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Reg. No. :

Question Paper Code :

20136

M.E./M.Tech. DEGREE EXAMINATION, JANUARY 2011.

First Semester
CAD/CAM

281104 PROBABILITY AND STATISTICAL METHODS

(Regulations 2010)
Time : Three hours

Maximum : 100 marks

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(Use of Statistical table may be permitted)

Answer ALL questions.
PART A (10 2 = 20 marks)

1.

One card is drawn from a well shuffled pack of 52 playing cards. What is the
probability that it is a numeric card bearing a multiple of 2?

2.

The

joint

f (x , y ) = e

(x + y )

probability

density

function

of

( X ,Y )

is

given

by

, x 0, y 0 find E (X ,Y ) .

For a large group of students X 1 = score in theory, X 2 = score in method and

X 3 = score in field work; r12 = 0.69, r13 = 0.45. r32 = 0.58, find the multiple
correlation coefficient R3.12 .

4.

Let x1 , x 2 ,Lx n denote random sample of size n from a uniform population with
probability density function f (x , ) =1, 1 / 2 x +1 2, < < . Obtain the
maximum likelihood estimator for .

5.

Define critical region.

6.

Mention any two uses of F-test.

7.

Define Randomized Block Design.

8.

What are the assumptions made in the analysis of variance?

9.

Define time series and write down four types of components of a time series.

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3.

10.

Define method of moving averages.

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PART B (5 16 = 80 marks)
11.

(a)

(i)

If X and Y are two random variable having the joint density

function

4 xye ( x + y )x , y 0
f (x , y ) =
0,
otherwise .
2

Find the joint density function of

(ii)

x 2 + y2 .

(8)

An insurance company insured 2,000 scooter drivers, 4000 car

drivers and 6,000 truck drivers. The probability of their accident is
0.1,0.3,0.2 respectively. One of the insured person meets with an
accident, what is the probability that he is scooter driver?
(8)

(b)

Determine the correlation coefficient between random variables X and Y

x + y, 0 x 1, 0 y 1
whose joint probability density function is f (x , y )=
0, otherwise .
(16)

(a)

(i)

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12.

Or

For a trivariate distribution :

X 1 = 40, X 2 = 70, X 3 = 90;

1 = 3, 2 = 6, 3 = 7;

r12 = 0.4, r23 = 0.5, r13 = 0.6 .

Find R1.23 , r23.1 and the value of X 3 when X 1 = 30 and X 2 = 45 .

(ii)

(8)

For the independent sample of size n. Obtain the maximum

likelihood estimate of for the binomial distribution.
(8)
Or

(i)

Derive the relation between total correlation, partial correlation

and multiple correlation.
(4)

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(b)

(ii)

For

P (x ) =

1e
2

the
double
Poisson
distribution
x
x
m2
m 1 1 e m2
+
, x = 0,1, 2,L Show that the estimates for
x!
2
x!

m1

m1 and m2 by the method of moments are '1 '2 '12 .

(12)

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(a)

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13.

(i)

A sample of 90 members has a mean 3.4 and standard deviation

2.61. Is the sample from a large population of mean 3.25 and
standard deviation 2.61? Assuming population as normal, find the
95% confidence limits for its mean.
(8)

(ii)

To compare the prices of a certain product in two cities, ten shops

were selected at random in each town, the prices was noted below.
City 1
61 63 56 63 56 63 59 56 44 61
City II 55 54 47 59 51 61 57 54 64 58

Test whether the average prices can be said to be the same in two
cities.
(8)
Or
Given the following contingency table for hair colour and eye colour.
.Find the value of 2 . Is there good association between the two? (8)
Hair Colour
Fair
Brown
Black Total
Blue
15
5
20
40
Grey
20
10
20
50
Brown 25
15
20
60
Total
60
30
60
150

14.

(a)

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(ii)

(i)

Eye Colour

(b)

The mean yield of wheat from a district A was 210 pounds with S.D.
10 pounds per acre from a sample of 100 plots. In another district
the mean yield was 220 pounds with S.D. 12 pounds from a sample
of 150 plots. Assuming that the S.D. of yield in the entire state was
11 pounds, test whether there is any significant difference between
the mean yields of crops in the two districts.
(8)

To study the performance of three detergents and three different

temperatures, the following whiteness readings were obtained with
specially designed equipment :
Water temp. Detergent A Detergent B
Detergent C
Cold Water
57
55
67
Warm Water
49
52
68
Hot Water
54
46
58
Perform a two-way analysis of variance at 5% level.
Or

Analyze the variance in the Latin square of yields (in quintals) of wheat
where P,Q,R,S represent the different manures used.
S222 P221 R223 Q222
Q224 R223 P222 S225
P220 Q219 S220 R221
R222 S223 Q221 P222

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(b)

(16)

Test whether the different manures used have given significantly

different yields.
(16)
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(a)

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15.

(i)

Obtain the 4-yearly centered moving averages for the following

series of observations (find the values upto 3 places of decimal). (8)
Year :
1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987
Annual Sales : 3.6
4.3
4.3
3.4
4.4
5.4
3.4
2.4
(ii) Given below are the figures of sales (in 1000 rupees) of a shop
Year :
1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988
Annual Sales : 125
128
166
135
140
141
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(1)

Fit a straight line by the method of least squares and show

the trend values,

(2)

What is the monthly increase in sales?

(8)

Or
Growth of Indian merchant shipping fleet from 1978 to 1987 is given
below. Fit a trend function y= AB x , where y represents shipping fleet
measured in millions gross registered tonnes and x is the year while
A and B are constants.
(16)
Year Shipping fleet (Million tonnes)
1978
1.95
1979
2.24
1980
2.4
1981
2.48
1982
2.65
1983
2.89
1984
3.49
1985
3.87
1986
5.09
1987
5.48

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(b)

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