Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
ON
PROJECT REPORT ON
FOREGIN EXCHANGE MARKET
MASTERS OF COMMERCE DEGREE
SEMESTER- 2
ACADEMIC YEAR: 2015-16
SUBMITTED BY
IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENT FOR THE AWARD
OF MASTER DEGREE OF COMMERCE
MR: ODIYAR SUMANRAJ
ROLL NO: 36
INTERNAL EXAMINER:
EXTERNAL EXAMINER:
Principal
DECLARATION
3
ROLL NO: 36
Signature:
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
4
I owe a great many thanks to great many people who helped and
supported me doing the writing of this book.
My deepest thanks to lecturer, Prof. BHAVA DASof the project for
guiding and correcting various documents of mine with attention and care. He
has taken pains to go through my project and make necessary corrections as and
when needed.
I extend my thanks to the principal of NES Ratnam College of Arts
Science and Commerce, Bhandup (w), for extending her support.
My deep sense of gratitude to Principal Mrs. Rina Saha of NES Ratnam
College of Art, Science and Commerce for support and guidance. Thanks and
appreciation to the helpful people at NES Ratnam College of Arts, Science and
Commerce , for their support.
I would also thank my institution and faculty members without whom this
project would have been a distant reality. I also extend my heartfelt thanks to
my family and well-wishers.
Candidate Name:
ODIYAR SUMANRAJ
INDEX
5
SR.
NO.
DESCRIPTION
Page.n
o
INTRODUCTION
7-18
19-23
24-26
Advantages and
Disadvantages of Foreign
ExchangeTrading
Foreign Exchange Market Participants 27-34
4
5
35-41
CHAPATER:1
Indroduction:
The foreign exchange market (forex, FX, or currency
market) is a globaldecentralized market for the trading of currencies.
This includes all aspects of buying, selling and exchanging currencies
at current or determined prices. In terms of volume of trading, it is by
far the largest market in the world. The main participants in this
market are the larger international banks.
Financial centres around the world function as anchors of trading
between a wide range of multiple types of buyers and sellers around
the clock, with the exception of weekends. The foreign exchange
market does not determine the relative values of different currencies,
but sets the current market price of the value of one currency as
demanded against another.
The foreign exchange market works through financial institutions, and
it operates on several levels. Behind the scenes banks turn to a smaller
number of financial firms known as dealers, who are actively
involved in large quantities of foreign exchange trading. Most foreign
exchange dealers are banks, so this behind-the-scenes market is
sometimes called the interbank market, although a few insurance
companies and other kinds of financial firms are involved.
Trades between foreign exchange dealers can be very large, involving
hundreds of millions of dollars. Because of the sovereignty issue
when involving two currencies, forex has little (if any) supervisory
entity regulating its actions.
The foreign exchange market assists international trade and
investments by enabling currency conversion. For example, it permits
a business in the United States to import goods from European
Union member states, especially Eurozonemembers, and pay Euros,
even though its income is in United States dollars. It also supports
7
its huge trading volume representing the largest asset class in the
world leading to high liquidity;
its geographical dispersion;
its continuous operation: 24 hours a day except weekends, i.e.,
trading from 22:00 GMT on Sunday (Sydney) until 22:00 GMT
Friday (New York);
the variety of factors that affect exchange rates;
the use of leverage to enhance profit and loss margins and with
respect to account size.
11
Spot market refers to the market in which the receipts and payments
are made immediately. Generally, a time of two business days is
permitted to settle the transaction.
Spot market is of daily nature and deals only in spot transactions of
foreign exchange (not in future transactions). The rate of exchange,
which prevails in the spot market, is termed as spot exchange rate or
current rate of exchange.
The term spot transaction is a bit misleading. In fact, spot
transaction should mean a transaction, which is carried out on the
spot (i.e., immediately). However, a two day margin is allowed as it
takes two days for payments made through cheques to be cleared.
(ii) Forward Market:
Forward market refers to the market in which sale and purchase of
foreign currency is settled on a specified future date at a rate agreed
upon today.
The exchange rate quoted in forward transactions is known as the
forward exchange rate. Generally, most of the international
transactions are signed on one date and completed on a later date.
Forward exchange rate becomes useful for both the parties involved
in the transaction.
Forward Contract is made for two reasons:
(a) To minimize the risk of loss due to adverse changes in the
exchange rate (through hedging);
(b) To make profit (through speculation).
12
The foreign exchange market is the most liquid financial market in the
world. Traders include large banks, central banks, institutional
investors,
currency speculators,
corporations, governments,
otherfinancial institutions, and retail investors. The average daily
turnover in the global foreign exchange and related markets is
continuously growing. According to the 2010 Triennial Central Bank
Survey, coordinated by the Bank for International Settlements,
average daily turnover was US$3.98 trillion in April 2010 (vs $1.7
trillion in 1998).[4] Of this $3.98 trillion, $1.5 trillion was spot
transactions and $2.5 trillion was traded in outright forwards, swaps
and other derivatives.
In April 2010, trading in the United Kingdom accounted for 36.7% of
the total, making it by far the most important centre for foreign
exchange trading. Trading in the United States accounted for 17.9%
and Japanaccounted for 6.2%.[60]
13
In April 2013, for the first time, Singapore surpassed Japan in average
daily foreign-exchange trading volume with $383 billion per day. So
the rank became: the United Kingdom (41%), the United States
(19%), Singapore (5.7)%, Japan (5.6%) and Hong Kong (4.1%).[61]
Turnover of exchange-traded foreign exchange futures and options
have grown rapidly in recent years, reaching $166 billion in April
2010 (double the turnover recorded in April 2007). Exchange-traded
currency derivatives represent 4% of OTC foreign exchange turnover.
Foreign exchange futures contracts were introduced in 1972 at
the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and are actively traded relative to
most other futures contracts.
Most developed countries permit the trading of derivative products
(like futures and options on futures) on their exchanges. All these
developed countries already have fully convertible capital accounts.
Some governments of emerging markets do not allow foreign
exchange derivative products on their exchanges because they
have capital controls. The use of derivatives is growing in many
emerging economies.[62] Countries such as South Korea, South Africa,
and India have established currency futures exchanges, despite having
some capital controls.
Foreign exchange trading increased by 20% between April 2007 and
April 2010 and has more than doubled since 2004. [63]The increase in
turnover is due to a number of factors: the growing importance of
foreign exchange as an asset class, the increased trading activity
of high-frequency traders, and the emergence of retail investors as an
important market segment. The growth of electronic execution and the
diverse selection of execution venues has lowered transaction costs,
increased market liquidity, and attracted greater participation from
many customer types. In particular, electronic trading via online
portals has made it easier for retail traders to trade in the foreign
exchange market. By 2010, retail trading is estimated to account for
up to 10% of spot turnover, or $150 billion per day (see below: Retail
foreign exchange traders).
Foreign
exchange
is
an over-the-counter
market where
brokers/dealers negotiate directly with one another, so there is no
central exchange or clearing house. The biggest geographic trading
14
major markets are London (USD 300 billion), New York (USD 200
billion), and Tokyo (USD 130 billion).
3.3 Functions of the Foreign Exchange Market The foreign exchange
market is the mechanism by which a person of firm transfers
purchasing power form one country to another, obtains or provides
credit for international trade transactions, and minimizes exposure to
foreign exchange risk. Transfer of Purchasing Power: Transfer of
purchasing power is necessary because international transactions
normally involve parties in countries with different national
currencies. Each party usually wants to deal in its own currency, but
the transaction can be invoiced in only one currency. Provision of
Credit: Because the movement of goods between countries takes time,
inventory in transit must be financed. Minimizing Foreign Exchange
Risk: The foreign exchange market provides "hedging" facilities for
transferring foreign exchange risk to someone else.
3.4 Market Participants The foreign exchange market consists of two
tiers: the interbank or wholesale market, and the client or retail
market. Individual transactions in the interbank market usually
involve large sums that are multiples of a million USD or the
equivalent value in other currencies. By contrast, contracts between a
bank and its client are usually for specific amounts, sometimes down
to the last penny.
Foreign Exchange Dealers: Banks, and a few nonbank foreign
exchange dealers, operate in both the interbank and client markets.
They profit from buying foreign exchange at a bid price and reselling
it at a slightly higher ask price. Worldwide competitions among
dealers narrows the spread between bid and ask and so contributes to
making the foreign exchange market efficient in the same sense as
securities markets. Dealers in the foreign exchange departments of
large international banks often function as market makers.
They stand willing to buy and sell those currencies in which they
specialize by maintaining an inventory position in those currencies.
Participants in Commercial and Investment Transactions: Importers
and exporters, international portfolio investors, multinational firms,
tourists, and others use the foreign exchange market to facilitate
execution of commercial or investment transactions. Some of these
16
maturity. Forward exchange rates are normally quoted for value dates
of one, two, three, six, and twelve months. Actual contracts can be
arranged for other lengths. Outright forward transactions only account
for about 9 % of all foreign exchange transactions.
Swap Transactions: A swap transaction involves the simultaneous
purchase and sale of a given amount of foreign exchange for two
different value dates. The most common type of swap is a spot against
forward, where the dealer buys a currency in the spot market and
simultaneously sells the same amount back to the same back in the
forward market. Since this agreement is executed as a single
transaction, the dealer incurs no unexpected foreign exchange risk.
Swap transactions account for about 48 % of all foreign exchange
transactions.
3.6 Foreign Exchange Rates and Quotations A foreign exchange
rate is the price of a foreign currency. A foreign exchange
quotation or quote is a statement of willingness to buy or sell at an
announced rate. Interbank Quotations: The most common way that
professional dealers and brokers state foreign exchange quotations,
and the way they appear on all computer trading screens
worldwide, is called European terms.
The European terms quote shows the number of units of foreign
currency needed to purchase one USD: CAD 1.5770 / USD An
alternative method is called the American terms. The American
terms quote shows the number of units of USD needed to purchase
one unit of foreign currency: USD 0.6341 / CAD Clearly, those
two quotations are highly related. Define the price of a USD in
CAD to be Also, define the price of a CAD in USD to be Then, it
must be that Because CAD 1.5770 / USD = 1 / {USD 0.6341 /
CAD}.
These rules also apply to forward rates as well. We will denote an
outright forward quote using the following notation: Direct and
Indirect Quotations: A direct quote is a home currency price of a
unit of foreign currency.
18
CHAPATER:2
19
No Centralized Market
The foreign exchange market does not possess a centralized
market or organizational structure. According to the Forex
Guide, a guide to foreign trading, "Foreign exchange
transactions take place without any unification of the operation
market and business network." The operation market controls
the channels through which trades occur, while the business
network provides the capital for the trades. In the foreign
exchange network, these two systems are not formally
organized. Brokers in the foreign exchange market aren't
certified or approved by a governing agency, as they are, for
example, in the U.S. stock exchange market.
Unceasing
The foreign exchange market never closes down during the
work week. It operates twenty-four hours a day, across national
boundaries. Because the time in Japan is different than in New
York, for example, tourists can be exchanging their currency in
20
one city, while in another city all the foreign exchange brokers
are asleep.
This situation allows traders to buy in one currency in the
morning, and sell it in the evening if the currency rate has
improved in their favor.
Changing Wealth
In 1998, the U.S. Federal Reserve estimated the U.S. segment of
the foreign exchange market at 351 billion dollars, more than 60
times what it was in 1977. The foreign exchange market
demonstrates changes in value among currencies. What a
currency is worth now compared to other currencies may change
drastically in the years ahead.
For example, the exchange rate of U.S. dollars to Japanese Yen
has gradually made the two more equal in wealth from the
1990s to the 2000s. Where a dealer could get many Yen for few
dollars in 1990, she could now get less Yen for the same amount
of dollars.
Being the world's largest financial market, the foreign exchange (or
forex) market offers unmatched benefits and advantages to the
prospective investor. With superior liquidity and leverage compared to
stocks and futures markets, the forex market is arguably the best
financial investment you can find.
What makes the forex market an excellent financial market? The
characteristics that make the forex market a good one are lower
trading costs, excellent transparency, superior liquidity and very
strong market trends.
LOWER TRADING COSTS
Ask anyone dealing in stocks and they will tell you that they have to
shell thousands of dollars to get started. Not so with the forex market.
21
With just a few hundred dollars (often $250 or less), you can open a
mini forex account and start trading!
The lower trading costs in the forex market has made it possible for
even small, individual investors to make decent profits from forex
trading. With lower costs, the possible losses are also much lower.
You will discover that forex trading usually has no commission fees
unlike in other investments.
The costs of forex trading are limited to the spread or the difference
between the selling and buying prices for a particular currency pair.
EXCELLENT TRANSPARENCY
Transparency means the free access to trading information. Forex
trading is a transparent process because the trader has full access to
market data and information that are necessary to perform successful
transactions.
The excellent transparency of the forex market means that forex
traders have more control over their investments and can decide what
to do based on the information available.
SUPERIOR LIQUIDITY
In a forex market, traders are free to buy and sell currencies of their
own choosing. The superior liquidity of the forex market enables
traders to easily exchange currencies without affecting the prices of
the currencies being traded.
So whether you trade a few thousand dollars or several millions, you
can be assured of the same currency prices during the time an order
was placed and then executed. The forex market's superior liquidity
allows you to get the profits you expect at the time you made the
trade.
22
commonly and main type of exchange rate. Under this market force
all the economies of developed countries allow there currency to
flowfreely.
When the value of the currency becomes low it makes the imports
more and theexports are cheaper, so the countries domestic goods and
services are demanded more inforeign buyers. The country can
withstand the fluctuation only if the economy is strong. When the
countrys economy is able to meet the demand then it can adjust
between the foreign trade and domestic trade automatically.
Fixed Rates
Fixed exchange rates are used to attract the foreign investments and
to promote foreign trade.This type of rates is used only by small
developed countries. By Fixed exchange rates thecountry assures the
investors for the stable and constant value of investment in the
country.
Amonetary policy of the country becomes ineffective. In this type the
exchange rates theimports become expensive. The exchange value of
the currency does not move. This normally reduces the countrys
currency against foreign currencies. Pegged Rates This rate is
between the floating rate and the fixed rate. Pegged rates appropriate
more for developed country.
CHAPATER:3
Advantages and
ExchangeTrading:
Disadvantages
of
Foreign
Superiorliquidity
With most of the currency transactions comprising of 7 main currency
25
pairs, the huge volume and the global trading aspect helps these
currencies exhibit price stability, little slippage, narrow spreads and
highlevelsofliquidity.
Profitability
Being an over the counter market, the trading done at Forex can be
known as over the counter trading, wherein, a trader always buys
one currency and sells of the other one in real time. There is no
organizational prejudice in the market and every investor has the
equal
prospects
for
profit
in
it.
24hourstrading
Forex currency trading market offers its traders with a 24 hour trading
opening, wherein, a Forex investor can trade ant any time of the day,
whatever suits him/her, as the market is open for trading 24 hours a
day, from Sunday 5:00 pm (ET) to Friday 4:30 pm.
This gives the Forex traders a choice to opt for timing for the trade
according
to
their
convenience.
DisadvantagesofForextrading
HighLeverage
While high leverage serves as an advantage to attract traders to the
market, it can at times also act as a disadvantage for them. With such
high levels of leverage available to traders in the Forex market, comes
an
equally
high
level
of
danger.
This can be true for the high stake positions which carry along with
them, too much risk, leading to margin calls. This is where efficient
26
money
management
comes
into
play
for
playing
safe.
24hoursmarket
Although it is convenient for the trader to trade whenever it is suitable
to him, it can be a rather tough job too. This is because, at times, it is
not possible for an individual trader to keep track of the Forex market,
24
hours
a
day.
This is where a broker comes into the picture. Retail or individual
investors should try taking help from a professional broker rather than
doing all the dealings himself straight with the huge market.
The broker will be an experienced professional who will act as an
equal in your transactions, keeping you informed and updated about
minute to minute details and fluctuations, and even guide you about
the conditions, when to and when not to trade in the market.
Like every other financial market, Forex market also has its share of
advantages and disadvantages. But keeping in mind the two can
surely help a trader become more vigilant and aware of what to expect
while trading Forex.
27
CHAPATER:4
Businesses
28
29
then you are perfect candidate for this business. There are still many
you should learn about foreign exchange trading.
Many U.S. retail stores located near the Canadian border accept
Canadian currency. (Many Canadian businesses accept U.S. dollars,
too.) Why do these businesses accept payment in a foreign currency?
Well, maybe they are good folks who want to help out others and
maybe some of them need foreign currencies to purchase supplies.
But those are at best ulterior motives in most instances because the
exchange rate offered usually heavily favors the retailer. For example,
the pizza parlors exchange rate was 12 pesos to the dollar when the
market exchange rate was closer to 11. So a $10 pizza costs 120 pesos
(10 12) instead of 110 pesos (10 11). In short, it makes a tidy and
largely riskless profit from the offer. Or imagine you dont have many
assets or a high income, but you need an automobile. You see a
commercial that says that there are three V-dubs (German-made
Volkswagen automobile models) under $17,000. You think you can
afford that and begin to make arrangements to buy a Rabbit.
But look in Figure 18.1, The dollar price of a 17,000 Rabbit and the
euro price of a $10 computer fan
the dollar and the euro are at parity (1 to 1), the Rabbit costs $17,000.
If the dollar depreciates (buys fewer euro, and more USD are needed
to buy 1), the Rabbit grows increasingly costly to you.
If the dollar appreciates (buys more euro, and fewer USD are needed
to buy 1), that cool automotive bunny gets very cheap indeed!+
Figure 18.1. The dollar price of a 17,000 Rabbit and the euro price of
a $10 computer fan + Now imagine that in your remote little town you
make fans for French computers that you can sell profitably for
$10.00.
The dollars movements will affect you as a producer, but in precisely
the opposite way as it affected you as a consumer. When the dollar
appreciates against the euro, your computer fans grow more
expensive in France (and indeed the entire euro zone), which will
undoubtedly cut into sales and maybe your salary or your job. When
the dollar depreciates, the euro price of your fans plummet, sales
become increasingly brisk, and you think about buying a Cadillac (a
more expensive American car).
It also takes the volatility of the currency market, specifically the spot
market, out of the equation. This type of market is popular for Steady
return on their investment that is done on large currency transactions.
Forward Market
the terms are negotiable between the two parties. The terms can be
changes according to the needs of the participants. It allows for more
flexibility. Two entities swap currency for an agreed amount of time,
and then return the currency at the end of the contract.
Swap Transactions In swap two parties are involves where they
exchange the currencies for certain time and agree to reserve the
transaction at a later date. Swap is the most commonly used forward
CHAPATER:5
37
38
Speculation
Speculation or the anticipation of the market participants many a
times is the prime reason for exchange rate movements. The total
foreign exchange turnover worldwide is many times the actual
goods and services related turnover indicating the grip of
speculators over the market. Those speculators anticipate the
events even before the actual data is out and position themselves
accordingly in order to take advantage when the actual data
confirms the anticipations. The initial positioning and final profit
taking make exchange rates volatile. These speculators many times
concentrate only on one factor affecting the exchange rate and as a
result the market psychology tends to concentrate only on that
factor neglecting all other factors that have equal bearing on the
exchange rate movement. Under these circumstances even when
all other factors may indicate negative impact on the exchange rate
of the currency if the one factor that the market is concentrating
comes out positive the currency strengthens.
Capital Movement
40
Intervention
Exchange rates are also influenced in no small measure by
expectation of changes in regulation relating to exchange markets
and official intervention. Official intervention can smoothen an
otherwise disorderly market but it is also the experience that if the
authorities attempt half-heartedly to counter the market sentiments
through intervention in the market, ultimately more steep and
sudden exchange rate swings can occur.
In the second quarter of 1985 the movement of exchange rates of
major currencies reflected the change in the US policy in favour of
co-ordinated 19 exchange market intervention as a measure to
bring down the value of dollar.
Stock Exchange Operations
41
42
Its a tight rope walk for any country to maintain a strong, stable
currency, with policies taking care of conflicting demands like
inflation and export promotion, welcoming foreign investments
and avoiding an appreciation of the domestic currency, all at the
same time.
CONCLUSION:
Foreign exchange market is the market in which foreign currencies
are bought and sold. The buyers and sellers include individuals, firms,
foreign exchange brokers, commercial banks and the central bank.
Foreign Exchange, Forex or FX is one of the worlds largest financial
markets dealing in real-time exchange of currencies of different
countries. This currency exchange market has a greater volume of
buyers and sellers, than in any other financial market of the world.
Large companies need to convert huge amounts of currency; a
multinational company such as General Electric (GE) for instance,
converts tens of billions of dollars each year.
43
Being an over the counter market, the trading done at Forex can be
known as over the counter trading, wherein, a trader always buys
one currency and sells of the other one in real time.
The foreign exchange market never closes down during the work
week. It operates twenty-four hours a day, across national boundaries.
Because the time in Japan is different than in New York
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foreign_exchange_market
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foreign_exchange_market
www.investopedia.com/terms/forex/f/foreign-exchange-markets.
www.colorado.edu/Economics/courses/boileau/4999/sec3
www.yourarticlelibrary.com/foreign.../foreign-exchangemarket...functi.
www.preservearticles.com/.../what-are-the-functions-of-the-foreignexch...
44
www.economicsdiscussion.net/foreign-exchange/...foreignexchange...fo.
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