there are 17 girls and 13 boys. Five are A students, and three of these students
are girls. If a student is chosen at random, what is the probability of choosing a girl or an A student?
a. 19/30
b. 11/50()
c. 12/30
d. 15/40
Ques.35
In a shipment of 100 televisions, 6 are defective. If a person buys two televisions from that shipment, what is the p
are defective?
a. 3/100()
b. 1/330
c. 9/2500
d. 6/100
Ques.36 Find the correlation coefficient r(X, Y) between X and Y,when
Cov(X,Y) = -2.45, Var (X) = 8.25 and Var (Y) = 21.49
a. 0.18
b. 0.18()
c. 0.36
d. 0.36
Ques.37 A coin is tossed 5 times. What is the probability of getting atleast 3 heads?
a. 1/2
b. 1/3
c. 1/4
d. 1/5()
Ques.38 Normal Distribution is symmetrical about its
a. Harmonic mean
b. Mean()
c.
d.
Range
Standard deviation
Ques.39 In Normal Distribution 95% of the observations fall within 2 standard deviations of the mean, that is,
between
a. - and +
b. - 2 and +2()
c. - 3 and +3
d. Not defined
Ques.40 Condition for the Applicability of Binomial Distribution: