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1067
HAOMING CHEN
Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China
(Manuscript received 13 May 2015, in final form 16 November 2015)
ABSTRACT
Numerical experiments are conducted to investigate the differences between summer precipitation over
continental East Asia simulated by the Community Atmosphere Model, version 5 (CAM5), and superparameterized CAM5 (SPCAM5, a multiscale modeling framework). The results show that SPCAM5 effectively alleviates several original biases. Overestimates of precipitation on the eastern periphery of the
Tibetan Plateau are reduced from CAM5 to SPCAM5 as a result of decreases in both the average hourly
precipitation frequency and mean hourly intensity. Underestimates along the coastal regions in southern
China are improved following a corresponding increase in mean hourly intensity and a decrease in average
hourly precipitation frequency. The frequencyintesnsity relationship is also more realistic in SPCAM5. For
western China, overestimated frequency values (in CAM5) of both weak-to-moderate (020 mm day21) and
heavy (2050 mm day21) intensity ranges are reduced in SPCAM5. For southern China, overestimates of
frequency values (in CAM5) in the weak-to-moderate range are also reduced, whereas underestimates in the
intense ranges are enhanced. In terms of diurnal variability, SPCAM5 generally exhibits a delay in the afternoon peak time and greater diurnal amplitude. The possible physical reasons for the variations in the
precipitation between the models are further investigated. It is found that the change in deep convection
intensity is a primary factor governing the shift in the precipitation simulations. SPCAM5 better simulates an
intermediate transition stage from shallow to deep convection, which helps the deep convection to grow more
fully to a greater magnitude, thus delaying the peak time and increasing the precipitation maxima.
1. Introduction
Precipitation is a result of processes associated with
water vapor condensation, latent heat release, and cloud
occurrence, which fundamentally influence the water
balance and radiative forcing. The simulation of precipitation in atmospheric general circulation models
(AGCMs) is a major metric to assess model performance
(Randall et al. 1991; Trenberth et al. 2003; Dai and
Trenberth 2004). However, state-of-the-art climate
models have long been unable to satisfactorily reproduce
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approach further by integrating a 2D version of a threedimensional (3D) CRM (Khairoutdinov and Kogan
1999; Khairoutdinov and Randall 2003) into a realistic
GCM, the NCAR CCM3. This constituted the first
prototype of the SP Community Atmosphere Model
(CAM), which has been widely used and modified since
its development (e.g., Khairoutdinov et al. 2005, 2008;
DeMott et al. 2010; Marchand et al. 2009; Wang et al.
2011; DeMott et al. 2011; Xu and Cheng 2013; more
references are available online at http://www.cmmap.
org/research/pubs-mmf.html). Although MMF also has
its own problems (e.g., it tends to underestimate marine
stratocumulus clouds because the embedded CRM is
still too coarse to explicitly resolve the large turbulent
eddies), it is generally considered to improve the simulations associated with deep convection (e.g., the diurnal cycle of rainfall and tropical variability like the
MaddenJulian oscillation; Khairoutdinov et al. 2005).
The superparameterization has been considered as a
parallel to conventional parameterization in the future
development of model physics (Randall et al. 2003;
Arakawa et al. 2011; Randall 2013).
On the other hand, summer precipitation over East Asia
has long been difficult to simulate well, largely because of
the influences of complex orographic features, landsea
distributions [see Fig. 1 for an overview of the complex
surface features across East Asia, including the vast Tibetan Plateau in the west, the Sichuan basin (278328N,
10381088E) on its lee side, the eastern plain, and numerous hills in southern China], and monsoon systems (e.g.,
Yu et al. 2000; Zhou and Li 2002; Chen and Frauenfeld
2014). In addition, the simulation is especially sensitive to
the choice of convection schemes (e.g., Chen et al. 2010b).
East Asian precipitation systems comprise phenomena at
various spatial and temporal scales (e.g., Tao et al. 2003;
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Chen et al. 2010a; Luo et al. 2014; Chen et al. 2014). The
rainbands associated with the East Asian summer monsoon have significant variability at different time scales
[see Ding and Chan (2005) for a review]. Moreover,
summer precipitation over continental China exhibits
significant diurnal variability (Yu et al. 2007), and the
frequency and intensity patterns of precipitation also vary
(Zhou et al. 2008). This variety of features makes the East
Asian summer precipitation regime an ideal test bed for
assessing the model performance and investigating the
sensitivity of different types of parameterizations.
Current state-of-the-art AGCMs have considerable
biases in the simulation of precipitation over continental
East Asia. Figure 2 plots the bias of summer [June
August (JJA)] precipitation rates averaged from 23
models participating in phase 5 of the Coupled Model
Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) against the Tropical
Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) data (years 1998
2005). The models tend to overestimate the precipitation at the southern and eastern edges of the Tibetan Plateau while underestimating the precipitation in
southern China. Such common and stubborn model
biases severely hamper the model performance and
motivate us to study them in relation to model sensitivity. Because the MMF can explicitly simulate features
associated with deep convection on various spatial and
temporal scales, improvements should be seen in simulated summer precipitation over continental East Asia.
Nevertheless, few studies available in the literature have
assessed the performance of MMF in its simulations of
East Asian precipitation, constituting a general motivation of the present study.
In this paper, numerical experiments are conducted to
investigate the differences between CAM5 and a superparameterized CAM5 (SPCAM5). The climatological
mean state, frequencyintensity structures, diurnal variations, and reasons governing the changes in precipitation
are all assessed in detail. This study will likely benefit both
the observational and modeling communities. It can help
us understand how we can benefit from the use of SP-type
GCM in the simulations of East Asian summer precipitation. It will also improve our understanding of how
to better simulate the precipitation characteristics over
East Asia in the context of a global model.
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows.
Section 2 describes the model, data, and methods used in
this study. Section 3 presents an overview of the climatological mean state. Section 4 investigates the differences
between simulated frequencyintensity structures. Section
5 documents the simulations of diurnal variations. Section
6 further explores the causes of precipitation variations
between the models. Section 7 provides a summary and
discussion of the results.
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HFRi 5
(1)
(2)
where HFRi and MHIi are the hourly precipitation frequency and mean hourly intensity at hour i of the day,
respectively. The variable Ni is the number of total precipitating times, and Pi is the cumulative hourly
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Pmax 2 P
P
3 100%,
(3)
P(h) 2 P
.
P
(4)
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respectively. Following Yanai et al. (1973), they are calculated using the residual method as follows:
!
Q1 T
RT T
1 V ! =T 2 v
2
5
and
t
cp p p
cp
!
"#
Q2
q
q
1 V ! =q 1 v
5 2L
cp ,
t
p
cp
(5)
(6)
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FIG. 3. Summer mean precipitation rate (mm day21) between 508S and 508N: (a) TRMM, (b) CAM5, (c) SPCAM5,
(d) the difference between SPCAM5 and CAM5, (e) the difference between CAM5 and TRMM, and (f) the difference between SPCAM5 and TRMM. The black boxes in (d)(f) are the regions discussed in detail in the text.
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FIG. 4. The climatological mean summer precipitation (mm day21) derived from (a) OBSCMO, (b) TRMM,
(c) CAM5, and (e) SPCAM5; (d) the differences in precipitation between CAM5 and TRMM; and (f) the difference
between SPCAM5 and CAM5.
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4. Frequencyintensity relationship
To examine the changes in average hourly precipitation frequency and mean hourly intensity in more
detail, this section will focus on the relationship between
frequency and intensity. This will help us better understand the changes of frequency at different precipitation categories (from light drizzle to extreme
precipitation events). The western and southern boxes
are chosen here because variations of precipitation
amount in these two regimes are more evident (Fig. 4f)
and are mainly governed by the continental convection
processes (as will be shown in section 6).
As outlined in section 2b, precipitation frequency is
calculated (binned) by the actual hourly or 3-hourly
precipitation rate with a 1 mm day21 interval beginning
from 0.5 mm day21. To better show the results in a single
graph, the relationship curve is first plotted on a logarithmic frequency and intensity axis (see e.g., Fig. 6a).
Next, the actual intensity axis is separated into four
ranges to better indicate the results within different
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FIG. 5. Average hourly precipitation frequency (%) derived from (a) OBSCMO, (b) TRMM, (c) CAM5, and
(d) SPCAM5; mean hourly intensity (mm day21) derived from (e) OBSCMO, (f) TRMM, (g) CAM5, and
(h) SPCAM5. The three boxes are the regions discussed in detail in the text.
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FIG. 6. The frequencyintensity relationship for the western box in Fig. 5. (a) The entire frequencyintensity
structure on a natural logarithmic axis, where the black solid lines separate the natural logarithms of intensity values
corresponding to the four intensity ranges (mm day21) of the inset panels that are the actual frequencyintensity
values separated by different intensity ranges for (b) weak-to-moderate intensity, (c) heavy intensity, (d) heavy-toextreme intensity, and (e) very extreme intensity.
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FIG. 8. Diurnal peak times (LST) for summer mean precipitation derived from (a) OBSCMO, (b) TRMM, (c) CAM5,
and (d) SPCAM5. The four boxes are the regions described in detail in the text.
5. Diurnal variations
This section investigates the diurnal cycle of precipitation. The diurnal timing of precipitation is important because the associated clouds strongly interact with
both shortwave and longwave radiation to modulate the
energy balance. Therefore, the diurnal cycle is not only
observationally important to understand the nature of
precipitation but also critical as a basic metric to assess
the simulated precipitation.
Continental diurnal variation is tightly coupled with
solar heating in the surface and atmospheric boundary
layers and is thus stronger in summertime. Observational evidence has shown that the diurnal maxima of
continental deep convection and associated precipitation occur frequently in the late afternoon or early
evening (Dai et al. 1999; Dai 2001; Yang and Slingo
2001; Nesbitt and Zipser 2003). Specifically for East
Asia, previous studies (e.g., Yu et al. 2007; Yuan et al.
2012b) have reported observed spatial features for diurnal peak of precipitation (also shown in Figs. 8a,b).
Along a zonal band averaged within 288358N from the
Tibetan Plateau to its lee side, four distinct regimes with
different diurnal variations are documented, including
late-afternoon and midnight peaks over the Tibetan
Plateau, midnight to early-morning peaks in western
China, double peaks in the late afternoon and early
morning in eastern China, and early-morning peaks over
the East China Sea. In addition, southern (to the south
of 278N) and northeastern China (408508N, 1108
1308E) have afternoon precipitation peaks.
Because of the relatively coarse horizontal resolution
used in this study, the models are not expected to reproduce the detailed and fine regional features that
might be seen from higher-resolution models (e.g., Sato
et al. 2009; Dirmeyer et al. 2012; Yuan et al. 2013), where
the topography is better resolved. However, the models
should be able to simulate some representative and
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6. Sources of changes
This section investigates the factors that govern
the changes in precipitation simulations from CAM5
to SPCAM5. The first notable change from CAM5 to
SPCAM5, as presented in the previous sections, is that
SPCAM5 not only reduces excessive precipitation
amounts on the eastern periphery of the Tibetan Plateau
but also enhances precipitation amounts in southern
China. Both changes enable SPCAM5 to simulate a
more realistic precipitation climatology. An analysis of
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FIG. 9. Diurnal normalized amplitudes of summer mean precipitation derived from (a) OBSCMO, (b) TRMM,
(c) CAM5, and (d) SPCAM5.
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FIG. 10. Diurnalzonal distributions of the normalized (by daily mean) precipitation amount averaged within
288358N, derived from (a) OBSCMO, (b) TRMM, (c) CAM5, and (d) SPCAM5.
and McFarlane 1995). However, the results from numerous cloud-resolving simulations and some field observations (e.g., Chaboureau et al. 2004; Guichard et al.
2004; Khairoutdinov and Randall 2006; Kuang and
Bretherton 2006; Zhang and Klein 2010; Del Genio and
Wu 2010) usually indicate that a transition from shallow
to deep convection exists under the presence of substantial CAPE, and the precipitation gradually increases
toward its maxima with a gradual moistening of the free
troposphere and an increase in cloud-top height.
To illustrate our idea that SPCAM5 more successfully
simulates the continuous transition stage from shallow
to deep convection, the budget fields are further compared for the two models. Although the budget fields
shown are averaged for the entire summer months and
not specifically composited for rainy cases, the results
generally reveal the distinctive differences between
the models.
Figures 13c,d compare the heating rates (the radiative
heating is removed, and it is referred to as Q1 2 Qrad),
and the differences (SPCAM5 minus CAM5) are shown
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FIG. 11. CAPE (J kg21) derived from (a) CAM5 and (b) SPCAM5, vertically integrated Q1 (W m22) derived from
(c) CAM5 and (d) SPCAM5, and vertically integrated Q2 (W m22) derived from (e) CAM5 and (f) SPCAM5.
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FIG. 12. A vertical transect along 1058E showing the differences in (a),(b) Q1 (K day21) and (c),(d) Q2
(K day21) between (left) CAM5 and (right) SPCAM5 at the artificial rainfall center on the eastern periphery of
the Tibetan Plateau. Solid lines denote positive values, dashed lines denote negative values, and zero lines are
thickened.
in southern China and reduces overestimates of precipitation on the eastern periphery of the Tibetan Plateau. These two changes improve the original dry and wet
biases generated by CAM5. On the eastern periphery of
the Tibetan Plateau, the artificial overestimates of precipitation are reduced by SPCAM5 as a result of the reductions in both average hourly precipitation frequency
and mean hourly intensity. Conversely, in southern
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FIG. 13. (a) Precipitation amounts (mm day21) averaged within 238278N, 11281188E; green denotes SPCAM5 and red denotes CAM5.
(b) As in (a), but for CAPE (J kg21); The diurnalpressure cross sections of (c)(e) the heating rate (K day21; with the radiative heating
removed), (f)(h) the apparent moisture sink (K day21), (i)(k) cloud condensate (kg kg21), and (l)(n) vertical motion (Pa s21). The
results are shown for (left) CAM5, (center) SPCAM5, and (right) the difference between the two models (SPCAM5 minus CAM5). The
zero contours are thickened with black solid contours.
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reproduce similar results to 3D CRMs, they tend to simulate too rapid a transition from shallow to deep convection. This might partly explain why SPCAM5 still
simulates an early-afternoon peak time compared with the
observational datasets.
The comparison between CAM5 and SPCAM5 presented here provides new evidence that can help improve the precipitation simulations over continental
East Asia in the context of global models. Considering
that the global atmosphere model is gradually moving
toward a unified formulation of large-scale GCMs and
local-scale CRMs (e.g., Arakawa and Konor 2009;
Arakawa et al. 2011; Arakawa and Wu 2013), comparing
the results between conventional GCMs and MMFs will
shed light on the scientific merits of multiscale atmospheric modeling. More experiments and analyses will
be conducted to understand the multiscale dynamical
and physical processes associated with the simulations of
cloud and precipitation over East Asia.
Acknowledgments. This research was supported by
the National Natural Science Foundation of China
(Grants 41505066, 41375004, and 41221064) and the
Basic Scientific Research and Operation Foundation of
Chinese Academy Meteorological Sciences (Grants
2015Z002, 2015Y005, and 2014R013). The authors are
grateful for the comments from three anonymous reviewers and the editor, which helped improve the original manuscript.
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