ASSIGNMENT 2

To be submitted by 3 Feb 2016

The number of fatal, injury and non-injury accidents occurring in 250 districts are given below.
(a) Explore the data and visualize the presentation
(b) Fit the accident occurrence to the best statistical distribution and test the goodness of fit.
Zone
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44

Fatal Accident
1
1
2
1
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
0
0
2
2
1
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
0
1
1
2

Injury Accident
2
4
1
1
0
4
4
2
4
1
0
2
4
4
2
1
4
4
4
2
5
4
2
1
3
3
5
3
2
5
3
2
1
3
1
2
5
3
4
4
2
4
4
3

Non-injury Accident
9
12
8
5
11
19
17
15
13
7
18
15
10
8
10
9
8
18
16
13
14
12
10
11
4
8
17
13
3
11
20
14
9
14
11
12
8
12
5
11
12
9
21
17

45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94

1
1
1
2
2
1
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
1
0
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
0
2
1
2
2
2
0
1
1
1
2
2
0
2
2
1

2
4
4
5
3
4
5
5
5
4
3
4
4
0
1
2
3
0
1
5
3
0
2
2
5
5
4
1
4
0
3
4
5
4
1
0
3
2
4
4
4
2
3
1
0
2
3
3
5
5

15
19
20
19
15
13
16
17
14
15
15
4
8
19
14
7
7
14
11
7
11
6
13
14
12
4
9
9
10
16
17
12
8
11
12
17
20
20
19
14
6
8
12
13
3
10
17
17
16
10

95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144

2
0
1
2
1
0
1
2
1
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
2

3
1
0
2
3
0
2
4
2
1
3
5
3
2
3
2
3
4
5
4
2
4
3
2
3
1
4
2
2
4
4
5
4
5
5
4
3
1
2
4
1
2
2
5
3
1
2
3
1
4

3
12
18
10
3
9
18
20
21
20
17
16
15
8
7
10
5
4
9
15
9
5
3
4
8
10
11
3
5
5
13
19
19
14
12
15
11
13
5
4
9
12
16
13
13
8
8
11
9
10

145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194

1
2
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
2
2
0
0
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
1
2

2
5
4
3
5
6
5
3
2
2
3
6
4
2
4
3
4
4
1
4
6
5
4
1
3
5
3
0
2
3
4
2
1
3
3
1
2
3
3
4
4
4
4
3
4
2
4
3
3
3

11
15
13
13
12
17
16
12
12
7
8
11
12
8
18
13
7
10
11
12
17
9
7
10
10
14
5
11
12
11
10
15
17
15
16
12
8
14
11
13
15
9
12
8
11
12
2
2
8
11

195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244

2
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
2
1
2
0
2
1
2
2
0
1
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
2
2
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
0
1
2
0
1
2
2
2
1
2
0
2
1
1

4
3
3
3
2
2
3
1
2
5
6
4
1
4
4
3
5
3
2
2
1
2
0
3
4
1
4
5
5
5
5
3
2
3
4
5
4
2
4
5
5
3
3
4
1
1
5
5
4
3

13
16
12
14
15
11
19
16
12
15
14
14
17
13
11
13
14
18
15
10
17
19
18
11
5
7
11
12
18
19
15
9
10
19
17
15
21
18
15
17
10
5
13
14
11
10
17
10
5
5

245
246
247
248
249
250
TOTAL

2
1
0
1
0
0
281

5
4
6
4
3
5
766

6
10
17
19
18
8
3009

16

ng in 250 districts are given below.

ution and test the goodness of fit.

Total Accidents
12
17
11
7
13
25
21
17
17
9
19
19
16
14
14
11
13
24
22
17
19
16
14
14
8
13
24
18
6
17
25
17
11
19
13
16
15
16
11
17
14
14
26
22

Fatal Accident Rate per District

District

Fatality Rate
8.33
5.88 5
0
18.18
14.29
15.38
8.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
11.11
5.26
10.53
12.50
14.29
14.29
9.09
7.69
8.33
9.09
11.76
0.00
0.00
14.29
14.29
12.50
15.38
8.33
11.11
16.67
5.88
8.00
5.88
9.09
10.53
7.69
12.50
13.33
6.25
18.18
11.76
0.00
7.14
3.85
9.09

10

15

20

25

18
24
25
26
20
18
23
22
19
20
19
9
13
19
17
10
10
14
13
12
16
8
17
17
17
10
15
11
15
17
21
17
15
16
13
19
24
24
25
20
10
11
16
15
5
14
20
22
23
16

5.56
4.17
4.00
7.69
10.00
5.56
8.70
0.00
0.00
5.00
5.26
11.11
7.69
0.00
11.76
10.00
0.00
0.00
7.69
0.00
12.50
25.00
11.76
5.88
0.00
10.00
13.33
3009
9.0974%
6.67
5.88
4.76
5.88
13.33
6.25
0.00
10.53
4.17
8.33
8.00
10.00
0.00
9.09
6.25
6.67
40.00
14.29
0.00
9.09
8.70
6.25

Fatal accident rate (%)

Accident Type Distribution

281
7%

766
19%

Fatal Accident

Injury Accident

Non-injury Acc

*Numbers above percentages

show accident count

8
13
19
14
7
9
21
26
24
23
21
22
18
11
11
12
8
10
15
20
11
9
7
6
13
12
15
6
8
11
19
26
25
20
17
20
14
15
8
10
11
15
18
18
17
10
11
15
11
16

25.00
0.00
5.26
14.29
14.29
0.00
4.76
7.69
4.17
8.70
4.76
4.55
0.00
9.09
9.09
0.00
0.00
20.00
6.67
5.00
0.00
0.00
14.29
0.00
15.38
8.33
0.00
16.67
12.50
18.18
10.53
7.69
8.00
5.00
0.00
5.00
0.00
6.67
12.50
20.00
9.09
6.67
0.00
0.00
5.88
10.00
9.09
6.67
9.09
12.50

14
22
19
18
18
23
21
16
14
10
13
19
17
10
23
17
12
16
14
16
23
16
13
11
14
20
8
12
15
16
16
18
19
19
19
14
10
18
15
18
19
15
18
12
15
16
6
6
12
16

7.14
9.09
10.53
11.11
5.56
0.00
0.00
6.25
0.00
10.00
15.38
10.53
5.88
0.00
4.35
5.88
8.33
12.50
14.29
0.00
0.00
12.50
15.38
0.00
7.14
5.00
0.00
8.33
6.67
12.50
12.50
5.56
5.26
5.26
0.00
7.14
0.00
5.56
6.67
5.56
0.00
13.33
11.11
8.33
0.00
12.50
0.00
16.67
8.33
12.50

19
21
17
17
17
13
22
19
14
22
22
19
20
17
17
17
21
23
17
13
20
22
19
14
10
10
16
19
25
26
20
13
13
22
23
21
25
21
21
22
16
10
18
20
13
13
22
17
10
9

10.53
9.52
11.76
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10.53
0.00
9.09
9.09
5.26
10.00
0.00
11.76
5.88
9.52
8.70
0.00
7.69
10.00
4.55
5.26
0.00
10.00
20.00
6.25
10.53
8.00
7.69
0.00
7.69
7.69
0.00
8.70
4.76
0.00
4.76
9.52
0.00
6.25
20.00
11.11
10.00
7.69
15.38
0.00
11.76
10.00
11.11

13
15
23
24
21
13
4056

15.38
6.67
0.00
4.17
0.00
0.00
0

ent Rate per District

15

20

25

30

35

40

Fatal accident rate (%)

Distribution

Fatal Accident
Injury Accident
Non-injury Accident

rs above percentages
ccident count

Goodness of Fit Test

AD
0.833
0.833
3.195
0.847
55.233
33.764
0.732
0.748
2.595
2.956
1.887
0.946
1.156
2.45
1.157
0.568

P
0.031
0.031
<0.005
*
<0.003
<0.010
0.057
0.033
<0.010
<0.010
<0.005
*
<0.005
<0.005
*
0.14

LRT P

99.9

0
99

95

0.551

80

Percent

Distribution
Normal
Box-Cox Transformation
Lognormal
3-Parameter Lognormal
Exponential
2-Parameter Exponential
Weibull
3-Parameter Weibull
Smallest Extreme Value
Largest Extreme Value
Gamma
3-Parameter Gamma
Logistic
Loglogistic
3-Parameter Loglogistic
Johnson Transformation

0.001

50

20

1
0.1

ML Estimates of Distribution Parameters

Distribution
Normal*
Box-Cox Transformation*
Lognormal*
3-Parameter Lognormal
Exponential
2-Parameter Exponential
Weibull
3-Parameter Weibull
Smallest Extreme Value
Largest Extreme Value
Gamma
3-Parameter Gamma
Logistic
Loglogistic
3-Parameter Loglogistic
Johnson Transformation*

Location
16.224
16.224
2.73472
7.91452

18.64702
13.78079

16.24678
2.76286
7.85595
0.03095

* Scale: Adjusted ML estimate

Shape

Scale
Threshold
4.88316
4.88316
0.33718
0.00178 -2720.50829
16.224
11.26908
4.95492
3.75327
17.98859
3.40276
16.4808
1.43683
4.55417
4.66842
9.82228
1.65176
138.38822 0.41732
-41.56007
2.86012
0.18927
0.00111 -2564.80942
1.00868

Probability Plot for Total Accidents

Goodness of Fit Test

Normal - 95% CI

Normal
AD = 0.833
P-Value = 0.031

99.9
99
95

Percent

80

50

20

5
1
0.1

10

15

20

Total Accidents

25

30

35

s of Fit Test

33
= 0.031