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11/03/2013

A global approach to

Ground motion predictive


relationships
for structural design applications
Nelson Lam
Lam, John Wilson and Hing Ho Tsang

Contents
1.

Review of Attenuation Models /Ground Motion Prediction Equations

2.

Global Approach of ground motion modelling

3.

Global model for peak displacement demand

4.

Construction of response spectra a new approach

5.

Global benchmarking of seismic hazard level

6.

Inter-storey drift predictions of structures

7.

Closing remarks

11/03/2013

Attenuation Models
Attenuation Models is an old term which is used in these slides
- nowadays often referred to as Ground motion prediction models
or Ground motion prediction equations
or simply Ground motion models

The purpose of an attenuation model is to estimate the intensity of ground


shaking (in terms of PGA or PGV, for example) for any given earthquake
magnitude distance (M-R) combination and a given site class (eg. rock
site). For example, an earthquake of magnitude M = 5.6 and hypocentral
distance R = 20 km estimates a peak ground velocity PGV = 60 mm/sec on
rock sites.
Different types of attenuation models :
Empirical Models (the traditional approach)
Theoretical and Semi-Theoretical Models
Intensity Models based on historical Intensity data
(eg. from Isoseimal maps)
Stochastic Seismological Models

suited to low
and moderate
seismicity regions
with lack of data

Types of Attenuation Models

Empirical Models
Semi-Theoretical Models
Intensity Models
Stochastic Seismological Models

11/03/2013

Empirical Models

An (old) attenuation model


providing predictions for PGA only

Empirical model
developed by
Joyner and Boore
for Californian
earthquakes on
average soil sites
(extracted from
Seismic Design
Handbook by
Farzad Naeim)

Empirical Models

Ground Motion Prediction Equations (GMPE)


(as reviewed in the well known Seismological Research Letter Journal Vol.68 (1) in 1997)

Model by Abrahamson & Silva for shallow crustal earthquakes.


Model by Boore, Joyner and Fumal for Western North American
Earthquakes.
Campbell model for shallow crustal earthquakes.
Sadigh Model for shallow crustal earthquakes.
In addition :
Ambrasey Model for Europe

11/03/2013

Empirical Models

Model by Abrahamson & Silva for shallow crustal


earthquakes
main function style of faulting function
Soil type function

Hanging Wall Function


(only applies to near fault
conditions)

Empirical Models

M d lb
Model
by
Abrahamson & Silva
for shallow crustal
earthquakes (contd)

11/03/2013

Empirical Models

Next Generation Attenuation (NGA) Project


co-ordinated by the lifelines program of Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Centre (PEER) at Berkeley
in collaboration with United States Geological Survey (USGS)
and Southern Californian Earthquake Centre

Five separate sets of ground motion models have been developed and published
during
du
g thee period
pe od 20077 2010 by five
ve we
well known
ow pplayers
ye s in thiss field
e d bbased
sed on
o
analyses of the PEER database of 1574 accelerograms recorded from mainshocks
of 58 shallow crustal earthquakes mainly from Western North America but also
contains recordings from Taiwan (plenty), Turkey, Italy and Iran.

Boore & Atkinson

Campbell & Bozorgnia

Chiou & Youngs providing an update of the Sadigh Model

Idriss

Abrahamson & Silva

Types of Attenuation Models

Empirical Models
Semi-Theoretical Models
Intensity Models
Stochastic Seismological Models

11/03/2013

Types of Attenuation Models

Empirical Models
Semi-Theoretical Models
Intensity Models
Stochastic Seismological Models

Intensity Models

Attenuation Model based on Intensity


Modified Mercalli Intensity (MMI) is a common scale used to represent
the overall level of damage caused by an earthquake in a particular area.
An MMI value is assigned based on observations of damage and
feedbacks from people who experienced the earthquake.

11/03/2013

Intensity Models

Example Iso-seismal Map

MMI data is then digitised on a map for the construction


of contours to produce an Iso-seismal map
Iso seismal map
Iso-seismal
of Newcastle Earthquake
New South Wales
Australia in
December, 1989.
Magnitude ML = 5.6
Epicentre was 16 km from
the CBD of the city of Newcastle.
The rupture was at a depth of 11 km
Hypo-central distance was approx. 20
km

Intensity Models

Use of Attenuation Relationship


to estimate ground motion Intensity
XII
12

MMI attenuation
relationshipp
for SE Australia

10

VIII
8

MMI for
M=5.6 R=20km
Is estimated at
between
betwee
VII and VIII

VI

M=7
6

M=6
IV

M=5
M=4

II

10

MMI = 1.5ML - 3.9 Log R + 3.9

100

1000

R (km)

11/03/2013

Intensity Models

MMI Intensity versus Peak Ground Velocity


Newmark &
Rosenblueth
1971

7
2MMI PGV
5
MMI = VII VIII
corresponds to
PGV in the order
of 125 mm/sec

1000

100

10

II

IV

VI

VIII

XII

Intensity Models

A magnitude M=5.6
M=5 6 earthquake at a hypocentral distance R = 20 km is
estimated to produce a peak ground velocity PGV = 125 mm/sec which is
consistent with MMI = VII VIII (in broad agreement with observations
from the 1989 Newcastle Earthquake)

Th
The presenters have
h
collated
ll d Intensity
I
i data
d from
f
countries
i including
i l di
Australia, China, Iran and India (Gujarat Earthquake) and have the
Intensity values converted to PGV values for comparison with existing
attenuation models.

11/03/2013

Types of Attenuation Models

Empirical Models
Semi-Theoretical Models
Intensity Models
Stochastic Seismological Models

Stochastic Seismological Models


Some elementary concepts of a stochastic model
Sum of 8 harmonics (of equal amplitude)

start time

3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3

0.5

start time

1.5

0.5

1.5

start time

0.5

1
time(s)

0.5

start time

1.5

1.5

1
tim e(s)

1.5

1
tim e(s)

1.5

1
tim e(s)

1.5

3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
0

0.5

start time

1.5

1
tim e(s)

3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3

1
time(s)

0.5

start time

1
time(s)

3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3

Acceleration
(m/s/s)

3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3

1
time(s)

Acceleratiion
(m/s/s)

Accelerat ion
(m/s/s))

3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3

0.5

Acceleration
(m/s/s)

Acceleration
(m/s/s)

Acceleration
(m/s/s)

start time

3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3

Acceleration
(m/s/s)

Acceleration
(m/s/s)

start time

3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3

0.5

11/03/2013

Stochastic Seismological Models

10

Amplitude of individual harmonics


1
0.1

10

100

Frequency (hz)

Acceleration (m
m/s/s)

Time--history
Time

6
3
0
-3
-6
-9
0

0.5

1
tim e(s)

1.5

Stochastic Seismological Models


Frequency Content modifications

Amplitude (m/s/s)

Stochastic simulations of ground shaking


10

Amplitude of individual harmonics


1
0.1

10

100

Frequency (hz)

Filtering
Amplitude ((m/s/s)

Amp
plitude (m/s/s)

close toWhite Noise

10

Amplitude of individual harmonics


1

0.1
0.1

10

Frequency (hz)

10

11/03/2013

Stochastic Seismological Models

Frequency Modulated Motion


Fourier Am plitude
s)
(m/s

Stochastic simulations of ground shaking


10

Fourier
Amplitude
Spectrum

0.1
0.1

Corner

Acceleration (m/s/s
s)

10

Frequency fc

Frequency (hz)

Time--history
Time

6
3
0
-3
-6
-9
0

0.5

1
tim e(s)

1.5

Stochastic Seismological Models

Frequency Modulated Motions

10

Fourier Am
mplitude
(m/s
s)

Fourier Am
mplitude
(m/s
s)

Fourier Amplitude Spectra

0.1
0.1

1
Frequency (hz)

fc

10

0.1

10

1
Frequency (hz)

Low corner freq (large M earthquake)

fc

10

High corner freq (small M earthquake)

Acceleration (m
m/s/s)

Acceleration (m
m/s/s)

Ground Motion Time


Time--histories
9
6
3
0
-3
-6
-9
0

0 .5

1
t im e ( s )

1.5

Lower Frequency Motions

9
6
3
0
-3
-6
-9
0

0.5

1
tim e (s )

1.5

Higher Frequency Motions

11

11/03/2013

Stochastic Seismological Models

Fourie
er Amplitude
(m/s)

Frequency Modulated Motion (with attenuation)


10

Fourier
Amplitude
Spectrum

0.1
1

10
Frequency (hz)

Acceleration (m/s/s)

Time--history of attenuated motion


Time

3
0
-3
-6
0

0.5

1
tim e(s)

1.5

Stochastic Seismological Models


Ground Motion Generated by Program GENQKE
Amplitude Modulated White Noise
(sum of hundreds of harmonics)

Filtering of the Seismological Model


A A
An
Artificial
tifi i l Earthquake
E th k Ground
G
d Motion
M ti

12

11/03/2013

Stochastic Seismological Models


Example Parameters for input into a seismological model
for Modelling Long Distance Earthquakes Affecting Malaya and Singapore

Focal depth = 20 km
= 2.8 t/m3 and = 3.7 km/s
Crustal Thickness D = 30 km.
Quality Factor Q0 = 150
Upper crustal attenuation factor = 0.02
18 synthetic accelerograms have been simulated stochastically with
random phase angles.
The response spectra recorded on a rock site in Singapore at both N-S
and E-W directions have been plotted.

Stochastic Seismological Models


Some examples of Stochastic Seismological Models
presented in the form of an (empirical model like) attenuation model

Atkinson and Boore Model for Eastern North America


Toro model for Central and Eastern North America
The Component Attenuation Model of Melbourne
which was originally
g
y derived from the seismological
g
model of

Central and Eastern North America


Lam, N.T.K., Wilson, J.L., Chandler, A.M. and Hutchinson, G.L.,2000 : Response Spectral Relationships for Rock Sites Derived
from The Component Attenuation Model ", Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, Vol.29(10),1457-1490

and reconciled with Intensity data from:


Australia

Nelson Lam, Cvetan Sinadinovski, Raymond Koo and John Wilson (2003) "Peak Ground Velocity Modelling for
Australian Intraplate Earthquakes". International Journal of Seismology and Earthquake Engineering. Vol.5(2): 11-22 (2003)

China

T
Tsang,
H.H.,
H H Sh
Sheikh,
ikh N
N. and
dL
Lam, N
N.T.K.
T K (2010) Regional
R i l Differences
Diff
in
i Attenuation
Att
ti Modelling
M d lli for
f Eastern
E t
China, Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, 39(5): 451- 459.

Adrian Chandler and Nelson Lam. (2004) An attenuation model for distant earthquakes, . Journal of Earthquake
Engineering and Structural Dynamics. John Wiley & Sons Ltd., Vol.33(2):183-210 (2003). .

India
Iran

Yaghmaei-Sabegh, S and Lam, N.T.K. (2010). Ground motion modelling in Tehran based on the stochastic
method, Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering. 30: 525-535

Malaysia & Singapore Lam, N.T.K., Balendra, T., Wilson, J.L. and Srikanth, V. (2009), Seismic Load Estimates of Distant
Subduction Earthquakes Affecting Singapore, Engineering Structures, 31(5): 1230-1240

13

11/03/2013

Contents
1.

Review of Attenuation Models /Ground Motion Prediction Equations

2.

Global Approach of ground motion modelling

3.

Global model for peak displacement demand

4.

Construction of response spectra a new approach

5.

Global benchmarking of seismic hazard level

6.

Inter-storey drift predictions of structures

7.

Closing remarks

A Global Approach
to ground motion - structural response modelling
Challenges
Many competing blends of ground motion models.
Steep learning curve for engineers also difficult to choose which one to use.
Challenges with interpreting inter-model discrepancies. Weighting factors often used to give
compromised results.
The NGA project is aimed at addressing this issue by bringing together experts into a unified framework
Even then, five different groups of experts came up with five different NGA models independently.
g NGA models claim to cover the whole world the data were nonetheless from onlyy a few
Although
countries (regions) including Western America, Taiwan, Turkey, Iran and Italy
Even though the database contains some 1500 records they were recorded from only 58 mainshocks of
earthquakes (whilst aftershocks dont count).
The empirical data has little representation from low-moderate seismicity regions.

14

11/03/2013

A Global Approach
to ground motion - structural response modelling

Wish list ...


We need
A ground motion model which is much easier for engineers to use.
A model which can readily be used to predict damage and risks of collapse of a structure
A model which has the support from data sourced from different parts of the world.
Only one model and not many different models giving different results we need a global model.
We need conceptual advancement, and not just more data and better curve-fits

A Global Approach
to ground motion - structural response modelling

Contributions and progress made by presenters and co-workers


Development of a model which is based on the predictions of displacement demand which is
related directly to damage and risks of collapse.
A displacement demand model associated with longer period response properties is less
sensitive to regional conditions and hence more robust and easier to generalise
Treating site effects as a separate modelling step - ground motion model can be based wholly on
bedrock conditions which have relatively low inter-regional
inter regional variabilities.
variabilities
Predictions from empirical models (for high seismic interplate areas) have been correlated with
predictions from stochastic and intensity models (for low-moderate intraplate areas)
demonstrating modelling robustness

15

11/03/2013

Contents
1.

Review of Attenuation Models /Ground Motion Prediction Equations

2.

Global Approach of ground motion modelling

3.

Global model for peak displacement demand

4.

Construction of response spectra a new approach

5.

Global benchmarking of seismic hazard level

6.

Inter-storey drift predictions of structures

7.

Closing remarks

16

11/03/2013

Attenuation of Response Spectral Accelerations


BO

AM

0.50

M6.5
BJF

0.40
RSAmax (g's)

CB

SD

0.30

AS

0.20
TAS(gulf)

TAS(mid-continental)

0 10
0.10

CAM(HardRock)

0.00
0

10

20

30

Distance (km)

40

50

60

CAM(Rock)

DA

17

11/03/2013

BO

450

AM

M7

RSVmax (mm/sec)

400

BJF

350

CB

300
SD

250
200

AM

150

TAS(gulf)

100

TAS(mid-continental)

50

C (
CAM(HardRock)
)

0
0

10

20

30

Distance (km)

40

50

60

CAM(Rock)
DA

18

11/03/2013

M6.5

Western North America


Taiwan
Italy Middle East
Japan
Central & Eastern
North America
Australia
China
India
Iran
Sumatra/Malaysia

Lumantarna, E., Wilson, J.L. & Lam, N.T.K. (2012) Bi-linear displacement response
spectrum model for engineering applications in low and moderate seismicity regions Soil
Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, 43: 85-96.

19

11/03/2013

M5.5

M6

M6.5

Lumantarna, E., Wilson, J.L. & Lam, N.T.K.


(2012) Bi-linear displacement response
spectrum model for engineering applications in
low and moderate seismicity regions Soil
Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, 43:
85-96.

20

11/03/2013

Contents
1.

Review of Attenuation Models /Ground Motion Prediction Equations

2.

Global Approach of ground motion modelling

3.

Global model for peak displacement demand

4.

Construction of response spectra a new approach

5.

Global benchmarking of seismic hazard level

6.

Inter-storey drift predictions of structures

7.

Closing remarks

Second Corner Period

T2 0.5 M25
Lam, N.T.K., Wilson, J.L., Chandler, A.M. and Hutchinson, G.L.,2000 : Response
Spectral Relationships for Rock Sites Derived from The Component Attenuation
Model ", Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, Vol.29(10),1457-1490

T2

21

11/03/2013

Second Corner Period


T2 0.5 M25

versus

Empirical Data

Lumantarna, E., Wilson, J.L. & Lam, N.T.K. (2012) Bi-linear displacement response
spectrum model for engineering applications in low and moderate seismicity regions Soil
Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, 43: 85-96.

22

11/03/2013

acceleration

Second Corner Period T2

RSA sensitive region

Acceleration
Compatible with
tri-linear velocity
response spectrum

T1

T2

Natural period

(a) Acceleration response spectrum


velocitysensitive
region

RSV

Tri-linear form
in logarithmic
scale

Velocity

T1

T2

Natural period

(b) Velocityresponse spectrum

RSD

displacement
sensitive region

PDD

Bi-linear
displacement
response spectrum

Displacement
Compatible with
tri-linear velocity
response spectrum

T1

T2

Natural
(c) Displacementresponse spectrum

period

Generalised Model in Velocity Format

Log Response Spectral Veelocity


L

For rare earthquake scenario of M6.5 at 30km


RSV (mm/s) = 55 (2/1.25) = 276 mm/s
Example
55 mm for M6.5 at 30 km

Log Natural Period


T2 = 1.25s

Example
The expression T2 = 0.5 + 0.5 (M-5) = 0.5 + 0.5 (6.5 5) = 1.25s

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11/03/2013

First Corner Period T1


RSA

acceleration
sensitive region

Acceleration
Compatible with
tri-linear velocity
response spectrum

T1

T2

Natural period

(a) Acceleration response spectrum


velocitysensitive
region

RSV

Tri-linear form
in logarithmic
scale

Velocity

T1

T2

Natural period

(b) Velocityresponse spectrum

RSD

displacement
sensitive region

PDD

Bi-linear
displacement
response spectrum

Displacement
Compatible with
tri-linear velocity
response spectrum

T1

T2

Natural
(c) Displacementresponse spectrum

period

Generalised Model in Conventional Acceleration Format


For rare earthquake scenario of M6.5 at 30km

or 0.19 g

Loog Response Spectral Vellocity

PGA(m/s) ~1.9m/s

RSA(m/s) = 0.276 (2/0.3) = 5.8 m/s

Basedd on M6.5
B
M6 5 at 30km
30k
which is considered to be
a rare earthquake
scenario (RP=2500 yrs)
in a low-moderate
seismicity regions

Example
RSA = 0.276 x /T

RSA = 0.055 x (/T)2

Log Natural Period


T1 = 0.3 s
for rock sites

1.25s

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11/03/2013

Modelling the Effects of Site Resonance


Fundamental Site Natural Period Ts

Amplification Factor
of up to 4

Nelson Lam, John Wilson (2004) Displacement Modelling of Intraplate Earthquakes Invited paper,
International Seismology and Earthquake Technology Journal (special issue on Performance Based Seismic
Design; Ed Nigel Priestley), 2004. Indian Institute of Technology, Vol.41(1), paper no. 439: pp. 15-52.
HH Tsang, AM Chandler and NTK Lam.(2006) Estimating non-linear site response by single period
approximation. Journal of Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics. 35(9): 1053-1076

Contents
1.

Review of Attenuation Models /Ground Motion Prediction Equations

2.

Global Approach of ground motion modelling

3.

Global model for peak displacement demand

4.

Construction of response spectra a new approach

5.

Global benchmarking of seismic hazard level

6.

Inter-storey drift predictions of structures

7.

Closing remarks

25

11/03/2013

Design PGA values in major cities


(2500 years RP)

World
City

China

Design Basic Acceleration of Ground Motion


(PE=2%/50 yrs), PGA in g

Taiwan

0.80 1.0

Tokyo

0.80 1.0

Los
Angeles

0.80 1.0

City

Design Basic Acceleration of Ground Motion


(PE=2%/50 yrs), PGA in g

Beijing

0.3 (Changping, Mentougou, Huairou) / 0.40

Wenchuan

0.40 (rated as 0.20 g before 2008 EQ)

Tangshan

0.4

Hong
Kong

0.24

Hong
Kong

0.24

Sydney,
Melbourne

0.16

Guangzho
u

0 1(Huadu) / 0
0.1(Huadu)
0.20
20

New York

0.1 0.2

Shenzhen

0.1 (Longgang) / 0.20

Shanghai

London

< 0.1

0.1 (Jinshan) / 0.20

Macau

0.2

PGA (m/s/s)

500 years RP
upper

mid
lower

0.1

Design PGA
values in
Europe

100

1000
Distance from nearest tectonic plate boundary

10000

2500 years RP
upper
mid

PGA~1.5m/s2
PGA (m/s/s)

away from
tectonic
plate
boundaries

lower

0.1
100

600km

1000
10000
Distance from nearest tectonic plate boundary (km)

26

11/03/2013

PGA (m/sec^2)

500 years RP

Design
D
i PGA
values in
North America

mid
lower

0.1
100

1000
Distance to nearest tectonic boundaries (km)

10000

10

2500 years RP
PGA (m/s
sec^2)

away from
tectonic
plate
boundaries

upper

upper
mid

lower

0.1
100

1000
Distance to nearest tectonic boundaries (km)

10000

Benchmarking of PGA values (2500 years RP)


Low seismic zones
London 0.10g (lower bound)
Melbourne 0.16g (mid)
Hong Kong 0.24g (upper bound)

Peninsula Malaysia falls in this zone

Moderate seismic zone like Wenchuan (Sichuan) 0.40g

High seismic zone like Taiwan, Tokyo, Los Angeles 0.60g to 1.00g

27

11/03/2013

Contents
1.

Review of Attenuation Models /Ground Motion Prediction Equations

2.

Global Approach of ground motion modelling

3.

Global model for peak displacement demand

4.

Construction of response spectra a new approach

5.

Global benchmarking of seismic hazard level

6.

Inter-storey drift predictions of structures

7.

Closing remarks

Estimation of the average drift ratio demand


The average seismic inter-storey drift angle with the
contribution from the first vibration mode

1 roof
1 max

1avg
RSD1

Hb
H eff
2H b /3

1avg

1roof
Hb

1roof can be related to RSD1 by a factor


avg

1roof
RSD1

1.6

Combining the above two equations,


1st mode displacement

1avg 1.6

RSD1
Hb

This equation is useful for estimating the drift demands of first-mode


dominant shear wall buildings with T2 sec.
This slide was modified from the original version prepared by AProf Ray Su

28

11/03/2013

avg
2.5

Drift factor avg

2.0

avg=1.6

1.5
1.0
0.5

Num. results

0.0
0

4 5 6 7
Period (sec)

10

Variation of drift factor avg


Zhu Y, Su RKL and Zhou FL (2007), Earthquake
Engineering and Engineering Vibration, 6(1), p85-97

This slide was modified from the original version prepared by AProf Ray Su

Estimation of the maximum drift ratio demand


The maximum seismic inter-storey drift angle 1max with the
contribution from the first vibration mode may be related to the
average drift angle by the drift factor
1roof

1max

1max
1avg

3
RSD1

Hb
H eff
2H b /3

1avg

2.5

1.8

1 1.5
1.2

1
0.5
1st mode displacement

0
0

10

Period (sec)

Variation of drift factor 1

This slide was modified from the original version prepared by AProf Ray Su

29

11/03/2013

Estimation of the maximum drift ratio demand

max

To take into account the higher mode effects, the


maximum seismic inter
inter-storey
storey drift angle max may be
related to 1max by a drift factor

max
1 max

Hence, by the above equations, the maximum drift


ratio max can be related to RSD1

max 12 avg

Displacement due to all modes

RSD1
RSD1
max
Hb
Hb

This slide was modified from the original version prepared by AProf Ray Su

max

max 0.056T 2 0.088T 3.12

Drift factorr max

5
4

For T<1.5 s
For 1.5T3 s
For 3<T5 s

3
2

avg
max

Zhu et al. (2007)


Fardipour et al. (2011)
Tsang et al. (2009)

1
0

max=2.6
max=3.2
max=4.4

3
4
Period T (sec)

Figure 3C.4. Variation of drift factor max


Zhu Y, Su RKL and Zhou FL (2007), Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration,
6(1), p85-97
Fardipour M, Lumantarna E, Lam N, Wilson J, Gad E (2011), Drift demand predictions in
low to moderate seismicity regions, Australian Journal of Structural Engineering, 11(3),
195-206.

This slide was modified from the original version prepared by AProf Ray Su

30

11/03/2013

New Discovery on
Torsional Amplification
in Displacement Controlled Conditions

PDD 1.6 RSDmax

RSDmax
Lumantarna, E., Lam, N.T.K. & Wilson, J.L.(in
press) Displacement Controlled Behaviour of
Asymmetrical Single-Storey Building Models
Journal of Earthquake Engineering. Manuscript
no.UEQE-2012-1471

Contents
1.

Review of Attenuation Models /Ground Motion Prediction Equations

2.

Global Approach of ground motion modelling

3.

Global model for peak displacement demand

4.

Construction of response spectra a new approach

5.

Global benchmarking of seismic hazard level

6.

Inter-storey drift predictions of structures

7.

Closing remarks

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11/03/2013

Closing Remarks
Summary
The meaning of an attenuation model (or ground motion model) has been
defined followed by a review of models that are available. A simple model
which provides prediction of the peak displacement demand (PDD) value for
given M-R combination was first introduced.
Given the value of PDD and second corner period (T2 ) the value of the peak
velocity demand (RSVmax) can be inferred. Given the value of the first corner
period (T1) which is typically 0.3s 0.4s on rock the value of the peak
acceleration demand (RSAmax), and that of the peak ground acceleration (PGA)
can also be inferred.
The calculated PGA value can be compared against global benchmarks to check
if the assumed earthquake scenario was appropriate.
appropriate
The PDD value could then be used to calculate the average and maximum interstorey drift of a building to evaluate its risks of collapse.
Illustration by example
Finally, the use of the proposed generic model in estimating the drift demand of
a building is illustrated by example.

Illustration by Example ( 1 of 4)
The new town is populated by buildings of up to 15
storeys (T<1s). Estimate the maximum drift for the
following building types on average (shallow) soil sites.

The new town is located at


least 600 km away from the
nearest tectonic plate boundary
in a developing country. No
meaningful amount of local
seismological data has been
collected.
ll
d
E h k
Earthquakes
off
magnitude up to M6.5 is
considered possible.

Table of Peak Displacement Demand PDD (mm)

Consider M6.5 R50 km


PDD = 35 mm

T2 0.5 M25 0.5 6.525 1.25s

35 mm

1.25s

2
35 180 mm/s
1.25
2
RSAmax (m/s 2 )
0.180 3.8 m/s 2
0.3
3.8 m/s 2
PGA(m/s 2 )
1.5 m/s 2
2.5
RSVmax (mm/s)

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11/03/2013

Illustration by Example ( 2 of 4)
Check if the earthquake scenario of M6.5 R=50 km is appropriate
The new town is located at
least 600 km away from the
nearest tectonic plate boundary
in a developing country.
country No
meaningful amount of local
seismological data has been
collected.
Earthquakes
of
magnitude up to M6.5 is
considered possible.

2500 years RP
upper

OK

mid

PGA (m/s/s)

PGA~1.5m/s2

lower

0.1
100

600km

1000
10000
Distance from nearest tectonic plate boundary (km)

Illustration by Example ( 3 of 4)
55
1.6 0.002 or 0.2%
45000
max 0.2%1.5 0.3% for symmetrical configurations

avg

T~1s
45 m

max 0.2% 1.5 1.6 0.5% for worstcase of assymmetrical configurations


0.3 0.5 %
depending on
degree of as-symmetry

Max Drift Angle of Soft - Storey Columns


PDD (rock) 35mm
PDD (avg sites) 35 mm 1.5 55 mm
T
0.6
RSD PDD 55
26 mm
T2
1.25
26
0.008 or 0.8% for symmetrical configurations
3500
max 0.8% 1.6 1.3% for worst case of assymmetrical configurations

max

T~0.6s

3.5m
0.8 1.3%
depending on
degree of as-symmetry

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11/03/2013

Illustration by Example ( 4 of 4)
acceleration

3.8 m/s2

RSA sensitive region

Compatible with
tri-linear velocity
response spectrum

PGA=1.5 m/s2
T1

T2

(a) Acceleration response spectrum


0.3
s

Natural period

velocity sensitive
region

RSV

180 mm/s

Tri-linear form
in logarithmic
scale

T1

RSD

T2

Natural period

(b) Velocity
V l it response spectrum
t
displacement
sensitive region

PDD

Bi-linear
displacement
response spectrum

35 mm

Compatible with
tri-linear velocity
response spectrum

T1

T2

(c) Displacement response spectrumNatural

1.25s

period

End of Presentation

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