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J O U R NA L O F
SOCIAL WELFARE
DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-2397.2009.00642.x
Int J Soc Welfare 2010: 19: 104114
ISSN 1369-6866
Viewpoints
The Argentine welfare state:
enduring and resisting change
ijsw_642
Introduction
The fall of the Keynesian paradigm and its replacement
by (neo)liberalism has been the new Great Transformation, in Karl Polanyis (1957) terms, of the close of
the second millennium. The broad intervention of the
state in the economy and full employment as the central
institutions of Keynesianism were replaced by privatisation and deregulation of vast sectors of the economy,
the reappearance of mass unemployment and the rise of
employment insecurity.
This phenomenon suggests that the complex structure of redistributive public policies that make up the
welfare state, intimately connected with the rise and
development of Keynesianism, suffered a significant
process of dismantling, or at the very least retrenchment. In an earlier article Isuani (1991) distinguished
between the concepts of welfare state and Keynesian
state and laid out the reasons for predicting that the first
would survive while the second would be dismantled.
Fifteen years later, we are in a better position to
evaluate that affirmation.1
Argentina is one of the Latin American societies in
which the Keynesian model became most developed.
1
104
104..114
105
Isuani
Table 1. Total public expenditure 19802004 (5-year mean as a percentage of GDP).
Objective/function
198084
198589
199094
199599
200004
Total spending
I. State function
General administration
Courts
Defense and security
II. Public social spending
Education, science, and culture
Health
Potable water and sewage system
Housing and urban development
Development and social assistance
Social security system
Employment
Other urban services
III. Spending on economic services
Primary production
Energy and fuel
Industry
Services
Other expenditure
IV. Public debt service
28.19
4.62
1.60
0.28
2.74
12.93
2.73
3.36
0.18
0.59
0.73
4.33
0.51
0.52
6.73
0.35
2.81
0.42
2.38
0.75
3.91
32.13
4.98
2.22
0.43
2.33
16.83
3.57
3.88
0.16
0.66
1.04
6.30
0.50
0.71
7.46
0.39
2.55
0.31
2.37
1.85
2.86
31.27
5.85
3.01
0.64
2.20
19.85
3.84
4.51
0.15
0.55
0.99
8.18
0.69
0.95
3.64
0.27
1.32
0.14
1.07
0.83
1.93
31.73
6.08
3.13
0.79
2.16
20.58
4.42
4.77
0.16
0.45
1.18
7.84
0.91
0.85
2.38
0.31
0.43
0.08
1.11
0.45
2.68
31.44
5.88
2.87
0.84
2.17
20.29
4.57
4.65
0.11
0.34
1.30
7.20
1.33
0.79
2.01
0.31
0.35
0.06
0.91
0.39
3.26
Source: From Direccin de Anlisis de Gasto Pblico y Programas Sociales, Secretara de Poltica Econmica, Ministerio de Economa y Produccin.
106
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Total spending
I. State function
General administration
Courts
Defence and security
II. Public social spending
Education, science, and culture
Health
Potable water and sewage system
Housing and urban development
Development and social assistance
Social security system
Employment
Other urban services
III. Spending on economic services
Primary production
Energy and fuel
Industry
Services
Other expenditure
IV. Public debt service
33.78
6.32
3.15
0.92
2.25
21.41
5.00
4.96
0.10
0.38
1.23
7.92
0.95
0.86
1.80
0.34
0.31
0.06
0.89
0.19
4.26
35.69
6.44
3.12
0.98
2.35
22.16
5.21
5.11
0.10
0.41
1.27
8.14
1.04
0.90
1.77
0.30
0.25
0.06
0.95
0.21
5.32
29.34
5.55
2.62
0.82
2.11
19.75
4.40
4.47
0.11
0.23
1.23
7.06
1.51
0.74
1.41
0.26
0.25
0.05
0.69
0.16
2.62
29.45
5.44
2.66
0.73
2.06
19.15
4.04
4.34
0.12
0.30
1.37
6.56
1.69
0.72
2.46
0.29
0.26
0.05
0.87
0.98
2.40
28.93
5.63
2.81
0.75
2.08
18.99
4.18
4.36
0.13
0.38
1.41
6.32
1.45
0.76
2.62
0.34
0.71
0.05
1.13
0.39
1.69
Source: Direccin de Anlisis de Gasto Pblico y Programas Sociales, Secretara de Poltica Econmica, Ministerio de Economa y Produccin.
Looking in detail at the development of social spending shows clearly that the primary source of the drop
experienced in 2002 is the decline in pension spending,
which is, in turn, caused primarily by the lack of flexibility of benefits in the face of high inflation in this
sub-period. There was also a drop in education and
health spending, though more tenuous than in the case of
pensions. At the same time, spending on social assistance experienced a mild increase, which became more
significant in the case of employment as a result of the
creation of the programme Jefes y Jefas de Hogar.
These gains can be explained by the social emergency
produced by the breakdown of the exchange rate system.
As general conclusions we can affirm that, viewing
public expenditure as a portion of GDP, it is not the
overall role of the state that has shrunk, but rather its
involvement in economic functions. Spending associated with the welfare state not only emerged unscathed
in the transition from Keynesianism to neoliberalism,
but never stopped growing. The interruption in public
spending, on all fronts, beginning in 2002 was a
consequence of a crisis in the model under which
neoliberal ideas had been implemented.
The purchasing power of the welfare state
Even accepting the results obtained in the previous
section, an argument could be advanced that the output
of the welfare state lost value. In other words, the
current welfare state would be a poor cousin of that
which existed at the end of the 1970s.
But if, as we have seen, the Argentine welfare
state accounts for a growing portion of public social
107
Isuani
Table 3. GDP and total public expenditure (19802004).
Objective/function
198084
198589
199094
199599
200004
198,232
69,041
11,339
31,790
16,464
9,449
196,810
69,588
10,791
36,461
16,136
6,201
219,837
72,842
13,717
46,355
8,259
4,512
268,749
87,052
16,686
56,463
6,517
7,387
262,059
76,613
14,309
49,304
4,843
8,158
Source: CEPAL (Buenos Aires) y Direccin de Anlisis de Gasto Pblico y Programas Sociales, Secretara de Poltica Econmica, Ministerio de
Economa y Produccin.
198084
198589
199094
199599
200004
198,232
69,041
31,790
28,968,984
6,842
2,383
1,097
196,810
69,588
36,461
31,216,086
6,304
2,229
1,168
219,837
72,842
46,355
33,383,857
6,585
2,182
1,389
268,749
87,052
56,463
35,513,304
7,567
2,451
1,590
262,059
76,613
49,304
37,510,293
6,986
2,042
1,314
Source: Authors calculations from CEPAL (Buenos Aires); Direccin de Anlisis de Gasto Pblico y Programas Sociales, Secretara de Poltica
Econmica, Ministerio de Economa and INDEC.
1991
2001
198083
198488
199499
200004
Students enrolled
Spending on primary education (millions, 2001 dollars)
Annual per pupil spending (millions, 2001 dollars)
4,763,389
4,176
881
5,606,769
5,338
952
6,589,536
8,005
1,213
7,142,676
7,498
1,050
Source: Direccin de Anlisis de Gasto Pblico y Programas Sociales, Secretara de Poltica Econmica, Ministerio de Economa y Produccin
y Ministerio de Educacin, Ciencia y Tecnologa. Data on enrollment in public institutions: for 198088 from the Centro Nacional de Estadsticas
de la Educacin, for 19942000 from the Direccin General Red Federal de Informacin Educativa, and for 200104 from the Direccin Nacional
de Informacin y Evaluacin de la Calidad Educativa.
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Students enrolled
Spending on primary education (millions, 2001 dollars)
Annual per pupil spending (millions, 2001 dollars)
7,101,174
9,363
1,319
7,182,269
9,515
1,325
7,218,660
6,147
851
7,111,773
5,687
800
7,099,506
6,777
955
Source: Direccin de Anlisis de Gasto Pblico y Programas Sociales, Secretara de Poltica Econmica, Ministerio de Economa y Produccin
y Ministerio de Educacin, Ciencia y Tecnologa, Direccin Nacional de Informacin y Evaluacin de la Calidad Educativa.
198084
198589
199094
199599
2,477,335
10,648.2
4,347.3
362.3
2,778,067
13,600.0
4,904.2
408.7
3,180,675
19,019.6
5,969.6
497.5
3,330,083
21,469.3
6,448.7
537.4
109
Isuani
Table 9. Pension spending per capita (200004).
Period
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
3,266,817
22,152
6,780.8
565.1
3,213,264
21,864
6,804.4
567.0
3,181,981
14,524
4,564.4
380.4
3,155,171
14,029
4,446.3
370.5
3,105,713
15,160
4,881.5
406.8
Source: Direccin de Anlisis de Gasto Pblico y Programas Sociales, Secretara de Poltica Econmica, Ministerio de Economa y Produccin,
y Secretara de Seguridad Social, Direccin Nacional de Polticas de Seguridad Social.
110
7
8
111
Isuani
Table 10. Structure of social spending by principle 19802004 (percentage of GDP).
Objective/function
198084
198589
199094
199599
200004
12.93
0.52
16.83
0.71
19.85
0.95
20.58
0.85
20.29
0.79
2.73
1.11
0.18
4.02
3.57
1.41
0.16
5.15
3.84
1.70
0.15
5.69
4.42
1.88
0.16
6.46
4.57
1.96
0.11
6.64
2.03
0.51
4.33
0.02
0.49
7.38
2.16
0.60
6.30
0.02
0.49
9.56
2.20
0.88
8.18
0.10
0.59
11.94
2.13
0.99
7.84
0.27
0.64
11.88
2.12
0.76
7.20
0.78
0.55
11.41
0.43
0.59
1.02
12.42
0.75
0.66
1.41
16.12
0.72
0.55
1.27
18.90
0.94
0.45
1.39
19.73
1.11
0.34
1.45
19.50
Source: Authors calculations from Direccin de Anlisis de Gasto Pblico y Programas Sociales, Secretara de Poltica Econmica, Ministerio de
Economa y Produccin.
INSSJP: National Institute for Social Services and Pensioners.
112
198084
198589
199094
199599
200004
Citizenship
Contribution
Means-tested
Total
32.37
59.42
8.21
100
31.95
59.31
8.75
100
30.11
63.17
6.72
100
32.74
60.21
7.05
100
34.05
58.51
7.44
100
113
Isuani
Appendix
114
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