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Study Asserts That Earth is Not The First Intelligent Civilization In The Universe
IN BR IEF
Two scientists from the University of Rochester and the University of Washington have developed an archaeological form to the
famous Drake equation, which will allow us to determine how many technological civilizations have formed in the history of the
universe. And it seems there may be a number of them.
Infographic of the Drake equation and its new Archaeological form addendum. Credit: University of Rochester
http://futurism.com/proof-aliens-definitely/
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8/5/2016
Study Asserts That Earth is Not The First Intelligent Civilization In The Universe
That leaves the second and third termsthe probability for advanced life to evolve, and the longevity of technological civilizationsbut
Frank and his colleague, Woodruff Sullivan of the University of Washington, simply altered the math a little. They eliminated the second
term by calculating the odds against humankind being the only advanced civilization in the universe; and they dismissed the third by
formulating a cosmic archaeological questionhow often does intelligent life evolve throughout cosmic history?
Their new equation, which they call the Archaeological form of the Drake equation, looks like thisN ast x fbt.
Nast, the number of habitable planets, is defined asN ast = N* x fp x n p, where N* is the total number of stars, fpis the fraction that form
planets, and n pis the average of those planets circling in the habitable zones of their parent stars (http://futurism.com/solar-systemthree-earths-astronomers-find-trio-potentially-habitable-worlds/). The second term of the Archaeological form equation, fbt, is defined as
the likelihood of an advanced technological civilization arising on one of these habitable planets.
The results suggest that humankind is only likely to be unique if the odds of another civilization developing on a habitable world are less
than one in 1022.
Thats a verysome might say improbablysmall number.
To me, this implies that other intelligent, technology producing species very likely have evolved before us, says Frank.Think of it this
way: before our result youd be considered a pessimist if you imagined the probability of evolving a civilization on a habitable planet were,
say, one in a trillion. But even that guess, one chance in a trillion, implies that what has happened here on Earth with humanity has in fact
happened about 10 billion other times over cosmic history!
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