Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
Workshop
THE GOAL:
Forecast
$$
1. Start with invariably
inaccurate forecasts
2. Add in the variability of
real world operations
3. And you create large inventories
of what you dont need and
stock-outs of what you do need
z
z
UU
z
z
x
x
T YTY
Y
Y
Y
Brand
X
Brand
Y
Point of Use
Storage for Customer
Part #9031.A5
Bin Qty: 25
Address: Q22-671
Standard
Replenishment
Route
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
5 yr forecast
14-month
purchase order
60-Day Frozen
Schedule
me
Volu
Customer
SAP
1. Map the
Current State
en
Froz
ig.
nf
Co
&
n
te
Da roze
hip F
5 Models
30 Engines/month
Paint to Install = 14 days
SAP
Daily
Supplier
Customs
(Capinas)
Mnthly
Sub Assembly
A-22
B-0
C-7
130 pcs
50 hrs
25 days
C/T = 30 hrs
C/O = 0 hr
3 shifts
Cap = 2.0 eng/day
C/T = 7 hrs
C/O = 0 hr
2 shifts
Cap = 4.0 eng/day
7 hrs
12 hrs
30 hrs
Ship
6 days
Daily
Store
Test
Final Assembly
A-Trade
(Miami)
5 hrs
3 days
C/T = 4 hrs
C/O = 0 min
2 shifts
Cap = 4 eng
4 hrs
2 day
C/T = 20 min
Process all
in/out matl
96 hrs
38 day
20 min 1 day
2. Address Barriers
WASTE REDUCTION
LEAD TIME
PEOPLE
PROCESSES
Lean Value
Stream
Multi-Process
Skills
Standardized
Work
One-Piece
Flow
Quick
Setup
Production
Teams
Pull
System
Continuous
Improvement
MATERIAL
Problem
Solving Skills
ORGANIZATIONAL COMMITMENT
Total Prod.
Maintenance
Visual
Control
Quality
Practices
5S
Leveling Production
Determine Demand for Each Product
25
20
Model B = 80/month
15
Units
Model A = 160/month
Model C = 40/ month
10
01/01/1900
02/01/1900
Model A
03/01/1900
04/01/1900
Model B
05/01/1900
06/01/1900
Model C
Parts
Day
16
Sequence = 4A-4A-4B-4A-4A-4B-4C
14
Units
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
01/01/1900
02/01/1900
Model A
03/01/1900
04/01/1900
Model B
05/01/1900
Model C
06/01/1900
Production
Kanban
Withdrawal
Kanban
Supplier
Process
Customer
Process
Inventory
Marketplace
Types of Kanban
Production Kanban
Signal (or Triangle): Processes with long setup times
Call: Where use of a physical card is not practical
Regular: All other Production Kanbans
Withdrawal Kanban
Stock: Material is pulled from in-house storage location
Supplier: Material is ordered from external supplier
Production Kanban
Kanban Number
Line-Side Address
Pick-up Times
Part Number
Route
Part Description
Supplier
Quantity
Dock Number
80
SOUTH - 3
Kanban
Part #/Description
Qty/Bin Size
Market Address
Line-side Address
4. TL Removes Prod.
Kanbans from mailbox,
places on board to
communicate leveled
schedule, line produces
parts to replace those
consumed by customer.
Kanban Calculations
Number of Kanban =
Lead Time =
Time to Manufacture Part + Time to Process Kanban + Safety
Factor
Signal Kanbans
Preceding Process
Subsequent Process
LPT 125B
Kanban #
DB 02
Material Size
24 x 8 x 8
Lot Size
50
TSA 11-4
Part Name
Upper Liner Blank
Container
Capacity
25
Number of
Containers
2
Lot Size
Part Name
Reorder Point
50
Upper Liner
Blank
10
# of Bins
Part #
Bin #
E2340098
Storage Location
DS 422
Pick Up Point
PL 11-2
2. Retrieves Kanbans at
set intervals. Places on
Kanban Board.
Run
1. Starts bin with Rectangle
Kanban, removes Kanban
and places in mailbox.
Repeats when reaches bin
with Triangle Kanban.
3. Rectangle Kanban.
Prepare for next job
Blank coil length
Perform external setup
4. Receive Triangle Kanban.
Perform internal setup
Run lot
Attach Kanban
6. Transports parts
w/Kanbans to
customer.
Reorder Point =
(Rectangle)
Reorder Point =
(Triangle)
Prep is the critical-path time needed to prepare for the production run to include
external setup and cutting of raw material
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Before
After
Initial buffers may be large to account for long lead times or unstable
processes
Avoid using your ERP system to communicate customer pull signal to the
plant floor
Forecast &
purchase order
Sales & Ops
Planning
60-Day Frozen
Vol. Schedule
SAP
Future
State Map
EMBRAER
T=-14
SAP
T=0
14 Days Order
to Delivery
Synchronized
Pull
Forecast
Daily
Supplier
Customs
(Capinas)
Wkly
Volume
F
Ship in Pairs
TPM
Setup<Ct+20min
Turbine
Machining
W
20 pcs
Sub Assembly
W
C/T = 7 hrs
C/O = 0 hr
2 shifts
Capacity = 2.0 eng/day
Final
Assembly
4-3007A
W
2-3007C
C/T = 36 hrs
C/O = 0 hr
2 shifts
Capacity = 2.0 eng/day
Mix
Common Test
Setup<15min
Test
1-A
1-C
Add Fadec
Define L/R
Box at Store
Store/Ship
1-C
C/T = 4 hrs
C/O = 0 min
2 shifts
Capacity = 4 eng
Daily