Why George Soros’ and John Paulson’s

#1 Position is Gold and Gold Stocks

April 19, 2010

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary

 Special Report

Disclaimer
This material is for informational purposes only and is being
furnished on a confidential basis to a limited number of prospective
investors only.

This presentation is not an offer to sell, nor a solicitation of an offer

to buy any security of any fund managed or sponsored by Atyant
Capital Partners LLC or its affiliates or any other investment product.
Offers to sell or solicitations to invest in any Fund shall be made only
by means of a confidential private placement memorandum and in
accordance with applicable securities laws. Investors should review
the confidential private placement memorandum (including, but not
limited to, the information therein as to investment strategy, conflicts
and risks) prior to making a decision on investment.

This material has been prepared from original sources and data
believed to be reliable. No representations are made as to the
accuracy or completeness thereof. An investment in a Fund involves
a high degree of risk and is suitable only for sophisticated investors.
Past performance is not necessarily an indicator of future
performance.

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 2

 Special Report

Contents
๏ About Us
๏ The Thesis
๏ Where Did All the Money Go?
๏ The Issue at Hand
๏ So What?
๏ Proof is in the Pudding
๏ Game Plan
๏ Contact Us
๏ Cheat Sheet

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 3

 About Us

The Atyant Team

Vedant ‘VK’ Mimani, Managing Director, Atyant Capital
• Co-founder of Atyant Capital and lead portfolio manager for the Global Opportunities Fund.
• Fifteen years of managing assets, with a focus on macroeconomic opportunities that can be magnified
through trading strategies.
• Former head of Vedant Mimani Trading. Over ten-year career grew capital base to 83 times initial
value.
• Graduate of Yale University with a degree in Economics.
• Champion of a new sport, El Punto Grande, a fast-paced combination of kickball, dodge ball, and
cricket.
• Connect with VK on LinkedIn and Facebook

Pratik Sharma, Managing Director, Atyant Capital

• Co-founder of Atyant Capital and head of distribution and operations.
• Previously held key roles in the financial services practices at Deloitte Consulting and Meritage
Technologies. Specialized in optimizing operations and governance practices for Fortune 500
companies to protect and enhance shareholder value.
• Graduate of Boston University with a degree in Biomedical Engineering.
• Active in the community via service activities focused on healthcare for the underserved.
• Connect with Pratik on LinkedIn and Facebook

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 4

 The Thesis

Credit Mania  Credit Contraction

Great credit manias have ALWAYS
led to great contractions:

1720, 1772, 1825, 1873, 1929, 2007

Qualities of a Credit Mania:

• Money and credit plentiful

• Inflation and commodity prices fall
• Consumer confidence high
• Stock and real estate in bull market
• Gold bullion and gold equities in bear market
• Financial fraud prevalent
• Debt reaches high levels

Cartoonist: David Brown for Institutional Advisors

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 5

 The Thesis

First Comes Credit Expansion…

• Financial establishment invents Current Credit Mania
ways to satisfy investors’ appetite
for yields (best exemplified by
subprime/RMBS)

• Soaring prices for tangibles and

financial assets fosters
aggressive employment of
leverage

• Easy credit leads to diseased

credit

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 6

 The Thesis

…Then Comes Credit Contraction

Stress in real estate mortgages, municipals’
finances and sovereign debt are not
independent and isolated events

All part and parcel of the same

phenomenon

“As far as we can project, barring some unexpected event, our

mortgage-backed securities fund should continue to yield about 35%
per annum forever.”
Cartoonist: David Brown for Institutional Advisors

Unwinding of the
excessive use of credit
© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 7
 Where Did All the Money Go?

Qualities of a Credit Contraction

• Approximately 20 years in duration
based on previous contractions

• Money scarce

• Credit tight, interest rates rise

• Financial and economic dislocation

• International monetary system stressed

• Gold bullion and gold equities rise

Cartoonist: Hank Blaustein for Grant‟s Interest Rate Observer

• Mal-investments liquidated

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 8

 Where Did All the Money Go?

Best of Times, Worst of Times

• In a credit contraction, liquidity
becomes paramount Credit Default Swaps Less
Liquid
Collateralized Debt Obligations
Mortgage Backed Securities
• For orthodox investments: Small Business

nowhere to run, nowhere to hide Real Estate

Diamonds and Gemstones

• „New Normal‟: prepare for a 4% OTC Stocks

Commodities
return world MUNI Bonds
Corporate Bonds

Our View Listed Stocks

Government
Bonds
Treasury

Great Change
Bills
Paper
Money

=
Great Opportunity Gold
More
Liquid

John Exter’s Inverse Pyramid of Liquidity

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 9
 Where Did All the Money Go?

Credit Contraction Has Already Started

Credit Contraction Already Started

• Astute market observers recognize private credit has started contracting

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 10

 Where Did All the Money Go?

Credit Contraction Has Already Started

US Treasury/Federal Reserve replaced

private credit with sovereign credit

• US Treasury/Federal Reserve replaced private credit with sovereign credit

• Increased national debt by a significant amount
• Added to the leverage

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 11

 The Issue at Hand

What’s the Problem? It’s the Debt Stupid!

Cartoonist: unknown

• Real debt cannot be paid with combination of growth and taxes.

• Going forward elections and policies will matter less as math takes over.
© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 12
 The Issue at Hand

Do We Know How It Will Play Out?

• What we DO know:
• Can authorities continue on current path
indefinitely? NO

• Bond market will restrict ability to

monetize the debt

• What we DON’T know:

How will the Federal Reserve

and US Treasury react when
bond vigilantes return? Cartoonist: Hank Blaustein for Grant‟s Interest Rate Observer

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 13

 The Issue at Hand

Possible Outcomes
• Continued debt monetization:
hyperinflation

• Default and restructure: deflation

• Revalue currency: devaluation

No single outcome is baked in the

cake. It ALL depends on how the US
Treasury and Federal Reserve react
to bond market’s demand for higher
rates

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 14

 So What?

Many Unknowns; What is Known?

In every single prior credit contraction, the

real price of gold, as measured against
ALL asset classes, increases.

The “Financial Crisis of 2008” followed

historical precedent.

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 15

 Proof is in the Pudding

Gold vs. Commodities

Intermediate term
correction

Gold Bull Market

Is this the turn and gold now

ready to outperform all asset
classes?

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 16

 Proof is in the Pudding

Gold vs. Stocks

Intermediate term
correction

Gold Bull Market

Is this the turn and gold now

ready to outperform all asset
classes?

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 17

 Proof is in the Pudding

Gold vs. High Yield Corporate Bonds

Intermediate term
correction
Gold Bull Market

Is this the turn and gold now

ready to outperform all asset
classes?

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 18

 Proof is in the Pudding

Gold vs. Municipal Bonds

Intermediate term
correction
Gold Bull Market

Is this the turn and gold now

ready to outperform all asset
classes?

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 19

 Proof is in the Pudding

Gold vs. Real Estate

Intermediate term
correction
Gold Bull Market

Is this the turn and gold now

ready to outperform all asset
classes?

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 20

 Proof is in the Pudding

Credit Crisis=Real Price of Gold Increases

✓  Gold vs. Commodities
✓  Gold vs. Stocks
✓  Gold vs. High Yield Corporate Bonds
✓  Gold vs. Municipal Bonds
✓  Gold vs. Real Estate

The “Financial Crisis of 2008” followed historical precedent.

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 21

 Game Plan

Valuing Gold

• Normal: Fair Value of Gold = 15-20% of True Money Supply = $950-$1250/oz

• If Market Considers US Government Bankrupt: Fair Value of Gold = 100% of
True Money Supply = $6282 per oz
• True Money Supply is a dynamic figure and could increase by augmenting
the monetary base or decrease via large scale defaults and writedowns

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 22

 Game Plan

Gold is Good, Gold Miners are Better

Miners are better because in a credit
contraction, the real price of gold increases.
Significance of this:
• Operating costs fall, relative to gold, thereby driving
increased earnings, while earnings for most sectors remain
under pressure from falling prices
• Rise in real price increases valuation of deposits and makes
marginal projects economically viable
• Relative relationship cannot be altered by government
policy

Miners are making money when

few others are
© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 23
 Game Plan

Focus on Gold Mining Sector

Right now we like:

• Majors – harder to find financing to build a mine than to find a geological

anomaly

• Marginal producers – margin expansion will result in exponential increase

to the bottom line

• Proven winners working on projects - exceptional results come from

exceptional people

• Project developers that restructured their businesses in 2009 to focus on

gold – shows us management understands the situation

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 24

 Contact Us

Thank You
To discuss this report and what we are doing in the Global Opportunities
Fund, please contact us:

Pratik Sharma, Managing Director

Phone: +561.953.8939x101
Fax: +561.953.8940
E-Mail: pratik@atyantcapital.com

7040 W. Palmetto Park Road, Suite 4-821

Boca Raton, FL 33433

www.atyantcapital.com

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 25

 Cheat Sheet

VK’s Top 10.5 Rules for PM Complex

1. Precious metal stocks are the most volatile asset class in the world because there is a community that thinks gold
is functionally useless and a relic (governments and bankers) and a community that thinks only gold is money and
money is gold (the gold bugs and 3 billion Asian peasants). Both are right.

2. The key to trading gold stocks is the same as successful risk/reward management: knowing the 60/40 end of a
winning proposition, money management and knowing thyself.

3. Regular Technical Analysis will not work in the gold stocks market. In order to survive the market, you must learn
which strength to sell and which weakness to buy.

4. The precious metals complex goes up a set of stairs and comes down an elevator.

5. One of the beauties of the gold market is you do not have to wait long to find out if you are trading the market right
or wrong.

6. Gold stocks always lead the metal. Repeat gold stocks always lead the metal.

7. The gold market has lots of tells. Learn to read the tape and trade around the big picture forecasts.

8. The gold market is a manipulated market. It has been since the beginning of governments. Accept this fact and
learn how to trade the market instead of complaining about it.

9. Silver is more manic depressive than gold.

10. When the gold conferences start filling up with suits and beautiful women start selling.

10.5 The precious metals complex is going a lot higher. What we have seen thus far was Phase I – the Insider’s move.
The upcoming Phase 2 will be the Professional Money move and Phase 3 will be the Retail move. Will you be
able to hang on for the ride? The only way is to trade around the complex’s vicious volatility.

© Atyant Capital, 2010. Confidential & Proprietary 26