Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
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The United
Juergen
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States and the Republic of Korea
Juergen Kleiner
As South Korea became economically and militarily stronger and developed democratic institutions, the country was in a position to assume
more responsibilities in its partnership with the United States. The necessary changes could be achieved only with difficulties. The efforts of the
US administration to stop the nuclear proliferation by North Korea and
South Koreas attempts to develop a policy of engagement towards the
DPRK resulted in friction between the allies. The dissonance was amplified by efforts of the Rho Moo Hyun government to pursue a foreign policy
that was less dependent upon the United States. The change of atmosphere was underlined by anti-American outbursts in South Korea. A
new effort to strengthen the partnership is, however, reasonable. For
South Korea the United States is still the indispensable ally as long as an
attack by North Korea that probably has nuclear weapons cannot be ruled
out. For the United States this alliance contributes to maintain Americas
paramount influence in East Asia. If both countries agree with this rationale they should take steps to accept basic assumptions and policies of the
other side. To find a common position towards the nuclear efforts of North
Korea is crucial. Even if both sides try to harmonize their policies, success
is not guaranteed. Korean nationalism and American dynamics combined
with occasional high-handedness are difficult obstacles.
CLOSENESS
The United States and the Republic of Korea fought a war side by side,
even before formally concluding a military alliance. Both countries were
the main contributors to the United Nations Command during the Korean
War (195053) and suffered the heaviest losses. Not until the 1st of
October 1953, after the war had come to an end, did the two countries
agree on a Mutual Defense Treaty that has been the basis of South
Koreas defense against threats from North Korea ever since.1 The United
States assisted in building up the South Korean forces and left US troops
stationed in Korea. The Republic of Korea acted in the spirit of the
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relations moving. He had his summit with Chairman Kim Jong Il in June
2000 and was expecting the return visit of the North Korean leader. The
Nobel Peace Price winner was in for a surprise. In a press conference
following the summit with the Korean president on 7 March 2001,
President George W. Bush made various remarks about North Korea.16
He said that he was skeptic about the North Korean leader and about the
reliability of North Korea, keeping all terms of all agreements. He
insisted on complete verification of agreements. He further put off a
dialogue with North Korea to the future. Whatever his intentions may
have been, Bushs attitude caused a setback for the sunshine policy of
Kim Dae Jung.
The South Korean president should not have been too surprised by the
subdued reception that he received in Washington. Only a week before his
trip to the United States, he had publicly agreed with Russian President
Putin that the 1972 Antiballistic Missile Treaty was a cornerstone of
strategic stability.17 This was exactly the treaty that President Bush
wanted to scrap in order build a national missile defense system (NMD)
for which North Koreas missiles served as justification. The South
Korean president may have had good reasons to oppose the stationing of
Theater Missile Defense (TMD) systems on Korean soil. By indirectly
expressing his opposition he had, however, publicly taken sides against an
important strategic plan of his ally that was aimed at protecting the US
territory against missile attacks.
The sunshine policy was not only intended to warm the North Koreans
but included a cautious, still minor effort of breaking away from the
American patronage. The Joint Declaration of 15 June 2000 stated that
the North and the South agreed to solve the question of reunification
independently by the concerted efforts of the Korean nation responsible
for it.18 There were old North Korean efforts behind that formula.
The South could, however, easily agree to the formula: Though other
countries, like the United States, would have to be involved in the process,
unification wasin the view of both Koreasbasically a national task.
It was the policy towards North Korea during the second nuclear crisis
that caused a rift between the Republic of Korea and the United States.19
The South Korean government supported the demand that North Korea
should abandon its nuclear programs. It preferred, however, an approach
that left the aims of the sunshine policy intact. President Roh Moo Hyun,
like his predecessor, insisted on a peace-first, unification-later
approach.20 South Korea excluded any military solution since a war on the
peninsula would bring destruction and suffering also to the South. Nor did
the South Korean government support the collapse of North Korea as
President Roh Moo Hyun has repeatedly stated.21 The South Korean
government was afraid that a sudden unification would be too expensive
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and socially too demanding.22 The Roh government also hesitated about
bringing the North Korean nuclear issue before the UN Security Council.
South Korea was even not willing to include specific military measures
into a contingency plan of how to deal with a possible internal turmoil in
North Korea.23 The South Korean government was also willing to meet
North Korean demands with a view to keeping the channel of communication open. In the summer of 2005 the South Korean government offered
to provide 2 million kilowatts of electricity annually to the North in order
to encourage the DPRK to end its boycott of the six-party talks.24 An
interesting reversal can be observed. While the Kim Young Sam
government had complained that the US administration was too soft on
North Korea, the present South Korean government feels that the administration is too hawkish.25 Both cases have, however, common ground.
They show a significant difference in the assessment of and approach
toward the DPRK by the two allies. Since the sunshine policy has gained
broad support in South Korea, the gap has become wider. While South
Korea tries first of all to promote reconciliation with North Korea and is
no longer too afraid of a North Korean attack, the United States considers
the North Korean leadership a tyrannical regime that contributes dangerously to the proliferation of nuclear weapons. The US administration
discards up-front incentives and keeps the option of economic sanctions
open, also those to be imposed by the UN Security Council.
In view of the South Korean sensitivities it would have been appropriate for the Bush administration to consider the ties with the Republic of
Korea a high maintenance relationship.26 This did not happen.
Secretary Rumsfelds remark during a news briefing on 23 December
2002 disregarded Korean concerns. At a moment when the United States
was increasing military pressure on Iraq, the Secretary of Defense was
asked whether the US was capable of pursuing the war against terror,
Iraq, and North Korea at the same time. He answered in the affirmative:
We are capable of fighting two major regional conflicts.27 It made
Seoul also nervous that the administration did not hide its preference for a
collapse of the DPRK.
South Korea tried to keep the bilateral talks and negotiation with the
DPRK going. The South Korean government answered the North Korean
roller-coaster policy of refusal and giving in with a policy of appeasement
and prior concessions. Even after the DPRK on 10 February 2005, for the
first time, did not only speak of its nuclear deterrent but also of having
manufactured nukes, the South Korean government tried to downplay
the North Korean statement.28 Unification Minister Chung Dong Young
said on 14 February 2005 that it was too early to claim North Korea as a
nuclear state and that there was no reason to immediately change our
policies towards North Korea.29 In April 2005, the South Korean
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described aims but not a roadmap. Therefore, it was not astonishing that
the talks quickly lost momentum again.
South Korea would have preferred that the Agreed Framework be
maintained and renegotiated.41 This was an excellent idea. At the beginning of the crisis the United States should have focused on keeping the
Agreed Framework alive. It was bad enough that a new nuclear issue had
appeared, namely whether North Korea had a program to enrich uranium.
Therefore, efforts should have been concentrated on keeping the plutonium
issue frozen. This could only be achieved if the remnants of the Agreed
Framework were maintained and thus North Koreas access to the plutonium contained in the 8000 spent fuel rods was blocked. The administration
made only weak efforts to save the remnants of the Agreed Framework.
The suspension of the oil deliveries to North Korea in November 2002
implied that the administration treated the Agreed Framework as
scrapped. In January 2000, Condoleezza Rice had characterized the
Agreed Framework as an attempt to bribe North Korea into forsaking
nuclear weapons.42 The Agreed Framework had, however, succeeded in
freezing North Koreas plutonium program. It would have been wise, as
South Korea proposed, to maintain that freeze. The Perry Report had
suggested exactly the same: Unfreezing Yongbyon is North Koreas
quickest and surest path to acquisition of nuclear weapons. The Agreed
Framework, therefore, should be preserved and implemented by the
United States and its allies.43 The Bush administration, however, discarded the Agreed Framework with the result that efforts to contain North
Koreas plutonium program had to be started from scratch.
President Roh Moo Hyun had demanded a leading role for his country
in resolving the nuclear crisis. He admitted, however, that the United
Stated had the final key to the six-party talks.44 Indeed, the views of the
US administration regularly prevailed. The differences between the two
allies could not be bridged. Neither side hid its disappointment. President
Rho Moo Hyun even showed understanding for the claim by the North
Koreans that nuclear weapons and missiles were a means of safeguarding
their security.45 The differences with the United States resulted in a sort of
backlash in South Korea. President Roh Moo Hyun had envisaged a foreign policy that was not completely dependent on the United States. He
said that he would try to enhance relations to a more balanced level
based on reciprocity.46 Though his government could not carry through
its ideas on how the talks with North Korea should proceed, President
Roh went so far as to demand that the United States-South Korea relations
should stand on an independent and equal footing.47 President Rohs
policy towards the United States was later called a new independent
policy.48 Immediate cause was a bureaucratic infighting between officials from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade who favored the
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traditional cooperation with the United States and had ridiculed the
presidents policy on the one side, and the presidents staff on the other
side. The results of the National Assembly elections of 15 April 2004 that
gave the presidents Uri Party a strong majority, confirmed public support
for a progressive policy. Since then the South Korean government has
been playing with varying formulas. Foreign Minister Ban Ki Moon used
the formula of a horizontal relationship.49 President Rho demanded a
balancing role for his country in Northeast Asia.50 Later on, the South
Korean government made it clear that an independent policy includes
wartime operational control over its forces. In December 2005 the two
allies agreed to establish a task force to discuss the transfer of wartime
command of the Korean forces from the United States to the Republic of
Korea.51 The problem is that as far as questions of security are concerned,
South Korea still has to rely on the United States. This became once again
obvious when dramatic changes in the military set-up were discussed.
In June 2004 the administration informed the South Korean government
of its plan to reduce the number of US troops in Korea by a third (i.e.,
12,500 troops) calling this realignment a result of the Global Defense
Posture Review.52 Not much was left for the South Korean government
but to ask for a review of this decision or at least a delay. The first US
troops leaving Korea were the 2nd Brigade of the 2nd Infantry Division
which moved to Iraq in the summer of 2004, a move that had been
announced already in May 2004.53 After long discussions within The
Future of the Alliance (FOTA) framework, the allies reached agreement
in 2004 about the relocation of US troops in Korea. US troops now
stationed in Seoul and the 2nd Infantry Division, now stationed north of
Seoul, will move to bases south of the Han River.54 Accordingly a
number of US military bases were closed.55 Various missions will be
transferred to South Korean forces. In the Joint Security Area in the
Demilitarized Zone, for example, South Korean forces took over patrol
duties.56 The really interesting move is that of the 2nd US Division from
positions close to the DMZ to areas south of the Han River. When this
move is completed, the US forces in Korea will be outside the artillery
range of North Korean forces. They will not automatically get involved in
an attack by North Korea. Thus, they will no longer serve as trip wire. It is
surprising that the two allies agreed on such a fundamental change.
Apparently both allies felt that the likelihood of a North Korean attack is
low and/or that they could cope with it with the new military setup. The
relocation of the 8th Army to areas south of the Han River can also be
justified by the argument that the administration wanted to have its forces
stationed in safer positions in case it decides for the military option.57
The South Korean government reacted by talking about advancing its
self-defense schedule. Indeed, South Korea needs better capabilities for
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FRICTIONS
The recent differences between the South Korean and the American governments were accompanied by anti-American outbursts in South Korea.
The disqualification of a South Korean skater in favor of an American
skater during the Salt Lake City Winter Olympic Games in February 2002
caused significant anti-American sentiments.60 The fiercest outburst was
triggered by the accidental killing of two schoolgirls in June 2002 by a US
Army tank during an exercise near Uijongbu.61 Other actions were
directed against American policies, some showed outright hostility, the
bounders being fluid. Vigils against a possible American attack on North
Korea or against the presence of US troops in Korea were held.62 American
flags were burnt. An Oh! NoUSA festival as well as a comic audio
clip featuring a simulated telephone conversation between Kim Dae Jung
and George W. Bush amused many Koreans. A novel by Kim Jin Myung
The Third Scenario, depicting the US as wanting to suppress Koreans,
became very popular. Anti-American activities and feelings were of
changing strength, and Pro-American rallies were held to counter the antiAmerican demonstrations. Cardinal Stephen Kim, well known for his
integrity, expressed concern about the anti-American and pro-North
Korean sentiments of South Koreas youth.63
Various elements of this anti-Americanism are new. As Cardinal Kim has
correctly remarked, anti-Americanism is strong among the youth. According
to a Pew Global Attitude Survey of May 2003, 71% of the 1829 years olds
had an unfavorable opinion of the United States, while a year earlier the
percentage stood at 57%.64 Of the South Koreans who held unfavorable
views of the US, 72% expressed general hostility and not just disagreement with the policies of the Bush administration. One has to add that
among the younger South Koreans the better educated tend to have particularly unfavorable views of the United States.65 Among the Koreans of
50 years and older favorable opinions about the United States prevailed:
In May 2003 the percentage stood at 63%. Thus there is a generation gap
among Koreans with regard to their attitude towards the United States.66
Those who remember the great support of the United States since the
founding of the Republic of Korea, and particularly during the Korean
War and thereafter in developing their country, retain a positive memory
of their ally. The younger generation that has no personal recollection of
that period is critical of the United States. Their views are strengthened by
a changed threat perception. They have little tendency to fear an attack by
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North Korea.67 The negative attitude by South Koreans toward the United
States was confirmed by a public opinion survey done in January 2005
according to which 395 of the respondents named the US as the country
most threatening to South Korea and 33% North Korea.68 Probably it was
the administrations policy of preemption, converted into prevention in
Iraq, which has considerably harmed American prestige among South
Koreans. They suspect that a similar US policy towards North Korea
could result in a catastrophe on the peninsula.
Under the influence of the sunshine policy another gap among South
Koreans has developed that is more of an ideological character, namely
one between liberals and conservatives.69 This gap only partly overlaps
the generation gap. The confrontation between these two groups is to a
certain extent reflected in the confrontation between the Uri Party and the
Grand National Party. Liberals ( jinbo) consider North Koreans first of all
as cousins in distress who deserve support.70 The South Korea Media
Rating Board, appointed by the President, banned US made video games
that depicted the North Koreans as bad guys since it is no longer fashionable to consider the North Koreans enemies.71 Liberals try to minimize
the military threat from the North and, consequently, have a critical, often
negative view of US forces in South Korea. What they, however, fail to
notice is the fact that they have partly become the victims of clever North
Korean nationalist propaganda. It was particularly worrisome that in the fall
of 2003 38% of respondents thought President Bush was more threatening
to peace in Korea compared to 42,1% for Kim Jong Il.72 Conservatives
(bosu) on the other hand consider the DPRK as still dangerous, insist on a
more balanced relationship with the North Koreans, and plead for a
continuation of strong ties with the United States.
Some voices in the United States showed consternation with regard to
the anti-American sentiments in South Korea. During the Congressional
Hearing with Assistant Secretary Kelly on 13 February 2003, various
representatives showed disappointment about the lack of appreciation of
the decades of American assistance.73 A surveynot a scientific poll
by FOX Television done in mid 2004 showed that 825 persons of those
Americans who took part agreed that the withdrawal of one-third of US
forces from South Korea was a good idea.74 The American disappointment is understandable. Gratitude is, however, not a political category.
One has, furthermore, to note that the Bush administrations lack of
respect for Korean sensitivities contributed to the negative feelings
among Koreans towards the United States. A case in point is the axis of
evil statement by President Bush. The South Koreans reacted negatively
regarding it as inappropriate.75
The way in which the administration handled the nuclear crisis created
further distrust in South Korea. According to the Pew Survey mentioned
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above 76% of the South Koreans believed in May 2003 that the United
States does not take into account South Koreans interests when making
international policy decisions. The administration should have treated the
ally with sensitivity. Instead it did not pay much attention to the intentions
and aspirations of the South Koreans.
ANOTHER TRY?
Both governments have repeatedly assured that the relationship is in great
shape. The fact, however, is that both countries have contributed to making the relationship a fragile one. Countries can of course define their
interests as they see fit. If both sides come to the conclusion that it is in
their interest to preserve the alliance, they must energetically try to reactivate and deepen the relationship.76 Since the urgency of the next step
regularly defies efforts for a long-term strategy that has to take many
variables into account, the allies considerations will probably focus on
current problems.77 The unification tunnel cannot been seen yet.78 Is
strengthening of the alliance in the interest of both allies?
In official publications by the South Korean government the importance of the alliance with the United States is sometimes played down.
The general remarks on the Blue House website, for example, do not
mention the alliance at all.79 If the South Korean government were to
reconsider the situation, it would likely come to recognize that good relations with its only ally are crucial. The United States remains the decisive
partner for manifold exchanges, for trade, for technology, for investment,
and for higher education. It is still the indispensable ally as long as an
attack by the North cannot be ruled out definitely. As has rightly been
pointed out, the intelligence capability of US forces in Korea alone is
crucial to keep North Korea in check.80 If the DPRK has indeed nuclear
weapons, South Korea has to rely on the nuclear shield provided by the
United States. It is still unknown whether North Korea has nuclear weapons,
but Siegfried Hecker, one of the best experts who has visited North
Korean nuclear installations twice, stated recently that one has to assume
that the DPRK has nuclear bombs.81 Perhaps South Korea might consider
producing its own nuclear arsenal and thus become independent from
American protection.82 In view of the many complications involved, this
is, however, a remote option.
Since it is, therefore, necessary to maintain the alliance with the United
States the South Korean government should actively try to improve the
climate for a strong cooperation. It should opt for a more mature, steady
course of its foreign policy. The South Korean government should accept
the fact that a split between its own policies and those of the US administration towards the DPRK enlarges the options for Kim Jong Il. Realpolitik,
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not dreams is in demand. Not the United States but the DPRK stands in
the way of reunification. The South Korean government should realize
that its present policy which gives absolute priority to an engagement of
North Korea means that a leader remains in power who brutally suppresses
his people. The South Korean government should realize that in spite of all
efforts and many prior concessions, the DPRK did not change internally,
that no real reduction of tensions on the peninsula was achieved, and that
South-North relations do not yet follow any steady trend. Proliferation
has to be taken seriously. Cooperation with the United States should
return as the leitmotiv for the South Korean foreign policy. South Korea
has made a move to act once again in the spirit of the Mutual Defense
Treaty by sending troops to Iraq in the spring of 2003. The mission of
these forces was twice extended, but in December 2005 with the proviso
that 1,000 of the 3,200 military personnel will be withdrawn.83 In addition, South Koreas top politicians should publicly speak out for such a
policy and not just confide their good ideas to government websites.84
Public opinion should be won for continuing close ties with the United
States. The South Korean government should take the lead and try to
oppose erroneous public assumptions about the relationship with the
United States. It has already defended the latest revision of the Status of
Forces Agreement.85 It will have to get over possible local opposition
against the relocation of US forces to the Osan-Pyontaek area. The South
Korean government should also fight the symptoms of anti-Americanism.
This should not be too difficult. As Jinwung Kim has shown, South Koreans
have ambivalent views of the US military presence. Polls show that
many South Koreans are skeptical of the American military presence in
their country but still feel a need for it.86 The ambivalence of the South
Korean attitude towards the United States became also obvious when the
Rho Moo Hyun government, though it was looking for a self-reliant
defense, asked the administration not to withdraw military forces from the
peninsula.87 Thus it demonstrated the same reflex that all preceding South
Korean governments had shown when a withdrawal of US troops was
threatening. This situation is an excellent starting point for reviving closer
ties with the United States.
For the United States the alliance does not have the same importance as
for the South Korean partner. It has even been suggested that South Korea
has little security relevance for the United States and that a war on the
peninsula would be irrelevant to the US.88 The South, this argument continues, could defend itself alone. Therefore, the subsidies for South Korea,
including its military free-ride, should be ended, the American military
withdrawn from the peninsula, and the Mutual Defense Treaty cancelled.
The estimates of the costs for raising and maintaining US units in
South Korea and their reinforcements vary between $15 and $30 billion
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our world is the expansion of freedom in all the world.94 He added that the
United States would support the growth of democratic movements with
the ultimate goal of ending tyranny in our world. This vision is noble, but
it is unclear what actions are envisaged. It comes to mind that moral values
have often been used to justify American interventions. Translated to the
situation on the Korean peninsula it is unrealistic to assume that foreigners
could undertake the task of fundamentally changing the relationship
between the two Koreas. Only the Korean people can decide about the
track that it wishes to follow. The general idea is clearly expressed in
the Friendly Relations Resolution of the UN General Assembly.95 The
resolution states that all peoples have the right freely to determine,
without external interference, their political status and to pursue their
economic, social and cultural development. In the eyes of the Koreans
the relationship between South and North is an issue of self-determination.
Korea, they feel belongs to the Koreans, and it is not up to the United
States government to decide Koreas fate. The United States, however,
is used to being deeply involved in Koreas fate. The American role in
the Korean War, that had basically started as a civil war, and the subsequent support for South Korea had expanded American involvement.
The United States can reassert its influence on the peninsula only if it
respects the Koreans right to self-determination. Rhetoric is not good
enough. It will be an upward battle to regain the trust of a majority of
South Koreans. The doubts of American allies worldwide about the
course of the administrations foreign policy and its reasoning have
spread to the peninsula.
This means in concrete terms that the administration should return its
focus on Korea and be willing to discuss basic South Korean assumptions
for the policy towards North Korea. Perhaps the strategic consultations on
a ministerial level that got started in January 2006 provide a basis for
meaningful discussions.96 The US government should abandon the option
of working for a collapse of the North, not because the North has suddenly changed its ugly face, but because the South Koreans are strictly
against such a turn of events. The responsibility assumed by the United
States and the DPRK in the Joint Statement of 19 September 2005 to
respect each others sovereignty should be translated into reality immediately. The new attitude should be reflected in the way both sides treat
and talk publicly about each other. The US government should accept
South Korean suggestions to show more flexibility. It is difficult to see
that any meaningful progress can be reached without demonstrating to the
North Koreans that their security is not in danger.
The efforts by the governments should be supported by track two
diplomacy.97 Citizens and private organizations from South Korea and the
United States should get together and focus on ways to improve the ties
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between their countries. As private persons they are not bound by instructions and have more leeway in coming to results. They should first of all
discuss a reasonable approach to solving the nuclear problems posed by
the DPRK.
PERSPECTIVES
To maintain a strengthened bilateral alliance is also in the long-term
interest of both allies. A united Korea will be preoccupied with the
problems arising from the task of unifying the country. During transition, a period of uncertainty, it will appreciate a continuation of US
backing and support. To have a united Korea as an ally is in the strategic
interest of the United States, less in the name of military redundancy but
more with a view to strengthening Americas position as a pacific
power. Forward-deployed US forces on the Korean peninsula are a clear
symbol of power projection.
It would be a good idea to transform the two separate alliances of the
United States with Korea and Japan into a trilateral partnership. With a
view to the track record of KoreanJapanese relations it seems, however,
unlikely that the historical enmity of Korea against Japan can be surmounted. Whether it will be attractive for Seoul to become a party to a
loose coalition of allies of the United States in Asia remains to be seen.
During transition a united Korea will be afraid of being dragged into any
conflict. Neither will counter-terrorism be a convincing argument to draw
Korea into a coalition of willing allies.98 The Republic of Korea has
suffered from terrorism, namely state terrorism by North Korea, and
coped with it. This kind of terrorism will be gone after reunification. The
terrorism of other groups, particularly of the dangerous type that are
based on common ethnicity, history, and religious fervor, has so far not
been directed against Korea.
Thus the two allies might focus on transforming their bilateral military
cooperation. These talks will be difficult enough since they will have to
deal with sensitive issues, off-peninsula missions of US forces stationed
in Korea, wartime operational control by the South over its own forces,
the future of the Combined Forces Command, and perhaps even offpeninsula missions of Korean forces.
Even if both sides, the Republic of Korea and the United States of
America, are willing to try a new learning curve, success is not guaranteed. Korean nationalism and the dynamism of the present American
foreign policy with its occasional traces of overestimating the possible are
obstacles that are hard to overcome.
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NOTES
1. For details see Chapter 18 South Koreas Great Partner in Juergen Kleiner,
Korea. A Century of Change, Singapore 2001, pp. 307322.
2. The term was used for the original United StatesPakistan relationship.
3. Department of State, Background Notes: South Korea (October 2004), on the
Web site of the State Department; Combined Forces Command, on the Web
site of US Forces Korea.
4. In 2002 South Korea used 2.8% of its GNP for defense, see the Report on Allied
Contributions to the Common Defense, A Report to United States Congress by
the Secretary of Defense, July 2003, Part I-3, II-5 and II-19 (on the Department
of Defense Web site).
5. Arms Control Association, The Missile Technology Control Regime at a
Glance, September 2004 (at www.armscontrol.org/factsheet/mtcr.asp).
6. Jin Young Chung, Cost Sharing for USFK in Transition: Whither the USROK Alliance? in Donald W. Boose, Jr., Balbina Y. Hwang, Patrick Morgan,
Andrew Scobell, Recalibrating The US-Republic of Korea Alliance, May 2003,
pp. 4445.
7. See the Report, mentioned in footnote 5.
8. Web site of US Forces in Korea: US-ROK SOFA and Related Agreements.
9. Chuck Downs, Over the Line. North Koreas Negotiating Strategy, Washington
1999, pp. 130131.
10. Michael J. Mazarr, North Korea and the Bomb, New York 1995, pp. 109112
and 169171; Leon V. Sigal, Disarming Strangers, Nuclear Diplomacy with North
Korea, Princeton 1998, pp. 8689 and 193.
11. Peace and Cooperation, White Paper on Korean Unification 1996, Ministry of
National Unification, Republic of Korea, Seoul 1996, p. 60, similarly p. 122.
12. Ibid. p. 123.
13. Ryan J. Barilleaux, Andrew Ilsu Kim, Clinton, Korea, and Presidential Diplomacy, World Affairs, Summer 1999, Vol. 162, Iss. 1, p. 29.
14. Quoted by Mazarr p. 176, and footnote 93.
15. Hong Nack Kim, Foreign Relations under the Kim Dae-Jung Government, in
Kongdan Oh, Korea Briefing 19971999, pp. 148155; Edward A. Olsen, US
Policy Toward the Inter-Korean Dialogue, in Kongdan Oh and Ralph C.
Hassig, Korea Briefing 20002001, pp. 149179.
16. Remarks by President Bush and President Kim Dae Jung of South Korea,
7 March 2001 (on the White House Web site).
17. New York Times, 28 February 2001.
18. Text in Peoples Korea, 15 June 2000.
19. Juergen Kleiner, The Bush Administration and the Nuclear Challenges by
North Korea, Diplomacy and Statecraft, Vol. 16 (June 2005), pp. 203226.
20. Speech on 31 October 2002 (on the Chongwadae Web site).
21. See for example his statements on 31 October 2002 (on the Chongwadae Web
site) and on 13 April 2005 (Korea Herald, 14 April 2005).
22. With regard to the costs see Marcus Noland, Avoiding the Apocalypse. The Future
of the Two Koreas, Washington 2000, p. 285 et seq.
233
234
55.
56.
57.
58.
59.
60.
61.
62.
63.
64.
65.
66.
67.
68.
69.
70.
71.
72.
73.
74.
75.
76.
Juergen Kleiner
Security Consultative Meeting, 25 October 2004 (Department of State
Washington File EPF 109, on the Departments Web site).
Korea Herald, 26 December 2005.
Korea Herald, 1 November 2004.
Ted Galen Carpenter and Doug Bandow, The Korean Conundrum. Americas
Troubled Relations with North and South Korea, New York 2004, p. 93.
Kang Choi, Restructuring the Alliance for Regional and Global Challenges,
(http://purl.access.gpo.gov/GPO/LPS53491).
See also Lee Sang Hyun, Past, Present, and Future of the Korea-US Alliance,
East Asia Review, Vol. 15, No.2 (Summer 2003), pp. 8283.
Eric V. Larson, Norman D. Levin with Seonhae Baik, Bogdan Savych, Ambivalent Allies? A Study of South Korean Attitudes Toward the United States,
RAND Corporation March 2004, p. 75, Table 4.3.
Donald Kirk, US and South Korea start a new dance, The World and I, May
2003, Vol. 18, Issue. 5, p. 62.
For the examples mentioned in the text see New York Times, 13 December 2002,
5 January and 31 March 2003; Korea Times, 30 April 2002; for the difficulties
concerning a definition of anti-Americanism see Balbina Y. Hwang, AntiAmericanism in Korea: Implications for the Future of the US-ROK Alliance,
East Asia 20, No. 2, Summer 2003, p.60.
Korea Herald, 3 February 2004.
For these and the following figures see Pew Research Center for the Peoples and
the Press: International Public Concern about North Korea, but Growing antiAmericanism in South Korea (on the PEW Web site); see also the poll conducted
by Seoul National University in January 2003 (Korea Herald, 11 April 2003).
Larson and Levin, p. 75, Table 4.7, and pp. 9599.
See also the Chungang Ilbo poll of 13 January 2003, quoted by Jinwung Kim,
Ambivalent Allies: Recent South Korean Perceptions of the United States
Forces Korea (USFK), Asian Affairs, Washington, Winter 2004, Vol. 30, Iss. 4,
p. 268; Stephen W Linton, US policy on Korean peninsula needs an overhaul,
Korea Herald, 23 July 2004.
Balbina Y. Hwang, loc. cit. p. 68.
Washington Post, 12 May 2005.
Taewoo Kim, Perceptions of North Korea and Polarization of ROK Society,
in Boose and others, loc. cit., pp. 139159.
Similarly Donald P. Gregg, The United States and South Korea: An Alliance
Adrift, in Michael H. Armacost and Daniel I. Okimoto, The Future of Americas Alliances in Northeast Asia, Stanford, 2004, p. 148.
New York Times, 7 December 2005.
Lee Chung Min, p. 212.
US Congress Hearing with Jim Kelly, 13 February 2003 (on the Web site of the
Federal News Service, 13 February 2003).
Korea Herald, 10 June 2004.
Katrin A. Fraser, Reflections on Anti-American Sentiment in Korea, The
Korea Society Quarterly, Spring 2002, pp. 1516 with footnote 10.
Different C. S. Eliot Kang, Restructuring the US-South Korea alliance to deal
with the second Korean nuclear crisis, Australian Journal of International
77.
78.
79.
80.
81.
82.
83.
84.
85.
86.
87.
88.
89.
90.
91.
92.
93.
94.
95.
96.
97.
98.
235
Affairs, Vol. 57, No.2 (July 2003), pp. 309324, who recommends more distance
in the alliance.
For an overview over the discussions of the future of the alliance see Charles M.
Perry, Jacquelyn K. Davis, James L. Schoff, Toshi Yoshihara, Alliance Diversification and the Future of the U.S.-Korean Security Alliance, 2004, particularly pp.
3651. The authors focus on policies for the post-North Korea period.
For the term unification tunnel see Lee Chung Min, Domestic Politics and
the Changing Contours of the ROK-US Alliance: The End of the Status Quo,
in Armacost and Okimoto, p. 216 footnote 14.
http://english.president.go.kr/warp/en/news/goals.php (accessed on 4 January
2006).
Lee Sang Hyun, Past, Present, and Future of the Korea-US Alliance, East
Asian Review, Vol. 15, No. 2, Summer 2003. p. 82.
Washington Post, 9 November 2005.
An option favored by and Bandow loc. cit pp. 84100.
KOIS: Activities of Korean Troops in Iraq, on the KOIS Web site, July 2004;
JoongAng Daily, 27 December 2004; Washington Post, 31 December 2004;
Washington Post, 30 December 2005.
See the chapter ROK-US Relations on Korea.net that suggests a mature
KoreanAmerican relationship.
Facts and Current Developments of Korea-US Status of Forces Agreement,
Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade, 11 April 2002 (on Korea.net).
Jinwung Kim loc. cit. in footnote 54; Jinwung Kim, From American gentlemen to Americans: Changing Perceptions of the United States in South Korea
in Recent Years, Korea Journal, 41 Issue 4, Winter 2001, p. 179; see also Victor
D. Cha, America and South Korea: The ambivalent alliance? Current History,
September 2003, Vol.102, Issue 665, p. 279; Larson, pp. 5159.
Korea Herald, 7 March 2003.
This idea has been advanced Carpenter and Bandow from the Cato Institute
since many years, recently in the book quoted in footnote 57, passim, particularly chapters 4 and 5.
Carpenter and Bandow p. 118; Don Oberdorfer, The Two Koreas, 1997, p. 311.
The National Security Strategy of the United States of America, September,
p. 26 (on the White House Web site).
Ibid. p. 29.
C. Rice, quoted by The Korea Herald, 20 August 2004.
President Addresses the Nation in Prime Time Press Conference (on the White
House Web site).
New York Times, 21 January 2005.
A/Res.2025 (XXV) of 24 October 1970.
Korea Herald, 11 and 21 January 2006.
For example by Lee Sang Hyun (mentioned in footnote 58), p. 85.
Different Charles M. Perry a. o. p. 59 et seq.