CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL

Heading into the Conventions: A Tied Race

July 8-12, 2016
Q1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no
attention so far?

A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Don't know/No answer

*** REGISTERED VOTERS ***

Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
60
63
61
56
27
27
27
25
9
7
8
10
4
2
3
7
*
1
1

Jun16b
%
59
27
9
5
*

Q2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 election for President this November -- would you say you will
definitely vote, probably vote, probably not vote, or definitely not vote in the election for President?
Definitely vote
Probably vote
Probably not vote
Definitely not vote
Don't know/No answer

78
14
4
3
1

84
10
4
1
1

84
13
1
2
*

69
17
6
6
2

80
12
4
2
2

Q3. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and
Donald Trump, the Republican, would you vote for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Other (Vol.)
Won't vote (Vol.)
Depends (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

40
40
4
7
1
7

7
79
3
6
1
3

81
7
2
4
1
6

28
40
7
12
1
11

43
37
5
6
1
8

Q4. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and
Donald Trump, the Republican, and Gary Johnson, the Libertarian would you vote for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump or
Gary Johnson?
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Gary Johnson
Other (Vol.)
Won't vote (Vol.)
Depends (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

36
36
12
2
4
1
9

6
75
9
2
2
2
5

77
7
5
1
3
1
5

22
33
21
4
5
2
14

39
32
11
4
4
2
9

Q5. You told us you support Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump. Is your mind made up or do you think you might change
your mind before the election?

Mind made up
Might change
Don't know/No answer

*** CLINTON VOTERS ***

%
88
11
1

Jun16b
%
89
9
1

Q6. You told us you support Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton. Is your mind made up or do you think you might change
your mind before the election?

Mind made up
Might change
Don't know/No answer

*** TRUMP VOTERS ***

90
10
1

Jun16b
87
12
2

Q7. Thinking about the 2016 presidential election, overall, would you say you are very enthusiastic, somewhat
enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all about voting?

Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not enthusiastic at all
Don't know/No answer

*** REGISTERED VOTERS ***

Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
27
32
34
18
26
26
26
25
22
19
21
23
24
21
18
31
1
1
1
1

Jun16b
%
32
24
19
23
2

Q8. How important is the vice presidential candidate when you decide how to vote in a presidential election? Does it
matter a lot to you, or does it matter somewhat, or doesn't it really affect your vote?

Matters a lot
Somewhat
Doesn't affect vote
Don't know/No answer

30
39
31
1

29
38
32
1

31
39
29
1

29
38
32
1

Q9. Are you looking forward to the next few months of the presidential campaign, or not?
Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

37
61
1

39
59
1

42
57
1

32
67
1

Jul12a
26
48
25
1

Q10. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Donald
Trump yet to have an opinion?

Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer

*** REGISTERED VOTERS ***

Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
30
63
6
29
54
24
86
48
11
10
5
15
3
3
2
5
1
1
*
3

Jun16b
%
26
58
11
3
2

Q11. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Hillary
Clinton yet to have an opinion?
Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer

28
54
11
4
2

4
87
6
1
1

58
19
19
3
2

19
62
9
7
3

33
52
10
3
2

Q23. Do you think Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy, or not?

Honest and trustworthy
Not honest and trustworthy
Don't know/No answer

28
67
5

4
93
3

57
37
6

20
74
7

33
62
5

Q24. From what you know so far, do you think Hillary Clinton is prepared for the job of President, or not?
Is prepared
Is not prepared
Don't know/No answer

50
48
2

21
79
*

82
17
1

43
53
4

59
39
2

Q25. Do you think Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy, or not?

Honest and trustworthy
Not honest and trustworthy
Don't know/No answer

33
62
6

62
32
7

8
89
3

33
60
7

32
63
5

Q26. From what you know so far, do you think Donald Trump is prepared for the job of President, or not?
Is prepared
Is not prepared
Don't know/No answer

30
67
3

59
39
2

6
93
1

30
64
6

30
67
3

Q27. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling each of the
following issues Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? Which candidate would do a better job handling (INSERT ITEM)?
a.

The economy and jobs

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both (Vol.)
Neither (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer
b.

16
80
3
1

80
16
1
2
2

37
50
1
6
6

46
46
*
5
2

14
81
*
3
1

83
13
*
3
2

38
51
1
8
4

50
43
1
4
3

48
45
*
4
3

14
79
*
5
1

85
12
1
1

40
49
*
6
5

51
43
*
3
3

60
29
*
6
4

30
57
1
8
4

91
5
*
2
1

55
30
*
8
6

Illegal immigration

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both (Vol.)
Neither (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer
e.

46
47
*
4
3

Terrorism and national security

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both (Vol.)
Neither (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer
d.

Jun16b
%
47
47
*
3
3

Trade with other countries

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both (Vol.)
Neither (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer
c.

*** REGISTERED VOTERS ***

Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
41
9
78
30
52
87
17
57
1
1
1
5
2
3
8
2
2
1
4

Race relations

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both (Vol.)
Neither (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

Q49. Do you think Hillary Clinton did anything wrong when she set up a personal email address and server for work
while she was Secretary of State, or not? IF YES, ASK: Do you think Hillary Clintons activities regarding her personal
email address and server were improper but not illegal, or do you think they were illegal?

No, nothing wrong

Yes, improper, but not illegal
Yes, illegal
Don't know/No answer

*** REGISTERED VOTERS ***

Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
24
7
43
18
23
12
35
20
46
78
14
51
7
3
8
10

Jun16b
%
26
25
41
8

Q50. As you may know, the FBI did not recommend criminal charges in Hillary Clintons use of a personal email address
and server for work while she was Secretary of State. How much confidence do you have that the FBI investigation was
independent and impartial a lot, some, not much or none at all?
A lot
Some
Not much
None at all
Don't know/No answer

26
22
17
30
4

14
19
22
41
4

41
28
13
14
5

23
19
17
35
5

Unweighted
1,600

Weighted

Total Respondents
Total Registered Voters

1,358

1,250

393
441
524

342
418
490

Republican Registered Voters

Democratic Registered Voters
Independent Registered Voters