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The GCC was established in Abu Dhabi on 25 May 1981. The unified economic
In 2014, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and Saudi Arabia took major steps to ensure the
creation of a single currency. Kuwait's finance minister said the four members are
pushing ahead with the monetary union but said some technical points need to be
cleared. "A common market and common central bank would also position the GCC as
one entity that would have great influence on the international financial system" he
added. The implementation of a single currency and the creation of a central bank is
overseen by the Monetary Council.
The endorsement of the Unified Economic Agreement called for the adoption of the US
dollar as a stabilizer of currency by the end of 2002, and included the economic
convergence criteria by the beginning of 2005. Shortly afterwards, in December 2006,
Oman withdrew from the Gulf Monetary Union, and the United Arab Emirates pulled out
in May 2009, following the announcement that Riyadh would host the future Gulf Central
Bank as of 2010. Kuwait abandoned its dinars peg to the US dollar in favor of a basket
of international currencies as a major step toward the implementation of economic
policy convergence and meeting the membership criteria to join the monetary union,
without abandoning the monetary union project.
In the past two decades, GCC countries have made important progress toward
economic and financial integration (See Section II and Appendixes IIII). Formal barriers
to the free movement of national goods and workers have been eliminated, individuals
and corporations of these countries have been granted national treatment for tax
purposes in all GCC countries, and nationals have been recently allowed to invest in
stock markets and real estate of most other member states. In addition, GCC countries
enjoy low inflation, stable nominal bilateral exchange rates, and similar levels of nominal
interest rates, as well as trade and payments systems relatively free of restrictions.
They also share a remarkable degree of cultural and political homogeneity.
The move to a monetary union, combined with appropriate macroeconomic and
structural policies, is likely to be beneficial for GCC countries. This move should, in
particular, improve the efficiency of financial services, lower transaction costs, and
increase transparency in prices of goods and services, and thereby facilitate appropriate
investment decisions. In addition, by requiring sustainable fiscal positions, the union
should promote a better allocation of resources within the GCC area. Nevertheless, the
experience of other monetary unions shows that additional convergence policies are
needed to promote stronger ties in other areas and stimulate growth. Section III and
Appendix IV review the experiences of these other monetary unions and draw lessons
for the GCC countries.
Currency represents an important symbol of national sovereignty, and the need for
political will and resolve is undoubtedly very important for the success and continuity of
a monetary union project. Some economists have gone further to claim that a condition
for the success of a monetary union is for it to be an intermediate step towards reaching
the final goal of political unity. Political commitment will come from the clarity of
decision-makers in relation to the advantages and disadvantages of a monetary union.
Certain conditions should be met before countries can unify their currencies. Most
importantly, they should adopt compatible fiscal policies, determine basic standards for
current and capital spending and put a ceiling on debt and interest rates in the
government budgets. The concerned countries must also agree on an economic
philosophy, including the role of the private sector and issues related to the relationship
between the public and private sectors. Monetary unity in a number of EU countries was
strengthened by a harmony in economic policies in those countries, after all of them
adopted the principles of a market economy and free competition.
Reaping the full benefits of a common currency will require the GCC member states to
deepen their degree of economic integration. Proper economic policies and agreements
in other areas could make important contributions to increasing intraregional trade and
investment and thus make a common currency more desirable. In addition, there is
continuing work in other areas of regional cooperation, including setting the rules for
opening bank branches in the GCC countries, promoting foreign direct investment and
intra-GCC capital flows.
central bank represents the most important institutional change that the GCC countries
may face on the road toward a common currency. This change could be implemented
on a step-by-step basis during the transition period to the introduction of a common
currency. A decentralized approach to organizing central bank responsibilities, like that
of the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU), seems to be the most
appropriate in a GCC monetary union given political and practical considerations. Under
such an agreement, the common central bank will be responsible for taking monetary
policy decisions, overseeing the payment systems, and coordinating efforts toward
financial integration. The national GCC central banks will implement these decisions,
conduct all or some of the foreign exchange operations, maintain their banking
supervisory functions, and issue the common currency, as well as operate national
payment systems. The contribution of each GCC member country to the capital and
seigniorage distribution of a common central bank will also have to be considered.
References
Alreshan, A. A. a. A., n.d. GCC monetary union. [Online]
Available at: http://www.bis.org/ifc/publ/ifcb32b.pdf
British Middle East Center, n.d. British Middle East Center. [Online]
Available at: http://bmcsr.com/wpcontent/uploads/2013/06/READINESS-OF-GCC-MEMBER-STATESFOR-CURRENCY-UNION.pdf
Jadresic, E., n.d. IMF policy discussion paper. [Online]
Available at:
https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/pdp/2002/pdp12.pdf
Ugo Fasano , n.d. International Monetary Fund. [Online]
Available at: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/nft/op/223/
Wikipedia , n.d. Gulf Cooperation Council. [Online]
Available at:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gulf_Cooperation_Council