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SINGAPORE
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
LIMITED CASH FLOW (SGD
million)
Fiscal year ends in March. SGD in
millions except per share data.
Cash
Flows
From
Operating
Activities
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
1969
2002
2127
2133
2161
Inventory
32
92
-7
27
-107
-16
-80
-85
-332
193
4059
3698
3782
3523
3539
6043
5710
5818
5350
5787
6043
5710
5818
5350
5787
2005
2249
2059
2102
2238
4038
3461
3759
3248
3549
24.02
25.04
22.02
22.92
23.73
Capital Expenditure
2005
2249
2059
2102
2238
Depreciation
Debt Ratio
1860
0.380683
26
1880
0.420357
27
1970
0.400635
25
1960
0.392980
67
1960
0.4120569
57
-1986
283
-986
-1339
-989
-295
-1269
FCFE
1295.744
-1703
24.80927
5
622.2971
-353
876.0756
3
Growth rate(Unusual)
1.914674
18
140.7809
27
82.32095
66
350
721.19383
58
51.442480
73
2508.324
41
In accordance with the above table, the free cash flow is positive but the free cash flow to
equity is negative. Due to this particular trend, the following forecasts can be made:
SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS
LIMITED CASH FLOW (SGD million)
Fiscal year ends in March. SGD in millions
except per share data.
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2290.66
Inventory
-113.42
204.58
3751.34
6134.22
6134.22
3761.94
2372.28
0
EPS - Earnings per share
25.1538
Capital Expenditure
2372.28
Depreciation
Debt Ratio
2077.6
0.436780
37
-1048.34
371
764.4654
7
FCFE
Growth rate(Unusual)
-54.52903
2428.09
96
120.225
2
216.854
8
3976.42
04
6502.27
32
2573.785
58
127.4387
1
229.8660
88
4215.005
62
6892.409
59
2728.212
71
135.0850
3
243.6580
53
4467.905
96
7305.954
17
2891.9054
73
143.19013
68
258.27753
65
4735.9803
19
7744.3114
18
0
6502.27
32
2514.61
68
3987.65
64
0
6892.409
59
2665.493
81
4226.915
78
0
7305.954
17
2825.423
44
4480.530
73
0
7744.3114
18
2994.9488
43
4749.3625
75
0
26.6630
28
2514.61
68
2202.25
6
0.46298
72
1111.24
04
0
28.26280
97
2665.493
81
2334.391
36
0.490766
43
1177.914
8
393.26
810.333
39
57.8007
71
416.8556
0
29.95857
83
2825.423
44
2474.454
84
0.520212
41
1248.589
7
441.8669
36
-858.9534
61.26881
8
-910.4906
64.94494
7
0
31.756092
96
2994.9488
43
2622.9221
32
0.5514251
59
1323.5050
96
468.37895
22
965.12003
75
68.841643
49
The above forecasts also entail that the free cash flow is postitive for the company which
indicates that the companys financial health is stable. However, they have surplus cash to
pay off the dividends or buy back shares but as mentioned earlier, they are planning to
expand further since this is a leading company for telecommunications in Asia and has to
make big investments in order to the customers first priority. The debt ratio for the
company keeps on increasing which indicates that the company is depending much on the
debt investments. Hence, the company should depend on the equity funds and gain
investors confidence so as to reduce the debt burden. The FCFE is negative and the
reason has already been mentioned.
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
3.8616 3.9775 4.0968 4.2197
3.7492
76
26
52
58
0.2472
0.25
0.3
0.27
0.278
15.166
13.258 15.166 15.107
67
15.2
42
67
91
In order to calculate the intrinsic value, it is necessary to follow the computations below:
In accordance with existing growth rate for the share price, it is assumed at 1.03 and the
EPS is assumed to grow at the same existing rate.
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
3.749 3.8616 3.9775 4.0968 4.2197
2
76
26
52
58
1.290 1.2907 1.2907 1.2907 1.2907
78
8
8
8
8
2.904 2.9917 3.0814 3.1739 3.2691
6
38
9
35
53
Price-Book value is relatively acceptable. However, lower price to book ratios mean that
the stock is undervalued. The price to book ratios are not that much low for this company
and neither too high. Therefore, the stock has a moderateness between an overvalued and
undervalued stock.
Sensitivity Analysis
The Sensitivity analysis is conducted so that more forecasts can be made if the values are
made different. For the price to earnings, the sensitivity analysis is as below:
Scenario Summary
Current Values:
Intrinsic Value
Changing Cells:
$K$15
3.22539931
3.33
Result Cells:
$K$18
0.797269381
0.823125071
Notes: Current Values column represents values of changing cells at
time Scenario Summary Report was created. Changing cells for each
scenario are highlighted in gray.
If the projected share value is made to be 3.33, then the intrinsic value at the assumed
growth rate is 0.823. Another sensitivity is also done as illustrated below:
Scenario Summary
Current Values:
Intrinsic Value 2
Changing Cells:
$K$15
3.22539931
3.44
Result Cells:
$K$18
0.797269381
0.850315389
Notes: Current Values column represents values of changing cells at
time Scenario Summary Report was created. Changing cells for each
scenario are highlighted in gray.
If the projected share value is made to be 3.44, then the intrinsic value gets to be 0.85.
The sensitivity analysis for Price-Book model is illustrated below. In this two
components will be tested. They are as below:
Scenario Summary
Current Values:
Intrinsic
Value 2
P/B
Changing
Cells:
$K$15
$F$8
Result
Cells:
3.22539931
4.21975763
3.44
4.2197576
3
3.2253993
1
4.25
3.2691528 3.2925824
$F$10
3.26915289
9
18
Notes: Current Values column represents values of changing
cells at
time Scenario Summary Report was created. Changing cells for
each
scenario are highlighted in
gray.
If the stock price changes to 4.25, then the price to book value also increases from 3.26 to
3.29 and when the book value changes, the result is as below:
Scenario Summary
Current Values:
Intrinsic
Value 2
P/B
P/B 2
3.2253993
1
3.2253993
1
4.2197576
3
Changing
Cells:
$K$15
3.22539931
$F$8
4.21975763
$F$9
Result
Cells:
1.290780142
3.44
4.2197576
3
1.2907801
42
4.25
1.2907801
42
1.55
The price to book value changes to 2.72 from 3.29 which indicates that with the increase
in the book value, the price to book value decreases and hence, there is an inverse
relationship between the two.
Conclusion
In accordance with the above findings, it can be said the investment in this company can
be a better opportunity for the shareholders, though they will have bear with less or even
no dividends in the beginning because the company plans to make larger investments for
future prospects and opportunities. That is why, FCFE is negative and the investors and
shareholders need not to have any concern regarding this.