Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
"Mexicos
consumption is
expected to increase
slightly in 2016/17
due in part to
population growth
and the continued
popularity throughout
Mexico for bread
products and the
interest among
consumers for other
types of wheat-baked
goods. The Mexican
Millers Association
(CANIMOLT) has
stated that wheat
consumption is
expected to grow in
to the next decade,
driven by population
growth and higher per
capita consumption"
For 2016/17 (July to June), Post/New total Mexican wheat production is forecast to increase to
3.9 million metric tons (MMT). This increase of approximately 3.7 percent assumes favourable
weather conditions and normal yields in the key wheat areas of Northwest Mexico (Baja
California and Sonora) for the 2015/16 autumn/winter crop cycle.
Unlike last years crop, when adverse weather conditions negatively affected the harvest and
yields in the main producing state of Sonora, this years wheat production has benefited from
relatively favourable weather conditions and sufficient water availability in the reservoirs and
dams that are used for irrigation.
Officials from the Mexico based International Maize and Wheat Improvement Centre
(CIMMYT) pointed out that wheat requires cool temperatures for its proper development
and that has been sufficient this crop year. CIMMYT officials also stated that cooler weather
is important during the stage when wheat tillers are developing, as the cereal requires lower
temperatures for its growth stage to obtain optimal development. Weather conditions in Baja
California the weather conditions registered have also been reported as favourable during the
2015/16 autumn/winter crop cycle.
Similarly, Mexicos National Water Commission (CONAGUA) reported that as of January
20th, 2016, in the state of Sonora, the Alvaro Obregon dam, which caters to the agricultural area
in the Yaqui Valley, recorded 82 percent of capacity versus 78.1 percent registered at the same
date a year earlier.
While the Adolfo Ruiz Cortines dam, which irrigates farmlands in the Mayo Valley, registered
69 percent capacity against 64.5 percent at the same date of 2015. The Plutarco Elias-Calles
dam, which is the second largest reservoir in size (2.96 million cubic meters of storage
capacity), has met the growing demand generated by the agricultural region of the coast of
Hermosillo, having recorded 91.9 percent capacity versus 70.6 percent, on the same date last
year. According to SAGARPA data, nearly 84 percent of the wheat planted area nationwide is
irrigated.
Based on available official information from the Secretariat of Agriculture, Livestock, Rural
Development, Fisheries and Food (SAGARPA), during marketing year 2015/16, approximately
111,000 MT of wheat seed was sowed, while in 2014/15 wheat farmers used 107,000 MT of
wheat seed.
Because most of the wheat production in the major growing regions is irrigated, average
yields are expected to remain steady at around 5.1 MT/ha. The majority of the wheat grown
in the north and north-western states of Baja California (i.e. Mexicali Valley and San Luis Rio
Colorado) and Sonora apply advanced production technology methods to their crops similar to
those used in the United States.
Sonora continues to be the main wheat producing state with approximately 48 percent of total
wheat production, followed by Baja California, which contributes 16 percent, and Guanajuato
with 12 percent. Durum wheat continues to be the principal crop in Sonora and Baja California.
Private sources indicate that despite some efforts by the Mexican government to encourage
planting of more wheat milling and soft varieties instead of durum, farmers have continued
cultivating the durum variety. Numerous wheat producers have stated that durum yields are
higher than for bread wheat varieties in the desert regions of Baja California and Sonora, making
it the varietal choice for farmers.
Similarly, private sources stated that this trend of increased acreage and production is expected
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