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The Malaysian
Malaysian Bond
Bond Market
Market
-- Challenges
Challenges and
and Opportunities
Opportunities in
in
2003
2003 and
and Beyond
Beyond
Securities Commission
16 April 2003
Outline
Moving forward
Overview of Malaysian bond market
RM
RM billion
billion • Malaysia’s bond market grew
300 by 19.4% over the last 6 years
MGS to reach RM272.6 billion as at
250 end-2002
PDS
• PDS grew at the faster rate of
200 Quasi-Govt Bonds 18.9% as compared to 13.3%
for MGS during the same
150 period, underpinned by the
strong demand on the higher-
yield fixed income securities
100
• This amount represents 81%
of GDP in 2002 which makes
50
Malaysia one of the largest
domestic bond markets in
0 this region (ex-Japan)
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Source
Source :: BNM
BNM Annual
Annual Report
Report
3
Regional comparison for domestic bond market
(as a percentage of GDP at end-2000)
4
Financing for private sector
Total
• Total PDS approvals from July
TotalPDS
PDS issues
issues approved
approved by
by the
the SC
SC (July
(July 2000
2000 --December
December2002)
2002)
2000 to end-2002 have
displayed an increasing trend
160
160 45,000
45,000
140
140 40,000
40,000 • Since 1 July 2000, the SC has
35,000
35,000
approved 308 PDS proposals
120
120
30,000
under the PDS and ABS
30,000
issues
of issues
100
100 Guidelines, with a total
million
RM million
25,000
25,000
80
80 approved issuance limit of
20,000
No. of
RM
60
No.
60
15,000
15,000
40
40
• In 2002, the SC approved 171
10,000
10,000
PDS proposals, including 7
20
20 5,000
5,000 ABS proposals, which
00 -- amounted to RM56.0 billion.
Jul
Jul --Dec
Dec 00
00 Jan
Jan--Dec
Dec 01
01 Jan-Dec
Jan-Dec 02
02 34 of these approvals were
Year
Year IPDS issues valued at RM17.6
Conventional
Conventional (No.)
(No.) Islamic
Islamic (No.)
(No.) billion or 31% of the total
Conventional
Conventional (RM
(RM Million)
Million) Islamic
Islamic (RM
(RM Million)
Million)
approved size of PDS issues
6
Approval of PDS issues by the SC (contd.)
Total
• A significant amount of bonds
TotalPDS
PDS issues
issues approved
approved by
by the
the SC
SC (July
(July 2000
2000 --December
December2002)
2002)
approved by the SC is rated A
and above. Out of the total 169
160
160 45,000
45,000
rated PDS proposals approved
140 40,000
40,000
140 by the SC thus far, only 28
35,000
35,000 proposals (mostly debt
120
120
30,000
30,000 restructuring scheme) are
issues
of issues
100
100
million
RM million
25,000
25,000 initially rated at BBB and
80
80
20,000 below
No. of
20,000
RM
60
No.
60
15,000
15,000
40
40 10,000
10,000
• 54% of value of approved PDS
20
20 5,000
5,000 proposals thus far have
00 -- maturity periods of more than
Jul
Jul --Dec
Dec 00
00 Jan
Jan--Dec
Dec 01
01 Jan-Dec
Jan-Dec 02
02 7 years
Year
Year
Conventional
Conventional (No.)
(No.) Islamic
Islamic (No.)
(No.)
Conventional
Conventional (RM
(RM Million)
Million) Islamic
Islamic (RM
(RM Million)
Million)
7
Converging credit spreads
Net Change in Spreads Over Comparable MGS in 2002
• Credit spreads for PDS over the 40
30 5Y 7Y 10Y
MGS continue to converge in 2002,
20
except for AAA-rated PDS
10
Spread (bp)
• The tightening of these credit 0
AAA AA A BBB
spreads reflects gradual shift by -10
-40
• However, on an overall basis, the
pace of tightening in credit spreads
for PDS has decelerated as
compared to those recorded in the
last few years
• A small tightening of credit spreads
over US Treasury is also observed
in first quarter of 2003 for
Malaysian sovereign bonds that are
currently rated BBB+/Baa2
8
Outline
Moving forward
SC’s developmental framework for domestic
bond market
• Introducing efficient and
Hi facilitative issuance process
• Establishing reliable and efficient
benchmark yield curve
Developer • Widening the issuers and
investors base
SC involvement
Catalyst
Facilitator
Low Market involvement Hi
10
Outline
Moving forward
Regulatory efforts undertaken to develop
the bond market
13
Key Changes to PDS and ABS Guidelines
15
Outline
Moving forward
Future development in the bond market and
regulatory challenges
• The SC is seeing greater product innovation in
bond market to meet new demands of issuers and
investors:
Structured products
9 where existing bonds and/or equity instruments are
repackaged as new investment product
ABS
9 where non-typical structure e.g. synthetic securitisation
and wholesale securitisation may be introduced
Islamic securities
9 where principles such as ijarah and mudharabah may
be employed
18
Thank you