Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
Volume 4 | Issue 1
Article 2
2005
This Article is brought to you for free and open access by Scholarly Commons at Hofstra Law. It has been accepted for inclusion in Journal of
International Business and Law by an authorized administrator of Scholarly Commons at Hofstra Law. For more information, please contact
lawcls@hofstra.edu.
Rai and Danilevskaia: Choice of Short-Term and Long-Term Debt in Five Eastern European
THE JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS & LAW
I. Introduction
The capital structure of a firm refers to the proportion of debt and
equity maintained by a firm. In 1958, Nobel laureates Franco Modigliani and
Merton Miller published a paper theorizing that in a perfectly competitive
market with no taxes, asymmetric information or bankruptcy costs, the debtequity level of a firm is irrelevant in the valuation of a firm. Financial
economists thereafter have studied this issue extensively, proving the existence
of an optimal capital, but only by relaxing one of the assumptions.
The choice between debt and equity creates a problem because of the
different risk return characteristics associated with each type of financing. In
debt financing, the interest payments are tax-deductible offering significant
savings to the shareholders. However, too much debt increases the likelihood
of bankruptcy. requiring shareholders to demand a higher rate of return. The
use of debt also leads to conflicts between shareholders and creditors. At high
levels of debt, shareholders may opt for riskier projects than desired by
creditors. An equilibrium capital structure is attained at the point where the risk
and return of the two competing groups are satisfied.
Another area of interest in capital structure is the choice between
short- and long-term debt. Short-term debt is less expensive than long-term
debt but is riskier because they need to be renewed periodically. A firm may
find itself in a crisis if they are unable to renew their debt. usually because of
some negative news, real or otherwise. Most failures of large corporations are
precipitated by the unavailability of short term funding, as was the case for
Drexel Burnham Lambert. Enron and WorldCom. Long-term debt offers more
stability but is more expensive than short-term debt.
The ability to borrow short-term debt also depends on the maturity
and depth of the market. In the U.S., the market for short-term instruments like
commercial paper and repos (repurchase agreements) are well developed.
Consequently, large firms can access these funds quickly and efficiently. In
other countries, the lack of an efficient short-term capital market may limit
their choices of debt. When comparing the capital structure of firms in different
countries: not only does the cultural, social and institutional factors make an
impact but also the level of development of capital markets.
The focus of this paper is to examine the choice of short- and longterm debt by firms in five countries that moved from a centrally planned
economy to a market based system. These five countries, Russian Federation
The article ishascl on the Honor's ssy "xrittcnb \Victoria l)anilexskaia at Hofstra
Univ(rsit. undLr the surxnision of Profc.,cr Anoop Rai.
(RU) Poland (PO), Hungary (HU), the Czech Republic (CZ) and Slovakia (SL),
have yet to develop a well functioning capital market that is fully conducive for
private industries to operate competitively. Reforms have been slow to
implement and rules on corporate governance are not as transparent as those in
other major markets. Due to the limited choice of capital instruments, firms are
forced to optimize under constraints that include a lack of liquidity, legal
protection and transparency. Different factors will therefore play a role in
determining the choice of debt in each country. We first examine whether the
choice of debt is similar in the five countries. We next attempt to identify some
factors that can explain the differences.
II. Literature Review
A substantial volume of research has examined capital structure of
firms globally, with significant differences observed in different parts of the
world. We however focus our literature review on the capital structure of
European and Eastern European firms.
Wanzenried (2002) found that there are considerable differences
between the capital structure of the continental European countries and the UK.
In using financial data from 167 firms over a time period from 1989 to 1998,
Wanzenried found that British and continental companies finance an average of
16% of their assets with external long-term capital and both have higher
leverage as the firm size increases. European firms, however, raise most of
their funds through banks. which may also hold a large stake in the company.
In a time-series study, Bevan & Danbolt (2000) analyzed the
determinants of capital structure of 1,054 UK companies from 1991 to 1997.
Companies with high levels of growth opportunities are found to utilize more
long-term and short-term debt, although over time there is a shift towards
equity finance.
Antoniou, et. al. (2002) researched the capital structure of firms in
the UK, France, and Germany during the years 1969, 1983, 1987 and 2000.
The research indicates that the market interest rate plays a role in determining
levels of long-term debt. They conclude that companies preferred not to
borrow long-term when the market interest rates were high. France and
Germany had higher leverage than UK. which confirms the traditional belief
that European companies take on more debt, while UK firms prefer to use more
equity.
In a more comprehensive study, Rajan and Zingales (1995) analyzed
leverage of 8.000 companies from G-7 countries for the years of 1987-1991.
They did not find significant differences in leverage between bank-oriented and
Tangibility was found to be an important
market-oriented countries.
determinant of debt. Size had a positive correlation to leverage in all countries
except Germany while profitability was negatively correlated in all countries
except Germany. All the countries utilized public financing more heavily then
private financing based on the percentage of GDP. The US had by far the
highest utilization of private financing. but it was still small compared to public
capitalization. Japan and the UK., after the US, had the highest private
financing capitalization. while France and Italy had the lowest.
http://scholarlycommons.law.hofstra.edu/jibl/vol4/iss1/2
Rai and Danilevskaia: Choice of Short-Term and Long-Term Debt in Five Eastern European
THE JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS & LAW
http://scholarlycommons.law.hofstra.edu/jibl/vol4/iss1/2
Rai and Danilevskaia: Choice of Short-Term and Long-Term Debt in Five Eastern European
THE JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS & LAW
term loans. However, it is also likely that growth companies will have the
capacity to borrow directly, domestically or internationally. This would result
in a positive relationship between growth and long-term debt.
Hypothesis 4:
http://scholarlycommons.law.hofstra.edu/jibl/vol4/iss1/2
Rai and Danilevskaia: Choice of Short-Term and Long-Term Debt in Five Eastern European
THE JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS & LAW
consistent with Bevan & Danbolt who also find no clear positive relationship
between debt and size.
B.
Tangibility
The second hypothesis, that tangibility is positively related to longterm debt, is tested by regressing LTD and STD against Tangibility as the
dependent variable. The ratio of fixed assets to total assets served as a proxy
for tangibility. There is a clear and significant negative relationship for all
countries between STD and Tangibility in 1997. The significance level is 10%
for HU and 1% for all others. The negative and significant relationship remains
the same for CZ and PO in 2000, but becomes insignificant for the other
countries.
The tests indicate that there is a positive correlation between LTD
and Tangibility for HU at a 1% significance level in 1997. The results for other
countries are mostly positive, but insignificant. In 2000 there is a significant
and positive correlation between LTD and Tangibility for CZ at a 5% level of
significance and for PO at a 1% level of significance. The remaining countries
have a positive relationship but are statistically insignificant.
Our findings are consistent with our hypothesis that tangibility is
negatively related to short- term debt and positively related to long-term debt.
These results are robust and suggest that firms with large fixed assets are more
likely to have longer-tem debt, most likely because fixed assets serve as
collateral against bankruptcy.
C.
Growth
The third hypothesis tests the relationships between LTD and STD as
the independent variables, while maintaining Growth as the dependent variable.
We estimate Growth only for year 2000, by estimating the difference between
log sales of 2000 and 1997. The growth for 1997 was not estimated because
the data prior to 1997 is scattered and incomplete. The results indicate that
there is a significant positive relationship between Growth and LTD for HU
and PO. Hungary has a 10% level of significance, while Poland has a 5% level
of significance.
The outcomes for STD and Growth are mixed and mostly
insignificant. CZ, HU. and SL had a negative relationship, while RU and PO
had a positive relationship. The t-value was only significant for CZ and HU, at
a 5% level of significance, providing no support for our hypothesis.
Thus it appears that growth firms are more likely to borrow long-term
debt than short-term debt.
D. Profitability
The final hypothesis tests the relationship between profitability and
debt by regressing the dependent variable Profitability against independent
variables Long-term Debt (LTD) and Short-term Debt (STD). Our proxy for
profitability is net sales divided by total assets.
http://scholarlycommons.law.hofstra.edu/jibl/vol4/iss1/2
Rai and Danilevskaia: Choice of Short-Term and Long-Term Debt in Five Eastern European
THE JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS & LAW
REFERENCES
http://scholarlycommons.law.hofstra.edu/jibl/vol4/iss1/2
10
Rai and Danilevskaia: Choice of Short-Term and Long-Term Debt in Five Eastern European
THE JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS & LAW
Exhibit A
COMPANIES IN SAMPLE BY INDUSTRY GROUP
Countries: Russian Federation. Poland, Hungary, Czech Republic, and Slovakia
Country
Russian
Federation
Poland
Hungary
Czech
Republic
Slovakia
Total
Transportation
Industry Group
hIdustrial Banking
Utilities
24
1
1
1
67
32
41
0
5
17
181
Total
19
Insurance
Financial
0
46
17
2
3
4
7
11
4
2
1
93
44
57
1
24
0
41
1
8
19
259
11
Ic oll
r-
csr~000
o.r
C,
orC-
~00
-I
-O0''J
ClQ,
)C)
OC
00
r-
cT
o-r-
C-0'
C'
,0
('I
r4
Co
Co
M ;
tr
00
0'
C'
-o
*0
Cl)
'00
.r.00
00
'0
cl
oc r-
Co
oCC:
00c
C0'0'CrC-rr-
l
o'NTt-
?-C
r
00
-'
-'
or
C'
'liC
0''
C-C-I
0m
C11
r-
00
'ON cc
C
C0000
cl
Iz-
C,
)
C)
0
r-,7
r-
Ir- r
'.10
OC~
0
Co
C_- C) C1
-~* 0
00
0L '
0 )
C)
0L
http://scholarlycommons.law.hofstra.edu/jibl/vol4/iss1/2
12
Rai and Danilevskaia: Choice of Short-Term and Long-Term Debt in Five Eastern European
C,
.~
0-
0:0r
N'
zr C,
00r4
06
r
r
C~l
--
-~Cl~0s
00C On'
C)~
OC
00
00
c!r~
00
21
-C5
r-ocC
00
C-
00 00
121~00 cC,
CA)
'-4140OC)-s
C'
oCs
C:l
0
r-
mC
Cs-
NC
cc
Cs
oc 00'r-
00
Cl
'.-
00~
Cr 00
O
0
00
m
000
00
~t
lC-
00~
000
L0-T s
C00
I-
Cl
0N o0
-o'
00 In
>
N
'Cl
ON
0
r-
It
Ncl
C~
m0
cc0
I-
csi
tf
-0
Cs
13
C> ~
00
C~
0-
(N
'C C>
'C 'C
(N C'.
(N*~(N
00
C>
-t C,
00
c> C,
'
~6'C
'
e-,
(N
(N
(N
C'>
C>
(N
C> C>--
00
0-~.
(N (N
(N
'C (N
C> (N
C>
00
~-
~ 'C
C> C> C'~.
~1
00(N
(N
C>
0 C-
(N
(N
C>
C>
'C
0 (
(NCC
00C
C>(
(N ,~
(N (N
00
(N
C> (N
(N~
C> C> (N
0
~
CO
0 C>
http://scholarlycommons.law.hofstra.edu/jibl/vol4/iss1/2
14
Rai and Danilevskaia: Choice of Short-Term and Long-Term Debt in Five Eastern European
E~u
CC
CC)
--
u o
E-
tai)
,.-
_,
=._ =
--
CJ
tb >'
>)C
t'C=E
-,-
-.
C))
>Cm
C-)-= ,--)-b
<
.-.
.-0
".
.
-= - .C
,-
"=
C-J
u
-2 aC52
C)
"-C
P-
-
-E
C),
.C
ZC)z
15
C)
C)
C-
C
C)
C)
2
C)
-
C)
CjC
CC
LL
C)-
C)
-~
CC
C)
C
C,: C--
==
C,-
-=
=-
-C
LU
C
_
~-
EC
=
C.
=
o
C)
2
C.
CLU
http://scholarlycommons.law.hofstra.edu/jibl/vol4/iss1/2
16
Rai and Danilevskaia: Choice of Short-Term and Long-Term Debt in Five Eastern European
CS
Cl
CS
* 00
Cl
CS
Cl
CON
C'
00
~LL
-z
-
C)
~ .9
.2.
C)
C)
00
'oR
C--
> >
Cl
C'
-
CS
Cl
CS
ON
C)
C) .C
-C
-C)
-
C)
C)
-~
17
oc
Ci
Cs
Cs
.Ci
00
00
6e~
C1
Mi*
Ci
0000
* Ci C
C)
C)
>.E E
0J~
-~
~r~)
00
Cs
Ci
Ci
*
C
CCi
C
C)
F;.F;>
~C)
C)
C)
E
~LCO >~
C-
http://scholarlycommons.law.hofstra.edu/jibl/vol4/iss1/2
18
Rai and Danilevskaia: Choice of Short-Term and Long-Term Debt in Five Eastern European
00
00
00
oc
10
-~o
trt
C5
04
Cd
>
' -
19
Nt-
~
_
00
N Cl 00
*
C
Cl
o~
-
00
-
~
-
Ct
Cl
C
R
'cC
C~ N
C
C
0
C
00
O~ C Cl
'c~
C
*0*
C'J C
~j66
00
00 N
C
* Cl -
Cl
Cc.
-
00 C
~
~
C
-
Cl
Cl
Ct
~
Cl 00 'cC
~
* C C
Cl
00
~
~
00
Cl
U
C:
2
U
-s-0) =
-J
~t*~0
-s
=
>
00
http://scholarlycommons.law.hofstra.edu/jibl/vol4/iss1/2
20
Rai and Danilevskaia: Choice of Short-Term and Long-Term Debt in Five Eastern European
r-
00
0 ~
.r
6Z~
Nc -
00
00
00
~0
~.
000 ~
sr; 0
-
CD
v
00
>,EI
t _JE
"C
'C
00 ~
C'
'C
E
0L~
>
21
C
I,;
CCl CS Cl
~
0'
0'
.,;
*C
C
*CS
C
Cl
C CS
CS
CS
~-
~
C--
I~
$
'0
C
CS
0' _
0' C ~
C--
c-i
-~
CS
0'
'0
CS
~0'
Cl
Cl
Cl C
Cl
C
C--
C C.~
CS
-
C-- 0'
C
C
C)C)
~ _
E S
IC
coo
i- .C
0
C--
oc ~
* -
Cl
Cl
C
CS
C~
CC
CS
Cl
C-
C
C)
'C
~
,n
41
C>
0
C)
C)
C-C--
-~
0
-C)
C)C)
C)
41
5
4 1
S
C)
41C)~
*0
Cj~
http://scholarlycommons.law.hofstra.edu/jibl/vol4/iss1/2
22
Rai and Danilevskaia: Choice of Short-Term and Long-Term Debt in Five Eastern European
00
C)
0'
(N (N
(N
*~-.
(S
00
(S
*0'
00
(S
(N
~ '0 (N
(S 0
0'
(N 0
M0
00
7= H
N >
00 -~
00
(N
(N 0
0)0)
I-
t-
0)0)
.0
0
(S
(I~.
Ci 00
*
0
00~~
0.
E
0)
23