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INTRODUCTION
In the last article on Understanding the banking system, we had discussed the Basel norms.
We learnt what Basel norms are and why they hold such importance for the Indian banking system.
Then we understood the challenges the banks will have to face in implementing them. Further, we
suggested a possible way out.
Previous discussion highlighted why stability in the banking system is important. Following that
discussion, in this article we will be discussing one of the biggest challenges threatening the stability
of the Indian banking system the Non-Performing assets (NPAs).
The banking business has boomed since Independence, particularly after the LPG reforms. The
sector is currently valued at Rs 115 lakh crore and expected to more than double at Rs 288 lakh
crore by 2020. Out of this 70 per cent of business is being done by PSU banks. An interesting fact is
that SBIs market share out of total banking business is 22 per cent!
Looking at the enormous size of the banking industry, the NPAs are a big cause of concern.
We will first look at some of the basics of NPAs; then move on to understand their causes and
implications; then examine the challenges that the banks will face because of them; and finally put
forward possible solutions.
The discussion will also cover the social agenda behind the banking and whether it is unviable for
the Indian banks.
Criteria
Loans dont go bad right away. Most loans allow customers a certain grace period. Then they are
marked overdue. After a certain number of days, the loan is classified as a nonperforming loan.
Banks usually classify as nonperforming assets any commercial loans which are more than 90
days overdue and any consumer loans which are more than 180 days overdue.
For agricultural loans, if the interest and/or the installment or principal remains overdue for two
harvest seasons; it is declared as NPAs. But, this period should not exceed two years. After two
years any unpaid loan/installment will be classified as NPA.
Categories
1. Sub-standard: When the NPAs have aged <= 12 months.
2. Doubtful: When the NPAs have aged > 12 months.
3. Loss assets: When the bank or its auditors have identified the loss, but it has not been written off.
After a certain amount of time, a bank will try to recoup its money by foreclosing on the property that
secures the loan. The way money is recouped is a highly contentious issue not just with banks but
also with Micro-Finance Institutions (MFIs). We will discuss it later in the article.
All of this can be explained in a much more technical manner, but that is not required here. For
example, we do not need to list all the conditions that make the banks declare an asset as NPAs
like In respect of derivative transactions, the overdue receivables representing positive mark-tomarket value of a derivative contract, if these remain unpaid for a period of 90 days from the
specified due date for payment.
Only understanding the basic concepts will suffice. UPSC is not going to ask you these details, but
about the impact and solutions of NPAs. Even in prelims, these details will not be asked. So we
avoid technicalities and jargons here. It is not useful for a GS paper, even if some of it may be useful
for Economics optional paper.
EXTENT OF NPAs
Gross NPAs of domestic banks jumped to 4.2 % of total lending by the end of September 2013 from
3.6 % six months before, according to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).
As per a recent warning by the RBI, bad loans (NPAs) could climb to 7% of total advances by 2015.
In absolute terms, gross NPAs are estimated to touch Rs 2.50 lakh crores by the end of March this
year. This is equal to the size of the budget of Uttar Pradesh. The biggest chunk of the soured debts
is with state-run banks (Public sector banks or PSBs), which account for two-thirds of loans but 80 %
of the bad assets.
This is how the NPA curve has been moving in the recent years, as per a news report in the
Business Standard:
Private-sector and foreign lenders are better placed. Their NPAs in proportion of their lending is
lesser than that of the PSBs.
WHY IT MATTERS?
The higher is the amount of non-performing assets (NPAs), the weaker will be the
banks revenue stream.
In the short-term, many banks have the ability to handle an increase in nonperforming assets they
might have strong reserves or other capital that can be used to offset the losses. But after a while, if
that capital is used up, nonperforming loans will imperil a banks health. Think of nonperforming
assets as dead weight on the balance sheet.
Here is the impact of the NPAs:
As the NPA of the banks will rise, it will bring a scarcity of funds in the Indian security
markets. Few banks will be willing to lend if they are not sure of the recovery of their money.
The shareholders of the banks will lose a lot of money as banks themselves will find it tough
to survive in the market.
This will lead to a crisis of confidence in the market. The price of loans, i.e. the interest rates
will shoot up badly. Shooting of interest rates will directly impact the investors who wish to take
loans for setting up infrastructural, industrial projects etc.
It will also impact the retail consumers like us, who will have to shell out a higher interest rate
for a loan.
All of this will lead to a situation of low off take of funds from the security market. This will
hurt the overall demand in the Indian economy. And, finally it will lead to lower growth rates and of
course higher inflation because of the higher cost of capital.
This trend may continue in a vicious circle and deepen the crisis.
Total NPAs have touched figures close to the size of UP budget. Imagine if all the NPA was
recovered, how well it can augur for the Indian economy.
RBI governor Raghuram Rajan has recently said that NPAs must be curbed before the problem
becomes alarming.
Here we look at the other reasons behind this mess. Basically the whole problem can be divided into
two parts External problems and internal problems as faced by the banks.
External Factors
Reasons related to the corporate sector
1.
Apart from the slowdown in India, the global economy has also slowed down.
This has adversely impacted the corporate sector in India. Continuing uncertainty in the global
markets has lead to lower exports of various products like textiles, engineering goods, leather,
gems etc. It can be noted that imports and exports combined equal to around 40% of Indias
GDP!
A hurt corporate sector is finding it difficult to pay loans
2.
The ban in mining projects, delay in environmental related permits affecting power, iron and
steel sector, volatility in prices of raw material and the shortage in availability of power have all
impacted the performance of the corporate sector. This has affected their ability to pay back loans.
Other sectors
Banks in India are highly regulated. Priority sector lending (PSL) is one of these regulations which
require the banks to give a certain % of their loans to certain sections of society. These are
farmers, SCs, STs, IT parks, MSMEs etc.
Naturally one would assume that the weaker sections covered under PSL are the ones to be
blamed for the situation. However, it is not the case.
As per recent news reports, the Standing Committee on Finance will be now examining the
reasons for high NPAS in PSBs.
The data, shared with the Standing Committee, shows that NPAs in the corporate sector are far
higher than those in the priority or agriculture sector.
Within the priority sector, incremental NPAs were more in respect to micro small and medium
enterprises followed by agriculture.
However, even the PSL sector has contributed substantially to the NPAs.
As per the latest estimates by the SBI, education loans constitute 20% of its NPAs!
The sluggish legal system (Judiciary in India) and lack of systematic and constant efforts by
the banks make it difficult to recover these loans from both corporate and non-corporate.
Internal Factors
1. Indiscriminate lending by some state-owned banks during the high growth period (2004-08) is one
of the main reasons for the deterioration in asset quality.
2. Bankers say there is a lack of rigour in loan appraisal systems and monitoring of warning signals
at state-run banks. This is particularly true in case of infrastructure projects, many of which are
struggling to repay loans. Besides, these projects go on for 20 to 30 years.
4. The wait and watch approach of banks have been often blamed as the reason for rising NPAs as
banks allow deteriorating asset class to go from bad to worse in the hope of revival and often offer
restructuring option to corporates.
A Parliamentary panel, examining increasing incidents of NPAs, has observed that state-owned
banks should stop ever-greening or repeated restructuring of corporate debt to check the constant
bulging of their non-performing assets. Members of the panel were of the view that NPAs are the
result of bad economic situation, but there were also management issue of every-greening of loans,
which could be avoided by not renewing loans, particularly of corporate.
Therefore, it can be clearly seen that it is only the economic slowdown that is behind the NPAs.
There are a whole range of factors.
WAY OUT
The simplest approach to cut down NPAs is to recover the bad loans.
Apart from the regular guidelines released by the RBI, to strengthen further the recovery of dues by
banks and financial institutions, Government of India promulgated:
1.The Recovery of Debts Due to Banks and Financial Institutions Act, 1993
2. The Securitization Reconstruction of Financial Assets and Enforcement of Security Interest
(SARFAESI) Act, 2002.
So, how can the banks legally recover their loans?
(i) The Securitization and Reconstruction of Financial Assets and Enforcement of Security
Interest (SARFAESI) Act, 2002 The Act empowers Banks / Financial Institutions to recover their
non-performing assets without the intervention of the Court, through acquiring and disposing of the
secured assets in NPA accounts with outstanding amount of Rs. 1 lakh and above. The banks have
to first issue a notice. Then, on the borrowers failure to repay, they can:
(ii) Recovery of Debts Due to Banks and Financial Institutions (DRT) Act: The Act provides
setting up of Debt Recovery Tribunals (DRTs) and Debt Recovery Appellate
Tribunals (DRATs) for expeditious and exclusive disposal of suits filed by banks / FIs for recovery of
their dues in NPA accounts with outstanding amount of Rs. 10 lac and above. Government has, so
far, set up 33 DRTs and 5 DRATs all over the country.
(iii) Lok Adalats: Section 89 of the Civil Procedure Code provides resolution of disputes through
ADR methods such as Arbitration, Conciliation, Lok Adalats and Mediation. Lok Adalat mechanism
offers expeditious, in-expensive and mutually acceptable way of settlement of disputes.
Government has advised the public sector banks to utilize this mechanism to its fullest potential for
recovery in Non-performing Assets (NPAs) cases.
Among the various channels of recovery available to banks for dealing with bad loans, the
SARFAESI Act and the Debt Recovery Tribunals (DRTs) have been the most effective in terms of
amount recovered.
As per the Supreme Court (SC) Liquidity of finances and flow of money is essential for any
healthy and growth oriented economy. But certainly, what must be kept in mind is that the law should
not be in derogation of the rights which are guaranteed to the people under the Constitution. The
procedure should also be fair, reasonable and valid, though it may vary looking to the different
situations needed to be tackled and object sought to be achieved.
But, these are steps which cure the disease of NPAs. The issue of NPAs needs to be tackled at
the level of prevention rather than cure.
Therefore, the steps that can prevent the piling up of NPAs are as follows:
1. Conservatism:
Banks need to be more conservative in granting loans to sectors that have traditionally found to be
contributors in NPAs. Infrastructure sector is one such example. NPAs rise predominantly because of
long gestation period of the projects. Therefore, the infrastructure sector, instead of getting loans
from the banks can be funded from Infrastructure Debt Funds (IDFs) or other specialized funds for
infrastructural development in the country.
2. Improving processes:
The credit sanctioning process of banks needs to go much more beyond the traditional analysis of
financial statements and analyzing the history of promoters. For example, banks rely more on the
information given by credit bureaus. However, it is often noticed that several defaults by some
corporate are not registered in their credit history.
Instead of sitting and waiting for a loan to turn to a bad loan, and then restructure it, the banks may
officially start to work to recover such a loan. This will obviate the need to restructure a loan and
several issues associated with it. One estimate says that by 2013 there will be Rs 2 trillion worth of
restructured loans.
CONCLUSION
Looking at the giant size of the banking industry, there can be hardly any doubt that the menace of
NPAs needs to be curbed. It poses a big threat to the macro-economic stability of the Indian
economy. An analysis of the present situation brings us to the point that the problem is multi-faceted
and has roots in economic slowdown; deteriorating business climate in India; shortages in the legal
system; and the operational shortcoming of the banks. Therefore, it has to be dealt at multiple levels.
The government cant be expected to rescue the state-run banks with tax-payers money every time
they fall into a crisis. But, the kind of attention with which this problem has been received by
policymakers and bankers alike is a big ray of hope. Right steps, timely and concerted actions and a
revival of the Indian economy will put a lid on NPAs. Prevention, however, has to become a priority
than mere cure.