Level

Trend
Seasonality

Alpha
Beta
Gamma

0.8
0.31
0.8

FY

Month

Sales

Base Lvl

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40

2014-15

Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul

439
1230
1096
1542
2185
1575
1075
595
861
403
639
1570
1153
2339
3336
3570
2582
1894
1751
2246
2121
1824
1797
3086
1135
3036
3713
3555
5386
3669

1101
1672
2138
3154
3234
1919
1489
1672
2514
2429
2524
2332
2562
1874
2622
3403
3304
4411
3578

2015-16

2016-17

2017-18

41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85

2018-19

2019-20

2020-21

Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr

86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120

May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar

6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000

FY

2092
2904
2940
3230
3698
3448
3165
2869
2968
2641
2898
4009
2873
4020
4006
4079

84%
-4%
-21%
-9%
-31%
-6%

2014-15

Aug

May

Feb

0
Nov

0.00
177.07
266.53
498.81
368.99
-152.97
-238.77
-108.18
186.57
102.28
99.98
9.51
77.84
-159.49
121.89
326.22
194.33
477.12
71.03

-662
129
-5
441
1084
474
-26
-506
-240
-698
-462
469
-548
187
145
357
747
419
58
-316
-294
-699
-520
513
-701
368
277
272
930
157

Forecast

Aug

Seasonal F

May

Trend

2015

4815
4120

Sales
Linear (Sales)
Forecast

2014-15

2015-16

2016-17

Aug

May

Feb

Nov

Aug

May

Feb

Nov

Aug

May

Feb

Nov

Aug

Linear (Forecast)

2017-18

Level
Trend
Seasonality

Alpha
Beta
Gamma

0.8
0.31
0.8

FY

Month

Sales

Base Lvl

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

2014-15

Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar

439
1230
1096
1542
2185
1575
1075
595
861
403
639
1570
1153
2339
3336
3570
2582
1894
1751
2246
2121
1824
1797
3086
1135
3036
3713
3555
5386
3669

1101
1672
2138
3154
3234
1919
1489
1672
2514
2429
2524
2332
2562
1874
2622
3403
3304
4411
3578

2015-16

2016-17

Trend

Seasonal F

0.00
177.07
266.53
498.81
368.99
-152.97
-238.77
-108.18
186.57
102.28
99.98
9.51
77.84
-159.49
121.89
326.22
194.33
477.12
71.03

-662
129
-5
441
1084
474
-26
-506
-240
-698
-462
469
-548
187
145
357
747
419
58
-316
-294
-699
-520
513
-701
368
277
272
930
157

Forecast

2092
2904
2940
3230
3698
3448
3165
2869
2968
2641
2898
4009

84%
-4%
-21%
-9%
-31%
-6%

6000
5000
4000
3000

Sales
Linear (Sales)

2000

Forecast

1000

Linear (Forecast)
Apr
Jun
Aug
Oct
Dec
Feb
Apr
Jun
Aug
Oct
Dec
Feb
Apr
Jun
Aug
Oct
Dec
Feb

0
FY

2014-15

2015-16

2016-17

Sales
Linear (Sales)
Forecast
Linear (Forecast)