IPSOS/Reuters Poll Data PDF

IPSOS / REUTERS POLL DATA
Prepared by Ipsos Public Affairs
Ipsos Poll Conducted for Reuters

Muslims in America Topline 12.04.2015
These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted December 3 4, 2015 on behalf Thomson Reuters. For the survey, a
sample of 1,056 adults age 18+ from the continental U.S., Alaska and Hawaii was interviewed online in English. The
sample included 417 Democrats, 388 Republicans, and 159 Independents.
The sample for this study was randomly drawn from Ipsoss online panel (see link below for more info on Access
Panels and Recruitment), partner online panel sources, and river sampling (see link below for more info on the
Ipsos Ampario Overview sample method) and does not rely on a population frame in the traditional sense. Ipsos
uses fixed sample targets, unique to each study, in drawing sample. After a sample has been obtained from the
Ipsos panel, Ipsos calibrates respondent characteristics to be representative of the U.S. Population using standard
procedures such as raking-ratio adjustments. The source of these population targets is U.S. Census 2015 American
Community Survey data. The sample drawn for this study reflects fixed sample targets on demographics. Post-hoc
weights were made to the population characteristics on gender, age, region, race/ethnicity and income.
Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other
sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Where figures do not sum to
100, this is due to the effects of rounding. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval.
In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points for all respondents (see link
below for more info on Ipsos online polling Credibility Intervals). Ipsos calculates a design effect (DEFF) for each
study based on the variation of the weights, following the formula of Kish (1965). This study had a credibility
interval adjusted for design effect of the following (n=1,056, DEFF=1.5, adjusted Confidence Interval=4.9).
The poll also has a credibility interval plus or minus 5.5 percentage points for Democrats, plus or minus 5.7
percentage points for Republicans, and plus or minus 8.9 percentage points for (see link below for more info on
Ipsos online polling Credibility Intervals).
For more information about Ipsos online polling methodology, please go here http://goo.gl/yJBkuf
TM617Y15_1 - How important

is it that...Race relations...be
addressed in the US?
**Added on 11/30
Very important
Somewhat important
Somewhat unimportant
Very unimportant
Don't know
Total
Total
44%
31%
13%
7%
4%
1980
Democrat
57%
27%
7%
5%
3%
792
Republican
29%
41%
19%
8%
3%
703
Independent
48%
22%
15%
12%
2%
302

is it that...Climate change...be
**Added on 11/30
Very important
Somewhat important
Very unimportant
Don't know
Total
41%
26%
16%
14%
4%
1980
56%
26%
10%
5%
2%
792
23%
24%
23%
26%
3%
703
39%
31%
17%
13%
1%
302

is it that...Unemployment...be
**Added on 11/30
Very important
Somewhat important
Very unimportant
Don't know
Total
60%
29%
5%
2%
3%
1980
63%
30%
4%
2%
1%
792
60%
30%
6%
2%
2%
703
61%
31%
5%
2%
1%
302

is it that...Income
inequality...be addressed in
the US?
**Added on 11/30
Very important
Somewhat important
Very unimportant
Don't know
Total
43%
29%
15%
10%
4%
1980
58%
28%
7%
4%
2%
792
21%
34%
25%
17%
3%
703
49%
24%
17%
9%
1%
302

is it that...Crime...be addressed
in the US?
**Added on 11/30
Very important
Somewhat important
Very unimportant
Don't know
Total
64%
25%
5%
3%
3%
1980
66%
25%
5%
3%
1%
792
66%
25%
5%
3%
2%
703
61%
30%
6%
1%
1%
302

is it that...Education...be
**Added on 11/30
Very important
Somewhat important
Very unimportant
Don't know
Total
61%
25%
6%
3%
4%
1980
71%
20%
3%
4%
2%
792
51%
34%
9%
4%
2%
703
63%
25%
8%
2%
1%
302

is it that...Gun control...be
**Added on 11/30
Very important
Somewhat important
Very unimportant
Don't know
Total
48%
21%
12%
15%
4%
1980
66%
19%
6%
6%
2%
792
29%
21%
19%
28%
2%
703
43%
24%
15%
16%
2%
302

is it that...International
trade...be addressed in the US?
**Added on 11/30
Very important
Somewhat important
Very unimportant
Don't know
Total
29%
42%
17%
5%
7%
1980
31%
43%
18%
3%
5%
792
27%
47%
16%
6%
4%
703
28%
37%
20%
7%
8%
302
51%
60%
30%
57%
TM748Y15 - Following the

events in Paris and San
Bernardino, how do you
currently view Muslims living in
America?
I view the Muslim community

in the same way as any other
community in the United
States
I am fearful of a few groups
and individuals in the Muslim
community
I am generally fearful of the
Muslim community
Total
35%
30%
48%
26%
15%
9%
21%
17%
1056
417
388
159
Strongly agree
Somewhat agree
Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree
Dont know
34%
25%
15%
12%
14%
25%
23%
16%
19%
17%
42%
27%
17%
6%
9%
44%
25%
8%
11%
11%
Total
1056
417
388
159
TM749Y15_1 - Please indicate

the extent to which you agree
or disagree with each of the
following statement...Mosques
in the U.S. should be closed if
authorities suspect they have
ties to extremist groups or
individuals

following statement...Churches
in the U.S. should be closed if
individuals
Strongly agree
Somewhat agree
Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree
Dont know
26%
29%
16%
15%
13%
22%
32%
14%
17%
15%
29%
31%
19%
14%
8%
35%
26%
14%
15%
11%
Total
1056
417
388
159

following
statement...Synagogues in the
U.S. should be closed if
individuals
Strongly agree
Somewhat agree
Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree
Dont know
25%
28%
16%
16%
15%
22%
27%
16%
18%
17%
30%
30%
19%
13%
9%
26%
29%
10%
22%
12%
Total
1056
417
388
159

following statement...Mosques
should be monitored by U.S.
intelligence or law
enforcement agencies
Strongly agree
Somewhat agree
Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree
Dont know
24%
26%
18%
17%
14%
21%
22%
20%
25%
12%
31%
33%
17%
10%
9%
21%
29%
19%
11%
19%
Total
1056
417
388
159

following statement...Churches
should be monitored by U.S.
intelligence or law
Strongly agree
Somewhat agree
Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree
Dont know
13%
21%
24%
29%
13%
14%
22%
24%
26%
14%
12%
20%
28%
33%
7%
13%
23%
21%
29%
14%
Total
1056
417
388
159

following
statement...Synagogues should
be monitored by U.S.
intelligence or law
Strongly agree
Somewhat agree
Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree
Dont know
15%
21%
23%
27%
14%
13%
20%
23%
30%
14%
18%
25%
22%
26%
9%
17%
19%
22%
25%
17%
Total
1056
417
388
159

following statement...Muslims
living in America have been
less willing to assimilate into
American society than other
immigrant groups
Strongly agree
Somewhat agree
Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree
Dont know
24%
23%
16%
10%
26%
17%
20%
17%
17%
29%
35%
28%
14%
6%
18%
21%
26%
24%
4%
25%
Total
1056
417
388
159

living in America generally
place religious beliefs above
U.S. law
Strongly agree
Somewhat agree
Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree
Dont know
24%
25%
18%
7%
25%
15%
27%
21%
10%
27%
38%
25%
15%
4%
18%
23%
24%
23%
4%
27%
Total
1056
417
388
159

following
statement...Christians living in
America generally place
religious beliefs above U.S.
law
Strongly agree
Somewhat agree
Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree
Dont know
13%
20%
29%
21%
17%
14%
23%
27%
17%
19%
8%
21%
34%
27%
10%
12%
15%
34%
19%
20%
Total
1056
417
388
159

following statement...Jews
living in America generally
place religious beliefs above
U.S. law
Strongly agree
Somewhat agree
Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree
Dont know
7%
16%
28%
20%
28%
7%
15%
27%
20%
31%
5%
17%
36%
24%
18%
10%
18%
29%
13%
31%
Total
1056
417
388
159

living in America are doing
enough to inform U.S.
authorities about possible
extremists
Strongly agree
Somewhat agree
Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree
Dont know
8%
15%
20%
24%
33%
7%
19%
20%
16%
38%
9%
9%
22%
38%
21%
9%
12%
24%
22%
33%
Total
1056
417
388
159
Strongly favor
Somewhat favor
Somewhat oppose
Strongly oppose
Total
38%
23%
23%
16%
1056
58%
21%
14%
8%
417
21%
24%
29%
27%
388
31%
20%
32%
17%
159
PV21B_2 - V11_2_Scale Banning military-style assault

weapons :

How to Calculate Bayesian Credibility Intervals
The calculation of credibility intervals assumes that Y has a binomial distribution conditioned on the
parameter \, i.e., Y|~Bin(n,), where n is the size of our sample. In this setting, Y counts the number
of yes, or 1, observed in the sample, so that the sample mean (y ) is a natural estimate of the true
population proportion . This model is often called the likelihood function, and it is a standard concept
in both the Bayesian and the Classical framework. The Bayesian 1 statistics combines both the prior
distribution and the likelihood function to create a posterior distribution. The posterior distribution
represents our opinion about which are the plausible values for adjusted after observing the sample
data. In reality, the posterior distribution is ones knowledge base updated using the latest survey
information. For the prior and likelihood functions specified here, the posterior distribution is also a
beta distribution ((/y)~(y+a,n-y+b)), but with updated hyper-parameters.
Our credibility interval for is based on this posterior distribution. As mentioned above, these intervals
represent our belief about which are the most plausible values for given our updated knowledge base.
There are different ways to calculate these intervals based on (/y). Since we want only one measure
of precision for all variables in the survey, analogous to what is done within the Classical framework, we
will compute the largest possible credibility interval for any observed sample. The worst case occurs
when we assume that a=1 and b=1 and y=n/2. Using a simple approximation of the posterior by the
normal distribution, the 95% credibility interval is given by, approximately:
For this poll, the Bayesian Credibility Interval was adjusted using standard weighting design effect
1+L=1.3 to account for complex weighting2
Examples of credibility intervals for different base sizes are below. Ipsos does not publish data for base
sizes (sample sizes) below 100.
Sample size
2,000
1,500
1,000
750
500
350
200
100
Credibility intervals
2.5
2.9
3.5
4.1
5.0
6.0
7.9
11.2

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IPSOS / REUTERS POLL DATA

Prepared by Ipsos Public Affairs

Ipsos Poll Conducted for Reuters

TM617Y15_1 - How important

TM617Y15_2 - How important

TM617Y15_3 - How important