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Mr. Hollande could neither retain his support base nor win over the other side of the spectrum, shifting the political mood in
the country to the right. But the question is, who will cash in on this? Polls suggest Francois Fillon of the Republican Party
and Marine Le Pen of the National Front will emerge the leading candidates out of the first round of the election, to face
each other in the May 7 run-off. Mr. Fillon is a social conservative with a liberal economic agenda, and wants to overhaul
the public sector, rein in unions and sack civil servants. He has the backing of a large organisational machinery, whereas Ms.
Le Pen is an insurgent candidate. But so was Donald Trump. Over the past few years, Ms. Le Pen has transformed the NF
from a fringe far-right group to an almost mainstream party with some grass-roots support. It now controls at least a dozen
town halls and is consolidating support among the white working class, especially in the rust belt of the north and east. Like
Mr. Trump, she presents herself as an anti-establishment outsider with a protectionist economic agenda. With the left in
disarray and established conservatives divided, Ms. Le Pens chances cannot be ruled out.