NPOESS Study M Option Summary

Two alternatives (M6&M7) stand out based on:

• Affordability
• Meets majority of mission requirements
• Based on proven heritage hardware
~,.- .. - .. ,-~ _._ '--
.... _.. . .~ . - ---'-_.- --- .-

100%

90%

80%

70%
- - ---~-~--- --~

60% -+- Percent lORD EDR I

Satis faction I
50%
_______ Acquisition Cost
40%
R~la!iv~_t~~__ J

20%

10%

0%
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8 M9

Option Designator---- ~-

2 2/14120061010 AM
 Study M Trade Space
Scenario Description Comments

Rephases Production vehicle builds consistent with continuity need

M-1 IPA6_R6 + Production Rephased
dates

M-2 Delete 1730 CrIS, ATMS Deletes both production units for CrlS and ATMS

M-3 Delete 6th Vehicle Deletes last SIC, VIIRS, CMIS, SESS, SuS, Sar/Sat)

Delete SuS, Fly 2nd EMD OMPS on C4 (don't fly two in a row - NPP, C1 in
M-4 Delete Secondary (non-key) Sensors
1330); Fly CERES on C1, Delete TSIS

M-4 + Replace CMIS with Smaller BTP SSMIS (w/life extension) on C1, 1.2M scanner on C2 - C5; Assume
M-5
Sensor FY06 $$ for BSS TL and competition

M-5 + Move to EOS Heritage Bus (with

M-6 Assumes 4Q FY06 decision to redirect design
NPOESS C&DH, COMM)

M-7 M-6 + Delete 5th Vehicle (2130) Delete bus plus VIIRS, SSMIS-U, SESS

M-7 + Replace all VIIRS with AVHRRs or

4 Sats, 1330 (AVHRR,SSMIS), 1730 (OLS/SSMIS), 1330 (AVHRR/SSMIS),
M-8 OLSs (4 ball minimum continuity); fly
1730 (OLS, SSMIS); Npp flies AVHRR, other sensors per M-6
0.6m SSMIS on C1 - C4
Requires 2 NPP vehicles (per plane) to fly AVHRR, SSMIS, CrIS, ATMS,
M-8 with EOS buses replaced with NPP SESS, ALT, OMPS, Sar/SAT, per M-8 scenario. Assume dual launch with
M-9
buses DPC on Atlas M(5,2). Additonal vehicle NRE, dual payload launch costs
and ground costs to be included

3 :'11412006 10 10 AM
 Scenario Ml (IPP Baseline)
Launch => 09/09 05/12 01/14 09/15 10/17 06/19 12/20
IiMD
Sat 1
Payload (1330)

VIIRS
CMIS
CrlS
ATMS
SuS
OMPS
A-DCS
SARR
SARP
CERES
ERBS
ALT
TSIS
SESS

4 2/1.1/2006 10 10 ?i~1
 Scenario M6 (EOS Heritage Bus with MS
Sensor Compliment)
Launch => 09/09 05/12 01/14 09/15 10/17 06/19

Payload
VIIRS
eMIS Aiternativ
CrlS
ATMS
SuS
OMPS
A-DCS
SARR
SARP
CERES
ERBS
ALT
TSIS
SESS Aurora
TPS
LEP$
MEPS
ICe

5 2/14/2006 10.10 :'IM

 Scenario M8 (DMSP, POES Continuity Sensors)
Launch => 09/09 05/12 01/14 10/17 06/19

Payload
VHRS Alternativ
eMIS Afternativ
CrlS
ATMS
SuS
OMPS
A-Des
SARR
SARP
CERES
ERBS
ALT
TSIS
SESS Aurora
TPS
LEPS
ME?S
Ice

6 }114/2006 10'10 AM
 Scenario Evaluation - Performance
Performance I User Satisfaction
Continuity
Sats I lORD R "t 10 Year
Option Description aVISI
Planes POES DMSP EDR Ops

M-1 NPOESS Baseline (N-M Option A + Prod) 6/3

M-2 NPOESS B/l -1730 ATMS/CrlS 6/3

M-3 M-2 with 6th Vehicle (2130) Deleted 5/3

M-4 M·3 wlo TSIS, SuS; 1 ERBS, 1 OMPS 5/3

M-5 M-4 w/downsized "CMIS-Iike" sensor 5/3

M-6 M-5 on EOS heritage spacecraft bus 5/3

M-7 M6 with 5th Vehicle (2130) Deleted 4/2

M-8 M7 wI Continuity (DMSP, POES) Sensors 4/2

M-9 M8 using NPP buses (Dual launch) 8/2

Notes: 1) Continuity evaluated as EDR quality of data an option provides in terms of heritage
DMSP and POES systems, and the duration over which it will be provided
2) EDR satisfaction is evaluated against NPOESS lORD threshold level performance
3) Most NPOESS EDRs have a revisit time attribute, The number of planes flying a
particular sensor during the 10 year life affects the level of satisfaction.
4) Captures relative satisfaction of other key NPOESS system requirements (latency,
data denial, data availability, vehicle life of required mission duration

7 2/14/200610.10 .AM
 Scenario Evaluation - Relative Affordability
Relative Affordability

FY08 FY09
Sats I Delta Delta* FYDP Acq Cost
Option Description
Planes ($8)* ($8) Neutral (% M-1 cost)

M-1 NPOESS Baseline (N·M Option A + Prod) 6/3 ($0.17)

M-2 NPOESS BtL -1730 ATMS/CrlS 6/3 ($0.17)

M-3 M-2 with 6th Vehicle (2130) Deleted 5/3 ($0.17)

M-4 M-3 wlo TSIS, SuS; 1 ERBS, 1 OMPS 5/3 ($0.16)

M-5 M-4 w/downsized "CMIS-Iike" sensor 5/3 ($0.06) ($0.22)

M-6 M·5 on EOS heritage spacecraft bus 5/3 ($0.08)

M-7 M6 with 5th Vehicle (2130) Deleted 4/2 ($0.08)

M·8 M7 wi Continuity (DMSP, POES) Sensors 4/2 ($0.05)

M-9 M8 using NPP buses (Dual launch) 8/2 ($0.05) 89%

* Does not include reprogramming of $186M Launch Vehicle funding in FY08

Notes: 1) All require reprogramming of production funding

2) All scenario comparisons are cumulative FYDP neutral
3) M1 thru M5 require reprogramming launch funding to meet FY08
4) With launch reprogramming, only M-1 thru M-5 require accelerating FY'10 and FY'11
funds to close FY'09
5) Acquisition cost estimates normalized to Scenario M-1 (IPP baseline)
J
8 2/14/20061010 AM
 Scenario M6: EDR Performance
Satisfaction vs. NPOESS Reqts (1 of 2)
• The major sensor changes in Scenario M6 relative to the NPOESS baseline are as
follows:
• CMIS replaced by spiral development of SSMIS (C1) into SSMIS-U (upgraded) in
later flights
• Non-KPP sensor TSIS (Total Solar Irradiance Suite) deleted
• CERES flown on C1, but ERBS development for C4 deleted
• One OMPS unit deleted due to temporal overlap of NPP with C1
• CrlMSS (CrIS/ATMS) deleted from 1730 orbit plane
• No impact on EDRs assuming METOP provides second orbit plane of sounding data
• Non-EDR producing Laser Warning Sensor (SuS) deleted
• EDR impacts (relative to NPOESS baseline) are limited to the following:
• 8 CMIS EDRs would be impacted due to substitution of SSMIS-U
• lORD Threshold level performance maintained for the two EDR KPP attributes that CMIS
has Primary responsibility for
• See next page for CMIS-related EDR details
• Single (1) Solar Irradiance EDR deleted (TSIS)
• 4 CERES/ERBS EDRs not produced for the entire 10 year mission duration (Le.,
will be provided as long as C1 is operational)
• Contingent on fly-off plan (NPP and C1 or NPP and C4), full temporal coverage of
single (1) OMPS EDR over NPOESS mission life uncertain
• Survivability requirements would require modification due to deletion of non-EDR
producing SuS
9 2114120061010 AM
 CMIS/SSMIS Top-Level EDR Performance
Comparison
Qualitative EDR Performance
EDR • All CMIS EDRs addressed by upgrading
Moisture Profile*
-~mperature Profile*
SSMIS with a 1.2m aperture and addition
_~a Surface Wind** of 10 GHz V&H channels
Imaae~'*
Sea Surf Temp* • SSMIS-U satisfies both Primary CMIS
Soil Moisture** KPPs at lORD levels
Precip Waterllntegr Water Vapor
Precipitation Type/Rate • Meets wind speed KPP; does not
Pressure Profile
Total Water Content
address non-KPP wind direction
Cloud Base Height • Meets lORD soil moisture
Cloud Ice Water Path
Cloud Liquid Water requirements for bare soil; falls
Land Surface Temperature short of CMIS capability for
Snow Cover/Depth
~urface Type
~etated soil (not an lORD
a Ice Characterization ~uirement}
Ice Surface Temperature
Sea Surf Wind Stress • SSMIS-U substantially satisfies the four
other KPP EDRs that CMIS supports
* EDRs with KPP attributes that CMIS supports
** EDRs with KPP attributes that CMIS has prImary performance • EDR Resolution attribute degraded for 5
responsibility for of 19 EDRs for SSMIS-U relative to CMIS
SSMIS : Build-to print DMSP version with extended life capability
SSMIS-U: Upgraded SSMIS with 1.2m aperture and added 10GHz
• lORD compliance SUbject to
V&H channels resolution-performance trades

10 2/14/2006 1010 AM
 EDR Performance Discriminators Between
VIIRS and Heritage Sensors
• AVHRR (POES, METOP)
Qualitative EDR Performance
• Proven operational capability to generate
enJ many quality products that have a broad user
EDR o base
Imaae-'**
Sea Surf Tem-** • Fewer spectral bands than VIIRS (6 vs. 22
Soil Moisture* channels) limits AVHRR EDR quantity and
Aerosol Opt Thickness quality
Aerosol Particle Size
Suspended Matter • Poorer ground resolution at nadir (1.1 km vs
Cloud Base Height 0.375 or 0.75 km) and at edge of scan (5 times
Cloud Cover/Layers nadir growth vs. only 2 for VIIRS)
Cloud Effective Particle Size
Cloud Optical Thickness • No on-board calibration for solar bands
Cloud Top Height
Cloud Top Pressur~ ---1 • OLS (DMSP)
Cloud Top Temperature • Imagery product optimized to support military
Albedo (Surface)
Land Surface Temperature
operations
Vegetation Index • Near-constant cross-track resolution of about
Snow Cover/Depth
Surface Type
0.65 km (cross-track growth similar to VIIRS)
Net Heat Flux • Has photomultiplier that allows visible imagery
Sea lee Characterization
under quarter-moon illumination (similar to
Ice Surface Temperature
Ocean Color
VIIRS DNB)
* EDRs with KPP attributes that VIIRS supports
• Only one visible (essentially uncalibrated) and
one thermal band severely limits EDR
** EDRs with KPP attributes that VIIRS has primary
products and quality (shown as gray squares)
performance responsibility for

11 2114/200610:10.AM
 EOS Spacecraft M6 ,1330 (C4
Microwave Imager / Sounder
(0 1.2 m ~eflector)

03 C4 C5
2130 1330 1730

Auro~a;M~/ SARSAT/A-DCS Power

+YS/C -Rx Antenna Mar;ln

~
(W)
CrlS
A-DCS-Tx Ant~a / SARSAT-Tx Anten

OMPS

12 2/14/2006 10'10 AM
 EOS and EOS' Configuration Comparison
AMSR-E [Microwave Imager]
(1.6 m Reflector) EOS heritage bus accommodated larger microwave imager
scanner than comparable sensor shown on EOS'
/ AMSU
Microwave
Sounding NPOESS AQUA EOS'
eMIS AMSR-E Microwave
Imagerl
sounder
475 kg 314 kg 116 kg

350W 350W 140W

MODIS
Imager
~

-~"!
~, ."'"
" ,. ~ -, ," . . "*
. 8-- .',". ~~4'"",
/ ~~ Microwave Imager / Sounder
(1.2 m Reflector)

\
I .- '.
» A ~"", .". "*
" ~1' ~,;??w
~ I
CERES
AIRS Earth radiation
IR Sounder

EOS EOS'
MODIS ~ VIIRS Aurora SARSAT/A-DCS-Rx Antenna
AIRS ~ CrlS ATMS
2 AMSU + HSB ~ ATMS
AMSR-E
2 CERES
~ CMIS
~ ERBS
!
A-DCS-Tx Antenna OMPS
aMI (on Aura) ~ aMPS
13
 NPOESS and EOS Aqua Sensor Comparison
Sensor Type
EO/IR Imager
Collects visible and infrared radiometric data of
the Earth's atmosphere, ocean, and land
surfaces
Microwave Sounder
In conjunction with CrlS, global observations of
temperature and moisture profiles at high
temporal resolution (- daily)
Infrared Sounder
Measures Earth's radiation to determine the
vertical distribution of temperature, moisture,
and pressure in the atmosphere
Conical Microwave Imager/Sounder
Collects global microwave radiometry and
sounding data to produce microwave imagery
and other meteorological and oceanographic
data
Earth Radiation Budget
NPOESS will measure Earth Radiation Budget
parameters using instruments similar to the
ERBE and CERES heritage instruments
14 2/1/;/20013 10.10 AM
NPOEss
VIIRS (266kg, 198W)
Visible/Infrared Imager/Radiometer
Suite
ATMS (73kg, 94W)
Advanced Technology Microwave
Sounder
ATMS developed to package the
required channels from the three EOS
sensors into one unit
CrlS (142kg, 131W)
Crosstrack Infrared Sounder
CMIS (475kg, 354W)
Conical Microwave Imager/Sounder
ERBS (48kg, 51W)
Earth Radiation Budget Sensor
EOs Aqua
MODIS (250kg, 225W)
Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer
AMSU-A1, AMSU-A2 (91kg, 101W - combined)
Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit
HSB (51 kg, 80W)
Humidity Sounder for Brazil
AIRS (166kg, 256W)
Atmospheric Infrared Sounder
AMSR-E (314kg, 350W)
Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer - Earth
Observing System
(CMIS has a larger reflector diameter (2.2m vs
1.6m) and more channels, including the addition of
sounding channels, compared to AMSR-E)
CERES (2 flown on Aqua) (100kg, 103)
Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System
(EOS flew two CERES on Aqua. NPOESS flies only
one per satellite)
 Payload Mass and Power Comparison for
1330 Orbit Satellites - Scenario M6
Vehicle + NPOESS Baseline EOS' wI Scenario M6 EOS Aqua
sensors)
Sensor Type
EOIIR Imager VIIRS (266kg, 198W) VIIRS (266kg, 198W) MODIS (250kg, 225W)

Microwave Sounder ATMS (73kg, 94W) ATMS (73kg, 94W) AMSU-A1, AMSU-A2 (91kg, 101W)

HSB (51 kg, 80W)

Infrared Sounder CrlS (142kg, 131W) CrlS (142kg, 131W) AIRS (166kg, 256W)
Atmospheric Infrared Sounder

Conical Microwave
Imager/Sounder
Earth Radiation Budget
CMIS (475kg, 354W) SSMIS-U (146kg, 240W) AMSR-E (314kg, 350W)
(CMIS has a larger reflector diameter
(202m vs 1.6m) and more channels,
including the addition of sounding
channels, compared to AMSR-E)
ERBS (48kg, 51W) ERBS (48kg, 51W) CERES (2) (100kg, 103W)
(EOS flew two CERES on Aqua.
NPOESS flies only one per satellite)

Data Collection/Search ADCS/SARSAT (61kg, ADCS/SARSAT (61kg, 134W)

and Rescue 134W)

Space Environmental SESS (109kg, 135W) SESS (109kg, 135W)

Monitoring (InclUding AURORA) (Including AURORA)

Ozone Mapper/Profiler OMPS (67kg, 101W) OMPS (67kg, 101W)

Laser Warning Sensor SuS (30kg, 70W)

Total~ 1271 kg, 1268W 912kg, 1084W 972kg, 1115W

wI Scenario M6 sensors

15 2(14/20061010.t<M
 EOS' Spacecraft M6 ,1330 (el) Stowed
SARSAT-Tx Antenna '~

Stored Mission Data Antenna ~

LRD Antenna "" ~

- A-DCS-Tx Antenna
SARSAT/A-DCS-Rx Antenna ~ HRD Antenna

S-BAND Antenna ""-

(NADIR) 'It.

'-. +Y
S1C

VIIRS ~

CrlS

ATMS

Microwave Imager I Sounder

Momentum Compensation Unit
(as required)

Microwave Imager I Sounder

(0 0.6 m Reflector)
16 2/14/20061010 AM
 EOS' Spacecraft M6 ,1730 (C2) Stowed
SARSAT-Tx Antenna ~
+ZS/C

Stored Mission Data Antenna ~ t A-DCS-Tx Antenna

LRD Antenna
HRD Antenna
SARSAT/A-DCS-Rx Antenna ~

S-BAND Antenna "-

(NADIR) ':4

Aurora

~
+YS/C

VIIRS ~

Microwave Imager I Sounder

Momentum Compensation Unit
(as required)

~" Microwave Imager I Sounder

-, (0 1.2 m Reflector)
17 2i14f2006 ,0-10 M1
 Costing Groundrules & Assumptions

• Assume redirection in 4Q FY06

• Starting Point: IPP baseline (Scenario_IPP_From_IPA6_R6.XLS) used for
EMD costs, MR, RMB, Fee, and Funding
• Re-timephased and re-estimated PM, SEITISI, C3S, lOPS, and
Spacecraft activities for production CLINs
• Re-timephased but did not re-estimate price for production sensors -
last production sensors deleted first in scenario evaluations
• Did not include Option CLINs 2100 (Post 10C O&S) and 2200 (Post
10C Sustaining Engineering)
• MR, RMB, Fee, and funding unchanged from IPA6_R6 plan
• Assume Production CLIN can be reprogrammed but FY06/07 caps and
FYDP limits apply
• Quantified funding benefits if FY08 Launch Vehicle funding can be
reprogrammed
• Cost growth is estimated as cum funding required in excess of cum
funding available

19 7/14/7006 10.10,AM
 Scenario Mission Performancel
User Satisfaction Methodology
EOR Mapping bll PrlorllJ
NPOlSS lOR-to-Sonsor I!'tumt ..•--_. -I Ik"~l ACT IAMSU-I,
.. t:lS....._

]±t=~}~
I~DIlIII

Cat.II-S Cat.III-S! Cost

-

--- 1- _·,··0····················0

~-~~.
I
Z
Z 0 0
0 0
I ~ ...~ I · - .L_~4 __ +_ -~: 0 0
'Vaoor
r--;-- ~ _..5l.

0 0
3 0 4
3 0 0
.0-
-------~ ; 0
0 0
_~_2_ 0
2 -----"---
0 - '0
4 2 0
0

~=~;~
. .'"
1'1
,:' ,qUIiII$'" -.Mt"*",,,.
;:';:"'-;'h;di'''''''
ALT
,
2
2
2
2
"0
0
?-~:_:;;Zf; (al 2 0
2 0
~. _C<' • '. ~....-~_~V ~J
2 0
'(ion 3 0
EDRs mapped to both NPOESS and EDRs prioritized per user operational JtK)rl 0
0
heritage sensor types requirements EDR satisfaction scoring completed for NPOESS
and heritage sensors against lORD requirements
Notional satellite FlY-On 8tl11'11111e
PTop'M;ed"poiarOrbfllnlJ envlfonmeOI~1 Saleilite COvt'rag~fTt1In9Itton
D

r- t:o:~
oiT-i",,'T11 I 12 ! tJ Ib4 I 15
Comparison of Payload Manifest
Options -1330 NPOESS vs Heritage

r "'0 Heritage Intermediate Options NPOESS

----"-----EDR--·-·-····
Ei Moisture Profile
"I

\=J
~, renl~jirofile-­

,~l

.. j09J.OI Sea Sur1<1ce Willd

~I mol· ::g~~ "1e";-------------- I ~ ~~I

.1
so1fMoisiure
Allr....J::;VII';"111; ParJIi~t:lefS
Clo;;!1 P<1f.'l1'1'1f'{f'f<;

11~~ I I Earth Ro1dlatiot; Oudq€'!

Lard F<lramelt<fs
i!3GO
j to 1500 !OCCaNW:i!~rpar~0:~~f£~~=±---%-ill-
,Space En.. . 'rl..'Ilment .. {J 7.7
0
00(1
lJI \".u:
0,001
'""001
0.00
2
UUU
I

I i L I 1. 1
i
[, I 1330 Intermediate Payload Options
I L- :···t'·'~J.L-+L--l-l--4J Ca,e 1 ~.vrIRR SSMIS, CriS, ATMS. CERES
L.l....!!_-,- ~l!.. Case ~ 4vHRR SSM!S·U1 11.7 rn) CrIS. ATMS CERfS
_. __.. -._ _-.'"

Case 3' AVHRR SSM!S·Ui ~1.?rn 10 GHl) CrIS. ATMS, CERES

Casr;·<1 .AVHRR. ~,SMIS-U2. enS. ATMS, CERES. OMPS
Impact of fly-off scenarios considered to evaluate Case 0 ,l;IiS SSM:S-l!2. CriS f,TMS CERts. CMPS
continuity, revist, and 10 year operation factors

20 2i 14iZ:J06 10 10 AM
 Scenario Cost Evaluation Methodology

y
~ \~~ ~

~;~I~ ~- ~~
~' ~ ~ i> -';:

.~

~"~ ij ~=§
'fj

:::If',,~~ .''Of ~,~ ~ ~ ~ J! 1~ ~ ~~ a

m
'a~ .. 1:*' ~ U. U- li
b\.'=-- ="1=""" _

IPP baseline Re-phase production for revised Develop bUs, heritage

(Scenario_IPP_From IPA6_R6.XLS launch dates (FFP sensor SKTs sensor cost models
not repriced)

i >I~
W~

i.U>o
OpUQn "I\f" ~(JnJno C~-301 Rodu(ti0lJ5

D
• ww
i'
c':D'*-'l
" .... ' ..... ' .... I.,......

\=l U~d~:-~~~~':~'::~'~=1==I
• u

,; ., .
I~ ,.,. .
i
""' .
g! ~ .. Ril
.=.
. - 1·.[·
. _.
~
. : : t .
F", ,~_,~:.:;;;:;;:=.;~:.,~"::.';::,,~.'::,~.<-,
, , ,."' 'dO
.
lau i
-_:lIeN" )

1
--SC/l>lA,I'
~i

~"\"'" j ..~.-"".-'" ~""'j"'''''' 1

-,.'

------------
" . FT1~ t'U
I I .._ , _ .,,0'. "'>M'.'" t.;·,,~ ~1.1
I ~'::':':
~ __ 'H.,. '·""'N~r'."

Scenarios evaluated for

FYDP and Total Cost Scenarios Exercised with Prioritized NPOESS Sensor
compliance, SWAP integrated total program Manifests for each plane
accommodation, and EDR costing tool and estimated SWAP reqts
performance

21 2!14i2005 1010 A\1

 Aqua: First EOS Common Spacecraft
SUBSYSTEM DESCRIPTION

Structure Optically stable primary structure common to Aura; secondary

structure to support instruments; vibration damped

Propulsion Mono prop system with TORS heritage, four 1-lbf thrusters

Thermal Processor-controlled heaters for bus, heat rejections systems for

battery and AIRS instrument

Navigation & Two star trackers, NSD's precision inertial reference unit, four wheels,
Attitude ground-based orbit determination with on-board propagation, .01 deg
pointing
Control
EPS Si-02 4800 W array; array regulation electronics controlling batter-
clamped bus; 135 Amp-hr Ni-H 2 battery; instruments isolated via large
converters (29V, 50 V, 120V)

Flight SIW MUlti-processor architecture developed on Universal Test Bed; On-

board fault management; applications being re-used on STSS, JWST,
NPOESS

Command X-band for science data downlink over polar ground station, high
and Data capacity retorder (136 Mbytes); TT&C interface via STDN (polar
station) or TDRSS; four independent synchronized processors;
Handling tailored data & control interfaces with non-standard instruments
(1553B and others)

RFComm Deployed X-band earth coverage antenna on boom for RF

compatibility with microwave instruments; nadir and zenith omni
antennas for TT&C

lite Mass 3076 Kg Mass Margin 5%

Electrical Load 1595 Watts
Solar Array (EOL) 4600 Watts Array Margin 41.5%
Battery Capacity 135 Amp..h r Battery Margin 29%

22 2114/20061010 ,<;M