Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
1 de 5
http://www.pv-tech.org/guest-blog/case_study_of_a_growth_driver_sil...
Hide This
11/04/2016 13:13
2 de 5
http://www.pv-tech.org/guest-blog/case_study_of_a_growth_driver_sil...
Solar backgrounder
Globally installed PV capacity currently rests at 139GW as of the end of 2013 with another
44.5GW to be added in 2014. This is almost a 21% increase year on year and equals the output of
10 nuclear reactors, according to Bloomberg. The chart in Figure 1 from the European Photovoltaic
Industry Association shows the dramatic rise in PV capacity.
Figure 1: PV capacity has seen a huge surge in recent years. Source: EPIA.
Not surprisingly, Asia leads the charge to install PV capacity. Large populations demanding a higher
quality of life against the backdrop of demands for a cleaner environment is a powerful force for
growth. Many readers of this blog will be well acquainted with the growth rates in solar adoption, so
I wont detail them here. China and Japan are the clear leaders with India far behind, but showing a
great deal of promise.
As with almost anything else in life, economics matters and herein is the real reason for the
increasing adoption of solar as a source of electricity for industries, commercial enterprises, and
consumers.
Our main investing thesis centers on the need for cheap energy to serve as the backbone to a
growing middle class. Though solar power is not the cheapest form of electricity available and
renewables have their challenges, this form of electricity generation is continuing to become cost
competitive with fossil fuels (see Figure 2).
11/04/2016 13:13
3 de 5
http://www.pv-tech.org/guest-blog/case_study_of_a_growth_driver_sil...
Figure 2: PV's cost per watt has fallen dramatically. Source: BNEF, pv.energytrend.com
As more consumers realise this and industry realises there is tremendous corporate goodwill and
social capital to be gained from diversifying energy sources, the argument for increased solar
power in the global energy mix only gets stronger.
Financial market participants would appear to agree with the positive outlook for solar power given
the performance of the Guggenheim Solar ETF (TAN: NYSE), up over 52% over the past year
(Figure 3).
11/04/2016 13:13
4 de 5
http://www.pv-tech.org/guest-blog/case_study_of_a_growth_driver_sil...
Figure 3: Solar is proving a popular investment choice. Source Guggenheim Solar ETF.
11/04/2016 13:13
5 de 5
http://www.pv-tech.org/guest-blog/case_study_of_a_growth_driver_sil...
11/04/2016 13:13