INSE 6310: Systems Engineering Maintenance Management

Concordia Institute of Information System Engineering (CIISE),

Concordia University, QC, Canada

Assignment 1
Due Date: Feb. 12th

Winter 2016

Arash Mohammadi
Office: S-EV 9187
Email: arashmoh@encs.Concordia.ac
Homepage: http://users.encs.concordia.ca/~arashmoh/

Problem 1
A centrifuges pump has been analysed to have the following failure distribution.

(a) Evaluate x?
(b) Find the failure density function?
(c) Find the cumulative distribution function?
(d) Find the hazard function?

copyright W16, INSE6310, Concordia Institute for Information Systems Engineering (CIISE), Concordia University

Problem 2.
Jackleg drill failures have been analyzed, and the failure distribution is found to be uniform
within the interval 0 to 2000h of operation. That is, the pdf of the failure distribution has a
constant value within the specified interval and 0 elsewhere. What is the probability of a drill
continuing to operate satisfactorily for a project period of 20h given that the drill had already
been used for 1200h?

copyright W16, INSE6310, Concordia Institute for Information Systems Engineering (CIISE), Concordia University

Problem 3.
You are given a set of failure data for heavy-duty bearings in a steel forging plant with failure
times (in hours) given in the following Table.
Q.1. Fit a two-parameter Weibull model to the data set. What are the two parameters used in this
analysis, and what are their values? What do these parameters represent?
Q.2. What is the value for MTTF?
Q.3. At 10% significance level, can it be accepted that the chosen distribution fits the data?
Q.4. What is the probability that the bearings will fail before time 3000?

Table 1. Bearing Failure Data

2082

1717

2263

3945

5093

2751

3065

12456

1340

7062

copyright W16, INSE6310, Concordia Institute for Information Systems Engineering (CIISE), Concordia University

Problem 4.
The service life of certain fan belts has been monitored and recorded, with times (in weeks) given
in the following Table, (F means Failure, S means suspension).
Q.1. How many data points should be used in the Weibull analysis? Why? What is the size (n) of
data that should be used in Weibull analysis?
Q.2. What are the values of d and d for a K-S goodness-of-fit test in the Weibull analysis? Will
you reject the hypothesis at a 10% significance level that the two-parameter Weibull distribution
determined by the package is a model of the data set?
Q3. Find and .
Q.4. What is the point estimate of t when F is 0.2? Determine the 90% confidence interval of t?
Q.5. Fit a two-parameter Weibull model to the data set using the ML-estimation method and LSestimation method.
Q.6. What is the probability that the fan belt will fail before 250 weeks given it is currently 120
weeks old?

Table 2. Fan Belt Failure Data

174(F)

124(F)

106(F)

153(F)

160(F)

167(F)

112(F)

194(F)

181(F)

136(S)

copyright W16, INSE6310, Concordia Institute for Information Systems Engineering (CIISE), Concordia University

Problem 5:
Use a Weibull probability paper to determine the parameters of the distribution of the clutch
assembly failure data shown in the following Table. Also, determine the mean life of the
assembly.
Table 3. Clutch Assembly Failure Data
Class Interval
(in km, K =103)
0K<5K
5K<10K
10K<15K
15K<20K
20K<25K
25K<30K
30K<35K
35K<40K
40K<45K
45K<50K
50K<55K
55K<60K
60K<65K
65K<70K
Total

Number of Failures
8
12
15
15
12
12
7
6
5
3
2
1
1
1
100

copyright W16, INSE6310, Concordia Institute for Information Systems Engineering (CIISE), Concordia University